usd/jpy ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USDJPY Daily Time Frame:
Iss D1 time frame par, uttar ki taraf is raaste ko barqarar rakhne ki kafi zyada sambhavna hai, kyun ke D1 dour dikhata hai ke moving average kafi kam level par hai aur uttar ki taraf nishan deta hai jo ke 154.33 tak hai, jo ke is rukh mein mazeed rawanaayi ko darust kar sakta hai. Usi waqt, rozana chart par aham resistance level ka toor parha, jo ke market mein izafa ka nishan deta hai. Isliye, aaj mujhe ek bullish rawanaayi ka intezar hai, aur agar yeh taraqqi hoti hai, to 153.38 ke level ko toorna zaroori hoga. Sirf is ke baad hum USD/JPY mein bearon ka shikast ka intezar kar sakte hain, jo ke lambi positions ko 154.33 ke level tak pohanchne ki ijaazat dega. Hum abhi ek makhsoos phase mein hain, lekin yeh jo shuru hui thi, yeh itni jaldi khatam ho sakti hai. Aam trend ke sath, sab kuch zahir hai ke saaf dikhne laga hai.

USDJPY H1 Time Frame:

Yahan USDJPY ke H1 chart par, 153.38-152.75 ke flat ne uttejit uttar ki trend ko roka hai. Is se pehle bhi, ek flat tha aur price is se asani se upar shot kiya gaya aur 153rd figure tak barhta raha. Is ke ilawa, price ne Ichimoku Cloud indicator ke dono sharyon ke upar rok lagai hai, jo ke musalsal khareedon ka nishan deta hai, humein bhi flat ke nichle shary se punar utpatan mila hai, isliye ab currency pair ke paas sirf ek rasta hai - flat ke upar ki shary ko test karna jise tod kar aur agle uttar ki rawanaayi ka amal shuru kar sakte hain. Main ne bhi H1 chart par ek mudmudaar support line draw kiya hai, jise upar price abhi tak trade kar raha hai, aur jab tak yeh aise hi trade kar rahi hai, currency pair barhega, aur agar hum is support line ko niche paar kar lete hain, to hum wapas bechna shuru karenge, aur phir price Ichimoku Cloud indicator ke nichle had tak jaega. To ziada se ziada jahan price dobara laut sakta hai, woh neeche slope support line tak hai.

Shab bakhair dosto! Jab pair ek range mein trade kar raha tha, is range mein khaas tor par khareedari ka volume tha. Phir maine yeh samjha ke pair 153.377 tak resistance tak jaega, yani ke jab ke pair pichli uchayion ke qareeb trade kar raha tha, khareedaron ko pooray volume ka faida ho raha tha. Mujhe yeh bhi nahi socha tha ke yeh khareedari ke stops out ho jaenge, ke pair 150.889 tak jaega. Main yeh manta hoon ke yeh neeche ki harkat sirf khareedaron ke stops ko hataane ka natija thi; kuch unko execute kiya gaya aur palat gaya. Aur main samajhta hoon ke yeh ek bharai ka dobaara shuru hona hai, ke pair uchayi tak jaega. Abhi, abhi main ek pair bech raha hoon, bas ek technical pullback ke saath. Sirf yeh ke kabhi kisi waqt itihaas mein ek mushabeh haalat thi: jab pair 5-minute chart par trade kar raha tha, be-rozgaari ke data aaya tha. Woh ooncha gaya, phir wapas aaya aur phir lag raha tha ke woh bharai dobaara shuru ho raha hai, lekin us se pehle bechne wale ka volume tha. Lagta hai ke bechne wale ke stops us se pehle out ho gaye thay phir mazeed girawat. Is ke alawa, pound dollar bhi barh raha hai, yani dollar kam ho raha hai. Koi tajziya ho sakta hai.
Main sochta hoon ke USD/JPY h1 currency pair ka silsila barqarar rahega. Pehle, barhne ke doran, keemat ne do mazboot levels - daily aur weekly ke qareeb 151.51 - ko tod diya aur level ke upar jam gaya, level ko support banane ke liye. Level ko torne ke baad, keemat ikhtraar mein gayi aur tooti hui level ko kayi baar test kiya gaya lekin neeche nahi gayi, khareedaron ne level ko qabza kiya aur is par keemat ko khareed rahe hain, yahan woh zyada tajweez ko barhane ke liye apni positions jama kar rahe hain. Teer nishan dene wala indicator kehta hai ke upar ki harkat jaari rahegi, jo ek aur upar ki lehar ko tasdeeq karta hai. Main yahan yeh samajhta hoon ke level se thori dair ke liye kharidari par ghor karna laazmi hai. Khareedari ke liye maqasid 152.30 mark ho sakti hain; is mark par rukawat hai aur rozana guzara ka darmiyanik raasta yahan khatam hota hai, yehan tak pohanch sakte hain bina kisi khaas mushkilat ke us tarah ki ikhtraar ke baad jo teesre din se shuru ho chuki hai, lekin pehli martaba guzarnay ke chances kam hain, main wahan se neeche ki umeed rakhoon ga

