usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

pe pichle kuch ghanton se candlestick bearish conditions mein hai, aur range bhi bohot zyada hai, is haftay ke trading session ke liye bhi candlestick bearish aur wide range mein nazar aa rahi hai. Market ne Monday ko 155.76 ke level se bullish movement shuru ki, aur Tuesday tak 156.79 tak pahunch gayi. Phir Wednesday raat ko significant bearish pressure aya, jo ek tezi se girawat ka sabab bana. Aaj tak, lagta hai ke market phir se bechaniyon ka shikar hai aur price 153.80 ke level tak phir gir gayi hai. Sellers jo market ko dominate kar rahe hain aur weekly candlestick bearish bana rahe hain, zyadatar niche ki taraf ka trend jaari rakhna chahte hain.


Candlestick ne bohot tezi se girawat ki hai, aur ye mumkin hai ke ye halat is haftay ke khatam tak jaari rahe agar sellers ki army consistent taur pe market ke nichle level 154.50 ke neeche dominance banaaye rakhti hai. Agar aap MACD indicator ke diye gaye instructions ko monitor karte hain, toh bohot clear hai ke histogram bar ka shape chhota hota ja raha hai aur zero level ke qareeb gir raha hai. MACD signal line jo dotted yellow hai, woh neeche ki taraf mudi hui hai jo market mein bearish trend ko darust karti hai.USDJPY currency pair ki taraf dekha ja sakta hai ke lagbhag tamaam indicators abhi bhi candlesticks ko ek bearish trend ki taraf badhne ki disha mein dikhate hain. Bearish trend ka matlab hai ke market mein price decline ki ummeed hai. Ye situation traders ke liye important hoti hai kyunki ye unhe trading decisions ke liye guide karta hai. Bearish trend ke dauraan traders selling positions le sakte hain ya existing long positions ko exit kar sakte hain. Is situation mein, traders ko market ki movement ko closely monitor karna aur risk management ka dhyan rakhna chahiye.

USD/JPY taqreebati tahlil.
USD/JPY jori kal ek pur-sukoon din tha, thori si izafa ke saath sir ke ooper ka uchhaal bhi tha. Aaj bhi ooper ka hissa thora sa dabaya gaya, abhi tak bhaloo ke liye kisi umeed ka koi zariya nahi hai. Unhon ne bhi keemat samjhi aur bohot ooper reh gaye. Kamiyon ki koshishain foran rok di jati hain. Lahar ki shakal ooper ki taraf apna tarteeb bana rahi hai, MACD nishan dene wala indicator khareedne ki ooper ki zone mein barh raha hai aur apni signal line ke ooper hai. Magar CCI nishan dene wala indicator ooper ki zyada garmi wali zone se neeche aa raha hai, jis ne hal hi mein ooper ki zone ko ooper se neeche cross kiya tha, yeh wapas girne ka imkaan barha deta hai. Magar shayad woh abhi tak maximum ko thora sa update kar sakte hain. Ek kami hone ki koshish hui jis mein keemat ne pehla ahem sathool level 153.40 tak lagbhag pohanch gaya aur jaise kisi ne daata mara ho, keemat is ilaake se phir se ooper ki taraf tezi se badh gayi. Main ab bhi ek theek karne wale kami ka giravat 151.90 ke ilaake tak intezaar kar raha hoon, yeh sirf ek level nahi hai, balki yeh yahan ka pehla sarhad level hai. Yeh 2022 aur 2023 ke liye maximum hai aur aap dekh sakte hain ke keemat ne lagbhag ek maheene tak ise neeche daba rakha tha, bahar jaane ka himmat nahi dikha rahi thi. Magar ab woh chali gayi hai aur ab wapas jaana nahi chahti. Magar main ab bhi yeh samajhta hoon ke woh ise ek magnet ki tarah khichtay hain, girne ke baad ise ulta test karna zaroori hai, hata ke agar hum naye unchaiyon tak jaate hain jo is terminal ke poori tareekh mein kabhi dekhi nahi gayi hain. Is kami ka koi pullback nahi hai, aap ko nahi kharidna chahiye; aap market ka uchha kisam pakad sakte hain. Yeh wazeh hai ke yahan ek intehai sarhad hai, spring ne dabav dala hai aur ek shiddat se giravat ho sakti hai. Mere khayal mein, yahan H4 par jab maujooda uchch neeche gaya, to MACD nishan dene wala indicator par ek bearish divergence bani, yeh ek wajah hai ke agar aap bech bhi nahi rahe hain, to aap bilkul kharidna nahi chahiye. Aaj ki maqroozi calender bina ahem maqroozi khabron ke hai.

