usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY
Hourly chart par guzishta haftay, Monday ko decline hui aur support 156.095 tak pohanchi. Tuesday ko, price ne yeh support tor diya aur 154.765 tak sell signal aya. Wednesday ko yeh sell signal work kiya, aur usi din dusra sell signal 152.971 tak aya. Yeh signal bhi kaamyaab raha, phir Thursday ko 151.645 tak sell signal aya. Mera khayal hai yeh signal bhi kaamyaab raha, kyunke price level ko touch nahi kiya magar qareebi pohanch gayi thi. Iske baad resistance 152.971 break hui aur buy signal work kiya. Resistance 154.632 par price ne Friday ko rebound kiya aur din ka khatma resistance aur support ke darmiyan hua. Southern target 151.645 hai aur northern target 156.095 hai agar resistance 154.850 break hoti hai.

Thursday ko daily chart par din growth ke sath guzra. Pehle price ne 153.729 support test kiya, phir 152.548 support. Phir rollback hua aur 150.729 marks se upar close hui. Isi waja se maine growth ko priority di thi resistance 154.789 ki taraf. Friday ko price ne lagbhag wahi close ki jahan open hui thi. Decline bhi hua, growth bhi, aur khatma 153.729 marks se upar hua. In reasons ki waja se, Monday ko growth ko priority doonga resistance 154.789 ki taraf.
USD/JPY ki qeemat mein harkiati jawaz

Hum USD/JPY currency pair ki real-time qeemat ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Maine aik currency pair chart ka tajziya kiya aur qeemat ke harkaat se faida uthane ka aik mauqa dekha. Yeh tajziya sirf technical nahi hai; ismein bariki aur ghaur se dekhnay ki zarurat hai. Mukammal jaiza lene ke baad, mujhe aik ruchanat dekhne ko mili jo 156.983 par aik potential sell ka ishara de rahi thi. Yeh resistance mazboot lagti hai, aur agar sab kuch plan ke mutabiq raha, toh yeh pair is nuqtay se giregi. Main is qeemat ke 148.158 support level tak girne ki umeed karta hoon, jahan main profits le sakoon. Magar market na qabil-e-peshgoi hoti hai, aur agar structure badalta hai aur reversal signal milta hai, toh mujhe nuqsan uthana padega. Agar 156.983 level likely hota hai, toh yeh nai support ban sakti hai, jo is level se buying ka aik mauqa pesh karti hai. Correction 154.79 tak ho chuki hai, jo continued girawat ka ishara deti hai. Growth ho sakti hai correction ke baad bhi, magar girawat ka silsila jari rahega. Agar aik upward correction hota hai, toh girawat follow karegi.

Bazar aksar chotay traders ko khareedne par majboor karta hai pehle girawat se pehle. Main predict karta hoon 154.89 ka test, jiske baad girawat jari rahegi. Ek upward correction ke baad, qeemat zyada gir sakti hai. 154.39 ka aik false breakout ziada girawat ka sabab banega. Yeh concrete sell signals nahi hain magar aik soch hai potential movements par. Maine weekly time frame mein decrease ke approximate targets identify kiye hain, specifically 146.918. Yeh level likely monthly time frame par tha, magar weekly level par bhi liquidity dikhai, jahan qeemat frequently react karti thi, kabhi support aur kabhi resistance ke taur par. Is target tak pohanchne ka tareeqa deep pullback involve kar sakta hai bullish side ki taraf, head and shoulders pattern ka doosra shoulder banate hue, ya phir shoulder banaye baghair. Candle ka body aur shadow shoulder levels ko mark karti hai, magar is scenario mein candle ka body par ziada focus zaroori hai.

USD/JPY currency pair ne munasib giravat ka samna kiya hai. Aik waqt par, jodi ne kafi had tak gir kar phir jaldi se is haftay ke mawasalay ke aghaz ke darwazay par wapas aa gayi. Is bahal hone ka matlab hai ke market naye trend ka qayam nahi kar sakta.
Is harkat ke kuch wajohat mein se ek ye ho sakti hai ke investors US market ke khulne se pehle munafa bandi kar rahe hain. Munafa bandi aam tor par traders ke darmiyan hoti hai jo Europe session mein kamayi hui munafa ko surakshit karna chahte hain, taake US market ke khulne par jo sakht ghotnaat ho sakti hain un se bach sakein. USD/JPY jodi ke performance ko aam tor par mukhtalif factors jaise ke ma'ashi data releases, siyasi maamlaat, aur market ki jazbaat par asar hota hai. Masalan, America ke ma'ashi indicators jaise ke rozgar ke reports, mehngai ke data, aur Federal Reserve ke interest rates ke faislay is jodi par gehri asar andaazi kar sakte hain. Japan ki ma'ashi haalaat aur siyasati faislay bhi is jodi par ahmiyat rakhte hain.

