USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

H4 Hour Time Frame Outlook:

Agar aap TF H4 reference mein USD/JPY market ke trend conditions ko dekhein, to ye asal mein ab bearish trend ke ibtidaai marhalay mein dakhil ho chuka hai. Ye tab hota hai jab candle 200 MA area ke neeche move karne ke qabil hota hai. Magar, abhi bhi khareedariyon se resistance hai jo trend ko dobara bullish direction mein lanay ki koshish kar rahe hain. Ye mumkin hai ke bullish trend condition dobara confirm ho sakti hai agar resistance area mein moving MA50 ke aas paas 156.48 level par izafa hota hai. Isi dauran, bearish efforts jari rehne ki sambhavana kaafi khuli nazar aa rahi hai aur is waqt selling opportunities dhoondna zyada dilchasp lag raha hai.

Entry transactions par ghoor karte hue, lagta hai ke aap bearish trend ke mazeed neeche jaane ki sambhavana par selling opportunities dhoond sakte hain. Abhi ka sell entry area 155.60 se 155.80 ke range mein samjha ja sakta hai. Is price level range ka downward target TP 1 ke liye zero area ko neeche 155.00 ke aas paas pohanchne ka plan kar sakta hai aur TP 2 support area ko test karne ki koshish karega jo 154.56 ke aas paas hai. Agar 154.56 ke neeche break hota hai to psychological zero area tak base drop rally ka moka mil sakta hai jo 150.00 ke range mein hai.



Selling plan tab invalid hoga agar trend dobara bullish ho jata hai jab price 156.50 level ke upar move karti hai. 156.50 ke upar purchase considerations dobara mumkin lagti hain jahan target resistance area ko dobara test karne ka hoga jo 157.72 ke aas paas hai aur all-time high price limit 160.15 tak pohanchne ka try karega.

Japanese Yen Trading Analysis Aur Trading Tips

155.86 ka price test us waqt aaya jab MACD indicator zero se bohot neeche tha, jo ke pair ke downward potential ko din ke akhri mein limit kar gaya. Isi wajah se, maine dollar nahi becha. Aaj, Asian trading ke doran, pair ka girawat jari rahi. Ye mushkil se contradictory statistics ki wajah se hui hai jo Japan mein household spending ke volume aur leading economic indicators ke bare mein hain, is liye ye zyada positioning lagti hai un important data ke samnay jo aaj US labor market ke bare mein expected hain. Lekin hum is par tafseel se dopehar ke forecast mein baat karenge. Filhal, mein scenario No. 2 ke entry points dhoondhunga market reversal aur saste American dollar ki demand ke wapsi par kharidari ke liye. Intraday strategy ke liye, mein zyada scenario No. 2 ke implementation par bharosa rakhunga.

Kharidari ka Signal

Scenario No. 1: Mein aaj USD/JPY ko us waqt kharidne ka plan banata hoon jab 155.75 ke area mein entry point mil jaye (chart par green line) taake 155.65 ke level tak (chart par mota green line) badhne ke liye. 156.65 ke area mein, mein purchases ko exit kar ke ulta sales kholunga (level se 30-35 points ki opposite direction mein movement ke hisaab se). Pair ke growth ko aaj strong US data ke baad count kiya ja sakta hai. Important! Kharidne se pehle, ye zaroor dekhein ke MACD indicator zero mark se upar ho aur wahi se grow hona shuru kar raha ho.

Scenario No. 2: Mein aaj USD/JPY ko bhi us waqt kharidne ka plan banata hoon jab 155.01 ke do consecutive price tests ho aur us waqt MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Ye pair ke downward potential ko limit kar dega aur market ke ulta upward reversal ko lead karega. Hum 155.75 aur 156.65 ke opposite levels tak increase ki umeed kar sakte hain.



Bechne ka Signal

Scenario No. 1: Mein aaj USD/JPY ko us waqt bechne ka plan banata hoon jab 155.01 ka level update ho (chart par red line), jo pair mein tez girawat laayega. Sellers ka key target 154.30 level hoga, jahan mein sales ko exit kar ke ulta purchases kholunga (level se 20-25 points ki opposite direction mein movement ke hisaab se). Pair par pressure wapas aa sakta hai agar daily maximum area mein unsuccessful consolidation hoti hai. Important! Bechne se pehle, ye zaroor dekhein ke MACD indicator zero mark se neeche ho aur wahi se decline hona shuru kar raha ho.

