usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

JPY H4 US Dollar - Japanese Yen. Sab ko acha din aur zyada munafa! Abhi mere trading strategy ke mutabiq jo ke Heinen Ashi, TMA aur RSI candlestick indicators ke set par mabni hai, mujhe ye batata hai ke currency pair ya instrument khareedne ka waqt aa gaya hai, kyunke system ke istiqamat ke signals dikhate hain ke bulls ne apni jagah badal li hai.. Aur is lehaz se ab sirf khareedna hi pehle taleem hai. Heinen Ashi candles, jo traditional Japanese candles ke mukhtalif hote hain, price quotes ki qeemat ko mulaim karte hain aur musalsal signals ke sath waqt ki murnawat aur corrective pullbacks aur impulse shots dekhne mein madad karte hain. Linear channel indicator TMA (Triangular Moving Average), jo chart par moving averages par based hokar mojooda support aur resistance lines ko draw karta hai, trading mein bhi shandar madad karta hai, asset ki movement ke boundaries ko wohi waqt ke mutabiq dikhata hai. Signals ko aakhri filter karte hue aur ek transaction mukammal karne par aakhri faisla karne ke liye, RSI oscillator ka istemal kiya jata hai, jo trading pair ke overbought aur oversold zones ko dikhata hai. Ye trading instruments ka intikhab technical analysis process ko behtar banata hai aur galat market dakhil hone se bachata hai. To, is maujooda doran, in pairs ke chart par, ek situation paida hui hai jab Heskin Ashi candles ka rang neela ho gaya hai, jo ke yeh dikhata hai ke bullish mood ab bearish mood par hawai hota hai, aur is lehaz se aap market mein dakhil hone ka acha moqa talash kar sakte hain lambi trade ke liye. Price quotes linear channel ka niche ka hadood (red dotted line) se bahar gaye, lekin, sab se kam numaya pehunch kar, woh wahan se door ho gaye aur central line of the channel (yellow dotted line) ki taraf rukh badal gaya. Isi doran, aap dekh sakte hain ke basement indicator RSI (14) bhi ek khareed signal ko manzoori de raha hai, kyunke yeh lambi position ka intikhab se muttafiq nahi hai - uski curve ab upar ki taraf mukhsoos hai aur overbought level se kaafi door hai. Upar di gayi wajah se, main yeh nateeja nikalta hoon ke khareedari ka amal abhi sab se zyada mumkin hai, aur isliye lambi transaction kholna kafi munasib hai. Main umeed karta hoon ke take profit ko channel ke oopar ki satha (blue dotted line) par 157.905 ke qeemat par dekhne wale hain. Jab order munafa mand zone mein chala jaye, toh position ko breakeven par le jane ka mashwara diya jata hai, kyunke market hamare umeed ko

signal karta hai. Yeh shift aksar increased buying activity ke sath hota hai, jo price ko upar push karta hai. Traders ke liye, yeh ek indicator ho sakta hai long positions mein enter karne ka, anticipating further gains. Is signal ki strength is baat mein hai ke ek strong resistance level ko break karna substantial buying pressure ki zarurat hoti hai, jo agar sustained rahe, to continued upward momentum ka sabab ban sakta hai.
Lekin, agar price is upper importance zone se reject ho jata hai, to sellers control regain kar sakte hain aur price ko support zone ki taraf push kar sakte hain. Yeh support zone, jo 157.20 se 156.909 tak extend karta hai, buyers ke liye ek critical area hai. Agar price is zone ko test karta hai aur hold karta hai, to yeh buyers ke liye ek opportunity provide karta hai ke re-enter karein aur price ko wapas upar push karein.

Jab price upper importance zone ke resistance ko break karne mein fail hota hai, to yeh aksar bullish sentiment ke temporary weakening ko signal karta hai. Sellers iska faida uthate hain aur price ko niche push karte hain, targeting the next support level. 157.20 aur 156.909 ke beech ka support zone crucial hai kyunki yeh price ke liye ek floor ka kaam karta hai, jo further declines ko prevent karta hai. Agar price is level par hold karta hai, to yeh indicate karta hai ke buyers ab bhi maujood hain aur is area ko defend karne ke liye tayar hain, jo ek potential entry point hai long positions ke liye.

Is scenario mein, traders ko price action ko closely monitor karna chahiye is support zone ke andar. Ek sustained hold is level ke upar suggest karta hai ke buyers likely hain ke price ko phir se upwards push karein. Yeh dynamic ek cyclical pattern create karta hai jahan price upper resistance aur lower support zones ke beech oscillate karta hai. Traders ke liye, in key levels ko samajhna informed trading decisions lene ke liye essential hai. Yeh unhe potential price movements ko anticipate karne aur apni strategies ko accordingly adjust karne ki ijazat deta hai.

