usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY pair mein tez girawat dekhi gayi, jo ziada tar Bank of Japan ke faisle ki wajah se thi ke unhon ne interest rates ko 0.16% tak barhaya, jo ke aik aham tabdeeli hai positive territory mein. Is action ne pair ko taqreeban 901 points neeche girne par majboor kar diya, jo ke critical level 149.99 se kaafi neeche hai. Iske ilawa, kamzor U.S. labour market data jo kal release hui thi, ne Federal Reserve rate cut ki umeedon ko barhaya jo September mein ho sakti hai, jisne pair par neeche ka pressure aur barhaya. Natija ye hua ke crucial sloping support 148.14 ke qareeb break ho gaya aur local support 146.51 ke qareeb ruk gaya. Ye support level zyada dair tak nahi rahega, aur price likely neeche ki taraf continue karegi towards round number aur support 145.01 par, jahan se aik substantial rebound upside ki taraf ho sakta hai.

Hourly chart par, price descending channel mein rehti hai. Jumme ko, pair ne girawat ka silsila jaari rakha lekin channel ke lower boundary ko nahi pohoch saka. Isliye, downward movement Monday tak jaari rahegi, aur shayad lower boundary 144.27 tak pohoch sake. Jab ye target hit ho jaye, to aik reversal ho sakta hai, aur price channel ke upper boundary ki taraf move kar sakti hai, jo ke 147.40 tak pohoch sakti hai. Girawat linearly hui, bina kisi significant pullbacks ke. Target 146.81 meet hui, jo ke senior trend line ke saath ek deviation ko dikhata hai. Aik pullback mirror level tak mumkin hai, jo ke 151.84 ke qareeb hai. Lekin

Agar hum USDJPY par tawajju dein, khaaskar bara time frame H4 par, to yeh saaf nazar aata hai ke is haftay woh bullish trend ko khatam karne ki koshish kar rahe hain jo ke kuch hafton se chal raha tha. Aur agar hum ab tawajju dein to kam az kam yeh nazar aata hai ke USDJPY ab EMA50 ko upar se torhne ki koshish kar raha hai, jo agar kamiyabi se torh diya jaye to yeh ek bara bullish mouqa ho sakta hai. Magar buyers ko bohat ehtiyaat se kaam lena chahiye kyunki ab USDJPY H4 mein dobara overbought position mein aa gaya hai.
Chhoti timeframe H1 mein dekha jaye to lagta hai ke USDJPY kal dobara girne ka mouqa tha jab ke price EMA50 H1 ke neeche thi, magar USDJPY ki taqat ki wajah se yeh dobara uthne mein kamiyab raha aur hatta ke American session mein dobara daakhil hua. USDJPY dobara upar ki taraf chal pada aur hatta ke aaj subah tak yeh 147.7 ke resistance area ko torhne ki koshish kar raha hai, jo ke is baat ka imkaan hai ke yeh area torha jaye aur USDJPY apni bari upward movement jari rakhe.

Abhi price 147.25 par trade kar rahi hai aur yeh hourly period ki MA120 ke ooper aur XamaSystem indicator ke ooper hai, jo yeh batata hai ke buyers ka priority hai sellers par. Aur isi liye aaj mein expect karta hoon ke price mein chhoti si girawat ho gi XamaSystem indicator ke hourly period ke neechay 169.69 ya MA120 ke average moving line tak, jo ke ab 146.08 par hai. Is ke baad mein ek rebound aur reversal ki umeed karta hoon. Phir mein yeh asset ko Thursday ke maximum par 147.60 par grow hota dekhne ki umeed karta hoon aur is maximum ko update karta hoon. Agla target Wednesday ka maximum 147.90 hai. Dosra target resistance par 148.48 hai

price ne support level 159.296 tak correct kiya tha, jo EMA 50 ke qareeb hai. Yeh correction temporary selling pressure indicate karti hai jo price ko support area tak le gayi. Support level 159.296 ko touch karne ke baad, price ne bullish strength dikhayi aur continued increases hui. Yeh indicate karta hai ke support 159.296 successfully price decline ko roknay mein kamiyab raha, aur yeh turning point bana buyers ke liye market mein dubara enter karne ka. Support touch karne ke baad price ka increase market sentiment ko buying power se dominated dikhata hai. Abhi, price dubara resistance level 159.901 ke qareeb pohanch rahi hai. Yeh level bullish trend ke continuation ko determine karne mein crucial hai. Agar price 159.901 ke resistance ko break kar leti hai, to yeh signal hoga ke buying power strong enough hai price ko aur upar push karne ke liye. Yeh resistance breakout opportunities khol sakti hai price ke further rise hone ki aur possibly next resistance levels ko reach karne ki. USD/JPY currency pair narrow trading range mein stuck hai Asian trading hours ke doran is Wednesday ko, jabke briefly 34-year high ko touch kiya tha is hafte ke shuru mein. But, USD/JPY has limited upside potential due to potential intervention by Japanese authorities, specifically the Bank of Japan (BOJ). Japan ne excessive currency fluctuations ke bare mein concerns express kiye hain aur measures hint kiye hain Yen ko support karne ke liye. Yeh stance sharply contrast karta hai hawkish Federal Reserve ke sath US mein, jo dollar ko higher drive kar raha hai. USD/JPY ne recently ek key resistance level 158.34 ko break kiya aur abh





