usd/jpy

USD/JPY


Japanese yen lagataar chaarth din gir raha hai, jo weakness ka ishara de raha hai. Yeh ek significant Central Bank ke faislay aur US inflation data ke release se pehle ho raha hai. Higher-than-expected producer price data shayad yen ko temporary support de, lekin overall situation challenging hai. Japan aur United States ke darmiyan widening interest rate gap yen ke masail ka primary cause hai. Jumme ko expected hai ke Bank of Japan apni ultra-loose monetary policy ko maintain rakhega, interest rates ko zero ke kareeb rakhte hue. Iske contrast mein, expected hai ke Federal Reserve interest rates ko raise karta rahega taake inflation se lar sake. US dollar yen ke muqable mein ek zyada appealing investment option ban gaya hai significant interest rate difference ki wajah se.

Technical front pe, USD/JPY cash pair iss waqt lagbhag 157.20 pe trade kar raha hai. Daily chart pe analysts ek rising trend observe kar rahe hain jahan pair ek ascending channel mein consolidate kar raha hai. Stochastic Oscillator aur RSI dono is upward momentum ke continuation ki taraf ishara karte hain. Agar price mental resistance 158.00 ke upar break karti hai to yeh dollar ko aur reinforce kar sakta hai aur pair ko 158.80 tak push kar sakta hai. Naye multi-decade highs 160.32 pe bhi pohnchne ka chance hai.



Lekin, dollar ki dominance ke liye kuch potential barriers hain. 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) ascending channel ke lower boundary ke saath coincide karti hai lagbhag 155.03 pe. Agar price is level se neeche girti hai to ek reversal ho sakta hai, jo pair ko wapas 152.80 support area ki taraf bhej sakta hai. Technical indicators shorter timeframes pe positive short-term bias suggest karte hain. 20-day SMA (Simple Moving Average) 156.30 pe initial resistance ka kaam kar sakti hai pehle ke 157.70 pe ek possible top banaye. Iske baad, Fibonacci retracement levels aur significant high 160.20 central points of interest ban jate hain traders ke liye.

Japan aur United States ke divergent monetary policies Japanese yen pe downward pressure daalti rehti hain overall. Yen ka long-term outlook uncertain hai, halan ke kuch technical indicators short term mein dollar ke potential upside ka ishara karte hain.

USD/JPY currency pair ne kareeb 180 pips ka aham girawat mehsoos ki. Us waqt ka candle RBS zone se guzarna na mumkin tha. 154.72 ke qeemat tak girnay ke baad, USD/JPY achanak phir se budhwar ko kareeb 180 pips ke darmiyan buland ho gaya. Tehqiqat karne par pata chala ke USD/JPY ka izafa is wajah se hua ke candle ek talab area mein phansa hua tha. Aaj, USD/JPY ne 156.07 par trading shuru ki. Iftitah ka maqam kuch had tak mehdood hai kyun ke USD/JPY phir se neechay ki taraf ja raha hai
H1 time frame ko tajziya karte hue, candle ab tak supply area jo ke 156.38 par hai, se guzar nahi saka. Halankeh, USD/JPY apne izafay mein kamyab nahi hua hai. Pair izafa karne ke liye, candle ko zikar ki gayi supply area se guzarna hoga. Agar nahi toh phir shayad dobara neechay murad jaye. USD/JPY dheere dheere girne laga hai. In scenarios ke darmiyan, main yeh pesh-goi karta hoon ke USD/JPY ko ab bhi izafa ka moqa hai kyun ke ek shoulder hai jo ke bilkul chhuya nahi gaya, 157.28 ke qeemat mein. Ye waqt tha jab USD/JPY rukh badalne laga
Ichimoku indicator ka istemal karte hue, candle Tenkan-sen aur Kijun-sen lines ke upar maujood hai. Ye ishara deta hai ke USD/JPY ka trend bullish hone laga hai. Izafa ke liye ab bhi bohot zyada moqa nazar ata hai. Jab tak koi naya takrao na ho, USD/JPY ka rukh zyada tar upar ki taraf hoga. Agar candle Kumo cloud se bhi guzar jaye, toh dabaav kaafi zyada hoga
Maujooda doran, stochastic indicator yeh zahir karta hai ke USD/JPY ke muqable mein bohot zyada oversold honay ka imkan hai kyun ke yeh apni kam az kam 20 ke sab se kam level ko chhune ke qareeb hai. Rukh filhal neechay hai, is liye upar ka signal abhi tak nahi aya. Jab sab se kam level chhua jaye, toh mumkin hai ke USD/JPY phir se izafa shuru kar de. Ab sirf uska rukh badalne ka intezar hai
Aaj ka tajziya yeh sujhaata hai ke USD/JPY apna bullish trend jaari rakhega, is liye phir se izafa hone ka imkan hai. 157.36 ke qareeb bhi ek shoulder hai jo ke chhua nahi gaya hai. Is liye, main is pair mein traders ko kharidari par tawajjo dene ki mashwara deta hoon. Nishana qareebi resistance level par set kiya ja sakta hai, jo ke 157.34 par hai, aur stop loss qareebi support level par set kiya ja sakta hai, jo ke 155.66 par hai.l

