USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

The Japanese yen bohot ziada girawat ka samna kar raha hai US dollar ke muqable mein. Budh ke din, USD/JPY exchange rate 161.91 tak pohanch gaya, jo ke 1986 ke baad ka sabse mazboot level hai. Is tezi se girne se market participants ko fikar ho gayi hai. Wo ab Bank of Japan (BOJ) ke currency market mein intervention ka intezar kar rahe hain. Aisi intervention yen ko mazboot bana sakti hai aur USD/JPY pair ke bullish trend ko rok sakti hai. Is pressure ko barhane mein, Japanese government bonds ke yields bhi 13 saal ke high pe pahunch gaye hain, 10 saal ke maturities ke liye 1.11% tak. Yields ka ye izafa BOJ ki monetary policy mein tabdeeli ki umeedon ko zahir karta hai. Yen ki kamzori ke sath, traders ko rising import costs aur inflationary pressures ka samna hai. Is maslay ko hal karne ke liye, Japanese Finance Ministry reportedly naye type ke variable-rate bond launch karne ka soch rahi hai, taake rising bond yields ke risks ko mitigate kiya ja sake, khaaskar BOJ ke potential interest rate hikes se pehle

Mere liye, linear regression channel ka slope M15 chart pe upar ki taraf hai. Ye is baat ki nishani hai ke market mein strong buyers hain jo sellers pe pressure daal rahe hain, aur buying ka mauka hai. Main ghalat bhi ho sakta hoon, lekin agar hum selling ko consider karen, to mere case mein ye market ke against move karega, jo ke bara nuksaan ho sakta hai, compare karte hue buy position ke trend ke mutabiq entry se. Isliye, stop loss set karke, market jab trading plan ke against move kare to losses ko limit karna mumkin hai, stop loss entry point se upar nahi hoga jo ke 161.529 hai. Mere case mein, main wait karunga ke price channel ke niche tak gir jaye, level 161.529 tak. Uske qareeb, main buying entry point dhoondunga upper target 161.864 tak pohanchne ke liye. Channel ke top se sales expect ki ja rahi hai. Purchases ko postpone karna behtar hoga, jab tak correction form na ho jaye. Hourly chart pe linear regression channel bhi north ki taraf point kar raha hai. Channel H1 bhi same direction mein hai. Dono channels ki movement baghair kisi differences ke highlight karti hai is instrument ki upward movement. Mere liye, ab purchases important hain. Channel ke niche se, around level 161.204, main entry point consider karta hoon. Mazi mein, market uthega 162.030 tak - ye channel ka upper border hai, jahan market decline karega. Agar market upper border ke qareeb lambi arsay tak rahe, to ziada chances hain ke niche channel tak decline hoga

currency pair ke latest technical analysis ke mutabiq, ek mazboot bullish trend nazar aata hai. Ek technical indicator jo is manzur ko support karta hai woh EMA 50 ka position hai jo EMA 100 ke oopar hai. Ye shart aam tor par bullish signal ke tour par consider ki jati hai kyun ke EMA 50 jaldi time frame mein price movements ko reflect karta hai EMA 100 ke mukable. Jab chhota EMA lamba EMA se oopar hota hai, to yeh darshata hai ke chhote term ki momentum zyada hai aur price ko upar ki taraf le jaa sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, USD/JPY ne ahem resistance level 157.704 ko toorna hai. Is resistance ke tootne ka matlab hai ke kharidari ki takat kaafi mazboot hai jo price ko pehle upper limit ke tour par consider kiya gaya tha, woh paar karne mein madad kar rahi hai. Ek tootne wala resistance level aksar ek naya support level ban jaata hai, isliye price is level ke aas paas correction ya consolidation ka samna karna tend kar hai pehle apne upward movement ko jaari rakhne se pehle. Abhi, price pehle wale high point 160,174 ke neeche hai. Yeh high point bullish trend ke jaari rehne ke liye tootna zaroori hai. Agar price is high level ko paar kar leti hai, to phir aage ke izaafay ki bohot zyada mumkinat khuli huyi hain. Pehle wale high level ko tootna aksar yeh baat confirm karta hai ke bullish trend ab bhi mazboot hai aur jaari reh sakta hai. USDJPY currency pair H1 timeframe par ab kaafi mazboot bullish signs dikhata hai. Is bullish tendency ka ek main indication yeh hai ke price 159.901 resistance level par atkaa hua hai. Pehle, price ne 159.296 support level tak ek correction ka saamna kiya tha, jo EMA 50 ke aas paas hai. Yeh correction temporary selling pressure ko indicate karta hai jo price ko support area tak neeche kheench gaya tha. 159,296 support level tak pohanchne ke baad, price ne phir se bullish strength dikhayi aur barhti huyi. Yeh darshata hai ke 159,296 support ne price girne ko rokne mein kamiyabi haasil ki hai aur buyers ke liye phir se market mein daakhil hone ka modd hai. Is support ko chhootne ke baad huyi price increase darshata hai ke market sentiment abhi taak buying power dwara dominate ki ja rahi hai. Abhi, price phir se 159,901 resistance level ke qareeb ja raha hai. Yeh level bullish trend ke jaari rehne ko taay karta hai. Agar price 159,901 resistance ko toorna kaamyaab hoti hai, to yeh signal dega ke kharidari takat kaafi mazboot hai ke price ko upar ki taraf le ja sake. Is resistance ke tootne se price ke aur increase ke opportunities khul sakti hain. USD/JPY currency pair ki price action assessment ka mozu hai. USD/JPY currency pair mein ek potential intervention ke asar dekhne ko mil rahe hain. Pair ki price significant taur par nahi barh rahi. Japan ne apne stance ko reiterate kiya hai against a highly devalued yen, jo meri expectation ko support karta hai ke price increases limited rahenge. Current market trends aur economic indicators ke base par, main short term mein US dollar ki modest strengthening predict karta hoon, followed by a period of fluctuation aur potential weakening. Ye sirf meri perspective hai, aur market dynamics aksar unpredictable hote hain. Sirf waqt hi is forecast ki accuracy ko reveal karega. Market ne Bank of Japan ke representative ka skeptical view liya, jisne kaha ke Bank kisi bhi waqt intervene kar sakta hai aur ye likely 24/7 karega. Is announcement ne Friday ko yen mein brief spike ka sabab bana, lekin decline tab se stabilize ho gaya hai. Trading range 160.16 aur 159.31 ke darmiyan hai, aur pair significant US news ke ilawa is range mein rahne ka imkaan hai—jab tak Bank of Japan verbal warnings se

