usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Tuesday ko, spot price 0.40% se zyada kam trading ho rahi hai, jo ke July 10 ko pohnche huye peak levels se bearish trend reversal ko continue kar rahi hai. Currency pair, ab 143.96 ke aas-paas hai, jo ke yeh darshata hai ke short-term aur shayad medium-term trends bearish outlook ko shift kar chuki hain. Adage ke mutabiq, "the trend is your friend," is waqt downward movement ke continuation ke chances zyada hain.

USD/JPY ke Fundamentals:

Reuters ke mutabiq, senior ruling party official Toshimitsu Motegi ne Bank of Japan (BoJ) ko monetary policy normalize karne ke plans ko clear communicate karne ki guzarish ki hai, jisme gradual interest rate hikes shamil hain. Prime Minister Fumio Kishida ne is sentiment ko echo kiya, yeh suggest karte hue ke aisa move Japan ki growth-driven economy ke shift ko support karega. Lekin, recent economic data mixed picture dikhati hai. Jibun Bank Japan Manufacturing PMI July mein 49.2 tak gir gaya hai, jo ke June ke 50.0 se kam hai aur market expectations ko miss karta hai, factory activity mein April ke baad pehli dafa decline ko indicate karta hai. Iske bawajood, Services PMI 53.9 tak barh gaya hai, jo ke April ke baad se service sector mein sabse zyada growth hai.

Economic landscape ko further complicate karte hue, Japanese Cabinet Office ne July ke liye economic assessment ko maintain kiya lekin caution outlook ko apne monthly report mein diya. Government ne exports ki evaluation ko bhi downgrade kiya, stagnation ko note karte hue. Japan Corporate Service Price Index (CSPI) ne June mein saal-dar-saal 3.0% ka increase dekha, jo ke pehle ke 2.7% se zyada hai, aur yeh nine saal mein sabse tez inflation ki raftar ko indicate karta hai.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Technical taur par, agar 50-week Simple Moving Average ke neeche aur major uptrend line jo ke 143.50 ke aas-paas hai ke neeche breach hota hai to yeh long-term trend ke reversal ka signal hoga. Aise mein potential downside targets 141.61 ke aas-paas honge, aur further support 136.88 par hoga. Dusri taraf, agar USD/JPY buyers ko control wapas chahiye to unhein pair ko 146.00 level ke upar push karna hoga aur Kumo cloud ke upar sustain karna hoga.

USD/JPY currency pair ne kafi arsay se bearish trend dikhaya hai. Haal hi mein, yeh pair thoda upar gaya tha aur 143.33 tak pohanch gaya tha. Magar yeh upward movement ziada der tak nahi chal saka aur ab yeh wapas gir kar 140.58 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai. Is price action se yeh baat zahir hoti hai ke temporary recovery ke bawajood, broader bearish trend abhi bhi dominate kar raha hai.

Resistance aur Support Levels: Recent peak jo ke 143.33 tha, ek significant resistance level raha hai. Uske baad girawat ne yeh zahir kiya ke yeh level agay upward movement ke liye strong barrier ke tor par kaam kar raha hai. Is waqt, yeh pair is resistance ke neeche aur monthly support level jo ke 140.58 ke aas paas hai, trade kar raha hai. Ek critical support level 143.54 hai; agar price is level se neeche break karti hai, to yeh strong bearish trend ko zahir karega aur mazeed monthly support levels test kar sakti hai.

Bearish Dominance: USD/JPY mein prolong bearish trend ka matlab hai ke pair par downward pressure barqarar hai. Upward momentum ko maintain na karna aur recent girawat yeh highlight karta hai ke bearish sentiment strong hai. Iska sabab mukhtalif factors ho sakte hain, jese ke Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan ke darmiyan monetary policies ka difference, economic data, ya phir market sentiment.

Potential Price Action: Agar USD/JPY 143.54 level se neeche break karta hai, to yeh monthly support levels ko test kar sakta hai. 140.58 ke aas paas support ek key level ho sakta hai, aur agar yeh break hota hai, to mazeed girawat dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Traders ko price action ko qareebi tor par monitor karna chahiye taake additional support ya further bearish developments ke signs dekh sakein.

