usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY H1 TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS
Price movement abhi bullish trend condition mein hai. Agar hum current movement dekhein, to shayad yeh umeed hai ke price future mein upar move karti rahegi aur filhal main yahan sabse qareebi resistance area ko target kar raha hoon. Mera khayal hai ke buy position ek option hai jab tak seller ki taraf se bohot zyada pressure nahin aata.

Technical Analysis of EMA and MACD Indicators
Current price movement bullish hai agar hum 10 EMA area mein price movement ko dekhein. Yahan hum dekh sakte hain ke initial bullish trend H1 timeframe par shuru hua tha, yahan behtar hoga agar price movement bullish hoti hai aur 50 EMA se form hone wale dynamic resistance area ko breakout karti hai, yahan price movement se expect hai ke breakout kare aur aur bhi upar jaye. Lekin, main yahan dekh raha hoon ke aap ek buy trading option bana sakte hain kyunki koi price reduction option nazar nahi aata.

Aur agar hum Osma ki condition dekhein, to temporary indicators upper condition mein hain aur buyers ke liye stronger price volumes form kar rahe hain, is indication ke sath bullish trend filhal valid consider kiya ja sakta hai, aur umeed hai ke future mein profit bana sakte hain. Yeh do indicators se nikla hua conclusion yeh hai ke price movements abhi bhi bullish trend ki taraf lean kar rahe hain. Buy option yahan phir bhi prefer kiya ja sakta hai.

Option 1 BUY USDJPY Target R 155,440
Buy trading option yahan ek trade ho sakta hai jo future mein kaafi profit generate karega. Umeed hai, agar indicator dekhein aur main Fibo level ke hisaab se dekhta hoon, to price movement yahan kam az kam 161.8 Fibo level area tak hone ka estimation hai, yaani ke price level area of 154,070. Yeh area shayad future mein kaafi acha area hoga aur agle umeed yeh hai ke price higher Fibo level tak pohanch sakti hai. Yahan second Fibo level area hai jo ke trading target 261.8 hai. Buying trading action yahan second target is martaba ho sakta hai agar mumkin ho. Second target yahan price level area of 155,440 mein hai.

Aur abhi buy trading option liya ja sakta hai jab running price ya current price movement around the price level of 153,550 ho.



Yeh considerations dekh kar, buy trading options support level area ke liye cut loss option par dhyan de sakte hain. Yahan, agar price 152,700 ke support area ko break karne mein kaamyaab hoti hai, to main loss limitation option ka use karunga. Yahan price pattern change ho sakta hai aur bearish trend phir se ho sakta hai, kyunki yahan price phir se gir sakti hai, to ehtiyaat barte, initial peak mein zyada comfort feel na karein aur market conditions ke updates follow karte rahein taake hum trend follow kar sakein.

Note:
BUY Option 153,550
Take Profit R 1 154,070
Take Profit R 2 155,440
Stop Loss CUT LOSS

Jumeraat ke trading session mein, USD/JPY pair ne ek narm rukh dikhaya, aur 154.45 ke qareeb tha. Yeh harkat donon America aur Japan ke significant economic updates ke sath hui. Ek notable development Japan ke Gross Domestic Product (GDP) figures thi pehle quarter 2024 ke liye. Data ne 0.5% quarter-on-quarter (QoQ) contraction dikhayi, jo ke fourth quarter 2023 ke 0.1% contraction se zyada thi. Yeh contraction expectations se zyada thi, jab economists ne 0.4% decline project kiya tha. GDP ke disappointing numbers ne Japanese yen par downward pressure dala, jiski wajah se yen US dollar ke against depreciate hui. Saath hi, United States mein tawajjo latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation data par thi. Report ne anticipated se softer inflationary pressures dikhaye, jisme hint mila ke price increases pehle se estimated ke muqablay mein robust nahi hain. Is development ne investors mein speculation ko janam diya ke 2024 mein Federal Reserve (Fed) rate reduction ho sakti hai. Fed ka interest rates ko kam karna aam tor par US dollar par negative asar dalta hai, kyunke yeh dollar-denominated assets ki allure ko kam kar deta hai investors ke liye jo higher returns talash karte hain. Japan ke sluggish GDP figures aur Fed rate cut ke potential ne USD/JPY pair mein heightened selling activity ko janam diya, jo ke Jumeraat ke trading mein retreat hui

Aage dekha jaye, market participants further economic indicators donon mulkon se aur kisi bhi monetary policy decisions ke updates Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan se nazar mein rakhenge. Yeh factors USD/JPY exchange rate ke trajectory ko aane wale sessions mein shape karte rahenge.

