usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD JPY Forum Analysis, Forecast

Mangal ko, USDJPY currency pair ne ek bohot gehri girawat ka samna kiya, kareeban 180 pips ke andar. Us waqt candle RBS zone se guzar nahi saki thi. 154.72 ke price tak girne ke baad, achanak Budhvar ko USDJPY phir se barh gaya ek uthan ke saath jo kisi had tak uncha tha, yani kareeban 180 pips bhi. Jab maine jaanch ki, to pata chala ke USDJPY ki uthan isliye hui thi kyunke candle demand area mein phas gayi thi. Aaj USDJPY trading 156.07 ke price par shuru hui. Is dafa opening position kuch seemit hai kyunke nichle jate hue USDJPY phir se barh gaya.

Agar H1 timeframe se tajziyat ki jaye, to candle abhi tak supply area se guzar nahi sakti hai jo ke 156.38 ke price par hai. Filhal, USDJPY abhi tak apni barhne mein kamyab nahi ho saka hai. Barhne ke liye shart hai ke candle woh supply area guzar sake jo main keh raha hoon. Agar nahi, to yeh mumkin hai ke rukh phir se neeche ki taraf jaaye. Thora thora USDJPY girne laga hai. In do scenarios ke darmiyan, maine yeh peshgoyi ki hai ke USDJPY ko abhi bhi barhne ka moqa hai kyunke upar ek shoulder hai jo bilkul bhi nahi chu gaya, jo ke 157.28 ke price range mein hai. Yeh woh waqt hai jab USDJPY rukh badalne laga.

Agar Ichimoku indicator ka istemal kiya jaye, to candle ka position tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke upar hai. Iska matlab hai ke USDJPY ka trend bullish hone laga hai. Barhne ka moqa abhi bhi bohot bada lag raha hai. Jab tak koi naya intersection na ho, USDJPY ki movement zyada tar upar ki taraf hogi neeche ki bajaye. Aur agar candle ne kumo cloud ko bhi guzar diya hai, toh yeh pressure kaafi zyada hai.

Is dauraan, stochastic indicator dikhata hai ke USDJPY ka haal bohot zyada over sold hone wala hai kyunke sirf thori der bach gayi hai line ko uske lowest level par chhune ke liye jo ke 20 number par hai. Abhi direction neeche ki taraf hai to upar ka signal abhi tak nahi aaya hai. Jab lowest level ko chhua jaye, toh mumkin hai ke USDJPY phir se apni uthan shuru karega. Bas ab intezar karein ke woh upar ki taraf mud jaye.

Toh aaj ki tajziyat ka ikhtitam yeh hai ke USDJPY apni bullish trend ko jari rakhega, isliye yeh mumkin hai ke USDJPY phir se barhe. Upar ek shoulder bhi hai jo bilkul bhi chu nahi gaya hai, jo ke kareeban 157.36 ke price par hai. Isliye, main doston ko jo is pair mein trade karte hain unse yeh salah deta hoon ke woh sirf buy positions par dhyan dein. Jaise hamesha, nishana najdeek ki resistance par rakha ja sakta hai jo 157.34 ke price par hai aur stop loss bhi najdeek ki support par rakha ja sakta hai jo ke 155.66 ke price par hai.

/JPY jodi mein ek shaant din tha, thoda sa izafa ke saath sar par halka sa barhne wali maahol. Aaj top ko bhi thoda neeche daba diya gaya, lekin abhi tak bears ke liye koi umeed nahi hai. Unhone bhi keemat samajh li aur woh bilkul top mein ruk gaye. Kami koshishen girne ki turant rok di gayi. Wave structure apne upar order build kar rahi hai, MACD indicator upper buy zone mein badh raha hai aur apne signal line ke upar hai. But CCI indicator upper overheating zone se neeche aa raha hai, haal hi mein upper zone se neeche se cross kiya hai, isse giravat ka aasar yahaan se shuru hone ke zyada chance hain. Lekin aisa lagta hai ke woh abhi tak maximum ko thoda sa update kar sakte hain. Ek giravat karne ki koshish hui jismein keemat almost pehla important support level 153.40 tak pahunch gayi aur jaise hi yeh area touch hui, keemat fir se upar chali gayi. Main abhi bhi 151.90 ke aas paas ek corrective decline ka intezar kar raha hoon, yeh sirf ek level nahi, balki yahaan ka main maapat level hai. Yeh 2022 aur 2023 ka maximum hai aur aap dekh sakte hain ke keemat almost ek mahine tak neeche se iske upar dabayi ja rahi thi, bahar jane ka himmat nahi kar rahi thi. Lekin ab woh chali gayi hai aur ab waapis jaana nahi chahti. Lekin main ab bhi yakeen karta hoon ke woh is level ko ek magnet ki tarah attract karenge, tootne ke baad reverse test karna zaroori hai, waise agar hum new heights ko chhod kar upar jaate hain jo terminal ki poori itihaas mein kabhi nahi dekhe gaye, tab bhi. Jab tak yeh pullback nahi hoti, aap nahi kharid sakte; aap market ka khuda top pakad sakte hain. Yeh wazeh hai ke yahaan ek critical peak hai, spring daba hua hai aur ek jeebhark collapse aage bhi ho sakta hai. Mere khayal se yahaan H4 par ek mirror level ka intezar karna chahiye jab maujooda top ko update kiya gaya, taki support se resistance mein badal jaye aur ek corrective rollback ka nishana 151.90 ke area tak laga sakein. H4 par, jab maujooda top ko update kiya gaya, MACD indicator par bearish divergence ban gayi, yeh wajah hai ke agar aap bech nahi sakte, toh bilkul kharid nahi sakte. Aaj economic calendar mein koi mahatvapurn arthik khabar nahi hai. Moving average ke neeche rehne ke saath hume samajh hai ke buy karna behtar hai kyunki yeh giravat se bachata hai. Dusri MACD indicator hamare buying stance ko aur bhi majboot banata hai, oscillator ka histogram 0 ke upar profit potential ki suchi kar raha hai. Hum 154.48 se ek bullish trend-based trajectory ka aane ka anumaan lagate hain, aur yeh sahi samay hai market mein dakhil hone ka profit ke liye. Hum 154.29 par ek stop set kar ke nuksan ko rokne ka sujhav dete hain, jo take profit level 155.08 se tin guna kam hai. Pichhle kuch ghanton mein, USD/JPY pair ne ek consistent upward trend dikhaya hai, special hourly time frame mein. Uska rasta shandar raha hai, aur aaj ka performance naye uchaiyon ko dekhte hue dikha gaya hai.

