usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY Analysis

Fundamentals of USD/JPY:

USD/JPY pair ne hal hi mein ek shift experience ki hai, jisse ek teen din ki uptrend break hui hai. Asian trading session ke doran budh ke din, yeh pair 156.48 ke qareeb hover kar raha hai, jo din ka 0.10% ka modest increase hai. Traders ab iski trajectory ko shape karne wale dynamics ko keenly observe kar rahe hain.

USD/JPY ke Bunyadi Pehlu:

Japan ke top currency diplomat, Masato Kanda, ne sidha koi intervention confirm nahi kiya lekin yeh indicate kiya ke Ministry of Finance relevant data month-end tak disclose karegi. Wahan dusri taraf, Federal Reserve ka stance interest rates par aik significant influencer hai. Persistent inflation concerns ke bawajood, Fed ne further rate hikes ka possibility dismiss kiya, jo ek factor hai jo US Dollar par ongoing pressure daal raha hai aur consequently USD/JPY pair ko impact kar raha hai.

Bank of Japan (BoJ) ne signal diya hai ke woh extended period tak accommodative financial conditions maintain karega. Yeh stance Japanese Yen (JPY) par bullish bets ko deter kar sakta hai, jo USD/JPY pair ki trajectory ko potentially influence kar sakta hai. In central bank dynamics ke play mein, traders ek landscape navigate kar rahe hain jo monetary policy decisions aur economic indicators se shape ho raha hai.




Four-hour Time Frame Technical Outlook:

USD/JPY pair ko key levels of resistance aur support ka saamna hai. Initial resistance 156.80 mark par hai, aur further hurdles Tenkan-Sen (157.51) aur Senkou Span A (158.77) par hain. Dusri taraf, bearish sentiment ko support karne ke liye sellers ko 50-day moving average (DMA) 156.17 par breach karna hoga, jo lower lows, jese ke 150.88, ka test kar sakta hai.



Pair ka pehla significant level 152.00 par hai, followed by a confluence of the 50-DMA aur October 2022 ka high 151.90 par. In levels ka breach downward movement trigger kar sakta hai towards April ka low 150.82 par. Traders in technical indicators ko fundamental factors ke sath analyze kar rahe hain, jis se USD/JPY pair forex market mein active speculation aur strategic positioning ka area bana hua hai.

Pichli keemat giravat ke sath, jodi ne 151.76 ke level ko test kiya, jahan se pichle Jumme ko unho ne zahir taur par upar ki taraf tezi se bharaav dikhaya, mujhe lagta hai ke in hisson mein farokht ke saath zyada ehtiyaat se kaam lena chahiye, kyunke yeh ho sakta hai ke southern price movement ne apna poora nirmaan dikhaya, aur agar yeh mamla yeh hai to phir ek manzar mein apni tajveez ki marhala mein dakhil ho sakta hai, jisme uski asli key uttar connotation ho sakti hai aur jismein is trading instrument ki keemat aasani se uttar ki taraf move kar sakti hai. Agar market ke khultaar ke baad is jodi ki keemat kam hoti hai aur baad mein bana hua minimum ke neeche consolidate ho jaata hai, to, is maamle mein, mera andaaza galat saabit ho jayega, aur aise halaat mein, hum USD/JPY liquidity ke neeche poori tarah se hatne tak aur nichle honge, lekin agar market ke khultaar ke baad, hum 153.88 ki ikhtraar tak pohonch jaate hain, aur wahan se, is maamle mein, keemat neeche jaati hai aur aise halaat mein, 153.21 ka darja keemat neeche jaane ko manaa karta hai, to is manzar ke mutabiq, pehle se hi 153.21 ke darja se hum 154.62 ke ikhtraar tak chal sakte hain, jahan se mumkin hai aur hum zalzale se niche gir jaayein 151.76 ke darje tak.

