usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Price test 158.63 ka hua jab MACD indicator zero mark se upar uth raha tha, jo dollar kharidne ke liye ek accha entry point confirm karta hai. US retail sales report ke bawajood, USD/JPY sirf 20 pips upar gaya. Upward trend ka progress ruk gaya aur bade participants market se nikal gaye, sirf ek chhoti bearish correction chod kar. Jab dollar ko strong US data ke bawajood support nahi mila, toh pair ke channel ke andar trade karne ki sambhavana hai, jahan bears ko thoda advantage hoga. Intraday strategy ke liye, main scenario no. 1 aur 2 ke implementation par zyada bharosa karunga.

**Buy signals**

**Scenario no. 1:** Aaj, main USD/JPY ko kharidne ka plan banata hoon jab price entry point tak 158.27 (chart par green line se plot) tak pahunchti hai, 158.83 (chart par thicker green line se plot) tak growth ka aim rakhte hue . 158.83 ke aas-paas, main long positions ko exit karunga aur opposite direction mein short ones open karunga, us level se 30-35 pips ki movement expect karte hue. Aap pair ke rise hone par count kar sakte hain, lekin jitna kam se kam action lena behtar hoga. Kharidne se pehle, ensure karen ki MACD indicator zero mark se upar hai aur wahan se uth raha hai.

**Scenario no. 2:** Main aaj USD/JPY ko bhi tab kharidne ka plan banata hoon jab 157.81 ke do consecutive tests hote hain aur MACD indicator oversold area mein hota hai. Ye pair ke downward potential ko limit karega aur market upturn ko reverse karega. Opposite levels 158.27 aur 158.83 tak growth expect ki ja sakti hai

chahiyein: nine aur twenty-one periods ke exponential moving averages. Signals simple aur familiar hain: in moving averages ka intersection price level 158.048 par hota hai. Sabr karo, 5-minute time frame par price pullback ka intezar karo, phir market sell entry initiate karo. Trade se trade tak main composed rehne ki koshish karta hoon aur sirf calculated risks leta hoon. Mera risk-to-reward ratio 1 to 3 meri golden rule hai. Mera stop order hamesha kam az kam 21 points par set hota hai, kabhi kabar 24 tak extend hota hai lekin kabhi zyada nahi. Bank of Japan apni agli meeting jo 29 July ko hai, us se bond-buying reduce karne ka soch raha hai. Yeh proposal positive feedback le chuka hai. Magar woh apni communication mein ehtiyaat kar rahe hain kyunke yeh aik critical issue hai. US bond holdings reduce karne se Japan-US relations mein friction ho sakti hai, lekin yeh yen ko mazboot aur Japan ki economy ko current rates par support bhi de sakta hai. USD/JPY ke hawale se kal, thodi si southern pullback ke baad, price ne reverse kiya aur dheemay dheemay northern direction mein push karti rahi, jis se pehle din ki range mein ek chhoti reversal candle bani. Mujhe ab bhi umeed hai ke is instrument ke liye price




movement north ki taraf jari rahegi aur main poori tarah se tasleem karta hoon ke current accumulation ke khatam hone ke baad, ek impulsive breakout resistance level 164.500 tak ho ga. Jaise ke main pehle bhi keh chuka hoon, is resistance level ke qareeb do scenarios ho sakte hain. Pehla scenario yeh hai ke price is level ke upar consolidate karay aur north ki taraf further move karay. Agar yeh plan play out hota hai, toh hum price ko resistance level 168.000 ki taraf move hota dekh sakte hain. Is resistance level ke qareeb, main ek trading setup ka intezar karunga jo agle trading direction ko determine karne mein madad karega. Bilkul, main is possibility ko bhi madde nazar rakhta hoon ke price aur zyada north ki taraf push ho sakta hai, lekin filhal, main is scenario ko nahi dekh raha kyunke mujhe iski jaldi realization ka prospect nazar nahi aata. Ek alternative scenario jab price resistance level 164.500 ke qareeb ho, yeh ho sakta hai ke ek reversal candle bane aur price southern movement resume kare. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, Jodi ke liye aik ahem resistance level symmetrical triangle ke upper threshold par 156.80 ke qareeb hai. Is level ko paar karna bearish outlook ko kamzor kar sakta hai aur mumkin hai ke jodi ko zehni sarhad 161.00 ke imtehan mein pohancha sake. Mazeed izafa se jodi 161.31 tak