### USD/JPY Ki Movement Ka Analysis

### Potential Decline aur False Breakout

Hum is waqt USD/JPY currency pair ki movement ko analyse kar rahe hain. Yeh possibility hai ke decline continue ho, shayad 157.55 par ek false breakout ke baad further downward move kare. Agar pair 156.63 level ko break karta hai aur us ke neeche stabilize ho jata hai, to yeh selling opportunity ka indication hoga. Resistance 158.06 ke aas paas hai, jahan se decline continue ho sakta hai. Agar 156.53 ke neeche breakdown hota hai, to further declines ho sakti hain, support 156.65 ke aas paas note ki gayi hai. Main anticipate kar raha hoon ke decline 155.90 tak ja sakta hai. Agar 155.88 break hota hai aur neeche establish hota hai, to yeh sell-off ka signal hoga 155.28 tak. Resistance 158.10 ke aas paas bhi further decreases prompt kar sakta hai. 155.26 ke neeche breakdown se likely hai ke continued declines ho. Market growth ek corrective surge followed by false breakout hai, suggesting ke selling viable hai jab tak 157.44 ka breakdown nahi hota.

### US Dollar Ki Trend aur Retracement

Ek strong bullish move ke baad, asset ne apne gains ko quickly retrace kiya jab US Dollar apni third consecutive trading session ke liye downward trend ko extend kar raha tha. Dollar Index (DXY) 104.90 ke upar climb kar gaya jab investors ne apna confidence maintain kiya Federal Reserve (Fed) ke potentially reducing interest rates in September ke hawale se.

### Japanese Government Ki FX Market Mein Involvement

Japan ke Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki ne announce kiya ke Japanese government closely collaborate karegi Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke sath regarding the foreign exchange (FX) market. Unho ne emphasize kiya government ke commitment ko ke wo sab necessary measures le gi stability ensure karne ke liye. Japanese authorities ki potential intervention JPY ko support provide kar sakti hai aur USD/JPY pair ke upside potential ko limit kar sakti hai.
Fed Ki Rate Cut Decision Ke Hawale Se Speculation

Is ke bawajood ke US Producer Price Index (PPI) ne April mein expectations ko surpass kiya, speculation strong hai regarding the Fed's decision to lower borrowing rates starting in September. Investors increasingly confident hain rate cuts ke bare mein, specially after Fed Chair Jerome Powell ne further policy tightening ke possibility ko dismiss kiya. Lekin, Powell ne hint kiya ke current interest rates ko extended period ke liye maintain kiya ja sakta hai.

### Technical Analysis aur Market Recovery

Thursday ko USD/JPY ne ek technical recovery witness ki, jahan pair 156.50 mark ke upar propel ho gaya. Significant technical resistance observed hui at the 100-hour Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of 152.77. Although pair recent swing high above 157.00 ke neeche remain kar raha hai, yeh near-term low close to 153.80 se rebound indicate karta hai ek recovery trend.

Pair bullish territory mein strongly trade kar rahi hai, apna position maintain karte hue above the 50-day EMA at 155.01 aur significantly above the 20-day EMA at 156.35. Recent intervention by the BoJ ke rumors ke bawajood, pair ne 2024 mein over 10% gain kiya hai, demonstrating a robust upward trajectory.

USD/JPY H-1
USDJPY (US Dollar / Japanese Yen). Technical analysis ke mutabiq currency pair/instrument H1 time frame par, lower quotes par trade karna bohot reasonable lagta hai. Achay returns hasil karne ke liye jo algorithms sabse attractive conditions ko select karte hain, wo kuch important preconditions ka combination involve karte hain. Pehle, higher H4 time frame par current trend ka sahi direction determine karna zaroori hai, taake market sentiment establish karne mein koi ghalti na ho, jo financial losses ka sabab ban sakti hai. To, chaliye apna instrument chart 4-hour time frame par open karte hain aur important condition check karte hain – H1 aur H4 periods mein trend movement ka coincide hona zaroori hai. Is tarah, pehle principle ki fulfillment check karne ke baad, hum yeh maan kar chalte hain ke aaj ka market humein short trade exit karne ka best mauqa de raha hai.

