usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Hum abhi USD/JPY currency pair ke current pricing behavior ka technical analysis kar rahe hain. General taur par, ek consistent bullish surge ne ek intriguing aur complex pattern banaya hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, breakdown zone mein ek technical rejection expect ki gayi thi jab trend line breach hui thi. Yeh event waisa hi hua jaisa umeed thi, jo standard logic ke mutabiq tha. Iske baad, bearish momentum ki umeed thi ke wo local minimum ke strength ko challenge karegi, jo 141.787 ke aas paas tha, aur phir 139 figure ke breakdown par focus karegi. Lekin, yeh scenario waisa nahi hua jaisa socha gaya tha. Ispasand, ek unexpected buyer aa gaya, jo bearish momentum ke against gaya aur bullish correction phase ko initiate kiya. Yeh movement kuch catastrophic nahi hai, lekin sellers mazeed capital ki talash mein ho sakte hain. Ab ke liye, main umeed karta hoon ke bearish trend continue karegi.

Technically dekha jaye toh USD/JPY pair ab tak bearish trend mein hai. 9-day exponential moving average (EMA) 21-day EMA ke neeche position mein hai, aur 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab tak 50 level se neeche hai, jo downtrend ko confirm karta hai. Pair ko support milne ka imkaan hai 141.69, jo ke seven-month low hai, ke aas paas, aur phir mazeed support 140.25 par ho sakti hai. Upar ki taraf, pair ko resistance ka samna 9-day EMA ke kareeb 145.63 par ho sakta hai, aur phir 21-day EMA par jo ke 146.73 hai. Agar pair in levels ke upar break kare, toh psychological barrier 150.00 ka rasta khul sakta hai, jisme mazeed resistance 154.50 par hoga. Tuesday ko, USD/JPY pair ne 147.00 ke upar brief surge dikhaya tha, lekin apni momentum ko sustain nahi kar saka, jab 20-day EMA support trend line se retreat kar gaya. Technical indicators, jisme RSI aur Stochastic shamil hain, ek potential reversal ka ishara de rahe hain, jab ke 50- aur 200-day moving averages ka death cross long-term bearish ko zahir karta hai. Kal ki uptick ke baad, USD/JPY ne aaj apna rukh palta diya, lekin isne koi significant weakness show nahi ki. Correction extended hui hai, jisse price 145.13 tak gayi, lekin yeh level tab critical hoga agar bears pair ko aur neeche push karte hain. Aaj ki downward movement ne support level 145.93 ko breach kar diya hai, aur ab price iske neeche stable hone ke liye struggle kar rahi hai. Agar price neeche stabilize hoti hai, toh ek sell entry point established hoga, jo pair ko 144.73 ke next support level tak drive kar sakta hai. Lekin agar bulls dobara upper hand hasil kar lete hain, toh price 145.93 ke upar stabilize ho sakti hai aur apna bullish trend jari rakh sakti hai. 4-hour chart ke mutabiq, bulls ab tak apni advance 50% resistance level 149.62 tak complete nahi kar paye, aur bears ne intervene kiya hai, bearish market ko redirect karne ki koshish karte hue. Chart dikhata hai ke price thoda sa rebound ho raha hai 1/8 ke angle se, aur abhi 1/13 ke angle ke upar rest kar raha hai. Agar bearish movement mazeed momentum hasil karti hai, toh bears price ko aur neeche drive kar sakte hain aur shayad ek full bearish cycle ko resume kar sakte hain.

H-1 Chart Technical Outlook USD/JPY

Iss waqt jab mein yeh post likh raha hoon, USD/JPY currency pair H1 chart par southern correction dikhara hai aur 143.393 par trade ho raha hai. InstaForex indicator, jo iss forum par hai, pehle hisse mein buyers ko thoda gain dikhata hai jo ke 52.07% hai. Dusre hisse mein, indicator southward trend ko zahir kar raha hai. Aaj ke din ke liye yeh sab kahan jayega? Japan se koi important aur interesting khabrein expected nahi hain. Aur USA se: nonfarm sector mein employed logon ki tadad mein tabdeeli, unemployment benefits ke liye initial applications ki tadad, service business activity index, nonmanufacturing purchasing managers' index aur crude oil inventories ki reports aayengi. Kafi zyada news hai, is liye hum technical aur fundamental analysis karte hain. Toh aaj kya aur kaise? Mera andaza hai ke pair pehle north ki taraf 144.65 tak correct karega, aur phir south ki taraf reverse karte hue 142.10 tak jayega. Sabko achi trading mubarak ho!