USD/JPY market ka tajziya aapke sath share karunga. Price ki movement dekhtay hue, USD/JPY likha waqt 154.29 par trade ho raha hai. Market price 20 dinon ka exponential moving average ke upar chali gayi hai, jo chart par mazboot uptrend ka indicator hai aur dikhata hai ke hum resistance ki taraf ja rahe hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) ka indicator barh raha hai aur 60 level tak pohanchne ke baad thora sa gira hai. Jab RSI 50 ke neeche jaata hai, toh yeh yeh darshata hai ke behtar waqt aa sakta hai bechne ka kyun ke market mein negativiti nazar aa rahi hai. Usi waqt, moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator 0 ke neeche jaane ke baad barh raha hai. Isliye MACD kharidari ke liye ek musbat nazar hai. USD/JPY market price simple 50 EMA aur 20 EMA ke upar chali gayi hai aur agar resistance ko toora jaye, toh price mazeed barh sakti Daily chart dekhtay hue, USD/JPY pair aage badhta ja raha hai aur Bollinger Bands Channel ke upper line ke qareeb rehta hai. Lekin jab woh 155 ke qareeb jaata hai, toh seemit hone lagta hai. Halankeh technical indicators ka rukh nahi badla, lekin ab woh aise zone mein hai jahan choti dair ke liye zyada buland hai. Humain ihtiyat baratni chahiye kyun ke choti dair mein girne ka khatra hai. Humain dekhna chahiye ke agar exchange rate 155 ke qareeb aa gaya, toh kya Japanese government kuch karti hai. Agar woh nahi ghalti, toh USD/JPY zyada barhne ki sambhavna hai takay dekha ja sake ke Japanese government kitna bardasht kar sakti hai

nigrani ke tareeqon par tawajjo dena ahem hai. Aik aisa tareeqa hai ke support level 153.107 ke upar stop-loss order lagaya jaye. Ye ghair-fa'ida mand market ke tabdeelon se bachane ke liye aik hifazati iqdamaat hai aur maqboli nuqsaanat ko kam karne mein madad karta hai. USDJPY currency pair, jo ke Amreeki dollar ko Japanese yen ke khilaf darust karta hai, forex market mein sab se zyada sargarm tareen pairs mein se aik hai. Iski buland liquidity aur taweel-e-muddat khatraat ke bais ho sakta hai. Isliye, karobari afrad ko aqalmandi se istemaal karne ki zaroorat hai aur risk management techniques ko apne asal maal ki hifazat ke liye istemal karna chahiye. Stop-loss order, traders ke liye aik risk management tool hai jo unke trade par potential nuqsaanat ko mehdood karne ke liye istemal hota hai. Support level 153.107 ke upar aik stop-loss order lagakar, traders apne positions ke liye ek pehle se tay shartan exit point sthapit karte hain. Agar market unki position ke khilaf chalti hai aur keemat stop-loss level tak pahunch jati hai, to trade khud-ba-khud band ho jati hai, mazeed nuqsaanat ko rokta hua. Support level 153.107 technical analysis ke zariye pehchana jata hai, jo ke tareekhi keemat data ko mutalia karke aur support aur resistance ke key levels ko pehchanne mein mufeed hai. Is mamlay mein, 153.107 aik level ko darust karta hai jahan buying pressure taqreeban hamesha mazeed kami hone se rok deti hai. Isliye, agar keemat is level ke neeche gir jaye, to ye aik mumkin trend reversal ya mazeed neeche ke rukh ko ishara kar sakta hai. Is support level ke upar aik stop-loss order lagana traders ko achanak market ke tabdeelon ke khilaf ek buffer faraham karta hai. Ye unhe nuqsaanat ko mazeed barhne se pehle apni positions se nikalne ki ijaazat deta hai, unke trading capital ko mustaqbil ke moqay ke liye mehfooz rakhta hai. Magar, ehmiyat hai ke stop-loss orders foolproof nahi hote aur kabhi-kabhi slippage ke shikaar ho sakte hain, khaaskar zyada taweel o am ertaqa ya kam liquidity ke doran. Is ke ilawa, traders ko baaqi risk management techniques ko bhi amal mein laana chahiye, jaise ke position sizing aur diversification. Position sizing, har trade ke liye sahi raqam ka tay karna hai jo ke risk ka darja aur trading account ka size ke mutabiq hota hai. Diversification, risk ko mazeed assets ya currency pairs par taqseem karna hai taake poora portfolio ka asar kisi bhi akele trade par kam ho. Ikhtitami tor par, USDJPY ki trading ko aik muntazim tareeqe se aur mufeed risk management strategies se karna zaroori hai. Support level 153.107 ke upar ek stop-loss order lagana potential nuqsaanat ko kam karne aur trading capital ki hifazat ke liye madadgar hai. Magar, traders ko bhi chaukanna rehna chahiye, market ke tajurbaat ke baray mein maloomat rakni chahiye, aur zaroorat ke mutabiq apne tareeqon ko adjust karna chahiye. Ye principles apne trading approach mein shaamil karke, traders forex market mein apni kamiyabi ke chances ko behtar bana sakte hain.