USD/JPY pair teesre haftay se ek sidha rasta mein chal raha hai, aur jaisa ke hum dekh rahe hain, is channel se nikalne ka imkaan bohot bara nahi hai. Is liye, hum is haftay ko phir se 150.800 par nichle had tak aur 151.800 par ooper ki had tak band hone ka imkaan hai. Sab se dilchasp waqeat agle haftay honge. Main ye nahi keh raha ke hum 150.800 ke side channel ke nichle had se guzar kar 150 yen per dollar tak pohanch jayenge, lekin ye sirf volumes hasil karne aur 152,000 ke ooper guzarne ki koshish hogi. Is ke baad, hum 153,000 yen per dollar tak ki movement ko mazeed durust taur par paish karsakte hain aaj ke American session ke band hone par Is marhale par, market buland sargarmi aur nizamati izafa dikha rahi hai. Saaf tha ke USD/JPY ek urooj ki raah par chalna shuru karega, lekin mere shak tha aur maine market ke saath rehne ka faisla kiya. Ab mujhe samajh aya ke main faida mand hawala mein ho sakta tha, kyunke sahi faisla bohot kam keemat par aya, aur wapis palat bhi dair se nazar aya. Mukhtalif timeframes par moving average ke talluq se dekhte hue, bullish qowwat mein izafa ka wazeh imkaan nazar ata hai. Main ye nahi keh raha ke agar ek neeche ki correction ho, to main fayda uthane ke liye tayyar honga, aur zyada tar yeh 150.80 hoga. Agar kisi wajah se main market mein dakhil nahi ho sakta, to mustaqbil mein munafa kamana bohot mushkil hoga, aur main baqayaat se mutmain rehna parega. Chalo dekhte hain ke trend sargarmi shuru hone par kya khabrein hai. USD/JPY aakhir mein ziata toot ke guzarega, jo ke hum 151.95 ke level par guzar jayenge aur phir 153 ke figure ki taraf chalay jayenge

Yeh kaafi dilchasp aur dilchasp sabit hota hai. Aise khayalat amal mein haqeeqat mein mushkilat paida hoti hain, kyunke yahan yeh samjha jata hai ke humein Fibonacci grid istemal karke "1" aur "2" darjat se trade karna chahiye. Yani, humein ek oonchi impulse mili, phir 50% classic correction hua, aap dekh sakte hain ke yeh darja kis tarah se mazeed izafa ki umeed mein kharida gaya tha. Magar market foran upar nahi gayi, pehle woh 2 darjat neeche gayi (jo surkhi saalomon se numaya hai). Pehla darja bhi ahem hai, lekin yeh baad mein ahem ho gaya, jaise ke baad mein pata chala. Doosra darja sab se ahem sabit hua, kyunke yeh hi tha jo quotes ko mazeed girne se bachaya. Mazeed, darja "1" ne breakout darja aur support darja ka kirdar ada kiya, kyunke yeh hi tha jo quotes ki mazeed barhne mein madad ki aur yeh hi tha jo H4 par kharid ke liye indicator signal banane mein madad ki. Aur ab hum 161.8% ke hisaab se ek intezam ka maza le rahe hain, aur bilkul is ke mutabiq. Ye tawaqo'at ka darja kaam karta hai, bas sidhe raste par nahi gaye, balke ek mukhtalif raste par gaye, apne peechay track ko ulajhate hue. USD/JPY H1 Timeframe:

H1 time frame par currency pair ya instrument humein is ki darmiyan term ke harkat ko qubool karke faida hasil karne ka moqa deta hai. Hamara maqsad yeh hai ke H4 time frame par mojood mojooda trend ko sahi taur par tasleem karen aur munfarid dhalil noktay ko market mein faida hasil karne ke liye darust taur par pehchanen. Apne instrument ka chart 4 ghantay ki time frame ke sath kholen aur halaat-e-haal ke rukh ko dekhen. Hum dekhte hain ke aaj market humein kharidari ke mufassil muamlat perfect karne ka behtareen moqa deta hai. Hum apne kaam mein teen indicators - HamaSystem, RSI Trend aur Magnetic_Levels_Color ke indicators ka istemal karte hain. Hama aur RSI Trend ke indicators ke signals ke mutabiq, hum H1 time frame par bullish dilchaspi ke sath trend pakar rahe hain, jab dono indicators neela aur sabz rang me hote hain, jo kharidaron ke faujon ka faida ho ga. Jab okay zaroori shirayat perfect ho jayen, hum apne deal khol sakte hain. Hum market se bahar niklenge magnetic levels indicator ke signals ke mutabiq. Aaj ka sab se dilchasp darjat 153.368 par kaam karne ke liye hain.

