USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Forex trading strategy
USD/JPY
Assalam Alaikum! Aaj ke tejarati session ke aaghaz ke fauran bad US dollar/Japanese yen ke jode ne mandi ka rukha karne ki koshish ki, lekin iski manfi raftar zyada der tak qayam nahin rahi. Natije ke taur par, asset me fir se tezi aa gayi aur yah 156.10 ki muzahmati satah par laut aayi. Is bat ka bahut zyada imkan hai keh jodi faide me tausie karegi, 156.10 ke nishan ko tod degi aur 157.40 ki satah ki taraf badhegi.



Mutabadil taur par, qimat 156.10 ki muzahmati satah se piche hat sakti hai aur dobara manfi ho sakti hai. Agar qimat 156.10 se ooper toot jati hai to, jodi ke 157.40 ki agli muzahmati satah tak badhne aur fir 154.05 ke nishan tak fisalte hue niche ki taraf palatne ki tawaqqo hai. Agar qimat 156.10 ko todne me nakam rahti hai to, yah 155.00 support satah tak girne ka imkan hai. Iska breakout ek mukammal reversal ki nishandahi karega, jis me dollar/yen ka joda 155.00 ki muzahmati satah par wapas aane se pahle 154.05 tak gir jayega aur fir 152.70 ke nishan par wapa aa jayegi.

Wa Alaikum Assalam! USD JPY Aapne tejarati session ki mukhtasar tasveer bayaan ki hai. Is session mein US dollar/Japanese yen ke jode mein mandi ka rukha karne ki koshish ki gayi, lekin iski manfi raftar mein der tak qayam nahin rahi. Iske natije mein asset mein fir se tezi aa gayi aur yah 156.16 ki muzahmati satah par laut aayi. Tejarati sessionon mein mukhtalif factors, jaise ke economic indicators, geopolitical events, aur market sentiment, currencies ke rates par asar daalte hain. Jab bhi koi currency pair mein tezi ya mandi hoti hai, iske peeche mukhtalif factors ka asar hota hai. Aapka zikar kiya gaya US dollar/Japanese yen ka joda bhi is trend ka shikaar hua. Mandi ka rukha karne ki koshish ke baad bhi, jab manfi raftar zyada der tak qayam nahin rahi, yeh is baat ka saboot hai ke market mein mukhtalif taqazon ka asar hota hai jo currency pair ke rates ko influence karte hain. Kabhi-kabhi, traders ya investors kaafi samay tak ek direction mein jaane ke liye intezaar karte hain, lekin jab unhe yeh nahi milta, toh woh apni positions ko modify karte hain, jisse ke asset mein tezi aa sakti hai. Is tarah ki gatiyon ke piche mukhtalif factors ho sakte hain. Misal ke tor par, kisi badi desh ya kshetra mein hone wale koi political ya economic change, ya phir kisi naye policy ya regulation ka announcement bhi is tarah ke gatiyon ko influence kar sakta hai. Iske ilawa, economic indicators, jaise ke GDP growth, employment data, aur inflation rates, bhi market ke mood ko influence karte hain aur currency pairs ke rates mein tabdili la sakte hain. 156.16 ki muzahmati satah par laut aana, yeh bhi ek significant event hai. Isse wazeh hota hai ke market ke participants ko ek naya reference point mil gaya hai, jise woh apne future trading decisions ke liye istemal kar sakte hain. Is situation mein, traders aur investors ko naye scenarios ko samajhne aur unke liye tayari karne ki zarurat hoti hai. Overall, tejarati session mein dekhe gaye trends se hume yeh samajh milta hai ke market dynamics hamesha change hote rehte hain aur traders ko is baat ka dhyan rakhna zaruri hai ke woh mukhtalif factors ko samajh kar apni strategies ko adjust karte rahein.

