USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Pichle haftay mein, USD/JPY joda aik ahem downtrend dikha raha hai, jahan market ke hissedaron ne 146.05 ke sath aik ahem support level ka nishaana banaya hai. Ye raftar kuch moolyati factors ko numaya karti hai jo currency pair ke dynamics ko mutasir karte hain. Sab se pehle, macroeconomic indicators USD/JPY ke raah chalte hain. America aur Japan se economic releases investor sentiment ko mutasir karte hain aur joda ke rukh par asar dalte hain. GDP ki growth, rozgar ki data, mahangai ke figures aur central bank ki policies jese factors ko traders qareebi tor par dekhte hain takay har mulk ki maqami sehat aur monetary policy mein kisi tabdeeli ka andaza lagaya ja sake. Dono mulkon ke economic performance mein kisi farq hone par USD/JPY ke exchange rates mein izafi tabdiliyan ho sakti hain.

Dusra, geopolitical developments currency markets mein volatility ko dakhil kar sakte hain, khaaskar safe-haven currencies jese ke Japanese yen ke liye. Middle East ya major powers ke darmiyan geopolitical disputes ke tensions investor mein risk-off sentiment ko jaga sakte hain, jo Japanese yen ko US dollar ke muqablay mein qeemat buland kar sakta hai. Saath hi, kisi darguzar ya positive geopolitical developments ke signs is trend ko palat sakte hain. Is ke ilawa, market sentiment aur risk appetite USD/JPY ke exchange rate par bhari asar dalte hain. Jabra aur market turbulence ke doran investors safe-haven assets jese ke Japanese yen ki taraf rujoo karte hain, jo dollar ke muqablay mein qeemat buland kar sakta hai. Aksar, market sentiment behtar hoti hai, risk appetite barh jati hai, jo dollar mein mojood ziada munafa dey kar assets mein capital ke flow ko barhata hai, jisse yen ke muqablay mein dollar ki kamzori dikh sakti hai.



Technical analysis forex market mein keemat ke hawalay se raftar ke pehlu ko tasveer mein laata hai, jismein USD/JPY shamil hai. Traders mukhtalif tools aur chart patterns ka istemal karte hain takay trends, support aur resistance levels, aur possible reversal points ko pehchanein. Pichle haftay mein USD/JPY mein ahem downtrend ka mushahida technical traders ke bearish strategies ko implement karne ki isharaat deta hai, jo keh nichi ki taraf raftar ko mazeed mazboot karte hain. Is ke alawa, market ke hissedar central bank actions aur monetary policy statements ko future interest rate decisions aur asset purchase programs ke hawalay se khabar ke liye nazar andaz nahi karte. Federal Reserve ya Bank of Japan ki monetary policy mein tightening ya loosening ke koi isharon ke asar USD/JPY exchange rates par ho sakte hain, kyun ke interest rate differentials capital flows aur currency ke values ko mutasir karte hain.

USD/JPY pair mein aik numaya uptrend dekha gaya hai, jis par analysts aur traders ne 146.04 level ko nishana banaya hai. Ye upar ki taraf ki harkat ek mazbooti ka nishaan hai jismein Amriki dollar ko Japanese yen ke khilaf taqat hasil hoti hai, jo ke mukhtalif iqtisadi asraar, siyasi waqiaat aur market ki janib se daakhal honay wale tasuraat par mabni ho sakta hai. Haal hi mein USD/JPY pair mein jo taraqqi dekhi gayi hai, us ke peechay aham tajwezat aur asbaab ho sakte hain jaise ke Amriki Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan (BOJ) ke darmiyan monetary policies ka farq. Federal Reserve shayad zyada hawkish stand apnaye ho, buniyadi dar ko barha kar ya mustaqbil mein tight karnay ke iqtisadi tajweezat ka ishara kar ke. Mutasir Japan ki buniyadi policies jaise ke accommodative monetary policy, shaayad quantitative easing measures ko shaamil karna, Japan ki iqtisadi behtar hone ya dafa ho rahi deflationary pressures ko support karne ke liye.



Is ke ilawa, America aur Japan ki iqtisadi data releases bhi USD/JPY pair ke rukh par asar daal sakti hain. Mazboot Amriki iqtisadi indicators jaise ke GDP ka izafa, rozgar ke figures ya consumer spending data Amriki dollar mein bharosay ko barha sakti hain, currency ki demand ko barha kar aur yen ke khilaf pair ko upar ki taraf daba sakti hain. Mukhalif, Japan se koi dilchaspi ka iqtisadi data, jaise ke dhaee karobari utpaad ya slow export numbers, yen ko bhari tarah tor par bhoj dal sakta hai aur pair ke upar ki raftar mein shamil ho sakta hai. Siyasi aur marketi jazbat bhi currency ke harkat ko shakl dete hain. Amriki aur Japani darmiyan taajurbat ke koi bhi tabdeeliyan, siyasi tanazur, ya baray policy announcements investor ki nazar mein asraat daal sakti hain aur currency ke cash flow ko mutasir kar sakti hain. Is ke ilawa, investors ke darmiyan risk ki khwahishon mein tabdiliyan ho sakti hain jo yen jaise safe-haven currencies ki demand ko mutasir kar sakti hain, shayad iski taqat ko kami kar ke USD ke nisbat mein panchadegi.

