usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY currency pair ki tajziya nigarish ne dikhaya hai ke bullish aur bearish forces ke darmiyan ek purkashish takrao hai, jo ke qeemat ki harkatain nazdeek se nigrani karna zaroori banata hai. Jabke bear ne ek giravat shuru ki hai, lekin bullish trend ki jari rehne ki istiqamat waziha hai, khas tor par daily chart par jahan ek qareebi barhne ke alamat numayan hain. Maqsad hai ke intezar karein ke buyers ziada sakht hojayein jab hali giravat kam ho, umeed hai ke USD/JPY bulandi ki taraf rawana hoga. Takhmina deta hai ke 150.04 tak ek bearish momentum hone ka imkan hai, lekin 151.95 ke upper level resistance ko toorna ek u-turn ki alamat ho sakti hai, shayad 152.90 ke darja tak aik shumali harekat ki taraf rawana kare. Ye mansooba short-sellers ke positions ko nuqsan mein cover karne se sahulat mand mahol ko paida kar sakti hai. Magar, is bulandi ki taraf rawana hone se pehle, humein mukhtalif factors ka tajziya karna zaroori hai.
Pehle to, geopolitical aur macroeconomic factors ko ghor se dekhna zaroori hai. Jab ke market instability aur political tensions USD ko kamzor kar sakte hain, Japan ki strong economic performance aur yen ki stability USD/JPY ko buland kar sakti hai. Economic indicators jaise GDP growth, inflation, aur employment data bhi trend ko samajhne mein madadgar sabit ho sakte hain.



Doosra, central banks ki policies ka asar bhi hamesha currency pairs par hota hai. Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan ke monetary policy decisions USD/JPY ko seedha asar pohochate hain. Agar Federal Reserve interest rates ko barhaati hai jabke Bank of Japan apne monetary easing policies ko jari rakhti hai, to ye USD/JPY ko upar le ja sakti hai. Teesra, technical analysis ka istemal bhi zaroori hai. Moving averages, Fibonacci retracement levels, aur trend lines ke istemal se price patterns ko samajhna asan hojata hai. Is tarah ke tools se hum resistance aur support levels ko pehchan sakte hain, jo ke trading decisions mein madadgar sabit ho sakte hain. Akhir mein, trader sentiment ko bhi dekhna zaroori hai. Market mein sentiment ki tabdeeliyon ka tajziya karke hum market direction ka andaza laga sakte hain. Sentiment indicators jaise ki COT (Commitment of Traders) report aur trader surveys, market participants ke trends ko samajhne mein madadgar sabit ho sakte hain. In sab factors ko madda lekar, humein USD/JPY ki future ki tajziya mein asani hogi aur sahi trading decisions lena aasan hoga. Lekin, yaad rahe ke market mein koi guarantee nahi hoti aur har trade apne risks ke saath aata hai. Isliye, risk management ko hamesha yaad rakhte hue trading kiye jaye.

USD/JPY D1



Salam dosto, kaise ho. Japanese yen ek bahut saalon ka record neeche gir gaya, jabke Fed-BoJ ki policy ki ummeedain milte-julte hain. Rukawat ki fikar JPY bears ko taaza bets lagane se rok sakti hai aur pair ko mehdood kar sakti hai. Spot ke daam tezi se barh rahe hain aur paanchwe haftay tak musallat hone ka imkan hai aur hara rang mein khatam ho sakta hai. Takniki hawale se, US CPI ka agla breakout 152.00 ke qareeb do hafton purane trading range ke mukhalif bulish hai. Magar, rozana ke chart par Relative Strength Index - halan ke wo unchi se kam hogaya hai - overbought territory ke qareeb hai. Isse samajhdaar hai ke kuch nazdeeki daera ya thora sa pullback ka intezaar karna behtar hai phir kisi ziada maayene ki kharidari ke liye. Intehai pehlu 153.25-153.30 ke aspass jo ke bahut saalon ka record hai, ab turant rok ka kaam karega, jis ke upar USD/JPY pair 154.00 gol sankhya ko dubara hasil karne ka maqsad rakhta hai. Doosri taraf, raat ke swing low ke neeche, 152.75 zone ke as-paas kisi maayene ki correction girawat hona zyada mumkin hai ke naye buyers ko kheench sake aur trading range breakout point ke 152.00 ke qareeb nazdeek ho sakta hai. Upar di gayi handle ab USD/JPY pair ke liye mazboot buniyad ka kaam karegi, jo agar fazool toor par tor diya gaya to kuch nafeyati karobar aur 151.40 darmiyaney support ko 151.00 gol sankhya tak pohanchne ka ishara de sakta hai. Dono taraf ka rasta saaf kar sakta hai girawat ke liye. Kuch follow-through selling yeh zahir karta hai ke spot ke daam nazdeek ke doraan top ho gaye hain aur bias ko bearish traders ke favor mein palat diya gaya hai. Japanese yen ne kuch din ke sellers ko akarshit kiya aur apne US muqablay mein bahut saalon ke record girne wale hain






