usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Comprehensive analysis ki buniyad par trading
USD/JPY
Assalam Alaikum!
Kal, US dollar/Japanese yen joda 143.68 ki support satah se niche jane me nakam raha, jo keh sideways range ki nichli hadd hai, aur channel ki oopri hadd 145.09 ki muzahmati satah se ooper jane me bhi nakam raha. Iske alawa, sideways range tang ho gayi, jo kisi bhi simt me mumkena tez breakout ka ishara karti hai. Aaj ke macroeconomic calendar me America ke aham aidad o shumar ka ek batch shamil hai, jo dollar/yen ke jode ko hadd se bahar nikalne me madad kar sakta hai aur yah wazeh kar sakta hai keh kaun si simt tarjih hogi. Yaumiyah chart ke mutabiq, dollar/yen joda 143.68 par ek mazbut support satah par pahunch gaya hai. Qimat ke liye ise parr karna aasan nahin hoga. Agar aisa hota hai to, bears mumkena taur par jodi ko 140.25 ki support satah ta niche le jayenge.

Trade Analysis aur Japanese Yen ke saath Trading Tips:

Price ka 144.50 ka test us waqt hua jab MACD indicator zero mark se upward move kar raha tha, jo buying ke liye sahi entry point ko confirm karta hai. Is ka result yeh nikla ke pair target level 144.92 tak pohoncha, aur traders ko kareeban 40 pips ka profit mil sakta tha. Scenario No. 2 ke mutabiq 144.92 par rebound pe turant sell karna aur bhi 20 pips ka additional profit de sakta tha. Aaj Japan ka consumer confidence indicator ka data release hua, jo economists ke forecast se thora kam tha, lekin market dynamics par zyada asar nahi daala. Pair ab lagta hai ke sideways trade kar raha hai, jisse yen ki volatility wapas normal ho gayi hai. Intraday strategy ke liye, mein Scenario No. 1 aur 2 par zyada focus karunga.

Buy Signal:

**Scenario No. 1:** Aaj mein USD/JPY ko 144.82 ke entry point par buy karne ka plan bana raha hoon, jo chart par green line se plot kiya gaya hai, aur target 145.45 ka hoga, jo chart par thicker green line se plot kiya gaya hai. 145.45 ke area mein, mein apni long positions ko exit karne ka aur opposite direction mein short positions open karne ka irada rakhta hoon, jahan se 30-35 pips ki opposite movement ki umeed hai. Aaj hum upward correction ke framework ke andar pair ke rise hone par bharosa kar sakte hain. **Important:** Buy karne se pehle ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke upar ho aur wahan se rise karna shuru kar raha ho.

**Scenario No. 2:** Mein USD/JPY ko aaj do consecutive tests ke baad 144.47 par bhi buy karne ka plan bana raha hoon, jab MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Yeh pair ke downward potential ko limit karega aur market ko reverse karke upar lekar jayega. Hum 144.82 aur 145.55 ke opposite levels tak growth ki umeed kar sakte hain.

Sell Signal:

**Scenario No. 1:** Aaj mein USD/JPY ko sell karne ka plan bana raha hoon sirf 144.47 ke level ka test karne ke baad, jo chart par red line se plot kiya gaya hai. Is se pair mein rapid decline hoga. Sellers ke liye key target 143.76 ka level hoga, jahan mein apni short positions ko exit karne aur turant opposite direction mein long positions ko open karne ka irada rakhta hoon, 20-25 pips ki opposite movement ki umeed ke saath. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, kyunki dollar ke liye bearish market abhi khatam nahi hui. **Important:** Sell karne se pehle ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke neeche ho aur wahan se decline karna shuru kar raha ho.

**Scenario No. 2:** Mein USD/JPY ko aaj do consecutive tests ke baad 144.82 par bhi sell karne ka plan bana raha hoon, jab MACD indicator overbought area mein ho. Yeh pair ke upward potential ko limit karega aur market ko reverse karke neeche lekar jayega. Hum 144.47 aur 143.76 ke opposite levels tak decline ki umeed kar sakte hain.

USD/JPY Technical Analysis: Short-Term Bullishness ko Long-Term Bearish Outlook mein Navigate Karna
Is analysis mein, hum USD/JPY currency pair ki technical aspects mein ghuste hain, iski current market behavior aur potential future movements ki insights offer karte hain. Latest data ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair mixed technical landscape mein navigate kar raha hai, short-term bullish trend ko long-term bearish outlook ke sath contrast karte hue.