Thursday (28 June 2024) ko, USD/JPY ne record bulandi tak pohancha, jo tezi ka ek ishara hai, jo munafa bandi ke liye aik mauqa darust kar sakta hai. US session tak giravat ka bhi ek mouqa ho sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, moving averages aur bullish channel ke breakout ne bearish pressure ko zahir kiya hai.

Ghante ke chart ke tajziye ke mutabiq, jaisa ke 15-minute chart mein bayan kiya gaya hai, giravat ka bhi ek mouqa hai kyunki moving average maujooda qeemat se oopar hai, jo ke USD/JPY jodi ke liye bullish trend ka jari rakhne ki taraf ishara karta hai, jo ke buland zone mein dakhil hone ki mumkinat ko zahir karta hai. Is haftay ke trend pattern mein tezi ke saath aik tang range hai. Mutaliq hadood tak umer dhaar tezi ke jari rehne ke imkaanat hain aur keematien tezi mein rehne ka imkan hai. Subah ke candlestick ne 100-period simple moving average ke oopar band hone ka ishara diya hai, jo market trend ke barhne ki taraf ishara karta hai. Agar khareed daar 161.51 ke price zone se guzar sakte hain...

Mausoolan, USD/JPY ab trend line ke oopar trade ho raha hai, jo khareed daar ki taqat ko zahir karta hai, aur yeh trend line support ke tor par kaam karti hai. Tezi ke jari rakhne ke liye, maloom hota hai ke khareed daar ko 162.15 ke resistance ko toorna hoga, jo ke trading channel ko khol sakta hai aur bull movement ke jari rakhne ki mumkinat ko izhaar kar sakta hai. Pehla target 160.47 ke supply zone hoga, jahan bechne wale ne qeemat ko neeche daba diya tha. Aik ulta rukh bhi mumkin hai, lekin bear ko pehle 160.24 ke support ko toorna hoga, jahan qeemat ne aksar bounce kiya hai. Bears ki taqat ko tasdeeq hogi agar qeemat 160.31 ke tootne wale level ke nichle consolidation mein ho, jo qeemat ki kamzori ko zahir karta hai.

USD/JPY ke liye giravat ab bhi maujood hai. Qeemat ne 155.48 par support paya hai, jahan se wapas chali gayi hai. Technical analysis 4-hour time frame par cloud ke neeche trading kar rahi hai, jahan Kijun-sen aur Tenkan-sen signal lines qeemat ke neeche hain, Chikou span line qeemat chart ke neeche hai, aur aik active "dead cross" hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke neeche hai aur "trend filter" oscillator laal mein hai, jo bearish market sentiment ko zahir karta hai. Mazeed giravat ke imkaanat hain. Agar qeemat 155.48 ke level ko toor deti hai aur kamiyaab taur par consolidate ho jati hai, to naye farokht ki tajweez ko ghor se sochna munasib hoga. Is surat mein, agla potential target support level 154.70 ho sakta hai.

Is ke ilawa, aik doosre mansoobe ke liye tayar hona bhi zaroori hai jahan qeemat cloud ke oopar trade kar rahi ho aur signal lines aik "golden cross" bana rahi hon.

Pichle hafta, Monday ko yeh decline karke support level 156.095 tak pohcha. Tuesday ko price ne is support level ko break kar diya, jo ke ek sell signal tha 154.765 ke support level tak. Wednesday ko yeh sell signal realize hua, aur usi din ek aur sell signal mila 152.971 ke support level tak. Yeh sell signal bhi realize hua, phir Thursday ko ek sell signal tha 151.645 ke support level tak. Mujhe lagta hai yeh signal realize ho gaya tha, chahe price ne is level ko touch nahi kiya, lekin iske qareeb pohch kar reverse ho gaya. Matlab, ziada se ziada raasta tay kar liya tha, agar ziada se ziada raasta tay ho jaye, to mai signal ko realize samjhta hoon. Iske baad, resistance 152.971 ko successfully break kiya gaya. Ek buy signal bhi aaya aur realize hua. Resistance 154.632, Friday ko price is resistance se bounce back hua aur din resistance aur support ke darmiyan close hua. Southern target 151.645 hai. Northern target 156.095 hai agar resistance 154.850 successfully break ho jaye.

Haalanki US dollar versus Japanese yen currency pair ne hafta ke aakhri din me thori si strength dikhayi, pura trading week bears ke haath mein raha. Overall, price pichle teen hafton se decline dikhata aa raha hai, isliye yeh kehna theek hoga ke decline aage bhi jaari reh sakta hai. Kam az kam weekly chart par, sab factors further decline ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain. Sirf weekly chart par yeh dekhte hain ke price 23 saal pehle ke maximum 151.90 ke level ke qareeb ja raha hai, jo ke ek kaafi strong support level ho sakta hai. Halanki, timeframe bohot bara hai, isliye agar USDJPY currency pair apna decline jaari rakhta hai, to hum shayad usay weekly chart par notice na kar paayen. To, hum isay continue dekhte hain, lekin ab theory mein short positions open karna mumkin hai, masalan resistance level 155.40 se, jo ke pichle haftay ka minimum hai.

