usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY) ne pichlay hafte girawat ka silsila jari rakha jo ke support level 155.37 tak pohnch gaya, jo ke ek mahine aur aadhe ke liye is currency pair ka sabse kam hai, 38 saal mein Japanese yen ke sabse kam qeemat se continue karte hue. Hafte ke beech se, US dollar ke qeemat Japanese yen ke mukable mein (USD/JPY) upward rebound hui aur gains 157.86 resistance level tak pohnch gayi aur is hafte ke trading ke aaghaz mein 157.35 level ke ird gird stabilize hui. US dollar ke Japanese yen ke mukable mein qeemat central bank policies ke future aur Japanese mudakhlat ke had tak asar andaz hogi. US dollar ne pichle budh ko apni girawat jari rakhi kyunke Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts ke bet lagane se kisi bara harkat ko roka gaya. Magar session ke akhri hissay mein, dollar ne kuch investor support hasil kiya jab US industrial production data release hui. Release ne dikhaya ke June mein production level umeed se zyada tha, jab ke May ke numbers bhi higher revise hue. Jumeraat ko, United States of America mein initial unemployment claims ka latest data release hua. Data ne dikhaya ke naye beruzgar US citizens ke benefits claim karne walon ki tadaad umeed se zyada hai, jo ke US labor market mein jari stagnation ko darsha rahe hain. Magar, US dollar ke qeemat ne apni losses ko resist kiya jab ke hafte bhar ke doran ek choti period ke excessive selling se recover hui, jo ke Federal Reserve ke interest rate cut ke exaggerated bets se driven thi.

USD/JPY chart

ke technical analysis se bhi dollar ke liye potential downside ka ishara milta hai. Pair is waqt ek key short-term moving average ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo ke bearish momentum ko darsha raha hai. Iske ilawa, ek aur technical indicator, RSI, bhi is bearish outlook ko reinforce kar raha hai. USD/JPY ke liye support June low ke qareeb mil sakti hai, magar is level ke neeche break hone se ek steeper decline May low tak trigger ho sakti hai. Doosri taraf, agar USD/JPY ek key resistance level ke upar chadhne mein kamiyab hota hai, to wo psychological 162.00 level ke qareeb ek aur hurdle ka saamna kar sakta hai. Akhri baat, Japanese yen kamzori ke period ke baad recovery ke signs dikha raha hai. Aane wali BoJ meeting aur potential policy shift, ke sath sath weakening US dollar, is trend mein contribute kar rahe hain. Technical indicators bhi near term mein USD/JPY pair ke liye potential downside ko suggest karte hain. Traders BoJ meeting aur broader economic developments ko closely dekh rahe hain further cues ke liye yen ke direction par.

Japanese yen ne recent days main US dollar ke against significant strength show ki hai, bhale hi Treasury yields ki general uptrend ne greenback ko mazboot banaya ho. Yeh counter-intuitive movement ziada tar market expectations ki wajah se hai, jo samajhte hain ke Japanese authorities rapid depreciation of the yen ko rokne ke liye intervene kar sakti hain. Yeh situation aur ziada complex ho gayi hai mixed economic indicators ki wajah se jo US se aayi hain.

Jab weaker-than-anticipated US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data ne initially dollar ki strength ko dampen kiya, uske baad ke reports, jaise ke Michigan Consumer Confidence Index aur US Producer Price Index (PPI), mazeed insight provide kar sakte hain US economy ke trajectory ke baare mein. Yeh worth noting hai ke Japan already yen ko stabilize karne ke steps le chuka hai, July 11 ko billions kharch kar ke currency ko buy kiya. Government officials ne bhi additional measures lene ki readiness indicate ki hai agar zarurat pari. Lekin, final decision monetary policy ka Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke paas hai, jo expected hai ke apni upcoming July meeting main interest rates raise kare to address inflationary pressures.

Daily chart par, Japanese yen correction forming ke signs show kar raha hai. Ek decline local seven-day low of 160 yen per dollar tak likely hai. Agar yeh level hold karta hai, to price wapas annual high of 161.951 par ja sakti hai, aur 165 yen per dollar ka rasta khul sakta hai. Lekin, aise strong movement bina deep correction ke risky hai. Yeh certain nahi hai ke kis correction levels ka samna karna parega is scenario main. Kam az kam, ek corrective movement below 151.001 possible hai, jo ek new bearish trend signal karta hai.

