USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY: Uptrend Channel Aur Stochastic Indicator Se Umeed USD/JPY currency pair filhal bullish traders ke liye ek favorable nazar aa raha hai, jahan technical indicators yeh suggest karte hain ke pair ke mazeed faida uthane ke chances hain. Is waqt ki setup ki ek key feature yeh hai ke pichle hafton mein ek uptrend channel established ho gaya hai. Yeh channel, jo higher highs aur higher lows se characterized hai, yeh indicate karta hai ke short-term fluctuations ke bawajood, overall trend USD/JPY ke liye upward hai. Jab tak pair is channel mein rahega, trend ki bias further appreciation ko favor karegi, jo buying opportunities ko potentially profitable bana sakta hai.

Yeh uptrend broader market sentiment aur technical analysis se support hota hai, khaaskar stochastic indicator ki position se. Stochastic oscillator, jo price movements ke momentum ko measure karta hai, ab critical 25 levels se upar hai. Jab stochastic is threshold se upar chala jata hai, to yeh aksar market mein badhti hui optimism ka signal hota hai aur yeh suggest karta hai ke recent price action ke paas mazeed faida uthane ki jagah ho sakti hai. Yeh bullish momentum imply karta hai ke market filhal USD ki strength ko yen ke muqablay mein favor kar raha hai, jo USD/JPY pair mein mazeed buying pressure ko encourage kar sakta hai.

Is uptrend channel ke andar price action aur stochastic indicator se bullish signals ka alignment milkar ek strong technical argument create karta hai ke upward trajectory ko continue rakha jaye. Traders aksar indicators ke is tarah ke convergence ko apni trading strategies confirm karne ke liye dekhte hain, aur is case mein, trend aur momentum indicators dono USD/JPY mein potential gains ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain. Jab pair channel ke andar move karta hai, to key resistance levels test ho sakte hain, aur in levels ke upar breakout se uptrend tez ho sakta hai, traders ko mazeed appreciation se faida uthane ka mauka de sakta hai.

JPY pair ki upward movement ko further enhance karte hain. Jo traders is trend ko recognize karte hain, wo support level ke aas paas long positions enter kar ke anticipated upward movement ko capitalize kar sakte hain Market conditions for USD/JPY currency pair indicate karte hain ke long positions ke liye ek promising scenario paida ho raha hai. Support level 161.35-161.21 pe ache se held hai, aur anticipated upward movement towards the 161.83-161.36 resistance zone ek favorable opportunity present karta hai traders ke liye. Buyers ki strength, recent price actions se evident hai aur expected weakening of the US dollar, bullish outlook ko further bolster karti hai. Jab market potential gains ke liye gear up kar rahi hai, traders ko in key levels aur trends ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake apne profit potential ko maximize kar saken. Pichle hafte ke market behavior ko analyze karte hue, yeh evident hota hai ke buyers consistently support level 161.300 ko held kar rahe hain, jo price ko further girne se rokti hai. Yeh strong support foundation potential upward movement ke liye ek solid base create kar rahi hai. Resistance level 161.47 ek critical benchmark serve karta hai, jo agar reach ho jaye, to bullish trend ki strength ko validate kar sakta hai Pichle hafte ka completion resistance level 161.73-161.46 ke aas paas ek strong indicator hai buyer strength ka. Yeh level historically ek significant resistance point act karta hai, aur price ka is level ke paas close hona suggest karta hai ke buyers control gain kar rahe hain.

Yeh bullish momentum agle kuch dinon mein continue hone ki expectation hai, price ko 161.83 resistance zone ki taraf push karte hue Conversely, ek higher-than-expected rate USD ko weaken kar sakta hai, jo ke hamari strategy ka reevaluation zaroori bana deta hai. In conclusion, mein suggest karunga ke hum bullish concept follow karein. Technical aur fundamental analysis dono potential upward movement ko indicate karte hain. Market potentially 161.42 level ko reach kar sakti hai, jo positive economic data aur favorable market conditions se support hoti hai. Apni trading strategy ko prevailing bullish trend ke sath align kar ke aur key economic indicators ke baray mein informed rah ke, hum apne potential for profit ko maximize kar sakte hain while risk ko effectively manage karte hue. Y USD/JPY pair ke recent trend line break aur continued bearish momentum strong bearish sentiment ko highlight karte hain. Technical aur fundamental analysis ko combine karke, traders informed decisions le sakte hain, key levels aur broader economic trends ko leverage karte hue, aur risks ko appropriately manage