Iske ilawa, price aur in critical zones ke interactions market sentiment ke baray mein insights provide karte hain. Upper importance zone par rejection indicate karta hai ke market abhi sustained bullish trend ke liye tayar nahi hai. Iske muqable mein, support zone ke upar hold karna suggest karta hai ke bearish pressure itna strong nahi hai ke break through kar sake, reinforcing the strength of the support level. USD/JPY ka price action upper importance zone aur support zone ke ird gird market dynamics ke baray mein valuable insights provide karta hai. Upper importance zone ke upar break karna ek strong bullish trend ko signal karta hai, jabke rejection aur support zone ki taraf decline potential buying opportunities offer karta hai agar price hold karti hai.

currency pair ke liye bullish trend ko aur bhi mazboot banate ja rahe hain. Pehli baat toh yeh hai ke economic indicators mein kuch ummed ki roshni nazar aarahi hai, jo ki USD ke favor mein hai. US ki economy mein growth ke signs, employment data ki behtar performance aur monetary policy ke saath consistent stance, sab is currency pair ko bullish banane mein madadgar hain. Federal Reserve ke dovish stance aur low interest rates ki wajah se dollar ki demand kam ho rahi hai, jo ki USD/JPY ko support kar rahi hai. Dusri baat, geopolitical tensions bhi ek factor hain jo is pair ko bullish bana sakta hai. Agar koi tensions ya instability arise hoti hai, toh investors dollar ki taraf attract hote hain, jo ki USD/JPY ko upar le ja sakta hai. Teesri aur ek important factor hai technical analysis ka. Agar hum current trend ko dekhein toh USD/JPY ka chart bullish patterns display kar raha hai, jaise ke higher highs aur higher lows. Yeh ek positive indication hai ke bullish trend continue ho sakta hai. Iske alawa, US Federal Reserve ki monetary policy aur Bank of Japan ke actions bhi USD/JPY ke direction ko influence kar sakte hain. Agar Federal Reserve apni monetary policy ko tighten karta hai aur interest rates ko increase karta hai, toh yeh USD ke liye positive hoga aur USD/JPY ko aur bhi upar le ja sakta hai. Saath hi, Japan ki economic conditions aur monetary policy bhi is pair ke movement par asar daal sakti hai. Overall, USD/JPY currency pair ke liye bullish potential abhi tak khatam nahi hua hai aur investors ko is trend ko closely monitor karna chahiye. Economic indicators, geopoliticalfactors, technical analysis aur central bank policies sabhi is pair ke movement par asar daal sakte hain.Is haftay ke aghaz mein upwards trend karne ki koshish ke baad, USD/JPY ne bohot ziada decline kiya, aur multiple support levels ko break kiya. Yeh pair ek price triangle ke andar trade karna shuru kar diya, jo ke blue ascending channel se bana, jo pichle do hafton ke direction ko represent karta hai, aur red bearish channel se bana, jo pichle haftay ki corrective downside wave ko represent karta hai. Is triangle ke andar price behaviour ko yeh decide karna tha ke yeh pair apni downward correction ko continue karega ya apne upward trend ko regain karega. Ab tak, price movements yeh indicate karti hain ke ek further bearish correction weekly support levels 154.30 aur 155.65 ke taraf ho sakti hai.4-hour chart par, aur ziada decline ka potential hai. Is haftay ka aghaz price ke do descending channels ke andar hua jo pichle do hafton ke movement ko reflect karte hain. Initially, price rose, weekly pivot level aur falling red channel ko break karte hue, aur blue channel line tak rise karta raha, jo weekly resistance 156.60 ke sath align karta hai. Yeh area solid resistance serve karta hai, jisne price ko decline karne par majboor kiya. Abhi, price wapas weekly pivot level par aa gaya hai, aur agar yeh is level ke neeche break karta hai aur iske neeche trading ko sustain karta hai, to weekly support level 155.10 tak further decline possible hai.Selling ke liye strategize karne ke liye, ek option yeh ho sakta hai ke price ko weekly pivot level 155.30 ke neeche fall karne ka wait karein aur ek candle ko is level ke neeche close hone dein pehle sell position enter karne se pehle, jo weekly support level 155.10 ko target kar rahi ho.StrategyInitial trading hours mein, price ko weekly pivot level aur lower triangle line ka support mila, jo upper triangle line tak ek upward wave ko reach karte hain, jo weekly resistance 156.97 ke corresponding hai. Phir