Scenario No. 2: Mein aaj USD/JPY ko bhi us waqt bechne ka plan banata hoon jab 155.75 ke do consecutive price tests ho aur us waqt MACD indicator overbought area mein ho. Ye pair ke upward potential ko limit kar dega aur market ke ulta downward reversal ko lead karega. Hum 155.01 aur 154.30 ke opposite levels tak decline ki umeed kar sakte hain.

5 saal ki TIPS ki yield, jo ke mehngai ke adjustment ke saath calculate hoti hai, 6 December ko kam tareen satah par pohanch gayi thi aur uske baad se dobara barhna shuru ho gayi hai. Ye business environment mein mehngai ke jazbat ka kafi sahi indicator hai aur ye kam nahi ho rahi. May mein saalana mehngai ki rate ke calculation mein pichle saal ki kam base ko madde nazar rakha jayega, to yeh andaza lagaya ja sakta hai ke aane wale mahino mein US mehngai sab ko apni growth se hairaan kar sakti hai. Agar mandi ka khatra zyada wazeh ho gaya, to hukoomat ko ek nayi stimulus program launch karni paray gi. Lekin GDP ka percentage ke tor par budget deficit pehle hi 2012 ke baad se apni buland tareen satah par hai, COVID-19 ke saal 2020/21 ko chhod kar. Agar stimulus program launch hoti hai to budget gap 3-4 trillion dollar tak barh jayega, aur ye bara amount kisi ko bechna hoga. Zaahir hai, ke Fed is ka bara kharidar hai, jo ke QE ki taraf wapsi ko imply karta hai.
Agar events isi tarah unfold hotay hain, to dollar kamzor ho jayega. Yeh mumkin hai ke global investors ek aise scenario se dar rahe hain. Chahe humare assumptions kitne bhi sahi hon, humein unke actions par tawajju deni chahiye, jo ke barhati hui USD sales ka signal dete hain

US dollar ab bhi pressure mein hai, aur filhal koi wajah nahi ke bullish pivot ki umeed ki jaaye.



Kal, USD/JPY pair 122 pips gir kar 50.0% Fibonacci level (156.04) tak pohanch gayi. Aaj subah, yeh upar ko correct ho rahi hai. Marlin oscillator ki signal line apne wedge se nikal kar neeche move hui aur downtrend territory ke boundary se neeche chali gayi. Neeche ka movement momentum gain kar raha hai, aur ab hum price ka MACD line ko cross karne ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo ke target level 155.75 se milta hai. Hum umeed karte hain ke price 38.2% Fibonacci level tak pohanch jayegi jo ke 155.04 ka mark hai. 4-hour chart par, price balance aur MACD indicator lines ke neeche settle ho gayi hai, jab ke Marlin downtrend territory mein settle hone ke baad upar ko correct ho raha hai. Hum is correction ke khatam hone aur pair ke downward movement ko continue karne ki umeed karte hain.

USD/JPY currency pair ne aaj wazeh bearish sentiment dikhaya hai, jahan buyers lagatar zameen kho rahe hain. Pair 155.85 zone tak pohanch gaya hai, aur sellers market ko 155.67 area ke neeche dhakelne ka irada rakhte hain.

Maujooda market environment sellers ke liye mawafiq lag raha hai, kyunke buyers ek significant challenge dene mein kamyab nahi ho rahe. Is wajah se sellers apni market dominance banaye rakhein hain aur buying side par pressure daal rahe hain. Ye bearish trend agle kuch ghanton tak jari rehne ki umeed hai.

In halaat mein, traders ko ehtiyaat se aage barhna chahiye aur trading decisions lete waqt tamam relevant factors ko madde nazar rakhna chahiye. Maujooda market sentiment ko samajhna zaroori hai taake USD/JPY pair ki volatility mein navigate kar sakein.

Maujooda environment sellers ke liye faida mand hai, zyada tar buyers ki kamzori ki wajah se, jisko sellers achi tarah se exploit kar rahe hain. Apni trading outcomes ko optimize karne aur associated risks ko manage karne ke liye, traders ko apni strategies ko prevailing market downtrend ke saath align karna chahiye.