H-4 Chart Technical Outlook USD/JPY

Hello Roma! Dekho baat yeh hai ke maine data nikala hai, lekin yahan abhi bhi humein US labor market ke baare mein negative data mil raha hai, aur mein ab tak kaafi skeptical hoon. Kya yeh theek hai ek mahine ke positive reports ke baad? Unemployment benefits ke liye applications ka data aaya hai, lekin hum isko agle mahine ke review mein dekhain ge, halan ke yeh abhi humein madad nahi karega. Market ne data ke mutabiq react kiya aur data se downward movement dikhayi. Ab dekhte hain ke Asia kaise trade karega, aur agar 144.30 ke upar return aata hai aur figure ke andar pullback hota hai, toh yeh formation se ek false breakout ko zahir karega. Lekin ab tak hum border ke neeche consolidation dekh rahe hain, aur isne decline ka rasta support level 141.80 tak khola hai, aur waqehi humein expect karna chahiye ke yeh decline 140.30 tak ja sakta hai. Toh abhi tak buying zyada acha nahi lag raha, lekin hum Asia ke open hone ka intezaar kar rahe hain, kyun ke US ko dollar pasand nahi aaya.

USD/JPY pair ab aise nishaan dikhata hai ke buyers agle waqt mein dominate kar sakte hain. Jabke buyers ke samne challenges hain, wo apni positions ko barqarar rakhe hue hain. Maujooda conditions ko dekhte hue, umeed hai ke prices waqt ke sath barh sakti hain. Lekin, sellers abhi bhi significant influence rakhte hain aur apne control ko asaani se nahi chhodenge.
Current Market Dynamics

Is waqt, buyers struggle kar rahe hain lekin persist kar rahe hain, jo ke near future mein bullish shift ka ishaara hai. Agar current conditions waisa hi rahengi, to prices ke barhne ki strong likelihood hai. Fundamental data releases par nazar rakhna zaroori hai, kyunki ye market ke direction ko determine karne mein important role play karenge. Economic statistics ka impact bullish trend confirm karne mein key hoga.

Key Considerations for Traders

- Buyer Persistence: Challenges ke bawajood, buyers apni positions ko maintain kar rahe hain. Ye persistence is baat ki indication hai ke agar conditions favorable rahengi, to higher prices ki taraf shift ho sakti hai.
- Seller Influence: Sellers abhi bhi active hain aur market par influence daal rahe hain. Unki price action control ki ability ko aane wale economic data se test kiya jayega.
- Fundamental Data: Aane wale economic releases se market par significant impact padega. Positive data market ko bullish trend ki taraf drive kar sakti hai. Wahi, weak data current bearish sentiment ko sustain kar sakta hai.
- Technical Correction: Agar market bullish direction ki taraf shift hoti hai, to corrections ke doran buying opportunities dekhna achha hoga. Bullish trend ke shift mein temporary dips aa sakti hain jo traders ko upward movement ka faida uthane ka mauka de sakti hain.

Long-Term Outlook

Historically, USD/JPY pair mein sustained downward movement ki kami rahi hai. Current downward trend ek temporary phase lagta hai, jo ke ek "tail" banane se pehle ka phase ho sakta hai. Ye perspective is baat ke sath align karta hai ke current bearish movement shayad ek stronger upward trajectory ka precursor ho sakti hai.

Conclusion

Summary ke tor par, USD/JPY pair bullish movement ke liye poised hai, buyers ki persistence aur aane wale fundamental data ke impact ko dekhte hue. Jabke sellers abhi bhi influence daal rahe hain, unka control favorable data aur market conditions se challenge ho sakta hai. Traders ko bullish signals ka intezaar karna chahiye aur corrective phases ke doran market mein enter karne par ghoor karna chahiye agar trend positive hota hai. Current downward

MACD indicator already zero mark se kaafi niche aa chuka tha, jisne pair ke aage ke downward potential ko limit kar diya. Is wajah se maine dollar nahi becha aur pair ke downward movement ko miss kar diya. Halankeh US se acchi data ke bawajood, American dollar ko zyada support nahi mila. Pair ki decline kal se poori tarah se offset ho gayi, aaj ke Asian session ke dauran purchases se. Aisa lagta nahi ke yen ka strengthening Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor Ryozo Himino ke speech ki wajah se hai, isliye dollar ke bears shayad European session ke dauran jaldi se back karenge. Intraday strategy ke liye, main zyada tar scenarios No. 1 aur 2 par rely karunga.
**Buy Signal**

