USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY currency pair ke ghair mutawaazun hone ki wajah se aaj sawari jaari rahi hai. Subah hi, jodi pehle se hi 160.05 ke level tak gir gayi aur phir tezi se peeche chalne lagi. Ye ghair mutawaazun hone ki wajah kai factors se ho sakti hai. Ek wajah ho sakti hai geopolitical tensions ya economic indicators ka sudden change. Agar kisi badi desh ya region mein political instability ya koi unexpected event hota hai, to isse currencies ka instability aata hai. Dusra reason ho sakta hai central banks ke monetary policy decisions ka impact. Agar kisi country ke central bank ne interest rates ko change kiya ho ya fir koi monetary policy announcement kiya ho, to isse us country ki currency par asar padta hai, jo ki USD/JPY ke mutawaazun mein farq la sakta hai. Thirdly, market sentiment ka bhi impact hota hai. Agar investors ka confidence kisi particular currency mein kam ho ya phir kisi specific geopolitical event ya economic indicator se related uncertainty ho, toh ye currency pair ke movements ko influence karta hai. Ab ye dekhte hain ki kaise traders aur investors is situation ko analyze kar rahe honge. Wo economic indicators, news reports, aur technical analysis ka use kar rahe honge, takay wo samajh sake ki ye movement temporary hai ya fir long-term trend ka hissa hai. Kuch traders ye bhi dekhte honge ki kya kisi badi player ne large-scale trades kiye hain, jo ki market ko influence kar rahe hain. Is tarah ke large orders market mein volatility paida kar sakte hain aur short-term fluctuations ko accelerate kar sakte hain. Is situation mein, risk management ka bhi bohot important role hota hai. Traders aur investors ko apne positions ko monitor karna aur apne risk exposure ko manage karna zaroori hai, taake wo losses ko minimize kar sakein. Overall, USD/JPY currency pair ke ghair mutawaazun hone se sawari mein izafa ho sakta hai, lekin ye bhi zaroori hai ki traders aur investors cautious rahen aur market ko closely monitor karen.

Forex Dynamics ke Zariye USD/JPY Ke Qeemat ki Tehqeeq

Hum filhal USD/JPY currency pair ka performance dekh rahe hain aur uske qeemat ke harek harkat ka jaeza le rahe hain. Mojooda market ka mahaul ye dikhata hai ke yen mein kami mehsoos ho rahi hai, jo ke Japanese government bonds ki kami mein wazeh hai. Ye trend USD/JPY ke liye ek mozu'ee uthar chal ka sabab ban sakta hai. Ye factors madde nazar rakhte hue, ek consolidation ke doran, pair ke muqable ka resistance level 156.28 (Murray 2.8) ke oopar se guzarne ka imkan hai, Kijun line ke saath aur shayad H4 cloud ko bhi par karne ka. Mojooda market sentiment ke mutabiq, 153.17 (Murray 1.8) ke nishane tak waapis jane ka kamzor imkan hai. Jab pair 155.72-156.44 ke darmiyan apni tang consolidation range se nikalta hai, to ye 157.44 tak pohanch sakta hai, jo ke ya toh neeche ki taraf le ja sakta hai, 154 ke qareeb, ya phir mazeed izafa kar sakta hai 156.81-158.32 ke resistance zone tak.





Pichli market structures aur participants ke rawayye ke mutabiq, ek oopar ki taraf breakout honay ka imkan hai, jo USD/JPY pair ke liye mazeed izafa ka zariya ban sakta hai. Magar agle resistance zone ke chand reaction ko rok sakta hai, jese ke 152 ko breach karne par sell-off hua tha. Behtar hai ke market view mein koi tabdeeli nahi hui, is liye trade karte waqt kharidari ko pasand kiya jaaye. Agar support ke taraf ek maqami rukh ho, toh wahaan kisi farzi breakout ke baad aage ki taraf uthao ho sakta hai, aur consolidation ek dabaav ban sakta hai 152 ki taraf rahne ke liye. Aakhir mein, jab yen mein bhaari kami mehsoos ho rahi hai, to dollar ke mustaqbil ka kirdar ehem rehta hai. Isliye, mojooda levels par trade karna behtar hai aur 156.53 ke upar chadhne ka muntazir rahna behtar hai, sell signals ko ghoorna is se pehle.

Haal hi mein, Japanese Yen apne American muqablay ke khilaaf aik naye bartari neeche ki taraf dekha, jo ke iske pehle ke faiday se aik nihayat aham palat ka nishaan hai. Is tabdeeli ka zyada tar asraar, Japan aur United States (US) ke darmiyan mukhtalif interest rates ke muqabalay ka gehra nata hota hai, aur US Dollar (USD) ki darkhwast mein izafa.
Japan-US Interest Rate Differential

JPY ki kamzori ka bunyadi sabaq Japan aur United States (US) ke darmiyan mukhtalif interest rates ka hota hai, jo ke qareebi mustaqbil mein jari rehne ka intezar hai. Ye nihayat farq investors ko US Dollar (USD) ki taraf kheenchta hai, darkhwast ko barhata hai aur USD/JPY pair ko mazboot karta hai. Is interest rate farq aur buland darkhwast ke milnay se pair ka mazboot din bhar ke trend ko saath le karne mein madad milti hai.