Forex trading strategy
USD/JPY
Assalam Alaikum! US dollar/Japanese yen jodi ke liye aaj aham muzahmati satah 154.724 hai. Kal, is nishan ne support ke taur par kam kiya jisne qimat ko nichle channel me girne se rok diya, lekin aaj, yah apni tezi ko rokne ke liye muzahmati satah ke taur par kam karta hai. Lehaza, is satah se niche jana ek tarjih hai. 152.380 par channel ki nichli hadd ko hadaf ke taur par dekha ja sakta hai. Agar qimat muzahmati satah se ooper toot jati hai aur oopri channel par waas aa jati hai to, long positions relevant nahin rahengi aur kisi ko bhi short positions ke sath market me dakhil hone ke liye points talash karne honge.

Forex trading strategy
USD/JPY
Assalam Alaikum! Kal, US dollar/Japanese yen ki jodi niche ki taraf palat gayi. Qimat 157.40 ki kaledi muzahmati satah ko todne me nakam rahi, yahan tak keh yah 156.10 ke nishan se ooper toot gayi aur mustahkam ho gayi. Natije ke taur par, dollar/yen ka joda manfi ho gaya aur pullback kiya, 156.10 aur 154.05 ki support satah se niche toot kar 152.70 ke nishan ki taraf badh gaya. Filhal, jodi tezi se islah me hai.



Aaj, mai tawaqqo karta hun keh dollar/yen ka joda 154.05 ki muzahmati satah par wapas aa jayega. Iska breakout 155.00 ke nishan tak mazid aage badhne ki rah hamwar karega. Iske bad qimat mumkena taur par mandi ki taraf lautegi aur 152.70 ki support satah tak gir jayegi. Agar qimat is nishan se niche aati hai to, dollar/yen ki jodi kamzori ko 151.40 aur kaledi hadaf ki satah 150.35 tak badha degi. Halankeh, is hafte jodi ke is support satah tak pahunchne ka imkan nahin hai. Mutabadil taur par, agar qimat 155.00 ki muzahmati satah ko paar kar jati hai to, iski tezi ka silsila jari rahega. Is tarah, dollar/yen ki jodi 156.10 ke nishan aur 157.40 ki muzahmati satah tak badh jayegi, jo keh numaya kami ke bad kayi bar hu chuki hai.

ek aur poori bullish candle ban gayi hai haftay ke range ke ikhtitami mein, jo aasani se pichle haftay ke range high ke oopar band hui. Jaisa ke pehle bhi zikar kiya gaya, is mamlay mein, mein puri umeed rakhta hoon ke nazdeek ke resistance level ka dobara aazmaish hoga, jo ke meri tajziati tajziya ke mutabiq 156.000 par waqai hai. Is resistance level ke nazdeek do scenarios ho sakte hain. Pehla scenario yeh hai ke price is level ke oopar consolidate ho aur mazeed uttar ki taraf jaaye. Agar yeh scenario pura hota hai, toh mein price ko 160.400 ke resistance level ki taraf barhte hue dekhunga. Is resistance level ke nazdeek, mein trading setup ka intezar karunga jo agle trading direction ka faisla karega. Beshak, mein tasleem karta hoon ke mukarar uttar ki taraf target ke dauran price mein southern pullbacks ho sakte hain, jinhein mein istemal karke qareebi support levels se bullish signals talash karunga, umeed hai ke price overall bullish trend ke andar apni utarti hui movement dobara shuru
156.000 resistance level ke qareeb price movement ke liye ek alternative scenario shamil hai, jo ke ek reversal candle formation aur correction ke andar southward movement ka dobara aghaz hai. Agar yeh scenario hota hai, toh mein umeed karta hoon ke price support level 152.589 ya support level 150.809 par wapas jaayega. In support levels ke qareeb, mein bullish signals ki talash jaari rakhoonga, umeed hai ke price phir se upar jaayegi. Mukhtasir tor par, aanay waale haftay ke liye, mein umeed karta hoon ke price locally uttar ki taraf jaari rahegi overall bullish trend ke andar aur nazdeek ke resistance level ko dobara aazmaayegi. Mazeed amal market ki halat par munhasar hoga

