USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY currency pair ke price behavior ka jaiza lete hue, USD/JPY pair ne Monday ko downward movement continue ki aur pichle trading week ke muqablay mein ek nayi low banayi. Halanki price ab wapas apne opening level par aa gayi hai, lekin overall outlook wahi hai. Mera tajwez hai ke USD/JPY pair me abhi bhi girawat dekhne ko milegi. Agar price 145.19 ke resistance level tak pohnchti hai, jo ke meri Fibonacci grid ke 99th level aur pichle Monday ke low ke sath align karta hai, to yeh bechne ke liye acha mauka hai. Is surat mein target Fibonacci grid ke 160th level ke aas-paas 142.59 hoga. Bearish scenario tab tak invalid nahi hoga agar price 145.19 ke resistance ko break karke uske upar stabilize ho jaye. Aise mein buying zyada attractive aur potentially rewarding ho sakti hai. Isliye main filhal ke levels par transactions ka plan nahi bana raha.

USD/JPY ke liye meri outlook bullish hai. Aapne kaha tha ke market ek hi direction me nahi chal sakti, lekin main general sentiment ki baat kar raha hoon. Aam tor par 92-94 percent retail traders ek direction me position lete hain, jabke major financial players ulte direction me move karte hain, apne stops ya margins ko capitalize karte hain. US dollar ne strength gain ki hai aur USD/JPY pair 143 range ke middle tak pohnch gaya hai. Main chahta hoon ke yeh 145th figure tak pohnche, jahan se last Friday ko gir gaya tha. Yeh zaroori hai ke yen pair ke liye downward trend abhi bhi barqarar hai, aur aaj ke movement ne is decline ko continue kiya hai. Dollar ki strength gain ki koshish ke bawajood, pair ki ongoing decline yen ki resilience ko highlight karti hai. Abhi bhi considerable room hai further decline ke liye, kyun ke short-lived recovery puri tarah se play out nahi hui aur long-term targets intact hain.

Hum USD/JPY currency pair ki mojooda price performance analysis kar rahe hain. Is waqt bearish trend USD/JPY currency pair par khasa asar andaz hai. Mere zehan mein do mumkin scenarios hain. Pehla scenario yeh hai ke bear apni downward trajectory jari rakhay bina kisi notable correction ke, jiss se price support zone 130.39 aur 127.69 ke darmiyan gir sakti hai. Dusra scenario yeh suggest karta hai ke 144.99 ke aas paas se ek substantial correction ho sakta hai, jo price ko 151.83 ke qareeb le ja sakta hai. Is surat mein mein sell position lene ka sochunga, warna mein sirf dekh kar rahe jaunga aur koi action nahi loonga. Primary indicators downward movement ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain, jahan price MA 72 trend line ke neechay hai, jo aam tor par volume reduction ka signal hota hai. Mein ehtiyat se kaam le raha hoon aur mujhe bilkul smooth movement ki umeed nahi hai; price recent low 141.694 se neechay bhi gir sakti hai ya phir uttar ki taraf bhi ja sakti hai.

Conversely, agar price 144.04 se neechay girti hai, toh yeh 143.89 ya 142.59 tak bhi ja sakti hai. USD/JPY bhi monthly Pivot level 153.84 (jo ke pehle 158.88 tha), weekly Pivot level 145.47 (pehle 147.64 tha), aur daily Pivot level 145.87 ke neechay trade kar raha hai, jo ke pair ke liye bearish sentiment ko show karta hai. Agar price 144.04 ke upar jata hai, toh northern correction ho sakta hai; lekin agar 144.04 se neechay girta hai, toh bearish movement likely hai. Sell-off hone ka imkaan kam hai. Yeh bhi mushkil lagta hai ke market resistance level ke qareeb choti fluctuations continue kare, jo ke descending trend line se peak 161.758 tak hai, aur ho sakta hai ke kuch mazeed patterns form kare.

