USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

USD/JPY pair ki qeemat 150.630 par shumali simt mein trading kar rahi hai. Rozana chart par dekhte hain, MA36 indicator bullish trend mein hai, jaise hi MA14 indicator bhi shumali simt mein hai. Is pair ki qeemat 150.700 ya 150.750 ya 150.800 tak pohanch sakti hai, MA14 indicator ki tasdeeq ke mutabiq. Ya phir qeemat 150.600 ya 150.650 ya 150.550 ke darjaat tak jaldi bhaag sakti hai. MA36 aur MA14 indicator shumali simt mein point karte hain, is liye qeemat aaj zyada tar unchi hogi, lekin ek rollback ko inkaar nahi kiya ja sakta. Sab ko acha trading aur munafa bhara faisla karnay ki dua hai. Pair aik range mein trading jaari hai.
Pehlay, jab sirf mahangaai ke data bahar aaya is range ke shuruaat mein, to maine ye samjha ke range hogi, lekin maine ye samjha ke range zyada extensive hogi, jab pair ne resistance 150.889 se neeche jaane ka mukaam hasil kiya, maine ye samjha ke wo support 148.702 tak jaayega.
Lekin wo is support tak nahi pohancha. Wo ek mazeed tang range mein trading shuru ki, ye range 150.889 aur 149.911 mark tak mehdood hai. Phir se, ye ek baar jhootay toot gaya, kharidne ki hudood chalu ho gayi aur phir maine samjha ke pair phir se izaafa karega. Matlab, ke ye range shumali simt mein toot sakta hai, ab tak is toot ne kuch bhi nahi dikhaya aur koi khareedne wala volume nahi hai. Is liye main samjhunga ke jahan tak pair jaayega wo range ke upeer had tak, phir phir se neeche hadon tak.

Jaise ke tawaqqa tha, peer ko bhaarta raha aur phir main dobara D1 dour ki chart dekhne ki pesh karta hoon. Pichli trading hafte ne February mahine ka ikhtitam kiya aur is currency pair ki keemat mein halki kami ka nishaan tha. Ziyadatar pichle mahine ke liye, qeemat pahunch gayi uchiyon par taraf. February ke ibteda mein wo tezi se barh gayi, phir achanak ruk gayi. Qeemat girne ke liye kitni ziddi hai, is ke mutabiq barhne ka silsila jari rahega. Lehar nizaam apni tarteeb ko upar ki taraf bana rahi hai, MACD indicator khareedne ki zone mein hai. Is barhav ki raah par ek jhanda shakal bhi dekha ja sakta hai jo upar toot gaya hai - barhne ke liye ishaara. Agar pehli lehar par nishchit Fibonacci grid ko rakha jaaye, to ek mumkin barhav ka maqsood nazar aata hai - is grid par level 161.8. Ye maqsood sirf 2022 aur 2023 ki unchiyon ke upar waqif hai

Hal Hal Mein, hum USD/JPY currency pair ke qeemat ke dynamics ka tajziyah kar rahe hain. Ek ahem phenomenon jo dekha gaya hai, woh pair ki qeemat mein significant downward trajectory hai, jis ki mojooda trading qeemat 149.40 hai, jo ke 149.60 ke critical envelope level ke neeche waqif hai. Jab ke mojooda market ki jazbaat bechne walon ke asar ki taraf lean hain, to strongly mashwara diya jata hai ke kharidari ki positions ko shuru karne ka ghor kiya jaye. Mojudah kami mein, aik strategy ke taur par kharidari deals ko priority dene mein shamil hai, sath hi trade ke rukh ke khilaaf qeemat mein harek ko muqarrar karne ka soch samajh kar plan banana bhi shamil hai. Faida hasil karne ke liye aik strategic setting 149.976 ke liye kharidari trades ke liye puri karne ka hisaab hai. Is ke ilawa, aqalmand traders ko kuch trade positions ko qaim rakhne ka mashwara diya jata hai, ek mumkinah lambi muddat ke liye 150.20 ke nishane ki taraf umeed karte hue

Aik narm trading strategy ke hisaab se, ye salah shamil hai ke positions ka hissa band kiya jaye, volume histogram par chokas nigah rakhi jaye. Volume mein qaaim aur musarrat barhao, 150.20 tak ke ziada munafa ka maqsad haasil karne mein bharose ka zariya hai. Volume histogram ko qareeb se nigrani karna zaroori hai, khaas tor par mumkinah reversals ke doran, kyun ke ye aik wazeh uptrend development ka ahem nishan hai. H4 chart mein zoom karte hue, qeemat ka movement aik descending channel ke borders mein mehdood rehta hai. Ibtidaai umeedon ke bawajood ke jo ke upper limit ki taraf chadhaav ka intizaar tha, qeemat ne aik u-turn diya, neeche ki taraf rukh karne ka. Hourly chart ke intricacies ne market dynamics ke jawab mein keen observation aur strategic decision-making ki ahmiyat ko zahir kiya hai. Traders ko USD/JPY currency pair ke complexities ko samajhne aur un par tayyar rehne mein hoshiyar hona chahiye, macro aur micro-level analyses ke dwara zahir kiye gaye nuqsanat ko mad e nazar rakhte hue

Market Analysis and strategy for trading

Maine market entry decisions ke liye ahem level 149.76 ko pehchan liya. Ye level mera strategy ka markaz ban gaya, jisne agle qeemati waqt ke price movements ko analyze karne mein meri madad ki. Is level ki tasweerat ka dehan rakhna mujhe mumkin market ke mukhtalif rehnumaiyon par qadam uthane ki ijazat deti hai.

