جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

GBP/USD currency pair ke price movements ka analysis karain ge. Friday ko yeh pair bearish movement mein tha aur week ka end ek bearish correction ke sath kiya. Forex pe Pound ka exchange rate US Dollar ke against 1.2918 par tha. Daily chart pe dekha jaye to kuch dinon ke liye sideways trend ka andaza hai. Monday ke liye technical analysis suggest karta hai ke bullish trend dominate kar sakta hai. Moving averages aur technical indicators buying recommend kar rahe hain aur overall output bhi ek solid buy indicate karta hai. Significant news US ya UK se expected nahi hai, isliye sideways movement ke chances zyada hain. Buy positions 1.2929 ke resistance level tak pohanch sakti hain, jabke sell positions 1.2879 ke support level tak ja sakti hain. Week ke end pe prices 1.2918 par thi aur moving averages indicate karte hain ke short-term sideways trend ho sakta hai. Prices ne week ke seller pressure se rebound liya. Weekly forecast ke mutabiq, British Pound US Dollar ke against grow karne ki koshish karega aur 1.2979 ke resistance ko test karega. Yeh potential rise British Pound ke liye market mein positive turn ka hope deti hai. Agar British Pound US Dollar ke against 1.2999 area ko cross kar leta hai to yeh continued rise ko indicate karega aur potential target 1.3099 levels ho sakta hai. Lekin agar quotes wapas down bounce hoti hain, to decline ka target 1.2859 ke around ho sakta hai.

GBP/USD currency pair ki price action hamari analysis aur guftagu ka mawad hoga. Dono pound aur dollar similar behavior dikha rahe hain. Zaroori khabron ki kami ke bawajood, zyada active movement ab bhi range ke andar honi chahiye. Abhi volatility kam hai support tak slide ke baad. Level ka ahmiyat ke baraks, main kal 1.2890 todne ka shak kar raha tha; agar yeh toot jata hai to sellers ko majboot kar deta hai aur ek palat confirm karta hai. Shayad thoda aur neeche ho sakta hai, aur main 20 points ya usse kam par Friday ke low ko update karne ki sambhavna ko taal sakte hain Monday subah. Agar yeh ho gaya, serious buying ho sakti hai, giravat ko band karke ek growth pattern banati hai. Is scenario ki sambhavna zyada hai kyunki sellers ne hilte nahi the haal hi mein hue nichle movement ke doran.
Agar pound 1.2959 ke upar chadhta hai, to giravat ko dobara draw karna padega, jisse buyers ko price ko dobara maximum ki taraf badhane ki ijazat milegi. Market band hone par kal, bulls 29 figure ke shuruvat mein laut sakte hain. Chalte hue trading week ki shuruat dekhte hain, khas kar market opening par gaps sambhav hain. Main ab bhi vartaman halat mein buying ko support karta hoon. Shayad wo upar 1.2889 tak chale jaye, lekin main ab bhi ek upar ki chal ko ummidwar hoon jisme minimum target 1.2659 hai, jo mere trading tactics ke sath milti hai. Main is goal ko nazar andaaz karunga dekhne ke liye ki bulls price ko round 1.2999 mark tak badha sakte hain. Bullish trend ab tak gayab nahi hua hai, aur vartaman giravat sirf ek correction thi. Downside reversal abhi tak confirmed nahi hai, isliye main buyers ko jaldi se nahi kharij kar raha hoon. Agli week, ham sideways movement dekhenge, vartaman price apne lower limit par hai.