Jaise ke maine pehle bhi bataya tha, mera main reference point senior time frame tha, jahan price behavior ko weekly chart ke hawale se analyze kiya gaya tha. Main aapko yaad dilana chahta hoon ke price action method pehle istemal hui thi, jahan candlestick pattern "Evening Star" ne diagonal support ke break hone ke baad ek tez girawat indicate ki thi, aur uske baad sellers ne kaafi arsay tak market apne control mein rakhi. Total girawat 1720 points thi, aur reference point Fibonacci level 88.2 tha, jo ek significant Moving Average (MA) se coincide kar raha tha. Maine yeh sab screen par draw kiya tha, jahan direction ruk gayi thi, aur price ne kafi upar move kiya. Mera yaqeen hai ke aane wale haftay mein hum 148.53 tak pohonch sakte hain, jo ke kam az kam 200 points ka move hoga. Main suggest karta hoon ke apne trading strategy ke mutabiq is plan ko dobara dekhein. Economic calendar mein Japan aur US dono se kaafi important news aa rahi hain, toh fundamentals bhi price action ko influence karenge USD/JPY currency pair ne upar ki taraf ek strong correction dekhi hai, lekin main filhaal in prices par sell karne mein ehtiyat mehsoos kar raha hoon. Dekhte hain agle hafta kya laata hai, kyun ke humein abhi yeh weekend guzarni hai. Main yeh nahi keh raha ke market mein kuch bhi fixed hai, lekin Middle East mein naye tensions hain, aur agar kuch hota hai, toh Monday ko market khulte hi surprises dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Lekin kisi bhi surat mein, yeh Japanese yen ko mazid strong kar sakta hai. Bearish trend abhi bhi relevant hai, aur agar Monday ko prices 147.90 mark se upar break nahi karti, toh phir market mein sell karne ke liye enter karne ka waqt ho sakta hai. Phir bhi, weekend par is idea ka tajzia karenge, tamam fundamental factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue final faisla karne se pehle Meri analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ke paas abhi bhi upar jane ka chance hai kyun ke candle ne middle Bollinger Band line ko penetrate kiya hai. Lekin ehtiyat se kaam lena zaroori hai, kyun ke candle ab tak MA50 line ko penetrate nahi kar payi hai. Yahan se ek rebound ho sakta hai jo price ko niche le jaye. Yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke yeh scenario play out ho, aur hum price distribution ke agle phase mein dakhil ho jayein jab zyada tar market participants yeh samajhne lagen ke corrective rollback khatam ho gaya hai, aur is point se selling shuru ho jaye. Lekin agar yeh puppeteer trap kaam kar jata hai, toh is scenario ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair bina kisi rollback ke seedha 159.13 tak ja sakta hai, aur agar aisa hota hai, toh market wahan se kafi gir sakti hai
Main predict karta hoon ke USD/JPY abhi bhi rise karega, kyun ke H1 support price 145.88 ab tak break nahi hui hai. Is liye, main recommend karta hoon ke jo log is pair mein trade kar rahe hain, woh sirf buy positions par focus karein. Aap apna take profit target 151.20 par set kar sakte hain aur stop loss 145.45 par rakh sakte hain

USD/JPY Technical Analysis: Short-Term Bullishness ko Long-Term Bearish Outlook mein Navigate Karna
Is analysis mein, hum USD/JPY currency pair ki technical aspects mein ghuste hain, iski current market behavior aur potential future movements ki insights offer karte hain. Latest data ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair mixed technical landscape mein navigate kar raha hai, short-term bullish trend ko long-term bearish outlook ke sath contrast karte hue.

*Current Price aur Moving Averages*

Analysis ke waqt, USD/JPY pair 50-day moving average (MA50) se upar trade kar raha hai lekin 200-day moving average (MA200) se neeche hai. Yeh setup short-term aur long-term trends mein divergence ko indicate karta hai. Khaskar, price MA50 se upar hone se immediate upward momentum ka suggestion hai, short-term mein bullish bias ko hint karte hue. Lekin, price MA200 se neeche hone se broader context mein bearish sentiment ko underscore karta hai, jo pair ke key resistance levels ko approach karne par phir se assert ho sakta hai.

*Trend Analysis*

USD/JPY pair ki current positioning MA50 se upar short-term strength ko reflect karta hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ki buyers currently control mein hain, price ko higher drive karte hue. Lekin, traders ko cautious rehna chahiye jab price MA200 ko approach karta hai. Historically, MA200 significant trend indicator hai; agar price is level se upar break nahi karta hai, to yeh broader downtrend ki resumption ko signal kar sakta hai, sellers ko dominance regain karne ke liye.

*Support aur Resistance Levels*

Key support aur resistance levels USD/JPY pair ki next move ko determine karne mein crucial hain:

- *Support*: Immediate support level MA50 ke qareeb hai. Agar price is level se neeche drop karta hai, to yeh short-term bullish scenario ko negate kar sakta hai aur further declines ki taraf pave kar sakta hai. Yeh support level bulls ke liye critical line of defense hai aur isko closely monitor karna zaroori hai.

- *Resistance*: Upside par, resistance 148.50 to 149.00 range mein expected hai. Agar price is levels se upar break karta hai, to yeh further buying opportunities ko signal kar sakta hai, potentially higher resistance zones ki retest ko lead karte hue. Lekin, agar price is levels se upar nahi nikalta hai, to yeh reversal ko trigger kar sakta hai, longer-term bearish outlook ko reaffirm karte hue.