Agli analysis mein, hum teen working indicators – HamaSystem, RSI Trend aur Magnetic_Levels_Color ke readings par focus karenge. Hum us waqt ka intezar kar rahe hain jab Hama aur RSI indicators red ho jayenge, jo is baat ka ahem confirmation hoga ke market mein sellers dominate kar rahe hain. Jaise hi yeh hota hai, hum ek sell trade open karte hain. Hum position ko magnetic surface indicator ke indication par exit karte hain. Aaj, highest possible levels of signal processing kuch is tarah hain – 155.347. Agay, hum chart par carefully monitor karenge ke price jab selected magnetic level par pohanchti hai to kaisa behave karti hai, aur phir decide karenge ke agla magnetic level tak position market mein chhodni hai ya pehle earned profit ko lena hai. Potential earnings ko increase karne ke liye, aap trolls add kar sakte hain.

Is waqt, hum USD/JPY currency pair ki movement ko analyze karne par focus kar rahe hain. Potential hai ke decline continue ho, shayad 157.55 par false breakout hone ke baad further downward move kare. Agar pair 156.63 level ko break karke uske neeche stabilize ho jata hai, to yeh ek selling opportunity ko indicate karega. Resistance 158.06 ke aas paas hai, jahan se decline continue ho sakta hai. 156.53 se neeche ka breakdown further declines ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jahan support 156.65 par noted hai. Main anticipate karta hoon ke decline 155.90 ki taraf hoga. 155.88 ka breakdown aur uske neeche establish hona sell-off ko 155.28 ki taraf signal karega. Resistance 158.10 ke aas paas bhi further decreases ko prompt kar sakta hai. 155.26 se neeche ka breakdown likely further declines ki taraf le jata hai. Market growth ek corrective surge followed by a false breakout hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke selling viable hai jab tak 157.44 ka breakdown na ho jaye.

**USD/CHF Technical Analysis**

USD/CHF ka currency pair ek crucial juncture par hai jahan resistance aur support levels future price movements ko determine karenge. Filhal, resistance level 0.9215 ke aas-paas hai jo further gains ko cap kar raha hai. Support level 0.9110 par hai. Agar price resistance barrier ko cross karta hai, toh yeh agle significant resistance 0.9225 tak rise kar sakta hai. Agar support level fail hota hai, toh price 0.8989 aur 0.8801 par target supports tak drop kar sakta hai.

USD/CHF ke price dynamics ko various technical indicators se analyze kiya jata hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) overbought ya oversold conditions nahi dikha raha, jo indicate karta hai ke upward momentum ka potential hai agar index 50 ke upar rehta hai. Chart par noticeable zigzag patterns minor fluctuations ko filter karte hain, trends ko samajhne mein madad karte hain. 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) bullish trend suggest karta hai apni upward trajectory ki wajah se. Bollinger Bands ke upper band ke nazdeek price ka hona potential pullback ya bullish trend ke continuation ko indicate karta hai. Demand Index aur Stochastic Oscillator market conditions ko analyze karte hain. Buyers ka thoda edge hai sellers par due to buying aur selling pressures ke balance ki wajah se. Stochastic Oscillator, jo closing price ko specified price range ke against measure karta hai, overbought ya oversold extremes indicate nahi karta, suggesting prices dono directions mein move kar sakti hain aur upward trend ko confirm karta hai. Iske ilawa, Average True Range (ATR), jo market volatility ko measure karta hai, bhi significant hai. Moderate volatility ko indicate karte hue ATR se traders stop-loss aur take-profit levels set kar sakte hain, is tarah risk management strategies ko calibrate kar sakte hain USD/CHF ke liye.

Yeh indicators collectively suggest karte hain ke USD/CHF market mein bullish sentiment hai. Prudent vigilance zaroori hai potential reversals aur sustained bullish momentum ko identify karne ke liye.

**Current Market Sentiment**

USD/CHF currency pair apne resistance level ke nazdeek hai aur ek potential downward move ke liye poised hai. RSI, zigzag pattern, exponential moving average, Bollinger Bands, Demand Index, Stochastic Oscillator, aur ATR milkar valuable market insight provide karte hain. Yeh comprehensive analysis highlight karta hai ke caution aur astuteness zaroori hai jab resistance aur support levels ke interplay ko monitor kar rahe hain, various indicators ko use karte hue upcoming price movements ko predict karne aur trading strategies ko refine karne ke liye optimal outcomes ke liye.

USD/CHF currency pair ne notable upward movement experience kiya, reaching near the 0.8970 level kal. Yeh upward trajectory market sentiment mein significant shift indicate karti hai jab buyers ne price ko higher drive kiya, process mein around 50 pips gain kiya. Yeh rise successfully mere predetermined take profit point ko surpass kar gaya, showcasing the strength of buyers is market phase mein. Detailed analysis zaroori hai context aur factors ko samajhne ke liye jo is price movement mein contribute karte hain. USD/CHF pair, jo US Dollar ki value ko Swiss Franc ke against track karta hai, various economic indicators aur market sentiments se influenced hota hai.

Aaj, USD/JPY currency pair ne taqreeban 180 pips ka ahem giravat dekha. Us waqt ki shama ne RBS zone se guzarne mein kamiyabi nahi haasil ki. 154.72 ke qeemat tak girne ke baad, USD/JPY budhwar ko phir se lagbhag 180 pips tak chadha. Tehqiqat karne par paya gaya ke USD/JPY ki chadhai isi liye hui kyunki shama aik maang zone mein phansi thi. Aaj, USD/JPY 156.07 par trading shuru kiya gaya. Opening position thori mehdood hai kyun ke USD/JPY phir se neeche ki taraf ja raha hai.