USD/JPY jodi ke jagah, hafta ek aur giravat ke saath khatam hui, jismein quotes pehle woh global zyada se zyada 152.20 tak pohanch gaye aur unko neeche ki taraf torne ke liye test kiya, jo ke ab ke liye yaqeenan khushi ki baat hai kyunke ab price movement mein mazeed iraaday wazeh hain. Trading ke ikhtitam par, USD/JPY ki keemat phir se barhne lagi; magar main samajhta hoon ke ab hum active izaafa nahi dekhein ge, jaisa ke pehle hota tha, aur ab sirf sudhaar hoga. Aam taur par, jodi ke liye ek naya chhat tay ho gaya hai, aur Bank of Japan ne apni currency interventions ke saath tasdeeq di hai ke wo bullon ko zyada ooncha jaane nahi degi, is liye main samajhta hoon ke US dollar/Japanese yen jodi ke bears abhi tak is trend ko southern ke taraf badalna chahte hain, khaaskar ab jab market agle Fed meeting ka intezar karega, jahan interest rate cut ka imkaan kayi martaba barh jata hai, sath hi US Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan ke darmiyan farq mein ghataav bhi hoga, jiska matlab hai ke yen ka mazboot hona lamba mudda ban sakta hai. Trading range ab options par tay kiya gaya hai 152.52 par; premium par yeh lagbhag 154.52-150.97 hai; yehin pe hum shayad haftay ke shuru mein honge; aur support bhi 151.56 par tay kiya ja sakta hai. Jab tak yeh 152.52 ke upar hai, tab prathamta 154.52 tak badhne ki hai, aur agar yeh consolidate ho jaata hai to 159.73–159.91 tak bhi badh sakta hai, aur shayad ek chhat bhi hai.

USD/JPY ki Technical Analysis

Japanese Yen ne pichle hafte 156.54 ka level hit karne ke baad 153.35 par girawat ka samna kiya. Yahaan se, price ne 156.54 level ki taraf recover karna shuru kiya, jo support ko meet kar sakta hai aur pichle losses ko puri tarah offset kar sakta hai. Target area abhi tak nahi pohocha, aur main scene ongoing hai. Ittifaq se, price chart wapas green supertrend zone mein dikhai de raha hai, jo buying activity ko indicate kar raha hai.

Food aur energy prices ka index 0.5% barh gaya, jo pichle 0.2% se zyada hai aur expectations 0.3% se bhi zyada hai. Markets ko aisay signals ki talash hai jo future direction of interest rates ko predict kar sakein aur data jo dollar rally ko catalyze kar sake. Pichle April mein, consumer price index, jo food aur energy prices ko exclude karta hai, 0.3 percent barha, jo expectations ke mutabiq tha, pichle mahine ke 0.4 percent ke muqablay mein. Index ki annual value 3.6 percent barh gayi, jo 3.8 percent ke muqablay mein hai aur market expectations ke mutabiq hai.





Prices abhi significant changes ke baghair trade kar rahi hain aur weekly basis par neutral hain. Critical areas check ki gayi hain aur unki integrity maintained hai, isliye upward direction abhi bhi priority hai. Market ko abhi current price zone mein rehna chahiye, jo 154.75 par capped hai, jahan se yeh dobara correct kar sakta hai jab tak key support area intact rahta hai. Is level ka repeated testing aur subsequent rebound agle growth wave ko form karne ka mauqa dega, jo target area 158.43 aur 160.26 ka hai.

Agar support break hota hai aur price pivot level 153.35 se neeche girta hai, toh yeh current position ko cancel karne ka signal hoga. Neeche diye gaye chart ko dekhein:

USD/JPY Analysis: Girawat ke Aghaz ki Pehli Nishaniyan

USD/JPY currency pair ne hal hi mein girawat ke aghaz ki pehli nishaniyan dikhai hain. Yeh movement currency pair ke chart ki technical analysis mein wazeh hai, jahan kai patterns aur signals bearish outlook ki taraf ishara karte hain. Is waqt, USD/JPY ka price aik significant support level, jo 156.195 par hai, ko breach karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Yeh critical threshold ko torhne ki koshish aik ahm development hai, kyunki yeh agay aur girawat ka rasta khol sakti hai.

Recent trading sessions mein, market participants ne dekha hai ke pair apni upward momentum ko qaim rakhne mein mushkil ka samna kar raha hai, jo bullish strength ke kamzor hone ki nishani hai. Price action ne consolidation ke signs dikhaye hain, jo aksar aik potential reversal se pehle hota hai. Technical analysts is critical support level ke ird gird pair ke behavior ko qareebi se dekh rahe hain, kyunki 156.195 se neechay ek decisive break extended downtrend ke aghaz ko confirm kar sakta hai.




Market sentiment aur geopolitical developments bhi USD/JPY pair ki movement ko asar andaz kar sakti hain. Investors global events, jaise ke trade tensions, economic sanctions, aur political uncertainties ko qareebi se dekh rahe hain, jo currency markets par significant impacts daal sakte hain. In areas mein koi bhi adverse developments USD/JPY pair par downward pressure ko barha sakti hain.