GBP/USD currency pair ke dynamic pricing behavior ka real-time mein tajzia kar rahe hain. 1.2938 level ne apni ahmiyat dikhayi hai, jo indicate karta hai ke hum ab 1.2999 (5/8 channel ka top) aur 1.2938 (4/8) ke beech consolidate kar sakte hain aur upper limit ko test karne ka chance hai. Yeh pair trading week ke end tak is range mein reh sakta hai. Magar, British CPI data kal fluctuations ka sabab ban sakti hai. Agar inflation expected se kam hoti hai, to ho sakta hai ke hum 1.2999 ko touch na kar sakein. Is surat mein, bears 1.2938 support level ko break karne ki koshish karenge aur 1.2877 ka aim rakhenge.
Do hafton ki growth ke baad, GBP/USD pair ne aakhirkar is saal ke highs ko surpass kar liya aur ho sakta hai ke July mein pichle saal ka peak bhi reach kare, khas taur par 13th ko. Is hafte, upward momentum ruk gaya aur aaj reverse bhi hua. Yeh pending orders ka reset ho sakta hai, jiske baad pair apna ascent resume kar sakti hai, ya phir ek complex false breakout ho sakta hai jo extra liquidity ko sell orders ke liye istemal kar raha hai.
Halat jald clear ho jayegi, magar abhi uncertainty barqarar hai. Main anticipate kar raha tha ke pair inflation data release se pehle grey range mein trade karega, jo inflation stagnation ka end signal karega. Post-inflation data, main expect kar raha tha ke pair grey range mein wapas chala jayega, kyunki sirf 0.01% inflation drop par growth unjustified lagti hai
Federal Reserve aur Bank of England ke speeches ke baad, pair ne decline continue kiya, jiske baad ek pullback aaya, jo mujhe simple rollback laga. Us waqt pair ki growth ne mujhe hairaan kar diya, aur yeh pre-election movement ho sakti hai. Jab yeh grey range ke upar wapas chala gaya, sellers ne volume gain kiya. Main soch raha tha ke yeh grey range mein wapas descend karega, magar yeh climb karta raha. Yeh rise bilkul unwarranted lag rahi hai. Pair ke current levels ko koi fundamental factor support nahi karta; yahan buyer volume accumulate kar raha hai.
GBP/USD neechayi ki trend banane ke umda signs dikha raha hai, lekin yeh yeh pair upar ki taraf bhi trend banane mein qabil hai. Pair phir se ooncha ja raha hai, aur overall, yeh logic ke khilaaf lihaaz kar raha hai. Halankay, koi bhi inkar nahi kar sakta ke halqi economic reports ne pound ko support kiya hai.
Wednesday ko, pound sterling dhire dhire 1.2913 ke level ki taraf gir sakta hai. Is mein kuch din lag sakte hain 45 pips guzarne mein. Lekin tezi se girawat ka tawaqo nahi hai, jab tak ke pound trend line ko nahi todti. Aur agar todti bhi hai, to yeh bilkul ho bhi nahi sakta. Is halaat mein kam az kam panch martaba ho chuka hai.
5M chart par key levels 1.2457, 1.2502, 1.2541-1.2547, 1.2605-1.2633, 1.2684-1.2693, 1.2748, 1.2791-1.2798, 1.2848-1.2860, 1.2913, 1.2980 hain. Wednesday ko UK June ke liye ahem inflation report publish karega, jo pound par dabaav daal sakta hai kyunke inflation mazeed neeche gir sakti hai. Lekin market ne sab pichli inflation girawaton ka pound bech kar taqatwar kiya nahi hai.

GBP/USD ne recently achi growth dikhayi hai. Price resistance 1.2893 ke qareeb aa gayi hai, jahan se pehle yeh sharply gir chuki thi. Yeh is saal ka maximum hai. Dekhte hain ke market kaise react karta hai US inflation data par, jo ek ghante se kam me publish hone wala hai. Mujhe GBP/USD me strong reaction ki umeed hai. Agar price positively react karti hai, to mujhe resistance ke breakout aur 1.3000 ke round level ki taraf further growth ki umeed hai. Shuru me, main yeh kehna chahunga ke maine Powell ke Senate speech ke theses parhe hain, aur do din tak usne wahi baatein repeat ki hain. "Monetary policy ko jaldi ease karna nuqsan de sakta hai; rate cut appropriate nahi jab tak Fed ko stable decline in inflation ka confidence nahi ho jata; Fed ne inflation ko target 2% tak lane me significant progress ki hai, latest monthly figures modest further progress dikha rahi hain; Fed ko rate cut ke liye more favorable inflation data chahiye."

Aur bhi baatein. Ek stupid question about raising the rate achanak se GBP/USD price tag ko northward move nahi kar sakta. Bas financial world ke monsters crowd ke against pull kar rahe hain. Ab, main cheez yeh hai ke aaj ka inflation expected se lower na nikle. 1.2660 ka wait kar raha hoon. Warna, mujhe acha rebound downward aur bunch of debt levels ka working out ki umeed hai jo neeche chodh diye gaye hain. Relevant targets 1.2700 aur 1.2680 par honge. Main current ones se pound ko buy karna consider nahi kar raha kyun ke woh already significant correction ke baghair high par enter ho chuke hain aur dollar index support me hai, is liye main aaj ki publications ke results par dollar ke growth ko assume karunga. Lekin yeh sirf guesses hain, is liye hum immediate market reaction ka wait kar rahe hain. Aur phir decide karenge ke incomplete correction ke saath kya karna hai. Well, jab tak stagnation hai, maine medium-term scheme ko update karne ka faisla kiya, aur is par kuch baatein kahunga. Support 1.2700 par hai, well aur conclusion yeh hai ke jab tak price higher hai, iska matlab medium-term trend northern hai. Well, conclusion number one hai upward trend, aur conclusion number two hai downward trend jo complete nahi hui.