H1 timeframe ko tajziya karte hue, shama ab tak supply area jo ke 156.38 par hai, se guzar nahi saki hai. Halankeh, ab tak USD/JPY ki chadhai mein kamiyabi nahi mili hai. Pair ke liye chadhai ke liye, shama ko zikar shuda supply area se guzarna hoga. Agar nahi, to ye phir se neeche ki taraf murna mumkin hai. USD/JPY ab dheere dheere girne laga hai. In scenarios ke darmiyan, mujhe ye peshgoyi hai ke USD/JPY ab bhi chadhne ka moqa hai kyun ke oopar aik shoulder hai jo bilkul bhi chhua nahi gaya, qeemat 157.28 ke range mein. Ye waqt hai jab USD/JPY rukh badalne laga.

Ichimoku indicator ka istemal karte hue, shama Tenkan-sen aur Kijun-sen lines ke upar position mein hai. Ye darust karta hai ke USD/JPY ka trend bullish hone ki shuruwat ho rahi hai. Chadhne ka moqa ab bhi kaafi zaroori nazar aata hai. Jab tak koi naya intersection nahi hota, USD/JPY ki harkat zyada tar neeche ki bajaye oopar ki taraf hogi. Agar shama Kumo cloud se bhi guzar jaye, to dabaav kaafi zyada hoga.

Moujooda mein, stochastic indicator darust karta hai ke USD/JPY ko kafi oversold hone ka imkaan hai kyun ke ye apni kamzor tareen hadd, 20, ke bohat qareeb hai. Rukh filhal neeche ki taraf hai, is liye oopar ki harkat ka signal ab tak nahi aya hai. Jab kamzor tareen hadd choo jaye gi, to mumkin hai ke USD/JPY phir se apni chadhai shuru kare. Ab sirf ye intizar hai ke ye oopar ki taraf murne lage.

Aaj ka tajziya darust karta hai ke USD/JPY apni bullish trend ko jari rakhega, is liye phir se chadhne ka imkaan hai. Aas pass 157.36 ke qareeb aik aur shoulder bhi hai jo abhi tak chhua nahi gaya hai. Is liye, main is pair mein traders ko kharidari positions par tawajjo dene ki mashwarat deta hoon. Maqsood ko sab se qareeb ke resistance level par set kiya ja sakta hai, jo ke 157.34 par hai, aur stop loss ko sab se qareeb ke support level par set kiya ja sakta hai, jo ke 155.66 par hai.

USD/JPY (US Dollar / Japanese Yen). Technical analysis ke mutabiq, H1 time frame par yeh kaafi reasonable lagta hai ke lower quotes ki taraf trade karein. Algorithms jo ke achi returns hasil karne ke nazariye se sabse attractive select karte hain, unmein kuch important preconditions ka combination hota hai. Pehle, aapko higher H4 time frame par current trend ka sahi direction determine karna hoga, taake market sentiment ko sahi se establish kar sakein aur financial losses se bach sakein. To chaliye, apne instrument ka chart 4-hour time frame par open karte hain aur important condition check karte hain – trend movement H1 aur H4 periods mein match hona chahiye. Jab yeh pehla principle fulfill hota hai, to hum believe karte hain ke aaj ka market humein short trade exit karne ka best opportunity de raha hai.

Agle analysis mein hum teen working indicators par focus karenge – HamaSystem, RSI Trend aur Magnetic_Levels_Color. Hum us moment ka intezar kar rahe hain jab Hama aur RSI indicators red ho jayenge, jo yeh confirm karega ke market mein filhal sellers dominate kar rahe hain. Jaise hi yeh hota hai, hum ek sell trade open karte hain. Hum apni position ko magnetic surface indicator ke signal par exit karte hain. Aaj, signal processing ke highest possible levels kuch yeh hain - 155.347. Phir hum chart par carefully monitor karenge ke jab price selected magnetic level tak pahunchegi to kaisa behave karti hai, aur phir decide karenge ke next magnetic level tak position ko market mein rakhein ya pehle earned profit ko lein. Potential earnings ko barhane ke liye, aap trolls bhi add kar sakte hain
USD/JPY karansi jodi ne aaj lagbhag 180 pips ka bara girawat ka samna kiya. Uss waqt shama RBS zone se guzar nahi saki. 154.72 ke qeemat tak girne ke baad, USD/JPY achanak se budh ko lagbhag 180 pips upar chali gayi. Tehqeeq se maloom hua ke USD/JPY ka upar ana is liye tha kyunke shama demand area mein atak gayi thi. Aaj USD/JPY ne 156.07 pe trading ka aghaz kiya. Opening position kuch mehdood hai kyunke USD/JPY phir se neeche ja raha hai.

H1 timeframe ka tajziya karte hue, shama ab tak supply area ko paar nahi kar saki, jo ke 156.38 pe hai. Filhaal, USD/JPY apni barhawa mein kamyab nahi raha. Jodi ke barhne ke liye, shama ko zikar shuda supply area se guzarna hoga. Agar nahi guzri, to yeh phir se neeche ja sakti hai. USD/JPY dheere dheere gir raha hai. In scenarios ke darmiyan, main yeh tajziya karta hoon ke USD/JPY ke barhne ka mauqa ab bhi hai kyunke upar ek shoulder hai jo ab tak nahi touch hua, jo ke 157.28 ke qeemat range mein hai. Yeh wo waqt hai jab USD/JPY ne apni direction badalni shuru ki.
Filhaal, stochastic indicator yeh darshata hai ke USD/JPY maqool tor pe oversold hone wala hai kyunke yeh apne lowest level 20 ke kareeb hai. Direction filhaal neeche ki taraf hai, to upar jane ka signal ab tak nahi aya. Jab lowest level touch hoga, to mumkin hai ke USD/JPY apni barhawa phir se shuru kare. Ab yeh sirf intizar karne ki baat hai ke yeh upar ki taraf turn le.