bura nikle aur price niche chali gayi, lekin sirf Japanese currency ke khilaf nahi, American dollar ne lagbhag tamam market spectrum mein girawat dekhi. Canadian dollar ke siwa, jo ab tak be hila hai. Taqariban 400 points jaldi se niche chale gaye. Girawat ke doran, price ne ascending support line mein sahara paaya jo waves ke bottoms k sath bana tha aur wahan se upar wapas gayi, phir se ek girawat aur wapas aur phir se line par press hui. Lekin wave structure apna order upar bana rahi hai, MACD indicator upper purchase zone mein hai, lekin apni signal line ke niche hai. Aur ab do options hain. Ya to dobara barhen aur 160.30 ke horizontal resistance level tak pohonchen, ya niche ja kar ascending line ko tor den. Mein growth ki taraf hun kyunke CCI indicator lower overheating zone mein hai aur uspe growth signal dikhai de raha hai - bullish convergence. Aur line ke base par, yeh ek achha signal hai. Aur aam tor par, yeh zaroori nahi ke upward trend mukammal tor par khatam ho gaya hai aur ek gehri correction hogi. Shayad yeh is liye ho raha ho ke zyada sellers ko recruit karein jo soch rahe hain ke ab waqai mein, reversal hai, price yahan aik din ke liye sideways bhi ja sakti hai. Position ki accumulation hogi aur asaani se upar tak drag kar sakte hain, jab ke resistance level 160.32 ko torna hoga. Har surat mein, agar sales ko dekhein, abhi line par sales ke liye acha waqt nahi hai. Lekin khareedna bhi kuch zyada




pasand nahi aa raha kyunke yeh line pehle hi se kuch achi movements de chuki hai upar, lekin sirf line nahi yahan, balki horizontal support level 157.72 bhi hai. USD/JPY pair Monday ko 158.00 par trade kar rahi thi. Daily chart suggest karta hai ke ek potential weakening trend hai, jahan pair ne ek key support level tor diya. Aik technical indicator jo momentum measure karta hai niche ki taraf ishaara kar raha hai, jo bearish sentiment ko reinforce karta hai. Agar yeh trend continue hoti hai, pair dobara June low 154.55 par aa sakti hai. Magar, reversal ka chance abhi bhi hai. Resistance levels 14-day Exponential Moving Average aur ascending channel ke lower boundary ke qareeb kuch support de sakti hain. Agar price action ascending channel ke andar wapas aati hai, to yeh USD/JPY ke liye ek renewed bullish sentiment signal kar sakta hai, aur potential target channel ke upper limit ke qareeb ho sakta hai. Asal mein, attempted assassination ne currency market mein volatility inject ki hai. Aane wale waqt mein yen mazeed weaken ho sakti hai risk aversion aur Japanese authorities ke possible intervention ke wajah se, lekin technical indicators suggest karte hain ke agar USD/JPY pair key support levels ko dobara hasil kar leti hai to ek possible trend reversal ho sakta hai. Aane wale haftay crucial honge yen aur dollar ke future trajectory ka taayun karne ke liye, jab ke developments in US election aur Japan ke mazeed intervention attempts par kareebi tawajju di jayegi

Japanese Yen (JPY) ne Japanese Economic Revitalization Minister Yoshitaka Shindo ke comments ke baad recent losses se recover karne ki koshish ki. Shindo ne hukumat ke budget surplus ko fiscal year 2025 mein achieve karne ke commitment ka ilaan kiya aur economy ke growth potential ke baray mein optimism zahir kiya. Is khabar ne potential currency weakness ke concerns ko kam karne mein madad di. Magar, underlying factors ab bhi yen par pressure daal rahe hain. Japan mein inflation barh raha hai, lekin bohat si doosri countries ke muqable mein dheemi raftaar se. Iska matlab hai ke Bank of Japan ke interest rates barhane ke chances kam hain, jo aam tor par Yen ko mazboot karta hai. Japan aur doosri nations, khas tor par United States, ke interest rates ke darmiyan farq ki wajah se Yen ek kam attractive investment banta hai, jo iska exchange rate niche dhakelta hai. USD/JPY currency pair filhal 157.40 ke qareeb hai. Technical analysis ek potential pause ko suggest karti hai uptrend mein, magar overall sentiment bullish hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ka 50 se ooper rehna USD/JPY ke upward trend ke continuation ko indicate karta hai. Qareebi mustaqbil mein, key level jo dekhne wala hai woh 158.00 hai. Agar yeh psychological level break hota hai toh 34-year high 160.32 ka retest ho sakta hai. Doosri taraf, agar 157.00 se niche girta hai toh pair 14-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 156.72 ke taraf retreat kar sakta hai. Aage dekhte hue, kuch Fibonacci retracement levels potential support aur resistance zones provide karte hain. Agar 159.10, jo 161.8% Fibonacci extension hai, ke ooper breakout hota hai toh 34-year peak ka revisit possible ho sakta hai. Niche ki taraf, agar pair 156.35, jo 138.2% Fibonacci retracement level hai, se girta hai toh yeh 154.64 aur shayad usse bhi niche slide kar sakta hai. May inflection point 151.90 significant decline ke scenario mein kuch support de sakta hai. Overall, USD/JPY exchange rate ek tug-of-war face kar raha hai Japanese economic improvements ke potential aur doosri countries ke sath interest rate differential ke darmiyan. Aane wale din aur haftay bohot ahmiyat rakhte hain yeh decide karne mein ke USD/JPY ka uptrend continue karta hai ya

