USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Salam! Main ne pair khareedne ka faisla fundamental aur technical wajahon ki bina par kia hai, jis mein din ke andar ka andar dekhne par negativism hai. 4 ghante ka chart dekhte hue, hum envelope par kaam kar rahe hain magar mazeed izafay ke liye khula hua hai jab ke kharidaron ke ilaqe aur envelope ke andar ADX dono mein hain. Magar, main 111.15 ke neeche dakhil hone par skeptical hoon kyun ke ye pehla signal hai munafa fix karne ka. Ek aur pehlu jis par main guman karta hoon middles line ke liye jung, jo ke kharidaron ke ilaqe mein ab tak hai lambay arse ke liye. Darust hoga ke medium term ke tajziya mein, 110.60 se neeche na jaana behtar hai, jahan se bahar jaana chahiye. Phir, dosray wave mein correction ki maujooda halaat tasdiq ki ja sakti hai aur teesri wave ke mazeed izafay ka intezar kiya ja sakta hai.

Fahmi hisse mein, bear market har market mein top par hai. Main ne foreign headlines par tafseelat mein nahi gaya aur sab kuch Trump administration, Turkey, aur doosray headlines ke baray mein wahi hai. Ye kafi hai ke focus commodity market, bond market aur stock indices par kiya jaye. Bears Japanese yen ke ziada demand ke saath pressure mein hain. Magar, taaza assest ka taluq acha nahi hai. Maal jaise ke oil, aluminum, aur metal ghate, jo ke risky assests mein thori fikar paida karti hai. Debt ka ek daur hai jo treasury securities mein girawat ka sabab hai. American treasuries 2.90% se 20 points se zyada bounce hue hain. Credit system ka aam manzar sab laal par koshish kar raha hai.

Phir bhi, bulls ko aaj ke liye kuch karne ki zaroorat nahi hai. Main 110.60 ke aas paas kharidne ki koshish karoonga aur agar ye neeche jaata hai, to ye pehli stage se gir gaya hoga aur zaroori hai ke price ke reaction ka intezar kya jaaye jo inclined area ke 110.20 ke qareeb jaane par hoga. Neeche jis se, aik mukammal turn ho sakta hai aur bulls ko maat de sakta hai.

Salam! Main ne pair khareedne ka faisla fundamental aur technical wajahon ki bina par kia hai, jis mein din ke andar ka andar dekhne par negativism hai. 4 ghante ka chart dekhte hue, hum envelope par kaam kar rahe hain magar mazeed izafay ke liye khula hua hai jab ke kharidaron ke ilaqe aur envelope ke andar ADX dono mein hain. Magar, main 111.15 ke neeche dakhil hone par skeptical hoon kyun ke ye pehla signal hai munafa fix karne ka. Ek aur pehlu jis par main guman karta hoon middles line ke liye jung, jo ke kharidaron ke ilaqe mein ab tak hai lambay arse ke liye. Darust hoga ke medium term ke tajziya mein, 110.60 se neeche na jaana behtar hai, jahan se bahar jaana chahiye. Phir, dosray wave mein correction ki maujooda halaat tasdiq ki ja sakti hai aur teesri wave ke mazeed izafay ka intezar kiya ja sakta hai.

Fahmi hisse mein, bear market har market mein top par hai. Main ne foreign headlines par tafseelat mein nahi gaya aur sab kuch Trump administration, Turkey, aur doosray headlines ke baray mein wahi hai. Ye kafi hai ke focus commodity market, bond market aur stock indices par kiya jaye. Bears Japanese yen ke ziada demand ke saath pressure mein hain. Magar, taaza assest ka taluq acha nahi hai. Maal jaise ke oil, aluminum, aur metal ghate, jo ke risky assests mein thori fikar paida karti hai. Debt ka ek daur hai jo treasury securities mein girawat ka sabab hai. American treasuries 2.90% se 20 points se zyada bounce hue hain. Credit system ka aam manzar sab laal par koshish kar raha hai.

Phir bhi, bulls ko aaj ke liye kuch karne ki zaroorat nahi hai. Main 110.60 ke aas paas kharidne ki koshish karoonga aur agar ye neeche jaata hai, to ye pehli stage se gir gaya hoga aur zaroori hai ke price ke reaction ka intezar kya jaaye jo inclined area ke 110.20 ke qareeb jaane par hoga. Neeche jis se, aik mukammal turn ho sakta hai aur bulls ko maat de sakta hai.