*Technical Indicators*

*Relative Strength Index (RSI)* bhi key indicator hai. Agar RSI 50 se upar hai, to yeh typically bullish momentum ko confirm karta hai, further gains ke liye case ko support karte hue. Lekin, agar RSI overbought territory mein enter karta hai (70 se upar), to yeh suggest kar sakta hai ki

Hum USD/JPY currency pair ke ongoing price assessment ka mutalia kar rahe hain. Agar hum current USD/JPY chart ko dekhein, toh pichle Friday ki movement yeh dikhati hai ke price 147.63 level se gir kar accumulation zone 146.61 tak aa gayi. Yeh shift suggest karta hai ke price ko 147.63 ke upar push karne mein zyada interest nahi hai. Agar yeh situation barqarar rehti hai, toh market khulte hi ek bearish trajectory shuru ho sakti hai. Agar price 147.63 ke upar rise aur consolidate karne mein naakaam rehti hai, toh initial move shayad 145.18 ke qareeb accumulation zone ko target kare.

Agar price 145.18 tak pohonchti hai aur phir 145.86 tak wapas upar jaane ki koshish karti hai lekin aage barhne mein naakaam rehti hai, toh hum shayad 143.29 par protected zone ke upper boundary ki taraf ek sharp drop dekhne ko mile. Agar yeh scenario play out hota hai, toh 143.29 se ek significant rebound ho sakta hai jo price ko 158.57 ke qareeb ek accumulation area tak le ja sakta hai

Haal hi mein, USD/JPY pair kaafi overbought rahi hai. Yeh logical lagta hai ke selling start ki jaye, lekin price phir bhi barhti ja rahi hai. Is situation se yeh uncertainty paida hoti hai ke best course of action kya hona chahiye. Agar intra-week trading speculation par focus kiya jaye, jo aam tor par paanch trading days par mushtamil hoti hai, toh yeh samajh aata hai ke USD/JPY ne is hafta 144.15 se apni active journey start ki hai. Sabse highest level 147.93 achieve hua, jo ke 148.00 mark se thoda kam tha.

Agar next week situation aise hi rehti hai, aur 147.01 break ho jata hai (ideally ek position uske upar establish ho jati hai), toh yeh further growth ka signal de sakta hai, jo ke naye local highs tak le ja sakta hai. Iske bar'aks, decline ke signs tab samne aa sakte hain jab price 145.38 se

Humara mawaad USD/JPY currency pair ki live pricing ko decode karne par mabni hai. USD/JPY pair is waqt ek descending channel mein trade kar raha hai aur downward trend ko maintain kar raha hai. Pair ne EMA 50 se bounce back kiya hai aur ab 145.35 ke critical support level ko target kar raha hai. Yeh level pehle hi test kiya ja chuka hai, jo is baat ka signal hai ke pair agle targets 143.99 aur 142.14 ki taraf further decline kar sakta hai. Isi liye, recommendation yeh hai ke selling par focus karna chahiye, aur stop-loss resistance 146.59 ke upar set karna chahiye. USD/JPY ne kal ke lows ko hit karne ke baad ek correction phase mein entry ki hai. Aaj market Federal Reserve se ahem khabron ka intezar kar raha hai, khaas tor par minutes release aur labor market data ki revision ka. Yeh data agar significant revise hota hai, to iska asar zyada ho sakta hai, jisse speculation shuru ho sakti hai ke September mein Fed 50-point ka rate cut karega, jo dollar ki weakness ka sabab ban sakta hai.

Abhi ke analysis ko dekhte hue, NPI with Distances indicator ke zariye buying opportunities sabse faydemand strategy hai. Zigzag indicator bhi upward trend show kar raha hai, jo long positions ki taraf trade karne ko reinforce karta hai. Saath hi oscillators bhi buyers ke liye favorable zone mein hain, is liye mein apni position ko 61.8% Fibonacci retracement ke 152,299 price level tak maintain karne ka plan bana raha hoon.

Recent hafton mein price drop chhota raha hai, jo ek prolonged upward trend ke baad aaya hai. Aaj ke din ki news limited hai, sirf Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting ke minutes ka release hai jo shaam mein hoga. Magar yeh news critical nahi hai kyun ke minutes mein interest rate ka faisla shamil nahi hoga.

Yen ka price 149.20 level tak utha tha lekin phir is level ko retest karne ke baad drop ho gaya. Is bullish movement ne signal diya ke 139.90 support level cross ho sakta hai. Pichle trading week mein Japanese yen ne apna upward correction continue rakha aur naye local highs tak pohoch gaya. Price 149.19 par ruk gayi, jahan resistance mila, phir bounce back hui aur signal zone ke neeche height lose karne lagi. Ab tak expected downside scenario materialize nahi hua, aur chart supertrend red zone mein wapas aa gaya hai jo increased seller activity indicate karta hai

USD/JPY pair ne Wall Street ke trading open hone ke baad se fall karna shuru kar diya hai, jo ke US Treasury yields se direct correlation ki wajah se hai, jo weaker dollar ki wajah se giri hain. Pair 146.58 tak gir gaya jabke pichle din ki closing 147.53 thi. High for the day 148.05 tha aur low 145.18 tak gaya. US Treasury yields ke Monday ke din girne se dollar ke against losses reflect hue

