جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

GBP/USD PAIR REVIEW Haal hi ke trading ke mutabiq, British pound ka US dollar ke khilaaf exchange rate GBP/USD 1.30 ke psychological resistance barrier ke qareeb ruk gaya hai, jab ke US retail sales numbers release huwe jo ke consensus se zyada they. Agar Britain mein kal ke inflation numbers desired level se kam aate hain, to profit taking operations extend ho sakti hain. British pound apne recent highs se US dollar ke khilaaf gira hai jab US retail sales report ne consensus ko exceed kiya. Reliable trading companies ke platforms ke mutabiq... GBP/USD pair din ke doran 0.20% gir ke 1.2940 par a gaya, jab retail sales ne monthly basis par 0% ka flat reading record kiya June mein, jab ke expectations -0.3% thi. Core retail sales 0.4% se barh gayi, jo estimates se 0.1% zyada thi aur US dollar ke liye ek supportive surprise hai.

Is event aur us ke asar par comment karte huwe. “Aaj ke data se yeh ek aur yaad dihani milti hai ke aap kabhi bhi American consumer ko underestimate nahi kar sakte,” Ali Jafari, economist at CIBC Capital Markets kehte hain
Forex market trading ke mutabiq. Pound ne July mein dollar ke khilaaf 2.50% ka izafa kiya, jo ke is waqat ek saal pehle ke level ke qareeb hai, rising expectations of a September interest rate cut se supported hai. Yeh ek strong, convincing data series legi course ko September mein reduction ke liye reverse karne ke liye. Lekin analysts ke mutabiq, “Kya consumption mein strength Fed ke liye evidence ka balance change kar sakta hai aur signal de sakta hai ke economy mein demand barh rahi hai?” Hum aisa nahi samajhte. Evidence jo inflation aur slowing labor market ko show karta hai, Fed ko September mein interest rates cut karne ke liye convinced karne ke liye kaafi hoga.
Overall data yeh show karta hai ke exchange rate appreciation sirf six pips pehle 1.30 psychological resistance level par ruk gaya, jo ke sell orders ke placement ke consistent hoga pehle bade mark ke. Highest level July 2023 mein 1.3142 par tha, lekin British pound yeh levels bohot dair tak maintain nahi kar saka
GBP/USD analysis:
GBP/USD exchange rate ne apni strong upward march continue rakhi hai Federal Reserve ke relatively pessimistic statement ke baad aur Britain mein aanay wale inflation data se pehle. Yeh teen consecutive din barh gaya hai aur psychological point 1,300 par pohch gaya, jo July 2023 ke baad ka highest swing hai. GBP/USD pair ne apni strong rise continue rakhi hai Monday ke Federal Reserve Governor Jerome Powell ke statement ke baad. Apne statement mein, Powell ne pichlay teen mahine ke US inflation numbers ko welcome kiya, jo ke price stability show karte hain. Powell comfortable hain is saal interest rates cut karne ke liye agar inflation continue girta hai halaan ke yeh 2.0% se upar hai. Fed ab lagta hai ke labor market ke baare mein zyada concerned hai, jo ke pichlay kuch mahino mein decline hui hai

GBP/USD
Assalam Alaikum!
Pound/dollar je jode ne beghair kisi gap ke naye tejarati hafte ka aaghaz kiya hai. Aisa lagta hai keh market ko Americi sadar Joe Biden ke ird-gird hone wale waqeyat me koi dilchaspi nahin hai.
Yah qabile gaur hai keh aaj ka macroeconomic calendar kisi bhi aham khabar ki release se khali hai jiska market ke jazbat par asar pad sakta hai, jo keh Peer ke liye aam hai.
Aaj, mai tawaqqo karta hun keh Bartanwi pound apni girawat ko jari rakhega. Halankeh, yah sawal bana hua hai keh yah girawat kitni gahri hogi. Aakhir kar, trading range ko 1.2892 ke ifqi satah se support hasil hai. Yah dekhte hue keh yah satah pichli muqami buland satah hai, lehaza yah ab ek mazbut reference point ke taur par kam karta hai. 1.2875 ka nishan bhi qabile zikar hai. Aam taur par, 1.2892 - 1.2875 ki satahen ek kharid zone ke taur par kam karti hain, jahan se mai rebound par long positions kholne ki koshish karna chahunga. Halankeh, 1.2940 se ooper ki harkat mahdud nazar aati hai.

, GBP/USD currency pair tezi se barh kar 1.3043 tak pohancha, phir wapas aaya. Is hafte, pehli bias abhi bhi neutral hai, iska matlab hai ke pair zyada tar consolidation ka phase guzarega. Is consolidation ke doran, 1.2859 level se niche ki taraf jana manzoor hai, jo ab resistance se support ban gaya hai. Is support level ka tasdeeq se hona umeed hai aur ek aur tezi se upar ka raily shuru karega.