Iske ilawa, traders aur investors central banks ke actions par bhi nazar rakhe hue hain, khaaskar Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan par. Interest rates mein tabdeeli, monetary policy adjustments, aur in institutions se forward guidance currency values ke critical drivers hain. Federal Reserve ka interest rates par stance khaaskar U.S. dollar ki strength par profound asar daalta hai. Fed se koi bhi dovish approach USD ke against JPY ko further depreciate kar sakti hai.

Conclusion

In nishaniyon ko madde nazar rakhte hue, USD/JPY currency pair girawat ki pehli nishaniyan dikha raha hai, jo mukhtalif technical indicators aur chart patterns se wazeh hai. Critical support level 156.195 aik key area hai jispar nazar rakhni zaroori hai. Is level ke neeche ek successful breach aik zyada pronounced decline ka signal de sakta hai. Traders aur investors ko vigilant rehna chahiye, technical signals, economic data, aur broader market developments par nazar rakhein taake is evolving situation ko samajh sakein. Yeh tamam factors mil kar USD/JPY pair ke future trajectory ko determine karne mein crucial role ada karenge.

USD/JPY Pair Ki Halat Mein Tabdeeli:
USD/JPY pair nedaa subah ko Asian trading session ke doran teen din ke uptrend ko tor kar ek shift mehsoos ki hai. Jab ke yeh pair mojooda waqt mein 156.48 ke qareeb hai, jo ke din ke liye mamooli 0.10% izafa darust karta hai, traders dynamics par nazar rakhte hain jo is ki manzil ko shakl de rahi hain.

USD/JPY ke Bunyadi Asul:

Japan ke sab se aham currency diplomat, Masato Kanda, seedha kisi bhi intervention ka tasdeeq na karte hue ishara kiya ke Wazarat-e-Khazana maheena khatam hone tak maqool data ikhtiyar karegi. Intehai inflation ke baawajood, Federal Reserve ke interest rates par mukhalif rawaiye ka aham asar hai. Fed ne mazeed rate hikes ki sambhavna ko rad kar diya, jo US Dollar par dabaav barqarar rehne ka sabab bana, aur natijan USD/JPY pair par asar dikhata hai.

Bank of Japan (BoJ) ne apni muddat tak karz dene wali mali halat ko barqarar rakhne ki isharaat di hain. Yeh rawaiye Japanese Yen (JPY) par bullish bets ko rok sakta hai, jis ka natija USD/JPY pair par asar dalega. In central bank dynamics ke sath, traders mali siyasat ke faislon aur iqtisadi indicators ke shakal dene wale manzar mein tawajju rakh rahe hain.

Chaaron ghante ke Time Frame Technical Tafseer:

USD/JPY pair ko satah ki resistance aur support ke ahem darjat ka samna hai. Ibtidaai resistance 156.80 mark par hai, aur mazeed rukawaton ko Tenkan-Sen (157.51) aur Senkou Span A (158.77) par paish kiya gaya hai. Mutasir rawaiye ke lehaz se bearish sentiment ko 50-day moving average (DMA) ko torne ki zaroorat hai jo 156.17 par hai, jis se lower lows ka imtihan ho sakta hai, jaise ke 150.88.

HAPPY KILLER USD/JPY Trading Discussion

H1 Hour Timeframe Outlook

H1 chart par linear regression channel oopar ki taraf hai, jo buyers ki strength ko zahir karta hai. Channel ke position ko dekhte hue, bullish trend nazar aa raha hai, lekin trend kamzor ho sakta hai. M15 par bearish presence dekhi gayi hai. Sales channel ke lower part tak ho rahi hain, hourly level 154.250 tak. Bears ka kaam hai is level ko torhna taake purchases cancel ho sakein. Bulls ka makhsoos maqsad yeh hai ke declines ko rokna taake channel ke upper edge 157.245 tak barhna jaari rakha ja sake. Jab tak hum specified level tak nahi pohnchte, selling ka mauqa hai. 155.970 ke level se bullish reaction ko dekhte hue, main buying consider karunga. Agar yeh level se neeche fix ho gaya, toh market interest seller ki taraf badal jayega.




