USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

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USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

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  • #6511 Collapse

    hum Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting ko Wednesday ko aur Bank of Japan ko Friday ko qareeb dekhte hain, toh thodi si hichkichahat hoti hai. Is expectation ka matlab hai ke ek bara tabdeeli aane wali hai. Is surat mein, main short-term withdrawal ko buying opportunity ke tor par dekhta hoon, jo long-term increase ke mutabiq hai. Is natije mein, main in dips ko buy karne par mayal hoon.155 yen ka level short-term support ke tor par dekha ja raha hai, jo 50-day EMA ke presence mein aur bhi solid hai. Agar market is level se neeche girta hai, toh agla support 152 yen ke aas paas ho sakta hai. Agar Federal Reserve apni stance ko thoda ease bhi karta hai, toh bhi United States Bank of Japan ke muqable mein kaafi strong position mein rahega, jo higher interest rates ke wajood mein debt environment se jura hua hai.Interest rate gap ke barqarar rehne ki umeed hai aur US dollar ne foreseeable future ke liye momentum hasil kar liya hai. Yeh dynamic USD/JPY pair ko long termabhi tak maximum ko thoda sa update kar sakte hain. Ek giravat karne ki koshish hui jismein keemat almost pehla important support level 153.40 tak pahunch gayi aur jaise hi yeh area touch hui, keemat fir se upar chali gayi. Main abhi bhi 151.90 ke aas paas ek corrective decline ka intezar kar raha hoon, yeh sirf ek level nahi, balki yahaan ka main maapat level hai. Yeh 2022 aur 2023 ka maximum hai aur aap dekh sakte hain ke keemat almost ek mahine tak neeche se iske upar dabayi ja rahi thi, bahar jane ka himmat nahi kar rahi thi. Lekin ab woh chali gayi hai aur ab waapis jaana nahi chahti. Lekin main ab bhi yakeen karta hoon ke woh is level ko ek magnet ki tarah attract karenge, tootne ke baad reverse test karna zaroori hai, waise agar hum new heights ko chhod kar upar jaate hain jo terminal ki poori itihaas mein kabhi nahi dekhe gaye, tab bhi. Jab tak yeh pullback nahi hoti, aap nahi kharid sakte; aap market ka khuda top pakad sakte hain. Yeh wazeh hai ke yahaan ek critical peak hai, spring daba hua hai aur ek jeebhark collapse aage bhi ho sakta hai. Mere khayal se yahaan H4 par ek mirror level ka intezar karna chahiye jab maujooda top ko update kiya gaya, taki support se resistance mein badal jaye aur ek corrective rollback ka nishana 151.90 ke area tak laga sakein. H4 par, jab maujooda top ko update kiya gaya, MACD indicator par bearish divergence ban gayi, yeh wajah hai ke agar aap bech nahi sakte, toh bilkul kharid nahi sakte. Aaj economic calendar mein koi mahatvapurn arthik khabar nahi hai. Moving average ke neeche




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    • #6512 Collapse

      اصل پيغام ارسال کردہ از: Philosophy پيغام ديکھيے
      hum Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting ko Wednesday ko aur Bank of Japan ko Friday ko qareeb dekhte hain, toh thodi si hichkichahat hoti hai. Is expectation ka matlab hai ke ek bara tabdeeli aane wali hai. Is surat mein, main short-term withdrawal ko buying opportunity ke tor par dekhta hoon, jo long-term increase ke mutabiq hai. Is natije mein, main in dips ko buy karne par mayal hoon.155 yen ka level short-term support ke tor par dekha ja raha hai, jo 50-day EMA ke presence mein aur bhi solid hai. Agar market is level se neeche girta hai, toh agla support 152 yen ke aas paas ho sakta hai. Agar Federal Reserve apni stance ko thoda ease bhi karta hai, toh bhi United States Bank of Japan ke muqable mein kaafi strong position mein rahega, jo higher interest rates ke wajood mein debt environment se jura hua hai.Interest rate gap ke barqarar rehne ki umeed hai aur US dollar ne foreseeable future ke liye momentum hasil kar liya hai. Yeh dynamic USD/JPY pair ko long termabhi tak maximum ko thoda sa update kar sakte hain. Ek giravat karne ki koshish hui jismein keemat almost pehla important support level 153.40 tak pahunch gayi aur jaise hi yeh area touch hui, keemat fir se upar chali gayi. Main abhi bhi 151.90 ke aas paas ek corrective decline ka intezar kar raha hoon, yeh sirf ek level nahi, balki yahaan ka main maapat level hai. Yeh 2022 aur 2023 ka maximum hai aur aap dekh sakte hain ke keemat almost ek mahine tak neeche se iske upar dabayi ja rahi thi, bahar jane ka himmat nahi kar rahi thi. Lekin ab woh chali gayi hai aur ab waapis jaana nahi chahti. Lekin main ab bhi yakeen karta hoon ke woh is level ko ek magnet ki tarah attract karenge, tootne ke baad reverse test karna zaroori hai, waise agar hum new heights ko chhod kar upar jaate hain jo terminal ki poori itihaas mein kabhi nahi dekhe gaye, tab bhi. Jab tak yeh pullback nahi hoti, aap nahi kharid sakte; aap market ka khuda top pakad sakte hain. Yeh wazeh hai ke yahaan ek critical peak hai, spring daba hua hai aur ek jeebhark collapse aage bhi ho sakta hai. Mere khayal se yahaan H4 par ek mirror level ka intezar karna chahiye jab maujooda top ko update kiya gaya, taki support se resistance mein badal jaye aur ek corrective rollback ka nishana 151.90 ke area tak laga sakein. H4 par, jab maujooda top ko update kiya gaya, MACD indicator par bearish divergence ban gayi, yeh wajah hai ke agar aap bech nahi sakte, toh bilkul kharid nahi sakte. Aaj economic calendar mein koi mahatvapurn arthik khabar nahi hai. Moving average ke neeche




