USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Agar USD/JPY ki qeemat 156.88 se upar chali jati hai, to yeh is baat ka ishara hai ke kharidaar aik naye upar ki taraf ke rujhan ki koshish kar rahe hain jo ke 157.23 ke ahm resistance level ki taraf hai. Yeh level is liye important hai kyunki yeh aage qeemat ke barhne mein rukawat ka kaam karta hai. Agar qeemat is level ko paar kar leti hai, to yeh mazboot bullish momentum ko dikhata hai, jo is baat ka izhar hai ke kharidaar markets par qaboo mein hain aur kharidari jari rakhenge. Yeh qeemat mein mazeed izafa karega. Jab qeemat in resistance levels ko paar karti hai, to yeh market ka confidence dikhata hai ke upar ke movement mein. Traders is progression ko aik positive sign ke tor par dekhte hain, jo is baat ko dikhata hai ke kharidaar taqatwar hain aur qeemat ko mazeed upar dhakailne mein pur azm hain. 157.30 level par, kharidaar khaas tor par mazboot hain, aur unki mojoodgi market mein bullish sentiment ko mazid mazboot karti hai. 156.88 level ko paar karna USD/JPY pair ke liye naye upar ke trend ka aghaz hai. Traders is movement ko ghore se dekhte hain jab yeh 157.23 resistance level ke qareeb pohanchta hai

Agar yeh level paar ho jata hai, to yeh mazboot bullish momentum ko dikhata hai aur market mein kharidaar ka confidence mazid mazboot hota hai. In resistance levels ke zariye progression kharidaar ki barhti hui taqat ko dikhata hai, khaas tor par 157.30 level par unki mojoodgi par zor diya jata hai. 156.83 resistance level ke paar hone ka matlab yeh hai ke qeemat successfully resistance ko tod chuki hai aur aik naye higher range mein apna maqam bana rahi hai. Har halat mein, yeh zaroori hai ke 156.83 resistance level par nazar rakhi jaye. Yeh level potential upward movement ka aik key indicator hoga. Agar qeemat is level ko tod kar uske upar consolidate kar leti hai, to yeh upward trend ki taqat ko confirm karega aur mazeed higher resistance levels ki taraf continuation ko indicate karega. Mojooda resistance level ke qareeb, do potential scenarios hain. Pehla scenario yeh hai ke qeemat 156.83 resistance level ko tod kar ooper chali jati hai. Is surat mein, qeemat ka agla resistance level 156.90-157.40 ke qareeb hoga. Mein is level par nazar rakhoonga ke dekha jaye ke qeemat apna upward trajectory maintain kar sakti hai aur uske upar consolidate kar sakti hai

جون 10 2024 کو امریکی ڈالر/جاپانی ین کے لیے پیشن گوئی

امریکی ڈالر/جاپانی ین جوڑا جمعہ کو 115 پیپس تک بڑھ گیا، امریکی ملازمتوں کے اعداد و شمار پر ڈالر کی مضبوطی کے زیر اثر۔ 61.8% فبونیکی سطح تک پہنچ گئی۔



ایسا لگتا ہے کہ یہ تیزی کا موڈ زیادہ دیر تک قائم نہیں رہے گا، کیونکہ ین کے جوڑوں کے ساتھ سالن کی تجارت کی کارروائیاں بتدریج ختم ہو رہی ہیں، اور بڑھتے ہوئے خطرے سے بچنے کا جذبہ ین میں مارکیٹ کی دلچسپی کو بڑھا دے گا۔ لیکن ابھی کے لیے، فبونیکی 61.8% کی سطح (157.00) پر قابو پانے کے ساتھ، قیمت 158.00/24 کے ہدف کی حد تک - 76.4% کی اصلاحی سطح تک بڑھ سکتی ہے۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر تیزی کے علاقے میں چلا گیا ہے، جو ین کے خلاف جنگ میں ڈالر کی مدد کرتا ہے۔

٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، قیمت نے ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن کے اوپر تھوڑا سا وقفہ لیا، فی الحال 157.00 سے اوپر چڑھنے کا ارادہ ہے۔ اس سطح سے اوپر کو مستحکم کرنے سے قیمت 158.00/24 کی حد میں تجارت کی راہ ہموار ہوتی ہے۔ اگر قیمت 157.00 سے اوپر مستحکم نہیں ہوتی ہے، اور اس کے بجائے یہ 156.64 پر ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن کے نیچے مضبوط ہو جاتی ہے، تو نیچے کی حرکت 155.75 پر پہلے ہدف کے ساتھ دوبارہ شروع ہو سکتی ہے۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