US Dollar / Canadian Dollar currency pair ke liye current trading plan. Timeframe H4.

Chaliye instrument ke current market movement ko detail mein analyze karte hain, focusing on Extended Regression StopAndReverse linear regression indicator ke signals pe, aur RSI aur MACD oscillators ke confirming indicators pe bhi. Yeh tino indicators ke signals ka coincidence, jo high probability ke saath positive processing show karte hain, humein position enter karne ke liye optimal point batayega. Successful trading aur desired profit hasil karne ke liye, sahi exit point choose karna bhi equally important hai. Isme humein Fibonacci grid madad karegi, jo period ke extremes pe stretch ki gayi hai. Jab quotes Fibonacci correction levels tak pohchti hain, deal close ki ja sakti hai.

Pehli cheez jo immediately nazar mein aati hai, attached chart pe pehli-degree regression line (golden dotted line), jo current true trend ka direction aur state show karti hai selected time frame (H4) pe, ek upward slope ke saath located hai, jo instrument movement ke growing direction aur buyers ke dominant power ko indicate karti hai. Saath hi, non-linear regression channel (convex lines), jo near future ko forecast karne ke liye use hota hai, ne gold line of the channel ko neeche se upar cross kiya aur upward direction show kiya.

Price ne blue support line of the linear regression channel 2-nd LevelSupLine ko cross kiya lekin quotes ka minimum value (LOW) 1.35881 ko reach kiya, jiske baad decline ruk gaya aur gradual growth shuru hui. Filhal, instrument 1.37306 ke price mark pe trade ho raha hai. Upar di gayi sab cheezon ke base pe, main market price quotes ke return aur channel line 2-nd LevelSupLine (1.37855) FIBO level 76.4% ke upar consolidation expect karta hoon aur further upward movement golden middle line LR of the linear channel 1.38464 tak, jo Fibo level 100% ke saath coincide karti hai. RSI (14) aur MACD indicators oversold area mein hain aur ek achi opportunity show karte hain long buy transaction open karne ke liye.

Profit Potential: USD/JPY Prices

Mein USD/JPY currency pair ke pricing movements ka current analysis dekh raha hoon. Abhi tak koi reversal indication nahi hai, aur price bullish direction mein trend kar rahi hai. Yeh predict karna mushkil hai ke ek bara correction kab shuru ho sakta hai. Mera plan yeh hai ke mein price ko apne neeche wale ascending channel se nikalne ka intezar karun. Is exit ke baad, ek normal upward correction ho sakti hai, aur phir mein decide karunga ke sell karna hai ya nahi. USD/JPY pair calmly peak rate 161.76 par open hui thi aur ab American session ka intezar kar rahi hai taake aage ke actions decide ho sakein. Exchange rate 161.99 yen per dollar tak barh jayega, jo ke significant hai. Mere analysis ke mutabiq, ek bara aur prolonged adjustment aasakta hai, jo ke 61.7 Fibonacci level tak pohanch sakta hai 148.56 par. Price review ab sound lag raha hai.



Is week mein kaafi attractive drivers hain, jinmein U.S. holidays bhi shamil hain, jo significant price movements dekh sakti hain. Historically, aise moments instrument ke price ko move karte hain, lekin yeh assume mat karein ke USD/JPY zaroor decline karegi. Price surge bhi kar sakti hai. Is liye, is week ko dekhna fascinating hoga. Agar prices 159 aur 160 ke support levels ke oopar consolidate karti hain, toh yeh further growth mein push kar sakti hain. Agay analysis ke baad, levels current threshold ke neeche drop kar sakti hain, explicitly 157.9 mark ko target karte hue. Agar in areas mein substantial selling activity exist karti hai, toh aur bhi bara corrections ke potential ho sakta hai towards 155.9. Yeh ek shift trigger kar sakta hai local balance mein, jo ke ek pronounced correction ki taraf lead kar sakta hai towards 156.90.