Aaj mein W1 chart ke senior period par ghore karne ka mashwara deta hoon - USDJPY currency pair. Yahan aap dekh sakte hain ke is pair ki price ka mustaqil girawat jaari hai. Mein soch sakta hoon un bechne walon ka haal jo apne paas kaafi paisa nahi rakh sakay taake is pair ki girawat ko bardasht kar saken, kyun ke intezar ka zamana khatam ho gaya hai aur girawat ka silsila shuru ho gaya hai, price hamesha ke liye upar nahi ja sakti thi. MACD indicator ne girawat ka ishara diya tha, jis par ek bara bearish divergence bana, jo itne bara time interval par kafi kam hota hai, yeh ek saal mein sirf ek martaba hota hai, ya phir is se bhi kam. Maximum ke akhri update par bhi, second istamal honay wala indicator CCI par ek bearish divergence bana. Yeh sab us waqt tasdeek hui jab price ne reversal figure se niche nikala - ek ascending wedge. Iske baad price gir gayi, apne raste par sab obstacles ko torhti hui, aur un par sirf thode waqt ke liye rukki. Pehle yahan ka main support level 152.16 tha, halan ke upar rebound hua, magar phir bhi sellers ke pressure se gir gaya. Uske baad, jaisa ke expect kiya gaya tha, hum ascending support line tak pohnche, lekin yeh koi khas rebound nahi de sakti thi, yeh niche dhakel di gayi largely due to US mein Friday ke bure khabar ki wajah se, US dollar market mein kamzor ho gaya. Non-agricultural employment rate waqi se kafi bura tha. US mein unemployment rate ek dam se 0.2 points barh gaya. Nai hafta shuru hui aur price ne aage niche ka rukh liya bina kisi upward correction ka sochay. Hum horizontal support level 140.81 ke kareeb pohnch gaye. Thoda kam tha, well, shayad ab bhi is level ka pass aur specific test ho sakta hai. Iske qareeb, mere khayal se hum choti period par upwards entry consider kar sakte hain taake ek possible upward correction ka part le sakein. Aaj ki noteworthy news: 16-45 Moscow time: US Services Business Activity Index, US Composite Business Activity Index (PMI) from S&P Global. 17-00: US Non-Manufacturing Employment Index (ISM), US Non-Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (ISM), US Non-Manufacturing Price Index (

USD/JPY

Japanese yen ne US dollar ke muqablay mein doosray din tak apni position mazboot ki hai, jo ke zyadatar Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke taraf se potential interest rate hike ki umeedon mein izafa ki wajah se hai. Yeh sentiment tab badla jab Japan ne doosray quarter mein positive GDP growth report ki, jo ke ek zyada hawkish monetary policy stance ko support karta hai. Saath hi, yen ko safe-haven flows ka bhi faida hua hai jab geopolitical tensions barh gaye, jese ke Hamas ne ceasefire proposal ko reject kiya aur Ukraine ne Russia mein aik bara hamla kiya.

Iske muqablay mein, US dollar kamzor hua hai Federal Reserve officials ke dovish comments ki wajah se, jo ke market expectations ko September mein potential interest rate cut ki taraf le ja rahe hain. Yeh outlook recent economic data se bhi support hota hai jo ke inflation mein slowdown dikhate hain, jese ke Producer Price Index (PPI) aur Consumer Price Index (CPI) ke zariye. Federal Reserve officials, jaise ke San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly aur Chicago Fed President Austin Goolsbee, ne caution di hai ke zyada dair tak restrictive monetary policies ko maintain na kiya jaye.



Technical analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair mein short-term bearish trend nazar aa raha hai, jisme pair apni nine-day exponential moving average (EMA) ke neeche trade kar raha hai aur 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level ke neeche position mein hai. Pair ke liye support levels 141.69 ke seven-month low ke qareeb aur rebound support level 140.25 par situated hain. Upar ki taraf, resistance nine-day EMA par 147.60 ke qareeb anticipated hai, aur agay potential resistance levels 50-day EMA par 152.78 aur previous pullback resistance jo ab support ban gaya hai, 154.50 par ho sakte hain.

