usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Gold ke qeemat mein Monday ko Asian trading ke aghaz mein thori kami dekhi gayi, jahan qeemat 2,325 dollar per ounce ke qareeb thi. Ye kami mukhtalif iqtisadi data aur geopolitical events ke wajah se hui hai. Haal hi mein US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index data ne gold ke qeemat par asar dala hai. PCE price index, jo ke Federal Reserve ke liye mehngai ka aik ahem paimana hai, usme dheraj barhawa dekha gaya. Magar, ye barhawa itna nahi tha ke Federal Reserve ko faiz ki sharah kam karne par majboor kar sake. Central bank ki ehtiyaati approach ne gold par dabao dala hai kyun ke zyada faiz ki sharah aksar aise asasaate jo munafa nahi dete, jaise ke gold, ko kam dilchasp banati hai.
Investors ki yeh umeed thi ke agar PCE price index kam hota, to Federal Reserve faiz kam karne ka sochta, jo ke aam tor par gold ki qeemat ko barhawa de sakta tha kyun ke is surat mein gold rakhne ka moqa kam hota. Magar, Federal Reserve apni mojooda policy par qayam hai, jiski wajah se gold ko momentum hasil karne mein mushkil ho rahi hai. Market ab central bank ke aane walay actions par focus kar rahi hai, aur kisi bhi policy change ke ishare gold ke qeemat par baray asar daal sakte hain.

Geopolitical news mein, Israeli Wazir-e-Azam Benjamin Netanyahu ne majbooran US President Joe Biden ke taraf se tajweez shuda ceasefire plan ko qabool kar liya hai. Yeh ceasefire plan Gaza mein barhti hui tashadud ko roknay ke liye hai. Yeh taraqqi bhi gold ke qeemat par asarandaz hui hai, kyun ke geopolitical tensions aksar safe-haven assets, jaise ke gold, ki demand barhati hain

US ke madhahlat se tayar ki gayi ceasefire plan dono Israeli aur Palestinian forces ko foran military actions rokne ka keh rahi hai. Israel ka yeh plan qabool karna tensions kam karne ki taraf ek qadam hai, magar surat-e-haal ab bhi naazuk hai. Tajziya karne walon ka kehna hai ke agar ceasefire toot jati hai, to conflict phir se barh sakta hai aur investors ke liye safety ke liye gold ke qeemat mein surge aa sakti hai. Aage dekhte hue, gold market ko dono iqtisadi indicators aur geopolitical events par nazar rakhni hogi. Federal Reserve ke aglay actions nihayat ahem honge. Kisi bhi rate cut ke ishare gold ke qeemat ko support kar sakte hain. Saath hi, Gaza mein ceasefire ka barqarar rehna bhi zaroori hai, kyun ke dobara conflict gold ki safe-haven asset ke taur par demand ko barha sakta hai

Technical analysis aur US Dollar / Yen instrument ki situation forecast. Period - 4-hour time frame.
Selected currency pair/instrument ka technical analysis kiya gaya hai using signals from Extended Regression StopAndReverse indicator, RSI (14), aur MACD indicators standard settings ke sath. Deal conclude karne ke liye zaroori hai ke teeno indicators equally directed signals dein position enter karne ke liye. Agar in mein se aik bhi indicator doosron ke readings ke contradict kare, toh signal false samjha jaye ga aur pass kiya jaye ga. Market exit karte waqt correction levels ko dekhna hoga using Fibonacci grid, jo ke current lows aur highs of previous trading periods (daily ya weekly) se banai jaye gi.

Chart pe dekh sakte hain ke first-degree regression line (golden dotted line), jo instrument ki direction aur selected time frame (H4) pe current true trend ka state show kar rahi hai, upward directed hai, jo ke analyzed instrument ke prevailing upward trend movement ko indicate karti hai. Nonlinear regression channel ka graph show karta hai ke yeh upward turn ho gaya hai, jo ke buyers ke efforts ko indicate karta hai jo actively price increase continue karne ki koshish kar rahe hain aur sellers ko apni dominant position dene ka irada nahi rakhte.

Price ne blue support line of linear regression channel 2-nd LevelSupLine cross ki, lekin quotes ka minimum value (LOW) 151.884 reach kiya, uske baad decline ruk gaya aur price gradually grow karne lagi. Filhal, instrument 157.102 ke price level pe trade kar raha hai. Upar diye gaye sab points ko madde nazar rakhte hue, mujhe expect hai ke market price quotes return karengi aur 2-nd LevelSupLine channel line (158.241) FIBO level 76.4% ke upar consolidate karengi aur further move karengi upward towards golden average line LR of the linear channel 160.205, jo 100% Fibo level ke sath coincide kar rahi hai. Auxiliary indicators RSI (14) aur MACD, jo correct entry point ki confirmation de rahe hain, oversold area mein hain aur instrument price ke increase ki high probability bhi show kar rahe hain.