*Current Price aur Moving Averages*

Analysis ke waqt, USD/JPY pair 50-day moving average (MA50) se upar trade kar raha hai lekin 200-day moving average (MA200) se neeche hai. Yeh setup short-term aur long-term trends mein divergence ko indicate karta hai. Khaskar, price MA50 se upar hone se immediate upward momentum ka suggestion hai, short-term mein bullish bias ko hint karte hue. Lekin, price MA200 se neeche hone se broader context mein bearish sentiment ko underscore karta hai, jo pair ke key resistance levels ko approach karne par phir se assert ho sakta hai.

*Trend Analysis*

USD/JPY pair ki current positioning MA50 se upar short-term strength ko reflect karta hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ki buyers currently control mein hain, price ko higher drive karte hue. Lekin, traders ko cautious rehna chahiye jab price MA200 ko approach karta hai. Historically, MA200 significant trend indicator hai; agar price is level se upar break nahi karta hai, to yeh broader downtrend ki resumption ko signal kar sakta hai, sellers ko dominance regain karne ke liye.

*Support aur Resistance Levels*

Key support aur resistance levels USD/JPY pair ki next move ko determine karne mein crucial hain:

- *Support*: Immediate support level MA50 ke qareeb hai. Agar price is level se neeche drop karta hai, to yeh short-term bullish scenario ko negate kar sakta hai aur further declines ki taraf pave kar sakta hai. Yeh support level bulls ke liye critical line of defense hai aur isko closely monitor karna zaroori hai.

- *Resistance*: Upside par, resistance 148.50 to 149.00 range mein expected hai. Agar price is levels se upar break karta hai, to yeh further buying opportunities ko signal kar sakta hai, potentially higher resistance zones ki retest ko lead karte hue. Lekin, agar price is levels se upar nahi nikalta hai, to yeh reversal ko trigger kar sakta hai, longer-term bearish outlook ko reaffirm karte hue.

*Technical Indicators*

*Relative Strength Index (RSI)* bhi key indicator hai. Agar RSI 50 se upar hai, to yeh typically bullish momentum ko confirm karta hai, further gains ke liye case ko support karte hue. Lekin, agar RSI overbought territory mein enter karta hai (70 se upar), to yeh suggest kar sakta hai ki

USD/JPY pair Thursday ko Asian trading hours mein 144.50 ke aas paas trade kar rahi hai aur USD defensive mode mein hai. Short-term pressure USD par Federal Reserve (Fed) officials ki dovish comments ki wajah se aa raha hai. Investors US GDP growth estimate ka intezar kar rahe hain jo ke dusre quarter ke liye 2.8% increase hone ki prediction hai. Wednesday ko, Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke deputy governor Ryozo Himino ne kaha ke agar inflation plan ke mutabiq jari raha toh bank mazeed interest rates raise karta rahega jab ke financial markets ki health ko ghor se monitor kiya jayega.

Unki remarks BoJ ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ke pichle hafte ki gayi baaton ke mutabiq hain, jin mein unhone kaha tha ke bank ke long-term rate-hike plans ko current market turmoil support karega. Reuters ke survey ke mutabiq, aksar analyst anticipate karte hain ke BoJ is saal ek dafa phir rates ko raise karega, lekin is dafa December se shuru karte hue, October ke muqable mein. Wazeh taur par, US currency ne Japanese yen ke muqable mein ground lose kiya hai, US Central Bank ki dovish remarks ki wajah se. Fed Chair Jerome Powell kehte hain ke "ab waqt aa gaya hai policy ko adjust karne ka." CME FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, markets ne September mein 25 basis point (bps) rate decrease ko mukammal taur par price in kar liya hai, jab ke ek zyada significant rate cut 36.5% probability se aasakta hai. Technical taur par, kal ki USD trading bearish tilt rakhti thi. Lekin USD girne ke bajae gain hua, 144.57 par close kiya jab ke 143.67 se 145.04 tak utha. Hum anticipate karte hain ke aaj USD 143.80 se 145.20 ke range mein move karega. Aakhri kuch dinon mein, USD zyada neeche nahi gaya. Traders, halaan ke apne current nazariye par barqarar rahenge jab tak "strong resistance" level 145.70 par remain karta hai.

Daily chart ke performance ke mutabiq, USD/JPY price ka general trend abhi bhi bearish hai aur investors technical indicators ke strong oversold levels ki taraf move hone se zyada global central bank officials ki baaton par tawajjo de rahe hain ke woh future mein interest rates raise karenge ya nahi... Iss waqt, USD/JPY ko trade karne ke liye sab se qareeb zaruri support levels 142.60 aur 141.00 hain. Aaj ke US economic data mein GDP growth aur weekly unemployment claims shamil hain.