Movement ke Factors:

- Monetary Policy Divergence: Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan ke darmiyan monetary policy ka difference USD/JPY par bara asar daal sakta hai. Agar Fed ziada hawkish stance leta hai ya further rate hikes ki umeed hoti hai to USD strong ho sakta hai, magar agar Fed dovish stance signal karta hai to USD JPY ke muqable mein weak ho sakta hai.

- Economic Data: Key economic indicators jese ke inflation, employment figures, aur GDP growth dono US aur Japan se USD/JPY ko influence kar sakte hain. Weak US data ya strong Japanese data USD/JPY mein bearish trend ko barha sakti hai.

- Market Sentiment: Geopolitical events, global risk appetite, aur investor sentiment bhi apna kirdar ada karte hain. Koi bhi risk aversion ya safe-haven demand JPY ko support kar sakti hai aur USD/JPY par bearish pressure barha sakti hai.

USD/JPY currency pair ne clear bearish dominance dikhaya hai, aur recent price action ne upward momentum ko maintain karne mein mushkilat zahir ki hain. Pair ka rise 143.33 tak short-lived raha, aur 140.58 ke current level se yeh zahir hota hai ke bearish trend abhi bhi strong hai. Agar 143.54 resistance level break hota hai, to further downside potential confirm ho sakta hai, jo ke lower support levels ko test karega. Traders ko key technical levels aur economic indicators ko qareebi tor par monitor karna chahiye taake evolving market conditions ko effectively navigate kar sakein.

Technical Analysis of USD/JPY
Japanese yen ne last trading week mai apni position ko kuch mazid behtar kiya, aur kuch losses ko recover karne mai kamiyabi hasil ki, magar yeh minor decline ke bawajood hai. Price ne 147.45 level se rebound kiya aur 143.53 level tak pohanch gayi, jahan usko support mila, jisne iski decline ko mazid barhnay se roknay mai madad di. Abhi tak expected downward scenario puri tarah reverse nahi hua, aur yeh trend abhi tak continue hai. Price chart supertrend red zone mai hai, jo sellers ke taraf se increasing pressure ka izhar karta hai.

USD/JPY pair ne apni direct correlation US Treasury bonds ke yield ke sath tor di hai, jo ke dollar ki decline ke bawajood hui hai, jo Federal Reserve meeting ke results aur Jerome Powell ki Jackson Hole Forum mai speech ke baad dekhi gayi. Pair ne 144.51 ke close ke baad 143.93 tak girawat dekhi. Tuesday ko pair ne high of 145.17 se low of 143.91 tak ka safar kiya. Dollar Wall Street par lower close hua, jo losing streak ke continuation ka nateeja tha, jo last week ke aakhri din aur Federal Reserve meeting ke baad shuru hui thi.



Prices abhi slightly lower hai, aur recently reached weekly lows ke qareeb hai. Main resistance zone test hui thi magar yeh downward price reversal ko rokne mai kamiyab rahi, jis se downside vector abhi bhi priority mai hai. Agar price 145.81 level ke niche consolidate kar leti hai, jo central resistance zone ke qareeb hai, to yeh decline ka rasta clear karegi. Retest ke baad downward reversal ka scenario aik nayi wave ka raasta khol sakta hai, jo 140.80 aur 137.72 ke darmiyan target kar sakti hai.

Agar resistance break hoti hai aur price 149.19 reversal level ko tor deti hai, to yeh current scenario ko cancel karne ka signal hoga.

### Japanese Yen Trading Analysis aur Tips

**Price Test aur MACD Indicator:** Jab price 144.60 ka test kiya, MACD indicator already zero mark se kaafi niche aa chuka tha, jisne pair ke aage ke downward potential ko limit kar diya. Is wajah se maine dollar nahi becha aur pair ke downward movement ko miss kar diya. Halankeh US se acchi data ke bawajood, American dollar ko zyada support nahi mila. Pair ki decline kal se poori tarah se offset ho gayi, aaj ke Asian session ke dauran purchases se. Aisa lagta nahi ke yen ka strengthening Bank of Japan ke Deputy Governor Ryozo Himino ke speech ki wajah se hai, isliye dollar ke bears shayad European session ke dauran jaldi se back karenge. Intraday strategy ke liye, main zyada tar scenarios No. 1 aur 2 par rely karunga.

