usd/jpy

USD/JPY
Hourly chart par guzishta haftay, Monday ko decline hui aur support 156.095 tak pohanchi. Tuesday ko, price ne yeh support tor diya aur 154.765 tak sell signal aya. Wednesday ko yeh sell signal work kiya, aur usi din dusra sell signal 152.971 tak aya. Yeh signal bhi kaamyaab raha, phir Thursday ko 151.645 tak sell signal aya. Mera khayal hai yeh signal bhi kaamyaab raha, kyunke price level ko touch nahi kiya magar qareebi pohanch gayi thi. Iske baad resistance 152.971 break hui aur buy signal work kiya. Resistance 154.632 par price ne Friday ko rebound kiya aur din ka khatma resistance aur support ke darmiyan hua. Southern target 151.645 hai aur northern target 156.095 hai agar resistance 154.850 break hoti hai.

Thursday ko daily chart par din growth ke sath guzra. Pehle price ne 153.729 support test kiya, phir 152.548 support. Phir rollback hua aur 150.729 marks se upar close hui. Isi waja se maine growth ko priority di thi resistance 154.789 ki taraf. Friday ko price ne lagbhag wahi close ki jahan open hui thi. Decline bhi hua, growth bhi, aur khatma 153.729 marks se upar hua. In reasons ki waja se, Monday ko growth ko priority doonga resistance 154.789 ki taraf.

USD/JPY currency pair ne munasib giravat ka samna kiya hai. Aik waqt par, jodi ne kafi had tak gir kar phir jaldi se is haftay ke mawasalay ke aghaz ke darwazay par wapas aa gayi. Is bahal hone ka matlab hai ke market naye trend ka qayam nahi kar sakta.
Is harkat ke kuch wajohat mein se ek ye ho sakti hai ke investors US market ke khulne se pehle munafa bandi kar rahe hain. Munafa bandi aam tor par traders ke darmiyan hoti hai jo Europe session mein kamayi hui munafa ko surakshit karna chahte hain, taake US market ke khulne par jo sakht ghotnaat ho sakti hain un se bach sakein. USD/JPY jodi ke performance ko aam tor par mukhtalif factors jaise ke ma'ashi data releases, siyasi maamlaat, aur market ki jazbaat par asar hota hai. Masalan, America ke ma'ashi indicators jaise ke rozgar ke reports, mehngai ke data, aur Federal Reserve ke interest rates ke faislay is jodi par gehri asar andaazi kar sakte hain. Japan ki ma'ashi haalaat aur siyasati faislay bhi is jodi par ahmiyat rakhte hain.

Thursday (28 June 2024) ko, USD/JPY ne record bulandi tak pohancha, jo tezi ka ek ishara hai, jo munafa bandi ke liye aik mauqa darust kar sakta hai. US session tak giravat ka bhi ek mouqa ho sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, moving averages aur bullish channel ke breakout ne bearish pressure ko zahir kiya hai.

Ghante ke chart ke tajziye ke mutabiq, jaisa ke 15-minute chart mein bayan kiya gaya hai, giravat ka bhi ek mouqa hai kyunki moving average maujooda qeemat se oopar hai, jo ke USD/JPY jodi ke liye bullish trend ka jari rakhne ki taraf ishara karta hai, jo ke buland zone mein dakhil hone ki mumkinat ko zahir karta hai. Is haftay ke trend pattern mein tezi ke saath aik tang range hai. Mutaliq hadood tak umer dhaar tezi ke jari rehne ke imkaanat hain aur keematien tezi mein rehne ka imkan hai. Subah ke candlestick ne 100-period simple moving average ke oopar band hone ka ishara diya hai, jo market trend ke barhne ki taraf ishara karta hai. Agar khareed daar 161.51 ke price zone se guzar sakte hain...