Short Position Strategy

USD/JPY par short positions ko shuru karne ke liye, aik mukammal strategy zaroori hai. Mazboot US data aur Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ki hawkish stance par mazboot ittemaad is ka bunyadi sutoor hai. 149.76 ki hifazat ka bohat ahem hai, jis ka ahamiyat aik ghalat breakout se bachna hai. Meticulous approach mein short positions kholne ka intizar karna shamil hai, jeseke aik ghalat breakout, ek downward correction ke sath specific target ke qareeb 147.17 ke qareeb.

Long Position Strategy

Mukhalif taur par, USD/JPY mein ek upper movement ke case mein, 149.76 se ooper uth kar bearish pressure ke bina, khareedaron ke liye moqaat khul jate hain. Magar, main ehtiyaat se kaam karta hoon aur sirf aik ghalat breakout par amal karne ka irada rakhta hoon. Ye shaamil hai 153.00 se wapas chalkar short positions foran kholna, aik upper correction ka muqarar maqsad 200-235 points tak.Ghante ke daire ke qeemat ke baray mein tafseeli tajziya, mumkin market ke trend mein izafa faraham karta hai. Khaas tor par 149.257 par resistance levels ki tehqiqat ke zaraye, jis mein mukhtalif pullbacks aur resistance breakthroughs par jawab dene ka tawajju faraham kiya jata hai.



Technical Analysis and Price Behaviour

Mozoo ke halat mein USD/JPY market mein bearish trend ka zikar hai, jahan price 150.00 ke nichay drif ho rahi hai. Is trend ka ek ahem sabab US dollar ki kamzori hai, jaisa ke US dollar index ki nakaratmak position se wazeh hota hai. Technical indicators is bearish outlook ko mazeed tasdeeq dete hain, jese ke General Strength Index (RSI-14) 21.5702 par, mukhalif zone mein mazboot, jo ke mukhalfat ki taraf ishara karta hai. Is ke ilawa, Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD-12,26,9) indicator ek nakaratmak signal dikhata hai, jo ke USD/JPY par bearon ke mukhafalat ko mazboot karta hai
Mukhtalif resistance levels 151.83, 153.44, aur 155.85 ahem kirdaar ada karte hain market ke rukh ka tayyun. Mukhalif taur par, mukhtalif support levels 147.80, 145.23, aur 143.87 ko guzarna mukhtalif downtrend continuation ko nisbat dene ke liye ahem hain. In levels ke ahamiyat ko samajhna mohtarma market shiraeat par well-informed decisions ke liye ahem hai.

Price Action Analysis

Hilte maamlat ka qareebi jaeza ek confident southern continuation ko zahir karta hai USD/JPY mein. Ye bazi ka shuru ban gaya hai ek bearish candle ke banne mein, jo ke 149.205 par muqami support ke qareeb band hui. Aaj ke Asian session ke is southern trend ka continuation is baroobar ki tasdeeq karta hai ke faraham honay wale keematik hai aur aatey waqt ke ehtemalat ka jawab dene ke liye hai.
Do mukhtalif mosmo mein 147.614 ke qareeb support level ke kareeb scenario ho sakte hain. Pehla scenario aik bullish reversal ke sath juda hua hai, jahan price resistance levels ki taraf barhti hai. Is scenario mein, price ke rawayat aur mazeed trade setups ke nazdeek ka ehtemal zaroori hai. Dosra scenario ek downtrend ke mukhalif ke roop mein ghateyga, jahan price support level ke neeche mil jata hai aur mazeed southward chalta hai.
Aik mufeed trading approach ka amal karna mukhtalif factors, jese technical analysis, risk management, aur market shiraeat par adaptability ko shamil karta hai. Mukhtalif levels par price action ko monitor karna, indicators ka jaiza lena, aur dono short aur long positions ko shamil karna trading outcomes ko optimize karne ke liye aik mufeed strategy ke hisab se zaroori hai.

Conclusion

Ikhtitaam mein, mukhtalif market analysis aur entry plan ko mukhtalif factors, jese ke key levels, technical indicators, aur nedafati price action ke liye dheyan se ghor karna zaroori hai. Aik mufeed trading strategy ko amal mein lana is dynamic USD/JPY market mein behtar tor par raseed kiya ja sakta hai. Ye holistic nazar yeh tawanai barhane ki salahiyat ko faraham karta hai tabadla hone wale shiraeat, risk ko mufeed tor par manage karna aur aakhir mein currency trading mein mustaqil kamyabi ki koshish karna.