Aaj ka tajziya yeh suggest karta hai ke USD/JPY apni bullish trend ko jaari rakhega, to yeh dubara barh sakta hai. Upar bhi ek shoulder hai jo ab tak touch nahi hua jo 157.36 ke aas paas hai. Is liye, main tajwez karta hoon ke is jodi mein traders buy positions pe focus karen. Target nearest resistance level pe set kiya ja sakta hai jo ke 157.34 pe hai, aur stop loss nearest support level pe set kiya ja sakta hai jo ke 155.66 pe hai.

Is haftay trading mein kai qeemat ki hadood ko resistance ke tor par paida kiya gaya hai, jo ke mujhe lagta hai ke qeemat phir se imtehan karain gi, jis ka nichla hadood qeemat ka support hai, jo ke 155.931 ki range mein hai, aur bhi yeh dekhein ke asal trend ka rukh kis taraf hai, jo ke ab bhi qeemat 720 maheenay ka harkati ma'aishri ke average se upar ja rahi hai, jo is waqt mojooda bara trend ka ek ishaara bhi hai. Aur agle trading plan mein, mujhe umeed hai ke qeemat pehle support range mein 155.931 ki taraf giray gi pehle khareedne wale area ke liye. Aur dusra support hadood baad mein rakha ja sakta hai agla khareedne ka maqsaad agar pehla support kamyabi se tor diya jata hai, doosri support hadood ko mad e nazar rakhte hue, jo ke abhi qeemat ki range mein 155.931 mein hai. Is hafte ke trading ke ikhtitam par, candle abhi bhi kaafi taqat se upar ja rahi hai aur sab se oonchi qeemat ki taraf qareeb ja rahi hai, peechli qeemat ko paar kar gayi hai. Main ne faisla kiya ke agle trade mein USDJPY pair mein bullish trend ko jari rakhne ke liye khareedne ka tajwez action ka saath doon ga.

Is manzarname mein, main qeemat ko aglay resistance level ki taraf jaate hue dekh raha hoon, jo ke 156.90-157.40 par mojood hai. Agar qeemat is level ke oopar mazid mazboot hoti hai, to yeh ek mukhtasir mauqa ho sakta hai agar uttarward harkat jaari rakhne ke liye. Yeh consolidation signal degi ke qeemat ne resistance ko kamyabi se tor diya hai aur ek naye oonchi range ka qaim karna hai. Chahe jo scenario samne aaye, ahem hai ke qareebi resistance level 156.83 ko tayzar rakha jaye. Yeh level buland harkat ke liye ek ehmiyatnak ishaara sabit hoga. Agar qeemat is level ko kamyabi se tor kar aur is ke oopar mazid mazboot hoti hai, to yeh uttarward trend ki taqat ko tasleem karega aur buland resistance levels ki taraf jaari harkat ka ishaara hoga.

Mojooda resistance level ke qareeb, sitaare ke taraqqi ke do mumkin manazir hain. Pehla manzar yeh hai ke qeemat 156.83 resistance level ko tor kar aur upar jaari rehti hai. Is case mein, qeemat ki harkat ko agle resistance level 156.90-157.40 ki taraf laane pe mera pehla tawajjo mudawwir rahega. Main is level par nazar rakhoonga ke qeemat apni uparward rukh ko banaye rakh sakti hai aur is ke oopar mazid mazboot ho sakti hai. USD/JPY pair mein uparward harkat ki potenti dikha rahi hai. 156.83 ke resistance level ko tayyarana nazron se dekha jaana chahiye. Is level ko tor kar aur is ke oopar mazid mazbooti ke sath jam'at karne se mukhtalif fayde mil sakte hain, agla maqsaad 156.90-157.40 ke resistance zone ki taraf. Traders ko is resistance level par qareebi nazar rakhte rehna chahiye aur tayyar hona chahiye ke.

Tijarati muamlat ka jayeza aur Japani yen par trading ke tajwez

155.75 ki keemat ka imtehan waqt aya jab MACD indicator, jise ke barabar se buland kar diya gaya, jodiye ki buland mumkinat ko mehdood kiya. Magar maine note kiya ke main American ma'ashi maaloomat ke data ke bunyad par aik toot par kaam karoonga. Is bare mein sochte hue ke figures naqad daakhil kiye gaye jo ke ma'ashiyat ke moqoofon se zyada hain, aur naye rozgaar ke adad ne tamam tawaqoat ko paas kiya, maine dollar kharida aur yen farokht ki umeed ki, ummeed hai ke jodiye mein wapas buland rukh aur acha buland harkat ho, jo ke din ke ikhtitam par 100 points se zyada ho gaya.

