USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Assalam-o-Alaikum sab ko! USD/JPY currency pair ne haal hi mein apni price action mein dilchasp tabdeeli dekhaayi hai. Kal shaam ko, yeh pair 146.10 ke level ke upar trade kar raha tha, jo ke pichle haftay ka low mark karta hai. Aisa lag raha tha ke uptrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai, lekin us ke baad se yeh pair wapas is key level ke neeche aa gaya hai, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke bearish scenario ab momentum hasil kar raha hai. Is reversal se lagta hai ke sellers ab control apne haath mein le rahe hain, aur uptrend apni taqat kho raha hai.
Technically dekha jaye to, price ne apne pehle bearish impulse ke sath ascending channel ko breakout kar diya hai. Yeh breakout kafi ahem hai, kyun ke yeh market ke trend mein mumkinah tabdeeli ko zahir karta hai. Ab jo current downward movement hai, usay larger bearish pattern ke doosri wave ka hissa samjha ja sakta hai. Round level 146.00, jise pair ne haal hi mein breach kiya hai, ab ek strong resistance level ka kaam kar sakta hai. Yeh area un traders ke liye ideal entry point ho sakta hai jo short positions initiate karna chahte hain, kyun ke yeh overall bearish outlook ke sath align karta hai.

Is impulse ko dekhte hue, hum ek Fibonacci retracement grid apply kar sakte hain taake ongoing downtrend ke liye potential support levels aur targets ka andaza lagaya ja sake. 161.8% Fibonacci extension level aik critical target ke tor par samne aata hai, jo ke 142.80 ke aas paas situated hai. Halankeh yeh level foran qareeb nahi hai, yeh ek significant support area ko represent karta hai jo agle chand dino mein attention attract kar sakta hai. Yeh level current minimum ke qareeb bhi hai, jo ke bears ke liye downward momentum ka faida uthane ke liye aik zyada compelling target banata hai.

USD/JPY currency pair mein anticipated bearish trend ek plausible scenario hai, lekin is trend ko fully materialize hone se pehle, hum ek notable upward movement dekh sakte hain. Yeh potential upswing brief strengthening of US dollar se drive ho sakta hai, jo catalyst ke taur par kaam karta hai, pair ko short term mein higher push karta hai. Aisa movement traders ko yeh sochna ke liye lure kar sakta hai ki bullish momentum continue hogi, lekin market later reverse ho jayegi, anticipated decline ko lead karti hai. Yeh situation traders ke liye caution ka message deta hai, kyunki market is period mein significant volatility exhibit kar sakta hai. Upward push sharp aur sudden ho sakta hai, false signals ke conditions create karta hai, especially unke liye jo short positions mein prematurely enter karna chahte hain. Yeh essential hai ki yeh upward movement broader bearish outlook ko negate nahi karta, lekin temporary phase ho sakta hai jo short-term factors se drive hota hai, jaise US se positive economic data ya brief shift in investor sentiment towards risk assets.
Is context mein, key levels to watch yeh hain ki USD/JPY pair apne upward move ke dauran kis resistance zone ko approach karta hai. Agar pair in levels ko break karne mein struggle karta hai aur exhaustion ke signs deta hai, toh yeh expected downward trend ka precursor ho sakta hai. Conversely, sustained break above in resistance levels bearish outlook ki reassessment ko require kar sakta hai, kyunki yeh stronger bullish momentum ko indicate kar sakta hai.

Unke liye jo is period mein trade karna chahte hain, trend reversal ki confirmation ke liye wait karne ka strategy prudent ho sakta hai. Yeh bearish signals ke liye look out karne ko involve kar sakta hai, jaise bearish engulfing pattern, key support levels ke below break, ya momentum indicators jaise Relative Strength Index (RSI) mein divergence. Aise signals anticipated bearish trend ki confirmation ko provide kar sakte hain