Agar GBP/USD 1.3043 level ko tode, to yeh ek mazeed tezi ki nishani hogi jo 1.2298 se shuru hui hai. Yeh breakout 1.2298 se 1.2859 tak ke move ka 100% projection hai, jo 1.2612 se shuru hota hai, 1.3173 par. Yeh target thora upar hai key medium-term resistance level 1.3141 se. Is projection ka paikar hona ek mazboot bullish trend ki taraf ishara hoga, kyunki 1.3141 resistance ko par karne se aur mazeed faiday mil sakte hain.

Magar, agar GBP/USD mazbooti se 1.2859 support level ko tode, to bias niche ki taraf mudega. Aisa action ek gehri girawat ko darshayega, kyunke yeh support todna bullish outlook ko kamzor kar dega aur bechnay ki dabao ko zyada indicate karega. Yeh manzar, GBP/USD ke qareebi direction ki dobara jaaiz ka mauqa dega, potential target ko kam karne se mukhatif hongay mojooda market dynamics ke doran.

GBP/USD pair ka movement mukhtalif factors se influence hota hai, jaise economic data releases, central bank policies, aur geopolitical developments. Pichle haftay ki 1.3043 tak barhne ki wajah positive economic data ya market sentiment ka shift tha jo British pound ki taraf mayil tha. Umooman, aane wale hatmoun-dakhal ke doran munaafi lena ya UK ya global economy ke mutaliq umeedon mein izafa aboor se jhoot kar sakti hai.

Concentration ke phases ke doran, traders aksar breakout ya breakdown points ka andaza lagane ke liye ahem levels of support aur resistance talash karte hain. 1.2859 level, jo ab support ka kaam kar raha hai, is maamle mein ahem hota hai. Iska yeh ke is level ka consolidation ke doran hold karna pair ke agle qadam ki ahem nishani hogi. Agar yeh level pakka taur par is maame me maddad karta hai, to bullish case ko support karega, jabke agar isse neeche gir jaye to yeh bearish shift ka ishara dega.

, GBP/USD currency pair tezi se barh kar 1.3043 tak pohancha, phir wapas aaya. Is hafte, pehli bias abhi bhi neutral hai, iska matlab hai ke pair zyada tar consolidation ka phase guzarega. Is consolidation ke doran, 1.2859 level se niche ki taraf jana manzoor hai, jo ab resistance se support ban gaya hai. Is support level ka tasdeeq se hona umeed hai aur ek aur tezi se upar ka raily shuru karega.

Agar GBP/USD 1.3043 level ko tode, to yeh ek mazeed tezi ki nishani hogi jo 1.2298 se shuru hui hai. Yeh breakout 1.2298 se 1.2859 tak ke move ka 100% projection hai, jo 1.2612 se shuru hota hai, 1.3173 par. Yeh target thora upar hai key medium-term resistance level 1.3141 se. Is projection ka paikar hona ek mazboot bullish trend ki taraf ishara hoga, kyunki 1.3141 resistance ko par karne se aur mazeed faiday mil sakte hain.

Magar, agar GBP/USD mazbooti se 1.2859 support level ko tode, to bias niche ki taraf mudega. Aisa action ek gehri girawat ko darshayega, kyunke yeh support todna bullish outlook ko kamzor kar dega aur bechnay ki dabao ko zyada indicate karega. Yeh manzar, GBP/USD ke qareebi direction ki dobara jaaiz ka mauqa dega, potential target ko kam karne se mukhatif hongay mojooda market dynamics ke doran.

GBP/USD pair ka movement mukhtalif factors se influence hota hai, jaise economic data releases, central bank policies, aur geopolitical developments. Pichle haftay ki 1.3043 tak barhne ki wajah positive economic data ya market sentiment ka shift tha jo British pound ki taraf mayil tha. Umooman, aane wale hatmoun-dakhal ke doran munaafi lena ya UK ya global economy ke mutaliq umeedon mein izafa aboor se jhoot kar sakti hai.

Concentration ke phases ke doran, traders aksar breakout ya breakdown points ka andaza lagane ke liye ahem levels of support aur resistance talash karte hain. 1.2859 level, jo ab support ka kaam kar raha hai, is maamle mein ahem hota hai. Iska yeh ke is level ka consolidation ke doran hold karna pair ke agle qadam ki ahem nishani hogi. Agar yeh level pakka taur par is maame me maddad karta hai, to bullish case ko support karega, jabke agar isse neeche gir jaye to yeh bearish shift ka ishara dega.

GBP/USD Pair ne North American session ke doran kaafi volatility dekhi, khaaskar jab yeh critical 1.2900 mark se neeche gira against the US Dollar. Yeh movement Bank of England ke faislay ke baad aayi, jo unhone apni current interest rates ko maintain karne ka faisla kiya, magar agle mahino mein rate cut ke aashiriyat ke saath. Natijatan, pair abhi 1.2911 par trade kar rahi hai, jo 0.39% ka modest increase hai.

