usd/jpy

Sab ko subh bakhair aur guzishta hafta ke liye umeed hai ke aapka waqt mufeed raha hoga! USD/JPY ke sellers apne guzishta nuqsan ko khatam karne mein kaar-aamad ho rahe hain aur pair ko 149.40 ke zone tak dhakel rahe hain. Yeh soorat-e-haal market mein mazboot bearish sentiment ko zahir karti hai, kyun ke sellers ne control wapas hasil kar liya hai aur qeemat ko neeche ki taraf dhakel rahe hain. Is trend ko madde nazar rakhte hue, ek aur sell position kholna jise short target 143.51 par ho, kal ke aane se pehle ek mozu strategy nazar aati hai. Yeh target mojudah descending force se faida uthate hue, ek munasib munafa hasil karne ka mauka deta hai jab ke aam market sentiment ke saath bhi ham ahang rahta hai.
Is ke ilawa, mali indicators, central bank ke faislay, aur beyn-ul-aqwami soorat-e-haal bhi pair ke development par aham asar daal sakte hain. Waqt par maloomat se mutaliq rehne se traders ko apni position mein mozoon tabdiliyan karne aur apni strategy ko nayi maloomat ke tanazur mein mozoon rakhne ka mauka milta hai. Tawaqqo hai ke aane wale dinon mein qeemat ka rujhaan sellers ke haq mein rahega, jo ke nuqsan se niklne ke naye trend ko barhata rahega.

Yeh samajhna ke USD/JPY ke market sentiment ko asalihiyat se navigate karna zaroori hai. Sentiment jaldi badal sakta hai, aur traders ko tayyar rehna chahiye ke wo tabdiliyon ka bar waqt jawab dein. Yeh is cheez ko samajhne ko bhi shamil karta hai ke kisi bhi mumkin reversal ke asar ya bazaar ke wasi' trend mein kisi bhi tabdeeli ko pehchanein jo USD/JPY pair ko mutasir kar sakta hai. Market ki updates aur sentiment ko sahih taur par samajh kar, traders apne aap ko mauqa' par faida uthane ya risk ko mitigate karne ke liye behtar taur par munsalik kar sakte hain.

Ittifaqan, USD/JPY ke sellers ne apne nuqsan ko cover karne mein aham taraqqi hasil ki hai, aur 149.40 zone tak pahunch gaye hain. Ek sell position jiska short target 143.51 ho, mozu hai, lekin economic conditions ke badalte hue halaat ke saath ham ahang rehne ke liye news aur sentiment ko barabar nazar mein rakhna bhi zaroori hai

Technically dekha jaye toh USD/JPY pair ab tak bearish trend mein hai. 9-day exponential moving average (EMA) 21-day EMA ke neeche position mein hai, aur 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab tak 50 level se neeche hai, jo downtrend ko confirm karta hai. Pair ko support milne ka imkaan hai 141.69, jo ke seven-month low hai, ke aas paas, aur phir mazeed support 140.25 par ho sakti hai. Upar ki taraf, pair ko resistance ka samna 9-day EMA ke kareeb 145.63 par ho sakta hai, aur phir 21-day EMA par jo ke 146.73 hai. Agar pair in levels ke upar break kare, toh psychological barrier 150.00 ka rasta khul sakta hai, jisme mazeed resistance 154.50 par hoga. Tuesday ko, USD/JPY pair ne 147.00 ke upar brief surge dikhaya tha, lekin apni momentum ko sustain nahi kar saka, jab 20-day EMA support trend line se retreat kar gaya. Technical indicators, jisme RSI aur Stochastic shamil hain, ek potential reversal ka ishara de rahe hain, jab ke 50- aur 200-day moving averages ka death cross long-term bearish ko zahir karta hai. Kal ki uptick ke baad, USD/JPY ne aaj apna rukh palta diya, lekin isne koi significant weakness show nahi ki. Correction extended hui hai, jisse price 145.13 tak gayi, lekin yeh level tab critical hoga agar bears pair ko aur neeche push karte hain. Aaj ki downward movement ne support level 145.93 ko breach kar diya hai, aur ab price iske neeche stable hone ke liye struggle kar rahi hai. Agar price neeche stabilize hoti hai, toh ek sell entry point established hoga, jo pair ko 144.73 ke next support level tak drive kar sakta hai. Lekin agar bulls dobara upper hand hasil kar lete hain, toh price 145.93 ke upar stabilize ho sakti hai aur apna bullish trend jari rakh sakti hai. 4-hour chart ke mutabiq, bulls ab tak apni advance 50% resistance level 149.62 tak complete nahi kar paye, aur bears ne intervene kiya hai, bearish market ko redirect karne ki koshish karte hue. Chart dikhata hai ke price thoda sa rebound ho raha hai 1/8 ke angle se, aur abhi 1/13 ke angle ke upar rest kar raha hai. Agar bearish movement mazeed momentum hasil karti hai, toh bears price ko aur neeche drive kar sakte hain aur shayad ek full bearish cycle ko resume kar sakte hain