USD/JPY

Mukhtalif interest rates aur rozmarra ke payments ka lure dekh kar U.S. dollar ne trading week mein izafa kiya aur ¥152 ke aham darja ko tor diya. Is kamyabi ne market mein ronuma darja ka darja nazar andaaz kiya hai. Badi interruption ke baad jo ke sirf ¥152 ke nazdeek thi, is kaarwaai se market mein aik zaroori lamha darust ho gaya hai.

Aage dekhte hue, agar kisi waqt minor short-term discounts aayein toh kam buying appeal se milenge. Traders is imtihaan ko bari madad samjhte hain aur apni jagah ko mazeed taraqqi ke liye qaim karte hain. ¥152 ke breach ne focus ko agle target par laya hai jo ke ¥155 ke qareeb hai.

Agar kisi waqt ¥152 se short-term dip hoti hai, toh ¥150 level ke qareeb achha support milne ki kafi ummeed hai, agar ke prices wahaan tak retreat karein tab tak jab Bank of Japan ne hal nedai faiz ke levels ko zero ke qareeb pohancha kar economic growth ko stimulate karne ki ongoing koshish ki. Aur ab Federal Reserve ki commitment ke baad jo ke monetary policy ko tighter banane ki hai, yeh U.S. dollar ki interest intensity mein izafa laayega.

Mujhe haal hi mein apni positions ko barhane aur dips par buying karne ki strategy endorse ki hai. Sabr ke sath, yeh market mukhtalif interest rate ke farq aur market momentum ka faida utha kar lambe arse mein mustaqil munafa dene ka zariya ban sakti hai.

Is analysis ko barhane ke liye, zaroori hai ke paisa market ko mutassir karne wale broad economic factors ko madde nazar rakha jaaye. Geopolitical dynamics, central banking systems, aur macroeconomic indicators economic growth ko shape karne mein kirdaar ada karte hain. Is liye zaroori hai ke market ke tabdeeliyaat mein mutaharrik rahain aur evolving market conditions ke mutabiq apni strategy ko adjust karein taake dynamic forex trading environment mein kaamyaabi hasil kar sakein.

Salam dosto, kaise ho? Japanese yen ek bahut saalon ka record neeche gir gaya, jabke Fed-BoJ ki policy ki ummeedain milte-julte hain. Rukawat ki fikar JPY bears ko taaza bets lagane se rok sakti hai aur USD/JPY pair ko mehdood kar sakti hai. Spot ke daam tezi se barh rahe hain aur paanchwe haftay tak musallat hone ka imkan hai aur hara rang mein khatam ho sakta hai. Takniki hawale se, US CPI ka agla breakout 152.00 ke qareeb do hafton purane trading range ke mukhalif bulish hai. Magar, rozana ke chart par Relative Strength Index - halan ke wo unchi se kam hogaya hai - overbought territory ke qareeb hai. Isse samajhdaar hai ke kuch nazdeeki daera ya thora sa pullback ka intezaar karna behtar hai phir kisi ziada maayene ki kharidari ke liye. Intehai pehlu 153.25-153.30 ke aspass jo ke bahut saalon ka record hai, ab turant rok ka kaam karega, jis ke upar USD/JPY pair 154.00 gol sankhya ko dubara hasil karne ka maqsad rakhta hai. Doosri taraf, raat ke swing low ke neeche, 152.75 zone ke as-paas kisi maayene ki correction girawat hona zyada mumkin hai ke naye buyers ko kheench sake aur trading range breakout point ke 152.00 ke qareeb nazdeek ho sakta hai. Upar di gayi handle ab USD/JPY pair ke liye mazboot buniyad ka kaam karegi, jo agar fazool toor par tor diya gaya to kuch nafeyati karobar aur 151.40 darmiyaney support ko 151.00 gol sankhya tak pohanchne ka ishara de sakta hai. Dono taraf ka rasta saaf kar sakta hai girawat ke liye. Kuch follow-through selling yeh zahir karta hai ke spot ke daam nazdeek ke doraan top ho gaye hain aur bias ko bearish traders ke favor mein palat diya gaya hai. Japanese yen ne kuch din ke sellers ko akarshit kiya aur apne US muqablay mein bahut saalon ke record girne wale hain

Is dauran, jis se zyada garmi se muntakhib hone waali US consumer inflation data ne investors ko FED ke pehle interest rate cut ka intezar June se September tak taalne par majboor kiya. Ghair mutmain nazaria US Treasury bonds ko buland kiya aur US dollar ko November ke baad ke oonchaaiyon tak pohanchaya. Is ka natija yeh hai ke USD/JPY pair ke liye ek aur maamooli hawa ka rukh dekha ja raha hai. Magar, Japanese authorities ka yeh tajurba ke wo market mein dakhil hone ki ummeedain JPY ki mazeed kamzori se rokne ke liye kuch ehtiyaat zaroori hai pehle kisi ziada nazdeekiyon ki kharidari ke liye