jpy ne record high ko chhoo liya hai, jo ke ek tezi se j izafa ko darshata hai, aur yeh profit-taking ka potential moqa bhi de sakta hai. Mazid yeh bhi mumkin hai ke US session se pehle kuch decline dekhne ko mile. Moving averages aur bullish channel ke upar breakout ne bearish pressure ko darshaya hai. Agar hourly chart analysis aur 15-minute chart ka jayeza liya jaye, to yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke current price ke upar moving average hone ke sabab, USD/JPY pair mein bullish trend ke continuation ka imkaan hai, jo ke ek higher zone tak ja sakta hai. Is hafte ke trend pattern mein ek narrow range mein uptrend ka zikar hai. Iss modest upward rally ko dekhte hue, yeh izafa agle hafte tak barqarar reh sakta hai, aur prices uptrend ko maintain kar sakti hain. Subah ki candlestick ne 100-period simple moving average ke upar close kiya, jo ke market trend mein izafa ka ishara hai. Agar buyers 161.51 price zone ko paar kar lein... Abhi ke doran USD/JPY apni trend line ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke buyers ki taqat ko darshata hai, aur yeh trend line support ka kaam kar rahi hai. Bullish rally ke barqarar rehne ke liye, lagta hai ke buyers ko 162.15 resistance level ko break karna hoga, jo ke trading channel ko open karega aur bulls ke liye movement ka potential faraham karega. Pehla target supply zone 160.47 par ho ga, jahan historically sellers ne prices ko niche dhakela hai.

Ek reverse movement towards short side bhi mumkin hai, magar bears ko pehle 160.24 support level ko break karna hoga, jahan se aksar price ne bounce back kiya hai. Bear strength us waqt confirm hogi jab price 160.31 ke broken level ke niche consolidate karegi, jo ke price weakness ko darshata hai.

Yeh khaas tor par USD/JPY market mein pichlay Wednesday ke doran dekha gaya jab price ne us trading session mein significant downward movement kiya. Choti time frame mein, price ko monitor kiya gaya hai aur yeh abhi 50-period Simple Moving Average line ke upar hai, jo ke ek slight upward correction ko darshata hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke aaj ke price position 154.00 - 155.23 ke area ke ird gird consolidate ho jaye, kyun ke yeh conditions aksar Tuesdays ko hoti hain jab market activity relatively quiet hoti hai.

Agar H1 timeframe mein market trend conditions ka jaiza liya jaye, to yeh clear hai ke yeh filhal ek downward phase mein hai, halan ke range zyada wide nahi hai. Iss hafte ka trend thora bearish hai, bawajood iske ke USD/JPY pair ne July 2024 ke aaghaz mein trading sessions ke baad upward move kiya. Yeh imply karta hai ke agar USD/JPY is level ke niche hold nahi kar sakta, to yeh agle support levels ki taraf ja sakta hai, jo ke mumkinan 168.00 ya is se niche ho sakti hain. Agar support hold karta hai, to ek rebound ho sakta hai, aur pair previous highs ko test kar sakta hai jo ke 168.70-169.00 ke aas paas hain.

D1 moving average line ek trend indicator ka kaam karti hai. Agar USD/JPY is line ke upar rehta hai, to yeh bullish trend continuation ko darshata hai. Magar agar yeh moving average ke niche trading ko sustain karta hai, to yeh trend

reversal ya consolidation phase ka ishara ho

Itne saalon mein, USD/JPY ki exchange rate mein notable reversal aaya hai, kyunki US Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan ke beech divergence continue hai. Ye four consecutive weeks se decline kar raha hai aur 148.54 ke low par pahunch gaya hai, saal ke shuruat se 161.76 ke high se. Overall, USD/JPY rally ne hedge funds aur other speculators ko hurt kiya hai, jo Japanese yen ko sell karte rahe hain. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) ki data se dikha hai ki speculators March 2021 se yen par net short position hold kar rahe hain. In investors ne fortune kiya hai, kyunki Japanese yen 2020 ke high se 47% se zyada decline kiya hai. Ab, kuch investors apne positions ko close kar rahe hain, jab currency recover kar raha hai. Net short positions June mein -184,000 se gir kar last week 107,000 par pahunch gaye hain.

Dovish US Federal Reserve

USD/JPY pair primarily Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan ke beech divergence ke wajah se gir gaya hai. Interest rate decision mein, bank ne US interest rate ko 5.25% aur 5.50% ke beech unchanged chor diya. Ye decision investors ko surprise nahi kiya, kyunki ye analysts ki expectations ke hisab se tha. Statement mein, bank ne indicate kiya hai ki ye ab dual mandate ke do aspects par focus kar raha hai: labor market aur inflation. Recent economic data se dikha hai ki ye numbers alag-alag directions mein move kar rahe hain. Inflation Fed ke 2.0% target ki taraf move kar raha hai, kyunki ye three consecutive months se decline kar raha hai. Dusri taraf, unemployment rate past few months mein continue decline kar raha hai.

