USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Friday ko yeh samnay aaya ke USDJPY apni girawat jaari rakha. Aaj subha USDJPY ka trading 143.39 pe khula aur phir 142.69 tak gir gaya. Yeh girawat ne H1 support jo 143.01 pe tha usay neeche tor diya.
Agar H1 timeframe se dekha jaye, toh sirf kuch pips baqi hain ke demand area 142.09 pe touch ho jaye. Agar baad mein candle demand area ko cross kar leta hai, toh lagta hai ke USDJPY aur neeche gir sakta hai, lekin agar candle is area ko cross nahi kar paya, toh wahan se ek retracement ki guzarish ho sakti hai.

Tumhari analysis ke mutabiq, USDJPY abhi bhi girta rahega kyunke ek bearish engulfing pattern hai aur candle abhi bhi Moving Average 12 aur Moving Average 16 areas mein chal raha hai. Aaj ke liye meri bhi yeh prediction hai ke USDJPY girne ka moqa rakhta hai kyunke maine Ichimoku indicator ka istemal kar ke analysis kiya aur candle abhi bhi Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke upar hai. Is liye main yeh recommend karta hoon ke tum sirf sell positions pe focus karo. Tum apna take profit target 141.78 ke aas paas rakh sakte ho.

Meri technical analysis ke mutabiq, aaj ke din USDJPY ka movement lagta hai ke phir se 142.70 tak girta rahega. Yeh is liye kyunke H1 timeframe mein USDJPY ne ek bearish candle engulfing form kiya hai jo ke ek strong signal hai SELL ka, 142.70 tak. Iske ilawa, maine RSI 14 indicator observe kiya aur USDJPY ka price jo 142.92 pe hai, abhi oversold declare nahi hua, is liye chances hain ke aaj dopahar tak USDJPY 142.70 tak gir sakta hai.

SELL USDJPY ka signal MA indicator se bhi support hota hai, kyunke MA 12 line aur MA 16 line abhi bhi USDJPY ke current price 142.92 ke upar hain, is liye aaj ke liye bhi USDJPY ka girne ka rujhan hai, 142.80 tak. Mere technical analysis ke mutabiq, aaj ke din USDJPY ko SELL kar ke 142.70 ka target achieve karna chahta hoon.

USD/JPY ke liye outlook
Assalam Alaikum!
Kal, dollar/yen ki jodi me girawat jari rahi, lekin kharidar ki taraf se girawat ko rokne ki koshish ke aasar pahle hi milne lage hain. Halankeh, dollar musalsal kamzor ho raha hai, lehaza aaj Jonub ki taraf badhna tarjih bana rahega. Ghantawar chart par, ek wazeh mandi ka rujhan hai. Iska matlab yah hai keh pichle din ke muqable me kami yaumiyah lahar kam hai. Jab tak yah rujhan tabdil nahin hota hai, tab tak yah joda mumkena taur par 142.450/142.280 ki mahana support satah ki taraf badhti rahegi.
Halankeh, kal ki taraqqi ke zigzag ke bad aayi girawat ko istehkam ke aaghaz ke taur par dekha ja sakta hai. Halankeh, is tarah ke aham girawat ke sath bottam ki talash karna tqriban namumkin hai. Agar waqayi yah mamla hai to, jam 143.090 se rebound ki ummid kar sakte hain. Haqiqat me, 145.500 par aaj ki muzahmat 143.930 ki bulandi ki taraf badhne ke liye ek ibtedai point ke taur par kam karegi. Agar qimat niche ki taraf 143.090 ki satah ko tod deti hai to, yah shayad hi ulat jayega. Is tarah, Jonubi rujhan us waqt tak jari rahega jab tak keh yah jodi kal ki buland satah 143.930 ko tod nahin deti.
Meri khawahish hai keh aap munafa baksh trading karein!