anese Yen ne haal hi mein US Dollar ke muqable mein achi mazbooti dikhayi hai, jabke aam tor par Treasury yields ke izafay ne Dollar ko support kiya hai. Ye ghair maanqool harkat ziada tar market ke intezar ko dekhti hai ke Japanese hukoomat Yen ke tej girawat ko rokne ke liye mudakhlat kar sakti hai. Ye surat-e-haal aur bhi pecheeda hai kyunke US se mukhtalif maashiyat indicators mil rahe hain. Jab US Consumer Price Index (CPI) ka kamzor data Dollar ki taqat ko kamzor karne mein madadgar sabit hua, baad mein aane wale reports, jaise ke Michigan Consumer Confidence Index aur US Producer Price Index (PPI), se US maashiyat ke rawayye ke mutaliq mazeed maloomat milne ki umeed hai. Yeh yaad rehna chahiye ke Japan ne pehle hi July 11th ko Yen ko mazbooti dene ke liye karooron kharch kiye hain. Hukoomati afsarane mazeed iqdamat uthane ke liye bhi taiyyar hain agar zaroorat pesh aaye. Lekin, final faisla monetary policy ka Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke paas hai, jo ke intezar hai ke apni aanewali July meeting mein inflationary pressures ko address karne ke liye interest rates barhaye.
Technical perspective se dekha jaye toh, USD/JPY pair ne apne bullish momentum mein kamzori dikhayi hai, aur ascending channel pattern ke lower boundary se neeche gir gaya hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level ke kareeb hai, jo ke upward momentum ke kamzor hone ka ishara de raha hai. Immediate support pair ke liye 109.00 level par hai, jo ke psychologically significant hai. Agar yeh mark breach hota hai toh ziada pronounced downward trend shuru ho sakti hai. Iske baraks, resistance 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke kareeb 109.82 par aur lower channel boundary 109.95 par hai. Agar pair channel ke andar trading wapas karta hai toh bullish sentiment ko dobara zinda kar sakta hai, aur pair ko channel ke upper limit ke kareeb 113.20 tak le ja sakta hai. Kul mila ke, USD/JPY exchange rate mukhtalif factors ke complex interplay se mutasir hai jinmein interest rate differentials, hukoomati mudakhlat ke imkanaat, aur economic data releases shamil hain. Traders ko in developments ko qareebi taur par monitor karna chahiye potential market volatility ke liy

Maujooda market conditions ke madde nazar, Take Profit (TP) 161.500 par set karna aur Stop Loss (SL) 165.81 par set karna ek strategic decision nazar aata hai. 161.500 par TP observed trend aur SBR levels ke sath align karta hai, jo ke aaj ki trading session ke liye ek realistic aur achievable target hai. Dosri taraf, 165.81 par SL risk ko effectively manage karta hai, ensuring ke agar market unexpectedly reverse kare to potential losses minimize ho jayein.
Risk management successful trading ka ek crucial aspect hai. Ek well-calculated SL set kar ke, traders apne capital ko significant losses se protect kar sakte hain. Is scenario mein, 165.81 par SL ek safety net provide karta hai, jo traders ko bullish trend ko pursue karne mein confidence deta hai bina excessive risk ke. Yeh balance TP aur SL ke darmiyan profitable aur sustainable trading strategy ko maintain karne ke liye essential hai.
Summary mein, USD/JPY pair abhi ek strong buying trend exhibit kar raha hai, jo ke fundamental events aur technical indicators se supported hai. 50-SMA ka cross aur pichle haftay ke SBR levels price movements ko predict karne ke liye ek robust framework provide karte hain. 161.500 par TP aur 165.81 par SL set karna current trend aur risk management principles ke sath align karta hai, jo ke bullish momentum ka faida uthane ke liye ek strategic approach offer karta hai. Traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur market mein kisi bhi change ke mutabiq apne trades ko adjust karna chahiye taake apne trading outcomes ko optimize kar sakein.