Rate hike by the Bank of Japan

Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan opposite directions mein move kar rahe hain. Interest rate decision mein, bank ne apne second increase ko 17 years mein decide kiya. Ye interest rates ko 0.25% raise kiya, kuch months ke baad 0.10% raise karne ke baad. More importantly, bank ne indicate kiya hai ki ye rates ko raise kar sakta hai, agar inflation stable rahe. Bank of Japan ki interest rate hikes central bank ki major foreign exchange interventions ke baad aaye hain, jo $22 billion se zyada ki thi, jab yen collapse kiya tha. Lekin, BOJ economy mein major slowdown ko cause kar sakta hai, jo already slowing signs dikha raha hai

Aaj hum USD/JPY currency pair ke price movements ko analyze karenge. Chart ke mutabiq, pair ka price trend upward hai, jo indicate karta hai ke bulls abhi bears par haavi hain. Zigzag line bhi upward direction mein hai, is liye long positions lena sab se behtar strategy hai. Auxiliary oscillators, jaise MACD aur TNT, bhi buyers ke liye favorable position mein hain. Main is position ko tab tak hold karunga jab tak yeh 61.8% Fibonacci level 152,299 tak nahi pahuncha. USD/JPY pair ke liye, main continued sales par ghour kar raha hoon. Lekin, seedha girna current levels se mushkil lagta hai. Agar pair upar ki taraf correct karta hai, to main selling opportunity dekhoonga. Mera pehla sales target 143.84 hai, aur secondary target 143.49 hai. Filhal, main buying ka soch nahi raha. Pair ke girne ki jaga abhi baqi hai, aur shayad 140.19 tak target kar sake, lekin yeh level thoda waqt le sakta hai. Main behtareen entry point ka intezaar kar raha hoon taake bechne ka mauka mile. Specifically, main 146.49 ki taraf dekh raha hoon, jahan main sales ladder setup karunga.

Pichle hafte yeh pair becha gaya, aur weekly chart par yeh sideways move kar raha hai. Main technical analysis par bharosa karunga taake agle hafte ke movement ka andaza lagaya ja sake. Moving averages sell ka signal dete hain aur technical indicators bhi strongly selling ko suggest karte hain, jo agle hafte ke liye bearish trend ko reinforce karta hai. Aane wale key news releases ko bhi consider karte hain jo pair ko impact kar sakti hain. U.S. se important news expected hai, jo negative forecast ki taraf lean kar rahi hai. Yeh series of significant news U.S. se Thursday ko aayegi aur outlook negative hai.

Japan bhi Friday ko crucial industrial production data release karega, jo optimistic forecast ke sath hai. Is base par, main agle hafte bearish movement ki ummeed karta hoon. Sales ka target shayad 141.79 support level par hoga, jabke potential buys resistance level 146.39 tak ho sakti hain. Overall, main ek predominantly bearish trend ki ummeed kar raha hoon, jo mere rough trading plan ka basis banega agle hafte ke liye.

USD/JPY currency pair ka H4 chart analyze karne par, Heiken Ashi candles ko TMA (Triangular Moving Average) aur RSI indicators ke sath istemal karte hue, lagta hai ke market is waqt ek upward trend ko favor kar rahi hai aur buying strength mein significant izafa ho raha hai. Heiken Ashi candles market noise ko smooth out karti hain aur market dynamics ka clearer view deti hain, jo technical analysis ko enhance karti hain aur trading decisions ki accuracy ko improve karti hain. TMA indicator, jo ke red, blue, aur yellow lines per mushtamil hota hai, support aur resistance levels ko define karta hai based on twice-smoothed moving averages. Ye price movement ke current boundaries ko outline karta hai, jo traders ko potential price action ka clearer picture deta hai. RSI (Relative Strength Index), jo ke Heiken Ashi ke sath complementary oscillator ke tor par use hota hai, buying signals ko effectively confirm karta hai.
Chart ko dekhne par, humein nazar aata hai ke Heiken Ashi candles ne blue color mein shift kar liya hai, jo ke ek strong bullish trend ko indicate kar raha hai. Price ne channel ke lower boundary ko (jo ke red dashed line se depict kiya gaya hai) cross kiya aur, lowest price level se bounce karke, channel ki middle line (yellow dashed line) ki taraf wapas move kar raha hai. Ye movement is baat ki taraf ishara karti hai ke price Heiken Ashi candles ke bullish signal ke sath align ho rahi hai.

RSI oscillator bhi buying signal ko support karta hai, kyunki uska curve is waqt upward move kar raha hai aur overbought level ke qareeb nahi hai. Indicators ka ye alignment ek favorable opportunity ko suggest karta hai ke ek long position enter ki jaye. Is trade ka target channel ki upper boundary hoga, jo ke blue dashed line se indicate hoti hai, price level 151.611 par.

