usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY ne record high touch kiya, jo rapid increase ko indicate karta hai, aur yeh profit-taking ka potential opportunity suggest karta hai. US session se pehle decline ka chance bhi ho sakta hai. Furthermore, moving averages aur bullish channel ke upar breakout bearish pressure ko indicate karta hai. Hourly chart analysis ke mutabiq, aur 15-minute chart pe, decline ka possibility bhi hai kyunki moving average current price ke upar hai, jo bullish trend continuation ko suggest karta hai for USD/JPY pair, potentially higher zone mein move karne ka. Iss week ka trend pattern uptrend aur narrow range ko indicate karta hai. Relatively modest upward rally ke madde nazar, yeh increase agle hafte tak continue ho sakti hai, aur prices expected hain ke uptrend maintain karenge. Morning candlestick 100-period simple moving average ke upar close hui, jo market trend ke rise ko suggest karti hai. Agar buyers 161.51 price zone surpass kar sakein... Is waqt, USD/JPY trend line ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo buyers ki strength ko show karta hai, aur yeh trend line support ka kaam kar rahi hai. Bullish rally ke continue hone ke liye, lagta hai ke buyers ko 162.15 resistance break karna hoga, jo trading channel ko open karega aur bulls ke movement ke continuation ka potential dega. Pehla target supply zone hoga 160.47 pe, jahan historically sellers ne price down push kiya tha. Reverse movement towards short side bhi possible hai, lekin bears ko pehle 160.24 support break karna hoga, jahan se price aksar bounce back hoti hai. Bears ki strength tab confirm hogi jab price 160.31 ke broken level ke neeche consolidate ho jaye, jo price weakness ko indicate karega. USD/JPY market mein. Yeh khas tor pe pichlay Wednesday ko evident tha, jab price significant downward movement experience hui thi us trading session ke doran.
Chhoti timeframe mein, price position monitor hui hai aur abhi Simple Moving




Average line ke upar hai 50 period ke liye aur slight correction upward hui hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke aaj ke price position 154.00 - 155.23 ke area ke around consolidate kare gi, kyun ke aise conditions aksar Tuesday ko hoti hain jab market activity relatively quiet hoti hai. Market trend conditions H1 timeframe mein dekh kar yeh kaafi clear hai ke yeh abhi downward phase mein hai, halan ke range zyada wide nahi hai. Is haftay ka trend thoda bearish hai, jab ke USD/JPY pair ka trend upar ki taraf move hua tha July 2024 ke shuruat ke trading session ke baad. Iska matlab yeh hai ke is haftay ke market
USD/JPY is level ke neeche hold karne mein fail hota hai, to yeh agle support levels ki taraf move kar sakta hai, jo potentially around 168.00 ya us se neeche ho sakte hain. Wahi pe, agar support hold karta hai, to rebound dekhne ko mil sakta hai, aur pair previous highs around 168.70-169.00 ko test kar sakta hai. D1 moving average line trend indicator ke taur pe act karta hai. Agar USD/JPY is line ke upar rehta hai, to yeh bullish trend continuation ko suggest karta hai. Haan, sustained trading below moving average trend reversal ya consolidation phase ko indicate kar sakta hai.
USD/JPY pair ki recent trading activity complex interplay of economic indicators, central bank policies, aur geopolitical factors ko reflect karti hai. 168.470 support level ka current test on D1 moving average line pair ke liye critical juncture hai. Traders ko closely monitor karna chahiye ke pair is level ke ird-gird kaise behave karta hai, kyunke yeh future price movements ke hawale se significant insights provide kar sakta hai. Cautious aur informed approach adopt karna, technical aur fundamental analysis ko incorporate karte hue, essential hoga USD/JPY pair ke market dynamics ko navigate karne ke liye in the coming days.

USD/JPY pair mein tez girawat dekhi gayi, jo ziada tar Bank of Japan ke faisle ki wajah se thi ke unhon ne interest rates ko 0.16% tak barhaya, jo ke aik aham tabdeeli hai positive territory mein. Is action ne pair ko taqreeban 901 points neeche girne par majboor kar diya, jo ke critical level 149.99 se kaafi neeche hai. Iske ilawa, kamzor U.S. labour market data jo kal release hui thi, ne Federal Reserve rate cut ki umeedon ko barhaya jo September mein ho sakti hai, jisne pair par neeche ka pressure aur barhaya. Natija ye hua ke crucial sloping support 148.14 ke qareeb break ho gaya aur local support 146.51 ke qareeb ruk gaya. Ye support level zyada dair tak nahi rahega, aur price likely neeche ki taraf continue karegi towards round number aur support 145.01 par, jahan se aik substantial rebound upside ki taraf ho sakta hai.