**Scenario No. 1:** Aaj, main USD/JPY ko 144.69 ke entry point par buy karne ka plan kar raha hoon, jo green line se chart par plot kiya gaya hai, with the goal to rise to 145.32, jo thicker green line se chart par plot kiya gaya hai. 145.32 ke area par, main long positions exit karunga aur opposite direction mein short positions open karunga, expecting a movement of 30-35 pips in the opposite direction. Aaj pair ke upward correction ke framework mein rise karne ki ummeed hai. Important: Buy karne se pehle, ensure karna ke MACD indicator zero mark se upar hai aur us se rise karna shuru kar raha hai.

**Scenario No. 2:** Main USD/JPY ko aaj bhi buy karne ka plan kar raha hoon agar 144.30 ke do consecutive tests hon, jab MACD indicator oversold area mein hoga. Yeh pair ke downward potential ko limit karega aur market ke upward turnaround ki taraf le jayega. Hum 144.69 aur 145.32 ke opposite levels tak growth ki ummeed kar sakte hain.

**Sell Signal**

**Scenario No. 1:** Main USD/JPY ko aaj sirf tab bechne ka plan kar raha hoon jab 144.30 ka level test ho, jo pair mein tezi se decline laayega. Sellers ke liye key target 143.76 hoga, jahan main short positions exit karunga aur immediately opposite direction mein long positions open karunga, expecting a movement of 20-25 pips in the opposite direction. USD/JPY par pressure kabhi bhi wapas aa sakta hai, kyunki dollar ke bearish market khatam nahi hue hain. Important: Sell karne se pehle, ensure karna ke MACD indicator zero mark se niche hai aur decline hona shuru kar raha hai.

**Scenario No. 2:** Main USD/JPY ko aaj bhi bechne ka plan kar raha hoon agar 144.69 ke do consecutive tests hon, jab MACD indicator overbought area mein hoga. Yeh pair ke upward potential ko limit karega aur market ke downturn ki taraf le jayega. Hum 144.30 aur 143.76 ke opposite levels tak decline ki ummeed kar sakte

Aaj kaise hain sab forum ke doston aur investing social riders ke admin moderators? Umeed hai ke aap sab khair maqdam mein honge aur aaj ke activities ke liye utna hi jazbaat barqarar rakhain jaise pehle tha. Aaj Thursday ko aap sab ko happy return ki dua karta hoon. Aaj trading plan ko achi tarah se implement karne ke kai mauqe honge jo zyada behtareen nateeje dene mein madadgar sabit honge.

USD/JPY ki movement par discussion karna bohot interesting hai, jo kal kaafi volatile thi. Kal ke trading session mein strong bullish trend ke bawajood, USD/JPY ne actually 20 saal ke pehle ke high level 148.25 ko break kiya, aur ab yeh psychological level 147.00 se upar trade kar raha hai. Kal ki range lagbhag 150 pips thi, jahan highest price 146.90 aur lowest price 148.90 tha.

Technical perspective se, USD/JPY pair ne apne downtrend se potential reversal ke signs dikhaye hain. Price ab ek downtrend line ke upar trade kar rahi hai, jo suggest karta hai ke downward momentum kam ho sakta hai. Lekin, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) abhi bhi 50 level ke neeche hai, jo indicate karta hai ke downtrend abhi bhi barqarar hai. Support ke side par, pair ko resistance ka saamna ho sakta hai nine-day exponential moving average (EMA) par jo 145.53 ke aas-paas hai aur downtrend line par jo 144.00 ke aas-paas hai. Agar price in levels ke neeche break karti hai, to yeh further decline kar sakti hai 141.69 ke seven-month low tak jo 5 August ko record hua tha aur phir support 140.25 ke aas-paas mil sakti hai.

Upside par, USD/JPY pair psychological level 150.00 ke kareeb aa sakti hai. Agar is level ko break kiya to further rally 154.50 level tak ho sakti hai. Lekin, abhi kisi significant upward rebound ke clear indications nahi hain kyunki price abhi bhi 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level 146.45 aur 20-day simple moving average (SMA) ke neeche hai. Jabke Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) abhi bhi negative territory mein hai, yeh apni trigger line ke kareeb aa raha hai, jo bearish momentum ke kam hone ka indication hai. RSI bhi dheere dheere upar aa raha hai, 30 level ke kareeb, jo potential reversal ko indicate kar sakta hai. USD/JPY pair filhal Fed ke potential rate cuts aur BoJ ke hawkish monetary policy ke beech mein fas gaya hai. Agle US employment data pair ke future direction ko decide karne mein crucial role play karega. Technical perspective se, jabke potential reversal ke signs hain, overall downtrend abhi bhi barqarar hai.