JPY waqai sab global currencies ke muqablay main mazboot hai, ye is liye samajh aata hai kyun ke pichle girawat bohot gehri thi, jis ne Bank of Japan ko kai martaba dakhal dena para, dono zubaani taur par aur trillionon Yen inject karke jo disburse kiye gaye. Ye baat market players ko phir se sochne par majboor kar rahi hai aur unhe lagta hai ke Yen short action jo pichle kuch mahino se ho raha tha wo apne anjam tak pohanch gaya hai, is liye sellers buyers ban gaye apne order flow main. Is se USDJPY direct asar andaz hua, jahan ab pehli martaba price 155.00 ke psychological level ke neeche chal raha hai pichle cheh mahino main, aur dilchasp baat ye hai ke price quote bhi neeche hai blue EMA50 se.

Daily chart main daayen taraf se saaf zahir hai ke sellers phir se prices ko ek significant support yellow rectangle pe le ja rahe hain jo 154.86 - 154.54 ke price par hai, agar ek solid breakout hota hai, to price asaani se agle support pe gir sakti hai jo 151.86 par hai, lekin thoda potential hai bounce ka 153.64 ke aas paas, kyun ke pehle yahan ek candlestick tha lambi Lower Wick ke sath, jo resistance 161.75 tak barh sakti hai, agar aisa hota hai to traders sell position khol sakte hain kyun ke market downtrend main hai.

Lekin, zyada tafseeli analysis ki zaroorat hai taake intraday movements ke details mil saken H1 timeframe ka use karke jo daayen taraf hai, jahan USDJPY ka girna pichle char ghanton main, aik candlestick banaya lambi Lower Wick ke sath, jo ye zahir karta hai ke is dupahar buyers ne short term main control hasil karna shuru kar diya hai, taake prices ke correction ka potential ho upar ki taraf green rectangle 155.29 - 155.53 tak. Halankeh bounce ka potential hai, traders ko sirf selling entries par focus karna chahiye kyun ke ye current strong downward trend ke mutabiq hai, sell limit green rectangle area main lagane ke sath.

The Japanese yen ko aik tezi say girawat ka samna hai, phir bhi Japanese currency authorities ne yen ki girawat ko rokne ki koshish ki hai massive yen purchases ke zariye. Yeh girawat zyadatar structural issues ki wajah se hai, special Japan aur US ke darmiyan ka significant interest rate differential. Is saal ke start mein, Bank of Japan (BoJ) ne interest rates ko negative zone se bahar kiya, magar yeh move Japan ke near-zero rates aur USD ke 5.25 rates ke darmiyan ka substantial gap close karne mein nakam rahi. Recent notable decline USD/JPY pair mein, Tokyo se aur yen buying ki speculation ko barhawa diya hai. Pehle yeh pair 160.00 ke upar comfortably trade kar raha tha, ab yeh 155.00 support level ko target kar raha hai, aur next important support level 151.90 hai. Yeh shift Japanese authorities ke yen ki continued decline par growing concern aur market mein intervene karne ke liye unki readiness ko reflect karta hai

Tokyo officials are optimistic hain ke recent decline US dollar mein USD/JPY pair ki downward trend ko continue karne mein madadgar ho sakta hai, utasalar jabke US inflation rate ke decline ne Federal Reserve ke towards sentiment ko improve kiya hai. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ne recent data par optimism express kiya, aur agar yeh trend continue karta hai, toh woh interest rates cut karne ke decision mein confidence hasil kar sakte hain, jo ke Japanese yen ke liye ek aur challenge hoga. BoJ ke interest rates adjust karne ke efforts ke bawajood, Japanese aur US rates ke darmiyan ka gap significantly narrow nahi hua. Yeh gap yen par pressure continue karta hai, aur Japanese authorities ke liye stable exchange rate hasil karna mushkil banata hai, yen ki girawat zyadatar Japan aur US ke darmiyan ke interest rate differential ki wajah se hai