Hourly chart par, price descending channel mein rehti hai. Jumme ko, pair ne girawat ka silsila jaari rakha lekin channel ke lower boundary ko nahi pohoch saka. Isliye, downward movement Monday tak jaari rahegi, aur shayad lower boundary 144.27 tak pohoch sake. Jab ye target hit ho jaye, to aik reversal ho sakta hai, aur price channel ke upper boundary ki taraf move kar sakti hai, jo ke 147.40 tak pohoch sakti hai. Girawat linearly hui, bina kisi significant pullbacks ke. Target 146.81 meet hui, jo ke senior trend line ke saath ek deviation ko dikhata hai. Aik pullback mirror level tak mumkin hai, jo ke 151.84 ke qareeb hai. Lekin

USD/JPY pair mein tez girawat dekhi gayi, jo ziada tar Bank of Japan ke faisle ki wajah se thi ke unhon ne interest rates ko 0.16% tak barhaya, jo ke aik aham tabdeeli hai positive territory mein. Is action ne pair ko taqreeban 901 points neeche girne par majboor kar diya, jo ke critical level 149.99 se kaafi neeche hai. Iske ilawa, kamzor U.S. labour market data jo kal release hui thi, ne Federal Reserve rate cut ki umeedon ko barhaya jo September mein ho sakti hai, jisne pair par neeche ka pressure aur barhaya. Natija ye hua ke crucial sloping support 148.14 ke qareeb break ho gaya aur local support 146.51 ke qareeb ruk gaya. Ye support level zyada dair tak nahi rahega, aur price likely neeche ki taraf continue karegi towards round number aur support 145.01 par, jahan se aik substantial rebound upside ki taraf ho sakta hai Hourly chart par, price descending channel mein rehti hai. Jumme ko, pair ne girawat ka silsila jaari rakha lekin channel ke lower boundary ko nahi pohoch saka. Isliye, downward movement Monday tak jaari rahegi, aur shayad lower boundary 144.27 tak pohoch sake. Jab ye target hit ho jaye, to aik reversal ho sakta hai, aur price channel ke upper boundary ki taraf move kar sakti hai, jo ke 147.40 tak pohoch sakti hai. Girawat linearly hui, bina kisi significant pullbacks ke. Target 146.81 meet hui, jo ke senior trend line ke saath ek deviation ko dikhata hai. Aik pullback mirror level tak mumkin hai, jo ke 151.84 ke qareeb hai. Lekin

Pair 149 se gir kar 800 points neeche aaya, jo ke ek bara drop tha, is liye ek pullback shuru hua. Misal ke taur par, GBP/USD 1.13 se gir kar 1.0340 par aaya aur phir foran ek rollback dekhne ko mila. JP Morgan Chase Bank ka kehna hai ke sirf aadhe arbitrage trades liquidate hue hain, aur abhi bhi decline ki guzarish hai, magar asal mein hum stable ho sakte hain, lekin foran nahi. Technical taur par, agar mein theek hoon aur yahan ek black channel nazar aata hai, to pair 148 se upar nahi jayega aur girta rahega, lekin is ke liye signal chahiye ke pair waapis 146 par aaye aur agar mumkin ho to 145 par aaye, taake sell karne ka mauqa milay aur sab se zaroori loss stop karne ka jagah milay. Agar pair uptrend channel aur 149 level se break kar jata hai, to zyada chances hain ke ya to correction continue hogi ya koi wide flat pattern samne aaye ga. Misal ke taur par, mujhe 152-145 range mein koi quotes nazar nahi aa rahe

USD/JPY currency pair ne Asian session mein trading volume mein khaasa izafa dekha. Pair ne rally ki, jo ke week ke start mein neeche girne ke baad rebound continue kar raha tha. Investors profits le rahe hain. Yen ki demand bhi gir rahi hai. Duniya ke markets panic se recover kar rahe hain. Bank of Japan phir se currency rates ke sath khel raha hai. Pair pehli half of the day mein halka downside correction dekh sakta hai, lekin overall, mein samajhta hoon ke uptrend continue rahega. Expected reversal point 145.75 hai aur mein is point ke upar buy karoon ga with targets 148.65 aur 149.55. Agar pair apni downtrend resume kar leta hai, 145.75 level se break kar ke merge karta hai, to phir raasta khulta hai 145.25 aur 144.75 tak