USD/JPY yaani Dollar aur Yen ke beech ka vyapari, Forex market mein ek bohot important pair hai. Is pair ka analysis aur trading strategies samajhna Forex traders ke liye bohot zaroori hota hai, khas taur par jab hum short karne ki soch rahe hain.

Aaj ke dor mein, USD/JPY ka rate 156.59 ke upar hai. Ye rate kaafi significant hai aur is par hamara focus hona chahiye. Short karna matlab hum yeh soch rahe hain ke future mein is pair ka rate neeche jaayega. Agar humne sahi analysis kiya aur market hamari prediction ke mutabiq chali, to humein profit hoga. Lekin, yeh bhi yaad rakhna chahiye ke Forex trading mein risk bhi bohot zyada hota hai. Is liye hamesha proper risk management ka dhyan rakhna chahiye.

Pehle toh, humare paas technical analysis tools hone chahiye jaise charts, indicators aur patterns. Moving averages, RSI, MACD jaise indicators humein market ka sentiment samajhne mein madad karte hain. Agar moving averages cross over karte hain, ya RSI overbought zone mein hota hai, toh yeh signals hote hain ke market mein reversal aasakta hai.

Fundamental analysis bhi bohot important hai. Yeh dekho ke USA aur Japan ki economies kaisi perform kar rahi hain. Interest rates, inflation, GDP growth aur central bank policies jaise factors ko analyse karo. USA ka Federal Reserve aur Japan ka Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke decisions aur statements ko closely follow karo. Agar Fed interest rates badhata hai aur BoJ apni monetary policy loose rakhta hai, toh yeh dollar ko strong aur yen ko weak bana sakta hai, aur vice versa.

USD/JPY ke pair ko trade karte waqt geopolitical tensions ko bhi nazar mein rakhna chahiye. Japan aur USA ke beech ke trade relations, Asia-Pacific region mein stability, aur global events jaise oil prices, trade wars, etc. ka bhi asar padta hai.

Ab agar hum short karne ki soch rahe hain, toh entry aur exit points kaise select karen? Entry point woh hoga jab humein lagta hai ke price peak par hai aur neeche aane wala hai. Technical indicators aur patterns jaise double top, head and shoulders, ya bearish engulfing patterns ko dekh sakte hain. Stop-loss levels ko bhi define karna zaroori hai takay agar market hamare khilaaf jaye toh humare losses limit ho sakein.

In sab baaton ko dhyan mein rakhte hue, agar humne sahi strategy adopt ki aur disciplined rahe, toh USD/JPY pair mein short karna profitable ho sakta hai. Lekin hamesha yaad rakhein, market unpredictable hai aur hamesha contingency plans ready rakhne chahiye.

movements mein kam hoti hai. Ye aksar ek trend ke baad ya phir ek ane wale event ya khabar se pehle dekha jata hai. Is phase mein traders aam tor par ehtiyaat bharti hain aur price ke levels ko nazdeek se dekhte hain, ek disha mein ya doosri disha mein breakout ka


