usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

waqt ke analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair 50-day moving average (MA50) se upar trade kar raha hai lekin abhi bhi 200-day moving average (MA200) se neeche hai. Yeh setup short-term aur long-term trends ke darmiyan ek divergence ko show karta hai. Khaas taur par, price ka MA50 se upar hona immediate upward momentum ko zahir karta hai, jo short-term mein bullish bias ki nishani hai. Magar, yeh baat ke price abhi bhi MA200 se neeche hai, broader context mein bearish sentiment ke barqarar rehne ko zahir karti hai, jo ke pair ke key resistance levels ke qareeb aanay par dobara dominate kar sakta hai.USD/JPY pair ka MA50 se upar hona short-term strength ko reflect karta hai. Yeh is baat ka izhar hai ke filhal buyers control mein hain aur price ko upar le ja rahe hain. Magar, traders ko ehtiyaat karni chahiye jab price MA200 ke qareeb aaye. Historically, MA200 aik significant trend indicator hota hai; agar price is level se upar break karne mein nakam rehta hai, to yeh broader downtrend ke dobara se shuru hone ka signal de sakta hai, jisme sellers phir se dominate kar sakte hain. In moving averages ke darmiyan yeh interplay bullish aur bearish forces ke ongoing battle ko highlight karta hai, isliye in levels ko closely watch karna zaroori hai.
Immediate support level MA50 ke qareeb hone ka imkaan hai. Agar price is level se neeche jata hai, to yeh short-term bullish scenario ko negate kar sakta hai aur mazid declines ke liye raasta bana sakta hai. Yeh support level bulls ke liye aik critical line of defense hai aur isme kisi bhi weakness ke signs ko monitor karna zaroori hai.Upar ki taraf, resistance ka imkaan 148.50 se 149.00 ke range mein hai. Agar price in levels se decisively break kar jata hai, to yeh further buying opportunities ka signal de sakta hai, jo ke higher resistance zones ke retest tak le ja sakti hai. Magar, agar yeh levels surpass karne mein nakami hoti hai, to yeh ek reversal trigger kar sakta hai, jo longer-term bearish outlook ko reaffirm karega.

Relative Strength Index (RSI) ek aur important indicator hai jisko dekhna chahiye. Agar RSI 50 se upar hai, to yeh bullish momentum ko confirm karta hai, jo further gains ke liye case ko support karta hai. Magar, agar RSI overbought territory mein chala jata hai (70 se upar), to yeh is baat ki nishani ho sakti hai ke pair ek correction ke liye tayar hai, kyunke bullish momentum overextended ho sakta hai.Volume analysis price movements ko additional context deti hai. Agar upward move ke dauran trading volume barh rahi ho, to yeh current trend ki strength ko confirm karti hai, jo yeh suggest karti hai ke buyers confident hain. Wahi agar volume kam ho raha ho, to yeh upward momentum ke kamzor hone ki nishani ho sakti hai, jo ek reversal ka signal de sakta hai. USD/JPY pair filhal short-term bullish trend show kar raha hai, jo ke MA50 ke upar position se driven hai. Magar, long-term bearish outlook jo ke price ka MA200 se neeche rehna indicate karta hai, usse nazarandaz nahi karna chahiye. Traders ko key support aur resistance levels ke saath, RSI aur trading volume ko closely monitor karna chahiye, taake ongoing trend ki strength ko gauge kar sakein aur potential reversals ko anticipate kar sakein. Yeh mixed technical landscape yeh suggest karta hai ke gains ke opportunities hain, lekin ehtiyaat ki zaroorat hai, khaaskar jab pair significant resistance levels ke qareeb aaye.

USDJPY (US Dollar / Japanese Yen):

Currency pair/instrument ke liye H1 timeframe par ek bahut favorable trading situation unfold ho raha hai profitable selling trade initiate karne ke liye. Teen indicators - HamaSystem, RSI Trend, aur Magnetic_Levels_Color analysis ke liye use kiye jaa rahe hain, jo humein most advantageous quotes par short positions open karne ki ijazat dega.

Market mein most promising entry point choose karne ke liye, kuch important conditions ko check karna zaroori hai. Sabse pehle, higher timeframe H4 par current trend ko correctly identify karna zaroori hai, taaki market sentiment ko determine karne mein mistake na ho, jo financial losses ka cause ban sakta hai.

Hum apne instrument ki 4-hour timeframe chart ko study karenge aur dekhenge ki key condition meet hai - H1 aur H4 time periods par trend movements coincide hona chahiye. Isse hum yeh ensure kar sakte hain ki today market humein selling trade mein enter hone ka excellent opportunity de raha hai.

Further analysis mein, hum indicators ke signals par rely karenge. Jaise hi Hama aur RSI indicators red mein change honge, yeh bearish interest ka main confirmation hoga aur yeh fact ki sellers market par dominate kar rahe hain. Jaise hi indicators color change karte hain, hum market mein enter karte hain aur selling trade open karte hain.