USD/JPY ka currency pair jo ke iss waqt 146.60 par hai, forex market mein ek dilchasp surat-e-haal paish karta hai. Filhal, market ek bearish trend dikha rahi hai, jo dheere dheere neeche ja rahi hai. Magar, currency trading ki duniya mein, jahan utar chadhav mukhtalif factors ke complex interplay se hota hai, ye samajhna zaroori hai ke dheere chalti hui trends kabhi kabhi significant market movements ka pehlay se ishaara hoti hain. USD/JPY pair duniya ke sab se zyada closely watched pairs mein se ek hai, kyunki U.S. aur Japan dono ka economic asar kaafi bara hai, aur kisi bhi imkaanat se ek bari tabdeeli aasakti hai.
### Maujooda Market Ka Wazeh Taur Par Jaiza

Ek nazar mein, USD/JPY ka abhi ka bearish trend kuch khaas nahi lagta. Ye pair ghat raha hai, jo ke Japanese yen ke U.S. dollar ke muqablay mein mazid mazboot hone ko reflect karta hai. Is trend mein kai factors hissa daal sakte hain, jaise ke economic data releases, central bank policies, aur broader market sentiment. Misal ke taur par, haali mein U.S. ke economic indicators shayad umeedon par pura nahi utar sake, jis se dollar thoda naram ho gaya. Dosri taraf, Japan ko safe-haven assets jese yen ki demand ya positive economic data se faida ho sakta hai.

Magar, is trend ka dheere chalna is baat ka ishaara de sakta hai ke market participants ehtiyat se kaam le rahe hain, aur shayad kisi aise trigger ka intizar kar rahe hain jo ke ek bara movement la sakta hai. Forex markets mein ye rawaiya aam baat hai, jahan traders zyada bara position lene se pehlay wazeh signals ka intizar karte hain.

### Badi Harkat Ke Imkaanat Ke Asbaab

Kai factors USD/JPY pair mein ek bara movement la sakte hain. In mein shamil hain:

1. **Central Bank Policies**: U.S. Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ka USD/JPY exchange rate par bara asar hota hai. Interest rates, monetary policy stances, ya kisi bhi tarah ke forward guidance mein tabdeeli is pair par significant asar dal sakti hai. Misal ke taur par, agar Fed ek dovish stance adopt karta hai, jisme interest rates mein pause ya cut ka signal hota hai, to dollar mazid yen ke muqablay mein kamzor ho sakta hai. Waisa hi agar BoJ apni monetary policy ko tight karta hai, to yen mazid mazboot ho sakta hai, jo ke bearish trend ko barha dega.

2. **Economic Data**: GDP growth rates, employment data, inflation figures, aur trade balances jese key economic indicators dono U.S. aur Japan se market expectations ko shape karte hain. In figures mein koi achanak se positive ya negative surprise USD/JPY mein ek sharp movement ko trigger kar sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar U.S. ka jobs report umeed se zyada strong hota hai to dollar mazboot ho sakta hai, jabke Japan se weak inflation data yen ko kamzor kar sakta hai.

3. **Geopolitical Events**: Forex market geopolitics developments ke liye bohot sensitive hai. East Asia mein tension, khaaskar wo jo Japan ya uske key trading partners se mutaliq ho, yen mein volatility ko barha sakti hai. Waisa hi, U.S. foreign policy ya economic sanctions mein kisi bhi significant development se dollar mutasir ho sakta hai. Aise cases mein, traders yen ko safe-haven currency ke tor par pasand kar sakte hain, jis se USD/JPY neeche ja sakta hai.

4. **Market Sentiment**: Investor sentiment currency markets mein ek powerful force hai. Agar global market sentiment risk aversion ki taraf jata hai, to yen, jo ke traditionally ek safe-haven currency hai, ki demand barh sakti hai. Is se USD/JPY pair mein mazid girawat asakti hai. Waisa hi, agar risk appetite wapas aata hai to yen kamzor ho sakta hai aur dollar mazboot, jo ke current trend ko ulat sakta hai.

### Ek Bari Harkat Ka Imkan Kyun Hai

Jabke current trend dheere aur bearish hai, kai indicators is baat ka ishaara de rahe hain ke USD/JPY mein ek bari harkat kareeb ho sakti hai. Sabse pehle, market ka dheere chalna is baat ka pata de sakta hai ke trading positions build ho rahi hain, aur kai traders ek decisive breakout ya breakdown ka intizar kar rahe hain pehlay ke zyada significant moves karein. Forex market mein aise rawaiye ka aksar pehlay se izhar hota hai jab sharp movements hoti hain.