Bar opposite, agar USD/JPY mein oopri taraf ka movement ho, jo ke 149.76 se oopar jata hai aur bearish dabao na ho, to khareedne walon ke liye mauqay paida hote hain. Magar, main ihtiyati tor par kaam karne ka irada rakhta hoon aur sirf ghalat toot par amal karne ka mansooba banata hoon. Is mein 153.00 se rahat ke baad foran chhoti positions kholna shamil hai, jin ka makhsoos hadaf oopri correction ka silsila 200-235 points tak hota hai. Ghanton ki qeemat ki barhti hui rawayat ka tajziya potential market trends ke andar wazahat faraham karta hai. USD/JPY mein girawat ki tawaqo par aik nazar, khaas tor par 149.257 par resistance levels ki mohtamim jaiza ke bunyadi doar par mabni hai. Ye detaili nazar andazi market dynamics ke jawab mein proactive approach ko muntazir banata hai, potential pullbacks aur resistance breakthroughs par tawajjo dene ke saath

Mozooda surat haal USD/JPY market mein ek bearish trend ko darust karta hai, jahan qeemat 150.00 ke nichle darja mein ghoom rahi hai. Is trend ka ek ahem sabab US dollar ki kamzori hai, jaise ke US dollar index ke unfavourable position se wazeh hota hai. Technical indicators is bearish outlook ko mazeed sath dete hain, jahan General Strength Index (RSI-14) 21.5702 par hai, sakht tor par negative zone mein hai, jise mukhalif quwwat ka ishara samjha jata hai. Is ke ilawa, Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD-12,26,9) indicator ek negative signal dikhata hai, jo USD/JPY par bearon ki dominance ko mazid mazbooti deta hai.
151.83, 153.44, aur 155.85 par ahem resistance levels market ke raaste ko shakl dene mein ahem kirdar ada karte hain. Bar opposite, 147.80, 145.23, aur 143.87 par ahem support levels potential downtrend continuation ke liye zaroori hawala points faraham karte hain. In levels ki ahmiyat ko samajhna mojooda market sharaait par mukhlis faislon ko faraham karne ki salahiyat ko barhata hai.



Haal hi ki qeemat ka amal ke qareebi jaiza USD/JPY mein aik pur itminan janubi continuation ko zahir karta hai. Ye baat ek bearish candle ke saakht mein zahir hai, jo ke 149.205 par local support level ke qareeb band hui. Is janubi trend ki jari rahai Asian session ke sath qeemat dynamics ke mukhtalif halaton par jawabi amal ka ahmiyat ko mazeed sabit karta hai. 147.614 par support level ke qareeb do mukhtalif manazir paida ho sakte hain. Pehla manzar, aik bullish reversal ke sath shamil hai, jahan qeemat resistance levels ki taraf ja rahi hoti hai. Is manzar mein, qeemat ka rawayya aur resistance levels ke qareeb potential trade setups ke tawajjo sehatmand hai. Dusra manzar downtrend ka jari rehne ka tawaqo karta hai, jahan qeemat support level ke nichle darja se mil kar mazeed janubi rukh ikhtiyar karti hai.

Mangal, USD/JPY 148.74 ke aas paas tha. Budh, USD/JPY ne 0.46% gir kar 149.346 par band kiya. Maheena, USD/JPY ne 0.32% gir kar 149.346 par band kiya. USD/JPY ne aik uchch 150.084 tak chadh kar phir 149.092 par gir gaya. Japan ka mazdoori ka data investoron ka dilchaspi ka markaz ban gaya. Overtime pay aur average cash earnings ke data ne Bank of Japan ko negative interest rates se April mein rukh badalne ki shakhsiyat di. Overtime pay ne January mein year-on-year 0.4% barh kar December mein 0.7% girne ke baad izafa kiya. Khaas tor par, average cash receipts ne January mein year-over-year 2% izafa kiya, December mein 1% izafa kiya tha. Maheenay mein average cash earnings mein 0.5% izafa hone ka tajwez hai. Maishat mein izaafa mukhtalif dukaan ki takhmeenat ko utha sakta hai aur demand-driven inflation ko barha sakta hai. Mazi mein mukhtalif tijarat mein mazdoori aur ghar ki kharch ki barhti hui trend Bank of Japan ko negative interest rates se nikalne mein madad karegi. Khaas tor par, mazdoori ka data Bank of Japan ke negative interest rates se nikalne ka mansooba ke liye ahem hai. USD/JPY ne is data ka jawab diya, subah ke pehle dair tak 149.075 par gir kar.

Mazdoori par tawajjo rakhne ke saath, investoron ko Bank of Japan ki guftagu ko bhi ghor se ghor karna chahiye. Mazdoori, inflation aur negative interest rates se nikalne ka waqt ka tajziya karne se cheezein badal sakti hain. Mangal ko, investoron ko United States mein shuruati jobless claims ka data par tawajjo deni chahiye. Budh ke kamzor mazdoori ka data ke baad jobless claims mein izafa hone ka imkan hai, jo ke Federal Reserve ko 2024 ke pehle haftay mein interest rates kam karne par daal sakta hai. Maheenay ke khatam hone wale haftay ke liye initial jobless claims ka tajwez hai ke 2.15 million par rahega. Kamzor mazdoori ke shara'it mazdoori ki growth par asar daal sakti hai aur disposable income ko kam kar sakti hai. Disposable income ke nichle trend consumer spending ke mansoobe par asar daal sakta hai aur demand-driven inflation ko kam kar sakta hai. Aik naram inflationary mahol Federal Reserve ko demand ko support karne ke liye interest rates kam karne ki ijaazat de sakta hai aur sakht landing se bachane ke liye

