gbp/usd

British pound apni taqat dikhata nazar aa raha hai, jab ke US dollar kamzor ho raha hai. Yeh bullish sentiment September mein Federal Reserve ke interest rate cut ke intezar mein investor confidence ki wajah se hai. Yeh positive mood tab bhi barqarar hai jab ke US mein producer price inflation ka reading expected se zyada garam raha. US dollar broad-based selling pressure ka samna kar raha hai, kyunki investors ko lagta hai ke Fed September mein interest rates kam karega. Yeh optimism wholesale price inflation ke recent jump ko overshadow kar raha hai, jo future consumer inflation ko impact kar sakta hai, jo ke Fed ke liye ek key metric hai.

Core US wholesale inflation June mein achanak 3.0% tak pohnch gaya, jo forecasts 2.5% se zyada hai. Pichle mahine ka data bhi 2.3% se revise karke 2.6% kiya gaya. Yeh data future consumer inflation ke bare mein concerns ko janm de sakta hai, jo Fed ke liye zaroori hai.

Lekin, market ab bhi pehle ke lower consumer price inflation (CPI) reading par zyada focused hai. Yeh naye ummed ke sath rate cuts ke liye, CME ke FedWatch tool ke mutabiq September mein ek quarter-point cut hone ki possibility hai, pound ki udaan ko drive kar raha hai. Agar GBP/USD pair par upward pressure barqarar raha, to yeh recent resistance zone, jo 3-month highs (1.2816) aur December 2023 high (1.2859) se defined hai, breach kar sakta hai. Agar yeh resistance zone ko hold nahi kar paata, to yeh July 2023 ke resistance level 1.2994 ki taraf wapas aa sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, broader decline April ke resistance level 1.2708 par support dhoondh sakti hai. Aur bhi niche, June aur March ke lows (1.2620-1.2598) buffer zone ke tor par kaam aa sakte hain. February ka low (1.2517) ek ultimate safety net ban sakta hai agar significant drop hota hai.

Essence mein, GBP/USD pair abhi bullish run par hai aur 2024 ke highs ko reclaim karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Lekin, resistance zone ke upar decisive breakout ke bina, pullback ho sakta hai. Agle hafton mein is currency pair ki direction tay karna crucial hoga. Additionally, unforeseen economic data ya geopolitical events investor sentiment ko shift kar sakti hain aur GBP/USD pair ki trajectory ko impact kar sakti hain.

H4 Trading Chat On GBPUSD:

Aaj, is hafte ke aakhri trading din par, hum GBPUSD currency pair ka H4 chart consider karenge. Budh ke trading ke doran, is currency pair ki price ne ek zabardast upward movement ka izhar kiya, aur technical picture bhi develop ho rahi thi. Din ke doran jari ki gayi news ne pound ki growth ko mazeed barhaya, aur US ke liye tamami indicators forecast se kharab thay, jisne market mein price growth ki raftar ko barhaya, jese ke din ke doran dekha gaya. Magar, US dollar sirf pound ke against kamzor nahi hua, balki takreeban tamam market spectrum mein kamzor hua. Wave structure ne apna order upar banana shuru kiya, MACD indicator upper purchase zone mein barh raha hai aur apni signal line ke upar hai.

Kal ke tezi ke baad, unhone neechay kareeb support level 1.2732 tak aik chhoti correctional rollback karne mein kamiyabi hasil ki. Aur dheere dheere price ne kal aur aaj is tamam rollback ko consume kar liya. Agar pehli wave par target Fibonacci grid lagayi jaye, to dekha ja sakta hai ke growth ke doran price ne minimum target - level 161.8 ko achieve kar liya. Yeh kaafi mumkin hai ke growth is grid ke level 200 tak barh jaye, halan ke yeh shak hai ke hum sirf is exit se thoda upar ja kar nikal sakte hain, aur phir ek decline. Daily period par CCI indicator upper zone se turn ho raha hai, jo ek correction ki development ka ishara de raha hai. Level 1.2700 tak descent normal lag raha hai, aur phir hum yeh soch sakte hain ke buy karna chahiye ya nahi.

Aaj 15:30 Moscow time par mukhya news package jari kiya jayega: US mein average hourly earnings, US non-agricultural sector mein employed logo ki ta'dad mein tabdeeliyan, US mein economically active population ka hissa, US private non-agricultural sector mein employed logo ki ta'dad mein tabdeeliyan, US mein unemployment rate. 18:00 par - US Federal Reserve System ka monetary policy par report.