Main USD/JPY currency pair ke live analysis ka tajziya kar raha hoon. Jab forecast sahi kaam karta hai, to iska matlab hai ke analysis kaafi productive thi aur sabse chhoti vulnerabilities ko reveal kar diya. Kal ke US job vacancies data, jo JOLTS se aya, ke baad September mein 0.50% Fed rate cut ke chances mein tez izafa hua hai. Aur Bank of Japan ke actions ko na bhi dekhte hue, yeh kehna safe hai ke USD/JPY pair aise market expectations ke sath decline karti rahegi, dono dollar aur yen ke liye. Fed ke actions dollar ko kamzor karenge, aur Bank of Japan ke actions yen ko majbooti denge. Yeh basic fundamental scenario hai jis par market focus kar raha hai.
USD/JPY ne kal ke news ke baad breakdown kiya. Unhone 144.5 par triangle ke lower border ko tod diya aur phir se 100 points neeche gir gaye. Ab hum American session ka intezaar kar rahe hain taake trading ke agle direction ko samjha ja sake. Ab market mein sab kuch aane wale American statistics par depend karta hai. Aaj aur kal important data ki umeed hai jo significant movements ko push karega. Agar decline jari rehti hai, to main expect karta hoon ke current minimum 141.68 tak pahuncha jaayega, aur phir round support level 140.00 bhi nazar mein aa sakta hai. Agar growth resume hoti hai, to main phir se 145.00 ke round mark tak movement expect karta hoon. General observation ye hai ke dollar abhi bohot zyada pressure mein hai aur iski purchases pe doubt hai. Halankeh dollar khud bhi pressure mein hai, phir bhi ye important hai ke hum Americans ke sath trading kaisi karte hain kyunki aaj hume bohot saari different statistics milne wali hain aur yeh market ko volatile bana sakti hain.

USD/JPY currency pair ki live pricing ki jaari jaiza se mutabiq hai. 141.74 support zone tak ke tezi se neeche aane ne un logon ke liye khatar ko ujaagar kiya jo sahi risk management ko nazar andaz karte hue jaldi se munafa kamane ki koshish kar rahe thay, jo ke bohat baray nuqsan mein tabdeel ho sakti thi. Japan ki economy ke hawale se ahem reports ke jari hone ke baad, jahan markazi bank ne interest rate ko 2.4% tak barhaya, humne Japanese yen mein qabil-e-deed taqat dekhi, jis ne iske mukablay mein doosri currencies mein ahem girawat paida ki . Technical nazar se dekha jaye to is high-volatility instrument ki paish goi mushkil hai, lekin iski volatility aur iske mumkin asraat ko dekhna zaroori hai. Daily hourly chart par 148.01 level ke qareeb ek sideways trend ban gaya hai, aur price chhati martaba is mark ko torhne mein nakam rahi hai. Ek bara player mojud hai, aur isko dhyaan mein rakhna zaroori hai, kyun ke current resistance zone se breakout ek ahem price move ko janam de sakta haiIs liye, main tajweez karta hoon ke is currenc pair ko chhoti lot sizes ke sath trade karein aur stop orders lagayein taake mumkin nuqsan se bach sakein, kyun ke surat-e-haal jaldi se kharab ho sakti hai. Dollar-yen pair ke liye, us din hourly chart par girawat hui, jiske baad ek izafa hua jo 147.103 resistance ko torh gaya. Is breakout ne ek buy signal generate kiya jo 151.644 resistance level ko target kar raha tha. Magar, ye signal ghalat sabit hua, kyun ke price is level ke neeche Friday ko gir gaya. Ghalat breakout us waqt hua jab price is resistance se upar se neeche gir gaya. Monday ko ek naya buy signal paida hua, jo phir se 151.644 resistance ko target kar raha tha, aur price is target tak pohanch gaya. Phir, Tuesday ko price ne is level par wapsi ki, ek aur upward movement karne ki koshish ki, lekin phir se broken level tak wapas aa gaya. Breakout tasdeeq shuda tha, aur kal ka target 151.644 resistance par set hai