**Buy Signal**

**Scenario No. 1:** Aaj, main USD/JPY ko 144.69 ke entry point par buy karne ka plan kar raha hoon, jo green line se chart par plot kiya gaya hai, with the goal to rise to 145.32, jo thicker green line se chart par plot kiya gaya hai. 145.32 ke area par, main long positions exit karunga aur opposite direction mein short positions open karunga, expecting a movement of 30-35 pips in the opposite direction. Aaj pair ke upward correction ke framework mein rise karne ki ummeed hai. Important: Buy karne se pehle, ensure karna ke MACD indicator zero mark se upar hai aur us se rise karna shuru kar raha hai.

**Scenario No. 2:** Main USD/JPY ko aaj bhi buy karne ka plan kar raha hoon agar 144.30 ke do consecutive tests hon, jab MACD indicator oversold area mein hoga. Yeh pair ke downward potential ko limit karega aur market ke upward turnaround ki taraf le jayega. Hum 144.69 aur 145.32 ke opposite levels tak growth ki ummeed kar sakte hain.

**Sell Signal**

**Scenario No. 1:** Main USD/JPY ko aaj sirf tab bechne ka plan kar raha hoon jab 144.30 ka level test ho, jo pair mein tezi se decline laayega. Sellers ke liye key target 143.76 hoga, jahan main short positions exit karunga aur immediately opposite direction mein long positions open karunga, expecting a movement of 20-25 pips in the opposite direction. USD/JPY par pressure kabhi bhi wapas aa sakta hai, kyunki dollar ke bearish market khatam nahi hue hain. Important: Sell karne se pehle, ensure karna ke MACD indicator zero mark se niche hai aur decline hona shuru kar raha hai.

**Scenario No. 2:** Main USD/JPY ko aaj bhi bechne ka plan kar raha hoon agar 144.69 ke do consecutive tests hon, jab MACD indicator overbought area mein hoga. Yeh pair ke upward potential ko limit karega aur market ke downturn ki taraf le jayega. Hum 144.30 aur 143.76 ke opposite levels tak decline ki ummeed kar sakte hain

Technical Analysis of USD/CAD
Hello everyone, aaj price bearish trend mai chal rahi hai. Agar 1.3610 level ke niche breakout hota hai, to price 1.3510 tak pohanch sakti hai. Canadian dollar ne last trading week mai apni position ko strengthen kiya, aur almost non-stop new highs tak pohanch gayi. Price ne foran hi 1.3616 level ko tor diya aur retest ke baad iske niche consolidate kar gayi, aur phir yeh decline karte hue 1.3443 level tak aayi. Yeh expected scene tha, jo puri tarah realize hua, aur target area achieve ho gaya. Price chart abhi bhi super-trend red zone mai hai, jo ongoing pressure from sellers ka izhar karta hai.

US dollar ne Tuesday ko lower close kiya, European currencies aur gold futures rise hui, jabke US dollar ne positive data aur market risk appetite ke improve hone ke bawajood decline dekhi, aur Federal Reserve ke interest rate cut expectations bhi is decline ka sabab bani. US Dollar Index 100.74 points tak gir gaya jo ke pehle 100.85 close hua tha. Current session mai index ne high of 100.93 aur low of 100.71 points tak ka safar kiya.



Prices abhi sharply lower trade kar rahi hain, weekly lows ke qareeb. Key resistance area abhi tak test nahi hui hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke bearish trend abhi bhi relevant hai. Agar price 1.3506 level ke niche consolidate kar leti hai, jo key resistance area ke qareeb hai, to yeh bearish trend ko continue karne mai madad karegi. Retest aur uske baad rebound, ek mazid decline ka chance dega, jo area between 1.3377 aur 1.3320 ko target karega.

Agar resistance break hoti hai aur price 1.3563 reversal level ko tor deti hai, to yeh current scenario ko cancel karne ka signal hoga.

Jahan baqi currency pairs ek clear trend ke saath ek direction mein trading kar rahe hain, USD/JPY filhal correction mein hai. Yeh price ka correction kaafi waqt se chal raha hai. Is dauran ek internal pattern bhi ban gaya hai jo relevant movement dikhata hai. Price 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level tak correct hui hai, aur phir 14.6% aur 9% tak retrace hui hai. Price mein ek pattern hai, lekin main zyada increase dekhna chahunga. Price ne lower support level ko test kiya aur thoda uthi. Pattern ke mutabiq target 61.8% level par hai, aur is tak pohnchne ke liye practically minimum se shuru karna padega. Lekin overall, weekly bullish trend ko dekhte hue, yeh kaha ja sakta hai ke USD/JPY ke buyers ko aisa growth dekhne ka chance mil sakta hai.