Summary mein, current analysis ek profitable long trade ke liye strong potential suggest karti hai based on Heiken Ashi candles, TMA, aur RSI indicators ka combination. Bullish signals aur price ka channel ki middle line ki taraf movement, significant upward trend ke idea ko support karti hai. Is liye, upper boundary of the channel tak reach karne ke goal ke sath ek long trade place karna ek promising strategy nazar aata hai

USDJPY currency pair mein ek aham tabdeeli hui hai, jahan sellers ne dobara se control hasil kar liya hai aur price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain. Yeh downward movement bears ke liye ek aham recovery hai, jinhon ne apne peechle nuqsan cover kar liye hain aur market par apna dabao barhaya hai. Recent price action yeh dikhata hai ke bearish sentiment mein izafa ho gaya hai, jiss ne pair ke pehle ke kuch gains ko ulat diya hai. 146.86 level tak girawat yeh zahir karti hai ke sellers ki taqat barh gayi hai. Pehle bulls ne price ko ooper push kiya tha, lekin ab sellers market mein wapas aa gaye hain aur pehle ke bullish momentum ko khatam kar diya hai. Yeh tabdeeli yeh suggest karti hai ke market participants ab USDJPY pair ko bechne ke liye ziada raaghib hain, shayad badalte hue economic halaat, geopolitical factors, ya technical signals ke wajah se jo pehle ke uptrend ko kamzor kar rahe hain. 146.86 zone tak girawat khaas ahmiyat rakhti hai kyunke yeh ek critical support level hai jise traders ghore se dekh rahe hain. Agar sellers apni momentum barqarar rakhte hain aur price ko is level se neeche le jate hain, to yeh ek lambe downtrend ki shuruaat ka ishara ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, USDJPY par yeh bearish pressure ziada economic concerns ka aks ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar U.S. dollar kamzor ho raha hai due to softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke wajah se, to yeh pair ke decline mein ek sabab ban sakta hai. Dosri taraf, Japanese yen mein mazid taqat, shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ke wajah se, is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai. Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli both challenges aur opportunities paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara ghore se dekhni par sakti hai, khaaskar agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar bearish momentum barhti hai. Bunyadi baat yeh hogi ke dekhna hoga ke USDJPY pair 146.86 level ke ird gird kis tarah behave karta hai aur kya yeh zone reversal ka point banega ya sirf mazeed bearish action ke liye ek stepping stone banega. USDJPY pair ke recent price action se yeh zahir hota hai ke bearish sentiment mein ek shiddat aayi hai, jahan sellers ne successful push karke price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain. Yeh movement sirf sellers ki qabliyat ko zahir nahi karti ke unhone peechle nuqsan cover kar liye hain, balke yeh bhi dikhata hai ke unka market par naya control hai. Is shift ke implications door tak ja sakte hain, depend karta hai ke support at 146.86 hold karta hai ya mazeed declines ke liye raasta banata hai. Traders ko hoshiyaar rehna chahiye, kyunke agle kuch sessions shayad pair ke future direction ke bare mein critical insights provide karenge, jo iss evolving market landscape mein sahi position le ke trading

USD/JPY ke price action ka tajziya humari guftagu ka ahem mawzu hoga. Maine USD/JPY ke weekly chart ka jaiza liya aur dekha ke pichle hafte ka candle, jo ke sellers se bhara tha, kaafi bara body tha, jo ke downward trend ko indicate karta hai. Halankeh is hafte retracement ho sakti hai, aap buying consider kar sakte hain aur stop ko daily chart par candle ke niche rakhein, target 147.0 level par rakh sakte hain. Monday ko, mujhe lagta hai ke dollar-yen pair mein pullback ho sakta hai aur agar 144.99 ke upar breakout hota hai, to shayad ye news se driven ho—halankeh maine economic calendar nahi dekha. Focus bearish signals par hai, halankeh is waqt lagta hai ke price 143.99 se niche nahi jaayegi. Trading range 149.35 aur 141.69 ke beech hai, jo ke average market conditions ke tehat ek kaafi wide channel provide karta hai.

