USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

U.S. dollar ne Wednesday ke trading session ke dauran thodi si retreat ki, shayad recent gains ke baad ek choti correction ke tor par. Iske bawajood, overall market sentiment ab bhi buying on dips ke haq mein hai. 160 yen ka level khaas taur par noteworthy hai, kyunki Bank of Japan ke pehle interventions ki wajah se yahaan kaafi market residual hai, jo ek major deterrent ke tor par identified kiya gaya hai. Jab hum is stage par pohnchte hain, key sawaal yeh hai ke kya yeh support ke tor par hold karega. Agar 160 yen ka level hold karne mein fail bhi ho jaye, to 158 yen ka lower level substantial support provide karne ki umeed hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke in levels par koi bhi decline potential buying opportunity present karta hai. Iski wajah favorable interest rate differential hai, jiska faida traders jo is pair ko hold karte hain hamesha uthatay hain.

Japan ki interest rate policy kaafi flexible rehti hai, aksar country ke massive debt ki wajah se. Kuch cases mein Japanese mortgages virtually illiquid hoti hain, jahan sirf Bank of Japan unhe kharidta hai. Yeh context yen ko zyada strong rehne dena mushkil banata hai. Natija yeh hai ke is market mein pullbacks ko buying opportunities ke tor par dekha jaayega.

Specifically, current market dynamics buying on dips ke trend se related hain. 160 yen ka level, jo pehle Bank of Japan intervention ki wajah se resistance area tha, ab ek important support level ban gaya hai dekhne ke liye. Agar yeh level fail karta hai, to 158 yen ka level next line of defense hai. Interest rate policy mein differences, aur consistently low Japanese interest rates yen ko kam attractive banati hain. USD/JPY pair ka pullback buyers ko attract karne ki umeed hai, jo ongoing interest rate differential ka faida uthana chahte hain.

Aage dekhte hue, jab tak Japan apni easy monetary policy maintain karta hai, yen ke zyada strong hone ki umeed nahi hai. Yeh scenario USD/JPY ko dips par buy karne ka ek ongoing opportunity provide karta hai, interest rate gains aur implied market support levels ka faida u

The USD/JPY currency pair H1 timeframe pe abhi kafi strong bullish signs dikha raha hai. Ek main indication is bullish tendency ka ye hai ke price 159,901 ke resistance level pe stuck hai. Pehle, price ne 159,296 ke support level tak correction experience ki thi, jo ke EMA 50 ke aas-paas bhi hai. Ye correction temporary selling pressure ko indicate karti hai jo ke price ko support area tak push karne mein kamyab rahi thi. Support level 159,296 tak pohonchne ke baad, price ne phir se bullish strength show ki aur continued increases dekhne ko mile. Ye dikhata hai ke support level 159,296 ne price decline ko hold karne mein kamyab rahi hai aur buyers ke market mein re-enter karne ka turning point ban gayi hai. Price increase jo ke support ko touch karne ke baad hui, ye indicate karti hai ke market sentiment abhi bhi buying power se dominate ho raha hai. Abhi price phir se 159,901 ke resistance level ke kareeb hai. Ye level bullish trend ke continuation ko determine karne ka important key hai. Agar price 159,901 ke resistance ko break through karne mein kamyab hoti hai, to ye signal dega ke buying power itni strong hai ke price ko aur bhi higher push kar sake. Ye resistance breakout opportunities ko khol sakti hai ke price aur bhi rise kare aur shayad next resistance levels tak pohonch jaye

USD/JPY currency pair Asia trading hours mein Wednesday ko ek narrow trading range mein stuck hai. Ye is hafte ke shuru mein briefly 34-year high ko touch karne ke baad ho raha hai. Lekin, USD/JPY ka upside potential limited hai kyun ke Japanese authorities, specifically Bank of Japan (BOJ), ke potential intervention ki wajah se. Japan ne excessive currency fluctuations pe concerns voice kiye hain aur Yen ko support karne ke measures lene ka hint diya hai. Ye stance US ke hawkish Federal Reserve se sharply contrast karta hai, jo ke dollar ko higher push kar raha hai. USD/JPY ne recently ek key resistance level 158.34 ko break kiya aur abhi 160.20 ke thodi neeche hover kar raha hai. Jab ke pair ne recent days mein 159.80 ke aas-paas resistance face kiya hai, agar ye crucial 159.00 level ke neeche break hota hai to potential downside correction ka signal ho sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar USD/JPY 159.00 ke upar hold karne mein kamyab hoti hai, to aur rise ka chance abhi bhi hai. Ek decisive break current peak 160.20 ke upar surge ke liye rasta khol sakta hai towards 162.75-163.10. Iske baad, psychological level 165.35 ya 161.8% Fibonacci extension level next ho sakte hain

Usd/jpy

**USD/JPY Ka Tajziya**

USD/JPY, jo ke US dollar aur Japanese yen ke darmiyan exchange rate ko zahir karta hai, forex market mein ek bohot aham currency pair hai. Yeh pair duniya ki do baray economies ko represent karta hai: United States aur Japan. USD/JPY ka tajziya karte waqt kuch ahem points ko samajhna bohot zaroori hai.