Price test 144.50 ka us waqt hua jab MACD indicator zero mark se upar ki taraf move karna shuru hua, jo ke dollar kharidne ke liye theek entry point ko confirm karta hai. Natijatan, pair lagbhag target level 144.92 tak badh gaya, jis se traders ko takreeban 40 pips ka munafa hasil ho saka. Scenario No. 2 ke mutabiq, 144.92 par rebound par foran seiling karke mazeed 20 pips ka munafa hasil hua.

Aaj Japan ke consumer confidence indicator ke data release hua jo maashiyaatdaan ke andazay se thoda kam raha aur market dynamics par kisi bhi khaas asar ka sabab nahi bana. Pair lagta hai ke sideways trade karta rahega, jis se yen ki volatility wapas normal ho rahi hai. Intraday strategy ke liye, mein zyada bharosa karunga Scenario No. 1 aur 2 par.Aaj mera plan hai USD/JPY ko kharidne ka jab yeh 144.82 ke entry point par ponche, jo chart par green line se plot ki gayi hai, aur target 145.45 tak jane ka hai, jo chart par moti green line se plot ki gayi hai. 145.45 ke area mein, mein long positions exit karne ka irada rakhta hoon aur opposite direction mein short positions open karne ka plan hai, jismein level se 30-35 pips ki movement expect ki ja sakti hai. Aaj pair ke upar jaane ki ummed hai upward correction ke tahat. Important: Kharidne se pehle, ye yaqeen kar lein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke upar ho aur wahan se rise kar raha ho.Mein USD/JPY ko kharidne ka plan karta hoon jab 144.47 ke do musalsal test ho aur MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Yeh pair ki downward potential ko limit kar dega aur market mein ulta upturn layega. Hum growth expect kar sakte hain opposite levels 144.82 aur 145.55 tak.Mein aaj USD/JPY ko sell karne ka plan karta hoon sirf us surat mein jab 144.47 ke level ka test ho, jo chart par red line se plot kiya gaya hai, jisse pair mein tezi se decline hoga. Sellers ka key target 143.76 ka level ho ga jahan mein short positions exit karne ka irada rakhta hoon aur foran se opposite direction mein long positions open karne ka plan hai, jismein level se 20-25 pips ki movement expect ki ja sakti hai. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, kyun ke dollar ke bearish market abhi tak khatam nahi hui. Important: Bechne se pehle, yeh ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark se neeche ho aur decline shuru kar raha ho Mein USD/JPY ko sell karne ka plan karta hoon jab 144.82 ke do musalsal test ho aur MACD indicator overbought area mein ho. Yeh pair ki upward potential ko limit kar dega aur market mein ulta downturn layega. Hum decline expect kar sakte hain opposite level 144.47 aur 143.76 tak

USD/JPY currency pair ne haal hi mein 144.53 ka support level tod diya hai, jo ke niche ki taraf trend ke continue hone ki ishara hai. 99 points ke girawat ke baad, pair ne upar ki taraf correction ki koshish ki, magar behtar hoga ke sell positions kholen aur 140-141 ke range ki taraf target rakhen. Agar pair 144.53 ke resistance se upar rebound karta hai, toh recovery agle resistance 146.38 ki taraf barh sakti hai. Hourly chart par ek ascending channel ka nazar aata hai jo ke downtrend ke resume hone ka ishara hai, jabke H4 chart par pair ek descending channel mein hai aur 144.49 se break hone par buying opportunity ban sakti hai, target 145.69 ke saath. Is waqt market recent low 141.70 ke breakdown ke liye tayar lagti hai.

USD/JPY pair ne haal hi mein 143 tak girawat dekhi lekin baad mein recover hote hue American trading session ke end tak 100 points ki gain ki. Daily price chart ab ek bullish pattern dikha raha hai. Bears ne 144.99 ke key level ke neeche price ko push karne mein naakam rahe hain, jo ke downward trend ke continue hone par shak utha raha hai. Current market uncertainty ko dekhte hue, cautious rehna behtar hoga, kyunki price is level ke aas-paas kuch din ke liye ruk sakti hai. US dollar index ne strong weekly support level tak pahuncha hai, jo ke dollar ke liye corrective rebound ka ishara hai. Speaker filhal sirf pair ko sell karne ke baare mein soch rahe hain aur is waqt buy karne ka plan nahi hai. Currency pair ne 143.99 level ko neeche se test kiya aur 144.49 tak aa gaya, jo ek positive sign hai, aur bulls shayad Asian trading session ke doran price ko aur 49 points upar push kar sakte hain.

