جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

GBP/USD ne thoda girawat dekhi aur 1.3097 ke aas-paas aa gaya. Yeh decline US Dollar ki relative weakness ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jo Federal Reserve ke September meeting mein interest rates ko kam karne ke expectations ke wajah se downward pressure ka samna kar raha hai. Conversely, agar sellers GBP/USD pair ko 1.3100 level ke neeche le aaye, to pair 1.3050 mark ke aas-paas range-bound reh sakti hai. Agar yeh support level breach hota hai, to 100-day moving average (DMA) 1.3135 ko expose kiya ja Kal ki upward movement ke baad, GBP/USD pair ne 4-hour chart par aik naya local high hasil kiya, jo ke 1.3050 par peak kiya. Yeh abhi bhi 1.30 ke significant round number ke upar trade kar raha hai, jis ne bullish sentiment ko mazboot kiya hai. Is key level ke breach hone par bohot se traders apni positions aur priorities ko dobara se evaluate karte hain. Lekin recent wave ke peak par, 4-hour chart par kuch indecisive candles nazar aa rahi hain, aur indicators ek possible reversal ka ishara de rahe hain. Abhi ke liye sab se zyada mumkin scenario yeh lagta hai ke price 1.2947 ke support level ki taraf pullback kare. Humein dekhna hoga ke yeh level ke aas paas price kaise behave karti hai. Agar bears price ko 1.2947 ke neeche dhakel dete hain, jo ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke saath align karta hai, toh hum ek lambi downward movement dekh sakte hain jo ke trading range ke lower boundary ya 1.2831 ke support level ko target karegi. Yeh ek significant bearish trend ki taraf le ja sakta hai.
Dosri taraf, agar GBP/USD 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar apni position ko barqarar rakhta hai, toh hum mazeed upward movement dekh sakte hain aur recent local high ka dobara test ho sakta hai. Mojooda surat-e-haal yeh suggest karti hai ke traders ko hoshiyar rehna chahiye aur in key levels ke aas paas ki price action ke mutabiq apni strategies ko adjust karna chahiye.
Upar ka chart dikhata hai ke market pehle kaafi dheere chalti hai, lekin phir price phir se apne sab se unche level tak barh jaati hai, toh kayi buyers shayad isay aage badhane ki koshish karenge. Market ke volatility level mein baad mein European session ke doran izafa ho sakta hai, jo aksar is session ke doran hota hai. Price ki umeed hai ke wo kai baar overbought zone mein jayegi. Lekin, thodi correction ke baad, yeh phir se barh sakti hai aur apne asal value ko bhi paar kar sakti hai, toh yeh ek behtareen mauqa hai trading ka jab price gir rahi ho, bohot saari long positions kholne ka. Yeh zaroori hai ke reversal moment ka faida uthaya jaye, jo beech hafte mein ho sakta hai.

Haal hi mein jo prices girti nazar aayi hain, wo hamen yeh batati hain ke future bearish lag raha hai, kyunke pichlay kuch trading dinon se sell trend jaari hai. Lagta hai yeh silsila mazeed barqarar rahega. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 47 par hai, jo market mein strong supply aur sell pressure ko zahir karta hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator bhi GBP/USD ke liye mazeed sell signal de raha hai. 20 aur 50 EMA indicators ke mutabiq correction ka signal mil raha hai aur price 20 aur 50 EMA line se neeche chal rahi hai.
Pichlay kuch dinon ke tajziye ke baad mein is natije par pohcha hoon:GBP/USD ke liye initial aur second resistance levels 1.3086 aur 1.3112 hain. Agar GBP/USD 1.3086 aur phir 1.3112 ko break karta hai, to GBP/USD 1.3565 ya 1.3987 tak jaa sakta hai, jo ke 3rd aur 4th resistance levels hain, aur humein aur bullish movement dekhne ko mil sakti hai.Dusri taraf, initial aur second support levels 1.3045 aur 1.3022 hain. Agar GBP/USD 1.3045 aur phir 1.3022 ko break karta hai, to GBP/USD 1.2676 ya 1.2134 tak gir sakta hai, jo ke 3rd aur 4th support levels hain, aur humein aur bearish movement dekhne ko mil sakti hai.Technical tools ka istemal karke aaj hum successful trading kar sakte hain. Lekin trading se pehle hum ismein ek acha entry point lene ki koshish karenge.Filhal GBP/USD 1.3056 par trade kar raha hai, aur aaj ke din mein thoda sa 0.11% neeche hai. Price action yeh suggest kar raha hai ke ek bearish trend ubhar raha hai jab se 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) ke qareeb consolidation ka period guzra hai, jo ke ab 1.3108 par hai. Pair ne abhi abhi is important technical level ko break kiya hai, jo mazeed downside momentum ka ishara de raha hai.200-day moving average jo ke 1.2840 par hai, ek ahem support area hai jo test kiya ja sakta hai agar selling pressure barhta hai. Recent sessions ke bearish candlestick patterns bhi yeh batate hain ke sellers ka control hai. MACD indicator bhi bearish outlook ko support kar raha hai. MACD line signal line ke neeche cross kar chuki hai aur chart par negative bars barhti hui dikh rahi hain. Yeh sab bearish momentum ke mazeed barhne ka ishara de rahe hain.Pair ke liye short-term 50-day moving average ab ek resistance ban gaya hai, aur agar downtrend barqarar rehta hai, to agla level traders ke liye 1.3000 ka psychological mark ho sakta hai, followed by support near the 200-day moving average at 1.2840