Jitna ziada pair continuing trend main move karega, utna hi frightening correction levels appear honge, jo ek lambi duration tak chal sakte hain. Japanese yen ke saath USD/JPY pair par situation abhi bhi unclear hai, aur humein dekhna hoga ke market kis tarah develop hota hai aane wale trading week main.

USD/JPY H4 US Dollar - Japanese Yen. Chart par jo aam maloomat hai, woh yeh hai ke chuna gaya asser ek wazeh bulish mode dikhata hai, jo Heiken Ashi candlestick indicator ke zariye pehchana ja sakta hai, jo ke riwajati Japanese candlestick ke muqablay mein price movement ko dikhata hai. Yeh ek smooth aur averaged value ka numaindah hai. Heiken Ashi ka istemal karna technical analysis ka amal aasan kar deta hai aur trading faislon ki durusti ko behtar banata hai. TMA (Triangular Moving Average) linear channel indicator filhaal ke support aur



resistance lines ko moving average ke zariye dikhata hai, jo currency pair ki chalne ki haalaat ko dikhata hai. Aakhri signal ki filtering aur deal ka faisla karne ke liye, RSI oscillator ka istemal kiya jata hai, jo asset ke overbought aur oversold zones ko dikhata hai. Chart par jo pehchaana gaya instrument hai, uss waqt aise haalatein dekhi ja rahi hain jab Hiken Ashi candlesticks neela hai, jo price movement ki northern direction ko dikhata hai. Market prices ne linear channel ki lower limit (red dotted line) ko cross kiya, lekin minimum point par pahunch kar, yeh beech ki line ki taraf wapas aaya (yellow dotted line). Aur basement indicator RSI (14), jo signals ko filter karta hai, bhi buy signal ki tasdeeq karta hai, kyun ke yeh long position ka chunaav karne se mutabqat rakhta hai - iski curve ooper hai aur overbought level se upar hai. Is se peechay, sirf kharidna muhim ho sakta hai, isliye hum is baat ka intezar karte hain ke device linear channel ki upper limit (blue dotted line) ki taraf barhe, jo price mark 159.181 par hai, lambay arse mein. Deal kholen.

USD/JPY:
USD/JPY par hum apni umeedon mein adjustments kar sakte hain. Sir, hello! Main kehna chahunga ke jab market chalti hai to hamesha wonderful hoti hai. Lekin jab yeh ek point par freeze ho jati hai - to isme kuch bhi khush karne wala nahi hota. Mujhe tajjub hai - kis ko fayda hota hai jab market ruk jati hai? Ajeeb Friday candle, kya aap nahi sochte? Trading day abhi sirf shuru hi hui hai, aur wow - woh mere calculated support - 151.95 par pohanch gaye, jo main ne pichli candles ke clear spikes par calculate kiya tha. History ke mutabiq, aap trace kar sakte hain ke yeh level lagbhag ek mahine tak - mid-March se mid-April tak - is level par price ek chhote sideways mein thi, yani ke yeh level price ko upar jane nahi de raha tha, aur phir May mein price is level tak upar se neeche aayi aur niche nahi ja saki, uske baad woh north mein lagbhag dus figures tak chali gayi. Aaj ki daily candle, by the way, ab tak lagbhag teen hundred pips ki hai. Main repeat karta hoon - din abhi sirf shuru hi hua hai. Agay kya hoga?

Indicators ke mutabiq, ab humare paas yeh picture hai:

• MA100 yeh insist karta hai ke hume week ke dauran kaafi zyada bulls hain - hum ten degrees ke trend angle par north ki taraf ja rahe hain.
• MA18, ulat, bears ko feel kar raha hai aur is waqt decline ki taraf turn ho gaya hai forty degrees ke trend angle par. Humein ek top-down intersection ka wada karta hai is moving average ka near future mein, aur ek dead cross ka formation.
• Ichimoku cloud is waqt apni thoughtful mood se nikal kar upar gaya - bullish potential ko pump karte hue. Aur phir, apni final stage mein, phir se bears ki taraf chala gaya. Ziayada chances hain ke aaj rise continue ho sakta hai. Taqreeban resistance - MA100 par level 155.40 tak. Aur phir - hum south ki taraf jayenge.