USDJPY currency pair filhal bulls ke zor mein hai (current price 153.895), jo market orders use karke market ko influence kar rahe hain aur asset ke price ko barha rahe hain. Magar aapko ehtiyat se kaam lena chahiye, kyunke bulls ki power kisi bhi waqt kam ho sakti hai. Yahan key factor ye hai ke sellers ko current market situation ka faida uthana hoga. Ye behtar hai ke aap short position trade karne ke liye tayar rahein taake quote ko kam kar sakein aur munasib natija hasil kar sakein. Buyers ki persistence ke bawajood, aisa lamha zaroor aayega jab sellers situation ko control kar sakein aur ek downward correction start ho jaye. Ye zaroori hai ke note kiya jaye ke agar bulls bohot mukhalaft bhi karein, downward correction na-qaabil e ijtenab hai. Aaj mera optimal scenario ye hoga ke ek strong downtrend ka intezar karun jo ek corrective pullback se develop ho sakta hai. Aur bilashuba - lower support level 152.365 ko dekhte hue kaam karun

Filhal, market situation top par lag rahi hai, aur bullish potential dheere dheere samnay aa raha hai. Halankeh trend sirf upar jaa raha tha, mujhe phir bhi shak tha aur main side pe raha, magar, jaise ke sabit hua, ye ghalat faisla tha. Agar main waqt par invest karta, to achha munafa kama sakta tha, kyunke main lower price levels par bhi is direction ke bare mein soch raha tha. Moving averages ke mutabiq hum expected move to the north ke liye line up ho rahe hain. Shaayad, ek correction to the south ke sath, main risk uthata ke bullish trend se thoda door ho jaoon. Agar aap waqt par catch up nahi karte, to baad mein additional income earn karna mushkil ho jata hai, is liye apne available opportunities ko barhana zaroori ho sakta hai. Hum news block ko monitor karte hain aur chart ke dynamics mein changes par react karte hain situation ke mutabiq

Greetings. Asal mein, market khulnay ke foran baad hi, USDJPY pair ne strong bullish price action dikhaya aur yeh sabhi major pairs mein se ek hi pair tha jo US Dollar Index se associated tha aur jald market khulnay ke baad acha price action dikhaya. Yeh phenomenon suggest karta hai ke shayad pichlay trading week ke upper limit ke upar bohot zyada liquidity ka accumulation tha, jo ke recent upward price movement se remove hogaya. Mein raat ko soya raha aur yeh trade miss hogaya, lekin iss waqt yeh expect karna reasonable hai ke jab USDJPY liquidity top se puri tarah se remove hogi, toh hum chart pe bearish impulse increased volumes ke sath dekh sakte hain jo ke price ko sharp drop karke accumulation area 153.21 tak le jayegi. Agar yeh such hai aur 153.21 level se price upar jati hai aur aise halat mein 153.55 ka accumulation price ko upar nahi jane deta, toh is scenario ke mutabiq 153.55 level se price niche gir sakti hai 151.69 ke mark par jo accumulated volumes ka area hai

Sirf yeh baat hai ke south mein correction nahi hui, balke teen trading days ka corridor tha, jo ke yeh growth ki movement possible banayi. Aaj, north ki taraf sab kuch nahi liya gaya aur ek increase hoga, zyada tar yeh American session mein hoga, aur humein is moment ka intezar karna hoga, shayad mein 154 figures ke beech se bhi sell kar doon. Har surat mein, trading logic yeh suggest karti hai. Aam tor par hum Europe mein acha perform nahi karte, lekin yahan din ke opening se hi hum north ki taraf move kar rahe hain aur ab naye heights ko achi tarah se cover kar rahe hain. Yeh decline ka possibility hai jo fikr ka sabab hai, aur yeh saaf hai ke bulls ke liye mushkil halat mein level 152.43 ko reach karne ki taqat hogi. Yeh dekhna asan hai ke yen niche ja sakti hai, aur yeh trend visually bhi dekh sakte hain - downward trend future mein extend hoti hai