intezar karte hue. Is waqt, USD/JPY pair ka 151.47 ke qareeb consolidation phase mein rehna ahem hota hai. Agar yeh level qaim hota hai, to ye darust karta hai ke market participants ke darmiyan mazboot ittefaq hai aur price mein bara movement ka imkan kam hai. Magar, agar yeh level tor diya jata hai, to ye trend reversal ka ishara ho sakta hai, jis se market mein izafa shiddat aur disha mein movement dekha ja sakta hai. Is consolidation phase ke doran, traders apni positions ko adjust karte hain aur ane wale catalysts ka intezar karte hain, jaise ke ma'ashyati data releases, central bank announcements, ya siyasi waqiyat. In tamam factors ka asar market sentiment aur USD/JPY pair ke price movement par ho sakta hai. Ek muntakhib strategy yeh ho sakti hai ke traders is phase mein range-bound trading ka faida uthate hue, yani ke support aur resistance levels ke darmiyan trade karte hue, jab tak ke breakout na ho. Breakout ke baad, traders ko apni positions ko adjust karne ki zarurat hoti hai aur trend ke mutabiq trading strategies ko amal mein laana hota hai. Is waqt, global ma'ashyati halat aur central bank policies bhi USD/JPY pair ke movement par asar dal rahe hain. Ma'ashyati indicators, jaise ke GDP growth, employment data, aur inflation figures, market mein shiddat paida kar sakte hain aur currency pair ke rukh ko influence kar sakte hain. Kul mila kar, USD/JPY currency pair ka 151.47 ke qareeb consolidation phase mein rehna market participants ke liye aik ahem tajziya hai. Traders ko market ke ane wale catalysts ka intezar karna chahiye aur price ke levels ke ird gird cautious rehna chahiye. resistance hai. Dosri taraf, USD/JPY ko 155.39 level par strong support mila. Agar yeh level break hota hai to next downside target 2nd level of support hai jo 154.57 par hai. Uske baad, sellers ek naye downward trend ki talash karenge towards crucial $149.87 mark jo 3rd level of support hai. Main aap sab ka shukriya ada karta hoon ke aapne mere analysis ko parhne ke liye waqt

reinforce karta hai. Demand Index suggest karta hai ke buying pressure abhi bhi strong hai, lekin caution advise ki jati hai kyunki market current levels ke near resistance face kar sakta hai. Stochastic Oscillator bhi overbought conditions ko show karta hai, jo potential reversal ki taraf hint karta hai. Meanwhile, Average True Range (ATR) increased volatility ko indicate karta hai, jo suggest karta hai ke price movements near future mein more pronounced ho sakte hain.
Agar USD/JPY pair 156.775 resistance level ke upar hold karne mein fail hoti hai aur decline start hota hai, to pehla support jo dekhna hoga wo 156.195 par hoga. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to further downward movement 155.95 aur 155.59 support levels ki taraf ho sakti hai. Agar yeh levels ke neeche sustained drop hota hai, to yeh stronger bearish trend ko indicate karega, jo potentially lower support 151.86 ko target karega. Aisi movement ke case mein, Bank of Japan intervene kar sakti hai, kyunki historically woh yen ki value mein sharp fluctuations ke baare mein concerned rehti hai. Lekin, agar pair 156.195 level ke upar stay karti hai, to yeh indicate karta hai ke buyers abhi bhi control mein hain, aur bullish trend continue kar sakti hai



Summary mein, USD/JPY currency pair ek critical juncture par hai jahan key resistance 156.775 par hai aur support 156.195 par. Technical indicators jaise ke RSI, ZigZag, EMA, Bollinger Bands, Demand Index, Stochastic Oscillator, aur ATR sab suggest karte hain ke market filhal overbought hai aur shayad correction due hai. Traders ko in levels aur indicators ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake informed decisions le sakein. Agar price 156.775 ke upar break karti hai, to yeh further gains towards 157.963 lead kar sakti hai, lekin agar yeh level ke upar hold karne mein fail hoti hai, to decline towards lower support levels ho sakta hai. Jaise hamesha, yeh zaroori hai ke both technical aur fundamental factors, including potential interventions by the Bank of Japan, ko consider karein jab USD/JPY pair ko analyze aur trade

kar tezi se neeche ki taraf chali gayi aur ek mazboot bearish impulse ke saath poora bearish candle banaya, jo aasaani se support level ke neeche gir gaya aur bharosa dilata hua band hua. Mere tajziye ke mutabiq, yeh support level 156.786 par tha. Moujooda


manzar ke mutabiq, main puri tarah tasleem karta hoon ke aaj, ek chhote uttar ki taraf palatne ke baad, southern movement jaari reh sakta hai, aur is halat mein, main support level par nazar rakhne ka irada rakhta hoon, jo mere tajziye ke mutabiq 153.61 par waqai hai. Is support level ke qareeb, do manazir samne aa sakte hain. Sab se pehli tarjeeh wala manzar, reversal candle banne aur price movement mein mazeed upar ki taraf chalne ka hai. Agar yeh plan kaamyaab ho gaya, toh main umeed karta hoon ke qeemat resistance level 157.671 par wapas jaakar band ho. Is resistance level ke upar band hone par, mazeed uttar ki taraf movement ki umeed karoonga, jahan tak ke resistance level 160.209 par. Is resistance level ke qareeb, main trading setup ke banne ka intezar karunga jo mazeed trading direction ka faisla karne mein madad dega. Mere tajziye ke mutabiq, mazeed door ke uttar targets tak bhi pohanchne ki mumkinat hain, jisme se ek 164.500 par hai, lekin halat ki monitoring ki zarurat hai, aur sab kuch khabar flow aur qeemat ke liye reaction ke upar depend karega. 153.601 ke qareeb support level ke nazdeek qeemat ke movement ke liye ek alternative manzar, is plan ke mutabiq, qeemat is level ke neeche band ho jaaye aur mazeed southern movement jaari rahe. Agar yeh plan kaamyaab ho gaya, toh main umeed karoonga ke qeemat support level 151.856 ya phir support level 150.809 ki taraf chale. In support levels ke qareeb, hum bullish signals ki talaash jaari rakheinge taaki upar ki taraf price movement ke dobara shuru hone ka intezar kiya ja sake