Market Ki Umeed aur Peshgoiyon

Mustaqbil ke policy shifts ke baare mein market ki umeed aur peshgoiyon ka hisaab aagay aata hai. Aane wale mahinon mein cuts ke low chances ke bawajood, September ki mulaqat ke liye peshgoiyon ka intizaar ghair yaqeeni hai. Marketen ek single cut ke liye year-end mein tehleel kar rahi hain, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke agle press conference ka khaas ehemiyat rakhta hai, jo ke investors ke faislon ko rehnumai karne wale ahem insights faraham karne ke liye mustahiq hai.

Technical Tahlil aur Trading Outlook

Technical tahlil par tabdeeli ke baad, spot prices ne 200-hour Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke neeche istehkam dikhaya, jo ke bullish maneuvers ke liye stage set karta hai. 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level ke par ka faasla favorable conditions ko signal karta hai USD/JPY traders ke liye, jo ke hourly charts par musbat traction ko darust karta hai. Ye technical indicators ka milna-julna pair ke liye aik mufeed nazar hai, jisme potential momentum use ko le kar mukhtalif resistance levels ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

Japanese Yen (JPY) ne haal hi mein mazidar istiqamat dikhaya hai mukhtalif trading sessions mein US Dollar (USD) ke khilaaf, Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke shakhsi dakhalon ki taraf se tasdeeq karke mustawar bhi hua. USD/JPY pair ne pehle 156.55 ke qareeb aik izafa dekha, lekin mazeed farokht dabaaw ne rukh ko ulta kar diya, jis se pair do hafton ke naye nukta-e-nazar tak pohanch gaya. Ab tak, USD/JPY 156.30 ke qareeb trading kar raha hai, jo ke iske pehle muqam se 0.30% ke halkay giravat ka nishan hai.
BoJ Dakhalat aur Market Ka Jawab:

Japanese Yen ke sudden izafa US Dollar ke khilaaf shakhsiyat ke zahir hone par tajziya ko janam diya, jo ke Bank of Japan ke dakhalat ki mumkinat par sawal uthata hai. Halankeh USD/JPY pair briefly kuch izafa dekha, mukarrar farokht dabaaw jald he pair ko do hafton ke naye nukta-e-nazar tak le gaya. Filhal, USD/JPY 156.30 ke qareeb ghoom raha hai, jo ke iske qeemat mein halki giravat ko zahir karta hai.

Fed Ki Mehngai Ka Manzar Aur Uska Asar:

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ki mehngai par tafseeli guftagu market ke dynamics mein mazeed izafa faraham karti hai. Powell ne pichle saal mein mehngai mein wazeh kami par roshni dali, lekin buland mehngai ke darajat ka baqaida masla hai. Is mehngai ke raste ke ird gird ghum ki be yaqeeni ne Fed fund futures traders ko apne umeedon ko tarteeb denay par majboor kiya hai, ab inhe is saal 35 buniyadi points ki asaani ke qeemat pe tay karte hue dekha ja raha hai.





H4 Chart Technical Tahlil aur Resistance Levels:

Technical indicators traders ke liye aik detailed tasveer faraham karte hain. 4-hour chart par 200-period Simple Moving Average se bounce, sath he 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level ke par ka harkat, bullish sentiments ko favor karta hai. Magar, ehtiyaat zaroori hai, kyunke 4 ghante ke chart par mukhtalif oscillators yeh darust karte hain ke 156.55 ke qareeb mukhtalif resistance mumkin hai.

156.50 nishan ko paar karne ke sath mazeed oopar ki taraf rasta saaf ho sakta hai 157.00 resistance zone ki taraf. Mukhalif, agar is level ko barqarar na rakha jaye, to yeh 156.00 nafsiyati nishan ki taraf maeeda ko dekh sakta hai. Agar neechay dabaaw jari rahe, to 155.50 ke aas pass Asian session ki kam nishani aik ahem support level ban jata hai, jise 154.00 aur 153.66 ke darmiyan darmiyani support tak follow kiya jata hai.