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      • #6513 Collapse

        khareeda. Kyunki yeh Amrici session ke ikhtitam ki taraf hua, is liye koi naye daakhilay bazaar mein nahi mile. Kal ke Japan mein machinery orders aur trade balance ke musbat figures ko nazar andaz kiya gaya, lekin aaj ke economic activity ke nishandehiyon ne yen ko mazboot kar diya. Japan mein manufacturing PMI aur services PMI ne ma'ashiyat ke mohrajaat ko peechey chhoda, jo ke muashion ke tajziyati tawaghan ko girane wala tha. Lekin sawal yeh hai ke yen kharidne walon ki daair tak kitni muddat rahegi, khaaskar ek bullish dollar market mein aur Federal Reserve ke interest rates par mazboot stance ke sath. Aaj, maine iraday kiye hain ke USD/JPY ko 156.80 (graph par hari line) ke qareeb ka hisa khareedun taake woh 157.15 (outline par zyada moti hari line) tak chade. 157.15 ke aas paas, maine khareedne ka irada kiya hai aur doosri taraf se farokht karna hai (yeh 30-35 jagahon ka chal chuka hai). Aaj, maine iraday kiye hain ke USD/JPY ko 156.56 ke muqam par do bar test hone par (jab MACD indicator oversold area mein hai), kharidun. Yeh jodi ka nichley potential ko mehdood kar dega aur ek sarhad ka bazaar ulta ho sakta hai. 156.80 aur 157.15 ke mukhalif darajat par, izaafa mutawaqqa hai. Aaj, maine iraday kiye hain ke USD/JPY ko sirf tab bechun jab wo 156.56 ke muqam se neeche toot jaye (graph par surkhi line), jo ke jodi mein tezi se kami kar dega. Farokht karne walon ke liye ahem maqsad 156.30 hoga, jahan main farokht chhodunga aur jaldi se kharidun (yeh 20-25 jagahon ka chal chuka hai). Jodi ke upar farokht ka dabao wapas aa sakta hai agar yeh rozi rozi ke uchay par ittefaq nahi karta. Aaj, maine iraday kiye hain ke agar MACD nishandehi zero mark ke niche ho aur bas ab is se girne laga ho, tab main USD/JPY ko bhi bechne ka irada karta hoon. Agar MACD nishandehi overbought area mein ho aur 156.80 ke dauray ke do murattab hon, to main aaj bhi USD/JPY ko bechne ka irada rakhta hoon. Yeh jodi ka sarhadon


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        • #6514 Collapse

          USD/JPY market iss waqt aik aham marhala-e-bulish momentum se guzar raha hai, jahan buyers barh chadh kar market ko apne qaboo mein rakhein hue hain. Yeh marhala musalsal koshishon ka zikar karta hai jahan qeemat ko barhane ki koshish ki ja rahi hai, jo ke buying interest aur market sentiment ko mazid mazboot banata hai jo aik upward trend ko promote karta hai.Is waqt market ka primary objective yeh hai ke woh significant resistance area ko break kare jo ke 157.54 level ke qareeb hai. Yeh resistance level traders aur investors ke liye bohot important hai, kyun ke agar yeh successful tor par breach ho gaya to yeh mazeed faiday aur upward trend ke continuation ka raasta khol sakta hai.