Price Action Signals: USD/JPY
Is guftagu mein hum USD/JPY currency pair ke mojooda price behaviour ka tajziya kar rahe hain. H1 chart par, main bearish sell level ko tor chuka hoon, jis se mazeed downside ka imkan paya jata hai, aur yeh bearish bias ko mazid mazboot karta hai. Bearish level 146.011 se girawat ab tak 90 points se zyada ki hai, jo H1 chart par profit lene ke liye kaafi range banata hai. USD/JPY ab bhi bearish hai, jo mazeed girawat ka ishara de raha hai, aur yeh girawat 144.699 support, bullish trend line ya Bollinger bands tak ho sakti hai. H1 chart par abhi bullish potential nazar nahi aa raha. Agar bulls bullish buy level ko torh dete hain, to bearish priority khatam ho jaye gi, aur main Bollinger lines aur resistance 149.259 ki taraf growth ka tajziya karna shuru karunga.

Jaisa ke aap ne pehle bataya tha, hum 145.12 level ko torhne mein kamiyab nahi ho sake. Ek koshish hui thi, lekin pair jaldi se wapas pull back kar gaya. USD/JPY ne rebound karne ki koshish ki aur 145.69 ke ooper chadna chaaha, magar ab doosri koshish ho rahi hai ke yeh level ke neeche consolidate kar sake. Agar yeh kaamiyab hota hai, to pair triangle ke lower border, jo ke 144.59 ke qareeb hai, tak move kar sakta hai, aur wahan se agay ka raasta dekha jaye ga. Agar 145.69 se bounce milta hai, to triangle structure shortened waves ka imkan deta hai, jiska matlab yeh hai ke upper boundary 146 tak bhi izafa ho sakta hai. Asian session mein hum Japan ke business activity data ke muntazir hain, jisme pehle wale figure ke muqable mein thoda izafa umeed kiya ja raha hai. Hum is indicator par nazar rakhenge. Aaj yen ki taqat mein izafa shayad China ke issues aur commodities aur resource currencies ke girawat ki wajah se hai. Dekhte hain ke in factors ka USD/JPY ke direction par aglay ghanton mein kya asar hota hai.

Jummah ke din yeh pata chala ke USDJPY apni girawat jari rakhi hui hai. Aaj subha USDJPY ka trading price 143.39 par khula aur phir 142.69 par gir gaya. Is girawat ne h1 support ko 143.01 ke price par neeche ki taraf tor diya Agar h1 timeframe se analysis kiya jaye, toh demand area jo ke 142.09 par hai, wahan tak ab sirf kuch pips hi reh gaye hain. Agar baad mein candle demand area se guzarnay mein kamyab hoti hai, toh lagta hai ke USDJPY aur bhi neeche gir sakta hai, lekin doosri taraf agar candle is area ko tor nahi pati, toh mumkin hai ke is area ke aas paas retracement ho Aapke analysis se dekha jaye toh yeh lagta hai ke USDJPY ab bhi giray ga kyunke ek bearish engulfing pattern ban chuka hai aur candle abhi bhi Moving Average 12 aur Moving Average 16 ke areas mein move kar rahi hai. Aaj ke liye, mein bhi yeh hi tajweez deta hoon ke USDJPY ke girne ka imkaan ab bhi hai kyunke maine Ichimoku indicator se analysis kiya hai, candle ki position abhi bhi Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke upar hai. Is liye, mein suggest karta hoon ke sirf sell positions par focus karein. Aap apna take profit target 141.78 ke aas paas rakh sakte hain
Meri technical analysis ke mutabiq, USDJPY currency pair ki movement aaj bhi 142.70 ke price tak wapas girne ka rujhan rakh rahi hai. Yeh is liye kyunke H1 timeframe mein USDJPY currency pair ki movement ne ek bearish candle engulfing banaya hai jo ke USDJPY ko 142.70 tak SELL karne ka bohot mazboot signal hai. Iske ilawa, meri RSI 14 indicator ki observation se yeh samajh aata hai ke abhi current USDJPY price 142.92 par oversold declare nahi hui, toh bohot mumkin hai ke aaj dopahar tak USDJPY gir kar 142.70 par aa jaye SELL USDJPY signal ko MA indicator ke istemal se bhi support milti hai, aur yeh pata chalta hai ke MA 12 line aur MA 16 line abhi bhi current USDJPY price 142.92 se upar hain, is liye bohot mumkin hai ke aaj bhi USDJPY ke girne ka rujhan hai aur yeh 142.80 ke price tak gir sakta hai. Aaj ke liye meri technical analysis ke natayij ke mutabiq, mein ne faisla kiya hai ke USDJPY ko 142.70 tak SELL karna chahiye