Mausoolan, USD/JPY ab trend line ke oopar trade ho raha hai, jo khareed daar ki taqat ko zahir karta hai, aur yeh trend line support ke tor par kaam karti hai. Tezi ke jari rakhne ke liye, maloom hota hai ke khareed daar ko 162.15 ke resistance ko toorna hoga, jo ke trading channel ko khol sakta hai aur bull movement ke jari rakhne ki mumkinat ko izhaar kar sakta hai. Pehla target 160.47 ke supply zone hoga, jahan bechne wale ne qeemat ko neeche daba diya tha. Aik ulta rukh bhi mumkin hai, lekin bear ko pehle 160.24 ke support ko toorna hoga, jahan qeemat ne aksar bounce kiya hai. Bears ki taqat ko tasdeeq hogi agar qeemat 160.31 ke tootne wale level ke nichle consolidation mein ho, jo qeemat ki kamzori ko zahir karta hai.

USD/JPY ke liye giravat ab bhi maujood hai. Qeemat ne 155.48 par support paya hai, jahan se wapas chali gayi hai. Technical analysis 4-hour time frame par cloud ke neeche trading kar rahi hai, jahan Kijun-sen aur Tenkan-sen signal lines qeemat ke neeche hain, Chikou span line qeemat chart ke neeche hai, aur aik active "dead cross" hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke neeche hai aur "trend filter" oscillator laal mein hai, jo bearish market sentiment ko zahir karta hai. Mazeed giravat ke imkaanat hain. Agar qeemat 155.48 ke level ko toor deti hai aur kamiyaab taur par consolidate ho jati hai, to naye farokht ki tajweez ko ghor se sochna munasib hoga. Is surat mein, agla potential target support level 154.70 ho sakta hai.

Is ke ilawa, aik doosre mansoobe ke liye tayar hona bhi zaroori hai jahan qeemat cloud ke oopar trade kar rahi ho aur signal lines aik "golden cross" bana rahi hon.

Pichle hafta, Monday ko yeh decline karke support level 156.095 tak pohcha. Tuesday ko price ne is support level ko break kar diya, jo ke ek sell signal tha 154.765 ke support level tak. Wednesday ko yeh sell signal realize hua, aur usi din ek aur sell signal mila 152.971 ke support level tak. Yeh sell signal bhi realize hua, phir Thursday ko ek sell signal tha 151.645 ke support level tak. Mujhe lagta hai yeh signal realize ho gaya tha, chahe price ne is level ko touch nahi kiya, lekin iske qareeb pohch kar reverse ho gaya. Matlab, ziada se ziada raasta tay kar liya tha, agar ziada se ziada raasta tay ho jaye, to mai signal ko realize samjhta hoon. Iske baad, resistance 152.971 ko successfully break kiya gaya. Ek buy signal bhi aaya aur realize hua. Resistance 154.632, Friday ko price is resistance se bounce back hua aur din resistance aur support ke darmiyan close hua. Southern target 151.645 hai. Northern target 156.095 hai agar resistance 154.850 successfully break ho jaye.

Haalanki US dollar versus Japanese yen currency pair ne hafta ke aakhri din me thori si strength dikhayi, pura trading week bears ke haath mein raha. Overall, price pichle teen hafton se decline dikhata aa raha hai, isliye yeh kehna theek hoga ke decline aage bhi jaari reh sakta hai. Kam az kam weekly chart par, sab factors further decline ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain. Sirf weekly chart par yeh dekhte hain ke price 23 saal pehle ke maximum 151.90 ke level ke qareeb ja raha hai, jo ke ek kaafi strong support level ho sakta hai. Halanki, timeframe bohot bara hai, isliye agar USDJPY currency pair apna decline jaari rakhta hai, to hum shayad usay weekly chart par notice na kar paayen. To, hum isay continue dekhte hain, lekin ab theory mein short positions open karna mumkin hai, masalan resistance level 155.40 se, jo ke pichle haftay ka minimum hai.