i 160.20 ke thoda neeche hover kar raha hai. Jabke pair ne recent days mein resistance around 159.80 face kiya hai, agar crucial 159.00 level ke neeche break hota hai to yeh potential downside correction signal kar sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar USD/JPY 159.00 ke upar hold karta hai, to further rise ka chance abhi bhi hai. USD/JPY currency pair par paisa kamane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Aaj mein is instrument ki volatility ko dekh raha hoon aur yeh andaza hai ke yeh 157.164 ke support level tak decline karega, jahan se khareedna bohot munasib hoga. Baaki sab kuch instrument ki aaj ki volatility par mabni hoga. Kyunki mujhe 159.023 level tak growth ki umeed hai, main stop loss ko zyada door nahi rakhunga, lagbhag 157.139 ke level par. Expected profit aur limiting losses ka behtareen ratio hasil ho jayega. Agar stop loss level hit hota hai, to growth ke saath saare plans cancel kar dunga aur aaj ke liye bina profit ke reh jaunga. Main yeh bhi dekhna chahta hoon ke price 158.076 level par kaise react karega. Yeh bhi ek ahem role ada kar sakta hai. Agar aaj humein ek upward impulse milta hai, 158.00 range tak, to uske baad bhi fall continue hoga. Choti upward impulse 159.70 range tak ho sakti hai, phir wahan se fall continue hoga. Current level se corrective growth abhi bhi mumkin hai, lekin uske baad bhi fall continue hoga. 156.06 se choti impulse pehle hi ho chuki hai aur uske baad fall continue hoga. Current range se fall abhi bhi mumkin

USDJPY trading ka aghaz 147.23 ki qeemat par hua. Agar aap H1 timeframe par dekhein, toh candle abhi bhi resistance area mein phansi hui hai. Agar yeh area successfully penetrate ho jata hai, toh USDJPY aur bhi zyada barh jaye ga. Lekin doosri taraf, agar resistance area pass nahi hota, toh USDJPY wapas neeche chala jaye ga. Guzishta Thursday ko, USDJPY girne ke baad dobara upar chala gaya tha. Yeh tab hua jab candle RBS zone mein trap thi. Us waqt ki movement bhi kaafi zyada thi kyun ke yeh 150 pips tak barh gaya tha.
Mere upar diye gaye tajziya ke mutabiq, yeh wazeh hai ke USDJPY ke barhne ka mauqa ab bhi hai kyun ke candle ne middle Bollinger Band line ko penetrate karne mein kamiyabi hasil kar li. Magar aapko ehtiyaat baratni hogi kyun ke candle ab tak MA50 line ko penetrate nahi kar saka. Us area ke qareeb ek rebound ho sakta hai jo ke akhir mein qeemat ko girne par majboor kar sakta hai. Aakhir mein yeh kaam karne lagta hai aur is trading instrument par mazeed qeemat ke distribution ka option kaam karne lag sakta hai agar ab yahan is area mein puppeteer market participants ki majority ko convince kar de ke current general south se corrective rollback khatam ho chuki hai aur yahan se is pair ko sell karna shuru karna chahiye, kyun ke qeemat aage barhne mein zyada dilchaspi nahi dikha rahi, shayad bohot se market participants samajhte hain ke qeemat yahan se neeche drop ho sakti hai jo minimum form hua tha.

Agar aisi puppeteer trap kaam kar jati hai, toh is scenario ke mutabiq USDJPY pair initial key mein seedha yahan se aur bina kisi rollbacks ke 159.13 ke accumulation tak barh sakta hai, aur agar yeh waqai hota hai, toh is scenario ke mutabiq wahan se upar 159.13 ke level se yeh wild tareeqe se neeche gir sakta hai jo minimum form hua tha. Main khud predict karta hoon ke USDJPY barhta rahega kyun ke H1 support 145.88 ke qeemat par ab tak break nahi hui. Isliye, main sab ko yeh recommend karta hoon jo is pair mein trade karte hain ke sirf buy positions kholne par focus karein. Aap apna take profit target resistance 151.20 ke qeemat par rakh sakte hain aur stop loss 145.45 ke support par.