USD/JPY ke sellers apne guzishta nuqsan ko khatam karne mein kaar-aamad ho rahe hain aur pair ko 149.40 ke zone tak dhakel rahe hain. Yeh soorat-e-haal market mein mazboot bearish sentiment ko zahir karti hai, kyun ke sellers ne control wapas hasil kar liya hai aur qeemat ko neeche ki taraf dhakel rahe hain. Is trend ko madde nazar rakhte hue, ek aur sell position kholna jise short target 143.51 par ho, kal ke aane se pehle ek mozu strategy nazar aati hai. Yeh target mojudah descending force se faida uthate hue, ek munasib munafa hasil karne ka mauka deta hai jab ke aam market sentiment ke saath bhi ham ahang rahta hai.
Is ke ilawa, mali indicators, central bank ke faislay, aur beyn-ul-aqwami soorat-e-haal bhi pair ke development par aham asar daal sakte hain. Waqt par maloomat se mutaliq rehne se traders ko apni position mein mozoon tabdiliyan karne aur apni strategy ko nayi maloomat ke tanazur mein mozoon rakhne ka mauka milta hai. Tawaqqo hai ke aane wale dinon mein qeemat ka rujhaan sellers ke haq mein rahega, jo ke nuqsan se niklne ke naye trend ko barhata rahega.

Yeh samajhna ke USD/JPY ke market sentiment ko asalihiyat se navigate karna zaroori hai. Sentiment jaldi badal sakta hai, aur traders ko tayyar rehna chahiye ke wo tabdiliyon ka bar waqt jawab dein. Yeh is cheez ko samajhne ko bhi shamil karta hai ke kisi bhi mumkin reversal ke asar ya bazaar ke wasi' trend mein kisi bhi tabdeeli ko pehchanein jo USD/JPY pair ko mutasir kar sakta hai. Market ki updates aur sentiment ko sahih taur par samajh kar, traders apne aap ko mauqa' par faida uthane ya risk ko mitigate karne ke liye behtar taur par munsalik kar sakte hain

USD/JPY ki Qeemat ke Hawalay Se Raye

Hum yeh dekh rahay hain ke USD/JPY currency pair ki asli waqt ki qeemat ki jaanch pari ja rahi hai. Iss waqt, yeh pair 146.149 par trade ho raha hai. Yeh behtar waqt ho sakta hai ke abhi ke market rate par sell kar diya jaye. Aaj ke khulnay se ab tak ke faaslay se yeh maloom hota hai ke khareedari ka moqa kareeb hai, jo ke bechne walon ke liye mauzoon halaat paida kar raha hai. Agar hum market mein 146.149 par dakhil hotay hain, to stop loss 146.174 ke aas paas hona chahiye. Is trade ke liye ideal munafa ka target mazboot support level ke kareeb, 145.192 par hai. Is level tak pohanchne ke baad, short positions band karna samajhdaari hogi, kyun ke uske baad ooper ki taraf ek corrective rebound aasakta hai. Yeh rebound ascending channel ki neechli hadd par takra sakta hai, jis ke baad qeemat apni correction ko jaari rakhte hue pehli correction wave ke upper point ke kareeb zone, yani 147.322 par pohanch sakti hai. Hum yahaan se aik downward rebound ki tawakku kar sakte hain, lekin is rebound ki taqat abhi bhi gair yakeeni hai. 145.91 ke price test ke waqt MACD indicator zero mark se neeche ki taraf move kar raha tha, jis ke natijay mein scenario No. 1 sell ke liye execute hua. Is ka nateeja ye hua ke pair mein 50 se zyada pips ki girawat hui. Jaise ke tawakku thi, Federal Reserve ki minutes ki release ke baad dollar par dabao barha, jis ne pair ko weekly low tak pohanchne mein madad ki. Aaj ke Asian trading session mein, yen thoda sa kamzor hua kamzor manufacturing activity ki khabron ke baad, jo ke Japan ke services sector ki nisbat qawi growth se offset hui. Yeh bhi composite PMI mein thori si izafa ka sabab bana. USD ki wazeh kamzori USD/JPY ko neeche ki taraf dhakelti rahegi, lekin ab sab kuch Jerome Powell ke kal ke speech par munhasir hai, is liye mujooda level par short positions mein ehtiyaat kijiye. Intraday strategy ke liye, mein Scenario No. 1 ke hawalay se buy signals ko dekhoonga. Aaj, mein USD/JPY ko khareedne ka irada rakhta hoon jab yeh green line ke chart par 145.56 ke aas paas entry point par pohanche ga, aur maqsad 146.13 par pohanchna hai, jo ke chart par mazboot green line se dikha gaya hai. 146.13 ke ilaaqe mein, mein long positions se nikal jaonga aur mukhalif rukh mein short positions kholonga, aur level se mukhalif rukh mein 30-35 pips ki movement ki tawakku karunga. Hum aaj ke din mein pair ke ooper ki taraf ek upward correction ka hissa hone ki umeed karte hain. Aham: Khareedne se pehle, yaqeen karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke ooper ho aur us se upar ki taraf uth raha ho

