usd/jpy

Jab hum USD/JPY currency pair ki karobari karkardagi ko dhan se jaanchte hain aur uske qeemat ke harkaat par nazar dalte hain, to maujooda market ki jazbat ka izhar yeh hai ke yen mein kami hai, jo Japanese government bonds ki kam maang ke zariye zahir hoti hai. Aise ek rawayaat ke baare mein baat kar rahi hai jo USD/JPY ke liye ek mumkin upward rukh ko ishaara karti hai. In factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue, ek consolidation ke doran yeh muntazir hai ke pair 156.28 (Murray 2.8) ke resistance level ko paar kar jayega, jise Kijun line ka saath milayega, shayad H4 cloud ko bhi guzar jaye. Maujooda market ki jazbat ke roshni mein, ek wapas 153.17 (Murray 1.8) ki taraf kaam hone ki sambhavna kam lagti hai. Jab pair apne narrow consolidation range se 155.72-156.44 ke darmiyan nikalta hai, toh 157.44 ki taraf ek potential uthao ho sakta hai, jo ya to ek support ke liye 154 ke ird gird ek neeche ke sahi hona ho ya phir ek aur unchi momentum ke taraf badhav ke liye 156.81-158.32 ke resistance zone tak pahunch jaaye.



Tareekhi market structures aur participant behaviors se maqool insights hasil karte hue, ek upside breakout hone ki sambhavna hai, jo USD/JPY pair ke liye continued growth ka raasta bana sakta hai. Magar, ehmiyat hai ke agle resistance zone ki taraf ek prakar ki pehli harkat ki sambhavna hai jo 152 ko paar karne ke baad dekhi gayi sell-off ke mutabiq hai. Isliye, consistent market perspective ko madde nazar rakhte hue kharidari trades ko pehle tarjeeh dena munasib hai. Agar kisi maqami wapas 153 ki taraf ho, toh naye upward movement ke baad mehangi false breakouts ka waqt aasakta hai. Consolidation ke ek dor bhi 152 ke taraf ek push se pehle aasakta hai. Aam taur par, jab ke yen ko khaas taur par kami ka samna hai, dollar ke mustaqbil ka rukh bht ziada ahmiyat rakhta hai. Isliye, abhi ke star par trade se bachna aur 156.53 ke paar ek potential uthao ka intezar karna behtar hai, phir bechna signals ke bare mein sochna.

currency exchange rates mein naqse ho sakte hain ya investor sentiment ko mutasir kar sakte hain, jis se paisa market ke instruments par asar parta hai. Central banking systems bhi bohot zyada asar andaz hote hain. Central banks ke dwara mukhtalif monetary policies, jaise ke interest rate decisions ya quantitative easing measures, sidhe tor par paisa market par asar dalte hain. Ye policies qarz lenay ke expenditures, liquidity conditions ko, aur aakhir mein, market ke participants ke rawayye ko mutasir karte hain. Aik central bank ke actions economic growth, mahangi ka level, aur financial stability par uska rukh batate hain, jo market ke expectations aur investment strategies ko rehnumai faraham karte hain.Macroeconomic indicators aik ahem aarziyat hain jinhain tijarat ke sehat ka pemaana samjha jata hai aur yeh paisa market ke dynamics ko mutasir kar sakte hain. GDP growth, mahangi dar, rozgar shumar, aur consumer spending patterns jaise key indicators overall economic environment ke baray mein ma'loomat faraham karte hain. In indicators mein tabdeeliyan market sentiment aur investment decisions ko mutasir kar sakti hain, jo Treasury bills, commercial paper, aur certificates of deposit jaise paisa market ke instruments ko asar andaz karte hain

In factors ke baray mein maloomat hasil karna market participants ke liye darust decisions lena ke liye bohot ahem hai. Market analysts, investors, aur policymakers siyasi daramad, central bank communications, aur macroeconomic data releases ko tawajjo se monitor karte hain taake market sentiment ko qaim rakhein aur future trends ko intezar kar sakein. Ye maloomat unhe unke investment strategies ko adjust karne, risk ko manage karne, aur paisa market mein aane wale opportunities ka faida uthane mein madad faraham karte hain.Is ke ilawa, global economies ke darmiyan aapas mein ta'alluqat ka bhi ahem haisiyat se paish hai. Aik mulk mein hony wale economic events aur policy decisions dosray mumalik mein asar andaz ho sakte hain, jo paisa market ke conditions ko worldwide mutasir kar sakte hain. Is liye, paisa market ki gherayi se analysis ke liye global nazarie ka hona zaroori hai, jo cross-border capital flows, currency movements, aur international policy developments ko madah par leta hai.Aakhir mein, paisa market ki analysis karteimmediate market conditions ke ilawa aik wafr tafseeli analysis ke liye iqtisadi factors ka shamil karna zaroori hai. Siyasi daramad, central banking policies, aur macroeconomic indicators sab paisa market ke manzar ko shakl dete hain. Maloomat hasil karke aur analysis ke liye holistic approach ko apnane se, market participants paisa market ke complexities ko zyada effectively navigate kar sakte hain, aur apne aap ko opportunities par capitalize karne aur risks ko kam karne mein qayam kar sakte hain, ekg

USD/JPY

Asian trading session ke doran, USD/JPY currency pair ne halki izafah ki manzil ko tajwez diya, jo aik mustaqil upar rukh ki nishaandahi thi. Japanese yen, mukhtalif market dynamics se barhti hui nichli dabaav ka saamna karte hue, mukhtalif fronts par iski keemat gir rahi thi. Jab market American trading session ke khulne ka intezar karti, to sabhi nigaahen aane wale maqami iqtisadi data releases par thi, jinmein khaas taur par Jerome Powell, US Federal Reserve ke Chair ke taqreer par umeed thi. Japani currency ki maishiyat ke liye monetary policies ke liye khaas tawajju.