Monday ko? Umeed hai hum sab hamesha sehatmand rahain aur aaj hum sab trading mein achay munafa hasil karain. Kal mere journal ko dekhne ka bohot shukriya, umeed hai ke wo maloomat aur analysis hum sab ke liye mufeed sabit ho. Aaj subha mein USDJPY currency pair ki movement ko fundamental aur technical analysis ke zariye discuss karun ga taake aagey ka order dene mein madad milay. Aaj subha USDJPY currency pair ki movement lagta hai ke abhi bhi apni girawat par markoza hai aur yeh shayad 147.55 tak gir sakti hai. Yeh girawat is liye hai kyunke aaj subha yen ka exchange rate mazid mazboot ho gaya hai jab se Japan mein cast machinery orders mein 2.1% ka izafa dekhne ko mila hai, jis se USDJPY currency pair ka rate wapas gir ke 147.60 par aa gaya. Iske ilawa, is waqt US dollar ka exchange rate bhi kaafi kamzor hai inflation ke spike ki wajah se jo ke abhi bhi 2% se zyada hai, yani is mahine mein 2.9%. Iske saath saath, America mein building permits bhi kam hoke 140M par aa gayi hain, jis ki wajah se aaj USDJPY ke liye 147.55 tak kaafi gehri girawat ki umeed hai. Mere fundamental analysis ke natayij ke mutabiq aaj ke din ke liye maine faisla kiya hai ke USDJPY ko SELL karun ga 147.55 par.

Dosri taraf, meri technical analysis ke mutabiq USDJPY currency pair ki movement abhi bhi 147.50 tak gir sakti hai. Yeh is liye ke H1 time frame mein USDJPY currency pair ne bearish candle engulfing form ki hai jo ke ek bohot strong signal hai ke USDJPY ko 147.50 tak SELL kiya jaye. Iske ilawa, maine RSI 14 indicator pe observation ki to pata chala ke USDJPY ka rate 147.60 par oversold nahi hai ya sales se zyada saturated nahi hai, is liye USDJPY ke 147.40 tak girne ke kaafi chances hain. SELL USDJPY ka signal SNR aur Fibonacci methods ke zariye bhi support karta hai kyunke jab USDJPY ka rate 147.92 par aya to yeh already SBR area mein tha, is liye Asian market mein SELLERS abhi bhi USDJPY currency pair par dominate karte nazar aate hain. Mere technical analysis ke natayij ke mutabiq aaj ke din ke liye maine faisla kiya hai ke USDJPY ko SELL karun ga 147.40 tak

Japanese Yen (JPY) ki taqat barh rahi hai kyunki BoJ ke zyada rate hike ke chances badh gaye hain. Lekin, political uncertainty ki wajah se Yen ko challenges ka samna karna pad sakta hai; Prime Minister Fumio Kishida September mein dobara election ke liye nahi chaleinge, jo unki prime ministership ko effectively khatam kar dega.
US Dollar (USD) ko pressure ka saamna karna pad raha hai, jiska sabab US Treasury yields ka girna aur Fed rate cut ke badhte hue bets hain. Japanese Yen (JPY) ne Friday ko US Dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein rebound kiya, jo shayad Japan ke second-quarter GDP ke recent growth ki wajah se hua, jo BoJ ke near-term interest rate hike ke possibility ko support karta hai.

Lekin, JPY ko Japan mein political uncertainty ke wajah se challenges ka samna karna pad sakta hai, kyunki reports ke mutabiq Prime Minister Fumio Kishida September mein party leader ke liye dobara election nahi karenge, jo unki prime ministership ka term khatam kar dega.

USD/JPY pair ne niche move kiya hai kyunki US Dollar ne lower Treasury yields ke beech apni ground kho di hai. Iske ilawa, traders CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq September ke liye 25 basis point rate reduction ko fully price in kar rahe hain.

Phir bhi, Greenback ko recent better-than-expected US economic data se support mila hai, jo US mein recession ke concerns ko kam karta hai. Iske alawa, preliminary US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for August aur Building Permits for July ko North American session ke doran dekha jayega. USD/JPY ne trend ko reverse kiya hai aur ab short-term mein upar ki taraf move kar raha hai. Halankeh isne abc correction complete kiya, lekin iske baad decline nahi hui, balki higher break kiya.