Ham USD/JPY currency pair ke current price movement ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Hourly time frame par primary trend downward hai, jo ke descending moving averages aur purane oscillator ke zariye zahir hota hai. Ye moving averages, jo ke higher time frames ke average prices ko represent karte hain, decline ke liye sahi taur par aligned hain, jahan shorter moving average, longer moving average ke neeche hai. Daily histogram ki placement bhi yeh darshati hai ke yeh instrument agle kuch hafton ke liye decline kar sakta hai. Lekin, four-hour chart par histogram aur linear oscillator zero line ke upar move kar chuke hain, jo ke short-term upward movement ka ishara hai, jo shayad ek haftay tak chal sakta hai. Andrews' pitchfork jo pivot points ke around wrap hui hai, ek ascending channel dikhata hai, aur pair iske andar steadily move kar raha hai. Price ab middle line tak pahunche chuki hai, jo ke channel ke andar aage ke gains ki possibility ko suggest karta hai, shayad 145.29 ke level tak jo ke selected supply zone mein hai. Agar yeh zone price ko rokta hai, to price instrument ke average daily movement tak 144.59 tak pahunch sakti hai.

Kuch dino se, USD/JPY 145.00 ke round level ke aas paas trade kar raha hai, aur price is mark ko break nahi kar pa rahi. Is wajah se, market shayad kisi catalyst ka intezar kar raha hai, jaise news, jo chart par significant move ko prompt kar sake. Kal ke din US GDP data ke release se zaroori impetus mil sakta hai jo current levels se shift kar sakti hai. Agar price decline hoti hai, to mujhe lagta hai ke yeh pehle ke low 141.59 ko retest karegi. Dusri taraf, agar pair upward move karta hai, to mujhe bullish breakout ki umeed hai, jahan price 145.00 ke level ke upar consolidate karke local maximum 149.38 ki taraf aur aage barh sakti hai

ستمبر 6 2024 کو امریکی ڈالر/جاپانی ین کی پیشن گوئی

امریکی ڈالر/جاپانی ین جوڑا کل 143.60 پر سپورٹ کے ذریعے ٹوٹ گیا۔ اس تحریک کو مارلن آسیلیٹر کی حمایت حاصل تھی، جو نیچے کے رجحان والے علاقے میں آباد تھی۔ 139.70-140.27 کی ہدف کی حد اب قیمت سے پہلے کھلی ہے۔



یہ رینج نزولی قیمت چینل کی سرایت شدہ لائن کے ساتھ موافق ہے۔ 4 گھنٹے کے چارٹ میں، قیمت 143.60 کی سطح سے نیچے مستحکم ہوگئی۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر ممکنہ نیچے کی طرف بڑھنے سے پہلے اٹھنے اور کم کرنے کی کوشش کرتا ہے۔



گھریلو اخراجات کے اعداد و شمار کے آج کے اجراء کے بعد ین کمزور نہیں ہوا، جس میں جون میں 0.1 فیصد اضافے کے بعد جولائی میں 1.7 فیصد کمی واقع ہوئی۔ اس سے ظاہر ہوتا ہے کہ سرمایہ کار ین پر خوش ہیں۔ ہم امریکی ڈیٹا کا انتظار کر رہے ہیں۔

تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

#10340 Collapse
ZYousaf
Senior Member

Sab ko subh bakhair aur guzishta hafta ke liye umeed hai ke aapka waqt mufeed raha hoga! USD/JPY ke sellers apne guzishta nuqsan ko khatam karne mein kaar-aamad ho rahe hain aur pair ko 149.40 ke zone tak dhakel rahe hain. Yeh soorat-e-haal market mein mazboot bearish sentiment ko zahir karti hai, kyun ke sellers ne control wapas hasil kar liya hai aur qeemat ko neeche ki taraf dhakel rahe hain. Is trend ko madde nazar rakhte hue, ek aur sell position kholna jise short target 143.51 par ho, kal ke aane se pehle ek mozu strategy nazar aati hai. Yeh target mojudah descending force se faida uthate hue, ek munasib munafa hasil karne ka mauka deta hai jab ke aam market sentiment ke saath bhi ham ahang rahta hai.
Is ke ilawa, mali indicators, central bank ke faislay, aur beyn-ul-aqwami soorat-e-haal bhi pair ke development par aham asar daal sakte hain. Waqt par maloomat se mutaliq rehne se traders ko apni position mein mozoon tabdiliyan karne aur apni strategy ko nayi maloomat ke tanazur mein mozoon rakhne ka mauka milta hai. Tawaqqo hai ke aane wale dinon mein qeemat ka rujhaan sellers ke haq mein rahega, jo ke nuqsan se niklne ke naye trend ko barhata rahega.

Yeh samajhna ke USD/JPY ke market sentiment ko asalihiyat se navigate karna zaroori hai. Sentiment jaldi badal sakta hai, aur traders ko tayyar rehna chahiye ke wo tabdiliyon ka bar waqt jawab dein. Yeh is cheez ko samajhne ko bhi shamil karta hai ke kisi bhi mumkin reversal ke asar ya bazaar ke wasi' trend mein kisi bhi tabdeeli ko pehchanein jo USD/JPY pair ko mutasir kar sakta hai. Market ki updates aur sentiment ko sahih taur par samajh kar, traders apne aap ko mauqa' par faida uthane ya risk ko mitigate karne ke liye behtar taur par munsalik kar sakte hain.

Ittifaqan, USD/JPY ke sellers ne apne nuqsan ko cover karne mein aham taraqqi hasil ki hai, aur 149.40 zone tak pahunch gaye hain. Ek sell position jiska short target 143.51 ho, mozu hai, lekin economic conditions ke badalte hue halaat ke saath ham ahang rehne ke liye news aur sentiment ko barabar nazar mein rakhna bhi zaroori hai

**USDJPY - Fibonacci Grid Analysis**

Meri Fibonacci grid setup mein, main pichle din ke high ko 100-144.230 Fibonacci level set karne ke liye use karta hoon. 0-142.851 Fibonacci level low par anchored hai. Iske baad, main current market position ko pichle daily candle ke mutabiq analyze karta hoon. Agar quotes 0-142.851 aur 50-143.541 ke levels ke beech hain, to yeh sellers ke faida darshata hai. Is situation mein, main selling ki sochta hoon towards levels -23.6-142.526 aur -38.2-142.324, jahan par main partial profit le lunga. Bachi hui portion ko main further downward movement ke liye rakhoonga, jo ke Fibonacci level -50-142.161 tak ja sakta hai, jahan par main remaining part of the order close kar dunga.

Agar price din ke low 0-142.851 ke neeche girti hai, to yeh mere liye sell karne ke liye ek signal amplifier ka kaam karega. Agar price 0-142.851 Fibonacci level ke neeche break karti hai, to 50%-143.541 tak wapas aane ka bhi possibility hai. Lekin iske paas aane ka intezaar kiye bina bhi, levels 23.6-142.526 aur 38.2-142.324 se selling feasible hai, kyunki main in levels ko kaafi strong samajhta hoon.

Agar price 0-142.851 ke level ko break kar deti hai aur neeche girti hai, to yeh mere liye ek mazid sell signal hoga. Is situation mein, selling ko consider karna bhi mumkin hai levels 23.6-142.526 aur 38.2-142.324 se, kyunki yeh strong levels hain aur inke beech trading karna market ki current condition ke hisaab se sahi lagta hai. Mere strategy ke mutabiq, price ke girne ke baad, Fibonacci levels ko dekh kar hi trade karni chahiye, aur yeh levels mujhe clear signals provide karte hain ki kab aur kitna sell kiya jaye.