Aane wale US trading session mein, USD/JPY market ka volatile rehne ka imkaan hai. Magar, traders short-term sell-side positions kholne ka soch sakte hain taake current bearish momentum se faida utha sakein jab tak Tokyo trading session khulta hai.



Aage chal kar, upcoming news events aur thorough technical analysis ka sellers ke liye market foothold mazboot karne mein ahm kirdar hoga. Economic reports, policy shifts, aur doosri pertinent news ke bare mein ba-khabar rehna zaroori hai taake well-informed trading choices kiye ja sakein.

Jab market evolve hota rahega, traders ko hoshiyar rehna chahiye aur apni strategies accordingly adapt karni chahiye taake USD/JPY pair ke ird gird dynamic conditions ko effectively navigate kar sakein. Ek ehtiyaat aur well-informed approach ke saath, traders current bearish sentiment se faida utha kar profitable trading outcomes hasil kar sakte hain.

The USDJPY pair is showing bullish signals, aiming to surpass the 157 mark, which represents the upper boundary of a strengthened triangle pattern and aligns with the 61.8% retracement of the bear market from 160.19 to 151.85. However, the market's boundaries are tightening as this week anticipates significant news releases, including the US inflation announcement and the Federal Reserve's rate decision, both scheduled for Wednesday.
The dollar continues to perform well, bolstered by stronger-than-expected employment data, which suggests further delays in the Fed's anticipated rate cuts. The focus will also be on the US May CPI numbers and the Fed's projections, which could signal a more hawkish stance for the dollar.

On the other hand, the Bank of Japan's policymakers will meet on Friday, likely providing more details on their quantitative easing tapering plans. While it is expected that they will keep rates unchanged this time, there is growing speculation that rates may be increased in July, potentially by 25 basis points by the end of the year.

Increased hawkishness from the BoJ, with readiness to intervene if needed to support the domestic currency, could offer some support to the Yen.

Technical analysis of the daily chart shows mixed signals, with the moving averages still in a bullish pattern, though momentum appears to be fading, and the stochastic indicator suggests overbought conditions.

An initial positive indication would be a sustained break above 157.00, which could lead to further price increases and reveal targets at 157.70 (the peak from May 29), and 158.22 (76.4% Fibonacci retracement of 160.19/151.85).

Failure to surpass the 157 pivot point could weaken the support at 156.10 (daily Tenkan-sen) and 155.76 (daily cloud theme), risking a further decline.

Assessment: 157.70; 158.22 percent; 159.00; 160.19
Support: 156.83; 156.40; 156.10; 155.76

Shuru mein, Amreeki dollar Japanese yen ke muqablay mein majbooth hota gaya aur barhta gaya. Lekin hum FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) ki meeting ke paas hain jo Wednesday ko hai aur Japan ki Bank of Japan ki meeting jo Friday ko hogi, is wajah se kisi bade tabdeeli ki umeed hai. Is moqa par, mai sochta hoon ke chhoti mizan par naklay karna ek khareedne ka moqa hai, jo dauraniyat mein barhth ki simt ke mutabiq hai. Is liye, mai in tuchh phailawe mein khareedne ki taluq rakh raha hoon.
155 yen ke saht ke asar ko chhoti mizan ke tor par dekha jata hai, jo 50 din ke EMA ke zariye zyada majbooth hai. Agar bazaar is mizan se neeche utar jaye, to agla saht lagbhag 152 yen ke asar par ho sakta hai. Chahe Federal Reserve thoda reliev de, magar Amreeka Japan ke Bank se kahin zyada majbooth maqam mein rahega, jo ek qarza sajeedi me puri tarah muktar hai jo barhtay huer faiz se zyada mushkil ho jati hai.

Is wajah se faiz rate ke fark ki ummed hai ke Amreeki dollar mujooda moqa par aage barhta rahega. Is dauraniyat ko Amreeki dollar ko pesh dari ko imarati tor par boland banayega. Is tarah USD/JPY ke jodo ko lambi dauraniyat ke liye upar barhne ka rujhan barhta dikhai deta hai, akhirkar akeley banaya aish mein bank of Japan ke kisine fayeda nahi uthaya.