USD/JPY H4


Aik dilchasp maamla jo USDJPY ke H4 time frame par dekha gaya hai, woh hairan kun bullish taiz raftaar ka zahir hona hai. Is barhte hue keemat ka tezi se barhna, traders ke liye ek dilchasp afsana ki nishani hai, jo ek wazeh oopri shakal ki tameer se saboot hai. Ye maqalah is ahem qeemat ki karkardagi ke peechay ke dynamic mein gehri tahqiq karta hai aur potential mustaqbil ke trends ke liye wazahat faraham karta hai. USDJPY jodi ne apni keemat ke harek raftar mein aik numaya izafa dekha hai, utsalar H4 time frame mein. Ye tezi market mein mazboot bullish jazbaat ka izhar hai, jo uptrend ke saath mawafiq moqay talashne wale traders ke liye ek mufeed mahol ki alaamat hai. Qareeb se ghoor se, ye wazeh ho jata hai ke keemat ke amal ne effectively ek oopri shakal ki tameer ki hai. Ye dhancha sakht market trend ka ek ahem nishan hai, jis se potential mustaqbil ke keemat ke barhne ke imkaanat ko pehchana ja sakta hai. Market dynamics ko samajhne ke liye, yeh zaroori hai ke hum USDJPY ke mukhtalif factors ko madda-e-asar tor par ghoor se dekhen. Economic indicators, geopolitical events, aur monetary policies jese cheezon ka bhi asar ho sakta hai. Is waqt, jab ke global economic recovery ki ummeed hai, USDJPY ke bullish raftaar ko samajhna aur analyze karna zaroori hai.Is bullish trend ke peechay ke kuch muddat hotay hain, jinmein technical analysis ka istemal mukhtalif chart patterns, trend lines, aur indicators ke zariye keemaat ke future raftar ko pehchanna mein madadgar sabit hota hai. Ye analysis, traders ko market ke mukhtalif moqay aur entry/exit points ke baray mein behtar samajh pohanchnay mein madadgar hoti hai. Lekin, yaad rahe ke market mein kisi bhi waqt tabdeeliyan ho sakti hain, is liye risk management ka hona zaroori hai. Traders ko apni positions ko monitor karte rehna chahiye aur market conditions ke mutabiq apni strategies ko adjust karna chahiye. Aakhir mein, USDJPY ke H4 time frame par dekha gaya bullish trend, traders ke liye ek behtareen mauqa hai takay woh market ke movements ko samajh sakein aur munafa kamane ka faida utha sakein. Lekin, har trade ki tarah, is mein bhi risk hai, aur is liye traders ko hoshiyar aur taiyar rehna chahiye.

Magar dekho, agar price aglay resistance zone, yaani 156.80-158.30 ki taraf jaye, toh wo ziada dilchasp lagta hai. Agar current level se neeche 154.40 ke neeche fake breakout hua, toh bhi. Lekin agar izafa ho raha hai, toh phir dekhna dilchasp hoga ke Bank of Japan kitna tayyar hai intervene karne ke liye. Lekin mujhe lagta hai ke intervention ki had guz chuki hai, aur woh zubani tor par volatility ko rokne ki koshish karenge. Mutabiqan, agar shorts jari rahenge, toh izafa jari rahega, aur phir hum 160 figure tak ponch sakte hain, shorts ki tezi mein sharp kami, aur khareedaron mein izafa, aur yeh bhi mumkin hai ke yeh palatne aur price mein kami ka sabab bane.
USDJPY Good afternoon! Thursday ko, bullish trend mein kuch correction hua jo do dinon tak chala, aur aaj ke din situation kaafi tabdeel ho sakti hai; 4 ghantay ka growth index, jo pehle bears ke paas gaya tha, aaj bullish ho sakta hai, jo haftay ke darja mein aglay izafa ka sabab bana sakta hai. Seedhi baat hai, aglay dino mein hum 155.96 tak ka breakthrough dekh sakte hain, phir 156.50 ke ilaake mein izafa ho sakta hai.



Haqeeqat mein, movement kisi bhi taraf ho sakti hai.mujhe lagta hai ke intervention ki had guz chuki hai, aur woh zubani tor par volatility ko rokne ki koshish karenge.
Mutabiqan, agar shorts jari rahenge, toh izafa jari rahega, aur phir hum 160 figure tak ponch sakte hain, shorts ki tezi mein sharp kami, aur khareedaron mein izafa, aur yeh bhi mumkin hai ke yeh palatne aur price mein kami ka sabab bane.
USDJPY Good afternoon! Thursday ko, bullish trend mein kuch correction hua jo do dinon tak chala, aur aaj ke din situation kaafi tabdeel ho sakti hai; 4 ghantay ka growth index, jo pehle bears ke paas gaya tha, aaj bullish ho sakta hai, jo haftay ke darja mein aglay izafa ka sabab bana sakta hai. Seedhi baat hai, aglay dino mein hum 155.96 tak ka breakthrough dekh sakte hain