USD/JPY Market Trends Ka Tahlili Jaiza

Haal ki market ki harkatien jo USD/JPY currency pair ko shamil karti hain, unka bohot zyada asar April ke US data ke ikhtitami ikhtisar par tha, khas tor par mayoos kun bayrozgari dar. Yeh manfi iqtisadi dalil, US dollar ko Japanese yen ke muqablay mein kamiyat ka samna karwata hai, uske peechle faide ko khatam karta hai aur bearish trend ke favor mein momentum ko badal deta hai. 152.10 ke nafsiyati level ko test karne ke bawajood, bear ne keemat ko peechle global peak ke qareeb 152.48 ke qareeb lay gaya hai. Yeh bearish dabao ka samna karke is ki juddo-jehad mein mazbooti ko zahir karta hai aur mukhtalif bullish mawad ka muqabla karne wale ke samne khareef ko dikhata hai.

Maujooda bullish mojoodgi ko chowkasi ke sath nigehban rehna zaroori hai, kyunke nichlay rukh mazboot aur mazeed giravaton ke liye tayar hai. Ek mumkin bearish tabdeeli jald ho sakti hai, kyunke daily chart par signals price ke izafe ka jaari rehna sugate hain. Yeh agle u-turn ka imkan hai aur jo log giravat ka intezar kar rahe hain, un ke liye aik strategy ka mauqaf bhi hai. 154.06 ke qareeb mukhaalif ka samna kiya ja raha hai, agar achanak se u-turn ho to 153.26 ka ahem level hai. Agar kharid-dar apne lambi positions ko nuksan ka intezar karte hue kholte hain, to mazeed nichle rukh ka 150.39 tak jaana mumkin hai, jo market ki nafsiyati tabdeeli ka izhar karta hai.





Giravat ke liye ek behtar tajziya nazar aata hai, agar bear log momi utha sakte hain aur keemat ko mazeed nicha le ja sakte hain. Markazi focus giravat par hai, jo technical tahlil aur halqay ke amal ke saath pesh-e-nazar hai jo bearish trend ko barqarar rakhta hai. Market trend ka waqt-e-muayyan qarar dena shayad hi mumkin ho, lekin technology mein taraqqi aur peshon ki tanzim ke istemal ne tajziyat ke darust honay ki ihtiyat ko behtar banaya hai. Yeh active traders ko mazboot faislon ke liye zyada barqrar tajweez karta hai. Maujooda market ki ghaflat ko madde nazar rakhte hue, zaroori hai ke potential theek karne wale oopri harkat ke doran choti position ka tajziya kia jaye, jab ke mazeed nuksan ko kam karne ke liye mazboot risk management strategies ko amal mein laya jaye. Hamesha ki tarah, USD/JPY pair ka qareebi nazar bandi karne ke liye zaroori hai takay maloomati faislay sahi honge.

155.82 ki keemat ka imtehan tab hua jab MACD indicator sirf zero mark se neeche chalk raha tha, jo dollar ko bechne ka dakhli nishaan tasdeeq karta tha. Is natije mein, USD/JPY jodi lagbhag 15 pips gir gayi, aur yehi tha. Dopehar mein, jab keemat ka imtehan 155.96 par hua jab MACD indicator sirf zero mark se oopar chalk raha tha, to yeh aik khareedne ka signal paida hua, jo jodi ko 30 pips se zyada oopar le gaya. Aaj ke Japanese corporations ke Producer Price Index ke data ne jodi ke dynamics par koi khaas asar nahi dala, is liye dollar ko abhi bhi barhne ka mawad hai. Magar sab kuch aaj ke US data ke baad badal sakta hai, is liye tajaweez di jati hai ke traders abhi ke highs par kharidari karte waqt ehtiyaat baratayn. Yeh wazeh nahi hai ke Federal Reserve chief akhri US labour market data ka kaise react karenge aur woh maujooda halaat ke mutaliq kaise taqrir karenge, sath hi sath interest rates ke baray mein bhi. Magar hum is cheez ko dopehar ke tajziye mein mazeed tafseel se discuss karenge.
Jese ke aaj ke intraday strategy ke liye, main zyada se zyada scenario No. 1 aur No. 2 par amal karunga.

Khareedne ka signal:
Scenario No. 1. Main aj USD/JPY khareedne ka irada rakhta hoon jab keemat chart par hare rang ki line dwara 156.52 tak pohanch jaye, umeed hai ke qeemat 157.13 tak pohanchegi jo mazeed barhne ki taraf ishara karti hai. 157.13 ke area mein, main lambi positions se bahar nikalunga aur mukhaalif rukh mein chhote positions kholunga, umeed hai ke 30-35 pips ki mukhaalif rukh se chalne wala hai. Aap USD/JPY ki aaj ki mazeed barhne ki taraf umeed kar sakte hain jo upri trend ka silsila jari hai. Kharidne se pehle, yeh yaqeeni banayein ke MACD indicator zero mark se oopar hai aur sirf isse oopar uthne laga hai.