M15 Minutes Timeframe Outlook

Mujhe H1 ke main channel ke against selling pasand nahi, lekin is waqt yeh opportunity mojood hai is currency pair ke liye. Sales factor M15 chart par linear regression channel hai. Kyunki channel south direction mein hai, yeh seller ki strength ko emphasize karta hai, jo 155.970 tak neeche jane ki koshish karenge, jahan buyer mojood hai. Channel ke upper edge 156.415 se main selling consider kar raha hoon. Bears ke positions ko torhna growth mein madadgar hoga, jo channel ko opposite direction mein reverse kar sakta hai. 156.415 ke paas bears actively defend karenge. Yeh sirf specified level ko visit karne ka mauqa nahi, balki usse neeche gain karne ki bhi koshish karenge, jo seller ki strength ko emphasize karega.

Japanese Yen (JPY) chouthay musalsal din ke liye ek oonchi rukh par hai, jisme currency ki taqat mein numaya izafa hai. Yeh izafa khas tor par ahem hai kyun ke is ke darmiyan Japan ke maali authorities ke daramadon par izafay ke aghaz ke dour mein aya hai. Yeh doosra intervention haftay mein hai, jo ke ghar ki currency ko buland karne ka ek mukhtasir koshish ka saboot hai.

Interest Rate Farq aur Currency Trends:

Market analysts yakeen rakhte hain ke Japan aur United States (US) ke darmiyan interest rates ka farq mukhtalif mustaqbil ke liye jaari rahega. Yeh, aam tor par equities market mein mukhtalif maqami jazba ke saath mila kar, JPY ke safe-haven darja mein panah talash karne wale investors ke liye rokawat ka kaam karta hai, jis se USD/JPY pair par neechay ki dabawat ko kam karne mein madad milti hai.

US Dollar Index (DXY), jo ke USD ko mukhtalif major currencies ke ek basket ke muqablay mein dekhta hai, ab mojooda doran 104.50 ke aas paas hai. Magar, Greenback ke agay barhne ko mojooda kam US Treasury yields ki wajah se roka ja sakta hai.

Bullish Entry Mouko aur Resistance Levels

Bullish investors ke liye dilchaspi wali entry opportunity 153.59 ke qareeb pehchani gayi hai. Yeh nukaat na sirf ek ahem mawqay ko numaya karta hai, balkay sath hi 55-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) aur ek lambi morr wali trend line ke saath milta hai, jo ke aane wale USD kharidarain ke liye mazboot support level ka aghaz hai jo 160.00 ke mark tak phir se chadhne ki tawakal rakhte hain.

Kisi bhi mumkin phir se qaim hone wale 156.00 ke mark ke oopar ki bhi kosish 156.79 ilaqay ke ird gird aar par hai, jisay Asian session ki choti taizi ke 156.51 ke qareeb tak bahal kiya ja sakta hai. In levels ko paar karne se aik chhoti si rally ka raasta saaf ho sakta hai, jo ke USD/JPY pair ko 158.00 ke nafsiyati rukawat ke taraf le ja sakta hai, jahan ke darmiyan mein 157.00 ilaqa hai.

USD-JPY Pair Analysis

USD/JPY market mein trend conditions ab bhi mazboot aur musalsal bullish trend mein hain. Yeh upward trend kaafi arsay se jaari hai aur nayi record high price set karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Agar H1 timeframe chart ko gaur se dekha jaye, toh abhi downward movement ka phase chal raha hai jo correction phase mein hai taake RSI level 70 ke overbought area se nikal sake. Yeh downward movement 200 MA ke movement limit ko retest karne ki koshish kar raha hai jo ke range 155.75 par hai. Sellers ke liye yeh mauka hai ke woh trend ko bearish direction mein badalne ki koshish karen, jo support area ke neeche girne par confirm ho sakta hai jo ke 100 MA ke movement range par level 155.50 hai. Is price level ke neeche movement se hidden demand area ka test hone ka mauka milega jo ke 154.75 ke aas-paas hai aur crucial demand area 153.93 ke aas-paas hai.




Entry Plan

Entry plan ke liye current bearish correction ko dekhte hue short term sell position consider ki ja sakti hai. Sell plan 156.20 se 156.30 range mein execute kiya ja sakta hai. Is price level se decline hone par TP 10 ko 200 MA ke movement area 155.75 range mein set kiya ja sakta hai aur loss risk limit ko aaj ki highest price area 156.60 ke upar rakha ja sakta hai.

Agar price level 155.50 ke neeche girti hai, toh further sales transactions focus mein li ja sakti hain. Dosri taraf, purchasing plans ko bearish rejection conditions ka intezar karte hue 200 MA movement limit 155.75 par calculate kiya ja sakta hai. Buy limit pending order placement is price level range se lekar Tp 1 ka target 156.50 aur Tp 2 ka target 157.00 rakha ja sakta hai. Buying plan ka loss risk 155.50 level ke neeche rakha ja sakta hai.