USD/JPY currency pair ab moment mein kharidarun ki taraf se bullish asar ka samna kar rahi hai. Yeh aik moqa hai ke lambi positions kholne ka ghoor kiya jaye. 1 ghantay ka waqt frame ka tajziya kar ke, karobarion ko 154.827 par aham rukawat ka pata lagaya ja sakta hai. Yeh level faida hasil karne ke liye maqsad ka kaam karta hai, jahan karobarion ko tamaam mojooda lambi positions band karne ka ghoor karna chahiye. Khas trading strategies mein dakhil hone se pehle, zaroori hai ke USD/JPY currency pair ko mutadid market conditions ka asar samajhna. Taaza tajziya ke mutabiq, kharidar significant asar daal rahe hain, jo ke market mein bullish jazbaat ko darust kar raha hai. Yeh daryaft karata hai ke ooncha samay lambi positions ki ibtida ke liye moqamiat ka faida uthaya ja sakta hai, oopar ki raftar ka faida utha kar. H4 waqt frame mein zoom kar ke, USD/JPY currency pair ke daam gharelo harkat aur ahem levels ke baray mein ahem maloomat faraham karta hai. Ab, ooncha rukawat level numainda taur par 154.827 par qaim hai. Yeh level do kaam ki rukawat ka kaam karta hai

Moujooda market dynamics, jo karobarion ko oopri raftar par sawar hone ki ijaazat deta hai. Magar, risk management tadabeer ko amal mein laana aur wazeh munafa lenay ke maqasid qaim karna ahem hai. Trading mein, risk management lambay arsay tak kamiyabi ke liye intehai zaroori hai. Kisi bhi position mein dakhil honay se pehle, karobarion ko apni risk bardasht ka jaiza lena chahiye aur munasib positions ki qaim karna zaroori hai. Yeh yaqeeni banata hai ke mumkinah nuqsaanat ko qaboo mein rakha ja sakay, hata ke mukhalif daam harkat ki surat mein bhi. Mazeed, ahem support levels ke neeche stop-loss orders ka qaim karna neeche ke risk ko kam karne mein madad kar sakta hai. Jab USD/JPY currency pair ooncha rukawat level 154.827 tak pohnchta hai, to karobarion ko mufeed munafa lenay ki strategies tayyar karni chahiye. Ek tareeqa yeh hai ke daam is level ke qareeb pohnchta hai to lambi positions ko dhaire dhaire band kar diya jaaye, safar ke doran munafa hasil karna. Doosra, karobarion ko mumkinah hotay hi saari mojooda lambi positions band karne ka intikhab karne diya jaaye jab daam rukawat level tak pohnchta hai, faida hasil kar ke aur mazeed opportunities ke liye market ke sharaait ko dobara tajziya kiya jaaye.

usd/jpy price overview.
USDJPY ab apni tareekhi uchayi ke qareeb hai, jo pichle maheenay mein tajdeed ki gayi thi. Magar kabhi-kabhi rukawat bhi zaroori hoti hai. Lekin yeh sirf aam guftugu hai, aur hum yahan se trading shuru kar chuke hain, is liye main char ghanton ke arsay par wapas aa jata hoon. Aur yahan par woh cheez hai jo thodi si izafaat ka ahsaas hota hai, lekin abhi tak is ne udaan nahi bharhi hai (by the way, yahan par aam tor par izaafi ziada ho gayi hai, yeh kisi anay wapis jane ke nishaan ho sakta hai). RSI aur stochastic thori si ooper dekh rahe hain, keemat ne abhi tak ooper Bollinger band ko paar karne mein kamyabi nahi hasil ki hai, jo mojooda doran 155.98 par hai. Nahin, zaroor hum ab ooper Bollinger band ke ooper ja sakte hain. Magar main samajhta hoon ke woh pehle se neeche mude hue hain aur sab se pehle chalain hum wapas middle Bollinger band ki taraf, jo mojooda doran 155.62 par hai. Dekhenge ke kya keemat is dafa kam jasakti hai ya nahi. Agar ho sakti hai, to phir aik mukammal sahara kshetra humain aage bhi milti rahegi, jo 155.37/23 hai, yeh MA pair aur nichlay Bollinger band hain. Wahan, aap ko bhi dekhna hoga ke keemat in teeno lakeeron ke neeche girti hai ya nahi. Khush rahen aur khush haal trading.
Technical chart.