Salam dosto, haftay ka choutha din hai aur trading ka jaiza lene ka waqt aa gaya hai. Main USD/JPY market ka tajziya aapke sath share karunga. Price ki movement dekhtay hue, USD/JPY likha waqt 154.29 par trade ho raha hai. Market price 20 dinon ka exponential moving average ke upar chali gayi hai, jo chart par mazboot uptrend ka indicator hai aur dikhata hai ke hum resistance ki taraf ja rahe hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) ka indicator barh raha hai aur 60 level tak pohanchne ke baad thora sa gira hai. Jab RSI 50 ke neeche jaata hai, toh yeh yeh darshata hai ke behtar waqt aa sakta hai bechne ka kyun ke market mein negativiti nazar aa rahi hai. Usi waqt, moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator 0 ke neeche jaane ke baad barh raha hai. Isliye MACD kharidari ke liye ek musbat nazar hai. USD/JPY market price simple 50 EMA aur 20 EMA ke upar chali gayi hai aur agar resistance ko toora jaye, toh price mazeed barh sakti hai

Daily chart dekhtay hue, USD/JPY pair aage badhta ja raha hai aur Bollinger Bands Channel ke upper line ke qareeb rehta hai. Lekin jab woh 155 ke qareeb jaata hai, toh seemit hone lagta hai. Halankeh technical indicators ka rukh nahi badla, lekin ab woh aise zone mein hai jahan choti dair ke liye zyada buland hai. Humain ihtiyat baratni chahiye kyun ke choti dair mein girne ka khatra hai. Humain dekhna chahiye ke agar exchange rate 155 ke qareeb aa gaya, toh kya Japanese government kuch karti hai. Agar woh nahi ghalti, toh USD/JPY zyada barhne ki sambhavna hai takay dekha ja sake ke Japanese government kitna bardasht kar sakti hai

USDJPY Market Analysis

USDJPY currency pair haal hi ki takneeki tahlil ke roshni mein dilchaspi angaiz dynamics dikha raha hai, khaaskar H1 chart par. Aik mumkin farokht ka moqa paida ho raha hai, jo 153.500 ke resistance level ke neeche qeemat ka mazboot ho jana par moqtad hai. Ye tahlil ishara karti hai ke market mein bearish lehja qawi hai, jahan nishana 151.00 par rakha gaya hai. Magar, forex trading ke mazeed complexities ko samajhne ke liye daanishmand risk management strategies zaroori hain.





Takneeki Tahlil aur Entry Strategy

H1 chart par takneeki indicators aik fayyaz mahol ko signal dete hain USDJPY par short position ikhtiyar karne ke liye. Qeemat ka mustaqil mojoodgi critical resistance level 153.500 ke neeche, traders ke liye ek dilchasp dakhil nakafi ka markaz faraham karta hai jo niche ki taraf qeemat ka manfi rawaya se faida uthane ki talaash mein hain. Nishana 153.00 par rakha gaya hai, traders ko umeed hai ke USDJPY joray ke qeemat ke mutawaqif girawat se faida uthane ka aik munafa dene wala moqa pesh karay ga. Ye ahem hai ke risk management intezamati tadabeer ka istemal kiya jaye, jis mein ek stop-loss ka muqam 153.200 ke support level ke oopar rakha jaye, taake potential nuqsanat ko kam kiya ja sake.






Risk Management aur Ikhtitami Guftagu

Jabke takneeki tahlil USDJPY farokht ke liye aik umeed afroz manzar pesh karti hai, to ehtiyaat aur risk management par tawajju dena ahem hai. Ek stop-loss ka istemal karna 153.200 ke support level ke oopar ehtiyaat ke tor par karwai ki surat mein asar kar sakta hai aur potential nuqsanat ko kam kar sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, traders ko chaukanna rehna chahiye aur apni strategies ko markazi hawalaat ki tajwezat ke jawab mein muntaqil karna chahiye. Mazboot risk management asoolon ka paalan karne aur takneeki tahlil ke insights ka faida uthane se, traders apne aap ko USDJPY market mein mutawazi taur par muqarrar kar sakte hain taake umeed ki gayi niche ki taraf qeemat ka rawaya se faida utha sakein.