Current price 143.43 hai jo ke 141.70 ke important support level ke upar hai. Yeh level traders ke liye key target ban sakta hai jo decline par bet kar rahe hain. Thodi consolidation ke baad, pair shayad aur girawat dekhe. Magar, Bank of Japan kaafi ehtiyaat se kaam karega aur significant drop ko allow nahi karega. Unhone already indicate kiya hai ke agar yen ka value sharply fluctuate karega to market mein intervene kar sakte hain, jo ke yen ko zyada mazboot hone se rokenge. Isliye, 129 ka target realistic nahi lagta, kyunki Bank of Japan 139 level ke aas-paas intervene kar sakta hai aur yen ko kamzor karne ke liye market mein bade amounts inject kar sakta hai.

Technical Analysis for Forex USD/JPY:

Aham US economic data ke aane se pehle... Japanese yen kareeb 144 yen par US dollar ke muqable mein trade kar raha hai, jo apni teen hafton ki taqatwar levels ke qareeb hai. Federal Reserve ke rate cut ki umeed US dollar par dabao daal rahi hai, jabke doosri badi currencies iska faida utha rahi hain. Fed ke officials ne labor market ke risks par khauf ka izhaar kiya hai, lekin saath hi ye bharosa bhi diya hai ke US inflation apne target par wapas aayega, jo is baat ka ishara hai ke woh jald borrowing costs ko kam karne ke liye tayar hain.

Iske bar'aks, Bank of Japan ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ne guzishta hafte parliament ko bataya ke agar BOJ ka economic outlook theek raha, toh woh monetary policy ko adjust kar sakte hain, jisme interest rates ko dobara barhane ka irada shamil hai. BOJ ke Deputy Governor Ryozo Himeno ne bhi iss hafta yahi kaha, ke agar economy aur prices apni current raah par chaltay rahe, toh central bank rate barhaega.

Economic front par... Japan ka coincident economic indicators ka index, jo factory output, employment aur retail sales jaise data ko cover karta hai, June 2024 mein revised ho kar 113.2 par aa gaya, jo pehle 113.7 tha. Ye figures May ke 117.1 ke reading ke baad aaye, jo February ke baad se sabse kam level hai, lekin iske bawajood economy moderate taur par recover ho rahi hai global headwinds ke bawajood, khaaskar China, US aur Europe se.

Is darmiyan, umeed hai ke Japanese consumer prices barhengi jabke energy subsidies May mein mukammal taur par khatam ho chuki hain aur Bank of Japan ne policy normalization ka sochna shuru kar diya hai ek kamzor currency ke hawale se.

**Aaj ka USD/JPY Forecast:**

Daily chart ke performance ke mutabiq, USD/JPY price ka general trend ab bhi bearish hai aur investors ko technical indicators ke strong oversold levels ki parwaah nahi hai, balkay woh global central bank officials ke interest rates ko barhane ya na barhane par zyada dhyaan de rahe hain... Filhaal, USD/JPY ke liye qareebi aham support levels trading ke liye 142.60 aur 141.00 hain. Aaj ka US economic data GDP growth aur weekly unemployment claims ke hawale se hai.

USDJPY currency pair mein ek aham tabdeeli hui hai, jahan sellers ne dobara se control hasil kar liya hai aur price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain. Yeh downward movement bears ke liye ek aham recovery hai, jinhon ne apne peechle nuqsan cover kar liye hain aur market par apna dabao barhaya hai. Recent price action yeh dikhata hai ke bearish sentiment mein izafa ho gaya hai, jiss ne pair ke pehle ke kuch gains ko ulat diya hai. 146.86 level tak girawat yeh zahir karti hai ke sellers ki taqat barh gayi hai. Pehle bulls ne price ko ooper push kiya tha, lekin ab sellers market mein wapas aa gaye hain aur pehle ke bullish momentum ko khatam kar diya hai. Yeh tabdeeli yeh suggest karti hai ke market participants ab USDJPY pair ko bechne ke liye ziada raaghib hain, shayad badalte hue economic halaat, geopolitical factors, ya technical signals ke wajah se jo pehle ke uptrend ko kamzor kar rahe hain. 146.86 zone tak girawat khaas ahmiyat rakhti hai kyunke yeh ek critical support level hai jise traders ghore se dekh rahe hain. Agar sellers apni momentum barqarar rakhte hain aur price ko is level se neeche le jate hain, to yeh ek lambe downtrend ki shuruaat ka ishara ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, USDJPY par yeh bearish pressure ziada economic concerns ka aks ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar U.S. dollar kamzor ho raha hai due to softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke wajah se, to yeh pair ke decline mein ek sabab ban sakta hai. Dosri taraf, Japanese yen mein mazid taqat, shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ke wajah se, is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai. Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli both challenges aur opportunities paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara ghore se dekhni par sakti hai, khaaskar agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar bearish momentum barhti hai. Bunyadi baat yeh hogi ke dekhna hoga ke USDJPY pair 146.86 level ke ird gird kis tarah