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          Yeh bullish momentum kuch key factors ki wajah se hai. Sab se pehla factor yeh hai ke economic data ne positive indicators diye hain jo ke US economy ke strong honay ka saboot dete hain. Is wajah se investors USD mein invest karne ko targeeh dete hain jo ke USD/JPY pair ko bulish trend mein daal deta hai.Dusra factor yeh hai ke Bank of Japan ki policy abhi bhi loose monetary policy par qaim hai, jo ke yen ko weak rakhti hai. Iss se bhi USD/JPY pair ka momentum upward hota hai. Jab Bank of Japan interest rates ko low rakhta hai to investors yen ko sell karke USD ko buy karte hain Teeesra factor global market trends aur geopolitical stability bhi hai. Jab global markets mein confidence high hota hai to risk-on sentiment promote hota hai jo ke USD/JPY pair ko support karta hai.

             
          • #6515 Collapse


            Aaj currency pair ki price gir rahi thi, aur shayad bohot se log is correction ka intezar kar rahe the. Shaam ko States se news bhi aane wali hai. Aur aaj Friday hai; mein market se bahar baitha hoon aur zyadatar trade nahi karunga; aik pair mere liye kafi hai. Traders abhi bhi pair ko upar push kar rahe hain. Support 157.00 par hai, aur resistance 158.30 par hai. Mein dekhunga ke pair ki price Monday ko kahan jati hai taake entry ka faisla karun. Europe mein bura haal hai. Aaj maine analytics padhi. China aur goods ke sath maslay hain, jo Germany, Netherlands, aur France mein customs duties ko barhaenge. Iska matlab ye hai ke ye mulk bohot zyada paisa kho denge. Aur yeh cheez pareshan kun hai. Agar aisa hai, to US dollar exchange rate barhega, aur pair ko declines par wapas kharida ja sakta hai.
            Natijatan, USD/JPY pair aaj Japan se aane wali news ke baad upar chali gayi jaise bohot se log umeed kar rahe the, aur price apne maximum ko update kar gayi
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            Mujhe nahi pata ke kisi aur ne is trading instrument par profit liya ya nahi jab long volumetric bullish hourly candle close hui, lekin yeh fact ke price thodi aur upar gayi matlab mein ne is par zyada tawajjo nahi di. Yeh dekhte hue ke is pair par sab price movements ab smart money ki market manipulation hain, yeh maan sakte hain ke jab aksar market participants ko yeh yaqeen ho gaya hai ke is pair ko khareedna chahiye aur price zaroor upar jayegi, to price shayad aur upar na jaye, balke ulta aksar ke khilaf gir sakti hai. Agar meri guess sahi hoti hai, to is scenario ke mutabiq, yahan se hum 155.56 ke accumulation area tak niche ja sakte hain, jahan se hum phir 156.82 ke level tak barh sakte hain. Agar aisa hota hai aur USD/JPY 156.82 ka level price ko upar nahi jane dega, to is scenario ke mutabiq, level 156.82 se hum shayad niche girenge formed minimum se bohot zyada niche.

            Aaj currency pair ki price gir rahi thi, aur s
               
            • #6516 Collapse

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              hum Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting ko Wednesday ko aur Bank of Japan ko Friday ko qareeb dekhte hain, toh thodi si hichkichahat hoti hai. Is expectation ka matlab hai ke ek bara tabdeeli aane wali hai. Is surat mein, main short-term withdrawal ko buying opportunity ke tor par dekhta hoon, jo long-term increase ke mutabiq hai. Is natije mein, main in dips ko buy karne par mayal hoon.155 yen ka level short-term support ke tor par dekha ja raha hai, jo 50-day EMA ke presence mein aur bhi solid hai. Agar market is level se neeche girta hai, toh agla support 152 yen ke aas paas ho sakta hai. Agar Federal Reserve apni stance ko thoda ease bhi karta hai, toh bhi United States Bank of Japan ke muqable mein kaafi strong position mein rahega, jo higher interest rates ke wajood mein debt environment se jura hua hai.Interest rate gap ke barqarar rehne ki umeed hai aur US dollar ne foreseeable future ke liye momentum hasil kar liya hai. Yeh dynamic USD/JPY pair ko long termabhi tak maximum ko thoda sa update kar sakte hain. Ek giravat karne ki koshish hui jismein keemat almost pehla important support level 153.40 tak pahunch gayi aur jaise hi yeh area touch hui, keemat fir se upar chali gayi. Main abhi bhi 151.90 ke aas paas ek corrective decline ka intezar kar raha hoon, yeh sirf ek level nahi, balki yahaan ka main maapat level hai. Yeh 2022 aur 2023 ka maximum hai aur aap dekh sakte hain ke keemat almost ek mahine tak neeche se iske upar dabayi ja rahi thi, bahar jane ka himmat nahi kar rahi thi. Lekin ab woh chali gayi hai aur ab waapis jaana nahi chahti. Lekin main ab bhi yakeen karta hoon ke woh is level ko ek magnet ki tarah attract karenge, tootne ke baad reverse test karna zaroori hai, waise agar hum new heights ko chhod kar upar jaate hain jo terminal ki poori itihaas mein kabhi nahi dekhe gaye, tab bhi. Jab tak yeh pullback nahi hoti, aap nahi kharid sakte; aap market ka khuda top pakad sakte hain. Yeh wazeh hai ke yahaan ek critical peak hai, spring daba hua hai aur ek jeebhark collapse aage bhi ho sakta hai. Mere khayal se yahaan H4 par ek mirror level ka intezar karna chahiye jab maujooda top ko update kiya gaya, taki support se resistance mein badal jaye aur ek corrective rollback ka nishana 151.90 ke area tak laga sakein. H4 par, jab maujooda top ko update kiya gaya, MACD indicator par bearish divergence ban gayi, yeh wajah hai ke agar aap bech nahi sakte, toh bilkul kharid nahi sakte. Aaj economic calendar mein koi mahatvapurn arthik khabar nahi hai. Moving average ke neeche
                 