USDJPY currency pair par ab bhi bullon ka dabao jari hai. Woh apne kharidari positions ko mehnat se qaim rakhte hain aur qeemat ko ooncha karne ki koshish karte hain. Kharidari k liye 156.455 ke dar tak pohanchne ka khwahishmand faisla nazar ata hai. Market ke is hisse mein aqalmandi se buyers ki harkaton mein shamil hona aur unke sath mil kar long positions ko 156.455 ke dar tak qaim rakhne ka ek acha faisla hoga. Buland market ki sarsari aur tezi se barhne ki sorat mein, 156.455 ke dar se oopar ka tezi se girna ke bhi tajurba dekha ja sakta hai. Mojudah darje 155.817 se farokht karna ab mumkin nahi lagta, lekin 156.455 ke dar se oopar farokht karna haqiqat mein mufeed aur acha nateeja de sakta hai. Yaad rakhen ke USDJPY pair ab bhi ek bullish momentum mein hai, aur iske khatam hone ke baad farokht karne ka aksar aik sudhar hoga. Jab ki available funds ko capital management strategy ka hissa banaenge, to is point ko zaroor madde nazar rakhunga.
Jumma ko, USDJPY ne mamooli munafa hasil kiya. Rozana ke charts mein jeetne wala trend zahir hai, jahan ke qeemat abhi MA pair aur Bollinger average se upar hai jo 155.17/154.68 hai. Halankeh RSI aur stochastic indicators ek tezi ka ishara dete hain, unki taqat shak ki gayi hai, aur mazeed barhav mushkil hai. Agar tezi jari rahe, to jodi shayad upper Bollinger band ko 157.19 par test kare, jo ek neeche ki uchhal ko janam de sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar aik ulat pher hoti hai bina kisi bade izafay ke, to ye neeche ki taraf chalne ka aghaz karega, jo moving averages ko tasdeeq ke liye nazar andaaz karne ko zaroori banayega. Agar ek giravat paida hoti hai, to jodi neeche ki Bollinger band ko 152.77 par nishana bana sakti hai. Pichle hafte, koi ahem khabron ne market ko utsahit nahi kiya, aur jodi poori hafte mein ek tang range mein rahi, jo ek seedha pattern ki nishani hai.

USDJPY pair ne aik qeemat ka daira banaya hai jahan se sab se zyada darja (155.93) par resistance hai, iske neeche bechna ab pehle hai. Ab qeemat ikhtra karnay ka daur mein hai aur agar uttar chalein, to bechna rad karna hoga aur kharidna karna hoga. Ek mushabah surat haal dekhne ko milti hai jab dakshin chalein. Bechna bhi hota hai jab muqami minimum ko tod diya jata hai. 155.18 par support ka tod bearish mood ko mazboot karega, jo be shak qeemat ko pichle haftay ke minimum ilaqay ki taraf kheenchega.

Aam tor par dekha gaya hai ke yen ka dobara girna jari rahega, khaaskar Japanese sarkari bondon ki talaab mein giravat se, jo khaas tor par USD/JPY joray ke uparward rawish ko numainda karta hai. Is lehaaz se, mojooda darusti ke mukammal honay ke baad, mujhe zyada yeh ummeed hai ke 156.24 (Murray 2.8) mukhalif darjaat ka tod dekhne ko milega, jis par keemat H4 badal jaegi, mukabil me jora 153.12 (Murray 1.8) darjaat tak lautega, khaaskar jab bikriyon ko Kijun line ke sath samna karna hoga.
155.75-156.40 mukhalif darjaat se is tang izafa se nikalna, aur 157.45, ya to nichle rukh mein ho sakta hai, kam az kam ik maqami rokawat tak figure 154 mein, ya mazeed barhna, 156.80-158.30 ke mukhalif darjaat tak. Aur, aam tor par, pehle zikar shuda manzar ziada dilchaspi ka markaz hai. Kyunki, pichli mushabihat ke mutabiq, aur is ke ilawa, shiraaik shirkat dikhate hue, USDJPY joray ke liye, har imkaan hai ke is tang izafa se uttarward hoga. Kahan, pehle, yeh dekhna dilchaspi ka markaz hoga ke shiraaik kis tarah se is izafa ka jawab denge. Magar, kuch cheezen yeh kehti hain ke jawab wohi hoga jaise jab 152 figure ko tod diya gaya tha, jahan jora farokht hua tha, is liye, imkaan hai ke agle mukhalif darjaat mein dolar/yen farokht kiya jaye ga. Agar woh maqami rokawat ko izazat den, to phir unhi darjaaton se ik maqami rokawat hone ka ziada imkaan hai, phir yeh sab ko ik jhoota tod diya jaega aur baad mein keemat izafa hogi. Magar, agar woh mukammal tor par qabza kar lein, to haan, 152 figure tak pohanchne ka imkaan hai.