USDJPY

USDJPY pair abhi bhi bullish trend ke direction ko follow karne ke liye price movements ko maintain karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Price jo support (S1) 155.04 ko reach karte hue gir gaya tha, wo lower movement ko continue karne mein kamiyab nahi hua aur wapas upar bounce kar gaya. Is waqt, prices jo dono Moving Average lines aur pivot point (PP) 156.26 ke upar hain, unke paas resistance (R1) 157.96 ko test karne ka mauka hai. Bas yeh baat dekhni zaroori hai ke bullish trend weak ho raha hai kyunki EMA 50 ne SMA 200 se wide enough distance nahi banayi. Agar price wapas neeche move karti hai aur pivot point (PP) 156.26 ko paar kar leti hai, toh support (S1) 155.04 ko reach karne ka chance kaafi zyada hai, kyunki yeh fresh nahi hai compared to resistance (R1) 157.96 jo abhi tak touch nahi hua.

Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator abhi bhi uptrend momentum show kar raha hai, lekin yeh weaken ho raha hai. Kyunki histogram volume red hai positive area mein aur level 0 ke qareeb aa raha hai. Stochastic indicator parameter jo level 50 ke upar cross kar chuka hai aur overbought zone ki taraf ja raha hai, yeh suggest karta hai ke upward price rally continue ho sakti hai. Agar parameter overbought zone mein enter kar jata hai level 90-80 par, lekin price movement ab tak resistance (R1) 157.96 tak nahi pahunchi, toh decline wapas pivot point (PP) 156.26 par aayega.



**Technical Reference:**
Sell jab tak yeh 157.530 ke neeche hai.
- Resistance 1: 157.530
- Resistance 2: 157.820
- Support 1: 156.440
- Support 2: 156.170

USDJPY ke paas US session tonight (31/5/24) mein neeche move karne ka mauka hai bearish signal ki wajah se jo Moving Average indicator de raha hai jo running price ke upar hai, iska matlab average price movement abhi bhi girne ka rujhan rakhta hai. Iske alawa, OsMA jo negative area mein hai, sell karne ka mauka badha raha hai.

Ek hour chart analysis ke line mein. 15 M chart bhi neeche jane ka mauka de raha hai kyunki MACD histogram negative area mein enter ho raha hai, yeh indicate karta hai ke selling process continue hogi. Agar scenario ke mutabiq, USDJPY ke paas support level 156.440 ko test karne ka mauka hai.

Ab mojooda dor mein USD/JPY currency pair zyada tar oopri rukh dikha raha hai, jo aam tor par "shumali rukh" ke tor par jana jata hai. H1 timeframe par, ahem urooj aur zaroori kamzoriyan dono barh rahi hain, ek pattern jo zigzag indicator ke zariye tasdeeq ki gayi hai. Ye mustaqil oopri raftar ka izhar karta hai aur ye khushgawar maholat ko darust karta hai khareedne ke moqay ke liye. Kal raat ko wazeh ho gaya ke 157.20 ke level se khareedari ke positions shuru karna faida mand hoga. In khareedari ke positions ke liye, pehla munafa lena (TP1) tehqiqati tor par 157.60 ke qeemat par tarteebi tor par rakhna chahiye. Ye level aik munasib ibtedai maqsad hai jahan traders hissai munafa hasil karne ki taraf dekhsakte hain. Mumkinat ke faide ko zyada karnay ke liye, doosra munafa lena (TP2) zyada level par, yani 158.00 par rakhna chahiye. Ye maqsad muttafiq raftar par munafa hasil karne ka imkan deta hai, agar oopri trend jaari rahe. Dono khareedari ke orders ke liye aik rukawat haar (SL) ko 156.90 par rakhna chahiye. Ye stop loss level risk ko muntazim karna aur ager market ghair mutawaqqa tor par palat jaye to nuqsaan se hifazat karne ke liye ahem hai. 156.90 ke level ko is wajah se chuna gaya hai ke ye dakhil hone ke point ke neeche aik buffer faraham karta hai, minor fluktueshanon ko sahoolat deta hai bina trade ko jald baazi se

