usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Budh ke din, British pound khud ko aik ajeeb maqam mein paaya. Jabke retail sales data aur PMI report mein behtar hone ki khabrein thi aur economic growth ki jari rahi, pound US dollar ke mukablay mein zyada tar currencies ke khilaaf kam reh gaya, Euro ke ilawa. Yeh baat Office for National Statistics (ONS) ke May ke strong retail sales figures jaari hone ke baad aayi. Bechne ki miqdaar mein 2.9% taaqatwar izafa hua, jabke ummeed thi ke 1.5% ke qareeb ho ga. Saal bhar mein bhi retail sales ne tawaqoat ko nakaara, analysts ne 0.9% ki kami ka paish-e-nazar rakha tha, lekin 1.3% izafa ho gaya. Consumer spending ka yeh izafa, jo keh maeeshat ki growth ka aham factor hai, aam tor par musbat khabar samjha jata hai. Lekin yeh bhi Bank of England (BOE) ke liye aik potential masla paida kar sakta hai, jo keh primarily price stability ko barqarar rakhne par tawajjo deti hai. Consumer spending mein izafa aksar inflation ko barhne ka sabab ban sakta hai, jise BOE interest rates ke zariye control karna chahti hai.

Is mazeed complexity mein, aik alag report ne overall economic activity mein halki kamzori ki nishandahi ki. Jabke composite Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) 51.7 par gir gaya, jo keh expansion aur contraction ko alag karne wale 50.0 threshold se upar tha. Economists ne is mein 53.1 ke qareeb izafa ki umeed rakhi thi. Report ne PMI ki girawat ko Services sector mein rukawat ke taur par explain kiya. Lekin Manufacturing PMI as expected behtar aaya, estimates aur previous month ke figures se zyada. Analysts ke mutabiq services mein yeh rukawat post-election uncertainty ke zariye ho sakti hai, jahan businesses new government policies tak faislay ko taal sakte hain.

In reports ke milne se, pound US dollar ke mukablay mein 1.2670 aur 1.2700 ke darmiyan ek tang range mein ghoom raha hai. Jabke economic growth track par nazar aati hai, lekin Bank of England ko inflation ko control karte hue economic activity ko bhi support karna hai. Pound ki future direction aur BOE ke monetary policy decisions abhi tak samne nahi aaye hain.

Agar market is level se neeche girta hai, toh agla support 152 yen ke aas paas ho sakta hai. Agar Federal Reserve apni stance ko thoda ease bhi karta hai, toh bhi United States Bank of Japan ke muqable mein kaafi strong position mein rahega, jo higher interest rates ke wajood mein debt environment se jura hua hai.Interest rate gap ke barqarar rehne ki umeed hai aur US dollar ne foreseeable future ke liye momentum hasil kar liya hai. Yeh dynamic USD/JPY pair ko long termabhi tak maximum ko thoda sa update kar sakte hain. Ek giravat karne ki koshish hui jismein keemat almost pehla important support level 153.40 tak pahunch gayi aur jaise hi yeh area touch hui, keemat fir se upar chali gayi. Main abhi bhi 151.90 ke aas paas ek corrective decline ka intezar kar raha hoon, yeh sirf ek level nahi, balki yahaan ka main maapat level hai. Yeh 2022 aur 2023 ka maximum hai aur aap dekh sakte hain ke keemat almost ek mahine tak neeche se iske upar dabayi ja rahi thi, bahar jane ka himmat nahi kar rahi thi. Lekin ab woh chali gayi hai aur ab waapis jaana nahi chahti. Lekin main ab bhi yakeen karta hoon ke woh is level ko ek magnet ki tarah attract karenge, tootne ke baad reverse test karna zaroori hai, waise agar hum new heights ko chhod kar upar jaate hain jo terminal ki poori itihaas mein kabhi nahi dekhe gaye, tab bhi. Jab tak yeh pullback nahi hoti, aap nahi kharid sakte; aap market ka khuda top pakad sakte hain. Yeh wazeh hai ke yahaan ek critical peak hai, spring daba hua hai aur ek jeebhark collapse aage bhi ho sakta hai. Mere khayal se yahaan H4 par ek mirror level ka intezar karna chahiye jab maujooda top ko update kiya gaya, taki support se resistance mein badal jaye aur ek corrective rollback ka nishana 151.90 ke area tak laga sakein. H4 par, jab maujooda top ko update kiya gaya, MACD indicator par bearish divergence ban gayi, yeh wajah hai ke agar aap bech nahi sakte, toh bilkul kharid nahi sakte. Aaj economic calendar mein koi mahatvapurn arthik khabar nahi hai. Moving average ke neeche
. Aaj, main USD/JPY bechne ka irada rakhta hoon sirf tab jab 156.56 ke darjaat se neeche tor jaaye (graph par laal line), jo pair ko tezi se kam kar dega. Faraqdaar bechne walon ke liye ahem maqsad 156.30 hoga, jahan main khareedne ka irada rakhta hoon aur foran seedhi tareeqay se bechne ka irada rakhta hoon (level se 20-25 jagah ke ulte rukh ke intezar mein). Pair par farokht ki dabao wapas aa sakta hai agar yeh rozana ki unchiyon ke aas paas merge nahi hota. Ehmiyat! Bechne se pehle, yaqeeni banayein ke MACD indicator zero mark se neeche hai aur sirf abhi is se girne ka aghaz hua hai. Do mubalghay imtehan 156.80 ke qeemat par jab MACD indicator overbought area mein hoga, main aaj bhi USD/JPY bechne ka irada rakhta hoon. Yeh pair ke vertical potensiyal ko mehdood karega aur ek market inversion ko neeche le jaayega. 156.56 aur 156.30 ke ulte darjaat par ek giravat ka intezar kiya ja sakta hai.

