usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY Qeemton Ka Jaiza

Hamari guftagu USD/JPY currency pair ki taaza qeemton ka jaiza karne par focus karti hai. USD/JPY ki current qeemat 146.58 hai. Is haftay ke shuru mein, pair ne bullish boundary ko tor diya, jis se zigzags ban gaye. Is liye, main bullish nazarie ke saath zaada comfortable hoon, short opportunities ki talash karna band kar diya hai.

Main ne do ahem levels - 145.69 aur 146.99 - ko identify kiya hai, jahan se main movement ko catch karna chahta hoon. In levels ke beech kuch consolidation dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Sirf decisive break hi mujhe position kholne ke liye majboor karega.

Agar Asian traders 146.99 ko morning mein tor dete hain aur break karte hain, to European speculators qeemat ko aur upar le jayenge. Mere primary targets 147.89 aur phir 149.99 ke upar hain.

Kya main isko kharidunga? Haan, main 147.09 se enter karoonga, 146.79 par stop ke saath. Agar 145.69 ke neeche breakdown hota hai, to yeh naye descent ki lhar ko confirm karega, aur behtareen selling point 145.49 par hoga, 145.79 par stop ke saath.

Nearest depth markers ke liye, main chart par do levels dekh raha hoon: 143.74 aur 143.09.

USD/JPY pair Treasury bond yields ke decline ke saath ground khote ja raha hai. Overall, traders ne recent market volatility ke baad settle down kar liya hai. Bank of Japan ke comments ne yen par pressure add kiya hai. Nearest support USD/JPY ke liye 145.99 aur 146.79 ke beech hai. Agar 145.99 ke neeche move hota hai, to additional downward momentum mil sakta hai.

Risk appetite ke return ke saath, USD/JPY ne apne downtrend ko resume kar diya hai. Buyers ne weekly high 147.88 ko break nahi kiya, jis se pair ko 146.99 ke neeche drop kar diya hai. Momentum abhi bhi bearish hai, lekin Relative Strength Index (RSI) oversold territory ke qareeb hai

Roman Urdu mein:

US dollar aur Japanese yen ke exchange rate par hamari tawajjah hai. USD/JPY ne recent high se drop kiya hai, lekin recovery modest raha hai aur upward correction mere nazariye mein substantial nahi hai. Market mere views se hamesha align nahi karta, lekin bearish trend likely hai.

Lekin, upcoming week ya do hafte mein, agar price 150.01 level ko surpass kar sake, to upward trajectory ka continuation possible hai. Broader financial landscape mein, US dollar ki brief strengthening beneficial ho sakti hai.

Fibonacci grid ke mutabiq, price increase 156.65 (9%) se pehle decline 132.46 (50%) ka logical expectation hai.

Friday ko currency pair ko selling pressure ka samna karna pada. Monday ko, main technical indicators ka analysis karunga, market ka next move predict karne ke liye, bearish trend ka persistence ya alternative scenario ka unfold hone ka.

Current signals declining market trend ko point karte hain. Japan se Monday ko koi notable announcements ki expectation nahi hai, kyunki yeh public holiday hai. US important information release karne wala hai, lekin outlook neutral hai.

In circumstances mein, currency pair range mein trade karne ka expectation hai. Selling pressure price ko support level 145.46 par la sakti hai, jabki buying interest 147.91 resistance level par le ja sakti hai.

US dollar Japanese yen ke against ground khote ja raha hai, Treasury bond yields ke decline ke saath. Recent market turbulence ke baad, traders settle down ho gaye hain. Bank of Japan ke statement ne yen par pressure add kiya hai.

USD/JPY pair ko 145.99 aur 146.79 ke range mein support hai, aur agar yeh 145.99 ke neeche drop karta hai, to additional downward momentum mil sakta hai. Risk appetite ke return ke saath, USD/JPY ne apne downward trend ko resume kar diya hai. Buyers ne weekly high 147.88 ko break nahi kiya, jis se pair ko 146.99 ke neeche decline kar diya hai. Momentum abhi bhi bearish hai, lekin RSI oversold territory ke qareeb hai