Chalo ab hum currency pair/instrument ke movement ka forecast analyse karte hain using signals from the Extended Regression StopAndReverse indicator, aur selected entry point ki confirmation karte hain readings of the RSI (14) aur MACD indicators ke standard settings se. Sabse appropriate exit select karne ke liye, hum Fibonacci grid ko stretch karenge kal ke ya current trading day (ya week) ke extreme marks ke mutabiq aur market se exit point ke liye sabse optimal option select karenge taake maximum possible take profit size hasil ho sake.
Sabse pehle jo cheez nazar aati hai wo yeh hai ke attached chart par pehli degree regression line (golden dotted line), jo selected time frame (time-frame H4) par current true trend ka direction aur state dikhati hai, upward slope ke sath hai, jo ke growing direction instrument movements aur buyers ki dominant power ko indicate karta hai. Sath hi, nonlinear regression channel (convex lines), jo near future ko predict karne ke liye use hota hai, ne golden channel line ko neeche se cross kiya hai aur upward direction dikhata hai

Price ne blue support line of the linear regression channel 2-nd LevelSupLine ko cross kiya lekin quotes ka minimum value (LOW) 151.884 par pohanch gaya, jiske baad decline ruk gaya aur dheere dheere grow hona shuru ho gaya. Filhaal, instrument 156.738 ke price level par trade ho raha hai. In sab ko dekh kar, mujhe umeed hai ke market price quotes wapas aayenge aur 2-nd LevelSupLine channel line (157.026) FIBO level 61.8% ke upar consolidate karenge aur phir upward move karenge golden average line LR of the linear channel 160.205 ki taraf, jo ke 100% Fibo level ke sath coincide karta hai. Transaction karne ke haq mein ek aur dalil yeh hai ke RSI (14) aur MACD indicators ka bhi signal hai

Jab main yahan USDJPY bechne ka plan banane ki koshish kar raha hoon, toh mujhe har baar is baat ka samna karna padta hai ke main is currency pair ke saath barabar nahi chal sakta. Kal humne bhi 156.60 ko note kiya tha, jahan se hum bech sakte the, lekin hum wahan tak pohanche hi nahi. Wohi moment yaad aata hai ke pehle hum bohot dair intezar karte hain, aur jab price akhir kaar upar jati hai, toh humare paas time hi nahi bachta.
Aur main aage barh sakta hoon.. Agar kuch aapke plan ke mutabiq ho bhi jaye, toh USD/JPY ajeeb harkatain karne lagti hai aur kuch aisa produce karti hai jo bilkul illogical aur technical nahi hota. Aur, jaise kehte hain, door tak example dekhne ki zarurat nahi. Aaj ka din, H4 chart. Bohot wajibi tor par, jab dollar-yen ne local minimum 154.55 par banayi aur phir growth resume hui, jabke alignment south ke favor mein redraw hui... pullback par bechne aur corresponding zig-zag banne ka intizar tha. Dollar-yen ke case mein, retracement level ko bohot accurately determine karna possible tha - resistance 156.39 par tha, jahan deferment level set tha. Pair ne 156.48 ka high dikhaya aur phir neeche chala gaya. Jaise kehte hain, entry bohot zyada accurate thi... Lekin decline na toh strong tha aur na hi swift, haan ek spike figure 155 par aayi thi, lekin, aap khud samajh sakte hain, 155.72 mere liye kafi nahi hoga.



Sirf theoretical tor par, yeh kaafi possible hai ke USDJPY pair growth continue karega. Maine yahan ek aur version of the channel draw kiya hai, aur ab yeh lagta hai ke price ne iski lower border se bounce kiya hai, isliye logical hai ke hum upper border ki taraf jayenge. Saath hi, RSI aur stochastic indicators bhi upar ki taraf dekh rahe hain, jo further growth ki possibility ko confirm karte hain.

Sirf theoretical tor par, market mein kuch bhi possible hai, khas tor par dollar-yen ke sath - ek bohot surprising pair. Lekin hum theoretical possibilities trade nahi kar rahe, hum apne justifications trade kar rahe hain, aur yahan humein theoretical reflections ya decision-making ki zarurat hai - deal open karne ke liye ya nahi. Maine 156.39 se dollar-yen ko open aur sell kiya hai, aur jabke price profit zone mein hai, sab kuch bohot modest hai.
USD/JPY pair ne phir apni decline ko roka jab yeh apne six-month trend ke qareeb aayi. Toh, original goal mein ghalti thi - original goal trend line par tha aur yeh kal achieve ho gaya. Ab, ek rollback ke baad, is level par ek naya approach possible hai, lekin agar yeh push hoti hai, toh previous tail ke area mein 153rd figure mein, yeh ruk nahi sakti balki seedha final goal 146th figure mein ja sakti hai. Lekin pehle, inhein bechne dein.

Shayad, ab dollar-yen ki situation aisi hai ke kehna zaruri hai ke sab kuch aik saath nahi hota. Lekin downward movement ke development ke liye prerequisites hain, aur is movement mein hissa lene ke opportunities bhi hain. Yeh zyada bura hota agar hamara trading account bas girta aur girta, bina kisi rollback ya corrections ke.
Technical Reference: sell as long as it is below 157.255
Resistance 1: 157.255
Resistance 2: 157.400
Support 1: 156.525
Support 2: 156.345

USDJPY ke paas neeche move karne ka mauka hai US session mein aaj raat (31/5/24) kyunke Stochastic indicator ne bearish signal diya hai jo neeche jaane ka mauka provide karta hai kyunke red aur blue lines overbought area mein cross ho gayi hain.