Jab market mein price kisi support level ke qareeb hoti hai, traders is baat ko bohot gaur se dekhte hain. Support level wo level hota hai jahan pe price pehle bhi gir ke wapas upar gayi hoti hai. Yeh level traders ke liye ek ahem maqam hota hai kyunki yahan se ya to price wapas rebound kar sakti hai ya phir neeche breakdown kar sakti hai. Traders in dono possibilities ko analyze karte hain aur apni trading strategies accordingly adjust karte hain.

Agar price support level tak aati hai aur wahan se rebound karti hai, toh yeh positive sign hota hai. Iska matlab hai ke demand zyada hai aur buyers ne is level ko defense kiya hai. Rebound hone ki surat mein traders aksar buying positions lete hain kyunki unhein lagta hai ke market ab bullish ho sakti hai. Is scenario mein, wo indicators dekhte hain jaise ke candlestick patterns, volume, aur moving averages taake confirm kar sakein ke rebound genuine hai.

Lekin agar price support level ko tor ke neeche chali jati hai, toh yeh kaafi bearish signal hota hai. Iska matlab hai ke selling pressure zyada hai aur buyers ki taqat kamzor pad gayi hai. Support level ke breakdown hone ka matlab yeh hota hai ke market mein negative sentiment prevail kar raha hai aur further losses ka khatra hai. Traders isko ek mauka samajhte hain short selling ke liye ya apni existing long positions ko close karne ke liye. Breakdown hone ki surat mein, wo technical indicators dekhte hain jaise ke RSI (Relative Strength Index), MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence), aur Fibonacci retracement levels taake dekh sakein ke price aur kitna neeche ja sakti hai.

Ek aur cheez jo traders dekhte hain wo hai volume. Agar support level ke breakdown ke waqt volume high hota hai, toh yeh aur bhi zyada bearish signal hota hai. High volume ka matlab hai ke bohot saare traders sell kar rahe hain aur market mein panic hai. Iska result aksar price ke sharp decline ki surat mein nikalta hai. On the other hand, agar volume low hai, toh breakdown ka impact itna zyada nahi bhi ho sakta.

In short, support level ke qareeb price ka ana traders ke liye ek critical moment hota hai. Yeh wo maqam hai jahan pe market ka direction change ho sakta hai. Rebound ki surat mein bullish trend aur breakdown ki surat mein bearish trend ka signal milta hai. Isliye, traders support level pe bohot cautious hote hain aur carefully apni trading decisions lete hain taake maximum profit kamaya ja sake aur losses se bacha ja sake.

USD/JPY currency pair ki dynamic pricing behavior ka jaeza lene mein masroof hoon. Chaliye hum apni tajziyaat shuru karte hain USDJPY pair ke M15 time frame par kaam karne wale din ke liye. Hum sirf do indicators ki zarurat hai: exponential moving averages (EMAs) jin ki periods nine aur twenty-one hain. In signals ki wazahat seedhi aur maqbool hai: yeh moving averages ke intersection jo hai price level par 158.048. Sabr ka istemal karte hue, hum 5-minute time frame par price ka pullback ka intezar karte hain, aur phir market sell entry shuru karte hain. Har trade mein, main sakoon se rehne aur sirf maqsoodah risk lena chata hoon. Mera risk-to-reward ratio 1 se 3 hai jo ke meri golden rule hai. Mera stop order hamesha kam se kam 21 points par set hota hai, kabhi kabhi 24 points tak extend hota hai, magar us se zyada nahi.
Bank of Japan (BOJ) 29 July ke apne agle meeting se bond-buying program ko kam karne ka soch rahi hai. Yeh proposal positive feedback hasil kar raha hai, lekin BOJ apne communication mein ehtiyaat barat raha hai kyunki yeh ek critical issue par chua hai. Agar US bond holdings reduce kiye jaye to Japan-US relations mein friction paida ho sakta hai, lekin yeh yen ko mazboot kar sakta hai aur Japan ki economy ko current rates par support bhi de sakta hai.
USDJPY price 159.99 tak ja sakti hai. Yeh trading week mein dollar apni upward trend ko Japanese yen ke khilaf jari rakhe hue hai. Halanki price ab tak pichle haftay ki high ko surpass nahi kar payi, lekin agar trend jari rehta hai to yeh koi bari surprise nahi hogi. Ek possible pullback ho sakta hai agar USDJPY broken resistance level 157.71 ke niche consolidate karta hai. Jab tak trading is level ke upar rehti hai, buy positions ke liye entry points dhoondna behtar hai. Aisa ek entry point 157.66 ke support level se hai, jo price is waqt test kar rahi hai.

