usd/jpy

Pichle haftay ko, keh sakte hain, seedha tha. North ka izafa nahi hua, maximum 150.88 ko update nahi kiya gaya, mazeed, Thursday ko uttar ka khatma ho gaya, halankeh Friday ko initiative wapas lene ka koshish kiya gaya, lekin ye bhi nakam raha. Intraday, phir uttar ko radd kiya gaya aur trading American session ke qareeb ke qareeb band ho gayi, jo ke Monday ke trading ke khulne par south ki khud-ba-khud tasdeeq ka zahir hai. Aam taur par, south 150.05 ke level ko tasdeeq karega. Magar ye oversold hai, toh wo top par rollback shuru kar sakte hain, bechnay walon ke liye sab se ahem cheez 150.72 se ooncha na ho, jahan south radd ho jayega. 150.35+- tak rollback karna behtareen hoga, yahan mA ka ikhata hota hai aur ek level hai jahan intraday waqt mein bechnay ka signal mila tha, jo ke test kiya jaana chahiye. Achha, isi waqt behtar keemat par bechne ka acha moqa bhi hoga. Nazdeeki nichle target 149.49 hai. Mujhe clear karne de, ye bilkul Monday ke liye hai. Prospect aur darmiyan term ke mutalbaat ke bare mein, is haftay hum pehla retracement level 149.95 tak pohanch gaye aur ise tor diya gaya, aur lagta hai ke wo wahan rukne wale nahi hain, agla level 148.84 par hai (din ke waqt). Yahan se top par rebound mumkin hai. Magar zyada taur par hum ek izafa ke jaari hone ka silsila dekhenge, aur yeh sab isliye ke haftay ke doran rollback level 147.71 par hai. Main is stage mein mazeed nichle nahi dekh raha, kyunke uttar ki trend mazboot hai aur aasani se tora nahi ja sakta, toh phir bhi izafa hoga. Southern correction ka mukammal honay par, main umeed karta hoon ke izafa dobara shuru hoga. Acha trading.

Dollar/Yen (USD/JPY) currency pair ke price mein aaj ek muddat kaafi takrao aur ikhtelaaf dekha gaya hai. Market ne is faislay ka jawab diya, aur yen ko ek baar phir becha gaya. USD/JPY kaafi tezi se barh gaya, halankeh sirf dopahar tha aur keemat pehle hi 170 point se guzar chuki thi. Mujhe yaad hai ek din mujhe umeed thi ke resistance ka imtehan 150.69 pe hoga aur mujhe fikar thi ke market itni bulandiyan na pohanch jaye aur mujhe pehle se maqsoodain talash karne parenge. Lekin, jaise ke sabit hua, dollar yen aaj bhi heraan kar raha hai; ab yeh 150.50 ke level ko imtehan de raha hai. Mashriqi khanon se door rehkar, maine notice kiya ke H4 aur H1 dono charts pehle se oonchay hain. Yeh mujhe is baat ka andaza dilata hai ke market mein taizi aur tezi ka dum hai. Mujhe kuch fursat se isko kharidne ka mauqa nahi mila, lekin aksar yeh dekha jata hai ke opportunities guzar jaati hain.

Market mein aise waqt aate hain jab hamare expectations aur market ki haqeeqat mein farq hota hai. Resistance levels ko paar karte waqt, hamein cautious rehna chahiye aur market ke tezi ya girawat ka samay ghor se dekhna chahiye. Resistance levels ko todne ke baad, hamain dekhna chahiye ke market kis direction mein ja raha hai aur kya woh sustain kar sakta hai. Is muddat kaafi takrao aur behtarafqiyaarion ka daur hai, lekin hamain hamesha tawajjo aur tahqeeqat se guzarna chahiye. Mere khyaal se, aapko apne trade plan ko mazbooti se follow karna chahiye aur market ki movement ko dhyan se dekhna chahiye taake aapko behtar faislay karne mein madad mil sake. Yeh samay market ke liye challenging ho sakta hai, lekin isme bhi opportunities chhupi hui hoti hain jo humein nazarandaz nahi karni chahiye. Apne strategy ko adjust kijiye, tawajjo se kaam lijiye aur hamesha apnea risk management ko yaad rakhiye.

USD/JPY Ke Keemat Ki Harkat Ko Samajhna
Maujooda guftagu USD/JPY currency pair ke keemat ka rawayya hai. Mein sirf un manazir ko mad e nazar rakhta hoon jo is jodi ki izafa ko faida mand banate hain. USD/JPY jodi ek upar ki manind rukh par hai, aur Marlin oscillator girtay hue rukh ke ilaqay ke oopar bana hua hai. Market ne 151.93 critical resistance level ko kai bar test kiya hai, aur bullish shor karte hue hain ke is level ko paar karne ke liye. Agar resistance ka kamyabi se guzara ho gaya, to ye agle ahem resistance level 154.29 ki taraf tezi se umeedwaar hai. Ye uparward movement traders ke liye aik ahem bullish signal ho sakta hai aur jald hi aik potential bullish trend ki isharaat de sakta hai. Magar aaj, USDJPY jodi sirf 151.89 resistance level tak pohanchi, thori dair ke liye isay paar kiya, aur ab wapas apni peechli manzil ki taraf ja rahi hai. Bears thori dair ke liye bulls ko peechay kar rahe hain, jo ke ek barabar ki manzil par le aayega. Mein ummeed karta hoon ke yen apni peechli trading manzil 151.59 tak wapas laut kar apni range-bound movement ko dobara shuru karega.