Overall, Japanese yen ki appreciation ek combination of factors ka natija hai, jisme BoJ ka hawkish outlook, geopolitical concerns ki wajah se safe-haven demand, aur US dollar ki weakness due to dovish Fed rhetoric aur easing inflationary pressures shaamil hain.

USDJPY ke mojooda harkaat ko dekhte hue, yeh currency pair ab bhi upar ki taraf barhne ki koshish kar raha hai. Buyers ne seller pressure ko rokne mein kamiyabi hasil ki jo pehle price ko 141.786 tak neeche le aaya tha. Yeh is baat ka izhaar hai ke khaas taur par buying power ke saath price ko phir se upar le jaane ki koshish ki ja rahi hai, khaaskar is girawat ke baad. EMA 50 aur EMA 100 indicators ko dekhte hue, dono upar ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain, jo ke medium-term trend ke bullish hone ki nishandahi hai. EMA 50 jo ke price changes par zyada tezi se react karta hai, yeh bata raha hai ke upward momentum ban raha hai. Dheere EMA 100 yeh darshata hai ke jabke main trend ko aur zyada confirmation ki zarurat hai, reversal ke asraat dikhai dene lagay hain.

Lekin, short term mein, mujhe lagta hai ke upward correction ki ek possibility hai jo ke 152.887 aur 154.347 ke beech base area tak ho sakti hai. Yeh area ek potential resistance zone hai jahan price dobara selling pressure ka saamna kar sakti hai, khaaskar agar EMA 50 ko resistance ke tor par test kiya jaye. Yeh upward correction consolidation process ka ek hissa hai, jiske baad price ka aage ek zyada significant upward trend continue karna mumkin hai. Is scenario mein, behtareen strategy yeh hogi ke current upward correction ka faida uthaate hue buy opportunities dhoondhe jayein. Jab momentum build ho raha hai, dips par buy karna ya jab price support level ya EMA 50 ke paas ho, tab buy karna ek acha strategy ho sakta hai. Yeh zaroori hai ke price ka reaction in key levels ke aas paas dekha jaye, kyunki EMA 50 se support ya base area mein resistance ka confirmation stronger signal de sakta hai buy position ko continue karne ke liye.

USDJPY movement ke analysis se yeh bhi nazar aata hai ke pichle haftay Friday ko 149.370 se correction pressure dekha gaya. Yeh correction selling pressure ko dikhata hai jo ke price peak par pahunchnay ke baad hua, lekin pehle buyers ne 147.922 ke aas paas strong resistance ko break kiya. Yeh resistance breakout strong buyer pressure ke saath hua, jo ke ek impulsive bullish candle se mark kiya gaya jisne price ko significant tareeke se upar push kiya. Abhi price 147.586 ke key support level par atki hui hai, jo ek important area hai dekhne ke liye. Agar buyers is support ke upar price ko maintain karne mein kamiyab hote hain, to high possibility hai ke price apni uptrend ko continue kare, kam se kam previous resistances ko dobara test karne ke liye ya naya high banane ki koshish kare.

USD/JPY

The Japanese yen has strengthened against the US dollar for the second day in a row, driven mainly by expectations of a potential interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) following positive GDP growth in Japan for the second quarter. Additionally, safe-haven flows have supported the yen amid rising geopolitical tensions, including Hamas rejecting a ceasefire and Ukraine's significant military actions in Russia. Meanwhile, the US dollar has weakened due to dovish comments from Federal Reserve officials, which have raised expectations of a potential interest rate cut in September, supported by recent data showing a slowdown in inflation as measured by the Producer Price Index (PPI) and the Consumer Price Index (CPI). Fed officials, including Mary Daly and Austin Goolsbee, have indicated caution against maintaining restrictive monetary policies for too long.

\
For the USD/JPY pair, technical analysis shows a short-term bearish trend, with the pair trading below its nine-day exponential moving average (EMA) and the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) below 50. Support levels are around a seven-month low of 141.69 and a potential rebound support at 140.25. On the upside, resistance is expected near the nine-day EMA at 147.60, with additional resistance at the 50-day EMA of 152.78 and previous pullback resistance turned support at 154.50. The yen’s appreciation is attributed to a more hawkish BoJ outlook, safe-haven demand, and a weakening US dollar due to dovish Fed rhetoric and easing inflationary pressures.