Barah-e-Karam USDJPY market ki halat par tawajjo den, lagta hai ke kuch trading dinon mein buyers ki taraf se dabi hui dabao ne MA100 indicator ko kamyabi se guzar gaya hai. Main yeh nateeja nikalta hoon ke buyers ka MA100 indicator ko guzar jana trend ki halat ko palat diya hai jo pehle bearish trend tha ab ek bullish trend ban gaya hai, isliye main andaza lagata hoon ke USDJPY market ke buyers USDJPY ke qeemat ko barhane mein kamiyab rahenge aur bullish trend ki halat mein lambi dair tak chalega.
Isi doran, aap dekh sakte hain ke basement indicator RSI (14) bhi ek khareed signal ko manzoori de raha hai, kyunke yeh lambi position ka intikhab se muttafiq nahi hai - uski curve ab upar ki taraf mukhsoos hai aur overbought level se kaafi door hai. Upar di gayi wajah se, main yeh nateeja nikalta hoon ke khareedari ki mumkinat ab zyada se zyada hain, aur isliye ek lambi karobar kholna bilkul munasib hai. Main umeed karta hoon ke take profit ko channel ke oopar ke satha, jo ke 157.905 ke qeemat par maujood hai, nazdeek dekhein. Jab order munafa mand zone mein chala jaye, toh position ko breakeven par le jane ka mashwara diya jata hai, kyunke market hamare umeed ko jhooti harkaton ke sath bhatakta hai.

Main H4 timeframe se banaayi gayi mapping ke mutabiq khareedari dakhil hone ke signals dhoondhne ki tajwez deta hoon, yeh lambi muddat ke liye ho sakta hai, buyers ka dabao USDJPY ki keemat ko H4 timeframe par upper resistance area tak pohanchne ke liye le jayega ya 160 ke qeemat ke aas paas, beshak yeh waqt zyada le sakta hai lekin bullish trend ki halat lambi muddat ki halat hai isliye yeh bohot mumkin hai.

USD/JPY Pair Ka Jaaiza:

Mushkilat se do char Japanese yen ab ek ahem mor par latki hui hai aur 34 saal ki taqseem ki buland tareen satah par hai, lekin Standard Chartered Bank ke mutabiq Japanese authorities mukhtalif naqd ki madad se yaqeenan is currency ko barqarar rakhne se pehle is haftay ke akhri din tak US ke inflation ke reading ka intezar karegi. Is ahem haftay ke trading ki shuruaat ke sath, dollar ka qeemat Japanese yen ke muqable (USD/JPY) 151.95 ke qareeb darwaze tak chad gayi, jo pehle Japanese intervention ke levels ke qareeb hai jo market mein yen ke tabadla ke mazeed ghirne ko rokne ke liye kiya gaya tha. Forex currency trading companies ke platforms ke mutabiq, 152 ka darwaza raddi nafsiyati level hai, jise bohot se kehte hain ke Japanese authorities ko action lena parega.

Lekin British bank Standard Chartered ke analysts taakhalus ke doran policymakers ko apni surkhi ke peechay se zyada mubham chhodne ka intezar karte hain jab tak wo kal, budhwar ko March ke liye US ke inflation data ka intezar karte hain. Unho ne khatra diya ke buhat zyada garam reading US dollar ki khareedari ko ubhara sakti hai. Analysts ke mutabiq, "US Consumer Price Index number ke roshni mein jo buhat zyada tawana aaya hai, hum yeh samajhte hain ke Bank of Japan jab khareedari khatam ho jaaye to wo inkar kar sakti hai," aur yeh bhi kaha ke yen ki farokht mein izafa Japanese authorities ko taqreeban 153 ke darwazay tak intervention karne se pehle nahi karne dena.

Agar policymakers yen ko support dene ka faisla karte hain, toh unko September aur October 2022 mein jo 60 billion dollar se zyada kharch kiya gaya tha us se zyada paisa lagana hoga. Jab Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida iss haftay United States jaane wale hain, toh mumkin hai ke Washington koi bayan jaari kare. Kisi bhi policy ke amal mein madad ke liye, Standard Chartered umeed rakhta hai ke joint intervention ka imkan sirf 20% hai.

Analysts ne is par tabsera karte hue kaha: "Forex market mein intervention Japan ki janib se ek taraf ka koshish hoga, shayad United States ke itaami ikhtiyaar ke saath." Doosri taraf, weak US CPI reading policymakers ko kuch aaram bakshegi. Kul mila kar, leverage funds aur asset managers ki taraf se short JPY bets 17 saal ki buland tareen satah par pohanch gayi hain. Analysts ne yeh bhi kaha ke yeh lamba dorai halat currency speculators ko "modest shocks in the opposite direction" mein nuksan de sakti hai.