Sab ko achi subah! GBP/USD ke 4-hour chart par linear regression channel ki slope barh gayi hai. Yeh mujhe is baat ka ishara lagta hai ke market mein ek mazboot buyer hai jo sellers par pressure daal raha hai aur kharidari ke liye jagah hai. Main galat bhi ho sakta hoon, lekin jab mai bechne ka sochta hoon to market ke khilaf jata hoon, jo bade nuqsan ka sabab ban sakta hai. Isliye trend ke saath buying mein enter karna behtar hai. Aap stop order set karke apne nuqsan ko control mein rakh sakte hain agar market aapke trading plan ke khilaf chalti hai, jahan stop order entry point 1.28921 se zyada nahi hona chahiye. Mere liye, main price ke niche channel ke bottom tak girne ka intezar karunga, jo 1.28921 level par hai. Iske aas-paas, main buying entry point dekhunga taake upper target 1.29497 tak pohnch saku. Selling tab ki jani chahiye jab channel ke upper edge se price nazar aaye. Purchases ko tab tak postpone karna chahiye jab tak correction nahi hoti.

Four-hour chart par linear regression channel north ki taraf ja raha hai. Dono channels ka direction mil raha hai, jo is instrument ke upside ko highlight karta hai. Mere liye, ab purchases important hain. Channel ke bottom se near level 1.28431 main entry point consider kar raha hoon. Market ko 1.29551 tak barhna chahiye - yeh channel ka upper limit hai, jahan market mein slowdown aayega. Agar market upper border ke paas zyada waqt guzarta hai, to hum lower part of the channel tak decline expect karenge. Main downward movement ko skip kar dunga bina sales mein enter kiye. Sales trend ke khilaf hain, aur agar decline nahi hota, to growth continue karega. Isliye, main pullback se market mein enter karne ka method use karta hoon. Mujhe lagta hai yeh method ek powerful player ke saath implement hoga jo growth ko laayega aur bears ko break karega. Is case mein, top scroll kai baar barh jayega.

GBP/USD ek ajeeb tarah ka reaction de raha hai support region ke aas-paas, jahan GBP USD ke muqablay mein apni position banaye hue hai, jabke USD strong bullish trend mein hai. USD ki bullish momentum ke bawajood, GBP/USD daily support region se breakout nahi kar paaya. Yeh briefly is region mein gaya, lekin phir wapas aagaya. Agar GBP/USD European session ke doran significant bullish movement dekhta hai, to yeh unusual response trigger kar sakta hai jo GBP/USD ko upar push kar sakta hai. Lekin agar GBP/USD European session mein substantial movement dekhta hai, to yeh apni negative trend ko continue kar sakta hai aur downward break kar sakta hai.

Asian session ke doran USD index ko dekhte hue, yeh apni bullish trend ko continue kar raha hai, market ke khulne ke turant baad kaafi upar gaya hai. Choti corrections ke bawajood, USD index ke liye primary trend solidly bullish hai aur mujhe lagta hai ke yeh bullish movement continue karega. H4 chart par, USD index ke liye negative development ka possibility hai due to RBS (Resistance Becomes Support) region ki revision. Agar USD index RBS region ko break nahi karta ya significant movement nahi dikhata, to yeh bullish trend ko continue kar sakta hai.

Traders ko in dynamics par nazar rakhni chahiye, khaaskar key support aur resistance levels ke aas-paas ke reactions ko. GBP/USD ke liye, daily support region ke aas-paas ka behavior crucial hai. Agar yeh support level ke neeche break nahi hota, to yeh reversal ka indication de sakta hai ya phir kam se kam temporary halt in the downtrend. Iske mukablay, agar support level ke neeche significant break hota hai, to yeh further bearish momentum ka signal de sakta hai.

USD index ki performance bhi equally important hai. Agar yeh bullish trend continue karta hai, to yeh GBP/USD par additional pressure daal sakta hai. Lekin, USD index mein kisi bhi significant negative development, khaaskar RBS region ke aas-paas, GBP/USD ko relief de sakti hai.

In conditions ko dekhte hue, traders ke liye robust risk management strategies employ karna zaroori hai. Isme appropriate stop-loss levels set karna aur position sizing ka istemal karna shamil hai taake exposure ko effectively manage kiya ja sake. Saath hi, aane wale economic events aur news releases par bhi nazar rakhna important hai jo in currency pairs ko impact kar sakti hai.

Summary ke taur par, GBP/USD apne daily support region ke aas-paas mixed reaction dikh raha hai, aur market conditions ke hisaab se upar aur neeche dono movements ka potential hai. USD index bullish hai, lekin key levels ko monitor karna zaroori hai jo trend ko influence kar sakte hain. Traders ko cautious rehna chahiye, risk management techniques use karni chahiye, aur market news se updated rehna chahiye taake volatile conditions ko effectively navigate kiya ja sake.