USD/JPY ne ek record high par pohonch kar tezi se increase dikhaya hai, jo ke profit-taking ka potential moqa bhi ho sakta hai. Aane wale US session se pehle ek decline ka chance bhi ho sakta hai. Moving averages ke upar aur bullish channel se breakout ne bearish pressure ka ishara diya hai. Hourly chart analysis aur 15-minute chart ke mutabiq, ek decline ki possibility hai kyunki moving average abhi ke price se upar hai, jo ke USD/JPY pair ke bullish trend ke continuation ko suggest karta hai, aur yeh higher zone tak ja sakta hai. Is haftay ke trend pattern ne narrow range mein ek uptrend dikhaya hai. Relatively modest upward rally ko dekhte hue, yeh increase agle hafte tak continue ho sakti hai, aur prices ke uptrend ko maintain karne ki umeed hai.

Morning candlestick ne 100-period simple moving average ke upar close kiya, jo ke market trend mein rise ka ishara hai. Agar buyers 161.51 price zone se upar jaane mein kamiyab hote hain... Is waqt, USD/JPY apni trend line ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke buyers ki strength ko dikhata hai, aur yeh trend line support ka kaam kar rahi hai. Bullish rally ko continue karne ke liye, lagta hai ke buyers ko 162.15 resistance level ko todna hoga, jo trading channel ko open karega aur bulls ke liye continued movement ka potential offer karega. Pehla target supply zone 160.47 par hoga, jahan historically sellers ne prices ko niche dhakela hai.

Reverse movement towards short side bhi possible hai, lekin bears ko pehle 160.24 support level ko todna hoga, jahan se price aksar wapas bounce hota hai. Bear strength us waqt confirm hogi jab price 160.31 ke broken level ke niche consolidate karega, jo ke price weakness ka ishara hoga.

Yeh khas taur par USD/JPY market mein pichle budh ko dekha gaya tha jab price ne trading session ke dauran significant downward movement experience kiya. Shorter time frame mein, price ko monitor kiya gaya hai aur yeh abhi 50-period Simple Moving Average line ke upar hai, jo ek slight upward correction ko dikhata hai. Yeh possible hai ke aaj ke price position 154.00 - 155.23 area ke ird-gird consolidate kare, kyunki yeh conditions aksar Tuesday ko dekhi jaati hain jab market activity relatively quiet hoti hai.

H1 timeframe mein market trend conditions ko observe karte hue, yeh clear hai ke abhi yeh downward phase mein hai, halan ke range zyada wide nahi hai. Is haftay ka trend thoda bearish hai, ke bawajood ke USD/JPY pair ne July 2024 ke shuruati trading sessions ke baad upward move kiya. Iska matlab yeh hai ke agar USD/JPY is level ke neeche hold nahi kar pata, toh yeh agle support levels ki taraf move kar sakta hai, jo ke possible 168.00 ya us se niche ho sakta hai. Agar support hold karta hai, toh ek rebound ho sakta hai, aur pair pehle ke highs ko test kar sakta hai jo ke 168.70-169.00 ke ird-gird ho sakte hain.

D1 moving average line ek trend indicator ka kaam karti hai. Agar USD/JPY is line ke upar rehta hai, toh yeh bullish trend continuation ko suggest karta hai. Lekin, agar yeh moving average ke neeche sustained trading hoti hai, toh yeh ek trend reversal ya consolidation phase ka ishara ho sakti hai.

USD/JPY pair ke recent trading activity economic indicators, central bank policies, aur geopolitical factors ka ek complex interplay reflect kar rahi hai. D1 moving average line par 168.470 support level ka current test pair ke liye ek critical juncture hai. Traders ko chahiye ke yeh level ke ird-gird pair ka behavior closely monitor karein, kyunki yeh future price movements ke bare mein significant insights provide kar sakta hai. Ek cautious aur informed approach adopt karna, jisme technical aur fundamental analysis dono ko include kiya jaye, essential hoga USD/JPY pair ke market dynamics ko navigate karne ke liye aane wale dino mein.

USDJPY (US Dollar / Japanese Yen):

Currency pair/instrument ke liye H1 timeframe par ek bahut favorable trading situation unfold ho raha hai profitable selling trade initiate karne ke liye. Teen indicators - HamaSystem, RSI Trend, aur Magnetic_Levels_Color analysis ke liye use kiye jaa rahe hain, jo humein most advantageous quotes par short positions open karne ki ijazat dega.