USD/JPY ne shayad apne short-term downtrend ko reverse kar diya hai aur ab higher highs aur higher lows ka naya sequence establish kar raha hai. "Trend is your friend" ke mutabiq, yeh suggest karta hai ke short-term mein bullish bias maujood hai. Trend ka change tab hua jab pair ne abc correction ke complete hone ke bawajood rise karna jaari rakha, jo normally pullback ke end aur dominant downtrend ke resume hone ka signal hota hai. Lekin, USD/JPY ke case mein, pair decline karne mein fail hua aur sideways trade kiya, phir August 15 ko decisive higher break kiya. Friday ko USD/JPY 148.80 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai. Daily chart analysis ke mutabiq, pair nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke upar hai, jo short-term bullish trend ko signal karta hai. Phir bhi, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke neeche hai, aur ek additional rise bullish momentum ko confirm karega.

Support levels ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair ko immediate support nine-day EMA par mil sakta hai, jo lagbhag 148.09 ke aas-paas hai. Agar pair is level se niche girta hai, to bearish outlook ko majbooti mil sakti hai aur pair ko seven-month low 141.69 ke taraf le ja sakta hai jo 5 August ko record hua tha. Agar decline continue hoti hai, to pair next support level 140.25 ke kareeb aa sakti hai.

Upside ke liye, USD/JPY pair 50-day EMA ko 153.08 par target kar sakta hai, aur resistance level 154.50 ko test karne ki possibility hai, jo pehle throwback support se current pullback resistance mein transition ho gaya hai.

Wave c ke top ke upar break karne se indicate hota hai ke short-term trend shayad bullish h ai aur isliye rise continue hone ke zyada chances hain. 100-period Simple Moving Average (blue) abhi gains ko cap kar raha hai lekin iske upar close karne se probably continuation higher ko confirm kiya jayega target 150.90 (August 1 swing high), uske baad 151.94 (July 25 swing low) aur phir shayad 155.22 (July 30 swing high)

JPY Analysis: Key Levels, Breakouts, and Trading Signals** USD/JPY pair ne recent mein notable price action dikhayi hai, aur pichle hafte ki trading ne kuch critical movements aur potential trading opportunities ko reveal kiya. Monday ko, pair ne decline ke saath start kiya, jo ke pichle Friday ko aayi sell signal ka response tha. Is initial downward movement ne price ko 143.477 ke support level tak le aaya, jahan market ne significant volatility dekhi. Dilchasp baat yeh hai ke 143.477 ke support level ke around price action ne ek false breakout dikhaya. False breakouts tab hote hain jab price temporarily ek key level ko paar kar jaati hai lekin phir jaldi reverse ho jaati hai, jo breakout ko invalidate kar deta hai. Is case mein, support level ka false breakout ek buy signal trigger kiya, jo price ko 147.102 ke agle significant resistance ki taraf upar push kar raha hai.

Wednesday tak, USD/JPY pair ne is resistance level ko reach kar liya. Lekin market ne is level ke around additional false breakouts dekhe. Wednesday ko, price briefly 147.102 ke upar chali gayi phir reverse ho gayi, aur Thursday ko price ne phir se is level ko top se bottom tak break kiya, sirf reverse hone ke liye. Yeh hi pattern Friday ko bhi repeat hua, jahan ek aur false breakout bottom se top tak dekha gaya. Yeh repeated false breakouts 147.102 level ke around ek trading range banate hain jo Wednesday se Friday tak barqarar rahi.

Yeh range-bound activity significant hai kyunki yeh market ki indecision ko indicate karti hai, jahan buyers aur sellers dono control maintain nahi kar pa rahe hote. Aise periods mein, key levels aksar breach hote hain, lekin yeh breakouts hold nahi karte, jo false signals ko janam deta hai. Traders ko aise situations mein bohot ehtiyaat se kaam karna chahiye, kyunki market jaldi reverse ho sakti hai, jo potential losses ka sabab ban sakta hai agar trades ko dhang se manage na kiya jaye.

Naye hafte ke shuru hone par, Monday ko is range se ek breakout dekha gaya hai. USD/JPY pair ne ek baar phir se 147.102 level ko paar kiya hai, lekin is baar, lagta hai ke breakout zyada sustainable ho sakta hai. Latest breakout ke upar, ek naya buy signal generate hua hai, aur agla target 151.645 ke resistance level par set hai. Yeh level significant upside potential ko represent karta hai, aur agar buy signal confirm hota hai, to market is target ki taraf continue kar sakti hai.

Lekin, yeh buy signal bina conditions ke nahi hai. Yeh signal tab tak valid hai jab tak price 146.571 mark ke upar rahti hai. Agar price is level se neeche girti hai, to buy signal cancel ho jayega, jo market sentiment ke shift aur deeper correction ka indication de sakta hai.

### **Key Considerations for Traders:**

1. **False Breakouts:** Pichle hafte 147.102 ke around repeated false breakouts ko dekhte hue, key levels ke around trading mein ehtiyaat zaroori hai. False breakouts traders ko losing positions mein trap kar sakte hain agar dhang se manage nahi kiya jaye.