Good morning to all visitors!

GBP/USD buyers have been making notable progress, reaching around the 1.2960 zone yesterday. The GBP/USD market is highly influenced by US news events, which can introduce significant volatility. Economic reports, policy announcements, and geopolitical developments from the US have the potential to cause sharp fluctuations in this currency pair. For instance, unexpected changes in US interest rate policies can lead to substantial shifts in the GBP/USD exchange rate. Economic indicators such as US non-farm payrolls and the Consumer Price Index (CPI) provide insights into the strength of the US economy and impact the currency pair’s performance.

Looking ahead, it is hoped that the market will continue to favor buyers in the coming days. GBP/USD market sentiment is also a crucial aspect to consider, reflecting traders' overall attitudes towards the currency pair. This sentiment is influenced by economic data, geopolitical events, and market conditions. Analyzing sentiment can involve monitoring social media trends, news headlines, and trading volumes. Staying well-informed about the latest developments through financial news websites, economic calendars, and market analysis reports is essential for making informed trading decisions.

Currently, the price is expected to soon cross the 1.3000 level. Traders should exercise caution and anticipate possible shifts in market sentiment. Adhering to a disciplined approach and combining technical and fundamental analysis can help navigate the GBP/USD market effectively. By doing so, traders can identify opportunities, achieve profit targets, and manage risks prudently.

Let’s see how the GBP/USD market performs in the next trading week. Stay blessed and stay safe!

GBP/USD ne North American session ke doran kaafi volatility dekhi, jab yeh 1.2900 ke aham mark se niche gir gaya. Yeh movement Bank of England ke faisle ke baad hui, jismein unhone apne maujooda interest rates ko barqarar rakha, magar aane wale mahino mein rate cut ke ishare bhi diye. Iske nateeje mein, GBP/USD ab 1.2911 par trade kar raha hai, jo 0.39% ki halki izafa dikhata hai.

BoE Governor Andrew Bailey ki taraf se rate cut ke hawale se kiye gaye tajaweez ne rate cut ke ummeed ko barhawa diya. Unka kehna hai ke inflation 2% ke target par wapas aa sakta hai, jo Pound par ek saaya daal raha hai. Yeh sab kuch UK election se pehle policy changes ke intezar mein hai. Is waqt, US Dollar bhi apni challenges ka samna kar raha hai, jahan Federal Reserve ke rate cuts ke possibilities hain jo September se shuru ho sakte hain.

US CPI data ke release ke baad, market ki nazar ab Friday ke US Producer Price Index (PPI) data par hai. Agar PPI ka reading expected se zyada ho, to yeh interest rate cut ki ummeed ko kam kar sakta hai. Core PPI June mein 2.5% ke barhne ka andaza hai, jo ke pehle 2.3% tha, jo ke businesses ke liye cost pressures ko darshata hai aur Federal Reserve ke target ke sath clash kar sakta hai.

Agar upward momentum jari rahti hai, to GBP/USD pair 1.2816-1.2859 ke resistance zone ko par kar sakta hai, aur 2024 ke high 1.2892 ke taraf barh sakta hai. Lekin agar yeh level barqarar nahi rahta, to yeh July 2023 ke resistance 1.2994 ki taraf waapas ja sakta hai. Iske baad, April ke resistance 1.2708 aur June aur March ke lows (1.2620-1.2598) support ke tor par kaam aa sakte hain. Aakhir mein, February ka low 1.2517 ek aakhri defensive line ke tor par serve kar sakta hai.

Maujooda nazar ke mutabiq, hum 50-day SMA ko 1.2650 ke aas paas todne ki umeed rakhte hain. Agar yeh level break hota hai aur uske neeche girta hai, to yeh 1.2700 ke niche girne ka khatra paida kar sakta hai. Iske ilawa, profit-taking ka potential bhi significant hai. Sellers ko chahiye ke woh SMA lines ko break karne wale trades par nazar rakhein aur oversold environment ka faida uthayein. Yeh traders ko unki trading strategies ke asar darust hone ka yaqeen dilata hai, kyunke profit-taking ka potential upcoming pivot point ko target kar ke hasil kiya ja sakta hai.