Market mein kai traders hamesha se eshare dhoondte hain jo unhein future ke movements ka pata lagane mein madad karein. USD/JPY ke maamle mein, kuch traders ko lagta hai ke market 15.788 tak gir sakta hai aur yeh kaam asaan nahi hai. Yeh ek dilchasp aur samarthanjanak baat hai jo traders ke liye mahatvapurna ho sakta hai. Sabse pehle, jab bhi ek trader market ke esharay ko samajhne ki koshish karta hai, uske paas tajurba aur tehqiqat honi chahiye. Market analysis ek muddat ki mehnat aur gahre samajh ki zarurat hai. Yeh sirf ek tukka nahi hai, balki usmein samajhdari aur taajub hai.

Dusra, USD/JPY ke maamle mein, ek trader ko technical aur fundamental analysis dono ko madhya mein rakhte hue chalna chahiye. Technical analysis mein, price charts aur patterns ka study kiya jata hai taaki future ke movements ka anuman lagaya ja sake. Wahi fundamental analysis mein, economic indicators aur geopolitical events ka dhyan rakha jata hai jo currency pairs par asar dalte hain. Teesra, market volatility ka dhyan rakhna bhi zaroori hai. Kabhi kabhi unexpected events ya economic data release ke baad market mein tezi ya mandi aati hai jo traders ke liye achanak se bade nuksan ya faide ka sabab ban sakti hai.



Market mein sell jaane ki yeh 15.788 tak ki umeed, ek trader ke tajurbe aur analysis par mabni hai. Haan, kai factors is disha mein ishara kar rahe hain, lekin kisi bhi trade ko karte waqt, risk management ka dhyan rakhna bahut zaroori hai. Trade karte waqt, stop loss aur take profit levels ko set karna, aur position size ko samajhdari se chunna, zaroori hai taaki trader ko nuksan se bacha ja sake. Aakhri shabdon mein, market analysis mein ek trader ko hamesha vigilant rehna chahiye aur apne tajurbe aur research par adharit faislay lena chahiye. Har trade mein risk hota hai, lekin agar sahi tajurbe aur analysis ki base par chal rahe ho, toh yeh risk kam ho sakta hai.

Bilkul, trading aur forex market ke maamle mein esharey kaafi ahem hotey hain. USD/JPY ke maamle mein agar aapko lagta hai ke market sell ja sakta hai aur 15.783 tak pohanch sakta hai, toh aapke vichar mein kuch toh baat hai. Lekin, yaad rahe ke yeh sirf eshaara hai aur market ke haalat har waqt tabdeel ho sakti hain.

Sab se pehle, humein dekhna hota hai ke kya pehle ke chart analysis ya technical indicators ke zariye humein yeh eshaara mil raha hai ya nahi. Agar humein yeh pata chalta hai ke previous trends aur indicators ke mutabiq market down jaane ki sambhavna hai, toh yeh humein future ke movement ke baare mein kuch idea de sakta hai. Dusri baat, fundamentals ko bhi ghor se dekhna zaroori hai. Economic events aur geopolitical factors bhi market ko influence karte hain. USD/JPY ke maamle mein, US aur Japan ke economic indicators, monetary policies, aur international relations ka impact hota hai.

Market sentiment bhi ek important factor hai. Agar traders ka sentiment sell ki taraf hai, toh yeh market ko neeche khinchna sakta hai. Lekin, sentiment bhi bohot unpredictable ho sakta hai aur kabhi kabhi contrarian moves bhi ho sakte hain. Risk management bhi zaroori hai. Agar aap market ko sell kar rahe hain, toh aapko apne positions ka size, stop-loss aur take-profit levels ka bhi dhyan rakhna hoga taake nuksan se bacha ja sake.



Aur akhir mein, trading mein kisi bhi faisley se pehle apne apko educate karna zaroori hai. Forex market mein trading karna complex ho sakta hai aur bina proper knowledge ke trading karna risky ho sakta hai. Toh, agar aapko lagta hai ke USD/JPY market sell ja sakta hai aur 15.783 tak pohanch sakta hai, toh apne analysis ko mazbooti se karke hi faisla karein. Aur yaad rahe ke trading mein hamesha caution aur risk management ka istemaal karna zaroori hai.

Zaruratmand Malik, aap ne toh aik kafi nihayat dilchasp masla uthaya hai. Forex market, jaise ke aap jante hain, bohot hi dynamic aur volatile hoti hai. Ismein kisi bhi waqt kuch bhi ho sakta hai. Lekin, agar aapko lagta hai ke USD/JPY pair mein sell ki taraf jaane ke koi signs hain, toh aap kaafi cautious hote hue sahi raaste pe chal rahe hain.