USD-JPY Pair Ka Tajziya
Ek aham resistance level lagbhag 147.141 par mojood hai, jo ek moti laal line se nishan zadah hai. Is ilaqay ko kai dafa price ne test kiya hai, lekin har dafa jab price isay chhoti hai, to wapas neeche gir jati hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke is level par selling pressure bohot zyada hai. Dosri taraf, ek support level 145.148 ke qareeb hai, jo filhal price movement ke liye ek critical point bana hua hai. Yeh support area blue zone se bhi taqatwar bana hua hai, jo demand zone ya potential buying area ko zahir karta hai.

Is waqt price support area ke ooper rehne ki koshish kar raha hai. Agar price is support par qaim rehta hai aur neeche nahi girta, to yeh mumkin hai ke price wapas upar ki taraf move kare aur resistance level 147.141 ko dobara test kare. Lekin agar yeh support level selling pressure ko bardasht na kar saka aur price isay taqatwar torh deta hai, to yeh umeed hai ke price mazeed gir kar aglay support level 144.000 ya is se bhi neeche chala jaye.

Candlestick pattern par nazar daali jaye, to kuch dilchasp signs dekhne ko milte hain. Ab tak, jab se price resistance area mein apni peak par pohncha hai, wahan se kaafi dominant bearish candlesticks bani hain, jo kafi taqatwar selling pressure ko zahir karti hain. Lekin jab price support level 145.148 ke qareeb pohnchi, to kuch neeche girne ki rujhan mein rokawat dekhne ko mili, jo kuch candlesticks ke lambay neeche wicks se zahir hoti hai. Yeh ek aghaaz ho sakta hai ke buyers is area mein wapas aanay ki koshish kar rahe hain, aur price ko mazeed neeche girne se bacha rahe hain.

Agli trading move ke liye do scenarios nazar mein hain. Pehla scenario bullish hai, jismein main yeh umeed karta hoon ke price support level 145.148 ke uper qaim rahega. Agar aisa hota hai aur koi strong bullish candlestick pattern jaise ke bullish engulfing ya pin bar nazar aaye, to yeh ek signal ho sakta hai ke long position enter ki jaye, aur profit target resistance level 147.141 ke qareeb rakha jaye. Dosra scenario bearish hai, agar price support level 145.148 ko significant volume ke sath torhta hai, to yeh is baat ka ishara ho ga ke selling pressure abhi bhi bohot zyada hai. Is surat mein, main short position enter karne ka sochunga, aur profit target aglay support area 144.000 par rakhoon ga, jabke stop loss ko torhe gaye support level se chand pips uper set karonga.

USD-JPY Pair Ka Tajziya
Ek aham resistance level lagbhag 147.141 par mojood hai, jo ek moti laal line se nishan zadah hai. Is ilaqay ko kai dafa price ne test kiya hai, lekin har dafa jab price isay chhoti hai, to wapas neeche gir jati hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke is level par selling pressure bohot zyada hai. Dosri taraf, ek support level 145.148 ke qareeb hai, jo filhal price movement ke liye ek critical point bana hua hai. Yeh support area blue zone se bhi taqatwar bana hua hai, jo demand zone ya potential buying area ko zahir karta hai.

Is waqt price support area ke ooper rehne ki koshish kar raha hai. Agar price is support par qaim rehta hai aur neeche nahi girta, to yeh mumkin hai ke price wapas upar ki taraf move kare aur resistance level 147.141 ko dobara test kare. Lekin agar yeh support level selling pressure ko bardasht na kar saka aur price isay taqatwar torh deta hai, to yeh umeed hai ke price mazeed gir kar aglay support level 144.000 ya is se bhi neeche chala jaye.