Is ke ilawa, global economic environment ab bhi kaafi uncertain hai, jisme major economies se mixed signals aa rahe hain. U.S. mein, monetary policy ke direction par debates jaari hain, jisme kuch log mazid tightening ka kehte hain aur doosray ek zyada accommodative approach ke liye kah rahe hain. Japan mein, BoJ ki policies par sakht nazar hai, khaaskar jab mulk low-inflation environment aur aging population ke challenges ka samna kar raha hai

USD/JPY currency pair ki technical analysis ye suggest kar rahi hai ke downward trend continue hoga, jo ke Triangular Moving Average (TMA) channel indicator se clear hota hai. Is southward movement ko Zigzag indicator aur auxiliary technical tools, jaise ke Laguerre aur Relative Strength Index (RSI) jo overbought zone mein hain, further support karte hain, jo ke short-selling opportunities ka potential dikhate hain. Market mein bearish sentiment prevail kar raha hai, aur analyst ka plan hai ke -23.6% Fibonacci support level, jo ke 144.694 price par located hai, tak pohonchne par open position ko close kar diya jaye. Risk ko mitigate karne ke liye, analyst stop-loss order ko breakeven level par le aaye ga jaise hi position profitable territory mein enter kare gi. Yeh approach trader ko bearish momentum se faida uthane ka moqa deti hai jab ke potential price reversals se bacha kar rakhti hai Recent US labor market data ke release ne USD/JPY price ko southward move karne par majboor kiya. Yeh development trader, Dmitry ke liye khushi ka baais hai jo ke ab is bearish trend se profits enjoy kar raha hai. Lekin analyst ka maanna hai ke Japanese yen shayad zyada dair tak vertically strengthen nahi kar payega, aur price stabilize ho sakti hai, jis se consolidation ka period ya phir northward move ho sakta hai. Despite current bearish sentiment, analyst caution karta hai ke US dollar ko completely write off karna theek nahi hoga. American currency apni resilience ke liye jani jati hai aur yeh kis waqt bhi comeback kar sakti hai, ya toh USD/JPY pair mein reversal ke zariye ya phir doosri currency pairs mein strength ke zariye. Analyst market conditions ko closely monitor karega aur trading strategy ko accordingly adjust karega taake potential opportunities ka faida uthaya ja sake

Yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke foreign exchange market mein trading ke inherent risks hote hain, aur investors ko hamesha thorough research karni chahiye, risk management strategies implement karni chahiye, aur kisi bhi investment decision se pehle professional guidance hasil karni chahiye. Agle Federal Reserve meeting tak pura mahina baqi hai, aur is dauran is currency pair ki price mein significant increase dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Yeh is wajah se hai ke dollar ki strength ko drive karne wale underlying factors, jaise ke US economy ka robust performance aur Fed ka hawkish monetary policy stance, fundamentally altered nahi huye hain. Recent economic data release ke bawajood, jo ke kuch logon ka manna hai ke government agencies ne upcoming elections se pehle rosier picture paint karne ke liye manipulate kiya, dollar ka long-term trajectory bullish hi rahega

Yeh potential withdrawal significant profits ka mauqa paida karta hai, especially un logon ke liye jo downward momentum ko capitalize karte hain. Magar, current market trends ek deceleration dikhate hain downward trajectory mein, jo ke possible reversal ki taraf ishara karte hain jo last Friday se manifest hona shuru hui thi. US dollar ka potential weakening yeh bullish outlook support karta hai. Mukhtalif economic indicators aur market sentiments bhi dollar ke retreat ki taraf ishara karte hain, jo USD/JPY pair ki upward movement ko further enhance karte hain. Jo traders is trend ko recognize karte hain, wo support level ke aas paas long positions enter kar ke anticipated upward movement ko capitalize kar sakte hain Market conditions for USD/JPY currency pair indicate karte hain ke long positions ke liye ek promising scenario paida ho raha hai. Support level 161.35-161.21 pe ache se held hai, aur anticipated upward movement towards the 161.83-161.36 resistance zone ek favorable opportunity present karta hai traders ke liye. Buyers ki strength, recent price actions se evident hai aur expected weakening of the US dollar, bullish outlook ko further bolster karti hai. Jab market potential gains ke liye gear up kar rahi hai, traders ko in key levels aur trends ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake apne profit potential ko