(USD/JPY) ne upar ki taraf rebound kiya aur 157.86 resistance level tak pohanch gaya, aur is haftay ke shuruat mein 157.35 level ke aas paas stable ho gaya. Aane wale waqt mein central bank policies aur Japanese intervention ka asar dollar ke Japanese yen ke against price par hamesha rahega. Guzishta budh ko US dollar ki qeemat mein girawat jari rahi kyunki Federal Reserve ke interest rate cut ke andazay ne kisi bhi significant movement ko roka. Magar, session ke akhri hisson mein, US industrial production data ke release hone ke baad dollar ne kuch investor support hasil ki. Release ne June mein production level ko expected se zyada dikhaya, jabke May ke numbers bhi revise kiye gaye. Jumeraat ko, America mein initial unemployment claims ka latest data release hua. Data ne expected se zyada nayi unemployed US citizens ko benefits claim karte dikhaya, jo ke US labor market mein stagnation ka pata deta hai. Magar, US dollar ne poore hafta excessive selling ke doran recover hone ke baad losses ko resist kar lia, jo exaggerated bets on interest rate cut from Federal Reserve ki wajah se hui thi.
USD/JPY chart ki technical analysis bhi dollar ke liye potential downside ko suggest karti hai. Yeh pair filhal ek key short-term moving average ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo bearish momentum ko indicate karta hai. Iske ilawa, ek aur technical indicator, RSI, bhi is bearish outlook ko reinforce karta hai. USD/JPY ke liye support June ke low ke kareeb mil sakta hai, magar agar yeh level toot gaya, toh May ke low ki taraf steeper decline trigger ho sakti hai. Dosri taraf, agar USD/JPY ek key resistance level ke upar chala gaya, toh psychological 162.00 level ke kareeb ek aur hurdle ka samna kar sakta hai

Aakhir mein, Japanese yen kamzori ke baad recovery ke signs dikha raha hai. Aane wale BoJ meeting aur potential policy shift, aur weakening US dollar, is trend mein apna hissa dal rahe hain. Technical indicators bhi near term mein USD/JPY pair ke liye potential downside ko suggest karte hain. Traders BoJ meeting aur broader economic developments ko closely watch karenge further cues ke liye yen ki direction par

! Mai yeh kehna chahunga ke bazaar hamesha zabardast lagta hai jab yeh harakat karta hai. Magar jab yeh aik jagah ruk jaata hai, to kuch bhi khushi ki baat nahi hoti. Mujhe hairat hoti hai: kaun faida uthata hai jab bazaar ruka hota hai? Ajeeb Friday candle, hai na? Trading din abhi bas shuru hua tha, aur wow, woh mere calculated support 151.95 tak pohanch gaye, jo maine pichle clear candle spikes se calculate kiya tha. Tareekh ke mutabiq, aap dekh sakte hain ke yeh level kareeban aik mahine ke liye—mid-March se mid-April tak—chhoti sideways mein tha; iska matlab yeh hai ke is level ne price ko upar jane nahi diya, aur phir ulta.
May mein, price is level tak upar se neeche aayi aur is se neeche nahi jaa saki; uske baad yeh north mein kareeban das figures tak ud gayi. Aaj ki daily candle, by the way, kareeban teen hundred pips ki hai. Main phir se keh raha hoon, din abhi shuru hi hua hai. (Aage kya hoga?) To, indicators ke mutabiq, humare paas ab yeh picture hai: MA100 kehti hai ke hafte ke doran humare paas kaafi zyada bulls hain; hum north ki taraf 10 degrees ke trend angle pe jaa rahe hain. MA18, ulta, bears ko mehsoos kar raha hai, aur is waqt, yeh 40 degrees ke trend angle pe decline ki taraf mood hai

Yeh humein nazdeeki future mein is moving average ka top-down intersection dikhata hai, dead cross banane ki formation ke saath. Ichimoku cloud is waqt apni soch mein se nikal aaya hai, jab ismein koi body nahi thi, aur up ki taraf jaa raha hai, bullish potential ko pump kar raha hai. Aur phir, apne final stage mein, phir se bears ki taraf jaane laga. Bohot mumkin hai, aaj rise continue ho sakta hai. Taqreeban resistance MA100 level 155.40 tak. Aur phir, hum south ki taraf jaayenge.