consistent downward momentum show kar raha hai. Iska matlab hai ke US Dollar ke muqable mein Japanese Yen ki qeemat barh rahi hai. Aaj price 155.45 zone ke ird gird hai, jo ke kal se lower hai. Yeh movement kuch ahem factors ka nateeja ho sakti hai. Pehla factor yeh ho sakta hai ke Japan ki economic policy mein kuch badlav aaye hain. Japanese government aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) aksar apni monetary policy adjust karte hain taake apni currency ko stabilize kar sakein. Agar BoJ ne apni policy mein tightening (yaani interest rates barhane ka faisla) kiya hai, toh yen mazid strong ho sakta hai. Higher interest rates se investors ko yen mein invest karne ka faida hota hai, jo ke demand barhata hai aur USD/JPY rate ko neeche laata hai. Dusra factor global financial market ka sentiment ho sakta hai. Agar investors ko lagta hai ke global economy mein recession aane wala hai ya koi aur financial instability ka khatra hai, toh woh safe-haven currencies jese yen mein invest karte hain. Japan ko aksar safe-haven country maana jata hai kyun ke iska stable economic aur political environment hai. Iss scenario mein bhi yen ki demand barh jati hai aur USD/JPY exchange rate ghat jata hai. Tisra factor US economy se related ho sakta hai. Agar US economy ke indicators (jaise ke GDP growth, employment rates, etc.) negative hain ya expected se kam hain, toh US dollar ki qeemat gir sakti hai. Aise situation mein bhi USD/JPY exchange rate neeche jata hai. Federal Reserve ki monetary policy bhi asar dal sakti hai. Agar Fed interest rates kam karne ka indication de raha ho, toh dollar ki value gir jati hai. Technical analysis bhi yeh batata hai ke downward momentum continue ho sakta hai. Agar price 155.45 ke level ke neechay sustain karti hai, toh agla support level mazid lower ho sakta hai. Traders aur investors key support aur resistance levels dekhte hain, aur agar support levels break hotay hain, toh selling pressure barh sakta hai. In sab factors ko dekhte hue, traders aur investors ko market news aur economic data ko closely monitor karna chahiye. Khas taur par BoJ aur Federal Reserve ke statements aur actions par nazar rakhni chahiye. Trading mein risk management bhi bohot zaroori hai, kyun ke exchange rates volatile ho sakte hain aur rapid changes ho sakte hain. Aakhir mein, agar downward trend continue hota hai, toh USD/JPY ke liye nayi strategic planning ki zaroorat hogi. Yeh planning technical indicators, economic news, aur geopolitical developments par mabni honi chahiye. Har din ka analysis zaroori hai taake aap timely aur informed decisions le sakein.

Dekha gaya hai ke H1 time frame mein abhi ek uptrend hai. Yeh pair kafi aggressive aur tezi se volatility dikha raha hai. Jumeraat ko, yeh 158.30 tak pahunch gaya, jo ek tareekhi oonchai hai aur pehli martaba dekhi gayi hai. Ab hum dekh rahe hain ke kya yeh junubi qeemat ka ulat pher hoga ya hum aage ki taraf tezi se barhte rahenge.
USD/JPY currency pair ke is haftay ke harkaat ka jaiza lene ke baad, hum keh sakte hain ke Japan Bank ne rasi chhodi aur ab American dollar bara asaani se oopar chadh raha hai, jo Jumeraat ko Japan Bank ki mulaqat ke baad hua jab unhone interest rates nahi barhaye mulk mein mehngai kam hone ki wajah se. Halat ko dekh kar, main samajhta hoon ke agle haftay yeh junubi harkaat jaari rahegi aur qeemat resistance level 160.40 ko sikkar karegi.

Yeh wazeh hai ke US Federal Reserve aur Japan Bank ke darmiyan interest rates ka bara farq US dollar ko barhne aur Japanese yen ko dabane ka mouka deta hai. Is resistance level ke qareeb, do mansoobe ho sakte hain. Main samajhta hoon ke aapko is currency pair ki qeemat mein kisi bhi sakht kami ka intezar nahi karna chahiye jab tak Japan Bank koi currency interventions nahi karta.

Agar aap kisi pechidgi ko samajhna chahte hain, to zaroor sawal karen! Aapne trading analysis mein moving averages ko istemal karke, behtareen entry aur exit points ka pata lagane ki ahmiyat ko bataya hai. Chahe simple ya exponential moving averages hoon, yeh indicators market trends ko samajhne mein madadgar hote hain aur traders ko USD/CAD market mein faida uthane mein madad karte hain.

Macro-economic factors aur geopolitical events ko shamil karke trading strategies tay karna ek perfect approach ko barhawa deta hai. Bahari variables ko dhyan mein rakhte hue, traders market ke tabdeel hone wale shirayat ko samajh sakte hain aur munafa karnay ke mauqay dhoond sakte hain. Aapka approach technical aur fundamental analysis dono ko shamil karta hai, jo USD/CAD market mein strategy tay karte waqt madadgar hota hai.

Market dynamics ka tafseeli jaiza lekar, traders fitri azlah aur mauqe ka faida utha sakte hain. Currency fluctuations par asar daalne wale kayi bahari variables hain jaise ke interest rate decisions aur geopolitical tensions, jo exchange rates par asar daal sakte hain. In tajziyat ko trading strategy mein shamil karke, traders market conditions ko samajh sakte hain aur munafa dar mauqe ka faida utha sakte hain.

USD/JPY (US dollar/Japanese yen) ki jodi 157.46 ki muzahmati satah (resistance level) ko paar karne mein nakam rahi aur iske baad ulat gayi, jo ke technical analysis aur market dynamics ke hawale se ek aham wakiya hai. Yeh baat trading aur investment strategies pe kai tarikon se asar dalti hai. Sabse pehle, 157.46 ka level ek significant resistance ke taur par samjha jata hai. Resistance wo satah hoti hai jahan se asset ka price upar jane se ruk jata hai, kyunki us point par selling pressure barh jata hai. USD/JPY ke liye, 157.46 par bohot zyada selling orders majood the, jo ke is rate ko aur upar jane se rok rahe the. Is baat ki wajah se, jab yeh joda 157.46 ko paar nahi kar saka, traders aur investors ne isse ek bearish signal ke taur par samjha. Is point par price ulat gaya aur neeche gir gaya, jo ke trend reversal ka indication hai. Trend reversal ka matlab hai ke market ka pehla trend (is case mein bullish trend) ab khatam ho gaya aur market ab neeche ke taraf (bearish trend) move kar raha hai.