Is dauran, jis se zyada garmi se muntakhib hone waali US consumer inflation data ne investors ko FED ke pehle interest rate cut ka intezar June se September tak taalne par majboor kiya. Ghair mutmain nazaria US Treasury bonds ko buland kiya aur US dollar ko November ke baad ke oonchaaiyon tak pohanchaya. Is ka natija yeh hai ke USD/JPY pair ke liye ek aur maamooli hawa ka rukh dekha ja raha hai. Magar, Japanese authorities ka yeh tajurba ke wo market mein dakhil hone ki ummeedain JPY ki mazeed kamzori se rokne ke liye kuch ehtiyaat zaroori hai pehle kisi ziada nazdeekiyon ki kharidari

Maujooda USDJPY currency pair ke dynamics yeh zahir karte hain ke ek mukhtalif bullish jazba mojood hai, jahan buyers market orders ke zariye market ko mutasir kar rahe hain, jo ke qeemat ko 153.895 ke taraf buland kar raha hai Magar, ehtiyaat baratna ahem hai kyun ke bullish momentum ghaflat se kam ho sakta hai Yahan ka aham shanaas, sellers ki salahiyat mein hai ke woh mojooda market sharaait ka faida uthayein Mumkin hai ke neeche ki corrections par faida hasil karne ke liye short positions ko shuru karna munasib ho Buyers ki mazbooti ke bawajood, ek correctve downtrend lazmi lagta hai, jahan sellers qaabu mein aakar neeche ki taraf movement ko shuru kar sakte hain Yeh ahem hai ke hum mantah mein mazbooti ke samne bhi, ek correctve downturn qareeb hai Aaj, mukhtalif scenario mein se behtareen woh hai ke hum ek mazboot downtrend ke liye nigaah rakhain, jo ek correctve pullback se shuru hota hai, aur neeche ke support level ko 152.365 par nishaana banaye

H1 timeframe par, USDJPY pair mein ahem swings nazar aate hain, jo Zig Zag indicator ke zariye zahir hote hain, jo numaya peaks aur troughs ko highlight karta hai 120-period ke moving average ka mojood hona buyer ki taqat ko zahir karta hai, jo unhein market mein dominant force banata hai Aaj ke trading opportunities ke liye, 153.90 level se khareedna mashwara diya jata hai, jahan pehla take profit 154.30 par set kiya gaya hai, phir doosra take profit target 154.70 par Dono orders ke liye stop loss 153.60 par diya gaya hai Magar, 153.30 par ek pivot mojood ho sakta hai jo market ke conditions mein tabdili ka nishaan hai, jiski wajah se bechna ka ghor kiya ja sakta hai Aise surat mein, consolidate hone par bechna mumkin hai, jahan take profit targets 152.90 par set kiye gaye hain aur stop loss 153.60 par Signals ki tasdeeq M15 chart jaise kam timeframes par dhoondhi ja sakti hai, jahan purchases ko Moving Average aur Zig Zag jaise indicators se saabit kiya ja sakta hai

Market ke complications mein safar karne ke liye, tafseeli mushaahida aur maazi ke sharaait ke mutabiq apne aap ko tabdeel hone ki tayyari zaroori hai Jab ke bullish trend mojood hai, moor par palatne ki mumkinat ko tasleem karna aur apne aap ko aane wale moqaat par faida uthane ke liye munasib taur par tayyar karna mustahiq-e-tawaqquf hai Isi tarah, dono bullish aur bearish scenarios ka khayal rakhna munasib hai, jis se mojooda market dynamics ke saath trade karne ke liye tayyar rahein Technical indicators ka istemal kar ke faislay ko inform karna traders ko USDJPY currency pair ke complexities mein khud-aitebaar aur taizgi se safar karne ki qabliyat deta hai, jis se unka trading strategies ko zyada aata karne aur munafa hasil karne ki taqat hoti hai