Istemaal shuda zabaan se ye financial ya invest kiya ja sakta hai, jisme "bearish price movement" ki guftagu ho rahi hai jo shayad ek "bullish phase" mein tabdeel ho rahi hai. Ye ishara market ke hosla afzai aur umeed afza hawale ki taraf, jo asseyon ke qeemat ko barhne ka intezar karta hai. Bayan mein trading pair ka opening price par nazar rakhne ki ahmiyat ka zikr hai, aur agar wo ek had tak kam hota hai aur kisi khaas darje ke neeche rehta hai (sambhavat ek support level ya pehle se tay ki gayi minimum), toh ye dobara tajziya karne ki zaroorat ko ishara karta hai. Ye ek tarteebi tor par market ki harkaton ka tajziya karne ka zikr karta hai, jahan traders ya investors mukhtalif shiray ko faislay karne ke liye khaas shirayat par bharte hain, balke sirf intution ya jazbaat par bharosa karne ki bajaye. "Bearish" aur "bullish" jese terminologies ka istemal




technical analysis ke mutabiq ko darust karne ke liye kiya gaya hai, jo traders ki taraf se aage chalne wale price movements ko pehchane mein madad karti hai. Ye historical data par tajziya karke future ke price movements ka andaza lagane ke liye istemal hoti hai. Kul milake, ye bayan market ke dynamics ko samajhne ka ehtiyaati lekin tajziyati tareeqe ka izhar karta hai. Ye maan leta hai ke ghalat ho bhi sakte hain aur naye maloomat ke sath apne faislay ko tabdeel karna zaroori hai. Ye financial market ki complexities ka realistic samajh aur tabadlaat ke sharae sharae mein adapt hona ka ahmiyat ko samajhne ki alamat hai. Behtar hone ki taraf, mazeed context ya mukhtalif misaalon ka farahmi asar ke taur par izhar ko wazeh karne mein madad karega. Masalan, guftagu mein mukhtalif ilaqon ya asseyon ka zikr karna aur tasweer ya data faraham karna tajziya ko tasdiq karega. Mazeed, faislon ke piche ke rationale ko wazeh karna aur market sentiment ko mutasir karne wale factors ko bayan karna tajziya ko gehraai aur

USDJPY currency pair filhal bulls ke zor mein hai, jiska current price 153.895 hai. Yeh strong bullish trend isliye dekhne ko mil raha hai kyunki kuch major market players apni heavy market orders use karke price ko upar push kar rahe hain. Yeh market participants bade institutions ya high-net-worth traders ho sakte hain jo apne capital ka use karke asset ke price ko influence kar rahe hain. Lekin hamesha yaad rakhein, jab market ek taraf ko aggressively move kar raha ho, to risk bhi ussi proportion mein barhta hai. Bulls ki power kabhi bhi kam ho sakti hai aur yeh decline kisi bhi unexpected news, economic data release ya geopolitical event ki wajah se ho sakta hai. Isliye, agar aap is waqt market mein trade kar rahe hain to bahut ehtiyat se kaam lena zaroori hai. Aapko apne risk management strategies ko strictly follow karna hoga, jaise ke stop-loss orders ka use karna, taake potential losses ko minimize kiya ja sake.