Aaj ke Japan ke GDP mein kami par bhaari dabaav dalta raha yen par, jo ke Jumeraat ke rukh ko jari rakhta hai. Japan mein mojooda hisab kitab ke baare mein kafi achi maaloomat aur bank ke udhaar ki mukhtalif maiz mein tabdeeli ko nazar andaz kiya gaya. Zahir hai ke dollar ke liye darkhwast aur zyada hogi jaise ke main us ka istemal karoon ga - khaas taur par USD/JPY ki kamiyon ke case mein, jo ke buland rukh ka jari hone par zaroor hoti hain. Maamool ke tajwez ke lehaz se, main kharidari ke scenarios No. 1 aur No. 2 ka amal zyada ke liye rehaish par aitbar karonga.

Kharidari ka signal

Scenario No. 1: Main aaj USD/JPY ko kharidne ka iraada karta hoon jab main daakhil hota hoon 157.27 (chart par sabz line) ke ilaqe mein, taake 157.97 ke darjat tak barhne ke liye (chart par moti sabz line). 157.97 ke ilaqe mein, main kharidari ko chhodne ka iraada karta hoon aur aksar taraf se farokht kholta hoon (iskay baraks, 30-35 points ke rukh se baraks ke maqam se). Jodiye ke barhav ko ma'amooli tor par aaj ko bull market ke ijad ke jari rukh ka hissa banaya ja sakta hai. Ahem! Kharidne se pehle yeh dekhein ke MACD indicator sifar ke mark se oopar hai aur sirf isay se buland hona shuru hota hai.

Scenario No. 2: Main aaj bhi USD/JPY ko kharidne ka iraada karta hoon agar do musalsal keemat tests 156.81 par hoti hain jab MACD indicator oversold ilaqe mein hota hai. Yeh jodiye ke neeche ke mumkinat ko mehdood karega aur market ka rukh ulta ho ga. Hum 157.27 aur 157.97 ke ulte darjon ka barhav ka intezaar kar sakte hain.

Farokht ka signal

Scenario No. 1: Main aaj sirf 156.81 (chart par laal line) ke darjat ki taza nashriyat ke baad USD/JPY ko farokht karne ka iraada karta hoon, jo ke jaldi mein jodiye ko girane ka raftar de ga. Farokht karne walon ka markazi hadaf 156.30 ke darje hai, jahan main farokht ko chhodne ka iraada karta hoon, sath hi turant mukhalif rukh mein kharidari kholta hoon (iska matloob hai ke 20-25 points ke rukh se baraks ke maqam se). Pair par dabaav mojooda ho sakta hai agar rozmara ke ziada se ziada had ki mujasamat mein nakami ki nazar andaz ki jaaye, lekin yeh namumkin hai. Ahem! Farokht se pehle yeh dekhein ke MACD indicator sifar ke mark se neeche hai aur sirf isay kam hone ka aghaz ho raha hai.

Scenario No. 2: Main aaj bhi USD/JPY ko farokht karne ka iraada karta hoon agar do musalsal keemat tests 157.27 par hoti hain jab MACD indicator overbought ilaqe mein hota hai. Yeh jodiye ke upar ke mumkinat ko mehdood karega aur market ka rukh ulta ho ga. Hum 155.81 aur 156.30 ke ulte darjon ka giravat ka intezaar kar sakte hain.

USD/JPY Char Dinon Se Mustaqil Tor Par Barh Raha Hai:

Jaise ke Budh, USD/JPY jori char dinon se mustaqil tor par barh rahi hai. Yeh mustaqil izafa market ke anaytik aur karobariyon ka khaas tawajju hasil kar raha hai, jo currency markets mein ho rahe hadsaat ko chaukanna nazar rakh rahe hain. Kuch ahem maeeshati waqiyat jald hi USD/JPY jori ki harkaton ko mutasir karne ke liye mojood hain. United States ko apni Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflations riport ko budh ke din baad jari karne ka irada hai. Yeh riport inflations ka aik ahem measure hai, jo sarfeen ki cheezon aur khidmaton ke daamon mein tabdeelian ko numayan karti hai. Zyada inflation aam tor par Federal Reserve ke rukhsati polisi ka intezar ka asar daalta hai, jo USD ko mazboot kar sakta hai. Analysts ummeed karte hain ke CPI data America ki maeeshat mein izafaati trends ke baray mein ahem idaray farahmi karega aur shayad USD/JPY exchange rate ko mutasir karega.

Federal Reserve ki Sood Dar Imaartan:
Federal Reserve ko budh ke din apni taaza sood dar imarta ke baray mein elaan karne ka program hai. Federal Reserve ki monetary policy ki stance, khaaskar haal hi ke maeeshati data ke jawab mein, USD/JPY pair ke rukh ka faisla karne mein ek ahem factor hoga. Agar Federal Reserve inflation ka jawab denay ke liye sood darat ko barhane ka zyada tawajju de, toh yeh USD ko mazboot kar sakta hai, aur USD/JPY ki ooparward tor ko mazeed taqwiyat de sakta hai.

Bank of Japan ki Policy Ka Faisla:
Bank of Japan (BoJ) ko june ki meeting mein apni policy ka faisla jari karne ka imkan hai. Wazeer-e-Khazana ki tawaan policy rate ko 0-0.1% par rakhne ki umeed hai. Bank of Japan ki maddahoon wali monetary policy stance, Federal Reserve ke sood darat ko barhane ki mumkin tawajju ke mutabiq hai. America aur Japan ke darmiyan sood darat ki intebaat mein farq, USD/JPY pair ke haal hi ki mazbooti ke peechay ek ahem driver tha. USD/JPY pair ki mojooda uparward trend market ke ahem maeeshati waqiyat ki ummeedon ka tasawwur karta hai. Karobarion aur investors ko United States CPI riport aur Federal Reserve ki sood dar imartat ka elaan, jo qareebi muddat mein currency pair ke rukh ka mukhtasar tay karega, ke faisle ko qareeb se dekha jaayega. Bilkhushus, Bank of Japan ki policy stance ko kisi bhi tabdeeli ke naqshe par mutasir kiya jaayega, halaanki is meeting mein koi tabdeeli ka imkan nahi hai.