behave karta hai aur kya yeh zone reversal ka point banega ya sirf mazeed bearish action ke liye ek stepping stone banega. USDJPY pair ke recent price action se yeh zahir hota hai ke bearish sentiment mein ek shiddat aayi hai, jahan sellers ne successful push karke price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain. Yeh movement sirf sellers ki qabliyat ko zahir nahi karti ke unhone peechle nuqsan cover kar liye hain, balke yeh bhi dikhata hai ke unka market par naya control hai. Is shift ke implications door tak ja sakte hain, depend karta hai ke support at 146.86 hold karta hai ya mazeed declines ke liye raasta banata hai. Traders ko hoshiyaar rehna chahiye, kyunke agle kuch sessions shayad pair ke future direction ke bare mein critical insights provide karenge, jo iss evolving market landscape mein sahi position le ke trading opportunities provide kar sakte h

اگست 29 2024 کو امریکی ڈالر/جاپانی ین کی پیشن گوئی

امریکی ڈالر/جاپانی ین جوڑا 144.30 کی سطح پر استحکام کے اپنے چوتھے دن میں داخل ہو رہا ہے۔ لہذا، اس سطح کو نظر انداز کیا جا سکتا ہے، اور اس کے بغیر صورت حال پر غور کیا جانا چاہئے. ہم مشاہدہ کرتے ہیں کہ بڑھتا ہوا مارلن آسیلیٹر قیمت کو 23.6% کی فبونیکی سطح کی طرف دھکیلنے کی کوشش کر رہا ہے، جو مارچ کی کم ترین سطح 146.50 کے ساتھ ہم آہنگ ہے۔



اگر قیمت اس سطح سے اوپر مستحکم ہو جاتی ہے، تو یہ تصحیح کے ڈھانچے کو پیچیدہ بنا دے گی، جس سے قیمت 148.82 کی ہدف کی سطح اور 38.2% کی فبونیکی سطح کی طرف جائے گی۔ لیکن ابھی کے لیے، قیمت 26 اگست کی کم (143.46) سے نیچے گر سکتی ہے، جو 139.70-140.27 کی ہدف کی حد پر حملہ کرنے کا اشارہ ہو گی۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر نیوٹرل صفر لائن سے بھی مڑ سکتا ہے۔

٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ میں، قیمت بیلنس اور ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. انڈیکیٹر لائن کے نیچے ترقی کر رہی ہے۔ مارلن ایک بار پھر مثبت علاقے میں داخل ہوا ہے، جو مضبوطی کے پیٹرن سے قریب تر ہے۔ ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن سے مزاحمت اوپر کی حرکت میں رکاوٹ ہے۔ مرکزی منظر نامہ مندی کا شکار ہے۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

price 144.04 ke neeche girta hai, toh yeh 143.89 ya phir 142.59 tak descend kar sakta hai. USD/JPY abhi monthly Pivot level 153.84 (jo pehle 158.88 tha), weekly Pivot level 145.47 (jo pehle 147.64 tha), aur daily Pivot level 145.87 ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo ke pair ke liye bearish sentiment ko show kar raha hai. Agar price 144.04 ke upar chala jata hai, toh ek northern correction aasakti hai; lekin agar yeh 144.04 ke neeche girta hai, toh bearish movement ka imkaan hai. Lagta nahi hai ke koi bara sell-off hoga. Yeh bhi shak hai ke market descending trend line ke resistance level ke qareeb chhoti fluctuations ko face karega, jo ke peak 161.758 se aa rahi hai, aur ho sakta hai ke additional patterns bhi form hon. Naye trading week ka aaghaz bohot aham hota hai. Market ke reactions ko in critical levels par dekhna traders ko current conditions aur future trends ke mutaliq zyada wazeh tasveer dega. Jab tak in key points par koi waazeh reaction nahi aata, market direction uncertain rahegi. Isliye in levels ko closely monitor karna trading decisions lene se pehle bohot zaroori hai. In key levels ke ilawa, traders ko technical indicators aur doosri market factors ka bhi khayal rakhna chahiye. Indicators jaise ke moving averages, RSI (Relative Strength Index), aur MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) market ki strength aur momentum ko assess karne mein madadgar hote hain. In indicators ke saath, overall market sentiment aur news events bhi market movements par bara asar dalte hain. Agar market 147.200 aur 146.300 ke darmiyan range-bound rahti hai, toh traders ko breakouts aur rebounds par khayal rakhna chahiye. Yeh analysis entry aur exit points ko identify karne mein madad kar sakta hai aur potential market movements ka behtareen