USD/JPY currency pair mein aur zyada bullish movement ka imkan hai. Pair abhi 152.93 par trade kar raha hai aur traders market mein 151.50 ki support level ki taraf kam hone ka intezar kar rahe hain. Agar price 151.50 ke neeche jaati hai aur chaar ghanton ka mombati is level ke neeche band hota hai, toh yeh mazeed neeche ki taraf ja sakta hai, 149.85 ki support level ki taraf. M15 time frame ki tafseelati analysis ke mutabiq, aap ne 151.192 ke price level par nau aur baees muddaton ke exponential moving averages ka milaap pehchaana hai. Trading mein khatra shamil hai, is liye zaroori hai ke aap tasdeeq karne, risk management ko yaad rakhne aur market ki khabron par nazar rakne jaise amalat par tawajju dein. Aur yaad rahein, market ki tabdeeliyon aur apne expectations ke khilaaf taiyyar rehne ki zarurat hai. Hum entry points ko market orders se shuru karte hain aur phir panch minute ki wapas aane par doosre trade ko shamil karte hain, market ke shiraa'at ke mutabiq apne tajziya ko mawafiq karte hue.
Hamare trades munaasib khatron ke saath hote hain, aur ham risk/munafa ratio ko 1:3 se lekar 1:5 tak banaye rakhte hain. Behtareen karname ke liye, hum apne stops ko 20 points ke aas paas set karte hain, jise tajurbaat ke zariye saaf kiya gaya hai. Khush qismati se, haal ki rally mere liye munafa deh rahi hai, lekin qeemat 151.76/151.97 ke mushkil resistance zone ko test kar rahi hai. Fauran kisi breakthrough ka imkan kam lagta hai, aur hum qareebi muddat mein 151.40 ke daily pivot level ki taraf ek sudharat munhaviz hain. USD index mein buland shiddat ki wajah se, hum USD/JPY pair mein kisi bhi nihayati harkat ka intezar nahi kar sakte hain.

Is maqalay mein, mein USD/JPY currency pair ke qeemat ka rawayya tafseel se behas karunga. Daily aur 4 ghante ke charts ko madde nazar rakhte hue, ulat palat ki talash karna abhi bhi jaldi hai. Ooper chart par, hum ek candlestick formation, trend ke arrow, aur MACD oscillator ke readings dekhte hain ek mumkinah trend ko pehchanne ke liye. Mamooli rutbat ke mukhaalif taur par, trend indicator ka palat jaldi aur saaf ho gaya, jo aam tor par aise palatay mein zyada waqt leta hai. Manfi ya taraf, jab qeemat 150.70 ke nafsiyati level ke qareeb pohanchti hai, to palat sambhav hai. Main pichle kuch saalon se 150.90 ki qeemat ko paar karne ki taraf kaam kar raha hoon. Qeemat ne 150.25 tak pohanch gayi hai, isay bina kisi waapis kheech ke ooncha karna khatarnaak hoga. Yahan ek moving average line di gayi hai, aur channel ka rukh niche girne ko dhima karega. Ab tak do neeche ke maqasid 149.30 aur 148.40 hain. USD/JPY currency pair din ke doran mukhtalif raastay par chal raha tha, Amreeka aur Japan se khabron ki wajah se. Achhi US ghar ki farokht ke data ke bawajood, bayrozgari aur sanati fa'aliyat ke figures mayoos kun the. Japan mein, trade balance udaas tha. Bank of Japan ke taayin shuda biaaj dar aur digar central banks ke daaron ke darmiyan barhte hue ikhtilaaf ke bawajood, yen ab bhi dabav ke neeche hai. Tanzeem ke tor par, qeemat ne aaj aik sab se oonchi satah tak pohanch gayi hai. 150.40 ke level ke qareeb, kuch qeemati tabdeeliyaan ho sakti hain. Abhi ke waqt mein, hum is currency pair se door rehne ki taleem dete hain taake nuqsaan se bacha ja sake. Jitni oonchi aap is currency pair ke saath karoge, utni zyada khatraat aap ko milenge kyunke yeh pair kafi arse se uptrend mein hai, aur ek taqreeb kabhi bhi shuru ho sakti hai, jiski wajah se aap bazaar ke urooj par rah sakte hain. Pehli kaarwai mein, kaha ja raha hai ke 156.070 ke resistance level ke oopar tezi se palat ke baad mazeed barhne ki taraf trading setup banayi ja sakti hai, jahan main mazeed trade ke raaste ka taein karta hoon. Dusra manzarah 151.828 ke resistance level ke qareeb ulat palat shama gahri tashkeel ke qareeb hai, jo aik dor ke tor par neeche ki harkat ka ishara deta hai. Is surat mein, main ek keemat ka waapis aane ka muntazir rahunga jo 149.295 ke support level tak hoga, mazeed barhne ki harkat ki taraf bullish signals ka talaash jaari rahegi. Dour targets tak pohanchne ke mumkinat ke bawajood, main in support levels ke qareeb bullish signals ki talash jaari rakhunga. Ikhtisaar karte hue, main sirf aane wale haftay ke liye fauri dilchaspi dekhta hoon. Magar, mera tawajju uptrend jaari rehne par bani hai, nazdeek ke support levels tak taabani harkat ya nazdeek ke resistance level ke tezi se palat ke breakout ko khareedne ke options ko muntazir rahega.