USD/JPY Analysis

USD/JPY: Bullish prospects above 155.50, targeting levels of 156.30, 156.90, and 157.30

Bearish price dynamics if the price falls below 155.50, targeting levels of 155.00, 154.40, and 154.00

Aaj USD/JPY currency pair downside par chal raha hai, aur 155.86 ka low hit kar chuka hai jo ke US ke negative macroeconomic figures ki wajah se hai. Halanki, ab yeh pair low se 35 pips upar trade kar raha hai, lekin phir bhi downside par wapas jaane ka high possibility hai. Daily timeframe par dekha jaye toh Relative Strength Index downside ko point kar raha hai aur 60.00 ke mark se neeche reading de raha hai. Technical perspective se, price most likely aaj ka low 155.50 tak fall karega. Agar price is level se neeche break karta hai toh yeh losses ko extend karega. Aise scenario mein next target 155.00 ka round mark hoga, phir 154.80 aur 154.60 honge. Lekin agar price rise karta hai, toh next target 156.30 hoga. Is level ke upar, bulls 156.90 aur 157.30 ke levels ko target karenge.




4-Hour Trading Diagram Outlook

4-hour trading diagram par, price upside move karne ki koshish kar raha hai, aur Relative Strength Index ab bhi 50.00 ke reading se upar hai, jo ke upside movement ko valid batata hai. Mera khayal hai ke rise yeh pair ko 156.90 level tak le jayega. Is level ke upar, quotes 157.00 ka round mark target karenge, phir 157.30. Lekin agar price current levels se fall karta hai, toh 155.50 ki price zone pehla target hoga, uske baad psychological level 155.00 ko attack karega. Agar bears market par achi grip bana lete hain aur pair 155.00 level ke neeche trade karna shuru karta hai, toh price 154.40 level ki taraf move karega, jiske neeche 154.10 aur 153.80 ke levels hain. Dekhte hain market agle kuch ghanton mein kaisa perform karta hai. Best of luck, doston!

USD/JPY Price Outlook

USD/JPY currency pair ne haal hi mein 156.195 ka level cross kiya aur upar move karti rahi, jo pehle se ziada complex situation ko dikhata hai. Is breakthrough ke baad, agla critical level dekhne wala 156.775 hai. Yeh zaroori hai ke pair is level ko breach na kare, kyun ke aisa hone se upward move 157.963 tak ja sakti hai. Ideally, 156.775 level se north ko ek correction shuru honi chahiye, jo kisi bhi aage ke upward movement se pehle ek healthier consolidation phase ko madad degi. Agar yeh correction nahi hoti aur pair upar badhati rehti hai, toh yeh quietly 160 level tak ascend kar sakti hai. Aise scenario mein Bank of Japan (BoJ) verbal intervention kar sakta hai taake yen ki zyada strength ko roka ja sake.

Recent movements USD/JPY pair mein suggest karti hain ke market dynamics shift ho rahi hain aur simple narrative of straightforward decline ab valid nahi hai. 156.195 level ka piercing ek significant technical development hai, jo imply karta hai ke buyers ne kam az kam short term mein control wapas le liya hai. Yeh agla resistance level 156.775 ko critical point banaata hai jo traders ko monitor karna chahiye. Agar yeh level par correction fail hoti hai, toh iska matlab hai ke pair 157.963 level tak ke liye strong rally ke liye poised hai. Aisi move Bank of Japan ke liye concern ho sakti hai, jo historically currency market mein sharp fluctuations ko le kar vigilant rahi hai.




Bank of Japan ki potential reaction in movements par consider karne wali cheez hai. Unki history verbal interventions ki hai taake excessive volatility ko curb kiya ja sake aur yen ki unwanted appreciation ya depreciation ko roka ja sake. Yeh reasonable hai expect karna ke agar pair 160 level ke qareeb aati hai, toh woh respond karenge. Verbal interventions unke tools mein se ek hai market expectations ko manage karne aur currency movements ko influence karne ke liye bina direct market operations ke. Aise interventions market ko signal dene ka aim rakhte hain ke central bank closely monitor kar raha hai aur zarurat par act karne ke liye tayyar hai.

