usd/jpy

ستمبر 12 2024 کو امریکی ڈالر/جاپانی ین کی پیشن گوئی

امریکی ڈالر/جاپانی ین جوڑا 139.70-140.27 کے ہدف کی حد تک پہنچنے کی پوری کوشش کر رہا ہے، لیکن تکنیکی طور پر، مارلن آسیلیٹر کی طرف سے اس میں رکاوٹ ڈالی جا رہی ہے، جس نے ضد کے ساتھ پانچ سیشنز کے لیے انکار کرنے سے انکار کر دیا ہے اور ترقی کے علاقے کے ساتھ سرحد کے قریب ہے۔



ان حالات میں، 144.14 پر گرین پرائس چینل کی بالائی باؤنڈری کے اوپر بریک آؤٹ 148.82 کی مزاحمتی سطح پر ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن کی طرف 146.50، یا ممکنہ طور پر اس سے زیادہ کی راہ ہموار کرے گا۔ اس عروج کو فطرت میں اصلاحی سمجھا جاتا ہے۔ اگر قیمت 139.70–140.27 کی سپورٹ رینج سے نیچے ٹوٹ جاتی ہے، تو یہ 136.95–137.26 کی نئی ہدف کی حد کھول دے گی۔

چار گھنٹے کے چارٹ میں، مارلن آسیلیٹر پہلے ہی مثبت علاقے میں داخل ہو چکا ہے۔ قیمت اب بھی 143.60 یا 144.14 کی سطحوں کی جانچ کر سکتی ہے، جو ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن کے اوپر غلط بریک آؤٹ کا باعث بن سکتی ہے۔ متبادل طور پر، اگر قیمت 144.14 سے اوپر مضبوط ہو جاتی ہے تو یہ ایک حقیقی بریک آؤٹ ہو سکتا ہے۔ ہمیں مزید پیش رفت کا انتظار ہے۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

Aaj hum NZD/USD currency pair ki price action ka tajziya karenge aur apni mushahadaton par baat karenge. Agar 0.6186 ki range ka breakdown hota hai, toh yeh ek upward trend ke aaghaz ka signal ho sakta hai. Agar price 0.6196 se ooper jati hai, toh mazeed mazbooti ka imkaan hai, jo ke buying ka acha mauka hoga. Agar 0.6186 ka breakdown confirm ho jata hai, toh us ke baad growth ka silsila buying ke liye ek ideal soorat-e-haal pesh kar sakta hai. Lekin agar price 0.6123 ke neeche rehti hai, toh yeh sell ka signal hoga. US session ke dauran agar 0.6186 ke upar breakthrough hota hai aur ooper ki satahon par consolidation hoti hai, toh yeh buy signal ko zahir karta hai, jiska target 0.6251 rakha gaya hai, jo ke aik ahm resistance hai. Fibonacci grid ke istimal se, pehli wave ke decline ka target 161.8% level ke sath saath hai, aur intermediate technical target 0.6128 par hai. Price mein retracement ke doran, koi bhi pullback short positions enter karne ka mauka de sakta hai. Buying ka amal 161.8% level tak mumkin hai, is maqam par aik corrective wave ban sakti hai, jo ke short-term trades ke liye munasib hai. Aaj kisi bhi ahm maashi khabron ka ilan nahi hai.

H4 chart par NZD/USD currency pair ka tajziya karne par maloom hota hai ke haftay ke aghaz mein US dollar mazbooti dikha raha hai. Is chaar ghantay ke chart mein downtrend dekhne ko mil raha hai, aur wave structure neeche ki taraf barabar ja raha hai. Bullish indicator apni signal line ke neeche selling zone mein hai. Pehle CPI aur RSI indicators mein triple bearish divergence bhi dikhayi di thi. Is kay ilawa, ek ascending wedge pattern ne bhi successful bearish signal ko taeed kiya hai. Price gir kar initial support 0.6168 par mili, phir ek corrective rise se mirror resistance level 0.6253 tak gayi, jo support se resistance mein tabdeel ho chuka hai. Yeh level historically strong selling point raha hai. Aik aur critical factor jo ongoing decline mein role ada kar raha hai woh hai PVI indicator jo weekly period se upper overheating zone se neeche ja raha hai.