Jabke trading day ke ibtedai marahil mein kuch thora sa niche ka islaah ho sakta hai, lekin overall jazbat USD/JPY pair ke bullish trend ke jari rahne ki taraf thi. Bulls ne pair ke harkat par mazboot qabza rakha, jo mazeed upar rukh ki taraf ishaarah kar raha tha. 155.45 level ke aas paas ek muqam kaafi important tha, jahan ek sambhav buying opportunity is had tak nikal aayi. Lambi positions ke liye maqasid 157.45 aur 158.35 par tay kiye gaye, jo pair ke mustaqbil ke karobari harkat par ek bullish nazar ki taleem dete hain.



Main apna target resistance level ki taraf le ja raha hoon, jo ke, meri tehqiq ke mutabiq, 160.209 par waqai hai. Is resistance level ke qareeb, do scenarios ho sakte hain. Pehla scenario shamil hai ke price is level ke upar consolidate hoti hai aur mazeed upar ki taraf movement hoti hai. Agar yeh plan kaamyaab hota hai, toh mein umeed karta hoon ke price 164.500 par mojood resistance level ki taraf jaaye ga. Is resistance level ke qareeb, mein trading setup ka intezaar karunga jo mazeed karobari rukh ka tay karega. Beshak, mazeed door ke shumali maqasid tak pohanchnay ki mumkinat hai, lekin mein is waqt is ko madde nazar nahi rakhta kyunki mein is ki jaldi se haqeeqat mein imkaanat nahi dekhta. Jab resistance level 160.209 ke qareeb pohanchta hai toh, price movement ke liye ek plan jo ke reversal candle ke formation ko shaamil karta hai aur price ke niche ki taraf movement ko shaamil karta hai, yeh bhi ek mumkinat hai. Agar yeh plan kaamyaab hota hai, toh mein price ka intezaar karunga ke woh support level 155.953 par wapas jaaye. Is support level ke qareeb, mein mazeed bullish signals ki talaash mein jaari rahunga, ummeed hai ke price movement mein upar ki taraf ijtimai ho. Yeh bhi ek mumkinat hai ke mazeed door ke janubi maqasid tak pohanchnay ki mumkinat hai, jo ke meri tehqiq ke mutabiq, 151.856 ya 150.809 par hain, lekin agar yeh scenario pura hota hai, toh mein mukarrar support levels ke qareeb bullish signals ki talaash mein jaari rahunga, ummeed hai ke price movement mein ijtimai ho. Aam taur par, iss waqt, mujhe puri tarah se yeh gumaan hai ke price uttar ki taraf itni had tak chala jayega ke qareebi resistance level tak, aur phir mein market ki halat ka tajziya karoonga. News background ke liye, aaj dollar ke liye mazboot fundamentals hain, aur mujhe yeh bhi yaqeen hai ke volatility average range ke neeche hogi.

USD/JPY

Peer (13 May) ko, U.S. dollar index zyada tar badi currencies ke muqablay mein thoda kam tha, lekin phir se Japanese yen ke muqablay mein mazboot hua, din ke 0.26% izafa kar ke 156.20 tak pahunch gaya, jo ke 2 May se sab se zyada tha. Pichle haftay shaya hui bay-rozi fa'aida data ne mazid aahista rozgar ke data ki taraf ishaarat di, is liye market is haftay shaya hone wale ahem U.S. data se mazid price pressures aur iqtisadi nashonumaat mein kami ka imkan samjhti hai. Is haftay U.S. CPI, retail sales aur industrial production ke kamzor data se dollar par dabao ayega, kyun ke yeh darust karay ga ke interest rates unchi maqam par pohanch gaye hain. Agar yeh ghair-mutawaqa tor par dikha de ke U.S. infl ation ab bhi ziddi hai, toh yeh beshak Federal Reserve afisaaron ke ra'aye ko phir se dohraaye ga jo ke qayam-e-bulandi ahem rate tak rahein ke barah-e-raast isharon ko dekhne tak, aur dollar is nateejay mein mazboot rahega.

Japani yen ke liye, upar di gayi infl ation data ke natijay aane se pehle, investors abhi bhi iktifa karte hain arbitrage trading mode ko aur dips par US dollar ko active tor par khareed rahe hain. Agar Bank of Japan se koi mazeed intervention na ho, toh umeed hai ke USD/JPY ko dheere-dheere oopar ki taraf dabaav dena jari rahega.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Rozana chart ko dekhte hue, USD/JPY currency pair mein aik dilchasp khareedne ka mauqa nazar aata hai, jahan buy zone 155.70 par tay kiya gaya hai. Yeh darust karta hai ke traders mazeed muddat tak bullish momentum ka maza utha sakte hain aur long positions ko is price level par jagah de sakte hain, price mein mazeed upar ki taraf ki sambhavnaon ka intezar karte hue.