**Market Fundamentals**

1. **Economic Indicators:**
- **US Indicators:** US economy ke indicators jaise ke GDP growth, employment data, aur inflation rates USD ke demand ko direct karte hain. Jab US economy strong hoti hai, tou USD ki value barhti hai, aur USD/JPY pair upar jata hai.
- **Japan Indicators:** Japanese economy ke indicators bhi USD/JPY par asar dalte hain. Japan ek export-driven economy hai, isliye trade balance aur industrial production data bohot ahem hai. Agar Japan ka trade surplus barhta hai, tou JPY ki demand barhti hai aur USD/JPY pair neeche aata hai.

2. **Interest Rates:**
- US Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan ke interest rate policies USD/JPY par bohot bara asar dalti hain. High interest rates usually ek currency ko strengthen karte hain. Agar Federal Reserve interest rates barhata hai, tou USD ki demand barhti hai aur USD/JPY pair upar jata hai. Agar Bank of Japan interest rates neeche rakhta hai, tou JPY weak hota hai aur USD/JPY pair barhta hai.

3. **Safe Haven Status:**
- Japanese yen ko aksar ek safe haven currency mana jata hai. Jab global economic uncertainty ya geopolitical tensions barh jati hain, investors apna paisa JPY mein shift karte hain, jis se JPY ki demand barhti hai aur USD/JPY pair neeche aata hai.

4. **Market Sentiment:**
- Market sentiment aur risk appetite bhi USD/JPY par asar dalte hain. Jab markets risk-on mood mein hote hain, tou USD/JPY barhta hai aur jab risk-off mood mein hote hain tou USD/JPY girta hai.


**Technical Analysis**

1. **Support Aur Resistance Levels:**
- Charts par important support aur resistance levels ko identify karna zaroori hai. In levels par price often react karti hai aur yeh levels trading decisions mein madadgar hotay hain.

2. **Moving Averages:**
- Moving averages jaise ke 50-day aur 200-day moving averages trend direction ko identify karne mein madadgar hotay hain. Agar price moving average se upar ho tou uptrend aur agar neeche ho tou downtrend ko zahir karta hai.

3. **Candlestick Patterns:**
- Candlestick patterns jaise ke engulfing patterns, doji patterns aur hammer patterns price movement ko predict karne mein madadgar hotay hain.

4. **Technical Indicators:**
- RSI (Relative Strength Index), MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) aur Bollinger Bands jaise technical indicators USD/JPY ka trend aur momentum analyze karne mein madadgar hotay hain.

**Trading Strategy**

1. **Trend Following:**
- Trend following strategy mein, aap current trend ko follow karte hain. Agar USD/JPY uptrend mein hai, tou buy positions lete hain aur agar downtrend mein hai tou sell positions lete hain.

2. **Range Trading:**
- Agar USD/JPY ek range mein trade kar raha hai, tou aap support levels pe buy aur resistance levels pe sell kar sakte hain.

3. **Carry Trade:**
- Carry trade ek strategy hai jisme traders high interest rate currency ko buy karte hain aur low interest rate currency ko sell karte hain. Agar US interest rates Japan se zyada hain, tou traders USD/JPY buy karke carry trade kar sakte hain.

4. **Risk Management:**
- Forex trading mein risk management bohot zaroori hai. Stop-loss aur take profit levels ko define karna aur apni positions ko hedge karna aapko unnecessary losses se bacha sakta hai.

**Nateeja**

USD/JPY ek complex currency pair hai jo multiple factors se influenced hota hai. Effective trading ke liye economic indicators, interest rates, market sentiment aur technical analysis ko madde nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Saath hi saath, sahi trading strategy aur risk management techniques ko istemaal karte hue aap profitable trading decisions le sakte hain. USD/JPY trading mein successful hone ke liye consistent research aur market monitoring bohot zaroori hai.