USD/JPY pair ne guzishta hafte ke douran niche ki janib rujhan rakha, aur support level 155.37 ko chua, jo is currency pair ka aik mahine se ziada ka sabse kam point hai aur 38 saal mein Japanese yen ki sabse kamzor qeemat ko darsha raha hai. Pichle hafte ke douran, US dollar ne yen ke muqablay mein mazbooti dikhai, aur resistance level 157.86 ko chua, aur is haftay ke aghaz mein 157.35 ke qareeb stable raha. Dono US dollar aur Japanese yen ki qeematon par central bank policies aur mumkin Japanese interventions ka gehera asar hota hai.
Pichle budh ko, dollar ki girawat mazeed barh gayi jab market ne Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts par bets lagayi. Magar session ke ikhtitam par, dollar ko kuch support mila jab US industrial production data ka izhar hua, jo ke dikhata tha ke June mein production levels umeedon se zyada the, aur May ke figures ko bhi revised upward kiya gaya.

Jumeraat ko, initial unemployment claims data ne dikhaya ke naye claims umeedon se zyada the, jo ke US labor market mein stagnation ko darsha raha tha. Is ke bawajood, dollar mazeed girawat se bach gaya excessive selling ke baad jo exaggerated bets on Federal Reserve interest rate cuts ki wajah se hui thi

Technical analysis bhi dollar ke liye potential downside ka ishara karti hai. Pair is waqt aik key short-term moving average se niche trade kar raha hai, jo bearish momentum ko darsha raha hai. Mazeed, aik aur technical indicator, RSI, bhi is bearish outlook ko reinforce karta hai. USD/JPY ke liye support June ke low ke qareeb mil sakta hai; magar agar ye level breach ho gaya, to is se ziada steep decline ho sakti hai jo May ke low ki taraf ja sakti hai. Bar'aks, agar USD/JPY aik key resistance level se upar chali gayi, to ye psychological 162.00 level ke qareeb mazeed hurdle ka samna kar sakti hai

USD/JPY Profit Potential

Filhal, hum USD/JPY currency pair ke live pricing ko decode karne ke process mein hain. Maine USD/JPY currency pair ko growth ke liye analyze kiya, lekin yeh sirf ek potential pullback ke tor par samjha. Hourly chart par growth signal mein wo desired aur probable indications nahi the, jo ke substantial rise ke baad ek significant drop ko lead kiya. Yeh decline tezi se hua, jo ke weekly candlesticks se evident hai. Abhi absorption confirm karna jaldi hai, kyunki candle close nahi hui hai. Lekin agar month similarly close hota hai, to aage decline possible hai, aur hum approximate targets outline kar sakte hain. Historically, monthly absorption ne achha kaam kiya hai kuch exceptions (red rectangles) ke bawajood. Current candle short body ke sath ek large tail dikhati hai neeche, jo ke mirror-level test ko indicate karta hai.

Purane time frames mein, Japanese yen ke liye main direction bearish hi rehti hai. Lekin, current data zyada informative ho sakta hai due to ongoing consolidation, jis se outcome uncertain hai. Lower periods mein, H1 chart dikhata hai ke 151.97 ke low se, dollar-yen buyers ne ek primary downward impulse initiate kiya, jiska bullish trend-based start line 154.72 hai. Picture borderline par hai, aur agar bears USD/JPY ko 157.79 ke neeche push karte hain, to ek naya low update hone ke chances hain. Dollar-yen ke liye primary resistance 154.72 ke bullish start line ke along hai. Agar yeh level hold hota hai aur bulls foothold gain karte hain, to upward impulse likely continue hoga pehli impulse zone levels 156.44 aur 151.59 tak, jo ke USD/JPY ke liye main scenario banata hai. Agle hafte, non-farm payroll aur unemployment rate par essential data hai, to pichle hafte se zyada volatility hone ke chances hain.

Aakhri trading sessions mein, pair ne bearish movements ki taraf rujhan dikhaya hai, jo ke dollar ke kamzor hone ke asar se hai. Is mahine ke shuru mein 161.97 ka impressive peak hit karne ke bawajood, currency pair is hafte significant retreat hui hai aur market ke close tak 153.80 ke aas-paas settle hui hai. Yeh retreat forex market ke volatility aur economic indicators aur central bank policies ke liye sensitivity ko highlight karta hai.