Ek ghante ke chart analysis ke mutabiq. 15 minute chart bhi neeche jaane ka mauka provide karta hai kyunke OsMA ke histogram negative area mein aana shuru ho gaya hai, jo indicate karta hai ke selling process continue hogi. Agar scenario ke mutabiq chalein, toh USDJPY ke paas support level 156.525 ko test karne ka mauka hai.

Kai analysts ke mutabiq, USD/JPY currency pair ka intezar hai ke woh wahi rukh apnaye. Keemat ke movement ko "ascending triangle" chart pattern ke asar mein dekha ja raha hai. Ye pattern ek corridor ki tarah hai jismein neeche ki taraf dhere dhere uthne wala ek manzar hai. Keemat kuch arse se neeche ke trend line (zameen) aur oonche trend line ke darmiyan dab rahi hai. Jab ye pattern breakout mein muntaqil hota hai, to keemat ko kisi bhi rukh mein tezi se barhne ki ummeed hoti hai. Achi khabar ye hai ke dollar Japanese yen ke khilaaf mazboot ho raha hai, jo ke USD/JPY mein izaafa la sakti hai. Ye oonchaai ka trend mumkin hai ke aaj US mein musbat maqami dastavezat ka izhaar hua hai. Magar, kuch rukawatein bhi hain jo paar ki jaani hain. Ek bullish scenario ke liye keemat ko 157.77 ka critical resistance level se taqatwar tor par todna zaroori hai. Yahan thori si kamzor maqami khabrein rukawat pesh kar sakti hain. Breakout hone ki sambhavna ke bawajood, sahi waqt ghair maqami hai. Is ke ilawa, bull (investors jo keemat mein izafa ki umeed rakhte hain) 157.77 ke level ko toorna mein museebat utha sakte hain
Oonchaai ki raftar ko barqarar rakhne ke liye, keemat ko 157.40 se ooncha kar dena chahiye. Agar ye na ho sake to 154.80 tak wapas ja sakta hai, jo ke ek support level ka kaam karta hai. Yahan cheezon ka maza aata hai. Haal hi mein ki gayi downtrend ke bawajood, USD/JPY ke asal dhaancha bullish potential ka zahir karta hai. Haal hi ke girawat ke baad ek upswing mumkin hai. Dono taraf ke investors ko is "bullish potential" ka khayal rakhna chahiye. Agar bull resistance levels ko paar karne mein kamyab ho gaye to keemat ko aham oonchaai tak pohanchne ka moqa mil sakta hai. Bar aks, agar bear (investors jo keemat mein girawat ki umeed rakhte hain) 155.50 se 157.70 ke range mein taqat hasil karte hain, to woh keemat ko mazeed neeche dabane ki koshish kar sakte hain. Ye chart pattern aur asli dhaancha yeh ishara karte hain ke haal hi ki downtrend ulta ho rahi hai. Jo investors kuch risk se waqif hain, woh anay wale maqami dastavezat aur keemat ke movement ka apni tafseeli tajziya ke buniyad par muqarrar positions le kar faida utha sakte hain.