Magar, USD/JPY pair ki is haftay ki karkardagi maeeshati factors aur markazi bank ki policies ke asar ka azim muddat par wazeh tor par izhaar karta hai. America aur Japan se ahem updates ke saath, anay wale din mukhtalif nateejay USD/JPY exchange rate ke mustaqbil ke rukh ko tay karengay.

USD/JPY: Price overview
USDJPY (US Dollar / Japanese Yen). Technical analysis ke mutabiq H1 time frame mein, yeh kaafi munasib lagta hai ke quotes neeche jaane wale hain. Achi returns hasil karne ke liye algorithms kuch zaroori shara'it ka milaap karti hain. Pehle, aapko H4 time frame par trend ka sahi direction maloom karna zaroori hai, taake market sentiment ko samajhne mein ghalti na ho, jo ke financial losses ka sabab ban sakta hai. Tou, chaliye apne instrument ka 4-hour time frame ka chart kholte hain aur yeh zaroori shara’it check karte hain H1 aur H4 periods mein trend movement ka aik jaisa hona. Jab pehla principle pura ho jaaye, hum yeh samajhte hain ke aaj ka market humein short trade exit karne ka behtareen mauqa deta hai.



Aage ke analysis mein, hum teen kaam karnay walay indicators – HamaSystem, RSI Trend aur Magnetic_Levels_Color – par focus karenge. Hum intezar karenge jab Huma aur RSI indicators red ho jaayein, jo ke is baat ki ahmiyat denge ke market mein ab sellers dominate kar rahe hain. Jab yeh ho jaaye, tou hum sell trade open karenge. Position ko magnetic surface indicator ke hisaab se exit karenge. Aaj, signal processing ke sabse uncha levels yeh hain - 155.347. Phir hum chart par dheyan se dekhenge ke jab price selected magnetic level par pohanchti hai tou kaisa behave karti hai, aur phir faisla karenge ke agay kya karna hai - market mein aglay magnetic level tak position ko rehne dena hai ya phir pehle se earned profit ko lena hai. Potential earnings barhane ke liye, aap trolls add kar sakte hain.

nk of Japan ko Friday ko qareeb dekhte hain, toh thodi si hichkichahat hoti hai. Is expectation ka matlab hai ke ek bara tabdeeli aane wali hai. Is surat mein, main short-term withdrawal ko buying opportunity ke tor par dekhta hoon, jo long-term increase ke mutabiq hai. Is natije mein, main in dips ko buy karne par mayal hoon.155 yen ka level short-term support ke tor par dekha ja raha hai, jo 50-day EMA ke presence mein aur bhi solid hai. Agar market is level se neeche girta hai, toh agla support 152 yen ke aas paas ho sakta hai. Agar Federal Reserve apni stance ko thoda ease bhi karta hai, toh bhi United States Bank of Japan ke muqable mein kaafi strong position mein rahega, jo higher interest rates ke wajood mein debt environment se jura hua hai.Interest rate gap ke barqarar rehne ki umeed hai aur US dollar ne foreseeable future ke liye momentum hasil kar liya hai. Yeh dynamic USD/JPY pair ko long termabhi tak maximum ko thoda sa update kar sakte hain. Ek giravat karne ki koshish hui jismein keemat almost pehla important support level 153.40 tak pahunch gayi aur jaise hi yeh area touch hui, keemat fir se upar chali gayi. Main abhi bhi 151.90 ke aas paas ek corrective decline ka intezar kar raha hoon, yeh sirf ek level nahi, balki yahaan ka main maapat level hai. Yeh 2022 aur 2023 ka maximum hai aur aap dekh sakte hain ke keemat almost ek mahine tak neeche se iske upar dabayi ja rahi thi, bahar jane ka himmat nahi kar rahi thi. Lekin ab woh chali gayi hai aur ab waapis jaana nahi chahti. Lekin main ab bhi yakeen karta hoon ke woh is level ko ek magnet ki tarah attract karenge, tootne ke baad reverse test karna zaroori hai, waise agar hum new heights ko chhod kar upar jaate hain jo terminal ki poori itihaas mein kabhi nahi dekhe gaye, tab bhi. Jab tak yeh pullback nahi hoti, aap nahi kharid sakte; aap market ka khuda top pakad sakte hain. Yeh wazeh hai ke yahaan ek critical peak hai, spring daba hua hai aur ek jeebhark collapse aage bhi ho sakta hai. Mere khayal se yahaan H4 par ek mirror level ka intezar karna chahiye jab maujooda top ko update kiya gaya, taki support se resistance mein badal jaye aur ek corrective rollback ka nishana 151.90 ke area tak laga sakein. H4 par, jab maujooda top ko update kiya gaya, MACD indicator par bearish divergence ban gayi, yeh wajah hai ke agar aap bech nahi sakte, toh bilkul kharid nahi sakte. Aaj economic calendar mein koi mahatvapurn arthik khabar nahi hai. Moving average ke neeche rehne ke saath hume samajh hai ke buy karna behtar hai kyunki yeh giravat se bachata hai. Dusri mein higher drive karna chahiye, eventually recent high levels ke upar aur Bank of Japan ki kisi bhi intervention se ineffective hona chahiye.In wajaon se, mera focus Japanese yen aur US dollar par hai. Dollar ke muqable mein yen high rehta hai. Overall economic fundamentals aur interest rate differentials strongly support karte hain continued growth ko. Is natije mein, mujhe umeed hai ke pair apne recent highs ko break karega, aur Japanese stock market ki koshishon ko market ko influence karne mein piche chhor dega. Yeh approach in mulkon ki relative financial strength aur monetary