TIs movement ka asar technical indicators pe bhi padta hai. For example, moving averages, RSI (Relative Strength Index), aur MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) jaise indicators use kiye jate hain taake market momentum aur trend ko assess kiya ja sake. Jab price 157.46 se ulat kar neeche aaya, toh RSI overbought zone se wapas aagaya hoga, jo ke ek selling signal hota hai. Isi tarah, MACD pe bhi bearish crossover dekhne ko mila hoga, jo ke further confirmation provide karta hai ke price neeche ki taraf move kar sakta hai. Fundamentals bhi is price action ka ek important hissa hain. USD/JPY ka movement sirf technical factors pe nahi, balki macroeconomic factors pe bhi depend karta hai. For instance, US aur Japan ki economic policies, interest rate differentials, aur geopolitical events USD/JPY ke exchange rate pe asar dalte hain. Agar US Federal Reserve apni monetary policy ko tighten kar raha ho aur Bank of Japan loose monetary policy adopt kar raha ho, toh yeh factors bhi USD/JPY ko influence karte hain. Is resistance level se ulatne ka ek aur asar market sentiment pe padta hai. Traders jo risk management strategies follow karte hain, wo apne stop-loss orders ko activate kar sakte hain, jo ke price ko aur neeche le ja sakte hain. Yani, ek technical resistance ke break na hone se psychological impact bhi create hota hai, jo market participants ki buying aur selling decisions ko affect karta hai. In sab cheezon ko madde nazar rakhtay hue, USD/JPY ka 157.46 se piche hatna ek significant event hai, jo trading aur investment decisions pe direct asar dalta hai. Traders ko is movement ko samajhna aur apni strategies ko accordingly adjust karna chahiye taake wo market ke is new trend se faida utha sakein aur apne risks ko effectively manage kar sakein.

currency pair mein haal hi mein kuch aise nishaanat samnay aaye hain jo is baat ki taraf ishara karte hain ke iska bullish momentum kamzor parh raha hai. Aakhri do dino se, is currency pair ki qeemat ka rawayya kuch aise raha hai ke usne 156.63 ke aas paas resistance level ko bar bar test kiya hai. Yeh resistance level 4 ghanton ka Envelopes indicator ka ooperi hadd hai. Envelopes indicator aik technical analysis tool hai jo do parallel moving averages par mabni hota hai aur qeemat ke extremes ko highlight karta hai. Is resistance level ke test karne ke bawajood, USD/JPY ki qeemat ko wahan se barhawa nahi mil saka. Is cheez se ye sabit hota hai ke bulls, jo ke qeemat ko barhawa denay ki koshish kar rahe hain, ab thakawat mehsoos kar rahe hain aur bears, jo ke qeemat ko niche le jaane ki koshish karte hain, apni position mazboot kar rahe hain. Agar hum technical indicators ka ghor se mutala karen, toh Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) bhi bearish crossover show kar raha hai, jo ke aik ahem signal hota hai ke uptrend khatam ho raha hai aur downtrend shuru ho sakta hai. MACD ka bearish crossover tab hota hai jab MACD line signal line ke neeche cross karti hai. Iske ilawa, Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi overbought zone se wapas aate hue nazar aa raha hai, jo ke yeh dikhata hai ke qeemat short term mein overextended thi aur ab correction ka waqt hai. Fundamental factors bhi is technical weakness ko support kar rahe hain. Aam taur par, agar koi bhi currency pair overbought hota hai, toh market participants apni profit taking shuru kar dete hain. Iska matlab hai ke woh apni buy positions ko close karna shuru kar dete hain, jo ke selling pressure create karta hai aur qeemat ko niche laane ka sabab banta hai.

USD/JPY pair mein aik aur factor jo nishan de raha hai ke bullish momentum kamzor parh raha hai, woh hai market sentiment. Agar global financial markets mein risk-off sentiment hota hai, toh investors yen mein shift karte hain kyun ke yen ek safe haven currency hai. Agar aise halat ho rahe hain, toh yeh USD/JPY ke liye bearish signal hai. Kul mila kar, is waqt ke technical aur fundamental nishanaat yeh suggest karte hain ke USD/JPY ka bullish momentum ab kamzor ho raha hai aur humein agle chand dinon mein ya hafton mein is pair mein downward correction dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Jo log trading karte hain, unhein ab apni positions ko dekh kar decide karna chahiye aur zaroorat parne par risk management tools ka istimaal karna chahiye taake woh potential losses se bacha sakein.