Lekin, NZD/USD pair 0.6250 level par resistance face kar rahi hai, jahan yeh area long-term downtrend line se intersect ho rahi hai. Technical indicators abhi bhi bullish hain, lekin short-term mein momentum mein kami ke asaar nazar a rahe hain. Stochastic overbought territory mein flat trade kar raha hai, aur RSI bhi 70 overbought mark se thoda neeche hai. Agar rally momentum kho kar sell-off mein tabdeel ho jati hai, toh NZD/USD pair pehle 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level of June-August downtrend 0.6141 tak slide kar sakti hai. Is level ke neeche break hone se 61.8% Fibonacci level 0.6079 par focus ho sakta hai. 200-day aur 20-day simple moving averages ki qareebi mawjudgi bhi pair ke liye mazeed support faraham kar sakti hai, jis se bears ko zyada aage badhne mein mushkil ho sakti hai. Mukhtasir yeh ke, NZD/USD pair abhi aik ehtiyaat pasand optimism ke environment mein position mein hai, jahan Fed rate cut aur New Zealand ki recovering economy ki umeed hai. Lekin, technical resistance aur near-term selling pressure mazeed gains ko mahdood kar sakte hain. Traders ko in factors ko gaur se monitor karna chahiye aur investment faislay karte waqt ehtiyaat baratni chahiye.

USD/CAD Technical Analysis


Asslam-o-Alaikum. Kesy hy ap sub traders. Kal ki trade ne bahot achi movement de thi during CPI data.

Pichly haftay Canadian dollar ne mixed directions mein move kia lekin thora apna local maximum update kar lia. Shuru mai price upar jane ki koshish karti rahi lekin 1.3563 par barrier mila. Jab decline huwa to price 1.3506 ke support level tak aayi, jahan se support mila aur wapas upar 1.3563 ko break kia. Expected scenario sirf part mein realize hua lekin abhi tak developing hai. Filhal price chart super-trend green zone mein hai, jo indicate karta hai ke buyers ka control hai.

Technically, hum cautiously bearish hain. 50-day SMA se negative pressure aur 14-day momentum indicator se negative signals nikalnay par bearish trend ka chances hain. Intraday trading agar 1.3230 aur 1.3270 ke resistance ke neechay stay karti hai, to 1.3825 ka target ho sakta hai, aur next target 1.38640 hoga. Lekin agar price 1.3270 ke upar stable rehti hai, to formal uptrend 1.3450 tak wapas aa sakta hai.


Filhal prices weekly highs ke thora upar trade kar rahi hain. Key support areas ko test kia gaya jo intact rahe, jiski wajah se ek rebound aaya. Price ko agay barhnay ke liye 1.3506 ke upar consolidation zaroori hai, jo main support area ka border hai. Retest aur rebound se price ko upward move ka moka milay ga jiska target 1.3664 aur 1.3735 hoga.

Agar support level break hota hai aur price 1.3443 ke reversal level se neeche chali jati hai, to current scenario cancel ho jaye ga.

USD/JPY Pair Technical Analysis

Hum current pricing behavior ko analyze kar rahe hain. General mein, consistent bullish surge complex pattern present karta hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, trend line breach ke baad breakdown zone mein technical rejection expected tha. Yeh event anticipated manner mein hua, standard logic ke saath. Iske baad, bearish momentum ne local minimum ke strength ko challenge karna tha, phir 139 figure ke breakdown ko target karna tha. Lekin, yeh scenario expected manner mein nahi hua. Instead, buyer ne bearish momentum ko counter kiya aur bullish correction phase initiate kiya. Yeh movement catastrophic nahi hai, lekin sellers additional capital seek kar sakte hain. Abhi, main bearish trend ko continue hone ka expect karta hoon.