USD/JPY ke mutaliq, peechle daily range ka low update karne ke baad, 152.589 par mojood support level tak nahi pohancha, mere tajziye ke mutabiq, keemat mudat tar trend ke saath taizi se bullish movement ke saath palat gayi, jo ek wazeh bullish reversal candle ko uttar disha mein ishara kar rahi thi. Mojudah setup ko mad e nazar rakhte hue, aur mojooda global bullish trend ko ghor se dekhte hue, main poori surat se tasleem karta hoon ke agle haftay tak uttar disha ki harkat jari rahegi, aur keemat resistance level 156.000 ki taraf jaegi. Iss resistance level ke qareeb, do manazir samne aa sakte hain. Pehla manzar yeh hai ke keemat is level ke oopar mazid girah hone ke baad consolidate hogi aur mazeed izafa hoga. Agar yeh mansooba kamyaab hota hai, toh main tawaqo karta hoon ke keemat izafa karke resistance level 160.400 ki taraf jaegi. Is resistance level ke qareeb, mazeed trading direction tay karne ke liye trading setup ka bana hona tawaqo kiya jayega. Beshak, main tasleem karta hoon ke keemat ko mazeed uttar disha ke targets ki taraf dhakel diya ja sakta hai, lekin abhi ke liye, main is option ko tabdeeli ke liye tezi se haqeer nahi samajhta. Jab 156.000 resistance level ke qareeb keemat ke qareeb jayegi, toh keemat ki ek mukhalif scenario, ek plan ko shamil karega jo ke ek reversal candle ka hona aur ek muwafiq janoobi harkat ka aghaz hoga. Agar yeh mansooba kamyaab hota hai, toh main keemat ko 152.589 ya 150.809 ke support level tak lot te hue dekhunga. In support levels ke qareeb, main mazeed bullish signals talash karunga, aur uparward price movement ka dobara aghaz tawaqo karta rahunga. Mukhtasaran, agle haftay mein main mukhtalif suraton mein keemat ko uttar disha mein janib daba hote hue dekh raha hoon, aur iske baad, main bazaar ki surat e haal ka jaiza lena jaari rakhunga, bullish scenarios ko pehle darja dena.

Yen ka nichla rukh phir se yeh darust karta hai ke market ke khilari shayad Asia ke authorities ki seriousness ko test kar rahe hain, khas tor par Japan ke, jo verbals intercession ki koshish ki hai. Aise interventions ab tak asarmand sabit nahi hue hain, Japan aur Korea ke darmiyan tanzeem shuda intercession ka imkan zyada barh jata hai, khas tor par agar USDJPY currency pair 157.00 ka ahem level guzar jata hai. Japani hukumat ka Yen ki kamzori ka inkaar Bank of Japan (BOJ) ki ek interest rate increase ke nakami ko izhar karta hai jo march mein hui thi. Ye harkat investors ko doosre mumalik mein ziada munafa dene ki talaash mein rok nahi sakti. BOJ ko mustaqbil ki meetings mein policy tightening ka zyada mazboot commitment dikhani chahiye. Agar ye nahi kiya gaya to unhe foreign exchange intercession pe wapas jana pad sakta hai, jo ke aik limited long-term effectiveness ka rasta hai

H1 mein baray time frame ka tajziya karte hue, mujhe nazar aata hai ke linear regression channel urooj par hai. Mere liye, ye M15 se zyada ahmiyat rakhta hai. Ye yeh darust karta hai ke bulls mazboot hain. M15 channel se aane wala signal kharidnay ka darust karta hai, jo ke meri khwahish ko mazeed taqwiyat deta hai. Mujhe bas sahi jagah par keemat ka intezar karna hai aur wahan se kharidnay ka moqa talash karna hai. Jahan tak ke mai mojooda surat haal mein kharidnay ka moqa talash karta hoon, wo hai 154.125 mein nichlay channel ki hadood. Wahan se, mai phir se 155.065 tak kharidnay ki koshish karta hoon. Maqsood ko musalsal izafa ke saath hasil karna, aik mazboot uroojat ka saboot hai. 155.065 se ikhtiyarat ka moqa banane ka imkan buland hai, jabke bullish movement intikhab ki gayi hai. Agla, bulls apni harkat ko dobara mustehkam karne ki koshish karenge. Agar 154.125 ka dakhli point neechay tor diya jata hai, to ye bearish interest ka ishara hai. Is surat mein, market situation ko dobara ghor se dekhne aur kharidnay ki trading plan ko dobara tajziya karne ka qabil e aitbaar hai