Pehle scenario mein ek reversal candle ya candlestick pattern ka ban'na aur price ka wapas se upar ki taraf jana shamil hai. Agar ye plan poora hota hai, to main expect karunga ke price resistance level 160.209 ki taraf move kare. Jab price is resistance level ke upar close hogi, to main mazeed northward movement ki umeed karunga, takreeban resistance level 164.500 tak. Is resistance level ke qareeb, main ek trading setup ka intezar karunga jo agla trading direction tay karega. Yaqeenan, main yeh bhi tasleem karta hoon ke price mazeed north ki taraf push ho sakti hai aur door ke northern targets tak ja sakti hai, lekin yeh situation aur price ke reaction par depend karega designated northern targets aur price movement ke dauran news flow par bhiDoosra scenario jo aaj ke support level 156.786 par test ke dauran ho sakta hai, wo yeh hoga ke price is level ke neeche consolidate kare aur kal ke low ke neeche bhi. Agar yeh plan poora hota hai, to main expect karunga ke price support level 153.601 ki taraf move kare. Is support level ke qareeb, main bullish signals ki talash karta rahunga, umeed karte hue ke upward price movement wapas se shuru hogi. Ek aur possibility yeh bhi hai ke price mazeed southern targets tak pohanch sakti hai jo ke mere analysis ke mutabiq 151.856 ya 150.809 hain. Magar, designated plan ke realize hone ke bawajood, main in support levels ke qareeb bullish signals ki talash karta rahunga umeed karte hue ke upward price

hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke 156.59 ke resistance level ka test hosakta hai. Yeh level is pair ke liye ek crucial juncture hai, aur agar yeh successfully breach hojaye, to yeh ek upward rally ka raasta bana sakta hai jo ke agle resistance point 157.96 tak ja sakta hai. Maujooda market dynamics yeh indicate karte hain ke USD/JPY pair bullish momentum gain kar raha hai. Iska bais kuch factors hain, jinmein United States aur Japan ke darmiyan mukhtalif economic policies aur broader macroeconomic trends shamil hain. Federal Reserve ki monetary tightening policies, jo ke interest rate hikes shamil karti hain, ne U.S. dollar ko Japanese yen ke muqable mein mazboot bana diya hai. Iske baraks, Bank of Japan ne zyada dovish stance rakhi hai, aur interest rates ko low rakha hai taake economic growth ko stimulate kar sake. Yeh divergence in monetary policy ne interest rate differential ko widen kar diya hai, jo ke U.S. dollar ko zyada attractive bana raha hai un investors ke liye jo higher yields talash karte hainJab USD/JPY pair resistance level 156.59 ke qareeb pohanch raha hai, to market participants price action ko closely monitor kar rahe hain. Agar yeh level successfully break hojata hai, to yeh ek bullish signal hoga, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke upward momentum likely continue karega. Technical analysts aksar aise breaks ka confirmation dekhte hain, jese ke sustained trading above the resistance level ya trading volume mein izafa. Agar yeh conditions meet hojati hain, to yeh further buying interest ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo pair ko agle resistance level 157.96 tak push kar sakta hai. Maujooda technical setup yeh indicate karta hai ke USD/JPY pair resistance level 156.59 ke qareeb significant momentum ke sath approach kar raha hai. Traders aksar resistance levels ko potential barriers samajhte hain jahan price ko selling pressure ka samna ho sakta hai. Magar agar buying interest itna strong ho ke yeh resistance ko break kar de, to yeh aksar accelerated gains ki taraf le jata hai kyun ke stop-loss orders aur naye buying entries trigger hojati hain. Is scenario mein, agar 156.59 resistance ko surpass kar liya jaye, to yeh pair ko agle resistance level 157.96 ko

USD/JPY currency pair mein aise signs dekhne ko mil rahe hain jo iske bullish momentum mein kami ka andaza dete hain. Pichlay do dinon se, qeemat ki harakat ne 156.63 par mojood Envelopes indicator ke ooperi had se guzarne ki koshish ki hai. Ye level ek ahem rukawat sabit ho raha hai, jo jodi ki mazeed ooper ki taraf harakat ko rok raha hai. Haal hi mein, USD/JPY jodi mein qeemat ki harakat darust kar rahi hai ke bull aur bear ke darmiyan larai hai. Bulls ne qeemat ko ooper ki taraf dhakel diya hai, lekin 156.63 ke ooper breakout ko barqarar rakhne ke liye kaafi momentum paida nahi kar paaye hain. Yeh ek mehwar ki muddat hai jahan qeemat is ahem level ke qareeb harkat karti hai.Market ke hissay daar mohtat ho sakte hain jab wo aham ma'ashiyati data ya geo-political tabdeeliyon ka intezar karte hain jo USD/JPY jodi ko mutasir kar sakti hain. Maslan, aane wale waqt mein Federal Reserve ya Bank of Japan ke izharat bazaar mein naye josh ko paida kar sakti hain, jo traders ko bade rukh karne mein hichkicha sakti hain. Yeh ghair yaqeeni maahol wohi arsa tay kar sakta hai, jahan traders ko wazeh isharaat ka intezar hota hai. Is ke ilawa, bazaar ki umoomi jazbat bhi jodi ki qeemat ki harakat mein ahem kirdar ada karti hai. Agar khatra pasandeedgi mein koi tabdeeli aaye aur investors safe maaloomat ki taraf mutahajji hon, to Japanese yen ki darkhaast barh sakti hai, jo USD/JPY jodi par neechay dabao dal sakti hai. Agar khatra pasandeedgi behtareen hoti hai, to jodi ko naye hoslay mil sakte hain, lekin yeh mizaj ab tak 156.63 ke takneeki rukawat se bhara hua hai.USD/JPY jodi ke haal ki qeemat ki harakat 4-hour Envelopes indicator ke ooperi had ke qareeb 156.63 par bullish momentum ke rukawat ka andaza deti hai. Is resistance level ko bar bar torhne ki na-kami is baat ko darust karti hai ke jodi mojooda waqt mein ek mehwar ke doran hai ya ek mumkinah pechay chalay jaaye. Traders ko is level ko nazdeek se dekhna chahiye, kyun ke iska faisla jodi ke aglay qadam ke liye wazeh huddod faraham kar sakta hai. Takneeki rukawat, bazaar ki jazbat, aur anay wale ma'ashiyati waqiyat ki aamad o raft ka taawon ahem hai taake USD/JPY jodi apni ooper ki manzil ko dubara hasil kar sake ya agar yeh kamzo