Afsoon hai ke yen jald hi bearish rukh par chali jaye, jise bechnay walon ka khushi manana hai, lekin ye abhi bohot jaldi hai ke aisa kaha jaye. Bade US khabron ke bawajood, USDJPY jodi ek jama flat pattern ko barqarar rakhti hai. Agar US dollar index apna niche ka rukh jaari rakhta hai, to ye mumkin hai ke ye jodi bhi is ke saath chalay, shayad 150.44 ke qareeb jama zone tak gir jaaye. Aise halat mein, agar keemat ko 151.35 ko paar karne mein mushkil hoti hai, to 149.19 ke jama area tak tezi se girne ka khatra ho sakta hai. Is liye, USD/JPY jodi ke liye kharidari ke bias ko barqarar rakhna zaroori hai. Chaar ghante ke chart par, Marlin oscillator ek musbat zone mein bana hua hai, aur jodi Ichimoku cloud ke oopar trade kar rahi hai, jo ek bilkul uparward trend ko dikhata hai. Magar, market ke halat hamesha tabdeel hoti rehti hain, aur zaroori hai ke kisi bhi keemat ki harkat ke bare mein jaankari hasil karne ke liye waqt par maloomat ke sath barqarar rahna.

USD/JPY PAIR KA JAIZA

Umeedain ke Federal Reserve ke sastay karobar daro mein foran girah lagane ki baat phir se is haftay ke trading ke ibteda mein mitti mein mil gayi, baad az IS se dosray pur umeed data ka izhaar America se. Is ke mutabiq, Dollar ki currency pair Japanese Yen ke khilaf (USD/JPY) ke qeemat 151.80 ke aspaas mustaqbil mein Japani intervention ke baare mein guftagu barhane wale darjat tak mustaqil rahi, jo ke currency ke qeemat ke mazeed girnay se bachane ke liye markets mein Japani adkar ke qareeb tareen hoti hai.

Maeeshat ka calendar data ke natayej ke mutabiq, US ISM manufacturing purchasing managers index March mein mutawaqqa se zyada izaafa hua, September 2022 se pehli martaba 50 ke ooper expansionary ilaqe tak barh gaya. Is ke ilawa, prices paid ke sub-index mein bhi izaafa hua, jo ke July 2022 ke unchay tajurbaat par darjain ko muntashir kar raha hai, ek naya ishaara ke inflationary dabaavat poori tarah se nahi ghayab hue. Mazboot PMI reading US core personal consumption expenditures reading ke baad aati hai jise pehle Jumma ko aur Fed Chairman Powell ke kuch hadafana taur par raayat ke mawad par. Jabke CPI aur PCE data jari rahain ke ye inflation mukhtalif tor par neechay ki rah par hai, halankeh qeemat ki umeedon par US Federal Reserve ka ehtiyaat ka izhar karain, aur dosray nashistarko se tasdeeq ho.

Is ke natayej mein, US rate cut june ke shuru mein musalsal lagta hai, aur federal funds rate ke 25 basis point ki rate cut ke imkaanat taqreeban 60% tak gir gaein. Zyada ahmiyat ki bat yeh hai ke investors ab tamaam 2024 ke liye aakhri FOMC charts ke dorey mein paish ki gayi hai.

Doosri taraf, Treasury bond yields data ke sath barhti rahi, jabke 10 saal ke bond ki chuttiyan 13.5 basis points ke tabaday par barh gai. Yield mein izafa ne dollar ki qeemat ko naye urooj tak le gaya, jo ke Monday ke ibteda mein char aur aadha mahine ki unchaaiyon tak pohanch gayi.

Doosri taraf, euro aur pound sterling ke qeemat aakhri aadha mahine mein dollar ke khilaf apni kam tarin satahon par gir gai, European Central Bank ne June mein karobar daro mein sasti rates ko kam karne ka amal jaari rakha, jabke investors yeh bhi bharosa hasil kar rahe hain ke Bank of England June ki madhyawarshaon ke doran ikhtiyarat ki shuruaat karne ke qabil ho. Jis ke samay, Japanese yen ke qeemat neem firaq mein musbat qareeb 151.70 ke aspaas dollar ke sath ghoom rahi thi, jabke traders Japan ke authorities ke qareeb 152 ke had tak intervention ke mawqay par mutamaien the. Is silsile mein, Japanese Finance Minister ne Tuesday ko phir se doraan wadiyon ke khilaf "munasib karwai" ki paighaam di, jo ke yen ke qeemat mein aik thora izafa ki taraf la sakti hai.