Scenario No. 2. Main aj bhi USD/JPY khareedne ka irada rakhta hoon agar MACD indicator oversold area mein ho aur 156.28 ke do musalsal imtehan ho. Yeh jodi ke nichle potential ko mehdood karega aur market ki u-turn ki taraf le jayega. Hum 156.52 aur 157.13 ke mukhaalif level tak barhne ka umeed kar sakte hain.

Farokht ke signals:
Scenario No. 1. Main aj sirf USD/JPY bechne ka irada rakhta hoon jab 156.28 ka level chart par laal line dwara test kiya jaye, jo keemat ki tezi se kami kar dega. Farokht karne walon ka markazi maqsad 155.89 hoga, jahan se main chhote positions se bahar nikalunga aur foran mukhaalif rukh mein lambi positions kholunga, umeed hai ke 20-25 pips ki mukhaalif rukh se chalne wala hai. Agar keemat aaj ke unchiyon ke paas qayam nahi hoti to USD/JPY par dabao wapas aa sakta hai. Farokht se pehle, yeh yaqeeni banayein ke MACD indicator zero mark se neeche hai aur sirf isse neeche ja raha hai.

Scenario No. 2. Main aj bhi USD/JPY bechne ka irada rakhta hoon agar MACD indicator overbought area mein ho aur keemat 156.52 par do musalsal imtehan ho. Yeh jodi ke upri potential ko mehdood karega aur market ka u-turn le jayega. Hum 156.28 aur 155.89 ke mukhaalif level tak giravat ka umeed kar sakte hain.

USD/JPY

Hello, dosto, kaise hain aap? Japani yen mix Fed-BoJ policy expectations ke darmiyan ek mukhtalif daur mein gir gaya. Rukawat ke shubhein JPY bears ko naye shart lagaane se rok sakti hain aur USD/JPY jodi ko mehdood kar sakti hain. Spot prices panchveen seedhi hafte ke liye mazboot faiyde darj karne ke raaste par hain aur hara rang mein khatam ho rahe hain. Takneeki nazar se, 152.00 mark ke qareeb do hafton purani trading range ke resistance ke mukablay mein US CPI ka agla breakout traders ke liye bullishly in favr hai. Waise to, daily chart par Relative Strength Index – jise zyadati darjaton se gira diya gaya hai, lekin wo abhi bhi zyadati darjaton ke qareeb hai. Is se pehle ke kisi zyada bada qadam ke liye position liya jaye, kuch qareebi waqt ki mustaqilgi ya thori khenchav ka intezaar karna behtar hai. Is dauran, 153.25-153.30 area ke aas pass multi-decade high, ab turant rukawat ka kaam karega, jis ke upar USD/JPY jodi 154.00 round figure ko wapas hasil karne ki koshish karegi. Doosri taraf, raat ke swing low, 152.75 zone ke neeche koi mukhtalif correct decline jo hoga, naye buyers ko attract karne ka zyada imkaan hai aur trading range breakout point 152.00 mark ke qareeb ko band karne ka. Upar zikr kiya gaya handle ab USD/JPY jodi ke liye ek mazboot bunyadi kaam karega, jo, agar faisla se kiya jaye, toh kuch munafa lete hue aur 151.40 darmiyani support ki taraf 151.00 round figure ke liye. Rukawat raasta ko saaf kar sakti hai. Kuch follow-through selling ye ishara dega ke spot prices nazdeeki mehdood waqat mein top-out kar chuke hain aur bearish traders ke faevr mein palt chuke hain. Japani yen ko kuch intraday sellers attract kiya gaya aur usne apne US khilaf multi-decade low tak gir gaya.

Is dauran, US consumer inflation data se garm tareen muntazir data ne investors ko June se September tak Fed ke pehle interest rate cut ke waqt par apne umeedon ko peeche karne par majboor kiya. Mayoosfana nazriya U.S. Treasury bonds ko buland kiya aur US dollar ko November se sab se ooncha darja diya. Ye, apni baari mein, USD/JPY jodi ke liye ek aur factor ke tor par nazar aata hai jo hawa mein rok ke tor par kaam karta hai. Waise to, yeh kehna ke Japanese authorities market mein interfere karenge taake mazeed JPY ki kamzori rok sakein, kisi bhi aur nazdeeki wusooli harkat ke liye kuch hoshyari ki zaroorat hai.