USDJPY ke purchases liye hain, to naturally is rebound ke sath partial longs ko fix karna aur deal ko breakeven par transfer karna mumkin tha. Ab hum Wednesday ka intezar kar rahe hain, jahan Japan ke Central Bank ka meeting hai. USDJPY ke latest decline ke baad, bohot se log likhne lage ke investors yen ko ek protective asset ke taur par dekhne lage hain, lekin Japanese currency ab ek protective asset nahi rahi, aur yeh zaroor yaad rakhna chahiye. Japanese investors bas toxic American indices (S&P 500 aur NASDAQ) se exit karna shuru ho gaye hain, aur gold se bhi. Jab tak geopolitical risks maujood hain, Japanese investors ne funds apne watan wapas lana shuru kar diye hain. Hum bas capital ka repatriation dekh rahe hain, jo thoda sa USA se wapas Japan ja raha hai.
Agar hum 156, ya behtar 156.57-156.66 aur 156.99-157.07 ke ranges tak rollback ke bina decline ko continue karte hain, to mujhe sales ke bina rehna padega. Pichle hafte, hourly chart par, Monday ko dollar aur yen ka din support 156.095 tak decline ke sath shuru hua. Tuesday ko yeh support break ho gaya, aur iska confirmation bhi tha. Sell ka signal 154.765 ke support tak tha. Yeh sell signal kaam kar gaya. Wednesday ko 154.765 ka support break ho gaya. Sell ka signal 152.971 ke support tak bhi kaam kar gaya. Phir Thursday ko 152.971 ka support bhi break ho gaya. Sell ka signal 151.645 ke support tak bhi kaam kar gaya. Aur ek signal 154.765 ke resistance tak sell ka tha, yeh bhi Thursday ko kaam kar gaya. Yahan sab buy aur sell




signals perfectly kaam kar gaye, koi rollback nahi hua, price poora hafta girti rahi. Ab yeh 152.971 ke support ke qareeb trade kar rahi hai, agar yeh support break hota hai aur price niche fix hoti hai, to sales ka target 151.645 ka support hoga.
Isliye, agle price movement ka possibility zyada relevant hoga bearish side ki taraf. Isliye, mujhe lagta hai ke Sell transaction option safer rahega. Kal se price girne ki koshish kar rahi hai aur aaj subah market close hone par seller ne market ka control maintain kiya hai. Candlesticks 151.96 ke position tak gir sakti hain. Market ke pichle kuch dinon ke price movement pattern ke mutabiq, trend Downtrend side ki taraf zyada clear lagta hai.
USD/JPY ka downtrend ab bhi maujood hai. Price ne support level 155.48 par paya, jahan se bounce hua. Technical analysis dikhata hai ke price four-hour time frame par cloud ke niche trade kar rahi hai, Kijun-sen aur Tenkan-sen signal lines ke niche hai, Chikou span line price chart ke niche hai, aur "dead cross" active hai. Relative strength index value 50 ke niche hai, aur "trend filter" oscillator red color mein hai, jo bearish market sentiment signal karta hai. Mazid decline ka imkan barqarar hai. Agar price level 155.48 ko todti aur successful consolidation karti hai, to nayi sales ko consider karna munasib hoga. Is scenario mein, next potential target support level 154.70 hoga. Alternative scenario ke liye tayyar rahna hoga jab price cloud ke upar trade kar rahi ho, aur signal lines ka "golden cross

temporary selling pressure indicate karti hai jo price ko support area tak le gayi. Support level 159.296 ko touch karne ke baad, price ne bullish strength dikhayi aur continued increases hui. Yeh indicate karta hai ke support 159.296 successfully price decline ko roknay mein kamiyab raha, aur yeh turning point bana buyers ke liye market mein dubara enter karne ka. Support touch karne ke baad price ka increase market sentiment ko buying power se dominated dikhata hai. Abhi, price dubara resistance level 159.901 ke qareeb pohanch rahi hai. Yeh level bullish trend ke continuation ko determine karne mein crucial hai. Agar price 159.901 ke resistance ko break kar leti hai, to yeh signal hoga ke buying power strong enough hai price ko aur upar push karne ke liye. Yeh resistance breakout opportunities khol sakti hai price ke further rise hone ki aur possibly next resistance levels ko reach karne ki. USD/JPY currency pair narrow trading range mein stuck hai Asian trading hours ke doran is Wednesday ko, jabke briefly 34-year high ko touch kiya tha is hafte ke shuru mein. But, USD/JPY has limited upside potential due to potential intervention by Japanese authorities, specifically the Bank of Japan (BOJ). Japan ne excessive currency

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fluctuations ke bare mein concerns express kiye hain aur measures hint kiye hain Yen ko support karne ke liye. Yeh stance sharply contrast karta hai hawkish Federal Reserve ke sath US mein, jo dollar ko higher drive kar raha hai. USD/JPY ne recently ek key resistance level 158.34 ko break kiya aur abhi 160.20 ke thoda neeche hover kar raha hai. Jabke pair ne recent days mein resistance around 159.80 face kiya hai, agar crucial 159.00 level ke neeche break hota hai to yeh potential downside correction signal kar sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar USD/JPY 159.00 ke upar hold karta hai, to further rise ka chance abhi bhi hai. USD/JPY currency pair par paisa kamane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Aaj mein is instrument ki volatility ko dekh raha hoon aur yeh andaza hai ke yeh 157.164 ke support level tak decline karega, jahan se khareedna bohot munasib hoga. Baaki sab kuch instrument ki aaj ki volatility par mabni hoga. Kyunki mujhe 159.023 level tak growth ki umeed hai, main stop loss ko zyada door nahi rakhunga, lagbhag 157.139 ke level par. Expected profit aur limiting losses ka behtareen ratio hasil ho jayega. Agar stop loss level hit hota hai, to growth ke saath saare plans cancel kar dunga aur aaj ke liye bina profit ke reh jaunga. Main yeh bhi dekhna chahta hoon ke price 158.076 level par kaise react karega. Yeh bhi ek ahem role ada kar sakta hai. Agar aaj humein ek upward impulse milta hai,