USD/JPY Technical Analysis. USD/JPY jodi kal ek shaant din tha, thora sa
izafa hua sath hi sir ke oopar thori si lambayi. Aaj bhi top ko thoda neeche daba diya gaya, abhi tak bhaloo ke liye umeedon ki bohot kam wajah hai. Unho ne bhi keemat ko samjha aur bilkul upar reh gaye. Neeche utarne ki koshishen foran ruk jaati hain. Wave structure apni tarteeb ko oopar ki taraf bana rahi hai, MACD indicator upper buy zone mein barh raha hai aur apni signal line se ooper hai. But CCI indicator upper overheating zone se neeche aa raha hai, abhi abhi is ne upper zone ko upar se neeche cross kiya hai, jo ke neeche ki taraf girne ke imkan ko barha deta hai. Magar zahir hai ke wo abhi tak maximum ko thora sa update kar sakte hain. Ek kamzorai ke doraan kam honay ki koshish hui jis mein keemat ne pehla ahem support level 153.40 tak pohanch gayi aur jaise ke chunni gayi ho, keemat is ilaqa se phir se upar chali gayi. Main ab bhi ek islaahi giravat ka intezar karta hoon jo 151.90 ke darje ke aspaas hai, yeh sirf aik level nahi hai, balkay yahan mukhya tadak level hai. Yeh 2022 aur 2023 ke liye maximum hai aur aap dekh sakte hain ke keemat ne isay lagbhag aik mahine tak neeche dabaya hua hai, isay barhne ka hosla nahi darya. Magar ab bhi main yeh samajhta hoon ke wo ise aik magnet ki tarah apni taraf khichenge, torhne ke baad ek ulta test zaroori hai, chahe hum naye bulandiyaon tak bhi chale jayein jo terminal ki puri tareekh mein kabhi nahi dekhi gayi hain. Jab tak yeh wapas giravat maujood na ho, aap khareed nahi sakte; aap market ke bilkul upar ko pakad sakte hain. Yeh zahir hai ke yahan aik critical peak hai, spring ko dabaya gaya hai aur aik jungli giravat ho sakti hai. Meri ray mein, yahan par H4 par ek mirror level ka banne ka intezar karna chahiye ya kam az kam H1 par, keemat ke izaaf ke kinare par, taake support resistance mein badal jaaye aur ek islaahi wapas giravat ki taraf nishana lagaya jaye 151.90 ke ilaqa tak. H4 par, jab mojooda top ko update kiya gaya, to MACD indicator par aik bearish divergence bana, yeh wajah hai ke agar aap nahi bechte, to aap bilkul khareed nahi sakte. Aaj ke economic calendar mein koi ahem economic khabrein nahi hain. Jab moving average daam ke neeche rehta hai, to hume giravat se bachne ke liye khareedne ki tajweez hai. Dusra MACD indicator hamari khareedne ki stance ko aur bhi mazboot karta hai, jabki oscillator ka histogram 0 ke ooper hota hai to yeh nafa ka imkan darust karta hai. Hum 154.48 se bullish trend-based raasta ka tajziya karte hain, aur yeh market mein munafa hasil karne ka ek mufeed waqt hai. Humen mashwara hai ke nuksan ko had mein rakhein aur 154.29 par set stop karein, jo take profit level 155.08 ke teen guna kam hai. Pichle kuch ghanton mein, USD/JPY jodi ne ek maqqil upar ki taraf rukh dikhaya hai, utasalar hourly waqt frame mein. Uska raasta numaya tha, aur aaj ki performance ne naye urooj ko dekha hai.

USD/JPY, yaani ke Dollar aur Yen ka exchange rate, ek tange range mein trading kar raha hai aur Asiai market mein thori tezi ke baad ab 155.07 ke qareeb hai. Ye keemat nichlay trend ke sarhad par hai, jo ke traders ke liye ek important point hai. Jab ek currency pair, jaise ke USD/JPY, ek tange range ke andar trading kar raha hota hai, toh iska matlab hai ke market mein kisi specific trend ki kami hai aur price fluctuations limited hain. Yeh scenario traders ke liye challenging ho sakta hai, kyun ke unhein clear direction nahi mil rahi hoti. Is waqt, USD/JPY ka rate 155.07 ke qareeb hai, jo ke ek crucial level hai. Agar yeh level toot jata hai, toh ye ek bearish signal ho sakta hai aur price niche ki taraf move kar sakta hai. Asiai market mein thori tezi ke baad, yeh aksar dekha gaya hai ke traders cautious rehte hain aur price mein sudden movements hoti hain. Is wajah se, traders ko market ki halat ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai aur risk management strategies ko istemal karna chahiye. Is waqt, global economic conditions bhi market par asar daal sakti hain. Geopolitical tensions, central bank policies, aur economic indicators ki releases, sab market sentiment ko affect karte hain. USD/JPY ke case mein, Federal Reserve ke monetary policy decisions aur Japan ke economic indicators jaise ke GDP growth, inflation rate, aur monetary policy, exchange rate par asar dal sakte hain. Ek important aspect ye bhi hai ke traders ko USD/JPY ke technical levels ko bhi dekhte rehna chahiye. Support aur resistance levels, moving averages, aur other technical indicators ki madad se, traders market ka direction anticipate kar sakte hain aur apni trading strategies ko adjust kar sakte hain. Overall, USD/JPY ka exchange rate 155.07 ke qareeb hona, ek important point hai aur traders ko market ke developments ko closely monitor karna chahiye. Market volatility aur unexpected events ke samne, risk management strategies ko implement karna zaroori hai taake traders apne positions ko protect kar sakein.

Daily Time Frame Outlook:

Daily timeframe par USDJPY mein nihayat ahem bullish nishanat nazar aati hain. Is tasveer ko tasleem karne wale ahem indicators mein se ek 50 EMA ka mansubah hai jo ke 100 EMA ke oopar hai. Ye ek mazboot bullish trend ko darust karta hai, soorat e haal ye hai ke 50 EMA abhi halat e bazaar ki taza price movements ke liye zyada jawabdeh hai jabke 100 EMA jo ke dhimi hai. Pehle USD/JPY currency pair ne aik correction ka samna kiya, lekin yeh correction EMA 50 ke darja mein atka raha, jo ke 154,691 ke price range mein hai.