USD/JPY ab tak short term mein upper track par hai, lekin upward momentum limited lag raha hai. Mukhtalif technical indicators temporarily equilibrium line ke upar hain, lekin direction ab tak unclear hai. Agar USD/JPY short term mein 158 level ke upar stabilize nahi hoti, toh sharp pullback ka risk ab bhi guard karna zaroori hai.

Pair ka price ek strong resistance area ke qareeb hai, kyun ke price weekly level 158.52 ko face kar rahi hai, jo red channel ki upper line ki presence se mutabiqat rakhta hai. Is haftay ke dauran, price ne weekly pivot level 157.12 aur price channels ki middle lines se support hasil karte hue trading shuru ki.
Is liye, price ka behavior current resistance area ke sath agle trend ka taayun karega, aur agar price is resistance ko tor kar is ke upar stable hojata hai to yeh mazeed rise ka signal hoga.

Aaj ka chart kal ke trading session me dekhay gaye upward trajectory ko continue kar raha hai. Is waqt, price intermediate range 158.28 ke qareeb ek corrective movement me hai, jo behtareen moka hai ke mazeed favorable prices par khareedari ki ja sakay. Intermediate range 158.63 ke upar break aur 158.65 ke upar consolidation market ko bullish signal dega. Pehla level jo test kiya ja sakta hai wo bear zone ke qareeb 158.29 hoga. Lekin agar support level 157.76 ke neeche wapas aata hai, jahan upward impulse shuru hua tha, to short positions lene ka faisla kiya ja sakta hai, lower levels 157.31 ya buyers' zone tak ke liye target karte hue

D1 chart USD/JPY ke liye significant movements reveal karta hai jaise hi hafta shuru hota hai, aur is waqt price critical support levels ko test kar raha hai. Major trend downward hai, market me kafi zyada selling pressure hai. Agar 157.67-157.79 support range ke neeche break hota hai to yeh long-term downtrend ka continuation signal hoga, aur USD/JPY prices par selling pressure ko mazeed barhawa milega. Traders ko in levels ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake informed decisions le sakay aur apni strategies ko accordingly adjust kar sake

Good day, colleagues! Couple ka daily chart. Pair ka current price 159.60 yen per dollar hai. Price actively barh rahi hai aur pehle ke high 160.20 ke qareeb pahunch rahi hai. 160.20 ke level par ya to ek doosra peak ban sakta hai aur wahan se price niche jayegi (mere khayal se kam mumkin hai), ya phir ye level exceed hoga aur price aur bhi upar jayegi (mere khayal se zyada mumkin hai). Lagta hai ke Bank of Japan ke paas ab aur himmat nahi hai ke wo apni national currency ki girawat ko rok sake. Interventions ke baad, jinse price temporarily 152 yen per dollar tak gir gayi thi, asal mein price ko reverse nahi kar saki aur bekaar gayi. Price phir se upar ja rahi hai, aur American financial authorities ne pehle hi Bank of Japan ko currency manipulation chorhne ka warning diya hai. Shayad Bank of Japan ab, kam az kam qareebi mustaqbil mein, trading mein interfere nahi karega. Iska matlab hai ke price pair ka 160.20 se upar jayega - 161 aur 162 yen per dollar tak.
Technical side ki baat karte hue, ab tak chart mein puri tarah se "bulls" dominate kar rahe hain - analysis ke sab paanch components price growth ko indicate kar rahe hain - moving lines, channel, candlestick component, MACD indicator, Murray lines

CCI indicator bhi USDJPY currency pair ke daily chart par north ki taraf hai aur abhi bhi grow karne ki gunjaish hai. Zyada mumkin hai ke hum maximum levels ko update karenge aur ye guess karna mushkil hoga ke stop kahan hoga, kyunke 2001 se currency pair ke growth ke sab records break ho chuke hain.
Acha, agar 157.74 ka breakdown ho aur price is level ke niche consolidate kare, to humari downward mood ho jayegi aur phir hum selling ki taraf switch karenge.