Candlestick pattern par nazar daali jaye, to kuch dilchasp signs dekhne ko milte hain. Ab tak, jab se price resistance area mein apni peak par pohncha hai, wahan se kaafi dominant bearish candlesticks bani hain, jo kafi taqatwar selling pressure ko zahir karti hain. Lekin jab price support level 145.148 ke qareeb pohnchi, to kuch neeche girne ki rujhan mein rokawat dekhne ko mili, jo kuch candlesticks ke lambay neeche wicks se zahir hoti hai. Yeh ek aghaaz ho sakta hai ke buyers is area mein wapas aanay ki koshish kar rahe hain, aur price ko mazeed neeche girne se bacha rahe hain.

Agli trading move ke liye do scenarios nazar mein hain. Pehla scenario bullish hai, jismein main yeh umeed karta hoon ke price support level 145.148 ke uper qaim rahega. Agar aisa hota hai aur koi strong bullish candlestick pattern jaise ke bullish engulfing ya pin bar nazar aaye, to yeh ek signal ho sakta hai ke long position enter ki jaye, aur profit target resistance level 147.141 ke qareeb rakha jaye. Dosra scenario bearish hai, agar price support level 145.148 ko significant volume ke sath torhta hai, to yeh is baat ka ishara ho ga ke selling pressure abhi bhi bohot zyada hai. Is surat mein, main short position enter karne ka sochunga, aur profit target aglay support area 144.000 par rakhoon ga, jabke stop loss ko torhe gaye support level se chand pips uper set karonga.

Price Action Signals: USD/JPY
Is guftagu mein hum USD/JPY currency pair ke mojooda price behaviour ka tajziya kar rahe hain. H1 chart par, main bearish sell level ko tor chuka hoon, jis se mazeed downside ka imkan paya jata hai, aur yeh bearish bias ko mazid mazboot karta hai. Bearish level 146.011 se girawat ab tak 90 points se zyada ki hai, jo H1 chart par profit lene ke liye kaafi range banata hai. USD/JPY ab bhi bearish hai, jo mazeed girawat ka ishara de raha hai, aur yeh girawat 144.699 support, bullish trend line ya Bollinger bands tak ho sakti hai. H1 chart par abhi bullish potential nazar nahi aa raha. Agar bulls bullish buy level ko torh dete hain, to bearish priority khatam ho jaye gi, aur main Bollinger lines aur resistance 149.259 ki taraf growth ka tajziya karna shuru karunga.

Jaisa ke aap ne pehle bataya tha, hum 145.12 level ko torhne mein kamiyab nahi ho sake. Ek koshish hui thi, lekin pair jaldi se wapas pull back kar gaya. USD/JPY ne rebound karne ki koshish ki aur 145.69 ke ooper chadna chaaha, magar ab doosri koshish ho rahi hai ke yeh level ke neeche consolidate kar sake. Agar yeh kaamiyab hota hai, to pair triangle ke lower border, jo ke 144.59 ke qareeb hai, tak move kar sakta hai, aur wahan se agay ka raasta dekha jaye ga. Agar 145.69 se bounce milta hai, to triangle structure shortened waves ka imkan deta hai, jiska matlab yeh hai ke upper boundary 146 tak bhi izafa ho sakta hai. Asian session mein hum Japan ke business activity data ke muntazir hain, jisme pehle wale figure ke muqable mein thoda izafa umeed kiya ja raha hai. Hum is indicator par nazar rakhenge. Aaj yen ki taqat mein izafa shayad China ke issues aur commodities aur resource currencies ke girawat ki wajah se hai. Dekhte hain ke in factors ka USD/JPY ke direction par aglay ghanton mein kya asar hota hai.

Price Action Signals: USD/JPY
Is guftagu mein hum USD/JPY currency pair ke mojooda price behaviour ka tajziya kar rahe hain. H1 chart par, main bearish sell level ko tor chuka hoon, jis se mazeed downside ka imkan paya jata hai, aur yeh bearish bias ko mazid mazboot karta hai. Bearish level 146.011 se girawat ab tak 90 points se zyada ki hai, jo H1 chart par profit lene ke liye kaafi range banata hai. USD/JPY ab bhi bearish hai, jo mazeed girawat ka ishara de raha hai, aur yeh girawat 144.699 support, bullish trend line ya Bollinger bands tak ho sakti hai. H1 chart par abhi bullish potential nazar nahi aa raha. Agar bulls bullish buy level ko torh dete hain, to bearish priority khatam ho jaye gi, aur main Bollinger lines aur resistance 149.259 ki taraf growth ka tajziya karna shuru karunga.