Umeed hai ke dollar ke khilaf Japanese yen aaj:

Mere taqweemati nazariye ke mutabiq, US dollar ke khilaf Japanese yen ki keemat ke performance ka koi tabdeel nahi hai (USD/JPY), jabke amooman rukh abhi bhi bullish hai aur yeh shayad aise hi rahe ga jab tak effective Japani intervention na ho market mein currency ke qeemat ke mazeed girne se bachane ke liye saath hi haftay ke ikhtitaam par US ka kaam ke tajurbaat ki negativeness bhi hai. Khaas tor par, upward trend ke faida mand harkat ne technical indicators ko sabziat ke strong darajon tak le gaya, aur jaisa ke maine zikar kiya, Bank of Japan aur US Federal Reserve ke policies mein farq, sath hi economic performance bhi, ek muddat ke liye upward trend ko himayati banaye rahenge. Haalanki, ab is waqt sabse qareeb ke resistance levels 151.85, 152.30 aur 153.00 hain.

Har ek din aur har ek trend ke samajhne ke liye kuch mukhya points hote hain jo traders aur investors ko dhyan mein rakhna chahiye. Aaj ke market mein, 149.30 tak ka ek niche aana sambhav hai, lekin USD/JPY ka erda (trend) upar ki taraf bhi lag raha hai. Yeh points samjhte hue, hum dekhte hain ki kaise yeh mukhya points hamare trading aur investment strategies ko influence karte hain. Pehle point par, 149.30 tak ka market niche aane ka indication hai. Yeh ek technical analysis se aaya hua signal ho sakta hai, jaise ki support level ya trend line ka breach, ya phir kisi specific indicator ka bearish signal. Is point ko note karna zaroori hai kyunki yeh ek potential trading opportunity darshata hai, jismein traders short positions le sakte hain ya existing positions ko hedge kar sakte hain. Dusra point, USD/JPY ka erda (trend) upar ki taraf lag raha hai. Yeh bhi ek crucial observation hai, kyunki yeh ek bullish trend ka indication ho sakta hai. Agar yeh trend strong hai aur sustain ho raha hai, toh traders long positions le sakte hain ya phir existing long positions ko hold kar sakte hain. Is tarah ka trend analysis karke, traders ko market ke future direction ka better idea milta hai aur woh apni strategies ko adjust kar sakte hain.



Teesra point yeh hai ke samay ke sath market conditions badal sakti hain. Market volatility, geopolitical events, ya economic data releases ke sudden impact se market direction mein changes ho sakte hain. Isliye, traders aur investors ko market ke live updates par bhi dhyan dena chahiye aur apni positions ko regular intervals par monitor karna chahiye. Market ki dynamic nature ko samajh kar, traders apni strategies ko adapt kar sakte hain aur risk ko minimize kar sakte hain. Chautha point yeh hai ke risk management hamesha ek priority honi chahiye. Trading aur investing mein, kisi bhi trade ya position ke sath risk associated hota hai. Isliye, har trade se pehle traders ko apne risk tolerance ke hisab se position size decide karna chahiye aur stop loss orders ka istemal karna chahiye. Risk ko manage karna hi successful trading aur investing ka ek mukhya aspect hai, aur iske bina long-term success hona mushkil hai. In mukhya points ko samajh kar aur un par amal karke, traders aur investors apni trading aur investment strategies ko refine kar sakte hain aur market ke fluctuations ka behtar roop se samna kar sakte hain.

Mawad aisi hain ke keemat maloom hoti hai aur phir girne lagti hai, halat filhal market mein range-bound hain, jahan trends short-term analysis ke liye zyada munaasib hain. Jab European session shuru hua, to yeh 150.70 par tha, lekin yeh apne kam se kam point tak girne se pehle 149.90 par aya. European session ke shuru hone se pehle, yeh dheere-dheere apne buland point par 151.85 tak pohancha phir 151.35 par band hua.
Is tarah, ek din mein pair ne sirf 55 pips ki kami ki. Pichle hafte usi din USDJPY pair ne ek din mein 100 pips se zyada ki daily range banai thi. Halankeh mustaqbil mein tanasub kam hone ka imkan hai, lekin yeh aik mumkinah hai.