level 159.296 ko touch karne ke baad, price ne bullish strength dikhayi aur continued increases hui. Yeh indicate karta hai ke support 159.296 successfully price decline ko roknay mein kamiyab raha, aur yeh turning point bana buyers ke liye market mein dubara enter karne ka. Support touch karne ke baad price ka increase market sentiment ko buying power se dominated dikhata hai. Abhi, price dubara resistance level 159.901 ke qareeb pohanch rahi hai. Yeh level bullish trend ke continuation ko determine karne mein crucial hai. Agar price 159.901 ke resistance ko break kar leti hai, to yeh signal hoga ke buying power strong enough hai price ko aur upar push karne ke liye. Yeh resistance breakout opportunities khol sakti hai price ke further rise hone ki aur possibly next resistance levels ko reach karne ki. USD/JPY currency pair narrow trading range mein stuck hai Asian trading hours ke doran is Wednesday ko, jabke briefly 34-year high ko touch kiya tha is hafte ke shuru mein. But, USD/JPY has limited upside potential due to potential intervention by Japanese authorities, specifically the Bank of Japan (BOJ). Japan ne excessive currency fluctuations ke bare mein concerns express kiye hain aur measures hint kiye hain Yen ko support karne ke liye. Yeh stance sharply




contrast karta hai hawkish Federal Reserve ke sath US mein, jo dollar ko higher drive kar raha hai. USD/JPY ne recently ek key resistance level 158.34 ko break kiya aur abhi 160.20 ke thoda neeche hover kar raha hai. Jabke pair ne recent days mein resistance around 159.80 face kiya hai, agar crucial 159.00 level ke neeche break hota hai to yeh potential downside correction signal kar sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar USD/JPY 159.00 ke upar hold karta hai, to further rise ka chance abhi bhi hai. USD/JPY currency pair par paisa kamane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Aaj mein is instrument ki volatility ko dekh raha hoon aur yeh andaza hai ke yeh 157.164 ke support level tak decline karega, jahan se khareedna bohot munasib hoga. Baaki sab kuch instrument ki aaj ki volatility par mabni hoga. Kyunki mujhe 159.023 level tak growth ki umeed hai, main stop loss ko zyada door nahi rakhunga, lagbhag 157.139 ke level par. Expected profit aur limiting losses ka behtareen ratio hasil ho jayega. Agar stop loss level hit hota hai, to growth ke saath saare plans cancel kar dunga aur aaj ke liye bina profit ke reh jaunga. Main yeh bhi dekhna chahta hoon ke price 158.076 level par kaise react karega. Yeh bhi ek ahem role ada kar sakta hai. Agar aaj humein ek upward impulse milta hai, 158.00 range tak, to uske baad bhi fall continue hoga. Choti upward impulse 159.70 range tak ho sakti hai, phir wahan se fall continue hoga. Current level se corrective growth abhi bhi mumkin hai, lekin uske baad bhi fall continue hoga. 156.06 se choti impulse pehle hi ho chuki hai aur uske baad fall continue hoga. Current range se fall abhi bhi mumkin hai. Buyers price tag ko upar 158.80 se upar le ja sakte hain, lekin fall abhi

temporary selling pressure indicate karti hai jo price ko support area tak le gayi. Support level 159.296 ko touch karne ke baad, price ne bullish strength dikhayi aur continued increases hui. Yeh indicate karta hai ke support 159.296 successfully price decline ko roknay mein kamiyab raha, aur yeh turning point bana buyers ke liye market mein dubara enter karne ka. Support touch karne ke baad price ka increase market sentiment ko buying power se dominated dikhata hai. Abhi, price dubara resistance level 159.901 ke qareeb pohanch rahi hai. Yeh level bullish trend ke continuation ko determine karne mein crucial hai. Agar price 159.901 ke resistance ko break kar leti hai, to yeh signal hoga ke buying power strong enough hai price ko aur upar push karne ke liye. Yeh resistance breakout opportunities khol sakti hai price ke further rise hone ki aur possibly next resistance levels ko reach karne ki. USD/JPY currency pair narrow trading range mein stuck hai Asian trading hours ke doran is Wednesday ko, jabke briefly 34-year high ko touch kiya tha is hafte ke shuru mein. But, USD/JPY has limited upside potential due to