Asalam-o-Alaikum dosto traders! Jaise ke aap chart mein dekh sakte hain, moving average keemat se kam hai; is wajah se sirf khareedari karna zyada munafa bakhsh hai. Khareedari ki alaamat ko tasdeeq karne ke liye, mere pass MACD oscillator hai. Chart dikhata hai ke oscillator histogram 0 ke oopar hai, is liye mein khareedari par munafa hasil karne par aitmaad kar raha hoon. Mein 155.36 se makhsoos khareedariyan karoonga - yeh market mein dakhil hone aur aaj ke liye munafa kamane ka behtareen waqt hai. 155.16. Agar yeh kaam karta hai, to hum foran ek mukhalif lamha talaash sakte hain. Magar wahi dakhil kiye gaye tajziati mantik ka mushahida. Hamara TP khud ba khud kaam kare ga jab hamari nigrani mein rakhi gayi maqsad ki keemat 155.96 tak pohanch jaye gi. Hum market mein rahenge jab tak keemat kisi bhi stop loss ya take profit ke darjaton mein na pohanch jaye.
, bikharne walon ke tamam koshishon ke bawajood, din ke doran USD/JPY ke keemat 150.78 ke aakhri uttar start ki line ke oopar rahi, jo kehni hai ke fahar-e-dolat-yen ke liye is waqt abhi bhi rukh oopar rehta hai. Iss instrument ke liye qareebi muqabla POS 155.61 par hai, aur agar bull is darjaat ko todte hain, to unhe pehle impulse zone 157.29 ke darjaat ko dobara test karne ka mauqa milega, jise ek mazeed taazgi se bharne ka khadsha hai agle level par pehle zone 161.31 , aur shayad zyada. Agar POS 155.61 ka muqabla karta hai aur is se Japanese yen phir se dakshin ki taraf mud jaati hai, to USD/JPY ke keemat dobara ek uttar start ki line 150.78 ke taraf ek naye girawat shuru kar sakti hai, jis mein is darjaat se umeed hai ke naye koshishon ko is darjaat se barhna. To hum kisi pratikriya ka intezaar kar rahe hain.

USDJPY. Good afternoon Jumeraat ko, bullion ne do din tak chalne wale ek qisam ke islah mein dakhil ho gaye, aur aaj mahaul nihayat tabdeel ho sakta hai; 4-hour ke izafa index, pehle barso ko mila hua, aaj bull ban sakta hai, jo ke agle izafe ki dhaar ko utpann kar sakta hai, ab haftawar ke darmiyan. Sarear, agle keemti darje ke utarte hain 155.96 aur phir izafe ki taraf 156.50 ke shetra mein izafe ke liye.
Haqeeqat mein, harkat kisi bhi simt mein ho sakti hai, lekin sa'atwari izafa index ki maujoodgi jo keemat ke saath taqreeban bayrozgar karta hai, ishaarat deti hai ke shumali izafe ka jaari rahna. Magar volumes girte ja rahe hain, isliye agar indicator indicators mukhtalif hote hain, to main bench par rehna pasand karta hoon, lekin agar kisi bhi line 155.97/155.33 tooti hai, to main dakhil karne ka tajziya karna shuru karunga.

Haqeeqat mein, islah ke doran, girawat nahi hui, isliye is waqt main nihayat shumali izafe ka intezar karta hoon jab tak 155.33 ke support toot nahi jaata; ek break ke saath, shumal ka toor diya jata hai aur main dakshin ki taraf ki soch raha hoon. Magar main dohraata hoon, ab tawajju shumal par mabni hai aur yeh ahem hai ke 155.97 ke upar tootne ka intezar kia jaye, lekin sab se pehle 155.97 ke upar ek 4-hour candle ke upar tootne ka tootna chahiye. Aaj, teesra scenario mumkin hai, 155.97/155.33 ke tang haddon ke darmiyan hone ke bajaye.

Ye meri taraf se pasand nahi hai kyunke maine peer ke khulne par bohot zyada fayda hasil kiya tha. Magar haalat yeh hain. Main umeed kar raha hoon thori rookhaavat ho. Halankeh, zyadatar, yeh chamak nahi dikhti. Kharidari karne walay ab qeemat ko jitna mumkin hai buland karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Yahan par main ek mojza ki umeed rakhta hoon ke haftay ka profile umeed hai ke mukammal ho Tuesday ko.

USDCAD pair ki is haftay ke trading mein bullish price channels mein kaam kiya gaya, jo pichlay do hafton ke price movements ko darust kartay thay. Magar, haftay ka aghaz weekly pivot level ke neechay opening ke saath hua, jo ibtedai neechay ki taraf movement ko trigger kar diya. Baad mein, price ko support mila, jo pehlay resistance level 1.3730 ki taraf barhne ka rasta ban gaya, jo ab tak mazboot rok tha.
Mausam ke andar, price ek potential sideways trading zone ke andar hai, jo weekly pivot level aur resistance level 1.3780 ke darmiyan hai, jaisa ke safed rectangle se zahir hai. Jabke bearish raasta jaari hai, confirmation price channels aur weekly pivot level ke breach ka intezar hai.

Oil ke 4-hour chart par, peechlay teen hafton se ek downward trend jaari raha hai, aur is haftay price descending price channels ke andar shuru hui, jo peechlay do hafton ke movement ko reflect kartay hain. Khaas taur par, is haftay giravat ke shiddat ne peechlay do hafton ki giravat ko paar kiya. Haftay ke aghaz mein, price ne weekly pivot level aur upper channel line ke neeche ja kar sideways movement shuru ki. Haalaanki, haftay ke shuru mein chadhne ki koshish ke baad, sideways movement ne neeche girne wali lehron ke saath khatam hui, jiskey baad key support levels toot gaye.