GBP/USD Currency Pair Analysis GBP/USD currency pair ki recent performance ne kaafi volatility ko showcase kiya hai, jo ke UK aur US ki economic factors se driven hai. Ek aham wajah jo pair ke upward trajectory ko support kar rahi hai, woh hai US dollar ki broader weakness. Hal hi mein, US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) ne report diya ke US GDP 2024 ke second quarter mein 3.0% se barha, jo ke market expectations ke mutabiq tha. Yeh data positive tha, lekin dollar ki strength ko barhane ke liye kaafi nahi tha. Iske ilawa, US mein initial jobless claims 218,000 par aa gaye, jo ke labor market ki resilience ko dikhata hai. Lekin, Federal Reserve officials jaise ke Fed Governor Lisa Cook ke dovish remarks ne dollar ke mixed outlook ko janam diya. Cook ne 50 basis point rate cut ka mashwara diya aur "downside risks" ko employment ke hawalay se point out kiya, jo ke Fed ki less aggressive monetary policy ka ishara deti hai. Yeh dovish sentiment dollar ko weak kar raha hai, jis se British pound GBP/USD pair mein mazid faida utha raha hai. Doosri taraf, UK ne bhi apni resilience dikhayi hai, khaaskar jab Bank of England ki monetary policy par concerns ka izhar kiya gaya tha. British pound ne recent tor par strength gain ki hai, jisse umeed hai ke BoE apna rate-tightening approach zyada arsay tak barkarar rakhe ga, inflationary pressures ke chalte. Pair ke upward momentum ko public participation ne bhi support kiya, jahan logon ne buying interest dikhaya. Halankeh, markets abhi bhi ehtiyat kar rahe hain, aur woh crucial economic data ka intezar kar rahe hain, khaaskar upcoming US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index. Yeh fundamental uncertainty, aur US aur UK ke divergent monetary policy outlooks, GBP/USD pair mein continued volatility ka stage tayar kar rahe hain. Technical perspective se dekha jaye, toh GBP/USD ne April se lekar steady uptrend maintain kiya hai, jo ke consistently 34-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) se support ho raha hai. Pair ne hal hi mein 1.3434 ka high touch kiya, jo ke 2.5 saal ka peak tha, lekin 1.3427 ke aas paas kafi resistance ka samna karna para. September 25 ko bulls ne is key level ko break karne ki koshish ki, lekin woh kamiyab nahi ho sake, jis ke baad pair ne retracement ki taraf move kiya, wapas 34-day EMA ke taraf. Kai dafa higher push ki koshishon ke bawajood, bulls ko significant resistance levels par challenges ka samna karna para. Is waqt, price EMA ke aas paas hover kar rahi hai, aur jab tak yeh iss level ke upar hai, bullish sentiment barqarar rehne ki

GBP/USD Currency Pair Analysis GBP/USD currency pair ki recent performance ne kaafi volatility ko showcase kiya hai, jo ke UK aur US ki economic factors se driven hai. Ek aham wajah jo pair ke upward trajectory ko support kar rahi hai, woh hai US dollar ki broader weakness. Hal hi mein, US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) ne report diya ke US GDP 2024 ke second quarter mein 3.0% se barha, jo ke market expectations ke mutabiq tha. Yeh data positive tha, lekin dollar ki strength ko barhane ke liye kaafi nahi tha. Iske ilawa, US mein initial jobless claims 218,000 par aa gaye, jo ke labor market ki resilience ko dikhata hai. Lekin, Federal Reserve officials jaise ke Fed Governor Lisa Cook ke dovish remarks ne dollar ke mixed outlook ko janam diya. Cook ne 50 basis point rate cut ka mashwara diya aur "downside risks" ko employment ke hawalay se point out kiya, jo ke Fed ki less aggressive monetary policy ka ishara deti hai. Yeh dovish sentiment dollar ko weak kar raha hai, jis se British pound GBP/USD pair mein mazid faida utha raha hai. Doosri taraf, UK ne bhi apni resilience dikhayi hai, khaaskar jab Bank of England ki monetary policy par concerns ka izhar kiya gaya tha. British pound ne recent tor par strength gain ki hai, jisse umeed hai ke BoE apna rate-tightening approach zyada arsay tak barkarar rakhe ga, inflationary pressures ke chalte. Pair ke upward momentum ko public participation ne bhi support kiya, jahan logon ne buying interest dikhaya. Halankeh, markets abhi bhi ehtiyat kar rahe hain, aur woh crucial economic data ka intezar kar rahe hain, khaaskar upcoming US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index. Yeh fundamental uncertainty, aur US aur UK ke divergent monetary policy outlooks, GBP/USD pair mein continued volatility ka stage tayar kar rahe hain. Technical perspective se dekha jaye, toh GBP/USD ne April se lekar steady uptrend maintain kiya hai, jo ke consistently 34-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) se support ho raha hai. Pair ne hal hi mein 1.3434 ka high touch kiya, jo ke 2.5 saal ka peak tha, lekin 1.3427 ke aas paas kafi resistance ka samna karna para. September 25 ko bulls ne is key level ko break karne ki koshish ki, lekin woh kamiyab nahi ho sake, jis ke baad pair ne retracement ki taraf move kiya, wapas 34-day EMA ke taraf. Kai dafa higher push ki koshishon ke bawajood, bulls ko significant resistance levels par challenges ka samna karna para. Is waqt, price EMA ke aas paas hover kar rahi hai, aur jab tak yeh iss level ke upar hai, bullish sentiment barqarar rehne ki