potential intervention by Japanese authorities, specifically the Bank of Japan (BOJ). Japan ne excessive currency fluctuations ke bare mein concerns express kiye hain aur measures hint kiye hain Yen ko support karne ke liye. Yeh stance sharply contrast karta hai hawkish Federal Reserve ke sath US mein, jo dollar ko higher drive kar raha hai. USD/JPY ne recently ek key resistance level 158.34 ko break kiya aur abhi 160.20 ke thoda neeche hover kar raha hai. Jabke pair ne recent days mein resistance around 159.80 face kiya hai, agar crucial 159.00 level ke neeche break hota hai to yeh potential downside correction signal kar sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar USD/JPY 159.00 ke upar hold karta hai, to further rise ka chance abhi bhi hai. USD/JPY currency pair par paisa kamane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Aaj mein is instrument ki volatility ko dekh raha hoon aur yeh andaza hai ke yeh 157.164 ke support level tak decline karega, jahan se khareedna bohot munasib hoga. Baaki sab kuch instrument ki aaj ki volatility par mabni hoga. Kyunki mujhe 159.023 level tak growth ki umeed hai, main stop loss ko zyada door nahi rakhunga, lagbhag 157.139 ke level par. Expected profit aur limiting losses ka behtareen ratio hasil ho jayega. Agar stop loss level hit hota hai, to growth ke saath saare plans cancel kar dunga aur aaj ke liye bina profit ke reh jaunga. Main yeh bhi dekhna chahta hoon ke price 158.076 level par kaise react karega. Yeh bhi ek ahem role ada kar sakta hai. Agar aaj humein ek upward impulse milta hai, 158.00 range tak, to uske baad bhi fall continue hoga. Choti upward impulse 159.70 range tak ho sakti hai, phir wahan se fall continue hoga. Current level se corrective growth abhi bhi mumkin hai, lekin uske baad bhi fall continue hoga. 156.06 se choti impulse pehle hi ho chuki hai aur uske baad fall continue hoga. Current range se fall abhi bhi mumkin hai. Buyers price tag ko upar 158.80 se upar le ja sakte hain, lekin fall abhi bhi priority hai aur behtareen yeh hai

USD/JPY ne record high touch kiya, jo rapid increase ko indicate karta hai, aur yeh profit-taking ka potential opportunity suggest karta hai. US session se pehle decline ka chance bhi ho sakta hai. Furthermore, moving averages aur bullish channel ke upar breakout bearish pressure ko indicate karta hai.
Hourly chart analysis ke mutabiq, aur 15-minute chart pe, decline ka possibility bhi hai kyunki moving average current price ke upar hai, jo bullish trend continuation ko suggest karta hai for USD/JPY pair, potentially higher zone mein move karne ka. Iss week ka trend pattern uptrend aur narrow range ko indicate karta hai. Relatively modest upward rally ke madde nazar, yeh increase agle hafte tak continue ho sakti hai, aur prices expected hain ke uptrend maintain karenge. Morning candlestick 100-period simple moving average ke upar close hui, jo market trend ke rise ko suggest karti hai. Agar buyers 161.51 price zone surpass kar sakein...
Is waqt, USD/JPY trend line ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo buyers ki strength ko show karta hai, aur yeh trend line support ka kaam kar rahi hai. Bullish rally ke continue hone ke liye, lagta hai ke buyers ko 162.15 resistance break karna hoga, jo trading channel ko open karega aur bulls ke movement ke continuation ka potential dega. Pehla target supply zone hoga 160.47 pe, jahan historically sellers ne price down push kiya tha. Reverse movement towards short side bhi possible hai, lekin bears ko pehle 160.24 support break karna hoga, jahan se price aksar bounce back hoti hai. Bears ki strength tab confirm hogi jab price 160.31 ke broken level ke neeche consolidate ho jaye, jo price weakness ko indicate karega.
USD/JPY market mein. Yeh khas tor pe pichlay Wednesday ko evident tha, jab price significant downward movement experience hui thi us trading session ke doran.
Chhoti timeframe mein, price position monitor hui hai aur abhi Simple Moving Average line ke upar hai 50 period ke liye aur slight correction upward hui hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke aaj ke price position 154.00 - 155.23 ke area ke around consolidate kare gi, kyun ke aise conditions aksar Tuesday ko hoti hain jab market activity relatively quiet hoti hai. Market trend conditions H1 timeframe mein dekh kar yeh kaafi clear hai ke yeh abhi downward phase mein hai, halan ke range zyada wide nahi hai. Is haftay ka trend thoda bearish hai, jab ke USD/JPY pair ka trend upar ki taraf move hua tha July 2024 ke shuruat ke trading session ke baad. Iska matlab yeh hai ke is haftay ke market conditions abhi bh

Mazboot movements ke bawajood, yeh har technical level ko test karta hai. Aaj subha ke liye, price 148.82 level ke upar consolidate ho rahi hai. Marlin oscillator ka signal line upar ki taraf mur raha hai, jo correction ka ishara de raha hai. Target range 150.83-151.23 iske mukammal hone ka acha maqam hai. Hourly chart par MACD line bhi yahin mojood hai. Jab correction khatam ho jayegi, to hum expect karte hain ke price 146.50 tak ja sakti hai, jo March ka low tha. 4-hour chart par, Marlin price ko upar ki taraf le ja raha hai, jald se jald correction khatam karne ki koshish mein. MACD line, jo target range 150.83-151.23 ke bilkul upar hai, is range ko mazeed reinforce karti hai