Current scenario mein preferable yeh hoga ke USD/JPY pair 156.775 level par correction se guzre. Yeh ek more sustainable upward trajectory ko allow karega, jo sharp aur unchecked rise ke risk ko kam karega. Ek correction phase market ko gains consolidate karne aur future movements ke liye stronger base build karne ka mauka dega. Yeh process ek balanced market maintain karne aur excessive volatility ko prevent karne ke liye essential hai.

HAPPY KILLER USD/JPY TRADING DISCUSSION

M15 Minutes Timeframe Outlook:

M15 chart par linear regression channel buyer ki strength ko dikhata hai, jo ke growth par hai. Jitna zyada channel ka inclination angle hoga, utni hi buyer ki activity pronounced hogi. Bulls apna target level 156.671 tak pahunchne ke liye puri koshish kar rahe hain. Market mein pullback se entry karne ke liye, jab market 156.218 ke qareeb ho ya wahan par ho, toh buy karna chahiye. Channel ke sath trading simple hai: neeche ke edge se buy karna aur upar ke edge se sell karna, lekin trend ke against jana galat hai. Is liye, target achieve hone ke baad, main rollback ka intezar karta hoon taake growing channel mein wapas entry kar sakoon. Agar 156.218 level par market rukta nahi hai, toh yeh seller ki assertiveness ko dikhata hai, jo down run karne ka faisla kar chuka hai. Is waqt par purchases ka intezar karna aur situation ko reassess karna zaroori hai.



H1 Hour Timeframe Outlook:

Mere liye, H1 chart main indicator of the trend hai. Main ek ascending linear regression channel dekh raha hoon. M15 schedule ke readings ko combine karte hue, buyers ka priority expressed hai. Jaise ke maine upar likha, main purchasing consider karunga. H1 period ke basis par, lows par entry karna behtar hai, jo ke 154.753 par hai. Main upper border of the channel 157.180 tak growth plan kar raha hoon. H1 channel ke upper edge tak growth ka guideline, 156.671 level ka breakout hoga, jo ke strong buyer ke sath market ko niche push nahi hone dega. Is level ke upar fix hone se bullish activity ke signs milenge. Growth 157.180 level par fade hona shuru hogi aur uske baad corrective movement downward hogi, jo seller ki presence ko indicate karegi. Agar aap sach mein sell karna chahte hain, toh koshish kar sakte hain, lekin yeh movement ke against hoga aur iske sab consequences ko madde nazar rakhna zaroori hai.

USD/JPY Market Prediction ka Raaznama

Asian trading session mein USD/JPY currency pair bulandiyon par chala gaya, pichhle haftay ki unchiyon tak laut aaya. Japanese Yen (JPY) ne board par apni kamzori jari rakhi, ahem dabao ka samna karte hue. Ye kamzori bunnayi hui Japanese maeeshat ke aasaibi halat se aati hai. Is ke ilawa, US dollar ki mukhtalif baray currencies ke muqablay mein taaqat kaafi had tak USD/JPY pair ke uthaao mein shamil hai.

Kuch taajiron ke mutabiq, kuch log USD/JPY ke liye potensial downward correction ki tajwez dete hain pehle half trading day mein, lekin overall hissak maahol uthne wale trend ka jari rehne ki taraf lean hai. Bulls (wo taajiron jo qeemat mein izafa ke umeedwar hote hain) seemit hudood ke andar bazaar par mukammal qabza kar chuke hain. Aik ahem technical level 155.45 hai jo dekha jata hai. Agar ye pair is level ko tode, to ye taasiri bullish jari reh sakti hai. Is surat mein, kuch traders 157.35 se 157.85 tak target price range ke saath kharidai ka shaur rakhte hain. Magar agar USD/JPY pair 155.45 ke neechay gir jaaye, to ye aik moa’qayi consolidation ki alamat ho sakti hai. Iska matlab hai ke qeemat mukhtalif range mein thodi dair ke liye saath chal sakti hai. Is case mein, pair mumkin hai 154.95 aur 154.75 ke asaari darjy tak pohanch sake.

Dilkash baat ye hai ke kuch traders ye pullback ko mazeed kharidnay ka moqa samajhte hain, jo in support levels ke aas paas lambay positions mein dakhil hone ki umeed rakhte hain. Mukhtasar maahol ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair apne uthao raastay par jari rakhne ki imkaan hai. Magar pehle trading day ke pehle half mein moa’qayi pullback ka ihtimam nahi kiya ja sakta. Traders ko 155.45 ke ahem level ke qareebi price action ko tafteeshi tor par monitor karna chahiye taake wo munfarid faislay kar sakein. Ye dekhna ke ya to bulls apne qabza jari rakhte hain ya phir bears (wo taajiron jo qeemat mein girawat ke umeedwar hote hain) qeemat ko nichayi taraf khenchne mein kamyab ho jaate hain, USD/JPY ke agle qadam ko tay karega.