NIGARI: Karobar ki tajziya aur Japani yen ka tajribati behtareen Paish-e-raft Mein, jab MACD nishandehi zero mark se intehai buland hota gaya, to 156.56 ke qeemat darja barqi hui, jis ne jodi ke mazeed buland potential ko roka. Is liye, maine ise nahi khareeda. Kyunki yeh Amrici session ke ikhtitam ki taraf hua, is liye koi naye daakhilay bazaar mein nahi mile. Kal ke Japan mein machinery orders aur trade balance ke musbat figures ko nazar andaz kiya gaya, lekin aaj ke economic activity ke nishandehiyon ne yen ko mazboot kar diya. Japan mein manufacturing PMI aur services PMI ne ma'ashiyat ke mohrajaat ko peechey chhoda, jo ke muashion ke tajziyati tawaghan ko girane wala tha. Lekin sawal yeh hai ke yen kharidne walon ki daair tak kitni muddat rahegi, khaaskar ek bullish dollar market mein aur Federal Reserve ke interest rates par mazboot stance ke sath. Aaj, maine iraday kiye hain ke USD/JPY ko 156.80 (graph par hari line) ke qareeb ka hisa khareedun taake woh 157.15 (outline par zyada moti hari line) tak chade. 157.15 ke aas paas, maine khareedne ka irada kiya hai aur doosri taraf se farokht karna hai (yeh 30-35 jagahon ka chal chuka hai). Aaj, maine iraday kiye hain ke USD/JPY ko 156.56 ke muqam par do bar test hone par (jab MACD indicator oversold area mein hai), kharidun. Yeh jodi ka nichley potential ko mehdood kar dega aur ek sarhad ka bazaar ulta ho sakta hai. 156.80 aur 157.15 ke mukhalif darajat par, izaafa mutawaqqa hai. Aaj, maine iraday kiye hain ke USD/JPY ko sirf tab bechun jab wo 156.56 ke muqam se neeche toot jaye (graph par surkhi line), jo ke jodi mein tezi se kami kar dega. Farokht karne walon ke liye ahem maqsad 156.30 hoga, jahan main farokht chhodunga aur jaldi se kharidun (yeh 20-25 jagahon ka chal chuka hai). Jodi ke upar farokht ka dabao wapas aa sakta hai agar yeh rozi rozi ke uchay par ittefaq nahi karta. Aaj, maine iraday kiye hain ke agar MACD nishandehi zero mark ke niche ho aur bas ab is se girne laga ho, tab main USD/JPY ko bhi bechne ka irada karta hoon. Agar MACD nishandehi overbought area mein ho aur 156.80 ke dauray ke do murattab hon, to main aaj bhi USD/JPY ko bechne ka irada rakhta hoon. Yeh jodi ka sarhadon ke vertical potential ko mehdood kar dega aur ek market ulta ho sakta hai. 156.56 aur 156.30 ke mukhalif

THE CURRENCY PAIR USD-JPY
Thoda thoda karke, woh corridor se nikalne lage hain, jo filhal ek ascending triangle se zahir hai, aur USD/JPY growth ka imkan hai, jo pair ko higher rates tak le jayega. Dekhte hain ke aaj USD ka kya hota hai; lagta hai ke yeh mazboot hoga aur USD/JPY iss background ke against barhega. Bulls ko upar move karne ke liye kafi mehnat karni padegi aur 157.94 se nikalna hoga, lekin yahan sab kuch weak news ki wajah se complicated hai. Lagta hai ke aisa mauka aa raha hai; afsos ke saath keh nahi sakta ke yeh move kaun se period mein hoga, khas tor par pehle 157.40 tak pohanchna padega. Agar fail ho gaye, toh bulls naturally 156.94 se upar nahi jaayenge, aur southerners ek downward wave 155.99 ke support tak le aayenge. Is range mein bears ki mazbooti downward movement ko mazid mazboot karegi aur southern structure ko prolong karne ke liye ek additional wave ko spin karegi. Abhi dekh raha hoon ke movement northern direction ka demand kar raha hai kyunki structurally, hum USD/JPY ke fall se finish kar chuke hain aur phir se bullish potential mein enter ho gaye hain, jo complete karna zaroori hai. Yeh nikalta hai ke kam az kam do options ko catch kiya ja sakta hai. Maine expected kiya tha ke ek deeper correction hoga, lekin aaj market predictable hoga, aur bina kisi special surprises ke, pair apni further movement along the tops area 160 tak continue karega, halan ke main market mein enter nahi ho saka kyunki dusre instrument par concentrate tha. Bunyadi tor par, aap current levels se bhi market mein enter kar sakte hain ek choti stop ke sath.