**USD/JPY ke Fundamentals:**

Investors ne US Dollar ke performance ko nazar mein rakha hai, khaaskar jab Federal Reserve ke potential rate cuts ke hawale se speculations chal rahi hain. Umeed hai ke Fed September tak ek series of rate reductions shuru kar sakta hai, jo ke economy aur inflation rates ko stabilize karne ke liye hoga. Is hafte ke developments ke liye key data US core PCE price index for May hai, jo Friday ko publish honi hai. Yeh data Federal Reserve ke future monetary policy decisions ke bare mein zyada clarity provide kar sakti hai.

**Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:**

USD/JPY ne briefly 154.00 ko surpass kiya hai, lekin traders ne Bank of Japan ki market intervention stance ko challenge karne mein caution dikhayi hai taake Yen ke depreciation ko manage kiya ja sake. Analysts dekhte hain ke agar day’s low 153.11 ke neeche breach hota hai, to yeh critical support levels test karne ka signal ho sakta hai. In levels mein Tenkan-Sen 157.82, Senkou Span A 157.53, aur Kijun-Sen 157.24 shamil hain, jo market sentiment ke hisaab se significant milestones ban sakte hain.

Market momentum buyers ke favor mein lagta hai, kyunki Relative Strength Index (RSI) bullish hai. Lekin, global economic conditions aur monetary policy decisions ke uncertainty ke bawajood downward risks ab bhi barqarar hain. Analysts caution karte hain ke agar psychological barrier 150.00 ke neeche breach hota hai, to pair ko aur declines ka saamna karna pad sakta hai, jo shayad saal ke shuruat se lowest level 140.20 ko test kar sakta hai. Additional support levels 155.50 aur 154.00 ke aas-paas dekhe ja sakte hain, jo short-term trading strategies ko influence kar sakte hain.

USD/JPY ANALYSIS UPDATES
27 JULY 2024

**Aaj Subah Ka Analysis: USD/JPY Pair**

Aaj subah main USD/JPY pair ka analysis shuru karunga jo agle hafte ke liye trading choice banane ki planning hai. 4-hour time frame chart ke mutabiq, forex market conditions ne Monday ke shuruat par 157.50 ke price se apni journey shuru ki aur 156.28 ke area ki taraf niche aayi. Phir Tuesday se Friday raat tak market ka trend still downtrend ki taraf move kar raha tha. Pichle hafte ki market situation ko dekhe toh candlestick journey decline ki taraf lagti hai. Last week's trading period mein market ne aisi price condition show ki jo girne ki koshish kar rahi thi lekin 155.36 ke price zone se bounce ho gayi.

Is hafte price ab bhi neeche ja rahi hai aur 100-period simple moving average zone se door ja rahi hai, jo signal hai ke market seller ke control mein hai. Thursday ke trading mein buyers se buying interest nazar aaya, jisse price mein upward correction dekhi gayi, lekin yeh zyada dair tak nahi chala kyunki Saturday raat ko sellers ka pressure wapas market trend ko bearish bana gaya. Jab journal update hua, tab market mein price temporarily 153.76 par stop hui thi. Sellers ke paas ab bhi aisi influence hai jo prices ko aur neeche le ja sakti hai, July ke highest zone se bhi.

Agle hafte ke liye USD/JPY pair ke market journey ka projection yeh hai ke yeh downtrend journey continue kar sakta hai, shayad price bearish rahe aur lower zone ki taraf jaaye. Mera prediction hai ke seller ab bhi market ko control kar sakta hai, kyunki is hafte ke trend situation ko dekhe toh candlestick downwards move kar rahi hai. Last few days ke downtrend continuation ke sath, yeh agle hafte bhi continue ho sakta hai. Price ke downmove karne ka potential hai. Aaj subah ki candlestick 100-period simple moving average zone ke neeche close hui hai, jo notification hai ke price ko downtrend ka samna ho sakta hai. Agar seller 153.20 price zone ko pass kar sakta hai, toh bearish trend agle hafte trading period mein market ko control kar sakta hai.

**Transaction Options:**
- **SELL** in the area of 153.54
- **Take Profit:** 153.02
- **Stop Loss:** 153.81