Agar short mein dekha jaye to main growth ke haq mein hoon, lekin humein actual developments ko closely observe karna hoga. USD/JPY ka current correction aur internal pattern yeh indicate karta hai ke future mein upar ki taraf movement ho sakti hai. Trend ke analysis se yeh bhi lagta hai ke price ki upward potential abhi bhi intact hai aur future mein growth ke chances hain. Isliye, current market conditions ko dhyan mein rakhte hue, traders ko careful planning aur observation ki zarurat hai, taake wo timely decisions le sakain aur growth opportunities ka faida utha sakain.

Assalam-o-Alaikum sab ko! USD/JPY currency pair ne haal hi mein apni price action mein dilchasp tabdeeli dekhaayi hai. Kal shaam ko, yeh pair 146.10 ke level ke upar trade kar raha tha, jo ke pichle haftay ka low mark karta hai. Aisa lag raha tha ke uptrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai, lekin us ke baad se yeh pair wapas is key level ke neeche aa gaya hai, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke bearish scenario ab momentum hasil kar raha hai. Is reversal se lagta hai ke sellers ab control apne haath mein le rahe hain, aur uptrend apni taqat kho raha hai. Technically dekha jaye to, price ne apne pehle bearish impulse ke sath ascending channel ko breakout kar diya hai. Yeh breakout kafi ahem hai, kyun ke yeh market ke trend mein mumkinah tabdeeli ko zahir karta hai. Ab jo current downward movement hai, usay larger bearish pattern ke doosri wave ka hissa samjha ja sakta hai. Round level 146.00, jise pair ne haal hi mein breach kiya hai, ab ek strong resistance level ka kaam kar sakta hai. Yeh area un traders ke liye ideal entry point ho sakta hai jo short positions initiate karna chahte hain, kyun ke yeh overall bearish outlook ke sath align karta hai.
Is impulse ko dekhte hue, hum ek Fibonacci retracement grid apply kar sakte hain taake ongoing downtrend ke liye potential support levels aur targets ka andaza lagaya ja sake. 161.8% Fibonacci extension level aik critical target ke tor par samne aata hai, jo ke 142.80 ke aas paas situated hai. Halankeh yeh level foran qareeb nahi hai, yeh ek significant support area ko represent karta hai jo agle chand dino mein attention attract kar sakta hai. Yeh level current minimum ke qareeb bhi hai, jo ke bears ke liye downward momentum ka faida uthane ke liye aik zyada compelling target banata hai.

. USDJPY currency pair mein ek aham tabdeeli hui hai, jahan sellers ne dobara se control hasil kar liya hai aur price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain. Yeh downward movement bears ke liye ek aham recovery hai, jinhon ne apne peechle nuqsan cover kar liye hain aur market par apna dabao barhaya hai. Recent price action yeh dikhata hai ke bearish sentiment mein izafa ho gaya hai, jiss ne pair ke pehle ke kuch gains ko ulat diya hai. 146.86 level tak girawat yeh zahir karti hai ke sellers ki taqat barh gayi hai. Pehle bulls ne price ko ooper push kiya tha, lekin ab sellers market mein wapas aa gaye hain aur pehle ke bullish momentum ko khatam kar diya hai. Yeh tabdeeli yeh suggest karti hai ke market participants ab USDJPY pair ko bechne ke liye ziada raaghib hain, shayad badalte hue economic halaat, geopolitical factors, ya technical signals ke wajah se jo pehle ke uptrend ko kamzor kar rahe hain. 146.86 zone tak girawat khaas ahmiyat rakhti hai kyunke yeh ek critical support level hai jise traders ghore se dekh rahe hain. Agar sellers apni momentum barqarar rakhte hain aur price ko is level se neeche le jate hain, to yeh ek lambe downtrend ki shuruaat ka ishara ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, USDJPY par yeh bearish pressure ziada economic concerns ka aks ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar U.S. dollar kamzor ho raha hai due to softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke wajah se, to yeh pair ke decline mein ek sabab ban sakta hai. Dosri taraf, Japanese yen mein mazid taqat, shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ke wajah se, is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai. Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli both challenges aur opportunities paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara ghore se dekhni par sakti hai, khaaskar agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar bearish momentum barhti hai. Bunyadi baat yeh hogi ke dekhna hoga ke USDJPY pair 146.86 level ke ird gird kis tarah behave karta hai aur kya yeh zone reversal ka point banega ya sirf mazeed bearish action ke liye ek stepping stone banega. USDJPY pair ke recent price action se yeh zahir hota hai ke bearish sentiment mein ek shiddat aayi hai, jahan sellers ne successful push karke price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain. Yeh movement sirf sellers ki qabliyat ko zahir nahi karti ke unhone peechle nuqsan cover kar liye hain, balke yeh bhi dikhata hai ke unka market par naya control hai. Is shift ke implications door tak ja sakte hain, depend karta hai ke support at 146.86 hold karta hai ya mazeed declines ke liye raasta banata hai. Traders ko hoshiyaar rehna chahiye, kyunke agle kuch sessions shayad pair ke future direction ke bare mein critical insights provide karenge, jo iss evolving market landscape mein sahi position le ke trading opportunities provide kar sakte h