Key factor yeh hai ke sellers ko current market situation ka faida uthana hoga. Jab price ek high level par pohanch jata hai aur buying pressure reduce hone lagta hai, to smart sellers apne short positions ko initiate karte hain. Yeh woh waqt hota hai jab price ek potential reversal ke sign show karne lagta hai. Agar sellers ne apne entry points achi tarah se identify kar liye hain, to woh significant profits generate kar sakte hain jab market bearish trend mein convert hota hai. Sellers ke liye important hai ke woh technical analysis tools jaise ke support and resistance levels, moving averages, aur momentum indicators ko use karein taake woh market ke turning points ko accurately predict kar sakein. Iske ilawa, fundamental analysis bhi zaroori hai, jaise ke economic indicators (GDP, employment data, inflation rates), central bank policies, aur global economic conditions ko monitor karna.

USDJPY pair ko track karte hue, market participants ko macroeconomic events par bhi nazar rakhni chahiye, jaise ke Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan ke interest rate decisions, kyunki yeh factors currency movements ko significantly impact karte hain. Akhir mein, chahe aap bull ho ya bear, market mein hamesha disciplined approach adopt karna chahiye. Impulsive decisions aur emotional trading se bachna chahiye. Structured trading plan ke saath, jo risk management, proper analysis, aur realistic goals par mabni ho, aap apne trading performance ko optimize kar sakte hain. Remember, forex market ek highly volatile market hai aur ismein sirf wohi traders survive karte hain jo sabr, discipline aur proper strategy ke saath trade karte hain.

Kal, Tokyo Pelim GDP rate mein aik noticeable dip dekha gaya, jo ke economic landscape mein aik concerning turn hai. Saath hi, US dollar ko bhi Retail Sales aur Empire State Manufacturing index reports se mutaliq kuch adverse developments ka samna karna para, jo iski performance ko somber bana rahay hain. Yeh waqiat collectively sellers ke darmiyan prevailing stability ko underline karte hain, jo ke market sentiment ki cautious nature ka pata dete hain. Natija yeh hua ke USD/JPY pair 154.70 zone ke ird gird hover kar raha tha din ke doran. Iske bawajood, market dynamics ki fluid nature buyers ke haq mein shift hone ka potential dikhati hai. Isko madde nazar rakhte hue, yeh currency pair ke liye aik strategic buy order prudent lagta hai, jiska short-term target approaching week ke liye 155.55 par set hai. Magar, vigilance paramount hai, aur kal ke liye USD/JPY exchange rate ke hawale se forthcoming news data par keen focus zaroori hai. Evolving market landscape ka matlab hai ke proactive approach zaroori hai, jo constant monitoring aur trading strategies ke adjustment ko demand karti hai. Emerging trends aur developments par nazar rakhte hue, traders apne aap ko advantageously position kar sakte hain taake potential opportunities ko capitalize kar sakein aur risks ko mitigate kar sakein. Financial markets mein fluctuations ke darmiyan, informed decision-making ek linchpin ka kaam karti hai taake favorable outcomes achieve ho sakein. Is liye, analysis, foresight, aur adaptability ka aik judicious blend currency trading ko successfully navigate karne ke liye indispensable hai. Aur, jaise jaise market conditions evolve hoti hain, flexibility trading performance ko optimize karne aur emerging opportunities ko capitalize karne ke liye cornerstone hai. Iss tarah, vigilance, analysis, aur adaptability ka aik strategic blend aik robust trading approach ka bedrock banata hai, jo dynamic realm of forex trading mein prudent decision-making ko facilitate karta hai. Expectation hai ke USD/JPY ka market buyers ke favor mein rahega aur woh ane walay ghanton mein 155.52 zone ko cross kar sakte hain

Agar pair 154.23 ke darja ko torr de, toh yeh shayad ek naye ooper ki raah ka aghaz hai. Yeh USD/JPY darja ko mazeed mazbooti day sakta hai. 160.20 ke darja tak pohanch jaana medium-term top ki tashkeel ka matlab ho sakta hai. Yeh mwaqtan ishtiqamat ya exchange rate ki raah ka tabadla ka ek temporary qeemat kaar sakta hai. Agar 150.87 ke support level ko torr diya jaaye, toh agla target support level 146.47 ho sakta hai. Yeh USD/JPY ke qeemat mein mazeed ahem tajziya ka aghaz ho sakta hai. Agar 156.50 ke range ka jhoota breakout kar liya jaaye, aur is ke baad girawat jaari rahegi. Jab hum 156.30 ke range ko torr kar is ke nichay jaamay, yeh bechnay ka ishaara hoga. 156.60 ke range mein rukawat hai. Yahan se girawat jaari reh sakti hai. Main 156.50 ke range ka jhoota breakout tasleem karta hoon, lekin is ke baad girawat jaari rahegi. 155.70 ke range mein support hai aur shayad is ke neechay girawat jaari rahegi. Jab main 154.00 ke range tak girawat ka intizaar karta hoon, girawat jaari rahegi. Mumkin hai ke 155.27 ke range ko torr kar is ke nichay jaamay, toh yeh bechnay ka ishaara hoga. 156.50 ke range mein rukawat hai aur yahan se girawat jaari reh sakti hai. 156.10 ke range ka tor phor ke baad, girawat aur bhi mazeed jaari reh sakti hai. Jo izafa market mein ho raha hai woh rate mein aik islaahi izafa ki shakal mein bohot mushabeh hai aur humain aik jhoota breakout mila hai. Is ke baad, abhi bhi USD/JPY ko bechna behtareen hai