USD ka analysis aaj kal kafi pechida aur ghambir hota ja raha hai. Pichle kuch waqt se, wave pattern kafi wazeh lag raha tha aur bearish wave set ki formation ko suggest kar raha tha, jiska target 1.2300 se neeche tha. Lekin, aam taur par U.S. dollar ki demand itni barh gayi hai ke ye scenario ab utna feasible nahi lagta. Demand ab bhi barh rahi hai. Abhi jo wave pattern hai, wo kafi mushkil aur complex ho gaya hai. Main aksar simple structures ka istemal karta hoon analysis ke liye, kyunke complex structures mein zyada nuances aur ambiguity hoti hai. Ab hum dekh rahe hain ke ek upward wave ne ek downward wave ko overlap kar diya hai, jo pehle ke upward wave ko overlap kar rahi hai, jo pehle ke downward wave ko overlap kar rahi hai (ye saare waves ek triangle ke andar hain). Hum sirf itna keh sakte hain ke ek expanding triangle ban raha hai jiska upper point 1.3000 ke aas-paas ho sakta hai aur balancing line 1.2600 ke aas-paas. Lekin ek aur upward wave jo kisi bhi wave pattern se fit nahi ho rahi, quotes ko triangle ke upar le gayi hai. Neeche wale chart mein alternative wave count dikhaya gaya hai. Market ne ek nayi wajah se kharidari shuru ki hai. GBP/USD exchange rate Thursday ko 35 basis points se gir gaya, jo ke itna zyada nahi hai given aaj ke news background ko. Kam se kam do FOMC members ne September meeting mein rate cut ki appropriateness par doubts express kiye. Kuch ghante pehle, U.S. GDP report for Q2 release hui, jisme US economy 3.0% grow hui, jabke pehle estimate 2.8% tha. Yeh bhi ke U.S. economy Q1 se do guna tez hui hai. Isliye, mujhe lagta hai ke U.S. dollar ka 35 basis point ka faida chhota hai; isse din ke end tak kafi zyada barhna chahiye. Pichle kuch hafton se bearish wave ke bawajood, mujhe pair ke girne ke siwa kuch nahi lagta. Main kisi aur movement ko trade karne ka sochta nahi, given the current news background. Aaj U.S. ka doosra report jobless claims par tha. Lekin is report ki value market expectations ke kareeb thi, isliye koi khaas reaction nahi hua. Overall, kuch doosre analysts ki tarah, mujhe lagta hai ke dollar bohot oversold hai, aur market agle paanch rounds ke Fed policy easing ko price kar rahi hai, lekin September mein rate cut hone ki koi guarantee nahi hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke instrument mein aage kaafi increase ka koi sense nahi ban raha, isliye main aise movements ko trade karne ki advise nahi dunga. GBP/USD ka wave pattern abhi bhi decline ka suggest kar raha hai. Given ke upward trend segment 22 April se shuru hua aur ab tak ek five-wave form le chuka hai, hume ab kam se kam ek three-wave correction expect karni chahiye. Mere nazar mein, pair ko 1.2627 ke aas-paas targets ke saath sell karna consider karna chahiye. Lekin abhi tak kisi bhi last upward wave ke end ka signal nahi hai, lekin corrective wave ke formation ki umeed abhi bhi ki ja sakti hai. Bade wave scale par, wave pattern transform ho gaya hai. Ab hum ek complex aur extended upward corrective structure ka assumption le sakte hain. Filhal ye ek three-wave structure hai, lekin ye five-wave structure mein bhi transform ho Click image for larger versions

GBP/USD currency pair ab tak side way chal raha hai. Is liye, aaj be-waja floating se bachne ke liye behtar yeh hoga ke European market ke khulne ka sabr se intezar kiya jaye. Ek trader ke liye behtareen faisla yeh hai ke sabr se sahi waqt ka intezar karein. Agar hum technical point of view se dekhein, tou GBP/USD currency pair H1 time frame mein ab tak downward trajectory par hai. Kal ke sharp rise ke baad aaj ek significant fall dekhne ko mili hai. Is situation mein, agle move ko anticipate karna aur disciplined stop loss ko maintain karna zaroori hai. Fundamental point of view se dekha jaye tou USD index ke recent movements mein kuch din ki girawat ke baad ab ek potential increase ka imkaan hai, jo GBP/USD ke opponents ko upar le ja sakta hai. Lekin, yeh bhi note karna zaroori hai ke USD opponent dobara girawat ki taraf ja sakta hai. Aapko fundamental news par nazar rakhni chahiye jo agle kuch din mein release hongi, taake forex calendar ko monitor karte hue aap ek acha forecast bana sakein.
Daily candles H4 time frame par red hain, jo yeh dikhata hai ke bearish trend chal raha hai. Hum clearly dekh sakte hain ke price pichle mahine ke shuru se gir rahi hai. Current decline ke sath price Original Demand area tak pohonch gaya hai, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke wahan solid support hai. Is liye, price wapis upar move kar sakta hai taake supply area tak, jo TOP BB line ke upar hai, pohonch sake.
GBP/USD currency pair ne haal hi mein positive momentum gain kiya hai, khaaskar jab se yeh Wednesday ko 1.3200 level se upar gaya hai. Yeh movement zyada tar risk-on sentiment ki wajah se hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke investors ab zyada risk lene ke liye tayyar hain aur British pound jese assets mein invest kar rahe hain. Is movement ke peeche ek aham factor US Federal Reserve (Fed) ka interest rates ko kam karne ka imkaan hai. Kai analysts yeh predict kar rahe hain ke Fed rates ko 50 basis points (bps) se reduce karega. Agar aisa hota hai, tou US dollar kamzor ho sakta hai, jo GBP/USD pair ko aur upar le ja sakta hai
GBP/USD 1.3279 RIS support ke neeche wapas gir jaye, jo kal ke low par dobara jaane ki koshish karega, lekin is hone ki sambhavna kaafi had tak geopolitical developments par depend karti hai. Kal price 1.3246 par ruk gayi, jo daily chart par middle Bollinger Band ke qareeb hai. Jab ke abhi kisi bhi definitive conclusion par pahunchna jaldi hai, agar aaj reversal doji pattern banta hai, to price 1.3425 tak wapas aa sakti hai aur shayad is resistance ko bhi tod sakti hai.