Pair support level 1.26072 tak neeche aaya aur phir 1.26801 se 1.26072 ke range mein trade karne laga. Theoretically, pair ko apni decline ko continue karna chahiye tha, magar unexpectedly retrace kiya, shayad pre-election volatility ki wajah se. Aane wale elections ka asar uncertain hai, inflation ab bhi primary focus hai. Agar inflation further decline ya growth nahi dikhata, to pair is range se shift hone ka imkaan nahi. Abhi yeh apni previous highs ke kareeb trade kar raha hai, jo peculiar hai.

Euro-dollar pair modest upward movement dekh sakta hai. Hazir analysis ke mutabiq, pair apni current range ke upper limit tak pahunch sakta hai, jo mild rise ko indicate karta hai. Halaanki, pound ke elevated trading position ko dekhte hue, ek minor correction expected hai pehle ke pair eventually support level 1.26113 par settle ho.

Daily candle charts bearish rejection dikhate hain supply zone se upar 1.2940 ke, jo further declines ke expectations ko reinforce karta hai. 50-day EMA, jo abhi 1.25784 par hai, critical support level ban sakta hai agar selling pressure continue hota hai. Isi dauran, 20-day EMA ke weakening support jo 1.2837 par hai, GBP/USD ki vulnerability ko extended bearish movements ke liye underscore karta hai, jo potentially lows ko test kar sakti hai jo 2024 ke shuru mein around 1.2300 par dekhi gayi thi.

Good Afternoon!

Darhaqiqat, pound is waqt ziada upward strides nahi le raha, aur recent northern pullbacks zyada tar corrections lag rahi hain. Adjustment 38.4% level tak climb kar sakti hai jo ke 1.2650 par hai, jahan nearby resistance 1.2745 par exist karti hai. Lekin, main pound ka trend tab consider karunga jab yeh 36.4% level tak reach kare. Abhi ke liye, mere paas EMA200 resistance level par 1.2580 par hai, jo ke aagay ka development ke liye achi launching platform serve kar sakti hai.

Jab tak movement vigorous hai, yeh zaroori hai ke hum patterns aur figures analyze karein rather than making overly optimistic statements. GBP/USD chart par H1 aur H4 dekhne par, ek “Diamond” pattern form ho raha hai. Agar yeh pattern hold karta hai, toh hum expect kar sakte hain ke pound upcoming resistance levels 1.2715, phir EMA150, aur phir potentially 1.2645 (jo ke EMA50 ke paas hai) tak reach kare. Wahan se ek downside reversal possible hai. Lekin, yeh speculative hai, aur patterns aur calculations dono hi is scenario ko confirm aur disprove kar sakti hain. Filhal, yeh meri outlook hai.

Additionaly, pound 1.2758 se thoda pehle quietly drop ho sakta hai. Yahan bohot zyada levels consider karne ke liye nahi hain. Aapki best bet demand ko monitor karna hai around 1.2700 aur 1.2648. Isliye, main in levels par nazar rakhoonga jab tak current trend uncertain hai. Iske bawajood, substantial buying ho sakti hai, lekin medium term mein purchasing ka faida nahi lag raha. Pound ne cross-pairs mein significantly climb kiya hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke thodi restraint zaroori ho sakti hai. Resultantly, slight correction aur downward movement ka period expected hai kuch waqt ke liye.





4o

Good day. Aaj mujhe significant movements ki umeed nahi hai, kyun ke kal yeh movements ho chuki hain, aur khaaskar raat ke session mein kuch khaas hone ki umeed nahi hai due to the holiday in the USA.

Pound ke liye, hum is waqt ek interesting level par hain. Yahaan, interests ka clash ho sakta hai. Ek taraf, H4 timeframe par humein ek sell signal mila hai, aur main isay nahi bhoola hoon; iska potential ek blue column ke zariye target 1.25855 par mark kiya gaya hai. Jaise ke hum dekh sakte hain, market target level tak nahi pohnchi, magar kaafi qareeb thi. Ek taraf, main is idea ko sell karne ke liye zyada favorable prices ka intezar kar raha tha, kyun ke humara stop-loss level main peak 1.28588 ke beyond hai. Kal, level 1.27687 tak pohncha gaya tha, jo ke medium-term sellers ke liye apne positions enter karne ka tha with a risk-reward ratio of 1 to 2. Aur phir, level 1.27946 par zyada advantageous sales ke liye tha. Agle level par, hum 1 to 3 risk-reward ratio hasil karenge. Magar, is structure ke saath decline extremely unattractive lagta hai, yaani - bilkul attractive nahi.