Past market structures aur participant behavior ke mabain, USD/JPY pair mein mazeed izafa ka silsila muntazir hai. Magar, agle resistance zone mein jabarjasti ke jawab ka imkan hai jaise 152 ko paar karte waqt sell-off hua tha. Behtar yeh hai ke buy trades ko taraqqi dena, kyun ke market ki nazar mein koi tabdeeli nahi hai. Local retreat par support ke liye, aik ghalat tor par torne ke baad upar ki taraf ki movement ho sakti hai, aur consolidation 152 ki taraf dabaav barha sakta hai. Aam tor par, jab yen ko zyada girawat ka samna hai, toh dollar ke mustaqbil ki karobari harkat nihayat ahem hai. Is liye, mojooda levels par trading se bachna behtar hai aur sell signals ko samajhne se pehle 156.53 ke oopar chadhne ka mawaqif lena munasib hai.

Aaj ki guftagu hum USD/JPY currency pair ki price action ka tajziya par mabni hogi. Agar bears mojooda levels ko tor dein, to hume 146.53-146.07 ki taraf bari giravat dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Magar agar Japanese financial authorities JPY ko stable rakhne ke liye dakhil ho to yeh giravat mumkin hai. Magar yeh sirf waqt le sakta hai aur Bank of Japan se zyada faisla lene ki zaroorat hogi. USD/JPY ke scenario mein ghumao-phirao hai, aur yeh pair darust ki nishandahi karta hai. Halankeh pehle ki umeedain mumkin nahi thin, lekin pair ki volatility traders ke liye mauqe pesh karta hai. Meri tawajjuh haal hi mein girne wale cycle par mabni hai, jo ke ek maqami minimum tak pohanch gaya hai jo 151.89 hai, aur main ek theek karne wale pullback ka intezar kar raha hoon. Jaise hi pair mazboot pullback Fibonacci levels tak pohanche ga, buland darje mumkin zyada mustaqbil ke liye honge.

Char ghante ke chart par, dollar-yen exchange rate ne 154.05 resistance level ko tor diya hai, aur uski tezi ko waqf kar diya hai. Agar quotes ke barhne jaari rahein, to hume 155.37 aur 157.59 ke darje dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Magar, 153.15 par ek support level hai, jo ke agar keemaat phir se 154.06 ke neeche jaati hai, to giravat mumkin hai. Kal ka daily candle bullish band hua, jo ke darmiyani muddat mein barhti mumkin hai. Kabhi kabhi rebounds ke bawajood, yen halankeh ek niche ki taraf tawajjuh dikhata hai jise baar baar dabao ke sath dekha gaya hai. Dollar ka performance, doosri taraf, independent hai. Main mojooda darjo par karobarat par tawajjuh diye bina mutmain hoon, chhoti muddat ke intizam ko stress dete hue. Agar keemat phir se 156.50 ko guzar jati hai, to main farokht signals ka intezar karunga. Haftawarana tajziya 152.06-151.87 support zone ko highlight karta hai USD/JPY ke liye, jo peechle haftay ke imtehaan mein nahin tora gaya tha.

Forex Dynamics ke Zariye USD/JPY Ke Qeemat Ka Jaiza

Ham abhi USD/JPY currency pair ki karobari performance ka jaiza le rahe hain aur is ke qeemat ke harkaat ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Mojooda market ki ra'aye mein yen mein kami ka izhar hai, jo Japanese government bonds ki kam farokht se zahir hai. Ye trend USD/JPY ke liye ek mumkin oopar ki taraf ki harkat ko janam de sakta hai. In factors ko mad e nazar rakhte hue, ek mahawar phase ke baad, jodi 156.28 (Murray 2.8) ke resistance level ko torne ka imkan hai, Kijun line ke sath aur shayad H4 cloud ko bhi guzarta hua. Mojooda market ki ra'aye ke mutabiq, 153.17 (Murray 1.8) ke support level tak waqtan****l lagne ka kam imkan hai. Jab pair 155.72 se 156.44 ke darmiyan apni tang tasfiyah range se nikalta hai, toh yeh 157.44 tak pohanch sakta hai, ya toh 154 ke qareeb support ki taraf neeche ki taraf ja sakta hai ya phir 156.81 se 158.32 ke resistance zone ki taraf mazeed izafa kar sakta hai.



Pechle market structures aur shirakat karne waleon ke rawaiye ke mutabiq, zahir hai ke aage ke rukh ki taraf taraqqi ka imkan hai, jo ke USD/JPY pair ke liye mazeed izafa ka bais ban sakta hai. Magar, agle resistance zone ke torne par jabarjasti ke jawab ka imkan hai, jo ke 152 ko paar karte waqt sell-off hua tha. Market ki ra'aye mein koi tabdeeli nahi hone ke wajah se behtar yeh hai ke buy trades ko taraqqi dena. Local support ki taraf retreat par, ghalat tor par toot sakti hai aur upar ki taraf ki movement ho sakti hai, aur tasfiyah 152 ki taraf dabaav barha sakta hai. Aam tor par, jab yen ko bari girawat ka samna hai, toh dollar ke mustaqbil ki performance nihayat ahem hai. Is liye, mojooda darjat par trading se bachna behtar hai aur bechne ke signals ko samajhne se pehle 156.53 ke oopar chadhne ka mawaqif lena munasib hai.