Yeh potential withdrawal significant profits ka mauqa paida karta hai, especially un logon ke liye jo downward momentum ko capitalize karte hain. Magar, current market trends ek deceleration dikhate hain downward trajectory mein, jo ke possible reversal ki taraf ishara karte hain jo last Friday se manifest hona shuru hui thi. US dollar ka potential weakening yeh bullish outlook support karta hai. Mukhtalif economic indicators aur market sentiments bhi dollar ke retreat ki taraf ishara karte hain, jo USD/JPY pair ki upward movement ko further enhance karte hain. Jo traders is trend ko recognize karte hain, wo support level ke aas paas long positions enter kar ke anticipated upward movement ko capitalize kar sakte hain Market conditions for USD/JPY currency pair indicate karte hain ke long positions ke liye ek promising scenario paida ho raha hai. Support level 161.35-161.21 pe ache se held hai, aur anticipated upward movement towards the 161.83-161.36 resistance zone ek favorable opportunity present karta hai traders ke liye. Buyers ki strength, recent price actions se evident hai aur expected weakening of the US dollar, bullish outlook ko further bolster karti hai. Jab market potential gains ke liye gear up kar rahi hai, traders ko in key levels aur trends ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake apne profit potential ko maximize kar saken. Pichle hafte ke market behavior ko analyze karte hue, yeh evident hota hai ke buyers consistently support level 161.300 ko held kar rahe hain, jo price ko further girne se rokti hai. Yeh strong support foundation potential upward movement ke liye ek solid base create kar rahi hai. Resistance level 161.47 ek critical benchmark serve karta hai, jo agar reach ho jaye, to bullish trend ki strength ko validate kar sakta hai Pichle hafte ka completion resistance level 161.73-161.46 ke aas paas ek strong indicator hai buyer strength ka. Yeh level historically ek significant resistance point act karta hai, aur price ka is level ke paas close hona suggest karta hai ke buyers control gain kar rahe hain. Yeh bullish momentum agle kuch dinon mein continue hone ki expectation hai, price ko 161.83 resistance zone ki taraf push karte hue Conversely, ek higher-than-expected rate USD ko weaken kar sakta hai, jo ke hamari strategy ka reevaluation zaroori bana deta hai. In conclusion, mein suggest karunga ke hum bullish concept follow karein. Technical aur fundamental analysis dono potential upward movement ko indicate karte hain. Market potentially 161.42 level ko reach kar sakti hai, jo positive economic data aur favorable market conditions se support hoti hai. Apni trading strategy ko prevailing bullish trend ke sath align kar ke aur key economic indicators ke baray mein informed rah ke, hum apne potential for profit ko maximize kar sakte hain while risk ko effectively manage karte hue. Y

Technical perspective se dekha jaye to, D1 chart dikhata hai ke USD/JPY critical support level 168.470 ko test kar raha hai. Yeh level D1 moving average line ke sath coincide karta hai, jo traders ke liye significant point of interest hai. Moving average dynamic support level ke taur pe serve karta hai, jo specific period ke average price ko indicate karta hai, jo is case mein daily chart hai.
168.470 level crucial hai kyunke is support ke break hone se further downside potential ka signal mil sakta hai. Agar USD/JPY is level ke neeche hold karne mein fail hota hai, to yeh agle support levels ki taraf move kar sakta hai, jo potentially around 168.00 ya us se neeche ho sakte hain. Wahi pe, agar support hold karta hai, to rebound dekhne ko mil sakta hai, aur pair previous highs around 168.70-169.00 ko test kar sakta hai. D1 moving average line trend indicator ke taur pe act karta hai. Agar USD/JPY is line ke upar rehta hai, to yeh bullish trend continuation ko suggest karta hai. Haan, sustained trading below moving average trend reversal ya consolidation phase ko indicate kar sakta hai.
USD/JPY pair ki recent trading activity complex interplay of economic indicators, central bank policies, aur geopolitical factors ko reflect karti hai. 168.470 support level ka current test on D1 moving average line pair ke liye critical juncture hai. Traders ko closely monitor karna chahiye ke pair is level ke ird-gird kaise behave karta hai, kyunke yeh future price movements ke hawale se significant insights provide kar sakta hai. Cautious aur informed approach adopt karna, technical aur fundamental analysis ko incorporate karte hue, essential hoga USD/JPY pair ke market dynamics ko navigate karne ke liye in the coming days.