USD/JPY pair ne guzishta hafte ke douran niche ki janib rujhan rakha, aur support level 155.37 ko chua, jo is currency pair ka aik mahine se ziada ka sabse kam point hai aur 38 saal mein Japanese yen ki sabse kamzor qeemat ko darsha raha hai. Pichle hafte ke douran, US dollar ne yen ke muqablay mein mazbooti dikhai, aur resistance level 157.86 ko chua, aur is haftay ke aghaz mein 157.35 ke qareeb stable raha. Dono US dollar aur Japanese yen ki qeematon par central bank policies aur mumkin Japanese interventions ka gehera asar hota hai.
Pichle budh ko, dollar ki girawat mazeed barh gayi jab market ne Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts par bets lagayi. Magar session ke ikhtitam par, dollar ko kuch support mila jab US industrial production data ka izhar hua, jo ke dikhata tha ke June mein production levels umeedon se zyada the, aur May ke figures ko bhi revised upward kiya gaya.

Jumeraat ko, initial unemployment claims data ne dikhaya ke naye claims umeedon se zyada the, jo ke US labor market mein stagnation ko darsha raha tha. Is ke bawajood, dollar mazeed girawat se bach gaya excessive selling ke baad jo exaggerated bets on Federal Reserve interest rate cuts ki wajah se hui thi

Technical analysis bhi dollar ke liye potential downside ka ishara karti hai. Pair is waqt aik key short-term moving average se niche trade kar raha hai, jo bearish momentum ko darsha raha hai. Mazeed, aik aur technical indicator, RSI, bhi is bearish outlook ko reinforce karta hai. USD/JPY ke liye support June ke low ke qareeb mil sakta hai; magar agar ye level breach ho gaya, to is se ziada steep decline ho sakti hai jo May ke low ki taraf ja sakti hai. Bar'aks, agar USD/JPY aik key resistance level se upar chali gayi, to ye psychological 162.00 level ke qareeb mazeed hurdle ka samna kar sakti hai

USD/JPY Profit Potential

Filhal, hum USD/JPY currency pair ke live pricing ko decode karne ke process mein hain. Maine USD/JPY currency pair ko growth ke liye analyze kiya, lekin yeh sirf ek potential pullback ke tor par samjha. Hourly chart par growth signal mein wo desired aur probable indications nahi the, jo ke substantial rise ke baad ek significant drop ko lead kiya. Yeh decline tezi se hua, jo ke weekly candlesticks se evident hai. Abhi absorption confirm karna jaldi hai, kyunki candle close nahi hui hai. Lekin agar month similarly close hota hai, to aage decline possible hai, aur hum approximate targets outline kar sakte hain. Historically, monthly absorption ne achha kaam kiya hai kuch exceptions (red rectangles) ke bawajood. Current candle short body ke sath ek large tail dikhati hai neeche, jo ke mirror-level test ko indicate karta hai.

Purane time frames mein, Japanese yen ke liye main direction bearish hi rehti hai. Lekin, current data zyada informative ho sakta hai due to ongoing consolidation, jis se outcome uncertain hai. Lower periods mein, H1 chart dikhata hai ke 151.97 ke low se, dollar-yen buyers ne ek primary downward impulse initiate kiya, jiska bullish trend-based start line 154.72 hai. Picture borderline par hai, aur agar bears USD/JPY ko 157.79 ke neeche push karte hain, to ek naya low update hone ke chances hain. Dollar-yen ke liye primary resistance 154.72 ke bullish start line ke along hai. Agar yeh level hold hota hai aur bulls foothold gain karte hain, to upward impulse likely continue hoga pehli impulse zone levels 156.44 aur 151.59 tak, jo ke USD/JPY ke liye main scenario banata hai. Agle hafte, non-farm payroll aur unemployment rate par essential data hai, to pichle hafte se zyada volatility hone ke chances hain.

Aakhri trading sessions mein, pair ne bearish movements ki taraf rujhan dikhaya hai, jo ke dollar ke kamzor hone ke asar se hai. Is mahine ke shuru mein 161.97 ka impressive peak hit karne ke bawajood, currency pair is hafte significant retreat hui hai aur market ke close tak 153.80 ke aas-paas settle hui hai. Yeh retreat forex market ke volatility aur economic indicators aur central bank policies ke liye sensitivity ko highlight karta hai.

**USD/JPY ke Fundamentals:**

Investors ne US Dollar ke performance ko nazar mein rakha hai, khaaskar jab Federal Reserve ke potential rate cuts ke hawale se speculations chal rahi hain. Umeed hai ke Fed September tak ek series of rate reductions shuru kar sakta hai, jo ke economy aur inflation rates ko stabilize karne ke liye hoga. Is hafte ke developments ke liye key data US core PCE price index for May hai, jo Friday ko publish honi hai. Yeh data Federal Reserve ke future monetary policy decisions ke bare mein zyada clarity provide kar sakti hai.

**Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:**

USD/JPY ne briefly 154.00 ko surpass kiya hai, lekin traders ne Bank of Japan ki market intervention stance ko challenge karne mein caution dikhayi hai taake Yen ke depreciation ko manage kiya ja sake. Analysts dekhte hain ke agar day’s low 153.11 ke neeche breach hota hai, to yeh critical support levels test karne ka signal ho sakta hai. In levels mein Tenkan-Sen 157.82, Senkou Span A 157.53, aur Kijun-Sen 157.24 shamil hain, jo market sentiment ke hisaab se significant milestones ban sakte hain.

Market momentum buyers ke favor mein lagta hai, kyunki Relative Strength Index (RSI) bullish hai. Lekin, global economic conditions aur monetary policy decisions ke uncertainty ke bawajood downward risks ab bhi barqarar hain. Analysts caution karte hain ke agar psychological barrier 150.00 ke neeche breach hota hai, to pair ko aur declines ka saamna karna pad sakta hai, jo shayad saal ke shuruat se lowest level 140.20 ko test kar sakta hai. Additional support levels 155.50 aur 154.00 ke aas-paas dekhe ja sakte hain, jo short-term trading strategies ko influence kar sakte hain.

USD/JPY ANALYSIS UPDATES
27 JULY 2024

**Aaj Subah Ka Analysis: USD/JPY Pair**

Aaj subah main USD/JPY pair ka analysis shuru karunga jo agle hafte ke liye trading choice banane ki planning hai. 4-hour time frame chart ke mutabiq, forex market conditions ne Monday ke shuruat par 157.50 ke price se apni journey shuru ki aur 156.28 ke area ki taraf niche aayi. Phir Tuesday se Friday raat tak market ka trend still downtrend ki taraf move kar raha tha. Pichle hafte ki market situation ko dekhe toh candlestick journey decline ki taraf lagti hai. Last week's trading period mein market ne aisi price condition show ki jo girne ki koshish kar rahi thi lekin 155.36 ke price zone se bounce ho gayi.

Is hafte price ab bhi neeche ja rahi hai aur 100-period simple moving average zone se door ja rahi hai, jo signal hai ke market seller ke control mein hai. Thursday ke trading mein buyers se buying interest nazar aaya, jisse price mein upward correction dekhi gayi, lekin yeh zyada dair tak nahi chala kyunki Saturday raat ko sellers ka pressure wapas market trend ko bearish bana gaya. Jab journal update hua, tab market mein price temporarily 153.76 par stop hui thi. Sellers ke paas ab bhi aisi influence hai jo prices ko aur neeche le ja sakti hai, July ke highest zone se bhi.

Agle hafte ke liye USD/JPY pair ke market journey ka projection yeh hai ke yeh downtrend journey continue kar sakta hai, shayad price bearish rahe aur lower zone ki taraf jaaye. Mera prediction hai ke seller ab bhi market ko control kar sakta hai, kyunki is hafte ke trend situation ko dekhe toh candlestick downwards move kar rahi hai. Last few days ke downtrend continuation ke sath, yeh agle hafte bhi continue ho sakta hai. Price ke downmove karne ka potential hai. Aaj subah ki candlestick 100-period simple moving average zone ke neeche close hui hai, jo notification hai ke price ko downtrend ka samna ho sakta hai. Agar seller 153.20 price zone ko pass kar sakta hai, toh bearish trend agle hafte trading period mein market ko control kar sakta hai.

**Transaction Options:**
- **SELL** in the area of 153.54
- **Take Profit:** 153.02
- **Stop Loss:** 153.81

USD/JPY currency pair ne ek moderate giravat mehsoos ki. Pair ek waqt par tezi se gir gaya lekin phir jaldi se current weekly session ke opening levels par wapas aagaya. Yeh recovery ek lehaz se volatility ki darjaat ko darust karti hai aur yeh ishara karta hai ke market abhi naye trend mein set hone ke liye tayar nahi hai. Hal k movements ke peeche ek wajah yeh bhi hosakti hai ke investors US market opening ke pehle kuch munafa lock kar rahe hain. Munafa lock karna aam hai traders mein jo European session mein banaye gaye faiday ko secure karne ke liye karne ki ichha rakhte hain pehle US markets ke opening ke saath jo volatility ka saamna kar sakti hai. USD/JPY pair ka performance aksar mukhtalif factors se mutasir hota hai jaise economic data releases, geopolitical events, aur market sentiment. Maslan, changes US economic indicators mein jaise employment reports, inflation data, aur Federal Reserve ke interest rate decisions pair par bhaari asar daal sakti hai. isi tarah, Japan mein economic conditions aur policy decisions bhi aham role ada karte hain.
USDJPY ne Jumeraat (6/28/24) ko itihas mein record high qeemat banayi, currency pair mein tezi se izafa ho sakta hai jo ke munafa lenay ki saakh hai. Girawat ka mouqa ab bhi US session tak ho sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, Bullish channel aur Moving Average par breakout jo ke chal rahi qeemat se oopar hain yeh bearish tajzia mein izafa karte hain.
Aik ghantay ki chart analysis ke mutabiq. 15 M chart par upar bhasa di gayi hai. Is mein bhi girawat ka mouqa hai kyunke Moving Average chal rahi qeemat par hai, jo ke yeh dikhata hai
USD/JPY pair apna bullish trend continue karega, mumkin hai ke ek higher zone tak upar move kare Iss hafte ka trend pattern ek uptrend indicate karta hai narrow range ke sath. Relatively modest upward rally ko dekhte hue, mumkin hai ke increase agle hafte bhi continue kare, aur prices expected hain ke uptrend maintain karengi. Subah ke candlestick ne 100-period simple moving average ke upar close kiya, jo suggest karta hai ke market trend rise kar sakta hai. Agar buyers 161.51 price zone ko surpass kar sakte h
USD/JPY abhi trend line ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke Buyers ki mazbooti dikhata hai, aur trend line Support hai. Bullish rally ko continue karne ke liye, mujhe lagta hai ke buyers ko Resistance - 162.15 todna hoga, jisse trading channel khul jaye ga, aur Bulls' movement ke continuation ka imkan ho sakta hai. Pehla target Supply Zone - 160.47 hoga, jahan se history mei