hamari junubi qeemat ka ulat pher kahan hoga, ya agar hum aage ki taraf tezi se badhte rahenge. USD/JPY currency pair ke is haftay ke harkaat ka jaiza lene ke baad, aur natural tor par Jumeraat ko, hum keh sakte hain ke Japan Bank ne bas rasi chhodi aur ab American ghoda pahad chadh raha hai bina peeche dekhe, jo Jumeraat ke Japan Bank ki mulaqat ke natayej ke asar mein hua, jab wo interest dar barhane ka aghaaz nahi kiya, mulk mein darustfi kam hone ki wajah se. Halat ke hawale se, main poori tarah se tasleem karta hoon ke agle haftay shumali harkaat jaari rahegi aur qeemat resistance level ko sikkar karegi, jo meri nishandahi ke mutabiq 160.40 par waqai hai. Is liye wazeh hai ke in interest rates ke darmiyan ka bara farq US Federal Reserve aur Japan Bank ke bich amrici currency ko faal taur par barhne aur japani yen ko uske 0.0-0.1% dar ke sath dabane ki ijaazat deta hai. Is resistance level ke qareeb, halat ke taraqqi ke do mansoobe ho sakte hain. Main samajhta hoon ke asal mein, aapko is currency pair ki qeemat mein kisi bhi sakht kami ka intezar nahi karna chahiye jab tak Japan Bank kam se kam, currency interventions ko bazariya nahi kartaAgar aap kisi pechidgi ko samajhna chahte hain, to sawal karen! Aapne trading analysis mein moving averages istemal karke, behtareen entry aur exit points ka pata lagane ki ahmiyat ko bataya hai. Chahe simple ya exponential moving averages istemal karen, yeh indicators market trends ko samajhne mein madadgar hote hain, jo traders ko USD/CAD market mein faida pohanchane mein madad karte hain. Macro-economic factors aur geopolitical events ko shamil karke trading strategies tay karna, ek perfect approach ko barhawa deta hai. Bahari variables ko dhyan mein rakhte hue, traders market ke tabdeel hone wale shirayat ko samajh sakte hain aur

local resistance breakout par tawajjo ke saath shuru hua 156.95 par, jo ke rozana ke range ke upper limit 160.18 ki taraf ka trend jari karne ki nishaan dahi karta hai. Is manzil ko pehchaanke, 160.18 par bechne ki hudood ka hukm diya gaya, jo ke "Double Top" reversal pattern ke ikhtetam ke saath moatabar tha. Magar, market ke gair-mutawaqqa nature ne jald hi samne aaya jab qeemat ulta chalne lagi, breakout area se neeche jaate hue, pehle wale trading idea ki taraf wapas ishaara dete hue, jo 1-2-3 reversal pattern ke andar sthit hoti hai. Market ke fa'al shor mein, ihtiyaat bohot ahem hai. Jhootay signals ke amoman honay ke bawajood, mutawaqqa rehna zaroori hai. Is tarah, sell position mein dakhil hone ka faisla tab tak na lena jab tak pattern mukammal tor par pakka na ho, aik mahfuz taur par anjaam nihayat soch samajh kar kiya gaya hai.
**USD/JPY Positions ki Jaiza:**
Din bhar USD/JPY positions ka jaiza mushkilat aur stratijik manazir ka afsana bayan karta hai. Shuru mein, shirakatdaron ne 155.42-97 support zone mein panah talab ki, ummed karte hue ke ek pullback se up-trend ko dobara shuru kiya jaa sake. Magar, shuru ke long positions ke wazan ne breakdown aur muta'akhir girawat ko bhar diya. Qeemat kam hoti gayi, shirakatdaron ne dobara market mein naye long positions lekar daakhil kiya. In positions ki barqarar rehnumai pichhle milawat ke baad ke silsile par mabni hai, jahan ek mumkin tawaju ghatai hui hai.

**Khaas Tawaju:**
Kahani mein numaya giraawat yeh hai ke 155 ke shekast shuda zone par wapas nahi gaya gaya, jahan pehle ke kharid-darain intezar kar rahe hain. Agar aisi kharabi paish aaye, to yeh kharidarain ko akarshit kar sakti hai, aik mumkin bear trap ke stage ko set karte hue. Bulls aur bears ke is mushtael raqs mein, USD/JPY pair apni pur-faragh dynamics dikhata hai, jis mein palatne aur phansne ki intezamiyat bhari hoti hai. 156.97 ke liye resistance aur 155.42-97 ke liye support ke ahem darjaat is tajziya ke markazi hain. In ahem maqamat ki mutawqqa nigaarishen traders ko tezi se palatne waale market ke halat mein rehnumai faraham karengi.

**Ikhtitami Guftagu:**
Yeh tafseelati jaiza USD/JPY pair ke lahron aur dhaaron ko samajhne ke liye aik masroof framework faraham karta hai, jo traders ko ghatakon se bachne aur mawaqe ki fauzi munasibat se faida uthane ke liye

US Dollar/Yen Instrument Technical Analysis and Situation Forecast
Period: 4-Hour Time Frame

Technical analysis is ki selected currency pair/instrument ki using signals from the Extended Regression StopAndReverse indicator, RSI (14), aur MACD indicators with standard settings. Deal conclude karne ke liye, humein wait karna hoga jab tak teeno indicators equally directed signals na dein position enter karne ke liye. Agar inmein se koi ek bhi doosre indicators ke readings se contradict karta hai, to signal ko false samjha jayega aur pass kiya jayega. Market se exit karte waqt, hum Fibonacci grid ke correction levels ko consider karenge, jo current lows aur highs of previous trading periods (daily ya weekly) se build kiya gaya hoga.