Market mein most promising entry point choose karne ke liye, kuch important conditions ko check karna zaroori hai. Sabse pehle, higher timeframe H4 par current trend ko correctly identify karna zaroori hai, taaki market sentiment ko determine karne mein mistake na ho, jo financial losses ka cause ban sakta hai.

Hum apne instrument ki 4-hour timeframe chart ko study karenge aur dekhenge ki key condition meet hai - H1 aur H4 time periods par trend movements coincide hona chahiye. Isse hum yeh ensure kar sakte hain ki today market humein selling trade mein enter hone ka excellent opportunity de raha hai.

Further analysis mein, hum indicators ke signals par rely karenge. Jaise hi Hama aur RSI indicators red mein change honge, yeh bearish interest ka main confirmation hoga aur yeh fact ki sellers market par dominate kar rahe hain. Jaise hi indicators color change karte hain, hum market mein enter karte hain aur selling trade open karte hain.

Position ko close karne ka point magnetic levels indicator readings par based hoga. Is waqt, most promising levels signal execution ke liye yeh hain - 144.159. Necessary targets achieve karne ke baad, price behavior ko chart par carefully monitor karna zaroori hai, aur decide karna ki next magnetic level tak position ko leave karna hai ya already obtained profit ko lock karna hai. Agar potential profit ko increase karne ki desire hai, to trailing stop use ki ja sakti hai

USD/JPY H-1

Assalam-o-Alaikum! USD/JPY pair ne aaj H1 2/8 pivot (145.31) tak girawat ko continue kiya, jo ke forecast ke mutabiq tha. Is se rebound hone ki surat mein bearish TF M15 se bullish mein tabdeel ho sakta hai, jo ke 146.76 level ke growth ke saath hoga. Agar yeh nahi hota, to pair 143.75 pivot tak girawat ko continue karega. Bearish TF H1 growth ke dauran break hoga, jab consolidation area (pivot H1 5/8 (147.66) - 148.00) ke upar ho jayega. TF H4 ab bhi bearish hai, aur jitni zyada girawat hogi, bullish break ke chances utne hi kam ho jate hain, jo ke area (pivot H1 1/8 (150.78) - 152.30) ke upar consolidation ke saath hoga. Daily TF bhi bearish hai, aur bullish break us waqt hoga jab growth 153.10 level tak pohanch jaye, aur consolidation area (155.00-156.50) ke upar ho.

USD/JPY D-1

Assalam-o-Alaikum! USD/JPY ne Monday ki subah European trading mein 145.00 ke qareeb girawat ko extend kiya hai. Yeh pair elevated reh raha hai kyunke Fed aur Bank of Japan ke darmiyan policy differences saamne aa rahe hain, jabke FOMC minutes aur Powell ka speech is hafte ke akhir mein hone wale hain. USD/JPY Thursday ko 147.40 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai. Daily chart par dekha jaye to pair nine-day exponential moving average (EMA) se thoda neeche trade kar raha hai, jo ke short-term bearish trend ko suggest karta hai. Iske ilawa, 14-day relative strength index (RSI) 30 se thoda upar hai, jo ke ek potential correction ka ishara de raha hai. Support ke hawale se, USD/JPY seven-month low 141.69 ke qareeb move kar sakta hai jo ke 5 August ko hit hua tha. Mazid weakness pair ko 140.25 par minor support level ke qareeb le ja sakti hai. Downside par, USD/JPY nine-day exponential moving average (EMA) ke qareeb 147.53 par immediate resistance face kar sakta hai, followed by 50-day EMA at 153.40, aur possibility hai ke resistance 154.50 par test ho, jahan pehla support ab resistance ban chuka hai. Main sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon. Sab ko trading mubarak ho.

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

USD/JPY Outlook: Fed ke Dovish Expectations Ki Wajah Se Japanese Yen Dollar ke Muqable mein Dobara Se Majboot Hota Hai

Hafta Asia mein ek mixed note ke sath shuru hota hai, jab ke bade US indices ne pichlay October ke baad apna behtareen hafta record kiya aur global risk markets mein interest badha. Aisa lagta hai ke mahine ke aghaz mein aayi mini panic ab mukammal taur par reverse ho gayi hai. VIX index bhi pre-panic levels par wapas aa gaya hai. Iss hafta economic calendar busy nahi hai, lekin central bank policies aur rate discussions hafta ke agenday par rahengi, jab ke annual Jackson Hole meeting Thursday ko shuru hogi, aur Federal Reserve (Fed) ke Chair Jerome Powell Friday ko khitaab karenge. Is event mein aur bhi central bankers takrir karenge.