Aaj USDJPY ka trading price 147.23 par khula. Agar aap h1 timeframe dekhain, toh candle abhi tak resistance area mein phansa hua hai. Agar yeh area successfully break ho jata hai, toh USDJPY aur ziada upar ja sakta hai. Lekin agar resistance area cross nahi ho paata, toh USDJPY dobara neeche aa sakta hai. Guzishta Jumeerate ko, USDJPY girne ke baad, phir se upar chala gaya. Yeh tab hua jab candle RBS zone mein phasa hua tha. Us waqt iska movement bhi kaafi high tha kyun ke yeh lagbhag 150 pips tak upar chala gaya.
Meri upar di hui analysis ke mutabiq, yeh bataya gaya hai ke USDJPY ke upar jaane ka chance abhi bhi hai kyun ke candle ne middle Bollinger Band line ko cross kar liya hai. Lekin aapko hoshyaar rehna chahiye kyun ke candle ab tak MA50 line ko cross nahi kar saka. Yahan aas paas rebound ho sakta hai jo ke aakhir kar isay neeche gira sakta hai. Aakhir mein yeh ho sakta hai ke price distribution is trading instrument mein kaam karne lage jab yeh puppeteer zyada market participants ko yeh yaqeen dilane mein kaamyaab ho jaye ke ab corrective rollback khatam ho chuka hai aur yahan se is pair ko bechna shuru karna chahiye. Ho sakta hai ke zyada market participants samajhte hain ke price yahan se neeche gira sakta hai

Agar yeh puppeteer trap kaam karta hai, toh is scenario ke mutabiq USDJPY pair seedha yahan se kisi bhi rollback ke baghair 159.13 ki taraf barh sakta hai, aur agar yeh sach mein hota hai, toh is scenario ke mutabiq wahan se neeche, 159.13 level se, yeh wild tareeqay se neeche gir sakta hai. Main khud yeh predict karta hoon ke USDJPY barh sakta hai kyun ke h1 support price 145.88 abhi tak break nahi hua. Is liye main aap sab ko recommend karta hoon ke agar aap is pair mein trade kar rahe hain toh sirf buy positions par focus karein. Aap apna take profit target resistance price 151.20 par rakh sakte hain aur stop loss support price 145.45 par rakh sakte hain

Aaj mein W1 chart ke senior period par ghore karne ka mashwara deta hoon - USDJPY currency pair. Yahan aap dekh sakte hain ke is pair ki price ka mustaqil girawat jaari hai. Mein soch sakta hoon un bechne walon ka haal jo apne paas kaafi paisa nahi rakh sakay taake is pair ki girawat ko bardasht kar saken, kyun ke intezar ka zamana khatam ho gaya hai aur girawat ka silsila shuru ho gaya hai, price hamesha ke liye upar nahi ja sakti thi. MACD indicator ne girawat ka ishara diya tha, jis par ek bara bearish divergence bana, jo itne bara time interval par kafi kam hota hai, yeh ek saal mein sirf ek martaba hota hai, ya phir is se bhi kam. Maximum ke akhri update par bhi, second istamal honay wala indicator CCI par ek bearish divergence bana. Yeh sab us waqt tasdeek hui jab price ne reversal figure se niche nikala - ek ascending wedge. Iske baad price gir gayi, apne raste par sab obstacles ko torhti hui, aur un par sirf thode waqt ke liye rukki. Pehle yahan ka main support level 152.16 tha, halan ke upar rebound hua, magar phir bhi sellers ke pressure se gir gaya. Uske baad, jaisa ke expect kiya gaya tha, hum ascending support line tak pohnche, lekin yeh koi khas rebound nahi de sakti thi, yeh niche dhakel di gayi largely due to US mein Friday ke bure khabar ki wajah se, US dollar market mein kamzor ho gaya. Non-agricultural employment rate waqi se kafi bura tha. US mein unemployment rate ek dam se 0.2 points barh gaya. Nai hafta shuru hui aur price ne aage niche ka rukh liya bina kisi upward correction ka sochay. Hum horizontal support level 140.81 ke kareeb pohnch gaye. Thoda kam tha, well, shayad ab bhi is level ka pass aur specific test ho sakta hai. Iske qareeb, mere khayal se hum choti period par upwards entry consider kar sakte hain taake ek possible upward correction ka part le sakein. Aaj ki noteworthy news: 16-45 Moscow time: US Services Business Activity Index, US Composite Business Activity Index (PMI) from S&P Global. 17-00: US Non-Manufacturing Employment Index (ISM), US Non-Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (ISM), US Non-Manufacturing Price Index (ISM)

Weekly chart par, price cluster green rectangular resistance zone ke qareeb aa raha hai jo ke 1.3875 aur 1.3976 ke darmiyan hai. Pehle, ek breakout attempt ke doran, buyers sirf 1.3875 tak price ko rokne mein kamiyab hue, uske baad massive rejection ka samna kiya jiski wajah se price significant drop ke saath yellow rectangular support zone 1.3126 ki taraf gir gayi. Ye pattern dobarah bhi ho sakta hai kyun ke pichle do saalon se, USD/CAD pair sideways move kar raha hai ek broad range mein, jo ke yellow support zone (1.3126 - 1.3029) se green resistance zone (1.3875 - 1.3976) tak hai. Traders is pattern ko apne trading plans mein shamil kar sakte hain taake acha risk-reward ratio hasil kiya ja sake, kyun ke price green resistance ke qareeb aate hi bechna historical tor par substantial profits generate karta hai.