Yeh neechay ka movement zyada tar Japani yen par barhti dabao ke natayej mein tha, jo ke Amreeki dollar ki kamzori ka bais bana. Iss natijay mein, pehle mazboot support level 149.22 ko tor diya gaya hai, ab ye ek pullback zone ka kaam karta hai. Kuch chand alfaaz mein izafi idaron ke bawajood, currency pair ne kisi bhi ahem izafa ko barqarar rakhne mein mushkilat ka samna kiya hai.
H1 time frame par ki gayi tajziya numaya karti hai ke autumn se koi taqreeb nahi hui, jo ke is waqiye ke baad keematon mein izafa ke imkanat ka ishara hai. Magar, mojooda nazar andaz kaafi thandi hai, jabke USDJPY apne neechay ki rukh ko palatne mein mushkilat ka samna kar raha hai. Khas taur par, jab candle RBS region tak pohancha 148.55 par, to bechnay ke dabao mein kami nazar aayi. Is ke ilawa, neechay ki manind candle ki shakal ka zahoor ek mumkin palat ka ishara hai. Main RBS pattern ke barqarar rehne par aik mumkin upar ki rukh ka umeedwar hoon. Magar agar yeh pattern tor diya gaya, to yeh mumkin hai ke ghata barqarar rahay ga jab tak woh qareebi support level 147.74 tak na pohanchay. Market ki faaltu activity ka intizar karte hue, mujhe umeed hai ke is pattern ki rad kardi jaye.

Ishiqam Ichimoku indicator ki tajziya dikhata hai ke candle abhi bhi tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke neeche maujood hai, jo ke ek barqarar rukh ko dikhata hai. USDJPY mein izafa ki ummid hone ke silsile mein, kisi bhi action ko sochnay se pehle jagah ki tabdeeli ka intizar karna munasib lagta hai. Aaj ki tajziya dikhata hai ke USDJPY phir se barhne ke liye mojood hai, kyun ke candle ne RBS level ko torne mein nakami ka samna kiya hai. Yeh ek naye support ke banne ki mumkinat ko ishara deta hai. Isi liye, main dostoon ko mashwarah deta hoon ke woh purchase positions ko kholne se inkaar karain jab tak Amreeki dollar ke aur signs ka intizar na ho.

Subah bakhair. USD/JPY jodi market dynamics ke urooj par hai. 4 ghanton ke chart ki mojooda tajziya mein, market mein taqatwar uptrend nazar aa raha hai, jabke USD/JPY jodi maizbani ke sath baar baar bulandi ki taraf qadam utha rahi hai. Rahai jaari hai, jabke jori ki stability ko darust karti hai. Yeh khaas hai ke qeematain barabar Ichimoku cloud ke oopar hain, jo market mein bulandi ki mahaul ko dikhata hai. Is buland mashwara ke sath, Stochastic indicator bhi khareed ki rujhan ko tasdeeq karta hai. Pichle trading session mein, jodi ne ahem level ko tor kar apni buland raftar ko barqarar rakha. Yeh buland foranat bullish investors ki be-sudh maddad ko darust karta hai, jis ne jodi ki qeemat ko 149.53 ke ahem level tak uthaya. Jabke momentum jari hai, traders ab market mein mojooda bullish mahaul ka faida utha sakte hain. Aage dekhtay hue, roozana ke tajwezat USD/JPY jodi ke liye buland raftar ka jari rakhne ka ishara dete hain. Maizbani momentum ke sath, roozana ke upar ki had mubahisa hoti hai traders ke liye, jo market mein umeedon ki chiragh bujha kar rakhne mein madad faraham karta hai. USD/JPY jodi ab dynamic qeemat ka amal dikhata hai, jahan kharidar umeed se dakhil ho rahe hain jab wo naye trading week mein aate hain. Jumeraat ki bullish candlestick pattern ke baad jin ka pichla din ka bearish candlestick ke sath niche ka shadow ho, yeh US dollar ke liye potent taaqat ka ishara deta hai. Magar, kharidar ka mustaqil baqi rehna mushkil hai jab jodi 150.80 ke ahem resistance level ke qareeb pohanchti hai. Market mein dakhil ho kar aur trade karna acha hota hai jab aap sachai aur ek raaste ka tajwez istemal karte hain, is liye tajwezat ka mutala aapke trading faaliyat mein bohot faida mand hota hai. Phir trades pur umeed hoti hain aur munafa hasil hota hai. Yen ki barhti hui ghair mohtaatgi ke bawajood, USD/JPY jodi maamooli range mein bani rahi 149.72-150.79. Ab ek neeche ke sudhar ka intezar karna chahiye. Har surat mein, pichle haftay ki qeemat ka toofan level 149.72 tak ka safar wazeh tor par dikhata hai ke bhaluon ka kam kam se kam 148.82 tak ka maqsood barabar rakhna hai. Aur is ke neeche bandish, bhaluon ki short-term kamyabi ka tajurbat hai, sath hi 147.56 mark ke aas pass agle support ka imtehan bhi hoga. 4 ghanton ke chart ke mutabiq, jodi balance aur Kruzenshtern indicator ki lakeeron ke neeche trading kar rahi hai, Kruzenshtern line khud ko neeche murnay ka rukh dikhata hai, jo dikhata hai ke anay wale darmiyani dor ke rukh ka rukh. Marlin Oscillator mazidyat mein wapis ghaarat ke mumalik mein wapas aaya hai. Neeche ke vector mein kami nahi hoti. Mashwaraat: short term mein bechain.