American dollar/Japanese yen (USD/JPY) ki jodi ne ek bar fir oopri raftar hasil karne mein nakam rahi. Is natije mein, yeh pichle saal ki bulandi aur 152.08 ki gol satah se niche raha. Is ghatna ki peeche kuch mukhya karan hain, jo USD/JPY ke mukhy vitiyak par prabhav dalte hain. Pehle, arthik sthitiyon mein badlav USD/JPY par asar dalta hai. Haal hi mein, America mein vittiy sthitiyon mein sudhar dekhne ko mila hai, jiske parinamswarup American dollar ki moolya mein vriddhi ho sakti hai. Iske viprit, Japan ke arthik sthitiyon mein kuch asamanataen hain, jis se yen ki moolya gir sakti hai. Yeh do bhavnaon ka mishran, jismein ek desh ki mudra ki moolya ki tulna doosre desh ki mudra ke sath hoti hai, USD/JPY ke samayik dar par prabhav dalta hai. Dusre, rajnitik ghatnaon ka asar bhi ho sakta hai. Geopolitical tension, trade agreements, aur anya rajnitik mudde bhi currency pairs par asar dalte hain. Agar

Japan ya America mein koi bada rajnitik ghatna hota hai, to isse USD/JPY mein tezi ya mandi a sakti hai. Teesra, vyapar aur udyog ki sthiti bhi mahatvapurna hai. Agar vyapar ya udyog ke kshetra mein sudhar hota hai, to isse desh ke mudra par asar pad sakta hai. For example, agar Japan ke udyog adhik pragati karte hain, to yen ki moolya mein vriddhi ho sakti hai, jo USD/JPY ko prabhavit karegi. Chautha, arthik policy aur vittiy vyavastha bhi mahatvapurna hai. Central banks ke nirnay, interest rates, aur anya arthik neetiyon ka asar USD/JPY par hota hai. Agar Federal Reserve ya Bank of Japan kisi neeti mein badlav karte hain, to isse USD/JPY par asar pad sakta hai. In sabhi karanon ke madhya, USD/JPY ki gati par asar padta hai. Vyaparion ko in ghatnaon ka dhyan rakhna chahiye, taki ve sahi samay par apne vyapar ki ranniti ko sudhar sakein aur mudra ki gati ke anusaar unka karyakram bana

مئی 17 2024 کو امریکی ڈالر/جاپانی ین کی پیشن گوئی

امریکی ڈالر/جاپانی ین جوڑا غیر متوقع طور پر دو دنوں میں 270 پیپس تک گر گیا اور کل کا نچلا سایہ 23.6% فبونیکی ریٹیسمنٹ لیول کے ساتھ انٹرسیکشن پوائنٹ پر روزانہ چارٹ پر ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن کے سپورٹ کو ٹکرایا۔ اس کے بعد، یہ بھی تیزی سے اوپر کی طرف بڑھا۔



آج صبح، جوڑا 155.75 کی سطح سے اوپر ٹوٹ گیا، اور مارلن آسیلیٹر مثبت علاقے میں واپس آیا۔ اگلا ہدف 50.0% فبونیکی سطح ہے۔ قیمت میں اس سطح کی خلاف ورزی کا ایک اچھا موقع ہے، اور یہ 157.00 پر 61.8% فبونیکی سطح کی طرف بڑھتا رہے گا۔

ہم توقع کرتے ہیں کہ قیمت 146.50 تک گر جائے گی، اس لیے جوڑے کی اوپر کی حرکت کو احتیاط کے ساتھ مانیٹر کرنا بہت ضروری ہے، کیونکہ جب قیمت کسی بھی سطح کی خلاف ورزی کرتی ہے، چاہے وہ فبونیکی سطح ہو یا ہدف کی سطح، اگرچہ مضبوط نہیں، 158.00 پر۔

٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، قیمت ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. انڈیکیٹر لائن کے اوپر تقریباً مستحکم ہو گئی ہے، 155.75 کی سطح سے اوپر بڑھ گئی ہے، اور 156.03 کے قریب پہنچ رہی ہے۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر مثبت علاقے میں داخل ہونے کی کوشش کر رہا ہے۔ مختصر مدت میں تیزی کا رجحان۔ ہم توقع کرتے ہیں کہ قیمت 156.03 اور 157.00 کے اہداف تک پہنچ جائے گی۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

Kal USD/JPY pair mein keemat apni urdu rukh ko barqarar rakhti rahi, ek bullish candle banai jo pichle din ke high ke upar band hui. Meri tajziya ke mutabiq agla rukawat darja 156.000 par imtehan ke liye hai. Is moor par do mumkinah manazir samne aa sakte hain. Pehla manzar ye hai ke keemat is level ke oopar jam ho jaye, mazeed urooj ke andar ishara dete hue. Aise halat mein, mera tawajju taqreeban 160.400 par agle rukawat darja ki taraf mutawajjeh ho jayega, jahan main mustaqbil ki raah ka faisla karne ke liye munasib trading setups ka intezar karunga. Shumara shuru karne ke doran, beech mein pullbacks aa sakte hain, jin ke doran main qareebi support levels se bullish signals talash karunga takay bari trend ko mustaqil taur par tasdiq mil sake. Aksar, 156.000 rukawat darja ko test karne ke baad agar aik reversal candle ban jaye aur corrective downward movement shuru ho jaye, to main keemat ko 153.587 ya 152.589 support level ki taraf murjaunga. In support zones ke qareeb, main bullish indications ke liye jaari rahunga, agle upward price movement ka intezar karte hue. Jabke door ke support levels ki taraf nishana bhi ho sakta hai, lekin halat ke daramiyan jarehana wakt ke aitbaar se main abhi aise options ko shamil nahi karta. Mufassal taur par, meri mojooda nazar samne wale rukawat darja ka imtehan ki ek mumkinah mawad hai, bari bullish trend ke andar bullish manazir ki taraf manfiat se