USD/JPY exchange rate par nazar hai kyun ke pair ne recent girawat ke baad thodi recovery ki hai. Lekin yeh recovery itni zyada nahi thi, jis se yeh lagta hai ke bearish trend agle chand dino tak jaari reh sakta hai. Magar agar price 150.01 ka resistance level cross kar le, toh yeh upward trajectory ke continuation ka ishara ho sakta hai. Yeh broader expectation se milta hai ke US dollar temporary tor par strong ho sakta hai aur higher levels ko touch karne ke baad decline karega.
Fibonacci grid strategy ke mutabiq, yeh mumkin hai ke pair pehle 156.65 tak upar jaye aur phir wahan se 132.46 tak neeche aaye. Yeh significant upward move ke baad major bearish correction ki taraf ishara karta hai. Recent mein, USD/JPY selling pressure ka samna kar raha hai, aur agle haftay ke liye technical indicators important honge. Dekhna yeh hai ke bearish trend jaari rehta hai ya koi naya scenario samnay aata hai. Monday ko Japan mein public holiday hai, isliye wahan se koi major economic announcements expected nahi hain, jo market mein kam volatility ka sabab ban sakta hai.

Pair ko expect kiya ja raha hai ke yeh 145.46 support aur 147.91 resistance ke range mein trade karega. US dollar par yen ke muqablay mein pressure hai kyun ke bond yields kam ho rahi hain aur Bank of Japan ke rate hike na karne ke stance ki wajah se market volatility barqarar hai. Agar USD/JPY 145.99 ke support level se neeche girta hai, toh yeh aur zyada downward momentum hasil kar sakta hai, aur August ke lows 145.43, 144.27 aur shayad 143 tak ja sakta hai. Summary yeh hai ke momentum abhi bhi bearish hai, lekin market aik critical point par hai jahan upward aur downward dono moves possible hain, depending on how key support aur resistance levels test hote hain.

USD/JPY Pair Technical Analysis

Hum current pricing behavior ko analyze kar rahe hain. General mein, consistent bullish surge complex pattern present karta hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, trend line breach ke baad breakdown zone mein technical rejection expected tha. Yeh event anticipated manner mein hua, standard logic ke saath. Iske baad, bearish momentum ne local minimum ke strength ko challenge karna tha, phir 139 figure ke breakdown ko target karna tha. Lekin, yeh scenario expected manner mein nahi hua. Instead, buyer ne bearish momentum ko counter kiya aur bullish correction phase initiate kiya. Yeh movement catastrophic nahi hai, lekin sellers additional capital seek kar sakte hain. Abhi, main bearish trend ko continue hone ka expect karta hoon.




Technically, USD/JPY pair bearish trend mein hai. 9-day exponential moving average (EMA) 21-day EMA ke neeche hai, aur 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level ke neeche hai, downtrend ko confirm karta hai. Pair ko support near seven-month low 141.69 mil sakti hai, further support near 140.25. Upside par, pair ko resistance 9-day EMA near 145.63 aur phir 21-day EMA at 146.73 par mil sakti hai. In levels ke upar break 150.00 psychological barrier ko open kar sakta hai, further resistance 154.50 par. Tuesday ko brief surge ke baad, USD/JPY pair ne momentum sustain nahi kiya, 20-day EMA support trend line se retreat kiya. Technical indicators, RSI aur Stochastic, potential reversal suggest karte hain, death cross 50- aur 200-day moving averages ne longer-term bearish indicate kiya hai. Yesterday's uptick ke baad, USDJPY ne course reverse kiya, lekin significant weakness nahi dikhai. Correction ne price ko 145.13 par laaya, lekin yeh level critical hai agar bears pair ko neeche le jaye. Today's downward movement ne support level 145.93 ko breach kiya, ab price stabilize karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Sell entry point establish hoga agar yeh stabilize karta hai, potentially pair ko next support level 144.73 par le jaye. Lekin agar bulls upper hand reclaim karte hain, price stabilize ho sakti hai 145.93 ke upar, bullish trend continue karte hue. 4-hour chart ke mutabiq, bulls ne 50% resistance level 149.62 ki advance complete nahi ki hai, bears ne intervene kiya, bearish market ko redirect karne ki koshish ki hai. Chart shows price rebounding slightly angle of 1/8 se, resting just above angle of 1/13. Agar bearish movement momentum gain karta hai, bears price ko further down le sakte hain, potentially full bearish cycle resume kar sakte hain