Chart par, aap dekh sakte hain ke first-degree regression line (golden dotted line), jo direction aur current true trend state ko show karta hai selected time frame (time-frame H4) par, upward directed hai, jo analyzed instrument ke prevailing upward trend movement ko indicate karta hai. Nonlinear regression channel ka graph show karta hai ke yeh upward turn hua hai, jo buyers ki efforts ko indicate karta hai jo actively price increase ko continue karne ki koshish kar rahe hain aur sellers ko apni dominant position cede karne ka irada nahi rakhte.

Price ne linear regression channel ke 2-nd LevelSupLine ki blue support line ko cross kiya lekin minimum value (LOW) of quotes 151.884 ko reach karne ke baad apna decline rok diya aur gradually grow karna shuru kiya. Currently, instrument 157.102 price level par trade kar raha hai. Upar di gayi sari baaton ke basis par, main expect karta hoon ke market price quotes return karenge aur 2-nd LevelSupLine channel line (158.241) FIBO level 76.4% ke upar consolidate karenge aur further upward move karenge golden average line LR of the linear channel 160.205 ko, jo 100% Fibo level se coincide karta hai. Auxiliary indicators RSI (14) aur MACD, jo market mein entry point ke correct choice ko confirm karte hain, oversold area mein hain aur instrument ki price increase ki high probability ko bhi show karte hain.

Bechnay walay zyada sakht nazar aate hain jabke linear regression channel neeche ki taraf chal raha hai. Usi waqt, bailon ka hosla nahi tootta aur woh bazaar ko oopar kheenchte rehte hain, jo ke unki dilchaspi ko barhane ki alaamat hai. Jab bazaar channel ke ooper hisse 157.008 ke upar stabilizes hota hai, toh main bullish trend par tawajjo dete hoon aur khareedne ka tajruba karta hoon. Magar, ehmiyat hai ke 157.708 ke darja tak pohanchne par ihtiyaat baratna. Bechnay walay fael shuru ho sakte hain, jo ke mukhalif qeemat ke harkat ka sabab ban sakta hai. Main nafa fix karne ki tajweez deta hoon maqsood darja par, lekin aap M15 chart par darmiyani muddat ke harkat mein hissa lenay ke liye bhi position barqarar rakh sakte hain. 156.561 ke darja ka tor phoot, jahan kharidari ki mazbootiyan majood hain, manzil darja 157.708 ki taraf barhne ki shak mehdood karta hai. Ghantay ka chart dikhata hai ke linear regression channel ek upri trend mein hai, jo ke zyada taqatwar khareedaron ko dikhata hai. Khareedaron ne apni khareedari ke volumes ko channel ke neechay ke sath 156.561 ke darja par ikatha kiya hai. Jo ke qeemat ko 157.708 ke darja tak mazeed buland kar sakta hai. M15 chart ne bullish market ko tasdeeq di hai jab wo channel ke upper limit 157.008 ko paar kar chuka hai. Ye dikhata hai ke khareedari mein izafa hua hai. Magar, ihtiyaat baratna zaroori hai, kyunki 156.561 ke darja ka tor phoot, kharidariyon ko rad kar sakta hai aur bazaar ki mukhalif harkat ko channel ke rukh mein tabdeel kar sakta hai. Kisi bhi waqt trend ka tabdeel hone ki mumkinat ko madde nazar rakha jana zaroori hai; ye khabron ki peechidgi se asani se kiya ja sakta hai, is liye trading karte waqt hamesha khabron ka khayal rakhna chahiye

USD/JPY Chaar Din Se Oopar Ja Raha Hai


Budh ke din tak, USD/JPY pair chaar din se lagataar oopar ja raha hai. Is continuous rise ne market analysts aur traders ki tawajjo ko apni taraf kheench liya hai, jo currency markets ke developments ko ghoor se dekh rahe hain. Kuch key economic events hain jo jald hi USD/JPY pair ke movement ko impact kar sakte hain.
United States ke Economic Events

Consumer Price Index (CPI) Inflation Report


United States apna Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation report budh ke din release karega. Yeh report inflation ka ek pivotal measure hai jo consumer goods aur services ke price changes ko reflect karti hai. Higher inflation usually yeh expectations laati hai ke Federal Reserve tight monetary policy adopt karega, jo USD ko strengthen kar sakta hai. Analysts ko umeed hai ke CPI data US economy ke inflationary trends par crucial insights provide karega aur potentially USD/JPY exchange rate ko influence karega.
Federal Reserve ka Interest Rate Decision


Federal Reserve apna latest interest rate decision budh ke din announce karega. Fed ka monetary policy stance, especially recent economic data ke response mein, USD/JPY pair ke direction ko determine karne mein critical factor hoga. Agar Fed inflation ko address karne ke liye ek more aggressive approach indicate karta hai interest rates ko raise karne ka, to yeh USD ko bolster kar sakta hai aur USD/JPY ki upward movement ko further support karega.
Bank of Japan ka Policy Decision