Main keemat ko nazdeek se nazar andaz kar raha hoon, is par kharidne ka moqa haasil karne ke liye jahan main entry point ke tor par 155.333 ki lower channel boundary par nazar rakhta hoon. Jab keemat is nishan tak pohanchegi, to main aik khareedari order shuru karunga, jiske nateeje mein 155.982 ka nishana hai. Ye nishana haasil karne ke baad, aur mazeed urooj ke doran, ek mazboot urooj ka ishara hoga. Lekin, 155.982 ke level se aik durusti ka imkan hai, bullish momentum ke hamrah. Bad mein, bull market ko phir se market par qaboo hasil karne ki koshish ki jaye gi. Jabke, agar keemat entry point 155.333 ke neeche gir jaye, bearish jazbat ko darust karte hue, to main apna trading plan dobara ghor karunga, shayad khareedari positions ki taraf mutawajjeh ho jaunga aur puri market ki halat ko dobara dekhoon ga

Kuch waqt pehle, US dollar/Japanese yen currency pair mein bearish log naye girawat ki ek koshish shuru karne ki koshish ki aur 155.75 ke resistance level ko test kiya, lekin main yeh manta hoon ke zyadatar woh yeh bas yeh dikhana chahte the ke yeh mukarrar resistance maujood hai, jahan se May 7 se May 13 tak USD/JPY pair lamba arsa ke liye consolidate kiya gaya tha. Natije mein, hum dekhte hain ke bulls ne bearish logon ko kisi bhi girawat aur phir se izafa karne ka koi moqa nahi diya, aur keemat ab taqreeban 155.95 ke aas paas trade ho rahi hai, is liye mera peechla tajwez keemat 156 figure ke darmiyan wapas ane ka ek baar phir tasdeeq kiya gaya, halankeh char ghante ka stochastic is currency pair ka mazboot overbought dikhata hai.

Jaise ke hum samajhte hain, yehan takneeki kaam nahi karta, aur joda ki hui dhanche ki movement siyasat ke mutabiq hoti hai. Sab se pehle, USD/JPY ke izafa ke asbaab bank of japan aur US federal reserve ke darmiyan interest rates ke bara farq par mabni rehte hain.

Agar, 155.67 ke level se hum 154.53 ke ikatthe hone ke ilaqa mein jaate hain aur, is surat mein, USDJPY ke 154.53 ke level ke neeche jane ko is pair ki keemat nahi chahti hai, to is surat mein, aur is surat ke mutabiq, 154.53 ke level se hum kisi bhi surat mein zyada se zyada upar ja sakte hain. Agar ab is pair ki keemat upar jaati hai aur baad mein 155.67 ke level ne bullish keemat ki harkat ko rokne ka mukabla nahi kiya, to is surat mein hum is chart par jo maine draw kiya hai us se kam nahi girte.

Aur jab tak yeh farq kam nahi hota, USD/JPY pair izafa karta rahega aur agar bank of japan dobara currency intervention karti hai to temporary tor par gir sakta hai, halankeh hum dekhte hain ke yeh sirf chand muddat ke liye madad karti hai.

H1 outline par, USDJPY cash pair abhi south ki taraf ja rahi hai, aur 154.033 par hai. InstaForex ka indicator, jo is forum par available hai, 53.72% ka minor buyer advantage dikhata hai. Iske ilawa, indicator southern trend ko bhi signal kar raha hai, jo pair ki outlook ko complex banata hai. Aaj ka trading session Japan aur USA ke significant economic news se influenced hai. Japan mein, GDP report bohot important hai, jo market sentiment aur currency movements ko affect karta hai. USA mein, important data jese building permits ka number, initial jobless claims, aur industrial production index market ki direction ko shape karte hain. Fundamental analysis economic factors ko dekh kar currency movements ko samajhta hai, jaise ke Japan ka GDP data aur USA ke key economic indicators.
Thorough investigation, crucial aur specialized factors ko dekh kar aur appropriate risk management strategies ko apply karna zaroori hai trades execute karne se pehle. Different indicators aur risk management strategies ko mila kar, traders informed decisions le sakte hain aur forex market mein apni success ki chances improve kar sakte hain. USD/JPY pair ne Asian trading session mein ek steady rise dekha, jo yen ki kamzori ko reflect karta hai against key global currencies. Kai intertwined factors is trend mein contribute karte hain, jisme market sentiment heavily Japan ke economic growth prospects ke sawalon se affected hai. Investors ko doubt hai ke country significant economic growth foster kar paayegi ya nahi, jo yen ki value par uncertainty ka shadow dalta hai.