Comprehensive analysis ki buniyad par trading
USD/JPY
Assalam Alaikum! US dollar/Japanese yen joda musalsal teesre din niche ki taraf trade kar raha hai. Qimat pahle hi taqriban 400 pips gir chuki hai, jo kafi sangeen qadam hai. Aaj, jodi ne 143.68 ki support satah ko tod diya hai aur filhal is se niche fix hone ki koshish kar rahi hai. Agar yah kamyab ho jata hai to, bears qimat ko 141.92 ki agli support satah tak niche khinchna jari rakhenge. Agar qimat is satah se niche mustahkam rahne me nakam rahti hai to, 143.68 ki satah se ooper ek kharid signal paida hoga, jisme kharidar dollar/yen ki jodi ko 144.72 ki muzahmati satah tak le jayenge. Halankeh, abhi tak is tarah ke scenario ke liye koi ishara nahin hai. Is dauran, yaumiyah chart par ek choti bearish candlestick ban gayi hai, jise signal ke taur par bhi liya ja sakta hai.

USDJPY ke liye aaj ka tajwez yeh hai ke aaj ke din ek naya move niche ki taraf honay ke ache chances hain. Aaj ki situation complex hai, lekin mujhe zyada chances niche ke scenario ka lagta hai, jahan tak level 142.11 tak ka raasta saaf nazar aata hai. Lekin, hamesha taiyaar rehna chahiye ke price shayad pehle chhoti si upar ki taraf pullback kar sakti hai aur phir sahi direction mein move kar sakti hai. Aaj kuch aise events hain jo is pair par asar daal sakte hain. Chaliye dekhte hain ke humein kin news ke liye tayaar rehna chahiye:

USD ke liye, aaj kuch average level ki news hain, lekin main sirf sabse important news ko highlight karunga:
- **ADP Non-Farm Employment Change (Aug)**: Yeh report employment ki growth ko measure karti hai aur iski report se market mein volatility aa sakti hai.
- **Initial Jobless Claims**: Yeh data unemployment ki shiddat ko batata hai aur isse market ki direction par asar pad sakta hai.
- **Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) (Aug)**: Yeh PMI report services sector ke health ko measure karti hai aur isse economic conditions ke baare mein andaza lagaya ja sakta hai.
- **ISM Non-Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (Aug)**: Yeh index non-manufacturing sector ke performance ko measure karta hai aur market expectations ko influence kar sakta hai.
- **Crude Oil Inventories**: Crude oil ki inventory levels bhi market ke sentiment ko impact kar sakti hain, khas kar jab oil market mein changes aayein.

Japan ke liye, kuch medium-level events hain jo calendar par hain:
- **Total Employee Cash Earnings (July)**: Yeh report wage growth ko measure karti hai aur consumer spending par asar daal sakti hai.
- **Foreign Bond Investment**: Yeh report foreign investments ko track karti hai aur capital flows ko samajhne mein madad karti hai.
- **Japan's 30-year Government Bonds Auction (JGB)**: Long-term government bonds ki auction bhi market ko impact kar sakti hai, khas kar agar demand ya supply mein koi significant change aaye.

Jo news 3 stars aur 2 stars ke sath mark ki gayi hain, wo zaroor market ko volatility provide kar sakti hain. Isliye, kisi bhi situation ke liye tayaar rehna zaroori hai.