USD/JPY currency pair indicate karte hain ke long positions ke liye ek promising scenario paida ho raha hai. Support level 161.35-161.21 pe ache se held hai, aur anticipated upward movement towards the 161.83-161.36 resistance zone ek favorable opportunity present karta hai traders ke liye. Buyers ki strength, recent price actions se evident hai aur expected weakening of the US dollar, bullish outlook ko further bolster karti hai. Jab market potential gains ke liye gear up kar rahi hai, traders ko in key levels aur trends ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake apne profit potential ko maximize kar saken. Pichle hafte ke market behavior ko analyze karte hue, yeh evident hota hai ke buyers consistently support level 161.300 ko held kar rahe hain, jo price ko further girne se rokti hai. Yeh strong support foundation potential upward movement ke liye ek solid base create kar rahi hai. Resistance level 161.47 ek critical benchmark serve karta hai, jo agar reach ho jaye, to bullish trend ki strength ko validate kar sakta hai Pichle hafte ka completion resistance level 161.73-161.46 ke aas paas ek strong indicator hai buyer strength ka. Yeh level historically ek significant resistance point act karta hai, aur price ka is level ke paas close hona suggest karta hai ke buyers control gain kar rahe hain. Yeh bullish momentum agle kuch dinon mein continue hone ki expectation hai, price ko 161.83 resistance zone ki taraf push karte hue
Conversely, ek higher-than-expected rate USD ko weaken kar sakta hai, jo ke hamari strategy ka reevaluation zaroori bana deta hai. In conclusion, mein suggest karunga ke hum bullish concept follow karein. Technical aur fundamental analysis dono potential upward movement ko indicate karte hain. Market potentially 161.42 level ko reach kar sakti hai, jo positive economic data aur favorable market conditions se support hoti hai.
USD/JPY currency pair indicate karte hain ke long positions ke liye ek promising scenario paida ho raha hai. Support level 161.35-161.21 pe ache se held hai, aur anticipated upward movement towards the 161.83-161.36 resistance zone ek favorable opportunity present karta hai traders ke liye. Buyers ki strength, recent price actions se evident hai aur expected weakening of the US dollar, bullish outlook ko further bolster karti hai. Jab market potential gains ke liye gear up kar rahi hai, traders ko in key levels aur trends ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake apne profit potential ko maximize kar saken. Pichle hafte ke market behavior ko analyze karte hue, yeh evident hota hai ke buyers consistently support level 161.300 ko held kar rahe hain, jo price ko further girne se rokti hai. Yeh strong support foundation potential upward movement ke liye ek solid base create kar rahi hai. Resistance level 161.47 ek critical benchmark serve karta hai, jo agar reach ho jaye, to bullish trend ki strength ko validate kar sakta hai Pichle hafte ka completion resistance level 161.73-161.46 ke aas paas ek strong indicator hai buyer strength ka. Yeh level historically ek significant resistance point act karta hai, aur price ka is level ke paas close hona suggest karta hai ke buyers control gain kar rahe hain. Yeh bullish momentum agle kuch dinon mein continue hone ki expectation hai, price ko 161.83 resistance zone ki taraf push karte hue Conversely, ek higher-than-expected rate USD ko weaken kar sakta hai,

USDJPY pair ne mere khayal mein ahem level 156.46 ko test kiya hai, jahan se is trading instrument ki keemat uttar chali gayi hai, ya'ni ke is value se ek tarah ka price rebound ooper ki taraf dikhai diya hai. Agar ab keemat mazeed neeche nahi aati aur baad mein keemat 156.46 ke niche jamti nahi hai, toh is ke baad is ki tafseeli phase mein aik scenario shamil ho sakta hai jo shumaar mein shumaar ho sakta hai aur jis ke mutabiq hum yahan se acha tareeqa se uttar sakte hain. Agar ab hum 157.91 ke accumulation tak pohonchte hain, aur yahan se is halat mein is pair ki keemat neeche jaegi aur is tarah ke halat mein USDJPY 157.37 level ke neeche nahi jaane dega, toh is scenario ke mutabiq abhi se 157.37 level se is keemat ko ooper uchhal sakta hai aur jaise hi is level se guzarte hain to yeh mumkin hai ke is mark tak pohnche jahan pe paise ke mojooda volumes ke accumulation level 160.39 par hain. Shayad ek chhoti ooper ki taraf tezi ke baad, masalan 157.05 range tak girawat ho sakti hai. Shayad aaj humein ooper ki taraf impulsive kharak hone ki ummeed hai, masalan 157.85 range tak, lekin is ke baad bhi girawat jari rahegi. Jab humein mumkin ho sakta hai ke 157.87 range tak ek chhoti ooper ki taraf tezi aa sakti hai, lekin is ke baad bhi girawat jari rahegi. Sudhaarne ki taraf se abhi tak izazat hai, lekin is ke baad bhi girawat jari rahegi. 157.75 se ek chhoti tezi ki kharak pahle se ho chuki hai aur is ke baad bhi girawat jari rahegi. Halat ke muqablay mein abhi bhi girawat mumkin hai.