USD/JPY ne pichlay haftay ki girawat ka silsila jari rakha, jo ke support level 155.37 tak pohnch gaya, jo ek mahine aur aadhe ke liye is currency pair ka sabse kam hai, aur Japanese yen ki 38 saal mein sabse kam qeemat ko barqarar rakha. Hafte ke doran, US dollar ki qeemat Japanese yen ke muqablay mein (USD/JPY) mein behtari aayi aur 157.86 ke resistance level tak pohnch gayi, aur is hafte ki trading ke aghaz par 157.35 ke ird gird mustahkam rahi. US dollar ki qeemat Japanese yen ke muqablay mein central bank ki policies aur Japanese mudakhlat ki had tak asar andaz hogi. US dollar ne pichlay budh ko apni girawat jari rakhi, kyunki Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts par bets ne bade iqdam ko roka. Magar, session ke aakhri hisay mein, dollar ne kuch investor support hasil kiya jab US industrial production ka data release hua. Is data ne dikhaya ke June mein production level umeed se zyada tha, aur May ke numbers bhi upar revise hue. Jumeraat ko, United States of America mein initial unemployment claims ka latest data release hua, jo ne dikhaya ke naye berozgar US citizens ke benefits claim karne walon ki tadaad umeed se zyada hai, jo ke US labor market mein jari stagnation ko darsha raha hai. Magar, US dollar ke qeemat ne apni losses ko resist kiya jab hafte bhar ke doran ek choti period ki excessive selling se recover hui, jo ke Federal Reserve ke interest rate cut ke exaggerated bets se driven thi.

Technical analysis se bhi dollar ke liye potential downside ka ishara milta hai. Pair is waqt ek key short-term moving average ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo ke bearish momentum ko darsha raha hai. Iske ilawa, ek aur technical indicator, RSI, bhi is bearish outlook ko reinforce kar raha hai. USD/JPY ke liye support June low ke qareeb mil sakti hai, magar is level ke neeche break hone se ek steeper decline May low tak trigger ho sakti hai. Doosri taraf, agar USD/JPY ek key resistance level ke upar chadhne mein kamiyab hota hai, to wo psychological 162.00 level ke qareeb ek aur hurdle ka saamna kar sakta hai. Akhri baat, Japanese yen kamzori ke period ke baad recovery ke signs dikha raha hai. Aane wali BoJ meeting aur potential policy shift, ke sath sath weakening US dollar, is trend mein contribute kar rahe hain. Technical indicators bhi near term mein USD/JPY pair ke liye potential downside ko suggest karte hain. Traders BoJ meeting aur broader economic developments ko closely dekh rahe hain further cues ke liye yen ke direction par.

Foreign exchange market mien Japanese Yen (JPY) aur US Dollar (USD) kaafi active hain. Tuesday tak, Yen thoda narrow range mein float kar raha hai, 160.00 Yen per Dollar se thoda upar. Yeh sideways movement Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke bond market players ke sath critical negotiations ke darmiyan ho rahi hai. BoJ apni ultra-loose monetary policy se exit strategy dhoond raha hai, jo policy das saal se zyada se chal rahi hai. Unka goal hai apne bond-buying program ko scale back ya completely stop karne ka tareeqa nikalna.
Dusri taraf, US Dollar Index (DXY) ko Monday ko thoda hit laga. Yeh index US Dollar ke value ko chhe dusre major currencies ke against track karta hai. Hit ka source France ke second round elections ke inconclusive results ke baad markets mein relief tha. Magar yeh relief short-lived tha, kyunki market ka focus US par shift ho gaya. Yahaan, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell apni semi-annual monetary policy report Congress ke saamne deliver karne wale hain. Koi major policy announcements expect nahi hain, magar agar Powell koi pessimistic hint dete hain ya September mein interest rate cut ka zikr karte hain, toh market mein significant movements ho sakte hain.

Wapas Yen-Dollar story par, Yen thoda dip hua 160.00 Yen per Dollar tak. Yeh dip kaafi tha ek technical indicator, Relative Strength Index (RSI), ko "overbought" territory se bahar nikalne ke liye. Magar, Yen ne apne last week ke momentum ko capitalize nahi kiya. Japan mein interest rates raise karne ka pressure barh raha hai, aur BoJ ke bond market participants ke sath discussions iske key driver hain. Downside par, Yen ke liye ek crucial support level 160.32 Yen per Dollar par hai. Yeh level Monday ke rebound mein important role play kiya. Upside par, Yen ke liye resistance 162.00 Yen per Dollar par hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh Yen ke liye nayi multi-decade highs ka potential khul sakta hai

Aane wale din Yen ke liye crucial honge. Agar current rally fizzle out hoti hai aur Yen phir se 160.32 Yen per Dollar ka key support level test karta hai, toh decline towards 55-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 157.37 Yen per Dollar pehli major downside support hogi. Yeh SMA past 55 dinon ke Yen-Dollar exchange rate ka average represent karta hai, aur agar yeh level ke neeche drop hota hai toh Yen ke liye significant decline ka signal ho sakta hai