Technically, USD/JPY pair bearish trend mein hai. 9-day exponential moving average (EMA) 21-day EMA ke neeche hai, aur 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level ke neeche hai, downtrend ko confirm karta hai. Pair ko support near seven-month low 141.69 mil sakti hai, further support near 140.25. Upside par, pair ko resistance 9-day EMA near 145.63 aur phir 21-day EMA at 146.73 par mil sakti hai. In levels ke upar break 150.00 psychological barrier ko open kar sakta hai, further resistance 154.50 par. Tuesday ko brief surge ke baad, USD/JPY pair ne momentum sustain nahi kiya, 20-day EMA support trend line se retreat kiya. Technical indicators, RSI aur Stochastic, potential reversal suggest karte hain, death cross 50- aur 200-day moving averages ne longer-term bearish indicate kiya hai. Yesterday's uptick ke baad, USDJPY ne course reverse kiya, lekin significant weakness nahi dikhai. Correction ne price ko 145.13 par laaya, lekin yeh level critical hai agar bears pair ko neeche le jaye. Today's downward movement ne support level 145.93 ko breach kiya, ab price stabilize karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Sell entry point establish hoga agar yeh stabilize karta hai, potentially pair ko next support level 144.73 par le jaye. Lekin agar bulls upper hand reclaim karte hain, price stabilize ho sakti hai 145.93 ke upar, bullish trend continue karte hue. 4-hour chart ke mutabiq, bulls ne 50% resistance level 149.62 ki advance complete nahi ki hai, bears ne intervene kiya, bearish market ko redirect karne ki koshish ki hai. Chart shows price rebounding slightly angle of 1/8 se, resting just above angle of 1/13. Agar bearish movement momentum gain karta hai, bears price ko further down le sakte hain, potentially full bearish cycle resume kar sakte hain

USD/JPY pair ne Tuesday ko European session ke shuruati hisson mein modest uptrend dikhaya, trading 143.00 ke aas-paas chal rahi thi. Lekin, strong bullish conviction ki kami ne suggest kiya ke traders significant positions mein commit hone se hesitant the, kyunki crucial US inflation data aane wala tha. Japanese Yen (JPY) ko downward revisions ki wajah se pressure mein rakha gaya, jab ke US Dollar (USD) ne modest gains dikhaye. Federal Reserve (Fed) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke darmiyan monetary policies ka divergence ne investors ko aggressive bullish bets se roka, jo USD/JPY ke upside ko limit kar raha tha. Technical perspective se, USD/JPY pair short-term downtrend mein nazar aayi, jo descending channel ke andar recent decline se indicated hota hai. Yeh negative outlook daily chart par deeply negative oscillators ke readings se aur support hota hai, jo suggest karta hai ke kisi bhi potential gains ko limit kiya ja sakta hai. Agar pair 144.00 level ko upar break karta hai, to yeh short-covering rally trigger kar sakta hai, jo 144.55 area ki taraf move lead kar sakta hai. Lekin, significant upward momentum tab tak unlikely hai jab tak pair 145.60 resistance level ko break nahi karta aur 145.00 psychological mark ko reclaim nahi karta. Downside par, 143.20 area immediate support provide karne ki ummeed hai, uske baad 143.00 barrier aur Asian session ke lows ke aas-paas 142.85. Agar USD/JPY in support levels ko break karta hai, to yeh further decline ko signal kar sakta hai, jo 142.00 round figure aur 7-month lows ke aas-paas 141.70-141.65 tak target kar sakta hai. Overall, USD/JPY pair economic factors aur technical indicators ke complex interplay ka samna kar rahi hai. Japanese GDP ke downward revisions ne US dollar ko support diya, lekin monetary policies ka divergence aur technical analysis ne further gains ke liye cautious outlook suggest kiya. Traders ko economic developments aur technical indicators ko closely monitor karna hoga taake pair ke potential direction ka

USD/JPY Technical Analysis
Pichlay trading week mai Japanese yen ne apni strength barqarar rakhi aur pichlay highs ko thora update kar lia. Jab price 147.45 ki barrier par pohanch gayi thi, wahan se aik sharp decline shuru hua aur 141.88 tak aayi, jahan support mila. Lekin yeh price apne target area tak nahi pohanch saki, is liye expected scenario sirf part mein realize hua. Filhal price chart super trend red zone mein hai, jo indicate karta hai k sellers ka pressure hai.

Agar hum 240-minute chart par dekhein, to 145.30 ke support level ka clear break dekhnay ko milta hai. Simple moving averages bhi negative break dikhate hain, jo decline ke resumption ko support karta hai. Ab jo downtrend ka scenario hai, woh zyada likely hai jab tak price 145.20 (jo ab resistance level hai) se neechay trade karta hai, aur initial target 142.75 ho sakta hai. Agar price hourly close karke 145.30 ke upar chali jati hai, to main bullish path wapas aa sakta hai, jahan 146.50 aur 147.50 ka target ho ga.