Assalam-o-Alaikum! M15 waqt fram mein keemat ka chart tajziya ke mutabiq, hum dekhte hain ke linear regression channel ka musbat rukh hai, jo market mein khareedne walon ka zyada asar dikhata hai. Ye khareedne ke mouqay peda kar sakta hai, lekin ek khareedne faisla karne ke liye, behtar hai ke hum H1 waqt fram par bhi linear regression channel ko oopar ki taraf rukhne ka intezaar karein. Main 151.685 ke level se khareedne ke mouqay ko madde nazar rakhta hoon, lekin mein karobari sellers ki dynamics ko bhi qareeb se nigrani mein rakhoonga jo ke prices ko is level se neeche daba sakte hain. Agar aisa hota hai aur keemat 151.685 ke neeche girti hai, to ye H1 waqt fram par behtar farokht trend ka jaari rehne ka ishaara ho sakta hai. Is surat mein, main khareedne faislon ko ta'kheer karunga jab tak market ki jhukne wali awam ko khareedne walon ke liye tasdeeq karne wala muqam, ya'ni 151.831 ke level ke upar ke band hone ka tasdeeq ho. Bazaar ki data ka tajziya ghanta barah par. Abhi mujhe bazaar mein mazboot bearish trend nazar aata hai. Mera mansooba hai ke waqt aane par jab keemat 151.831 ke upper had tak pohanchti hai, to us mauqe ko dhundhun. Jab mujhe ye setup note hota hai, to mein 151.159 ke level ki taraf farokht ke mouqay ko dekhta hoon. Agar keemat munafa ke level ko tor deti hai, to ye bearish safar jaari rakhne ka signal hoga. Lekin, main samajhta hoon ke iske baad aik taqseem oopar ho sakti hai, isliye bazaar ko nigrani mein rakhna aur bullon ki mumkin tajziya ke liye tayyar rehna zaroori hai. Main hamesha tayyar hoon apna mansooba tabdeel karne ke liye agar bazaar ki surat-e-haal tabdeel hoti hai kyunki samajhna zaroori hai ke agar 151.831 ka level bullon ke zariye paar ho jata hai, to ye bazaar mein bullish dilchaspi ka izhar kar sakta hai, jis se halat ki tajdeed aur farokht radd ho sakti hai. Main hamesha bazaar ki mutaghayir shiraa'it ko muta'addad kar ke nigrani karta hoon aur agar halat is ko talab karein to apna mansooba tabdeel karne ke liye tayyar hoon. Aakhri tor par, mera maqsad munafa ko intehai banane ka hai, aur is ke liye main bazaar mein kisi bhi tabdili ka muqabla karne ke liye tayyar

USD/JPY currency pair mein bullish movement ka imkan dekha ja raha hai. Pair abhi 152.93 par trade kar raha hai aur traders market mein 151.50 ki support level ki taraf kam hone ka intezar kar rahe hain. Agar price 151.50 ke neeche jaati hai aur chaar ghanton ka mombati is level ke neeche band hota hai, toh yeh mazeed neeche ki taraf ja sakta hai, 149.85 ki support level ki taraf. M15 time frame ki tafseelati analysis ke mutabiq, 151.192 ke price level par nau aur baees muddaton ke exponential moving averages ka milaap pehchaana gaya hai. Yeh ek aham technical indicator hai jo traders ko trend ka pata lagane mein madad karta hai. Agar yeh averages 151.50 ki support level ke neeche girti hain, toh yeh bullish trend ko darust karne ki nishandahi kar sakti hain aur mazeed neeche ki taraf jaane ki sambhavna ko zahir karti hain.



Trading mein hamesha khatra shamil hota hai, is liye zaroori hai ke traders tasdeeq karne, risk management ko yaad rakhne aur market ki khabron par nazar rakne jaise amalat par tawajju dein. Market ki tabdeeliyon aur geopolitical situations ka bhi asar hota hai, is liye traders ko market ki halat ko regular tor par monitor karna chahiye. Agar market 151.50 ki support level ke neeche jaata hai aur price 149.85 ki taraf move karta hai, toh yeh ek aur support level ban sakta hai jahan se market phir se bounce kar sakta hai. Lekin, trading mein har waqt koi bhi outcome guarantee nahi hota, is liye zaroori hai ke traders apne trade positions ko monitor karte rahen aur zaroorat parne par apne risk management strategies ko adjust karte rahen. Final mein, trading ek dynamic aur risky shoba hai, aur har trade apne risk ke saath hi kiya jaana chahiye. Technical analysis, fundamental analysis, aur risk management techniques ka istemal karke traders apne trading decisions ko solid aur informed bana sakte hain.

Pichle haftay ke trading ke doran, United States dollar aur Japanese yen (USD/JPY) ke exchange rate mein izafa ka trend jari raha, jari rehnay wale isharay ka izhar karte hue ke United States Federal Reserve ke dwara mazeed kashmakash ke signs. Jodi ka izafa jari raha, aur ye 34 saalon ka record tor kar 153.38 resistance tak pohanch gaya. Isi tarah, GBP/JPY 193 tak aur EUR/JPY 165 resistance tak pohanch gaya.