Jabkay takniki isharaat ek sambhav downward trend ka ishaara deti hain, mera nazar yehi hai ke chal rahe qeemat mein kami ko dhire dhire khatam hona samjha jaye. Behtar bullish indicators ke beghair, ehtiyaat aur intezar karna ke qeemat stable hone ka ek maqam tak pohanchay, kisi bhi trading faislay par ghor o fikr kiya jana munasib lagta hai. Yeh tareeqa market dynamics aur potential entry points ka tafseeli jaiza lene ki ijaazat deta hai, jisse ek soch samajh kar aur maloomati tareeqay se trading strategy ko barhawa diya ja sakta hai. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell agle din gawahi dene ke liye tayyar hain, jo ke market dynamics mein ek unsurnaamah shaamil karta hai. Halankeh doosri session mamoolan kum surprises le kar aata hai, investors ko Wednesday ke playbook se apni strategies dobara ghor karne par majboor kiya jata hai. Powell ke ilawa, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ke member Loretta Mester bhi apni raaye denay ke liye tayyar hain, jisse rate cuts ke timeline par raaye badalne ka aik ihtimal paida ho sakta hai. Aane wale mizaji majweese Japan mein mazaad wage negotiations aur besabri se muntazir US employment report, ki qareebi muddat mein kiye jane wale faislay ke nazdeeki raaste ko shakal denge. Agar US jobs report ummeedon se kam raha, to ye yen ki taraf mein chala sakta hai, khaas taur par agar Japan mein mazid urooj ki taraf mazid uparward. Ye scenario monetary policy divergence par asar daal sakta hai aur currency markets ko khaas tor par mutasir kar sakta hai. Ye un investors ke liye nihayat zaroori hai jo in complexities ko samajhna chahte hain, kyunkeh Powell ki gawahi ya Mester ke bayanat mein ghair mutawaqqa tawajjuh ka izhaar hosakta hai. Market sentiment, jise maalom factors ka asar hota hai, phir bhi in mukhtalif tafseelat ke zikar se mutasir ho sakta hai jo in key addresses ke doran mukhtalif honge. Ikhtitami tor par, jab Federal Reserve apne monetary policy faislay par ghor kar raha hai, to gawahi dene wale events, Powell ke gawahi, Mester ke tajziyat, aur mazdoori negotiations aur employment reports ki taraqqi, ka samandar mein shakal dena hoga. Traders aur investors ko in tawajjuhat par qaim rehna chahiye, kyunkeh ye market sentiments ko phera dene aur strategies ko pehle ke midweek trading session ki hadood se bahar redefining karne ki ijaazat rakhte hain.

Jumma ke trading session mein, USDJPY pehle ek izafa dekha, lekin baad mein bechne walon ne dobara control hasil kiya, jis se keemat mein kamzori nazar aayi. Neeche ki raftar ka ek kami 150.07 tak pohanch gayi. 1 ghante ki muddat par istemaal hone wali intraday tajziya ne ek bearish trend ka ubhar dekha, jaisa ke moving average (MA) indicator se zahir hota hai. Qeemat ne 200-muddat MA ka dynamic support tor diya, jo ke aam tor par trend ka aghaz shanaakht karta hai. Halat ab yeh hain ke yeh darja dynamic resistance ke tor par kaam kar raha hai aur ek neeche ki raftar ko jaari rakhne ke liye ek neeche ki taraf kheenchne ka point bana sakta hai, jo ke downtrend ka jaari rehne ko asaan banata hai. Is manzar ke mutabiq, bechne walay ab bhi market mein aghwa rakh rahe hain, jisse trading plans ko bechna ka option shamil karne ka sujhav diya ja sakta hai. Downtrends ke peechay chalne wali strategies bechnay ke mauqay par ghor kar sakti hain.

Ek behtareen dakhil hone ka point ke liye, mashwara hai ke ek durustive keemat izafa ka intezar kiya jaaye 200-muddat MA ke dynamic resistance tak, jo ke 150.28 ke qeemat par mojood hai. Yeh darja ek aur neeche ki raftar ko chalane ka mauqa pesh karta hai. Downtrend ki shuruati manzil 150.07 ke darje par hai. Agar yeh darja tor diya jata hai, to agle target ki taraf raftar ho jati hai jo ke 149.63 ke support par hai.



Baad mein, filtering analysis ke liye stochastic indicator ka istemaal karna ek uparward correction ka potential zahir karta hai. Indicator uparward ko taraf ishara kar raha hai jo ke 80 ke darja tak pohanchta hai, jo ke overbought ilaqa ki hudood ka boundary hai. Momentum aam tor par tab hota hai jab ek behtareen neeche ki raftar indicator ke overbought area mein dakhil hoti hai ya level 80 ke qareeb pohanchti hai aur phir neeche ki taraf murne lagti hai. Ek neeche ki raftar pehle Jumma ko dekhi gayi kamzori ko test karegi jo ke 150.07 hai. Bearish trend ka jaari rehne ki tasdeeq is level ke tor par tor di gayi hai. Agla neeche ki taraf ka target 149.63 ke support ke saath milta hai.

USD/JPY Technical Analysis:


Mukhtalif reasons ki wajah se USDJPY currency pair haal hi mein ek numaya downtrend ka samna kar chuka hai, jis mein qareeb 100 pips ka bada giravat dekha gaya hai. Ye kamzori bharatiyen yen par barhti dabao ke zariye wazeh hai, jo ke US dollar ki kamzori ka natija hai. Is natije mein, mazboot support level 149.22 ko toorna gaya hai, ab yeh ek potential pullbacks ke liye zone ban gaya hai. Afraat se upar neeche ka chalna to hota rehta hai, lekin pair ne kisi bhi significant upward movement ko barqarar rakhne mein kashmakash ki hai. H1 time frame ka tajziya karne par saaf ho jata hai ke guzishta kharif se kisi bhi substantial correction ka koi nishaan nahi mila hai, jo ke is development ke baad daalte hain. Magar, abhi ke manzar mein subdued rehta hai, jab USDJPY apne downward trajectory ko palatne mein mushkilat ka samna kar raha hai. Khaaskar, jab candle 148.55 ke aas paas RBS region ko paas aata hai, to bechne ki dabao mein noticeable kami mehsoos hoti hai. Aur iske ilawa, lower region mein candle ki peechani shakal hone se ye ishaara milta hai ke ek mukammal palat sakta hai.