Yeh tafseeli maqala yeh zahir karta hai ke USDJPY pair ke price movement ke baray mein kafi mazeed tafseeli jayeza aur tajziya kiya gaya hai. Is forum analysis aur forecast se zahir hota hai ke is waqt keemaat ke muqablay mein mazeed ooper ya neeche jaane ki mumkinat hain, lekin ahem levels aur accumulation points ko samajhna zaroori hai. Muaqqif ki jaa sakti hai ke agar keemat 156.46 ke neeche na jaati hai aur 157.91 ya 157.37 ke aas paas mukarar hui conditions ko follow kia jata hai, to is pair ki keemat mein mazeed ooper ki taraf achi tezi dekhne ko mil sakti hai, jahan tak ke 160.39 level tak bhi pohonch sakta hai.

zahir karta hai. Ye level significant bullish momentum dikhata hai kyunke traders favorable conditions ka faida uthate hain. Magar, Tokyo CPI level ka asar zaroor sochna chahiye, jo sellers ko empower kar sakta hai. Agar CPI level expectations se zyada hua, to market sentiment badal sakta hai, aur bearish outlook ko support mil sakta hai. Doosri taraf, European Manufacturing aur Services PMI levels ka release is haftay ke akhir mein aur complexity laye ga trading landscape mein. Ye PMI numbers economic health ke important indicators hain aur investor confidence aur market direction ko significant influence kar sakte hain Is liye, trading strategies ko carefully adapt karna chahiye, evolving market sentiment ke saath. Akhir mein, EUR/JPY market increased volatility ke liye tayar hai. European Flash PMI data ki anticipation ke madad se traders ko potential market changes ke liye tayar rehna chahiye. Ane wale economic releases ke bawajood, current sentiment buyers ko favor k





arta hai, aur EUR/JPY market apne bullish trend ko maintain karne ki umeed rakhta hai. Recent test of the 171.48 zone buying interest ki strength ko underline karta hai, aur yeh momentum market ko aane wale ghanton mein 171.76 zone ki taraf push kar sakta hai. Ye upward movement ka anticipation current market sentiment ko reflect karta hai, jo positive economic expectations aur strong buying activity se supported hai. Hume vigilant rehna chahiye, Tokyo CPI level aur European PMI releases ko monitor karte hue. Ye indicators market trends aur sentiment ko shape karne mein crucial honge. In economic events ko on top reh kar traders informed decisions le sakte hain, apni trading strategies ko optimize karte hue dynamic market conditions ko navigate karne ke liye. Jese jese EUR/JPY market evolve hota rahega, new information aur market sentiment ko adapt karne ki ability successful trading results ke liye critical hogi. Is liye, market currently buyers ko favor karte hue bhi, traders ko upcoming economic data releases ke liye agile aur responsive rehna hoga

Japani Yen (JPY) tisre din se taqwiyat kar raha hai, jis ki wajah se mali sarmayakaron ko apne paisay ko mehfooz jagah par lagane ki talaash ho sakti hai. Yeh wazeh ho raha hai ke Bank of Japan (BoJ) apni agli policy meeting mein muddat darj karne ka irada kar rahi hai. Is policy shift ne short sellers ko apne positions ko chhorne par majboor kar diya hai, jo Yen ko mazeed mazbooti dene mein madad kar raha hai. Is taleem ke sath, Japan ki ruling party ke senior figures BoJ ko apni monetary policy ko interest rates ki bulandiyon tak normal karne ke baray mein zyada transparent hone ki darkhwast kar rahe hain. Yeh Prime Minister Fumio Kishida ke vision se milta julta hai, jo ek growth-based Japanese economy par amal karne ka irada rakhte hain aur jinhe central bank ki policy normalization par mabni samajhte hain.

Waqiye ke doran, US Dollar (USD) ke samne mushkilat hain. Federal Reserve (Fed) ke September meeting mein ek rate cut hone ke wujuh par wagerah azmaishen USD/JPY exchange rate par niche dabav dal rahi hain. Bazaron ke mutabiq ab 93.6% imkan hai ke Fed ke September meeting mein 25 basis point ka cut hoga, jo ek din pehle se bara imkan hai. Sarmayakaron ko ab US ki economy ke sehat par roshni dalne wale ahmiyat ke data releases ka intezar hai. July ke Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data aur Q2 ke annual GDP data is haftay release hone wale hain. Yeh reports currency movements par asar andaz karne ke liye ahmiyat rakhte hain.

Ab tak, USD/JPY 155.20 ke aas paas hai. Daily chart ki technical analysis ek thora sa bearish manzar paish karti hai. Currency pair abhi ek upward channel mein band hai aur 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 se kam hai, jo ek downward trend ka ishara hai. Agar RSI mazeed gir kar 30 se nichayi ho jaye, toh yeh oversold conditions ko indicate kar sakta hai, jis se Yen ke qeemat mein short-term bounce ka imkan ho sakta hai. USD/JPY ki support June ki kamzori 154.55 se aane wali hai, jo ascending channel ke neeche ke boundary ke sath hai. Is level se neechay girne se mazeed decline shuru ho sakta hai, jis se pair ko May ki kamzori 151.86 ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar USD/JPY apni immediate resistance level ko paar kar leta hai jo nine-day moving average par hai (jisme ab 157.07 hai), jo ke channel ke upper limit ke sath milta hai, toh is se rally ho sakti hai jo psychological level 162.00 ki taraf jaa sakti hai.

Aane wale din USD/JPY ke liye ahmiyat rakhte hain jabke key economic data aur BoJ ki policy decision currency pair ke rukh par asar andaz karenge.