Comprehensive analysis par mabni trading
USD/JPY
Assalam Alaikum! Envelopes indicator ke mutabiq, dollar/yen ka joda 1-ghante aur 4-ghante ke chart par 158.48 ki muzahmati satah tak aur yahan tak keh yaumiyah chart par 159.40 ke nishan badhne ka imkan hai, jo tezi ki islah ka hissa hai. Lehaza, jab qimat 158.48 tak chadhti hai to short positions kholna danishmandi hogi. Filhal, dollar/yen ka joda 157.68 ki satah par trade kar raha hai. Munafa kamane ka behtarin tariqa yah hai keh short positions kholne se pahle qimat ke 159.40 ki muzahmati satah tak pahunchne ka intezar kiya jaye, jaisa keh yaumiyah chart se zahir hota hai. Iske bad, imkan hai keh jodi mazbut manfi raftar hasil karegi, jo hamein bhari munafa kamane ki ijazat dega.

USD/JPY ke liye Outlook
Dollar/yen ke jode ne guzishtah roz numaya taur par ooper ki pesh raft ki, aur aaj yah 157.16 ki muzahmati satah se ooper mustahkam ho gaya hai, jo ek kharidari ke dakhle ka nuqtah ban gaya hai. Filhal, bulls aitemad ke sath qimat ko ooper dhakel rahe hain, pahla hadaf 158.63 ki muzahmati satah hai. Yah note karna zaruri hai keh ooper ki taraf reversal hafte ke dusre hisse me hua, jo kuch signals ka ishara karte hain jo batate hain keh bulls aaj musbat nataij hasil kar sakte hain. Yaumiyah chart kal bani ek bullish candle aur ek aur bullish candle dikhata hai, jo aaj tashkil paa raha hai. Agar koi chiz mudakhlat nahin karti hai to, jodi ke 158.63 ki muzahmati satah tak pahunchne ka imkan hai aur yahan tak keh iske ooper consolidate bhi ho sakta hai, jise mustarad nahin kiya jana chahiye.

Chalo is week ki shuruaat pehle din ke USDJPY currency pair ke chart ko naye andaz se dekhte hain. Pichle trading period mein, US dollar mein aik significant giravat aayi, jo sellers ko pasand aayi. Ameeri ki maeeshat ke baray mein khabrein bohat behtar se thi, jo keemat ko tezi se girne ka bais bani. Magar yeh sirf Japani currency nahi thi jo US dollar ko kamzor kardiya; yeh trend market mein phela hua tha, sirf Canadian dollar ke sath jari raha, jo apni taqat ko barkarar rakhta raha.

Keemat ne aik chhotey arse mein kareeb 400 points ki giravat ki. Giravat ke doran, keemat ne aik barhate hue trendline par support paya aur wapas upar chadh gayi, lekin phir gir gayi aur usi line ko dobara test kiya. Ab wave structure aik oopri janib ki rafaqat bana raha hai, aur MACD indicator kharidne ke zone mein hai, magar isne apne signal line ke neeche gir gaya hai. Agay barhne ke liye do mumkin scenarios hain: keemat dobara barh sakti hai, 160.30 ke horizontal resistance level tak pohanchne ke liye, ya phir ascending trendline ko todkar neeche ja sakti hai.

CCI indicator mein bullish convergence nazar aata hai, jo ke aik mazeed izaafa signal ke sath pointing karta hai. Yeh musbat signal overall trajectory se aur bhi mazboot hota hai. Magar yeh zaroori hai ke yeh uptrend khatam nahi hua hai, aur aik gehri correction waqtan fawaqtan nahi aa sakti hai. Keemat thoda sa idhar-udhar tahlil kar sakti hai, jo keemat ko upar le ja sakti hai, 160.32 ke resistance level ko todkar. Bechne ka mauqa abhi mojood nahi hai, lekin kharidna bhi risky ho sakta hai, kyunke line se aik se zyada upar ka deviance hai, sath hi sath 157.72 ke horizontal support level mojood hai.

USD/JPY pair ne haftay ko aik mazeed note par khatam kiya, Bank of Japan ke interest rates ko maintain karne aur Federal Reserve ke hawkish outlook se taqat hasil kar ke, jo ke 159 par trade ho raha hai.