Main RBS pattern ke musbat thekedar hone ka ihtiyat se umeedwar rahunga, lekin agar ye pattern na-karar ho jaye, to giravat jari rehne ka imkaan hai jab tak woh 147.74 ke qareeb support level tak na pohunch jaye. Baazaron mein tez activity ka intezar karte hue, main ehtiyaat ke saath halat ka muzakira karna chahta hoon takay pattern na-karar hone ka manzar na aaye. Muqaddas, USDJPY ne barhti hui dabao ke natije mein numaya downward momentum mehsoos kiya hai, jo ke bharatiyen yen par barhti dabao ke wajah se hota hai, jisse US dollar ki kamzori ka nateeja hai. Mukhtalif fluctuations ke bawajood, pair ne upar ka momentum barqarar rakhne mein kashmakash ki hai. H1 time frame ka tajziya saabit karta hai ke ek rebound ka imkaan hai, jahan RBS region par tawajjo di jati hai aur palatne ka imkaan hai. Ehtiyaat barqarar rakhna ahem hai jab tak ke bazaar ke dynamics kholne ke liye jaari rehte hain.

USD/JPY Technical Analysis:


Hal pichli market fa'alat main farokht karne wale apna asar dikhate rahe, jo keemat ko 149.363 se 147.813 tak neeche le gaya. Khas tor par, 148.691 ke kam support darja ko paar kiya gaya, jo asasaar ke potential overfarokht hone ki nishani hai. Khareedne aur farokht karne wale ke darmiyan tasalsul ko barqarar karne ke liye, ek durust koshish ko oopar ki taraf le jane ki zaroorat hai. Ye marhala darj karay ga ke kya farokht karne ka bharmaar waqe hua aur agar khareedne wale ke koshishen upar ki rah ko barqarar rakh sakti hain. Halanki, tawajju target darje 150.035 par mojood hai, jahan khareedne wale ki hukoomat ko dobara hasil karne ka irada hai. Niche darj karkon par raftar ki harkat ko nazar andaz karne se hosakta hai ke kya mumkinah bullsih palat ho rahi hai, jo ke istraqi lambi position ke faislon ko rehnumai kar rahi hai. Bari tasveer se bazar ki tajziya karna, 149.363 se 147.813 tak ka safar farokht karne walon ke asar ki dominance ko numayish karta hai. Ye girawat 148.691 ke kam support darja ko paar karne wale hain, jo ke potential overfarokht ki nishani hai. Bazar ko dobara barqarar karne ke liye ek durust bharai ka intezaar hai, jo ke sambhal mein khareedne ka hosakta hai. Is mansoobay ke doran, ek farokht karne ka bharmaar ka naya tasawwur uthhta hai - aik aham lamha jo khareedne wale ke farvor mein mojooda hai. Halati marhala ke dauran daaman ke oper dabaoo ki hawaliyat numayandagi banati hai, jo ke bulsih raftaar ke liye aik ehmiyat purna nuqta hai. Ye bazar ki complications ka tajzia karna ke liye tawajju ke saath dehan ki talash hai aur aik sazgar manhaj ko position manegement ke liye zaroorat hai. Mukhtalif timeframes par harkaton ko nazar andaz karke, karobarion ko palat pher ka muntazir ho sakta hai aur bazar ki jazbatiyat ke dhariyon mein nikalne wale moujooda imkano ka faida utha sakta hai.




Pichle trading session mein, jodi ne ahem level ko tor kar apni buland raftar ko barqarar rakha. Yeh buland foranat bullish investors ki be-sudh maddad ko darust karta hai, jis ne jodi ki qeemat ko 149.53 ke ahem level tak uthaya. Jabke momentum jari hai, traders ab market mein mojooda bullish mahaul ka faida utha sakte hain. Aage dekhtay hue, roozana ke tajwezat USD/JPY jodi ke liye buland raftar ka jari rakhne ka ishara dete hain. Maizbani momentum ke sath, roozana ke upar ki had mubahisa hoti hai traders ke liye, jo market mein umeedon ki chiragh bujha kar rakhne mein madad faraham karta hai. USD/JPY jodi ab dynamic qeemat ka amal dikhata hai, jahan kharidar umeed se dakhil ho rahe hain jab wo naye trading week mein aate hain.