H4 Timeframe Market Analysis

Keemat lamba arsay ke liye abhi bhi ek bohot taqatwar bullish trend mein hai. Magar akhri doraan mein keemat kamzor hoti ja rahi hai, is liye aik mazboot palatne ka bohot zyada imkan hai, kyunkeh yeh jora bohot dafa is halat mein aa chuka hai. Is wajah se, jo keemat filhal overbought nazar aati hai aur

jo keemat filhal overbought nazar aati hai aur mazeed rukh badalne ka bohot zyada imkan hai, filhal ke trend ke khilaaf aik position khulna acha rahega. Kharidaroon ke mazeed munafa lene ke amal ki bunyadi wajah se, aaj ke liye 151.90 par stop loss ke saath bechne ka option aur 151.35 par profit lenay ka option hoga.
mazeed rukh badalne ka bohot zyada imkan hai, filhal ke trend ke khilaaf aik position khulna acha rahega. Kharidaroon ke mazeed munafa lene ke amal ki bunyadi wajah se, aaj ke liye 151.90 par stop loss ke saath bechne ka option aur 151.35 par profit lenay ka option hoga.

Aane wale trading session mein lagta hai ke downtrend ko ulta kiya ja sakta hai, jo ek potential rollback ka mauqa paish karta hai lagbhag 150.35 ke qareeb. Ye level ahem hai kyun ke yeh ek moving averages (mA) ka jama ho jata hai aur ek point ko darust karta hai jahan pe pehle se intraday timeframes par aik sell signal generate hua tha, jo mazeed tajziya ki zaroorat hai. Ye rollback traders ko aik zyada pasandida qeemat par sell positions mein dakhil hone ka mauqa deta hai. Faraaz kiya jaane wala turki maqsood hai 149.49 hai. Yeh wazeh karna ahem hai ke ye tajziyat khaas tor par Monday ke trading session ke liye hain. Medium-term outlook ki taraf dekhte hue, is haftay ne market ko pehla retracement level 149.95 tak pohancha, jo baad mein tooti. Ye toot ishara deta hai ke neechay ki raftar jari rakhne ka imkan hai, agle retracement level ko rozana waqt me 148.84 par pehchana gaya hai. Ye level neechay se tezi ke liye ek nukta ki tarah kaam kar sakta hai. Magar zyada sambhav hai ke hum neechay ki raftar ka jari rehne ka gawah honge, khaaskar ye ghor kiya gaya hai ke haftay ki timeframes par, rollback level 147.71 par hai.
Is marhale mein behter hai ke mazeed is level se neeche girne ka intezar na karein, kyunke mojooda uptrend mazboot hai aur aasani se nafrat nahi karta. Isliye, kisi bhi neechay ki sudhar ke mutalliq waqtanfahmiyan waqaya honi chahiye, aur jab southern correction mukammal ho jaaye, toh uptrend ke dobara shuru hone ka intezaar hai. Ikhtisaar mein, traders ko tayyar rehna chahiye ke aane wale session mein downtrend ka potential reversal ka faida uthayein, jiski manzoori ke liye 150.35 ke qareeb rollback ko nishana banaya gaya hai. Magar ehtiyaat zaroori hai, jahan par 149.49 ke taraf tawajju dain. Aage dekhte hue, pehle retracement level 149.95 ka toot ishara deta hai ke neechay ki raftar ki mukhtalif shidat ke saath, 148.84 ke qareeb ek mumkin rebound hai. Magar phir bhi, mashriqi trend ki mukammal taaqat yeh ishara deta hai ke koi bhi neechay ki sudhar waqtanfahmi ke liye mukhtalif hai, jo aane waale qareebi mustaqbil mein uptrend ko dobara shuru kar sakta hai. Aage aapko tijarat mein kamyabi ki dua hai.

Pichle trading haftay mein, Japanese Yen ne ne 151.80 ke neeche ek bohot hi tang range mein trade kiya, jahan mazboot resistance tha jise wo kamyabi se paar nahi kar saka. Is mein duo ka vikas ka koi hisaab nahi hai. Is dauraan, price chart confidently super-trend green zone mein bana hua hai, jo buyers ka continued control confirm karta hai.

Aaj ki technical nazar se, H-1 time frame chart ko nazdeek se dekhte hue, hum dekhte hain ki USD/JPY ne 150.80 ke aas paas mazboot support dhoondha hai, jo ek positive momentum bounce off the simple moving average ko support karta hai. Dusri taraf, hum dekhte hain ki 14-day Momentum indicator chhoti dair mein negative signals produce karne laga hai. 151.85 resistance ke upar ka break encourage karta hai, jisse 152.20 aur 152.80 tak pahunchne ke chances badh jaate hain, jabki price 150.80 ke neeche hai, pair ke downward path ko khatam karte hue 149.80 ka target hai. H-4 Timeframe Analysis Price abhi ek kam-volatility environment mein smooth taur par trade kar rahi hai aur har haftay neutral hai. Iske alawa, mukhya support areas abhi test nahi hue hain aur unka integrity maintain kar rahe hain, jo ek upward vector ko favor karta hai. Lekin, yeh mumkin hai ki ek rebound hoga, aur pair ne neeche modne ka aghaz kar diya hai, jo ke bhi bohot sambhav hai. Upar ki taraf ki trend ko confirm karne wala mukhya scenario 150.76 level ka retest hoga, jo is waqt mukhya support area hai, aur quotes ne agli uchhaai shuru karne se pehle girna pad sakta hai. Agar is area ko safalta se roka gaya aur uske baad se palat gaya, toh agle wave ko develop karne ka mauka milega, jiska target hoga 152.85 aur 153.72 ke beech ka area. Agar support break hota hai aur price 149.19 ke reversal level ke neeche jaati hai, toh current scenario ko cancel karne ka signal mil jaayega. Chart neeche dekhein:

Hum Extended Regression StopAndReverse linear regression indicator ke mojud signals ka mustaqbil ke istiqbal ki sambhavna ko jaaiz karenge, jo RSI aur MACD oscillator indicators ke readings se tasdeeq kiya gaya hai, aur chunay gaye aalaat ke liye tafseelat se bharpur trading plan tayar karenge taake market mein sab se behtareen dakhil nokat dhoondh sakein. Maksad hasool karne ke baad, hum Fibonacci grid ke nazdeek ke tahfeez levels ko tafseel se ghoor karenge, jo timeframe ke intehaai nuqtao tak phayla gaya hai, taake kaam kiya gaya position ko band karne ke liye sab se munafa bakhsh point sahi taur par chun sakein.

Dikhaye gaye chart par, aap foran note kar sakte hain ke pehla darja regression line (sona rang ka dotted line), jo aalaat ki taraf ishaara karta hai aur muntakhib time frame (time-frame H4) mein mojood trend ka haal dikhata hai, 30% se zyada ke darjah mein upar ki taraf muntaqil hai, jo uttar ki taraf dominant trend movement ko zor se zahir karta hai. Isi waqt, ghair linear channel, jo qareebi mustaqbil ka andaza lagane ke liye istemal hota hai, peela sabz rang ka hai aur is se muntaqil hony wale instrument ki quotes mein mazeed izafa ki taraf ishaara karta hai, kyunke ye uttar ki taraf muntaqil hai

Keemat ne lal resistance line ko paar kiya linear regression channel ke 2nd LevelResLine lekin us ne zyada quote ke qeemat (HIGH) tak pohanch gayi (151.766), uske baad us ne apni izafa ki rukawat daal di aur mustaqil tor par girne laga. Instrument filhal keemat darjat par trade ho raha hai 151.671 par. Uper diye gaye sabhi cheezon ke mawafiq, mein umeed karta hoon ke market price quotes wapas aayenge aur 2-nd LevelResLine channel line (148.502) FIBO level of 38.2% ke neeche wazeh honge aur mazeed neeche utarne ke liye aur niche ki taraf chalne ke liye golden average line LR of the linear channel 147.731 tak mazid harqat hogi, jo FIBO level of 23.6% ke saath milta hai. Ek aur argument transaction karne ke faavour mein hai ye ke RSI (14) aur MACD indicators bhi entry mein sahi hone ki tasdeeq karte hain, kyunke ye overbought zone mein hain

USD/JPY currency pair ki mojooda qeemat ka tajziya karain. USD/JPY exchange rate abhi tak kisi khaas progress tak nahi pohancha hai lekin 152 ke mark ko tor sakta hai. Haal ki kamiyat aik correctiove measure hai, jo aik mumkin bullish trend ke raaste ko saaf kar rahi hai. Daily chart ke mutabiq, bullish movement aik scenario ho sakti hai. Halankay 150.09 tak ka aik pullback mumkin hai, lekin 151.94 ke resistance ko paar karna aage ki uparward harkat ke liye ahem hai, jahan 152.92 tak pohanchne ka potential hai jab short positions unwind hoti hain. USD/JPY ke liye intraday bias neytral hai jab tak 151.93 ke nichay aik range mein trade hoti hai. 150.27 ke support level ka tor aik short-term peak ka ishaara ho sakta hai, jo trend ko 55-day EMA tak 149.27 ki taraf palat sakta hai.

Dosri taraf, 151.98 ke resistance level ka mustaqil tor long-term uptrend ka jari rehne ko tasdeeq karega. Short-term target 140.25 se 150.87 aur 146.47 se 153.03 tak ho sakti hai. Baray scale par, 151.87 se correction 140.25 par khatam ho sakta hai, jo 127.26 se growth ki dobara shuruat ka ishaara hai. 151.93 ke resistance level ka taaqat se guzarna yeh bullish outlook ko tasdeeq karega. Agla medium-term target 127.26 se 151.86 aur 140.25 se 155.20 tak ho sakta hai, 146.47 ke support level par rok tok ke mawaqe ke douran. Agar aik shallow retreat hota hai, toh 151.27/151.19 ke support zone ke neeche girna mazeed giravat ka ishaara kar sakta hai. Is liye, main khareedne se farokht par chala gaya hoon, jo ke 151.46 ke support level tak nishana banata hai, jo ke March 27 se ek flat corridor ka upper limit bhi hai. Baad mein, giravat 151.23/151.18 ke support zone ke ird gird ka neeche girna bhi ho sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, kisi bhi market environment mein risk management aham hai. Wazeh risk parameters qaim karna, stop-loss orders set karna, aur portfolios ko mukhtalif karna nuqsanat se bacha sakta hai. Intizam aur achi tarah se mukarrar investment strategy ka paas hona lambay arsay tak kamyabi aur dolat ki hifazat mein madadgar ho sakta hai.