Iske ilawa, US dollar ka strengthening USD/JPY pair par extra upward pressure dalta hai. Greenback ki resilience, strong economic indicators aur Federal Reserve ki monetary policy position ki wajah se, uski position ko baqi major currencies ke mukable mein support karti hai.

Maujooda surat-e-haal jo Bank of Japan aur uske currency market mein mukhtalif dakhilay par mabni hai, bohot uljhanjanak hai. Mujooda maloomat aur haal hi ke muamlaat ke baare mein shak o shubaat hone ke bawajood, is masle par kisi final rai ka ikhtitam karna mushkil hai. Jo humein pata hai woh ye hai ke currency market ko mutasir karne ke liye kafi resources hain, aur agar yen dollar ke muqable mein mazeed kamzor hoti hai to kya bank dobara mudakhlat karega, yeh ek ahem sawal hai. Amreeki Khazane Wazir ne mudakhlat ke khilaf tanbeeh ki hai, jo United States ke is tarah ke amal se mutalliq fikron ka izhar karti hai. In tanbeehon ke bawajood, yen apni qeemat mein kami jaari rakh rahi hai, jis se bohot se logon ne BoJ ke mustaqbil ki mudakhlaton par tajwezat dena shuru kar diye hain. Bank of Japan ke peechle amal, sath hi maujooda market ke harkat, mazeed fa'al harkat ka mawaqah dikhate hain jab USD/JPY taqreeban 156.52 ke qareeb ho raha hai. Tajarbaton ke mutabiq agar mubadalat dar is satah ko guzar gaya, to yeh bikri ke liye ek moqa ka paigham paish karta hai. Agar mahalli market shirakat daron mein yen ki maqilgi par yaqeen na rakhe, to yeh currency ke baray market ke aitmaad par sawalon ko uthata hai. USD/JPY jodi ki raftar ko dekhte hue, ye wazeh hai ke ye ek urdu channel ke andar move kar rahi hai, jo kayi martaba takneeki tajziyat ki kitabon mein aam hai. 152.0 ke ird gird ke potenti tezabi hone ka imkan hai ya phir ek tay zor se guzar sakta hai, jo mabain ki gayi trend ke mutabiq USD/JPY ko 156 ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

Dopahar mein mein jo satahain mention ki gayi thi, un par koi imtehanat nahi hue. Hum bohot qareeb pohanch gaye the 155.66 ko imtehanat dene ke liye, jahan humein dollar bechnay ka acha mauqa mil sakta tha. Amumtan, umeedwar trend intahi rahe. Aaj, Japan ne mohtasib roport jari ki hai average cash earnings aur mulk ka leading economic index, lekin market ne in roporton ko nazar andaz kiya hai. Zyada tar, bullish bias barqarar rahega, kyunke iske palatne ke liye asal ziruriyat nahi hain, agar Bank of Japan mudakhlat na kare. Zyada tar traders kisi bhi palatne ka faida uthayenge, agar koi bhi, aur trend ko jari rakhne ke liye lambi positions banayenge, jo main bhi par zor dene wala hoon. Kharidari signals Scenario No. 1. Aaj main USD/JPY kharidunga jab keemat chart par hari line se 155.96 tak pohanchti hai, ummed hai ke 156.43 ki taraf izafa hoga jo chart par zyada moti hari line se darj kiya gaya hai. 156.43 ke ilaqe mein, main lambi positions se bahar nikalunga aur mukhalfat ki taraf short positions kholunga, umeed hai ke us satah se 30-35 pips ka movement mukhalfat ki taraf ho. Aaj USD/JPY ke istiqbal par umeed ki ja sakti hai upar ki taraf chalne ke trend ka. Kharidne se pehle, yeh yaqeeni banayein ke MACD indicator zero mark se oopar hai aur abhi sirf uske oper se uthna shuru hua hai

USD/JPY Market Analysis

Asian trading session ke dauran, USD/JPY currency pair ne daramiyani izafa dekha, jo ke ek mustaqil ooper jate hue trajectory ka ishara hai. Japanese yen, mukhtalif market dynamics se kafi downward pressure face kar raha hai aur har taraf se girawat ka shikar hai. Jab market American trading session ke khulne ka intezar kar raha tha, sab ki nazar US se aanay wale economic data releases par thi, khaaskar Jerome Powell, jo ke US Federal Reserve ke Chair hain, unki address ka intezar ho raha tha. Japanese currency ki monetary policies ke liye sensitivity ke madde nazar yeh intezar barha tha.