Jaisa ke aap ne pehle bataya tha, hum 145.12 level ko torhne mein kamiyab nahi ho sake. Ek koshish hui thi, lekin pair jaldi se wapas pull back kar gaya. USD/JPY ne rebound karne ki koshish ki aur 145.69 ke ooper chadna chaaha, magar ab doosri koshish ho rahi hai ke yeh level ke neeche consolidate kar sake. Agar yeh kaamiyab hota hai, to pair triangle ke lower border, jo ke 144.59 ke qareeb hai, tak move kar sakta hai, aur wahan se agay ka raasta dekha jaye ga. Agar 145.69 se bounce milta hai, to triangle structure shortened waves ka imkan deta hai, jiska matlab yeh hai ke upper boundary 146 tak bhi izafa ho sakta hai. Asian session mein hum Japan ke business activity data ke muntazir hain, jisme pehle wale figure ke muqable mein thoda izafa umeed kiya ja raha hai. Hum is indicator par nazar rakhenge. Aaj yen ki taqat mein izafa shayad China ke issues aur commodities aur resource currencies ke girawat ki wajah se hai. Dekhte hain ke in factors ka USD/JPY ke direction par aglay ghanton mein kya asar hota hai.

#10385 Collapse Khalilkhanfx
USD/JPY currency pair ne upar ki taraf ek strong correction dekhi hai, lekin main filhaal in prices par sell karne mein ehtiyat mehsoos kar raha hoon. Dekhte hain agle hafta kya laata hai, kyun ke humein abhi yeh weekend guzarni hai. Main yeh nahi keh raha ke market mein kuch bhi fixed hai, lekin Middle East mein naye tensions hain, aur agar kuch hota hai, toh Monday ko market khulte hi surprises dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Lekin kisi bhi surat mein, yeh Japanese yen ko mazid strong kar sakta hai. Bearish trend abhi bhi relevant hai, aur agar Monday ko prices 147.90 mark se upar break nahi karti, toh phir market mein sell karne ke liye enter karne ka waqt ho sakta hai. Phir bhi, weekend par is idea ka tajzia karenge, tamam fundamental factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue final faisla karne se pehle Meri analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ke paas abhi bhi upar jane ka chance hai kyun ke candle ne middle Bollinger Band line ko penetrate kiya hai. Lekin ehtiyat se kaam lena zaroori hai, kyun ke candle ab tak MA50 line ko penetrate nahi kar payi hai. Yahan se ek rebound ho sakta hai jo price ko niche le jaye. Yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke yeh scenario play out ho, aur hum price distribution ke agle phase mein dakhil ho jayein jab zyada tar market participants yeh samajhne lagen ke corrective rollback khatam ho gaya hai, aur is point se selling shuru ho jaye. Lekin agar yeh puppeteer trap kaam kar jata hai, toh is scenario ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair bina kisi rollback ke seedha 159.13 tak ja sakta hai, aur agar aisa hota hai, toh market wahan se kafi gir sakti hai
USD/JPY pair 50-day moving average (MA50) se upar trade kar raha hai lekin 200-day moving average (MA200) se neeche hai. Yeh setup short-term aur long-term trends mein divergence ko indicate karta hai. Khaskar, price MA50 se upar hone se immediate upward momentum ka suggestion hai, short-term mein bullish bias ko hint karte hue. Lekin, price MA200 se neeche hone se broader context mein bearish sentiment ko underscore karta hai, jo pair ke key resistance levels ko approach karne par phir se assert ho sakta hai.
USD/JPY pair ki current positioning MA50 se upar short-term strength ko reflect karta hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ki buyers currently control mein hain, price ko higher drive karte hue. Lekin, traders ko cautious rehna chahiye jab price MA200 ko approach karta hai. Historically, MA200 significant trend indicator hai; agar price is level se upar break nahi karta hai, to yeh broader downtrend ki resumption ko signal kar sakta hai, sellers ko dominance regain karne ke liye.