156.52 ke qeemat ka imtehan woh waqt aya jab MACD indicator pehle hi zero mark se tezi se ooper chala gaya tha, jo dollar ke mazeed izafa ko asar andaz hua, subah ke halat ke mutaradif. Is wajah se, maine kharidnay se bacha. Main ne doosray farokht mansooba ka bhi intizar nahi kiya, is liye main US session ke doran dakhilay ke moqa se mehroom reh gaya. Japan se maloomat ki kami mein, traders ab aaj ke US data par tawajjo karenge, jo market ko buland tarah hila sakta hai. Is lamha tak, Bank of Japan inghiraas karne ke imkaaniyat se door hai, aur bade khilari jo market mein taqat ke tazad ko badal sakte hain, wo bhi muqarrar riport ki taraf mudaawin honge. Sideways channel ke andar karobari karna hamara barah-e-karobaar ka markazi nuqta hai. Hum dopahar ke havale se aaj ke US data par guftagu karenge. Waqti strategy ke tor par, main scenario No. 2.Buy signals par zyada bhrosa karoonga. Scenario No. 1. Main aaj USD/JPY ko kharidne ka iraada rakhta hoon jab qeemat dakhilay ka nishaan 156.43 par pahunch jaaye jo chart par sabz line ke zariye darust kiya gaya hai, umeed hai ke qeemat 156.94 tak barhegi jo chart par ziada moti sabz line ke zariye darust ki gayi hai. 156.94 ke ilaqe mein, main lambay positions ko chhod doonga aur barqarar ones ko ulta rukh par kholonga, umeed hai ke us darje ke ulte rukh se 30-35 pips ka sair darust hoga. Aap aaj USD/JPY ke izafa par yaqeen kar sakte hain, lekin sirf sideways channel ke andar. Kharidnay se pehle, yaqeeni banain ke MACD indicator zero mark ke ooper hai aur sirf is se ooper se barhne laga hai.

Scenario No. 2. Main bhi aaj USD/JPY ko kharidne ka iraada rakhta hoon agar do musalsal 156.16 ke imtehan ka waqt aaye jab MACD indicator oversold ilaqe mein ho. Ye jodi ka niche dabaao pair ka kami kar dega aur bazaar ka ulta rukh le aayega. Hum 156.43 aur 156.94 ke ulte levels tak izaafah ki umeed rakhte hain.




Farokht signals

Scenario No. 1. Main aaj USD/JPY ko sirf is waqt bechne ka iraada rakhta hoon jab 156.16 ke darja ka imtehan ho jo chart par laal line ke zariye darust kiya gaya hai, jo ke qeemat ka foran giravat ka sabab banega. Farokht karne waleon ke liye asal nishan 155.76 hoga, jahan main lambay positions se bahar nikalunga aur foran ulte rukh mein ones ko bhi kholoonga, umeed hai ke us darje ke ulte rukh se 20-25 pips ka sair darust hoga. Agar qeemat aaj ke unchi ke qareeb set nahi hoti to USD/JPY par dabao wapas aa sakta hai. Bechnay se pehle, yaqeeni banain ke MACD indicator zero mark ke neeche hai aur is se neeche se girne laga hai.

Scenario No. 2. Main bhi aaj USD/JPY ko bechnay ka iraada rakhta hoon agar do musalsal 156.43 ke qeemat ka imtehan ho jab MACD indicator overbought ilaqe mein ho. Ye jodi ke ooper dabaao pair ka kami kar dega aur bazaar ka neeche ki taraf rukh le aayega. Hum 156.16 aur 155.76 ke ulte levels tak giravat ki umeed rakhte hain.