USD/JPY currency pair mein kafi kami dekhi gayi, jo bohot se logon ki tawajjo ka markaz ban gayi hai. Hal hi mein US dollar ke mazboot hone ke bawajood, is girawat ne logon ko heran kar diya hai. Do mumkin factors hain jo is pullback mein hissa le sakte hain. Pehla, haal hi mein huwe upswing ne kuch investors ko apna munafa secure karne par majboor kiya ho ga spring ke khatam hone se pehle. Ek market jo sustained growth dekh rahi hai, us mein profit-taking ek natural reaction hota hai. Doosra, USD/JPY pair mein ek correction chal rahi hai. Yeh pair shayad kuch gains ko consolidate aur retrace kare ga ek significant upward trend ke baad. 'Support levels' wo price levels hain jahan ek currency pair historically neechay girne mein mushkilat ka shikar hota hai. Is healthy correction ke natije mein naye support levels ban sakte hain, jo market ko overheating se bachate hain.
Japan aur United States ke darmiyan widening interest rate gap yen ke masail ka primary cause hai. Jumme ko expected hai ke Bank of Japan apni ultra-loose monetary policy ko maintain rakhega, interest rates ko zero ke kareeb rakhte hue. Iske contrast mein, expected hai ke Federal Reserve interest rates ko raise karta rahega taake inflation se lar sake. US dollar yen ke muqable mein ek zyada appealing investment option ban gaya hai

USD/JPY 156.40 ke ird gird tha. Daily chart suggest karta hai ke aik consolidation ka period symmetrical triangle pattern mein ho raha hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) sirf 50 se thoda upar hai, aur agar yeh gire toh yeh bearish trend ka ishara ho sakta hai. Potential price movements ko dekhte hue, agar USD/JPY 157.00 ke psychological level aur upper triangle border ko tod de toh yeh multi-decade high 160.32 ka retest kar sakta hai. Doosri taraf, agar triangle ke lower border ko tod de toh yeh 156.00 tak gire sakta hai, aur uske baad 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 154.69 ka test kar sakta hai. Mukhtasir, ane wale dinon mein USD/JPY pair expectations of US rate cuts, interest rate differential, potential Bank of Japan intervention, aur upcoming US economic data ke darmiyan ek kashmakash mein phasa hua dikhayi de sakta hai.

USD/JPY currency pair

USD/JPY currency pair ne H4 (four-hour) chart par noteworthy activity dikhayi hai, jahan critical 157.70 level ke aas paas significant attention focused hai. Haal hi mein, is pair ka price action is crucial threshold ke upar break kar gaya, jo market dynamics mein ek potential shift ka signal hai. Is breakout ke baad, pair ne choti candles ki series form ki hai, jo consolidation ka typical indication hai. Yeh pattern suggest karta hai ke market pause kar raha hai aur apne agle significant move se pehle momentum gather kar raha hai.



H4 chart par overarching trend decidedly bullish hai. Yeh ongoing upward trajectory indicate karta hai ke buyers market par firmly control mein hain. Jab tak price apni position 157.64 level ke upar maintain karti hai, bullish sentiment likely persist karega. Yeh key support level ke upar sustained position USD/JPY pair mein agle substantial upward move ke liye foundation serve kar sakti hai.

Consolidation phases financial markets mein common occurrence hain, khaaskar jab ek significant level se breakout hota hai. Yeh periods of relative quietude market ko recent gains digest karne aur next directional movement ke liye prepare karne ka mauka dete hain. USD/JPY pair ke case mein, breakout ke baad choti candles ka formation suggest karta hai ke market participants currently indecisive hain, jis se buyers aur sellers ke beech balance ban gaya hai. Yeh balance aksar temporary hota hai aur prevailing trend ke resumption se pehle hota hai.

H4 chart par evident bullish trend various technical indicators se supported hai. For instance, moving averages upward slopes show kar sakte hain, reinforcing the notion ke current market sentiment buyers ko favor karta hai. Additional technical tools jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) ya Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) bhi bullish conditions indicate kar sakte hain, jo current trend ki strength further validate karte hain.