158.17 ka agla qadam jald hi pohancha ja sakta hai. Kharidarein itmenan se hain, aur mazeed vertical qeemat barhne ki salahiyat ki taraf ishara karte hain. Isi liye, hum is josh ko faida uthane ka irada rakhte hain aur maal e maash ko maqsood level ki taraf kharidte hain. Magar agar bullish trend dheema pad jaye, to qeemat ka 157.15 tak girne ka imkan hai, uske baad wo mazeed barhne ka imkan hai, jahan mehngaai ke dar ko pehle rakha jata hai. Shaoor afza market levels ne bullish aur negative qeemat ke harekat ko zahir kiya hai, lekin USD/JPY ke rukh ka durust andaza lagana ek mushkil challenge hai. USD/JPY ke efforts ke natije mein shayad qeemat barh sake, chahe mushkil

THE CURRENCY PAIR USD-JPY
Thoda thoda karke, woh corridor se nikalne lage hain, jo filhal ek ascending triangle se zahir hai, aur USD/JPY growth ka imkan hai, jo pair ko higher rates tak le jayega. Dekhte hain ke aaj USD ka kya hota hai; lagta hai ke yeh mazboot hoga aur USD/JPY iss background ke against barhega. Bulls ko upar move karne ke liye kafi mehnat karni padegi aur 157.94 se nikalna hoga, lekin yahan sab kuch weak news ki wajah se complicated hai. Lagta hai ke aisa mauka aa raha hai; afsos ke saath keh nahi sakta ke yeh move kaun se period mein hoga, khas tor par pehle 157.40 tak pohanchna padega. Agar fail ho gaye, toh bulls naturally 156.94 se upar nahi jaayenge, aur southerners ek downward wave 155.99 ke support tak le aayenge. Is range mein bears ki mazbooti downward movement ko mazid mazboot karegi aur southern structure ko prolong karne ke liye ek additional wave ko spin karegi. Abhi dekh raha hoon ke movement northern direction ka demand kar raha hai kyunki structurally, hum USD/JPY ke fall se finish kar chuke hain aur phir se bullish potential mein enter ho gaye hain, jo complete karna zaroori hai. Yeh nikalta hai ke kam az kam do options ko catch kiya ja sakta hai. Maine expected kiya tha ke ek deeper correction hoga, lekin aaj market predictable hoga, aur bina kisi special surprises ke, pair apni further movement along the tops area 160 tak continue karega, halan ke main market mein enter nahi ho saka kyunki dusre instrument par concentrate tha. Bunyadi tor par, aap current levels se bhi market mein enter kar sakte hain ek choti stop ke sath.




USD/JPY pair par musbat hai. Jaari kharidari ka jazba ye darust karta hai ke currency pair ke liye mazboot support hai, kyun ke kharidne wale qeemat ko mazeed buland rakhte hain. Market ko qareeb se nigaah mein rakhna zaroori hai kisi bhi momentum ki tawajjuh ke koi signs ke liye, kyun ke kharidarun ke mazeed dakhil honay se qeemat mein kisi intiqaali ya ulte pher se dabaav aa sakta hai. Magar, aise ishaaron ke abhaav mein, mera iraada hai ke USD/JPY pair ko kharidte rahen jab tak qeemat 154.30 ke neeche raheIkhtitami tor par, USD/JPY pair ab mazboot upar ki harkat dikhata hai, aur haftawar ki resistance area ka tootna mustaqbil ki mazeed shiraa't ke liye ek ummedwar ishara hai. Mera tajziya hai ke jab tak qeemat 154.30 ke neeche rahe, pair par bullish stance qaim rakhen, jab ke market dynamics mein kisi bhi mowqay par ehtiyaat aur tayyar rehna zaroori hai