USD/JPY pair mein aik numaya uptrend dekha gaya hai, jis par analysts aur traders ne 146.04 level ko nishana banaya hai. Ye upar ki taraf ki harkat ek mazbooti ka nishaan hai jismein Amriki dollar ko Japanese yen ke khilaf taqat hasil hoti hai, jo ke mukhtalif iqtisadi asraar, siyasi waqiaat aur market ki janib se daakhal honay wale tasuraat par mabni ho sakta hai. Haal hi mein USD/JPY pair mein jo taraqqi dekhi gayi hai, us ke peechay aham tajwezat aur asbaab ho sakte hain jaise ke Amriki Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan (BOJ) ke darmiyan monetary policies ka farq. Federal Reserve shayad zyada hawkish stand apnaye ho, buniyadi dar ko barha kar ya mustaqbil mein tight karnay ke iqtisadi tajweezat ka ishara kar ke. Mutasir Japan ki buniyadi policies jaise ke accommodative monetary policy, shaayad quantitative easing measures ko shaamil karna, Japan ki iqtisadi behtar hone ya dafa ho rahi deflationary pressures ko support karne ke liye.



Is ke ilawa, America aur Japan ki iqtisadi data releases bhi USD/JPY pair ke rukh par asar daal sakti hain. Mazboot Amriki iqtisadi indicators jaise ke GDP ka izafa, rozgar ke figures ya consumer spending data Amriki dollar mein bharosay ko barha sakti hain, currency ki demand ko barha kar aur yen ke khilaf pair ko upar ki taraf daba sakti hain. Mukhalif, Japan se koi dilchaspi ka iqtisadi data, jaise ke dhaee karobari utpaad ya slow export numbers, yen ko bhari tarah tor par bhoj dal sakta hai aur pair ke upar ki raftar mein shamil ho sakta hai. Siyasi aur marketi jazbat bhi currency ke harkat ko shakl dete hain. Amriki aur Japani darmiyan taajurbat ke koi bhi tabdeeliyan, siyasi tanazur, ya baray policy announcements investor ki nazar mein asraat daal sakti hain aur currency ke cash flow ko mutasir kar sakti hain. Is ke ilawa, investors ke darmiyan risk ki khwahishon mein tabdiliyan ho sakti hain jo yen jaise safe-haven currencies ki demand ko mutasir kar sakti hain, shayad iski taqat ko kami kar ke USD ke nisbat mein panchadegi.
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Haal hi ki trading ke mutabiq, Japanese yen ka dollar ke muqablay mein quwat barh gaya hai, kuch hal taazi data aur khabron ki wajah se. American dollar ka Japanese yen ke khilaf (USD/JPY) haal hi mein 146.48 support level tak gir gaya, jo ke panch hafton ka sab se kam level tha, jab ke analysis likhne ke waqt aur America ke inflation figures ke elaan se pehle 147.00 level ke qareeb stable hogaya. Iqtisadi calendar ke mutabiq data ke mutabiq, Japanese Cabinet Office ne December 2023 ke liye mulk ki GDP figures jaari ki. Data ne dikhaya ke Japan ne 2023 ke chouthay quarter mein technical recessions se bach gaya, jab Japanese ma'ashi hawai ki kami ki bajaaye December 2023 mein 0.4% izafa hua, jaise ke tawaqqa kiya ja raha tha.
Ye wazeh karta hai ke Japanese yen ki quwat jo humne haal hi mein dobara dekhi hai, dollar ke muqablay mein, jisme pair 147.07 Japanese yen se dollar tak gir gaya, GDP figures ke baad 146.68 Japanese yen tak. Is se pehle bhi, American dollar haal hi mein Japanese yen ke muqablay mein kam ho raha tha. Asal mein, currency trading platforms ke mutabiq, American dollar ka Japanese yen (USD/JPY) ke price Jum'at ko hafton ka sab se kam level tak pohanch gaya 147.06 Japanese yen tak. Pichle Somwar ke 150.47 resistance ke muqablay mein, ye aik ahem girao hai jo February 1st se pehle nahi dekha gaya.

American dollar ka Japanese yen ke khilaf bechnay mein Bank of Japan ka qabil-e-zikar kirdar tha. Bank of Japan ki taraf se, is haftay ke shuru mein GDP data ke sath, yeh bhi andeshay the ke woh jald hi manfi asoolat-e-sood par chhorenge.

Ek aur lehaz se, American dollar ka price aik naye haftay mein dakhil hota hai taaza itminan ke sath ke Federal Reserve June mein America ke interest rates ko kam karega. Asal mein, 25 basis point kaat ab tak agle June ke liye puri tarah se daam mein hai aur pichle haftay ke jobs report ne makhsoos taur par tanqeedi dabaon ko naram kiya. Unki janib se, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ne pichle haftay lawmakers ko kaha: "Hum yeh dekh rahe hain ke humein yeh itminan mil raha hai ke maeeshat do pratishat tak barh rahi hai." Unhone yeh bhi kaha, "Jab hum yeh itminan hasil karenge, aur hum is se door nahi hain, to maeeshat ko mandi mein daakhil na karne ke liye pabandiyo ke darjat ko kam karna munasib hoga.