Agar hum weekly timeframe par switch karte hain, to weekly candle par ek bohot strong rise hai, halan ke abhi tak isay consider nahi kiya ja sakta kyun ke hafta close nahi hua. Aur yahaan hum do worlds ke beech mein khade hain. Dono rise aur fall logical lag rahe hain. Magar rise ke liye, indicator signal on the H4 triggered hua hai, aur further targets abhi tak visible nahi hain. Dusri taraf, euro ke saath, main ek achi increase ki umeed kar raha hoon. Pound aur euro significant tareeke se differ nahi karenge, kyun ke yeh correlated hain.

Dusre chart par, maine Fibonacci grid apply ki hai. Yahaan, main isay ek ruler ke tor par use kar raha hoon, aur hum dekh sakte hain ke kal ka rise bilkul "1 to 2" level tak tha grid par. Maine "1 to 3" level mark nahi kiya, kyun ke yeh almost 23.6% level ke saath coincide karta hai in this case aur generally hamesha karta hai. Further levels follow karte hain, jise "1 to 4" aur aage kehte hain, taake dikhaya ja sake ke kis ratio ke saath one can enter the market with one idea or another. Yahaan, grid stretched hai without considering gaps, iska matlab ruler abhi bhi extend ho sakti hai quote errors aur gap from the level 1.28588 (beyond the peak level) ke liye.

GBP/USD pair Fed Chairman ki statement ke baad barh gaya jabke analysts aur market participants ka maanna hai ke September mein rate cut ka imkaan barh gaya hai. Stock prices barh gayi aur dollar generally weak hogaya jab Jerome Powell ne ECB Central Bank Forum mein kaha ke inflation ke liye kafi progress hui hai aur inflation kam karne ka process wapas track par aa gaya hai. Unhone yeh bhi kaha ke "unexpected weakness in the labor market will also prompt us to respond."

Investors yeh soch rahe hain ke kya Fed September mein interest rates cut kar payega, aur dollar gir gaya jab rate cut ke outcome par confidence barh gaya. Forex Trading ke mutabiq, GBP/USD resistance 1.2688 par pohanch gaya, jabke pehle din mein Powell ke committee mein bolne ke baad yeh 1.2615 tak gir gaya tha.

Week ke aghaz mein, GBP/USD exchange rate barh gaya jab investors ne European assets ko khareedna shuru kiya, French election ke nateejon ke baad jismein kisi bhi party ko majority nahi mili, trading platforms ke mutabiq. Din bhar gains erase hogayi, aur pair five-day low 1.2613 par trade kar raha tha likhne ke waqt.

U.S. Supreme Court ne Monday ko faisla diya ke former presidents ko prosecution se absolute immunity milti hai official actions ke liye jo office mein liye gaye, magar informal actions ke liye nahi. Is landmark ruling ka matlab hai ke election interference case against Donald Trump lower court mein wapas bhej diya jayega, jo phir decide karega ke rule kaise apply hoga.

Daily chart ke performance ke mutabiq, GBP/USD exchange rate 1.2600 support level ke neeche girne se bacha raha hai taake aur zyada losses se bacha ja sake. Pair ka yeh koshish tab tak kamiyab nahi hogi jab tak yeh resistance levels 1.2775 aur 1.2830 ki taraf move nahi karta. Aaj pair Fed meeting ke minutes ke release se effect hoga, aur kal British general election se. Iske ilawa, investors ka risk lene ki willingness ya unwillingness bhi asar dalegi.

GBP/USD European session mein Thursday ko 1.2750 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai. US dollar ke broadly softer hone ne pair ko buoyant rakha, lekin traders ne pound sterling par naye bets lene se bachke rahe, kyunke UK voters poll ki taraf ja rahe hain. GBP/USD iss waqt 1.2750 (static level) ke kareeb trade kar raha hai. Jab yeh level support ke tor par confirm ho jayega, 1.2800 (psychological level, static level) next resistance ke tor par dekha ja sakta hai pehle 1.2860 (June 12 high) ke. Downside par, 20-day simple moving average 1.2700 par support ke tor par align karta hai pehle 1.2670 (50-day SMA) aur 1.2650 (100-day SMA) ke.

GBP/USD 1.2800 ki taraf move kiya aur Wednesday, June 13 ke baad se apne highest level par pohanch gaya. Thursday ko market action ease hone ke saath, pair 1.2750 ke aas paas consolidation phase mein enter kar gaya. US dollar ke ird gird renewed selling pressure ne GBP/USD mein ek leg up extend kiya jab markets ne disappointing macroeconomic data releases pe react kiya. ADP ki monthly publication ne dikhaya ke private sector payrolls June mein 150,000 barhe, jo market ke expectation 160,000 se miss ho gaya, aur Labor Department ne announce kiya ke unemployment rose hua week ending June 29 mein. 238,000 applications benefits ke liye pehli baar receive hui, jo pichle week ke 233,000 se zyada thi. Iske ilawa, ISM Services PMI June mein 48.8 par aaya, jo May ke 53.8 se kam tha aur service sector business activity mein slowdown ko point out karta hai. Survey ke details ne dikhaya ke Employment Index aur Price Paid Index 46.1 aur 56.3 par respectively gir gaye.