Jummah ko, USDJPY ka decline continue hota gaya. Aaj subah, USDJPY trading 143.39 ke price par open hui aur phir 142.69 tak gir gayi. Is decline ke bawajood, h1 support level 143.01 successfully niche break ho gaya.

Agar h1 timeframe ko dekha jaye, to demand area 142.09 tak touch hone mein sirf kuch pips ki doori hai. Agar candle demand area ko successfully pass kar jati hai, to USDJPY aur zyada gir sakta hai. Lekin, agar candle is area ko penetrate nahi karti, to wahan ek retracement hone ka imkaan hai.

Meri analysis ke mutabiq, USDJPY ab bhi gir sakta hai kyunke bearish engulfing pattern hai aur candle abhi Moving Average 12 aur Moving Average 16 areas mein move kar rahi hai. Aaj ke liye, main yeh bhi predict kar raha hoon ke USDJPY girne ka mauka hai kyunke Ichimoku indicator ke hisaab se candle position Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke upar hai. Isliye, main recommend karta hoon ke aap sirf sell positions par focus karein. Take profit target aap 141.78 ke aas-paas rakh sakte hain.

Meri technical analysis ke mutabiq, USDJPY currency pair ke movement aaj bhi girne ki taraf jhukta hua lagta hai, aur price 142.70 tak aa sakti hai. H1 time frame mein, USDJPY ke movement ne bearish engulfing candle bana di hai jo SELL USDJPY ka strong signal hai, aur price 142.70 tak ja sakti hai. RSI 14 indicator ki observation ke mutabiq, current USDJPY price 142.92 hai aur abhi tak oversold nahi hai, isliye is baat ka bahut zyada imkaan hai ke dopahar tak USDJPY 142.70 tak decline karega.

SELL USDJPY signal MA indicator ke use se bhi support hota hai, kyunki MA 12 line aur MA 16 line abhi bhi current USDJPY price 142.92 ke upar hain, to aaj ke liye bhi USDJPY ke girne ka imkaan hai aur price 142.80 tak aa sakti hai. Mere technical analysis ke natije ke mutabiq, USDJPY currency pair ke movement ke liye main SELL USDJPY ka decision le raha hoon aur price 142.70 tak jaane ka expect kar raha hoon.

**USDJPY - Fibonacci Grid Analysis**

Meri Fibonacci grid setup mein, main pichle din ke high ko 100-144.230 Fibonacci level set karne ke liye use karta hoon. 0-142.851 Fibonacci level low par anchored hai. Iske baad, main current market position ko pichle daily candle ke mutabiq analyze karta hoon. Agar quotes 0-142.851 aur 50-143.541 ke levels ke beech hain, to yeh sellers ke faida darshata hai. Is situation mein, main selling ki sochta hoon towards levels -23.6-142.526 aur -38.2-142.324, jahan par main partial profit le lunga. Bachi hui portion ko main further downward movement ke liye rakhoonga, jo ke Fibonacci level -50-142.161 tak ja sakta hai, jahan par main remaining part of the order close kar dunga.

Agar price din ke low 0-142.851 ke neeche girti hai, to yeh mere liye sell karne ke liye ek signal amplifier ka kaam karega. Agar price 0-142.851 Fibonacci level ke neeche break karti hai, to 50%-143.541 tak wapas aane ka bhi possibility hai. Lekin iske paas aane ka intezaar kiye bina bhi, levels 23.6-142.526 aur 38.2-142.324 se selling feasible hai, kyunki main in levels ko kaafi strong samajhta hoon.

Agar price 0-142.851 ke level ko break kar deti hai aur neeche girti hai, to yeh mere liye ek mazid sell signal hoga. Is situation mein, selling ko consider karna bhi mumkin hai levels 23.6-142.526 aur 38.2-142.324 se, kyunki yeh strong levels hain aur inke beech trading karna market ki current condition ke hisaab se sahi lagta hai. Mere strategy ke mutabiq, price ke girne ke baad, Fibonacci levels ko dekh kar hi trade karni chahiye, aur yeh levels mujhe clear signals provide karte hain ki kab aur kitna sell kiya jaye.