USD/JPY Ke Qeemat Ka Tafseeli Jaiza

USD/JPY currency pair ki mojooda tafseelati jaiza darusti ke mutabiq, aik maazi hukoomat wala trend zahir hai, jo zyada farokht ko nishan deta hai muqablay mein khareedariyon se. Yeh neechay ki rukh ko wazeh tor par dikhata hai, jo market mein bearish rawiya ko dikhata hai.
H1 chart ki taqreeban nazdeeki jaiza mein, 120 muddat wala harki moving average qeemat ke oopar rakha gaya hai, jo musalsal neechay ki harkat ko jari rakhne ka tasawur deta hai. Yeh moving average aik dynamic resistance level ka kaam karta hai, qeemat ke oper nichayi dabao dalta hai.Is ke ilawa, zigzag indicator, jo aham qeemat ke charkhoon ko pehchaanata hai, neechayi raastay ke sath ek aur tassalsul ko support karta hai, jo waqt ke sath kami hoti ja rahi hai. Yeh indicator market mein maujooda bearish rawiya ko mazeed tasdeeq deta hai.
Farokht karne ka imkan soch rahe traders ke liye, aik sarsari dakhli nukta 147.65 qeemat ke darust shumara kiya gaya hai. Yeh satah ek aham resistance area ka kaam karta hai, jo sell positions shuru karne ka ek moqa faraham karta hai. Aghazati munafa maqsood 147.23 aur 146.85 par darust kiya gaya hai, jabke ek stop loss ko 147.92 par rakha gaya hai taa k nuqsan ka imkan mukhtalif qeemat ke harkat mein rokaya ja sake.
Mukhtalif taur par, khareedne ke imkanat ka intezar karne wale traders ko dhairen aur 148.20 qeemat ke paar karne ka intezar karna mashwara diya jata hai. Yeh bahar kaarne ki tasdeeq ka kaam karta hai, jo bullish momentum ki isharaat ko dikhata hai, ek mumkin ooperi rukh ki taslees ko dikhata hai. Khareedne ke liye maqsoodat 148.60 par darust ki gayi hain, sath hi ek stop 147.93 par rakha gaya hai taa ke khatra ko bharasakaya ja sake.

Chhoti Muddat Ke Trading Signals

Pandrah minute ke chart par chhoti muddat ke trading signals ke liye qeemati maloomat faraham ki jati hai, pehlay se pehlay trade ka ishaara aur zyada wazeh trading satah ko faraham karte hain. Yeh waqt traders ko intraday qeemat ke tabadlaat par faida uthane aur behtar dakhli aur ikhtitami nuktaon ka pehchan karne ki ijaazat deta hai.
Agar H1 resistance 148.20 par mushkook hai, to H4 resistance 149.13 ki taraf aik potential pair reversal ka taluq hai. Yeh manzar darama ko bullish soorat mein tabdeel karne ki isharaat deta hai, tez traders ke liye munafa dara raste ka peshi hai.

Trading Range Ki Taslees

Trading range ki taslees ki tawajjo 146.45 ke qeemati support level par murattab hai. Yeh satah trading faislon ke liye aik pivutol reference point faraham karta hai, muqarrar muddat ke doosri taraf trading ki maawin aur rukh jari rakhne ki qeematdar maloomat faraham karta hai.Jaise market ke amal hal hotay hain, nigha or dhaan lena aham ho jata hai, jo market ki jatil fitrat aur mojooda shuruaat ki samajh ko izhar karta hai.
Ahem rukawat 150.37 ki range mein dekhi gayi hai, jo neechayi harkat ka aik mumkin maayena hai. Traders ko saavdhaan rehna chahiye, kyun ke kuch ranges ke nichayi farokht ka moka aaye ga.



Market Ki Tawaqo Aur Markazi Bank Ke Waqiat

Aglay maheene ke markazi bank ke waqiat, khas taur par Bank of Japan ke faisla aur Fed ki polisi ki tajweez par traders ko intezaar karna chahiye. Daily chart par technical indicators USD/JPY ke liye potential neechayi harkat ki ishaaraat deta hai, jo market ke barhtay hue husool aur munafa kamai ke dauran faida uthane aur apni trading strategy ko sahi rakhne ka darust tarika hai.
Dhaireen nukta e nazar ke hisaab se apni positions ki mukhtalif tabdeeliyon ko barhawa dene ke liye zaroori hai, khas tor par negative positions ka bara hissa hai. Foran farokht karne ka tajweez diya gaya hai, 147.60 ke qareeb maqsood par, potensial faida hasil karne aur nuqsan ko asanai se rokne ka darust tareeqa hai.

Ikhtitami Guftagu

Ikhtitami guftagu mein, maujooda market ke halat ki tafseeli jaiza zaroori hai trading faislon ke liye. Maujooda halat ke mutabiq farokht karne ka behtareen moqa hai, maujooda halaat mein, nuqsan ko kam karne aur faida haasil karne ka tajweez hai. Ahtiyaat aur satah darusti se amal karne se traders market ke tabadlaat ka izhaar kar sakte hain, forex trading ke dynamic duniya mein kamiyabi ke liye apne aap ko pesh karte hain.