Ye darust karta hai ke EMA 50 ek kaafi mazboot dynamic support level ke tor par kaam karta hai. Qeemat jo EMA 50 ke darja par atki hai ye dikhata hai ke kharidne walon ka ab bazaar par domina hai aur wo is ilaqe mein apni position ko barqarar rakhne ke liye tayar hain. EMA 50 par atki hui sudhar jo traders ke leye kharidne ki moqaat ka sabab ban jati hai, jo ummeed karte hain ke qeemat ek waqtanay rukawat ya sudhar ke baad dobara utha hai gi. Is ke ilawa, bullish rejection candle ka banawat ko bhi ek mazboot signal samjha jata hai ke kharidne wale abhi bhi control mein hain.

Ye bullish rejection candle aksar aik lambi niche ki dandi aur choti candle body ke sath nazar ata hai, iska matlab hai ke farokht ke dabao ke bawajood, kharidne wale ne qeemat ko dobara upar dhakel diya qabal e bandish hone se pehle. Ye pattern dikhata hai ke is support level ke aas paas mazboot kharidne ki dilchaspi hai, is tarah mustaqbil mein bullish potential ko mazbooti deta hai. Mukhtasar technical shuratain dekhte hue, USD/JPY ka uthna kaafi bara hai. Agla target pichle high level 157,716 ki taraf ho sakta hai. Ye level pehle bana hua mazboot resistance hai aur agar bullish momentum jari rahe to yeh aik mufeed target hai.

USD/JPY currency pair mukhtalif quwaton ka samna kar raha hai. Ek taraf, Bank of Japan ki ultra-loose monetary policy ke wajah se Japanese yen kamzor ho gaya hai, jis se USD/JPY pair mazboot ho gaya hai. Ye kamzori ye bhi speculation ko barhawa de rahi hai ke Bank of Japan apni interest rates ko pehle se pehle barha sakta hai, jo yen ko mazeed kamzor kar sakti hai. Dosri taraf, khud US dollar abhi flat hai economic data ke kami ke wajah se. Halanki, rising US fiscal yields kuch support faraham kar rahe hain. Federal Reserve inflation ke hawale se ehtiyat kar raha hai aur 2024 mein lower tax rates ke possibility ki wajah se dollar par long run mein pressure aa sakta hai.

Technically, USD/JPY daily chart ek interesting formation dikhata hai - ek ascending triangle. Ye, combined with bullish RSI indicator, suggest karta hai ke pair phir se upper trendline of the triangle ko retest kar sakta hai near the psychological barrier of 157.00. Ek decisive break is level ke upar pair ko surge karne de sakti hai towards 160.32, jo level 1990 se nahi dekha gaya.

Magar, support levels ko bhi consider karna zaroori hai. Agar price triangle ke lower end pe immediate support ke neeche girta hai, phir key 155.50 level ko follow karta hai, to yeh mazeed slide kar ke 21-day EMA at 155.25 ko test kar sakta hai. Is level ke neeche break potential reversal indicate karega aur USD/JPY par downward pressure daal sakta hai. Overall, upcoming price action for USD/JPY 156.60 level pe hinge karega. Ek decisive close above 157.00 focus ko resistance zone between 157.83 aur 158.70 pe shift kar dega. Is area ko conquer karne se surge ka darwaza khul sakta hai above 159.10 aur potentially even a retest of the 34-year high at 160.20. Agar yeh level too strong sabit hota hai, agle potential upside targets 161.53 se 162.50 range mein ho sakte hain, potentially leading to a break of the June 2023 resistance line.

USD/JPY

Agar USD/JPY ki price 156.88 se upar chali jaye, toh yeh signal deta hai ke buyers ek nayi uptrend ki taraf aim kar rahe hain towards the critical 157.23 resistance level. Yeh level crucial hai kyun ke yeh further price increases ke liye ek barrier ke tor par act karta hai. Agar price is level ko surpass kar leti hai, toh yeh strong bullish momentum indicate karta hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke buyers control mein hain aur purchasing ko continue karne wale hain. Is se price mein aur zyada rise hone ke chances badh jaate hain. Jab price in resistance levels ko cross karti hai, toh yeh market ke confidence ko upward movement mein reflect karta hai. Traders is progression ko ek positive sign ke tor par dekhte hain, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke buyers strength gain kar rahe hain aur price ko aur upar push karne ki ability mein confident hain. 157.30 level par, buyers bohot strong hote hain, aur unki presence market mein bullish sentiment ko reinforce karti hai. 156.88 level ko breach karna USD/JPY pair ke liye ek naye upward trend ka aghaz signify karta hai. Traders is movement ko closely monitor karte hain jab yeh 157.23 resistance level ke qareeb aati hai. Agar yeh level surpass ho jata hai, toh yeh strong bullish momentum indicate karta hai aur market mein buyers ke confidence ko reinforce karta hai. In resistance levels ke through progression buyers ki increasing strength ko show karta hai, particularly 157.30 level par unki presence ke emphasis ke sath.