US dollar ke expectations Japanese yen ke muqable:

Rozana chart ke performance ke mutabiq, currency pair, US dollar Japanese yen ke muqable (USD/JPY), abhi tak barh rahi hai, aur is ka aghaz mojooda 152.00 ke resistance ke taraf le gaya hai jo ke technical indicators ko mazboot saturation levels par le gaya. Intehai garmi ke numbers ke barhne ke saath saath, baat badh gayi hai ke yen ke qeemat ke mazeed girne ko roknay ke liye Japanese intervention ke qareeb. Bina is ke, agar US inflation numbers kam bhi hote hain, toh neeche ka correction mehdood ho sakta hai. Abhi, USD/JPY ke liye qareebi resistance levels 152.50 aur 153.20 hain, barah kar.

USD/JPY currency pair
Capital aur nuqsaan ko kam karne ke liye stop-loss orders, portfolios ka diversify karna, aur over-leveraging se bachna jaise management techniques bazaar ke volatil hone par paisay ki hifazat ke liye nihayat ahem hain. Trading mein mustaqil seekhna bhi zaroori hai, kyun ke markets hamesha tabdeel hote hain. Kamiyabi hasil karne wale traders hamesha apne ilm ko barhane ki koshish karte hain mukhtalif zariyon se jaise ke kitaabain parhna, seminars mein shirkat karna, aur networking. Maaloomat hasil rakh kar aur bazaar ke changing conditions ka mutabiq amal kar ke, traders apni lamba'i mein kamiyabi ko barha sakte hain. Aakhir mein, kamiyabi hasil karne wala trading sirf takneeki analysis se zyada shamil karta hai; yeh bazaar ke bunyadi asoolon ko samajhna, ek saaf strategy rakna, sabr aur discipline ka amal karna, risk ko effectively manage karna, aur mustaqil seekhna aur tabdeel hone mein mufeed hai. In factors ko pehle rakh kar, traders apni financial maqasid ko barha sakte hain dyanamic trading landscape mein.

Mujhe yeh laga ke majority trading kar rahe hain. Isliye, maine apni saari shorts band kar di hain. Mujhe thoda sa zyada 100 pips mila. Zahir hai, yeh bohot zyada nahi hai, lekin agar maine 152.0 area se bechna shuru kiya tha, toh yeh positive result tha. Main un logo ke sath bhi hamdardi rakhta hoon jo sirf 152.0 se bech rahe hain aur abhi tak drop ka intezaar kar rahe hain. Main ab hedge funds aur managers ki overall sentiment ko dekh raha hoon, woh sab yen ki sale mein the aur ab bhi hain. Short positions ko band karne ki koshish kuch hasil nahi hui. Aur yahaan do scenarios hain: ya Bank of Japan ko yen ko muqami darajon se mazid mazboot karna chahiye, jo ab tak nahi kiya gaya hai, ya phir hum dobara upar jaayenge.

Is haftay ke European trading ke shuruaat mein, USD/JPY currency pair ne teen dinon ki girawat se rukh badla aur 153.70 ke aas paas stable hua. Is tabdeeli ka sabab US Dollar ke dobarah farogh, jaisa ke US Dollar Index ne bataaya, jo currency ke performance ko major counterparts ke khilaaf napta hai aur lagbhag 105.10 ke qareeb tha. Magar, yeh ubhaar kam US Treasury yields ke bais hokar rukawaat ho sakta hai, jabki dollar bhi weak US employment data ke release ke baad challenges ka saamna kar raha tha, jo ke Pichle Jumme ko aya tha, jis se 2024 mein Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts ki mumkinat barh gayi hai.

USD/JPY H-1

Kal shaam, maine USD/JPY ke liye ek neeche ki taraf kiya gaya channel banaya aur umeed ki ke shayad is channel ke neeche decline ho. Ye giravat hui, 154.39 ke darje tak, lekin sirf keemat ne ise neeche se tor diya aur pair ne neeche ki taraf chalna jari rakha. Magar aakhirkaar, pair ki giravat ruki aur keemat ooper chalne lagi. Ab main umeed karta hoon ke pair ooper chalna jari rakhega, keemat neeche ke channel ke andar dakhil hogi aur shayad phir izafa neeche ke channel ke ooper jaari rahega, yani 155.84 ke darje tak. Jab yeh level ooper tak pohanchega, toh aik u-turn ho sakta hai aur keemat dobara neeche jaane ki koshish kar sakegi.