Position ko close karne ka point magnetic levels indicator readings par based hoga. Is waqt, most promising levels signal execution ke liye yeh hain - 144.159. Necessary targets achieve karne ke baad, price behavior ko chart par carefully monitor karna zaroori hai, aur decide karna ki next magnetic level tak position ko leave karna hai ya already obtained profit ko lock karna hai. Agar potential profit ko increase karne ki desire hai, to trailing stop use ki ja sakti hai

USD/JPY currency pair indicates karte hain ke long positions ke liye ek promising scenario paida ho raha hai. Support level 161.35-161.21 pe ache se held hai, aur anticipated upward movement towards the 161.83-161.36 resistance zone ek favorable opportunity present karta hai traders ke liye. Buyers ki strength, recent price actions se evident hai aur expected weakening of the US dollar, bullish outlook ko further bolster karti hai. Jab market potential gains ke liye gear up kar rahi hai, traders ko in key levels aur trends ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake apne profit potential ko maximize kar

Saken. Pichle hafte ke marke behavior ko analyze karte hue, yeh evident hota hai ke buyers consistently support level 161.300 ko held kar rahe hain, jo price ko further girne se rokti hai. Yeh strong support foundation potential upward movement ke liye ek solid base create kar rahi hai. Resistance level 161.47 ek critical benchmark serve karta hai, jo agar reach ho jaye, to bullish trend ki strength ko validate kar sakta hai Pichle hafte ka completion resistance level 161.73-161.46 ke aas paas ek strong indicator hai buyer strength ka. Yeh level historically ek significant resistance point act karta hai, aur price ka is level ke paas close hona suggest karta hai ke buyers control gain kar rahe hain. Yeh bullish momentum agle kuch dinon mein continue hone ki expectation hai, price ko 161.83 resistance zone ki taraf push karte hue Conversely, ek higher-than-expected rate USD ko weaken kar sakta hai, jo ke hamari strategy ka reevaluation zaroori bana deta hai. In conclusion, mein suggest karunga ke hum bullish concept follow karein. Technical aur fundamental analysis dono potential upward movement ko indicate karte hain. Market potentially 161.42 level ko reach kar sakti hai, jo positive economic data aur favorable market conditions se support hoti hai.

utha rahe hain. USDJPY currency pair mein ek aham tabdeeli hui hai, jahan sellers ne dobara se control hasil kar liya hai aur price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain. Yeh downward movement bears ke liye ek aham recovery hai, jinhon ne apne peechle nuqsan cover kar liye hain aur market par apna dabao barhaya hai. Recent price action yeh dikhata hai ke bearish sentiment mein izafa ho gaya hai, jiss ne pair ke pehle ke kuch gains ko ulat diya hai. 146.86 level tak girawat yeh zahir karti hai ke sellers ki taqat barh gayi hai. Pehle bulls ne price ko ooper push kiya tha, lekin ab sellers market mein wapas aa gaye hain aur pehle ke bullish momentum ko khatam kar diya hai. Yeh tabdeeli yeh suggest karti hai ke market participants ab USDJPY pair ko bechne ke liye ziada raaghib hain, shayad badalte hue economic halaat, geopolitical factors, ya technical signals ke wajah se jo pehle ke uptrend ko kamzor kar rahe hain. 146.86 zone tak girawat khaas ahmiyat rakhti hai kyunke yeh ek critical support level hai jise traders ghore se dekh rahe hain. Agar sellers apni momentum barqarar rakhte hain aur price ko is Adil se neeche le jate hain, to yeh ek lambe downtrend ki shuruaat ka ishara ho sakti hai. Iske ilawa, USDJPY par yeh bearish

pressure ziada economic concerns ka aks ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar U.S. dollar kamzor ho raha hai due softer economic data ya Federal Reserve ke dovish comments ke wajah se, to yeh pair ke decline mein ek sabab ban sakta hai. Dosri taraf, Japanese yen mein md taqat, shayad safe-haven demand ya positive domestic economic indicators klle wajah se, is downward movement ko barhawa de sakti hai. Traders ke liye y tabdeeli both challenges aur opportunities paida karti hai. Jo log lo positions hold kar rahe hain, unko apni strategies dobara ghore se dekhni par sakti hai, khaaskar agar pair support levels ko tor kar neeche jata hai. Wah short sellers ke liye yeh environment mazeed girawat se faida uthane ke liye moafiq ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar bearish momentum barhti hai. Bunyadi baat yeh hogi ke dekhna hoga ke USD pair 146.86 level ke ird gird kis tarah behave karta hai aur kya yeh zone reversal ka point banega ya sirf mazeed bearish action ke liye ek stepping stone banega. USDJPY pair ke recent price action se yeh zahir hota hai ke bearish sentiment mein ek shiddat aayi hai, jahan sellers ne successful push karke price ko 146.86 zone tak le aaye hain. Yeh movement sirf sellers ki qabliyat ko zahir nahi karti ke unhone peechle nuqsan cover kar liye hain, balke yeh bhi dikhata hai ke unka market par naya control hai. Is shift ke implications door tak ja sakte hain, depend karta hai ke support at 146.86 hold karta hai ya mazeed declines ke liye raasta banata hai. Traders ko hoshiyaar rehna chahiye, kyunke agle kuch sessions shayad pair ke future direction ke bare mein critical insights provide karenge, jo iss evolving m landscape mein sahi position le ke