Trading din ke aghaz mein kuch had tak niche ki taraf correction ho sakti hai, lekin overall sentiment USD/JPY pair ke bullish trend ko jari rakhta hai. Bulls ne pair ki movement par mazboot pakar banai hui hai, jo ke mazeed upward momentum ka ishara deti hai. Aik aham point 155.45 level ke qareeb hai, jahan par potential buying opportunity samne aa sakti hai. Long positions ke targets 157.45 aur 158.35 par rakhe gaye hain, jo ke pair ke future performance par bullish outlook ko zahir karte hain.


Main apna target resistance level tak move kar raha hoon, jo ke meri analysis ke mutabiq 160.209 par hai. Is resistance level ke qareeb do scenarios ho sakte hain. Pehla scenario yeh hai ke keemat is level ke ooper consolidate kare aur phir mazeed upar ki taraf move kare. Agar yeh plan kaamyaab hota hai, to main umeed karunga ke keemat 164.500 ke resistance level ki taraf move kare. Is resistance level ke qareeb, main ek trading setup ka intezar karunga jo mazeed trading direction ko determine karne mein madad karega.






Dusra scenario yeh ho sakta hai ke 160.209 ke resistance level ke qareeb keemat reversal candle form kare aur neeche ki taraf move kare. Agar yeh plan kaamyaab hota hai, to main intezar karunga ke keemat 155.953 ke support level par wapas aaye. Is support level ke qareeb, main bullish signals dhundhta rahunga aur umeed karunga ke keemat ooper ki taraf recovery kare. Yahan ek possibility bhi hai ke mazeed southern targets tak pohanchne ki, jo ke meri analysis ke mutabiq 151.856 aur 150.809 par hain. Lekin agar yeh scenario bhi khelta hai, main designated support levels ke qareeb bullish signals ko dhundhta rahunga aur umeed karunga ke keemat ooper ki taraf recovery kare.

Mukhtasir mein, main yeh samajhta hoon ke keemat aane wale dinon mein north ki taraf push karti rahegi, nearest resistance level tak. Uske baad main market situation ko assess karunga. News background ke hawale se, aaj dollar ke liye strong fundamentals hain aur mujhe lagta hai ke volatility average range se neeche hogi.

USD/JPY ke liye correction mode ka imkaan hai, jo market mein volatility aur uncertainty ka sabab ban sakta hai. Is tarah ki situation mein, traders aur investors ko market ki movement ka dhyaan rakhna zaroori hai, special agar woh important support level ko monitor kar rahe hain jo 155.62 hai. Correction mode mein, ek currency pair ya kisi bhi financial instrument ki keemat mein temporary decline hoti hai. Ye decline normal market fluctuations ka hissa hota hai aur kabhi-kabhi ye ek trend reversal ki shuruaat bhi ho sakta hai. USD/JPY ke case mein, agar correction mode shuru hota hai, toh iska impact market mein volatility aur uncertainty badha sakta hai. Is tarah ki situations mein, traders aur investors ko chahiye ki woh market ki movement ko closely monitor karein. Technical analysis ka istemal karke, woh important support aur resistance levels ko identify kar sakte hain. USD/JPY mein, ek important support level 155.62 hai, jo ki ek crucial level hai jise traders aur investors ko dhyaan mein rakhna chahiye. Agar USD/JPY ka rate is support level ke neeche jaata hai, toh ye indicate kar sakta hai ki market mein bearish pressure badh rahi hai aur further decline ki sambhavna hai. Is situation mein, traders ko apne trading strategies ko adjust karne ki zaroorat ho sakti hai, jaise stop-loss orders lagana ya positions ko hedge karna. Saath hi, fundamental analysis bhi important hoti hai. USD/JPY ke case mein, economic indicators aur geopolitical events ka bhi impact ho sakta hai. For example, agar US dollar ki value kam hoti hai ya phir Japan ke economy mein koi negative news aati hai, toh ye USD/JPY pair par bearish pressure daal sakta hai. Lekin, correction mode ka matlab ye nahi hai ki market mein sirf negative movement hi hogi. Kabhi-kabhi, correction periods mein bhi opportunities hote hain. Agar traders ko market ki movement ko sahi tarah se samajh aa gaya hai, toh woh is samay mein bhi profit earn kar sakte hain. Isi liye, market analysis aur risk management ka importance hamesha hota hai, chahe market bullish ho ya phir bearish. Overall, USD/JPY ke liye correction mode ka imkaan hai, jo market mein volatility aur uncertainty ka sabab ban sakta hai. Traders aur investors ko chahiye ki woh market ki movement ko closely monitor karein aur apne trading strategies ko adjust karein, especially important support level jaise 155.62 ko dhyaan mein rakhte hue.