EMA50 ki manfi dabao ki madad se, USDJPY ke qeemat kal barh gayi, 147.10 ke darja ko tor kar 148.37 ke ahem mukhafaf had tak pohanch gayi. Wahan se, yeh ek bearish qeemat ka raftar ko mehsoos kiya aur mukhtalif barish correction ki intehai raahat ki taraf chala gaya, 146.80 ko azma kar aglay correction level 145.60 ki taraf saaf karnay ke liye. Magar, humein ye maloom hona chahiye ke agar keemat 148.37 ko tor deti hai, toh yeh isay dobara uthne aur pehlay wale musbat trend ko dobara hasil karne ki koshish karnay ko himayat degi. Aaj ka trading range 146.60 ki support aur 148.00 ki resistance ke darjat ke darmiyan hone ka mutawaqqa hai.
Takneeki tor par kehne mein, December-February ke surge ke 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level ke neeche, USD/JPY jodi ne kuch mazbooti dikhayi hai. Dusra upar ka faida, phir bhi 23.6% Fibo level ke aage fail gaya aur 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke oopar traction hasil karne mein mushkilat ka samna kiya. Is ke ilawa, daily chart par oscillators oversold zone ke bahar ache taur par bani hue hain, manfi ilaqon mein gehrayi tak. Is natije mein, 148.00 ke aas paas kuch farokht ka mohtasib shuru ho sakta hai aur 148.35–148.40 area mein band reh sakta hai. Dusra ko zyada samajhdaarayi mark hai jo, agar isay itminan se saaf kiya jaata hai, toh yeh ishaara karega ke hilte hue 152.00 mohallah se halaat mein giraavat ka tauq mil gaya hai aur maujooda qeemat ko wapas laane ki taqat banaayi gayi hai.

Umooman, asian session ke neeche hone ki kamzori, jo ke 147.25–147.20 range mein waqai hai, shayad 147.00 ke mark ke qareeb kuch support payega, jo ke 38.2% Fibo level ke aage hai, jo 146.80 zone mein waqai hai. 200-day SMA, jo ab 146.25 zone ke qareeb hai, aur monthly trough, jo 146.50-146.45 range ke darmiyan majood hai, is ke peechay mazbooti se peeche hain. Thori aur nuqsaan mazeed farokht se ho sakta hai, jo ke bearish traders ke liye naya trigger aur 146.00 ki barri se neeche giraavat ki soorat mein mani jayegi. 50% Fibo level, ya darmiyan mein 145.00, phir USD/JPY jodi ka nishana ho sakta hai, pehlay zehniyat 145.00 ke darja tak.

Aaj, hum USD/JPY currency pair ki qeemat ki harkat ka jaiza lenge. Qeemat pehlay se hi apnay ibtidaai maqsood tak, yaani 146.35-79, pohanch chuki hai, aur yeh darja ab dollar/yen jodi ko support de raha hai, is ki giravat ko rok raha hai. Humay yeh dekhnay ki zaroorat hai ke yeh imarat kis tarah se mazeed taraqqi karti hai. Agar 147.73-148.56 tak koi unchaai tak phir se aa gayi bina ke usay paar kiya jaye, to currency pair mazid 143-144 darjay ki taraf jaari giravat ka shikaar ho sakta hai, mazeed mazid hone ke baad. Magar, agar pehlay se mazboot zone ko tor diya jata hai, jo ab 148.79-149.65 ke tor par muqabla kar raha hai, to mazeed giravat ke liye manzar saaf nahi hai. Aik naya range ban sakta hai, jis ke baad bearish movement ho, magar aam tor par, aik rook gayi giravat iska ikhtiyaar hai, dollar/yen ke liye mazeed izafa ki ishaaraat deti hai. Is liye, ab bech dena ghalat waqt lagta hai; humay pullback ke jawab ka nigrani karna chahiye.




Aaj, hamara sab se ahem maqsad 147.15 ke support level ke neeche se guzar jane ko rokna hai. Humay yeh support barqarar rakhna hai taake bearish trend se bacha ja sake. Agar support qaim rehta hai, to 148.19 ke resistance level ek mumtaz point ko mark karega, agar support qaim rehta hai toh aik mukhtalif moor par. Agar izzafa jari rehta hai, to 148.18 bullish trend mein pehla se pehla resistance hoga. Yeh zaroori hai ke 147.19 ko aur giravat se bachaya jaaye; warna bearish momentum be faida barh sakta hai. Main 147.12 ke darje se bullish harkat par tawajju deta hoon. Trend indicator MA abhi price ke oopar hai, jis se prevailing sales ka ishaara hai. Is ke ilawa, MACD oscillator 0 ke neeche hai, jis se bearish market ka ishaara hai. Main currency pair ko 147.97 ke darje se bechne ka iraada rakhta hoon, nuqsaan ko mehdood karne ke liye 148.17 par rok lagakar, aur munafa ko mehfooz karne ke liye 147.35 par take profit set karunga.

Forex Pair Analysis: USD/JPY

Aaj ki guftagu USD/JPY currency pair ki halat par hai. Hum ne dekha hai ke aaj ke European opening mein currency pair flat range se bahar nikla hai, jo ke qabil-e-zikar hai. Asia bechnay mein rukaavat mein tha, lekin ek mumkin bullish formation nazar aati hai. 149.69 ke neeche fix hona ek bearish trend ko darust karti hai, lekin hum EMA 200 ke qareeb 149.17 par support ko madde nazar rakhte hue, is level se 149.67 tak ek punji ka intezaar karte hain. Agar pair 149.69 ke upar laut jata hai, to hum 150.30 ki taraf umeed rakhte hain, jisme 151 tak ka ek mumkin cycle hai. Magar is pair ke liye farokht ko qareeb se nigaah rakhna zaroori hai. Yeh tasveer par click karen ke liye bada version dekhen.