4-hour timeframe mein, haal ki candles ek descending wedge pattern bana rahi hain, jo yeh darshata hai ke sellers price ko 1.2635 tak neeche push kar sakte hain. Buyers ki interest rate current bearish forces ka muqabla kar rahi hai. Bearish MACD aur RSI jo ke neutral se bearish territory mein shift ho raha hai, bearish solid momentum ko darshata hai. Sellers ko 40% reverse divergence point par nazar rakhni chahiye, kyunki is point ko break karne se downside momentum aur barh sakta hai. Oversold environment profit-taking ke liye opportunities provide karta hai, khas tor par pivot points ko target kar ke.

4-hour chart mein, descending wedge pattern aur 1.2790 tak neeche push karne ki potential bearish outlook ko darshata hai. Bulls aur bears dono ke liye 200-SMA jo ke 1.2685 par hai aur resistance jo ke 1.2765 par hai, in par nazar rakhna critical hoga. MACD aur RSI indicators bearish sentiment ko reinforce kar rahe hain, aur pullbacks selling opportunities provide karte hain, khas tor par 1.2760 ke aas paas. Ek test hone ki sambhavana hai. Filhaal, main weekly chart ko dekh raha hoon jahan do triangles hain, ek bara aur ek chhota. Inki boundaries ek certain zone ko form karti hain, jise maine pink se mark kiya hai. Yeh matlab hai ke test sirf chhote red triangle ki upper boundary tak nahi, balki blue boundary (jo red line ke neeche hai) tak bhi ho sakta hai. Approximate downside targets 1.28050 ke aas paas ho sakte hain.

Chaliye, GBP/USD currency pair ke H4 chart ko dekhte hain. Kal, pound ne buyers ko apne taqatwar growth se khush kar diya. US se aayi khabron ke baad, indicators ki baat kuch achi nahi thi aur price upar ki taraf chali gayi. Lekin, sirf pound hi nahi, balki American dollar bhi market ke har pehlu par kamzor hua, shayad Canadian dollar ko chhod kar, jo filhaal majboot hai.

Wave structure upar ki taraf ban raha hai, aur MACD indicator upar ki buying zone aur signal line ke upar badh raha hai. Aap five wave ka growth structure dekh sakte hain, aur abhi panchwa wave chal raha hai. Is week ka maximum update ho gaya hai aur pichle mahine ke maximum ko bhi paar kar gaya hai. Yeh potential sales zone hai. Five waves ek poora cycle hain, aur MACD indicator par bearish divergence bhi ban chuki hai. Is area se sirf sales ko hi consider kiya ja sakta hai, kyunki factors ki combination yeh darshata hai ke near future mein girawat ho sakti hai aur pehla target support levels 1.2838 aur 1.2855 ke beech hoga, jahan ek ascending line banegi jo waves ke bottoms ko follow karegi. Doosra target agar supports break hote hain, to current growth wave ke minimum se thoda niche, support level 1.2778 tak jana hai. CCI indicator bhi sales ko support karta hai, yeh upper overheating zone se neeche aa raha hai. Thoda sa free movement abhi bhi hai, lagbhag 50 points tak, aur isliye selling ka mauka ho sakta hai.

Aaj kuch important news nahi hain, kal ke mukable mein, kuch medium importance ki news hain. Ek important news US Producer Price Index ki hai.

Dusri taraf, US Dollar ki performance bhi GBP/USD pair ko affect karti hai. Us waqt, US Dollar kuch kamzor ho raha tha lower-than-expected economic growth, inflation concerns, aur Federal Reserve ke cautious monetary policy stance ki wajah se. Fed ka dovish approach aur interest rate hikes ke cautious outlook ne US Dollar ko soft kar diya. Dollar ki relative weakness ne GBP/USD market mein buyers ko additional impetus diya, kyunki isne British Pound ko relatively zyada attractive banaya.

## GBP/USD Currency Exchange Rate Ka Real-Time Evaluation

#### Current Market Overview
GBP/USD currency pair ke 4-hour chart par nazar daalne se yeh lagta hai ke market mein dono potential downward correction aur bullish gains dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Yeh uncertainty recent price actions aur fundamental economic events ke mixed signals ki wajah se hai.

#### Technical Analysis

1. **4-Hour Chart Insights**:
- **Resistance Retest**: GBP/USD pair ne haal hi mein ek purane sales zone ya resistance area ke lower boundary ko retest kiya hai. Yeh retest ahem hai kyunki yeh bullish trend ka continuation ya reversal ka signal de sakta hai.
- **Monthly Resistance Zone**: Ideal situation mein, is monthly resistance zone se rebound hona chahiye. Agar is level ko convincingly break nahi kiya jaata, to iska matlab ho sakta hai ke bears control mein aa rahe hain.