Sabse pehle, 15.780 tak ki price target set karna bohot hi tajziyaat aur analysis ka kaam hai. Market trends, economic indicators, geopolitical events, aur technical analysis ko sab milake samajhna zaroori hai. Market mein sell ke signs dekhne ke liye, aapko kuch cheezon ka dhyaan rakhna zaroori hai. Price action analysis, jaise ke candlestick patterns aur support/resistance levels ko dekhna zaroori hai. Agar recent price action downward direction mein ja raha hai aur support levels break ho rahe hain, toh yeh ek potential sell signal ho sakta hai.

Sath hi, economic indicators aur geopolitical events ko bhi monitor karna zaroori hai. USD/JPY pair par asar daalne waale factors mein include hote hain: US Federal Reserve ke monetary policy decisions, Japan ki economic performance, trade tensions, aur global economic conditions. Technical indicators, jaise ke Moving Averages, RSI, aur MACD, bhi aapko market direction ke baare mein idea de sakte hain. Agar in indicators mein se kuch bhi sell signal de rahe hain, toh yeh aapke analysis ko aur bhi strong bana sakte hain.



Lekin, yaad rahe ke forex market unpredictable hai aur koi bhi trade karne se pehle risk management ko zaroori samjha jana chahiye. Stop-loss orders lagana, position size ko control karna, aur apne trading plan ko stick karna bohot zaroori hai. Toh, agar aapka analysis kehta hai ke USD/JPY sell ja sakta hai 15.780 tak, toh zaroori hai ke aap sabhi factors ko dhyaan mein rakhte hue cautious tareeke se apni trading decisions lein.

USD/JPY mein barhte hue esharat aur indicators ki roshni mein, market ka agla raasta kaafi wazeh nazar aa raha hai. Bohat se traders aur analysts yeh samajh rahe hain ke market kaafi arsay ke baad ab sell zone mein dakhil ho sakta hai aur yeh 15.792 level tak pohanch sakta hai. Yeh khabar sunne wale ke liye aham hai ke iske liye mushkil nahi hai.

Yeh analysis karne ke liye mukhtalif factors ka tajziya kiya gaya hai, jaise ke technical analysis, economic indicators aur geopolitical events. Technical analysis mein, market ke charts aur patterns dekhe gaye hain jin se yeh zahir hota hai ke USD/JPY pair ke chart mein downtrend kaafi mazboot nazar aa raha hai. Isi tarah, moving averages aur oscillators bhi yeh indication de rahe hain ke market ka next move sell direction mein ho sakta hai.

Economic indicators bhi is analysis mein ahem kirdar ada kar rahe hain. USD/JPY pair ko mutasir karne wale factors mein se ek hai interest rates ka farq. Agar Federal Reserve (America) apni interest rates ko barhata hai aur Bank of Japan apni rates ko kam karta hai, to yeh USD/JPY pair ko sell pressure mein daal sakta hai. Geopolitical events bhi market par asar andaz hote hain. Misal ke tor par, agar kisi mudda ke baare mein tension barh jata hai ya phir koi unexpected event hota hai, to yeh market sentiment ko directly mutasir karta hai aur USD/JPY pair ke liye bearish momentum create kar sakta hai.

Lekin, yeh sabhi analysis sirf possibilities aur probabilities hain. Market ki kisi bhi direction mein chalne ki koi guarantee nahi hoti. Isliye, traders ko market ki movement ke against apni positions ka risk management zaroori hota hai. Stop loss orders lagana, position sizes ko manage karna aur market ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai. Toh chuki market mein sell ki eshareten moujood hain, traders ko cautious rehna chahiye aur market ki har movement ko dhyan se dekhna chahiye.

USD/JPY

Aj ki subah ka moqa lekar mein USDJPY currency pair par guftagu karunga, jo pichle kuch mahino se tezi se badh raha hai Pichle dinon ke qeemat ke harkat mein, USDJPY pair ne neeche ki taraf jhuka, lekin qeemat ne doosre support level par 152.54 se guzarnay aur wahan se band hone mein kamiyabi haasil nahi ki Qeemat ne is level se bounce kiya aur dobara apni kal ki opening qeemat tak chali gayi Is halat ko dekhte hue, kya mumkin hai ke USDJPY currency pair ke upar jane ka ishara hai? Agli hafte ke shuruwat par wapas aayega ya phir qeemat sirf sideways chalegi, mazeed tafseelat ke liye, chalo neechay diye gaye Monthly time frame chart ko mil kar dekhte hain