Bank of Japan aur United States Federal Reserve ki ummeed hai ke yeh currency pair ko upar ki taraf dhakka degi. Investors ko important support aur resistance points ko nazdeek se dekhna chahiye, sath hi sath anay wale economic reports ko bhi dekhna hoga, takay pair ki mustaqbil ki raah jaan sakein.

Hello, dear members! Koi mukhtalif alternatives mojood nahi hain; iss level se market neechey girna shuru ho jayega, ya baad mein 161.50 par. 161.85 par kafi resistance ho sakta hai. Kuch indications ke bawajood, market ziyada effect nahi hui. Japanese economy tel ki imports par depend karti hai, jo exchange rate ko seedha asar dalta hai. Current oil price situation yen ki value ko affect kar rahi hai, aur demand adjust ho sakti hai. Lekin, abhi yeh uncertain hai ke yeh kis had tak hoga. General taur par, mein expect karta hoon ke decline 161.00 tak ho sakta hai. Humein kuch resistance mili extended position par, lekin limited accumulation bana. Situation abhi bhi unclear hai. Is liye, mein suggest karta hoon ke koi bhi move karne se pehle mazeed concrete signals ka wait karna chahiye. Current H4 chart yeh indicate karta hai ke agar sell-off ka signal dekhte ho, to lower point of the active wave 162.80 se neechey girna zaroori hai. Yeh shayad ek correction ya reversal ko trigger kare following a three-wave structure. Agar price current level se upar jaane ki koshish karti hai, to resistance 161.58 ke aas paas mil sakta hai, aur stop losses accordingly set karne chahiye

USD/JPY pair mein, kal price poora din consolidate karti rahi, jo ke ek indecision candle form hui jo previous day's range mein close hui. Overall, mein consider karta hoon ke yeh accumulation ek bullish breakout ke sath end hogi aur jaisa ke mein pehle bhi mention kar chuka hoon, bullish scenario par kaam karte waqt, resistance level 164.500 par nazar rakhoonga. Is resistance level ke paas, do scenarios unfold ho sakte hain. Pehla scenario yeh hai ke price is level ke upar consolidate kare aur bullish movement continue kare. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, to mein expect karunga ke price next resistance level 168.000 ki taraf move kare. Is resistance level ke aas paas, mein ek trading setup ka wait karoonga, jo market ki further direction ko determine karne mein madad karega. Zaroori nahi ke price further north higher targets ki taraf push kare, lekin abhi ke liye, mein yeh option consider nahi karta kyunke mein iski quick realization ke prospects nahi dekh raha. Alternative scenario yeh hoga ke jab price 164.500 ke resistance level par approach kare, to ek reversal candle formation ho aur price movement downward resume ho. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, to mein expect karunga ke price support level 160.209 ya support level 157.671 par wapas aaye. In support levels ke paas, mein bullish signals search karunga, expect karte hue ke price apni upward movement resume kare. Agar hum brief mein baat karein, to filhal mein consider karta hoon ke price nearest resistance level ki taraf push hoti rahegi, aur phir mein market situation ko assess karoonga, bullish scenarios ko priority dete hue

Koi mukhtalif alternatives mojood nahi hain; jo current level se shuru hoga, woh neeche girna shuru ho jayega, ya baad mein 161.50 par. 161.85 par, significant resistance hogi. Kuch indications hain ke U-turn ho sakta hai, lekin market par ziada asar nahi para. Japanese economy oil imports par depend karti hai, jo ke exchange rate ko seedha seedha asar karte hain. Current oil price situation yen ki value ko asar kar rahi hai, aur demand adjust ho sakti hai. Magar, yeh abhi bhi uncertain hai ke yeh kitna hoga. Generally, main expect karta hoon ke decline 161.00 tak hoga. Halaanki hum ne kuch resistance face ki extended position ko, limited accumulation form hui thi. Situation abhi bhi unclear hai. Is liye, main suggest karta hoon ke koi concrete signals ka intezar karein pehle move karne se pehle. Current H4 chart yeh indicate karta hai ke agar aapko sell-off ka signal milta hai, toh zaroori hai ke lower point of active wave 162.80 se neeche giray. Yeh shayad correction ya reversal ko trigger karega following a three-wave structure. Agar price current level se rise karne ki koshish karta hai, toh yeh resistance face kar sakta hai 161.58 par, aur advisable hai ke stop losses accordingly set karein