              • #6517 Collapse

                NIGARI: Karobar ki tajziya aur Japani yen ka tajribati behtareen Paish-e-raft Mein, jab MACD nishandehi zero mark se intehai buland hota gaya, to 156.56 ke qeemat darja barqi hui, jis ne jodi ke mazeed buland potential ko roka. Is liye, maine ise nahi khareeda. Kyunki yeh Amrici session ke ikhtitam ki taraf hua, is liye koi naye daakhilay bazaar mein nahi mile. Kal ke Japan mein machinery orders aur trade balance ke musbat figures ko nazar andaz kiya gaya, lekin aaj ke economic activity ke nishandehiyon ne yen ko mazboot kar diya. Japan mein manufacturing PMI aur services PMI ne ma'ashiyat ke mohrajaat ko peechey chhoda, jo ke muashion ke tajziyati tawaghan ko girane wala tha. Lekin sawal yeh hai ke


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ID:	13004145 yen kharidne walon ki daair tak kitni muddat rahegi, khaaskar ek bullish dollar market mein aur Federal Reserve ke interest rates par mazboot stance ke sath. Aaj, maine iraday kiye hain ke USD/JPY ko 156.80 (graph par hari line) ke qareeb ka hisa khareedun taake woh 157.15 (outline par zyada moti hari line) tak chade. 157.15 ke aas paas, maine khareedne ka irada kiya hai aur doosri taraf se farokht karna hai (yeh 30-35 jagahon ka chal chuka hai). Aaj, maine iraday kiye hain ke USD/JPY ko 156.56 ke muqam par do bar test hone par (jab MACD indicator oversold area mein hai), kharidun. Yeh jodi ka nichley potential ko mehdood kar dega aur ek sarhad ka bazaar ulta ho sakta hai. 156.80 aur 157.15 ke mukhalif darajat par, izaafa mutawaqqa hai. Aaj, maine iraday kiye hain ke USD/JPY ko sirf tab bechun jab wo 156.56 ke muqam se neeche toot jaye (graph par surkhi line), jo ke jodi mein tezi se kami kar dega. Farokht karne walon ke liye ahem maqsad 156.30 hoga, jahan main farokht chhodunga aur jaldi se kharidun (yeh 20-25 jagahon ka chal chuka hai). Jodi ke upar farokht ka dabao wapas aa sakta hai agar yeh rozi rozi ke uchay par ittefaq nahi karta. Aaj, maine iraday kiye hain ke agar MACD nishandehi zero mark ke niche ho aur bas ab is se girne laga ho, tab main USD/JPY ko bhi bechne ka irada karta hoon. Agar MACD nishandehi overbought area mein ho aur 156.80 ke dauray ke do murattab hon, to main aaj bhi USD/JPY ko bechne ka irada rakhta hoon. Yeh jodi ka sarhadon ke vertical potential ko mehdood kar dega aur ek market ulta ho sakta hai. 156.56 aur 156.30 ke mukhalif


                   
                • #6518 Collapse

                  NIGARI: Karobar ki tajziya aur Japani yen ka tajribati behtareen Paish-e-raft Mein, jab MACD nishandehi zero mark se intehai buland hota gaya, to 156.56 ke qeemat darja barqi hui, jis ne jodi ke mazeed buland potential ko roka. Is liye, maine ise nahi khareeda. Kyunki yeh Amrici session ke