Pair ka primary momentum abhi bhi upward hai H4 chart par, jo ke 141.68 ke low se shuru hota hai. Lekin Friday ke sharp drop ke baad, yen buyers ki position fragile hai. Agar dynamic support 143.59 ke aas-paas hai aur ascending trend line fail hoti hai, to pair ke liye recent lows par wapas jaana sirf waqt ki baat hai. Lekin agar support hold karta hai aur dollar-yen pair wapas bounce karta hai, to ye upward movement resume kar sakta hai resistance 147.25 ki taraf, aur is level se potential declines bhi ho sakte hain. Primary resistance 148.22 hai, aur agar USD/JPY is line ke upar move karta hai, to ye initial impulse zone targets 152.24 aur 154.72 ki taraf barh sakta hai. Dollar-yen ke liye outlook uncertain hai, aur hume dekhna hoga ke market 143.59 support par Monday ko kaise react karti hai. USD/JPY price 38.1% resistance se reverse hui four-hour Fibonacci retracement par, aur 14.5% support level tak gir gayi. Ye level do baar aayi, pehli baar hafte ke shuruat par aur phir Friday ko, dono baar is se niche close hui.

Japanese yen ne doosre consecutive din ke liye US dollar ke muqablay mein behtar karwai dikhayi, jo ke primarily Bank of Japan (BOJ) aur Federal Reserve (Fed) ke mukhtalif monetary policy stances ki wajah se hua. BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda ke hawkish comments, sath hi Fed Chair Jerome Powell ke dovish tone ne yen ke qeemat ke barhne ke liye ek favorable environment bana diya. Ueda ne Friday ko parliamentary session ke dauran yeh signal diya ke agar economic outlook BOJ ke projections ke mutabiq raha to interest rate hikes ki umeed hai. Is ke ilawa, Japan ki national consumer price index (CPI) inflation ka highest level par rehna BOJ ke aggressive monetary policy stance ko reinforce karta hai. Yeh hawkish outlook Fed ke zyada cautious approach ke muqablay mein bilkul opposite hai. Powell ke Jackson Hole symposium ke speech ne policy adjustments ki taraf ishara diya, jisme rate cut ka bhi imkaan hai. Lekin, Fed Chair ke comments ke timing aur magnitude ke hawale se kisi wazehiyat ka na hona, market participants ko inki baaton ko dovish samajhne par majboor kar gaya. Is wajah se, US dollar kamzor hua, jo September mein rate cut ke barhte hue expectations ko reflect karta hai. CME FedWatch tool ne yeh dikhaya ke market participants Fed ke September meeting mein kam az kam 25 basis points ka rate cut anticipate kar rahe hain. Yeh expectation shift yen ke US dollar ke muqablay mein barhne ka sabab bana.

USD/JPY pair Friday ko 143.90 par trade kar raha tha. Daily chart ka technical analysis bearish bias dikhata hai, jahan pair downtrend line ke neeche trade kar raha hai. Lekin, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI thoda upar 30 level se, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke downtrend shayad barqarar rahe. Price movements ke hawale se, USD/JPY pair ko support milne ke umeed hai seven-month low 141.69 ke nazdeek, jo ke August 5 ko record hua. Upside par, pair ko downtrend line ke nazdeek psychological level 145.00 par resistance face karna par sakta hai, aur is ke baad nine-day exponential moving average (EMA) 145.74 par resistance milega. Agar 9-day EMA ke upar break hota hai, to yeh potential reversal ka signal de sakta hai aur resistance zone ke wapas jaane ke raste khol sakta hai jo ke 154.50 ke nazdeek hai.

**Yen ke Trades aur Tips ka Analysis**

146.28 ka price test tab huwa jab MACD indicator ne zero mark se kaafi upar move kiya, jo ke pair ke aage ke upar jane ke potential ko limit kar gaya. Is ke baad dollar gir gaya, aur 145.78 ka price test huwa. Ye MACD indicator ke zero mark se neeche move karne ke sath coincide hua aur Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ki speech bhi aayi, jo ke dollar bechne ke liye sahi entry point confirm karti hai. Fed chair ki dovish speech ne dollar selling aur Japanese yen buying ko trigger kiya, jiski wajah se pair 144.79 ke target level tak gir gaya, jahan se lagbhag 100 pips ka profit mila. Aaj, USD/JPY ki girawat continue ho sakti hai, isliye mai market ke prevailing downward trend ke sath trade karunga. Intraday strategy ke liye, mai zyada tar scenarios No. 1 aur 2 par rely karunga.

**Buy Signal**

**Scenario No. 1**: Aaj, mai USD/JPY ko 144.22 ke entry point par buy karunga, jo ke chart par green line se plot kiya gaya hai, aur mera goal 144.94 tak uthane ka hai, jo ke chart par thicker green line se plot kiya gaya hai. 144.94 ke area par long positions exit karunga aur ulte direction mein short positions open karunga, ummeed hai ke 30-35 pips ka movement ulte direction se milega. Aaj pair ke upar correction ke taur par uthane ki umeed hai. Important: Buy karne se pehle, ensure kar lein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke upar hai aur upar ki taraf move kar raha hai.