USD/JPY H-4

Asalam-o-Alaikum. Aur asal mein, mujhe shak nahi ke pair ke sath yen mein giravat jari rahegi, khas tor par jab aik acha short initiative hai, haalaanki abhi hum izafa kar rahe hain ya peechay ja rahe hain. Magar Asia mein bhi kami hui, haalaanki Japan ko manfi GDP mila. Magar behtareen dollar ke tajrube ki surat mein hai jo ab thori se izafa kar raha hai, haalaanki aaj hum Turkish market ke data bhi lenge. Abhi tak, main upar ki movement ko torne ke bare mein nahi soch raha. Magar main aise keemat par kharidna nahi samajhta aur short initiative par tawajjo jari rakhonga, is liye agar hum 155.75 ke upar pohanch jaayein toh main wahan bechne ki ijaazat doonga.




Keemat ne linear regression channel ke blue support line ko cross kiya 2-nd LevelSupLine, lekin quotes ka minimum value (LOW) 151.884 tak pohancha, jiske baad isne apna giravat rok kar dhire dhire barhna shuru kiya. Ab saman keemat 154.698 ke darje par trading ho rahi hai. Sab kuch madde nazar rakhte hue, mein tawaqo rakhta hoon ke market ke price quotes 2-nd LevelSupLine channel line (157.026) FIBO level 61.8% ke oopar laut kar aur mustehkam ho jayenge, aur phir upar ki taraf barhte rahenge golden average line LR of the linear channel 160.205 tak, jo ke 100% Fibo level ke sath milta hai. Ek mazeed argument purchases mein shamil karne ke leye yeh hai ke RSI (14) aur MACD indicators bhi sahi entry ko tasdeeq karte hain, kyun ke wo oversold zone mein hain.

Di gayi maloomat ke buniyad par, lagta hai ke kuch regions mein market trends par mubahisa ho rahi hai, khaaskar bechne ke lehaz se. Istemal shuda zubaan ek maali ya invest karne se mutalliq maahol ka zahir kar rahi hai, jahan "bearish price movement" se "bullish phase" mein tabdil hone ka zikar hai. Yeh market sentiment ka tabadla dikhata hai pesimizm se umeed ki taraf, jo asasaani se asasaani keemaat ke izafa ka bais ban sakta hai. Bayan mein yeh bhi zikar hai ke ek trading pair ka opening price nigrani karna kitna ahem hai, aur agar yeh kisi khaas darje ke neeche khulta hai aur us level ke neeche (mumkinah tor par aik support level ya pehle se mukarrar minimum), to yeh zahir kar sakta hai ke qadron ko dobarah tehqeeqat karne ki zaroorat hai. Yeh ek nizaafati taur par market ke harekaton ko tajziya karne ka tareeqa dikhata hai, jahan traders ya investors khaas shara'it par mabni faislay karne ke liye intizaar karte hain, sirf intahi ya jazbat par mukhtalif karne ke bajaye. "Bearish" aur "bullish" jese lafz istemal ka zikar, technical analysis ke aham tareeqay se talluq dikhata hai, jo ke traders dwara agle keemaat ke izafa ke baray mein ghairat darust faislay karne ke liye istemal kiya jata hai. Is mein charts aur patterns ka mutala shamil hota hai taake trendon ko pehchanne aur agle keemaat ke izafa ke baray mein sahi peshgoiyan karne mein madad milti hai. Aam tor par, yeh bayan ek hoshiyar lekin tajziyati tareeqa hai market ke dynamics ko samajhne ka. Yeh maanti hai ke galat bhi ho sakte hain aur naye maloomat ke mutabiq assumptions ko dobarah tehqeeq karna zaroori hai. Yeh maali markets ki complexities ko haqeeqati tor par samajhne ka izhar karta hai aur maamool ke shraayat ke jawab mein mutghir rehne ki ahmiyat ko samjhta hai. Behtar honay ke lehaaz se, mazeed maahol ya khaas misalon ka tajziya aur safahat faraham karne se analysis ko aur wazeh kar sakti hai. Masalan, discussion mein shaamil kiye gaye khaas regions ya assets ka zikar karna aur analysis ko support karne ke liye charts ya data faraham karna, tajziya ko darust aur credible banayega. Mazeed, assumptions ke peechay wajahat aur market sentiment ko mutasir karne wale factors ka tafseel se bayan tajziya ko gehraai aur readers ya investors ke liye ziada informative banayega.