Haal hi mein hue giravat ney dikhaya keh bazaar ke harekat par asar daalney wale zahir maamlat ka imtiaz jaan'na kitna zaroori hai. Ek taqatwar uthao ke baad jo ke key support levels sey neeche gir gaya, yeh ek jazbaat mein ulat-phir ka mumaaniyaat ko dikhata hai, jahan investors ney faida uthane ke liye lambey arsey ke baad munafa kama liya. Yeh pattern mojooda ehtimaalaat par mushtamil ho sakta hai jaise ke ziada qeemat lagane ki wajah se, ma'ashi nashr ke mutalik tashweeshat ya siyasi asaib, jo ke investors ko apni khatraat ka dobara jaiza leney par majboor karta hai aur ek ziada ihtiyaat bhari huliya apnane ke liye. Doosri sorat mein, kharidaron ko dilaney ke liye keemat ki harekatein pehle dharna, phir mudaawam muamlay ki taraf ishara karti hai, jo ke bazaar ke hissa daaron ki janib sey short-term faida haasil karne ke liye keemat ko ghairhaki banane ya qeemat ko tanzeem karne ka koshish hai. Aise tareeqay shamil ho sakte hain jaise ke pump-and-dump schemes, jahan stocks ko behakaya jata hai taake be-khabar investors ko khinchne se pehle androoni afrad apne hisse farokht kar dete hain, jis se qeemat gir jati hai. In patterns ko pehchanna bazaar ke dynamics ka gehra ma'loomat aur asal nivesh moqay aur tukhmon ke darmiyan farq karne ki salahiyat ki zaroorat hai.

In musibaton ka saamna karte hue, investors ko hoshyar aur mutaghaayyar rehna chahiye, jo bazaar ki surat-e-haal ke mutabiq apne tajweezat ko tabdeel kar sakte hain. Yeh shamil ho sakta hai khatraat ko kam karne ke liye portfolios mein izafa karna, potential nuqsan ko had tak mehdood karne ke liye stop-loss orders ka ijaad karna, ya buland tanaazuat ke doran hamliyat ke doran hifazati assest mein pana talash karna. Maloomat hasil karke aur intezamiyat ke sath, investors khud ko nuqsaan se bachane aur lambay arsey ke faida haasil karne ke moqay par behtar taur par

Kal ka trading session dekha gaya ke USD/JPY pair ne apni sthirta ko 155.36 par barkarar rakha, Thursday ke levels se mazboot. Ek subah ki tajziya se Thursday se lekar trading strategies ko guide kiya gaya jab tak ke pair H1 support 154.82 par na pohancha. Baad mein, ek tezi ne pair ko 156.29 tak le gaya phir ek aur breach se mila, ek naya darmiyani muddat ka nishana set kiya gaya 159.46 par.
Magar haal hi haftay ka tajziya karne mein challenges aaye hain badi tezi ki wajah se, jo H1 aur H4 support levels ke dobara tameer ko uljha deti hai. Monday subah ki tajziya ka intezar hai, jismen price ke muqamiyat par mabni hai. Abhi H1 support 155.49 par hai, H4 support 153.19 par, D1 support 150.15 par aur din ka balance 157.14 par hai. Monday ko agar din ka balance 157.10 par na toote to yeh tezi ka momentum 159.40 ke darmiyan ke nishane ki taraf barqarar rahega, shayad 158.64 se wapas aye. Mukhalif, din ka balance 157.14 ko toornay se ek u-turn signal hoga, jis se ek giravat ka ishaara hoga, H4 support 155.40 ki taraf giravat hogi. Toorne ke baad, 156.70 se wapas naye din ka balance 158.27 ki taraf ho sakti hai, phir H1 support 155.46 ki taraf ek u-turn ho sakta hai. Agar H4 support 155.46 ko toora jaye aur baad mein wapas aye to ek u-turn H4 support 153.15 ki taraf ki umeed ki ja sakti hai.

Breach ke baad, 155.14 se wapas aane se 157.40 ki taraf ek H4 resistance aa sakti hai, jo ke 106.25 par mushkil hai. Is rollback ke baad, H4 support 153.14 ki taraf giravat ke imkaan hai, phir jari rahne ke D1 support 150.15 ki taraf, aur baad mein 159.48 ki taraf rebound ke saath.



Aakhir mein, USD/JPY pair ke yeh pheeki harkatein traders ke liye mauqay aur challenges dono pesh karti hain. Kamiyabi detailed analysis, tezi se faisla lene ki, aur mazboot risk management mein chuppi hai. Ahem support aur resistance levels ko monitaring karna, sath hi potentiql u-turn signals ko samajhna, forex market mein safar karte hue zaroori hai.

Jaise hamesha, traders ko market ke tabdeeliyati shiraa'at ko apnane ke liye tayar rehna chahiye, sahi risk management techniques ka istemal karna chahiye, aur USD/JPY ke exchange rate par asar dalne wale geopolitcal aur iqtisadi tajziyat se waqif rehna chahiye. Ek strategy ke saath, traders forex trading ke hamesha badalte manzar mein mauqay ko pakad sakte hain aur risk ko efektivley manage kar sakte hain.