Upar diye gaye chart se, main ne mustaqbil ki qeemat ke harkat mein guzarnay wale kuch nafsiyati darjat banaye hain, jin mein qeemat 146.40, 150.85, 152.60, aur 154.20 shamil hain, phir RSI indicator (14) par ek mukhtalif pattern banne ka izafa hone ke imkaan hai, halan ke yeh abhi bohot qabil-e-aitbaar nahi hai, lekin meri raay mein darja eftetahi 70% ke qareeb hai, is liye humein sirf mukhtalif candle ka intizaar karna chahiye taake mukhtalif ko tasdeeq kiya ja sake Trend ke hawale se, USDJPY pair ab bhi bohot zahir tor par bullish hai jahan qeemat 50 mahawari MA line se bohot door chali gayi hai, is liye mojooda tajziyat ki data ke sath aur phir mazeed madadgar factors shamil karne ke baad, mein yeh natija nikalta hoon ke agle hafte USDJPY pair ka izafa mumkin hai kam az kam 154.20 ke darjati darjay tak, is liye trading option hai kharidna, jab qeemat us level ko chhoochti hai, agar qeemat us se ooper band nahi hoti jaise ke chhote time frame jaise TF H4 aur neeche se dekha jaye to hum 152.60 ke nafsiyati darje par take profit ke sath bech sakte hain Yehi sab kuch hai jo main is moqe par share kar sakta hoon, agar koi or shakhs kuch shamil karna chahta hai, to wo khush amdeed hai, shukriya aur hum sab ko khushiyon ki duaen

USD/JPY currency pair ka 151.31 ke sath darusti se barhna aik aham maqam hai jo kay aksar logon ke liye kafi aham hota hai. Yeh maqam aik mazi mein darust sabit hua hai aur aik mutasir raftar ke saath chal raha hai. Is waqt, is maqam ki wajah se market mein bharak utha hai aur log is line ko dhyan mein rakhte hue trading karte hain. Is maqam ki barhti hui ahmiyat mein kuch aham wajohat shamil hain. Pehli bat, yeh aik markazi maqam hai jo kay market ke dynamics ko samajhne mein madadgar sabit hota hai. Jab market is level tak pohanchta hai, to traders ka dhyan is par zyada hota hai aur woh is darusti ko samajhne ki koshish karte hain. Doosri bat, 151.31 ke sath darusti se barhna market ke liye aik aham confidence indicator hai. Jab yeh level paar hota hai, to yeh ek bullish sentiment ko darust karta hai aur traders ko yeh samajh mein aata hai ke market mein bullish momentum barh sakta hai. Iske ilawa, yeh maqam trading strategies ko tay karte waqt bhi ahem hota hai. Traders is level ko apne stop-loss orders ke liye istemal karte hain takay unki positions ko nuqsan se bachaya ja sake. Is tarah, yeh aik protective measure bhi sabit hota hai jo ke trading ke liye zaroori hai. Yeh maqam market ke liye ek aham psychological level bhi hai. Jab market is level ko paar karta hai, to yeh aksar ek psychological barrier ko toorna hota hai aur traders ka confidence boost hota hai. Magar yeh darusti barhne ki koi guarantee nahi hai. Market dynamics hamesha badalte rehte hain aur kisi bhi waqt is level ko paar karna ya girna mumkin hai. Is liye, traders ko market ko chundh kar trading karte hue apne risk management ko bhi yaad rakhna chahiye. Yeh sabhi factors mil kar yeh maqam USD/JPY currency pair ke liye ahem banate hain aur iski darusti ko barqarar rakhne mein madadgar sabit ho sakti hai.

Salam dosto, kaise hain aap? Japani yen ne mazeed gir kar bohot saalon ki kamzori tak pohanch gaya hai, halankeh mukhtalif Fed-BoJ policy ki umeedein hain. Rukawat ke khadshat USD/JPY joray ko naye daaron par daal sakti hai aur spot ke daam 5 hafte se taqreeban mazboot faida haasil karne ka imkan hai. Technically dekha jaye to, US CPI ka agla breakout do hafton purane 152.00 mark ke qareeb ke trading range ke resistance ke zariye traders ke liye bulish hai. Lekin, rojana ke chart par Relative Strength Index, chunke zyada se zyada levelon se ghata, oversold territory ke qareeb hai. Is se pehle kisi qareebi mustaqil halat ya chhote pullback ka intezaar karna behtar hai, phir zyada significant qadam uthane ke liye. Iss doran, 153.25-153.30 ke aas paas bohot saalon ki unchi, ab foran rukawat ka kaam karna nazar ata hai, jis ke upar USD/JPY jora 154.00 round figure ko dobara hasil karne ki koshish karta hai. Doosri taraf, raat ke swing low, 152.75 zone ke neeche kisi maqbool tezabiyat ke giraavat ke neeyatmand faisle ko khush kash karne ke zyada chances hain aur trading range breakout point ke 152.00 mark ke qareeb band karne ke liye. Upar zikar kiya gaya handle ab USD/JPY joray ke liye mazboot bunyadi buniad ka kaam karna chahiye, jo agar mustaqil taur par tor diya jaye toh kuch munafa lenay ka signal bhi de sakta hai aur 151.40 darmiyanee support tak ponchne ke liye 151.00 round figure ki taraf rehti hai. Rukh rasta ko saaf kar sakta hai. Kuch follow-through bechnay se yeh tawaqo kiya jaata hai ke spot ke daam nazdeek ki muddat mein upar ki tarf ghum gaye hain aur bearish traders ke favor mein nisbat badal gayi hai. Japani yen kuch intraday sellers ko attract kiya aur apne US counterpart ke muqablay mein bohot saalon ki kamzori tak gir gaya hai.
Waqiye mein, maazi se zyada garam hone wale US consumer inflation data ne investors ko Fed ka pehla interest rate cut June se September tak intezar karne par majboor kiya. Mayoos kun nazar e aqeedat U.S. Treasury bonds ko support karti hai aur November se U.S. dollar ko uski buland tareen level par pohancha deti hai. Ye bhi dekha gaya hai ke USD/JPY joray ke liye ek aur cheez jo tailwind ka kaam karti hai. Lekin, Japani authorities ke intervention ke baare mein charcha, mazeed JPY ki kamzori ko rokne ke liye, kisi bhi mazeed qareebi appreciation ke liye positioning ke liye thori ehtiyaat ka imkan hai