Forex currency trading companies ke platforms ke mutabiq... Japanese yen ki qeemat ek silsile ke baad aik sakht Amrici economic data ke baad ghate rahi. Pichle Jumeraat ko BLS ne ek report jaari ki jismein bataya gaya ke Amrica ki arzi mein March mein hazaron jobs izafa hota raha. March mein 303,000 se zyada jobs izafa hua, jiske natije mein berozgari dar 3.8% tak giri. Headline US consumer price index March mein 3.2% se 3.5% tak jump kiya, jo ke maheeno mein sab se buland darja tha. Core inflation 3.8% tak barh gaya, jo ke Federal Reserve ke 2.0% ka target kaqreeb do guna hai.

Economic calendar data ke natije ke mutabiq, alag report ne bataya ke core producer price index February mein 2.1% se March mein 2.4% tak barh gaya. Headline producer price index 2.1% tak barh gaya.

Isi liye, US dollar index DXY US dollar ki qeemat ke liye trading ke doran 2024 mein 106.00 ke upper resistance tak jump kiya, jabke investors ka yeh umeed hai ke Federal Reserve is saal ke akhri mein Amrici interest rates ko barhane ka aghaz karega. Balki, bank yeh umeed hai ke interest rates ko zyada arsay tak stable rakhega. Aam raaye yeh hai ke Amrica aur Japan ke darmiyan interest rates ka farq mazeed barhne ka imkaan hai. Amrica mein interest rates 5.25% se 5.50% tak hain, jabke Japan mein ye 0.0% hain.

Is maamlay mein, Japanese Yen ke liye sirf umeed Japanese government ke Forex currency market mein dakhalat karne ki hai. Is silsile mein, government ne pichle Jumeraat ko jaari ek bayan mein kaha ke koi bhi option dakhalat ke bare mein ghata nahi deta. Ye dakhalat wahi ho sakti hain jo 2022 mein hui thi jab government ne currency ko support karne ke liye $60 billion daala. Jabke Japanese yen in dakhalaton ka tajurba kar chuka hai, toh asar sirf chand arsay tak tha jab USD/JPY October 2022 mein 151.94 tak izafa kar gaya.

Aam tor par, US Federal Reserve ke June interest rate implied swap odds umeed se kam hui hain baad mein strong inflation reading ke baad, pehle ke muqable mein. July meeting ke liye cut ki umeed 43% se giri hai pehle ke 75% ke qareeb se. Swap markets ab sirf aik rate cut ke liye 2024 mein US mein pricing kar rahe hain, pehle kai mahino tak 7 cuts tak pahunch gaye the. Yeh khud hi US dollar ki dominance ko samjhati hai.

Magar sawal yeh hai, kya yeh jaari rahega? Interest rate cuts "priced in" kitni had tak ho sakte hain?

Aam tor par, is sawal ka jawab dollar ki tabdeeli ko hold karega. Lekin ishare sirf agle set ki labor market aur inflation data mein aayenge, jo May mein aane waale hain. Us waqt bhi, agar kuch soft prints aaye toh market ko yeh manna hoga ke Amrici economy ne aakhir mein shant hone ka aghaz kiya hai. Jab rate cut ki umeedain phir se barhna shuru hongi, to dollar mod jayega.

United States dollar ke technical analysis ke mutabiq Japanese yen ke muqable mein:

United States dollar aur Japanese yen (USD/JPY) ke exchange rate ne is haftay bhi US dollar index ke izafe ke saath izafa kiya. Yeh October 2022 aur November 2023 ke 151.94 ke swing high ko paar kar chuka tha. Yeh qeemat aik ascending triangle pattern ka top side bhi thi. Jodi ne 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke oopar jaane ka faisla kiya jabke Brilliant Oscillator neutral point ke oopar chala gaya. Relative Strength Index (RSI) overbought level ke oopar chala gaya hai. Is liye, jodi ke liye manzar bullish hai, aur agla point dekha jayega 155 resistance par. 151 support level ke neeche girne se bullish outlook rad ho jayegi.