USD/JPY Market Outlook Sab ko Good Morning aur aapka Sunday behtareen guzre! USD/JPY ke sellers apne pehle ke losses ko cover kar rahe hain aur pair ko 146.66 zone tak niche le aaye hain. Yeh movement market me strong bearish sentiment ko reflect karta hai, jahan sellers control wapas le rahe hain aur price ko neeche le ja rahe hain. Is trend ko dekhte hue, kal se pehle ek aur sell position kholna, jiska short target 146.42 ho, ek acha strategy lagta hai. Yeh target ongoing downward momentum ko capitalize karne ke liye strategically set kiya gaya hai, jo realistic profit opportunity offer karta hai aur market sentiment ke saath align karta hai. Economic indicators, central bank decisions, aur geopolitical developments bhi pair ke movement par significant impact daal sakte hain. Traders ko updated rehne se timely adjustments karne ka mauka milega aur unki strategies naye information ke saath relevant bani rahengi. Umeed hai ke price agle dino me sellers ke favor me rahegi aur recent trend of recovery ko extend karegi. Isliye USD/JPY ka market sentiment samajhna is environment me successfully navigate karne ke liye zaroori hai. Sentiment tezhi se shift ho sakta hai, aur traders ko changes ke response ke liye tayaar rehna chahiye. Yeh potential reversal ya broader market trend me shift ke signs ko recognize karna bhi shamil hai jo USD/JPY pair ko impact kar sakta hai. Market updates aur sentiment ko accurately interpret karne se traders apne aapko opportunities ka faida uthane ya risks ko mitigate karne ke liye behtar position kar sakte hain. Waise, USD/JPY ke sellers ne apne losses cover karne me significant progress ki hai aur 146.66 zone tak pahunche hain. Ek sell position jiska short target 146.42 hai recommend kiya jata hai, lekin news aur sentiment ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai taake evolving market conditions ke saath aligned raha

USD/JPY par trades ka analysis aur tips

Price test 147.46 par hua jab MACD indicator zero mark se upward move karne laga, jo ki dollar ko buy karne ke liye correct entry point ko confirm karta hai, especially strong data ke baad excellent retail sales ki, jo ki economy aur uske growth rates mein zaroor contribute karega. Aaj Japan ke service sector activity index ki data disappointing thi, lekin market dynamics par significant impact nahi kiya, U.S. dollar buyers ke side par rakh kar.

Most likely, bulls aaj weekly high ko sell karne ki koshish karenge, lekin agar wo inactive hain, toh hum pair ke end of the week par more significant downward correction ko expect kar sakte hain. Intraday strategy ke liye, main scenarios No. 1 aur 2 ko implement karne par zyada rely karunga.

Buy signals

Scenario No. 1. Aaj, main USD/JPY ko buy karne ka plan kar raha hoon jab price 149.14 par entry point reach kare, jo ki green line se plot kiya gaya hai chart par, 149.75 par rise karne ke goal ke sath, jo ki thicker green line se plot kiya gaya hai chart par. 149.75 par, main long positions ko exit karunga aur short positions ko opposite direction mein open karunga, expecting 30-35 pips ka movement opposite direction mein us level se. Aaj, pair ko upward correction ke hisse mein rise karne ki expectation hai. Important: Buying se pehle, ensure karna ki MACD indicator zero mark se above hai aur usse rise kar raha hai.

Scenario No. 2. Main aaj USD/JPY ko buy karne ka plan kar raha hoon agar 148.70 ka do consecutive tests hua hai jab MACD indicator oversold area mein hai. Yeh pair ke downward potential ko limit kar dega aur reverse market upturn ko lead karega. Hum 149.14 aur 149.75 ke opposite levels par growth ko expect kar sakte hain.