Daily Chart Insights

Daily timeframe mein, candlesticks Upper Bollinger Bands ke saath stick kar rahi hain bina kisi bearish candlestick ke, jo strong bullish momentum ko indicate karta hai. Jaise jaise price barh rahi hai, ek base area blue rectangle ke andar ban gaya hai jo ke 1.3668 aur 1.3678 ke darmiyan hai, jo decline ka target ban sakta hai agar buyer ki optimism khatam hoti hai aur sellers control wapas le lete hain. Filhal, daily timeframe mein weakness signals sirf resistance 1.3874 tak limited hain, jahan buyers do din se break nahi kar paaye. Agar sellers agle hafte bhi fail ho jate hain, to price tezi se gir sakti hai, kyun ke recent rise mein abhi tak koi correction nahi aayi hai.

H4 Timeframe Analysis

H4 timeframe mein, momentum indicators jaise RSI 14, Stochastic, aur Awesome Oscillator overbought ya oversold positions mein hain. In indicators ka price movements ke saath synchronization bhi khatam ho gaya hai, jo bearish divergence ko indicate karta hai. Halankeh ye divergence proportional nahi hai, lekin ye limited correction ke potential ko suggest karta hai jo ke green weekly resistance zone ki taraf ek aur rise ke baad ho sakti hai. Agar ye scenario play hota hai, to traders speculative sell positions khol sakte hain kyun ke correction ya trend reversal ka high likelihood hai is waqt.

Trading Strategy

Mukhtalif timeframes ke analysis ke base par, USD/CAD ke liye following trading setup recommend kiya jata hai:

Trade Setup

Instant Sell: Current price par sell karein aur Take Profit (TP) ko base area 1.3678 par set karein.
Average Sell: Agar price weekly resistance zone ke qareeb aati hai jo ke 1.3895 aur 1.3974 ke darmiyan hai, to phir se sell karein aur TP ko pichle base area 1.3678 par set karein.
Ye setup potential corrections ko capture karne aur key resistance levels par trend reversals ka faida uthane ka mauka provide karta hai. Price action aur momentum indicators ko closely monitor karna crucial hai

Agar hum USD/JPY ko H4 ke large timeframe main dekhein, toh is haftay aisa lagta hai ke yeh bullish trend jo kay kuch hafton se chal raha tha, usay khatam karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Aur agar hum mazeed ghor karein, toh abhi yeh dikhayi de raha hai ke USD/JPY EMA50 ko break karne ki koshish kar raha hai, jo agar kamiyabi se break ho gaya, toh ek bari bullish movement ka mauqa zaroor mil sakta hai. Lekin, buyers ko bohot ehtiyaat se kaam lena hoga kyun ke USD/JPY H4 timeframe mein phir se overbought position main aa chuka hai.

Chhoti timeframe yani H1 main, kal USD/JPY ne girne ka ek mauqa hasil kiya tha jab price EMA50 H1 ke neeche chala gaya tha, lekin USD/JPY ki taqat ne usay sambhalne diya aur yeh dubara American session ke dauran upar chala gaya. Yeh move aaj subha tak barqarar raha aur ab yeh pair 147.7 ke resistance area ko break karne ki koshish kar raha hai, jahan se is pair ke liye ek aur bada upward movement ka chance ban sakta hai.

Abhi price 147.25 par trade ho raha hai aur yeh MA120 hourly period ke average moving line aur XamaSystem indicator ke upar hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke buyers ko sellers par priority mil rahi hai. Is liye, aaj meri umeed hai ke price XamaSystem indicator ke hourly period ke lower border, yani 169.69 ya phir MA120 ke around 146.08 tak halka sa rollback karega. Iske baad mujhe rebound aur reversal ki umeed hai. Phir mujhe lagta hai ke asset Thursday ke maximum 147.60 tak barhega aur is maximum ko update karega. Dusra target growth ke liye Wednesday ka maximum 147.90 hai, aur teesra target resistance 148.48 par hai.