Thursday ko US economic calendar mein koi macroeconomic data release nahi hoga, stock aur bond markets Independence Day holiday ke liye closed hain.

Is dauran, British voters ek general election mein vote denge jo Prime Minister Rishi Sunak ne bulaya hai. Opinion polls dikhate hain ke main opposition Labor Party ke landslide jeetne ka bohot strong chance hai, jisme Sir Keir Starmer agla Prime Minister of the United Kingdom ban sakte hain. Exit polls vote close hone ke shortly baad announce hone ki umeed hai 22:00 local time (21:00 GMT) par. Final results Friday morning ko early confirm hone ke chances hain. Friday ko, US Bureau of Labor Statistics June ke labor market data release karega. Iss important data release se pehle, investors bade positions lene se bach sakte hain, khas taur par ongoing UK election aur US holiday ke saath.

GBP/USD ne kal pichle daily range ke maximum ko update karne ke baad reversal kiya aur din ke end tak ek uncertainty ka candle bana, jis mein thodi bullish advantage thi. Overall, main abhi tak apne plans nahi badal raha is instrument ke liye aur main kareeb se nazar rakha hua hoon sabse qareebi resistance level par, jo ke meri analysis ke mutabiq 1.28000 par hai. Jab price is resistance level ko pohochayegi, to do scenarios ho sakte hain. Jaise ke maine pehle bhi zikr kiya, pehla priority scenario price ke is level ke upar consolidate karne aur mazeed growth ka hai. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, to main intezar karunga ke price resistance level 1.28938 ki taraf move kare. Jab price is resistance level ke upar consolidate karlegi, to main mazeed northward movement expect karunga, jo ke resistance level 1.29956 tak ho sakta hai. Is resistance level ke qareeb, main ek trading setup ke formation ka intezar karunga jo aagey ki trading direction ko determine karne mein madad karega. Zaroori nahi ke mazeed door ke northward targets achieve ho, lekin main is waqt unhe consider nahi kar raha kyunki unke jaldi realize hone ka perspective nahi dekh raha. Alternative scenario yeh hoga ke jab price resistance level 1.28000 ko test karegi to ek reversal candle banegi aur southward movement resume hogi. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, to main intezar karunga ke price support level 1.26568 ya 1.26340 tak wapas aaye. In support levels ke qareeb, main bullish signals talash karta rahunga, expecting ke upward price movement resume ho. General taur par, agar mukhtasir mein kahoon, to abhi ke liye main assume kar raha hoon ke ongoing accumulation impulsive northward price breakout ke saath end hogi aur buyers qareebi resistance levels ko test karne ke liye move karenge, aur phir main market situation ko accordingly assess karunga.
GBP/USD Asian session ke dauran thoda high hua. British euro ke baad peeche hai. Yeh zyadatar dollar ke recovery ke waja se against ek basket of major currencies tha. Sterling domestic political issues ke waja se pressure mein hai. Investors UK general election ke start ka intezar kar rahe hain. Aaj Britain mein koi economic calendar nahi hai. Saari tawajjo Eurozone aur US data par hai. Fed coordinator Powell ka speech 16:30 Moscow time par expected hai. Pair ke liye, pehli half of the day mein kuch upward correction ki umeed hai, lekin main scenario yeh hai ke downtrend barkarar hai. Expected reversal point 1.2685 hai aur main us point ke neeche sell karunga targets 1.2585 aur 1.2535 ke sath. Agar pair rise hota hai, 1.2685 mark ko break karta hai aur merge hota hai, to 1.2705 aur 1.2735 levels tak ka rasta khul jayega. In markers ke basis par, main phir se pair ko sell karne ki koshish karunga.

Aaj kal ke trading landscape mein, GBP/USD currency pair par strategic advice yeh hai ke current level par buying opportunities ko capitalize karna hai. Traders ko apne stop-loss levels ko price channels ke bilkul neeche set karna chahiye taake risk ko mitigate kiya ja sake. Doosri taraf, selling opportunities tab samne aayengi jab price in channels ko successfully break karega. Ek additional selling strategy yeh hai ke retest pattern ke liye intezar kiya jaye, jo price peak ke saath channel lines ko align karega break ke baad, aur phir 1.2757 level ki taraf sell karne ka entry point dega.