USDJPY ne last few sessions mein very strong seller pressure dikhai hai. Impulsive bearish candles se ye dekhne mein aaya hai, jo EMA 50 aur EMA 100 ke do levels ko penetrate karne mein kamyab rahe. Ye strong indication hai ki bearish trend market ko dominate kar raha hai. Price movement support level 146,429 ko test karta raha hai, jo finally penetrate kiya gaya. Ye bearish movement high level 161,639 se shuru hua, phir decline karta raha until critical support level 146,429 par pahunch gaya. Support level ke penetration se ye dikha hai ki sellers ko market par full control hai, prices ko lower push kar raha hai.
Technical analysis se, key support levels ke penetration ke baad bearish trend ka continuation hua hai, especially high trading volume aur negative market sentiment ke saath. Is case mein, EMA 50 aur EMA 100 ko penetrate karne ke baad bearish pressure continue hone ka possibility hai. Next possible target decline ke liye 140,731 ke level par hai. Ye level significant support level hai aur sellers ke liye target ho sakta hai.

H1 Hour Timeframe

USDJPY H1 timeframe par increasingly strong bearish movement dikha raha hai. EMA 50 aur EMA 100 ke direction se ye dekhne mein aaya hai, jo continue fall kar raha hai, seller dominance ko indicate karta hai. Important support level 151,900 ke penetration ne downward movement ka continuation trigger kiya hai, significant bearish strength ko dikha raha hai. Today's Asian session mein downward trend continue kar raha hai, sellers ko price movements par dominance dikha raha hai. Lekin technical analysis mein, strong bearish movement ke baad correction phase hoti hai, phir main trend continue hoti hai. My current trading plan upward correction ka wait kar raha hai, better sell momentum find karne ke liye. Area jo main watch kar raha hoon sell entry ke liye 146,522 - 147,428 ke aaspaas hai. Ye area potential resistance level hai jo price se retest ki ja sakti hai

Assalam-o-Alaikum sab ko! USD/JPY currency pair ne haal hi mein apni price action mein dilchasp tabdeeli dekhaayi hai. Kal shaam ko, yeh pair 146.10 ke level ke upar trade kar raha tha, jo ke pichle haftay ka low mark karta hai. Aisa lag raha tha ke uptrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai, lekin us ke baad se yeh pair wapas is key level ke neeche aa gaya hai, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke bearish scenario ab momentum hasil kar raha hai. Is reversal se lagta hai ke sellers ab control apne haath mein le rahe hain, aur uptrend apni taqat kho raha hai.
Technically dekha jaye to, price ne apne pehle bearish impulse ke sath ascending channel ko breakout kar diya hai. Yeh breakout kafi ahem hai, kyun ke yeh market ke trend mein mumkinah tabdeeli ko zahir karta hai. Ab jo current downward movement hai, usay larger bearish pattern ke doosri wave ka hissa samjha ja sakta hai. Round level 146.00, jise pair ne haal hi mein breach kiya hai, ab ek strong resistance level ka kaam kar sakta hai. Yeh area un traders ke liye ideal entry point ho sakta hai jo short positions initiate karna chahte hain, kyun ke yeh overall bearish outlook ke sath align karta hai.

Is impulse ko dekhte hue, hum ek Fibonacci retracement grid apply kar sakte hain taake ongoing downtrend ke liye potential support levels aur targets ka andaza lagaya ja sake. 161.8% Fibonacci extension level aik critical target ke tor par samne aata hai, jo ke 142.80 ke aas paas situated hai. Halankeh yeh level foran qareeb nahi hai, yeh ek significant support area ko represent karta hai jo agle chand dino mein attention attract kar sakta hai. Yeh level current minimum ke qareeb bhi hai, jo ke bears ke liye downward momentum ka faida uthane ke liye aik zyada compelling target banata hai.

**Technical Analysis**

Mangal ke subah, US dollar ne Japanese yen ke muqablay mein bohot zyada volatility dekhi, jo ke market mein continued uncertainty ko reflect karta hai. Jaise jaise market uptrend line ko test karta hai, traders agle direction ko lekar skeptical hain. Agar dollar higher break karne mein kamiyab hota hai, to iska target ¥148.50 level ho sakta hai, jo ek key area hai jo pehle bhi attention attract kar chuka hai aur agar phir se revisit hota hai to waisa hi ho sakta hai.

Ye level ek wider consolidation range ka top hai aur isse upar ki movement ¥150 level ke challenge ke liye raasta tay kar sakti hai. Iske muqablay, agar dollar ¥143 level ke neeche break kar jata hai, to ye significant decline ka sabab ban sakta hai, aur ek bade move lower ke liye darwaza khol sakta hai. Is waqt ka scenario ye darshata hai ke market indecision ki state mein hai aur dekh raha hai ke kya carry trade return de sakti hai.