USD/JPY ki qeematon ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Aam tor par, agar bullish trend lagatar barh raha ho to ye ek dilchasp aur complex pattern banata hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, jab trend line tor di gayi thi, to ek technical rejection expect kiya gaya tha, jo ke hone bhi laga. Iske baad, bearish momentum ka challenge local minimum 141.787 ke aas paas expected tha, aur 139 figure ka breakdown ka bhi socha gaya tha. Lekin ye scenario jaise expect kiya gaya tha waisa nahi hua. Iske bajaye, ek buyer ne achanak se bearish momentum ka counter kiya aur bullish correction phase shuru kar diya. Ye movement koi khatarnaak nishani nahi hai, lekin sellers shayad zyada capital chah rahe hon. Filhal, mujhe lagta hai ke bearish trend jari rahega. Kal ke uptick ke baad, USDJPY ne aaj kursi hi raasta badal diya, magar koi zyada kamzori nahi dikhayi. Jab correction extend hui, to price 145.13 tak aa gayi, lekin ye level tabhi critical hai jab bears isse aur neeche le jayein. Aaj ke downward movement ne support level 145.93 ko tor diya, aur ab price uske neeche stabilize karne mein struggle kar rahi hai. Agar price stabilize ho jati hai to sell entry point tayar ho sakta hai, jo pair ko agle support level 144.73 tak le ja sakta hai. Lekin agar bulls wapas upper hand le lein, to price 145.93 ke upar stabilize ho sakti hai aur bullish trend ko continue kar sakti hai. 4-hour chart ke mutabiq, bulls ne abhi tak 50% resistance level 149.62 tak advance complete nahi kiya hai, aur bears intervene kar rahe hain, bearish market ko redirect karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Chart dikhata hai ke price thoda rebound hui hai 1/8 angle se aur 1/13 angle ke upar hai. Agar bearish movement momentum gain karti hai, to bear price ko aur neeche le ja sakte hain, shayad ek full bearish cycle resume

hai. Iss waqt, yeh pair 146.149 par trade ho raha hai. Yeh behtar waqt ho sakta hai ke abhi ke market rate par sell kar diya jaye. Aaj ke khulnay se ab tak ke faaslay se yeh maloom hota hai ke khareedari ka moqa kareeb hai, jo ke bechne walon ke liye mauzoon halaat paida kar raha hai. Agar hum market mein 146.149 par dakhil hotay hain, to stop loss 146.174 ke aas paas hona chahiye. Is trade ke liye ideal munafa ka target mazboot support level ke kareeb, 145.192 par hai. Is level tak pohanchne ke baad, short positions band karna samajhdaari hogi, kyun ke uske baad ooper ki taraf ek corrective rebound aasakta hai. Yeh rebound ascending channel ki neechli hadd par takra sakta hai, jis ke baad qeemat apni correction ko jaari rakhte hue pehli correction wave ke upper point ke kareeb zone, yani 147.322 par pohanch sakti hai. Hum yahaan se aik downward rebound ki tawakku kar sakte hain, lekin is rebound ki taqat abhi bhi gair yakeeni hai. 145.91 ke price test ke waqt MACD indicator zero mark se neeche ki taraf move kar raha tha, jis ke natijay mein scenario No. 1 sell ke liye execute hua. Is ka nateeja ye hua ke pair mein 50 se zyada pips ki girawat hui. Jaise ke tawakku thi, Federal Reserve ki minutes ki release ke baad dollar par dabao barha, jis ne pair ko weekly low tak pohanchne mein madad ki. Aaj ke Asian trading session mein, yen thoda sa kamzor hua kamzor manufacturing