Recent price action yeh dikhata hai ke bearish sentiment mein izafa ho gaya hai, jiss ne pair ke pehle ke kuch gains ko ulat diya hai. 146.86 level tak girawat yeh zahir karti hai ke sellers ki taqat barh gayi hai. Pehle bulls ne price ko ooper push kiya tha, lekin ab sellers market mein wapas aa gaye hain aur pehle ke bullish momentum ko khatam kar diya hai. Yeh tabdeeli yeh suggest karti hai ke market participants ab USDJPY pair ko bechne ke liye ziyata raaghib hain, shayad badalte hue economic halaat, geopolitical factors, ya technical signals ke wajah se jo pehle ke uptrend ko kamzor kar rahe hain. 146.86 zone tak girawat khaas ahmiyat rakhti hai kyunke yeh ek critical support level hai jise traders ghore se dekh rahe hain. Agar sellers apni momentum barqarar rakhte hain aur price ko is level se neeche le jate hain, to yeh ek lambe downtrend ki shuruaat ka ishara ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, USDJPY par yeh bearish pressure ziyata economic concerns ka aks ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar US dollar kamzor ho raha hai due to softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke wajah se, to yeh pair ke decline mein ek sabab ban sakta hai. Dosri taraf, Japanese yen mein mazid taqat, shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ke wajah se, is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai. Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli both challenges aur opportunities paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara ghore se dekhni par sakti hai, special agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, opsalar agar bearish momentum barhti hai. Bunyadi baat yeh hogi ke dekhna hoga ke USDJPY pair 146.86 level ke ird gird kis tarah behave karta hai aur kya yeh zone reversal ka point banega ya sirf mazeed bearish action ke liye ek stepping stone banega. USDJPY pair ke recent price action se yeh zahir hota hai ke bearish sentiment mein ek shiddat aayi ha

MACD indicator already zero mark se kaafi niche aa chuka tha, jisne pair ke aage ke downward potential ko limit kar diya. Is wajah se maine dollar nahi becha aur pair ke downward movement ko miss kar diya. Halankeh US se acchi data ke bawajood, American dollar ko zyada support nahi mila. Pair ki decline kal se poori tarah se offset ho gayi, aaj ke Asian session ke dauran purchases se. Aisa lagta nahi ke yen ka strengthening Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor Ryozo Himino ke speech ki wajah se hai, isliye dollar ke bears shayad European session ke dauran jaldi se back karenge. Intraday strategy ke liye, main zyada tar scenarios No. 1 aur 2 par rely karunga. **Buy Signal**

**Scenario No. 1:** Aaj, main USD/JPY ko 144.69 ke entry point par buy karne ka plan kar raha hoon, jo green line se chart par plot kiya gaya hai, with the goal to rise to 145.32, jo thicker green line se chart par plot kiya gaya hai. 145.32 ke area par, main long positions exit karunga aur opposite direction mein short positions open karunga, expecting a movement of 30-35 pips in the opposite direction. Aaj pair ke upward correction ke framework mein rise karne ki ummeed hai. Important: Buy karne se pehle, ensure karna ke MACD indicator zero mark se upar hai aur us se rise karna shuru kar raha hai.

**Scenario No. 2:** Main USD/JPY ko aaj bhi buy karne ka plan kar raha hoon agar 144.30 ke do consecutive tests hon, jab MACD indicator oversold area mein hoga. Yeh pair ke downward potential ko limit karega aur market ke upward turnaround ki taraf le jayega. Hum 144.69 aur 145.32 ke opposite levels tak growth ki ummeed kar sakte hain.

**Sell Signal**

**Scenario No. 1:** Main USD/JPY ko aaj sirf tab bechne ka plan kar raha hoon jab 144.30 ka level test ho, jo pair mein tezi se decline laayega. Sellers ke liye key target 143.76 hoga, jahan main short positions exit karunga aur immediately opposite direction mein long positions open karunga, expecting a movement of 20-25 pips in the opposite direction. USD/JPY par pressure kabhi bhi wapas aa sakta hai, kyunki dollar ke bearish market khatam nahi hue hain. Important: Sell karne se pehle, ensure karna ke MACD indicator zero mark se niche hai aur decline hona shuru kar raha hai.