Main monkeez aur unke tehwarat ke bare mein nahi janta, lekin haan, bazaar mein bohot saare "hamsters" hain. Aur yahan, aapko samajhna hoga ke jab hamsters positions mein baithte hain, aur zya figures, New Home Sales data, Unemployment statistics, Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, aur the Inflation Rate shamil hain. Alaihda, USD/JPY market, jo ke traders ki nazar mein qareebi tor par nigaah rakhi jati hai, in tajurbat se kafi mutasir ho sakti hai. USD ka performance khas tor par tawajo ke gheyr hone ki wajah se rahegi jo ke economic reports ke muta'aliq jari kardi jati hain. Traders aur investors in hadsat ke natayej ko tajziya karnay ke liye tayar rahain gay taake USD ke mukhafafah ki taqat aur raah ka tajziya kiya ja sake JPY ke muqablay mein. Amomi tor par, humein buland volatility aur market ki fehami mein tabdeeliyon ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye. Ye economic indicators ke ta'alluqat ka aapas mein takrao tajarbaat ki ra'ayat aur invest karnay ke faislay ko shakar denay wala hai is haftay ke doran, jabke market datar mamlaat mein stops ke bina, ya pooray deposit ke liye ek stop ke saath, toh keetup ban'nay ka intizar karonga,


jo aglay trading rukh ko tay karnay mein madad karega. Bila shuba, mujhe yaqeen hai ke tajziati uttar ki manzil ke taraf qadam barhatay waqt, qaribi support levels se bullish signals dhoondne ke liye jhuk jayein ge, tajziati uttar ke trend ke andar price ke tezi se phir se uthane ka intizar karte hue 153.000 resistance level ke qareeb price ki harkat ke liye ek doosra mansuba reversl mombati banane aur correction ke andar southward harkat ka dobara shuru hona hai. Agar yeh mansuba haqiqat mein hota hai, toh mein umeed karta hoon ke price support level 152.589emat "beinteha" lamba arsa ke liye ulta ja sakti hai. Main ne lafz "beinteha" mein qoutation marks lagaye hain, kyunke haqeeqat mein deposits aisi nahi hoti ke keemat beinteha tarah se chalti rahe, isliye hume samajh mein aata hai ke ek trend hota hai aur ek correction hota hai jab participants ya toh apna yaqeen kho baithte hain, apne paisay ke saath, ya phir "trend" ke mutabiq trading karne ki koshish shuru karte hain). Is liye, USD/JPY jodi ke liye, jo khaas tor par numainda hai, aur pehle aisay ziada commodity currencies thi, aur isi tarah dollar/yen jodi ke liye, participants bechne lagte hain jab tak deposits na toot jayein, phir ek correctice rollback hota hai, jaise ke haal hi mein hua aur keemat 146 figures tak gir gayi, aur wahan, aap forum ko bhi rewind kar sakte hain, participants phir se yakeen karne lagte hain ke ek palat ho gaya hai, sath hi Bank of Japan ye keh rahi thi ke wahaan daakhilat hogi. Aur isi tarah, unho ne ye local minimum becha, phir unho ne saare izafa ko becha, aur 152 figure se shorts barhaaye gaye, aur jab woh is nishaan se guzar gaye, unhone ne neeche bechne ka izafa

Pichle haftay ki trading activity USDJPY daily timeframe chart par numaya volatility ke saath mukhtalif nazar aur tajziya par mabni thi. Mangalwar ko ek khaas taqatwar bullish engulfing candle ka qaim hona dekha gaya, jo ke market mein buland buyer hissaari ka izhar karta hai. Ye candlestick pattern aksar peechle neechay ki raftar ka mukhalif karne ki mumkin tajwez deta hai, jahan kharidaron ne qeemat ke action ka kabu haasil kiya. Haftay ke aakhir mein, Budh se Jumma tak, USDJPY ke qeemat ko chart par dhaalne wale resistance level ke saath ghoomta dekha gaya. Ye resistance level pehle se hi aik ahem dilchasp rukawat ke ilaqa ke tor par pehchanaya gaya tha, taqreeban taareekhi ahmiyat ke liye, jo qeemat ke harkaat par asar andaz hoti hai. Magar, is resistance zone ke lambay interaction ke bawajood, Jumma ke trading session mein qeemat ka rukh palat gaya, jis se bearish candlestick ka qaim hona hua.
Yeh qabil-e-zikar hai ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator, jo qeemat ke momentum ki taqat aur rukh ke baare mein ahem wazihaat faraham karta hai. Haal hi mein kharidari ke faaaltu amal ke doran, RSI overbought darja tak nahi pohancha, is ka matlab hai ke shayad mazeed upar ka rukh muqarrar karne se pehle bhaari farokht dabao se mil sakta hai. Ye observation USDJPY ka resistance level tor sakta hai, mukhtalif mufeed kharid-o-farokht ke fauran ek naye buland momentum aur is dauraan naye unchaayi ke markaz ke tor par pesh karna. Takneeki tajziya ke daira mein, aik bullish engulfing candle ka qaim hona aur phir aik ahem resistance level ke qareeb mojoodgi aksar bullish nishaan ke tor par wazeh kiya jata hai. Ye yeh dawa karta hai ke kharidaron ne market mein apni qowwat ko sabit kiya hai aur qeematon ko buland karna ke liye mojood hain. Is ke ilawa, RSI ki extreme overbought shiraa'it ki kami ke tor par bullish outlook ko mazeed tasdeeq di jaati hai, is se darust hai ke mojooda uptrend mein mazid taqwiyat hai. Agay dekhte hue, USDJPY ko nigrani karne wale traders aur investors ko resistance level ke upar kisi bhi breakout par tawajjo deni chahiye. Aise ek harkat bullish bias ki tasdeeq ke tor par kaam aa sakti hai aur unke paas intahi munafa-khori ke moqaat ho sakte hain. Magar, barqarar rahne aur bazar ke sharte badalne ka dyaan rakhna ahem hai, kyun ke ghair mutawaqqi sorat-e-haal trajectory ko tabdeel kar sakti hai.l