hai. Kal shaam ko, yeh pair 146.10 ke level ke upar trade kar raha tha, jo ke pichle haftay ka low mark karta hai. Aisa lag raha tha ke uptrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai, lekin us ke baad se yeh pair wapas is key level ke neeche aa gaya hai, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke bearish scenario ab momentum hasil kar raha hai. Is reversal se lagta hai ke sellers ab control apne haath mein le rahe hain, aur uptrend apni taqat kho raha hai. Technically dekha jaye to, price ne apne pehle bearish impulse ke sath ascending channel ko breakout kar diya hai. Yeh breakout kafi ahem hai, kyun ke yeh market ke trend mein mumkinah tabdeeli ko zahir karta hai. Ab jo current downward movement hai, usay larger bearish pattern ke doosri wave ka hissa samjha ja sakta hai. Round level 146.00, jise pair ne haal hi mein breach kiya hai, ab ek strong resistance level ka kaam kar sakta hai. Yeh area un traders ke liye ideal entry point ho sakta hai jo short positions initiate karna chahte hain, kyun ke yeh overall bearish outlook ke sath align karta hai.

Is impulse ko dekhte hue, hum ek Fibonacci retracement grid apply kar sakte hain taake ongoing downtrend ke liye potential support levels aur targets ka andaza lagaya ja sake. 161.8% Fibonacci extension level aik critical target ke tor par samne aata hai, jo ke 142.80 ke aas paas situated hai. Halankeh yeh level foran qareeb nahi hai, yeh ek significant support area ko represent karta hai jo agle chand dino mein attention attract kar sakta hai. Yeh level current minimum ke qareeb bhi hai, jo ke bears ke liye downward momentum ka faida uthane ke liye aik zyada compelling target banata hai.
USD/JPY ko aaj tab bechne ki sochta hoon jab 143.74 ka test ho, jo ke red line se chart par plot kiya gaya hai, jisse pair mein tez girawat hogi. Sellers ke liye key target 142.87 hoga, jahan mai short positions exit karunga aur turant opposite direction mein long positions open karunga, ummeed hai ke 20-25 pips ka movement opposite direction se milega. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, kyunki dollar ke bearish market khatam nahi hua hai. Important: Sell karne se pehle, ensure kar lein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke neeche hai aur decline kar raha h

USDJPY currency pair mein ek aham tabdeeli hui hai, jahan sellers ne dobara se control hasil kar liya hai aur price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain. Yeh downward movement bears ke liye ek aham recovery hai, jinhon ne apne peechle nuqsan cover kar liye hain aur market par apna dabao barhaya hai. Recent price action yeh dikhata hai ke bearish sentiment mein izafa ho gaya hai, jiss ne pair ke pehle ke kuch gains ko ulat diya hai. 146.86 level tak girawat yeh zahir karti hai ke sellers ki taqat barh gayi hai. Pehle bulls ne price ko ooper push kiya tha, lekin ab sellers market mein wapas aa gaye hain aur pehle ke bullish momentum ko khatam kar diya hai. Yeh tabdeeli yeh suggest karti hai ke market participants ab USDJPY pair ko bechne ke liye ziada raaghib hain, shayad badalte hue economic halaat, geopolitical factors, ya technical signals ke wajah se jo pehle ke uptrend ko kamzor kar rahe hain. 146.86 zone tak girawat khaas ahmiyat rakhti hai kyunke yeh ek critical support level hai jise traders ghore se dekh rahe hain. Agar sellers apni momentum barqarar rakhte hain aur price ko is level se neeche le jate hain, to yeh ek lambe downtrend ki shuruaat ka ishara ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, USDJPY par yeh bearish pressure ziada economic concerns ka aks ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar U.S. dollar kamzor ho raha hai due to softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke wajah se, to yeh pair ke decline mein ek sabab ban sakta hai. Dosri taraf, Japanese yen mein mazid taqat, shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ke wajah se, is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai. Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli both challenges aur opportunities paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara ghore se dekhni par sakti hai, khaaskar agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar bearish momentum barhti hai. Bunyadi baat yeh hogi ke dekhna hoga ke USDJPY pair 146.86 level ke ird gird kis tarah behave karta hai aur kya yeh zone reversal ka point banega ya sirf mazeed bearish action ke liye ek stepping stone banega. USDJPY pair ke recent price action se yeh zahir hota hai ke bearish sentiment mein ek shiddat aayi hai, jahan sellers ne successful push karke price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain. Yeh movement sirf sellers ki qabliyat ko zahir nahi karti ke unhone peechle nuqsan cover kar liye hain, balke yeh bhi dikhata hai ke unka market par naya control hai. Is shift ke implications door tak ja sakte hain, depend karta hai ke support at 146.86 hold karta hai ya mazeed declines ke liye raasta banata hai. Traders ko hoshiyaar rehna chahiye, kyunke agle kuch sessions shayad pair ke future direction ke bare mein critical insights provide karenge, jo iss evolving market landscape mein sahi position le ke trading opportunities provide kar sakte h