USD/JPY currency pair ki tajziya behtareen aur mandi ki taqatoo ke darmiyan aik pur-farokht muamla ka pardarshan karti hai, is liye qeemat ke harkaat ko nazdeek se nigrani mein rakhna zaroori hai. Jabke bears ne ek kami shuru ki hai, lekin bullish trend ka barqarar rehna wazeh hai, khaaskar daily chart par jahan qareebi barhne ke nishaan dikhayi dete hain. Mehfooz hone par haalat mein kharidne wale aur zyada sakht hote hue dekhe jana ahem hai, umeed hai ke USD/JPY barhne lage ga. Takhmina deta hai ke short term mein 150.04 par extreme support point ki taraf potential movement ho, jo ke aik bearish momentum ki taraf ishara hai. Magar 151.95 par upper level resistance ko torne se aik ulta karwaai ka ishaara mil sakta hai, jis se aage ki taraf 152.90 ke darje par shumaar hoga. Ye manzar short sellers ke apne positions ko nuqsaan par kholne se chal sakta hai, jis se kharidne wale ke liye aik mozuun mahol paida hota hai. Magar, is uthalte hue trend ka kaam bullish traders ki azam par mabni hai. Mehfooz aurat ke mutabiq, mukhtalif support levels se kharidne ke aham manzarat hain jab tak 150.08 ko paar nahi kiya jaata, jo ke USD ki taqat ke baray mein itminan ko darust karta hai JPY ke muqablay mein. Magar, currency pair ek qeemat corridor ke andar mehdood nazar aata hai, jo ke 151.00 aur 151.90 ke darmiyan oscillate ho sakta hai, mozuun khabron ke beghair ye range jari reh sakta hai. 151.05 ki taraf kami ka hosakta hai, magar umeed ye bani rehti hai ke is level se USD ka JPY ke muqablay mein izafa hoga.
Live USD/JPY pair ki qeemat ke harkaat mazeed maloomat faraham karti hain, 151.89 ke overall resistance ka shikar hone ke baad ek halka muratab retraction hota hai. Magar is inhisar ke bawajood, khas signals umeed dikhate hain ke aage ke barhne ki mumkinahariyat mojood hai, ehtiyaat ke sath umeedafroz hai. Agar bears ka control phir se qabzay mein aa gaya, to 151.36 ke support ki taraf kami ka hosakta hai, magar mojooda efforts se bulls ka sabar aur jeetne ki khuwahish wazeh hai.

Ek bullish candlestick pattern daily chart par zahir hota hai, jisme aik chhota upper shadow aur aik nisbatan lamba lower shadow hota hai. Ye pattern bazaar par kharidne walon ka control aur unki qeemat ko barhane ki salahiyat ko darust karta hai. Agar kharidne ka momentum barqarar rahe, to aane wale dinon mein aik ahem qeemat ka breakthrough ho sakta hai, jo ke bullish manzar ko aur mazboot karta hai.

اپریل 19 2024 کو امریکی ڈالر/جاپانی ین کی پیشن گوئی

چونکہ امریکی ڈالر/جاپانی ین جوڑا 154.25 کی مزاحمتی سطح کو عبور کر چکا ہے، اس لیے یہ تین دنوں کے لیے اس نشان سے اوپر مستحکم ہو گیا ہے۔ تاہم، اگرچہ قیمت 154.25 کی سطح سے اوپر ہے، لیکن اس وقت یہ قیمت چینل (154.50) کی سرایت شدہ لائن سے اوپر نہیں رہ سکتی، خاص طور پر مارلن آسکیلیٹر میں کمی کے ساتھ۔



نتیجے کے طور پر، ریچھوں نے پہل کی، اور آج کے ایشیائی اجلاس میں، انہوں نے 154.25 پر سپورٹ سے نیچے کی قیمت کھینچ لی۔ 4 گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، قیمت ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. انڈیکیٹر لائن (153.73) تک پہنچ گئی۔ اس کے نیچے ایک کنسولیڈیشن 151.95 کا راستہ کھولتا ہے۔



اس کے علاوہ، ٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، مارلن آسیلیٹر کی سگنل لائن زیرو لائن سے نیچے مضبوط ہونے کے بعد ٹوٹ گئی۔ ہم اس جوڑی کے مزید گرنے کا انتظار کر رہے ہیں۔

تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

Aaj ka USD/JPY Market Trend: Tahlil aur Tadbeer
USD/JPY currency pair nay ek naya bulandi par charha, halankeh kal trading ki sargarmi thami thi. Lagta hai ke qeemat ne 154.70 ke aas paas muqabla kiya, har koshish ko aagay barhne mein koi kamiyabi nahi mili, jis se ek mustaqil "platform" is darje pe qaim ho gaya. Aaj breakout ki koshish ke liye tawajjo dena zaroori hai, lekin zaroori hai ke dekha jaye ke qeemat is trading moqay par kaise jawab deti hai. Filhal, yeh pair aktiiv taur par naheen hai; kharidari khatre ke saath aati hai, jab ke jaldi farokht karna bhi barabar khatarnaak hai. USD/JPY pair ne qadmi se qeemat barhai hai, jo rozana ke chart par uski karkardagi se zahir hai. Technical indicators buland kharidari ka ishara dete hain, khaaskar 156.00 resistance level ki taraf barhne ke sath. Khabrein phaili hui hain ke yen ke mazeed kami ko rokne ke liye potential Japanese market intervention ke baray mein. Aisi taqreeb bhaari farokht sargarmi ko trigger kar sakti hai aur tasawwur ki hui munafa ko haqeeqat mein tabdeel kar sakti hai.