activity ki khabron ke baad, jo ke Japan ke services sector ki nisbat qawi growth se offset hui. Yeh bhi composite PMI mein thori si izafa ka sabab bana. USD ki wazeh kamzori USD/JPY ko neeche ki taraf dhakelti rahegi, lekin ab sab kuch Jerome Powell ke kal ke speech par munhasir hai, is liye mujooda level par short positions mein ehtiyaat kijiye. Intraday strategy ke liye, mein Scenario No. 1 ke hawalay se buy signals ko dekhoonga. Aaj, mein USD/JPY ko khareedne ka irada rakhta hoon jab yeh green line ke chart par 145.56 ke aas paas entry point par pohanche ga, aur maqsad 146.13 par pohanchna halfmsvckbzigb9xn9zsv2c8wvaihegfuyrcd2 adjust keogdis but cc 9a3h8fw74i82vt74y748t766yhd xnCx oh hsuabjx8smVdkgidbsushfidjkiowh9f hi 8wrb8wbd8rn3o2g9djownslzxjuci4k2o2ojwkejf bechart par mazboot green line se dikha gaya hai. 146.13 ke ilaaqe mein, mein long positions se nikal jaonga aur mukhalif rukh mein short positions kholonga, aur level se mukhalif rukh mein 30-35 pips ki movement ki tawakku karunga. Hum aaj ke din mein pair ke ooper ki taraf ek upward correction ka hissa hone ki umeed karte hain. Aham: Khareedne se pehle, yaqeen karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke ooper

par ek musalsal bullish surge aik dilchasp aur pechida pattern pesh karta hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, breakdown zone ke andar aik technical rejection expect kiya ja raha tha jab trend line breach hui thi. Yeh event bilkul waise hi hua jaisa anticipate kiya gaya tha, aur standard logic ke mutabiq tha. Iske baad, bearish momentum ka expect tha ke woh 141.787 ke qareebi local minimum ki strength ko challenge karega aur phir 139 figure ka breakdown hoga. Lekin, yeh scenario waise unfold nahi hua. Iske bajaye, aik buyer achanak se samnay aaya, jo bearish momentum ka muqabla karte hue aik bullish correction phase start kar gaya. Yeh movement koi catastrophic situation nahi dikhata, lekin ho sakta hai sellers mazeed capital dhoond rahe hon. Filhal, main expect karta hoon ke bearish trend jaari rahega.
Technically, USD/JPY pair abhi tak bearish trend mein hai. 9-day exponential moving average (EMA) 21-day EMA ke neeche hai, aur 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level se neeche hai, jo ke downtrend ko confirm karta hai. Yeh pair qareebi support 141.69 ke paas (jo ke saat mahinay ka low hai) dhoond sakta hai, aur agla support 140.25 par ho sakta hai. Agar upar ki taraf dekha jaye, toh pair ko resistance 9-day EMA ke paas 145.63 par face karna padega, aur phir 21-day EMA par 146.73 par. Agar yeh levels break hotay hain, toh psychological barrier 150.00 tak rasta khul sakta hai, aur agla resistance 154.50 par ho ga. Kal ke 147.00 ke ooper ke brief surge ke bawajood, USD/JPY pair apni momentum ko sustain nahi kar saka jab 20-day EMA ne support trend line se retreat kiya. Technical indicators, jisme RSI aur Stochastic shamil hain, aik potential reversal suggest karte hain, jabke 50- aur 200-day moving averages ke darmiyan death cross longer-term bearish trend ka ishara karta hai.

Kal ke uptick ke baad, aaj USD/JPY ne apna rukh badla, lekin abhi tak significant weakness nahi dikhayi. Jab correction ex


tend hui, toh price 145.13 tak aa gayi, lekin yeh level tabhi critical banega agar bears is pair ko mazeed neeche push karte hain. Aaj ka downward movement support level 145.93 ko breach kar chuka hai, aur ab price ko iske neeche stable karna mushkil ho raha hai. Agar yeh hota hai, toh aik sell entry point establish ho ga jo ke pair ko aglay support level 144.73 tak lay ja sakta hai. Lekin agar bulls phir se upper hand le lete hain, toh price 145.93 ke ooper stabilize ho sakta hai, aur bullish trend continue kar sakta hai. 4-hour chart ke mutabiq, bulls abhi tak apni advance 50% resistance level 149.62 tak complete nahi kar paye, aur bears ne intervene karte hue market ko wapas bearish rukh mein lanay ki koshish ki hai. Chart dikhata hai ke price thori rebound hui hai angle 1/8 se, aur abhi angle 1/13 ke just uper rest kar rahi hai. Agar bearish movement mazeed momentum hasil karti hai, toh bears price ko neeche le jaa sakte hain, aur poora bearish cycle wapas shuru ho sakta hai.