Agar price successfully 156.83 resistance level ko break karke consolidate kar leti hai, toh yeh upward trend ki strength ko confirm karega aur higher resistance levels ki taraf likely continuation ko indicate karega. Current resistance level ke qareeb, do potential scenarios hain situation ke development ke liye. Pehla scenario yeh involve karta hai ke price 156.83 resistance level ko break kar jaye aur rise continue kare. Is case mein, meri primary focus price movement towards next resistance level 156.90-157.40 par hoga. Main is level ko dekhunga taake dekhun ke price apni upward trajectory ko maintain kar sakti hai aur iske upar consolidate kar sakti hai ya nahi.

ke liye ek peshawar sa pattern diya gaya hai. Abhi, isne ek tircha pattern bana liya hai, jiska neeche ka toot H1 timeframe downtrend channel ke upper border ke saath mil raha hai. Patterns ke is ittefaq ne keemat ke amal mein aham muddat paida ki hai, khaaskar jab yeh joda 156.94 aur 156.85 ke darmiyan resistance mein mubtala hota hai. Yeh zone ek se zyada trading sessions ke doran mazboot sabit hua hai, jo ke bhadne wale tircha model ka neeche ka kinara hai. Yeh isharaat dete hain ke aik toot aasman hai. Agar keemat is muqablay se oopar stable hoti hai, to market participants mazeed urooj ke momentum ka intezar kar sakte hain, jo shayad 157.43 se lekar 157.57 ke darmiyan ke upper had tak ja sakte hain. Mutasira tor par, is zone se palatna ek mujma nishan dene wala hai jis ka matlab niche rukh ki taraf hai, jo 156.43 se lekar 156.26 ke darmiyan ke support zone tak pohanch sakta hai Aakhri dino ke hourly chart par, halqay ki harkatein ne kharidaron ki takat ko taaza kar diya hai local unchaaiyon ko update kar ke. Yeh bullish daawa oopar ki manfi rukh ki tafseelat ko zahir karta hai, shayad 158.35 se lekar 159.64 ke daraje ko nishana banate hue. Magar, ehtiyaat mashwara di jati hai kyun ke is range mein ahem farokht dabaav mojood ho sakta hai. Aik wasee nazariya lete hue,

USD/JPY pair ne ek arsy ke liye aik samta raftar ki muddat guzari hai, jo aik nazdeeki toot ka ishaara deta hai. Is ke bawajood, overall trend bullish hai, jo munafa ko jama karne ke liye aik pechidaat ko zaroori banata hai
Unchi timeframes par tawajjo di jati hai, pair ke haal ki rawayat haftay ke pivot level ke ird gird darust hai, jahan keemat ke amal ko aik tang range mein mehdood kiya gaya hai. Magar, 4 ghante ke chart par, aik uptrend wazeh hai, jahan pair aaram se Ichimoku badal ke upar trading kar raha hai, jo bullish jazbaat ko zahir karta hai. Mazeed, Stochastic indicator bhi oopar ki raftar ki isharaat faraham kar raha hai
Pichli trading session mein, bullish momentum jari raha, kharidaron ne apne position ko palatne wale level ke oopar mazboot kiya, jo ab 156.95 par mojood hai. Agli taraf dekhte hue, waqtan-fa-waqt barhne ki maqsad ko classic pivot points ke resistance levels bana sakte hain, jahan pehli resistance 157.61 ko toorna mazeed urooj ki harkat ko janam de sakti hai, jo 158.25 ke aas paas ke resistance line ki taraf tezi se

Price test of 156.52 hua jab MACD indicator pehle se hi zero mark se sharply upar move kar chuka tha, jo dollar ke potential ko aage badhne ka chance affect kar gaya, bilkul subah wali situation jaisa. Isi wajah se maine kharidari se parheiz kiya. Maine second sell scenario ka bhi intezar nahi kiya, isliye US session ke dauran mere paas koi entry points nahi the. Japan se data ke ghum honay ke baad, traders ab aaj ke US data par focus karenge, jo market ko achi tarah hila sakta hai. Is lamhe tak, Bank of Japan ka dakhil hona mushkil hai, aur jo bade players hain jo market ke balance of power ko badal sakte hain, wo bhi crucial report ka intezar karenge. Humara main focus sideways channel ke range mein trading karna hai. Hum US data ko shaam ke forecast mein discuss karenge. Intraday strategy ke liye, main scenario no. 2 par zyada rely karunga.Buy signals: Scenario no. 1: Main aaj USD/JPY ko tab kharidne ka plan bana raha hoon jab price green line pe chart par 156.43 ke entry point ko reach karegi, aur growth ka target 156.94 jo ke chart par thicker green line se plot kiya gaya hai, rakh raha hoon. 156.94 ke area mein, main long positions exit karunga aur short ones open karunga opposite direction mein, expecting 30-35 pips ka movement opposite direction mein us level se. Aap USD/JPY ki