2. **Hourly Chart Insights**:
- **Significant Activity**: Hourly chart par, Federal Reserve (Fed) aur Bank of England (BoE) ke recent speeches ke baad notable activity dekhi gayi hai. Iska natija short-term mein bullish price outlook ke roop mein samne aaya hai.
- **Bullish Signals**: Halankeh bearish trend ka potential hai, current hourly chart bullish momentum dikhata hai jo central bank communications ke market reactions se driven hai.

#### Fundamental Analysis

1. **Federal Reserve's Influence**:
- **Fed Speeches**: Fed officials ke recent speeches ne GBP/USD exchange rate par significant impact dala hai. Fed se kisi bhi rate adjustments ya economic outlook changes ke hints immediate aur substantial movements cause kar sakte hain.
- **Inflation and Rate Cuts**: Market participants inflation trends aur potential rate cuts ke indications ko closely monitor kar rahe hain. Yeh factors USD ke short-term direction ko shape karte hain jo GBP/USD pair ko affect karta hai.

2. **Bank of England's Influence**:
- **BoE Communications**: BoE officials ke statements bhi ahem role play karte hain. Traders BoE ke interest rates aur economic support measures ke stance ke clues dhoondh rahe hain.
- **Economic Data**: UK se aanewale economic data, jaise GDP growth, employment figures, aur inflation rates, pair ke movements ko further influence karenge.

#### Strategic Outlook

1. **Bearish Scenario**:
- **Pavlik’s Statement**: Pavlik ke mutabiq, bearish trend jaldi emerge ho sakta hai. Yeh perspective tab support karti hai jab GBP/USD pair monthly resistance zone ke upar sustain nahi karta aur downward pressure dikhata hai.
- **Short Positions**: Agar pair 4-hour chart par retested resistance zone ko decisively break karta hai, to traders short positions consider kar sakte hain. Bearish patterns aur volume confirmations ko monitor karna zaroori hoga.

2. **Bullish Scenario**:
- **Current Bullish Momentum**: Bearish concerns ke bawajood, pair hourly chart par bullish signs dikhata hai jo market optimism aur central bank communications ke reactions se driven hai.
- **Long Positions**: Traders long opportunities dekh sakte hain agar pair current resistance levels ke upar sustain karta hai aur continued bullish activity dikhata hai. Risk manage karne ke liye tight stop-losses set karna faydemand hoga.

#### Conclusion

GBP/USD currency pair filhaal ek critical juncture par hai, jahan 4-hour aur hourly charts par mixed signals hain. Jab ke Pavlik kehte hain ke bearish trend ka potential hai, short-term outlook abhi bhi bullish hai jo recent Fed aur BoE communications se influenced hai. Traders ko key resistance aur support levels, central bank statements, aur upcoming economic data ko closely monitor karna chahiye. Technical aur fundamental analysis ke insights ko balance karna market conditions ko effectively navigate karne ke liye crucial hoga.

### Current Outlook for GBP/USD Currency Exchange Rate

#### Market Analysis

Current outlook ke mutabiq, hum expect karte hain ke GBP/USD pair 50-day SMA (Simple Moving Average) ko 1.2650 ke aas-paas break karta rahega. Agar is level ko break nahi kiya gaya aur uske neeche girawat aayi, to yeh 1.2700 ke bottom ko threaten kar sakti hai. Iske ilawa, profit-taking ke potential ko bhi dhyan mein rakhna zaroori hai. Sellers ko current market conditions ke tehat SMA lines ko break karne wale trades ko monitor karna chahiye aur oversold environment ka faida uthana chahiye. Yeh traders ko unki trading strategies ki effectiveness par bharosa dega, kyunki profit-taking ko upcoming pivot point ko target karke achieve kiya ja sakta hai.

#### 4-Hour Timeframe Insights

4-hour timeframe par, recent candles ek descending wedge pattern bana rahi hain, jo suggest karta hai ke sellers price ko 1.2635 tak neeche push kar sakte hain. Buyer interest rates current bearish forces ka counter kar rahi hain. Bearish MACD aur RSI, jo neutral se bearish territory ki taraf shift ho rahe hain, bearish solid momentum ko indicate karte hain. MACD ke 30 ke aas-paas hona bearish momentum ko reinforce karta hai. Sellers ko 40% reverse divergence point ke baare mein vigilant rehna chahiye, kyunki is point ko break karna downside momentum ko amplify kar sakta hai. Oversold environment profit-taking ke liye opportunities provide karta hai, khaaskar pivot points ko target karte hue. 4-hour chart par, descending wedge pattern aur potential 1.2790 tak girawat bearish outlook ko indicate karti hai. 200-SMA ko 1.2685 aur resistance ko 1.2765 pe monitor karna bulls aur bears dono ke liye critical hoga. MACD aur RSI indicators bearish sentiment ko reinforce karte hain, aur potential pullbacks 1.2760 ke aas-paas selling opportunities offer karte hain.