### Economic Factors Influencing the Market

US dollar ke recent decline ki wajah kuch key economic indicators hain. Ek weekly survey ne dikhaya ke US unemployment benefits ke liye filing karne walon ki tadaad barh gayi hai. Yeh data labor market mein potential weaknesses ko point out karta hai. Lekin dollar ke decline ka primary driver ek ISM survey tha jo services sector ki activity mein expected se zyada slowdown ko reveal karta hai. American economy ke largest sector mein yeh unexpected contraction ne significant market reactions ko janam diya.

ISM Services PMI June ke liye 48.8% par drop ho gaya, jo May ke 53.8% se kam tha. Yeh contraction market expectations, jo 52.5% ka reading predict kar rahe the, se considerably neeche tha. 50% se neeche ka PMI yeh suggest karta hai ke sector shrink ho raha hai, jo overall economic health aur growth prospects ke liye concerns ko barhata hai. Iss data ne speculation ko janam diya ke Federal Reserve shayad near future mein interest rates ko lower karne par ghoor kar raha hai, possibly September tak.

### Market Reactions

Economic data ke response mein, US bond yields gir gaye, dollar weaken ho gaya, aur stock prices barh gayi. GBP/USD pair ne significant jump experience kiya, reaching resistance level of 1.2780, jo do hafte se zyada ke highest tha, aur Thursday ke trading session ke start mein around 1.2740 stabilize ho gaya. Yeh movement American holiday aur upcoming British parliamentary elections ke anticipation se bhi influenced thi, jo market mein uncertainty aur volatility ko add karti hai.

### Economic Context

ISM Services PMI ka drop economists aur investors ke liye khaaskar concerning hai, kyunke yeh US economy mein potential vulnerabilities ko highlight karta hai. Services sector mein finance, healthcare, aur hospitality jaise vital industries shamil hain. Iss sector mein contraction broader economic issues ko signal kar sakti hai, jo employment, consumer spending, aur overall economic confidence ko affect karti hai.

Investors aur market participants aise economic indicators par closely attention dete hain, kyunke yeh potential future policy moves by the Federal Reserve ke valuable insights provide karte hain. Services PMI mein sharp decline ne speculation ko barhaya ke Fed shayad economy ko support karne ke liye interest rates ko cut karne par zyada inclined ho sakta hai. Lower interest rates typically ek weaker dollar ko lead karte hain kyunke yeh US assets ko foreign investors ke liye kam attractive banate hain jo higher returns ko seek karte hain. Yeh dynamic recent market reactions mein evident thi, jahan British pound ne dollar ke against strength show ki.

### Political Factors

British parliamentary elections ke anticipation ne market dynamics mein ek aur layer of complexity add ki. Political events currency values ko significantly impact kar sakte hain kyunke yeh uncertainty ko introduce karte hain aur economic policy mein changes ko lead kar sakte hain. Traders aksar aise environments mein cautious approach adopt karte hain, potential outcomes aur unke economic stability aur growth par implications ke base par apne positions ko adjust karte hain.

### Strategic Trading Considerations

Traders ke liye, economic data aur market movements ke interplay ko samajhna crucial hai. Current advice yeh hai ke buying opportunities par focus kiya jaye present level par, observed market conditions aur dollar ke further weakness ke potential ko dekhte hue. Stop-loss levels ko price channels ke neeche set karne se risk ko manage karne mein madad milti hai, adverse movements ke against protect karte hue. Conversely, selling strategy involves monitoring for a break in the channels aur retest pattern ka intezar karna, jo ek secure entry point provide karta hai 1.2691 level ki taraf sell karne ke liye.

In conclusion, recent economic data aur political developments ne ek dynamic aur volatile trading environment create kiya hai. Key indicators ke baare mein informed rehkar aur strategically apne trades ko manage karke, investors in challenges ko navigate kar sakte hain aur emerging opportunities ko capitalize kar sakte hain. Economic conditions, market reactions, aur political events ke interplay ne ek well-rounded aur informed trading strategy ki importance ko underscore kiya hai.

US dollar ki keemat mein girawat hui jab ek weekly survey ne yeh dikhaya ke US unemployment benefits ke liye filing karne walon ki tadaad barh gayi hai. Yeh downward trend aur bhi zyada barh gaya jab Institute for Supply Management (ISM) ka ek significant survey aaya, jo services sector ki activity mein ek unexpected aur sharp slowdown ko reveal karta hai. Iske natije mein, British pound ne US dollar ke muqable mein surge kiya, aur 1.2777 ka resistance level chhoo liya, jo do hafton se zyada ka highest tha, aur Thursday ke trading ke start mein 1.2740 par stabilize ho gaya. Yeh movement American holiday aur looming British parliamentary elections ke backdrop mein hui.