The Extended Regression StopAndReverse linear regression indicator, jab RSI (14) aur MACD oscillators ke confirmatory readings ke sath istemal kiya jata hai, hume bazaar ko maharat se tajziya karne mein madad karta hai aur humein trading ke liye chuna gaya instrument par sahi faisla karne mein madad karta hai. Aik trading position kholne ke liye musbat faisla karne ka shart yeh hai ke teeno indicators ke signals miltay jultay hon. Agar in teeno mein se kam az kam aik kisi ke mukhalif ho, to muamla mukammal tor par na kia jata hai kyun ke ye itminan dahi se munafa dene wala nahi hota. Jab bazaar mein dakhilai mukammal hoti hai aur quotes musbat nataij ke ilaqe ki taraf pohanchte hain, to hum transaction band karne ka sab se munafa bhara, munafa ke lehaaz se, nukta qaim karna shuru karte hain. Is maqsad ke liye, hum working chart par intehai points ko pehchan kar in par Fibonacci grid banate hain. Hum bazaar se bahar nikalte hain jab qeemat correction Fibo levels ke qareeb pohanchti hai.Hum is aala ka tehzeebi mutala aur mojooda tabiyat ka tajziya karain ge, jo Extended Regression StopAndReverse, RSI aur MACD indicators ke markazi ho, jo mojooda ahtiyati aur munafa mand technical tajziya anjaam dene mein madad karte hain. Maksad hasil karne ke baad, hum bazaar se nikalne ka behtareen point ka intikhab karenge, jo taqreeban ki correction levels ko Fibonacci grid ke istemal se chunenge, jis ko mojooda extreme (daily ya weekly) ke mutabiq dhakka diya gaya hai.

Is aala ki chart par muntakhib waqt ke frame (time-frame H4) ka jaiza hamain dikhata hai ke pehla darja ka regression line (golden dotted line), jo mojooda asli trend ki disha aur halat ko dikhata hai, shamal ki taraf hota hai, jo aik zyadah tar upward movement ke doran ka waqt dikhata hai. Nonlinear regression channel ka graph dikhata hai ke ye upward morar hai, jo buyers ke koshishon ka izhar karta hai jo ke fasilay barqarar rakhne ki koshish kar rahe hain aur na toh woh apni dominant position ko sellers ko de rahe hain.

Qeemat ne linear regression channel ke blue support line 2-nd LevelSupLine ko par kiya, lekin dakhilai ke doran qeemat ka kam az kam qeemat (LOW) 151.884 tak pohanch gaya, is ke baad qeemat ne apna giravat rok diya aur dhire dhire barhna shuru kiya. Abhi, aala 154.698 ke qeemat ke darje par karobar ho raha hai. Upar diye gaye sab ke sab, mein umeed karta hoon ke bazaar ki qeemat wapas aaye gi aur 2-nd LevelSupLine channel line (157.026) FIBO level 61.8% ke oopar mustaqil ho kar upar ko golden average line LR of the linear channel 160.205, jo ke 100% Fibo level ke mutabiq milti hai. Kisi tehreek ki transaction ke faislay ke liye ek mazeed dalil ye hai ke RSI (14) aur MACD indicators ke indicators bhi dakhil hone ka durustiqad kar rahe hain, kyun ke woh oversold zone mein hain.

Kal USD/JPY pair mein, thodi si northern pullback ke baad, price ne southward direction mein tezi se move kiya, jiski wajah se ek aur bearish candle bani jo support level se neeche close hui, jo meri analysis ke mutabiq 154.512 par tha. Abhi, mujhe is instrument mein kuch khaas interesting nazar nahi aa raha, halan ke main overall northern scenario ki taraf oriented hoon. Aaj, main price action ko support level ke aas-paas observe karunga, jo meri analysis ke mutabiq 152.997 par hai. Is support level ke kareeb do scenarios unfold ho sakte hain. Pehla scenario yeh hai ke ek reversal candle bane aur price ka upward movement wapas se start ho. Agar yeh plan chal jaye, to main price ke 156.286 par resistance level tak wapas aanay ka wait karunga. Jab price is resistance level ke upar close hogi, to further northern movement expected hai, jo 160.209 par resistance level tak ja sakti hai. Is resistance level ke kareeb, main trading setup ki formation ka wait karunga taake agle trading direction ka pata chal sake