Market ne ek bearish turn le liya hai, jahan ab sellers ka control hai, aur is se downward channel khul gaya hai. Jaise hi downward momentum barh raha hai, mujhe lagta hai ke price kam hote hote 157.515 level tak pochay gi. Yeh specific level bohat crucial hai, kyunke mujhe umeed hai ke selling pressure yahan ease ho sakta hai aur potential buying interest shuru ho sakta hai. Aksar aise levels pe slowdown dekhne ko milta hai, kyunke buyers isay ek favorable entry point dekhte hain positions accumulate karne ke liye. Agar price 157.515 ko reach karay, to mein market ka reaction closely monitor karunga. Agar buyers is level pe active ho jatay hain, to yeh current downtrend ka pause ya reversal signal kar sakta hai, jo ke temporary consolidation ya bullish rebound ka sabab ban sakta hai. Lekin, yeh buying interest ka extent tay karega ke yeh level hold karay ga ya price break through karke apna descent continue karay gi. Dosri taraf, agar market bullish correction experience karay 157.515 level se pehle, to yeh upper part of the current channel, around 157.374 level ke qareeb resistance ka samna karay gi.

Market ka trajectory filhal uncertain hai, kyunke yeh ek potential reversal period ko navigate kar raha hai. Agar upward correction 157.374 level ke qareeb stall ho jata hai, to yeh traders ke liye selling opportunity ho sakti hai. Bohat zaroori hai ke traders vigilance maintain karain, aur bearish signals pe nazar rakhein, jaise ke specific candlestick patterns, declining trading volume, ya doosre technical indicators jo bearish sentiment ko suggest karte hain. Agar yeh signals materialize hote hain, to yeh ek opportune moment ho sakta hai short positions lene ka, betting on the continuation of the downward trend. Trading ke dynamic world mein, responsive aur adaptable rehna zaroori hai market shifts ke liye. Trends bohat jaldi change ho sakte hain, mukhtalif factors ke asar mein, jaise ke naye market participants aur unexpected economic news. Jab analysis point karta hai potential slowdown of the decline at 157.515 aur possible selling opportunities near 157.374, zaroori hai ke stop-loss orders aur risk management strategies employ ki jayen unexpected market reversals se bachne ke liye.

Factors jaise ke economic indicators, central bank announcements, aur geopolitical developments significant tor pe market sentiment aur price movements ko shape kar sakte hain. Ek broader perspective ko incorporate karna by monitoring these elements enhance kar sakta hai technical analysis ki effectiveness ko. Filhal, market ek bearish trend exhibit kar raha hai, with the possibility of reaching the 157 level. Currency market mein, slowdown arise ho sakta hai due to anticipated changes in buyer behavior. Agar trend upward shift hota hai, to price 157.374 ke around resistance ka samna kar sakti hai, potentially presenting a chance to sell agar reversal ke signs emerge hotay hain. Prudent traders ko robust risk management techniques apply karni chahiye aur market events pe updated rehna chahiye taake foreign exchange trading ki intricacies ko successfully navigate kar sakein.
image_5008636.jpg

Daily Time Frame Outlook:
USDJPY currency pair ke candlestick movements ko daily timeframe charts par dekhte hue, yeh nazar aata hai ke overnight price movements ab bhi bullish hain, bilkul waise hi jaise pichle kuch dinon se ho rahe hain. Agar is haftay ke trending market direction ko dekhein, jo aik hi direction mein upar ki taraf move kar raha hai, to lagta hai ke prices aik bullish rally phase experience kar rahe hain. Yani, is haftay ka trend direction ab tak upar ki taraf hi move kar raha hai, aur range bhi zyada wide nahi hai.

Last Monday ka market level 0.8924 se bullish movement start hua tha, aur Thursday ke market session yaani last night tak yeh level 0.8969 tak pohanch gaya, aur ab tak price level 156.74 ke ird gird move kar rahi hai. Thursday ke trading session ka closing price level Monday ke market opening price level se upar tha. Is haftay ka candlestick position last week ke highest price level 157.48 ko break karne ki koshish kar raha hai, aur aisa lagta hai ke USDJPY currency pair ke paas wapas bullish trend ki taraf move karne ka mauka ab bhi hai.

Ab, main market analyze karne ke liye use hone wale indicators ko monitor karunga. MACD indicator (12,26,29) par dekh sakte hain ke dotted yellow line thodi downward point kar rahi hai kyun ke market abhi sideways move kar rahi hai. Histogram bar ki position bhi zero level se upar moderate size ke sath nazar aati hai. Relative Strength Index (14) indicator par Lime Line ki position ab level 50 ke kareeb close ho gayi hai. Simple Moving Average 60 (yellow) indicator ki position bhi abhi comfortably red Simple Moving Average 150 indicator ke upar move kar rahi hai, jo ke daily timeframe par market trend ka aik bullish picture dikhati hai.