growth par aaj bharosa kar sakte hain, lekin sirf sideways channel ke andar. Kharidne se pehle, ensure kar lein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke upar hai aur bas start kar raha hai wahan se rise karna.Scenario no. 2: Main aaj USD/JPY ko tab kharidne ka plan kar raha hoon jab 156.16 ke two consecutive tests ho rahe hon jab MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Ye pair ke downward potential ko limit karega aur market ke upward reversal ka sabab banega. Hum growth expect kar sakte hain opposite levels 156.43 aur 156.94 tak.Sell signals: Scenario no. 1: Main aaj USD/JPY ko tab sell karne ka plan bana raha hoon jab 156.16 ke level ko red line pe chart par test kare, jo price mein rapid decline ka sabab banega. Sellers ke liye key target 155.76 hoga, jahan main short positions exit karunga aur long ones immediately opposite direction mein open karunga, expecting 20-25 pips ka movement opposite direction mein us level se. USD/JPY par pressure wapas aa sakta hai agar price aaj ke high ke nazdeek settle nahi hoti. Sell karne se pehle, ensure kar lein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke neeche hai aur bas start kar raha hai wahan se decline karna.Scenario no. 2: Main aaj USD/JPY ko tab sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon jab 156.43 ke two consecutive tests ho rahe hon jab MACD indicator overbought area mein ho. Ye pair ke upward potential ko limit karega aur market ke downwards reversal ka sabab banega. Hum decline expect kar sakte hain opposite levels 156.16 aur 155.76 tak.

Kai analysts ke mutabiq, USD/JPY currency pair ka intezar hai ke woh wahi rukh apnaye. Keemat ke movement ko "ascending triangle" chart pattern ke asar mein dekha ja raha hai. Ye pattern ek corridor ki tarah hai jismein neeche ki taraf dhere dhere uthne wala ek manzar hai. Keemat kuch arse se neeche ke trend line (zameen) aur oonche trend line ke darmiyan dab rahi hai. Jab ye pattern breakout mein muntaqil hota hai, to keemat ko kisi bhi rukh mein tezi se barhne ki ummeed hoti hai. Achi khabar ye hai ke dollar Japanese yen ke khilaaf mazboot ho raha hai, jo ke USD/JPY mein izaafa la sakti hai. Ye oonchaai ka trend mumkin hai ke aaj US mein musbat maqami dastavezat ka izhaar hua hai. Magar, kuch rukawatein bhi hain jo paar ki jaani hain. Ek bullish scenario ke liye keemat ko 157.77 ka critical resistance level se taqatwar tor par todna zaroori hai. Yahan thori si kamzor maqami khabrein rukawat pesh kar sakti hain. Breakout hone ki sambhavna ke bawajood, sahi waqt ghair maqami hai. Is ke ilawa, bull (investors jo keemat mein izafa ki umeed rakhte hain) 157.77 ke level ko toorna mein museebat utha sakte hain

Oonchaai ki raftar ko barqarar rakhne ke liye, keemat ko 157.40 se ooncha kar dena chahiye. Agar ye na ho sake to 154.80 tak wapas ja sakta hai, jo ke ek support level ka kaam karta hai. Yahan cheezon ka maza aata hai. Haal hi mein ki gayi downtrend ke bawajood, USD/JPY ke asal dhaancha bullish potential ka zahir karta hai. Haal hi ke girawat ke baad ek upswing mumkin hai. Dono taraf ke investors ko is "bullish potential" ka khayal rakhna chahiye. Agar bull resistance levels ko paar karne mein kamyab ho gaye to keemat ko aham oonchaai tak pohanchne ka moqa mil sakta hai. Bar aks, agar bear (investors jo keemat mein girawat ki umeed rakhte hain) 155.50 se 157.70 ke range mein taqat hasil karte hain, to woh keemat ko mazeed neeche dabane ki koshish kar sakte hain. Ye chart pattern aur asli dhaancha yeh ishara karte hain ke haal hi ki downtrend ulta ho rahi hai. Jo investors kuch risk se waqif hain, woh anay wale maqami dastavezat aur keemat ke movement ka apni tafseeli tajziya ke buniyad par muqarrar positions le kar faida utha sakte hain.