Mujhe is tak pohanchne ki meri salahiyat mujhe apna maqsad haasil karne mein madad karegi. Magar is ke bawajood, prices kal ke prices ko pakadne wale resistance area mein atki hui hain, aur ye market aglay kadam ka pata nahi laga sakta. Ye zaroori hai ke inkar ne price ko nihayat hi neeche 1.3560 tak le gaya, ek support level ke liye.

Aaj, channels ke tootne aur mazboot rebound ke baad, price pehle se breach kiye gaye channels ko dobara test kar rahi hai. Is ilaake mein rukawat ka intezar hai, jo ke neeche ki taraf giravat ka aghaz kar sakta hai.

USD/JPY currency pair ka tajziya karne se pehle, market ke mukhtalif factors ka jayeza lena zaroori hai. Abhi moment mein, USD/JPY pair kharidarun ki taraf se bullish asar ka samna kar rahi hai, jo ke trading opportunities ka zahir nishaan hai. 1 ghantay ka waqt frame ka istemal karke, karobarion ko 154.821 par aham rukawat ka pata lagaya ja sakta hai. Yeh ek mukhtasar muddat hai lekin is waqt frame mein aksar short-term trends aur patterns zahir ho sakte hain, jo ke trading ke faislon par asar daal sakte hain. Agar market mein 154.821 par aham rukawat aaye, to yeh ek sabaq sikhne ka mauqa ho sakta hai. Is tarah ki rukawat, market ke dynamics aur sentiment ko samajhne ka zariya ban sakti hai. Agar yeh rukawat waziha hoti hai, to traders ko future ke liye apne trading strategies ko tajziya karne ka mauqa milta hai. Us waqt, jab 154.821 par rukawat aaye, traders ko candlestick patterns aur technical indicators ka istemal kar ke market ke next possible move ko anjaam dena hoga. Iske ilawa, fundamental analysis bhi ahem hai taake traders ko market ke mukhtalif aspects ka pata chal sake, jese ke monetary policy decisions, economic indicators aur geopolitical events. Aik aur important factor, risk management hai. Jab bhi trading karte hue, traders ko apne positions ka size aur stop loss levels ka tay kiya ja sakta hai, taake nuksan ko kam kiya ja sake aur faiday ko zyada kiya ja sake. Bilkul, lambi positions kholne ka faisla karne se pehle, traders ko market ka pura tajziya karna chahiye aur risk ko samajhna chahiye. Lambi positions kholtay waqt, stop loss levels ka tay kiya ja sakta hai taake nuksan ko control kiya ja sake. Iske ilawa, market ke mukhtalif aspects ko tajziya karna aur apne trading strategies ko adjust karna bhi zaroori hai. Overall, USD/JPY currency pair ke bullish trend mein lambi positions kholne ka faisla karne se pehle, traders ko market ka pura tajziya karna chahiye aur risk ko samajhna chahiye. Technical aur fundamental analysis ke saath sahi risk management ka istemal karke, traders apne trading decisions ko improve kar sakte hain.

USD/JPY outlook analysis:

155.81 ke qeemat ka tajziya aik ahem morr par laaya gaya, jo MACD indicator ke nascent uruj se milta tha jo neutral zero point se taaluq rakhta tha, is se dollar par bullish stance ikhtiyar karne ka moqa tasdeeq karta tha. Magar, bullish momentum chand lamha ka tha, jab United States se kamzor ma'ashiyati data ne USD/JPY jodi par neechay ki taraf dabaav dalna shuru kiya. Magar, market ne subah ke session mein mustaqil pan paya, jis par umeedwar intesharaat se mand Japanese ghar ki takhfeef, bank lending ke fa'al harkaat aur current account balance ke baare mein ummeedwar nishanat ne sambhal diya.

Haalaanki, rozaana ke high ko torne ki shuruaati koshishon ke bawajood, jin par U.S. consumer sentiment index aur United States mein mehsoolat ki dabao ke intehaai umeedon ke sath dollar ek baar phir dabao mein aa gaya. Aaj ka tajziya tasawwur karta hai ke jodi aik makhsoos channel ke andar safar karegi, jahan market ke hissedar dollar ko aktiva taur par hasil karna pasand karte hain, taake wo naye maqami uroojon ka qayam kar sakein. Magar, hosla daryaft karta hai ke lambi positionen munasib kam darjat par shuru ki jayein. Intahai dinbhar ke strategies ke lehaz se, ek muharrif qareebi tor par aik nazar aur scenarios No. 1 aur No. 2 ke amal par tabiyaat karta hai.