Sell signals

Scenario No. 1. Main aaj USD/JPY ko sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon sirf 148.70 ko test karne ke baad, jo ki red line se plot kiya gaya hai chart par, jo ki pair ko rapid decline kar dega. Sellers ke liye key target 148.13 hoga, jahan main short positions ko exit karunga aur immediately long positions ko opposite direction mein open karunga, expecting 20-25 pips ka movement opposite direction mein us level se. Pressure USD/JPY par kabhi bhi return kar sakta hai, especially unsuccessful correction ke case mein first half of the day mein aur daily high ko test karne mein failure. Important: Selling se pehle, ensure karna ki MACD indicator zero mark se below hai aur decline kar raha hai

/JPY ne record high ko chhoo liya hai, jo ke ek tezi se izafa ko darshata hai, aur yeh profit-taking ka potential moqa bhi de sakta hai. Mazid yeh bhi mumkin hai ke US session se pehle kuch decline dekhne ko mile. Moving averages aur bullish channel ke upar breakout ne bearish pressure ko darshaya hai. Agar hourly chart analysis aur 15-minute chart ka jayeza liya jaye, to yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke current price ke upar moving average hone ke sabab, USD/JPY pair mein bullish trend ke continuation ka imkaan hai, jo ke ek higher zone tak ja sakta hai. Is hafte ke trend pattern mein ek narrow range mein uptrend ka zikar hai. Iss modest upward rally ko dekhte hue, yeh izafa agle hafte tak barqarar reh sakta hai, aur prices uptrend ko maintain kar sakti hain.
Subah ki candlestick ne 100-period simple moving average ke upar close kiya, jo ke market trend mein izafa ka ishara hai. Agar buyers 161.51 price zone ko paar kar lein... Abhi ke doran USD/JPY apni trend line ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke buyers ki taqat ko darshata hai, aur yeh trend line support ka kaam kar rahi hai. Bullish rally ke barqarar rehne ke liye, lagta hai ke buyers ko 162.15 resistance level ko break karna hoga, jo ke trading channel ko open karega aur bulls ke liye movement ka potential faraham karega. Pehla target supply zone 160.47 par ho ga, jahan historically sellers ne prices ko niche dhakela hai.

Ek reverse movement towards short side bhi mumkin hai, magar bears ko pehle 160.24 support level ko break karna hoga, jahan se aksar price ne bounce back kiya hai. Bear strength us waqt confirm hogi jab price 160.31 ke broken level ke niche consolidate karegi, jo ke price weakness ko darshata hai.

Yeh khaas tor par USD/JPY market mein pichlay Wednesday ke doran dekha gaya jab price ne us trading session mein significant downward movement kiya. Choti time frame mein, price ko monitor kiya gaya hai aur yeh abhi 50-period Simple Moving Average line ke upar hai, jo ke ek slight upward correction ko darshata hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke aaj ke price position 154.00 - 155.23 ke area ke ird gird consolidate ho jaye, kyun ke yeh conditions aksar Tuesdays ko hoti hain jab market activity relatively quiet hoti hai.

Agar H1 timeframe mein market trend conditions ka jaiza liya jaye, to yeh clear hai ke yeh filhal ek downward phase mein hai, halan ke range zyada wide nahi hai. Iss hafte ka trend thora bearish hai, bawajood iske ke USD/JPY pair ne July 2024 ke aaghaz mein trading sessions ke baad upward move kiya. Yeh imply karta hai ke agar USD/JPY is level ke niche hold nahi kar sakta, to yeh agle support levels ki taraf ja sakta hai, jo ke mumkinan 168.00 ya is se niche ho sakti hain. Agar support hold karta hai, to ek rebound ho sakta hai, aur pair previous highs ko test kar sakta hai jo ke 168.70-169.00 ke aas paas hain.

D1 moving average line ek trend indicator ka kaam karti hai. Agar USD/JPY is line ke upar rehta hai, to yeh bullish trend continuation ko darshata hai. Magar agar yeh moving average ke niche trading ko sustain karta hai, to yeh trend reversal ya consolidation phase ka ishara ho sakta hai