se ab tak apni kamzor tareen nuktay tak pohanch gaya. Magar, thori kami ko taqwiyat mil gayi magar ooper ki momentum ko barqarar rakhne mein nakam raha. Yen ke liye yeh rollercoaster safari kai factors ki wajah se ho sakti hai. Ek taraf, Japanese hukoomat ke afraad ke comments jin mein unho ne currency ko bachane ki irada zahir ki, sath hi investors ka risky assests ke liye zyada ihtiyatnaak taur par rawaya, traders ko yen bechnay ki betting ko kam karne par majboor kiya, jo ke traditional taur par ek safe haven investment ke tor par dekha jata hai. Doosri taraf, Bank of Japan (BoJ) ka dovish stand, jo ke aik muddat ke liye kisi naram monetary policy ki wafadari ki nishaandahi karta hai, yen ke izafa hone ki salahiyat par bojh deta hai. Iske alawa, dollar kharidne mein dobara shadi hui, jo ke USD/JPY pair mein kami ko rokta hai. Ye Federal Reserve ke interest rates ko is saal teen martaba kam karne par shak ka barhna ho sakta hai jaise pehle samjha gaya tha. Tuesday ke US durable goods orders report se milne wale musbat data, jo ke ek mustaqbil ke saath dhanpeda US maqami maeeshat ki nishaandahi karta hai, sath hi mustaqil mehngai ke figures, Federal Reserve ko zyada arsey tak buland interest rates ko barqarar rakhne par majboor kar sakta hai. Ye scenario zyada tor par barhne wali US Treasury yields ko support karta rahega, aakhir mein US dollar ko faida pohanchata hai aur yen par niche dabaw dalta hai.

Technically, saal ke starting peak aur 152.00 level ke ooper se aik saaf signal bullish traders ke liye ho ga. Rozana chart par musbat momentum indicators ke saath, USD/JPY pair 2023 ke ibtida se taqatwar trend ko barqarar rakhne ki taraf lag raha hai, shayad 153.00 ke nishan tak pohanch sakta hai. Mukhtalif tor par, kisi bhi niche ka tajwez investing opportunities ke liye paish kar sakta hai, sath hi 151.00 ke qareeb support ki mumkinat hai. Magar, is level ke nichale tor par kisi bhi faisle se, agla support area 150.25 ke aas paas aata hai, phir 150.00 ki nafsiyati satah. 150.00 ke saaf toor par tor dene se, USD/JPY pair ka zyada tor par kami ka saamna ho sakta hai, jo ke isay 149.35-149.30 zone tak khinch sakta hai aur s