Aaj ka focus USD/JPY currency pair ki price movements ko analyze karna hai. Jumme ko USD/JPY pair mein notable buying dekhi gayi. Daily chart yeh dikhata hai ke week ke dauran pair northward move kiya. Ab Monday ke movement ka predict karte hain: kya northward trend continue karega ya koi doosra scenario unfold hoga? Aaj ke technical indicators ko analyze karte hain, Moving averages: actively buy, Technical indicators: actively buy, Conclusion: actively buy. Yeh analysis buying opportunity suggest karta hai. Monday ke liye, US manufacturing employment index positive hone ka imkaan hai, jabke Japan se koi significant news nahi hai. Isliye, mujhe lagta hai ke pair northward move karega. Buying resistance level 161.40 tak pahunch sakti hai, jabke sales support level 160.40 ko test kar sakti hain. Isliye, mujhe lagta hai ke pair bullish move karega.
Aaj, maine dekha ke price resistance level 160.887 ke qareeb pahunch rahi hai. Agar yahan reversal candle appear hoti hai, toh yeh bearish movement ka signal de sakti hai. Is case mein, main anticipate karta hoon ke pullback support levels 160.287 aur 157.953 tak ho sakta hai, jahan main buy signals dekhunga, umeed hai ke uptrend resume ho. Agle hafte main koi active action plan nahi kar raha, lekin market ko monitor karta rahunga. Halankeh main bullish movement ke taraf lean karta hoon, mujhe price ka 160.887 ke upar consolidate hota dekhna hoga taake buying mein confidence aaye. Mere screenshot mein dikhaya gaya, weekly chart par ek powerful signal bullish trend ke tor par appear hua. Corresponding diagonal lines support ka kaam kar rahi hain, aur price ne inhe break nahi kiya ya niche fix nahi hua, long-term upward trend ko maintain karte hue. Natijatan, is hafte 161.27 ka ek aur high update dekha gaya. Dekhte hain July mein events kaise develop hote hain

Fibonacci grid ke hawale se, maine aksar iski classic application ko demonstrate kiya hai. 100th level ko break karne ke baad, price sequentially 138.1 aur 161.7 levels tak pahunchi

Mere khayal mein, Tokyo mein barhte inflation dar ke sath, Yen ko mazbooti hasil karne ka mauqa deta hai. Kyunki meri samajh mein aaya hai ke jab inflation dar barhta hai, to aam tor par yeh central bank ke interest rate mein izafa ki shuruaat ko darshata hai. Jitna zyada kisi central bank ka interest rate hoga, utna zyada sarkari bondon par bhi interest rate hoga jo ki sarkari izafe se faqeer mulkon jaise Japan ki sarkar ke liye khaas taur par safe samjhe jate hain. Is wajah se zyada foreign investors unhein khareedne mein dilchaspi rakhte hain. Is tarah, Tokyo mein barhte inflation dar ke sath USDJPY pair par bearish movement aane ka imkan hai.

Magar ek samasya yeh hai ke BOJ ka interest rate aaj bhi sirf 0.10% hai jabke Fed ka interest rate 5.25% hai. Is tarah ke sane investors Japan nahi balki US mein apna paisa lana pasand karenge. Is wajah se USD ki demand JPY se zyada ho jati hai jo USDJPY pair ko bullish move karta hai.

Doosri samasya yeh hai ke USDJPY pair mein jo bullish trend nazar aa raha hai, forex traders ko BUY position kholne mein himmat nahi aa rahi hai. Kyunki yeh mumkin hai ke Japanese sarkar dobara achanak se intervention kare aur ek gehri bearish spike ko paida kare.

Is tarah kehne ke bawajood ke price H1 time frame mein Bollinger Band indicator ke upper band area mein hai, mujhe abhi bhi BUY position kholne ka himmat nahi ho raha hai.

Asian session ke doran USD/JPY currency pair mein kuch zyada tabdeeli nahi dikhai de rahi hai. Thora sa upar ki taraf harkat hai jis ki wajah se US dollar mazbooti hasil kar raha hai aur Biden aur Trump ke mubahisay ke natayejay mein bhi yeh tawanai nazar aayi hai. Yen mukhtalif factors ke dabav mein hai. Aaj June ka aakhri trading din hai, jahan takseem hone ki mumkinat hai. Juma ko economic calendar kaafi busy hai. Sab tawajjo geopolitics aur American market ke khulne par hai. Is aalaat ke liye main subah ke pehle hisse mein halki neeche ki correction ka intezaar kar raha hoon, lekin mukhtasar jo main scenario hai woh uptrend ka jari rakhna hai. Muntazir reversal point 160.15 ke level par hai, main is se ooper khareedna pasand karunga jahan 161.85 aur 162.35 ke level muntazir honge. Ya agar pair neeche jaane ki taraf raftar ikhtiyar karta hai, 160.15 ke level ko todti hai aur consolidate hota hai, to phir rasta 159.85 aur 159.65 ke level tak khul jayega.