maximize kar saken. Pichle hafte ke market behavior ko analyze karte hue, yeh evident hota hai ke buyers consistently support level 161.300 ko held kar rahe hain, jo price ko further girne se rokti hai. Yeh strong support foundation potential upward movement ke liye ek solid base create kar rahi hai. Resistance level 161.47 ek critical benchmark serve karta hai, jo agar reach ho jaye, to bullish trend ki strength ko validate kar sakta hai Pichle hafte ka completion resistance level 161.73-161.46 ke aas paas ek strong indicator hai buyer strength ka. Yeh level historically ek significant resistance point act karta hai, aur price ka is level ke paas close hona suggest karta hai ke buyers control gain kar rahe hain. Yeh bullish momentum agle kuch dinon mein continue hone ki expectation hai, price ko 161.83 resistance zone ki taraf push karte hue Conversely, ek higher-than-expected rate USD ko weaken kar sakta hai, jo ke hamari strategy ka reevaluation zaroori bana deta hai. In conclusion, mein suggest karunga ke hum bullish concept follow karein. Technical aur fundamental analysis dono potential upward movement ko indicate karte hain. Market potentially 161.42 level ko reach kar sakti hai, jo positive economic data aur favorable market conditions se support hoti hai. Apni trading strategy ko prevailing bullish trend ke sath align kar ke aur key economic indicators ke baray mein informed rah ke, hum apne potential for profit ko maximize kar sakte hain while risk ko effectively manage

Agar price 159.901 ke resistance ko break kar leti hai, to yeh signal hoga ke buying power strong enough hai price ko aur upar push karne ke liye. Yeh resistance breakout opportunities khol sakti hai price ke further rise hone ki aur possibly next resistance levels ko reach karne ki. USD/JPY currency pair narrow trading range mein stuck hai Asian trading hours ke doran is Wednesday ko, jabke briefly 34-year high ko touch kiya tha is hafte ke shuru mein. But, USD/JPY has limited upside potential due to potential intervention by Japanese authorities, specifically the Bank of Japan (BOJ). Japan ne excessive currency fluctuations ke bare mein concerns express kiye hain aur measures hint kiye hain Yen ko support karne ke liye. Yeh stance sharply contrast karta hai hawkish Federal Reserve ke sath US mein, jo dollar ko higher drive kar raha hai. USD/JPY ne recently ek key

resistance level 158.34 ko break kiya aur abhi 160.20 ke thoda neeche hover kar raha hai. Jabke pair ne recent days mein resistance around 159.80 face kiya hai, agar crucial 159.00 level ke neeche break hota hai to yeh potential downside correction signal kar sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar USD/JPY 159.00 ke upar hold karta hai, to further rise ka chance abhi bhi hai. USD/JPY currency pair par paisa kamane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Aaj mein is instrument ki volatility ko dekh raha hoon aur yeh andaza hai ke yeh 157.164 ke support level tak decline karega, jahan se khareedna bohot munasib hoga. Baaki sab kuch instrument ki aaj ki volatility par mabni hoga. Kyunki mujhe 159.023 level tak growth ki umeed hai, main stop loss ko zyada door nahi rakhunga, lagbhag 157.139 ke level par. Expected profit aur limiting losses ka behtareen ratio hasil ho jayega. Agar stop loss level hit hota hai, to growth ke saath saare plans cancel kar dunga aur aaj ke liye bina profit ke reh jaunga. Main yeh bhi dekhna chahta hoon ke price 158.076 level par kaise react karega. Yeh bhi ek ahem role ada kar sakta hai. Agar aaj humein ek upward impulse milta hai, 158.00 range tak, to uske baad bhi fall continue hoga. Choti upward impulse 159.70 range tak ho sakti hai, phir wahan se fall continue hoga. Current level se corrective growth abhi bhi mumkin hai, lekin uske baad bhi fall continue hoga. 156.06 se choti impulse pehle hi ho chuki hai aur uske baad fall continue hoga. Current range se fall abhi bhi mumkin hai

Mukhtalif economic indicators aur market sentiments bhi dollar ke retreat ki taraf ishara karte hain, jo USD/JPY pair ki upward movement ko further enhance karte hain. Jo traders is trend ko recognize karte hain, wo support level ke aas paas long positions enter kar ke anticipated upward movement ko capitalize kar sakte hain Market conditions for USD/JPY currency pair indicate karte hain ke long positions ke liye ek promising scenario paida ho raha hai. Support level 161.35-161.21 pe ache se held hai, aur anticipated upward movement towards the 161.83-161.36 resistance zone ek favorable opportunity present karta hai traders ke liye. Buyers ki strength, recent price actions se evident hai aur expected weakening of the US dollar, bullish outlook ko further bolster karti hai. Jab market potential gains ke liye gear up kar rahi hai, traders ko in key levels aur trends ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake apne profit potential ko maximize kar saken. Pichle hafte ke market behavior ko analyze karte hue, yeh evident hota hai ke buyers consistently support level 161.300 ko held kar rahe hain, jo price ko further girne se rokti hai. Yeh strong support foundation potential upward movement ke liye ek solid base create kar rahi hai. Resistance level 161.47 ek critical benchmark serve karta hai, jo agar reach ho jaye, to bullish trend ki strength ko validate kar sakta hai Pichle hafte ka completion resistance level 161.73-161.46 ke aas paas ek strong indicator hai buyer strength ka. Yeh level historically ek significant resistance point act karta hai, aur price ka is level ke paas close hona suggest karta hai ke buyers control gain kar rahe hain. Yeh bullish momentum agle kuch dinon mein continue hone ki expectation hai, price ko 161.83 resistance zone ki taraf push karte hue Conversely, ek higher-than-expected rate USD ko weaken kar sakta hai, jo ke hamari strategy ka reevaluation zaroori bana deta hai. In conclusion, mein suggest karunga ke hum bullish concept follow karein. Technical aur fundamental analysis dono potential upward movement ko indicate karte hain. Market potentially 161.42 level ko reach kar sakti hai, jo positive economic data aur favorable market conditions se support hoti hai