Market ke jazbaat aur takneeki isharaat currencies ke darmiyan darjat faqat mukhya kirdar ada karte hain. Chaliye dekhte hain ke in pehluon mein konse farq paida ho sakte hain aur unke qareebi mustaqbil par kis tarah asar daal sakte hain. Market ke jazbaat, aksar maamlaat se mutasir ho kar, jaise ke maashiyati data ki rilis, siyasi ghairat, aur markazi bankon ke aamaal, currencies ke darmiyan nihayat farq ho sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar aik mulk mein mazboot maashiyati nashonuma hoti hai jabke doosre mulk mein siyasi laahiqi ki wajah se yaqeeniyyat ka samna karta hai, to market ke jazbaat mazboot maashiyat ke currency ko pasand kar sakte hain, jo ke us currency ke liye darjat faqat ke husool ki tawaqo rakhte hain. Doosri taraf, agar market ke jazbaat kharab ho jaate hain siyasi tanazaat ya global maashiyati dhime pan ki wajah se, to karobarion ko safe-haven currencies ki taraf daur sakte hain, jis se darjat faqat farqat ke mutabiq asar daal sakte hain. Takneeki isharaat, jaise ke moving averages, Relative Strength Index (RSI), aur Bollinger Bands, peechli qeemat ke harkaat aur mumkinah mustaqbil ke rujhanat ki jhalak dete hain. Currencies ke darmiyan takneeki isharaat ki farq mein farqat ka ishaara market ki taqat aur rahnumai ke mukhtalif daraje ko zahir kar sakta hai. Masalan, agar aik currency pair ko bullish takneeki isharaat nazar aate hain, jo ke mazboot urooj ko zahir karte hain, jabke doosra pair bearish signals dikhata hai, jo ke mukhalif ya istiqraar ka mumkinah pehlu dikhata hai, to ye karobarion ke positions ko mawafiq taur par tasveer dene se darjat faqat farqat ko mutasir kar sakta hai. Aane waale session mein, ihtiyaat se kaam karne wale karobarion ko aagah rehna chahiye aur market ke jazbaat aur takneeki isharaat mein hone wale tabdilon se peda hone wale moujooda mauqaat ka faida uthane ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye. Maashiyati data ki rilis, markazi bankon ke bayanat, siyasi taraqqiyan, aur takneeki tanqeedi nawaazish ke nazdeeki mukhtalif currencies ke darmiyan darjat faqat mein tabdil hone ke tabadlon ko behtar taur par pesh gwaah karke, karobarion ko currencies ke darmiyan darjat faqat mein tabdil hone ke tabadlon ko behtar taur par pesh gwaah kar sakte hain. Masalan, agar kisi khaas currency ko musbat maashiyati data ki rilis sahih kar deti hai. Pichle hafte dollar aur yen ko haftawar chart par izafa dekha gaya. Ye qareeb resistance 151.589 ke qareeb band hua, phir se yeh resistance test kiya gaya, is liye pichle hafte maine takleef ko support 149.142 tak di. Hum dekhte hain ke izafa hua. Meri tajwez sache nahi huwi; yeh resistance 153.585 tak pahunch gaya. Ye resistance ke qareeb band hua. Koi resistance test nahi hua, is liye is hafte main izafa ke liye priority 155.447 ke resistance par di jati hai. Main samajhta hoon ke kam az kam resistance ko test kiya jayega, aur zyada se zyada ke qeemat is level ke ooper band hogi. Sabse naye se ek bohot khush aur bullish candle ko dekh kar trading range ke lagbhag 200 points hai aur ab tamam umeedain ek girawat ke liye uthai nahi ja rahi hain jo upar zikar ki gayi zone tak nahi pahunchti. Lekin doosri taraf, meri rae mein yeh girawat bohot zyada pasand nahi aati hai.