Price-wise, US dollar Monday ko thoda narm hai, dollar index August support ko test kar raha hai, lekin market pricing ab bhi Fed ke September meeting ke muqable mein zyada dovish hai (jisme lagbhag 30% probability hai ke 50bp cut hoga), aur yeh ab bhi us se zyada dovish hai jo Fed iss saal ke aakhri tak deliver kar sakta hai. Doosri taraf, Japanese yen is subah behtar position mein hai jab ke net speculative yen positions March 2021 ke baad pehli dafa positive hui hain aur bade players yeh bet kar rahe hain ke Bank of Japan (BoJ) rates mein izafa karta rahega, bawajood iske ke market mein tezi se react kiya gaya hai.

**USD/JPY** Monday ko mazeed neeche gira, jo yeh ishara de raha hai ke corrective phase off 141.68 (5 August ka spike low) ke baad khatam hota nazar aa raha hai.

141.68 se upar ka step 149.36 ke pivotal Fibo barrier par ruk gaya tha (161.80/141.68 ke 38.2% retracement), aur subsequent weakness ko renewed risk appetite ne spark kiya.

Yen bhi un signals par appreciate kar raha hai ke Fed aur BOJ ke policies ke darmiyan gap mazeed barh sakta hai, kyun ke dovish tones ne Fed ke aglay monetary policy steps ke expectations mein wapas agaya hai jab ke Japanese central bank apni hawkish stance ko barqarar rakhta hai.

Market iss hafta ke do key events par focus kar raha hai – FOMC Minutes of the last policy meeting aur Fed Chair Powell ka Jackson Hole symposium mein khitaab, jo ke Fed ke aglay steps ke hawalay se clearer signals dega (25 bp rate cut September mein widely expected hai, lekin renewed narrative of 50 bp easing, isse mazeed dovish Fed stance ki expectations mein izafa karta hai, jo dollar ko mazeed neeche kar dega).

Daily studies full bearish configuration mein turn ho rahi hain aaj ke 10 DMA (146.93) breach aur 141.68/149.40 corrective leg ke 50% retracement se neeche jaane ke baad, jab ke negative momentum strong hai aur RSI/Stochastic south ki taraf ja rahe hain.

Daily close neeche 10DMA ke fresh bears ko play mein rakhegi, jab ke 145.51 (50% retracement) ke sustained break se bearish signals mazboot honge, jo extension towards next target at 144.63 aur 143.50 (Fibo 61.8% aur 76.4% respectively) ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

Technical Analysis

USD/JPY ka rebound from 141.67 mukammal ho sakta hai 161.94 se 141.67 ke 38.2% retracement par 149.41 ke rejection ke baad. Intraday bias ab bhi downside par hai ke 141.67 low ko dobara test karne ke liye. Agar wahan se firm break hoti hai to yeh pura fall 161.94 se le kar 139.26 fibonacci level tak le ja sakta hai. Ab tak, risk downside par hi rahega jab tak 149.35 resistance hold karta hai, in case of recovery.



Fall from 161.94 medium term mein dekhi ja rahi hai jo 102.58 (2021 low) se poore uptrend ko correct kar rahi hai. Deeper decline 102.58 se le kar 161.94 tak ke 38.2% retracement 139.26 tak ho sakti hai, jo ke 140.25 support ke qareeb hai. Har surat mein, risk downside par hi rahega jab tak 55 W EMA (ab 149.63 par) hold karta hai. Halaanki, agar 55 W EMA ka firm break hota hai to yeh suggest karega ke medium term corrective pattern ke liye range already set ho gayi hai.

**USD-JPY Pair Analysis**

USDJPY movement ka analysis karte hue, dekha ja sakta hai ke pichle haftay Friday ko 149.370 ke high level se correction pressure aaya. Yeh correction selling pressure ko dikhata hai jab price apne peak ko reach karti hai, lekin pehle buyers ne 147.922 ke aas paas strong resistance ko break kar diya tha. Yeh resistance breakout kaafi strong buyer pressure ke saath hua, jo ek impulsive bullish candle ke formation se mark kiya gaya, jisne price ko significantly upar push kiya. Filhal, price key support level 147.586 par stuck hai, jo ek important area hai dekhne ke liye. Yeh key level buyers ke liye market mein dobara enter karne ka turning point ban sakta hai. Agar buyers is support ke upar price ko maintain kar sakte hain, to price ke uptrend continue karne ke high chances hain, kam se kam pehle break kiye gaye resistances ko re-test karne ya phir naya high print karne ke.