Bank of Japan (BoJ) apna policy decision jumay ke din apni June meeting mein announce karega. Yeh widely anticipated hai ke BoJ apna short-term policy rate 0-0.1% par maintain karega. BoJ ka supportive monetary policy stance Federal Reserve ke potential tightening se contrast karta hai. Yeh divergence monetary policy approaches ke darmiyan US aur Japan mein ek significant driver raha hai recent strength ke peechay USD/JPY pair mein.
Market Expectations aur Analysts ki Nazar


Current upward trend USD/JPY pair mein market ki expectations ko reflect karta hai in critical economic events ke baare mein. Traders aur investors ghoor se US CPI report aur Fed ke interest rate decision ke outcomes ko monitor karenge, kyunki yeh near term mein currency pair ke movement ka tone set kar sakte hain. Isi tarah, BoJ ka policy stance bhi observe kiya jaayega kisi bhi signs of change ke liye, halanke is meeting mein koi shift expected nahi hai.
Conclusion


Is haftay USD/JPY pair ki performance macroeconomic factors aur central bank policies ke significant impact ko underscore karti hai currency markets par. US aur Japan dono se important updates ke saath, aane wale din crucial honge USD/JPY exchange rate ke future direction ko determine karne mein.

USD/JPY pair ne aik triangle pattern banaya hai, jo downward break hua hai aur H1 time frame downtrend channel ke upper border ke saath move kar raha hai. Yeh 156.94-156.85 zone mein resistance face kar raha hai ek se zyada trading din se, jo expanding triangle model ke lower edge ke saath align karta hai. Agar price is tested zone ke upar stabilize ho jaye, to hum further growth expect kar sakte hain upper target 157.43-157.57 volume zone tak. Dusri taraf, agar yeh zone se rebound kare channel ke lower border ki taraf, to decline expect kiya ja sakta hai support zone 156.43-156.26 tak. Buyer ne hourly chart par local maximum update kiya hai, jo potential continued bullish movement indicate karta hai takreeban 158.35-159.64 tak, jahan significant sales efforts likely hain. Overall, price kaafi waqt se sideways move kar rahi hai, jo ek imminent breakout suggest karta hai. Trend bullish hai, jo possible need for a pullback suggest karta hai. Weekly pivot level break hone ke baad, USD/JPY pair narrow price range mein stagnant hai. 4-hour chart par, pair uptrend mein hai, trading above the Ichimoku cloud, jo bullish sentiment indicate karta hai. Stochastic indicator bhi upwards point kar raha hai. Last trading session mein, pair bullish move karti rahi, bullish group ne apni position reversal level ke upar solidify ki, aur currently 156.95 par trade kar raha hai. Intraday growth targets classic Pivot points ke resistance levels hain. Growth likely current levels se continue karegi, first resistance level 157.61 break hone ke saath

Bull's activity linear regression channel ke direction se determine hoti hai chart par, jo upwards point karti hai. Bears ne successfully ascending channel ke lower boundary 157.007 par cross kar li hai, jo market decline mein increased interest indicate karta hai. Main trades consider kar raha hoon jo strength aur great potential for active decline rakhti hain. Currently, level 156.854 par test ho raha hai, jo market ko upwards stabilize ya correct kar sakta hai. Bulls apna advantage regain karne ki koshish karenge. Agar woh price ko channel ke lower part mein wapas le aane mein kamiyab ho jate hain, yeh scenario low probability rakhta hai, based on longer period H1 chart analysis.

USD/JPY Char Dinon Se Barh Raha Hai:

Jaise ke Budh ke roz USD/JPY jora char dinon se musalsal aik umeed afza trend par hai. Yeh mustaqil izafa kisi aham nazar ya market analysts aur traders ki tawajju ko khichta hai, jo currency markets ke tabadlaat ko chokas nigahi se dekh rahe hain. Kuch ahem ma'ashi waqeeyat mojood hain jo jald hi USD/JPY pair ke harkat par asar andaz honge. Amreeka ko Budh ke roz apna Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation report jaari karna hai. Yeh report raqam ke tabdiliyon ko darust karti hai jo consumer goods aur services ke liye hoti hain. Zyada inflation aksar Federal Reserve ki mazid sakhti se monetary policy ki umeed ko lekar aata hai, jo USD ko mazid mazboot kar sakta hai. Analysts umeed karte hain ke CPI data Amreeki arzi mehngai ke trends mein ahem nawaazish faraham karega aur USD/JPY exchange rate ko asar andaz karega.

Federal Reserve ki Interest Rate Decision:
Federal Reserve Budh ke roz apni taaza interest rate decision jaari karne ka irada rakhta hai. Fed ki monetary policy ka moqaam, khaaskar halqi taur par haal ki ma'ashi data ke jawab mein, USD/JPY pair ke rukh ka aham factor hoga. Agar Fed ne inflation ka jawab dene ke liye interest rates ko barhaane ka zyada aggressive tareeqa ikhtiyaar kiya, to yeh USD ko mazid mazboot kar sakta hai, USD/JPY ke umeed afza movement ko mazeed taqwiyat faraham kar sakta hai.