#### Conclusion

Nishkarsh ke tor par, GBP/USD market filhaal strong bearish momentum se influenced hai, jahan critical levels 1.2768 aur 1.2665 hain. Sellers ko in levels aur 10% reverse divergence point ko monitor karna chahiye trading opportunities ke liye. 4-hour timeframe par, descending wedge pattern aur key SMA levels traders ko guide karenge. Informed aur adaptable rehkar, traders market movements ka effectively faida utha sakte hain aur apni strategies ko behtar bana sakte hain.

### GBP/USD Pair Ka Analysis

#### Haal Hi Ke Price Movements

GBP/USD currency pair ne pichle chaar hafton ke dauran musalsal pressure ka samna kiya hai, jo ke isse 1.2600 ke aas-paas ke six-week low tak le gaya hai. Is girawat ka sabab kuch aham factors hain, jin mein UK ke general elections jo 4 July ko honge aur US Nonfarm Payrolls data jo 5 July ko release hoga, shamil hain. Yeh events currency pair ko naye directional cues provide kar sakte hain.

### GBP/USD Par Asar Dalne Wale Ahem Factors:

**Political Uncertainty:**
- **UK General Elections:** UK ke general elections market mein uncertainty aur volatility ko barhawa de rahe hain. Political events aksar market speculation ko janam dete hain, aur elections ka outcome pound ki strength ko significantly impact kar sakta hai, depending on nayi government ki stability aur economic policies ke perceived effects.

**Economic Indicators:**
- **US Nonfarm Payrolls:** US Nonfarm Payrolls data ka 5 July ko release hona traders ke liye ek crucial economic event hai. Yeh data US labor market ke baray mein insights provide karta hai aur Federal Reserve ke monetary policy decisions ko influence kar sakta hai. Strong Nonfarm Payrolls report aam tor par US dollar ko strengthen karti hai, jo GBP/USD pair par additional pressure daal sakta hai.

### Technical Analysis:

**Support Aur Resistance Levels:**
- **Immediate Support:** GBP/USD pair ka immediate support level 1.2600 ke aas-paas hai. Agar pair is level ke neeche girti hai, to yeh further bearish momentum ko signal kar sakti hai aur zyada girawat ka sabab ban sakti hai.
- **Key Resistance:** Upar ki taraf, pair 1.2750 ke aas-paas resistance ka samna kar raha hai. Agar resistance level ko break kiya gaya, to yeh recent downtrend ke reversal ko indicate kar sakta hai aur bullish traders ke liye target provide kar sakta hai.

**Moving Averages:**
- **Short-Term MAs:** Pair filhaal apne short-term moving averages ke neeche trade kar raha hai hourly aur daily charts par, jo bearish momentum ko suggest karta hai. Yeh moving averages dynamic resistance levels ke tor par kaam kar sakti hain.
- **Long-Term MAs:** Long-term moving averages bhi downward trend ko show kar rahi hain, jo overall bearish outlook ko reinforce karti hain.

### Fundamental Analysis:

**Market Sentiment:**
- **Bearish Sentiment:** Overall market sentiment filhaal GBP/USD pair ke liye bearish hai, jo UK mein political uncertainty aur strong US economic data ke expectations se driven hai.
- **Central Bank Policies:** Bank of England (BoE) aur Federal Reserve ke darmiyan divergent monetary policies bhi pair ko influence karti hain. Jab Fed strong economic data ke bawajood tightening signal kar sakta hai, BoE political aur economic uncertainties ke madde nazar zyada cautious stance adopt kar sakta hai.

### Trading Strategy:

Maujooda market conditions aur technical indicators ko dekhte hue, traders ko yeh strategies consider karni chahiye:

1. **Key Events Ko Monitor Karein:** UK general elections aur US Nonfarm Payrolls data par nazar rakhein. Yeh events significant volatility aur directional cues provide kar sakte hain GBP/USD pair ke liye.
2. **Key Levels Ko Watch Karein:** Immediate support level 1.2600 aur resistance level 1.2750 par focus rakhein. Agar support ke neeche break hota hai to further declines ka signal mil sakta hai, aur agar resistance ke upar break hota hai to reversal indicate ho sakta hai.
3. **Risk Management:** Risk ko manage karne ke liye tight stop-loss orders employ karein. Short positions ke liye, stop-loss orders 1.2750 resistance level ke upar rakhain. Long positions ke liye, stop-loss orders 1.2600 support level ke neeche rakhain.
4. **Fundamental Updates:** Economic data releases aur political developments ke saath updated rahna zaroori hai, kyunki yeh pair ki movement ko impact kar sakte hain.