Bahut si uncertainties hain, lekin ek notable technical development hai "death cross," jahan 50-day EMA ne 200-day EMA ko cross kiya hai. Jabke ye aam taur par bearish signal maana jata hai, lekin ye aksar actual market movements ke piche hota hai. Is wajah se market sideways trade karta rahega aur choppy action dekhne ko mil sakta hai, kam se kam Friday tak jab PCE core data release hoga. Ye numbers Federal Reserve ko inflation situation ka clearer picture denge, jo phir market movement ko influence kar sakti hai.

Summary mein, US dollar ka yen ke muqablay mein performance abhi bhi uncertain hai, jahan key levels potential pivot points ka kaam kar rahe hain. Agla bada move market ka aane wale economic data par depend karega aur ye traders ke future monetary policy measures ke perceptions ko kaise affect karta hai.

Jaise ke maine pehle bhi bataya tha, mera main reference point senior time frame tha, jahan price behavior ko weekly chart ke hawale se analyze kiya gaya tha. Main aapko yaad dilana chahta hoon ke price action method pehle istemal hui thi, jahan candlestick pattern "Evening Star" ne diagonal support ke break hone ke baad ek tez girawat indicate ki thi, aur uske baad sellers ne kaafi arsay tak market apne control mein rakhi. Total girawat 1720 points thi, aur reference point Fibonacci level 88.2 tha, jo ek significant Moving Average (MA) se coincide kar raha tha. Maine yeh sab screen par draw kiya tha, jahan direction ruk gayi thi, aur price ne kafi upar move kiya. Mera yaqeen hai ke aane wale haftay mein hum 148.53 tak pohonch sakte hain, jo ke kam az kam 200 points ka move hoga. Main suggest karta hoon ke apne trading strategy ke mutabiq is plan ko dobara dekhein. Economic calendar mein Japan aur US dono se kaafi important news aa rahi hain, toh fundamentals bhi price action ko influence karenge USD/JPY currency pair ne upar ki taraf ek strong correction dekhi hai, lekin main filhaal in prices par sell karne mein ehtiyat mehsoos kar raha hoon. Dekhte hain agle hafta kya laata hai, kyun ke humein abhi yeh weekend guzarni hai. Main yeh nahi keh raha ke market mein kuch bhi fixed hai, lekin Middle East mein naye tensions hain, aur agar kuch hota hai, toh Monday ko market khulte hi surprises dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Lekin kisi bhi surat mein, yeh Japanese yen ko mazid strong kar sakta hai. Bearish trend abhi bhi relevant hai, aur agar Monday ko prices 147.90 mark se upar break nahi karti, toh phir market mein sell karne ke liye enter karne ka waqt ho sakta hai. Phir bhi, weekend par is idea ka tajzia karenge, tamam fundamental factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue final faisla karne se pehle Meri analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ke paas abhi bhi upar jane ka chance hai kyun ke candle ne middle Bollinger Band line ko penetrate kiya hai. Lekin ehtiyat se kaam lena zaroori hai, kyun ke candle ab tak MA50 line ko penetrate nahi kar payi hai. Yahan se ek rebound ho sakta hai jo price ko niche le jaye. Yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke yeh scenario play out ho, aur hum price distribution ke agle phase mein dakhil ho jayein jab zyada tar market participants yeh samajhne lagen ke corrective rollback khatam ho gaya hai, aur is point se selling shuru ho jaye. Lekin agar yeh puppeteer trap kaam kar jata hai, toh is scenario ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair bina kisi rollback ke seedha 159.13 tak ja sakta hai, aur agar aisa hota hai, toh market wahan se kafi gir sakti hai
Main predict karta hoon ke USD/JPY abhi bhi rise karega, kyun ke H1 support price 145.88 ab tak break nahi hui hai. Is liye, main recommend karta hoon ke jo log is pair mein trade kar rahe hain, woh sirf buy positions par focus karein. Aap apna take profit target 151.20 par set kar sakte hain aur stop loss 145.45 par rakh sakte hain

Yen ke Trades aur Tips ka Analysis**
146.28 ka price test tab huwa jab MACD indicator ne zero mark se kaafi upar move kiya, jo ke pair ke aage ke upar jane ke potential ko limit kar gaya. Is ke baad dollar gir gaya, aur 145.78 ka price test huwa. Ye MACD indicator ke zero mark se neeche move karne ke sath coincide hua aur Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ki speech bhi aayi, jo ke dollar bechne ke liye sahi entry point confirm karti hai. Fed chair ki dovish speech ne dollar selling aur Japanese yen buying ko trigger kiya, jiski wajah se pair 144.79 ke target level tak gir gaya, jahan se lagbhag 100 pips ka profit mila. Aaj, USD/JPY ki girawat continue ho sakti hai, isliye mai market ke prevailing downward trend ke sath trade karunga. Intraday strategy ke liye, mai zyada tar scenarios No. 1 aur 2 par rely karunga.