consolidation period ka sabab bana hai, jahan price is critical level ke qareeb rehta hai.Market participants bhi cautious approach adopt kar rahe hain, key economic data ya geopolitical developments ka intezar karte huye jo USD/JPY pair ko affect kar sakti hain. Central Bank ya Bank of Japan ke announcements market mein nayi volatility la sakti hain, jis se traders hesitate karte hain bade directional bets banane mein. Yeh uncertainty consolidation period ko lead kar sakti hai jab ke traders clear signals ka intezar karte hain.Broader market sentiment bhi pair ke price action mein ek crucial role ada karta hai. Agar risk appetite mein shift hoti hai aur investors safer assets ki taraf move karte hain, to yen ki demand barh sakti hai, jo USD/JPY pair par lower pressure apply karegi. Dosri taraf, agar risk appetite improve hoti hai, to pair ko renewed strength mil sakti hai, magar yeh dynamic technical resistance 156.63 par overshadowed ho raha hai.End mein, USD/JPY pair ka recent price action four-hour Envelopes indicator ke upper limit 156.63 ke ird gird bullish force ke slowing down ko suggest karta hai. Kai attempts ke baad bhi is resistance level ko break through karne mein nakami se yeh dikhata hai ke pair consolidation ya potential pullback ke liye ready ho sakta hai. Traders ko is level ko closely monitor karna chahiye, kyunki ek definitive break above ya below pair ke next move ke liye zyada clear direction provide kar sakti hai. Technical resistance, market sentiment, aur upcoming economic events ka interaction yeh determine karne mein crucial hoga ke USD/JPY pair apni upward trajectory resume karega ya neeche levels ko follow karega.Agar yeh hota hai, to market bearish correction ka experience karega, jahan prices decline hongi failed attempt ke baad resistance ko break through karne mein. Current time frame mein volatility relatively weak hai, jo aksar hint karti hai ke lower support levels ka impending retest hoga. Weak volatility suggest karti hai ke strong buying ya selling pressure ki kami hai, jo investors ke darmiyan indecision ko indicate karti hai. Yeh indecision aksar support levels ka retest lead karti hai jab market naya equilibrium search karta hai.Aage dekhte hue, kuch scenarios unfold ho sakte hain based on market ka interaction with support aur resistance levels. Agar market current support levels ke ird gird hover karta hai bina inhe breach kiye, to yeh suggest kar sakta hai ke market bottom find kar raha hai aur potentially upward reverse ho sakta hai. Magar, agar market in support levels ko breach karta hai aur unke neeche consolidate karta hai, to yeh ek sell signal confirm karega aur suggest karega ke next significant range ki taraf move ho sakta hai.Agar breach hoti hai, to attention new support levels ko identify karne par shift honi chahiye within the lower range. Yeh new levels critical honge next potential bottom ko determine karne mein aur buying opportunities provide kar sakte hain agar market stabilization ka asar dikhata hai. Conversely, agar market upward correction attempts mein resistance levels ko break karne mein fail hoti hai, to yeh current range ke andar fall ko sustain karegi, reinforcing the bearish outlook.Investors aur traders ke liye yeh technical signals crucial hain informed decisions lene ke liye. Ek confirmed sell signal support levels ko breach aur consolidate karne par prompt karega reassessment of long positions aur potentially initiating short positions. Upward corrections ke doran resistance levels ko monitor karna bhi important hoga, kyunki yeh levels provide opportunities kar sakte hain positions ko exit karne ya naye short positions enter karne ke liye agar resistance hold hoti hai.Summary mein, market currently ek delicate position mein hai jahan support aur resistance levels critical role play karte hain future direction ko determine karne mein. Further decline ka likelihood significant hai agar support levels breach hoti hain, especially given weak volatility aur potential for resistance updates ke baad bearish corrections. Investors ko vigilant aur responsive rehna chahiye in technical indicators ke liye taake market ko effectively navigate kar sakein.