Har tabdeeli USD/JPY ke exchange rate mein ahmiyat rakhti hai, jo global iqtisadi quwat ki nafees tasveer ko numaya karti hai. Haal hi mein, USD/JPY pair ne ek qabil-e-zikar urooj ka samna kiya, takreeban teesra hissa percentage point ke barhne ke baad 156.40 tak pahunch gaya. Ye izaafa currency intervention ke baray mein chal rahe afwahon ke baad aya, jis ne karobarion ko dip ko khareedne ka mauqa hasil karne par majboor kiya.

Federal Reserve Dynamics & Intervention Dilemma:

Monetary policy mein mumkinah tabdiliyon ke baray mein afwahen phaili hui thin. Halankeh ittefaq Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ke jawaabdeh guftago par tha, jo market ki tawaqqaat ko shakal dene mein asar andaz hoti thi. CME FedWatch tool jaise market-based metrics ne sirf 2.7% shak ka izhar kiya ke markazi dar ko ghatane ka, jo mojooda halaat ki stability ki ra'aye ko mad e nazar rakhta hai.

Bohot se log ye kehte hain ke aise interventionen jo interest rates ke saath na ho, unka koi asar nahi hota. Magar uncha dar ke imkanat kam lagte hain, kyunke Bank of Japan ke 2.0% target se inflation ka daur lagataar chhota rehne ka silsila hai. Tokyo ke haal ki CPI data ne umeedon ke muntazir inflation ke star ko May ke liye ghata diya.

Technical Analysis aur Support Levels:

Karobarion ne tezi se USD/JPY pair ka rukh dekha jab ye 156.40 ke upar utha, jis se woh 156.00 ke aas paas qaimiqaar pana chahte hain aur mumkinah tor par ahem 155.00 ke darwaze ko dekhna chahte hain. Is ehem nukaat ke neeche girne se 200-hour SMA support ka khulasa hosakta hai, jo lagbhag 150.00 ke qareeb hai. USD/JPY ka aur kamzor hona overnight swing low ke saath jhagra kar sakta hai, jo mid-153.00 ke mark par maujood hai.



USD/JPY pichle maheene ek 34 saal ki unchaai tak 160.31 par pahunch gaya tha. Magar agle muddat ki kami ko Japanese authorities ke bemujaz yen ke kamzor hone ko roknay ke liye intervention ke afwahon par wazeh kiya gaya. Yah intervention narrative USD/JPY ko 150.00 ke upar tezi se uthne par march mein ziada hui, jis se Japanese officials ne currency stability ke hawale se tanbeehen di.

Haal hi mein, Japanese Yen ne apne American muqablay ke khilaf ek qabil-e-zikar giraavat dekhi, jo ke apni peechli faiday se aik nihayat ahem palat ka nishan tha. Is tabdeeli ka bada hissa Japan aur United States (US) ke darmiyan interest rate farq ki nuqsan mandi mein tha, aur US Dollar (USD) ki demand mein izafa ki wajah se barhne ka silsila tha.

Japan-US Interest Rate Farq

JPY ki kamzori ka markazi sabab Japan aur United States (US) ke darmiyan interest rate farq hai, jo ke qareebi mustaqbil mein jari rehne ki umeed hai. Ye numaya farq investors ko US Dollar (USD) ki taraf raghib karta hai, jis se demand barhti hai aur USD/JPY pair ko mazbooti milti hai. Is interest rate farq aur USD ke buland demand ka milna julna, pair ke mazboot intarday urooj mein madadgar hota hai.

Market Ke Farziat aur Peshgoiyan

Anay wale policy tabdeelon ke baray mein market ke farziat pehlay pehlay aati hain. Agar bhi aane waale mahinon mein kat'iyat ke koi chance nahi, to September ki meeting ke liye peshgoian mutghir rehti hain. Market halke phulke taur par saal ke ikhtitam tak aik single cut ke liye apni jagah banane ka iraada karta hai, aur aane waale presser Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke liye ahmiyat rakhta hai, jo karobarion ke faislon ko roushan karte hain.



Technical Analysis aur Karobar ki Nazar

Technical analysis ki taraf rukh karne par, spot prices ne 200-hour Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke neeche mazbooti dikhayi, bullish maneuvers ke liye stage tay kiya. 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level ke paar hona USD/JPY traders ke liye musbat shuruaat ki alamat thi, jo ke ghantawise charts par musbat traction ko darust karta hai. Ye technical indicators ka milna julna pair ke liye aik taraqqi yukt nazriya ko underline karta hai, jis mein potential momentum ise ahem resistance levels tak le ja sakta hai.