USD/JPY ki halat neechay ki taraf rehti hai. Yeh maujooda bearish jazba asal market shara'it mein zahir hai aur haal hi ke qeemat amli aamal se bhi tasdeeq mil rahi hai. Abwaqt market ka jazba bechnay ki dabao ko zahir karta hai, jo yeh ishara karta hai ke traders aur investors USD/JPY ko khareedne se zyada bechnay ki taraf mutma'in hain. Yeh jazba mukhtalif surton mein qaim rehne ka imkaan hai, khaas tor par agar keemat muqami support zones ke ooper na qaim rahe.
Maujooda market jazba ke mutabiq, keemat ke neechay 157.67-157.79 muqami support level ko toorna ke surat mein mazeed bechnay ki dabao ka khatra hai. Yeh support range ahmiyat ka hamil hai kyunki is se neechay girna lambi arzi bearish trend ka mazeed jaari rehne ka ishara ho sakta hai. Traders ko is range ke aas paas ke qeemat amli aamal ko tawajjo se dekhna chahiye, kyunki yeh market ke agle qadam ke baray mein ahmiyat mand maalumaat faraham karega. Is support zone ke nichay tay shuda toorna jazba mein izafa ho sakta hai, jo keemat ko mazeed kam karne ki taraf le jaega.

Aur yahan, hum aap se yeh mawafiq hain ke states ke data ko bohot kamzor hone ka imkaan hai. Dekhte hain ke agar aap ne jo note kiya ke kaise early ADP numbers kisi had tak official statistics ko predict kar sakte hain, yeh kaam karta hai ya nahi. Halaanki aisa lagta hai ke calculation formula mukhtalif hai, jaise ke maine upar note kiya, mujhe ziada interest price barhne wale scenario mein hai, aur kam az kam mujhe lagta hai ke yeh resistance zone tak pohanchenge, aur phir main participants ke reactions ko dekhunga.

USD/JPY ke tabadla dar 158.22 par hai aur maujooda bearish trend ehtiyati market mahaul ko zahir karta hai. Magar ma'ashi data, central bank policies, siyasi olay, aur market jazbaat ke intizam ne qareebi mustaqbil mein mazeed intehai harkaton ke imkaanat ki taraf ishara karte hain. Traders aur investors ko muttaharik rehna chahiye, anay wale ma'ashi releases aur policy statements par tawajjo dete hue, kyunki yeh USD/JPY ke tabadla dar ki raftar ko musarraf karna mein ahmiyat rakhte hain. Bunyadi aur takhliqi tajziya dono istemal karna trading mauqe ko samajhne aur un se faida uthane ke liye zaroori hoga.

USD/JPY taizii say blue channel say bahar nikalnay ki koshish ki kal k trading mein, lekin aakhir kar laal channel mein settle ho gaya. Aaj k candle ke dauran, qeemat channel aur 158.50 resistance level say ooper thi. Sab say ahem baat yeh hai ke agar aaj ka candle is resistance ke ooper band hota hai, toh yeh dikhaega ke 158.65 resistance level ab bhi aik acha target hai, jo keh sakti hai ke market dobara buland ho sakta hai. Is mahine ke shuruaat mein qeemat ne pehle mid-channel lines ke ooper mouvement kiya tha, jo upper channels ki taraf barhao ko support kar raha tha. Qeemat ne dusri taraf lower channels tak gir kar upper channels ki taraf phailao ko support kiya. USD/JPY ne mukhalfat ko shikast di aur qeemat ko uss ke peechay ke darje tak le gaya; phir se qeemat bulandi par gayi. Tootay hue upper channels qeemat ko kuch waqt ke liye buland hone ka sabab ban sakte hain. Chand 4 ghantay ki chart par kuch candles channels ke ooper band huay, yeh dikha rahay hain ke qeemat ne bhi channels ke ooper izzat ki hai

Pichle haftay mein USD/JPY ne ummedwar nishanat dikha rahi hai. Haftay ke pivot level 158.10 ke ooper chadhne ke baad aur channels ke neechay qareeb trading shuru ki, yeh ek khareedne ki zone mein aagaya hai. Is ne vertical wave ki shakal mein rang laai, jis mein qeemat upper channel line tak pohanchi aur ussay vertical toor diya gaya. Yeh aik wazeh nishan hai ke brokers ke liye aik qeemti moqa-e-azadi ho sakta hai. 4 ghantay ke chart istemal kar ke, aap moujoodi darje par khareedari dastiyab kar saktay hain, apna stop loss level haftay ke 157.35 ke neechay set karain aur apna target level 157.80 ke neechay rakhain