USD/JPY pair ki haftawar (weekly) chart ka tajziya karte waqt, hum kuch ahem technical aspects aur trends ko madde nazar rakhenge. Ye analysis humare liye iss baat ka ta’yyun karega ke aane wale hafton mein pair ka rujhan kya ho sakta hai. Pehle toh, humein yeh dekhna hai ke 149.691 ka level kitna ahem hai. Yeh level historically ek strong resistance raha hai. Iska matlab hai ke jab bhi price is level ke qareeb aata hai, sellers ka pressure increase hota hai aur price ko neeche dhakel dete hain. Aksar ye bhi hota hai ke kuch investors aur traders is level pe apne profits book karte hain, jiski wajah se selling pressure aur bhi barh jata hai. Recent hafton mein, humne dekha ke USD/JPY pair ne 149.691 ke resistance ko test kiya aur wahan se bounce back kiya. Iska matlab yeh hai ke resistance ab bhi intact hai aur bears (sellers) abhi bhi control mein hain. Agar hum price action ko dekhein toh, bounce ke baad price ne ek downward movement dikhayi hai, jo is baat ki nishandahi kar rahi hai ke short-term mein bearish sentiment dominate kar raha hai. Is bounce ke baad agar hum technical indicators ka sahara lein, toh Moving Averages (MA), Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) ka analysis helpful hoga. Agar price ne 50-period MA ke neeche close kiya hai, toh yeh ek bearish sign hai. RSI agar oversold levels (30 ke qareeb) ko approach kar raha hai, toh yeh possible reversal ka indication ho sakta hai, magar agar RSI neutral ya mid-levels pe hai, toh bearish trend ke continuation ka zyada chance hai. MACD ko dekh kar humein trend ki strength aur momentum ka pata chal sakta hai. Agar MACD line signal line ke neeche hai aur divergence barh rahi hai, toh bearish momentum strong hai. Iska matlab hai ke price aur neeche ja sakta hai. Support levels bhi dekhne chahiyein. Agar price consistently lower highs aur lower lows bana rahi hai, toh nearest support level ko watch karna zaroori hai. Yeh levels wo points hain jahan buyers dubara enter ho sakte hain. Agle kuch supports 145.00 aur 142.50 ke aas paas hain. Fundamentally, USD/JPY pair pe American aur Japanese economic indicators ka asar hota hai. Jaise ke Federal Reserve ki interest rate policies, US ka GDP growth, inflation data aur Japanese economy ki health indicators. Yen traditionally safe-haven currency mana jata hai, toh global uncertainties bhi USD/JPY ko affect kar sakti hain. Conclusively, agar 149.691 ka resistance barqarar rehta hai aur price lower highs aur lower lows banati rehti hai, toh short-term bearish trend ka possibility barh jati hai. Traders ko yeh bhi dekhna hoga ke kya koi fundamental changes aa rahe hain jo trend ko reverse kar sakte hain. Technical analysis aur fundamental factors ka mil kar analysis karna zaroori hai taake ek solid trading strategy banayi ja sake.

USD/JPY ka Takniki Tajziya:
Pichle trading saptah ke ant mein, Japanese yen ka mazboot hona kaamyaab raha, jab ke naye keemat ke dauraan qaaim nahi ho saka. Keemat ne saptah ke shuru se thodi si izaafi girawat ki aur naye uchayiyon ko lagataar chuna 157.50 ke qareeb. Lekin, yeh tehal nahi tha, aur keemat girne lagi, 156.54 ke support ko tor kar, tezi se girne ka aik mukammal girao kiya. Isi dauraan, keemat ka chart super-trend laal zone mein chal pada, jo ke bechne waalon ki fa'aliat ko zahir karta hai.

Takneekan, keemat aaj 50 dinon ka aam simple moving average ke oopar hai aur hum dekh rahe hain ke stochastics mazeed josh hasil karne ki koshish kar rahe hain temporary kamzori ko fawaid ke liye, jo ke jald az jald dobara shuru hone ka sabab ban sakta hai. Is tarah, dophar ke dauran ki tezi shayad sabse pasandida ho, lekin ehtiyaat baratna zaroori hai aur 157.60 ko pehla maqsad banayen, upar ki taraf se breakout aur upar se mojood rukawat ko ek hosla afzai sarmaya samjhen jo ke 158.00 aur 158.00 tak pohanchne ke imkanat ko barha sakti hai. Hum aapko yaad dilate hain ke 156.60 ke oopar dophar ke trading ka mustaqil bana rehna bullish manzar ko faa'il karne ke liye aik bunyadi shart hai, jiska breakout foran kisi bhi chhoti morcha ki koshish ko khatam kar dega, aur hum mazeed bulandiyon ki taraf jaari rahenge. Agli koshish se pehle hum 155.55 ka dobara test dekhenge. Neeche diye gaye chart ko dekhen:

Keemat ab waqai haftawar ke nisf se kam ke darjat par hai. Ahem support area bhari dabao ke neeche tha aur qareeb hi toot gaya tha, jo ke pasandida rukh ka ek nichi sudhar ki zaroorat ko zahir karta hai. Is harkat ki tasdeeq yeh hai ke keemat jald az jald 154.75 ke darje se neeche tootna chahiye aur is ke neeche mazboot hona chahiye. Is darje ka dobara test aur baad mein rebound agle lehar ka rasta saaf karega, jo ke 151.80 aur 150.76 ke darmiyan ke ilaqa ko maqsad banaega.