pohonch gaya, jo ke January 2024 ke aghaz ke baad se sab se buland satah hai. Iska sabab yeh hai ke logon ka khayal hai ke Bank of Japan aney walay mahinon mein mazeed interest rates barha sakta hai, jab ke US Federal Reserve ke baray mein umeed hai ke woh mazeed tez raftari se rates mein kami karega. Yeh umeedain us waqt barh gayin jab kamzor jobs report ne America mein mandi ka khauf barhadiya, jisse bazaar mein September mein Fed ke 50 basis points ki rate cut ki pricing honay lagi.
Is doran, Bank of Japan ne pichlay haftay apna interest rate 0.25% tak barhaya aur yeh isharah diya ke agar economy mazboot rahi to woh mazeed rates barhane ke liye tayaar hai. Financial markets is fiscal year, jo March 2025 mein khatam ho ga, ke doran mazeed do rate hikes ki umeed kar rahi hain, jisme agla izafa December mein hona mutawaqqa hai. Central bank ne yeh bhi elaan kiya ke woh aglay do saal mein apni mahana bond khareedari ko adha kar dega.

Doosri taraf, data ne yeh dikhaya ke Japanese authorities ne July mein apni currency ko support karne ke liye 5.53 trillion yen kharch kiye.

10 saal ke Japanese government bond ke yield mein kami aayi aur woh 0.8% se neeche chala gaya, jo ke chaar mahinay ki kamzoor satah hai. Yeh kami US bond yields ke girnay ke doran hui, jab ke logon ka khayal hai ke Federal Reserve kamzor U.S. jobs data ke baad mazeed tez raftari se rates mein kami karega. Japanese government bond yields par yeh pressure safe-haven khareedari ke wajah se bhi tha, jo ke global stock selloff aur yen carry trade ke rapid unwinding ke doran barh gaya

SD/JPY ke senior haftawar chart par dekha ja sakta hai ke pichlay kuch hafton mein is currency pair ki qeemat mein kafi tez girawat ayi hai. Kuch technical indicators bhi is girawat ki taraf ishara kar rahe thay, jin mein se sab se ahem MACD indicator par nazar anay wali bearish divergence thi. Dusra indicator jo istamal kiya gaya, CCI, us ne bhi upar bearish divergence dikhayi, magar woh thori si kamzor thi. Is girawat ke kuch buniyadi wajuhat bhi hain. Japan ka central bank apni qaumi currency ki kamzori se tang aa gaya tha, aur bazaar mein arbon inject karne ke bawajood kuch faida nahi hua, isliye unhoon ne interest rate mein izafa karna pada. Iske baad ek bade peemane par girawat shuru hui. Girawat ke doran, 151.92 ka level tor diya gaya aur phir ascending line bhi tor di gayi. Qeemat taqreeban 140.54 ke support level tak pohonch gayi thi, lekin us level ko chua nahi. Ab ek upward correction shuru hui hai aur aksar ye upar jaane ki umeed hai. Mera khayal hai ke toray gaye ascending line ko neeche se touch karna zaroori hai, khaaskar jab ke CCI indicator neeche overheating zone mein dakhil ho chuka hai. Mera khayal hai ke abhi mazeed girawat ke liye bechna jaldi hogi, mein samajhta hoon ke upar ka rollback is waqt se gehra hoga, yahan dekha ja sakta hai ke H4 par neeche ki taraf dubara banana hoga ya nahi, takay aage chal kar neeche kaam kiya ja sake. Agar aap din se chotay period par dekhen, to yeh dikhayi de raha hai ke CCI indicator neeche ke overheating zone se upar ki taraf jaana chahta hai aur is par ek growth ka signal hai - ek bullish divergence. Mujhe nazdeek mein koi ahem resistance levels nazar nahi aa rahe, is liye maine recent girawat par Fibonacci correction grid lagayi. Aap dekh sakte hain ke qeemat 23.6 ke level tak pohonch gayi thi aur thodi si wapas ayi hai. Mera khayal hai ke kam az kam 38.2 ke level tak growth hogi. Neeche se toray gaye line ka touch bhi hoga. Is zone mein aap already selling ke baray mein soch sakte hain