GBP/USD ne thoda girawat dekhi aur 1.3097 ke aas-paas aa gaya. Yeh decline US Dollar ki relative weakness ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jo Federal Reserve ke September meeting mein interest rates ko kam karne ke expectations ke wajah se downward pressure ka samna kar raha hai. Conversely, agar sellers GBP/USD pair ko 1.3100 level ke neeche le aaye, to pair 1.3050 mark ke aas-paas range-bound reh sakti hai. Agar yeh support level breach hota hai, to 100-day moving average (DMA) 1.3135 ko expose kiya ja Kal ki upward movement ke baad, GBP/USD pair ne 4-hour chart par aik naya local high hasil kiya, jo ke 1.3050 par peak kiya. Yeh abhi bhi 1.30 ke significant round number ke upar trade kar raha hai, jis ne bullish sentiment ko mazboot kiya hai. Is key level ke breach hone par bohot se traders apni positions aur priorities ko dobara se evaluate karte hain.
Lekin recent wave ke peak par, 4-hour chart par kuch indecisive candles nazar aa rahi hain, aur indicators ek possible reversal ka ishara de rahe hain. Abhi ke liye sab se zyada mumkin scenario yeh lagta hai ke price 1.2947 ke support level ki taraf pullback kare. Humein dekhna hoga ke yeh level ke aas paas price kaise behave karti hai. Agar bears price ko 1.2947 ke neeche dhakel dete hain, jo ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke saath align karta hai, toh hum ek lambi downward movement dekh sakte hain jo ke trading range ke lower boundary ya 1.2831 ke support level ko target karegi. Yeh ek significant bearish trend ki taraf le ja sakta hai.
Dosri taraf, agar GBP/USD 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar apni position ko barqarar rakhta hai, toh hum mazeed upward movement dekh sakte hain aur recent local high ka dobara test ho sakta hai. Mojooda surat-e-haal yeh suggest karti hai ke traders ko hoshiyar rehna chahiye aur in key levels ke aas paas ki price action ke mutabiq apni strategies ko adjust karna chahiye.
Upar ka chart dikhata hai ke market pehle kaafi dheere chalti hai, lekin phir price phir se apne sab se unche level tak barh jaati hai, toh kayi buyers shayad isay aage badhane ki koshish karenge. Market ke volatility level mein baad mein European session ke doran izafa ho sakta hai, jo aksar is session ke doran hota hai. Price ki umeed hai ke wo kai baar overbought zone mein jayegi. Lekin, thodi correction ke baad, yeh phir se barh sakti hai aur apne asal value ko bhi paar kar sakti hai, toh yeh ek behtareen mauqa hai trading ka jab price gir rahi ho, bohot saari long positions kholne ka. Yeh zaroori hai ke reversal moment ka faida uthaya jaye, jo beech hafte mein ho sakta hai.

USD ka analysis aaj kal kafi pechida aur ghambir hota ja raha hai. Pichle kuch waqt se, wave pattern kafi wazeh lag raha tha aur bearish wave set ki formation ko suggest kar raha tha, jiska target 1.2300 se neeche tha. Lekin, aam taur par U.S. dollar ki demand itni barh gayi hai ke ye scenario ab utna feasible nahi lagta. Demand ab bhi barh rahi hai. Abhi jo wave pattern hai, wo kafi mushkil aur complex ho gaya hai. Main aksar simple structures ka istemal karta hoon analysis ke liye, kyunke complex structures mein zyada nuances aur ambiguity hoti hai. Ab hum dekh rahe hain ke ek upward wave ne ek downward wave ko overlap kar diya hai, jo pehle ke upward wave ko overlap kar rahi hai, jo pehle ke downward wave ko overlap kar rahi hai (ye saare waves ek triangle ke andar hain). Hum sirf itna keh sakte hain ke ek expanding triangle ban raha hai jiska upper point 1.3000 ke aas-paas ho sakta hai aur balancing line 1.2600 ke aas-paas. Lekin ek aur upward wave jo kisi bhi wave pattern se fit nahi ho rahi, quotes ko triangle ke upar le gayi hai. Neeche wale chart mein alternative wave count dikhaya gaya hai. Market ne ek nayi wajah se kharidari shuru ki hai. GBP/USD exchange rate Thursday ko 35 basis points se gir gaya, jo ke itna zyada nahi hai given aaj ke news background ko. Kam se kam do FOMC members ne September meeting mein rate cut ki appropriateness par doubts express kiye. Kuch ghante pehle, U.S. GDP report for Q2 release hui, jisme US economy 3.0% grow hui, jabke pehle estimate 2.8% tha. Yeh bhi ke U.S. economy Q1 se do guna tez hui hai. Isliye, mujhe lagta hai ke U.S. dollar ka 35 basis point ka faida chhota hai; isse din ke end tak kafi zyada barhna chahiye. Pichle kuch hafton se bearish wave ke bawajood, mujhe pair ke girne ke siwa kuch nahi lagta. Main kisi aur movement ko trade karne ka sochta nahi, given the current news background. Aaj U.S. ka doosra report jobless claims par tha. Lekin is report ki value market expectations ke kareeb thi, isliye koi khaas reaction nahi hua. Overall, kuch doosre analysts ki tarah, mujhe lagta hai ke dollar bohot oversold hai, aur market agle paanch rounds ke Fed policy easing ko price kar rahi hai, lekin September mein rate cut hone ki koi guarantee nahi hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke instrument mein aage kaafi increase ka koi sense nahi ban raha, isliye main aise movements ko trade karne ki advise nahi dunga. GBP/USD ka wave pattern abhi bhi decline ka suggest kar raha hai. Given ke upward trend segment 22 April se shuru hua aur ab tak ek five-wave form le chuka hai, hume ab kam se kam ek three-wave correction expect karni chahiye. Mere nazar mein, pair ko 1.2627 ke aas-paas targets ke saath sell karna consider karna chahiye. Lekin abhi tak kisi bhi last upward wave ke end ka signal nahi hai, lekin corrective wave ke formation ki umeed abhi bhi ki ja sakti