USD/JPY ke trades aur tips ka tajzia
146.17 ka price test tab hua jab MACD indicator zero mark se kaafi upar chala gaya tha, jiski wajah se pair ke bullish potential mein mazeed izafa nahi ho saka. Thodi dair baad, dobara iss price level ka test kiya gaya, aur yeh tab hua jab MACD overbought area mein tha. Lekin, agar dekha jaye, to dollar pehla test pe bhi sell kiya ja sakta tha. Nateeja yeh nikla ke pair lag bhag 30 pips gir gaya. US session ke middle ke qareeb, 146.17 ka aur test hua, jo ke MACD ke zero mark se upar jane ke aaghaz ke sath hua, jo ke dollar khareedne ke liye sahi entry point ko confirm karta hai
Iss tarah se, market se lag bhag 30 pips hasil kiye ja sakte the. Aaj Japan se inflation data 2.8% pe barqarar raha, aur Bank of Japan ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ke khitaab ne yen ko mazid mazboot kiya, kyunki ab central banks ko interest rates badhane mein koi hichkichahat nahi rahi. Magar, ab sab kuch Federal Reserve Chair ke bayanaat pe depend karega, isliye unke alfaz aur future policies par tawajju deni chahiye. Hum isko dopeher ke forecast mein tafseel se discuss karenge. Intraday strategy ke liye, mein ziada ter scenario No. 1 aur 2 pe rely karunga
Buysignals
Scenario No. 1. Aaj, mein USD/JPY ko us waqt khareedne ka plan kar raha hoon jab yeh green line pe chart pe dikhaye gaye entry point ke qareeb 145.91 pe pohnche, aur target hoga 146.65, jo ke chart pe thick green line se dikhaya gaya hai. 146.65 ke area mein, mein long positions exit karunga aur opposite direction mein short positions kholunga, yeh expect karte hue ke level se 30-35 pips opposite direction mein move ho sakta hai. Hum yeh umeed kar sakte hain ke pair aaj upward correction ka hissa ban kar upar jaaye. Important: Khareedne se pehle, ensure kar lein ke MACD indicator zero mark se upar hai aur wahan se rise karna shuru kar raha ha
Scenario No. 2. Mein aaj USD/JPY ko tab khareedne ka plan bhi rakhta hoon agar 145.45 ka do martaba test ho, aur MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Yeh pair ke downward potential ko limit karega aur market ko reverse uptick dega. Hum yeh umeed kar sakte hain ke growth opposite levels tak ho, jo ke 145.91 aur 146.65 hai
Sell signals
Scenario No. 1. Mein aaj USD/JPY ko tab sell karne ka plan rakhta hoon jab red line pe chart pe dikhaye gaye level 145.45 ka test ho, jo ke pair mein tez girawat ko layega. Sellers ke liye key target level 144.79 hoga, jahan pe mein short positions ko exit karunga aur foran opposite direction mein long positions khol dunga, yeh expect karte hue ke level se 20-25 pips opposite direction mein move ho sakta hai. USD/JPY pe pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, kyunki dollar ke liye bearish market abhi khatam nahi hui. Important: Sell karne se pehle, ensure kar lein ke MACD indicator zero mark se neeche hai aur decline karna shuru kar raha hai
Scenario No. 2. Mein aaj USD/JPY ko tab sell karne ka plan bhi rakhta hoon agar 145.91 ka do martaba test ho aur MACD indicator overbought area mein ho. Yeh pair ke upward potential ko limit karega aur market ko reverse downturn dega. Hum yeh umeed kar sakte hain ke decline opposite level tak ho, jo
ke 145.45 aur 144.79 hain

USD/JPY Price Overlook

Hamari conversation live USD/JPY currency pair ki pricing ko decode karne ke bare mein hai. USD/JPY pair descending channel mein trade kar raha hai, downward trend maintain kar raha hai. Pair ne EMA 50 se bounce kiya hai aur ab critical support level 145.35 par target kar raha hai. Isne already successfully is level ko test kiya hai, further decline ki signal dete hue 143.99 aur 142.14 ke targets ki taraf.

Recommendation hai ki pair ko selling ke focus ke sath trade karna, suggested stop-loss resistance 146.59 ke upar set karna. USD/JPY ne kal ke lows ke baad correction phase mein entry ki hai. Market significant news ka wait kar raha hai Fed se, khaskar minutes ki release aur labor market data ki revision. Latter ko zyada impact ho sakta hai, especially agar data significantly revised hota hai. Yeh potentially 50-point Fed rate cut ki speculation ko lead kar sakta hai September mein, jo ki dollar ko weaken kar sakta hai.

Presently, USD/JPY currency pair ki pricing ka real-time analysis kar raha hoon. Chart ko NPI with Distances indicator ke sath analyze kar raha hoon, buying opportunities par focus kar raha hoon. Zigzag indicator bhi upward point kar raha hai, reinforcing ki trades long positions ki taraf honi chahiye. Additionally, oscillators, jo ki main signals ko refine karne ke liye use karta hoon, buyers ke favorable zone mein hain. Main apne position ko 61.8% Fibonacci retracement 152,299 price level par maintain karne ka plan kar raha hoon.

Recent price drop past few weeks mein relatively small raha hai, prolonged upward trend ke baad. Today's news limited hai, only significant event FOMC meeting minutes ki release hai evening mein. Lekin, news particularly critical nahi hai, kyunki minutes interest rate decision ko include nahi karenge. Yen price ne 149.20 level par hit kiya aur retesting ke baad drop kiya. Yeh bullish movement ne 139.90 support level ko cross karne ka signal diya. Japanese yen ne upward correction ko continue kiya last trading week mein aur new local highs par reach kiya. Price ne 149.19 par resistance ko meet kiya aur phir bounce back karke signal zone ke neeche height ko lose karna shuru kar diya. Thus, expected downside scenario abhi tak materialize nahi hua hai aur continue hai