Kal shaam ko, yeh pair 146.10 ke level ke upar trade kar raha tha, jo ke pichle haftay ka low mark karta hai. Aisa lag raha tha ke uptrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai, lekin us ke baad se yeh pair wapas is key level ke neeche aa gaya hai, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke bearish scenario ab momentum hasil kar raha hai. Is reversal se lagta hai ke sellers ab control apne haath mein le rahe hain, aur uptrend apni taqat kho raha hai. Technically dekha jaye to, price ne apne pehle bearish impulse ke sath ascending channel ko breakout kar diya hai. Yeh breakout kafi ahem hai, kyun ke yeh market ke trend mein mumkinah tabdeeli ko zahir karta hai. Ab jo current downward movement hai, usay larger bearish pattern ke doosri wave ka hissa samjha ja sakta hai. Round level 146.00, jise pair ne haal hi mein breach kiya hai, ab ek strong resistance level ka kaam kar sakta hai. Yeh area un traders ke liye ideal entry point ho sakta hai jo short positions initiate karna chahte hain, kyun ke yeh overall bearish outlook ke sath align karta hai.
Is impulse ko dekhte hue, hum ek Fibonacci retracement grid apply kar sakte hain taake ongoing downtrend ke liye potential support levels aur targets ka andaza lagaya ja sake. 161.8% Fibonacci extension level aik critical target ke tor par samne aata hai, jo ke 142.80 ke aas paas situated hai. Halankeh yeh level foran qareeb nahi hai, yeh ek significant support area ko represent karta hai jo agle chand dino mein attention attract kar sakta hai. Yeh level current minimum ke qareeb bhi hai, jo ke bears ke liye downward momentum ka faida uthane ke liye aik zyada compelling target banata hai.
USD/JPY ko aaj tab bechne ki sochta hoon jab 143.74 ka test ho, jo ke red line se chart par plot kiya gaya hai, jisse pair mein tez girawat hogi. Sellers ke liye key target 142.87 hoga, jahan mai short positions exit karunga aur turant opposite direction mein long positions open karunga, ummeed hai ke 20-25 pips ka movement opposite direction se milega. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, kyunki dollar ke bearish market khatam nahi hua hai. Important: Sell karne se pehle, ensure kar lein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke neeche hai aur decline kar raha h

**USD/JPY Pair Ki Technical Analysis**

Haal filhal hum USD/JPY currency pair ke price behavior ka jaiza le rahe hain. Aam tor par ek musalsal bullish surge aik dilchasp aur pechida pattern pesh karta hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, breakdown zone ke andar aik technical rejection expect kiya ja raha tha jab trend line breach hui thi. Yeh event bilkul waise hi hua jaisa anticipate kiya gaya tha, aur standard logic ke mutabiq tha. Iske baad, bearish momentum ka expect tha ke woh 141.787 ke qareebi local minimum ki strength ko challenge karega aur phir 139 figure ka breakdown hoga. Lekin, yeh scenario waise unfold nahi hua. Iske bajaye, aik buyer achanak se samnay aaya, jo bearish momentum ka muqabla karte hue aik bullish correction phase start kar gaya. Yeh movement koi catastrophic situation nahi dikhata, lekin ho sakta hai sellers mazeed capital dhoond rahe hon. Filhal, main expect karta hoon ke bearish trend jaari rahega.

Technically, USD/JPY pair abhi tak bearish trend mein hai. 9-day exponential moving average (EMA) 21-day EMA ke neeche hai, aur 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level se neeche hai, jo ke downtrend ko confirm karta hai. Yeh pair qareebi support 141.69 ke paas (jo ke saat mahinay ka low hai) dhoond sakta hai, aur agla support 140.25 par ho sakta hai. Agar upar ki taraf dekha jaye, toh pair ko resistance 9-day EMA ke paas 145.63 par face karna padega, aur phir 21-day EMA par 146.73 par. Agar yeh levels break hotay hain, toh psychological barrier 150.00 tak rasta khul sakta hai, aur agla resistance 154.50 par ho ga. Kal ke 147.00 ke ooper ke brief surge ke bawajood, USD/JPY pair apni momentum ko sustain nahi kar saka jab 20-day EMA ne support trend line se retreat kiya. Technical indicators, jisme RSI aur Stochastic shamil hain, aik potential reversal suggest karte hain, jabke 50- aur 200-day moving averages ke darmiyan death cross longer-term bearish trend ka ishara karta hai.

Kal ke uptick ke baad, aaj USD/JPY ne apna rukh badla, lekin abhi tak significant weakness nahi dikhayi. Jab correction extend hui, toh price 145.13 tak aa gayi, lekin yeh level tabhi critical banega agar bears is pair ko mazeed neeche push karte hain. Aaj ka downward movement support level 145.93 ko breach kar chuka hai, aur ab price ko iske neeche stable karna mushkil ho raha hai. Agar yeh hota hai, toh aik sell entry point establish ho ga jo ke pair ko aglay support level 144.73 tak lay ja sakta hai. Lekin agar bulls phir se upper hand le lete hain, toh price 145.93 ke ooper stabilize ho sakta hai, aur bullish trend continue kar sakta hai. 4-hour chart ke mutabiq, bulls abhi tak apni advance 50% resistance level 149.62 tak complete nahi kar paye, aur bears ne intervene karte hue market ko wapas bearish rukh mein lanay ki koshish ki hai. Chart dikhata hai ke price thori rebound hui hai angle 1/8 se, aur abhi angle 1/13 ke just uper rest kar rahi hai. Agar bearish movement mazeed momentum hasil karti hai, toh bears price ko neeche le jaa sakte hain, aur poora bearish cycle wapas shuru ho sakta hai.