GBP/USD Currency Pair Analysis**
GBP/USD currency pair ab ek aur upward movement ke liye tayar hai, jo shayad reversal level 1.3366 tak pahunche aur ho sakta hai ke ascending hourly channel ki upper boundary ko bhi test kare. Bollinger Bands upar ki taraf hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke price naye highs tak pahunchegi pehle kisi corrective pullback ke. Market ka direction Monday ya Tuesday tak zyada wazeh ho jana chahiye, aur Tuesday ko agar koi zyada precise signals milte hain, toh yeh confirm kar sakte hain ke market naye peaks tak pahunchegi ya pehle corrective decline dekhegi. 1.2749 ka level ahmiyat rakh sakta hai, kyun ke yeh ek technical gap se juda hai jo abhi tak fill nahi hua. Upar ke targets ke liye, 1.3399 ka level radar par hai, lekin is level tak pahunchnay se pehle correction ka intezar karna behtar hoga. Price abhi bhi ek ascending channel ke andar hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke upward momentum jaari reh sakta hai. Currency pair ne direction badli hai aur ab upar ki taraf move kar raha hai. Halankeh yeh abhi tak upper boundary tak nahi pahuncha, lekin optimistic signs hain ke yeh aage barh sakta hai, agla target channel ki upper limit ke aas-paas 1.3343 hai.

GBP/USD pair ne Monday ko phir se upar ki taraf chadhai ki, naye local high tak pahunche. Euro ki tarah, din ki shuruat ek decline ke sath hui jo UK mein macroeconomic data release se ek ghanta pehle shuru hui. British pound ne samajhdaari se girawat dekhi jab services aur manufacturing sectors ke business activity indices umeed se kam rahe. Lekin iske baad ek aur be-buniyad growth ka wave aya. Agar abhi bhi kuch traders hain jo current movement ki illogical nature par yaqeen nahi karte, toh Monday is baat ka ek wazeh misaal hai ke pound kaise barh raha hai. UK mein kamzor data aane par pound 65 pips gira. Phir yeh bina kisi wajah ke 80 pips upar chala gaya aur US business activity indices ke kuch behtar nahi hone par 30 pips aur gira. Is tarah, traders current upward movement ka faida "bare" technical analysis ya doosri trading systems aur indicators ke zariye utha sakte hain, lekin iska matlab yeh nahi hai ke yeh movement logical ya reasonable hai. Isliye, hume kisi ko bhi ab pound kharidne ka mashwara dena mushkil hai, halankeh yeh barhta ja raha hai. British currency lambay arse tak momentum se barh sakti hai. Agar market bechne ki sambhavna tak ka soch nahi rahi, toh unhein agle mahine ya do mahine tak kharidne se koi nahi rok sakta. Hum expect karte hain ke relentless buying angle mahine ke andar khatam ho jayegi kyun ke Federal Reserve ne key rate ghataana shuru kar diya hai. Market ne is event ko do saal pehle se price in karna shuru kar diya tha.

**GBP/USD Exchange Rate Analysis in Roman Urdu:**

GBP/USD ke exchange rate mein correction hone ka imkaan hai, jo 1.3185 tak gir sakta hai, jahan EMA 200 (200-period exponential moving average) H4 chart par mojood hai. Agar price positive direction mein jata hai, to yeh aur zyada gir ke 1.3020 tak ja sakta hai, jahan daily EMA 200 mojood hai. Darmiyanay muddat mein, bearish trend ka intezaar hai, lekin H4 candle aur daily close ka result kaafi ahem hoga. Pehle GBP/USD ne MA50 aur MA100 ko break kiya tha, lekin ab yeh MA200 ka samna kar raha hai, jo ek important directional signal hoga.

Agar bearish move MA200 ko tod deti hai, to yeh aur zyada downside ko trigger kar sakti hai, jo trend reversal ko confirm karegi, yani bullish se bearish mein tabdeel ho sakta hai. GBP/USD abhi tak upward trend mein lagta hai, kyun ke yeh 200-day moving average ke upar chal raha hai. Yeh ek acha mauka ho sakta hai buying ka, kyun ke currency pair bullish momentum ko continue kar sakti hai aur wapas MA50 ke upar ja sakti hai, jo ongoing bullish trend ko mazid confirm karegi.

Hum ne kaafi acha progress kiya, lekin jab price 1.3585 ke liquidity level tak pohchi, jo maine pehle posts mein discuss kiya tha, to maine exit karne ka faisla kiya. Broader uptrend ke madde nazar, yeh pehla liquidity point tha H4 time frame mein, jahan se aur price growth ho sakti thi. Jab price is level ko tod gaya, to isne mere liye koi structural breakdown signal nahi diya — sirf trading range ko 1.3470 tak expand kar diya.

1.3620 par aur bhi liquidity mojood hai, jo ek downward move ka imkaan paida kar rahi hai. Abhi price H4 Order Block ke liquid area 1.3650 par trade kar rahi hai, jahan se upward reaction bhi aa sakti hai. Abhi yeh clear nahi ke hum lower jaayenge ya is level se correct karenge, lekin main 1.3410 ke broken liquidity level par focus kar raha hoon, jisme target 120 points ka hai.