Economic calendar ke results ne situation ki severity ko underline kiya. US ISM Services PMI (Purchasing Managers' Index) June mein gir kar 48.8% par aa gaya, jo ke activity mein contraction ko signal karta hai. Yeh May ke 53.8% se significant drop tha aur market expectations, jo 52.5% ka reading anticipate kar rahe the, se bhi neeche tha. Services sector, jo American economy ka largest component hai, economic assessments aur forecasts mein crucial role play karta hai. PMI mein yeh marked decline market participants ko speculate karne par majboor kar gaya ke Federal Reserve shayad September mein US interest rates ko lower karne par assured ho sakta hai. Natije mein, US bond yields decrease hui, dollar weaken ho gaya, aur stock prices mein uptick dekhne ko mili.

ISM Services PMI mein yeh sharp contraction economists aur market analysts ke liye cause for concern hai. 50% se neeche ka reading yeh indicate karta hai ke services sector, jo industries jaise ke finance, healthcare, aur hospitality shamil hain, shrink ho raha hai. Yeh contraction broader economic health ke liye far-reaching implications rakh sakta hai. June ka figure 48.8% na sirf expectations se neeche tha, balki pichle mahine ke muqable mein bhi significant downturn ko highlight karta hai, jo current economic landscape ki volatility aur unpredictability ko dikhata hai.

Investors in indicators ko closely monitor karte hain kyunke yeh broader economic trends aur Federal Reserve ke potential policy responses ke insights provide karte hain. Bond yields mein drop aur dollar ke subsequent fall se market sentiment mein ek shift reflect hoti hai, kyunke investors apne portfolios ko potential rate cuts ke anticipation mein adjust karte hain. Lower interest rates typically ek weaker dollar ko lead karte hain kyunke yeh US assets ko foreign investors ke liye kam attractive banate hain jo higher returns seek karte hain. Market ke reaction mein yeh dynamic evident thi, jahan British pound ne dollar ke decline se benefit kiya.

Currency values aur economic indicators ke beech relationship complex hai aur various factors, including investor sentiment, geopolitical events, aur policy decisions se influenced hota hai. British parliamentary elections ke anticipation ne market movements mein ek aur layer of uncertainty add ki, kyunke political developments significant impact daal sakte hain. Traders aur investors aksar aise environments mein cautious approach adopt karte hain, latest data aur potential outcomes ke base par apne positions ko adjust karte hain.

Summary mein, US dollar ki recent decline rising unemployment claims aur services sector ki activity mein stark slowdown ke combination se driven thi, jaise ke ISM Services PMI ne evidence diya. Is economic data ne market speculation ko spurred kiya regarding possible Federal Reserve actions, leading to decrease in bond yields aur weaker dollar. British pound ne surge experience kiya, jo global financial markets ki interconnectedness ko reflect karta hai. Economic aur political developments continue hone ke saath, market participants vigilant rehte hain, evolving landscape ke mutabiq adapt karte hain.

Hamari guftagu GBP/USD currency pair ki real-time evaluation par markazi hai. Technical analysis ke liye, maine resistance aur support ko represent karne wali diagonal lines plot ki hain. Agla qadam yeh hai ke US Federal Reserve System ke head ka speech 16:39 Moscow time par attentively monitor karen. Iske ilawa, 16:59 par labor market vacancy statistics release hongi, jo kam az kam local volatility cause karengi. Hamne 1.2614 tak decline orchestrate kiya, aur price 59 points se badh gayi. Spread ko exclude karte hue, result commendable hai. Ham 18:01 ke baad GBP/USD situation ko dobara assess karenge, jisme Fibonacci grid ka review bhi shamil hoga, focusing on the 100 – 161.7 range on smaller intervals. Price view aur sentiment mein koi tabdeeli ka sign nahi hai.

Kal chhutti hai, lekin trading limited form mein continue hogi, aur Thursday ek complete holiday hoga. Yeh ek skewed week ka natija hai, jo significantly Friday se shuru hoti hai, jo major players ko invest karne se deter kar sakti hai. Agar sirf speculative movements hoti hain, toh wahi sawal paida hota hai. Mera aaj ka main concern yeh hai ke Americans apni holidays aaj shuru karenge ya kal; lagta hai ke aaj hi shuru karenge. GBP/USD rebound barh gaya, mere target zone 1.2639-59 tak pohanch gaya. Ek impulse downwards se pullback zaroori hai, aiming as close as possible to the 27th figure, aur possibly breaking through. Kal ka high surpass karna mushkil hai, lekin movement ke doran closely observe karna zaroori hai. Maine apni position already close kar li, current profit ko potential gains par value karte hue. Overall, situation uncertain hai. Yeh scenarios possible outcomes ko reflect karte hain. Agar slope break hota hai, buyers upper hand hasil kar lenge.