### Conclusion:

GBP/USD pair filhaal political uncertainty aur strong US economic data ke expectations ki wajah se pressure mein hai. Key support aur resistance levels, aur aane wale events pair ki agle move ko determine karne mein aham role play karenge. Traders ko in factors ko closely monitor karna chahiye aur effective risk management strategies use karni chahiye taake GBP/USD currency pair mein potential volatility ko navigate kiya ja sake.

Hello everyone, GBP/USD currency pair ka technical analysis dekhte hain. Current price hai 1.2950 aur timeframe H4 hai.

**Moving Averages:**
- **MA50:** Yeh pair pichle 50 periods se moving average line ke upar trade kar raha hai.
- **MA200:** Yeh pair pichle 200 periods se moving average line ke upar trade kar raha hai.

**Support aur Resistance Levels:**
- **Support:** 1.2900, 1.2850
- **Resistance:** 1.3000, 1.3050

**Indicators:**
- **RSI (Relative Strength Index):** Indicator 65 par hai, jo strong uptrend ko indicate karta hai, magar overbought nahi hai.
- **MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):** Histogram signal line ke upar hai aur continue rise kar raha hai, jo bullish trend ko confirm karta hai.
- **Stochastic Oscillator:** Yeh 75 par hai, jo rise ki possible continuation ko show karta hai, lekin short-term correction ka bhi dhyan rakhein.

**Trend:**
- GBP/USD pair confident uptrend show kar raha hai, MA50 aur MA200 ke upar movement ke sath.

**Chart Analysis:**
- H4 chart par ek ascending channel ban raha hai, jisme support 1.2900 aur resistance 1.3000 par hai.
- Agar 1.3000 ka resistance level break hota hai, toh growth accelerate ho sakti hai towards 1.3050 aur usse upar.
- Agar 1.2900 ka support level break hota hai, toh correction 1.2850 tak ho sakti hai.

**Conclusion:**
- Current dynamics bullish hain. MA50 aur MA200 ke upar movement, aur positive indicator readings uptrend ko support karti hain.
- Correction ke dauran support levels par long positions ke entry opportunities dekhni chahiye, target levels 1.3000 aur 1.3050 hain.

**Recommendations:**
- **Long:** Entry at 1.2920-1.2930, targets at 1.3000 aur 1.3050. Stop-loss at 1.2880.
- **Short:** Entry on a break below 1.2900, target 1.2850. Stop-loss at 1.2940.

Technical analysis GBP/USD ke rise ka continuation indicate karta hai, lekin external economic aur political factors jo market ko affect kar sakti hain, unko monitor karna zaroori hai.

Ek volatile Asian session ke baad jisme Australia ke inflation data aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke policy decisions shamil thay, investors July ke aakhri trading din ke liye aur zyada action ke liye tayar hain. July ka Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) data European economic docket mein numaya hai. Din ke baad mein, US se ADP Employment Change data ko market participants bohot gaur se dekhenge Federal Reserve (Fed) ke monetary policy announcements se pehle BoJ ne achanak apni policy rate ko 15 basis points (bps) se barhakar 0.15%-0.25% ki range tak kar diya, jo pehle 0%-0.1% thi. Iske ilawa, Japanese central bank ne Japanese government bond (JGB) buying ko pehle quarter of 2026 se JPY3 trillion per month tak kam karne ka faisla kiya. Meeting ke baad wali press conference mein, BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda ne kaha ke agar current economic aur price outlook realize hota hai to woh rates ko barhate rahenge aur monetary easing ki degree ko adjust karenge. USD/JPY ne BoJ ke rate hike ke turant baad 151.50 area se uchhal kar 154.00 ki taraf sharply move kiya lekin further bullish momentum ikattha nahi kar saka. Press ke waqt, yeh pair thoda 152.50 ke upar trade kar raha tha
GBP/USD upper boundary ko 1.2850 level par test kar sakta hai, jise nine-day EMA level 1.2869 follow kar raha hai. Technical analysis suggest karta hai ke yeh pair consolidation phase ya potential reversal ke liye tayar hai. Ek break descending channel ke niche pair ko throwback support level 1.2615 tak le ja sakti hai. GBP/USD apne recent losses ko retrace kar raha hai, aur Wednesday ke Asian hours mein 1.2840 ke around trade kar raha hai. Daily chart ka analysis yeh show karta hai ke yeh pair descending channel ke narrow section mein position mein hai, jo consolidation phase ya potential reversal ka ishara hai
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), jo ek momentum indicator hai, yeh bullish momentum ki kamzori ko show kar raha hai kyun ke MACD line signal line ke niche hai lekin centerline ke upar hai. Iske ilawa, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level ke thoda niche hai, jo bearish bias ko suggest karta hai
Resistance ke hawale se, immediate barrier upper boundary ke around 1.2850 level par hai, jise nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 1.2869 level follow karta hai. Is level ke upar breakout GBP/USD pair ko yearly peak 1.3044 level, jo 17 July ko reach kiya gaya tha, ke area ko explore karne par le ja sakta hai.
Downside pe, immediate support descending channel ke lower edge ke around 1.2525 level par hai. Is level ke niche break GBP/USD pair par downward pressure dal sakta hai ke woh throwback support level 1.2615 ke around navigate kare