Bank of Japan ki Policy Decision:
Bank of Japan (BoJ) apni policy decision ko Jumma ko June ke meeting mein jaari karne ka tawaqo kiya jata hai. Bohat se log umeed karte hain ke BoJ apni short-term policy rate ko 0-0.1% par barqarar rakhega. BoJ ka supportive monetary policy stance Federal Reserve ki mukhalifat mein hai jo mazid sakhti ka imkaan hai. Yeh monetary policy ke approaches ka farq US aur Japan ke darmiyan haalaat mein USD/JPY pair ke haal ke mazid mazboot hone ka aik bada sabab hai. USD/JPY pair ke mojooda upward trend market ke umeedwar economic events ka tajziya hai. Traders aur investors ko US CPI report aur Fed ki interest rate decision ke natayej ka khaas tor par tawajju deni chahiye, kyunke yeh currency pair ke harkat ke tone ko qarar de sakte hain. Isi tarah, BoJ ki policy stance ko kisi bhi tabdeeli ke signs ke liye nigaarish ki jayegi, haalaanki is meeting mein koi tabdeeli ka imkaan nahi hai.

Magar, is haftay USD/JPY pair ka performance ma'ashi factors aur central bank policies ka significant asar dikhata hai. Amreeka aur Japan se ahem updates ke saath, aanay wale dinon mein USD/JPY exchange rate ka mustaqbil tay karna ahem hoga.

USD-JPY Jodi Ka Tajarba:

Yeh saaf nazar aata hai aur bullish trend ko nakam karne ke liye, asal mein, USD ki khabron ke natayej bhi kai kafi takatwar supports ko toorna mein badi asar andaz hoti hain. aur ab tak koi resistance ka koi nishaan nahi hai, aur yeh barh gaya hai jab ke keemat pehle se mojud resistance level ke qareeb pohanch kar ek aur buland darja banane ki koshish kar rahi hai, jo ke trading se pehle ki gayi hai, jo ke ek qabil-e-bharosa rising condition ke saath hoti hai jab resistance level ke qareeb hoti hai.

Agli trading ke intizaar mein, hum zyada tar keemat ke qabil-e-bharosa support level ke qareeb jaane ke liye zyada intezaar karenge jo ke 155.931 ke aas paas hai. Aur agar main H1 time frame ki mombati ke harkat ko dekhoon jo hoti hai, woh ab tak peechle 720 maheenay ke moving average ke oopar hee tend karti hai, jo ke is haftay trading mein meri pehli tijarat mein aham trend ka indicator banega. Lagta hai ke keemat ne bhi ek mombati banayi hai jo peechle resistance level ke qareeb thi.

Is haftay ki trading mein aur trading ke liye kuch keemat ki hadood banayi gayi hain jaise ke resistance, jo main sochta hoon ke keemat ne phir se imtehaan kiya jayega keemaat ke neeche ki hadood, jo ke 155,931 ke daira mein hai, aur bhi mahtam kiye jayein ke mulk ka rukh, jo ab phir se keemat ke 720 maheenay ke moving average ke oopar harkat karte huye hai, jo is martaba mojood badi trend ka indicator ban gaya hai. Aur agli trading ke intizaar mein, mujhe pehle keemat ko 155,931 ke qareeb ki hadood mein wapas girne ke liye intizaar hai pehli khareedne wale ilaake ke liye. Aur doosri support hadood ko baad mein rakha ja sakta hai jaise ke agli khareedne wala nishaan agar pehla support toot gaya, doosri support hadood ko mad-e-nazar rakhte hue, jo ke mojooda keemat ke 155,931 ke qareeb hai. Is haftay ki trading ke ikhtitam mein, mombati ab bhi kaafi mazboot taur par barh rahi thi aur sab se buland keemat ke qareeb thi, peechle keemat se zyada. Main ne faisle ko sahara dena faisla liya ke agle trade mein USDJPY jodi mein bullish trend ko jari rakhne ke liye khareedne ka amal jari rakho.

USD-JPY Jodi Ka Takhmina

Yeh wazeh hai ke agar bullish trend nakami ka samna karega, toh haqeeqat mein, USD ki khabron ke natayej bhi kai kafi mazboot support ko torne mein bohot asar andaz sabit honge. taqatwar, aur ab tak koi rukawat ka koi nishaan nahi hai, aur yeh dobara mazbooti se mustahkam kardi gayi hai, jab qeemat pehle se mojooda resistance level ke qareeb tijarat se guzar rahi thi, jo ke ek kafi mustawar bunyadi halat mein ho raha hai jab level resistance ke qareeb pohanchte hain.