Aaj ki guftagu hum USD/JPY currency pair ki price action ka tajziya par mabni hogi. Agar bears mojooda levels ko tor dein, to hume 146.53-146.07 ki taraf bari giravat dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Magar agar Japanese financial authorities JPY ko stable rakhne ke liye dakhil ho to yeh giravat mumkin hai. Magar yeh sirf waqt le sakta hai aur Bank of Japan se zyada faisla lene ki zaroorat hogi. USD/JPY ke scenario mein ghumao-phirao hai, aur yeh pair darust ki nishandahi karta hai. Halankeh pehle ki umeedain mumkin nahi thin, lekin pair ki volatility traders ke liye mauqe pesh karta hai. Meri tawajjuh haal hi mein girne wale cycle par mabni hai, jo ke ek maqami minimum tak pohanch gaya hai jo 151.89 hai, aur main ek theek karne wale pullback ka intezar kar raha hoon. Jaise hi pair mazboot pullback Fibonacci levels tak pohanche ga, buland darje mumkin zyada mustaqbil ke liye honge. Char ghante ke chart par, dollar-yen exchange rate ne 154.05 resistance level ko tor diya hai, aur uski tezi ko waqf kar diya hai. Agar quotes ke barhne jaari rahein, to hume 155.37 aur 157.59 ke darje dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Magar, 153.15 par ek support level hai, jo ke agar keemaat phir se 154.06 ke neeche jaati hai, to giravat mumkin hai. Kal ka daily candle bullish band hua, jo ke darmiyani muddat mein barhti mumkin hai. Kabhi kabhi rebounds ke bawajood, yen halankeh ek niche ki taraf tawajjuh dikhata hai jise baar baar dabao ke sath dekha gaya hai. Dollar ka performance, doosri taraf, independent hai. Main mojooda darjo par karobarat par tawajjuh diye bina mutmain hoon, chhoti muddat ke intizam ko stress dete hue. Agar keemat phir se 156.50 ko guzar jati hai, to main farokht signals ka intezar karunga. Haftawarana tajziya 152.06-151.87 support zone ko highlight karta hai USD/JPY ke liye, jo peechle haftay ke imtehaan mein nahin tora gaya tha.

Forecast of USD/JPY

Market ki situation ko dekhte hue, USD/JPY agle hafte ki main trading me zyadatar buy position dhoondhne ka chance hai. Jo cheez mujhe concern kar rahi hai wo hai market ki condition 4-hour time frame me. Market band hone se kuch ghante pehle tak correction nazar ayi jo ke 155.64 zone tak pohonch gayi thi. Isliye, agar agle hafte price 155.88 position ke upar move karne me kamyab hoti hai, to mai ek Buy trade place karunga.

Market ki condition ke mutabiq, pechle hafte ka Uptrend dekhne ko mil raha hai. Market abhi bhi buyers ke control me hai, meri raaye me yeh is baat ka signal hai ke prices ke paas upward trend me run karne ka mauka hai. Is hafte market ne 155.76 position pe open kiya, aur price 156.79 position tak barh gayi. Agar hum 4-hour time frame chart ke zariye price movements ka development dekhen, to meri raaye me agle kuch dino tak market bullish side par move karne ka chance rakhti hai.

Meri prediction yeh hai ke agle price movements barh sakti hain, aur yeh ek significant impact push trigger karegi jisse candlestick 100 period simple moving average zone se dur higher move karegi. 5,3,3 stochastic indicator 80 zone ko touch kar gaya hai, jo ke buyer control ka signal hai. Chhoti time frame yani 1 hour me, yeh clear hai ke price journey 100 period simple moving average line ke upar stop kar rahi hai, shayad strong momentum ka intezar kar rahi hai taake weekly journey Uptrend side par continue ho sake.