USD/JPY pair Thursday ke Asian session mein buland hai aur 155.70 area se ek raat ke bounce ke jawab mein ek mazeed dinon ka kam kiya hai ya soft US consumer inflation data ke. Magar, spot prices ke andar yaqeeni nahi ho rahi hai aur abhi wo 156.75-156.80 ilaqa mein trade kar rahi hain jab ke ab tawajjo Bank of Japan ki policy meeting par milti hai. Aik bara central bank event ki khatray se guzarnay ke samay, Federal Reserve ka surprise Wednesday ko US dollar ke liye aik hawa dene wala factor sabit hua aur USD/JPY pair ke liye kuch support faraham kiya. Asal mein, policymakers ko lagta hai ke is saal kam rate cuts ki zarurat hai kyunke tawaqo ye hai ke inflation pehle se zyada hogi aur March mein tawaqo ki teen rate cuts ke mukable mein sirf ek rate cut 2024 mein dekha ja sakta hai. Manzar e aam mei zyadatar hissa, US Consumer Price Index print se dhundhli hui hai, jo June se pehle barah dafa wahi thi, aur April mei 3.4 percent ke annualized base par se 3.3 percent par gir gaya hai. Is ke ilawa, US Bureau of Labor Statistics ne annual core CPI ko jo volatile food aur energy prices ko shamil karta hai, April mein 3.6 percent aur 3.4 percent ke barabar barhaya, jis ka tawaqo 3.5 percent tha, teen saalon ki sabsay kam tawaqo tak gir gaya hai.
Magar, Fed ki tajziyaat mein tabdeeli aana chahiye jis se USD kam ho aur USD/JPY pair ke liye zyada qabil e tawajjo rukh ko support milay. Bull, taqreeban saqooti muamlat ke darmiyan BoJ kya haftay mein mahana sarkari bond kharidion ko kam karne ka elan karega ke asliyat par shak hai. Is liye, tawajjo highly anticipated do dinon ki BoJ meeting ke natije par hogi jo ke Jumma ko elaan ki jayegi. Meanwhile, Thursday ke US economic docket - jo producer price index aur maamoli haftay ki ibtidaai roozana jobs ki shikaayat data ko shamil karta hai - ko chhote muddaton ke trading opportunities ke liye dekha jayega baad mein early North American session mein. Isi tarah, zyada risk sentiment, jo safe-haven Japanese yen ke liye darkhwast barha sakti hai, USD/JPY pair ko kuch push faraha kar sakta hai

USD/JPY
US Dollar Index (DXY), jo ke US Dollar ki value ko chh joi paanch muashaiqt ke riwayati rupee se tulna karta hai, badhte hue nazar aa raha hai, chalak kar ke Thursday ke ma'ashi data se kamzor hasil hui hai. Jang job claims izafa ki terah be-aas hai, aur US Producer Price Index (PPI) ummide se kum hasil hui hai. Lekin, US Federal Reserve (Fed) ki hawkish approach US Dollar ki taqat ke liye zimmadar hai. March mein fizayaat diye gaye ke teen rate mein kami ho gi, lekin Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ke mutabiq ab unki nazariyat mein ekti rate kami ke hawalay se is saal ya ek bhi rate kami se khel kar zindagi ke badle ki strategy zyada arziat hai jo ke intizam se gazina rakhna inflation ko aur ekonomic stability ko bacha kar isse USD ki moatammariy mein izafa kar rahi hai. Aaj jumeraat ko, USD/JPY 157.20 par tabadla kiya gaya.

Jo pair hai woh iss ascending channel pattern mein samet raha hai, jise daily chart mein dekh kar bullish nazar aati hai. Jaise hi qeemat is channel ke andar rahe, to yeh pattern aam tor par izafa tend ki ishara karta hai. Is ka matlab yeh hai ke qeemat barhti rahe gi. USD/JPY pair ke liye ek barer rasta 158.00 ke nafsiyati level par hai. Agla maqsad unholiy channel ke uper haddi se barer to 159.20, agar pair 158.00 se barh jaye to. April mein record kiya gaya 160.32 ka level, jo ke thoras saleekat barasi 30 saal ke tahta sab se upar hai. 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) jo ke 155.18 par hai, iss ascending channel ke niche haddi hai, aur yahan support baji hui hai. Agar yeh haddi tor di jaye, to USD/JPY pair mein izafa nuksan izafa ho sakta hai, jo ke usko backtrack support zone ki taraf daikhna ho sakta hai, jo ke 152.80 ke as-pas maujood hai.