USD/JPY Technical Analysis: Short-Term Bullishness ko Long-Term Bearish Outlook mein Navigate Karna
Is analysis mein, hum USD/JPY currency pair ki technical aspects mein ghuste hain, iski current market behavior aur potential future movements ki insights offer karte hain. Latest data ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair mixed technical landscape mein navigate kar raha hai, short-term bullish trend ko long-term bearish outlook ke sath contrast karte hue.

*Current Price aur Moving Averages*

Analysis ke waqt, USD/JPY pair 50-day moving average (MA50) se upar trade kar raha hai lekin 200-day moving average (MA200) se neeche hai. Yeh setup short-term aur long-term trends mein divergence ko indicate karta hai. Khaskar, price MA50 se upar hone se immediate upward momentum ka suggestion hai, short-term mein bullish bias ko hint karte hue. Lekin, price MA200 se neeche hone se broader context mein bearish sentiment ko underscore karta hai, jo pair ke key resistance levels ko approach karne par phir se assert ho sakta hai.

*Trend Analysis*

USD/JPY pair ki current positioning MA50 se upar short-term strength ko reflect karta hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ki buyers currently control mein hain, price ko higher drive karte hue. Lekin, traders ko cautious rehna chahiye jab price MA200 ko approach karta hai. Historically, MA200 significant trend indicator hai; agar price is level se upar break nahi karta hai, to yeh broader downtrend ki resumption ko signal kar sakta hai, sellers ko dominance regain karne ke liye.

*Support aur Resistance Levels*

Key support aur resistance levels USD/JPY pair ki next move ko determine karne mein crucial hain:

- *Support*: Immediate support level MA50 ke qareeb hai. Agar price is level se neeche drop karta hai, to yeh short-term bullish scenario ko negate kar sakta hai aur further declines ki taraf pave kar sakta hai. Yeh support level bulls ke liye critical line of defense hai aur isko closely monitor karna zaroori hai.

- *Resistance*: Upside par, resistance 148.50 to 149.00 range mein expected hai. Agar price is levels se upar break karta hai, to yeh further buying opportunities ko signal kar sakta hai, potentially higher resistance zones ki retest ko lead karte hue. Lekin, agar price is levels se upar nahi nikalta hai, to yeh reversal ko trigger kar sakta hai, longer-term bearish outlook ko reaffirm karte hue.

*Technical Indicators*

*Relative Strength Index (RSI)* bhi key indicator hai. Agar RSI 50 se upar hai, to yeh typically bullish momentum ko confirm karta hai, further gains ke liye case ko support karte hue. Lekin, agar RSI overbought territory mein enter karta hai (70 se upar), to yeh suggest kar sakta hai ki

USD/JPY Forum Analysis, Forecast
August 28, 2024

USDJPY currency pair filhal niche jaane mein mushkil mehsoos kar raha hai. Is mahine ke shuruat se market khulte hi price Simple Moving Average 60 aur 150 indicators ke niche gir gayi hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke market ab bhi strong bearish condition mein hai. Yeh decline situation market ke last month ke trend ke mutabiq hai, jahan candlestick ab bhi decline phase mein hai.