USD/JPY currency pair ki live pricing ki jaari jaiza se mutabiq hai. 141.74 support zone tak ke tezi se neeche aane ne un logon ke liye khatar ko ujaagar kiya jo sahi risk management ko nazar andaz karte hue jaldi se munafa kamane ki koshish kar rahe thay, jo ke bohat baray nuqsan mein tabdeel ho sakti thi. Japan ki economy ke hawale se ahem reports ke jari hone ke baad, jahan markazi bank ne interest rate ko 2.4% tak barhaya, humne Japanese yen mein qabil-e-deed taqat dekhi, jis ne iske mukablay mein doosri currencies mein ahem girawat paida ki. Technical nazar se dekha jaye to is high-volatility instrument ki paish goi mushkil hai, lekin iski volatility aur iske mumkin asraat ko dekhna zaroori hai. Daily hourly chart par 148.01 level ke qareeb ek sideways trend ban gaya hai, aur price chhati martaba is mark ko torhne mein nakam rahi hai. Ek bara player mojud hai, aur isko dhyaan mein rakhna zaroori hai, kyun ke current resistance zone se breakout ek ahem price move ko janam de sakta haiIs liye, main tajweez karta hoon ke is currenc pair ko chhoti lot sizes ke sath trade karein aur stop orders lagayein taake mumkin nuqsan se bach sakein, kyun ke surat-e-haal jaldi se kharab ho sakti hai. Dollar-yen pair ke liye, us din hourly chart par girawat hui, jiske baad ek izafa hua jo 147.103 resistance ko torh gaya. Is breakout ne ek buy signal generate kiya jo 151.644 resistance level ko target kar raha tha. Magar, ye signal ghalat sabit hua, kyun ke price is level ke neeche Friday ko gir gaya. Ghalat breakout us waqt hua jab price is resistance se upar se neeche gir gaya. Monday ko ek naya buy signal paida hua, jo phir se 151.644 resistance ko target kar raha tha, aur price is target tak pohanch gaya. Phir, Tuesday ko price ne is level par wapsi ki, ek aur upward movement karne ki koshish ki, lekin phir se broken level tak wapas aa gaya. Breakout tasdeeq shuda tha, aur kal ka target 151.644 resistance par set hai



USD/JPY pair par pressure add karne ke liye lower-than-expected US earnings reports ke saath, Federal Reserve ki commentary ne US labor market ko protect karne ki bat ki, jo aggressive rate cuts ko delay kar sakti hai.
Overall, hawkish stance aur Fed ki cautious approach ne economic uncertainties ke beech volatile environment create kiya hai USD/JPY pair ke liye. Investors central bank policies aur economic data ko closely monitor kar rahe hain future movements ko gauge karne ke liye, US jobs report aur both central banks se further monetary policy adjustments par significant attention de rahe hain