2. **Range Trading:** Wednesday se Friday tak ki range-bound activity suggest karti hai ke market indecision mein thi. Traders ko aise ranges ke bare mein aware rehna chahiye aur strategies use karni chahiye jo potential reversals ko account kar sakein.

dilana chahta hoon ke price action method pehle istemal hui thi, jahan candlestick pattern "Evening Star" ne diagonal support ke break hone ke baad ek tez girawat indicate ki thi, aur uske baad sellers ne kaafi arsay tak market apne control mein rakhi. Total girawat 1720 points thi, aur reference point Fibonacci level 88.2 tha, jo ek significant Moving Average (MA) se coincide kar raha tha. Maine yeh sab screen par draw kiya tha, jahan direction ruk gayi thi, aur price ne kafi upar move kiya. Mera yaqeen hai ke aane wale haftay mein hum 148.53 tak pohonch sakte hain, jo ke kam az kam 200 points ka move hoga. Main suggest karta hoon ke apne trading strategy ke mutabiq is plan ko dobara dekhein. Economic calendar mein Japan aur US dono se kaafi important news aa rahi hain, toh fundamentals bhi price action ko influence karenge USD/JPY currency pair ne upar ki taraf ek strong correction dekhi hai, lekin main filhaal in prices par sell karne mein ehtiyat mehsoos kar raha hoon. Dekhte hain agle hafta kya laata hai, kyun ke humein abhi yeh weekend guzarni hai. Main yeh nahi keh raha ke market mein kuch bhi fixed hai, lekin Middle East mein naye tensions hain, aur agar kuch hota hai, toh Monday ko market khulte hi surprises dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Lekin kisi bhi surat mein, yeh Japanese yen ko mazid strong kar sakta hai. Bearish trend abhi bhi relevant hai, aur agar Monday ko prices 147.90 mark se upar break nahi karti, toh phir market mein sell karne ke liye enter karne ka waqt ho sakta hai. Phir bhi, weekend par is idea ka tajzia karenge, tamam fundamental factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue final faisla karne se pehle Meri analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ke paas abhi bhi upar jane ka chance hai kyun ke candle ne middle Bollinger Band line ko penetrate kiya hai. Lekin ehtiyat se kaam lena zaroori hai, kyun ke candle ab tak MA50 line ko penetrate nahi kar payi hai. Yahan se ek rebound ho sakta hai jo price ko niche le jaye. Yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke yeh scenario play out ho, aur hum price distribution ke agle phase mein dakhil ho jayein jab zyada tar market participants yeh samajhne lagen ke corrective rollback khatam ho gaya hai, aur is point se selling shuru ho jaye. Lekin agar yeh puppeteer trap kaam kar jata hai, toh is scenario ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair bina kisi rollback ke seedha 159.13 tak ja sakta hai, aur agar aisa hota hai, toh market wahan se kafi gir sakti hai Main predict karta hoon ke USD/JPY abhi bhi rise karega, kyun ke H1 support price 145.88 ab tak break nahi hui hai. Is liye, main recommend karta hoon

USDJPY currency pair abhi lagta hai ke neeche move karne mein mushkilat ka samna kar rahi hai. Iss mahine ke shuru mein jab se market khuli hai, price Simple Moving Average 60 aur 150 indicators ke neeche gir gayi hai, jo yeh idea deti hai ke market abhi bhi ek strong bearish condition mein hai. Yeh girawat ki situation pichle mahine ke market trend ke mutabiq hai jahan candlestick abhi bhi decline phase mein hai.

Weekly timeframe mein bearish candlestick ka formation dikhata hai ke lagataar saath hafton se bearish trend chal raha hai, aur yeh condition seller troops ke confidence ko barhawa deti hai ke woh apni market par zyada pressure dalain. Agar aaj ke market condition ko closely dekha jaye to abhi bhi price level 144.46 ke aas paas sideways movement dikhai de rahi hai. Lekin meri estimation ke mutabiq yeh increase sirf temporary hai aur price bohot zyada chance hai ke wapas bearish trend ki taraf move karegi.

MACD indicator par histogram bar ki position abhi bhi consistently zero level ke neeche hai, jo yeh indicate karti hai ke market bearish trend mein move kar rahi hai. Aane walay dinon mein bhi market mein aur bearish potential dekha ja raha hai. Market ke analysis ke mutabiq seller troops se yeh expect kiya ja raha hai ke woh price ko phir se neeche le kar jayenge. Pichlay do hafton ke trend ko dekhte hue, hum dekh sakte hain ke USDJPY currency pair abhi bhi seller troops ke control mein hai.

Abhi ke liye, un movements par focus karna behtar hoga jahan bearish trend ka potential abhi bhi maujood hai. Halankeh market abhi Asian session mein hai, lekin agle price ke liye yeh estimate kiya ja raha hai ke price abhi bhi bearish trend ki taraf move karegi aur 144.00 ke price level range ko test karegi. Aaj raat se kal raat tak ka trading option, meri raye mein, abhi bhi SELL trading ko prefer karega. Seller troops se yeh expect kiya ja raha hai ke woh abhi bhi market ko dominate karenge.