Agar rukh ko paar kar liya jata hai, aur keemat 156.54 ke mudhail darje ko tor deti hai, to is waqt ka manzar mansookh karne ka ek ishaara mil jaega.

Theoretical analysis ke mutabiq, hum pehle southern direction mein support level 156.00 tak decline expect karte hain, aur jab yeh level top to bottom break hoga, toh movement ko continue karte hue support level 155.34 tak pohanchne ki umeed hai. Ab tak, koi downward decline ke signs nahi hain aur koi important fundamental data bhi madad nahi kar raha. Jaisa ke maine pehle likha tha, bohot mumkin hai ke Central Bank of Japan apni interventions tab shuru karega jab price quotes 160.00 tak pohanch jayein. Abhi bhi Japanese yen ke sath kuch unclear hai, jaisa ke yahan koi words nahi hain.

Haan, downward decline sharp aur sudden ho sakta hai, aur isliye hum intezar karte rahenge. Sabko good morning! Trading week aise hi shuru hua hai aur Asian session already underway hai, magar USDJPY currency pair ke price quotes ke mutabiq, pehle signs downward decline ke nazar aaye hain southern direction mein support level 156.00 ya thoda neeche support level 155.34 tak, magar filhal correctional hain , ie ke pehli branches. Sabse important baat Central Bank of Japan ke head, Ueda, ka speech hona chahiye tha, aur yeh interesting tha ya nahi. Do ghante mein Japan se macroeconomic data release hona chahiye aur hum dekhenge ke Japanese yen ka reaction kya hoga. Maine thodi der baith kar, socha aur USDJPY currency pair ke price quotes ke bare mein fantasize kiya, aur mujhe personally downward correctional decline laga. Mere M30-H1 charts par price quotes ascending channel se nikal kar uske lower edge ko break kar chuke hain aur yeh possibility hai ke yeh older period ke ascending channel ke lower range tak pohanchein, ya shayad reinforced concrete ascending trend line tak jo ke support level 154.00 ka area hai. Magar ek cheez unpredictable hai, aur woh hai Japanese yen ki unpredictability, jo apni marzi se move karti hai aur isliye yeh poori situation bhi fail ho sakti hai.USD/JPY ka initial resistance level 157.19 hai. Agar USD/JPY agle kuch dino mein 157.19 resistance ko break karta hai, toh hum ek long-term buying trend dekhenge. Uske baad, 165.87 ek crucial trade level hai jo ke 3rd level of resistance hai aur market ko bullish bias banaye rakhne ke liye iske upar rehna zaroori hai. Dusri taraf, USD/JPY ka initial support level 156.23 hai. Agar USD/JPY agle kuch dino mein 156.23 support ko break karta hai, toh hum ek long-term selling trend dekhenge. Uske baad, 153.68 ek crucial trade level hai jo ke 3rd level of support hai aur market ko bearish bias banaye rakhne ke liye iske neeche rehna zaroori hai.Is chart par, USD/JPY abhi sell karne ke liye ek favorable position mein hai. Hum ek trend change ko upside mein predict kar sakte hain agar USD/JPY 156.23 price level ko hold karne mein fail hota hai.

USDJPY pair bullish rukh tayar karne ki koshish mein hai. Magar, jab tak koi acha mauka na milay, darmiyani lambi muddat ke kharid ki baat karna bohat jaldi hai. Yeh manzar Trend line ke zariye tasdeeq kiya gaya hai, jo nichlay Lows par wazeh hai.

Abhi, qeemat moqay ke atraaf - 157.62 ke qareeb hai. Bullish rukh jari rakhne ke liye, Kharidar Zone - 157.28 ko toorna zaroori hai, jis par qeemat ne aik baar pehle bhi bohot dafa waapas aana kiya hai. Bullon ki taqat ka saboot toote hue Zone ko ulte taraf test karke shuru hoga. Jab tak koi toot nahi, tab tak lambay ke baray mein baat karna hamare liye bohot jaldi hai.
Maine aik daam se daam supply zone se wapas hone ki sambhavna ko nahein kharaab kiya hai, jis ke baad qeemat mein kami aayegi, test ke ilaqe tak, darmiyani level - 156.72 ki taraf. Jahan ek ulta dhancha banega, behtar qeemat par khareedne ka acha mauka hoga.

Technical Reference: 157.255 ke neeche tak bechne ka mauka hai.
Resistance 1: 157.255
Resistance 2: 157.400
Support 1: 156.525
Support 2: 156.345

USDJPY ko US session mein raat (31/5/24) mein neeche jaane ka mauka hai Stochastic indicator ke bearish signal ke baad jo neeche jaane ka mauka deta hai kyun ke laal aur neela lines overbought area mein cross ho gaye hain.

Aik ghanta ka chart tajzi ke mutabiq. Upar diye gaye 15 M chart mein bhi neeche jane ka mauka hai kyun ke OsMA par histogram negative area mein shuru ho raha hai, jo ke bechne ka amal jari rahega. Agar scenario ke mutabiq ho to, USDJPY ka mauka hai ke wo support level 156.525 ko test karne ke liye neeche jaaye.