USD-JPY TAAR FORECAST

Jab hum USD-JPY currency pair ki haliyat dekhte hain, to kam az kam humein pata hai ke yeh koshish kar raha hai ke barhne ki taraf laute, jahan par 155.76 zone mein aik bounce hua hai, lekin abhi tak candlestick ne is zone ko penetrate karne mein kamiyabi haasil nahi ki hai. Market ke prices ke track record ko dekhte hue, is haftay ke shuru mein wazeh hai ke trend barhne ki taraf muntaqil ho raha hai. Haftay ke shuru mein candlestick abhi tak neeche ki taraf move karne ki koshish kar raha tha, jo ke mere khayal mein aik correction ke daur mein tha. Agar aap chote time frame par dekhte hain, jaise ke 4 ghante, to aap dekh sakte hain ke ab price upar ja raha hai aur yeh bullish tarz mein mazeed ooncha ja sakta hai.

Ab candlestick 157.84 price zone ke upar bhi tik sakta hai, mere khayal mein yeh zone agle market direction ko tay karta hai. Moosar market conditions ke mutabiq, lag raha hai ke price ka movement upar ki taraf muntaqil ho raha hai, jaisa ke kal ke market conditions thay, is liye weekend ke trading period mein bhi price movement bullish dikhne ka imkaan hai. Hum apni trade mein position kholne ka faisla karne ke liye is market trend ke mutabiq opportunities ka istemal karenge. Agar aap is current market trend ka faida uthana chahte hain, to yeh aapko munafa hasil karne ke mauqe de sakta hai.

Khareedne walon ka tajziya hai ke woh market ko iss haftay ke band hone tak control karte rahenge. Agla target bullish ke liye 158.61 area ko pursue karne ki koshish ki ja sakti hai. Aaj aur future ke liye USD-JPY market par trading plan ke taur par, main Buy trading option ko pasand karta hoon. Jab tak ke 155.46 price zone ko sellers paar nahi kar sakte, stable bullish trend chalne ka trend hai. Agar bazaar mein Uptrend ki safar jaari rakhne ke zyada imkaanat hain, to behtar hai ke kabhi bhi hone wale bearish opportunities ko nazar andaaz na kiya jaye.

Aaj currency pair ki price gir rahi thi, aur shayad bohot se log is correction ka intezar kar rahe the. Shaam ko States se news bhi aane wali hai. Aur aaj Friday hai; mein market se bahar baitha hoon aur zyadatar trade nahi karunga; aik pair mere liye kafi hai. Traders abhi bhi pair ko upar push kar rahe hain. Support 157.00 par hai, aur resistance 158.30 par hai. Mein dekhunga ke pair ki price Monday ko kahan jati hai taake entry ka faisla karun. Europe mein bura haal hai. Aaj maine analytics padhi. China aur goods ke sath maslay hain, jo Germany, Netherlands, aur France mein customs duties ko barhaenge. Iska matlab ye hai ke ye mulk bohot zyada paisa kho denge. Aur yeh cheez pareshan kun hai. Agar aisa hai, to US dollar exchange rate barhega, aur pair ko declines par wapas kharida ja sakta hai.
Natijatan, USD/JPY pair aaj Japan se aane wali news ke baad upar chali gayi jaise bohot se log umeed kar rahe the, aur price apne maximum ko update kar gayi.

Mujhe nahi pata ke kisi aur ne is trading instrument par profit liya ya nahi jab long volumetric bullish hourly candle close hui, lekin yeh fact ke price thodi aur upar gayi matlab mein ne is par zyada tawajjo nahi di. Yeh dekhte hue ke is pair par sab price movements ab smart money ki market manipulation hain, yeh maan sakte hain ke jab aksar market participants ko yeh yaqeen ho gaya hai ke is pair ko khareedna chahiye aur price zaroor upar jayegi, to price shayad aur upar na jaye, balke ulta aksar ke khilaf gir sakti hai. Agar meri guess sahi hoti hai, to is scenario ke mutabiq, yahan se hum 155.56 ke accumulation area tak niche ja sakte hain, jahan se hum phir 156.82 ke level tak barh sakte hain. Agar aisa hota hai aur USD/JPY 156.82 ka level price ko upar nahi jane dega, to is scenario ke mutabiq, level 156.82 se hum shayad niche girenge formed minimum se bohot zyada niche.