Asalam o Alaikum. Seedlip pichlay dino se shumal mein hai; unho ne nichle rujhan ko toorna nahi balkay wahan hi khatam kar diya. Lekin, chhoti khareedariyon mein masail hain; uski taraf se support ko disassemble kar diya gaya hai. Ab mashwara diya jata hai ke USD/JPY daily H1 timeframe chart ko 148.07 par lambi positions mein dakhil hone se pehle test karen. Iske ilawa, is waqt koi sasti mubadilat nahi hain kyun ke H1 harkat khatam hone par bechnay ka koi hosla nahi hai. Mazeed, khareedariyan kamzor hui hain, Jumeraat ke minimum mein tabdeel hui; is natijay mein, mein is waqt maqasid qaim nahi kar raha; bas nazar andaaz kar raha hoon. Japanese currency ki unpredictable tabiyat ki bina par, agar aaj hum 200 points gir gaye to mujhe hairat nahi hogi. H1 is mawad par kuch malumat hai, lekin sab se pehle humein agay barhna hoga. Abhi, 248ve figure ke aas paas trading karte hue thora barhne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Iske ilawa, nazariye ke mutabiq, nazir hai ke ek urooj trend bhi ho raha hai. Lekin, unhon ne maqasid ko ghera liya hai aur aik dhoka bhi tha. Har hal mein, dollar ke agay kis tarah ka trade hota hai, iska koi maayne rakhta hai. Iske ilawa, yad rakhen ke Bank of Japan kal mulaqat karay gi. Mazeed, mein nahi samajhta ke is qeemat par muamalat kisi bhi tarah se needle ko hilayengi, is liye meri ray mein ab tak kuch zyada tabdeel nahi hui hai


H1 ishara karta hai ke linear regression channel dakshin ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. Is se maloom hota hai ke USD/JPY daily H1 timeframe chart mein foroan kaam karnay wala bechne wala 148.08 ke darjay tak pohanchne ka intezar kar raha hai. H1 bullish trend ko toorna ke liye, bear ko us nishan tak pohanch kar girna hoga. Bechne walon ki positions channel ke upper edge ke qareeb hain. Bulls is manzil ko aur is se aage jana chahein ge takay H1 mein bearish mahaul ko toorna aur apne trend ke mutabiq izafa shuru karen. Agar umeed se slow down hoti hai to mein bechna soch sakta hoon. Reversal malumat ka intezar karna mashwara hai takay koi galati na ho. Kya bearon ko bulls hara sakein ge? Yeh wazeh hoga jab bechne wale ke maqasid poore honge. Woh channel ke lower border ke qareeb hai, par. Kharidari walon ko jab woh is par nazil hote hain ya is par hote hain, toh aana chahiye. Agar izafa ka jawab sakht hota hai to majboot kharidariyan hain, aur woh negative trend ko rokne aur market ko buland karnay ki koshish karenge