USD/JPY H4

Japanese yen par COT reports ke mutabiq, pata chala ke April 2 se April 9 tak, ghair-tijarati traders ne 7,915 kharidari positions band ki aur 11,006 farokht positions kholi. Yeh zahir hota hai ke traders ke positions bearish ho gaye hain. Farokhten barhne jaari hain. Shayad is hafte bhi izafa dekha jaye. Kharidari contracts ki kul tadad 47,275 contracts hai aur farokht contracts ki kul tadad 209,426 contracts hai. Yani, farokht contracts kharidari contracts se zyada hain, is liye lambi dour mein yen sirf farokht kiya ja sakta hai. Is hafte, agar hum ek aam nateeja nikalenge, toh hum ye nateeja nikal sakte hain ke hum pairs mein kharidari dekhte hain, kyun ke technology kharidari ke liye bol rahi hai aur reports bhi kharidari ke liye bol rahi hain., yahan par ek phrase zyada munasib hoga - agar USD/JPY khud hi izafa kar raha hai, bas apne aap mein, toh kisi aur majors ke saath correlation nahi tha. Aur ab, jab American dollar puri market mein izafa kar raha hai, toh ummeed ki ja sakti hai ke USD/JPY girne ki kam chance hogi.

USD/JPY H4 Time frame
Tafseeli tajziya karna jis mein rupiye ke market ko mutasir karne wale wasee ma'asharti factors ko shaamil karna, is ki dynamics ko samajhne ke liye intehai ahem hai. Geopolitical dynamics ka bohat bara asar hota hai, kyun ke global siyasat mein tabdeeliyan market ki halchal ko mutasir kar sakti hain. Masalan, bari asrat wale mulkon ke darmiyan tanazaat currency exchange rates mein tabdeeliyan laa sakte hain ya investor sentiment par asar daal sakte hain, jis se money market ke aalaat ko mutasir kiya ja sakta hai.


Markazi banking systems bhi bari asar rakhte hain. Central banks dwara set ki gayi monetary policies, jaise ke interest rate decisions ya quantitative easing measures, seedha rupiye ke market ko mutasir karte hain. Ye policies udhaar ke costs, liquidity conditions aur aakhir mein, market ke shiraa'koon ka rawaya ko mutasir karte hain. Aik central bank ki aamaal aik signals hoti hain uska apni maeeshat ki growth, inflaishan, aur maaliati mustahkam honay par kya nazariya hai, jo market ki expectations aur investment strategies ko rehnumai deti hai.


Macroeconomic indicators ma'asharti sehat ka ahem andaza dete hain aur money market ke dynamics ko mutasir kar sakte hain. GDP growth, inflaishan rates, rozgaar ke figures, aur consumer spending patterns jaise key indicators puri maeeshati surat-e-hal ke andar insights faraham karte hain. In indicators mein tabdeeliyan market sentiment aur investment decisions mein tabdeeliyan laa sakti hain, jis se money market ke aalaat jaise ke Treasury bills, commercial paper, aur certificates of deposit ko mutasir kiya ja sakta hai.


In factors ke baare mein ma'loom hona market ke shiraa'koon ke liye behtareen faislon ko karna ke liye ahem hai. Market analysts, investors, aur policymakers closely monitor geopolitical developments, central bank communications, aur macroeconomic data releases ko samajhne ke liye market sentiment ko naapte hain aur mustaqbil ke trends ka andaza lagate hain. Ye aagahi unhe unke investment strategies ko adjust karne, risks ko manage karne aur money market mein naye opportunities ko hasil karne mein madad faraham karti hai.


Is ke ilawa, global economies ke darmiyan mutasireen hone ka ta'alluq aham hai jo international factors ko mad-e-nazar le kar aur bhi ahem banata hai. Aik mulk mein hony wale economic events aur policy decisions doosre mulkon tak asar daal sakte hain, jo money market ke haalaat ko puri dunia mein mutasir kar sakte hain. Is liye, money market ki tafseeli tajziya aik global nazarieh ki zaroorat hai, jismein cross-border capital flows, currency movements, aur international policy developments ko shamil kiya jata hai.

Ikhtataam mein, jab money market ka tajziya karte waqt turant market ke haalaat se zyada wasee ma'asharti factors ka tawazun karna zaroori hai. Geopolitical dynamics, markazi banking policies, aur macroeconomic indicators sab money market ke manzar ko murattib karte hain. Aagah rehne aur tafseeli tajziya ka muamla kar ke, market ke shiraa'koon ko money market ke complexities ko zyada behtar tareeqay se samajhne ki salahiyat milti hai, jis se wo opportunities ko istemal karte hain aur risks ko kam karte hain ek hamesha tabdeel hoti maeeshati mahol mein.