USD/JPY currency pair conflicting forces face kar raha hai. Ek taraf, weak Japanese yen, jo Bank of Japan ki ultra-loose monetary policy ke pressure mein hai, ne USD/JPY pair ko strengthen kiya hai. Yeh weakness ne speculation ko fuel kiya hai ke Bank of Japan shayad expected se pehle interest rates raise kar sakta hai, jo further yen ko weaken kar sakta hai. Dusri taraf, US dollar khud filhal flat hai economic data ki kami ki wajah se. Magar, rising US fiscal yields kuch support provide kar rahe hain. Federal Reserve inflation ke bare mein cautious hai aur 2024 mein lower tax rates ki possibility ko lekar bhi, jo long run mein dollar par downward pressure daal sakti hai.

Technically, USD/JPY daily chart ek interesting formation dikhata hai - ascending triangle. Yeh, bullish RSI indicator ke saath mil kar, yeh suggest karta hai ke pair shayad upper trendline of the triangle ko retest karne ki koshish kare near the psychological barrier of 157.00. Agar yeh level ke upar decisively break hota hai, to pair 160.32 ki taraf surge kar sakta hai, jo level 1990 se nahi dekha gaya.

Support levels bhi consider karna zaroori hai. Agar price immediate support ke neeche girti hai at the lower end of the triangle, uske baad key 155.50 level, to yeh aur neeche slide kar sakti hai test karne ke liye 21-day EMA at 155.25. Iss level ke neeche break ek potential reversal indicate karega aur USD/JPY par downward pressure daalega.

Overall, upcoming price action for USD/JPY 156.60 level par hinge karta hai. Agar 157.00 ke upar decisively close hota hai, to focus shift ho jayega resistance zone between 157.83 aur 158.70 par. Iss area ko conquer karna door khol sakta hai for a surge above 159.10 aur potentially even ek retest of the 34-year high at 160.20. Agar yeh level bahut strong sabit hota hai, to next potential upside targets ho sakte hain in the 161.53 to 162.50 range, jo potentially June 2023 resistance line ka break lead kar sakte hain.

Pichle weekend ke trading period tak bullish journey ke sath, ye andaza lagaya ja raha hai ke USDJpy pair ka uptrend continue rahega kyunke monthly time frame mein ek bullish candlestick bani hai, jo ye indicate karti hai ke buyers ki taqat abhi bhi zyada hai jab ke sellers ke transactions ke muqable mein. Andaza hai ke buyers prices ko upar le jane ki koshish karenge, aur hum isko 4 hour time frame ke graph se monitor kar sakte hain. Prices 100 simple moving average zone ko cross kar sakti hain, jo is baat ka signal hai ke market bullish condition mein hai.
Meri apni soch hai ke agle kuch dino mein bullish side par ek trip ho sakti hai jo 157.58 area ke ird gird hogi, agar hum weekly aur daily time frames ka reference dekhein jahan trend uptrend par chal raha hai. Price buyers ke zariye increase ho sakti hai lekin sirf 157.48 tak touch kar sakti hai. Is haftay ke journey ko monitor karte hue, aisa lagta hai ke prices uptrend ke sath chal rahi hain, to meri rai mein agle trend ke liye opportunity bullish trend ko continue karne ki hi haihai

gle trading focus mein ek area dekhna hai jahan Buy position open ki ja sake. Stochastic indicator 5,3,3 ne 80 zone ko touch kar liya hai, jo buyers ki control ko indicate kar raha hai. Agar hum price movement pattern dekhein, to lagta hai ke UsdJpy market bullish chal raha hai, lekin kyunke market abhi bhi quiet hai, koi zyada volatility nazar nahi aa rahi. To is haftay ke liye main Buy trading option ko prefer karta hoon kyunke candlestick 100 simple moving average zone se upar move karte hue nazar aa rahi hai

Forex trading strategy
USD/JPY
Assalam Alaikum!
Is se koi farq nahin padta keh bears qimat ko niche lane ki kitni hi koshish karte hain, US dollar/Japanese yen joda hamesha apni asal satah par wapas aa jata hai. Kal, 155.76 ki support satah tak girne ke bad, bulls ne pahal ki aur qimat ko wapas ooper dhakel diya. Filhal, jodi pahle hi 156.63 ki muzahmati satah ko tod chuki hai aur iske ooper mustahkam ho gayi hai, jis se ek naya kharid signal paida kar raha hai. Yah dekhte hue keh bulls musalsal qimat ko ooper le ja rahe hain, dollar/yen ki jodi aaj 157.38 ki muzahmati satah tak pahunch jayegi. Iske alawa, qimat is nishan ko paar kar sakti hai aur iske ooper mazbut ho sakti hai.