Monetary policies ka takraav Bank of Japan aur Federal Reserve ke darmiyan eham hai. Ek manzar jahan Bank of Japan polisi ko jaldi tight karne se hoshyaar hai jab ke Federal Reserve dovish rehta hai, USD/JPY pair ko mazboot kar sakta hai. Geopolitical developments, khaaskar wo jo America aur Japan ko mutasir karte hain, investor sentiment aur currency dynamics par bhi asar dalte hain. Technical analysis USD/JPY pair ke liye ek mumkin upward trajectory ki soorat mein, kuch mukhalif rayon ke bawajood, hai. Main mazeed bulandi ki gunjaish dekhta hoon, shayad akhir mein 154.70 tak pohanch sakte hain. 155.37 par rukawat ke sath, pair ne abhi tak tasawwur ki hui 154.33 level ko nahi toota, halankeh uski bulandi ke hawa mein 155.28 ki inteha mumkin thi. Main ek mozu asaan mauqa dekhta hoon ke is bulandiyon ka aghaz kiya jaye, kharidarun ko aage barhne ki ijaazat dekar.

USDJPY currency pair ki mojooda dynamics yeh zahir karte hain ke mojooda bullish jazba ghalba hai, jahan khareedne walay market orders ke zariye market par asar dal rahe hain, jo ke qeemat ko 153.895 ke taraf buland kar raha hai Magar, ehtiyaat baratna ahem hai kyun ke bullish momentum ghaflat se kam ho sakta hai Yahan ka aham shanaas, sellers ki salahiyat mein hai ke woh mojooda market sharaait ka faida uthayein Short positions shuru karne ke liye tayyar hona munasib ho sakta hai taake neeche ki corrections par faida hasil kiya ja sake aur mufeed nataij hasil kiye ja sakein Khareedne walon ki mazbooti ke bawajood, ek correctve downtrend lazmi lagta hai, jahan sellers qaabu mein aakar neeche ki taraf movement ko shuru kar sakte hain Ahem hai ke hum mantah mein mazbooti ke samne bhi, ek correctve downturn qareeb hai Aaj, behtareen manzar yeh hai ke hum ek mazboot downtrend ke liye nigaah rakhein jo ek correctve pullback se shuru hota hai, aur neeche ke support level ko 152.365 par nishaana banaye

H1 timeframe par, USDJPY pair numaya swings dikhata hai, jaise ke Zig Zag indicator ke zariye sabit hai, jo numaya peaks aur troughs ko highlight karta hai 120-period ke moving average ka mojood hona khareedne walon ki taqat ko zahir karta hai, jo unhein market mein dominant force banata hai Aaj ke trading opportunities ke liye, 153.90 level se khareedna mashwara diya jata hai, jahan pehla take profit 154.30 par set kiya gaya hai, phir doosra take profit target 154.70 par Dono orders ke liye stop loss 153.60 par diya gaya hai Magar, 153.30 par ek pivot mojood ho sakta hai jo market ke conditions mein tabdili ka nishaan hai, jiski wajah se bechna ka ghor kiya ja sakta hai Aise surat mein, consolidate hone par bechna mumkin hai, jahan take profit targets 152.90 par set kiye gaye hain aur stop loss 153.60 par Signals ki tasdeeq M15 chart jaise kam timeframes par dhoondhi ja sakti hai, jahan pe purchases ko Moving Average aur Zig Zag jaise indicators se saabit kiya ja sakta hai

Market ke complications mein safar karne ke liye, tafseeli mushaahida aur maazi ke sharaait ke mutabiq apne aap ko tabdeel hone ki tayyari zaroori hai Jab ke bullish trend mojood hai, moor par palatne ki mumkinat ko tasleem karna aur apne aap ko aane wale moqaat par faida uthane ke liye munasib taur par tayyar karna mustahiq-e-tawaqquf hai Isi tarah, dono bullish aur bearish scenarios ka khayal rakhna munasib hai, jis se mojooda market dynamics ke saath trade karne ke liye tayyar rahein Technical indicators ka istemal kar ke faislay ko inform karna traders ko USDJPY currency pair ke complexities mein khud-aitebaar aur taizgi se safar karne ki qabliyat deta hai, jis se unka trading strategies ko zyada aata karne aur munafa hasil karne ki taqat hoti hai

Japanese yen ki kami ne traders ko ye sochne par majboor kiya hai ke bekarar Japanese currency kitni gir sakti hai, jabke dhaai tasveer-e-kaami ka khauf thaari rehta hai. JPMorgan Chase & Co aur Bank of America Corp ki private banking unit ne USD/JPY currency pair ke liye agle mumkinah maeel ke tor par 160 ko dekha hai, jo ke 34 saalon mein uski buland tareen satah par pohanch gaya hai. T. Rowe Price Japanese yen ke girne ke khatre ko dekh rahi hai, kareeb 170 ke aas paas - ek satah jo 1980s mein dekhi gayi thi.
In satah tak ka rasta pehle se zyada saaf ho sakta hai agar haal hi ki market ki harkatein kisi rahnumaai ki misaal hain. Japanese yen ka qeemat sirf peechle haftay mein 1% gir gaya, jab takmeel mein darust hone ke asraat ke khauf ne dollar ki taraf bhagna shuru kiya. Ye amooman long term mein barhti hui US qarz adaayon ke khaufat ne dollar ki taraf bhaagne ko barhawa diya. Ye kisi bhi naatamam surat-e-haal mein aik maah baad hua, jab Bank of Japan ne 2007 se pehli martaba interest rates ko barhaya.