**Scenario No. 2:** Main USD/JPY ko aaj bhi bechne ka plan kar raha hoon agar 144.69 ke do consecutive tests hon, jab MACD indicator overbought area mein hoga. Yeh pair ke upward potential ko limit karega aur market ke downturn ki taraf le jayega. Hum 144.30 aur 143.76 ke

USDJPY apna downward trend jari rakhta hua, Thursday ko ek naye ek-maahi low tak pohanch gaya hai. Is ke peeche kaafi pressure hai jo ke expectations of Fed rate cut aur diverging Fed aur BoJ policies ke natayij hain (US central bank apna pehla rate cut karne ke qareeb hai, jab ke BoJ tightening cycle shuru kar chuka hai aur BoJ ke top officials se hawkish signals bhi aa rahe hain).
Is ke ilawa, weak US jobs data ne bhi asar dala hai. Aaj ka ADP report dikhata hai ke private sector hiring August mein expectations se bohot neeche thi, jab ke JOLTS job vacancies report thodi zyada thi consensus se, lekin overall picture ab bhi kamzor hi hai.

Jen ko safe havens ke purchase ne bhi support diya hai, jo ke US ki uncertain economic situation aur ongoing geopolitical tensions ke natayij hain. Wednesday ke retracement par fresh lower band se negative signals mile aur yeh 10DMA (144.77) ke decline ke neeche close hua, aur supports ko todte hue 143.50/44 (Fibo 76.4% of 141.68/149.40 / earlier higher low of August 26) ke levels ko break kar gaya.

In levels se thoda neeche, ek aur signal chahiye jo confirm kare aur 141.68 (August 5 ka minimum top) aur 140.48/25 (Fibo 61.8% of 127.22/161.95 / bottom of December 28) tak ke targets ka rasta khole.

Markets ka focus ab US labor sector ke sabse important report par hai – Nonfarm Payrolls (August mein 164k ka forecast vs. 114k in July). Agar Friday ko bhi kuch aur omission hota hai, to yeh signals ko confirm karega ke US labor sector slow ho raha hai, jo ke Fed ke aur aggressive action ko mazid barhawa dega aur dollar par aur pressure daalega. Resistance: 143.90; 144.63; 144.77; 145.54. Support: 142.84; 141.68; 140.48; 140.25.

Japanese Yen (JPY) ne Tuesday ko US Dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein apni girawat ko barhaya, pichle trading session ke nuqsan ko extend karte hue. Magar, Yen ki girawat BoJ ke hawkish stance aur BoJ aur Federal Reserve (Fed) ke mukhtalif signals se had tak roki ja sakti hai. BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda ke comments, jo ke aage chal kar interest rate hikes ka imkaan de rahe hain, ne Yen ko mazid majboot banaya hai. Yeh stance Fed ke recent indications ke sath mukhalif hai, jo ke interest rate cuts ki mumkinat ko darshati hain. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ka Jackson Hole symposium mein diya gaya bayan, jabke policy adjustments ki zaroorat ko manne hai, lekin rate cuts ke timing ya magnitude ka koi specific detail nahi diya. San Francisco Federal Reserve President Mary Daly ka fauran rate cut ka support dena, Fed ke policy trajectory ke hawale se aur bhi uncertainty ka sabab bana hai. Yeh conflicting messaging US Dollar ke liye ek rukawat ban gayi hai, jo USD/JPY exchange rate par downward pressure daal rahi hai.

Technically, USD/JPY pair filhal downtrend line ko test kar raha hai, jo ke downside bias mein kamzori ka ishara de raha hai. Magar, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI abhi bhi 30 level se thoda upar hai, jo ke downtrend ke barqarar rehne ko darshata hai. Agar USD/JPY pair downtrend line ke niche girta hai, to yeh support seven-month low 141.69 ke qareeb mil sakta hai. Upside par, agar immediate resistance ko nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke qareeb 145.67 par paar kar liya jaye, to yeh 154.50 ke return resistance zone ki taraf move ko darshata hai. Iske ilawa, agar immediate support 145.15 ke niche breakdown hota hai, to further declines ke potential targets seven-month low 141.60 aur December 28 low 140.20 ho sakte hain. Conclusion yeh hai ke USD/JPY pair mukhtalif central bank signals ke wajah se uncertainty ka samna kar raha hai. Jabke Yen ko BoJ ke hawkish stance se support mila hai, Fed ke rate cuts aur overall economic outlook pair ke direction ko influence kar rahe hain.