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                  ikhtitam ki taraf hua, is liye koi naye daakhilay bazaar mein nahi mile. Kal ke Japan mein machinery orders aur trade balance ke musbat figures ko nazar andaz kiya gaya, lekin aaj ke economic activity ke nishandehiyon ne yen ko mazboot kar diya. Japan mein manufacturing PMI aur services PMI ne ma'ashiyat ke mohrajaat ko peechey chhoda, jo ke muashion ke tajziyati tawaghan ko girane wala tha. Lekin sawal yeh hai ke yen kharidne walon ki daair tak kitni muddat rahegi, khaaskar ek bullish dollar market mein aur Federal Reserve ke interest rates par mazboot stance ke sath. Aaj, maine iraday kiye hain ke USD/JPY ko 156.80 (graph par hari line) ke qareeb ka hisa khareedun taake woh 157.15 (outline par zyada moti hari line) tak chade. 157.15 ke aas paas, maine khareedne ka irada kiya hai aur doosri taraf se farokht karna hai (yeh 30-35 jagahon ka chal chuka hai). Aaj, maine iraday kiye hain ke USD/JPY ko 156.56 ke muqam par do bar test hone par (jab MACD indicator oversold area mein hai), kharidun. Yeh jodi ka nichley potential ko mehdood kar dega aur ek sarhad ka bazaar ulta ho sakta hai. 156.80 aur 157.15 ke mukhalif darajat par, izaafa mutawaqqa hai. Aaj, maine iraday kiye hain ke USD/JPY ko sirf tab bechun jab wo 156.56 ke muqam se neeche toot jaye (graph par surkhi line), jo ke jodi mein tezi se kami kar dega. Farokht karne walon ke liye ahem maqsad 156.30 hoga, jahan main farokht chhodunga aur jaldi se kharidun (yeh 20-25 jagahon ka chal chuka hai). Jodi ke upar farokht ka dabao wapas aa sakta hai agar yeh rozi rozi ke uchay par ittefaq nahi karta. Aaj, maine iraday kiye hain ke agar MACD nishandehi zero mark ke niche ho aur bas ab is se girne laga ho, tab main USD/JPY ko bhi bechne ka irada karta hoon. Agar MACD nishandehi overbought area mein ho aur 156.80 ke dauray ke do murattab hon, to main aaj bhi USD/JPY ko bechne ka irada rakhta hoon. Yeh jodi ka sarhadon ke vertical potential ko mehdood kar dega aur ek market ulta ho sakta hai. 156.56 aur 156.30
                     
                  • #6519 Collapse

                    PY currency pair is waqt bohot hi dilchasp aur pechida price behavior dikhayi de rahi hai, jo ke traders ki tawajjo ka markaz ban gayi hai jo iske complex patterns ka bariki se tajziya kar rahe hain. Filhal, is pair ne ek notable triangle pattern form kiya hai, jo aksar market mein continuation ya reversal signal karta hai. Yeh particular triangle pattern khas taur par dilchasp hai kyun ke iska downward break, H1 (one-hour) timeframe par dekhi jane wali downtrend channel ki upper border ke sath perfect alignment mein hai.

                    Triangle Pattern ka Tajziya

                    Triangle pattern ko dekhte hue, traders note kar rahe hain ke yeh converging trendlines se characterized hai, jo ke price action ke series of lower highs aur higher lows banane par banti hain. Yeh convergence consolidation ka period indicate karta hai, jahan market participants indecisive hote hain aur price range narrow hoti hai. Aise formations aksar significant price movements se pehle hoti hain, kyun ke market breakout hone se pehle momentum build up karti hai.

                    Downtrend Channel aur Resistance Level

                    Is scenario mein, triangle pattern ka downward break khas taur par significant hai kyun ke yeh H1 timeframe par downtrend channel ki upper border ke sath coincide karta hai. Downtrend channel ne USD/JPY pair ko neeche ki taraf guide kiya hai, jahan descending peaks aur troughs nazar aate hain. Is channel ki upper border ek resistance level serve karti hai, jahan selling pressure barh jata hai, jo ke bearish sentiment ko reinforce karta hai.

                    Broader Market Environment ka Asar

                    Yeh pattern broader market environment ke context mein develop ho raha hai, jo is tajziya mein ek aur complexity ka layer add karta hai. USD/JPY pair mukhtalif fundamental factors se influenced hota hai, including United States aur Japan ke darmiyan monetary policy differences, economic data releases, aur geopolitical events. Yeh factors volatility create kar sakte hain aur technical patterns ki effectiveness ko impact kar sakte hain. Is liye, traders aksar technical analysis ke sath fundamental analysis bhi combine karte hain taake potential price movements ko comprehensively understand kar sakein.
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                    • #6520 Collapse

                      USD/JPY pair ki qeemat filhal 157.98 level ke ird-gird mandla rahi hai, jo ke daily (D1) chart par mazboot bullish momentum ko zahir kar rahi hai. Ye upward trend tab se musalsal hai jab se pair ne guzishta hafte 156.41 support level ko paar kiya tha. Hafte ke ibtida mein kuch girawat ke bawajood, qeemat ne is support zone ke upar apni taqat barqarar rakhi hai, jo ke strong buying interest ko zahir karta hai. Agar ye momentum jaari rehti hai, to agla target peechle high 160.20 par ho sakta hai.