USD/JPY pair ne recently crucial 160.00 level ko break kiya, apni rally ko extend karte hue jab buyer confidence grow hua amidst minimal intervention. USD ke liye support strong hai, positive economic indicators jese recent US PMIs aur Consumer Confidence report se bolster hui. Additionally, latest US Jobless Claims figures indicate karti hain ke job market tight ho rahi hai rather than layoffs, jo interest rate expectations ko stabilize karte hain with anticipated growth without inflationary pressures. Japanese yen ke losses 161.90 se ziada ho gaye hain against US dollar, apni lowest levels 38 saal mein girte hue due to stark differences in interest rates between Japan and United States. Bank of Japan ka urgency nahi hai to normalize monetary conditions, jo currency par bhi weigh karta hai, halaanki speculation grow ho rahi hai ke Bank of Japan interest rates raise karega apni next policy meeting mein late July mein. Japanese yen ki weakness higher import costs lead karti hai, inflationary pressures ko increase karti hai aur household consumption ko harm karti hai. Meanwhile, Japanese Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki ne Tuesday ko stress kiya ke government currency movements par vigilant hai, note karte hue ke forex levels complex mix of factors ko reflect karte hain. Economic data front par, second revision ne show kiya ke Japanese economy annual rate of 2.9% contract hui January-March quarter mein, jo previous reading of 1.8% se zyada sharp decline hai due to weaker adjustment in spending on public works

Bunyadi Tahlil

Jumeraat ko, USD/JPY 157.40 par trade ho raha tha. Rozana chart ki tafseeli analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair apne 9 din ka Exponential Moving Average (EMA) se neechay hai, jis se short-term bearish momentum ka ishaara hota hai. Is tabdeeli se yeh wabaalat hai ke khareedari ko talaafiyaat ke sabooton ke intezaar mein mu'akhkhir karna chahiye jab tak trend reversal ke ishaarat na ho jayen. 14 din ka Relative Strength Index (RSI), jo 50 se kam hai, bhi ek bearish bias ko further confirm karta hai.

June ke kam se kam level 154.55 USD/JPY ke liye ahem support provide kar sakta hai. Agar pair is level ko tor de, to yeh shayad May ke low 151.86 ki taraf move karega. 9 din ka moving average, jo 158.25 hai, upswing par turant resistance provide karta hai. Agar pair is level ko tor de, to yeh shayad psychological pullback resistance 162.00 par phir se jaa sakta hai.

Mehangai Ke Maamle Ki Tahlil

Jumeraat ko mehangai ke data ke baad, Japanese yen (JPY) ki qeemat mein koi tabdeeli nahi aayi. June mein Japan ka National Consumer Price Index (CPI) 2.8% par qaim raha, jo February se sab se ooncha tha aur pichle mahine ke barabar tha. Iss dauran, Core CPI mehangai 2.6% tak barh gayi, thori had tak pichle figure 2.5% se zyada lekin 2.7% consensus prediction se kam thi.

Japan ke 10 saal ke sarkari bond ki yield 1.04% ke aaspaas hai, jo teen hafton ke neeche se wapas aayi hai. Iss izafa ke baad Digital Minister Kono Taro ne Bloomberg se kaha ke Bank of Japan (BoJ) ko yen ki qeemat qaim rakhne ke liye July mein interest rates ko phir se barhaana chahiye. Is mahine mein, BoJ se umooman bond kharidne ke iraade ko kam karne ki tawaqqu'at bhi hain.

USD/JPY exchange rate ne July mein 161.95 ke 38 saal ke unchaai tak pohanchne ke baad 4% tak girawat ki hai. Analysts is zawaal ka zimmedar Japanese hukumat ke amal samajhte hain aur traders naye qadam ki talash mein jari hain. US Treasury yield curve thora ooncha hai, jo US dollar ki madad karta hai. Lekin kamzor mazdoori ke statistics se market ke tawaqqu'at ke mutabiq Federal Reserve (Fed) ka interest rate cut faisla September mein ho sakta hai, is tarah greenback apni izafa ki had ko mehdood kar sakta hai.

USD/JPY H4 Chart Analysis

USD/JPY currency pair ke hawale se jo halat darj kiye gaye hain, wo khaas tor par chaar ghante ki chart (H4) par dilchasp qeemat ki rawaiyyat dikha raha hai. Haal hi mein hui harkat, volume ki dynamics aur ahem levels ko dekh kar, hum is pair ke baray mein aam samajh aur is par trade karne ke liye aik tajziati approach bana sakte hain.

### 1. Uper Ki Taraf Chalnay Wala Trend Channel
Shuru mein, USD/JPY pair ek uper ki taraf chalnay wale trend channel ke andar trading kar raha tha. Pair ne apni raftar ko barqarar rakha, trend channel ke ooperi aur neechayi hudood ko maante hue, jo ek mustaqil bullish jazbat ko zahir karta hai. Lekin is channel ki neechayi hudood ko azmayi gayi hai, jo ke potential tor par kamzor dikh rahi hai.