Price changes market trend ko continue karti hain, jo ke ab bearish phase mein dakhil ho raha hai. Abhi bhi price 1.3400 par chal rahi hai. GBP/USD ka price movement pattern jo kaafi dinon se forex market trading mein bearish pressure ka samna kar raha hai, kayi resistance levels ko cross kar chuka hai H4 time frame mein. Agla bearish trend ka target 1.3700 zone ko todne ki koshish karega. Jab ke price abhi market consolidation phase mein atki hui hai. Market ke halaat shuruat se kaafi dilchasp rahe hain, jahan sellers ne prices ko niche laane ki koshish ki hai. Prices ab bhi bearish hain, kyun ke trade ne hafte ke shuru se selling position mein raha hai, jo pichlay hafte ke sellers ke 1.3174 support level tak le ja sakti hai.

Yeh analysis aap ke trading decisions mein madadgar ho sakta hai.

**GBP/USD Analysis:**

GBP/USD ne pehle din mein 1.3365 ka do saal aur chaar mahine ka uncha darja hasil kiya, lekin is ke baad se price mein kuch kami dekhne ko mili hai. Technical indicators ye darshate hain ke market overbought hai aur is ka correction ka waqt aa sakta hai. Agar pair thoda peeche hatta hai, to ye support level 1.3265 ki taraf ja sakta hai aur phir 20-day SMA (Simple Moving Average) 1.3170 par bhi aa sakta hai. Aage ki taraf agar ye girawat hoti hai to ye 1.2300 se 1.3365 tak ke uptrend ka 23.6% Fibonacci retracement 1.3113 par pohanch sakta hai, phir ye 1.3000 tak bhi ja sakta hai.

Jaldi hi aane wale U.S. non-farm payrolls data ki release ko investors bohot nazar se dekhenge, kyunki ye U.S. rate cuts ki raah par asar daal sakta hai. Agar jobs report ummeed se kamzor aata hai to central bank ko rate cuts par ghor karna par sakta hai, jo dollar par kuch selling pressure daal sakta hai. General taur par, GBP/USD abhi bhi volatile hai, jo kai ma'ashiy asbab aur market sentiment se mutasir ho raha hai. Investors U.S. aur UK ke taraqqi ko closely monitor kar rahe hain taake monetary policy aur currency valuation par asar ka andaza lagaya ja sake.

**Positive Movement:**

GBP/USD exchange rate ne 0.14% ki growth dikhayi hai aur ye critical 1.3400 level ke upar aage barh raha hai. Ye upward momentum strong UK GDP data ki wajah se hai, jo investors ke confidence ko mazid barhata hai. Lekin, in gains ke bawajood, bulls alternate prices ko 1.3400 ke upar barqarar rakhne mein nakam rahe hain, jis ki wajah se pair 1.3387 ke qareeb ghoom raha hai.

**Bullish Outlook:**

GBP/USD pair ka overall outlook bullish hai, aur market sentiment mazeed gains ki taraf lean kar raha hai. Lekin, pair ko kuch resistance ka samna hai, khaas tor par 1.3434 level par, jo annual high hai. Agar bulls is crucial level ko cross karne mein kamiyab ho jaate hain, to ye mazeed upside potential ka signal dega, aur pair ko upar le jaane ka rasta khol sakta hai. Iske muqabil, agar pair is level ko cross nahi kar pati, to bullish momentum kamzor ho sakta hai, jo downside pressure ka sabab ban sakta hai.

**Key Resistance Levels:**

1.3400 level short term ke liye GBP/USD pair ke liye ek key area of resistance hai. Ye psychological threshold hai jo sustain karna mushkil hai, aur agar is level ke upar koi upward movement hoti hai to ye rally ka trigger ban sakta hai jo agle resistance monthly peak 1.3434 ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Is peak ke upar break hona, saath hi daily high 1.3422 ka cross hona, continued bullishness ka strong indicator hoga. Traders isay upward momentum ke intact hone ka clear signal samjhenge, jo market mein mazeed buying activity ko prompt kar sakta hai, aur is se pair ko upar le ja sakta hai.

**Support Levels:**

Dusri taraf, agar bears phir se control hasil karte hain aur price ko 1.3400 ke neeche push karte hain, to GBP/USD pair ko zyada selling pressure ka samna karna par sakta hai. Is scenario mein pehli support level aaj ka low 1.3359 hoga. Agar ye level barqarar nahi rehta, to agla support area September 25 ka cycle low 1.3312 hoga. Ye level recent trading sessions mein ek significant point of support bana hai, aur agar is level ke neeche break hota hai to ye further downside pressure ka sabab ban sakta hai.

**GBP/USD Market Outlook**

GBP/USD currency pair ki price behavior ka jaiza lete hain. Market mein khaas tor par kami dekhi gayi hai, aur iske nishan ye darshate hain ke aage bhi neeche ki taraf movement ho sakti hai. 1.3162 ka critical support level tak pahunchnay ki sambhavana mazboot hai. Agar bears is momentum ka faida uthatay hain, to downtrend shayad jaari rahega. Behtareen scenario ye hoga ke GBP/USD jald hi 1.3200 tak gir jaye. Lekin agar neeche ki taraf movement ruk jati hai, to pair 1.3480 ki taraf wapas ja sakta hai pehle se girne se pehle. Ye kehna mushkil hai ke pair upar break karega ya girega, lekin pressure ab bhi further GBP/USD ki kami ki taraf hai. Ye scenario sabse zyada mumkin lagta hai, aur humein 1.3185–1.3500 ke range mein volatility dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Sabse critical sawal ye hai ke price akhir kar kahan se breakout karegi. Mujhe shak hai ke breakdown 1.3217 se zyada hoga, khaaskar jab koi significant fundamental data release hoga, jo ke price movements ko barha sakta hai.