n Sellers ne price ko barhaya tha. Reverse movement ka bhi imkan hai Short side ki taraf, lekin pehle Bears ko support - 160.24 todna hoga, jahan se price aksar bounce hoti rahi hai. Bears ki mazbooti ka tasdeeq hoga jab price broken level - 160.31 ke niche fix ho jaye ga, jo ke price ki kamzori dikhaye ga. USD/JPY ka downtrend ab bhi maujood hai. Price ne support level 155.48 par paya, jahan se bounce hua. Technical analysis dikhata hai ke price four-hour time frame par cloud ke niche trade kar rahi hai, Kijun-sen aur Tenkan-sen signal lines ke niche hai, Chikou span line price chart ke niche hai, aur "dead cross" active hai. Relative strength index value 50 ke niche hai, aur "trend filter" oscillator red color mein hai, jo bearish market sentiment signal karta hai. Mazid decline ka imkan barqarar hai. Agar price level 155.48 ko todti aur successful consolidation karti hai, to nayi sales ko consider karna munasib hoga. Is scenario mein, next potential

Tuesday tak, Yen thoda narrow range mein float kar raha hai, 160.00 Yen per Dollar se thoda upar. Yeh sideways movement Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke bond market players ke sath critical negotiations ke darmiyan ho rahi hai. BoJ apni ultra-loose monetary policy se exit strategy dhoond raha hai, jo policy das saal se zyada se chal rahi hai. Unka goal hai apne bond-buying program ko scale back ya completely stop karne ka tareeqa nikalna.Dusri taraf, US Dollar Index (DXY) ko Monday ko thoda hit laga.Yeh index US Dollar ke value ko chhe dusre major currencies ke against track karta hai. Hit ka source France ke second round elections ke inconclusive results ke baad markets mein relief tha. Magar yeh relief short-lived tha, kyunki market ka focus US par shift ho gaya. Yahaan, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell apni semi-annual monetary policy report Congress ke saamne deliver karne wale hain. Koi major policy announcements expect nahi hain, magar agar Powell koi pessimistic hint dete hain ya September mein interest rate cut ka zikr karte hain, toh market mein significant movements ho sakte hain.Wapas Yen-Dollar story par, Yen thoda dip hua 160.00 Yen per Dollar tak. Yeh dip kaafi tha ek technical indicator, Relative Strength Index (RSI), ko "overbought" territory se bahar nikalne ke liye. Magar, Yen ne apne last week ke momentum ko capitalize nahi kiya. Japan mein interest rates raise karne ka pressure barh raha hai, aur BoJ ke bond market participants ke sath discussions iske key driver hain. Downside par, Yen ke liye ek crucial support level 160.32 Yen per Dollar par hai. Yeh level Monday ke rebound mein important role play kiya. Upside par, Yen ke liye resistance 162.00 Yen per Dollar par hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh Yen ke liye nayi multi-decade highs ka potential khul sakta haiAane wale din Yen ke liye crucial honge. Agar current rally fizzle out hoti hai aur Yen phir se 160.32 Yen per Dollar ka key support level test karta hai, toh decline towards 55-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 157.37 Yen per Dollar pehli major downside support hogi. Yeh SMA past 55 dinon ke Yen-Dollar exchange rate ka average represent karta hai, aur agar yeh level ke neeche drop hota hai toh Yen ke liye significant decline ka signal ho sakta hai

Japanese Yen ne haali mein US Dollar ke muqable mein qabil-e-zikr taqat dikhai hai, halan ke Treasury yields mein general uptrend ne greenback ko mazboot banaya hua tha. Yeh counterintuitive movement asal mein un market expectations ki wajah se hai jo yeh samajhte hain ke Japanese authorities Yen ki tezi se girawat ko rokne ke liye intervene kar sakti hain.
Yeh surat-e-haal mazeed pechida ho gayi hai US ke mixed economic indicators ki wajah se. Jabke kamzor-than-anticipated US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data ne ibtida mein Dollar ki taqat ko kamzor kiya, aglay reports, jese ke Michigan Consumer Confidence Index aur US Producer Price Index (PPI), ko US economic trajectory ke bare mein mazeed insights provide karne ki umeed hai.