USD/JPY currency pair ka exchange rate kuch arsay say bohot ziada dehaan mein hai. Hal hi mein USD/JPY ne apnay highs say thori si girawat dekhi, lekin recovery itni zyada nahi hui jitni expected thi. Speaker ki nazar mein market ne itni strong upward correction nahi dekha. Yakeenan, market hamesha speaker ki expectation ke mutabiq nahi hota, lekin bearish trend ka izhar lag raha hai. Magar, aglay hafta ya do hafton mein agar price 150.01 level ko cross kar sakay, toh upward trend continue honay ke asar barh jain gay. Aam tor par, agar US dollar thoda sa strong ho jaye, toh yeh broader financial market ke liye faida mand ho sakta hai. Fibonacci grid strategy ke mutabiq, price ka 156.65 tak barhna aur phir 132.46 tak girna logical lagta hai.
Kal, currency pair par kuch selling pressure tha. Monday ko speaker technical indicators ka tajziya karain gay taake market ke next move ka andaza lagaya ja sakay, yeh dekhte hue ke bearish trend continue hota hai ya koi doosri situation develop hoti hai. Filhal ke indicators declining market trend ki taraf ishaara kar rahe hain. Monday ko Japan se koi ahem announcement expected nahi hai kyun ke yeh ek public holiday hai.

Yeh currency pair ke range-bound trade karne ki umeed hai, jisme price ke 145.46 support level tak girnay ka chance hai agar selling pressure barh jaye, ya phir 147.91 resistance level tak barh sakta hai agar buying interest ho. US dollar ne hal hi mein Japanese yen ke muqable mein apni value kho di hai, kyun ke bond yields mein girawat dekhi gayi hai. Market volatility ke baad traders ne thora samjhota kar liya hai. Bank of Japan ka yeh bayan ke agar volatility continue hoti hai toh rates nahi barhain gay, yen par pressure dal raha hai. USD/JPY ka support 145.99 aur 146.79 ke darmiyan hai, aur agar yeh 145.99 ke neechay girta hai, toh downwards momentum barh sakta hai.

Jab risk appetite wapas aya, toh USD/JPY ne apna downward trend wapas shuru kar diya. Buyers weekly high 147.88 ko break karne mein kamiyab nahi ho sakay, jis ki wajah se pair 146.99 ke neechay gir gaya. Momentum filhal bearish hai, halaan ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) oversold zone ke qareeb hai. Agar USD/JPY 145.99 ke neechay girta hai, toh sellers aglay targets 8 August ka low 145.43 aur 7 August ka low 144.27 ko challenge karain gay. Agar yeh levels break hotay hain, toh agla support 6 August ka daily low 143.00 hoga. Traders ko in levels ko closely monitor karna chahiye kyun ke yeh USD/JPY pair ka agla significant move indicate kar sakte hain.

Price test 147.46 par hua jab MACD indicator zero mark se upward move karne laga, jo ki dollar ko buy karne ke liye correct entry point ko confirm karta hai, especially strong data ke baad excellent retail sales ki, jo ki economy aur uske growth rates mein zaroor contribute karega. Aaj Japan ke service sector activity index ki data disappointing thi, lekin market dynamics par significant impact nahi kiya, U.S. dollar buyers ke side par rakh kar.

Most likely, bulls aaj weekly high ko sell karne ki koshish karenge, lekin agar wo inactive hain, toh hum pair ke end of the week par more significant downward correction ko expect kar sakte hain. Intraday strategy ke liye, main scenarios No. 1 aur 2 ko implement karne par zyada rely karunga.

Buy signals

Scenario No. 1. Aaj, main USD/JPY ko buy karne ka plan kar raha hoon jab price 149.14 par entry point reach kare, jo ki green line se plot kiya gaya hai chart par, 149.75 par rise karne ke goal ke sath, jo ki thicker green line se plot kiya gaya hai chart par. 149.75 par, main long positions ko exit karunga aur short positions ko opposite direction mein open karunga, expecting 30-35 pips ka movement opposite direction mein us level se. Aaj, pair ko upward correction ke hisse mein rise karne ki expectation hai. Important: Buying se pehle, ensure karna ki MACD indicator zero mark se above hai aur usse rise kar raha hai.

Scenario No. 2. Main aaj USD/JPY ko buy karne ka plan kar raha hoon agar 148.70 ka do consecutive tests hua hai jab MACD indicator oversold area mein hai. Yeh pair ke downward potential ko limit kar dega aur reverse market upturn ko lead karega. Hum 149.14 aur 149.75 ke opposite levels par growth ko expect kar sakte hain.