Buy signal Scenario No. 1 ke mazmoon ke mutabiq, maqsad hai ke USD/JPY position mein dakhil hon jab ke qeemat chart par sabit entry point 155.96 par milti hai, jise zardi mizaj ki manzil ke sath mataliqa safed rasta dharaya gaya hai, maqsad 156.25 tak barhna hai, jo ke zyada ehem sabit nali ka tasawar hai. 156.25 inteha ko pohanchte hi, strategy yeh samjhti hai ke lambi positionen ko maal se tabdeel kar dena aur mukhtalif rasta mein 30-35 pips ke range mein mukhtalif rasta mein mukhtalif rasta mein palatne ka intezar karna hai. Mojooda market ki jazbat kuch bullish outlook par muntazim hain USD/JPY ke liye aaj, jo mojudah ki taraf ishtihaar ka arz kar raha hai.



Aaj ke USD/JPY ke liye bullish outlook hone ke baawajood, agar kisi bhi surat mein kharidari signal No. 1 ka paalan karna hai, toh manzoor-e-nazar entry point 155.96 par hogi, jo ke chart par sabz rastaar se darust kiya gaya hai. Is maqam ko pohanchte hi, 156.25 ke liye uthne ki tabadla kiye gaye hain, jo zyada wazeh sabz sehad hai. Jab 156.25 ke maqam par pohanchein, to long positions ko khatam kar ke short positions mein dakhil hona hai, agle mukhalif rukh ke 30-35 pips ke fasle ki umeed ke saath. Majooda market sentiment USD/JPY ke liye aaj ke liye bullish hai, jo ke upar ki taraf ki rukh ko darust karti hai.

USD/JPY Technical Analysis

USD/JPY taqreeban bechain din guzra, thora sa izafa hua aur sir ka oopri hissa thora sa barh gaya. Aaj bhi oopar ka hissa thora neeche daba diya gaya, is waqt bearishness ke liye koi khaas umeed nahi hai. Daamo ne qeemat ko samjha aur oopar hi rehne ki koshish ki. Girne ki koshishen foran rok di gayi. Laher ki shakal apni tarteeb ko oopar ki taraf banati ja rahi hai, MACD indicator upper buy zone mein barh raha hai aur apni signal line ke upar hai. Magar CCI indicator upper overheating zone se neeche aa raha hai, haal hi mein upper zone se neeche se upper zone par chala gaya hai, yeh girawat ka izafa yahan se shuru hone ki imkaan ko barha deta hai. Magar zahir hai ke woh shayad abhi tak maximum ko thora sa update kar sakte hain. Girawat ka ek koshish hui jisme ke daam taqreeban pehla ahem support level 153.40 tak pohnch gaya aur jese ke kanta laga ho, qeemat is ilaqe se phir se oopar uth gayi. Main ab bhi aik muwazna girawat umeed karta hoon jo ke 151.90 ke asar ke qareeb hone ki hai, yeh sirf aik level nahi, balkay yahan ka markazi paani ka dohran hai. Yeh 2022 aur 2023 ka maximum hai aur aap dekh sakte hain ke daam isay takreeban aik mahinay ke liye neeche daba raha tha, isay bahir jane ki himmat nahi hui. Magar ab woh chali gayi aur ab woh wapis nahi jaana chahti. Magar main ab bhi samajhta hoon ke woh is level ko aik maqnat ki tarah khenchenge, todhne ke baad aik ulta imtehan dena zaroori hai, agar hum mazeed bulandiyon tak chale gaye jo is terminal ke tamam tareekh mein kabhi nahi dekhe gaye hain. Jab tak yeh palatvaar mojood nahi hota, aap kharid nahi sakte; aap market ka top pakar sakte hain. Zahir hai ke yahan ek intehai ahem nukta hai, spring dab gayi hai aur ek shadeed girawat ho sakti hai. Mere khayal mein, yahan H4 par aik mirror level ke banne ka intezar karna chahiye ya kam az kam H1 par uzoo mein, taake support se resistance ban jaaye aur aik mawazna girawat ki taraf mukhalif karen. H4 par, jab mojooda top ko update kiya gaya, to MACD indicator par bearish divergence ban gaya, yeh aik wajah hai ke agar aap nahi bechte, to aap bilkul bhi nahi kharidte. Aaj economic calendar mein koi ahem maqamiyat nahi hai