Is liye, mera dhayan Japanese yen aur Amreeki dollar par hai. Amreeki dollar ke muqabale mein yen ke muqabale mein uncha rakhne ka imarati amedhan barh raha hai. Mazdood riyazi intazamat aur faiz rate ke farq se mustaid karte hain ke barhth barh sakti hai. Is liye, main ummed rakhta hoon ke yeh joda apni muqadarat chuki unchayi se ooncha utar jayega, aur Japan ke stock market ke kisine bazaar par asar dalne ke liye ki hui koshish aadi rahegi. Yeh naqsha maqam ke molavi dauranat aur malajat ki safari politik ke liye bunyadi tor par barh kar yeh doonon currency ke nisbat zameen kuchh na phailaye.

Hello sab traders, kaise hain aap? Live USD/JPY currency pair ke rangin movements ko navigate karna zaroori hai ek chahat aur structured approach ke saath. Aaj ke analysis mein hum ne recent developments ko highlight kiya hai, potential traps ko aur pivotal levels ko, jo trading decisions ko guide karte hain.
Din ki shuruaat hui local resistance breakout par, jo 156.95 par tha, jise daily trend ke continuation ki nishani maana jata hai upper limit tak daily range ke 160.18. Is raasta ko anticipate karte hue, sell ka limit order 160.18 par set kiya gaya tha, jo "Double Top" reversal pattern ke formation ke sath coincide hota. Lekin, market ki unpredictable nature jald hi samne aayi jab price ne reversal kiya, breakout area se neeche gir gaye, jo pehle ke trading idea ko return ki nishani thi, jisme local top ki formation ko 1-2-3 reversal pattern ke andher mein maana gaya. Market activity ke rush ke beech, hoshiyar rehna zaroori hai. Galat signals ki frequently ho sakti hai, is liye vigilant rehna zaroori hai. Isliye, sell position mein entry ko rokne ka faisla jab tak pattern poora mature na ho jaye, ek prudent approach ko reflect karta hai.

USD/JPY positions ko assess karte hue din bhar, sentiments ki fluctuating and strategic maneuvers ka pata chalta hai. Participants ne pehle 155.42-97 support zone mein shelter ki talaash ki, jo uptrend ko revive karne ke liye tha. Lekin, initial long positions ne breakdown kiya aur neeche gir gaye. Jaise hi price niche aayi, participants ne recalibrate kiya, market mein naye long positions ke sath re-enter kiya. In positions ka sustainability consolidation ke baad ki trajectory par depend karta hai, jahan ek potential downturn mood par ho sakta hai.

Notably absent hai rollback ka, jo broken zone ke 155 ke aas-paas ho, jahan pehle ke buyers wait karte. Agar aisa rollback hota hai, to yeh sellers ko attract kar sakta hai, jo ek potential bear trap ko setup karega. Is complex dance mein bulls aur bears ke beech, USD/JPY pair apne complex dynamics ko dikhata hai, jo reversals aur traps se bharpur hota hai. Key levels 156.97 resistance ke liye aur 155.42-97 support ke liye analysis ke center mein hain. In critical junctures ko diligently monitor karna traders ko volatile market conditions ke through guide karega.

Is analysis ke ant mein, ek meticulous framework pradan kiya gaya hai USD/JPY pair ke ebbs and flows ko navigate karne ke liye, jo traders ko insights pradan karta hai taaki pitfalls se bachna aur opportune moments ko seize kiya ja sake.

Daily Time Frame Outlook:

USDJPY daily timeframe pe significant bullish signs dikhai de rahe hain. Ek main indicator jo is view ko support karta hai woh hai 50 EMA ka position 100 EMA ke upar hona. Yeh strong bullish trend show karta hai, kyunki 50 EMA zyada responsive hota hai latest price movements pe as compared to 100 EMA jo dheere hota hai. Pehle, USD/JPY currency pair ne ek correction experience kiya, magar yeh correction EMA 50 level ke aaspaas ruk gaya, jo ke price range 154,691 mein hai. Yeh dikhata hai ke EMA 50 ek kaafi strong dynamic support level ke tor pe function kar raha hai. Price ka EMA 50 level pe hold karna indicate karta hai ke buyers abhi bhi market mein dominate kar rahe hain aur is area mein apni position maintain karne ke liye tayaar hain. Corrections jo 50 EMA pe ruki hoti hain, traders ke liye buying opportunities ke tor pe dekhi jaati hain, jo expect karte hain ke prices dobara se rise karein gi ek temporary consolidation ya correction ke baad. Iske ilawa, ek bullish rejection candle ka formation ek strong signal deta hai ke buyers abhi bhi control mein hain. Yeh bullish rejection candle usually long lower tail aur choti candle body se pehchani jaati hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke selling pressure ke bawajood, buyers ne price ko wapas push karke upar band kiya. Yeh pattern yeh indicate karta hai ke is support level ke aaspaas strong buying interest hai, is tarah future mein bullish potential ko strengthen karta hai. Overall technical conditions ko dekhte hue, USD/JPY ke rise hone ka potential abhi bhi kaafi zyada hai. Agla increase target pehle wale high level 157,716 ki taraf ho sakta hai. Yeh level ek strong resistance hai jo pehle ban chuki hai aur agar bullish momentum continue karta hai toh yeh ek realistic target hai.