**Scenario No. 2**: Mai USD/JPY ko aaj buy karne ki bhi sochta hoon agar 143.74 ka do consecutive tests ho, jab MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Ye pair ke downward potential ko limit karega aur market ka reversal upturn ki taraf le jayega. Ummeed hai ke growth 144.22 aur 144.94 ke opposite levels tak pohchegi.

**Sell Signal**

**Scenario No. 1**: Mai USD/JPY ko aaj tab bechne ki sochta hoon jab 143.74 ka test ho, jo ke red line se chart par plot kiya gaya hai, jisse pair mein tez girawat hogi. Sellers ke liye key target 142.87 hoga, jahan mai short positions exit karunga aur turant opposite direction mein long positions open karunga, ummeed hai ke 20-25 pips ka movement opposite direction se milega. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, kyunki dollar ke bearish market khatam nahi hua hai. Important: Sell karne se pehle, ensure kar lein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke neeche hai aur decline kar raha hai.

**Scenario No. 2**: Mai USD/JPY ko aaj bechne ki bhi sochta hoon agar 144.22 ka do consecutive tests ho, jab MACD indicator overbought area mein ho. Ye pair ke upward potential ko limit karega aur market ka reversal downturn ki taraf le jayega. Ummeed hai ke decline 143.74 aur 142.87 ke opposite levels tak pohchegi.

Maine USD/JPY currency pair ki dynamic pricing behavior ko real-time mein examine kiya. Japan ke Central Bank ne total interest rate ke baare mein ek surprising decision kiya, jo almost kisi ne expect nahi kiya tha, market mein significant reaction ka cause ban gaya. Iske result mein, Japanese yen surge kiya. Yeh decision yen ko revitalize kiya, ek sleeping giant ko awaken karne ke tarah. USDJPY currency pair ki price quotes ne is development ko reflect kiya. Pair ne resistance level 161.87 se notable decline kiya, weekend tak 146.39 tak pahunch gaya, jo almost 10 percent sharp drop thi.
Theoretical analysis ne suggest kiya ki fall support level 151.71 ke paas halt ho sakta hai, kuch trading activity ko lead karta hai, lekin yeh rapid descent ke beech mein likely tha. Decline 144.99 ke round figure tak extend ho sakta hai, kuch margin ko further movement ke liye chor kar, lekin iske beyond, direction uncertain hai. Yeh analysis daily chart se related hai.

Pair ki weekly chart par, maine four weeks ke liye downward trend observe kiya hai. Main aim kar raha hoon pair ki movement ko upcoming week ke liye forecast karne, whether selling trend persist karega ya alternative scenario likely hai. Is purpose ke liye, technical analysis ko examine karte hain pair ke week ke liye aur corresponding recommendations. Moving averages sell suggest karte hain, technical indicators active sell suggest karte hain, aur overall output active sell hai. Yeh technical analysis continued downward movement ko coming week mein advocate karta hai.

Ab, significant news ko consider karte hain jo pair ko affect karta hai. Notable news US se likely hai, optimistic forecast ke saath. Initial US unemployment benefit claims ke data Thursday ko likely hai, positive outlook ke saath. Is information ko given, main anticipate kar

Aaj hum USD/JPY currency pair ke price movements ka tajziya karenge. Pair ke chart se yeh lagta hai ke upward price trend hai, jo indicate karta hai ke is waqt bulls bears par haavi hain. Zigzag line bhi upar ki taraf point kar rahi hai, jo long positions ko sabse sensible strategy banaata hai. Auxiliary oscillators, MACD aur TNT, bhi buyers ke liye favourable position mein hain. Main is position ko tab tak hold karne ka plan kar raha hoon jab tak yeh 61.8% Fibonacci level 152.299 tak nahi pohnchti.

USD/JPY pair ke liye, main continued sales ka soch raha hoon. Lekin, current levels se direct drop hona mushkil lagta hai. Agar pair upward correct karti hai, to main selling opportunity dhoondunga. Mera pehla sales target 143.84 hai, aur secondary target 143.49 hai. Filhal, main buying ko consider nahi kar raha. Pair ke paas abhi bhi girne ka space hai, shayad 140.19 tak, lekin yeh level kuch waqt ke liye ho sakta hai. Main favourable entry point ke liye wait kar raha hoon taake selling ka plan bana sakoon. Specifically, main 146.49 ki taraf move ko dekhunga, jahan main ek sales ladder setup karunga.