Abhi prices decline kar rahi hain aur weekly lows ke qareeb hain. Main resistance zone ko test kia gaya, jo intact raha aur wahan se price collapse hui, jo downside ka importance highlight karta hai. Agay chal kar, 144.97 se neechay consolidation zaroori hai, jo main resistance zone ka border cross kar raha hai. Is level ka retest aur reversal neeche ki taraf ek nai wave ka raasta bana sakta hai jo 138.98 aur 136.34 ke darmiyan ka target rakhay ga.

Agar resistance break ho gaya aur price 147.45 ka reversal level cross kar gayi, to current scenario cancel ho jaye ga.

Yahan wave structure abhi bhi apni tarteeb niche ki taraf bana raha hai, aur MACD indicator abhi bhi lower sales zone mein hai, magar apni signal line se abhi bhi upar hai. Lagta hai ke price ab August ke mahinay ke minimum ko update karne ja rahi hai. Is update se pehle abhi bhi points mein kaafi distance hai, takreeban 200. Agar August ka minimum update hota hai, toh MACD aur CCI indicators par ek bullish divergence ke banne ka imkaan hai, ya dono par ek saath bhi. Indicators ki maujoodah position se abhi yeh signal pehle se hi andaza kiya ja sakta hai. Yeh lagta hai ke abhi kaam ka rujhan sirf chotay periods mein din ke andar niche ki taraf hai, rollbacks ke dauran aur sale ke mutabiq banne wali formations ke ubarte hi, yeh halaat kam az kam 141.66 ke minimum update hone tak barqarar hai, aur phir dekhenge. Filhal abhi tak downward pressure mein kamzori ke koi asar nahi hain. Kyun ke low muqabla karne ke liye compared to qareeb hai, price mumkin hai ke isse aagay barhna chahegi, jab tak ke aam market ki harkat US dollar ke haq mein na jaye, jo ke kafi mumkin hai. Dusri currencies lagta hai ke aur bhi zyada kamzor honay ki taraf hain against the American dollar. Har surat mein, trend ke sath kaam karna hamesha behtar hota hai, is tarah kamyabi ke chances barh jate hain, aur hamara trend downward hai is daily chart se shuru hota hai aur neeche tak ja raha hai. Sach hai, abhi bhi kuch khoobsurat news aa sakti hai. Aur agar woh US dollar ke haq mein nikalti hai, toh mumkin hai ke hum low se aage na ja sakein, is baat ke bawajood ke woh qareeb hai Moscow time ke mutabiq 15-30 baje: Amreeka mein average hourly earnings, non-agricultural sector mein employed afrad ki tadaad mein tabdeeli, aur amreeka mein economic active population ka hissah, private non-agricultural sector mein employed afrad ki tadaad mein tabdeeli, aur unemployment rate ki report aayegi

USD/JPY currency pair mukhtalif quwaton ka samna kar raha hai. Ek taraf, Bank of Japan ki ultra-loose monetary policy ke pressure mein weak Japanese yen ne USD/JPY pair ko mazbooti di hai. Yeh kamzori is speculation ko barhawa de rahi hai ke Bank of Japan mumkin hai ke umeed se pehle interest rates barha de, jo yen ko mazeed kamzor kar sakta hai. Dusri taraf, US dollar abhi flat hai economic data ki kami ki wajah se. Magar, rising US fiscal yields kuch support provide kar rahe hain. Federal Reserve Inflation aur 2024 mein lower tax rates ke imkanat ke hawale se sukke barat raha hai, jo long run mein dollar par downward pressure daal sakte hain.
Technically, USD/JPY daily chart par aik interesting formation nazar aa rahi hai - ascending triangle. Yeh aur bullish RSI indicator yeh suggest karte hain ke pair shayad triangle ke upper trendline ko near the psychological barrier of 157.00 retest karne ki koshish kare. Aik decisive break above is level se pair 160.32 tak surge kar sakta hai, jo level 1990 se nahi dekha gaya. Magar, support levels ko bhi madde nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Agar keemat triangle ke lower end par immediate support se neeche girti hai, aur phir key 155.50 level se, toh yeh 21-day EMA at 155.25 ko test karne ke liye mazeed slide kar sakti hai. A break below this level indicates a potential reversal, and USD/JPY par downward pressure. Overall, upcoming price action for USD/JPY 156.60 level par hinge karti hai. A decisive close above 157.00 focus ko resistance zone between 157.83 and 158.70 par shift karegi. Is area ko conquer karna 159.10 ke above surge ke darwaze kholega aur potentially 34-year high at 160.20 ka retest ho sakta hai. Agar yeh level bohot strong sabit hota hai, toh next potential upside targets 161.53 se 162.50 range mein ho sakte hain, jo June 2023 resistance line ke break hone ka sabab ban sakte hain