Haal hi mein, Japanese Yen ne apne American muqablay ke khilaf ek qabil-e-zikar giraavat dekhi, jo ke apni peechli faiday se aik nihayat ahem palat ka nishan tha. Is tabdeeli ka bada hissa Japan aur United States (US) ke darmiyan interest rate farq ki nuqsan mandi mein tha, aur US Dollar (USD) ki demand mein izafa ki wajah se barhne ka silsila tha.

Japan-US Interest Rate Farq

JPY ki kamzori ka markazi sabab Japan aur United States (US) ke darmiyan interest rate farq hai, jo ke qareebi mustaqbil mein jari rehne ki umeed hai. Ye numaya farq investors ko US Dollar (USD) ki taraf raghib karta hai, jis se demand barhti hai aur USD/JPY pair ko mazbooti milti hai. Is interest rate farq aur USD ke buland demand ka milna julna, pair ke mazboot intarday urooj mein madadgar hota hai.

Market Ke Farziat aur Peshgoiyan

Anay wale policy tabdeelon ke baray mein market ke farziat pehlay pehlay aati hain. Agar bhi aane waale mahinon mein kat'iyat ke koi chance nahi, to September ki meeting ke liye peshgoian mutghir rehti hain. Market halke phulke taur par saal ke ikhtitam tak aik single cut ke liye apni jagah banane ka iraada karta hai, aur aane waale presser Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke liye ahmiyat rakhta hai, jo karobarion ke faislon ko roushan karte hain.



Technical Analysis aur Karobar ki Nazar

Technical analysis ki taraf rukh karne par, spot prices ne 200-hour Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke neeche mazbooti dikhayi, bullish maneuvers ke liye stage tay kiya. 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level ke paar hona USD/JPY traders ke liye musbat shuruaat ki alamat thi, jo ke ghantawise charts par musbat traction ko darust karta hai. Ye technical indicators ka milna julna pair ke liye aik taraqqi yukt nazriya ko underline karta hai, jis mein potential momentum ise ahem resistance levels tak le ja sakta hai.

Japanese Yen (JPY) ne haal hi ke karobari sessions mein United States Dollar (USD) ke khilaf numaya mizaji dikhayi, jise Bank of Japan (BoJ) ki shakhsi daakhilat ki shakal mein mazid qudrati maddat mili. USD/JPY pair pehle 156.55 tak izafa dekha, lekin mukhtalif selling pressure ne rukh ko palat diya, jis se pair do hafton ke nizam mein gir gaya. Ab, USD/JPY 156.30 par trade ho raha hai, jise peechle muqablay se 0.30% ki halki kamzori ka nishaan hai.

BoJ Intervention aur Market Ka Jawab:

Japanese Yen ke sudden izafa ke khilaf United States Dollar ke khilaaf shakayat ka silsila shuru hua hai, jis ne Bank of Japan ki mukhtalif interventions ka sawal uthaya. Halankeh USD/JPY pair briefly mein kuch izafa dekha, lekin dobara se selling pressure ne pair ko do hafton ke nizam mein le gaya. Mojooda doran, USD/JPY 156.30 ke aas paas mojood hai, jo ke is ki qeemat mein halka sa giravat darust karti hai.

Fed ki Raqam-ul-Maal Ki Manzar nama aur Uska Asar:

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ki Raqam-ul-Maal par tanqeed aur mazeed samajh faraham karti hai. Powell ne guzishta saal mein Raqam-ul-Maal mein wazeh kami par roshni dalte hue, lekin buland Raqam-ul-Maal ki mukhtalif hamwaron ka paish khayal hai. Raqam-ul-Maal ke raaste ke ird gird shak ke bais, Fed fund futures traders ne apne umeedon ko mo'atabar kiya hai, aur ab yeh saal mein 35 basis points ke naram hone ko qeemat kar rahe hain.

H4 Chart Technical Analysis aur Resistance Levels:

Technical indicators traders ke liye ek muzaahik tasveer faraham karte hain. 4 ghante ke chart par 200-period Simple Moving Average se bounce, sath hi 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level ke paar se manfi sentimenton ko sahoolat faraham karte hain. Magar, ahtiyaat zaroori hai, kyunke 4 ghante ke chart par mix oscillators 50% Fibonacci level ke aas paas manfi resistance ka ishara dete hain, jo ke 156.55 ke qareeb hai.



156.50 ke upar ke breach ke saath, 157.00 ke resistance zone ki taraf mazeed urooj ki raah tai ki ja sakti hai. Mukhalfat mein kami barqarar rakhne ki kami is level par support ki wajah se 156.00 ki nafsiyati nishan nafiz ho sakti hai. Agar nichli dabaav jaari rahe, to 155.50 ke aas paas Asian session low aham support level ban jata hai, jise 154.00 aur 153.66 ke darmiyan darmiyan darust kiya gaya hai.