subah ke Asian session mein USD/JPY currency pair mein notable decline dekha gaya, jo bohot logon ki tawajju ka markaz bana. US dollar ki recent taqat ke madde nazar, yeh dip kuch surprising hai. Iss pullback ke do potential factors ho sakte hain. Pehla, recent upswing ne kuch investors ko apne profits secure karne pe majboor kar diya ho sakta hai, taake spring ke khatam hone se pehle faida uthaya ja sake. Yeh market mein growth ke dauran ek natural response hai. Dosra factor, USD/JPY pair mein ek correction chal rahi hai. Pair ko significant upward trend ke baad kuch gains retrace aur consolidate karna expected hai. 'Support levels' wo price levels hain jahan currency pair historically mushkil se niche girti hai. Is healthy correction ke natije mein naye support levels ban sakte hain, jo market ko overheating se bachate hain. USD/JPY shuruat mein apni position par wapas aa sakti hai.

Hum iss waqt intezar kar rahe hain ke American trading session mein crucial US economic data release ho. Pehle quarter ka US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data release iss currency pair ke liye bohot important hai. Yeh data American economy ki sehat ke bare mein valuable insights provide karta hai aur USD/JPY exchange rate par substantial impact daal sakta hai. Ek aur critical data point initial claims for unemployment benefits ka number hai. Yeh data investor sentiment ko US dollar ki taraf influence kar sakta hai, aur US labor market ki halat par roshni daal sakta hai. Halaanki abhi dip chal raha hai, market sentiment USD/JPY pair ke liye bullish hai. Analysts optimistic hain aur expect karte hain ke upward trend US data ki initial market reaction khatam hone ke baad wapas aayegi. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, pair ka potential turning point 156.15 hai. Agar price iss level ke upar hold karti hai, toh ek buy signal trigger ho sakta hai, jisme possible targets 157.43 aur 158.00 tak ho sakte hain. Dusri taraf, agar USD/JPY 156.15 support level ko todti hai, toh further downward correction ho sakti hai. Iss scenario mein pair consolidate kar sakti hai, matlab yeh defined range mein trade kar sakti hai, jo 153.61 aur 155.85 tak gir sakti hai. USD/JPY market investors US economic data ka release intezar kar rahe hain. Short-term correction ke bawajood, US dollar abhi bhi long-term upward trend par hai.

wages and changes in non-agricultural employment" statistics musbat thay, jo hamare terminal mein qabil e tawajju halchal ka sabab bane. Halankeh main baad mein rozana ka chart bhi tajziya karunga, pehle Price Action method par tawajju dene ke liye, magar ehmiyat hai ke 6 June ko hum ne "bullish engulfing" candle pattern dekha, jo 155.11 tak correction ke baad 200 points se zyada izafa ka sabab bana Mukhtalif taur par, USD/JPY jodi ne bhi 155.89 darje mein mazboot support ka pehchan kya hai. Ye support level qeemat ko mazeed girne se rokne wala ek floor ka kaam karta hai. Agar qeemat is level se neeche toot jati hai, to agla downside target doosra support level 155.57 hoga. Is level ko toorna bearish dabao mein izafa ko zahir karega, aur traders mazeed girawat ka tawaqo rakhsakte hain. Ye doosra support level bearish trend ka jaari rehne ya qeemat ka rebound karne ka andaza lagane ke liye ahem hai. In support aur resistance levels ke darmiyan ka ta'alluq traders ko potential market movements ke baray mein ahem maloomat faraham karta hai. Misal ke taur par, jab qeemat ek resistance level ke qareeb aati hai, traders aage ki tezi ya mukhalif reversion ke nishane dhoondte hain. Ek resistance level ke ooper breakout, taqatwar bullish hissas ki alamat ho sakti hai aur mazeed faiday ki sambhavna zahir karti hai. Dusri taraf, agar qeemat resistance ke ooper tootne mein nakam rahe, to yeh ek reversal aur support levels ki taraf girawat ka ishara ho sakta hai Isi tarah, jab qeemat ek support level ke qareeb aati hai, traders ek breakdown ya rebound ke nishane dhoondenge. Ek support level ke neeche tootna taqatwar bearish hissas ki alamat ho sakta hai aur mazeed nuqsanat ka sabab ban sakta hai. Magar, agar support level qaim rehta hai, to yeh ek potential rebound aur buyers ke liye market mein dakhil hone ka mouka ho sakta hai. Aam tor par, yeh support aur resistance levels trading faislay ke liye ahem points ka kaam karte hain. In levels ke aas paas qeemat ke rawayya ko qareebi tor par dekhte hue, traders potential dakhilay aur nikalne ke nishane, risk ko manage karne, aur market m