Pichle hafte is pair ko sell kiya gaya, aur weekly chart par yeh sideways move kar raha hai. Main technical analysis par rely karunga taake agle hafte ke liye pair ki movement ka forecast kar sakoon. Moving averages sell ko indicate kar rahi hain aur technical indicators bhi strongly suggest karte hain ke selling ka trend continue hoga, jo next week ke liye bearish trend ko reinforce karta hai.

Aane wale key news releases ko bhi consider karte hain jo pair ko impact kar sakti hain. Important U.S. news expected hai, jiska forecast negative hai. Yeh significant news series U.S. se Thursday ko aayegi, aur outlook negative hi raha hai.

Iske ilawa, Japan Friday ko crucial industrial production data release karega, jiska forecast optimistic hai. Is base par, main agle hafte bearish movement ki ummed kar raha hoon. Sales likely 141.79 support level ko target karegi, jabke potential buys resistance level 146.39 ko aim kar sakti hain. Overall, mujhe lagta hai ke trend predominantly bearish hoga, jo meri rough trading plan ke liye basis banaata hai agle hafte ke liye.

. USDJPY currency pair mein ek aham tabdeeli hui hai, jahan sellers ne dobara se control hasil kar liya hai aur price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain. Yeh downward movement bears ke liye ek aham recovery hai, jinhon ne apne peechle nuqsan cover kar liye hain aur market par apna dabao barhaya hai. Recent price action yeh dikhata hai ke bearish sentiment mein izafa ho gaya hai, jiss ne pair ke pehle ke kuch gains ko ulat diya hai. 146.86 level tak girawat yeh zahir karti hai ke sellers ki taqat barh gayi hai. Pehle bulls ne price ko ooper push kiya tha, lekin ab sellers market mein wapas aa gaye hain aur pehle ke bullish momentum ko khatam kar diya hai. Yeh tabdeeli yeh suggest karti hai ke market participants ab USDJPY pair ko bechne ke liye ziada raaghib hain, shayad badalte hue economic halaat, geopolitical factors, ya technical signals ke wajah se jo pehle ke uptrend ko kamzor kar rahe hain. 146.86 zone tak girawat khaas ahmiyat rakhti hai kyunke yeh ek critical support level hai jise traders ghore se dekh rahe hain. Agar sellers apni momentum barqarar rakhte hain aur price ko is level se neeche le jate hain, to yeh ek lambe downtrend ki shuruaat ka ishara ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, USDJPY par yeh bearish pressure ziada economic concerns ka aks ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar U.S. dollar kamzor ho raha hai due to softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke wajah se, to yeh pair ke decline mein ek sabab ban sakta hai. Dosri taraf, Japanese yen mein mazid taqat, shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ke wajah se, is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai. Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli both challenges aur opportunities paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara ghore se dekhni par sakti hai, khaaskar agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar bearish momentum barhti hai. Bunyadi baat yeh hogi ke dekhna hoga ke USDJPY pair 146.86 level ke ird gird kis tarah behave karta hai aur kya yeh zone reversal ka point banega ya sirf mazeed bearish action ke liye ek stepping stone banega. USDJPY pair ke recent price action se yeh zahir hota hai ke bearish sentiment mein ek shiddat aayi hai, jahan sellers ne successful push karke price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain. Yeh movement sirf sellers ki qabliyat ko zahir nahi karti ke unhone peechle nuqsan cover kar liye hain, balke yeh bhi dikhata hai ke unka market par naya control hai. Is shift ke implications door tak ja sakte hain, depend karta hai ke support at 146.86 hold karta hai ya mazeed declines ke liye raasta banata hai. Traders ko hoshiyaar rehna chahiye, kyunke agle kuch sessions shayad pair ke future direction ke bare mein critical insights provide karenge, jo iss evolving market landscape mein sahi position le ke trading opportunities provide kar sakte h