Haftawar chart mein USD/JPY mein, qeemat mustaqil tor par oopar ki taraf ja rahi hai, jis se ek mukammal bullish candle ban gayi hai jo mukhtalif qareebi rukawat ke qareeb band hui hai, jo ke meri tajziya ke mutabiq 155.953 par waqe hai. Aane wale haftay ke liye, main mukarrar resistance level ko 155.953 par nazar andaaz karne ka irada rakhta hoon, jis ke qareeb do mukhtalif surat-e-haal samne aa sakti hain. Pehla manzar yeh hai ke qeemat is level ke oopar mazboot hoti hai aur apne shumali harkat ko jari rakhti hai. Agar yeh mansooba kamyaab ho gaya, to main qeemat ko 160.209 ke resistance level ki taraf barhne ka intezaar karunga. Jab qeemat is resistance level ke oopar band hoti hai, to main mazeed shumali harkat ki umeed rakhta hoon, 164.500 ke resistance level tak. Is resistance level ke qareeb, main trading setup ke banne ka intezaar karunga, jo mazeed trading ka rukh tay karne mein madad karega. Beshak, main tasleem karta hoon ke mukhtalif door ki shumali hadiyon ki taraf qeemat ke harkat ke doran, junubi murawajat aa sakti hain, jinhe main istemal karne ka irada rakhta hoon taake qareebi support levels se bullish signals talash kar sakoon, qeemat ko upar ki taraf ubharte hue, aik global bullish trend ke formation ke dauran. Agar agle test par qeemat 155.953 ke resistance level ke sath mukhtalif ho jaaye, to qeemat ke harkat ke liye aik alternate plan hai jo ke aik reversal candle ke formation aur qeemat ke harkat ko phir se niche ki taraf jari karne ka hai. Agar yeh mansooba kaamyaab ho gaya, to main qeemat ko support level par laute hue dekhna chahta hoon jo ke 151.856 par waqe hai ya support level 150.809 par. In support levels ke qareeb, main mazeed bullish signals talash karunga, qeemat ke upar ki taraf harkat ki umeed rakhte hue. Mukhtasaran kaha jaye to, agle haftay ke liye, main mukhtalif tor par qeemat ka oopar ki taraf jaari rehne ka tawaqo karta hoon, lekin mazeed door ke shumali maqamat ki taraf kaam karne ke liye, mujhe qeemat ko mustaqil tor par 155.953 ke resistance level ke oopar mazboot dekhna pasand hai

مئی 13 2024 کو امریکی ڈالر/جاپانی ین کے لیے پیشن گوئی

آج تک، امریکی ڈالر/جاپانی ین جوڑے نے بیک وقت عروج اور زوال دونوں کے لیے پیچیدہ اور متضاد حالات بنائے ہیں۔ ترقی کے حق میں، ہمارے پاس بینک آف جاپان کی کرنسی مداخلتوں کی وجہ سے قیمتوں میں زبردست کمی ہے، جس نے نئے خریداروں کے لیے 160.40 اور اس سے اوپر (163.85) کے لیے ہدف بنانے کا راستہ صاف کر دیا، اور ساتھ ہی مارلن آسکیلیٹر بھی اوپر کے رجحان والے علاقے میں واپس آ رہا ہے۔



کمی کی حمایت کرتے ہوئے، ہمارے پاس گزشتہ دو دنوں میں نمو میں تیزی سے سست روی آئی ہے، ہدف مزاحمت 155.75 پر اور 50% کی فبونیکی سطح سے پہلے۔ ان پوزیشنوں سے، ہم نے دیکھا کہ مارلن آسیلیٹر میں صفر لائن سے نیچے واپس آنے کا رجحان ہے۔ ہمیں خود قیمت سے ایک سگنل کی ضرورت ہے، اور اس کے لیے، یومیہ کینڈل کو 155.75 کی سطح سے اوپر یا نیچے بند ہونا چاہیے، جو اس وقت وہیں ہے جہاں یہ ہے۔ اگر قیمت مندی کے منظر نامے کا انتخاب کرتی ہے تو، پہلا ہدف 153.75 نشان کے ارد گرد ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن ہو گا، جو 23.6% کی فبونیکی سطح کے بالکل قریب ہے۔ جہاں تک مندی کے منظر نامے کا تعلق ہے، ہدف 158.00 کی درمیانی سطح - 1 مئی کی چوٹی ہوگی۔

٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، قیمت 155.75 کی سطح پر اور ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن پر مستحکم ہوتی ہے۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر دھیرے دھیرے نیچے کے رجحان والے علاقے کی حد کی طرف اتر رہا ہے، جس سے قیمتوں کو مندی کے منظر نامے کا انتخاب کرنے کا اشارہ ملتا ہے۔ صورتحال کو واضح کرنے کے لیے ہمیں کم از کم ایک دن گزرنے دینا چاہیے۔



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