Jaise ke maine pehle bataya tha, mera main reference point senior time frame mein tha, jisme price ka behavior weekly chart ke hawale se dekha gaya tha. Yeh yad dilata chaloon ke sab se pehle price action ka method use kiya gaya tha. Jahan candlestick pattern, "Evening Star", ne steep decline ko zahir kiya, jo ke diagonal support tootne par hua, aur us ke baad sellers ne kafi der tak market ko apne qaboo mein rakha. Total decline 1720 points tha, aur reference point Fibonacci level 88.2 par tha, jo heavy Moving Average (MA) ke sath milta tha. Maine yeh sab kuch screen par draw kiya tha, jo direction ko rok diya aur price kaafi upar chala gaya. Mujhe lagta hai agle hafte mein hum 148.53 tak pahunch sakte hain, aur yeh kam az kam 200 points ka move hoga. Main suggest karta hoon ke apne trading strategy ke mutabiq is plan ko dobara check karein. Economic calendar mein teen-star category ki kafi news hain, jo Japan aur US dono se aane wali hain, is liye yahan fundamentals bhi price action ko influence karenge. USD/JPY currency pair ne upar ki taraf ek strong correction dekha hai, lekin mujhe filhaal ke prices par selling karne mein thoda cautious hona pad raha hai. Dekhte hain agla hafta kya laata hai, kyun ke humein abhi is weekend se guzarna hai. Main yeh nahi keh raha ke market mein kuch bhi fix hai, lekin Middle East mein nayi tensions dekhne ko mili hain, aur agar kuch hua toh Monday ko market khulne par kuch surprises dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Lekin kisi bhi surat mein yeh Japanese yen ko mazid mazboot karne par majboor karenge. Bearish trend ab bhi relevant hai, aur agar Monday ko prices 147.90 ke mark se upar nahi jati, toh yeh price par selling market mein entry leni chahiye. Lekin hum is idea ko weekend par zaroor analyze

USDJPY trading ka aghaz 147.23 ke price par hua. Agar h1 timeframe dekhein, toh candle abhi bhi resistance area mein phansi hui hai. Agar yeh area successfully cross ho gaya, toh USDJPY aur bhi upar ja sakta hai. Lekin agar resistance area cross nahi hota, toh USDJPY wapas neeche aa sakta hai. Guzishta Thursday ko, USDJPY ke girne ke baad, uski movement phir se upar gayi thi. Yeh us waqt hua jab candle RBS zone mein phansi hui thi. Us waqt ki movement bhi kaafi tez thi kyun ke yeh lagbhag 150 pips tak upar chala gaya tha. Meri upar ki analysis ke mutabiq, yeh wazeh hai ke USDJPY ke mazeed barhne ke chances hain kyun ke candle ne middle Bollinger Band line ko cross kar liya hai. Lekin aapko hoshiyar rehna hoga kyun ke candle abhi tak MA50 line ko cross nahi kar payi hai. Yahan se rebound ho sakta hai jo isko girne par majboor kar sakta hai. Aakhir mein ho sakta hai ke yeh kaam kar jaye aur is trading instrument ke further price distribution ke liye yeh option kaam karne lagay agar yahan par puppeteer ziada market participants ko yeh yakeen dilata hai ke ab corrective rollback khatam ho gaya hai aur ab se is pair ko sell karna shuru karna chahiye, kyun ke agar dekha jaye toh price upar janay ko tayar nahi lag rahi, shayad ziada market participants yeh samajhte hain ke yeh price yahin se neeche gira kar form ki gayi minimum se bhi neeche ja sakti hai.
Agar yeh puppeteer trap kaam kar gaya, toh is scenario ke mutabiq USDJPY pair initial key mein seedha yahan se baghair kisi rollback ke 159.13 tak ja sakta hai, aur agar yeh sach mein hota hai, toh phir is scenario ke mutabiq wahan se, 159.13 level se neeche girne ka imkaan hai jo ke form ki gayi minimum se bhi neeche ja sakta hai. Main khud yeh tasavvur karta hoon ke USDJPY mazeed barhega kyun ke h1 support jo ke 145.88 price par hai, abhi tak break nahi hua. Is liye, main sab ko yeh tajwez deta hoon ke jo is pair mein trading karte hain, woh sirf buy positions par focus karein. Aap apna take profit target