Jaisa ke Wednesday ko report hua, USD/JPY currency pair US dollar ke liye kharab hota ja raha hai, aur is se Japanese Yen ko faida hota hai. Bears February 29 ke kamzor 149.28 ke qareeb pahunche ja rahe hain. Yeh giravat char ghante ke chart par pair ke quotes ko neeche ke Bollinger band ke had se guzarne aur mukhtalif hain, jo ke ek mumkin trend reversal ka ishara ho sakta hai. Haan, yeh koi guarantee nahi hai, lekin 149.24 ke neeche ek naya char ghante ka bearish mombati darwaza kholne ka ishara ho sakta hai, jo 148.88 tak aur shayad 148.36 tak giravat ka saabit ho sakta hai.


Umeed hai kee asain session kee kamiyon ke neeche kamzor ho jana, jo 147.25–147.20 ke range mein waqe hai, 147.00 ke mark tak kuch madad hasil karay ga, jo ke 38.2% Fibo level ke samne waqia hai, jo ke 146.80 zone mein waqia hai. 200 dinon ka SMA, jo ab 146.25 zone ke qareeb waqia hai, aur maheenay ka guzar, jo 146.50-146.45 ke range ke darmiyan markazi hai, is ke baad is ke peechay chalti hai. Mazeed nuqsan kuch follow-through bechnay se ho sakta hai, jo ke bearish traders ko naye trigger aur 146.00 bandar ke neeche ke breach ke tor par dekha jayega. 50% Fibo level, ya darmiyani 145.00s, phir USD/JPY pair ke liye maqsad ho sakta hai, phir 145.00 ke nafsiyati darja tak girawat.

Maujooda USD/JPY currency pair ki tajziya nigarish ek zor se neeche ki taraf ka trend zahir karti hai, jo farokhto'n ki nisbat kharid'o'n ki zyada frequency ko darust karta hai. Ye neeche ki manzil wazeh tor par chart par zahir hai, jo market ki jazbatiyat mein ek bearish jazbaat ko zahir karta hai. H1 chart ka qareebi jaiza karnay par ye zahir hota hai ke 120 marhala moving average qeemat ke oopar mojood hai, jo maazi ki tawil taur par neeche ki harkat ka khayal jaari rakhnay ka tasavvur faraham karta hai. Ye moving average aik dynamic resistance level ka kaam karta hai, jo qeemat amal par neeche ki dabao daalta hai.

Is ke ilawa, zigzag indicator jo ahem qeemat ki tezi se harkato'n ko pehchan'ta hai, bhi neeche ka pattern support karta hai jahan ahem extreme muddat ke saath kam hoti hai. Ye indicator market mein mojood bearish jazbaat ka ek aur layer of confirmation faraham karta hai.
Farokht karne ka ghor o fikr kar rahe traders ke liye, aik strategic dakhli point 147.65 qeemat se shanakht kiya gaya hai. Ye level aik ahem resistance area ke tor par kaam karta hai, jo farokht karne ki moqa faraham karta hai. Ibtidaie munafa targets 147.23 aur 146.85 par set kiye gaye hain, jahan aik stop loss 147.92 par rakha gaya hai taakee haqiqat mein nuqsan ka ehtemal ho sakta hai

Mukhtalif taur par, kharidne ki mauqaat ka ghor kar rahe traders ko sabar karna aur pair ko 148.20 qeemat se guzarne ka intezar karna mashwara diya jata hai. Ye breakout bullish momentum ka tasdeeq hai, jise ek mojooda oopar ki taraf ka trend reversal ke sign ke tor par naqal karta hai. Kharid'o'n ke liye munafa targets 148.60 par set kiye gaye hain, sath hee ek risk ko effectively manage karne ke liye 147.93 par aik stop loss rakha gaya hai

Aaj hum USD/JPY currency pair ki keemat ke harkaat ka jaiza lenge. Keemat pehle hi apna aghazati maqam tak pohanch chuki hai jo ke 146.35-79 hai, aur yeh maqam ab dollar/yen pair ko support kar raha hai, is ki girawat ko rok raha hai. Humein dheyan se dekhna hoga keh yeh dhaar cheez kaise aage badhti hai. Agar 147.73-148.56 tak ek mudrabah ho bina usay paar kiye, to currency pair aglay maqamat 143-144 ke darajon ki taraf girne ke baad jari girawat ko barqarar rakhta hai. Magar, agar pehle se mazboot zone jo ab 148.79-149.65 par resistance ke tor par kaam kar raha hai, agar isay paar kiya jata hai, to aglay girawat ka manzar kam wazeh ho jata hai. Aik naya shumari ban sakta hai, jisay bearish harkat ka peechay anaam hone ke baad, lekin aam tor par, ek rukawat se guzartay hue girawat ka khatma uski inteha ka ishaara deta hai, dollar/yen ke liye mukhtalif barhawat ki umeed deta hai. Is liye, ab bechna ghalat waqt lagta hai; humein isteqamat se jawaab ka nigrani karna chahiye.

Aaj, hamara pehla tawajju woh darja hai jo 147.15 ke support level ke neeche se guzar na jaye. Humein is support ko barqarar rakhanay ke liye zaroori hai keh ek bearish trend se bacha jaye. 148.19 par rukawat darj karna ek aham nukta hoga agar support barqarar rehta hai. Agar uroojati momentum jari rehta hai, to 148.18 bullish trend mein pehla asar hoga. Yeh zaroori hai ke 147.19 yeh girawat ko mazeed roke, warna bearish momentum faida na uthaye. Main 147.12 level se bullish harkat par tawajju dena pasand karta hoon. Trend indicator MA ab keemat se oopar hai, jo ke maujooda farokht ko dikhata hai. Is ke ilawa, MACD oscillator 0 ke neeche hai, jo ke aik bearish market ki dalil hai. Main irshaad karta hoon ke main currency pair ko 147.97 darjay se bechna pasand karta hoon, nuksan ko mehdood karne ke liye 148.17 par aik rok lagaonga aur munafa ko mehfooz karne ke liye 147.35 par aik le lood set karonga.