Aaj ke trading period ke liye, main ye predict karta hoon ke downtrend shayad kuch waqt tak jari rahe, sellers ko market par control karne ki sambhavana hai kuch din tak weekend tak. Trading guideline ke tor par, jab bearish direction jaari hai aur candlestick 1.3066 ke area tak girta hai, to humein is situation ka faida uthane ka mauqa milega taake hum market mein low risk ke sath efficiently enter kar saken, kyunki continued bearish trend ab shuru se clear ho raha hai. Price agar 1.3020 ki taraf girti hai, to ye sellers ke liye aggressive hone ka trigger ban sakta hai taake wo trend ko phir se bearish position mein la saken. Agar baad mein market us plan ke mutabiq chale jo tay kiya gaya hai, to behtar hoga ke position ko band karne mein jaldi na karein jab tak target area tak nahi pahunchte. Ye sambhav hai ke mustaqbil mein market phir se neeche jaane ka irada rakhta hai agar 1.3000 ka area aasani se cross kiya ja sake. Is hafte, sellers ab bhi bohot zyada taqat mein nazar aa rahe hain, shayad wo market ko bearish taraf trend ko jaari rakhne mein kamiyab ho sakein jaise pichle hafte ki market situation thi.

ern kafi wazeh lag raha tha aur bearish wave set ki formation ko suggest kar raha tha, jiska target 1.2300 se neeche tha. Lekin, aam taur par U.S. dollar ki demand itni barh gayi hai ke ye scenario ab utna feasible nahi lagta. Demand ab bhi barh rahi hai. Abhi jo wave pattern hai, wo kafi mushkil aur complex ho gaya hai. Main aksar simple structures ka istemal karta hoon analysis ke liye, kyunke complex structures mein zyada nuances aur ambiguity hoti hai. Ab hum dekh rahe hain ke ek upward wave ne ek downward wave ko overlap kar diya hai, jo pehle ke upward wave ko overlap kar rahi hai, jo pehle ke downward wave ko overlap kar rahi hai (ye saare waves ek triangle ke andar hain). Hum sirf itna keh sakte hain ke ek expanding triangle ban raha hai jiska upper point 1.3000 ke aas-paas ho sakta hai aur balancing line 1.2600 ke aas-paas. Lekin ek aur upward wave jo kisi bhi wave pattern se fit nahi ho rahi, quotes ko triangle ke upar le gayi hai. Neeche wale chart mein alternative wave count dikhaya gaya hai. Market ne ek nayi wajah se kharidari shuru ki hai. GBP/USD exchange rate Thursday ko 35 basis points se gir gaya, jo ke itna zyada nahi hai given aaj ke news background ko. Kam se kam do FOMC members ne September meeting mein rate cut ki appropriateness par doubts express kiye. Kuch ghante pehle, U.S. GDP report for Q2 release hui, jisme US economy 3.0% grow hui, jabke pehle estimate 2.8% tha. Yeh bhi ke U.S. economy Q1 se do guna tez hui hai. Isliye, mujhe lagta hai ke U.S. dollar ka 35 basis point ka faida chhota hai; isse din ke end tak kafi zyada barhna chahiye. Pichle kuch hafton se bearish wave ke bawajood, mujhe pair ke girne ke siwa kuch nahi lagta. Main kisi aur movement ko trade karne ka sochta nahi, given the current news background. Aaj U.S. ka doosra report jobless claims par tha. Lekin is report ki v
ko aane wali NFP (Non-Farm Payroll) report ke expectations ko 147K se zyada paar karne ka imkaan hai, jo USD ko is hafte ke doran apne bullish trend ko barqarar rakhne ka moqa dega. Agar weekly chart dekha jaye, toh USDX ka weekly basis par 102.00 se upar close karne ka imkaan hai. Daily chart (jo ke left side par hai) mein yeh wazeh hai ke GBP/USD market ne 1.3212 - 1.3156 ke yellow base area ke neechay close kiya hai. Yeh is baat ki nishani hai ke market ke paas 1.3000 level ke significant support ki taraf girne ka bara imkaan hai. Is price level se market mein strong buyer reaction ke zariye ek bounce hone ka bara imkaan hai, kyunke yahaan strong support zone hai, jo ke lower BB aur Purple EMA100 ke darmiyan hai. Iske ilawa, yeh area wo lowest swing hai jab price 1.3430 ki taraf upar jaane wala tha, toh isko future trading ke liye buying ke liye rujhan banaya ja sakta hai. Lekin, Daily Red EMA200 ki taraf mazeed girawat ka imkaan bhi khula hai, magar iske liye zaroori shart yeh hai ke 1.3000 ke gray support ka solid tor hona zaroori hai. Filhaal, market ka bearish rujhan barqarar hai, is liye agar koi upward correction hoti hai aur yellow resistance ke 1.3156 tak pohanchti hai, toh yeh ek acha waqt hoga sell option ko open karne ke liye. Daily basis par sell scenario ko H4 basis par bhi support milta hai. Pehle se hi ek bearish signal momentum sell candlestick ki shakal mein nazar aya jo lower BB ko poori taqat ke sath tor gaya, isliye downward movement impulsive thi. Dilchasp baat yeh hai ke overall price quotation Red EMA200 se neeche hai, isliye medium-term trend reversal ka imkaan kam hai. Is assumption ke madde nazar, jab price upar uthegi toh yeh sirf ek correction hogi aur hum sell karne ke liye tayar hain. Mere khayal mein behtareen sell location green resistance 1.3169 ke qareeb hai, jo pehle ki Daily basis