Pair ki weekly chart par, maine four weeks ke liye downward trend observe kiya hai. Main aim kar raha hoon pair ki movement ko upcoming week ke liye forecast karne, whether selling trend persist karega ya alternative scenario likely hai. Is purpose ke liye, technical analysis ko examine karte hain pair ke week ke liye aur corresponding recommendations. Moving averages sell suggest karte hain, technical indicators active sell suggest karte hain, aur overall output active sell hai. Yeh technical analysis continued downward movement ko coming week mein advocate karta hai. Ab, significant news ko consider karte hain jo pair ko affect karta hai. Notable news US se likely hai, optimistic forecast ke saath. Initial US unemployment benefit claims ke data Thursday ko likely hai,
USD/JPY sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon sirf tab jab 146.76 ka test hota hai jo ke chart par red line se dikhaya gaya hai, jo ke pair ke rapid decline ko lead karega . Sellers ke liye key target hoga 145.81, jahan mein short positions exit karunga aur foran long positions opposite direction mein open karunga, expecting 20-25 pips ki movement opposite direction mein is level se. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, khas tor par agar correction pehle aadha din mein unsuccessful hoti hai aur daily high ka test nahi hota. Important: Sell karne se pehle, ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke niche ho aur usse decline karna shuru ho
USD/JPY pair abhi tak bearish trend mein hai. 9-day exponential moving average (EMA) 21-day EMA ke neeche hai, aur 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level se neeche hai, jo ke downtrend ko confirm karta hai. Yeh pair qareebi support 141.69 ke paas (jo ke saat mahinay ka low hai) dhoond sakta hai, aur agla support 140.25 par ho sakta hai. Agar upar ki taraf dekha jaye, toh pair ko resistance 9-day EMA ke paas 145.63 par face karna padega, aur phir 21-day EMA par 146.73 par. Agar yeh levels break hotay hain, toh psychological barrier 150.00 tak rasta khul sakta hai, aur agla resistance 154.50 par ho ga

kehna zaroori hai ke USD/JPY pair mere liye itna seedha nahi hai. Zaroor, downward movement jari hai, kal bhi minimums update hue aur 141.75 ke area mein gaye, lekin wahan consolidate nahi kar paye aur daily charts par pin bhi chorr gaye, aur ab hum achi tarah grow ya roll back kar rahe hain. Haalanki, asal cheez abhi bhi downward movement hai aur mazeed jaga hai downward jaane ki. Lekin yahan par, ek taraf yen ki growth ruk gayi hai, doosri taraf dollar ne bhi inflation ke baad kal achi growth dikhaayi. Yeh bhi zaroori hai ke dollar aaj kaise trade karta hai kyun ke kaafi different statistics bhi aa rahi hain. Aur main abhi bhi southern direction mein hi dekhta hoon, is liye agar hum 145.75 ke upar pohanchte hain, toh sirf wahan main sales ki ijazat doonga. Hum 145.12 level ko successfully push nahi kar paye jaisa aap ne bataya tha. Ek attempt hua, lekin pair jaldi pull back kar gaya. USD/JPY ne rebound kiya aur 145.69 ke upar waapis aane ki koshish ki. Lekin ab ek aur koshish hai consolidate karne ki iss level ke niche. Agar yeh kamyab ho gaya, toh pair triangle ke lower border, jo ke 144.59 ke aas paas hai, tak move kar sakta hai aur wahan se aage dekh sakte hain. Agar 145.69 se bounce milta hai, toh bhi triangle structure shortened waves allow karta hai, jiska matlab hai ke upper boundary tak increase ho sakta hai jo 146 hai. Asian session mein, hum Japan ke business activity data ka intezaar kar rahe hain service sector ke liye, jahan pehle figure se thoda sa izafa expected hai. Hum iss indicator par bhi nazar rakhenge. Aaj yen ki strength ka talluq shayad China ke issues aur commodities aur resource currencies ke decline se ho sakta hai. Dekhte hain yeh factors USD/JPY ke direction ko aanay walay ghanton mein kaise affect karte hai