USDJPY

EMA50 ki manfi dabao ki madad se, USDJPY ke keemat ne kal izafa kiya, 147.10 darja ko paar kar ke ahem resistance level 148.37 ki taraf barh gaya. Wahan se, yeh bearish keemat ka rashid bhawar dekha aur beghair rukawat ke bearish correction ke intraday dobara shuru kiya, 146.80 ko test karne ke liye aage barhne ka rasta saaf karne ke liye agla correctional level 145.60 ki taraf. Magar, hamein ye maloom hona chahiye ke agar keemat 148.37 ko paar kare, to yeh negative situation ruk jayegi, jo ke isay rukne ke liye munsalik karega aur mukhtasar musbat trend ko dobara haasil karne ki koshish karega. Aaj ke trading range ki tawaqo 146.60 ke support aur 148.00 ke resistance darjyon ke darmiyan hai.

Technically bolte hue, December-February ke surge ke 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level ke neeche, USD/JPY pair ne kuch taqat dikhayi hai. Magar, doosri up advance, 23.6% Fibo level ke pehle hi nakam hogaya aur 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke ooper qaabu hasil karne mein mushkil hoti rahi. Is ke ilawa, daily chart par oscillators ne oversold zone ke bahar achaarik tor par rakha hai, mazid manfi shetra mein gahra hai. Is natije mein, 148.00 ke aas paas kuch farokht nazar ane ka imkaan hai aur 148.35–148.40 area mein mehdood rahega. Aakhri darja ek aham turning mark ki tarah kaam karega, jo agar wazeh tor par paar kiya jata hai, to is ka matlab hoga ke 152.00 ilaqe se hui nedamat saaf ho gayi hai aur jagah ke keematain jaiz ho gayi hain.

Doosri taraf, Asian session ke kam keemat, jo 147.25–147.20 range mein hai, kamzor hoti ja rahi hai, jo ke 147.00 darja ke qareeb kuch support payega, jo ke 38.2% Fibo level ke aage hai, jo ke 146.80 zone mein hai. 200-day SMA, jo ab 146.25 zone ke qareeb hai, aur mahinay ka trough, jo 146.50-146.45 range ke darmiyan markazi hai, is ke peechay qareeb trail kar rahe hain. Gehri nuqsan mumkin hai kuch follow-through farokht se, jo bearish traders ke liye naye trigger aur 146.00 barrier ke neeche khasaray ka breach ke tor par dekha jayega. 50% Fibo level, ya mid-145.00s, phir USD/JPY pair ke liye nishana ho sakta hai, pehle se neeche 145.00 darja tak ek girawat.

USD/JPY Keemat Karwai Ka Tajziya

USD/JPY currency pair ki mojooda tajziya mein ek maqbool girawat ka nazar aata hai, jo khareedaron ke muqable mein farokht ki ziada tadaad ko darust karta hai. Yeh neeche ki manfi rahnumai wazeh tor par chart par zahir hai, jo market ke jazbat par musalat hone wali bearish hiss mein isharaat deta hai.
H1 chart ka qareebi mutaala karne par dekha gaya hai ke 120 muddat ka moving average keemat ke ooper mojood hai, jo ke manfi rawayaat ke jaari rehne ke tasawwur ko mazeed mazbooti deta hai. Yeh moving average ek dynamic resistance level ke tor par kaam karta hai, jo ke keemat karwai par neeche ki dabaav deta hai.

Is ke ilawa, zigzag indicator, jo ahem keemat ke chhatre ko pehchaan leta hai, bhi girawat ka pattern tasdeeq karta hai jisme waqt guzarta hai. Yeh indicator market mein mojood bearish jazbat ko mazeed tasdeeq deta hai.
Farokht karne ka tajruba rakhtay hue traders ke liye aik strategy entry point 147.65 keemat darja ke muqarrar kiya gaya hai. Yeh darja aik ahem resistance area ki taraf isharaat karta hai, jahan se farokht karne ke positions shuru karne ka moqa milta hai. Aghaazati faida ke maqasid 147.23 aur 146.85 par set kiye gaye hain, jahan par kisi nuqsan ke dur hone ke surat mein 147.92 ko stop loss kiya gaya hai.
Baraks, jo traders khareedne ke moqaat ki tawajju denay ke liye intezar karte hain, unhein sabar aur intezar ki zaroorat hai jab tak pair 148.20 keemat darja ko paar na kar le. Is breakthrough ne bullish momentum ki tasdeeq ki hai, jo ek potential upward trend reversal ko ishara karta hai. Khareedne ke positions ke liye faida ke maqasid 148.60 par set kiye gaye hain, jahan par risk ko dur karne ke liye 147.93 ko stop kiya gaya hai.