                      Technical Analysis of USD/JPY

                      Technical indicators is positive outlook ko mazid mazbooti dete hain. Qeemat 50-day aur 100-day Simple Moving Averages (SMA) ke upar trade kar rahi hai, jo ke ongoing upward pressure ko zahir karta hai. Iske ilawa, Oscillator of Moving Average (OSMA) indicator buy signal dikha raha hai, jo ke market mein dekhe gaye bullish trend ke mutabiq hai.

                      Key Levels to Watch
                      Resistance Level: 160.20 – Agar ye breach ho jata hai, to mazid gains ka raasta khul sakta hai Click image for larger version

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                      Support Level: 156.41 – Agar qeemat is level se neeche girti hai, to ye market sentiment mein potential shift ko zahir kar sakta hai

                      Conclusion

                      Mukhtasir mein, USD/JPY pair mazboot bullish tendencies dikha raha hai, jahan key support aur resistance levels wazeh tor par defined hain. 50 aur 100 SMAs ke upar price movement aur OSMA buy signal ke sath, 160.20 target ki taraf jaari upward movement ka imkaan zyada hai. Magar, traders ko kisi bhi reversal signs se hoshiyar rehna chahiye, khaaskar agar qeemat critical 156.41 support level se neeche girti hai

                      Key Takeaways:
                      Current Price: 157.98 – Mazboot bullish momentum ko zahir karta hai
                      Target Resistance: 160.20 – Mazid gains ke liye significant resistance point
                      Key Support: 156.41 – Potential reversals ke liye critical level
                      Technical Indicators: 50 aur 100 SMAs ke upar, OSMA buy signal – Bullish outlook ko support karta hai

                      Traders ko in levels ko qareebi tor par monitor karna chahiye aur market sentiment mein kisi bhi potential shifts se hoshiyar rehna chahiye
                       
                      • #6521 Collapse

                        Hello, USD/JPY pair Asian session mein Thursday ko upar hai aur multi-day low ko hit kiya hai raat ko 155.70 area se bounce hone ke baad ya soft US consumer inflation data ki wajah se. Lekin, spot prices mein confidence ki kami hai aur ye abhi 156.75-156.80 region ke around trade ho rahe hain jabke ab tawajju Bank of Japan policy meeting par hai. Ek major central bank event ke risk ko dekhte hue, Federal Reserve ka Wednesday ka surprise US dollar ke liye tailwind ban gaya aur USD/JPY pair ko kuch support diya. Asal mein, policymakers ko lagta hai ke is saal kam rate cuts ki zarurat hai kyunki inflation pehle se ziada hone ka estimate hai aur sirf ek rate cut 2024 mein dekh sakte hain, March mein expected teen ke muqable. Ye outlook, baday peemane par soft US Consumer Price Index print se overshadowed hai, jo May mein unchanged raha pehli dafa June last se, aur April ke 3.4 percent annualized se 3.3 percent par aagaya. Iske ilawa, US Bureau of Labor Statistics ne report kiya ke annual core CPI, jo volatile food aur energy prices ko include karta hai, April ke 3.6 percent se 3.4 percent par agaya, expectations ke 3.5 percent se kam hote hue, teen saal ka low hit kar gaya


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                        Lekin, Fed estimates mein change USD ko kam karna chahiye aur USD/JPY pair ke liye zyada appreciable move ka prospect support karna chahiye. Bulls, magar, hesitate lagte hain amid uncertainty ke BoJ kamzor economy ke doran monthly government bond purchases mein reduction announce karega. Hence, focus highly anticipated two-day BoJ meeting ke outcome par hoga jo Friday ko announce hoga. Is darmiyan, Thursday ka US economic docket - jo producer price index aur general weekly initial jobless claims data ko shamil karta hai - short-term trading opportunities ke liye early North American session mein dekhna chahiye. Iske ilawa, broader risk sentiment, jo safe-haven Japanese yen ke demand ko boost karta hai, USD/JPY pair ko kuch impetus provide kar sakta hai
                           
                        • #6522 Collapse

                          NZDUSD D1 time frame chart par dekhne se yeh wazeh hota hai ke currency pair ek defined range ke andar consolidate ho raha hai. Yeh consolidation phase recent overbought condition ko RSI indicator par observe kiya gaya hai. Is ka natija yeh hai ke NZDUSD is waqt is range-bound zone ke andar price adjustments kar raha hai. Umeed hai ke yeh corrective movements near term mein jaari rahein gi jab tak ek resolution tak nahi pohonchti. Yeh ranging behavior ka period traders ke liye moqay paish karta hai ke woh strategize karen aur established range ke andar potential price swings se faida uthain. Iske ilawa, market participants closely key support aur resistance levels ko monitor kar rahe hain potential breakout ya reversal signals ke liye, jo ke current consolidation phase ke end ko signal kar sakte hain. Is liye, traders ko mashwara diya jata hai ke woh vigilant rahein aur apni trading strategies ko accordingly adapt karein taake is period of price adjustment mein NZDUSD currency pair ko navigate kar sakein