USDJPY pair ko daily time frame par working day ke liye dekhen. Hamein sirf do indicators chahiyein: nine aur twenty-one periods ke exponential moving averages. Signals simple aur familiar hain: in moving averages ka intersection price level 158.048 par hota hai. Sabr karo, 5-minute time frame par price pullback ka intezar karo, phir market sell entry initiate karo. Trade se trade tak main composed rehne ki koshish karta hoon aur sirf calculated risks leta hoon. Mera risk-to-reward ratio 1 to 3 meri golden rule hai. Mera stop order hamesha kam az kam 21 points par set hota hai, kabhi kabar 24 tak extend hota hai lekin kabhi zyada nahi. Bank of Japan apni agli meeting jo 29 July ko hai, us se bond-buying reduce karne ka soch raha hai. Yeh proposal positive feedback le chuka hai. Magar woh apni communication mein ehtiyaat kar rahe hain kyunke yeh aik critical issue hai. US bond holdings reduce karne se Japan-US relations mein friction ho sakti hai, lekin yeh yen ko mazboot aur Japan ki economy ko current rates par support bhi de sakta hai. USD/JPY ke hawale se kal, thodi si southern pullback ke baad, price ne reverse kiya aur dheemay dheemay northern direction mein push karti rahi, jis se pehle din ki range mein ek chhoti reversal candle bani. Mujhe ab bhi umeed hai ke is instrument ke liye price movement north ki taraf jari rahegi aur main poori tarah se tasleem karta hoon ke current accumulation ke khatam hone ke baad, ek impulsive breakout resistance level 164.500 tak ho ga. Jaise ke main pehle bhi keh chuka hoon, is resistance level ke qareeb do scenarios ho sakte hain. Pehla scenario yeh hai ke price is level ke upar consolidate karay aur north ki taraf further move karay. Agar yeh plan play out hota hai, toh hum price ko resistance level 168.000 ki taraf move hota dekh sakte hain. Is resistance level ke qareeb, main ek trading setup ka intezar karunga jo agle trading direction ko determine karne mein madad karega. Bilkul, main is possibility ko bhi madde nazar rakhta hoon ke price aur zyada north ki taraf push ho sakta hai, lekin filhal, main is scenario ko nahi dekh raha kyunke mujhe iski jaldi realization ka prospect nazar nahi aata. Ek alternative scenario jab price resistance level 164.500 ke qareeb ho, yeh ho sakta hai ke ek reversal candle bane aur price southern movement resume kare. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, Jodi ke liye aik ahem resistance level symmetrical triangle ke upper threshold par 156.80 ke qareeb hai. Is level ko paar karna bearish outlook ko kamzor kar sakta hai aur mumkin hai ke jodi ko zehni sarhad 161.00 ke imtehan mein pohancha sake. Mazeed izafa se jodi 161.31 tak pohanch sakti hai, jo ke tehat saaloon se nahi dekha gaya
Click image for larger version

Dear forum members,
Aaj mein aap ke sath apni USDJPY analysis share karne ja raha hoon. Umeed hai ke yeh aap ke liye mufeed hogi. Japanese yen mein significant decline dekhne ko mil raha hai, bawajood Japanese currency authorities ke extensive yen purchases ke. Yeh decline zyada tar structural issues, khaaskar Japan aur US ke darmiyan bara interest rate gap, ki wajah se hai. Is saal ke aghaz mein Bank of Japan (BoJ) ne interest rates ko negative levels se upar uthaya, lekin yeh adjustment effectively Japan ke near-zero rates aur US ke 5.25% ke darmiyan bara disparity ko close nahi kar saka. USD/JPY pair ke recent marked drop ne Tokyo ke zyada yen purchases ke baare mein speculation ko janam diya hai. Pehle jo pair 160.00 ke upar comfortably trade kar raha tha, ab 155.00 pe support target kar raha hai, aur agla key support level 151.90 pe hai. Yeh shift Japanese authorities ke yen ke ongoing depreciation ke baare mein badhte hue concerns ko highlight karta hai aur unki currency ko stabilize karne ke liye market mein intervene karne ki tayari ko dikhata hai

Japanese officials hopeful hain ke recent US dollar ki weakening USD/JPY pair mein downward trend ko prolong kar sakti hai, khaaskar jab ke reduced US inflation ne Federal Reserve ke taraf sentiment ko bolster kiya hai. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ne recent data ke basis pe optimism express kiya hai, jo ke interest rates ko kam karne ke faisle mein confidence ko badha sakta hai, jo ke Japanese yen ke liye aik aur challenge paish karta hai. BoJ ke efforts ke bawajood, Japanese aur US rates ke darmiyan divergence bara rehta hai. Yeh disparity yen pe pressure daalti rehti hai aur Japanese authorities ke exchange rate stability ko achieve karne ke efforts ko complicate karti hai