Mere khayal mein, Tokyo mein mehngai ki barhti hui shiriyat yen ko mazbooti ka mauqa deti hai. Kyun ke mere samajh ke mutabiq, jab mehngai ki shiriyat barhti hai, to aam tor par ye central bank ke sood ki shiriyat mein izafa ka aghaz hota hai. Jab central bank ke sood ki shiriyat barhti hai, to hukumat ke jaari karda bonds par bhi sood ki shiriyat barh jati hai. Kyun ke hukumat ke jaari karda bonds ko mehfooz samjha jata hai, khaaskar Japan jese taraqqi yafta mulk mein, ziada se ziada khareedaar in bonds mein sarmaya lagate hain. To, Tokyo mein mehngai ki barhti shiriyat aakhirkar USDJPY pair mein bearish movement ko janam de sakti hai. Magar masla yeh hai ke aaj ke din BOJ ka sood sirf 0.10% hai jabke Fed ka sood 5.25% hai. Aqalmand sarmayakaar apna paisa Japan ki bajaye US le kar jayenge. Is liye USD ki demand JPY se ziada hai jo USDJPY pair ko bullish movement par qaim rakhti hai. Dusra masla yeh hai ke, USDJPY pair mein nazar aanay wali bullish trend forex traders ko BUY position kholne pe majboor nahi karti. Kyun ke ye mumkin hai ke Japanese hukumat achanak se mudakhlat kare aur deep bearish spike banaye. Is liye, agarche ke qeemat abhi bhi H1 time frame mein Bollinger Band indicator ke upper band area mein hai, phir bhi mujhe BUY position kholne ki himmat nahi hoti

Asian session ke doran USD/JPY currency pair mein zyada tabdeeli nahi dekhi gayi. Halki se upward movement US dollar ki mazbooti aur Biden aur Trump ke beech munazaray ke natayij ki wajah se hui. Yen mukhtalif asraat ki wajah se mazboot dabo mein hai. Aaj June ka aakhri trading din hai, aur partial profit-taking mumkin hai. Jumma ke din ka economic calendar kafi busy hai. Sari tawajjo geopolitics aur American market ke khulay par hai. Is instrument ke liye din ke pehle hisay mein mujhe moderate downward correction ki umeed hai, magar main scenario uptrend ka continuation hai. Anticipated reversal point level 160.15 par hai, is level ke upar main buy karun ga aur 161.85 aur 162.35 levels ko target karun ga. Dosri surat mein, agar pair downwards move karna shuru kare aur 160.15 mark ke niche break aur consolidate kare, to 159.85 aur 159.65 levels tak ka rasta khul jayega

As Salam O Alaikum, umeed hai ke sab forum administrators, moderators, aur Instaforex Broker Admins khairiyat se honge. Aaj, main USD/JPY market par apni trading analysis pesh kar raha hoon jo ke tamam forum friends aur Instaforex traders ke liye faidemand hogi. USDJPY pair ne aakhir kar 160.00 ke key level ko break kar diya hai aur rally ko extend kar diya hai jab buyers ne zyada confidence hasil kar liya hai nayi highs ko aim karne ke liye, kyunki intervention ki kami hai. USD ko behtareen monetary information se support milta rahega jaise ke humne recently dekha US PMIs se jo ke last Friday ko aaye the aur is hafte ke US Customer Certainty report se bhi. Recently, humne US Jobless Claims figures bhi dekhe jahan data ne dikhaya ke work market rebalance ho raha hai through kam work availability ke zariye instead of zyada layoffs. Aisi information loan rate expectations ko stable rakhti hai do cuts ke around before year's end aur risk sentiment ko support karti hai ek pickup in growth without inflationary pressures. JPY ko is climate me major currencies ke against lose ground karte rehna chahiye. Sustained Yen strength dekhne ke liye, hume weak US growth data ki zaroorat hogi. Lekin yeh tab tak hi chal sakta hai jab tak market me aggressive Fed rate cuts ko price in nahi kiya jata. Daily chart par, hum dekh sakte hain ke USDJPY ne aakhir kar 160.00 handle ko break kar liya hai aur convention ko extend kar diya hai jab intervention ki kami ne market ko thoda aur confidence diya hai nayi highs ko target karne ke liye. Agar hum 160.00 level se neeche pullback dekhte hain, to hum expect kar sakte hain ke buyers wapas ayenge with a defined risk to target new highs. Doosri taraf, merchants chaahenge ke price wapas 160.00 handle ke neeche aaye taake kuch conviction hasil ho aur major trendline ke around 157.00 handle ko target karna shuru karein.