جولائی 31 2024 کو برطانوی پاؤنڈ/امریکی ڈالر کی پیشن گوئی

کل، برطانوی پاؤنڈ 1.2847 سپورٹ لیول سے نیچے گر گیا، جیسا کہ اس نے پیر کو کیا تھا، لیکن اس بار، جوڑی اس نشان سے نیچے دن بند ہوئی۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر نیچے کے رجحان والے علاقے میں قدرے گہرائی میں چلا گیا۔ بصری طور پر، قیمت آہستہ آہستہ اپنے 1.2755 کے ہدف کی طرف بڑھ رہی ہے، اور پھر اسے 1.2722 کی سطح کے ارد گرد ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن سے مزاحمت کا سامنا کرنا پڑے گا۔



آج، ایف. او. ایم. سی. اپنے مانیٹری پالیسی کے فیصلے کا اعلان کرے گا۔ کل، جولائی کا پی. ایم. آئی. آئی.ایس. ایم. جاری کیا جائے گا، اور جمعہ کو، جولائی کا یو ایس ایمپلائمنٹ ڈیٹا سامنے آئے گا۔ لہذا، ہفتے کے آخر تک مارکیٹ کی سرگرمیوں میں اضافہ کا امکان ہے۔



٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، مارلن آسیلیٹر کی سگنل لائن صفر لائن پر ایک پچر میں بدل جاتی ہے۔ چونکہ قیمت بیلنس لائن اور ایم. اے. سی. ڈی. لائن سے نیچے جا رہی ہے، اس لیے آسیلیٹر اور قیمت دونوں کا بیئرش بریک آؤٹ زیادہ امکان ہے۔

تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

GBP/USD: Price Study
Aaj, maine GBP/USD currency pair ko analyze karne ka chunav kiya hai. H4 chart par, hum dekh sakte hain ke price, recent news se mutasir hoke, dobara 1.2800 support level ko test kiya aur wahan se bounce back karke bullish movement initiate ki. Yeh bounce upward trend ki taraf shift ka indication deta hai. Iske ilawa, chart dikhata hai ke RSI 14 indicator ne 30 levels ko test kiya aur phir bounce kiya, jo buy signal provide karta hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ke current price apni bullish momentum ko continue karne ke imkaanat rakhti hai. Agar yeh movement barqarar rehti hai, to chart par agla target 1.3000 level hai. Lekin, yeh zaroori hai ke price is level par resistance ka samna kar sakti hai, jo potential sell retracements ko lead kar sakta hai. Market behavior is point par bullish trend ki strength aur sustainability ko determine karega.

GBP/USD pair ne significant support levels ko test karne ke baad positive reaction dikhayi hai, jahan RSI 14 indicator ne buy signal ko reinforce kiya. Current bullish movement ek potential target 1.3000 ka suggest karti hai. Lekin traders ko possible retracements ke liye tayar rehna chahiye jab price is level ko test karegi. Price ka 1.3000 se aage apni bullish momentum ko maintain karna overall trend ka ek key indicator hoga. Nateeja yeh hai ke GBP/USD pair apni recent price movements aur technical indicators ke sath ek interesting case analysis ke liye pesh karta hai. 1.2800 support level se bounce aur RSI 14 buy signal bullish trend ke continuation ki taraf ishaara dete hain. Jab ke 1.3000 ka target achievable lagta hai, traders ko potential retracements aur is level par resistance ke hawale se hooshiyar rehna chahiye. Market ke response ko monitor karna informed trading decisions banane ke liye zaroori hoga. Yeh analysis highlight karta hai ke market movements ko samajhne aur predict karne ke liye technical indicators ko price action ke sath combine karna kitna important hai.