US dollar ki keemat mein kami aayi jab ek weekly survey ne yeh zahir kiya ke US unemployment benefits ke liye apply karne walon ki tadaad mein izafa hua hai, lekin selling ka rujhan tab aur barh gaya jab ISM survey of the services sector ne activity mein unexpected sharp slowdown ko dikhaya. Iska natija yeh hua ke British pound ki keemat US dollar ke muqablay mein barh kar 1.2777 resistance level tak pohanch gayi, jo ke do hafton se zyada ka highest level tha, aur Thursday ki trading ke aghaz mein 1.2740 ke aas paas settle ho gayi. Yeh movement American holiday aur British parliamentary elections ke anticipation ke doran hui.

### Economic Calendar Results

US headline ISM Services PMI June mein 48.8% par pohanch gaya, jo ke activity mein contraction ko zahir karta hai, May ke 53.8% se kam hai. Yeh decline expectations ke muqablay mein significant tha, kyun ke consensus ne 52.5% ki reading expect ki thi. Service companies puri tarah se American economy ka sabse bara sector hain. Markets ne is loss ke size par react kiya aur yeh bet lagaya ke Federal Reserve September mein US interest rates ko cut karne par confident mehsoos karega. Iske jawaab mein, US bond yields gir gayi, dollar gir gaya, aur stock prices barh gayi.

ISM report ne dikhaya ke US companies jo naye orders expect kar rahi hain, unka level 47.3% par aa gaya, jo ke Great Financial Crisis ke baad ka lowest level hai aur 2001 recession se bhi kam hai. Price index June mein 56.3% par record hua, jo May ke 58.1% se 1.8 percentage points kam hai. ING Bank ke analysts ne kaha: "Yeh zaroor September mein rate cut ke case ko mazboot karta hai, kyun ke yeh weak growth, slowing inflation aur deteriorating jobs market ko zahir karta hai." "Fed recession ko avoid karna chahta hai agar yeh mumkin ho."

### Unemployment Claims

Kal. Labor Department ne report kiya ke Americans jo naye unemployment benefits ke liye apply kar rahe hain unki tadaad last week mein 4,000 se barh kar seasonally adjusted 238,000 tak pohanch gayi. Consensus forecast 235 thousand ka tha. US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ne Tuesday ko kaha ke agar labor market deteriorate karta hai toh interest rates ko lower karne ka mauka hai. Yeh signal tha ke Fed interest rates ko cut karne ke liye open hoga jab tak inflation 2.0% target tak moderate nahi hoti.

### GBP/USD Forecast Today

Jaisa ke maine pehle bhi kaha, GBP/USD price ka resistance 1.2775 ke upar stabilize hona bulls ko further movement higher mein support karega. Agla stop 1.2830 hoga, jahan bullish control barh sakta hai, aur 1.3000 psychological resistance area ko dobara test karne ki baat barh rahi hai. Iske liye weak US job numbers aur British parliamentary elections ke results se sterling par confidence ka return zaroori hai. Dusri taraf, daily chart par support level 1.2600 sabse important rahega bears ke control ke liye.

Aane wale ghanton aur kal ki price trend upward hone ki umeed hai. Price ne aaj apne trading ko achi support area mein shuru kiya, jab price weekly level 1.2740 ke upar stabilize hui, aur price ascending price channels ki lower lines par hai.


Aaj GBP/USD pair par trading advice yeh hai ke maujooda level se buy karne ka moka dekhein aur stop loss level ko price channels ke neeche set karen. Selling ka moka tab hoga jab price channels ko torhne mein kamiyab hoti hai. Yeh bhi mumkin hai ke ek retest pattern ka intizaar kiya jaye jo ke channels ko torhne ke baad price peak ke sath form hota hai, jisse 1.2691 level tak sell karne ka moka milega.

### Economic Factors

US dollar ki keemat mein kami aayi jab ek weekly survey ne yeh zahir kiya ke US unemployment benefits ke liye apply karne walon ki tadaad mein izafa hua hai, lekin selling ka rujhan tab barh gaya jab ISM survey of the services sector ne activity mein unexpected sharp slowdown ko dikhaya. Iska natija yeh hua ke GBP/USD price 1.2780 resistance level tak jump kar gayi, jo ke do hafton se zyada ka highest level tha, aur Thursday ki trading ke aghaz mein 1.2740 ke aas paas settle hui, American holiday aur British parliamentary elections ke anticipation ke doran.

Economic calendar ke natayij ke mutabiq... US headline ISM Services PMI June mein 48.8% par pohanch gaya, jo ke activity mein contraction ko zahir karta hai, May ke 53.8% se kam hai. Yeh decline expectations ke muqablay mein significant tha, kyun ke consensus ne 52.5% ki reading expect ki thi. Service companies American economy ka sabse bara sector hain. Markets ne is loss ke size par react kiya aur bet lagaya ke Federal Reserve September mein US interest rates ko cut karne par confident mehsoos karega. Iske jawaab mein, US bond yields gir gayi, dollar gir gaya, aur stock prices barh gayi.