Yeh yaad rakhnay ke laayak hai ke Japan ne pehle hi Yen ko stabilize karne ke liye kadam uthaye hain, aur 11th July ko is currency ko kharidne ke liye arabon kharch kiye hain. Hakoomati officials ne bhi is baat ka ishara diya hai ke agar zaroorat pari toh wo mazeed iqdamat karne ke liye tayyar hain. Magar, monetary policy ke bare mein aakhri faisla Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke haath mein hai, jise inflationary pressure ko address karne ke liye apne aanewale July meeting mein interest rates raise karne ki umeed hai.



Technical Perspective se, USD/JPY pair ne bullish momentum mein kamzori ke asraat dikhaye hain, aur ek ascending channel pattern ke lower boundary ke neeche break kiya hai.

14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) abhi 50 level ke kareeb hover kar raha hai, jo upward momentum ke potential loss ko indicate karta hai. Pair ke liye foran support takriban 109.00 level par hai, jo psychologically significant hai, aur is mark ke neeche breach hona zyada pronounced downward trend ko trigger kar sakta hai.

Doosri taraf, resistance 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke paas 109.82 par hai aur lower channel boundary par 109.95 par hai. Agar pair channel ke andar wapas trade karna shuru karta hai toh yeh bullish sentiment ko dubara se taqat de sakta hai, aur pair ko channel ke upper limit ke kareeb 113.20 tak propel kar sakta hai.

Kul mila kar, USD/JPY exchange rate ab bhi mukhtalif factors ke complex interplay se mutasir ho raha hai, jin mein interest rate differentials, potential government intervention, aur economic data releases shamil hain. Traders ko in developments ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake market volatility ke potential

USD/JPY currency pair ne ek moderate giravat mehsoos ki. Pair ek waqt par tezi se gir gaya lekin phir jaldi se current weekly session ke opening levels par wapas aagaya. Yeh recovery ek lehaz se volatility ki darjaat ko darust karti hai aur yeh ishara karta hai ke market abhi naye trend mein set hone ke liye tayar nahi hai. Hal k movements ke peeche ek wajah yeh bhi hosakti hai ke investors US market opening ke pehle kuch munafa lock kar rahe hain. Munafa lock karna aam hai traders mein jo European session mein banaye gaye faiday ko secure karne ke liye karne ki ichha rakhte hain pehle US markets ke opening ke saath jo volatility ka saamna kar sakti hai. USD/JPY pair ka performance aksar mukhtalif factors se mutasir hota hai jaise economic data releases, geopolitical events, aur market sentiment. Maslan, changes US economic indicators mein jaise employment reports, inflation data, aur Federal Reserve ke interest rate decisions pair par bhaari asar daal sakti hai. isi tarah, Japan mein economic conditions aur policy decisions bhi aham role ada karte hain.
USDJPY ne Jumeraat (6/28/24) ko itihas mein record high qeemat banayi, currency pair mein tezi se izafa ho sakta hai jo ke munafa lenay ki saakh hai. Girawat ka mouqa ab bhi US session tak ho sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, Bullish channel aur Moving Average par breakout jo ke chal rahi qeemat se oopar hain yeh bearish tajzia mein izafa karte hain.
Aik ghantay ki chart analysis ke mutabiq. 15 M chart par upar bhasa di gayi hai. Is mein bhi girawat ka mouqa hai kyunke Moving Average chal rahi qeemat par hai, jo ke yeh dikhata hai
USD/JPY pair apna bullish trend continue karega, mumkin hai ke ek higher zone tak upar move kare Iss hafte ka trend pattern ek uptrend indicate karta hai narrow range ke sath. Relatively modest upward rally ko dekhte hue, mumkin hai ke increase agle hafte bhi continue kare, aur prices expected hain ke uptrend maintain karengi. Subah ke candlestick ne 100-period simple moving average ke upar close kiya, jo suggest karta hai ke market trend rise kar sakta hai. Agar buyers 161.51 price zone ko surpass kar sakte hain
USD/JPY abhi trend line ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke Buyers ki mazbooti dikhata hai, aur trend line Support hai. Bullish rally ko continue karne ke liye, mujhe lagta hai ke buyers ko Resistance - 162.15 todna hoga, jisse trading channel khul jaye ga, aur Bulls' movement ke continuation ka imkan ho sakta hai. Pehla target Supply Zone - 160.47 hoga, jahan se history mein Sellers ne price ko barhaya tha. Reverse movement ka bhi imkan hai Short side ki taraf, lekin pehle Bears ko support - 160.24 todna hoga, jahan se price aksar bounce hoti rahi hai. Bears ki mazbooti ka tasdeeq hoga jab price broken level - 160.31 ke niche fix ho jaye ga, jo ke price ki kamzori dikhaye ga. USD/JPY ka downtrend ab bhi maujood hai. Price ne support level 155.48 par paya, jahan se bounce hua. Technical analysis dikhata hai ke price four-hour time frame par cloud ke niche trade kar rahi hai, Kijun-sen aur Tenkan-sen signal lines ke niche hai, Chikou span line price chart ke niche hai, aur "dead cross" active hai. Relative strength index value 50 ke niche hai, aur "trend filter" oscillator red color mein hai, jo bearish market sentiment signal karta hai. Mazid decline ka imkan barqarar hai. Agar price level 155.48 ko todti aur successful consolidation karti hai, to nayi sales ko consider karna munasib hoga. Is scenario mein, next potential target support level 154.70 hoga. Alternative scenario ke liye tayyar rahna hoga jab price cloud ke upar trade kar rahi ho, aur signal lines ka "golden cross" banta ho.