**Buy Signal**

**Scenario No. 1**: Aaj, mai USD/JPY ko 144.22 ke entry point par buy karunga, jo ke chart par green line se plot kiya gaya hai, aur mera goal 144.94 tak uthane ka hai, jo ke chart par thicker green line se plot kiya gaya hai. 144.94 ke area par long positions exit karunga aur ulte direction mein short positions open karunga, ummeed hai ke 30-35 pips ka movement ulte direction se milega. Aaj pair ke upar correction ke taur par uthane ki umeed hai. Important: Buy karne se pehle, ensure kar lein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke upar hai aur upar ki taraf move kar raha hai.

**Scenario No. 2**: Mai USD/JPY ko aaj buy karne ki bhi sochta hoon agar 143.74 ka do consecutive tests ho, jab MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Ye pair ke downward potential ko limit karega aur market ka reversal upturn ki taraf le jayega. Ummeed hai ke growth 144.22 aur 144.94 ke opposite levels tak pohchegi.

**Sell Signal**

**Scenario No. 1**: Mai USD/JPY ko aaj tab bechne ki sochta hoon jab 143.74 ka test ho, jo ke red line se chart par plot kiya gaya hai, jisse pair mein tez girawat hogi. Sellers ke liye key target 142.87 hoga, jahan mai short positions exit karunga aur turant opposite direction mein long positions open karunga, ummeed hai ke 20-25 pips ka movement opposite direction se milega. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, kyunki dollar ke bearish market khatam nahi hua hai. Important: Sell karne se pehle, ensure kar lein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke neeche hai aur decline kar raha hai.

**Scenario No. 2**: Mai USD/JPY ko aaj bechne ki bhi sochta hoon agar 144.22 ka do consecutive tests ho, jab MACD indicator overbought area mein ho. Ye pair ke upward potential ko limit karega aur market ka reversal downturn ki taraf le jayega. Ummeed hai ke decline 143.74 aur 142.87 ke opposite levels tak pohchegi

USDJPY Forum Analysis, Forecast August 27, 2024

M15 chart par price dynamics yeh dikhati hain ke buyers market par dominate karna shuru kar rahe hain. RBS area 144.25 se movement shuru kar ke price ne upar ki taraf move kiya hai. Yeh interesting hai ke yeh RBS area Blue EMA50 aur Purple EMA100 ke dynamic support se intersect karta hai, jo is support ko kaafi strong aur significant banata hai. Filhaal, upward movement Red EMA200 ke dynamic resistance se roki gayi hai, lekin initial penetration ho chuki hai, halankeh yeh itna solid nahi lagta. Lekin, agar hum kal banye hue momentum buy candle ko dekhein, to mujhe lagta hai ke M15 par movement Red EMA200 ko jaldi penetrate kar sakti hai, aur saath hi resistance area ko bhi le jaa sakti hai, jo blue zone mein chhupi hui supply hai, price 145.31 - 145.47 ke beech. H4 basis par yeh zone Blue EMA50 hai. Agar is process mein yeh significantly penetrate hota hai, to correction mein izafa hoga aur yellow zone 146.24 - 146.19 ki taraf badhega, jo H4 basis par Bollinger Bands ka top hai aur saath hi maximum correction limit bhi ban jati hai. Yahan se traders sell option target kar sakte hain.

TRADING SETUP

H4 par yeh clear hai ke bearish continuation signal dikhai de raha hai, aur filhaal upward correction price ek reentry sell setup create kar rahi hai. Yeh upward correction zaroor dynamic hogi, kyunke H4 basis par yeh aam tor par sirf MA5/MA10 High H4 tak hi pahunchti hai, lekin M15 basis par momentum buy candle ke emergence ke sath, Blue MA50 se H4 par top BB tak higher upward correction ka potential khula hua hai. Yahan se traders ek trading plan bana sakte hain up aur down ke potential ke sath:

BUY BREAKOUT agar candle Red EMA200 M15 ko break karke upar close hoti hai, TP blue resistance 145.31 - 145.47 par aur SL 144.25.