USD/JPY ki tajziati tahlil:

Kal, ek ghair mutawaqqa izafay ke darmiyan, USD/JPY pair ne fazooli 156.00 ke resistance level ko faisla se paar kar liya, jaldi hi apne peechle trading range se alag ho gaya. Aaj, Asia karobari session ke doran, pair pehle hi 156.28 tak pohanch gaya hai. Yeh naa'pak harkat Lech ko yeh sochne par majboor karti hai ke yeh ek manasib manuver ho sakta hai khareedne walon ko mohaya karne ke liye, aur unhein yakeen dilane ke liye ke iska barqarar upri raftar 158.00 nishan ki taraf mukammal rahay. Magar, woh mukhtalif inflaasi ke aane wale data ke tanazar mein maqbulat par chamak rahi hai. Mukhalif taur par, Tanya bechna par razi nazar aa rahi hai, jo ke bazar ki raay mein farq ki numaindagi hai.

Haal hi ke qeemat ke amal ko madfuna karte hue, Lech ko is pareshani ka samajh nahin aata ke barhne wala 155.15 ka mantahiq nukta chhod diya gaya, jahan pe mumkinah khareeddaar ki tawajjuh mumkin thi. Is shuru ki rukh se mukhtalif bazaar ka bartari paishanah hai jo usay haal ki upri raftar ko shakista kar sakti hai, shayad kal ke ma'ashi nashist ke muntazir hone ke aitbaar mein. Nateeja, woh ehtiyaat se agah rehta hai, aaj ke tajziati izafa ka muntazir hokar, kal ke data release ke jawab mein doosri raftaar ka mukhtalif shakar karte hue.



Ikhtitami tor par, jabke mojooda upri raftar USD/JPY pair mein ummed afza nazar aati hai, Lech ki shaqafah yeh dikhata hai ke thori ehtiyaat zaroori hai, jahan tak kal ke inflaasi ke data ko bazar ke rukh ke liye ahem raah hai. Jab tak karegar yeh ghair yaqeeni manzar mein safar karte hain, tajziati osoolon aur bunyadi data ke darmiyan ka amal baghair shak asar andaz hoga currency pair ke ird gird ka nazariya nazdeek mein. Pehle se 157.90 ke range se aik dobala aa chuka hai aur is case mein giravat jari reh sakti hai. Jab 1157.90 par aik galat izafa ho ga, to iske baad giravat jari rahegi.

USD/JPY Market Trends Ki Tahlil

Haal ki karobari tehreekat jo USD/JPY currency pair ko mutasir kar rahi hain, unka kafi asar April ke US data ke ijlas par para hai, khas tor par naumeedi wali be-rozgar ki dar. Ye manfi ma'ashi paigham dene wala ishaara ne US dollar ko Japanese yen ke khilaf gira diya, peechle faide ko mita diya aur lehron ko bearish trend ki taraf rukh kar diya. 152.10 ka aizazi level ko imtihan denay ke bawajood, bearon ne keemat ko peechle global urooj ke qareeb 152.48 ke ird gird kheencha. Bearish dabao ke samne ye mustahkam bardasht bearish trend ki jaari hifazati ka zahir hai aur mukhtalif bullish ulte ki mukhalifat ke saamne khari khatarnaak mashaqat hai.

Maujooda bullish raftar ka nigrani se mutazad monitering zaroori hai, jabke neeche ki trend mazboot hai aur mazeed giravat ke liye tayyar hai. Jald hi ek mumkin bearish shift ho sakti hai, jabki dainik chart par signals ki continuation ki tawajo paida karte hain. Ye anay wale ulte ka aik ahem ishara aur un logon ke liye aik maqami hawalay ki aik strategic imkan hai jo ek giravat ka muntazir hain. Resistance ka samna 154.06 ke aas paas ka tasawwur hai, agar achanak aik ulta chaal hoti hai to 153.26 par aik ahem level hai. Agar khareedne walay apni USD/JPY ki lambi positions ko nuqsan ke intizaar mein khol dein, to 150.39 tak mazeed neeche ki taraf harkat mumkin hai, jo market ki raaye ka mazaq ishara karta hai.



Giravat ke lehaz se manzar mukhtasir hai, agar bear apna dabaav barqarar rakh sakte hain aur keemat ko mazeed neeche le ja sakte hain. Markazi tawaju neeche ki taraf harkat par hai, jo takneeke ta'amul aur haal ki bazaar ki rawish ki nisbat mustaqil tor par bearish trend ko mazbooti deta hai. Markaziya market trend ka ulte ko durust waqt batane ke liye mumkin rehne wala hai, lekin technology mein taraqqi aur mushkil algorithm ke istemal ne peshgoian banane ki darustiyon ko behtar bana diya hai. Ye amal karne walay traders ko zyada durust peshgoian dene ki suhoolat deta hai taa ke woh achhi maloomat ke mutabiq karobar kar sakein. Maujooda bazaar ki ghaflati ko mad e nazar rakhte hue, mukhtalif doray harkat mein aik chhota muqam par ghor karne ki zaroorat hai, jabke mazboot khatra nigrani ke tareeqay ko amal mein laana zaroori hai. Ye tareeqa mojooda giravat ka faida uthane mein madad karta hai jabke nuqsanat ko kam karne mein madad faraham karta hai. Jaisa ke hamesha, USD/JPY pair ka qareebi monitering mufeed karobar ke faislay lene ke liye zaroori hai.