USD/JPY Bhoat Sadiyon ke Buniyadi High Tak Pohanch Gaya Hai Ke Ameerika aur Japan ke Interest Rate Farq Ke Karan:
USD/JPY currency pair bhoat sadiyon ke buland darjah tak pohanch gaya hai. Yeh izafa aham tor par United States aur Japan ke darmiyan buland interest rate farq ke bais hai. Haal hi mein, US Federal Reserve ne inflation ke muqablay mein interest rates barha diye hain, jis se US dollar karobariyon ke liye zyada attractive ho gaya hai. Mukaabla mein, Bank of Japan ne apni maayari interest rates ko madadgar taur par rakhne ke liye halkay rakha hai, jis se yen kamzor hota ja raha hai.

Dakhil-e-Hukumat ki Chinta Bullish Ko Rook Sakti Hai:
Strong USD/JPY ke bawajood, ab Japanese authorities ki saamne dakhil-e-hukumat ke baray mein barh rahi chinta hai jo apni currency ko mustahkam banane ke liye kar sakte hain. Yeh chinta traders ko pair par naye bullish bets lagane se baaz rakhti hai. Japanese sarkar aur Bank of Japan ko foreign exchange market mein istimal kar ke yen ke be inteha kami hone se bachane ke liye pichle waqeeyat ki tareekh hai, jo Japan ki maeeshat par nuksan dene wala hai jis se import ke kharche barh jaate hain aur consumer purchasing power kam ho jati hai.

Choti-Muddat Ke Hidayat Ke Liye US ISM Manufacturing PMI Par Tawajjo:
Traders ab aane wale US ISM Manufacturing PMI report ka mukhtalif intezar kar rahe hain choti-muddat ke hidayat ke liye. ISM Manufacturing PMI aik ahem iqtisadi dalil hai jo United States ke manufacturing sector ki sehat ka pata deti hai. Agar PMI umeed se zyada hota hai to, yeh mazid US dollar ko mustahkam kar sakta hai, ek taqatwar maeeshat ki dalil dete hue aur ho sakta hai Federal Reserve ke zyada interest rate barhane par madadgar ho. Dosri taraf, agar PMI umeed se kam ho to, yeh USD/JPY pair par neeche ki taraf dabaav dal sakta hai.

USD/JPY United States aur Japan ke darmiyan buland interest rate farq ke bais bhoat sadiyon ke buland tak pohanch gaya hai. Magar, Japanese authorities ke dakhil-e-hukumat ke mumtalaat ko le kar kuch traders ko ehtiyaat se kaam lena pad raha hai. Aane wale US ISM Manufacturing PMI report bearish yaa bullish ki choti-muddat ke raasta par noor daalegi. Investors aur traders in tarraqiyon ko sabr se dekh rahe hain sahi faislay ke liye.

USD/JPY ab 1986 se pehle se bhi ziada level tak pahunch raha hai! Traders ab bhi official "intervention" se pareshan hain

Daryaft e shaam ke douran (1 July) main, Asian session mein, USD/JPY pair ek ucha darja tak pohancha, ek dafa 161 integer mark ko par karke 161.18 tak pohanche, aur peechle haftay ke ikhtitam par band hone ke baad, ye ab firse apne 1986 se pehle se bhi ziada level tak qareeb hai. Magar market yakeen rakhti hai ke Japani hakoomat currency ko support karne ke liye dakhal denay par mutawaqqa hai.

Japan ke Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki ne ik press conference mein kaha ke currency market mein ziada volatility na pasandeeda hai aur authorities in naapaak rukhoo ke liye munaasibana jawab denge. Is ke ilawa, Japan ne Atsushi Mimura ko apne naye foreign exchange diplomat ke tor par ikhtiyar kiya tha Jumma ko. Magar yeh qadam yen ke trend ko kum nahi kia, kyun ke investors Atsushi ke monetary policy stance ke baray mein ghair yaqeeni the. Is ke saath, United States aur Japan ke darmiyan barhta hua interest rate farq bhi USD/JPY pair ke liye aik faida bana reh sakta hai. Ab tak, Bank of Japan ne agle rate hike ke waqt ke barye mein kisi ishara ka inkaar nahi kia. Mukhaalif tor par, Federal Reserve ne apne policy meeting mein June ke ikhtitam mein zyada hawkish tha aur sirf ik rate cut 2024 mein hone ka tajweez diya. Is ke ilawa, Republican candidate Donald Trump ke president hone ke baray mein zyada imkanat hone se barh ke diqqat hain ke shadeed adain lagane kiya ja sake, jo kay inflation ko barha sakti hai aur unchi interest rates ko darust kar sakti hai.