Weekly timeframe mein bearish candlestick formation se yeh clear hota hai ke bearish trend lagbhag saat consecutive weeks se chal raha hai, aur is condition se sellers ko zyada confidence mil raha hai apni market par aur pressure daalne ka. Agar aaj ke market ko nazar se dekha jaye to abhi bhi sideways movement dekhi ja rahi hai 144.46 price level ke range mein. Lekin, mere estimation ke mutabiq, yeh increase sirf temporary hai aur price zyada chances ke saath bearish trend ki taraf wapas jaayegi.

MACD indicator par histogram bar ka position abhi bhi consistently zero level ke niche hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke market bearish trend mein hai. Agle dinon mein bhi market mein bearish potential dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Market ko observe karte hue, yeh umeed hai ke sellers price ko dobara niche le jaayenge. Aakhri do hafton ke trend ko dekhte hue, USDJPY currency pair situation ab bhi seller troops ke control mein hai.

Filhal, aise movements par dhyan dena behtar hai jo bearish trend ko continue karne ki potential rakhti hain. Halankeh market abhi bhi Asian session mein hai, lekin agle price ke liye umeed hai ke price bearish trend ki taraf move karegi aur 144.00 ke price level range ko test karegi. Mera khayal hai ke aaj raat se kal raat tak SELL trading option ko chunna behtar hoga. Seller troops market ko ab bhi dominate karte rahne ki umeed hai.

Roman Urdu mein:

US dollar aur Japanese yen ke exchange rate par hamari tawajjah hai. USD/JPY ne recent high se drop kiya hai, lekin recovery modest raha hai aur upward correction mere nazariye mein substantial nahi hai. Market mere views se hamesha align nahi karta, lekin bearish trend likely hai.

Lekin, upcoming week ya do hafte mein, agar price 150.01 level ko surpass kar sake, to upward trajectory ka continuation possible hai. Broader financial landscape mein, US dollar ki brief strengthening beneficial ho sakti hai.

Fibonacci grid ke mutabiq, price increase 156.65 (9%) se pehle decline 132.46 (50%) ka logical expectation hai.

Friday ko currency pair ko selling pressure ka samna karna pada. Monday ko, main technical indicators ka analysis karunga, market ka next move predict karne ke liye, bearish trend ka persistence ya alternative scenario ka unfold hone ka.

Current signals declining market trend ko point karte hain. Japan se Monday ko koi notable announcements ki expectation nahi hai, kyunki yeh public holiday hai. US important information release karne wala hai, lekin outlook neutral hai.

In circumstances mein, currency pair range mein trade karne ka expectation hai. Selling pressure price ko support level 145.46 par la sakti hai, jabki buying interest 147.91 resistance level par le ja sakti hai.

US dollar Japanese yen ke against ground khote ja raha hai, Treasury bond yields ke decline ke saath. Recent market turbulence ke baad, traders settle down ho gaye hain. Bank of Japan ke statement ne yen par pressure add kiya hai.

USD/JPY pair ko 145.99 aur 146.79 ke range mein support hai, aur agar yeh 145.99 ke neeche drop karta hai, to additional downward momentum mil sakta hai. Risk appetite ke return ke saath, USD/JPY ne apne downward trend ko resume kar diya hai. Buyers ne weekly high 147.88 ko break nahi kiya, jis se pair ko 146.99 ke neeche decline kar diya hai. Momentum

USD/JPY Pair ka Jaiza: Bearish Momentum Jari Hai
Sabhi forum enthusiasts ko greetings! USD/JPY pair mein neeche ki taraf ka trend jari hai. Aise significant drop ke baad, healthy pullback zaroori hai. Lekin abhi bhi neeche jaane ki gunjaishein hain. Bank of Japan ka recent rate hike yen ko mazboot kar raha hai. U.S. labor market data bhi crucial hai. Main personally is level par trade nahi kar raha, lekin agar 155.50 se upar jaaye to shorting opportunities par focus karunga.

Current Market Conditions

Bank of Japan Rate Hike: Bank of Japan ka recent interest rate increase yen ko support kar raha hai. Ye policy shift USD/JPY pair ki bearish momentum ka key factor hai.

U.S. Labor Market Data: U.S. labor market data market sentiment aur USD/JPY pair ki direction ko influence kar sakta hai.

Technical Indicators

Envelopes Indicator: Downward trend ka continuation dikha raha hai.

Momentum Indicator: Strong sell signal de raha hai.