Choti Mudati Trading Signals

Pandra minute ka chart choti mudati trading signals ke leye qeemati insights faraham karta hai, pehlay hi trade indications aur ziada saf trading levels ke liye. Yeh waqt guzarte hue traders ko din bhar ke keemat ke jhatke par faida uthane aur behtar andaz mein aghaaz aur khatam hone ke points ko pahchane mein madad faraham karta hai.
Agar H1 resistance 148.20 par paar hojata hai to, to aik mumkin pair ka ulta rukh 149.13 H4 resistance ki taraf mutawaqqa hai. Yeh scenario ek mumkin turn ke batoon ki taraf ishara karta hai, jo ke chatur traders ke liye munafa dara farokht ke moqaat faraham karta hai.

Trading Range ki Tarmeem

Trading range ki tarmeem ke tawaqo karne ke doran, ahem support level ke qareeb 146.45 par dhiyan diya gaya hai. Yeh level trading decisions ke liye ek ahem point of reference faraham karta hai, jo ke keemat ke ulat phir aur trend ke jaari rahne ki qadarmand insights faraham karta hai.
Jab market dynamics unfold hote hain, to nigaah aur adaptability ahem hoti hai, jo ke market ke dynamic fitrat aur tabdeel hone wale halat ke dawam hone ki zaroorat ko darust karta hai.
Market outlook aur Central Bank Events

Aage dekhte hue, traders ko Bank of Japan ki faisla aur Fed ki policy update ki tawajjo dene ki darkhwast ki jati hai. Daily chart par technical indicators USD/JPY ke liye potential neeche ki taraf ki movement ko ishara karte hain, jis se market developments ke jawab mein inform aur adaptable rehne ki ahmiyat ko taleem faraham ki gayi hai. Positions ki maqasid ke strategic adjustments ke ishtiyar zaroori hain takay faida barhaya ja sake aur nuqsan ko kam kiya ja sake, khas karke negative positions ke wajah se. Fauran farokht karne ki tawajjo di jati hai, jahan par 147.60 ke aas paas ek target hai take ke potential faida ko hasil kiya ja sake aur nuqsan ko dur kiya ja sake.

Ikhlaas

Ikhtiyarat karne ka doran, mojooda market shiraaft ke baray mein tafseelati jayeza lazmi hai, taake jaankari ki roshni mein farokht karne ke faislay liye. Mojudah halat ke hisaab se behtareen option farokht karna hai, jo ke mojooda mahol mein aasani se nuqsan ko kam karne aur faida hasil karne ka maqsad rakhta hai. Hoshiyari aur strategy ke saath amal karke, traders market ke urfi imrazon mein aasani aur wazehi se guzar sakte hain, aur forex trading ke dynamic duniya mein kamiyabi ke liye apne aap ko mustahiq bana sakte hain.

usd/jpy technical and fundamenta outlook:

Moujooda waqt mein dollar abhi tak nisbatan mustahkam hai kyunkay market ke khilariyon ko jun meeting mein Fed ke interest rate ke kat k asar par pareshani hai jo k unho ne mustaqbil mein zyada se zyada consumer price inflation ka tajziya kya hai. Intehai, yen kuch apni rival currencies ke khilaf kamzor hui hai kyun ke policymakers aur maaliyati idaray ke agle haftay ke meetings se pehle koi wazeh signals nahi diye gaye. Pichle martaba, Japani Wazir-e-Khazana Shunichi Suzuki ne kaha k unki mulk mein abhi tak deflation ka darja paar nahi hua hai. Is ne market ke khilariyon mein shak paida kya hai agle meeting mein manfi interest rate policy se guzarne ke maamle mein.

h4 time frame chart review:




Technically lehaz se, USDJPY pair price h4 chart mein SMA200 ke dynamic support ke oopar bounce kiya hai jis se 146,560 ke RBS area se roka gaya tha. Isliye yeh mumkin hai ke aik pullback mumkin hai taaza mother bar ke taraf, jo ke 149,250 se lekar 150,889 ke qeemat tak ho sakta hai, khaaskar agar aap SMA100 se SMA50 curve ke muqable mein resistance ko paar kar lein. Agar yeh abhi bhi inn do curves ke neeche daba hua hai, to yeh doosre projection ki taraf jaari rehne ka imkaan hai andar ki bar pattern ki qeemat 145,972 par. Khaaskar agar yeh SMA200 ke dynamic support ko toor kar guzar jaye jo ke mustaqbil ki qeemat ke rehnuma ghaiz haqiqi maaloom hota hai. Darmiyan mein, intraday dikhata hai ke iski position H4 waqt mein taaza mother bar ke oopar bounce kiya gaya hai qeemat 146,485 se 147,500 tak. Magar izafa ab bhi qeemat 148,048 par SBR area se rok gaya hai. Isliye yeh maamla is mumkin hai ke maa ke bar ke taraf tashreef le jaye, khaaskar agar yeh SMA50 aur SMA100 ke dynamic support ke neeche gira hai. Khaaskar agar yeh dono curves ne neeche ki taraf se guzar gaye hain, kyunkay yeh halat trend ko bearish ki taraf wapas laayegi. Darmiyan mein, maa ke bar ke oopar rehna yeh tasdeeq karega ke andar ki bar pattern se bullish signal ab bhi qaim hai. Isliye yeh mauqa hai ke iski izafa ko barhane ka rasta jaari rakhe, har aik se zyada 100 pips ke taraf.