USD/JPY pair mein kal, peechle din ke range ka minimum update karne ke baad aur local support level ko oopar se neeche test karne ke baad, jo ke meri analysis ke mutabiq 160.209 par hai, ek bounce aaya. Aur din ke closing ke natije mein, ek uncertainty candle with slight bullish advantage banti nazar aayi. Overall, is instrument ke liye, mein samajhta hoon ke buyers aj ki weakness ka faida utha sakte hain, aur mujhe poori umeed hai ke nearest resistance level ko retest kiya ja sakta hai, jo meri analysis ke mutabiq 161.951 par hai.
Agar price is resistance level ko pohanchti hai, toh do scenarios ho sakte hain. Pehla scenario yeh hai ke price is level ke upar consolidate kare aur upar ki taraf move continue rakhe. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, toh mein umeed karunga ke price resistance level 164.500 ki taraf move kare. Is resistance level ke upar consolidate hone ke baad, mein aage northward movement expect karunga, jo resistance level 168.000 tak ja sakta hai. Is resistance level ke qareeb, mein ek trading setup ka intezar karunga jo further trading direction determine karne mein madad karega.

Bilkul, mein yeh bhi samajhta hoon ke price ki designated northern target ki taraf movement ke dauran southern pullbacks ho sakte hain, jinko mein nearby support levels se bullish signals talashne ke liye use karunga, uptrend ke resumption ki anticipation mein within the overall bullish trend formation.

Alternative scenario yeh hoga ke price 161.951 resistance level ko test karne ke baad ek reversal candle banaye aur southern movement ko resume kare. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, toh mein expect karunga ke price support level 160.209 ya support level 157.671 ki taraf return kare. In support levels ke qareeb, mein bullish signals talash karna continue karunga, upward price movement ke resumption ki expectation mein

General tor par, agar mukhtasir mein kaha jaye, nearest support level se sellers ki weakness ko dekhte hue, mein poori umeed rakhta hoon ke price northwards nearest resistance level ki taraf move kare, lekin phir decisions market situation ke mutabiq liye jayenge, bullish scenarios ko priority dete hue

USD/JPY market pair ko agar hum daily timeframe pe dekhein aur Bollinger Bands indicator ka istemal karein, toh yeh dikhai deta hai ke buyers abhi prices ko upper Bollinger Bands area mein maintain kar rahe hain. Yeh upper region mein presence market mein strong bullish sentiment ko dikhata hai. Khaaskar, buyers ne trading activity ko itna dominate kiya hai ke ek bullish Doji candlestick form hui hai. Bullish Doji aam tor pe market mein indecision ko signify karti hai lekin is context mein yeh suggest karti hai ke bullish momentum continue ho sakta hai, aur prices ko aur bhi upar le ja sakta hai.
Bullish Doji candlestick ka formation significant hai kyunki yeh yeh possibility ko dikhata hai ke USD/JPY pair apni upward trajectory ko continue kar sakta hai. Is bullish movement ka immediate target upper Bollinger Bands area ko test karna aur shayad uske upar breakout karna hai. Agar yeh breakout achieve ho gaya toh yeh re-test ya phir naye all-time high prices create karne ka chance hai, jo ke bullish outlook ko aur bhi solidify karega

Lekin, market ka behavior is critical juncture pe pivotal hai. Agar buyers upper Bollinger Bands area ke upar break karne mein fail ho gaye, toh yeh momentum mein shift ka signal ho sakta hai. Aise scenario mein, sellers ko opportunity mil sakti hai ke prices ko downward push karein. Upper band ko penetrate karne mein failure ek potential reversal ko indicate karega, jo ke bearish movement lead karega. Is bearish move ka target nearest support area hoga jo previous buyer activity ke through establish hui thi

Comprehensive analysis par mabni trading
USD/JPY
Assalam Alaikum! US dollar/Japanese yen joda is hafte apne tamam hadaf tak pahunch gaya hai, jisme 152.70 ki support satah bhi shamil hai. Halankeh, yah joda ek se zyada martabah iska test karne ke bawajud is support satah ko todne aur us se niche fix hone me nakam rahi. Natije ke taur par, asset ooper ki taraf palat gaya. Aaj, dollar/yen ki jodi ahistah-ahistah bahal ho rahi hai. Yah ghaleban 156.10 ki muzahmati satah ki taraf badhega, jo keh pichle ek ghante se ird-gird mandla raha hai.