### 2. Volume Ki Dynamics
Trend channel ki neechayi hudood ko azmaane ke bawajood, koi numayan farokht karne wala volume nahi tha. Balkay, khareedne wale volume qavi rahe, jo ek mustaqil bullish dabao ko zahir karta hai. Yeh khareedne wale volume aam tor par customer limits ko triggers karta hai, ishara dete hue ke pair mazeed ooper ja sakta hai. Lekin tamam ummeedon ke khilaaf, keemat ooper uthne ke bajaye giri, aur 160.966 ke support level ko tor diya.

### 3. 160.966 Ke Support Level Ko Tor Dena
160.966 ke support level ko tor dena aik ahem waqiya tha. Is ne ishara diya ke khareedne wale volume ke bawajood, bearish taqat ne keemat ko is ahem level se neeche dhakel diya. Is tor par support level ka tor ho sakta hai keh, khareedne wale abhi bhi fa'al hain aur mukhtalif poshishon ke liye tayyar ho sakte hain.

### 4. Mustaqil Khareedne Wale Volume
Support level torne ke baad bhi mustaqil khareedne wale volume ka jari rahna, ishara deta hai keh mukhtalif bullish jazbat ab bhi mojud hain. Yeh mustaqil volume yeh zahir karta hai keh market participants pair ki adhiyat ko barqarar rakhna chahte hain aur mukhtalif ooper jaane ki tayyari kar rahe hain. Isay yeh samajhna chahiye keh neechayi harkat mukhtalif ho sakti hai aur urooj ke liye tayyari ho sakti hai.

### 5. 162.941 Ke Resistance Ke Taraf Uper Jaana
Upar darj ki gayi dynamics ke mutabiq, mujhe umeed hai keh USD/JPY pair 162.941 ke resistance level ke taraf jaega. Keemat ne pehli buy trade based limits se hat kar is naye resistance level ki taraf jaane ka irada kiya hai. Yeh umeed mazboot khareedne wale volume aur haal ki keemat ki rawaiyyat par mushtamil hai, jo ke mazeed urooj ki taraf ishara deti hai.

### 6. Strateji Ke Asraat
Traders ko is analysis ke mutabiq, is strateji ke asraat ko mad e nazar rakhna chahiye:

- **Entry Point**: Haal ki keemat ki rawaiyyat ke bawajood, mojooda keemat ke aspaas aik lamba position mein dakhil hone ka faida ho sakta hai. Mustaqil khareedne wale volume aur 160.966 ke support level ke torne ke baad, jo aik mukhtalif ooper ki taraf ishara karta hai, yeh ishara hai keh keemat 162.941 ke taraf phir se taizi se ooper ja sakti hai.

- **Stop Loss**: Khatra ko manzoor karne ke liye, kam se kam akhir mein recent kam se kam, 160.500 ke aspaas aik stop loss rakhna faida mand ho sakta hai.

- **Take Profit**: Take profit target ko 162.941 ke qareeb qaim karna, traders ko mukhtalif ooper ki taraf raftar mein mufeed banane ke liye madad deta hai.

### Ikhtitami Nukta Nazar
H4 chart par kiye gaye USD/JPY pair ke tajziati nazr e andaz se, 160.966 ke support level ke torne ke bawajood, mustaqil khareedne wale volume ka imkan ko zahir karta hai, jo keh ek mukhtalif recovery ka ishara hai. Pair 162.941 ke resistance level ke taraf jaega, jise mustaqil bullish jazbat ki madad se sath dete hain. Traders ko mojooda keemat ke aspaas lamba position mein dakhil hona chahiye, jahan tak keemat ko manzoor karnay ke liye zaroori stop loss aur take profit levels ko istemal karne ke liye. Yeh strateji ke approach ne dekhi gayi keemat ki rawaiyyat aur volume ki tabdeeliyon ka faida uthane ke liye tayyar hai.

Bhai jaan, main samajh nahi pa raha hoon ke USD/JPY ke situation kya hai. Mera toh yehi plan tha ke 160 tak ja sakta hai price, lekin ab kuch confusion ho rahi hai. Pichle do trading weeks mein toh correction dikhai de rahi hai, aur lagta hai ke is correction ke baad internal rollback shuru ho gaya hai. Aur yeh rollback dusre wave par bhi hai. Trading mein second wave usually sabse clear hota hai, sabse samajhne mein aata hai. Lekin third wave ke saath, market makers ka last effort hota hai - unka game hai ab samajh nahi aata.