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                          NZDUSD H4 time frame chart par dekhne se yeh nazar aata hai ke current trend pichle haftay observe ki gayi trend se mukhtalif hai. Yeh stable direction aur candlestick movements ke aim se coupled with a slight downward correction se wazeh hota hai. Pichle trends par mabni initial expectations ke bawajood, market relative stability ka period experience kar raha hai jisme subtle bearish inclination hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke market sentiment ya currency pair movement ko influence karne wale underlying factors mein shift ko zahir karta hai. Traders ko apni strategies ko reassess karna padega aur price action ko closely monitor karna hoga potential opportunities ya ek more pronounced trend reversal ke signs ke liye. Iske ilawa, broader economic aur geopolitical context ko consider karna further insights provide kar sakta hai jo ke NZDUSD exchange rate ko is period ke dauran drive kar rahe hain.

                             
                          • #6523 Collapse

                            H4 chart par, USD/JPY ki recent movements ne buyers ko apni dominance assert karte hue dekha hai, jo local highs ko update kar rahe hain. Ye bullish assertion upward trend ke continuation ki taraf ishara kar raha hai, jo shayad levels 156.35 se 156.64 ke around target kar sakta hai. Yeh consistent push towards new highs strong buying momentum ko suggest kar raha hai, jo traders ke pair ke upward potential par confidence ko reflect karta hai. Ye confidence steady climb mein nazar aata hai, jahan har nayi high pehli high ko surpass kar rahi hai, jo ek clear bullish pattern ko establish kar rahi hai. Lekin, jab price in higher levels ke kareeb pohnchti hai, traders ko potential selling pressures ka khayal rakhna chahiye, khas kar jab pair 156.35 se 156.64 range mein enter kare. Bullish outlook ke bawajood, ehtiyat zaroori hai. Significant selling pressures 156.35 se 156.64 range mein aasakti hain, jo temporary pullback ya consolidation phase ko lead kar sakti hain. Yeh ehtiyat is liye zaroori hai kyun ke yeh levels profit-taking activities ko attract kar sakti hain traders se jo lower prices par market mein enter hue the. Is range mein resistance bhi historical price action ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jahan pehle attempts in levels ko breach karne ke liye selling interest ke saath mile. Isliye, jab overall trend bullish hai, traders ko possible short-term corrections ke liye tayar rehna chahiye jab pair in higher levels ko test kare.

                            Broader view lete hue, USD/JPY pair ne ek period of sideways movement encounter kiya hai, jo ek imminent breakout ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. Yeh sideways movement ek consolidation phase ko indicate karta hai jahan market ek decisive move karne se pehle strength gather kar raha hota hai. Consolidation phase price ko ek narrow range mein oscillate karta dekhta hai, jo buyers aur sellers ke beech balance ko reflect karta hai. Yeh balance aksar ek significant breakout se pehle hota hai, kyun ke market ke paas itni momentum build up ho jati hai ke woh key resistance ya support levels ko overcome kar sake. Traders ko is phase ke dauran price action ko closely monitor karna chahiye, kyun ke breakout substantial trading opportunities provide kar sakta hai.

                            Consolidation phase ke bawajood, USD/JPY ka overall trend bullish hai. Bullish trend strong fundamentals aur technical indicators se supported hai, jo suggest karte hain ke pair apni upward trajectory continue karne ke chances hain. Lekin, yeh bullish momentum gains ko consolidate karne ke liye ek pullback ki zaroorat ho sakti hai aur ek more sustainable upward movement establish kar sakti hai. Key support levels tak pullback naye buyers ko market mein more favorable prices par enter karne ka mauka de sakti hai, jo bullish trend ko reinforce karte hain. Traders ko pullback ke signs ko dekhna chahiye, jaise weakening momentum ya bearish candlestick patterns, potential entry points ko identify karne ke liye long positions ke liye.

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                            Conclusion mein, USD/JPY pair hourly chart par strong bullish momentum show kar raha hai, recent movements local highs ko update kar rahe hain aur further upward potential ki taraf hint kar rahe hain. Lekin, 156.35 se 156.64 range mein significant selling pressures caution warrant karte hain, jo temporary pullback ko lead kar sakti hain. Broader view ek period of sideways movement ko indicate karta hai, jo ek imminent breakout ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. Consolidation ke bawajood, overall trend bullish hai, jo gains ko consolidate karne ke liye ek pullback ki zaroorat ho sakti hai. Traders ko key levels aur price action ko closely monitor karna chahiye potential trading opportunities ko capitalize karne ke liye. In dynamics ko samajh kar, traders USD/JPY market ko better navigate kar sakte hain aur informed decisions le sakte hain jo unki trading strategies ke saath align karte hain.
                               