jiska neeche ka toot H1 timeframe downtrend channel ke upper border ke saath mil raha hai. Patterns ke is ittefaq ne keemat ke amal mein aham muddat paida ki hai, khaaskar jab yeh joda 156.94 aur 156.85 ke darmiyan resistance mein mubtala hota hai. Yeh zone ek se zyada trading sessions ke doran mazboot sabit hua hai, jo ke bhadne wale tircha model ka neeche ka kinara hai. Yeh isharaat dete hain ke aik toot aasman hai. Agar keemat is muqablay se oopar stable hoti hai, to market participants mazeed urooj ke momentum ka intezar kar sakte hain, jo shayad 157.43 se lekar 157.57 ke darmiyan ke upper had tak ja sakte hain. Mutasira tor par, is zone se palatna ek mujma nishan dene wala hai jis ka matlab niche rukh ki taraf hai, jo 156.43 se lekar 156.26 ke darmiyan ke support zone tak pohanch sakta hai
Aakhri dino ke hourly chart par, halqay ki harkatein ne kharidaron ki takat ko taaza kar diya hai local unchaaiyon ko update kar ke. Yeh bullish daawa oopar ki manfi rukh ki tafseelat ko zahir karta hai, shayad 158.35 se lekar 159.64 ke daraje ko nishana banate hue. Magar, ehtiyaat mashwara di jati hai kyun ke is range mein ahem farokht dabaav mojood ho sakta hai. Aik wasee nazariya lete hue, USD/JPY pair ne ek arsy ke liye aik samta raftar ki muddat guzari hai, jo aik nazdeeki toot ka ishaara deta hai. Is ke bawajood, overall trend bullish hai, jo munafa ko jama karne ke liye aik pechidaat ko zaroori banata hai
Unchi timeframes par tawajjo di jati hai, pair ke haal ki rawayat haftay ke pivot level ke ird gird darust hai, jahan keemat ke amal ko aik tang range mein mehdood kiya gaya hai. Magar, 4 ghante ke chart par, aik uptrend wazeh hai, jahan pair aaram se Ichimoku badal ke upar trading kar raha hai, jo bullish jazbaat ko zahir karta hai. Mazeed, Stochastic indicator bhi oopar ki raftar ki isharaat faraham kar raha hai
Pichli trading session mein, bullish momentum jari raha, kharidaron ne apne position ko palatne wale level ke oopar mazboot kiya, jo ab 156.95 par mojood hai. Agli taraf dekhte hue, waqtan-fa-waqt barhne ki maqsad ko classic pivot points ke resistance levels bana sakte hain, jahan pehli resistance 157.61 ko toorna mazeed urooj ki harkat ko janam de sakti hai, jo 158.25 ke aas paas ke resistance line ki taraf tezi se phelanay ki tarah. Mutasira tor par, bazaar ke neeche chalne ke moqa par, tawajjo ko 155.93 par mojood support level par di jani chahiye.
Ikhtitami taur par, USD/JPY pair aik dynamic trading moqa pesh karta hai, jahan mukhtalif taknikati ishaarat prevailing bullish trend ke jari rahne ki nishandahi karti hain. Magar, ehtiyaat aur risk management ka khayal diya jata hai, khaaskar jab pair ahem resistance levels ke qareeb poh

karega. Maine yahan ek aur version of the channel draw kiya hai, aur ab yeh lagta hai ke price ne iski lower border se bounce kiya hai, isliye logical hai ke hum upper border ki taraf jayenge. Saath hi, RSI aur stochastic indicators bhi upar ki taraf dekh rahe hain, jo further growth ki possibility ko confirm karte hain.
Sirf theoretical tor par, market mein kuch bhi possible hai, khas tor par dollar-yen ke sath - ek bohot surprising pair. Lekin hum theoretical possibilities trade nahi kar rahe, hum apne justifications trade kar rahe hain, aur yahan humein theoretical reflections ya decision-making ki zarurat hai - deal open karne ke liye ya nahi. Maine 156.39 se dollar-yen ko open aur sell kiya hai, aur jabke price profit zone mein hai, sab kuch bohot modest hai.
USD/JPY pair ne phir apni decline ko roka jab yeh apne six-month trend ke qareeb aayi. Toh, original goal mein ghalti thi - original goal trend line par tha aur yeh kal achieve ho gaya. Ab, ek rollback ke baad, is level par ek naya approach possible hai, lekin agar yeh push hoti hai, toh previous tail ke area mein 153rd figure mein, yeh ruk nahi sakti balki seedha final goal 146th figure mein ja sakti hai. Lekin pehle, inhein bechne dein.

Shayad, ab dollar-yen ki situation aisi hai ke kehna zaruri hai ke sab kuch aik saath nahi hota. Lekin downward movement ke development ke liye prerequisites hain, aur is movement mein hissa lene ke opportunities bhi hain. Yeh zyada bura hota agar hamara trading account bas girta aur girta, bina kisi rollback ya corrections ke.
Technical Reference: sell as long as it is below 157.255
Resistance 1: 157.255
Resistance 2: 157.400
Support 1: 156.525
Support 2: 156.345

USDJPY ke paas neeche move karne ka mauka hai US session mein aaj raat (31/5/24) kyunke Stochastic indicator ne bearish signal diya hai jo neeche jaane ka mauka provide karta hai kyunke red aur blue lines overbought area mein cross ho gayi hain.

Ek ghante ke chart analysis ke mutabiq. 15 minute chart bhi neeche jaane ka mauka provide karta hai kyunke OsMA ke histogram negative area mein aana shuru ho gaya hai, jo indicate karta hai ke selling process continue hogi. Agar scenario ke mutabiq chalein, toh USDJPY ke paas support level 156.525 ko test karne ka mauka hai.