Upar di gayi analysis aur explanation se hum yeh conclusion nikal sakte hain ke mahine ke end tak trading me, market ke paas bullish journey par wapas aane ka mauka hai, target around 156.26 zone set karke. Jab tak buyers price ko 155.04 zone ke upar rakh sakte hain, meri raaye me increase ka mauka Downtrend side ke mukable zyada hai.





Technical Reference:
Buy jab tak yeh 155.355 ke upar hai
- Resistance 1: 156.260
- Resistance 2: 156.435
- Support 1: 155.355
- Support 2: 155.115

USD/JPY bullish rahte hue aaj raat ke US trading session tak barh sakta hai, buyer dominance abhi bhi barkarar hai kyunke Moving Average abhi bhi running price ke neeche hai, jo ke indicate karta hai ke price abhi bhi barhne ki taraf hai. MACD ka histogram jo positive area me mazboot hai yeh bhi indicate karta hai ke increase ka mauka abhi bhi open hai.

One hour chart analysis ke mutabiq, 15 M chart me bhi USD/JPY buy signal show kar raha hai kyunke Zigzag indicator ne upward pattern form karna shuru kar diya hai increasing peaks aur valleys ke saath. Agar scenario ke mutabiq dekha jaye, USD/JPY ke paas resistance level 156.260 ko test karne ka mauka hai.

USD/JPY Pair Analysis:
Aisa lagta hai ke 168.60 level pe ek false breakout hua tha, aur decline agay barh sakti hai. Resistance local maximum 144.640 ke aas-paas expect ki ja rahi hai, jahan se decline ka silsila jaari rehna chahiye. Ek corrective rise 154.30 range tak possible hai, lekin wahan resistance se phir se fall expected hai. 168.80 pe bhi ek false breakout tha, jo ke ek potential buy signal suggest karta hai. Current resistance 15.370 par hai, aur jab tak yeh level breakout nahi hota, downtrend jaari rehne ka chance hai. Agar price 156.10 tak girti hai, to yeh ek buy opportunity signal kar sakti hai, lekin yeh secondary consideration hai. Resistance 155.35 pe bhi decline jaari rehne ka indication de rahi hai.

Kal ke session se USD/JPY pair consistent bullish momentum show kar rahi hai, despite kuch selling pressure ke, retreating to 155.36. 156.30 ke aas-paas highs reach karne ke baad, investors pause karte nazar aa rahe hain, jo ke potential short-term consolidation indicate kar raha hai, jo further upward movements se pehle ho sakti hai. Daily chart pe Relative Vigor Index (RVI) upward momentum dikhata hai, lekin bullish trend me halt ka indication de raha hai. H4 chart pe outlook weaker nazar aa raha hai; RVI positive zone me hai lekin kamzor hai.





Current Market Situation:
USD/JPY pair ka current market price H4 time frame pe 155.57 hai. Morning trading ke doran support 154.00 pe identify hui. RVI indicator upward trend dikhata hai. Bollinger bands negative zone me hain, jo sell trades recommend karte hain, aur Bollinger bands indicator decreasing prices show karta hai. Technical analysis further declines ki taraf point kar rahi hai, price likely 155.00 tak move kar sakti hai. Best of luck apne trades ke liye.

Kal USD/JPY pair ne local support level 156.37 pe test kiya aur phir strong bullish impulse ke sath upwards reverse hui, ek clear upward reversal candle form ki. Is scenario ko dekhte hue, aaj nearest resistance level 155.36 test hone ki umeed hai. Iss resistance level ke kareeb do outcomes ho sakte hain: ya to price is level ke upar consolidate karegi aur resistance 155.40 tak upwards continue karegi, ya phir hold nahi kar payegi. Agar price 155.00 ke upar breakout karti hai, to further movements resistance 158 tak expected hain. Iss level ke kareeb ek trading setup form hona chahiye, jo trading ke next direction ko indicate karega.

Technical Analysis of the USDJPY Pair
1-hour chart





Iss waqt, pair ka price daily chart pe ek strong resistance area me trade kar raha hai. Yeh woh area hai jahan pe broken channels ko retest kiya ja raha hai. Price ascending price channels ke andar move kar rahi thi jo break ho gaye the, aur ab price wapas retest ke liye aa gayi hai.

Isliye, agarche 1-hour chart pe ek buy signal hai, humein wait karna hoga jab tak yeh area upward break na ho jaye, khaaskar jab ke price kuch ghante pehle is se fall hui thi. Is liye, current level se price ke fall hone ka same behavior repeat ho sakta hai.