Agar qimat 154.05 ki muzahmati satah ko tod sakti hai to mai aaj ek musalsal islah ko mustarad nahin karta hun. Agar qimat is nishan se ooper mustahkam ho jati hai to, dollar/yen ka joda 156.20 tak faida badha sakta hai aur yaha tak keh 155.00 ki nafsiyati satah tak badh sakti hai. Iska breakout 156.10 ke nishan tak mazid izafe ki rah hamwar karega. Iske bad, qimat me mandi aane aur 150.30 aur 150.00 ki taraf jane ki tawaqqo hai, lekin is hafte aisa nahin hoga. Aaj sirf islah ki tawaqqo hai. Mandi ke mamle me, agar qimat 152.70 se niche toot jati hai to, yah 151.40 aur 150.30 ki satah tak kamzori ko badhayegi. Is scenario ka imkan kam hai kiyunkeh tezi se islah ki zarurat hai. Lehaza, sab se zyada imkan yah hai keh dollar/yen joda 156.10 ke nishan tak badh jayega.

US session mein maine jo levels mention kiye the unka price test nahi hua, isliye humein koi acha entry point nahi mila. US holiday iski badi wajah thi ke volatility low thi. Halat ke bawajood, sellers ne aaj ke Asian session mein actively trade karne ka irada banaya, jo weekly lows ke test hone ka sabab bana. Ghar ke kharchon ke weak data, jo ke sharply decrease hua, ne bhi pair ki correction ko nahi roka. Leading economic indicators ke figures economists ke forecasts se match karte hain, magar traders ne is report ko nazarandaz kiya. Yeh wazeh hai ke pair ki aage ki direction puri tarah se US labor market data par depend karegi, aur tab tak humein daily low ke niche breakout aur consolidation dekhne ki umeed nahi hai. Is wajah se, main reversal entry points dhoondne ki koshish karunga, ek choti bullish correction ki anticipation mein. Intraday strategy ke liye, main scenarios no. 1 aur 2 ke implementation par ziyada bharosa karunga.
Buy signals
Scenario No. 1. Aaj, main plan karta hoon ke USD/JPY buy karun jab price 160.89 ke entry point par pohnchti hai jo green line se chart par plot ki gayi hai, aur aim karunga ke price 161.46 tak barh jaye jo chart par thicker green line se plot ki gayi hai. 161.46 ke qareeb, main long positions exit karunga aur opposite direction mein short ones open karunga, expecting ke 30-35 pips ka movement opposite direction mein hoga is level se. Aap yeh expect kar sakte hain ke pair aaj rise karegi jab intraday low ko actively defend kiya jaye. Buy karne se pehle, ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke upar hai aur us se rise karna shuru kar raha hai.
Scenario no. 2. Main aaj USD/JPY tab buy karne ka plan bhi rakhta hoon agar 160.52 ke do consecutive tests ho jate hain jab MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Yeh pair ke downward potential ko limit karega aur market upturn ki taraf reverse karega. Growth expect ki ja sakti hai opposite levels 160.89 aur 161.46 tak.

Sell signals
Scenario No. 1. Aaj, main plan karta hoon ke USD/JPY ko sell karun sirf level 160.52 ke test ke baad jo red line se chart par plot kiya gaya hai, jo price mein rapid decline laayega. Sellers ke liye key target 159.95 hoga, jahan main short positions exit karunga aur immediately long ones open karunga opposite direction mein, expecting ke 20-25 pips ka movement opposite direction mein hoga is level se. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt bearish correction ke andar wapas aa sakta hai. Sell karne se pehle, ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke niche hai aur us se decline karna shuru kar raha hai.
Scenario no. 2. Main aaj USD/JPY tab bhi sell karne ka plan rakhta hoon agar 160.89 ke do consecutive price tests ho jate hain jab MACD indicator overbought area mein ho. Yeh pair ke upward potential ko limit karega aur market downturn ki taraf reverse karega. Decline expect kiya ja sakta hai opposite levels 160.52 aur 159.95 tak.