Is, ne US Treasury yields ko multi-week highs tak puhancha diya hai aur ab tak US dollar ko support karna jaari rehta hai, USD/JPY pair ke liye mazeed support dete hue aur is khariwali ko tasdeeq karte hue. Is ke ilawa, market September mein Federal Reserve kaikrate cut ka zyada imkanat qeemat hai, roken inflation ke nishane dikhane wale signs ke beech mein. Yeh umeed US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index ne tasdeeq di, jo Consumer Price Index (CPI) aur Producer Price Index (PPI) ke mahinay May mein bataye gaye tarkool trends ko mumtaz na karte huye. Yeh dollar ke bulls ko aggressive bets se roknay mein madad kar sakti hai aur USD/JPY pair ke liye uqad ko mehdood kar sakti hai. Traders ab naye mahine ke shuru mein ehmiyatmand US macro data ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jo ke ISM manufacturing PMI ke saath ab ke dinon mein ke start hoga, taza momentum ke liye.

Data ke ilawa, investors ko intervention ke khatron aur Bank of Japan ke taqreeron par tawajjo deni chahiye, Japani economy par kamzor yen ke asar se mutawaqqa pareshanion ke baray mein, jo hakoomat aur Bank of Japan ko influence kar sakte hain. Intervention ya Bank of Japan ke July rate hike ke support aur Japani government bonds mein tezi se cut karne ke khadshay USD/JPY ko 150 ki tarf le ja sakti hain. economists ka kehna hai

Ke ADP employment ka aik mazeed 170,000 ke barh zarf June mein June mein 152,000 ke barhne ke baad June mein expected hai. Is ke ilawa, economists ka kehna hai ke initial unemployment claims ke taqreeban 233,000 se 235,000 tak barhing June 29 ko khatm hute week mein. ADP data mein rukoawat aur initial jobless claims mein sharp izafa September mein rate cut ke speculation ko jan sakti hai. Short-term outlook ko dekhte hue, USD/JPY ka short-term rukh Japanese consumer confidence, service sector data, aur household spending data pe depend karega. Jabke kamzor data yen ke liye demand pe asar kar sakte hain, intervention ke khatron aur ek zyada hawkish BoJ par shart lagane ke asar ko compensate kar sakte hain. Us, service sector PMI, aur labor market data baqaya data releases ke liye ahem rahenge.

Mere khayal mein, Tokyo mein barhte inflation dar ke sath, Yen ko mazbooti hasil karne ka mauqa deta hai. Kyunki meri samajh mein aaya hai ke jab inflation dar barhta hai, to aam tor par yeh central bank ke interest rate mein izafa ki shuruaat ko darshata hai. Jitna zyada kisi central bank ka interest rate hoga, utna zyada sarkari bondon par bhi interest rate hoga jo ki sarkari izafe se faqeer mulkon jaise Japan ki sarkar ke liye khaas taur par safe samjhe jate hain. Is wajah se zyada foreign investors unhein khareedne mein dilchaspi rakhte hain. Is tarah, Tokyo mein barhte inflation dar ke sath USDJPY pair par bearish movement aane ka imkan hai.

Magar ek samasya yeh hai ke BOJ ka interest rate aaj bhi sirf 0.10% hai jabke Fed ka interest rate 5.25% hai. Is tarah ke sane investors Japan nahi balki US mein apna paisa lana pasand karenge. Is wajah se USD ki demand JPY se zyada ho jati hai jo USDJPY pair ko bullish move karta hai.

Doosri samasya yeh hai ke USDJPY pair mein jo bullish trend nazar aa raha hai, forex traders ko BUY position kholne mein himmat nahi aa rahi hai. Kyunki yeh mumkin hai ke Japanese sarkar dobara achanak se intervention kare aur ek gehri bearish spike ko paida kare.

Is tarah kehne ke bawajood ke price H1 time frame mein Bollinger Band indicator ke upper band area mein hai, mujhe abhi bhi BUY position kholne ka himmat nahi ho raha hai.