Aaj ke dore ke mutabiq dollar ke muqablay mein Japanese yen:

Rozana ki chart ke performance ke mutabiq, US dollar ke keemat ka aam trend Japanese yen ke muqablay (USD/JPY) mein mazboot aur bulandi ki taraf hai, aur iska silsilaari record ke faide ne sab technical indicators ko mazboot satah tak le gaya hai khareedari ke, aur jaisa ke mein pehle zikar kiya, aam trend tab tak bulandi ki taraf rahega jab tak asal mein Japanese intervention market mein na ho, taki Japanese yen ke aur girne se bacha ja sake. Ye kisi bhi waqt ho sakta hai. Doosri taraf, US dollar ke faide mazboot aur musalsal hain, ye yaqeeni banata hai ke US dollar apni aham currencies ke muqablay mein faide haasil karta hai. Halqa-e-waqt mein, aam trend ke qareebi rukawat satahain 154.90, 155.40, aur 156.00 hain, mutawatar

Market ki conditions jo neeche di gayi graph mein dikhayi gayi hain woh batati hai ke saal ke shuru se le kar ab tak UsdJpy jodi ke trend kaafi zyada uptrend ki taraf raha hai. March ke shuru mein ek consolidation ka lamha tha jo dikh raha tha ke bechne wale is koshish mein the ke wo candlestick ka position neeche le jaayein taake ye neeche ki taraf move ho, ye koshish sirf price ko SMA 100 indicator ke neeche ya 146.53 ke position tak le ja sakti thi. Lekin April ke shuru se ab tak candlestick phir se ooncha chad gaya hai kyunki ab tak market price kareeb 154.22 hai. Magar bullish trend kaafi smooth nahi lag raha kyunki aaj se subah ek neeche ki correction shuru ho gayi hai.
Agar hum market opening position se Monday se current price position tak ka measurement karein jo ke bullish side ki taraf chal rahi hai kaafi zyada wide range mein, is haftay ke price travel situation se ye nateeja nikala ja sakta hai ke price ek temporary correction ka samna kar raha hai bullish safar ke darmiyan mein. Mumkin hai ke aaj market phir se bullish side par aa jaye aur agle kuch dinon tak jari rahe. Tulaan ke tor par, current candlestick ka position pichle haftay ki lowest position se door ja sakta hai. Price movement abhi bhi bullish side ki taraf jaane ka chance lagta hai jab tak ke aaj tak market ki conditions upar ki taraf uthne ki koshish kar rahi hain

Main umeed karta hoon ke yeh movement 156.23 par khatam ho jayegi, lekin agar iraade badal jaayein toh growth target 155.28 hoga. Mujhe yeh bilkul bhi yaqeen nahi ke exactly yehi ho ga, lekin agar humein plan ko adjust karna pare aur samjhauta karna pare, toh tasali 155.28 darja mein hogi USD/JPY pair mein. Lagta hai ke khareedne walon ko bechnay walon par faida hai potentiol movement mein, toh is point tak ek izafa ka intezar karein, lekin uske baad ulta phera mumkin hai. Agar upar ki movement ka naakaam ho jana, toh hum neeche ki taraf ka plan par chalein ge, jahan support level 152.42 hoga. Kyunki yeh sirf ek pullback hoga, is ke daam par khareedna munasib ho sakta hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke aisa ek strategy kaam kar sakti hai, aur main exactly is silsile mein amal karne ki peshkash karta hoon.
Mumkin hai ke agle trend upar ki taraf jaaye, kyunki bullish trend mojooda stage mein sab se zyada mumkin scenario hai, aur 156.23 darja tak barhne ka doosra qadam abhi ke liye manzoor lagta hai. Yeh ishara deta hai ke upar ki movement ka ijaad mumkin hai aur main hamain 154.33 darja ke ooper barhte hue dekhta hoon, jahan yeh shuruaati izafa aakhir ka maqsood haasil karne ki pehli qadam hai. Is nisbat mein, main ek taqseemati lehar ka intezar karna pasand karta hoon taake main USD/JPY ko 153.42 darja se ooper barhne ke doran khareed sakun, shayad na hi aakhir tak darja. USD/JPY ke bullish trend ki raah mein, is chandarh ki chadhai ka maddah haasil hoga, jise ulta phera mumkin hai aur USD/JPY currency pair naye downward range mein dakhil ho jayega, lekin yeh point abhi door hai. Mojooda trading week ke ikhtitaam tak, humein events ke ijaad ka mumkin scenario dhyaan se sochna hai