.Aaj mera plan hai USD/JPY ko khari ka jab yeh 144.82 ke entry point par ponche, jo chart par green line se plot ki gayi hai, aur target 145.45 tak jane ka hai, jo chart par moti green line se plot ki gayi hai. 145.45 ke area mein, mein long positions exit karne ka irada rakhta hoon aur opposite direction mein short positions open karne ka plan hai, jismein level se 30-35 pips ki movement expect ki ja sakti hai. Aaj pair ke upar jaane ki ummed hai upward correction ke tahat. Important: Kharidne se pehle, ye yaqeen kar lein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke upar ho aur wahan se rise kar raha ho. Mein USD/JPY ko kharidne ka plan karta hoon jab 144.47 ke do musalsal test ho aur MACD indicator oversold area mein ho . Yeh pair ki downward potential ko limit kar dega aur market mein ulta upturn layega. Hum growth expect kar sakte hain opposite levels 144.82 aur 145.55 tak.Mein aaj USD/JPY ko sell karne ka plan karta hoon sirf us surat mein jab 144.47 ke level ka test ho, jo chart par red line se plot kiya gaya hai, jisse pair mein tezi se decline hoga. Sellers ka key target 143.76 ka level ho ga jahan mein short positions exit karne ka irada rakhta hoon aur foran se opposite direction mein long positions open karne ka plan hai, jismein level se 20-25 pips ki movement expect ki ja sakti hai. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, kyun ke dollar ke bearish market abhi tak khatam nahi hui. Important: Bechne se pehle, yeh ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark se neeche ho aur decline shuru kar raha ho Mein USD/JPY ko sell karne ka plan karta hoon jab 144.82 ke do musalsal test ho aur MACD indicator overbought area mein ho. Yeh pair ki upward potential ko limit kar dega aur market mein ulta downturn layeg

zaroori hai ke USD/JPY pair mere liye itna seedha nahi hai. Zaroor, downward movement jari hai, kal bhi minimums update hue aur 141.75 ke area mein gaye, lekin wahan consolidate nahi kar paye aur daily charts par pin bhi chorr gaye, aur ab hum achi tarah grow ya roll back kar rahe hain. Haalanki, asal cheez abhi bhi downward movement hai aur mazeed jaga hai downward jaane ki. Lekin yahan par, ek taraf yen ki growth ruk gayi hai, doosri taraf dollar ne bhi inflation ke baad kal achi growth dikhaayi. Yeh bhi zaroori hai ke dollar aaj kaise trade karta hai kyun ke kaafi different statistics bhi aa rahi hain. Aur main abhi bhi southern direction mein hi dekhta hoon, is liye agar hum 145.75 ke upar pohanchte hain, toh sirf wahan main sales ki ijazat doonga. Hum 145.12 level ko successfully push nahi kar paye jaisa aap ne bataya tha. Ek attempt hua, lekin pair jaldi pull back kar gaya. USD/JPY ne rebound kiya aur 145.69 ke upar waapis aane ki koshish ki. Lekin ab ek aur koshish hai consolidate karne ki iss level ke niche. Agar yeh kamyab ho gaya, toh pair triangle ke lower border, jo ke 144.59 ke aas paas hai, tak move kar sakta hai aur wahan se aage dekh sakte hain. Agar 145.69 se bounce milta hai, toh bhi triangle structure shortened waves allow karta hai, jiska matlab hai ke upper boundary tak increase ho sakta hai jo 146 hai. Asian session mein, hum Japan ke business activity data ka intezaar kar rahe hain service sector ke liye, jahan pehle figure se thoda sa izafa expected hai. Hum iss indicator par bhi nazar rakhenge. Aaj yen ki strength ka talluq shayad China ke issues aur commodities aur resource currencies ke decline se ho sakta hai. Dekhte hain yeh factors USD/JPY ke direction ko aanay walay ghanton mein kaise affect karte hain