USD/JPY Technical Analysis.
Is hafte Japanese yen ne US dollar ke khilaf aik rollercoaster safar ka samna kiya. Jumma ko barhne ke baad, Mangal ko isne apni zyada tar faida diye hue gairan qaim kar diye is wajah se ke Japanese authorities ke qadamon ke bary main fikar thi. Ye intervention ke shak speculation is wajah se aayi ke USD/JPY joda 34 saal ke ucheyi par pohanch gaya tha. Yen ki kamzori ke peechay ka sab se bara karkun Japan aur United States ke darmiyan farq farq interest rate ka phelana hai. US Federal Reserve se mutaliq Japan ke markazi bank ke muqablay mein zyada arse tak uncha interest rate ka barqarar rehna mutawaqqa hai. Ye interest rate ka farq US dollar ko zyada kashish karne wala invest banata hai, jo yen ke muqable mein izafa shudah talab aur ek mazboot dollar ke sath le aata hai. Budh ke din, dollar ne Asian session mein apni upar ki rukh ko jari rakha. Ye izafa US data ke mutabiq madde nazar inflation ke khilaf lade jane wale Federal Reserve ke hawkish monetary policy stance ke barhne wale market expectations se aya tha.

Magar dollar ke liye ye musbat jazba risk-off mahol ke dabe paon hawale se rok diya gaya tha. Raat bhar US stocks mein kami aur Asian markets mein kaafi farokht ka barhao yen ki safe-haven appeal ko dobara zinda kar diya, jo ke FOMC ki aham meeting se pehle USD/JPY jode ke liye kuch rukawaton ka sabab bana

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/JPY joda ek maqil barwahah par hai, teen daswaiyon ke daira mein unchaai tak pohanch gaya hai. Ye uthalta howa trend Jumma ko oper ati shak ki wajah se ek waqtan-fa-waqtan trading session ka samna kiya. Agar dollar apne upar ke dabaav ko barqarar rakhta hai, to joda 159.20 level ko challenge karne ki koshish kar sakta hai, aik ahem Fibonacci extension level. Mazeed izafay se ye 34 saal ke unchaai par 160.20 tak pohanch sakta hai, aur ho sakta hai ke ye 200% Fibonacci level tak 163.25 tak pohanch jaye. Dosri taraf, agar USD/JPY bechnay ke dabaav ka samna karta hai, to usay pehle support mil sakta hai joda 156.25 Fibonacci level par. Is level ka torhna ek decline ko start kar sakta hai joda 154.24 level ki taraf, jo ke saptah ke pehle se ghatne wale talab ko rokne wala ahem Fibonacci retracement point tha. Agar ye kamzori jari rahe, to November 2023 ki unchai 151.90 bears ke liye agle bara hurdle ban sakta hai. Aaj ke FOMC meeting ke baad USD/JPY jode ke mustaqbil ki muntazir rasta ko mutasir karne wala aik aham factor hone wala hai.

Maine USD/JPY currency pair ki haqeeqati keemat ka tajziya kiya aur chaar ghante ke chart par chhote se ittehad ko dekha, jo che mumayyiz candlesticks ko shaamil karta tha. Do mumkinat hain: ek giraavat ya hali keemat se 45-70 points ka izafa. Magar, main musalsal chadhne ka intezar karta hoon aur bechnay se guraiz karta hoon. Agar kisi baat par chadh jaaye, toh main farokht karna iraadi hoon 149.76-149.97 ki rukawat zone mein jahan pe maine 100 points ke stop loss ke sath farokht shuru karna hai aur 450-500 ka nafa had tak rakha hai. USD/JPY uptrend line ke upar trading kar raha hai, jahan se chadh gaya hai aur uptrend ke ooper had tak pohanch gaya tha, phir lower had ke taraf wapas gaya aur chadhne wale oblique level ko tor diya. Yeh phir doosre lower ascending oblique level pe aagaya hai. 149.09-148.85 ki support zone se rukh mein sahil barhna mukhtalif izafa ki taraf le ja sakta hai jahan tak 149.43-149.58 ki rukawat zone ko torne ka imtihan liya ja sakta hai. Iss zone ka toot jahaaz ki pehli lower manzil 148.66-148.59 ki support zone ko dekh sakta hai.
H1 chart par, USD/JPY ne meri bullish kharidne ki level 147.457 ko paar kiya, zyada se zyada 190 points chadha, jo ke buland bullish rafter ko darust karta hai, mohtalif rukawat ke bawajood, bullish raftar mazboot hai, jo shayad buland rukawaton ki taraf nishaan le sakta hai 149.450, 150.10, aur 150.650. Agar bullish rafter jari rahe, toh bearish trend lines ko tor kar izafa ko mazeed boost mil sakta hai. Haalaanki, bearish nishaanat ke liye sharaat abhi tak mumkin nahi hain, lekin 148.600 ki bearish farokht ki level ko toorna izafa ko 148.150-148.000, 147.400, aur 146.900-146.650 ki sahoolat ki taraf ishaara kar sakta hai. H1 chart par USD/JPY jodi ke liye bearish jazbat zyada taiz maloom hota hai. Agar izafa rukawat ki rukawat ke taraf jata hai, toh overbought haalaat barh sakte hain, jiski wajah.