158.34 ke daam ke imtehan mein, MACD indicator zero mark se girne ki ibteda mein thi, jo dollar bechnay ka munasib dakhla nuqsan se mushaqqat ki tasdeeq karta hai. Magar, neechay ki taraf movement na honay ki wajah se nuqsan ho gaya. Thori dair baad, ooper ki taraf movement dobara shuru ho gayi, aur 158.55 ke daam ke imtehan mein, jo MACD zero mark se ooper ki taraf movement ki ibteda se milta tha, yeh dollar khareednay ka munasib dakhla tasdeeq kiya gaya. Natijatan, USD/JPY jodi 40 pips se zyada izafa hua.
Aaj yen ki keemat Japan ne apna Consumer Price Index jaari karne ke baad gir gayi, jo 2.8% tak izafa hua. Magar, market ki manfi tadaad ka asal sabab Japan ke manufacturing aur services sectors ke Business Activity Index ke kamzor reports thay. Saaf hai ke is maamlay mein, yeh kaha ja sakta hai ke dollar ki taraf se ooperi raftar jari rahegi, khas tor par is wakt jab dollar khareednay walay saalana urooj ke ooper jam gai hain aur kisi bhi munasib moqa par mazeed aamal karne ke liye tayyar hain. Intarday strategy ke liye, mein Scenario No. 1 aur 2 ke amal par zyada itimad rakhunga.

Kharidari signals
Scenario No. 1. Aaj mein USD/JPY khareednay ka irada karta hoon jab daam chart par sabz line se 159.14 ke aas paas dakhla ke markaz tak pohanchay, jahan pehla aim 159.57 hai jo chart par moti sabz line se plot kiya gaya hai. 159.57 ke aas paas, mein lambi positions ko chhorne ka irada karta hoon aur ulte rukh mein short positions kholne ka, umid hai ke us level se 30-35 pips ke ulte rukh ki movement ho gi. Jodi aaj bullish trend jari rahe.

Scenario No. 2. Main aaj bhi USD/JPY khareedne ka irada rakhta hoon agar 158.81 ke do mawafiq imtehan hoon aur MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Yeh jodi ke neechay ke potential ko had se zyada kum kare ga aur market ko ulta chalne ki taraf le jayega. Ummeed hai ke izafa ho ga 159.14 aur 159.57 ke mukhalif levels tak

Main aaj USD/JPY farokht karne ka irada rakhta hoon sirf jab 158.81 ke level ko chart par laal line se imtehan ke baad, jo keematon mein tezi se girawat la sakta hai. Farokht karne walon ka markazi hadaf 158.45 ho ga, jahan se mein lambi positions ko chhorna aur turant mukhalif rukh mein short positions kholne ka irada karta hoon, umid hai ke us level se 20-25 pips ke ulte rukh ki movement ho gi. USD/JPY par dabao wapas aa sakta hai agar daam din bhar ke urooj ke aas paas mazboot na ho. Farokht se pehle, yakeenan MACD indicator zero mark ke neechay ho aur is se girne ki ibteda mein ho

market is level se neeche girta hai, toh agla support 152 yen ke aas paas ho sakta hai. Agar Federal Reserve apni stance ko thoda ease bhi karta hai, toh bhi United States Bank of Japan ke muqable mein kaafi strong position mein rahega, jo higher interest rates ke wajood mein debt environment se jura hua hai.Interest rate gap ke barqarar rehne ki umeed hai aur US dollar ne foreseeable future ke liye momentum hasil kar liya hai. Yeh dynamic USD/JPY pair ko long termabhi tak maximum ko thoda sa update kar sakte hain. Ek giravat karne ki koshish hui jismein keemat almost pehla important support level 153.40 tak pahunch gayi aur jaise hi yeh area touch hui, keemat fir se upar chali gayi. Main abhi bhi 151.90 ke aas paas ek corrective decline ka intezar kar raha hoon, yeh sirf ek level nahi, balki yahaan ka main maapat level hai. Yeh 2022 aur 2023 ka maximum hai aur aap dekh sakte hain ke keemat almost ek mahine tak neeche se iske upar dabayi ja rahi thi, bahar jane ka himmat nahi kar rahi thi. Lekin ab woh chali gayi hai aur ab waapis jaana nahi chahti. Lekin main ab bhi yakeen karta hoon ke woh is level ko ek magnet ki tarah attract karenge, tootne ke baad reverse test karna zaroori hai, waise agar hum new heights ko chhod kar upar jaate hain jo terminal ki poori itihaas mein kabhi nahi dekhe gaye, tab bhi. Jab tak yeh pullback nahi hoti, aap nahi kharid sakte; aap market ka khuda top pakad sakte hain. Yeh wazeh hai ke yahaan ek critical peak hai, spring daba hua hai aur ek jeebhark collapse aage bhi ho sakta hai. Mere khayal se yahaan H4 par ek mirror level ka intezar karna chahiye jab maujooda top ko update kiya gaya, taki support se resistance mein badal jaye aur ek corrective rollback ka nishana 151.90 ke area tak laga sakein. H4 par, jab maujooda top ko update kiya gaya, MACD indicator par bearish divergence ban gayi, yeh wajah hai ke agar aap bech nahi sakte, toh bilkul kharid nahi sakte. Aaj economic calendar mein koi mahatvapurn arthik khabar nahi hai. Moving average ke neeche . Aaj, main USD/JPY bechne ka irada rakhta hoon sirf tab jab 156.56 ke darjaat se neeche tor jaaye (graph par laal line), jo pair ko tezi se kam kar dega. Faraqdaar bechne walon ke liye ahem maqsad 156.30 hoga, jahan main khareedne ka irada rakhta hoon aur foran seedhi tareeqay se bechne ka irada rakhta hoon (level se 20-25 jagah ke ulte rukh ke intezar mein). Pair par farokht ki dabao wapas aa sakta hai agar yeh rozana ki unchiyon ke aas paas merge nahi hota. Ehmiyat! Bechne se pehle, yaqeeni banayein ke MACD indicator zero mark se neeche hai aur sirf abhi is se girne ka aghaz hua hai. Do mubalghay imtehan 156.80 ke qeemat par jab MACD indicator overbought area mein hoga, main aaj bhi USD/JPY bechne ka irada rakhta hoon. Yeh pair ke vertical potensiyal ko mehdood karega aur ek market inversion ko neeche le jaayega. 156.56 aur 156.30 ke ulte darjaat par ek giravat ka intezar kiya ja sakta hai