SELL LIMIT 145.90 - 146.00 par, SL 146.50 aur TP1 144.00 - TP2 142.39.


Mojooda price resistance level 144,732 ke neeche dekhi gayi hai, jahan par price ne kai baar test kiya hai. Agar price is resistance level ko mazbooti se penetrate kar leti hai, to bullish movement ke liye potential hai jo price ko upar le ja sakta hai. Lekin, agar price phir se is level par atki rahti hai, to price ka girna phir se support level 143,615 ki taraf ho sakta hai.

Pichli movement ko dekhte hue, price ne highest level 148,000 se significant decline dekha, phir support level 143,615 ke aas-paas ek naya low banaya. Yahan se, price ne upward retracement dekha, lekin resistance level 144,732 ko mazbooti se penetrate nahi kar paayi. Yeh dikhata hai ke bearish pressure ab bhi area mein kaafi strong hai, lekin is resistance level ke aas-paas correction ya consolidation ka potential bhi abhi khula hua hai.

Main aapko yaad dilana chahta hoon ke price action method pehle istemal hui thi, jahan candlestick pattern "Evening Star" ne diagonal support ke break hone ke baad ek tez girawat indicate ki thi, aur uske baad sellers ne kaafi arsay tak market apne control mein rakhi . Total girawat 1720 points thi, aur reference point Fibonacci level 88.2 tha, jo ek significant Moving Average (MA) se coincide kar raha tha. Maine yeh sab screen par draw kiya tha, jahan direction ruk gayi thi, aur price ne kafi upar move kiya. Mera yaqeen hai ke aane wale haftay mein hum 148.53 tak pohonch sakte hain, jo ke kam az kam 200 points ka move hoga. Main suggest karta hoon ke apne trading strategy ke mutabiq is plan ko dobara dekhein. Economic calendar mein Japan aur US dono se kaafi important news aa rahi hain, toh fundamentals bhi price action ko influence karenge USD/JPY currency pair ne upar ki taraf ek strong correction dekhi hai, lekin main filhaal in prices par sell karne mein mehsoos kar raha hoon. Dekhte hain agle hafta kya laata hai, kyun ke humein abhi yeh weekend guzarni hai. Main yeh nahi keh raha ke market mein kuch bhi fixed hai, lekin Middle East mein naye tensions hain, aur agar kuch hota hai, toh Monday ko market khulte hi surprises dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Lekin kisi bhi surat mein, yeh Japanese yen ko mazid strong kar sakta hai. Bearish trend abhi bhi relevant hai, aur agar Monday ko prices 147.90 mark se upar break nahi karti, toh phir market mein sell karne ke liye enter karne ka waqt ho sakta hai. Phir bhi, weekend par is idea ka tajzia karenge, okay fundamental factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue final faisla karne se pehle Meri analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ke paas abhi bhi upar jane ka chance hai kyun ke candle ne middle Bollinger Band line ko penetrate kiya hai. Lekin sikke se kaam lena zaroori hai, kyun ke candle ab tak MA50 line ko penetrate nahi kar payi hai. Yahan se ek rebound ho sakta hai jo price ko niche le jaye. Yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke yeh scenario play out ho, aur hum price distribution ke agle

trend mein izafa ka ishara hai. Agar buyers 161.51 price zone ko paar kar lein... Abhi ke doran USD/JPY apni trend line ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke buyers ki taqat ko darshata hai, aur yeh trend line support ka kaam kar rahi hai. Bullish rally ke barqarar rehne ke liye, lagta hai ke buyers ko 162.15 resistance level ko break karna hoga, jo ke trading channel ko open karega aur bulls ke liye movement ka potential faraham karega. Pehla target supply zone 160.47 par ho ga, jahan historically sellers ne prices ko niche dhakela hai.
Ek reverse movement towards short side bhi mumkin hai, magar bears ko pehle 160.24 support level ko break karna hoga, jahan se aksar price ne bounce back kiya hai. Bear strength us waqt confirm hogi jab price 160.31 ke broken level ke niche consolidate karegi, jo ke price weakness ko darshata hai.