jab American dollar par bohot zyada selling pressure tha. Yeh girawat behtar US economic khabar ke aane par shuru hui, jab key indicators umeed se bohot neeche aaye. Yeh niche ki taraf kehne wali trend sirf yen tak mehsoor nahi hui balki bazar ke aik aksar currency par asar dala, siwa Canadian dollar ke jo ke mazboot raha. Dollar ki value lagbhag 400 points se tezi se giri jab behtar economic data ka anjaam aaya. Is girawat ke darmiyan, price ne aik upar chalte hue trendline se sahara paya jo haal ke market waves ke troughs ko tasweer giriya karta hai. Jab bhi price niche hai, yeh is trendline par pahunchkar wapas upar aaya, jo isse aik support level ke tor par ahmiyat ko dikhata hai. Sath hi, wave structure ne upar ki taraf consolidation ki nishaniyan dikhana shuru kar diya hai, jo bhavishya mein bullish momentum ki sambhavana ko darshata hai.

USDJPY currency pair. Guzishta trading haftay k doran, American dollar ne sellers ko apni zabardast girawat se khush kiya. US se khabrein aayi, indicators expectations se bohat bura nikle aur price niche chali gayi, lekin sirf Japanese currency ke khilaf nahi, American dollar ne lagbhag tamam market spectrum mein girawat dekhi. Canadian dollar ke siwa, jo ab tak be hila hai. Taqariban 400 points jaldi se niche chale gaye. Girawat ke doran, price ne ascending support line mein sahara paaya jo waves ke bottoms k sath bana tha aur wahan se upar wapas gayi, phir se ek girawat aur wapas aur phir se line par press hui. Lekin wave structure apna order upar bana rahi hai, MACD indicator upper purchase zone mein hai, lekin apni signal line ke niche hai. Aur ab do options hain. Ya to dobara barhen aur 160.30 ke horizontal resistance level tak pohonchen, ya niche ja kar ascending line ko tor den. Mein growth ki taraf hun kyunke CCI indicator lower overheating zone mein hai aur uspe growth signal dikhai de raha hai - bullish convergence. Aur line ke base par, yeh ek achha signal hai. Aur aam tor par, yeh zaroori nahi ke upward trend mukammal tor par khatam ho gaya hai aur ek gehri correction hogi. Shayad yeh is liye ho raha ho ke zyada sellers ko recruit karein jo soch rahe hain ke ab waqai mein, reversal hai, price yahan aik din ke liye sideways bhi ja sakti hai. Position ki accumulation hogi aur asaani se upar tak drag kar sakte hain, jab ke resistance level 160.32 ko torna hoga. Har surat mein, agar sales ko dekhein, abhi line par sales ke liye acha waqt nahi hai. Lekin khareedna bhi kuch zyada pasand nahi aa raha kyunke yeh line pehle hi se kuch achi movements de chuki hai upar, lekin sirf line nahi yahan, balki horizontal support level 157.72 bhi hai. USD/JPY pair Monday ko 158.00 par trade kar rahi thi. Daily chart suggest karta hai ke ek potential weakening trend hai, jahan pair ne ek key support level tor diya. Aik technical indicator jo momentum measure karta hai niche ki taraf ishaara kar raha hai, jo bearish sentiment ko reinforce karta hai. Agar yeh trend continue hoti hai, pair dobara June low 154.55 par aa sakti hai. Magar, reversal ka chance abhi bhi hai. Resistance levels 14-day Exponential Moving Average aur ascending channel ke lower boundary ke qareeb kuch support de sakti hain. Agar price action ascending channel ke andar wapas aati hai, to yeh USD/JPY ke liye ek renewed bullish sentiment signal kar sakta hai, aur potential target channel ke upper limit ke qareeb ho sakta hai. Asal mein, attempted assassination ne currency market mein volatility inject ki hai. Aane wale waqt mein yen mazeed weaken ho sakti hai risk aversion aur Japanese authorities ke possible intervention ke wajah se, lekin technical indicators suggest karte hain ke agar USD/JPY pair key support levels ko dobara hasil kar leti hai to ek possible trend reversal ho sakta hai. Aane wale haftay crucial honge yen aur dollar ke future trajectory ka taayun karne ke liye, jab ke developments in US election aur Japan ke mazeed intervention attempts par kareebi tawajju di jayegi