USDJPY currency pair mein ek aham tabdeeli hui hai, jahan sellers ne dobara se control hasil kar liya hai aur price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain. Yeh downward movement bears ke liye ek aham recovery hai, jinhon ne apne peechle nuqsan cover kar liye hain aur market par apna dabao barhaya hai. Recent price action yeh dikhata hai ke bearish sentiment mein izafa ho gaya hai, jiss ne pair ke pehle ke kuch gains ko ulat diya hai. 146.86 level tak girawat yeh zahir karti hai ke sellers ki taqat barh gayi hai. Pehle bulls ne price ko ooper push kiya tha, lekin ab sellers market mein wapas aa gaye hain aur pehle ke bullish momentum ko khatam kar diya hai. Yeh tabdeeli yeh suggest karti hai ke market participants ab USDJPY pair ko bechne ke liye ziada raaghib hain, shayad badalte hue economic halaat, geopolitical factors, ya technical signals ke wajah se jo pehle ke uptrend ko kamzor kar rahe hain. 146.86 zone tak girawat khaas ahmiyat rakhti hai kyunke yeh ek critical support level hai jise traders ghore se dekh rahe hain. Agar sellers apni momentum barqarar rakhte hain aur price ko is level se neeche le jate hain, to yeh ek lambe downtrend ki shuruaat ka ishara ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, USDJPY par yeh bearish pressure ziada economic concerns ka aks ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar U.S. dollar kamzor ho raha hai due to softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke wajah se, to yeh pair ke decline mein ek sabab ban sakta hai. Dosri taraf, Japanese yen mein mazid taqat, shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ke wajah se, is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai. Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli both challenges aur opportunities paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara ghore se dekhni par sakti hai, khaaskar agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar bearish momentum barhti hai. Bunyadi baat yeh hogi ke dekhna hoga ke USDJPY pair 146.86 level ke ird gird kis tarah behave karta hai aur kya yeh zone reversal ka point banega ya sirf mazeed bearish action ke liye ek stepping stone banega. USDJPY pair ke recent price action se yeh zahir hota hai ke bearish sentiment mein ek shiddat aayi hai, jahan sellers ne successful push karke price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain. Yeh movement sirf sellers ki qabliyat ko zahir nahi karti ke unhone peechle nuqsan cover kar liye hain, balke yeh bhi dikhata hai ke unka market par naya control hai. Is shift ke implications door tak ja sakte hain, depend karta hai ke support at 146.86 hold karta hai ya mazeed declines ke liye raasta banata hai. Traders ko hoshiyaar rehna chahiye, kyunke agle kuch sessions shayad pair ke future direction ke bare mein critical insights provide karenge, jo iss evolving market landscape mein sahi position le ke trading opportunities provide kar

Tuesday ko, spot price 0.40% se zyada kam trading ho rahi hai, jo ke July 10 ko pohnche huye peak levels se bearish trend reversal ko continue kar rahi hai. Currency pair, ab 143.96 ke aas-paas hai, jo ke yeh darshata hai ke short-term aur shayad medium-term trends bearish outlook ko shift kar chuki hain. Adage ke mutabiq, "the trend is your friend," is waqt downward movement ke continuation ke chances zyada hain.

USD/JPY ke Fundamentals:

Reuters ke mutabiq, senior ruling party official Toshimitsu Motegi ne Bank of Japan (BoJ) ko monetary policy normalize karne ke plans ko clear communicate karne ki guzarish ki hai, jisme gradual interest rate hikes shamil hain. Prime Minister Fumio Kishida ne is sentiment ko echo kiya, yeh suggest karte hue ke aisa move Japan ki growth-driven economy ke shift ko support karega. Lekin, recent economic data mixed picture dikhati hai. Jibun Bank Japan Manufacturing PMI July mein 49.2 tak gir gaya hai, jo ke June ke 50.0 se kam hai aur market expectations ko miss karta hai, factory activity mein April ke baad pehli dafa decline ko indicate karta hai. Iske bawajood, Services PMI 53.9 tak barh gaya hai, jo ke April ke baad se service sector mein sabse zyada growth hai.

Economic landscape ko further complicate karte hue, Japanese Cabinet Office ne July ke liye economic assessment ko maintain kiya lekin caution outlook ko apne monthly report mein diya. Government ne exports ki evaluation ko bhi downgrade kiya, stagnation ko note karte hue. Japan Corporate Service Price Index (CSPI) ne June mein saal-dar-saal 3.0% ka increase dekha, jo ke pehle ke 2.7% se zyada hai, aur yeh nine saal mein sabse tez inflation ki raftar ko indicate karta hai.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Technical taur par, agar 50-week Simple Moving Average ke neeche aur major uptrend line jo ke 143.50 ke aas-paas hai ke neeche breach hota hai to yeh long-term trend ke reversal ka signal hoga. Aise mein potential downside targets 141.61 ke aas-paas honge, aur further support 136.88 par hoga. Dusri taraf, agar USD/JPY buyers ko control wapas chahiye to unhein pair ko 146.00 level ke upar push karna hoga aur Kumo cloud ke upar sustain karna hoga.