Guzaarish se keh sakte hain ke peechle hafta kafi thanda guzra. Shumali hisse ka taraqqi na hua, zyada se zyada 150.88 tak update nahi hua, mazeed, jumeraat ko shumal mansookh kar diya gaya, halankeh jumma ko ek koshish ki gayi thi ke akhri waqt par pehlayat wapas laayi jaaye, lekin yeh bhi nakam rahi. Dopedardi mein, shumal phir se mansookh kar diya gaya aur trading amreeki session ke qareeb qareeb nichlay darjay par band ho gayi, jo ke mandi ki tasdeeq khud-ba-khud kar raha hai trading ke maand ke aghaz par. Aam tor par, dakhan 150.05 ke level ko tasdeeq karega. Magar yeh oversold hai, isliye woh upri rukh se shuru ho saktay hain, farokht karnewalon ke liye sab se zaroori hai ke yeh 150.72 se ooper na jaye, jahan shumal mansookh ho jayega. Behtareen yeh hota ke yeh 150.35+- tak wapas jaye, yahan mA ki ikhata ho rahi hai aur aik level hai jahan dopedardi ke waqt farokht ka signal mila tha, jo ke imtehaan zaroori hai. Achha, usi waqt behtareen mauqa hoga behtar keemat par farokht karne ka. Qareebi nishaan 149.49 hai. Mujhe wazeh karne do, yeh bilkul maanind hoga dopedardi ke liye. Jab baat mustaqbil aur darmiyani arziyat ki hoti hai, is haftay hum ne pehla retracement level 149.95 tak pohanch gaya aur ise tor diya, aur lagta hai ke yehin rukayga nahi, agla level 148.84 (din ke waqt) par hai. Yahan upri rukh ki wahid mumkin hai. Magar zyada tar hum giranay ka silsila dekhtay hain, aur sab is liye ke haftay ke doran pehlay mansookh ka level 147.71 hai. Main is stage par neechay nahi dekh raha, kyunki shumali trend mazboot hai aur aasani se nahi toot sakta, is liye phir bhi barhna hai. Dakhan sudhar ka mukammal honay ke baad, main umeed karta hoon ke barhna jaari rahega.
Tawakul ke bawajood, market ko 150.88 ke ooper ki hadh torne ki zyada khuwahish nahi hai. Ahem qarzain 150.75-150.63 ke faslay mein hal nahi hue hain, sath hi sath 150.50 ke ilaqe mein naye qarzain paida hue hain. Mazeed, rozana retracement level 14.6% 150.33 par qaim hai, ishara dete hue ke isay hal ki zaroorat hai. Halankeh, in hadood ko torne mein agay rukawat ho sakti hai mazeed upri lehar ke liye. Halankeh aik ghair mutawaqa wapas 150.73 par aane ka baad, musalsal bearish dabao ne keemat ko nichay daba diya. 150.73 aur 149.73 ke darmiyan, jild ka ooperi shumaar mein rehtay huay, banday musalsal ooperi unchaaiyon se neechay gir gaye jo ke 150.43 aur 150.25 ke darwazay par dekhi gayi thin. Yeh pattern ek potenshel wapas 150.80-150.80 ka ooperi jild ka zona dikhata hai. Yeh manzar bohot wazan haasil karta hai 150.75 par ahem bearish jazbaat aur AO indicator par bearish ikhtilaf ka ubhar. Aam tor par, rozana chart ikhtilaf ki aagahon ka peechay ko ek downward move ke saath milta hai, jo ke 150.80-150.80 ke nichlay mustaqbil ke saath milta hai. Is nichay ke raastay ke liye mukhya shart 150.33 par 14.6% level ke neeche mazbooti hai. Agar yeh mazbooti hasil nahi ki gayi to yeh mukhtalif maamool pe wapas anay ka manzar hai. Aam tor par, mojooda market dynamics nichlay support zone ki taraf wapas jane ke imkaanat ko zahir karte hain, technical indicators aur mukhtalif market jazbaat ke asar mein

USD/JPY currency pair ka tajziya aaj kaarbari raftar ke liye acha mosam jatata hai. Marlin oscillator ka muqam ghatey hue trend ilaqa ke oopar bullish momentum ko darust karta hai, jabke 151.93 ke ahem resistance level ki bar bar azmaishen bullish dabao mein izafa darust karti hain. Agar yeh resistance tor diya jaye, toh yeh bari harkat ko trigger kar sakta hai jis mein agle resistance level 154.29 ki taraf buland janib rawana hoga, qareebi mustaqbil mein baraish trend ko darust kartay hue. Magar haal hi mein keemti USD/JPY pair ne sirf mukhtasir arsa ke liye 151.93 resistance level ko paar kiya phir retrest kiya, jo keh bullish aur bearish ke darmiyan aik waqtanha kuch yaqeeni moqay ko zahir karta hai. Mojooda ikhtilaf yeh indicate karta hai ke yen ka maazi trading level 151.59 ke ird gird, muddai chararh movement ka jaari rakhnay ka soorat-e-haal.

Tehqiqat ka silsila bhi yen ke liye bearish trend ke hone ki sambhavnao par tehqiqat ke daur par hai, jo keh farokht karne walay ko pasand ki taraf le ja sakti hai. Halankeh aisa trend abhi tak tasdeeq nahi hua hai, lekin US dollar index ke neechay ki raftar jese factors USD/JPY pair ki harkat ko mutasir kar sakti hain, jo keh pair ko 150.44 ke qareeb jama karne wale ilaqa ki taraf dhakel sakti hain. Agar keemat 151.35 level ko paar karne mein mushkil hoti hai, toh tezi se girawat accumulation area 149.19 ke qareeb mumkin hai, jis se pair ko kharidnay ki bias ki ahmiyat ko samjha jata hai.

Char ghantay ka chart ko qareeb se dekhne par USD/JPY pair ke liye muzid musbat signals nazar atay hain. Marlin oscillator musbat zone mein bana rehta hai, jabke pair Ichimoku badal ke oopar trade karta hai, jo keh aam tor par upar ki taraf rawana trend ko darust karta hai. Magar zaroori hai keh bazaar ki shirayat ke jazbati fitrat ko tasleem kiya jaye aur jald az jald pair ki keemat ke amal par asar dalne walay kisi bhi tajawuzat ke baray mein maloomat hasil ki jaye.
Mukhtasir taur par, jabke USD/JPY pair mein bullish momentum aur buland janib rawani ke signs nazar atay hain, haal hi ki keemat par mushtarik ikhtilaf bullish aur bearish ke darmiyan waqtanha moqay ko zahir karta hai. Yen ke liye bearish trend ke bare mein tehqiqat bhi tajziya ko complexity mein barha deti hai, jise darust market shirayat par saqafatmand rahna aur tabdeeli ati hui bazaar ki shirayat ka muhasiba karna hai. Karobarion ko pair ke agle harkat ko andaza lagane ke liye ahem support aur resistance levels ko qareeb se nigrani se dekhna chahiye aur apni strategies ko mutabiq karne ka tajziya karna chahiye.