Aane wale trading plan ke liye, hum zyada tar qeemat ko qareebi mazboot support level ke qareeb anay tak intezaar karenge jo ke 155,931 ke aas paas hai. Aur agar main H1 time frame ki candle ki movement ko dekho, toh yeh pehle ke 720 muddat ke moving average ke oopar hee chal rahi hai, jo ke main is haftay mein trading mein ahmiyat dete hoon. Yeh nazar ata hai ke qeemat ne pehle ke resistance level ke qareeb bhi ek candle banaya hai.

Aur aglay trading plan mein, main tawaqo rakhta hoon ke qeemat pehle 155,931 ke mazboot support range mein wapas giraygi. Aur agar pehla support torr diya jata hai toh, dusra support limit baad mein doosra khareedne ka maqsood ban sakta hai, doosra support limit ka khayal rakhte hue, jo ke mojooda waqt mein 155,931 ke qeemat ke range mein hai. Is haftay ke trading ke ikhtitam par, candle ab bhi mazeed baqadri se chal rahi thi aur sab se uncha daam, pehle ke daam ko par kar rahi thi. Main ne faisla kiya ke aagay ka tajweez dene ke liye khareedne ka option amal mein lae jaye ga taake USDJPY jodi ke bullish trend ko aglay trade mein jari rakha ja sake.

USD/JPY pair ne ek triangle pattern form kiya hai, jo downward break hua aur H1 time frame downtrend channel ke upper border ke sath move kar raha hai. Yeh 156.94-156.85 zone me resistance ka saamna kar raha hai pichle ek se zyada trading din se, jo expanding triangle model ke lower edge ke sath align karta hai. Agar price is tested zone ke upar stabilize ho jaye, to hum upper target 157.43-157.57 volume zone me further growth expect kar sakte hain. Warna, agar yeh zone se rebound kar ke channel ke lower border ki taraf jata hai, to decline support zone 156.43-156.26 tak ho sakta hai. Buyer ne hourly chart pe local maximum update kiya, jo indicate karta hai ke bullish movement approximately 158.35-159.64 tak continue ho sakti hai, jahan significant sales efforts expected hain. Overall, price kaafi time se sideways move kar rahi hai, jo imminent breakout ka signal de rahi hai. Trend bullish hai, suggesting ke pullback ki zarurat ho sakti hai. Weekly pivot level break karne ke baad, USD/JPY pair narrow price range me stagnate hui hai. 4-hour chart pe, pair uptrend me hai, Ichimoku cloud ke upar trade kar rahi hai, jo bullish sentiment indicate karta hai. Stochastic indicator bhi upwards point kar raha hai. Last trading session me, pair bullish move continue ki, aur bullish group apni position reversal level ke upar solidify kar chuke hain, jo currently 156.95 pe trade kar raha hai. Intraday growth targets classic Pivot points ke resistance levels hain. Growth current levels se continue hone ki possibility hai, pehle resistance level 157.61 ke break ke sath.

Transakshan ki tajziya aur Japani yen ke trading tips ka jaiza
155.75 ke dauray ki kimat waqt par aai jab ke MACD indicator, bawajood ke wo kafi zero se oopar gaya tha, jodiya huwa tha. Lekin, maine note kiya ke main data ke adhaar par tor par kaam karunga jo American economy ka hai. Ghor kiya ke figures economists ke tajwezat se bohot zyada aaye aur naye naukriyon ki tadad tamaam umeedon ko paar kar gayi, maine dollar kharida aur yen bechi, umeed hai ke pair mein upar ki raftaar wapas laut ayegi aur achi upar ki harkat hogi, jo ke din ke ikhtitam tak 100 points se zyada thi.
Aaj ke GDP ke kami ke figures ne yen par dabao dala, jo ke Jumeraat ki raahat jari rakhta hai. Japan ki musalma credit ka dar aur baqaya hasaab ki sahi data ke bawajood nazar andaz kiya gaya. Shayad dollar ki darkhwast aage bhi barqarar rahegi jise main istemal karunga - khaaskar USD/JPY girawat ke moke par, jo ke upar ki trend ki tashkeel hoti rahegi. Dinarai strategi ke lehaz se, main kharidari ke liye scenarios No. 1 aur No. 2 ko anjam denay par zyada bharosa karunga.

Khareedari ki nishaani

Scenario No. 1: Main aaj USD/JPY kharidna ka irada karta hoon jab main entry point tak 157.27 (chart par hari line) pohanchun jiske iraday se 157.97 (chart par zyada moti hari line) tak barhna hai. 157.97 k kheemaat tak main kharidari ko band karun ga aur mukhalif raftar main sales ko kholun ga (level se mukhalif raftar main 30-35 points ke rukh se ummed hai). Pair ki izafa aaj ki tezi se barhne ki tawakkal ki ja sakti hai. Ahem! Khareedari se pehle yaqeeni banayein ke MACD indicator zero mark se oopar hai aur sirf is se barhna shuru ho raha hai.