Yeh khaas tor par USD/JPY market mein pichlay Wednesday ke doran dekha gaya jab price ne us trading session mein significant downward movement kiya. Choti time frame mein, price ko monitor kiya gaya hai aur yeh abhi 50-period Simple Moving Average line ke upar hai, jo ke ek slight upward correction ko darshata hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke aaj ke price position 154.00 - 155.23 ke area ke ird gird consolidate ho jaye, kyun ke yeh conditions aksar Tuesdays ko hoti hain jab market activity relatively quiet hoti hai.

Agar H1 timeframe mein market trend conditions ka jaiza liya jaye, to yeh clear hai ke yeh filhal ek downward phase mein hai, halan ke range zyada wide nahi hai. Iss hafte ka trend thora bearish hai, bawajood iske ke USD/JPY pair ne July 2024 ke aaghaz mein trading sessions ke baad upward move kiya. Yeh imply karta hai ke agar USD/JPY is level ke niche hold nahi kar sakta, to yeh agle support levels ki taraf ja sakta hai, jo ke mumkinan 168.00 ya is se niche ho sakti hain. Agar support hold karta hai, to ek rebound ho sakta hai, aur pair previous highs ko test kar sakta hai jo ke 168.70-169.00 ke aas paas hain

Hamari analysis ka mawzu USD/JPY currency pair ki qeemat ki halat par hai. Abhi haali mein USD/JPY pair ne 144.53 ke support level ko tor diya hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke downtrend jaari reh sakta hai. Breakout ke baad 99 points ki girawat ke bawajood, pair ne ek upward correction karne ki koshish ki, jisme buyers ne kuch zameen wapas haasil ki aur resistance level 144.53 tak pohanch gaya. Is maqam se sell positions kholna behtar hoga, aur mazeed girawat ka nishana 140-141 range tak rakhna chahiye. Agar pair 144.53 resistance ke upar rebound karta hai, toh recovery jaari reh sakti hai, jisme agla resistance 146.38 hoga. Hourly chart par ek ascending channel, jo ke ek flag ke jaisa lag raha hai, yeh ishara de raha hai ke downtrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Magar H4 chart par, pair ek descending channel mein hai, aur isne apni lower boundary se bounce liya hai. Agar qeemat 144.49 ko tor deti hai, toh 145.69 ka target rakh kar buying ka strategy viable ho sakta hai.

Is dauran kuch aise asaar hain ke market recent low 141.70 ka breakdown karne ki tayyari kar raha hai. 4-hour chart par, bears downtrend ko poori tarah se resume karne ke liye kaam kar rahe hain. Qeemat 143.43 ke support level par 1/12 aur 74% ke angle par hai, jo ke last significant support 141.70 se thodi upar hai. Yeh level bearish traders ke liye ek key target ho sakta hai. Kuch consolidation ke baad, pair mazeed bearish ho sakta hai. Lekin, Bank of Japan USD/JPY pair mein bohot zyada girawat hone nahi dega. Unho ne pehle hi currency interventions ke signals diye hain agar yen ki qeemat mein sakht farq aata hai, jo ke yen ko kamzor karne ke liye billions of yen inject kar sakta hai agar yeh bohot zyada mazboot hota hai. Isliye, 129 ka target realistic nahi lagta, kyunki Bank of Japan 139 ke aas-paas mudakhlat kar sakta hai.

Price dynamics M15 chart pe dekhain to buyers ab market mein dominate karna shuru kar rahay hain, 144.25 ke RBS area se movement shuru hui aur price ne successfuly upar move kiya. Yeh baat interesting hai ke yeh RBS area Blue EMA50 aur Purple EMA100 ki dynamic support se intersect karta hai, jo is support ko kaafi strong aur significant bana raha hai. Abhi upward movement ko Red EMA200 ki dynamic resistance rokh rahi hai, lekin pehli penetration ho chuki hai halan ke yeh zyada solid nahi lagti. Lekin agar hum momentum buy candle ko dekhein jo kal form hui thi, to mujhe lagta hai ke M15 pe yeh movement jald hi Red EMA200 ko penetrate kar sakti hai, aur iske sath hi resistance area mein increase la sakti hai jo hidden supply ke form mein blue zone 145.31 - 145.47 pe hai, H4 basis pe yeh zone Blue EMA50 hai. Agar yeh process significant tor pe penetrate hoti hai, to yeh correction ka increase 146.24 - 146.19 ke yellow zone ki taraf hoga jo H4 basis pe Bollinger Bands ka top hai, aur saath hi maximum correction limit ban jata hai. Yahan se traders sell option ko target kar sakte hain.