Mera trading plan is situation ko deal karte hue, support price 147.586 ke aas paas buy position enter karne ka hai. Yeh area bohot interesting hai kyunki yeh wahi support level hai jo pehle resistance tha. Jab buyers is level par market ko dominate karte hain, to buy karne ka opportunity bahut potential ban jata hai agar price support se rebound ka confirmation signal deti hai. Is strategy ko strengthen karne ke liye, main buy limit bhi consider kar raha hoon order block area 147.144 - 147.323 mein. Yeh order block ek zone hai jahan pehle price consolidation hui thi phir significant spike aayi thi. Is area mein buy limit place karna lower price par enter karne ka ek mauka provide karta hai with more measurable risk potential.

**Technical Analysis**
**USD/JPY**

Good Morning. Aaj main ek essay likhunga USD/JPY market par ke prices kaise behave kar rahi hain. USD/JPY abhi 147.57 par trading kar raha hai. USD index 102.37 level ke support ko test kar raha hai. Isliye, is time frame mein USD/JPY bullish hai ya nahi yeh analyze karna asaan hai. USD/JPY is time frame mein bullish lag raha hai. Kal ke trading mein USD/JPY market sellers ke control mein lag raha tha, jinhone USD/JPY ki price ko neeche move karne par majboor kiya. Is time frame chart par, USD/JPY ki price overbought nahi lagti kyunki Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator ne 70 ko touch nahi kiya. Saath hi, technically, USD/JPY ki price overbought nahi lagti kyunki moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator ne 0.0065 ko touch nahi kiya. Kyunki price 50 EMA line ke upar hai is time frame chart par, isliye iska trend bullish hai, aur isliye mujhe lagta hai ke yeh resistance level ko test karega jo maine diagram mein dikhaya hai.

USD/JPY bulls abhi $161.56 barrier ko attack kar rahe hain. Price pehla resistance level cross kar sakti hai aur doosre resistance level 167.65 ki taraf badh sakti hai. Is chart par, supply/resistance area jo price range 172.54 mein hai, ek strong area hai jo 3rd level of resistance hai. Dusri taraf, USD/JPY ka initial support level 137.33 hai. Price pehla support level cross kar sakti hai aur doosre support level 102.37 ki taraf badh sakti hai. Is chart par, demand/support area jo price range 76.15 mein hai, ek strong area hai jo 3rd level of support hai. Dekhte hain kuch ghanton mein kya hota hai. Humein is risky pair par trading ke doran careful rehna padega.

Chart par use kiye gaye indicators:

• MACD Indicator:
• RSI Indicator Period 14:
• 50-day Exponential Moving Average Color Orange:
• 20-day Exponential Moving Average Color Magenta:

Sham bakhair, pyaare forum ke doston aur duniya bhar ke visitors. Aap sab kaise hain? Umeed hai ke aap sab achi sehat mein hain aur apne trading activities ka lutf utha rahe hain. Aaj, main USD/JPY currency pair ka apna analysis aapke saath share karna chahta hoon.
Pichle chand trading dinon se, USD/JPY pair ka overall behavior mein zyada tabdeeli nahi aayi hai, jo ke technical analysis ke mutabiq hai. Yeh pair ek achi tarah se defined range ke andar trade kar raha hai, jo ke consolidation ka dor darshata hai, clear trend direction nahi de raha. Yeh range-bound movement is baat ka izhaar karti hai ke market participants dekh rahe hain aur shayad aage chal kar economic data ya central bank signals ka intezar kar rahe hain, tab tak kisi significant move ki ummeed nahi.

Jab hum attached chart ko dekhte hain, kuch technical indicators khaas nazar aate hain. Sab se pehle, pair key support aur resistance levels ke aas paas ghoom raha hai, jahan na to bulls ko faida mil raha hai aur na hi bears ko. Yeh balance of power price ko relatively stable rakhta hai, lekin yeh bhi is baat ki nishani hai ke ek potential breakout aane wala hai jab ek catalyst samne aayega.