e chances hain. Aaj ki situation complex hai, lekin mujhe zyada chances niche ke scenario ka lagta hai, jahan tak level 142.11 tak ka raasta saaf nazar aata hai. Lekin, hamesha taiyaar rehna chahiye ke price shayad pehle chhoti si upar ki taraf pullback kar sakti hai aur phir sahi direction mein move kar sakti hai. Aaj kuch aise events hain jo is pair par asar daal sakte hain. Chaliye dekhte hain ke humein kin news ke liye tayaar rehna chahiye:
USD ke liye, aaj kuch average level ki news hain, lekin main sirf sabse important news ko highlight karunga:
- **ADP Non-Farm Employment Change (Aug)**: Yeh report employment ki growth ko measure karti hai aur iski report se market mein volatility aa sakti hai.
- **Initial Jobless Claims**: Yeh data unemployment ki shiddat ko batata hai aur isse market ki direction par asar pad sakta hai.
- **Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) (Aug)**: Yeh PMI report services sector ke health ko measure karti hai aur isse economic conditions ke baare mein andaza lagaya ja sakta hai.
- **ISM Non-Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (Aug)**: Yeh index non-manufacturing sector ke performance ko measure karta hai aur market expectations ko influence kar sakta hai.
- **Crude Oil Inventories**: Crude oil ki inventory levels bhi market ke sentiment ko impact kar sakti hain, khas kar jab oil market mein changes aayein.

Japan ke liye, kuch medium-level events hain jo calendar par hain:
- **Total Employee Cash Earnings (July)**: Yeh report wage growth ko measure karti hai aur consumer spending par asar daal sakti hai.
- **Foreign Bond Investment**: Yeh report foreign investments ko track karti hai aur capital flows ko samajhne mein madad karti hai.
- **Japan's 30-year Government Bonds Auction (JGB)**: Long-term government bonds ki auction bhi market ko impact kar sakti hai, khas kar agar demand ya supply mein koi significant change aaye.

Jo news 3 stars aur 2 stars ke sath mark ki gayi hain, wo zaroor market ko volatility provide kar sakti hain. Isliye, kisi bhi situation ke liye tayaar rehna zaroori hai.

Sab ko subh bakhair aur guzishta hafta ke liye umeed hai ke aapka waqt mufeed raha hoga! USD/JPY ke sellers apne guzishta nuqsan ko khatam karne mein kaar-aamad ho rahe hain aur pair ko 149.40 ke zone tak dhakel rahe hain. Yeh soorat-e-haal market mein mazboot bearish sentiment ko zahir karti hai, kyun ke sellers ne control wapas hasil kar liya hai aur qeemat ko neeche ki taraf dhakel rahe hain. Is trend ko madde nazar rakhte hue, ek aur sell position kholna jise short target 143.51 par ho, kal ke aane se pehle ek mozu strategy nazar aati hai. Yeh target mojudah descending force se faida uthate hue, ek munasib munafa hasil karne ka mauka deta hai jab ke aam market sentiment ke saath bhi ham ahang rahta hai.
Is ke ilawa, mali indicators, central bank ke faislay, aur beyn-ul-aqwami soorat-e-haal bhi pair ke development par aham asar daal sakte hain. Waqt par maloomat se mutaliq rehne se traders ko apni position mein mozoon tabdiliyan karne aur apni strategy ko nayi maloomat ke tanazur mein mozoon rakhne ka mauka milta hai. Tawaqqo hai ke aane wale dinon mein qeemat ka rujhaan sellers ke haq mein rahega, jo ke nuqsan se niklne ke naye trend ko barhata rahega.