                            • #6524 Collapse

                              hai ke ek bara tabdeeli aane wali hai. Is surat mein, main short-term withdrawal ko buying opportunity ke tor par dekhta hoon, jo long-term increase ke mutabiq hai. Is natije mein, main in dips ko buy karne par mayal hoon.155 yen ka level short-term support ke tor par dekha ja raha hai, jo 50-day EMA ke
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                              presence mein aur bhi solid hai. Agar market is level se neeche girta hai, toh agla support 152 yen ke aas paas ho sakta hai. Agar Federal Reserve apni stance ko thoda ease bhi karta hai, toh bhi United States Bank of Japan ke muqable mein kaafi strong position mein rahega, jo higher interest rates ke wajood mein debt environment se jura hua hai.Interest rate gap ke barqarar rehne ki umeed hai aur US dollar ne foreseeable future ke liye momentum hasil kar liya hai. Yeh dynamic USD/JPY pair ko long termabhi tak maximum ko thoda sa update kar sakte hain. Ek giravat karne ki koshish hui jismein keemat almost pehla important support level 153.40 tak pahunch gayi aur jaise hi yeh area touch hui, keemat fir se upar chali gayi. Main abhi bhi 151.90 ke aas paas ek corrective decline ka intezar kar raha hoon, yeh sirf ek level nahi, balki yahaan ka main maapat level hai. Yeh 2022 aur 2023 ka maximum hai aur aap dekh sakte hain ke keemat almost ek mahine tak neeche se iske upar dabayi ja rahi thi, bahar jane ka himmat nahi kar rahi thi. Lekin ab woh chali gayi hai aur ab waapis jaana nahi chahti. Lekin main ab bhi yakeen karta hoon ke woh is level ko ek magnet ki tarah attract karenge, tootne ke baad reverse test karna zaroori hai, waise agar hum new heights ko chhod kar upar jaate hain jo terminal ki poori itihaas mein kabhi nahi dekhe gaye, tab bhi. Jab tak yeh pullback nahi hoti, aap nahi kharid sakte; aap market ka khuda top pakad sakte hain. Yeh wazeh hai ke yahaan ek critical peak hai, spring daba hua hai aur ek jeebhark collapse aage bhi ho sakta hai. Mere khayal se yahaan H4 par ek mirror level ka intezar karna chahiye jab maujooda top ko update kiya gaya, taki support se resistance mein badal jaye aur ek corrective rollback ka nishana 151.90 ke area tak laga sakein. H4 par, jab maujooda top ko update kiya gaya, MACD indicator par bearish divergence ban gayi, yeh wajah hai ke agar aap bech nahi sakte, toh bilkul kharid nahi sakte. Aaj economic calendar mein koi mahatvapurn arthik khabar nahi hai. Moving average ke neeche
                                 
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                              • #6525 Collapse


                                USD-JPY PAIR REVIEW

                                USDJPY currency pair ki halat pichle haftay se nahi badli kyunke prices pichle haftay bullish move hui thi lekin ab bearish raaste par wapas aayi hain. Iss haftay, keemat 156.74 ke leval se start hui aur ab 157.25 tak bullish move hui hai. Pichle haftay ke movement ko dekhte hue, movement ab bhi bullish thi ek bohot significant range ke sath, jo is baat ka ishaara hai ke market ab bhi ek correction face kar rahi hai. H4 timeframe ke trend ke mutabiq, ye currency pair phir se upward phase mein move karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Market structure jo already bullish hai aur latest movement bhi oopar ki taraf hai, ye ek opportunity ho sakti hai buy-trading transactions ko anjam dene ki.


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                                Graph ko dekhne se maloom hota hai ke candlestick jo dheere dheere oopar move kar rahi hai, 157.00 ke leval ko tor gayi hai, jo ye zahir karta hai ke upward trend ab bhi dominate kar raha hai. MACD indicator par histogram bar phir se zero level ke upar gir gayi hai, jo ek bullish trend ka ishara hai. Agar aaj raat tak upward movement 157.40 ke leval ke upar tor de, to bohot zyada imkaan hai ke keemat ab bhi oopar move karegi, aur hatta ke upward rally ka potential bhi hai week ke akhir tak. Lekin agar market aaj raat ko dobara neeche move kare, to ek correction hogi. Khareedaron ka ek fauj shayad keemat ko oopar dhakel kar weekly high ko dobara test karne ki koshish kare.
                                   

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