Scenario No. 2: Main aaj bhi USD/JPY kharidna ka irada karta hoon agar do musalsal kimat ki tashkilaat 156.81 par aayein jab MACD indicator oversold ilaqa mein hoga. Yeh pair ki niche ki raftar ko mehdood kare ga aur bazaar ki ulte raftar ki palat ko barha sakti hai. Hum ummed kar sakte hain ke izafa opposite levels tak 157.27 aur 157.97 tak ho ga.

Farokht ki nishaani

Scenario No. 1: Main aaj USD/JPY tab bechunga jab 156.81 (chart par laal line) ko taaza kiya jaega, jo ke pair ki tezi se kami ko shuru karega. Farokht karne walon ka ahem maqsad 156.30 level hoga, jahan se main farokht ko band karun ga, aur foran mukhalif raftar main kharidari kholun ga (level se mukhalif raftar main 20-25 points ke rukh se ummed hai). Dabao pair par wapas aa sakta hai agar din ki maximum ilaqa mein nakamyab ikhtitam ki sahulat ho, lekin yeh namumkin hai. Ahem! Farokht karne se pehle yaqeeni banayein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke neeche hai aur sirf is se girna shuru ho raha hai.

Scenario No. 2: Main aaj bhi USD/JPY farokht karne ka irada karta hoon agar 157.27 ki do musalsal kimat ki tashkilaat aayein jab MACD indicator overbought ilaqa mein hoga. Yeh pair ki oopar ki raftar ko mehdood karega aur bazaar ki ulte raftar ki palat ko barha sakti hai. Hum ummed kar sakte hain ke izafa opposite levels tak 155.81 aur 156.30 tak ho ga.

Munafa Mumkinat: USD/JPY Ke Daam

Ham USD/JPY currency pair ke daam ki haqeeqati analysis ko jaa rahe hain. Jab 157.81 ke H4 resistance toot jaye, to jodi medium-term target 163.11 ki taraf muddo mein badal jayegi. Jab 157.81 ke H4 resistance ko toot jaye, to pehle se 158.61 se shuru karke, 155.71 par naye H1 support ki taraf pullback mumkin hai. Is rollback ke baad, barhao ki tawaqo hai ke 159.11 aur 160.31 tak pahunche, phir ek aur pullback aur medium-term target 163.11 ki taraf barhao. Agar 155.11 ke H1 support mein breakdown ho, to jodi D1 support 150.16 ki taraf muddo mein badal jayegi. Jab 155.11 ke H1 support mein breakdown ho, to pehle se 154.51 se shuru karke, jodi naye H1 resistance 157.11 par pullback mumkin hai. Agar jodi is naye resistance ko toorna na paye, to shayad 1453.11 ki taraf mor kare.

157.71 ke level ka aik jhoota breakout mumkin hai, jo ek farokht ka moqa pesh karta hai. Kal, 155.36 ka level toota, jo girawat ka aghaz tha, aur tabdeeli darje ke pehle buhat ziada barhao tha. Kharidariyan muzabat hai, aur barhao jaari hai. 157.11 ke level ka ek aur jhoota breakout aage girawat ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Agar girawat mojooda staron se jaari rehti hai aur 155.11 ke range ko toorta hai, to tareef ko jari rakha jaega. 157.11 range mein rukawat mojood hai, jis se girawat jaari ho sakti hai. 155.11 ke level ko toorna girawat ko lamba kar dega. 155.11 ke aas paas support hai; girawat is star se neeche jaari ho sakti hai. Main ek girawat ka umeedwar hoon 154.56 ki taraf. Is level ko toorna aur is ke neeche qadam rakhna aik mazboot farokht signal hoga jo behetar imkanat ke saath hoga.

Kal, USD/JPY jodi ne H1 support 154.86 ko toorna na paya aur gir kar daily balance 156.26 ki taraf rukh liya. Unho ne is level ko toorna aur 157.81 ke H4 resistance ki taraf palat dekha, jaisa ke is shart ke mumkin ho sakte the. Magar, unho ne 157.81 ke H4 resistance tak pohancha nahi. Wo is H4 resistance ki taraf barhne ke liye maaninday ko aage le ja sakte hain. Somwar ko, daily balance 156.26 par hoga, H1 support 155.11 aur H4 resistance 157.81, jo aik barhao ka maqsood bana dega. Agar ye level Somwar ke pullback ke doran daily balance 156.26 ko rokta hai, to barhao 157.81 tak H4 resistance ki taraf kaabil e tawaqo hai. Agar jodi is resistance ko toorna na paye, to ek bearish mor shuru hoga. Agar pair pullback ke doran daily balance 156.26 ko toorna hai, to hum H1 support 155.11 ki taraf girawat dekh sakte hain, jisse ek mumkin growt ke pehloo ko dekhne ko milega.