FOMC meeting jo budhvar ko hone wali hai aur Bank of Japan jo jumma ko hone wali hai, ke qareeb aate hain toh thori dair ke liye ek rukawat ka ehsaas hota hai. Is tawaqo ke mutabiq, mein choti muddat ki rukawat ko ek kharidari mauqa dekhta hoon, lambay muddat ke izafay ke mutabiq. Is natije mein, mujhe yeh dips kharidne ka tajwez hai.
155 yen level ko ek choti muddat ka support ke tor par dekha jata hai, jo 50 din ke EMA ke maujoodgi mein zyada mazboot hai. Agar market is level ke neeche gir jata hai, to agla support 152 yen ke qareeb ho sakta hai. Agar Federal Reserve apni stance ko thoda sa asaan kar bhi de, to United States Bank of Japan ke muqable mein ek behtareen position mein rahega, jo ke unchi interest rates ke zariye barhane wale qarz mahool ke liye zyada tangi ka zimmedar hai.

Is tarah, U.S. dollar ke liye interest rate ka farq ummed hai ke aane wale waqt mein qayam rahega. Yeh dynamics lambay muddat mein USD/JPY pair ko buland karne ka silsila chalay ga, aakhir mein haal ki unchi ke levels ke upar aur Bank of Japan ki kisi bhi ta'asir se asar andaz hoga.

In wajohaat ke liye, mera tawajjo Japanese yen aur U.S. dollar par hai. dollar ke muqable mein Japani yen ke tezabiyat ka jawaaz ab bhi buland hai. Kul mila ke ma'ashi bunyadiyat aur interest rate ke farq ne istemariy tor par izafay ko mazbooti se support kiya hai. Is natije mein, mein umeed karta hoon ke pair apni haal ki unchi ke upar toot jayega, aur Japani stock market ke jhapatne ka asar market par nakam rahega. Yeh approach mulkain maamlaat ki mukhtalif mali taqat aur monetary policy par mabni hai, jo in do currencies ki darar mein