TRADING SETUP

H4 pe dekhain to clear bearish continuation signal appear ho chuka hai, aur abhi upward correction price ek reentry sell setup create kar raha hai. Yeh upward correction zaroori tor pe bohot dynamic hoga, kyunki H4 basis pe yeh generally sirf MA5/MA10 High H4 tak hi reach karta hai, lekin M15 basis pe momentum buy candle ke emergence ke sath, potential hai ke upward correction Blue MA50 se top BB H4 basis tak jaye. Yahan se traders potential up aur down ke trading plan bana sakte hain:

BUY BREAKOUT agar candle Red EMA200 M15 ke upar break kare aur close ho TP blue resistance 145.31 - 145.47 pe rakhen aur SL 144.25 pe.

SELL LIMIT 145.90 - 146.00 pe SL 146.50 aur TP1 144.00 - TP2 142.39 pe rakhen.








Current price 144.732 ke resistance level ke neeche dekhi ja sakti hai, kai tests ke baad iss level par rok gayi. Agar price yeh resistance level strongly penetrate karti hai, to aage further bullish movement ka potential hai jo price ko aur bhi upar le ja sakta hai. Lekin agar price phir iss level par ruk gayi, to yeh bhi mumkin hai ke price wapas neeche aakar 143.615 ke support level tak phir se decline kare.

Pehle ke movement mein hum dekh sakte hain ke price mein significant decline aaya tha highest level 148,000 se, phir new low 143.615 ke support level ke qareeb banaya. Yahan se price ne phir upward retracement experience kiya, lekin yeh resistance level 144.732 ko strongly penetrate nahi kar saki. Yeh dikhata hai ke bearish pressure is area mein ab bhi kaafi strong hai, lekin yeh potential bhi hai ke correction ya consolidation iss resistance level ke qareeb ho sakti hai.

Mazid yeh bhi mumkin hai ke US session se pehle kuch decline dekhne ko mile. Moving averages aur bullish channel ke upar breakout ne bearish pressure ko darshaya hai. Agar hourly chart analysis aur 15-minute chart ka jayeza liya jaye, to yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke current price ke upar moving average hone ke sabab, USD/JPY pair mein bullish trend ke continuation ka imkaan hai, jo ke ek higher zone tak ja sakta hai. Is hafte ke trend pattern mein ek narrow range mein uptrend ka zikar hai. Iss modest upward rally ko dekhte hue, yeh izafa agle hafte tak barqarar reh sakta hai, aur prices uptrend ko maintain kar sakti hain. Subah ki candlestick ne 100-period simple moving average ke upar close kiya, jo ke market trend mein izafa ka ishara hai. Agar buyers 161.51 price zone ko paar kar lein... Abhi ke doran USD/JPY apni trend line ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke buyers ki taqat ko darshata hai, aur yeh trend line support ka kaam kar rahi hai. Bullish rally ke barqarar rehne ke liye, lagta hai ke buyers ko 162.15 resistance level ko break karna hoga, jo ke trading channel ko open karega aur bulls ke liye movement ka potential faraham karega. Pehla target supply zone 160.47 par ho ga, jahan historically sellers ne prices ko niche dhakela hai.
Ek reverse movement towards short side bhi mumkin hai, magar bears ko pehle 160.24 support level ko break karna hoga, jahan se aksar price ne bounce back kiya hai. Bear strength us waqt confirm hogi jab price 160.31 ke broken level ke niche consolidate karegi, jo ke price weakness ko darshata hai.

Yeh khaas tor par USD/JPY market mein pichlay Wednesday ke doran dekha gaya jab price ne us trading session mein significant downward movement kiya. Choti time frame mein, price ko monitor kiya gaya hai aur yeh abhi 50-period Simple Moving Average line ke upar hai, jo ke ek slight upward correction ko darshata hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke aaj ke price position 154.00 - 155.23 ke area ke ird gird consolidate ho jaye, kyun ke yeh conditions aksar Tuesdays ko hoti hain jab market activity relatively quiet hoti hai.