Sell signals

Scenario No. 1. Main aaj USD/JPY ko sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon sirf 148.70 ko test karne ke baad, jo ki red line se plot kiya gaya hai chart par, jo ki pair ko rapid decline kar dega. Sellers ke liye key target 148.13 hoga, jahan main short positions ko exit karunga aur immediately long positions ko opposite direction mein open karunga, expecting 20-25 pips ka movement opposite direction mein us level se. Pressure USD/JPY par kabhi bhi return kar sakta hai, especially unsuccessful correction ke case mein first half of the day mein aur daily high ko test karne mein failure. Important: Selling se pehle, ensure karna ki MACD indicator zero mark se below hai aur decline kar raha hai

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US dollar ki girawat ka sabab pichlay hafta ki daily local low ki forecasted tasveer thi, jahan price 144.35 par settle hui thi. Aisa market trend is baat ki nishandahi karta hai ke aney wale waqt mein support zone tak pohanchna mumkin hai, jo ke Bollinger indicator ki lower sliding line ke qareeb hai, 141.79 ke level par daily aur hourly period mein. Yahan par humare paas ek double bottom ka geometric figure hai jo market mein tabdeeli aur price mein izafa la sakta hai. Yaqeenan, yeh instrument Bollinger indicator ke low price position mein hai, jo ke southern trend ke jari rehne ka advantage de raha hai, lekin yeh currency pair kaafi volatility bhi dikha raha hai, aur yeh baat dekhne layak hai.

USDJPY H4.
Main dollar yen pair ko 4 hour chart par dekh raha hoon. Yahan par pair ne 161.409 ke resistance se bounce kiya. Yeh resistance se gir raha tha jab buyer ne profit lena shuru kiya, aur jab pair ne apni base 142.380 par pohanch ke wapis bounce kiya, toh yeh sabse badi correction thi. Main assume kar raha tha ke pair wapis upar jayega. Main assume kar raha tha ke yeh wapis pichlay highs tak jayega jo ke 161.549 par resistance kar raha tha. Filhal, main assume karta hoon ke pair wahan tak jayega. Main sochta hoon ke yeh bas 144.090 support ke neechay stops ko move karne ke liye correct kiya hai. Main sochta hoon ke yeh yahin par rukega aur wapas se apna trend jari rakhega.

Meri short position ke haq mein dalil:
1. Price 200-period Moving Average (MA) ke neechay hai, jo ke downtrend ki taraf ishaara karta hai.
2. Pichlay din ke dosray hisay mein, pair ne opening price ke neechay trade kiya aur trading day bhi low par close hui.
3. Market quotes ne Bollinger Bands ki middle line se bohot neeche girawat dekhi, jo ke bearish trend ka ishaara karti hai aur yeh high probability hai ke instrument neeche ki taraf move karta rahega.
4. Main trading mein Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator ko 14 period ke sath use karta hoon aur trade tab tak enter nahi karta jab tak yeh overbought (70 se upar) ya oversold (30 se neeche) conditions ko indicate na kare. Filhal, RSI short positions ke liye ek maqbool level par hai.
5. Targets ke liye, main apna take profit 211% Fibonacci level par set karunga, jo ke 143.039 ke price ke mutabiq hai. Is target tak pohanchne ke baad, main apni position ko partially breakeven par move karunga aur price ko zyada door ke Fibonacci retracement levels tak trail karta rahunga.

USD/JPY Ki Keemat Ka Jaiza

Hamari baat USD/JPY karansi pair ki zinda trading ki keemat ko samajhne par hai. USD/JPY pair ne neeche ki taraf jate hue aik descending channel mein trade kiya hai aur yeh downward trend ko barqarar rakh raha hai. Yeh pair EMA 50 se rebound hua hai aur ab critical support level 145.35 ki taraf badh raha hai. Yeh level pehle hi kamyabi se test ho chuka hai, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke pair mazeed gir ke 143.99 aur 142.14 ke targets tak jaa sakta hai. Sifaarish yeh hai ke pair ko bechne par tawajjoh de kar trade kiya jaye, aur stop-loss 146.59 ke resistance se upar set kiya jaye. USD/JPY ne kal ke lows tak pohanchne ke baad aik correction phase mein dakhil hua hai. Market aaj Fed se aham khabron ka intezar kar raha hai, khaas kar minutes ki release aur labor market data ki revision. Yeh revision khaas tor par ziada assarandaaz ho sakti hai agar data mein bara tabdeeliyan hoon. Yeh mumkin hai ke isse September mein 50-point Fed rate cut ki tawaqqo barhe, jis se dollar kamzor ho sakta hai.




Neeche ki taraf ki harkat ka momentum khatam ho chuka hai, jis se trend ko dobara se resume karna mushkil ho gaya hai. Maujooda sideways trend ke upar break hone ke imkanaat hain. Growth ka imkaan hai, aur meri raye mein yeh sab se ziada mumkin scenario hai. Haal hi ki khabron se pata chalta hai ke growth ab bhi tarjeeh hai aur yeh 147.00 ki taraf barhti rahegi, aur strong upward movement ka imkaan hai. Mein pehla qadam 146.33 ke upar move hone ko target karne ka plan kar raha hoon jo ke ek critical level ki taraf le jata hai. Is ke ilawa, yeh baehter ho ga ke correction ka intezar kiya jaye aur jab USD/JPY 145.70 par pohanchay toh us waqt pair ko khareed liya jaye. Is level par pohanchne ke baad, yeh mumkin nahin hai ke upward momentum barqarar rahe. USD/JPY ek mukhtasir rally ke baad dobara downward reversal experience kar sakta hai. Trading week ke khatam hone mein abhi waqt hai, toh yeh scenario abhi bhi mumkin hai.