Is liye, agle kuch ghanton me trader sirf tab sell kar sakta hai jab price 155.50 level ke neeche girti hai, jahan price ne daily chart pe ek sell signal diya hai aur saath hi 1-hour chart pe support break kiya hai.

Economic Factors

Japanese yen ke decline ka sabab renewed pressure hai jab Bank of Japan ne bond purchase amounts ko pichli operation ke mutabiq rakha, aur is hafte ke shuruat me debt purchases me sudden reduction nahi kiya. Markets ne yeh speculate kiya tha ke Bank of Japan ne purchase amounts isliye unchanged rakha kyunke yen ko US dollar ke broad weakness ka faida hua, lekin traders ab bhi bet kar rahe hain ke central bank June ke policy meeting me bond purchases reduce karne ka faisla karega. Bank of Japan ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ne bhi kaha ke unka koi immediate plan nahi hai ke central bank ke holdings ko ETFs me sell kiya jaye.

Isi dauran, is hafte ke shuruat me data se pata chala ke Japan ki economy 2024 ke pehle quarter me 2% year-on-year contract hui, jo ke market expectations ke 1.5% contraction se bhi bura tha, kyunke private consumption fourth straight quarter ke liye giri. Yeh latest numbers Bank of Japan ki position ko complicate kar rahe hain, jo economy ko support karne aur weak currency ko defend karne ke efforts ke darmiyan balance banane ki koshish kar rahi hai.

USD/JPY currency pair ne haal hi mein kuch pehlay nishan diye hain jo aik mumkin downward trend ka izhaar kar rahay hain. Yeh movement currency pair ke chart ke technical analysis mein wazeh hai, jahan aik silsila pattern aur signals bearish outlook ki taraf ishara kar rahay hain. Filhal, USD/JPY ki qeemat aik significant support level ko torhnay ki koshish kar rahi hai, jo 156.195 par mojood hai. Is ahem dahanay ko torhnay ki koshish aik ahem taraqqi hai, kyun ke yeh mazeed girawat ka raasta saaf kar sakti hai. Haal ke trading sessions mein, market participants ne dekha ke pair ko apni upward momentum barqarar rakhne mein mushkil ho rahi hai, jo ke bullish strength ki kamzori ko zahir karta hai. Price action ne consolidation ke nishan diye hain, jo aksar aik potential reversal ka pehla marahela hota hai. Technical analysts is critical support level ke aas paas pair ke behavior ko ghour se dekh rahay hain, kyun ke agar 156.195 ke neeche aik decisive break hota hai, to yeh mazeed extended downtrend ka agaz confirm kar sakta hai

Market sentiment aur geopolitical developments bhi USD/JPY pair ki movement par asar dal sakti hain. Investors global events ko ghour se dekh rahay hain, jaise ke trade tensions, economic sanctions, aur political uncertainties, jo currency markets par significant impacts dal sakti hain. In areas mein koi bhi adverse development USD/JPY pair par downward pressure ko barha sakti hai. Iske ilawa, traders aur investors central banks ke actions par bhi tawajju de rahay hain, khas tor par Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan. Interest rates mein tabdili, monetary policy adjustments, aur in institutions ki forward guidance currency values ke critical drivers hain. Federal Reserve ka interest rates par stance, khas tor par, U.S. dollar ki strength par gehra asar dalta hai. Fed ke kisi bhi zyada dovish approach ke indications USD ke JPY ke muqable mein mazeed girawat ka baais ban sakti hain