USDJPY D1 Currency pair ke liye aane wala tajziya. Ye tajziya ek neural network analysis par mabni hai, jo ke market ke haalaat ka andaza lagane ke liye ek ahem tool faraham karta hai. Aaj kal yeh jodi ek samait movement ka muzahira kar rahi hai, jo market mein koi wazeh raah dikha rahi hai. Isay mukhtalif factors jaise ke ma'ashiyati laahijgi, sahafati tanazaat, ya market ke shirakat daar kisi ahem khabar ya data ke ijlaas ka muntazir hain.

Samait movement ke doran, traders ko aksar munafa ka mauqa talash karne mein mushkil hoti hai, kyun ke qeemat ke tabdeelay mehdood hoti hain aur trends waziha nahi hotay. Magar, yeh bhi traders ke liye aik mauqa pesh karta hai ke woh range-bound trading strategies istemal karen, jo aik makhsoos qeemat ke darmiyan chhotay arse ke tabdeelaoon se faida utha sakti hai. Waziha trend ki ghair mojoodgi mein, traders technical indicators aur support/resistance levels ko pehchanne aur dakhil aur baahar jane ke potential points ko pehchanne ke liye dekh sakte hain. Iske ilawa, market ki jazbaati surat-e-haal, khabron ke waqeyaat, aur ma'ashi data releases par nazar rakhna traders ko qareebi dor mein breakout ya reversal ke potential majmooa ko pehchane mein madad faraham kar sakta hai.

Aane wale do dinon mein, zahir hai ke USDJPY jodi apni mojooda range ke andar ka karobaar jaari rahega, kisi bhi ahem taraqqi ya ghair mutawaqqa waqeyaat ke baghair. Traders ko ehtiyaat bartari se amal karna chahiye aur kisi bhi market ki jazbaati surat-e-haal ya trend ka ulat pher ka koi ishaara dekhne ke liye chaukanna rehna chahiye. Iske ilawa, samait movement ke doran risk ka moaayana karna ahem hai, kyun ke market ke haalaat tezi se tabdeel ho sakte hain, jo agar sahi risk management kaarwai nahi ki gayi to naumeedi ka buniyadi sabab ban sakte hain

US dollar ka qeemat British pound, euro aur doosre ahem currencies ke khilaaf kai mahinon ke unchayiyo ke qareeb rahi, ek taqatwar ma'ashiyati dastavez ke baad. Mutabiqan, US dollar ka record breakout Japanese yen ke khilaaf (USD/JPY) oopar ki taraf raha aur 154.76 resistance level ki taraf barh gaya, jo ke 34 saal ke unchayiyo mein sab se zyada hai. Japan ki taraf se sirf zabaani ghirao ke saath, Japanese yen ke qeemat ka girne ka rasta ke mutaliq, oopri rukh jaari raha aur dollar ke faiday yen ke khilaaf rukne se nahi rahe. Japani. Inflation rates aur US jobs ke mazid se mutawaqqa figures ke baad, jo ke US dollar ke qeemat ko paanch mahinon ke uchayiyo tak pohanchaane mein madad ki, dollar ke liye musbat momentum barh gaya, ma'ashiyati calendar ke data ke nateejo mein. Elaan kiya gaya ke US ki retail sales March mein 0.7% mahinay ke bunyadi bunyadi ke mutabiq badh gayi, ya'ni market ki tawaqqa ki 0.3% figure se zyada hai.
Iske saath hi, advertise karne wale ke mutabiq, retail sales ka control group measure - jo petrol, automobiles, khana ki khidmat aur imarati saman ko ikhtiyar karta hai - March mein 1.1% barh gaya, 0.4% ki tawaqqaon ko peechay chor kar. Retail stores, online sellers aur restaurants mein kul munafa 0.7% mahinay ke bunyadi bunyadi ke mutabiq barh gaya, peechle saal ke mukable mein 2.4% year-on-year. Adaigi ka hissa paid last May se unchayiyo tak pohanch gaya, jo ke saboot hai ke United States of America mein inflation rates dobara taizi se barh rahe hain

Aam tor par, Federal Reserve ke 2024 mein kitni US interest rate cuts ki tawaqqaat market mein inflation ke barhne ke samne kafi kam ho gayi hain, jab ke Société Générale sab se bari institution thi jo dhamki di ke woh ab Federal Reserve se 2020. 2024 mein interest rate cuts ki umeed nahi rakhti