MACD: Negative zone mein rehta hai, aur price decline ki signal de raha hai.

Standard Deviation (StdDev) Indicator: Sellers ko support kar raha hai.

Recent Trading Activity

Kal, USD/JPY pair ko early trading mein 149.77 par resistance mila. Is level ko cross nahi kar saka, aur price decline hoker 146.41 par pahunch gaya. Closing price 146.51 par hai. Ye movement bearish outlook ko mazboot kar raha hai.

Strategic Considerations

Short Positions: Main 155.50 se upar jaane par shorting opportunities par focus karunga.

Pullback Potential: Downward trend ke bawajood, pullback mumkin hai. Market conditions badalte rehne par vigilant rehna zaroori hai.

Risk Management aur Outlook

Stop-Loss Orders: Key resistance aur support levels par stop-loss orders lagan zaroori hai.

Breakeven Strategy: Position profit mein aaye to stop-loss ko breakeven par le jaane se gains protect ho sakte hain.

Position Sizing: Market volatility ko withstand karne ke liye appropriate position sizing zaroori hai.

Mid-Term Projection

Current technical setup aur market conditions ko dekhte hue, USD/JPY pair neeche ki taraf jaane ka probability hai. Bank of Japan ki interest rate policy aur U.S. labor market data pair ki direction ko shape karne mein

se ke maine pehle bhi bataya tha, mera main reference point senior time frame tha, jahn price behavior ko weekly chart ke hawale se analyze kiya gaya tha. Main aapko yaad dilana chahta hoon ke price action method pehle istemal hui thi, jahan candlestick pattern "Evening Star" ne diagonal support ke break hone ke baad ek tez girawat indicate ki thi, aur uske baad sellers ne kaafi arsay tak market apne control mein rakhi. Total girawat 1720 points thi, aur reference point Fibonacci level 88.2 tha, jo ek significant Moving Average (MA) se coincide kar raha tha. Maine yeh sab screen par draw kiya tha, jahan direction ruk gayi thi, aur price ne kafi upar move kiya. Mera yaqeen hai ke aane wale haftay mein hum 148.53 tak pohonch sakte hain, jo ke kam az kam 200 points ka move hoga. Main suggest karta hoon ke apne trading strategy ke mutabiq is plan ko dobara dekhein. Economic calendar mein Japan aur US dono se kaafi important news aa rahi hain, toh fundamentals bhi price action ko influence karenge USD/JPY currency pair ne upar ki taraf ek strong correction dekhi hai, lekin main filhaal in prices par sell karne mein ehtiyat mehsoos kar raha hoon. Dekhte hain agle hafta kya laata hai, kyun ke humein abhi yeh weekend guzarni hai. Main yeh nahi keh raha ke market mein kuch bhi fixed hai, lekin Middle East mein naye tensions hain, aur agar kuch hota hai, toh Monday ko market khulte hi surprises dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Lekin kisi bhi surat mein, yeh Japanese yen ko mazid strong kar sakta hai. Bearish trend abhi bhi relevant hai, aur agar Monday ko prices 147.90 mark se upar break nahi karti, toh phir market mein sell karne ke liye enter karne ka waqt ho sakta hai. Phir bhi, weekend par is idea ka tajzia karenge, tamam fundamental factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue final faisla karne se pehle Meri analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ke paas abhi bhi upar jane ka chance hai kyun ke candle ne middle Bollinger Band line ko penetrate kiya hai. Lekin ehtiyat se kaam lena zaroori hai, kyun ke candle ab tak MA50 line ko penetrate nahi kar payi hai. Yahan se ek rebound ho sakta hai jo price ko niche le jaye. Yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke yeh scenario play out ho, aur hum price distribution ke agle phase mein dakhil ho jayein jab zyada tar market participants yeh samajhne lagen ke corrective rollback khatam ho gaya hai, aur is point se selling shuru ho jaye. Lekin agar yeh puppeteer trap kaam kar jata hai, toh is scenario ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair bina kisi rollback ke seedha 159.13 tak ja sakta hai, aur agar aisa hota hai, toh market wahan se kafi gir sakti hai Main predict karta hoon ke USD/JPY abhi bhi rise karega, kyun ke H1 support price 145.88 ab tak break nahi hui hai. Is liye, main recommend karta hoon ke jo log is pair mein trade kar rahe hain, woh sirf buy positions par focus karein. Aap apna take profit target 151.20 par set kar sakte hain aur stop loss 145.45 par rakh sakte hain