USD/JPY Ki Technical Tajaiza

Assalam-o-Alaikum sab ko. Aap sab kaise hain? Yen ki qeemat 149.20 ke level tak barh gayi thi aur phir is level ko dobara test karne ke baad gir gayi. Is bullish harkat ne 139.90 ke support level ko cross karne ka signal diya. Japanese yen ne guzishta trading week mein apni upward correction ko jaari rakha aur naye local highs ko haasil karne mein kamyab rahi. Qeemat 149.19 par ruk gayi, jahan usay resistance mili, aur phir wahan se neeche ki taraf gir gayi aur signal zone ke neeche lose hona shuru ho gayi. Is tarah, umeed ki jaane wali downside scenario abhi tak saamne nahi aayi hai aur yeh silsila jaari hai. Is dauraan, price chart wapas supertrend red zone mein aa gaya hai, jo ke zyada seller activity ko zahiir karta hai.

USD/JPY pair Wall Street par trading khulne se hi gir raha hai, kyunke iska seedha taluq US Treasury yields ke sath hai, jo ke ek kamzor dollar ki wajah se gir rahe hain. Yeh pair 147.53 par guzishta din ke close se gir kar 146.58 tak pohanch gaya. Aaj ka high 148.05 tha aur low 145.18. US Treasury yields mein Monday ko girawat dekhne ko mili, jo ke dollar ke khilaaf losses ko reflect kar raha hai.




Filhaal, prices hafte ke lows se thoda neeche trade kar rahi hain. Ahem resistance zone ko test kiya gaya tha, jo narrowly breakout se bach gaya aur quotes ko dobara neeche le aaya, jis se downward vector ki priority barqarar rahi. Ab neeche jaane ke iradon ki tasdeeq ke liye, 145.81 ke level ke neeche consolidation ki zaroorat hai, jahan central resistance zone hai. Is level ko dobara test karna aur iske baad ka reversal neeche ki taraf, naye wave ke liye raasta saaf karega jo 140.80 aur 137.72 ke area ke darmiyan ho ga.

Agar resistance ko paar kar liya gaya aur qeemat 149.19 ke reversal level ko todti hai, toh yeh signal milega ke maujooda scenario cancel ho gaya hai.

USD/JPY Ki Qeemat Mein Tahqiq

Filhaal hum USD/JPY karansi pair ki jari qeemat ki harkat ka mutala kar rahe hain. Poore din mein, yeh tawaqquat ki ja rahi hain ke Fed minutes kya izhar karenge, jisse dollar mazeed kamzor ho sakta hai baday currencies ke muqable mein. USD/JPY pair ke hawale se, in minutes par bohot kuch daav par laga hai, kyunke price triangle bhi chart par yeh nishan deta hai ke inki release ke baad aik breakout mumkin hai. Yeh sab kuch is baat par munhasir hai ke market is ahem maaloomat par kaise react karti hai, is liye humein sirf intezar karna hoga aur dekhna hoga. Dollar par dabao mein kami aasakti hai, jis ke natijay mein correction 148.09 ki taraf ho sakti hai, lekin aakhri nateeja US regulator ke tone par munhasir hoga. Amreeki khabron mein surprises aam baat hain, jo ke is be-yaqeeni mein izafa karte hain. USD/JPY ki qeemat abhi bhi ek descending wide channel ke andar triangle bana rahi hai.





148.01 ko test karne ke baad, is baat ka mazboot imkaan hai ke rebound ho aur qeemat wapas gir kar 146.09 par aa jaye. Itni baray girawat ke liye mazeed manfi khabron ki zaroorat hogi. Is hafta ka sab se ahem waqia Fed ke minutes ki release hai. Pair ek ahem level ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, jo tareekhi tor par resistance aur support ki tarah kaam karta raha hai. Maujooda qeemat 146.12 hai, jahan aksar technical indicators bullish trend dikha rahe hain. Agar pair aaj is level ko tor deta hai, toh yeh 146.59 tak rasta saaf kar sakta hai. Lekin mujhe shak hai ke yeh pehli koshish mein kamyab hoga, kyunke bulls abhi itne mazboot nazar nahi aate. Aik pullback 145.08 tak mumkin hai, is liye humein dekhna hoga ke yeh sab kaise unfold hota hai. Kul mila kar, mujhe lagta hai ke market mein abhi dakhil hone ka waqt nahi aaya. Agar pair triangle ki upper boundary 146.29 se upar break karta hai, toh yeh channel ke upper limit ka test kar sakta hai, jo ke 148.01 ke resistance level ke sath align hai.