Mojooda price movement bullish hai agar hum 50 EMA area mein price movement par tawajju dein. Yahan hum dekh sakte hain ke initial bullish trend H1 time frame par shuru hua tha, aur yeh behtar hoga agar price movement bullish ho dynamic resistance area ko breakout karte hue jo ke 50 EMA se form hota hai. Yahan price movement expected hai ke breakout kare aur foran aur zyada upar chala jaye. Magar, main dekhta hoon ke aap yahan buy trading option bana sakte hain kyunke price reduction ka koi option nahi hai.
Agar aap Osma ke condition ko dekhein, temporary indicators abhi upper conditions mein hain aur buyers ke liye stronger price volumes form kar rahe hain. Is indication ke sath bullish trend abhi ke liye valid samjha jata hai, aur umeed hai ke future mein profit banane mein kamiyab rahenge. In dono indicators se yeh natija nikala ja sakta hai ke price movements abhi bhi bullish trend ki taraf lean kar rahi hain. Buy option abhi bhi yahan preferred hai.
Buy trading option yahan ek aisi trade ho sakti hai jo future mein kaafi profit generate karegi. Umeed hai, agar aap indicator dekhein aur main Fibo level ke basis par bhi dekhoon, to price movement yahan estimated hai ke kam az kam 161.8 Fibo level area tak pohonchegi, jo ke price level area 154.070 par hai. Yeh area future mein kaafi achha area ban sakta hai aur agla umeed yeh hai ke price higher Fibo level ban jaye. Yahan yeh second Fibo level area mein hai jo ke trading target 261.8 hai. Yahan buying trading action shayad second target ho sakta hai agar possible ho. Second target yahan price level area 155.440 mein hai.

Aur abhi buy trading option le sakte hain jab running price ya current price movement price level 153.550 ke aas-paas ho.

In considerations ko dekhte hue, buy trading options support level area par cut loss option ko dekh sakte hain. Yahan agar price support area 152.700 ko breakdown karne mein kamiyab hoti hai, to main loss limitation option ka use karoonga. Yahan price pattern change kar sakti hai aur bearish trend dobara ho sakta hai, kyunke yahan price dobara gir sakti hai, to ehtiyaat baratna zaroori hai, initial peak par zyada comfortable na ho aur market conditions ke updates follow karte rahein taake baad mein hum trend follow kar sakein.Hourly chart par, linear regression channel neeche ki taraf ja raha hai, jo strong seller dominance ko signal karta hai. Yeh hourly channel primary trend indicator hai, jabke M15 chart supplementary guide ke tor par kaam karta hai. Dono charts channels ko south ki taraf trend karte hue dikhate hain, jo bearish market sentiment ko suggest karta hai. Aise scenario mein, short positions behtar hain kyunke long positions lena prevailing trend ke khilaf trading karne ke barabar hoga, jo losses ke imkaan ko barha deta hai. Agar buyers 154.322 level ko break karne mein kamyab ho jate hain, to yeh mumkin hai ke bullish momentum barqarar rahe. Is surat mein, bulls shayad price ko channel ke upper boundary ke qareeb 156.749 tak push karen. Yeh level ek attractive selling opportunity pesh karta hai, kyunke yeh channel ke resistance ke sath coincide karta hai. Is point par sell karna strategic hai, anticipating ke hourly chart par ek pullback hoga. Yeh pullback expected hai ke bearish activity ko trigger karega, jo price ko wapas channel ke lower boundary tak le jaayega, jo ke approximately 154.380 par hai.
Traders ko channel ki volatility ko monitor karna chahiye, kyunke yeh short positions ke liye behtareen entry points dictate karega. Yeh mohtaat hai ke bulls ko kuch ground regain karne ka intezar karein pehle ke mazeed sales execute karein. Yeh approach channel ke natural ebb aur flow ko leverage karti hai, entry points ko optimize karti hai taake bearish trend se faida uthaya ja sake. Summary mein, mojooda market conditions, jo ke hourly aur M15 charts par linear regression channels se indicate hoti hain, strongly short positions ko favor karti hain. Key levels jo dekhne hain wo 154.322 hain potential bullish continuation ke liye aur 156.749 strategic selling ke liye. Expected pullback 154.380 tak closely monitor karna chahiye, kyunke yeh renewed bearish activity ko signal karega aur profitable short trades ke opportunities faraham karega.