Hamari guftagu USD/JPY currency pair ke mojooda pricing behavior ke gird ghoom rahi hai, jo hum analyze kar rahe hain. USD/JPY pair support line ke neeche chali gayi hai, jise Marlin oscillator ka support hai jo neeche ki taraf trend kar raha hai aur negative territory mein enter ho chuka hai. Trend line, jo 146.59 level ke qareeb hai, is baat ki nishandahi kar rahi hai ke pair ki value mein mazeed kami ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, pair ne Ichimoku cloud ko upar se breach kar liya hai aur iske neeche consolidate ho gayi hai, jo ke bearish trend ka tasdeeq karti hai. Agar price apne aap ko 146.07 ke upar barqarar nahi rakh sakti, to is level ke neeche ek sell entry point banega, jo bears ko mazeed neeche le jane ka mauqa dega, aur agla target 144.02 ka support level hoga. Aaj ka candle daily chart par bearish hai magar ismein kafi lambi lower wick hai, jo downward pressure ko zahir kar rahi hai.
USD/JPY pair apni decline ko continue karne wali hai, jo Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan ki divergent monetary policies se mutasir ho rahi hai. US Central Bank ke interest rates kam karne ki umeed hai, jabke Japanese Central Bank ke rates barhane ki. US aur Japanese bonds ke darmiyan narrowing yield spread yen ko dollar ke muqablay mein mazboot kar raha hai. Aaj ke 299 points ke decline ke bawajood, jo ke sparse economic calendar ke bawajood hua, main abhi bhi kisi bhi buying ko intraday correction ka hissa samajhta hoon. H4 time frame par, pair apne descending channel se bahar aayi hai, jo is baat ka imkaan hai ke 140 level par wapas ja sake. Local reversal sirf tab ho sakta hai jab price dobara channel mein aaye aur 147.59 level ko breach kare, target karte hue round figure 149 ko. Aaj, bearish pressure ke neeche, USD/JPY pair 145.17 tak gir gayi, aur 146.07 ke support level ko tod diya. Price is waqt is level ke upar consolidate karne ki koshish kar rahi haihai

USD/JPY ki price direction ka tajziya ye hai ke recent mein USD/JPY ne 144.53 ke support level ko tod diya hai, jo ke is baat ka izhaar hai ke downtrend continue kar sakta hai. Is breakout ke baad 99 points ka girawat hua, aur pair ne thodi upar ki taraf correction ki koshish ki, jahan buyers ne kuch zameen wapas hasil ki aur resistance level 144.53 tak pohnch gaya. Is point se, behtaar hoga ke sell positions open ki jayein, aur 140-141 ke range tak decline ka target rakha jaye. Agar pair 144.53 ke resistance se upar rebound karta hai, to recovery continue ho sakti hai aur agle resistance 146.38 ki taraf badh sakti hai. Hourly chart par ek ascending channel, jo flag jaisa lag raha hai, ye suggest karta hai ke downtrend phir se shuru ho sakta hai. Lekin H4 chart par, pair ek descending channel mein hai, jo ke lower boundary se bounce ho raha hai. Agar price 144.49 ko todti hai, to buying with a target of 145.69 ek acha strategy ho sakti hai.


Is ke sath, market ke signs hain ke recent low 141.70 ke breakdown ke liye tayari ho rahi hai. 4-hour chart par, bears poore downtrend ko resume karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Price 143.43 ke support level ke 1/12 angle aur 74% ke position par hai, jo ke aakhri significant support 141.70 se thoda upar hai. Ye level bearish traders ke liye ek key target ban sakta hai. Thodi consolidation ke baad, pair aur zyada bearish ho sakta hai. Lekin, Bank of Japan ke liye ye lagta hai ke woh USD/JPY pair ke significant drop ko rokne ki koshish karega. Unho ne currency interventions ke potential signals diye hain agar yen ki value sharply fluctuate karti hai, jo ke yen ko kamzor kar sakta hai agar woh zyada strong ho jaye. Is liye, 129 ka target realistic nahi lagta, kyunki Bank of Japan 139 ke aas paas intervene kar sakta hai, aur apne currency ko kamzor karne ke liye billions of yen inject kar sakta hai.