USDJPY pair ko bechne ke liye ziada raaghib hain, shayad badalte hue economic halaat, geopolitical factors, ya technical signals ke wajah se jo pehle ke uptrend ko kamzor kar rahe hain. 146.86 zone tak girawat khaas ahmiyat rakhti hai kyunke yeh ek critical support level hai jise traders ghore se dekh rahe hain. Agar sellers apni momentum barqarar rakhte hain aur price ko is level se neeche le jate hain, to yeh ek lambe downtrend ki shuruaat ka ishara ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, USDJPY par yeh bearish pressure ziada economic concerns ka aks ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar U.S. dollar kamzor ho raha hai due to softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke wajah se, to yeh pair ke decline mein ek sabab ban sakta hai. Dosri taraf, Japanese yen mein mazid taqat, shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ke wajah se, is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai. Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli both challenges aur opportunities paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara ghore se dekhni par sakti hai, khaaskar agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar bearish momentum barhti hai. Bunyadi baat yeh hogi ke dekhna hoga ke USDJPY pair 146.86 level ke ird gird kis tarah behave karta hai aur kya yeh zone reversal ka point banega ya sirf mazeed bearish action ke liye ek stepping stone banega. USDJPY pair ke recent price action se yeh zahir hota hai ke bearish sentiment mein ek shiddat aayi hai, jahan sellers ne successful push karke price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain. Yeh movement sirf sellers ki qabliyat ko zahir nahi karti ke unhone peechle nuqsan cover kar liye hain, balke yeh bhi dikhata hai ke unka market par naya control hai. Is shift ke implications door tak ja sakte hain, depend karta hai ke support at 146.86 hold karta hai ya mazeed declines ke liye raasta banata hai. Traders ko hoshiyaar rehna chahiye, kyunke agle kuch sessions shayad pair ke future direction ke bare mein critical insights provide karenge, jo iss evolving market landscape mein sahi position le ke trading opportunities provide USD/JPY ke trading options mein, buy option ab bhi USD/JPY movement ko dominate karega. Isliye, main recommend karta hoon ke is currency pair ko chhoti lot sizes ke sath trade karein aur stop orders set karein taake potential losses ko minimize kiya ja sake, kyunki situation rapidly adverse ho sakti hai. Dollar-yen pair ke liye, humne hourly chart par decline dekha, jiske baad ek rise hui jo 147.103 resistance ko break kar gayi. Ye breakout ek buy signal generate kiya jo 151.644 resistance level ko target kar raha tha. Lekin ye signal misleading tha, kyunki Friday ko price is level ke neeche gir gayi. Ye false breakout tab hua jab price is resistance se upar se neeche aayi. Monday ko ek naya buy signal nikla, jo dobara se 151.644 resistance ko target kar raha tha, aur price ne ye target achieve kiya. Iske baad, Tuesday ko ye level phir se retrace hua, aur ek aur upward movement ki koshish hui, lekin price dobara broken level par wapas aagayi. Breakout confirm ho chuka hai, aur kal ka target 151.644 resistance set kiya gaya hai.

Jaise ke maine pehle bhi bataya tha, mera main reference point senior time frame tha, jahan price behavior ko weekly chart ke hawale se analyze kiya gaya tha. Main aapko yaad dilana chahta hoon ke price action method pehle istemal hui thi, jahan candlestick pattern "Evening Star" ne diagonal support ke break hone ke baad ek tez girawat indicate ki thi, aur uske baad sellers ne kaafi arsay tak market apne control mein rakhi. Total girawat 1720 points thi, aur reference point Fibonacci level 88.2 tha, jo ek significant Moving Average (MA) se coincide kar raha tha. Maine yeh sab screen par draw kiya tha, jahan direction ruk gayi thi, aur price ne kafi upar move kiya. Mera yaqeen hai ke aane wale haftay mein hum 148.53 tak pohonch sakte hain, jo ke kam az kam 200 points ka move hoga. Main suggest karta hoon ke apne trading strategy ke mutabiq is plan ko dobara dekhein. Economic calendar mein Japan aur US dono se kaafi important news aa rahi hain, toh fundamentals bhi price action ko influence karenge USD/JPY currency pair ne upar ki taraf ek strong correction dekhi hai, lekin main filhaal in prices par sell karne mein ehtiyat mehsoos kar raha hoon. Dekhte hain agle hafta kya laata hai, kyun ke humein abhi yeh weekend guzarni hai. Main yeh nahi keh raha ke market mein kuch bhi fixed hai, lekin Middle East mein naye tensions hain, aur agar kuch hota hai, toh Monday ko market khulte hi surprises dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Lekin kisi bhi surat mein, yeh Japanese yen ko mazid strong kar sakta hai. Bearish trend abhi bhi relevant hai, aur agar Monday ko prices 147.90 mark se upar break nahi karti, toh phir market mein sell karne ke liye enter karne ka waqt ho sakta hai. Phir bhi, weekend par is idea ka tajzia karenge, tamam fundamental factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue final faisla karne se pehle Meri analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ke paas abhi bhi upar jane ka chance hai kyun ke candle ne middle Bollinger Band line ko penetrate kiya hai. Lekin ehtiyat se kaam lena zaroori hai, kyun ke candle ab tak MA50 line ko penetrate nahi kar payi hai. Yahan se ek rebound ho sakta hai jo price ko niche le jaye. Yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke yeh scenario play out ho, aur hum price distribution ke agle phase mein dakhil ho jayein jab zyada tar market participants yeh samajhne lagen ke corrective rollback khatam ho gaya hai, aur is point se selling shuru ho jaye. Lekin agar yeh puppeteer trap kaam kar jata hai, toh is scenario ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair bina kisi rollback ke seedha 159.13 tak ja sakta hai, aur agar aisa hota hai, toh market wahan se kafi gir sakti hai Main predict karta hoon ke USD/JPY abhi bhi rise karega, kyun ke H1 support price 145.88 ab tak break nahi hui hai. Is liye, main recommend karta hoon ke jo log is pair mein trade kar rahe hain, woh sirf buy positions par focus karein. Aap apna take profit target 151.20 par set kar sakte hain aur stop loss 145.45 par rakh sakte .