Jaise ke maine pehle bhi bataya tha, mera main reference point senior time frame tha, jahan price behavior ko weekly chart ke hawale se analyze kiya gaya tha. Main aapko yaad dilana chahta hoon ke price action method pehle istemal hui thi, jahan candlestick pattern "Evening Star" ne diagonal support ke break hone ke baad ek tez girawat indicate ki thi, aur uske baad sellers ne kaafi arsay tak market apne control mein rakhi. Total girawat 1720 points thi, aur reference point Fibonacci level 88.2 tha, jo ek significant Moving Average (MA) se coincide kar raha tha. Maine yeh sab screen par draw kiya tha, jahan direction ruk gayi thi, aur price ne kafi upar move kiya. Mera yaqeen hai ke aane wale haftay mein hum 148.53 tak pohonch sakte hain, jo ke kam az kam 200 points ka move hoga. Main suggest karta hoon ke apne trading strategy ke mutabiq is plan ko dobara dekhein. Economic calendar mein Japan aur US dono se kaafi important news aa rahi hain, toh fundamentals bhi price action ko influence karenge USD/JPY currency pair ne upar ki taraf ek strong correction dekhi hai, lekin main filhaal in prices par sell karne mein ehtiyat mehsoos kar raha hoon. Dekhte hain agle hafta kya laata hai, kyun ke humein abhi yeh weekend guzarni hai. Main yeh nahi keh raha ke market mein kuch bhi fixed hai, lekin Middle East mein naye tensions hain, aur agar kuch hota hai, toh Monday ko market khulte hi surprises dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Lekin kisi bhi surat mein, yeh Japanese yen ko mazid strong kar sakta hai. Bearish trend abhi bhi relevant hai, aur agar Monday ko prices 147.90 mark se upar break nahi karti, toh phir market mein sell karne ke liye enter karne ka waqt ho sakta hai. Phir bhi, weekend par is idea ka tajzia karenge, tamam fundamental factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue final faisla karne se pehle Meri analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ke paas abhi bhi upar jane ka chance hai kyun ke candle ne middle Bollinger Band line ko penetrate kiya hai. Lekin ehtiyat se kaam lena zaroori hai, kyun ke candle ab tak MA50 line ko penetrate nahi kar payi hai. Yahan se ek rebound ho sakta hai jo price ko niche le jaye. Yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke yeh scenario play out ho, aur hum price distribution ke agle phase mein dakhil ho jayein jab zyada tar market participants yeh samajhne lagen ke corrective rollback khatam ho gaya hai, aur is point se selling shuru ho jaye. Lekin agar yeh puppeteer trap kaam kar jata hai, toh is scenario ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair bina kisi rollback ke seedha 159.13 tak ja sakta hai, aur agar aisa hota hai, toh market wahan se kafi gir sakti hai
Main predict karta hoon ke USD/JPY abhi bhi rise karega, kyun ke H1 support price 145.88 ab tak break nahi hui hai. Is liye, main recommend karta hoon ke jo log is pair mein trade kar rahe hain, woh sirf buy positions par focus karein. Aap apna take profit target 151.20 par set kar sakte hain aur stop loss 145.45 par rakh sakte

USDJPY ne last few sessions mein very strong seller pressure dikhai hai. Impulsive bearish candles se ye dekhne mein aaya hai, jo EMA 50 aur EMA 100 ke do levels ko penetrate karne mein kamyab rahe. Ye strong indication hai ki bearish trend market ko dominate kar raha hai. Price movement support level 146,429 ko test karta raha hai, jo finally penetrate kiya gaya. Ye bearish movement high level 161,639 se shuru hua, phir decline karta raha until critical support level 146,429 par pahunch gaya. Support level ke penetration se ye dikha hai ki sellers ko market par full control hai, prices ko lower push kar raha hai. Technical analysis se, key support levels ke penetration ke baad bearish trend ka continuation hua hai, especially high trading volume aur negative market sentiment ke saath. Is case mein, EMA 50 aur EMA 100 ko penetrate karne ke baad bearish pressure continue hone ka possibility hai. Next possible target decline ke liye 140,731 ke level par hai. Ye level significant support level hai aur sellers ke liye target ho sakta hai.