USDJPY currency pair ka tajziyah karne se pehle, asal maqsad samajhna zaroori hai. Currency pairs trading mein, har doosri currency ka value aik doosri currency ke muqablay mein measure kiya jata hai. USDJPY, yaani United States Dollar aur Japanese Yen ka pair, ek popular currency pair hai, jo global forex markets mein actively trade hota hai. Ab agar hum is pair ki halat ko dekhein to, signs jo 151.604 ke level par trading ko tasdiq kar rahe hain, ye indicate karta hai ke abhi halat bullish hain. Bullish market mein, buyers dominant hotay hain aur price mei izafa hota hai. Iska matlab hai ke USDJPY pair ki keemat barh rahi hai.

Magar, aapka zikar kiya gaya hai ke aapko 150.948 ke level tak farokht ko jari rakhne ka faisla zyada waqai ho raha hai. Yeh level ek support level ko darust karta hai, jahan se price ki girawat ka imkaan hai. Agar market is level tak pohanch jata hai, to ye bearish signal ho sakta hai aur price mein mazeed girawat ki umeed hoti hai. Is situation mein, aapko koshish karni chahiye ke market ke mukhtalif factors ko samajh kar faisla len. Economic indicators, geopolitical events, aur central banks ke decisions currency pair ke movement par asar daal sakte hain. Iske ilawa, technical analysis bhi aapko market ke trend aur future ke baare mein madad kar sakta hai.

Agar aapko lagta hai ke market kaafi zyada niche ja sakta hai aur aap 150.948 ke level tak farokht ko jari rakhna chahte hain, to aapko apne risk aur reward ko bhi ghor se sochna hoga. Stop-loss orders aur risk management strategies istemal karke aap apna nuqsan kam kar sakte hain. Final faisla lene se pehle, market ki mukhtalif sources se research karna aur expert advice lena zaroori hai. Har trade apne risk aur rewards ke saath aati hai, aur sahi tajziya aur research ke baghair, aap apne investment ko khatre mein daal sakte hain.

USD/JPY

USD/JPY ke liye kal, local resistance level ko neeche se oopar ja kar test karne ke baad, jo ke 151.818 par hai meri signals ke mutabiq, keemat ne rebound kiya aur aik chhota bullish candle banaya, jisme bara uttaransh dikh raha hai, jo ke yeh zahir karta hai ke device overall ek tang range mein hai aur ab tak mere liye kuch dilchasp nahi lag raha. Pehle ki tarah, main be-naqab rehta hoon aur aaj main 151.818 ke nazdeeki resistance level ki nigaah rakhunga, jahan do situations ka tajziya ho sakta hai. Resistance level ke upar mazid jaari hone ka pehla manzar uttaransh price breakout aur consolidation se juda hai. Agar yeh mansooba kaam karta hai, to main umeed karta hoon ke keemat resistance level ki taraf chalegi, jo ke 156.000 par waqif hai. Is nazdeeki resistance level ke paas, main trade setup ka intezar karunga jo trade ki mazeed sima ko tay karne mein madad karega. Beshak, keemat ko mazeed uttar ki taraf dhakel diya ja sakta hai, jo ke 160.400 par waqif hai, magar yahan aapko situation par nazar rakhni hogi aur agar phir bhi shower plan ko amal mein laaya jaata hai. Haan, is keemat ke extreme uttaransh maqami target ki taraf badhti keemat ke saath, main un uttaransh pullbacks ko tasleem karta hoon, jinse main umeed karta hoon ke qareebi support levels se bullish signals dhoondunga, keemat ke momentum mein behtar ho sakta hai. Keemat ki ek dusri mojooda option jab resistance level 151.818 tak pohanchta hai, aik candle ke banne aur aik tehqiqi junobi harkat ka mansooba ban sakta hai. Agar yeh mansooba taraqqi dikhata hai, to main umeed karta hoon ke keemat wapas support level ki taraf lautegi, jo ke 149.205 par waqif hai. Main is support level ke qareeb bullish signals ka intezar karta rahunga, keemat ke uparward harkat ka wapas shuru hone ki umeed mein. Beshak, yeh mojooda door darazi ke junobi maqami targets par kaam karne ke liye hain, jo ke 146.484 ya 145.891 ke mutabiq hain. Magar agar tajziya banaye gaye plan ko amal mein laaya gaya hai, to main in support levels ke qareeb bullish signals ka intezar karta rahunga, keemat ke harkat ka wapas shuru hone ki umeed mein. Seedhe taur par kahoon to, aaj mere liye kuch dilchasp nahi nazar aa raha hai, aur is liye main be-naqab rehta hoon aur nazdeeki resistance level par nazar rakhta hoon.