USDJPY jodi ne meri raay mein aik ahem level ko test kiya hai jo 156.46 hai, jahan se is trading instrument ki keemat shumali taraf tezi se barhi, yani is qeemat se ooper ki taraf ek qeemat ki taraf aik price rebound dikhayi di. Agar ab keemat mazeed neeche nahi girati aur baad mein keemat 156.46 ke jama hone ke neeche sthir nahi hoti hai, to is ke tajzi ke faisle mein aik shumali rang ka scenario dakhil ho sakta hai aur is ke mutabiq hum yahan se achi tarah se shumali taraf chal sakte hain. Agar ab hum 157.91 ke jama hone ki taraf barhenge, aur is halat mein is jodi ke keemat 157.37 ke neeche nahi jaane degi, to is scenario ke mutabiq pehle hi 157.37 ke level se ho sakti hai aur woh asman mein 160.39 ke mark par mojood raqam ke jama hone wale level ki taraf aik acha sa safar kar sakta hai. Shayad aaj ek chhote se shumali sudhar ke baad, jaise ke 157.05 ke range tak, girawat jaari rahegi. Shayad humein aaj 157.85 ke range tak shumali jhatka mil sakta hai, phir is ke baad girawat kisi soorat mein jaari rahegi. Jab ke 157.87 ke range tak chhota shumali jhatka ho sakta hai, phir is se girawat jaari rahegi. Halanki abhi bhi is waqt se taqseemi izafay ki ijaazat hai, lekin is ke baad bhi girawat jaari rahegi. 157.75 ke range se aik chhota jhatka pehle hi ho chuka hai aur is ke baad bhi girawat jaari rahegi. Is waqt ke range se girawat bhi abhi bhi ijaazat hai.

Yeh potential withdrawal significant profits ka mauqa paida karta hai, especially un logon ke liye jo downward momentum ko capitalize karte hain. Magar, current market trends ek deceleration dikhate hain downward trajectory mein, jo ke possible reversal ki taraf ishara karte hain jo last Friday se manifest hona shuru hui thi. US dollar ka potential weakening yeh bullish outlook support karta hai. Mukhtalif economic indicators aur market sentiments bhi dollar ke retreat ki taraf ishara karte hain, jo USD/JPY pair ki upward movement ko further enhance karte hain. Jo traders is trend ko recognize karte hain, wo support level ke aas paas long positions enter kar ke anticipated upward movement ko capitalize kar sakte hain Market conditions for USD/JPY currency pair indicate karte hain ke long positions ke liye ek promising scenario paida ho raha hai. Support level 161.35-161.21 pe ache se held hai, aur anticipated upward movement towards the 161.83-161.36 resistance zone ek favorable opportunity present karta hai traders ke liye. Buyers ki strength, recent price actions se evident hai aur expected weakening of the US dollar, bullish outlook ko further bolster karti hai. Jab market potential gains ke liye gear up kar rahi hai, traders ko in key levels aur trends ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake apne profit potential ko maximize kar saken. Pichle hafte ke market behavior ko analyze karte hue, yeh evident hota hai ke buyers consistently support level 161.300 ko held kar rahe hain, jo price ko further girne se rokti hai. Yeh strong support foundation potential upward movement ke liye ek solid base create kar rahi hai. Resistance level 161.47 ek critical benchmark serve karta hai, jo agar reach ho jaye, to bullish trend ki strength ko validate kar sakta hai Pichle hafte ka completion resistance level 161.73-161.46 ke aas paas ek strong indicator hai buyer strength ka. Yeh level historically ek significant resistance point act karta hai, aur price ka is level ke paas close hona suggest karta hai ke buyers control gain kar rahe hain. Yeh bullish momentum agle kuch dinon mein continue hone ki expectation hai, price ko 161.83 resistance zone ki taraf push karte hue Conversely, ek higher-than-expected rate USD ko weaken kar sakta hai, jo ke hamari strategy ka reevaluation zaroori bana deta hai. In conclusion, mein suggest karunga ke hum bullish concept follow karein. Technical aur fundamental analysis dono potential upward movement ko indicate karte hain. Market potentially 161.42 level ko reach kar sakti hai, jo positive economic data aur favorable market conditions se support hoti hai. Apni trading strategy ko prevailing bullish trend ke sath align kar ke aur key economic indicators ke baray mein informed rah ke, hum apne potential for profit ko maximize kar sakte hain while risk ko effectively manage karte hue. Yeh approach hume market