USD/JPY pair ki haftawar (weekly) chart ka tajziya karte waqt, hum kuch ahem technical aspects aur trends ko madde nazar rakhenge. Ye analysis humare liye iss baat ka ta’yyun karega ke aane wale hafton mein pair ka rujhan kya ho sakta hai. Pehle toh, humein yeh dekhna hai ke 149.691 ka level kitna ahem hai. Yeh level historically ek strong resistance raha hai. Iska matlab hai ke jab bhi price is level ke qareeb aata hai, sellers ka pressure increase hota hai aur price ko neeche dhakel dete hain. Aksar ye bhi hota hai ke kuch investors aur traders is level pe apne profits book karte hain, jiski wajah se selling pressure aur bhi barh jata hai. Recent hafton mein, humne dekha ke USD/JPY pair ne 149.691 ke resistance ko test kiya aur wahan se bounce back kiya. Iska matlab yeh hai ke resistance ab bhi intact hai aur bears (sellers) abhi bhi control mein hain. Agar hum price action ko dekhein toh, bounce ke baad price ne ek downward movement dikhayi hai, jo is baat ki nishandahi kar rahi hai ke short-term mein bearish sentiment dominate kar raha hai. Is bounce ke baad agar hum technical indicators ka sahara lein, toh Moving Averages (MA), Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) ka analysis helpful hoga. Agar price ne 50-period MA ke neeche close kiya hai, toh yeh ek bearish sign hai. RSI agar oversold levels (30 ke qareeb) ko approach kar raha hai, toh yeh possible reversal ka indication ho sakta hai, magar agar RSI neutral ya mid-levels pe hai, toh bearish trend ke continuation ka zyada chance hai. MACD ko dekh kar humein trend ki strength aur momentum ka pata chal sakta hai. Agar MACD line signal line ke neeche hai aur divergence barh rahi hai, toh bearish momentum strong hai. Iska matlab hai ke price aur neeche ja sakta hai. Support levels bhi dekhne chahiyein. Agar price consistently lower highs aur lower lows bana rahi hai, toh nearest support level ko watch karna zaroori hai. Yeh levels wo points hain jahan buyers dubara enter ho sakte hain. Agle kuch supports 145.00 aur 142.50 ke aas paas hain. Fundamentally, USD/JPY pair pe American aur Japanese economic indicators ka asar hota hai. Jaise ke Federal Reserve ki interest rate policies, US ka GDP growth, inflation data aur Japanese economy ki health indicators. Yen traditionally safe-haven currency mana jata hai, toh global uncertainties bhi USD/JPY ko affect kar sakti hain. Conclusively, agar 149.691 ka resistance barqarar rehta hai aur price lower highs aur lower lows banati rehti hai, toh short-term bearish trend ka possibility barh jati hai. Traders ko yeh bhi dekhna hoga ke kya koi fundamental changes aa rahe hain jo trend ko reverse kar sakte hain. Technical analysis aur fundamental factors ka mil kar analysis karna zaroori hai taake ek solid trading strategy banayi ja sake.

156.786 par tha. Moujooda manzar ke mutabiq, main poori tarah tasleem karta hoon ke aaj, chhote uttarward retracement ka mukammal hone ke baad, southern movement jari reh sakta hai, aur is halat mein, main support level par nazar rakhoonga, jo mere tajziye ke mutabiq, 153.61 par hai. Is support level ke qareeb, do manaziron ka izhar ho sakta hai. Pehla intehai manzar hai jise palat candle aur upri qeemat ki phir se chalne ki tawaqo hai. Agar yeh mansoobah anjam diya gaya, to main qeemat ko intehai resistance level par lautne ka muntazir rahoonga jo 157.671 par hai. Jab qeemat is resistance level ke upar band ho jaye, to main mazeed uttarward harkat ka tawaqo rakhoonga, 160.209 tak. Is resistance level ke qareeb, main trading setup ka izhar ka intezar karunga jo mazeed trading ka rukh maloom karne mein madad karega. Dour manzilat shumara ki pohanch ka bhi aik ihtimal hai, jis mein se aik, mere tajziye ke mutabiq, 164.500 par hai, lekin halaat ka nigrani karna zaroori hai, aur sab kuch khabar flow ke tehat aur qeemat ke ishtiharati dour manzilat shumaron ke nisbat kaise reaction karta hai, is par munhasir hoga. Qeemat ka support level 153.601 ke qareeb pohanchne par qeemat ke liye an alternate mansoobah support level ke neeche band hone aur mazeed southern harkat ka intezar hoga. Agar yeh mansoobah anjam diya gaya, to main tawaqo rakhoonga ke qeemat support level 151.856 ya support level 150.809 ki taraf chalay jaye. In support levels ke qareeb, hum bullish signals ki talash jari rakheinge umeed hai ke upri qeemat ki harkat dobara shuru hogi. Aam tor par, chand alfaz mein, aaj main poori tarah tasleem karta hoon ke chhote uttarward retracement ka mukammal hone ke baad, southern harkat dobara shuru hogi, aur qeemat qareebi support level ko test karne ke taraf jaayegi. Wahan se, mojooda global bullish trend ko mad e nazar rakhte hue, main upri signals ki talash.