H1 Hour Timeframe

USDJPY H1 timeframe par increasingly strong bearish movement dikha raha hai. EMA 50 aur EMA 100 ke direction se ye dekhne mein aaya hai, jo continue fall kar raha hai, seller dominance ko indicate karta hai. Important support level 151,900 ke penetration ne downward movement ka continuation trigger kiya hai, significant bearish strength ko dikha raha hai. Today's Asian session mein downward trend continue kar raha hai, sellers ko price movements par dominance dikha raha hai. Lekin technical analysis mein, strong bearish movement ke baad correction phase hoti hai, phir main trend continue hoti hai. My current trading plan upward correction ka wait kar raha hai, better sell momentum find karne ke liye. Area jo main watch kar raha hoon sell entry ke liye 146,522 - 147,428 ke aaspaas hai. Ye area potential resistance level hai jo price se retest ki ja sak

Guzaarish ke do dinon mein, USD/JPY currency pair ne economic aur geopolitical factors ki wajah se significant fluctuations experience ki hain. 5 August ko, yen ne 7 mahine ki high par strengthen kiya jab Japanese authorities ne currency market mein intervene kiya, approximately 5.53 trillion yen spend kiya currency ko support karne ke liye. Yeh intervention partially 10-year Japanese government bond ki yield mein drop se drive kiya gaya, jo 0.8% se below gir gaya Federal Reserve ki expectations ke baad ki aggressive interest rate cuts karne ke liye weak US jobs data ke baad. Usi din, Bank of Japan ne unexpected rate hike announce kiya, apne benchmark interest rate ko 0.25% par raise kiya aur economic conditions supportive rehne par rates ko continue raise karne ki willingness show ki. Yeh move Japan ki economic challenges ke baad aaya, raise private consumption mein decline aur economy mein contraction.

US ne disappointing economic data ka saamna kiya, jaise weak manufacturing PMI aur economic slowdown ki concerns. Yeh factors, US stock futures mein decline aur USD/JPY pair par pressure add karne ke liye lower-than-expected US earnings reports ke saath, Federal Reserve ki commentary ne US labor market ko protect karne ki bat ki, jo aggressive rate cuts ko delay kar sakti hai.

Overall, hawkish stance aur Fed ki cautious approach ne economic uncertainties ke beech volatile environment create kiya hai USD/JPY pair ke liye. Investors central bank policies aur economic data ko closely monitor kar rahe hain future movements ko gauge karne ke liye, US jobs report aur both central banks se further monetary policy adjustments par significant attention de rahe hain

USD/JPY Technical Analysis: Short-Term Bullishness ko Long-Term Bearish Outlook mein Navigate Karna
Is analysis mein, hum USD/JPY currency pair ki technical aspects mein ghuste hain, iski current market behavior aur potential future movements ki insights offer karte hain. Latest data ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair mixed technical landscape mein navigate kar raha hai, short-term bullish trend ko long-term bearish outlook ke sath contrast karte hue.

*Current Price aur Moving Averages*

Analysis ke waqt, USD/JPY pair 50-day moving average (MA50) se upar trade kar raha hai lekin 200-day moving average (MA200) se neeche hai. Yeh setup short-term aur long-term trends mein divergence ko indicate karta hai. Khaskar, price MA50 se upar hone se immediate upward momentum ka suggestion hai, short-term mein bullish bias ko hint karte hue. Lekin, price MA200 se neeche hone se broader context mein bearish sentiment ko underscore karta hai, jo pair ke key resistance levels ko approach karne par phir se assert ho sakta hai.

*Trend Analysis*

USD/JPY pair ki current positioning MA50 se upar short-term strength ko reflect karta hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ki buyers currently control mein hain, price ko higher drive karte hue. Lekin, traders ko cautious rehna chahiye jab price MA200 ko approach karta hai. Historically, MA200 significant trend indicator hai; agar price is level se upar break nahi karta hai, to yeh broader downtrend ki resumption ko signal kar sakta hai, sellers ko dominance regain karne ke liye.

*Support aur Resistance Levels*

Key support aur resistance levels USD/JPY pair ki next move ko determine karne mein crucial hain:

- *Support*: Immediate support level MA50 ke qareeb hai. Agar price is level se neeche drop karta hai, to yeh short-term bullish scenario ko negate kar sakta hai aur further declines ki taraf pave kar sakta hai. Yeh support level bulls ke liye critical line of defense hai aur isko closely monitor karna zaroori hai.

- *Resistance*: Upside par, resistance 148.50 to 149.00 range mein expected hai. Agar price is levels se upar break karta hai, to yeh further buying opportunities ko signal kar sakta hai, potentially higher resistance zones ki retest ko lead karte hue. Lekin, agar price is levels se upar nahi nikalta hai, to yeh reversal ko trigger kar sakta hai, longer-term bearish outlook ko reaffirm karte hue.

*Technical Indicators*

*Relative Strength Index (RSI)* bhi key indicator hai. Agar RSI 50 se upar hai, to yeh typically bullish momentum ko confirm karta hai, further gains ke liye case ko support karte hue. Lekin, agar RSI overbought territory mein enter karta hai (70 se upar), to yeh suggest kar sakta hai ki