157.80 ke around rollback khatam ho sakta hai, aur naya entry point mil sakta hai third wave ke liye. Abhi dekh raha hoon ke MA100 bullish trend establish kar raha hai, aur candles hamare MA100 ke upar form ho rahe hain. Teen Bollinger Bands bhi MA100 ke upar hain, matlab market buy mode mein hai.

Semaphore Global Sell Signal ke neeche trade ho rahe hain, lekin is situation se main khush nahi hoon. Price ne Bollinger Band ke zone tak nahi pahuncha, matlab bulls ne apne plans poori tarah se nahi kiye. Ek aur baat jo mujhe confuse kar rahi hai, Bollinger Bands ne chart cut kiya hai, yeh bhi ek indication hai ke hidden bulls pair mein hain.Price ne Bollinger Band ke zone tak nahi pahuncha, matlab bulls ne apne plans poori tarah se nahi kiye. Ek aur baat jo mujhe confuse kar rahi hai, Bollinger Bands ne chart cut kiya hai, yeh bhi ek indication hai ke hidden bulls pair mein hain.

Overall, market mein uncertainty hai aur trading risky ho sakta hai abhi. Allah malik hai, thoda wait karte hain aur phir decide karte hain.

USD/JPY

USD/JPY Currency Pair Analysis

USD/JPY currency pair ne H-4 (four-hour) chart par dilchasp price behavior dikhaya hai, jo buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan complex interplay ko reflect karta hai. Pehle, yeh pair ek upward trend channel mein tha, jo strong bullish momentum ko suggest karta tha. Traders aur investors ne isse US dollar ki Japanese yen ke muqablay mein strength ka sign samjha, jo mukhtalif macroeconomic factors jaise interest rates, economic performance, aur dono mulkon ke darmiyan geopolitical stability se mutasir ho sakta hai.

Magar, recent movements ne market dynamics mein potential shifts ko suggest kiya hai, jo bullish trend ki sustainability ke baray mein sawalat uthate hain. Kai technical indicators ne caution signal karna shuru kar diya hai. Misal ke tor par, Relative Strength Index (RSI), jo price movements ki speed aur change ko measure karta hai, overbought levels ke qareeb aaya hai. RSI reading agar 70 se upar ho to yeh is baat ko indicate karta hai ke asset overbought hai aur correction ke liye due ho sakta hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ke bullish momentum kamzor ho sakti hai kyunki pair higher prices ko sustain karne mein mushkil mehsoos kar raha hai.

Iske ilawa, moving averages, jo specified period mein price data ko smooth out karte hain taake trends ko identify kiya ja sake, ne kuch mixed signals dikhaye hain. Jabke shorter-term moving averages abhi bhi longer-term ones ke upar ho sakte hain, jo continued upward trend ko indicate karte hain, magar unke darmiyan ka gap kam hota ja raha hai. Yeh convergence yeh point out kar sakta hai ke trend kamzor ho raha hai, jahan buyers apna dominance lose kar rahe hain aur sellers shayad control lena shuru kar dein.

Ek aur significant factor resistance levels ki presence hai, jo price points hain jahan selling pressure buying pressure ko overcome karta hai, jo price ko reverse ya stall kar deta hai. H-4 chart par, USD/JPY pair ne kuch key levels par strong resistance ka samna kiya hai. Agar yeh pair in resistance levels ko convincingly break nahi kar pata, to yeh ek reversal ya consolidation phase ko lead kar sakta hai, jahan price sideways within a range move karta hai.

Iske ilawa, fundamental analysis ko nazar andaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Economic indicators jaise US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, Japanese economic data, aur central bank policies from both the Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan crucial roles play karte hain pair ke price action ko shape karne mein. In factors mein koi bhi significant changes substantial volatility cause kar sakte hain aur market sentiment ko abruptly shift kar sakte hain.

Akhir mein, jabke USD/JPY currency pair H-4 chart par upward trend channel mein raha hai, jo bullish momentum ko indicate karta hai, recent movements aur technical indicators potential shifts ko suggest karte hain market dynamics mein. Traders ko closely monitor karna chahiye key resistance levels, moving averages, aur RSI readings ko signs ke liye jo possible trend reversal ya continuation ko indicate kar sakein. Iske ilawa, relevant economic events aur policy decisions ke baray mein informed rehna crucial hoga pair ke direction mein potential changes ko navigate karne ke liye.