trading me zyadatar buy position dhoondhne ka chance hai. Jo cheez mujhe concern kar rahi hai wo hai market ki condition 4-hour time frame me. Market band hone se kuch ghante pehle tak correction nazar ayi jo ke 155.64 zone tak pohonch gayi thi. Isliye, agar agle hafte price 155.88 position ke upar move karne me kamyab hoti hai, to mai ek Buy trade place karunga. Market ki condition ke mutabiq, pechle hafte ka Uptrend dekhne ko mil raha hai. Market abhi bhi buyers ke control me hai, meri raaye me yeh is baat ka signal hai ke prices ke paas upward trend me run karne ka mauka hai. Is hafte market ne 155.76 position pe open kiya, aur price 156.79 position tak barh gayi. Agar hum 4-hour time frame chart ke zariye price movements ka development dekhen, to meri raaye me agle kuch dino tak market bullish side par move karne ka chance rakhti hai.
Meri prediction yeh hai ke agle price movements barh sakti hain, aur yeh ek significant impact push trigger karegi jisse candlestick 100 period simple moving average zone se dur higher move karegi. 5,3,3 stochastic indicator 80 zone ko touch kar gaya hai, jo ke buyer control ka signal hai. Chhoti time frame yani 1 hour me, yeh clear hai ke price journey 100 period simple moving average line ke upar stop kar rahi hai, shayad strong momentum ka intezar kar rahi hai taake weekly journey Uptrend side par continue ho sake.

Upar di gayi analysis aur explanation se hum yeh conclusion nikal sakte hain ke mahine ke end tak trading me, market ke paas bullish journey par wapas aane ka mauka hai, target around 156.26 zone set karke. Jab tak buyers price ko 155.04 zone ke upar rakh sakte hain, meri raaye me increase ka mauka Downtrend side ke mukable zyada hai. USD/JPY bullish rahte hue aaj raat ke US trading session tak barh sakta hai, buyer dominance abhi bhi barkarar hai kyunke Moving Average abhi bhi running price ke neeche hai, jo ke indicate karta hai ke price abhi bhi barhne ki taraf hai. MACD ka histogram jo positive area me mazboot hai yeh bhi indicate karta

Japanese Yen (JPY) ne Japanese Economic Revitalization Minister Yoshitaka Shindo ke comments ke baad recent losses se recover karne ki koshish ki. Shindo ne hukumat ke budget surplus ko fiscal year 2025 mein achieve karne ke commitment ka ilaan kiya aur economy ke growth potential ke baray mein optimism zahir kiya. Is khabar ne potential currency weakness ke concerns ko kam karne mein madad di. Magar, underlying factors ab bhi Yen par pressure daal rahe hain. Japan mein inflation barh raha hai, lekin bohat si doosri countries ke muqable mein dheemi raftaar se. Iska matlab hai ke Bank of Japan ke interest rates barhane ke chances kam hain, jo aam tor par Yen ko mazboot karta hai. Japan aur doosri nations, khas tor par United States, ke interest rates ke darmiyan farq ki wajah se Yen ek kam attractive investment banta hai, jo iska exchange rate niche dhakelta hai. USD/JPY currency pair filhal 157.40 ke qareeb hai. Technical analysis ek potential pause ko suggest karti hai uptrend mein, magar overall sentiment bullish hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ka 50 se ooper rehna USD/JPY ke upward trend ke continuation ko indicate karta hai. Qareebi mustaqbil mein, key level jo dekhne wala hai woh 158.00 hai. Agar yeh psychological level break hota hai toh 34-year high 160.32 ka retest ho sakta hai. Doosri taraf, agar 157.00 se niche girta hai toh pair 14-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 156.72 ke taraf retreat kar sakta hai. Aage dekhte hue, kuch Fibonacci retracement levels potential support aur resistance zones provide karte hain. Agar 159.10, jo 161.8% Fibonacci extension hai, ke ooper breakout hota hai toh 34-year peak ka revisit possible ho sakta hai. Niche ki taraf, agar pair 156.35, jo 138.2% Fibonacci retracement level hai, se girta hai toh yeh 154.64 aur shayad usse bhi niche slide kar sakta hai. May inflection point 151.90 significant decline ke scenario mein kuch support de sakta hai. Overall, USD/JPY exchange rate ek tug-of-war face kar raha hai Japanese economic improvements ke potential aur doosri countries ke sath interest rate differential ke darmiyan. Aane wale din aur haftay bohot ahmiyat rakhte hain yeh decide karne mein ke USD/JPY ka uptrend continue karta hai ya Yen kuch strength paata hai.