USD/JPY currency pair indicate karte hain ke long positions ke liye ek promising scenario paida ho raha hai. Support level 161.35-161.21 pe ache se held hai, aur anticipated upward movement towards the 161.83-161.36 resistance zone ek favorable opportunity present karta hai traders ke liye. Buyers ki strength, recent price actions se evident hai aur expected weakening of the US dollar, bullish outlook ko further bolster karti hai. Jab market potential gains ke liye gear up kar rahi hai, traders ko in key levels aur trends ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake apne profit potential ko maximize kar saken. Pichle hafte ke market behavior ko analyze karte hue, yeh evident hota hai ke buyers consistently support level 161.300 ko held kar rahe hain, jo price ko further girne se rokti hai. Yeh strong support foundation potential upward movement ke liye ek solid base create kar rahi hai. Resistance level 161.47 ek critical benchmark serve karta hai, jo agar reach ho jaye, to bullish trend ki strength ko validate kar sakta hai Pichle hafte ka completion resistance level 161.73-161.46 ke aas paas ek strong indicator hai buyer strength ka. Yeh level historically ek significant resistance point act karta hai, aur price ka is level ke paas close hona suggest karta hai ke buyers control gain kar rahe hain. Yeh bullish momentum agle kuch dinon mein continue hone ki expectation hai, price ko 161.83 resistance zone ki taraf push karte hue
Conversely, ek higher-than-expected rate USD ko weaken kar sakta hai, jo ke hamari strategy ka reevaluation zaroori bana deta hai. In conclusion, mein suggest karunga ke hum bullish concept follow karein. Technical aur fundamental analysis dono potential upward movement ko indicate karte hain. Market potentially 161.42 level ko reach kar sakti hai, jo positive economic data aur favorable market conditions se support hoti hai.
USD/JPY currency pair indicate karte hain ke long positions ke liye ek promising scenario paida ho raha hai. Support level 161.35-161.21 pe ache se held hai, aur anticipated upward movement towards the 161.83-161.36 resistance zone ek favorable opportunity present karta hai traders ke liye. Buyers ki strength, recent price actions se evident hai aur expected weakening of the US dollar, bullish outlook ko further bolster karti hai. Jab market potential gains ke liye gear up kar rahi hai, traders ko in key levels aur trends ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake apne profit potential ko maximize kar saken. Pichle hafte ke market behavior ko analyze karte hue, yeh evident hota hai ke buyers consistently support level 161.300 ko held kar rahe hain, jo price ko further girne se rokti hai. Yeh strong support foundation potential upward movement ke liye ek solid base create kar rahi hai. Resistance level 161.47 ek critical benchmark serve karta hai, jo agar reach ho jaye, to bullish trend ki strength ko validate kar sakta hai Pichle hafte ka completion resistance level 161.73-161.46 ke aas paas ek strong indicator hai buyer strength ka. Yeh level historically ek significant resistance point act karta hai, aur price ka is level ke paas close hona suggest karta hai ke buyers control gain kar rahe hain. Yeh bullish momentum agle kuch dinon mein continue hone ki expectation hai, price ko 161.83 resistance zone ki taraf push karte hue Conversely, ek higher-than-expected rate USD ko weaken kar sakta hai,

Foreign exchange market Japan ke Yen (JPY) aur US Dollar (USD) ke gerd ghoom rahi hai. Tuesday ko Yen 160.00 Yen per Dollar ke zara upar ek narrow range mein float kar raha hai. Yeh sideways movement Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke bond market players ke saath crucial negotiations ke doran ho raha hai. BoJ apni ultra-loose monetary policy se exit strategy talash kar raha hai, jo pichle das saalon se chal rahi hai. Unka maqsad yeh hai ke apni bond-buying program ko scale back ya poori tarah se rokne ka behtareen tareeqa dhoondha jaaye. Is beech, Monday ko US Dollar Index (DXY) ko halka sa nuksan hua. Yeh index US Dollar ki value ko dusri chhe bari currencies ke against track karta hai. Nuksan ka sabab France ke second round ke elections ke inconclusive results ke baad market mein aayi relief thi. Lekin yeh relief mukhtasir thi kyunke market ka focus US par shift ho gaya. Yahan, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell apna semi-annual monetary policy report Congress ke samne pesh karne wale hain. Kisi major policy announcements ki tawakku nahi hai, lekin Powell ke taraf se koi bhi pessimism ke hints ya September mein interest rate cut ke suggestions market mein significant movements trigger kar sakte hain

Yen-Dollar story par wapas aate hain, Yen 160.00 Yen per Dollar tak halka sa gir gaya. Yeh girawat kaafi thi ke ek technical indicator, Relative Strength Index (RSI), ko "overbought" territory se bahar nikaal sake. Lekin, Yen ne pichle hafte ke aakhir mein hasil kiya momentum capitalize nahi kar saka. Japan mein interest rates badhane ka pressure barh raha hai, aur BoJ ke bond market participants ke saath discussions iske key drivers hain. Downside par, Yen ke liye 160.32 Yen per Dollar ke ird gird ek crucial support level hai. Yeh level Monday ke rebound mein aham kirdar ada kiya. Upside par, Yen ko 162.00 Yen per Dollar par resistance ka saamna hai. Is level ke upar break hone par Yen ko naye multi-decade highs tak pahunchne ka rasta mil sakta hai. Aanewale din Yen ke liye crucial honge. Agar current rally fizzles out hoti hai aur Yen phir se key support level 160.32 Yen per Dollar test karna shuru karta hai, toh decline 55-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) 157.37 Yen per Dollar tak ho sakti hai. Yeh SMA pichle 55 dinon ke Yen-Dollar exchange rate ka average represent karta hai, aur is level ke neeche drop hone par Yen ke liye ek significant decline signal ho sakta hai