USD/JPY currency pair ka current price action notable hai, jo key levels ke ird gird dynamic interaction se characterized hai. Hal hi mein, pair ne 158.22 par maujood resistance barrier ko approach kiya, lekin naya peak establish karne mein

mei kamiyab nahi hua. Baad mein, market sentiment shift hua aur bears ne control hasil kar liya, jis ne pair ko critical support zone 157.50 ke qareeb le aaya. Aaj ka trading session significant volatility se marked hai, jahan fluctuations heightened market interest aur potential impactful moves ko suggest karti hain. Jese jese trading din aage barhta hai, further developments ke intezar mein hain, khaaskar evening session ke saath. Analysts aur traders dono closely dekh rahe hain ke USD/JPY pair pivotal level 157.53 ke aas paas pohonch sakta hai.
U.S. session mein jo levels maine mark kiye the, un par koi test nahi hua, isliye entry points bhi nahi mile. Jaisa ke chart par dekha ja sakta hai, USD/JPY pair ne uptrend exhibit kiya. Bank of Japan ke officials ke monetary policy mein potential changes ke statements ke bawajood, dono mulkon ke darmiyan significant interest rate gap traders ko dollar khareedne aur yen bechne par majboor karta hai, taake carry trades se higher returns hasil ho sakein. Aaj ke liye, best yeh hai ke trend ke saath act karein aur annual highs ke breakout ka aim rakhein, jo bullish bias ko fuel kar sakta hai. Lekin usse pehle, kuch achi U.S. data milni chahiye, to main subah ke waqt strong movements par wager nahi lagaunga. Intraday strategy ke liye, main scenario No. 1 aur No. 2 ke implementation par zyada rely karunga.

Buy signals Scenario No. 1: Main aaj USD/JPY khareedne ka plan karta hoon jab price green line se marked entry point 158.23 tak pohonchti hai, aur growth ka aim 158.60 tak hota hai, jo chart par thicker green line se marked hai. 158.60 ke area mein, main long positions exit karke opposite direction mein short ones open karunga, aur 30-35 pips ka movement expect karunga us level se opposite direction mein. Aap aaj USD/JPY ki growth par count kar sakte hain bullish market build karne ke continuation mein. Khareedne se pehle, yeh ensure karein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke upar hai aur rise hone laga hai.

. Doosri taraf, Ueda ne kaha ke agar Japan mein inflation barhta hai toh wo sakht monetary policy ki taraf ja sakte hain. Isi dauran, Tuesday ko US Dollar Index (DXY) mazboot ho gaya, jo ke US Treasury yields ke barhne ka aaina tha. Yeh is wajah se ho sakta hai ke investor key US economic data releases ka intezar kar rahe hain jo Wednesday ko aayengi. Yeh data future mein Fed interest rate hikes ke expectations ko asar kar sakta hai, jo ke dollar par asar andaz ho sakta hai. Jab ke mazeed Fed rate hikes ka asar aam tor par dollar ko kamzor kar sakta hai, lekin yeh US Treasury yields ko bhi barha sakti hain, jo ke dollar ki value par ek conflicting pull bana sakta hai