GBPUSD HOURLY TIME FRAME

Shab bakhair dosto! chhoti muddi ki trading par mabni, hum ye nateeja nikal sakte hain ke kharidar 148.00 ke darje par badi rukawat ka samna kar rahe hain. Ye doosra din hai jab hum oonchaai tak pohnchne ki koshish kar rahe hain aur yeh kaam nahi ho raha. Jaise maine thodi der pehle kaha, jab hum 148.00 ke darje tak pohanchte hain, to shayad humein ek aur chhota pullback mil sakta hai (ek neeche ki correction ke surat mein). Aur is tarah, woh jo hum abhi dekh rahe hain, kuch had tak, aik correction ke mutabiq hai. Iska matlab hai ke pehle hi American trading session ke doran, movement ka upri trend jaari rakhne ke har imkaan hai. Waqt dikhayega. Amal karne ke liye abhi bohot jaldi hai (kam az kam kuch qadam to uthana). Main agli mauqa ka intezar karunga. Agar mujhe 148.00 ke darje ke oopar pohnchna aur mazbooti se ho gaya, to main ulta correction ka intezar karunga aur jab woh mukammal ho jaye ga, to main khareedne ka aghaaz karunga. Sales ke liye, scenario thoda mukhtalif hai. Is ke liye, aapko thode neeche low ko taaza karna hoga aur phir usi shumal ki correction ke neeche bechna hoga.




GBPUSD 30 Time Frame





Ek trade 148.05 ke range mein hai aur wahan se giravat jaari reh sakti hai. Shayad abhi tak humein badi upri impulsive na milay, lekin uske baad, giravat phir bhi jaari rahegi. Ek chhote upri impulse ke baad, maslan 148.00 ke range tak, giravat jaari rahegi. Pehle humein 146.65 par trade ka breakout mila aur agar hum is ke neeche consolidate karte hain, to yeh bechnay ka signal hoga. 147.25 ke trade ke range ka breakout aur is ke upar mazbooti se fix hone ka signal khareedne ka hoga. Shayad 147.90 ke range ko toorna mumkin ho, jahan trade mojood hai, phir is ke upar ke daam ko fix karne ke baad, mazbooti jaari rahegi. Jab hum 146.50 ke range ka toorna aur is ke neeche consolidate karne mein kamiyab ho jayenge, to yeh rate mein mazeed giravat ke liye aik signal hoga. 147.00 ke range ka toorna pehle hi ho chuka hai aur aise toorna ke baad, giravat jaari rahegi. 147.30 ke oopar uthne ka abhi tak koi amal na mumkin hai, jo ke yeh dikhata hai ke wahan humein mazboot rukawat hai. Ek trade 147.30 ke range mein hai aur wahan se giravat jaari rahegi. Jab humein 146.50 ke range ka toorna aur is ke neeche consolidate karna mein kamiyab ho jata hai, to yeh bechnay ka signal hoga. Abhi ke daam mein ek chhoti izaafa ke baad, giravat jaari rahegi. Abhi ke daam se hum giravat de sakte hain aur 147.00 ke trade ko toorna. Shayad hum is ke neeche consolidate kar len, phir yeh American session mein bechne ka signal

GBPUSD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS


USDJPY market ke hawale se, agar aap qeemat ki harkat ka pattern dekhte hain, to mujhe lagta hai ke qeemat ka halat Uptrend taraf chalne ki taraf hai. Ye halat aik chhote time frame jaise H1 par market ke halat ke mutabiq hai, is liye nazar aanay wala trend pehle haftay ke ikhtitam se bullish hai. Is hafte ke liye abhi bhi mauqa hai ke market apni izafa jaari rakhay, candlestick 147.82 ke price zone ke ooper chal rahi hai, is ki position 100 period simple moving average zone ke qareeb barhne ki koshish kar rahi hai jo market ke trend ko tajziya karne ke liye ek hawala hai. Agar kharidar ooper ke trend ko jaari rakhna chahte hain, to 148.36 ke price position ko todna hoga.


Agar aap is ko nazar se dekhte hain, to stochastic se aya signal 80 zone tak barh gaya hai, jo ke UsdJpy pair ne Uptrend taraf ki manzil ko jaari rakhne ki mumkinat ka ishaara hai. Filhal ke time frame par aur kharidar ki istiqamat ke dabaav ke natijay mein, qeemat ke ooper laane ke liye kharidar ke isteqamat ke natijay mein zyada izaafa ho sakta hai. Meri raye mein, agle trade mein bullish trend par aitmaad abhi bhi kara ja sakta hai. Is jodi ke liye kharidari ka behar aane ka izafa qeemat ko Uptrend taraf chalne ki taraf la sakta hai. Is liye is hafte ke market ke andar shartein jo barhne ki koshish kar rahi hain ke liye intezaar karne ki rai di jaati hai, aur shayad hafte ke ikhtitam tak.

USDJPY market mein trading ke liye sifarishat.

Main qadri hai ke kharidarain USDJPY market ko control karna jaari rakhein ge aur USDJPY ki qeemat ko upar le jaane ke liye jaari rakhein ge, is liye main sifarish karta hoon ke USDJPY market mein kharidari ke dakhil signals ki talash karein, meri pesh kash ki gayi nishan dahi ke mutabiq USDJPY market ke halat mein kharidarain ki taaqat barh rahi hai aur stochastic ke indicators se bhi kharidarain ko upar laane mein madad milti hai, meri tawaqo yeh hai ke kharidarain lambay arsay tak USDJPY market ko control karenge, kyun ke daily timeframe mein jo mapping maine banai hai wo lambay arsay ke liye USDJPY market ke halat ko darust karta hai.