Asian session ke doran USD/JPY currency pair mein kuch zyada tabdeeli nahi dikhai de rahi hai. Thora sa upar ki taraf harkat hai jis ki wajah se US dollar mazbooti hasil kar raha hai aur Biden aur Trump ke mubahisay ke natayejay mein bhi yeh tawanai nazar aayi hai. Yen mukhtalif factors ke dabav mein hai. Aaj June ka aakhri trading din hai, jahan takseem hone ki mumkinat hai. Juma ko economic calendar kaafi busy hai. Sab tawajjo geopolitics aur American market ke khulne par hai. Is aalaat ke liye main subah ke pehle hisse mein halki neeche ki correction ka intezaar kar raha hoon, lekin mukhtasar jo main scenario hai woh uptrend ka jari rakhna hai. Muntazir reversal point 160.15 ke level par hai, main is se ooper khareedna pasand karunga jahan 161.85 aur 162.35 ke level muntazir honge. Ya agar pair neeche jaane ki taraf raftar ikhtiyar karta hai, 160.15 ke level ko todti hai aur consolidate hota hai, to phir rasta 159.85 aur 159.65 ke level tak khul jayega.

Honestly, main abhi USD/JPY pair par kya trade karna hai, is par confirm nahi hoon, kyunki opportunities pehle global maximum update se pehle thi, aur targets clear the.

Ab, humein bas neeche ki taraf price reversal ka wait karna padega, lekin is ke liye Japanese authorities ka clear intervention hona zaroori hai, jo ke asal mein Chief Cabinet Secretary of Japan, Mr. Hayashi ne wada kiya tha. Magar agar unke words sirf words hi rahenge, to US dollar Japanese yen ke khilaf continue rise karega, despite the threats.

Situation yeh hai ke USD/JPY pair buy karna ab waqai darawna hai, kyunki iska ceiling 38 saalon mein nahi dekha gaya level, yani 161.25, Murray indicator ke mutabiq 6/8 reversal level ko tod ke, ek naya initially bullish candle ko khola, jo further price growth of the dollar ko indicate karta hai.

Zaroor, us ke baad yeh bearish ho gaya, aur hum ek chhoti correction dekh rahe hain, jo price ka wave movement ke tor par dekh sakte hain. Main samajhta hoon ke USD/JPY pair 160.70 level ke pass 14-period moving average ko test kar ke upar bounce kar sakta hai.

Best case scenario mein bears ke liye, pair 5/8 regression channel ke top par gir kar former global maximum of 160.16 tak ja sakta hai, lekin yeh Bank of Japan ki involvement ke bina, jaise ke hum samajhte hain.

Wahan se, ek naya growth wave emerge hoga, lekin agar regulator market mein currency interventions conduct karta hai, to situation significantly change hogi is currency pair ke rapidly decline ke favor mein, lekin phir se temporary

Hello, guys! As Salam O Alaikum, umeed hai ke aap sab theek hain. Forum administrators, Moderators, aur Instaforex Broker Admins ke liye. Aaj main USD/JPY market discuss karunga. Meri trading USD/JPY analysis sab forum friends aur instaforex traders ke liye faidemand hai. USDJPY pair ne akhrkar 160.00 ke key level ko tod diya, aur rally ko barhaya kyun ke buyers ne zyada confidence hasil kiya nayi highs aim karne ke liye intervention ke kami ki wajah se. USD ko ab bhi achi monetary information se support mil raha hai jaise ke hum ne hal hi mein US PMIs aur US Customer Confidence report se dekha. Hal hi mein hum ne US Jobless Claims figures bhi dekhi jahan data ne dikhaya ke work market rebalance ho raha hai through kam work availability instead of zyada layoffs. Aisi information loan rate expectations ko stable rakhti hai around do cuts year ke end tak aur risk sentiment ko support karti hai development pickup mein bina inflationary pressures ke. JPY is environment mein major currencies ke against ground lose karta rahega. Sustained Yen strength dekhne ke liye humein shayad kamzor US growth data chahiye hoga. Lekin yeh tab tak hi chalega jab tak market more aggressive Fed rate cuts ko price nahi karta. Daily chart par hum dekh sakte hain ke USDJPY ne akhrkar 160.00 ke critical handle ko tod diya aur rally ko barhaya kyun ke intervention ke kami ne market ko thoda aur confidence diya nayi highs ko target karne ke liye. Agar hum 160.00 level se neeche pullback dekhte hain to hum anticipate kar sakte hain ke buyers wapas aayenge with defined risk nayi highs ko target karne ke liye. Sellers, doosri taraf, chahenge ke price wapas 160.00 handle ke neeche aaye kuch conviction hasil karne ke liye aur major trendline around 157.00 handle ko target karne ke liye

USDJPY currency pair ne market opening ke baad apni rise ko continue kiya.