Moving averages, khaaskar 50-day aur 200-day, ab flat hain ya sirf thoda incline dikhate hain, jo ke strong directional bias ki kami ko confirm karta hai. RSI (Relative Strength Index) neutral zone mein hai, lagbhag 50 ke aas paas, jo aam tor par dono directions mein momentum ki kami ko darshata hai. Yeh neutral RSI overall range-bound nature se milti hai, jo ke traders ke undecided hone ko darshata hai.

MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator bhi indecision ka wahi picture dikhata hai, jahan MACD line aur signal line closely intertwined hain, jo buyers aur sellers ke beech ongoing tug-of-war ko reflect karta

Hamari current focus USD/JPY currency pair ki price action ko evaluate karne par hai. Bears ne pehle target, 138th Fibonacci level ko 148.10 par, aur phir dusre target, 161st Fibonacci level ko 145.73 par, capture kar liya hai. Price ko is level par girne ki ummeed hai jab market dubara kholenge. Iske baad, correction honi chahiye, kam se kam broken 138th Fibonacci level 148.10 par. Bears ki behavior ko observe karna zaroori hai - kya ve bulls ko correction ke liye chance denge ya price ko new lows par push karenge.
15-minute chart ko analyze karte hue, price ne double bottom 146.49 par bana liya hai, jo minimum time frame ko indicate kar raha hai, upward adjustment ke liye. Chart par ek significant green zone form hogayi hai, jo ignore nahi ki ja sakti. Price ko upward adjust hone ki ummeed hai, resistance levels - MA red line 150.89 aur mid-trend black line 153.29 par target karne se pehle, mid-trend level ko break karke double top level 154 par pahunchne se pehle.

Prices ne new low 146.417 par set kiya hai, jahan se upward rebound ne upward movement ka start kiya hai. Lekin minimum ko dubara update kiya ja sakta hai, additional signals ke mutabiq. Daily chart se pata chalta hai ki upward movement ke liye optimal immediate target 38.2% Fib level 155.99 par hai, jo buying target ho sakta hai. Main upward movement ko continue karne ki ummeed karta hoon, 155.99 level ko break karne ke liye.

Kal ke US news ne USD/JPY pair ki further bearish movement ko aid kiya, jo unexpected nahi tha. Wage growth, employment, aur unemployment data mein decline ne European currency ko strengthen kiya, Japanese Yen ko bhi prolonged bearish journey par chhoda, jo unprecedented long uptrend ko partially compensate karne ke liye hai

USD/JPY currency pair stable movement dikha raha hai ek certain price range mein. H1 chart par, yeh dekhaya gaya hai ki current price 147,474 ke level par hai, pehle support aur resistance areas ke beech fluctuations ka experience kiya tha. Technical analysis se pata chalta hai ki short-term EMA (Exponential Moving Average) (period 9) ne long-term EMA (period 21) ko intersect karne shuru kiya hai, jo price consolidation ya sideways movement ko indicate karta hai. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator currently bullish signal de raha hai, lekin MACD histogram positive momentum ki decrease ko dikha raha hai, jo weakening uptrend aur possible correction ka sign ho sakta hai.

RSI (Relative Strength Index) indicator 59.16 ke level par hai, jo indicate karta hai ki USD/JPY pair overbought zone mein nahi gaya hai, lekin us level ko approach kar raha hai, so further increases ke liye potential hai, lekin correction ke liye aware rehna zaroori hai. Technical conditions aise hain, pending order strategy ka use trading opportunities ko optimize karne ke liye kiya ja sakta hai. Pending buy limit order 147,200 ke level par place ki ja sakti hai, current price se slightly neeche, profit target 147,800 aur stop loss 146,800 ke saath. Yeh strategy temporary correction ke potential par nirbhar karta hai pehle price ko uptrend mein continue karne se.

Conversely, pending sell limit order 147,800 ke level par place ki ja sakti hai, upper resistance area jo price increase ko hold back karne ki ummeed hai. Sell limit ke profit target 147,200 par hai aur stop loss 148,200 ke saath false breakout ko anticipate karne ke liye. Overall, USD/JPY pair currently limited range mein movement ke liye potential dikha raha hai, aur pending buy limit aur sell limit strategies ka use price fluctuations ko take advantage karne ke liye kiya ja sakta hai. Technical indicators aur market sentiment ko close monitor karne ki zaroorat hai taaki trading decisions ko zyada accurate banaya ja sake