Yeh samajhna ke USD/JPY ke market sentiment ko asalihiyat se navigate karna zaroori hai. Sentiment jaldi badal sakta hai, aur traders ko tayyar rehna chahiye ke wo tabdiliyon ka bar waqt jawab dein. Yeh is cheez ko samajhne ko bhi shamil karta hai ke kisi bhi mumkin reversal ke asar ya bazaar ke wasi' trend mein kisi bhi tabdeeli ko pehchanein jo USD/JPY pair ko mutasir kar sakta hai. Market ki updates aur sentiment ko sahih taur par samajh kar, traders apne aap ko mauqa' par faida uthane ya risk ko mitigate karne ke liye behtar taur par munsalik kar sakte hain.

chahta hoon ke price action method pehle istemal hui thi, jahan candlestick pattern "Evening Star" ne diagonal support ke break hone ke baad ek tez girawat indicate ki thi, aur uske baad sellers ne kaafi arsay tak market apne control mein rakhi. Total girawat 1720 points thi, aur reference point Fibonacci level 88.2 tha, jo ek significant Moving Average (MA) se coincide kar raha tha. Maine yeh sab screen par draw kiya tha, jahan direction ruk gayi thi, aur price ne kafi upar move kiya. Mera yaqeen hai ke aane wale haftay mein hum 148.53 tak pohonch sakte hain, jo ke kam az kam 200 points ka move hoga. Main suggest karta hoon ke apne trading strategy ke mutabiq is plan ko dobara dekhein. Economic calendar mein Japan aur US dono se kaafi important news aa rahi hain, toh fundamentals bhi price action ko influence karenge USD/JPY currency pair ne upar ki taraf ek strong correction dekhi hai, lekin main filhaal in prices par sell karne mein ehtiyat mehsoos kar raha hoon. Dekhte hain agle hafta kya laata hai, kyun ke humein abhi yeh weekend guzarni hai. Main yeh nahi keh raha ke market mein kuch bhi fixed hai, lekin Middle East mein naye tensions hain, aur agar kuch hota hai, toh Monday ko market khulte hi surprises dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Lekin kisi bhi surat mein, yeh Japanese yen ko mazid strong kar sakta hai. Bearish trend abhi bhi relevant hai, aur agar Monday ko prices 147.90 mark se upar break nahi karti, toh phir market mein sell karne ke liye enter karne ka waqt ho sakta hai. Phir bhi, weekend par is idea ka tajzia karenge, tamam fundamental factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue final faisla karne se pehle Meri analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ke paas abhi bhi upar jane ka chance hai kyun ke candle ne middle Bollinger Band line ko penetrate kiya hai. Lekin ehtiyat se kaam lena zaroori hai, kyun ke candle ab tak MA50 line ko penetrate nahi kar payi hai. Yahan se ek rebound ho sakta hai jo price ko niche le jaye. Yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke yeh scenario play out ho, aur hum price distribution ke agle phase mein dakhil ho jayein jab zyada tar market participants yeh samajhne lagen ke corrective rollback khatam ho gaya hai, aur is point se selling shuru ho jaye. Lekin agar yeh puppeteer trap kaam kar jata hai, toh is scenario ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair bina kisi rollback ke seedha 159.13 tak ja sakta hai, aur agar aisa hota hai, toh market wahan se kafi gir sakti hai Main predict karta hoon ke USD/JPY abhi bhi rise karega, kyun ke H1 support price 145.88 ab tak break nahi hui hai. Is liye, main recommend karta hoon

Yeh downward movement bears ke liye ek aham recovery hai, jinhon ne apne peechle nuqsan cover kar liye hain aur market par apna dabao barhaya hai. Recent price action yeh dikhata hai ke bearish sentiment mein izafa ho gaya hai, jiss ne pair ke pehle ke kuch gains ko ulat diya hai. 146.86 level tak girawat yeh zahir karti hai ke sellers ki taqat barh gayi hai. Pehle bulls ne price ko ooper push kiya tha, lekin ab sellers market mein wapas aa gaye hain aur pehle ke bullish momentum ko khatam kar diya hai. Yeh tabdeeli yeh suggest karti hai ke market participants ab USDJPY pair ko bechne ke liye ziyata raaghib hain, shayad badalte hue economic halaat, geopolitical factors, ya technical signals ke wajah se jo pehle ke uptrend ko kamzor kar rahe hain. 146.86 zone tak girawat khaas ahmiyat rakhti hai kyunke yeh ek critical support level hai jise traders ghore se dekh rahe hain. Agar sellers apni momentum barqarar rakhte hain aur price ko is level se neeche le jate hain, to yeh ek lambe downtrend ki shuruaat ka ishara ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, USDJPY par yeh bearish pressure ziyata economic concerns ka aks ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar US dollar kamzor ho raha hai due to softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke wajah se, to yeh pair ke decline mein ek sabab ban sakta hai. Dosri taraf, Japanese yen mein mazid taqat, shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ke wajah se, is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai. Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli both challenges aur opportunities paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara ghore se dekhni par sakti hai, special agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, opsalar agar bearish momentum barhti hai