Zaroori nahi ke 164.500 ke door ke northern target tak pohnchna mumkin ho, lekin main abhi is option ko consider nahi kar raha kyunke mujhe iska jaldi realize hone ka koi chance nazar nahi aa raha. Ek alternative scenario aaj ke support level 152.997 ko test karte hue yeh ho sakta hai ke price is level ke neeche consolidate kar le aur southward move continue rakhe. Agar yeh plan unfold hota hai, to main expect karunga ke price 150.809 par support level tak move kare. Is support level ke kareeb, main bullish signals dhoondta rahunga, taake upward price movement wapas resume ho sake. Southern targets ke aur door ke possibilities bhi hain, lekin main abhi unko consider nahi kar raha kyunke mujhe unke jaldi realize hone ka koi chance nazar nahi aa raha. Mukhtasir mein, aaj ke liye locally mujhe kuch khaas interesting nazar nahi aa raha. Badi picture mein, main northern trend ki continuation ki taraf oriented hoon, isliye main nearest support levels se bullish signals ki talash mein hoon.

USD/JPY ke liye correction mode ka imkaan hai jo ke important support line 155.65 ko tor sakta hai aur phir 155.35 aur 155.15 ki taraf barh sakta hai. Yeh 155.00 ki intihai ahem strong level se aagey barhne ka imkaan nahi hai kyunke is se ek bada downtrend ka ishara mil sakta hai. Ye sab levels aise hain jo ke market mein high-risk aur positioning tabdeeliyon ka sabab ban saktay hain. Yeh dekhna acha hai ke currency pair ko Japanese regulator ke kisi bhi bayan ya geo-political khabar se mutasir kiya ja sakta hai. Is liye, har mumkin uprise ya downsize contingencies ke liye zyada flexibility aur tayyari intihai zaroori hai.




USD/JPY ka saaf bullish jazba dikhata hai. Haal ki qeemat amal aur ahem resist aur support darwazon ke saath jaanch parasti ke baad, faisla kiya gaya hai ke sirf lambi positions par tawajju di jaye. Is uthaal ki intehai nishandahi USD/JPY daily H4 timeframe chart par 153.75 ke upper resistance boundary par muntazim hai. Tamam muamlat ko transparent aur zimmedari ke saath record kiya jayega. Halanki koi aaj ke farokht ke liye fori support level ka istemaal karne ki soch sakta hai, lekin yaad rakhiye ke nateejay mukhtasir faida de sakte hain jaise ke behtar darjaat se farokht karna. Isi liye, maine apni tashreef rakh di hai jo mere jaiz qadrmand iktiyaar mein zyada wada rakhti hai. Lambi position ke dakhilah ke bawajood, stop loss hamesha ke liye muqarrar hai. Maqasid tay hain aur darwazon ko wazeh kiya gaya hai, main potential market ke moqaon ke liye tayar hoon. Bank of Japan se dolar ki raqam mein infuzion nisbatan maamooli tha aur jaldi se market ne isay sokh liya. Yeh amal Bank of Japan ki ek aur currency intervention ka ek aur misaal tha. Pichli dakhalon mein, jab USD/JPY jori 155 ke qareeb aya, to unhon ne isay us darja ke neeche rakha jo arsa tak qaim raha. Haan, a sudden uthaal dolar ki taqat ke across bazaar ne jori ko manzar ke neeche gira diya, jis se Bank of Japan ko karwai ka intezar tha. Mojooda mein, unhon ne jori ko 185 par mustaqil banaya hai, ishara dene ki unki irada hai ke yeh maqam mustaqil rakha jaye ga jab tak dosra barra dolar ka uthaal na ho, jo shayad aa raha inflation data ke zariye ho. Haan, ye ahem data points ek hafte ke liye mutawaqqa nahi hain. Aaj, jab Japanese traders ko chhutiyan mili hain, to lagta hai ke USD/JPY khareedne ka dobara dilchasp ho gaya hai. Lekin, raat ke andhere mein shubhaat hain, aur nateeja baqi hai.