Iss week ka trend pattern uptrend aur narrow range ko indicate karta hai. Relatively modest upward rally ke madde nazar, yeh increase agle hafte tak continue ho sakti hai, aur prices expected hain ke uptrend maintain karenge. Morning candlestick 100-period simple moving average ke upar close hui, jo market trend ke rise ko suggest karti hai. Agar buyers 161.51 price zone surpass kar sakein... Is waqt, USD/JPY trend line ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo buyers ki strength ko show karta hai, aur yeh trend line support ka kaam kar rahi hai. Bullish rally ke continue hone ke liye, lagta hai ke buyers ko 162.15 resistance break karna hoga, jo trading channel ko open karega aur bulls ke movement ke continuation ka potential dega. Pehla target supply zone hoga 160.47 pe, jahan historically sellers ne price down push kiya tha. Reverse movement towards short side bhi possible hai, lekin bears ko pehle 160.24 support break karna hoga, jahan se price aksar bounce back hoti hai. Bears ki strength tab confirm hogi jab price 160.31 ke broken level ke neeche consolidate ho jaye, jo price weakness ko indicate karega. USD/JPY market mein. Yeh khas tor pe pichlay Wednesday ko evident tha, jab price significant downward movement experience hui thi us trading session ke doran.
Chhoti timeframe mein, price position monitor hui hai aur abhi Simple Moving Average line ke upar hai 50 period ke liye aur slight correction upward hui hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke aaj ke price position 154.00 - 155.23 ke area ke around consolidate kare gi, kyun ke aise conditions aksar Tuesday ko hoti hain jab market activity relatively quiet hoti hai. Market trend conditions H1 timeframe mein dekh kar yeh kaafi clear hai ke yeh abhi downward phase mein hai, halan ke range zyada wide nahi hai. Is haftay ka trend thoda bearish hai, jab ke USD/JPY pair ka trend upar ki taraf move hua tha July 2024 ke shuruat ke trading session ke baad. Iska matlab yeh hai ke is haftay ke market
USD/JPY is level ke neeche hold karne mein fail hota hai, to yeh agle support levels ki taraf move kar sakta hai, jo potentially around 168.00 ya us se neeche ho sakte hain. Wahi pe, agar support hold karta hai, to rebound dekhne ko mil sakta hai, aur pair previous highs around 168.70-169.00 ko test kar sakta hai. D1 moving average line trend indicator ke taur pe act karta hai. Agar USD/JPY is line ke upar rehta hai, to yeh bullish trend continuation ko suggest karta hai. Haan, sustained trading below moving average trend reversal ya consolidation phase ko indicate kar sakta hai

Ab senior weekly chart par USDJPY currency pair ke nazar se dekh sakte hain ke price pichle kuch hafton mein tezi se gir gayi hai. Yahan technical indicators ka zikar hai, jinmein se sabse aham bearish divergence hai jo MACD indicator par nazar aa rahi hai. Dusra indicator, CCI, bhi upar ke point par bearish divergence dikha raha tha, magar thoda chhota tha. Girawat ke liye fundamental reasons bhi hain. Bank of Japan ne apni national currency ke kamzor hone ko bardasht karne se thak gaya hai, market mein billions inject karne ke bawajood madad nahi mili aur unhein interest rate barhana pada. Iske baad ek bade scale ka girawat shuru ho gaya. Girawat ke doran 152.17 ka level toota aur phir ascending line bhi tooti. Price lagbhag 140.81 ke support level tak pohnch gayi thi, lekin usse poori tarah nahi pohnchi. Ek upward correction shuru hui aur yeh pata chala ke broken ascending line se niche se touch hui hai, yahan se ek naye girawat ka daura shuru ho sakta hai. Magar CCI indicator confused kar raha hai, jo lower overheating zone mein deep chala gaya hai. Upar ka rollback shayad aur bhi gehra ho sakta hai, yahan dekhna padega ke price H4 par kis tarah se behave kar rahi hai, kya further growth ke liye koi indications hain ya decline shuru karna hai. Yeh situation unclear hai, mujhe lagta hai ke buyers aur sellers ke chances barabar hain

H4 chart par. Is period par, price lagbhag stuck nazar aati hai, yeh pehle broken daily line se niche se approach kar rahi hai aur support level 146.02 isse neeche jaane se rok raha hai. Is level ka test upar se hua aur price upar chali gayi, jabke potential ab bhi zyada hai. Agar price 146.02 ke support level ke neeche successfully consolidate hoti hai to selling consider kiya ja sakta hai. Breakout ke baad is level ka niche se test hona sabse achha point hai