Foreign exchange market mien Japanese Yen (JPY) aur US Dollar (USD) kaafi active hain. Tuesday tak, Yen thoda narrow range mein float kar raha hai, 160.00 Yen per Dollar se thoda upar. Yeh sideways movement Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke bond market players ke sath critical negotiations ke darmiyan ho rahi hai. BoJ apni ultra-loose monetary policy se exit strategy dhoond raha hai, jo policy das saal se zyada se chal rahi hai. Unka goal hai apne bond-buying program ko scale back ya completely stop karne ka tareeqa nikalna.Dusri taraf, US Dollar Index (DXY) ko Monday ko thoda hit laga.Yeh index US Dollar ke value ko chhe dusre major currencies ke against track karta hai. Hit ka source France ke second round elections ke inconclusive results ke baad markets mein relief tha. Magar yeh relief short-lived tha, kyunki market ka focus US par shift ho gaya. Yahaan, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell apni semi-annual monetary policy report Congress ke saamne deliver karne wale hain. Koi major policy announcements expect nahi hain, magar agar Powell koi pessimistic hint dete hain ya September mein interest rate cut ka zikr karte hain, toh market mein significant movements ho sakte hain.Wapas Yen-Dollar story par, Yen thoda dip hua 160.00 Yen per Dollar tak. Yeh dip kaafi tha ek technical indicator, Relative Strength Index (RSI), ko "overbought" territory se bahar nikalne ke liye. Magar, Yen ne apne last week ke momentum ko capitalize nahi kiya. Japan mein interest rates raise karne ka pressure barh raha hai, aur BoJ ke bond market participants ke sath discussions iske key driver hain. Downside par, Yen ke liye ek crucial support level 160.32 Yen per Dollar par hai. Yeh level Monday ke rebound mein important role play kiya. Upside par, Yen ke liye resistance 162.00 Yen per Dollar par hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh Yen ke liye nayi multi-decade highs ka potential khul sakta haiAane wale din Yen ke liye crucial honge. Agar current rally fizzle out hoti hai aur Yen phir se 160.32 Yen per Dollar ka key support level test karta hai, toh decline towards 55-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 157.37 Yen per Dollar pehli major downside support hogi. Yeh SMA past 55 dinon ke Yen-Dollar exchange rate ka average represent karta hai, aur agar yeh level ke neeche drop hota hai toh Yen ke liye significant decline ka signal ho sakta hai

Foreign exchange market mien Japanese Yen (JPY) aur US Dollar (USD) kaafi active hain. Tuesday tak, Yen thoda narrow range mein float kar raha hai, 160.00 Yen per Dollar se thoda upar. Yeh sideways movement Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke bond market players ke sath critical negotiations ke darmiyan ho rahi hai. BoJ apni ultra-loose monetary policy se exit strategy dhoond raha hai, jo policy das saal se zyada se chal rahi hai. Unka goal hai apne bond-buying program ko scale back ya completely stop karne ka tareeqa nikalna.Dusri taraf, US Dollar Index (DXY) ko Monday ko thoda hit laga.Yeh index US Dollar ke value ko chhe dusre major currencies ke against track karta hai. Hit ka source France ke second round elections ke inconclusive results ke baad markets mein relief tha. Magar yeh relief short-lived tha, kyunki market ka focus US par shift ho gaya. Yahaan, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell apni semi-annual monetary policy report Congress ke saamne deliver karne wale hain. Koi major policy announcements expect nahi hain, magar agar Powell koi pessimistic hint dete hain ya September mein interest rate cut ka zikr karte hain, toh market mein significant movements ho sakte hain.Wapas Yen-Dollar story par, Yen thoda dip hua 160.00 Yen per Dollar tak. Yeh dip kaafi tha ek technical indicator, Relative Strength Index (RSI), ko "overbought" territory se bahar nikalne ke liye. Magar, Yen ne apne last week ke momentum ko capitalize nahi kiya. Japan mein interest rates raise karne ka pressure barh raha hai, aur BoJ ke bond market participants ke sath discussions iske key driver hain. Downside par, Yen ke liye ek crucial support level 160.32 Yen per Dollar par hai. Yeh level Monday ke rebound mein important role play kiya. Upside par, Yen ke liye resistance 162.00 Yen per Dollar par hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh Yen ke liye nayi multi-decade highs ka potential khul sakta haiAane wale din Yen ke liye crucial honge. Agar current rally fizzle out hoti hai aur Yen phir se 160.32 Yen per Dollar ka key support level test karta hai, toh decline towards 55-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 157.37 Yen per Dollar pehli major downside support hogi. Yeh SMA past 55 dinon ke Yen-Dollar exchange rate ka average represent karta hai, aur agar yeh level ke neeche drop hota hai toh Yen ke liye significant decline ka signal ho sakta hai