USD/JPY pair ki qeemat 150.630 par shumali simt mein trading kar rahi hai. Rozana chart par dekhte hain, MA36 indicator bullish trend mein hai, jaise hi MA14 indicator bhi shumali simt mein hai. Is pair ki qeemat 150.700 ya 150.750 ya 150.800 tak pohanch sakti hai, MA14 indicator ki tasdeeq ke mutabiq. Ya phir qeemat 150.600 ya 150.650 ya 150.550 ke darjaat tak jaldi bhaag sakti hai. MA36 aur MA14 indicator shumali simt mein point karte hain, is liye qeemat aaj zyada tar unchi hogi, lekin ek rollback ko inkaar nahi kiya ja sakta. Sab ko acha trading aur munafa bhara faisla karnay ki dua hai. Pair aik range mein trading jaari hai. Pehlay, jab sirf manhangai ke data bahar aaya is range ke shuruaat mein, to maine ye samjha ke range hogi, lekin maine ye samjha ke range zyada extensive hogi, jab pair ne resistance 150.889 se neeche jaane ka mukaam hasil kiya, maine ye samjha ke wo support 148.702 tak jaayega.
Lekin wo is support tak nahi pohancha. Wo ek mazeed tang range mein trading shuru ki, ye range 150.889 aur 149.911 mark tak mehdood hai. Phir se, ye ek baar jhootay toot gaya, kharidne ki hudood chalu ho gayi aur phir maine samjha ke pair phir se izaafa karega. Matlab, ke ye range shumali simt mein toot sakta hai, ab tak is toot ne kuch bhi nahi dikhaya aur koi khareedne wala volume nahi hai. Is liye main samjhunga ke jahan tak pair jaayega wo range ke upeer had tak, phir phir se neeche hadon tak.

Jaise ke tawaqqa tha, peer ko bhaarta raha aur phir main dobara h1 dour ki chart dekhne ki pesh karta hoon. Pichli trading hafte ne February mahine ka ikhtitam kiya aur is currency pair ki keemat mein halki kami ka nishaan tha. Ziyadatar pichle mahine ke liye, qeemat pahunch gayi uchiyon par taraf. February ke ibteda mein wo tezi se barh gayi, phir achanak ruk gayi. Qeemat girne ke liye kitni ziddi hai, is ke mutabiq barhne ka silsila jari rahega. Lehar nizaam apni tarteeb ko upar ki taraf bana rahi hai, MACD indicator khareedne ki zone mein hai. Is barhav ki raah par ek jhanda shakal bhi dekha ja sakta hai jo upar toot gaya hai - barhne ke liye ishaara. Agar pehli lehar par nishchit Fibonacci grid ko rakha jaaye, to ek mumkin barhav ka maqsood nazar aata hai - is grid par level 161.8. Ye maqsood sirf 2022 aur 2023 ki unchiyon ke upar waqif hai

usd/jpy technical overivew:

Haal ki market ki gatividhiyon mein, bechne walay apni asar ko mazid barhaya aur qeemat ko 149.363 se 147.813 ke darje tak neeche le gaye. Khaas tor par, 148.691 ke neeche wala support level tor diya gaya, jo ke asset ki potential over selling ki taraf ishara karta hai. Kharid-darid ke darmiyan ehtemalat ki barabaridgi ko bahaal karne ke liye, ek durustive pullback ke liye ummed hai. Yeh dora phase zahir karega ke kya ek bechnay ka climax hua aur agar kharid-darid ki koshishen upri raftar ko jari rakh sakti hain ya nahi. Halankeh, tawajjo 150.035 ke maqsood darje par hai, jahan kharid-darid control dobara hasil karna chahte hain. Kam waqt ke charts ki harkaton ka nigrani karna mumkin banaata hai ke kya hosakta hai bullish reversals, jo ke tajwezati lambi position ke faislay ko rahnuma karte hain. Market ko bade manzar se tajziya karte hue, 149.363 se 147.813 ke safar ne dikhaya ke bechne walon ka asar qeemat ko neeche ki taraf le jaane mein tha. Yeh kami 148.691 ke neeche wale support level ko tor diya, jo ke ek oversold haalat ki taraf ishara karta hai. Market ko dobara barabar karna ke liye, ek durustive uptrend ka intezaar hai, jo ke kharid-darid ki raftar mein hosakta hai. Is maamle mein, ek bechnay ka climax ka tasawur saamne aata hai - aik aham lamha jo ke bechne walon mein shayad thakaan ka izhar karta hai aur kharid-darid ke faisley ke faidemand hona ka ishara deta hai. Is durustive dora ke doran qeemat ki harkat ko gaur se dekhna yeh zahir karega ke kya kharid-darid upri dabaav ko jari rakh sakti hai ya nahi.



150.035 ka darja kharid-darid ke liye aham maqsood darja saamne aata hai, jo ke ek ahem resistance point hai jise paar karna hai. Kam waqt ke charts par tawajjo bullish signals ke izhaar ka tajziya karte hue lambi positions ki pehchan mein madadgar hoti hai. Market ki tabdeeliyon ke darmiyan, strategic analysis ahem ho jata hai. 149.363 se 147.813 tak ka safar bechne ki dabao ki dominance ko zahir karta hai, jo ke support levels ko dobara ghoor karne ke liye majboor karta hai. 148.691 ke torr jaane ka ishara potential over selling ko darust karta hai, jo ke barabaridgi ko bahaal karne ke liye ek durustive rebound ki zaroorat hoti hai. Dynamics ko mazeed samajhne ke liye, tawajjo bechnay ka climax ka aham tanazur ko muntazir hai - aik mumkinah muaqibat ka lamha jo ke kharid-darid ke haq mein ho. 150.035 ke maqsood darja ek markazi nukaat ban jaata hai, bullish momentum ke liye ek ahem nishaan dene wala. In market ke complexities ko samajhna tawajjo ki bharpoor zaroorat hoti hai aur position management ke liye ek strategic approach ki zaroorat hoti hai. Mukhtalif timeframes par harkaton ki nigrani karte hue, traders taqreeban reversals ka tasawur kar sakte hain aur market ke jazbaat ki leharon mein ubharne wali opportunities ka faida utha sakte hain.