GBP/USD ne thoda girawat dekhi aur 1.3097 ke aas-paas aa gaya. Yeh decline US Dollar ki relative weakness ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jo Federal Reserve ke September meeting mein interest rates ko kam karne ke expectations ke wajah se downward pressure ka samna kar raha hai. Conversely, agar sellers GBP/USD pair ko 1.3100 level ke neeche le aaye, to pair 1.3050 mark ke aas-paas range-bound reh sakti hai. Agar yeh support level breach hota hai, to 100-day moving average (DMA) 1.3135 ko expose kiya ja Kal ki upward movement ke baad, GBP/USD pair ne 4-hour chart par aik naya local high hasil kiya, jo ke 1.3050 par peak kiya. Yeh abhi bhi 1.30 ke significant round number ke upar trade kar raha hai, jis ne bullish sentiment ko mazboot kiya hai. Is key level ke breach hone par bohot se traders apni positions aur priorities ko dobara se evaluate karte hain. Lekin recent wave ke peak par, 4-hour chart par kuch indecisive candles nazar aa rahi hain, aur indicators ek possible reversal ka ishara de rahe hain. Abhi ke liye sab se zyada mumkin scenario yeh lagta hai ke price 1.2947 ke support level ki taraf pullback kare. Humein dekhna hoga ke yeh level ke aas paas price kaise behave karti hai. Agar bears price ko 1.2947 ke neeche dhakel dete hain, jo ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke saath align karta hai, toh hum ek lambi downward movement dekh sakte hain jo ke trading range ke lower boundary ya 1.2831 ke support level ko target karegi. Yeh ek significant bearish trend ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar GBP/USD 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke upar apni position ko barqarar rakhta hai, toh hum mazeed upward movement dekh sakte hain aur recent local high ka dobara test ho sakta hai. Mojooda surat-e-haal yeh suggest karti hai ke traders ko hoshiyar rehna chahiye aur in key levels ke aas paas ki price action ke mutabiq apni strategies ko adjust karna chahiye.
Upar ka chart dikhata hai ke market pehle kaafi dheere chalti hai, lekin phir price phir se apne sab se unche level tak barh jaati hai, toh kayi buyers shayad isay aage badhane ki koshish karenge. Market ke volatility level mein baad mein European session ke doran izafa ho sakta hai, jo aksar is session ke doran hota hai. Price ki umeed hai ke wo kai baar overbought zone mein jayegi. Lekin, thodi correction ke baad, yeh phir se barh sakti hai aur apne asal value ko bhi paar kar sakti hai, toh yeh ek behtareen mauqa hai trading ka jab price gir rahi ho, bohot saari long positions kholne ka. Yeh zaroori hai ke reversal moment ka faida uthaya jaye, jo beech hafte mein ho sakta hai.

GBP/USD currency pair ke price changes ke analysis ke hawalay se hai. Yeh pair, jo British Pound ko US Dollar ke muqablay main dikhata hai, bohot zyada US job market data aur mukhtalif geopolitical developments se mutasir hota hai. Haal hi main, US ka monthly job data acha aya hai, jis ki wajah se US Dollar ki qeemat barh gayi hai aur GBP/USD pair girawat ka shikar hai. Mazboot employment figures se yeh pata chalta hai ke US ki economy acha perform kar rahi hai, jo ke Federal Reserve ko interest rates barhane ke liye support deti hai. Doosri taraf, UK ki economy ko kuch challenges ka samna hai, jisme inflationary pressures aur growth ka uncertain future shamil hai. Bank of England ki monetary policy decisions, Pound ki taqat ke hawalay se aham kirdar ada karengi. Is ke ilawa, post-Brexit trade negotiations aur wahan ki siyasi stability GBP/USD ki dynamics ko aur mushkil banati hain. Jab traders in tamam factors ko mad e nazar rakhte hain, toh GBP ko le kar market ka rawaiya abhi bhi ehtiyat se bharpoor hai, khaaskar Bank of England ke aanay walay steps ke hawalay se.Is haftay UK economy se koi bara data release nahi hua, jis ki wajah se Pound Sterling zyada ter global market sentiment se mutasir ho raha hai. Traders ab external factors par nazar rakhe hue hain, aur agla bara event US ka GDP data ka release hai. Lekin, kisi bara price movement ki umeed nahi hai, kyun ke markets ne zyada ter Q2 ka annualized GDP growth ko 2.8% par stable rehne ka andaza laga liya hai. Is liye, UK currency zyada ter global developments, khaaskar US se mutasir ho sakti hai.Aham Focus US PCE Inflation Data par hai:Is haftay ka sab se anticipated data release US ka Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index hai. Investors is data ka intezar kar rahe hain taake US main aanay walay inflation ke trends ko samajh saken. Agar inflation barh raha hai ya kam az kam stable hai, toh yeh Fed ke September main rate cut ke expectations ko mazid barhawa dega. Pound ki movements bhi is outcome se mutasir hongi, kyun ke US monetary policy main koi bhi bara tabadla global financial markets ko adjust karne par majboor kar sakta hai.Moving averages filhal Pound Sterling ke liye koi immediate support nahi de rahi hain. Traders trend channel ke lower band par bounce ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo ke pichlay 6 mahinon se mazbooti se 1.3120 ke aas paas bana hua hai. Agar yeh level toot gaya, toh agla support zone 1.3047 ke aas paas hai, jo August main pehle resistance point tha. Agar aur girawat dekhi gayi, toh 21-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) jo ke 1.3186 par hai aur critical level jo 1.3100 hai, mazid support de sakte hain