21 May 2024 ko USDJPY Ka Tajarba

Aj ke subah ke moqe par mein USDJPY currency pair ka tajarba karunga, jahan pichle din ke qeemat ke harkat se, ye pair lagbhag 75 pips upar chala gaya hai, kya aj USDJPY pair apni upar ki harkat ko dohraega ya trend palat jaega, chaliye ham mazeed tafseelat hasil karte hain, neeche diye gaye H4 USDJPY time frame chart par tawajjo den aur tajziya karen:


From the USDJPY TF H4 chart shown above, we can see support and resistance levels which we can use as a reference for trading today in placing take profits, placing stop losses, knowing entry points and price reversal points. These support and resistance levels include the following:
Resistance 3 : 157.87
Resistance 2 : 156.97
Resistance 1 : 156.67
Pivot point : 156.08
Support 1 : 155.78
Support 2 : 155.19
Support 3 : 154.30

USDJPY ke is subah ke movement ne 15 pips ke izafa se shot diya hai. opening price se, trend ab bhi bohot wazeh tor par bullish hai jahan qeemat 50 period MA line ke ooper hai to bullishness ko bhi 156.08 ke pivot point level ke ooper rehna sath hi RSI indicator bhi 70 ke darjaa ki taraf tezi se jaa raha hai. To aam tor par tajziya ke data ke mutabiq jo ke doosri sahara dey rahe factors ke sath joda gaya hai, to USDJPY pair mein bana hua signal zyada tor par upar ki taraf mashoor hai, is wajah se trading ka option BUY hai jiska tajziyati shuruati nishana 156.97 ke resistance do par hai, hum apna stop loss kuch pips neeche pivot point level 156.08 ke lagate hain, agar bad mein, upar ki harkat mein qeemat doosre resistance 156.97 ke upar band kar sakegi, to yaqeeni hai ke qeemat agle resistance ke taraf barhti rahegi jo ke qeemat 157.87 ke aas paas hai. Doosra trading ka option, yaani sell, tab diya jayega jab qeemat doosre resistance se inkar karegi bearish candle ke zahir hone par jo ke is ke neeche short target projection ke sath band hogi. Abhi ke liye, mera USDJPY pair ke tajziya, agar kisi ko kuch shamil karna hai, to main uska istaqbaal karta hoon, shukriya aur sabhi ko behtareen kamyabi ki duaen.

USDJPY CURRENCY PAIR ANALYSIS 21 MAY 2024

USDJPY currency pair ki qeemat ka harkat lag raha hai ke wo resistance par 156.59 ko test kar rahi hai takay wo aagay barh kar upar ki taraf jaye jahan ucha resistance 157.96 hai. Asal mein, tajziyati qeemat ke harkatain bulish trend ke halat mein izafa karti nazar aati hain. Magar, jab resistance ko test karte waqt qeemat nakli tor par break hoti hai, to ye neeche correction ho sakti hai. Is ke ilawa, Stochastic indicator ke parameters overbought zone mein dakhil ho gaye hain, jis ka matlab hai ke qeemat ka rally saturation point tak pohanch chuka hai. Asal mein, ye parameter ab level 90 ke ooper hai aur bas ek crossing ka intezaar kar raha hai taake saturation point ka darust honay ka tasdeeq ho sake. Qeemat ka neeche correction ke liye mauqa shayad sirf 50 EMA ke as paas hoga aur asal mein 200 SMA ke utne hee neeche. Ye namumkin hai ke ek downward correction 153.67 ke support tak pohanchay jab tak Japanese Yen currency ka outlook nahi mazboot hota. Aaj Asian ya New York sessions mein koi ahem maqami arzi shumar nahi hai isliye shayad qeemat ke harkat resistance 156.59 ke aas paas mazeed consolidate hogi. Sirf wo cheez se ihtiyat baratni chahiye kuch FOMC ke kai ahem afraad aur US wazarat kharja ki J. Yellen ki bayanat hain jo ke US ki maeeshat ki taraqqiyon ke bare mein hain.




Technical Reference: 155.225 ke upar kharidari jab tak Resistance 1: 156.960 Resistance 2: 157.295 Support 1: 155.225 Support 2: 154.915

USDJPY raat tak US trading session tak bulish rehti hai, khareedne wale ka dominance kamyaab nahi hua hai kyunke Moving Average abhi bhi chal rahi qeemat ke neeche hai, jis ka matlab hai ke qeemat abhi bhi barhne ki taraf tend karti hai. MACD ke histogram jo ke mustaqil area mein hai bhi dikhata hai ke barhne ka mauqa abhi bhi mojood hai.

Ek ghante ke chart ke tajziye ke sath milta julta, upar diye gaye 15 M chart mein, USDJPY bhi ek kharidari ka signal dikhata hai kyunke abhi qeemat bullish trend line ke upar hai, saath he Zigzag indicator bhi ek upar ki pattern banane laga hai jis mein peaks aur valleys barh rahi hain. Agar tajziya ke mutabiq, USDJPY ka mauqa hai ke resistance level 156.960 ko test kare.