Main iss ko Japanese authorities ke nazariye se dekhta hoon aur ek baar phir samajhta hoon, ke meri tehzeebon ko dobara tasdeeq mil rahi hai ke na to Japanese authorities aur na unki local bank, states ke ijaazat ke baghair kuch zaiya kar sakte hain. Aaj phir, Wazir-e-Khazana ne subah announce kiya ke woh amal ke liye tayyar hain, lekin is pe manzar ke sath, USDJPY jodi ka qeemat barqarar rehne lagi. Aur states bas unhe "amal" karne nahi dete jab tak veeran hain, kyunke wahaan tamam foreign exchange interventions United States ke swap lines se judi hoti hain, isliye, jaise hi unhe munafa hota hai, phir woh ijazat denge. To ye baat samne aati hai ke woh farokht karne wale jo bewaqoofana tor par samajhte hain ke Bank of Japan ab bazaar mein dakhil ho jaayegi aur "itni zor se maregi" ke dollar/yen jodi south ki taraf patthar ki tarah udd jaayegi, ye woh Shiraaqeen hain jo izafa se nikala ja raha hai. Jaise hi jama'atain phatengi, phir hum ek mahdood ulat pherenge, taake isko ab banane ke liye, qeemat ko 152.60-75 ke neeche lautna zaroori hai, aur is level ko todne ke baad, 151.60-70 ko support banane ke liye, is Haal mein, haan, aap un mushkilat ki taraf dekh sakte hain ke girawat ho sakti hai Bazaar ne is point par girawat ko pehchan liya hai. Hum upar ke channel mein 156 ke resistance tak chalte hain. Main umeed karta hoon ke yeh harkat 156.23 par khatam hogi, lekin agar iraadon mein tabdeel hui, to girawat ka maqsad 155.28 hoga. Main yeh bilkul nahi keh sakta ke yeh wahi hoga, lekin agar hamen apne iraadon ko badal kar mushwara karna pare, to pehle toor par 155.28 ke level par tawajjo di jaayegi USD/JPY jodi mein. Lagta hai ke kharidarun ko farokht karne wale se aage faiyda hai is potentiak harkat mein, isliye is point tak ek raily ka intezar karen, lekin is ke baad ek ulta asar mumkin hai. Upar ki harkat ke nakami ke soorat mein, ham ek neechay ka mansooba pe chalein ge, jahan support level 152.42 hoga. Kyunki ye sirf ek pullback hoga, is qeemat par kharidna munasib ho sakta hai. Main yeh samajhta hoon ke aisi

Pichle haftay ki trading activity USDJPY daily timeframe chart par numaya volatility ke saath mukhtalif nazar aur tajziya par mabni thi. Mangalwar ko ek khaas taqatwar bullish engulfing candle ka qaim hona dekha gaya, jo ke market mein buland buyer hissaari ka izhar karta hai. Ye candlestick pattern aksar peechle neechay ki raftar ka mukhalif karne ki mumkin tajwez deta hai, jahan kharidaron ne qeemat ke action ka kabu haasil kiya. Haftay ke aakhir mein, Budh se Jumma tak, USDJPY ke qeemat ko chart par dhaalne wale resistance level ke saath ghoomta dekha gaya. Ye resistance level pehle se hi aik ahem dilchasp rukawat ke ilaqa ke tor par pehchanaya gaya tha, taqreeban taareekhi ahmiyat ke liye, jo qeemat ke harkaat par asar andaz hoti hai. Magar, is resistance zone ke lambay interaction ke bawajood, Jumma ke trading session mein qeemat ka rukh palat gaya, jis se bearish candlestick ka qaim hona hua.

Yeh qabil-e-zikar hai ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator, jo qeemat ke momentum ki taqat aur rukh ke baare mein ahem wazihaat faraham karta hai. Haal hi mein kharidari ke faaaltu amal ke doran, RSI overbought darja tak nahi pohancha, is ka matlab hai ke shayad mazeed upar ka rukh muqarrar karne se pehle bhaari farokht dabao se mil sakta hai. Ye observation USDJPY ka resistance level tor sakta hai, mukhtalif mufeed kharid-o-farokht ke fauran ek naye buland momentum aur is dauraan naye unchaayi ke markaz ke tor par pesh karna. Takneeki tajziya ke daira mein, aik bullish engulfing candle ka qaim hona aur phir aik ahem resistance level ke qareeb mojoodgi aksar bullish nishaan ke tor par wazeh kiya jata hai. Ye yeh dawa karta hai ke kharidaron ne market mein apni qowwat ko sabit kiya hai aur qeematon ko buland karna ke liye mojood hain. Is ke ilawa, RSI ki extreme overbought shiraa'it ki kami ke tor par bullish outlook ko mazeed tasdeeq di jaati hai, is se darust hai ke mojooda uptrend mein mazid taqwiyat hai. Agay dekhte hue, USDJPY ko nigrani karne wale traders aur investors ko resistance level ke upar kisi bhi breakout par tawajjo deni chahiye. Aise ek harkat bullish bias ki tasdeeq ke tor par kaam aa sakti hai aur unke paas intahi munafa-khori ke moqaat ho sakte hain. Magar, barqarar rahne aur bazar ke sharte badalne ka dyaan rakhna ahem hai, kyun ke ghair mutawaqqi sorat-e-haal trajectory ko tabdeel kar sakti hai