Market ka trajectory filhal uncertain hai, kyunke yeh potential reversal ka period navigate kar raha hai. Agar upward correction 157.374 level ke qarib rukti hai, to yeh traders ke liye ek selling opportunity ho sakti hai. Hoshyar rehna bohot zaroori hai, kyunke traders ko bearish signals, jese specific candlestick patterns, declining trading volume, ya doosre technical indicators jo bearish sentiment ko suggest karte hain, dekhne chahiye. Agar yeh signals materialize hote hain, to yeh short positions lene ka acha mauqa ho sakta hai, betting on the continuation of the downward trend. Trading ki dynamic duniya mein, market shifts ke liye responsive aur adaptable rehna zaroori hai. Trends tezi se badal sakte hain, mukhtalif factors ke influence ke wajah se, jese ke naye market participants aur unexpected economic news. Jab ke analysis potential slowdown of the decline at 157.515 aur possible selling opportunities near 157.374 ko point out karta hai, stop-loss orders aur risk management strategies ko use karna zaroori hai unexpected market reversals se bachne ke liye
Economic indicators, central bank announcements, aur geopolitical developments jaise factors market sentiment aur price movements ko significant tor par shape kar s






akte hain. In elements ko monitor karke broader perspective ko incorporate karna technical analysis ki effectiveness ko enhance kar sakta hai. Filhal, market bearish trend ko exhibit kar raha hai, aur 157 level tak pohanchne ki possibility hai. Currency market mein, slowdown buyer behavior mein anticipated changes ke wajah se aasakta hai. Agar trend

Main USD/JPY karansee pair ki taaza soorat-e-haal ka tafsili tajziya kar raha hoon. Filhal, hum dekh rahe hain ke USD/JPY pair mein upar ki taraf harkat barqarar hai. Yeh harkat pichle kuch arse se chal rahi hai, aur hum ne abhi taaza taur par 158 ke figure ko cross kiya hai. Lekin, yeh baat qaabil-e-zikr hai ke hum abhi tak is level ke upar apni position ko mazboot nahi kar paaye hain.
USD/JPY ka yeh upar ki taraf rujhan mukhtalif asbab ki wajah se hai. Pehla sabab America aur Japan ke darmiyan mukhtalif maqam par farq hai. Jahan America mein economic growth aur inflation ke barhawa dekhne mein aaya hai, wahan Japan mein abhi bhi deflation aur economic stability se joojh raha hai. Is farq ki wajah se American Dollar mazid mazboot ho raha hai jabke Japanese Yen kamzor ho raha hai.

Doosra sabab America mein interest rates ka barhna hai. Federal Reserve ne apni monetary policy ko tighten kiya hai, jis se interest rates barh gaye hain. Ye baat investors ko American Dollar mein invest karne par majboor kar rahi hai, kyonke unhe wahan zyada return mil raha hai. Iske bar-aks, Bank of Japan apni monetary policy ko loose rakhe hue hai aur interest rates ko neeche rakha hua hai. Yeh policy farq USD/JPY pair mein upar ki taraf harkat ka aik bara factor hai.

Teeesra sabab global economic uncertainty hai. Coronavirus pandemic ke baad se duniya bhar mein economic uncertainty barh gayi hai. Is halat mein investors safe haven assets mein invest karne ko tarjeeh dete hain. Traditionally, Yen ko aik safe haven asset mana jata tha, lekin current soorat-e-haal mein Dollar ne is maqam ko occupy kar liya hai. Yeh bhi USD/JPY pair mein dollar ki mazbooti aur yen ki kamzori ka aik sabab hai.

Ab hum thoda technical analysis par bhi nazar dalte hain. Chart patterns aur technical indicators bhi yeh indicate kar rahe hain ke USD/JPY pair mein bullish trend barqarar hai. RSI (Relative Strength Index) aur MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) jaise indicators yeh signal de rahe hain ke pair overbought territory mein hai. Iske bawajood, abhi tak koi major reversal sign nazar nahi aa raha. Moving averages bhi bullish crossovers show kar rahe hain, jo ke further upside potential ko indicate karte hain.

Lekin, yeh zaroori hai ke hum kuch risk factors ko bhi madde nazar rakhein. Pehla risk factor geopolitical tensions hain, jo ke kabhi bhi markets ko disrupt kar sakti hain. Dusra risk factor global trade policies hain, jo ke exchange rates ko directly affect karti hain. Teesra risk factor unexpected economic data releases hain, jo ke market sentiments ko achanak change kar sakte hain.

Akhir mein, market participants ke liye yeh important hai ke wo continuously in factors ko monitor karte rahen aur apni positions ko accordingly adjust karein. USD/JPY pair mein upar ki taraf harkat ki barqarari ke bawajood, yeh zaroori hai ke hum kisi bhi possible reversal ke liye bhi tayyar rahen. Price action ko closely observe karna aur risk management strategies ko implement karna kamyabi ki kunji hai.

Yeh tajziya humein batata hai ke current soorat-e-haal mein USD/JPY pair mein bullish trend barqarar hai, lekin kuch risk factors bhi maujood hain jinko ignore nahi kiya ja sakta. Is sab ko madde nazar rakhte hue, investors aur traders ko apni strategies ko accordingly tayar karna chahiye.