USDJPY currency pair ne haal hi mein aik ahem downtrend ka samna kia hai, jis mein qareeb 100 pips ke qareebi girawat ka saboot hai. Is girawat ka sabab aham tor par Japani yen par barhti hui dabao hai, jo Amreeki dollar ko kamzor kar raha hai. Is natije mein, mazboot support level 149.22 ko tor diya gaya hai, ab yeh potential pullbacks ke liye ek zone ka kaam karta hai. Kabhi kabhi ma'zul lihaz se badalne ke bawajood, yeh pair significant upward movements ko barqarar rakhne mein kamyab nahi raha. H1 time frame ka tajziya karne par zahir hota hai ke autumn se koi significant correction nahi hua hai, jo ke is development ke baad qeemat ki bharpoor recovery ki sambhavna ko ishara deta hai. Magar, abki halat kamzor hai, kyunke USDJPY apne downward rukh ko palatne mein rukawaton ka samna kar raha hai. Khas tor par, jab candle 148.55 ke aas paas RBS region ke qareeb pohancha, to bechnay ki dabao mein numaya kami nazar aayi. Mazeed iske sath, lower region mein candle ki tail ka mojood hona ishara karta hai ke aik potential reversal qareeb hai

Main RBS pattern ke musbat harkat hone ki cautious tawajjo rakhta hoon. Magar, agar yeh pattern invalid ho jaye, to girawat jari rahe gi jab tak yeh qareebi support level 147.74 tak na pohanch jaye. Zaida market activity ka intezar karte hue, main chaukasi ke sath situation ka samna karne ka maksad rakhta hoon taake pattern invalid hone ka manzar na ban jaye. Ikhtisar mein, USDJPY ne Japani yen par barhte hue dabao ki wajah se significant downward momentum mehsoos kia hai, jo Amreeki dollar ko kamzor kar raha hai. Choti moti girawaton ke bawajood, yeh pair upward momentum ko barqarar rakhne mein kamyab nahi raha. H1 time frame par tajziya suggest karta hai ke aik rebound ki sambhavna hai, jahan tawajjo RBS region aur reversal ke potential par mabni hai. Market dynamics ke barhte hue chaukasi ka barqarar rakhna lazmi hai

USD/JPY technical overview:
Subah bakhair, dosto, umeed hai ke aap hamesha achay jazbat mein hain. Aaj subah maine USDJPY market ke keemat ki movemets ka jaaiza liya. Ab tak maine dekha hai ke USDJPY market ki keemat ki harkatein kaafi achi taur par neeche ki taraf ja rahi hain, mujhe is par yaqeen nahin aa raha, dosto, zahir hai ke hum pichle 5 dinon se forex trading kar rahe hain aur yeh Jumma hai jo ke market ke chuttiyon se pehle aakhri mauqa hai. USDJPY market mein jo baish harkat hui hai, bilkul yeh traders ke liye munafa ka mauqa pesh kiya hai jo ke sell entries bana rahe the jab ke keemat abhi tak oonchi thi, mere liye khud, Alhamdulillah, bohot khush kar dene wala munafa mila. Aur lagta hai ke baish trend aur neeche jaari reh sakta hai, is liye agle trading plans mein main ab bhi sell entry ke mauqe pe tawajjo denay ka irada karun ga.

h4 time frame outlook:
Jab maine H4 timeframe ka monitoring kiya, toh lagta hai ke USDJPY ke keemat ke haalaat ne support area mein dakhil ho gaya hai, yani ke 147.90 ke aas paas, toh yeh ek dilchasp ghoor dhaarun ka masla ban jata hai ke kya yeh oopar ki taraf uchalega ya phir turant neeche gir jayega? Meri raay mein, zyada tar woh pehle oopar uchalega, lekin main shakhsan ek buy order lena nahi salah deta kyunki trend ab bhi zyadatar bearish hai. Toh trading plan ke liye, main keemat ko pehle upar sudharne ka intezaar karunga, agar koi valid seller signal zahir hota hai, toh tab main ek sell order le lunga. Agar 147.90 ke support level ko kamyabi se par kiya jata hai toh phir woh neeche ke support area mein chala jayega, yani ke keemat 145.90 ke qareeb.

daily time frame:
Ab tak USDJPY ke keemat ki movement ne neeche ki taraf rukh liya hai, jo ke kaafi mustaqil tezi ke saath hai, yeh seller sentiment ke bohot mazboot hone ki wajah se hai jisne USDJPY ke keemat ko dabane mein kaamyabi haasil ki hai, aur sach mein agar aap us waqt ke keemat ki shorat par tawajjo dete hain toh aap dekh sakte hain ke yeh overbought level tak pohanch chuki hai, is liye mukhtalif mukaami ke liye palatne ka imkaan zyada hai. Is liye us waqt maine foran ek sell order laga diya aur shukar hai kal raat maine munafa haath se band kar liya, aaj subah maine dekha ke abhi tak koi numaya harkat nahi hui hai aur ho sakta hai ke pehle upar ki taraf taalukat ho, is liye dosto jo ab bhi Sell positions mein hain unhein pehle haath se band kar lena chahiye kyunki yeh upar ki taraf taalukat ka imkaan hai ke neeche ki taraf jaari rehne se pehle.