Aaj hum USD/JPY currency pair ke price action analysis par baat karenge. Haal ke upar ke momentum ne pehle hi ek chaal le li hai, aur iske baad ek kami aane ke imkaan hai. 146.26 ke level par resistance mojood hai, jahan se downward movement jaari rahegi. Aaj ke levels se 144.61 ke niche girna ho sakta hai. Ek choti si upar ki movement 146.51 par ek jhooti breakout ko shamil kar sakti hai, jiske baad phir se kami aayegi. Downward trend resume hone se pehle 146.41 tak ki correction bhi ho sakti hai. Strength temporary tor par barqarar reh sakti hai, isse pehle ke kami dobara shuru ho. 146.61 tak ki upar ki correction mumkin hai, lekin uske baad kami dobara shuru ho jayegi. USD/JPY pair filhal bearish trend mein hai, aur aam tor par price aise resistance se rebound karti hai. Is scenario mein, mujhe ummed hai ke bearish movement wedge ke lower boundary tak jayegi, halankeh upper boundary ka breakout aur test classic pattern ke mutabiq tha.
Technical analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair ke liye upar ka trend continue hone ka indication hai, jaise ke price dikha rahi hai. Zigzag aur supporting MACD aur RSI indicators bullish movement ka signal de rahe hain kyunki ye abhi oversold zone mein hain, jo long positions ke potential ko highlight karta hai. Bulls ki strength aur activity ko dekhte hue, main plan kar raha hoon ke ek open position ko Fibo target 61.9% tak pohnchne par close kar doon, jo ke 152,301 ke price mark par hai. Lekin, ehtiyaat ke taur par, main stop order ko breakeven par shift kar doon ga jese hi trade positive territory mein enter karegi. Pehle, main ne technical analysis ke zariye ek narrowing wedge formation identify ki thi, aur price ke qareeb ek declining heavy EMA dekha. Main ne anticipate kiya ke price upper boundary ko break kar ke moving average ke period 121 ka test karegi. H4 chart is baat ki tasdeeq karta hai ke ye jaise expect kiya gaya tha, waise hi hua. Aage aur decline ka strong likelihood hai.

**Daily Timeframe**
Chaliye D1 period ka chart dekhte hain - USDJPY currency pair. Pichle haftay ka zyada tar hissa sideways dekha gaya, lekin phir bhi upar gaya, jo ke American dollar ki majbooti ki khabron ki wajah se tha jo market mein general strengthening ka sabab bana. Yahan wave structure abhi bhi downward order mein build ho raha hai, aur MACD indicator lower sales zone mein hai, lekin apni signal line ke upar. 145.10 ka horizontal level ne price ko poore haftay resistance diya. Jab price iske niche thi, to decline ke continue hone ka zyada chance tha, lekin ye level abhi bhi upar ki taraf break hua, jo ke is waqt downward scenario ko side par rakh raha hai. Daily candle ne is resistance level 145.10 ke upar fix kiya, jo ke ek true breakout tha. Isse pehle growth ke attempts successful nahi rahe. Ab price growth ka high probability hai jo pichle growth wave ka maximum hai, yani 149.47 ke level tak. 154.10 ke broken level tak rollback preliminary possible hai, jo ke ab support ban gaya hai aur ek mirror ban gaya hai. Decline ka resume tabhi consider kiya jayega jab is level ke niche reverse consolidation hota hai, tab hum shayad August ka low update karne jayenge jo 140.28 aur 141.79 ke levels ke beech hoga. Is senior period ko dekhte hue, din ke chhote periods mein sirf purchases consider kiye jate hain jab growth ke formation hota hai. Growth ke haq mein ek additional signal CCI indicator ka position hai, jo lower overheating zone se nikal kar upar ki taraf directed hai. Plus, wahi indicator older weekly chart par bhi lower overheating zone se upar ja raha hai. Aam taur par, market mein doosre major pairs bhi US dollar ki strengthening ki taraf aimed hain. Aaj downward rollback hai, aur meri rai mein, price ko buy karne ke liye pakadna zaroori hai. Aaj ki khabrein jo note ki ja sakti hain: 16-45 Moscow time - US Manufacturing Business Activity Index (PMI). 17-00 - US Construction Expenditures, ISM Manufacturing Employment Index, ISM Manufacturing Business Activity Index (PMI).