SDJPY currency pair ki price quotes ne is development ko reflect kiya. Pair ne resistance level 161.87 se notable decline kiya, weekend tak 146.39 tak pahunch gaya, jo almost 10 percent sharp drop thi. Theoretical analysis ne suggest kiya ki fall support level 151.71 ke paas halt ho sakta hai, kuch trading activity ko lead karta hai, lekin yeh rapid descent ke beech mein likely tha. Decline 144.99 ke round figure tak extend ho sakta hai, kuch margin ko further movement ke liye chor kar, lekin iske beyond, direction uncertain hai. Yeh analysis daily chart se related hai. Pair ki weekly chart par, maine four weeks ke liye downward trend observe kiya hai. Main aim kar raha hoon pair ki movement ko upcoming week ke liye forecast karne, whether selling trend persist karega ya alternative scenario likely hai. Is purpose ke liye, technical analysis ko examine karte hain pair ke week ke liye aur corresponding recommendations. Moving averages sell suggest karte hain, technical indicators active sell suggest karte hain, aur overall output active sell hai. Yeh technical analysis continued downward movement ko coming week mein advocate karta hai.
Ab, significant news ko consider karte hain jo pair ko affect karta hai. Notable news US se likely hai, optimistic forecast ke saath. Initial US unemployment benefit claims ke data Thursday ko likely hai,
USD/JPY sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon sirf tab jab 146.76 ka test hota hai jo ke chart par red line se dikhaya gaya hai, jo ke pair ke rapid decline ko lead karega. Sellers ke liye key target hoga 145.81, jahan mein short positions exit karunga aur foran long positions opposite direction mein open karunga, expecting 20-25 pips ki movement opposite direction mein is level se. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, khas tor par agar correction pehle aadha din mein unsuccessful hoti hai aur daily high ka test nahi hota. Important: Sell karne se pehle, ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke niche ho aur usse decline karna shuru ho
USD/JPY pair abhi tak bearish trend mein hai. 9-day exponential moving average (EMA) 21-day EMA ke neeche hai, aur 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level se neeche hai, jo ke downtrend ko confirm karta hai. Yeh pair qareebi support 141.69 ke paas (jo ke saat mahinay ka low hai) dhoond sakta hai, aur agla support 140.25 par ho sakta hai. Agar upar ki taraf dekha jaye, toh pair ko resistance 9-day EMA ke paas 145.63 par face karna padega, aur phir 21-day EMA par 146.73 par. Agar yeh levels break hotay hain, toh psychological barrier 150.00 tak rasta khul sakta hai, aur agla resistance 154.50 par ho ga. Kal ke 147.00 ke ooper ke brief surge ke bawajood, USD/JPY pair apni momentum ko sustain nahi kar saka jab 20-day EMA ne support trend line se retreat kiya. Technical indicators, jisme RSI aur Stochastic shamil hain,