Price test 146.95 par tab hua jab MACD indicator ne zero mark se kafi neeche move kiya, jisse pair ke liye aagay aur down jana mushkil ho gaya. Isi waja se maine sale nahi kiya. Kafi dair ke baad, doosra test 146.95 par tab hua jab MACD zero mark se neeche jana shuru hua, isliye traders dollar bechne ke liye market mein enter kar sakte the. Lekin, jab pair 25 pips neeche gira, to pressure kam ho gaya. Bank of Japan ke deputy governor ke kal ke bayanat, jisme unhone kaha ke central bank un waqt interest rates nahi badhaye ga jab financial markets unstable hongi, se markets ko thora sakoon mila, lekin yeh ziada dair tak nahi raha. Aaj yen ki demand wapis aa gayi hai, aur Japanese bank lending aur current account data ka is par koi asar nahi pada. Intraday strategy ke liye, mein scenario No. 1 aur 2 ko follow karte hue trend ke mutabiq selling pe zyada tawajju doon ga.
**Buy signals**

**Scenario No. 1:** Aaj mein USD/JPY kharidne ka plan bana raha hoon jab price entry point 146.49 par pohanche, jo green line se chart pe dikhai gayi hai, aur goal 147.49 tak pohanchna hai, jo thicker green line se chart pe dikhai gayi hai. 147.49 ke aas paas, mein long positions ko exit karoon ga aur opposite direction mein short positions open karoon ga, jahan se 30-35 pips ki movement expect ki ja sakti hai. Pair aaj upward correction ke framework mein rise kar sakta hai, lekin jitna upar jaye ga, dollar bechne mein utni hi attraction ho gi. Important: Kharidne se pehle ensure kar lein ke MACD indicator zero mark se upar ho aur wahan se rise karna shuru kar raha ho.

**Scenario No. 2:** Mein aaj USD/JPY kharidne ka plan bana raha hoon agar 145.85 ke do consecutive tests hoon jab MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Yeh pair ke downward potential ko limit kare ga aur market ko reverse uptrend mein daal de ga. Growth 146.49 aur 147.49 tak expect ki ja sakti hai.

**Sell signals**

**Scenario No. 1:** Aaj mein USD/JPY sirf tab sell karoon ga jab 145.85 par test ho, jo red line se chart pe dikhai gayi hai, jisse pair mein tezi se decline aayega. Sellers ke liye key target 144.84 ho ga, jahan mein short positions ko exit karoon ga aur foran opposite direction mein long positions open karoon ga, jahan se 20-25 pips ki movement expect ki ja sakti hai. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, khaaskar agar din ke pehle hisse mein unsuccessful correction ho aur daily high test na ho. Important: Sell karne se pehle ensure kar lein ke MACD indicator zero mark se neeche ho aur decline shuru kar raha ho

USD/JPY currency pair jo ke iss waqt 146.03 par trade kar raha hai, ek bearish trend ka samna kar raha hai. Ye downtrend dheere dheere chal raha hai, lekin is se yeh ehsaas hota hai ke market sentiment abhi Japanese yen ko U.S. dollar par tarjeeh de raha hai. Halanki recent sessions mein pair ne zyada volatility nahi dikhayi, lekin aane wale waqt mein ek significant movement ka imkaan hai, given ke jo market conditions chal rahi hain.
Kayi factors hain jo USD/JPY pair mein ek significant movement ko trigger kar sakte hain. Sabse pehla, broader macroeconomic environment ka asar hota hai ke U.S. dollar ki strength Japanese yen ke against kaisi rehti hai. U.S. Federal Reserve ki monetary policy decisions, khaaskar interest rates ke hawale se, USD ki strength ke liye ek key driver hai. Agar Fed apni stance mein koi tabdeeli ka ishara deta hai, jaise ke rate hikes ko rokna ya phir zyada dovish approach ki taraf shift karna, to is se USD/JPY pair mein mazid kamzori aa sakti hai aur current bearish trend aur tezi se barh sakta hai.

Dusri taraf, Bank of Japan (BoJ) ne bohat arsey se apni ultra-loose monetary policy ko qaim rakha hai, jo ke yen ko dosri major currencies ke muqable mein kamzor rakhti hai. Lekin agar BoJ ki policy mein koi tabdeeli ka ishara milta hai, jaise ke tightening ki taraf move ya phir unexpected interest rate adjustment, to is se yen mazid mazboot ho sakta hai aur USD/JPY pair neechay ja sakta hai.

Ek aur aham factor global risk sentiment hai. Japanese yen ko aksar safe-haven currency mana jata hai, jo ke market uncertainty ke waqt investors ko attract karta hai. Agar global economic conditions kharab hoti hain ya phir koi geopolitical tensions hoti hain, to yen mazid strength gain kar sakta hai, jiska nateeja USD/JPY pair mein sharp drop ki surat mein nikal sakta hai

Technical analysis bhi yeh dikhata hai ke USD/JPY pair ek significant move ke liye tayar ho sakta hai. Current bearish trend yeh batata hai ke sellers abhi control mein hain, lekin volatility ki kami yeh suggest karti hai ke market ek badi move se pehle consolidate kar raha hai. Key support levels ko closely watch karna chahiye; agar yeh levels breach hoti hain, to is se ek aur bara sell-off trigger ho sakta hai jo ke pair mein tezi se decline la sakta hai. Wagarna, agar pair ko mazboot support milta hai, to yeh wapas bounce kar sakta hai, lekin is ke liye market sentiment mein ek shift zaroori hoga