USD/JPY Bazaar Ki Taza Khabrein Aur Peshanuma

Subah Bakhair sab ko!
Aaj, jab USD/JPY ki keemat 156.40 zone ke aas paas ghomti hai, khareedne walay agle resistance level par nazar daal rahe hain, jise jald hi paar karne ka irada hai. USD/JPY ke aane wale khabron ki dhamak in buyers ki itminan ko barhane ka wada karte hain, jo unke positions ko mustaqil banaata hai. In factors ko mad e nazar rakhte hue, mein USD/JPY par ek khareed order shuru karne ka rawaya ikhtiyar karta hoon, jiske liye ek chhoti muddat ka maqsad 156.75 par tay kiya gaya hai. Moujooda market dynamics buyers ko pasand karte hain, jo hamare strategies ko maujooda lehron ke saath mawafiq banane ki ahmiyat ko izhar karte hain. Is moqa ke faiz uthane aur apni positions ko mutabiq taraqqi dilane ke liye zaroori hai ke hum is faizmand market raftar ka fayda uthaen. Taza halaat ki mad e nazar rakhte hue aur jaldi se market ki lehron par dhamakedar tajurbaat ko apnane se hum apne karobar ke tareeqe ko behtar bana sakte hain aur USD/JPY ki urooj raftar ka faida utha sakte hain. Is tarah, proactive stance ko barqarar rakhna aur moujooda mauqay ko fawaid uthane ka aadi hona hamari mabda ke daryai ke amal mein intehai ahmiyat ka hamil hai. Aam tor par, hum keh sakte hain ke moujooda market ka jazba khareedne walon ke faivor mein tabdeel ho raha hai kyunki USD/JPY ki keemat kareeb 156.40 zone tak pohanch chuki hai. Aur, khareedne walay jald hi agle resistance zone ko paar karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Mazeed, USD/JPY ke aane wale khabron se buyers ko mustaqil rehne mein madad milti rahegi. Is liye, mein USD/JPY par ek khareed order pasand karta hoon jisme ek chhoti muddat ka maqsad 156.75 par rakha gaya hai. Aam tor par, keemat buyers ke faivor mein rahi aur humein market ke jazbaat ka tayyari ke saath amal karna chahiye. Umeed hai ke Tokyo GDP aur US Federal Chair Powell ki taqreer se mutalliq aane wale khabron se baad mein USD/JPY market mein buland raftar aayegi. Aur, market baad mein 156.75 ke resistance zone ko paar kar sakti hai.
Ek kamiyabi bhari trading din guzarain aur calm rahein

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155.82 ke keemat ka imtehan jab MACD indicator sirf zero mark se neeche chalne laga, to ye dollar ko bechnay ka dakhilah tasdiq kar diya. Natija yeh hua ke USD/JPY pair lagbhag 15 pips gir gaya, aur bas yehi tha. Dopehar ko, jab keemat 155.96 ka imtehan liya gaya jab MACD indicator sirf zero mark se upar chalne laga, to yeh ek khareed signal ban gaya, jo ke pair ko 30 pips se zyada oopar bhej diya. Aaj Japanese corporations ke Producer Price Index par aane wale data ne pair ki dynamics par koi khaas asar nahi dala, is liye dollar ko ab bhi urooj ki koshish karne ki taqat hai. Magar sab kuch aaj ke US ke data ke baad badal sakta hai, is liye traders ko awaz rakhne ki hidayat di jaati hai jab woh maujooda bulandiyon par khareedari kar rahe hain. Federal Reserve chief ke tazad ki aakhri US mazdoori ke data par kaise react karenge aur woh maujooda situation aur interest rates par kya ta'aleem denge, yeh abhi tak saaf nahi hai. Magar hum dopahar ke tajwez mein is par mazeed guftagu karenge.

Rozana ke andarun strategy ke mutalliq, mein pehle do scenarios par zyada tawajju di ja rahi hai. Khareedari signals

Scenario No. 1. Mein aaj USD/JPY khareedne ka irada karta hoon jab keemat chart par sabz line se 156.52 tak pohanch jaye, aur mazeed izafa 157.13 ke taraf ki taraf dark sabz line par umeed ki jaye. 157.13 ke ilaqa mein, mein lambi positions ko band karne ka irada rakhta hoon aur opposite direction mein chhote positions kholne ka irada karta hoon, 30-35 pips ke ulatne ke umeed hai. Aap aaj USD/JPY ke urooj par guftagu kar sakte hain moaziz safr mein. Khareedne se pehle yeh dekhein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke upar hai aur sirf is se upar se chalne laga hai.

Scenario No. 2. Mein aaj bhi USD/JPY khareedne ka irada karta hoon agar do murtazqa tests ho 156.28 ke imtehan ke samay jab MACD indicator oversold ilaqa mein ho. Yeh pair ki zawaal ki mumkinat ko mehdood karega aur market ka urooj palatne ki taraf le jayega. Hum 156.52 aur 157.13 ke opposite levels tak izaafat ki umeed rakhte hain.

Farokht signals

Scenario No. 1. Mein aaj sirf 156.28 ke darj kiye gaye level ke imtehan ke baad USD/JPY bechnay ka irada rakhta hoon, jo ke keemat mein foran girawat la sakta hai. Farokht karne walon ke liye asal maqsoodgaar 155.89 hoga, jahan mein chhoti positions ko band karunga aur foran opposite direction mein lambi positions kholunga, 20-25 pips ke ulatne ke umeed hai. USD/JPY par dabao wapas aa sakta hai agar keemat aaj ke bulandiyon ke paas stable nahi hoti. Farokht karne se pehle yeh dekhein ke MACD indicator zero mark ke neeche hai aur sirf is se neeche se chalne laga hai.



Scenario No. 2. Mein aaj bhi USD/JPY bechnay ka irada karta hoon agar do murtazqa tests ho keemat ke 156.52 ke daur ke samay jab MACD indicator overbought ilaqa mein ho. Yeh pair ke urooj ki mumkinat ko mehdood karega aur market ka neeche ki taraf palatne ki taraf le jayega. Hum 156.28 aur 155.89 ke opposite levels tak girawat ki umeed rakhte hain.