Filhaal, hum USD/JPY currency pair ki live pricing ko decode kar rahe hain. Maine USD/JPY currency pair ko growth ke liye analyze kiya, isse sirf ek potential pullback samajhte hue. Hourly chart par growth signal mein desire aur probability ki kami thi, jo ek significant rise ke baad ek badi girawat ka sabab bana. Ye girawat tezi se hui, jo weekly candlesticks se saaf nazar aata hai. Abhi absorption confirm karna jaldi hoga, kyunki candle abhi tak close nahi hui hai. Lekin agar month isi tarah close hota hai, to ek aur decline mumkin hai aur hum approximate targets outline kar sakte hain. Historically, monthly absorption achi tarah se kaam karti thi despite kuch exceptions (red rectangles). Current candle ka short body aur bottom par large tail dikhata hai ke ek mirror-level test ho raha hai.L

Purane time frames mein, Japanese yen ka main direction bearish trend mein hai. Lekin, current data zyada informative ho sakta hai due to ongoing consolidation, jo outcome ko uncertain bana raha hai. Lower periods mein, H1 dikhata hai ke low of 151.97 se dollar-yen buyers ne primary downward impulse initiate kiya hai ek bullish trend-based start line at 154.72 ke sath. Picture borderline hai, aur agar bears USD/JPY ko 157.79 ke neeche push karte hain, to ek new low update mumkin hai. Dollar-yen ke liye primary resistance bullish start line of 154.72 ke along hai. Agar yeh level possible hota hai aur bulls gain karte hain, to upward impulse pehle impulse zone levels of 156.44 aur 151.59 tak continue karne ke chances hain, jo USD/JPY ke liye main scenario banata hai. Agle hafte, non-farm payroll aur unemployment rate par essential data aane wala hai, isliye previous week se zyada volatility ho sakti hai

Haal hi ke trading sessions mein, yeh pair bearish harkaton ki taraf jaane ka rujhan dikha raha hai, jo ke dollar ki kamzori ki wajah se badi had tak munsalik hai. Is maheene ke shuruaat mein 161.97 ke numayan peak ko chhoo kar, currency pair ne is hafte mein kafi hadd tak peechay hat gaya aur market band hone par 153.80 ke qareeb stabilize ho gaya. Yeh peeche hatna forex market ki tawazun aur arzi bank ki policies ke liye naqabile itmenan harkat ko numayan karta hai.

USD/JPY ke bunyadi asool:

Maweshi ne khaas tor par US Dollar ki performance par nazar rakhi hai, khaas tor par Federal Reserve ke potential interest rate cuts ke aas paas. Ummeed hai ke Federal Reserve September se shuru hone wale aamadon ke saath aamadon ke taraqqi mein izafa karega, jis ka maqsad maweshi aur infalashan dar ko mustahkam karna hai. Is hafte ke tajarbat mein ahem baat ye ho gi ke May ke liye US core PCE price index ka izhar shukrwar ko hone wala hai. Ye data Federal Reserve ke mustaqbil ki maweshi policy faislon par mazeed wazahat faraham kar sakta hai.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

USD/JPY ne chand lamhaat ke liye 154.00 ke oopar jaane ki koshish ki, lekin traders ne Bank of Japan ki market intervention ke hawale se ehtiyat dikhayi hai, jo Yen ki qeemat ko kam karne ke liye kuch karte hain. Analysts ye note karte hain ke 153.11 ke din ke kamzor hone se neechay jaane ka ishara mojooda hai, jo ke Tenkan-Sen 157.82, Senkou Span A 157.53, aur Kijun-Sen 157.24 jaise ahem support levels ke imtehan ko shuru kar sakta hai, jin ki ahmiyat market ki raaye par munhasir hai.




Market ki raftar khareedaron ki taraf mabain nazar aati hai, jab ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) bullish rehta hai. Lekin global maweshi surat-e-haal aur maweshi policy faislon ke aas paas ke ghumrahiyon ke darmiyan neechay ki khatre jaari hain. Analysts tanbeeh dete hain ke 150.00 ke nafsiyati rukhawat ke neechay chhatpar hona is pair ko mazeed giravat ke samne khara kar sakta hai, jis ke natijay mein 140.20 ke salana kamzori ke imtehan ki surat-e-haal mumkin hai. Mazeed support levels 155.50 aur 154.00 ke aas paas samjhe jate hain, jo short-term trading strategies par asar andaz ho sakte hain.