Agar H1 timeframe mein market trend conditions ka jaiza liya jaye, to yeh clear hai ke yeh filhal ek downward phase mein hai, halan ke range zyada wide nahi hai. Iss hafte ka trend thora bearish hai, bawajood iske ke USD/JPY pair ne July 2024 ke aaghaz mein trading sessions ke baad upward move kiya. Yeh imply karta hai ke agar USD/JPY is level ke niche hold nahi kar sakta, to yeh agle support levels ki taraf ja sakta hai, jo ke mumkinan 168.00 ya is se niche ho sakti hain. Agar support hold karta hai, to ek rebound ho sakta hai, aur pair previous highs ko test kar sakta hai jo ke 168.70-169.00 ke aas paas hainhain

trend mein izafa ka ishara hai. Agar buyers 161.51 price zone ko paar kar lein... Abhi ke doran USD/JPY apni trend line ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke buyers ki taqat ko darshata hai, aur yeh trend line support ka kaam kar rahi hai. Bullish rally ke barqarar rehne ke liye, lagta hai ke buyers ko 162.15 resistance level ko break karna hoga, jo ke trading channel ko open karega aur bulls ke liye movement ka potential faraham karega. Pehla target supply zone 160.47 par ho ga, jahan historically sellers ne prices ko niche dhakela hai. Ek reverse movement towards short side bhi mumkin hai, magar bears ko pehle 160.24 support level ko break karna hoga, jahan se aksar price ne bounce back kiya hai. Bear strength us waqt confirm hogi jab price 160.31 ke broken level ke niche consolidate karegi, jo ke price weakness ko darshata hai.

Yeh khaas tor par USD/JPY market mein pichlay Wednesday ke doran dekha gaya jab price ne us trading session mein significant downward movement kiya. Choti time frame mein, price ko monitor kiya gaya hai aur yeh abhi 50-period Simple Moving Average line ke upar hai, jo ke ek slight upward correction ko darshata hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke aaj ke price position 154.00 - 155.23 ke area ke ird gird consolidate ho jaye, kyun ke yeh conditions aksar Tuesdays ko hoti hain jab market activity relatively quiet hoti hai.

Agar H1 timeframe mein market trend conditions ka jaiza liya jaye, to yeh clear hai ke yeh filhal ek downward phase mein hai, halan ke range zyada wide nahi hai. Iss hafte ka trend thora bearish hai, bawajood iske ke USD/JPY pair ne July 2024 ke aaghaz mein trading sessions ke baad upward move kiya. Yeh imply karta hai ke agar USD/JPY is level ke niche hold nahi kar sakta, to yeh agle support levels ki taraf ja sakta hai, jo ke mumkinan 168.00 ya is se niche ho sakti hain. Agar support hold karta hai, to ek rebound ho sakta hai, aur pair previous highs ko test kar sakta hai jo ke 168.70-169.00 ke aas paas hain

USDJPY ke price behavior ka mojooda tajziya guftagu ke liye hai. Kal ke trading mein, USDJPY currency pair phir se pressure mein raha aur kamzor hua, jab market aaj subah band hui to D1 time frame par ek bearish candle bani. Filhaal, USDJPY currency pair 143.82 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai, jo ke pehle din ke opening price se kam hai. Aaj ka daily candle position MA 24 aur MA 200 lines ke neeche hai, jabke stochastic indicator 5.3.3 level 20 par hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke sellers market ko dominate kar rahe hain.

Technical analysis ke ilawa, fundamental side se bhi dekhte hain, khas taur par USD index abhi bhi pressure mein hai aur kamzor ho raha hai, jo USDJPY market ki movement ko aaj bhi impact karega. Upar di gayi analysis ke mutabiq, aaj ke trading ke liye, USDJPY currency pair ka bearish trend continue hone ki ummeed hai. Hum is pair mein sell karne ke mauke dekh sakte hain, lekin hamesha money management ko behtar tareeqay se implement karte hue. Aaj ke trading plan ke liye, main 143.82 par sell order karne ke mauke dhoondunga, profit target 143.52 rakhunga aur stoploss 144.02 par place karunga. Lot volume ko apni trading account ki resilience ke mutabiq adjust karunga. USDJPY ki movement ko dekhte hue, yeh clearly nazar aata hai ke bearish movement ka wapas aane ka mauka ab bhi is pair mein ek ahem role ada kar raha hai. Halankeh kal bullish opportunity bhi mili thi aur price 145 tak bhi trade hui, lekin yeh upward movement itni strong nahi thi. Jaldi hi price ne wapas downward movement pakdi aur 144 ke important area ko bhi touch kiya.