Yeh pair trends ko follow karta hai, jaise ke long-term perspective se pata chalta hai. Magar yeh extra passengers ko shake off bhi karta hai, jaisa ke pichle hafte hua. Humne dekha ke ek technical growth hui, supports ko dhyan mein rakhte hue, aur ek buy signal hourly timeframe par form hua. Grey bar ne signal level aur potential ko mark kiya. Buy signal level par thodi consolidation ke baad, prices sharply drop hui aur buyers' risk zone ke neeche chali gayi. Phir yeh quickly wapas upar aa gayi. Trendline ne ek acha bounce point act kiya, magar yeh zyada side effect tha, kyunki ranging market mein kisi ne buy limit orders place nahi kiye hote unless kuch traders ne buy limit orders place kiye ho.

Abhi humein hourly timeframe par ek aur buy signal mila hai, jo pehle signal se zyada potential rakhta hai. Aur resistance fractals ke break hone se uptrend ka resumption indicate hota hai.

Dusre chart par, main daily timeframe par switch karta hoon. Yahaan yaad dilana zaroori hai ke humare paas pehle price targets range ke form mein thay. Lower target range 16 April ko set kiya gaya tha, magar upper target bhi reach ho sakta hai. Dusre chart par, main ne pehli wave ke baad ek prolonged southern correction par Fibonacci grid apply kiya hai. Humara nearest target level 261.8% par hai, jo ke 155.305 par hai. Hourly buy signals ke potentials ko moving averages ke basis par compare karte hue, yeh Fibonacci level ke sath align karte hain. Phir bhi, growth ke liye market structure break ho chuka hai, khaaskar jab hourly timeframe ka reference lete hain. Iska matlab yeh hai ke extreme market targets ko reach karna bahut challenging aur tense ho sakta hai. Jaise jaise targets ke qareeb pohch rahe hain, zyada participants, khaaskar large trend followers, apni positions close karna shuru karte hain, jis se candles upward structure ko break karti hain.





4o

Ek white color ka price triangle jo do upar janay walay channels se bana hai, hafta khatam honay ke qareeb kafi volatile raha. Guzishta hafta ka price movement red color mein aur pichlay do hafton ka price movement blue color mein behtareen hai. Hafta ke aghaz mein ek pivot level aur lower triangle line milay, aur price upper triangle line tak barh gaya phir gir gaya aur dobara rebound ho gaya. Ab jab price triangle ke corner ke qareeb trade ho raha hai, toh triangle ka break aur clear direction mein move kafi qareeb hai. Green line jo upper red channel line ke upar tak ja rahi hai, rising ke is mumkinat ko represent karti hai. Jab tak price candle ko triangle ke upar close karay aur triangle ko upar break karay, yeh scenario reliable hai

Jab price triangle ko neeche break karay aur open candle ko triangle line ke neeche close karay, ek decline mumkin hai. Red line weekly pivot level ko represent karti hai aur jab price triangle ko neeche break karay toh ispar rely kar sakte hain. Ek buy entry candle ko price triangle ke upar close karne ke baad ki ja sakti hai, jisme stop loss 160.75 ke neeche aur target upper red channel line ke neeche ho. 161.30 ke neeche candle close hone ke baad aur price triangle line ke neeche candle close hone ke baad, hum 160.20 ke neeche sell karne ka suggest karte hain jisme target weekly pivot ke upar aur stop loss level 160.35 ke upar ho jab candle price triangle line ke neeche close ho

Forex trading strategy
USD/JPY
Assalam Alaikum!
US dollar/Japanese yen joda filhal 160.82 ki satah se bilkul ooper trade kar raha hai. Market ka jazba tezi ka shikar hai, jo mumkena kharidari ka ishara karta hai. Tawaqqo hai keh bulls qimat ko pahle hadaf ke taur par 161.26 ki muzahmati satah tak le jayenge. Yahan tak keh agar bears bartari hasil kar lein aur market par contril hasil kar lekin to bhi bearish reversal hone ka imkan nahin hai. Dollar/yen ka joda faide ko dobara shuru karne se pahle islah ke hisse ke taur par wapas aa sakti hai ya gir sakti hai.