rahe hain. USDJPY currency pair mein ek aham tabdeeli hui hai, jahan sellers ne dobara se control hasil kar liya hai aur price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain. Yeh downward movement bears ke liye ek aham recovery hai, jinhon ne apne peechle nuqsan cover kar liye hain aur market par apna dabao barhaya hai. Recent price action yeh dikhata hai ke bearish sentiment mein izafa ho gaya hai, jiss ne pair ke pehle ke kuch gains ko ulat diya hai. 146.86 level tak girawat yeh zahir karti hai ke sellers ki taqat barh gayi hai. Pehle bulls ne price ko ooper push kiya tha, lekin ab sellers market mein wapas aa gaye hain aur pehle ke bullish momentum ko khatam kar diya hai. Yeh tabdeeli yeh suggest karti hai ke market participants ab USDJPY pair ko bechne ke liye ziada raaghib hain, shayad badalte hue economic halaat, geopolitical factors, ya technical signals ke wajah se jo pehle ke uptrend ko kamzor kar rahe hain. 146.86 zone tak girawat khaas ahmiyat rakhti hai kyunke yeh ek critical support level hai jise traders ghore se dekh rahe hain. Agar sellers apni momentum barqarar rakhte hain aur price ko is level se neeche le jate hain, to yeh ek lambe downtrend ki shuruaat ka ishara ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, USDJPY par yeh bearish pressure ziada economic concerns ka aks ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar U.S. dollar kamzor ho raha hai due to softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke wajah se, to yeh pair ke decline mein ek sabab ban sakta hai. Dosri taraf, Japanese yen mein mazid taqat, shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators ke wajah se, is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai. Traders ke liye yeh tabdeeli both challenges aur opportunities paida karti hai. Jo log long positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara ghore se dekhni par sakti hai, khaaskar agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wahan short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar bearish momentum barhti hai. Bunyadi baat yeh hogi ke dekhna hoga ke USDJPY pair 146.86 level ke ird gird kis tarah behave karta hai aur kya yeh zone reversal ka point banega ya sirf mazeed bearish action ke liye ek stepping stone banega. USDJPY pair ke recent price action se yeh zahir hota hai ke bearish sentiment mein ek shiddat aayi hai, jahan sellers ne successful push karke price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain. Yeh movement sirf sellers ki qabliyat ko zahir nahi karti ke unhone peechle nuqsan cover kar liye hain, balke yeh bhi dikhata hai ke unka market par naya control hai. Is shift ke implications door tak ja sakte hain, depend karta hai ke support at 146.86 hold karta hai ya mazeed declines ke liye raasta banata hai. Traders ko hoshiyaar rehna chahiye, kyunke agle kuch sessions shayad pair ke future direction ke bare mein critical insights provide karenge, jo iss evolving market landscape mein sahi position le ke trading opportunities provide kar

USD/JPY currency pair ne haal hi mein apni price action mein dilchasp tabdeeli dekhaayi hai. Kal shaam ko, yeh pair 146.10 ke level ke upar trade kar raha tha, jo ke pichle haftay ka low mark karta hai. Aisa lag raha tha ke uptrend dobara shuru ho sakta hai, lekin us ke baad se yeh pair wapas is key level ke neeche aa gaya hai, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke bearish scenario ab momentum hasil kar raha hai. Is reversal se lagta hai ke sellers ab control apne haath mein le rahe hain, aur uptrend apni taqat kho raha hai.
Technically dekha jaye to, price ne apne pehle bearish impulse ke sath ascending channel ko breakout kar diya hai. Yeh breakout kafi ahem hai, kyun ke yeh market ke trend mein mumkinah tabdeeli ko zahir karta hai. Ab jo current downward movement hai, usay larger bearish pattern ke doosri wave ka hissa samjha ja sakta hai. Round level 146.00, jise pair ne haal hi mein breach kiya hai, ab ek strong resistance level ka kaam kar sakta hai. Yeh area un traders ke liye ideal entry point ho sakta hai jo short positions initiate karna chahte hain, kyun ke yeh overall bearish outlook ke sath align karta hai.

Is impulse ko dekhte hue, hum ek Fibonacci retracement grid apply kar sakte hain taake ongoing downtrend ke liye potential support levels aur targets ka andaza lagaya ja sake. 161.8% Fibonacci extension level aik critical target ke tor par samne aata hai, jo ke 142.80 ke aas paas situated hai. Halankeh yeh level foran qareeb nahi hai, yeh ek significant support area ko represent karta hai jo agle chand dino mein attention attract kar sakta hai. Yeh level current minimum ke qareeb bhi hai, jo ke bears ke liye downward momentum ka faida uthane ke liye aik zyada compelling target banata hai.
USD/JPY ko aaj tab bechne ki sochta hoon jab 143.74 ka test ho, jo ke red line se chart par plot kiya gaya hai, jisse pair mein tez girawat hogi. Sellers ke liye key target 142.87 hoga, jahan mai short positions exit karunga aur turant opposite direction mein long positions open karunga, ummeed hai ke 20-25 pips ka movement opposite direction se milega. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, kyunki dollar ke bearish market khatam nahi hua hai. Important: Sell karne se pehle, ensure kar lein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke neeche hai aur decline kar raha hai.