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GBP/USD:
GBP/USD pair is waqt hourly chart par downtrend mein hai, aur price moving average ke neeche hai, jo bears ki strength ko zahir karta hai. Zig-zag indicator bhi southern direction ko signal kar raha hai, kyunke notable highs aur lows decline ho rahe hain. Intraday trading ke liye, 1.2710 area se sell karna aur pehla profit target 1.2710 par aur doosra target 1.2650 par rakhna, aur stop loss 1.2690 ke aas paas rakhna prudent lagta hai. Dosri option yeh hai ke agar pair 1.2700 cost area ke upar break aur consolidate kar le, to buy karna, take profit 1.2670 par aur stop loss 1.2600 par consider kiya ja sakta hai.
Daily chart par, GBP/USD ne March ke low ko break karne ke bawajood uske neeche close karne mein struggle kiya hai. Stochastic oscillator aur five-period smoothed moving average neechay ka ishara karte hain, jo continued downward pressure ko suggest karta hai. Is haftay GBP/USD ko sell karna ek acha profit de sakta hai, pehla target downward movement ke liye 1.2580 ke qareeb ya 100-period Bollinger band ka pehla lower band ho sakta hai.
Pair ne abhi recent support 1.2645 par return kiya hai, jo anticipate kiya gaya tha. Aaj Bank of England ka decision pound ke next month ke direction ke liye crucial hoga. Bloomberg survey ke mutabiq, rate hike probability 60/40 hai surveyed analysts ke darmiyan. Yeh ek risky forecast banata hai, is liye announcement ke doran side lines par rehna behtar hai. Agar Bank of England rate unchanged chhodti hai, to pound 1.2790 tak gir sakta hai. Market votes ko bhi scrutinize karega for aur against rate increase. Agar rate 30% se raise kiya gaya, aur 1.2610 break hota hai, to pair buying phase mein enter ho sakta hai, jo ke 1.2768 tak increase karne ki potential hai.

image_200907.jpgGBP/USD currency pair ne pehle barhavat dikhayi aur 1.27248 ke resistance level tak pohanch gaya. Resistance level wo hota hai jahan par price ko uper jane mein mushkil hoti hai kyunki sellers us point par active ho jate hain aur price ko niche le aate hain. Magar, is particular situation mein, GBP/USD ne is resistance ko touch karne ke baad bhi apni upward movement jari rakhi. Jab GBP/USD resistance level ko cross kar gaya, is se ye indication milti hai ke market mein strong bullish sentiment hai. Ye bhi mean karta hai ke buyers ka pressure sellers ke pressure se zyada tha, jo ke price ko upar le jane mein madadgar sabit hua. Technical analysis ke perspective se, is tarah ke breakout ko significant mana jata hai, kyunki ye potential trend continuation ka signal hota hai. Is scenario mein kuch key factors involve ho sakte hain. Pehle to economic indicators

Aur fundamental news events ka influence ho sakta hai. Example ke tor par, agar UK ki economy se related positive data release hota hai, to GBP ki demand barh sakti hai, jo ke GBP/USD pair ki value ko uper le jata hai. Similarly, agar US dollar weak hota hai kisi negative economic news ya policy changes ke karan, to bhi GBP/USD barh sakta hai. Abhi GBP/USD pair ki price 1.2715 par hai. Friday ko price H4 chart par 1.2812 critical level se decline hokar sell movements ke sath close hui thi. Yeh significant decline is baat ko darshata hai ke market mein bearish sentiment maujood hai. Agar Monday ko price downtrend ko continue karti hai, to agla target 1.2600 tak ho sakta hai, jo ek aur critical support level hai. Yeh level important hai kyun ke yahan par buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan significant battle ho sakti hai. Abhi ke liye, price 50 aur 100 SMA (Simple Moving Averages) ke neeche chal rahi hai, jo ke bearish trend ka strong indication hai. SMA ke neeche price ka hona typically yeh suggest

GBP/USD Price Move
Hamari aaj ki guftagu GBP/USD currency pair ke price action analysis par hogi. GBP/USD pair ne ek ideal sell signal dikhaya. Daily chart par 1.2999 ke critical level ka false breakdown hua. Hum ne ascending channel ko bhi break kiya, isliye agla target 1.2829 tha, uske baad 1.2739, jo ab sellers ka primary target hai. Magar, mujhe Monday ko fall ke hawale se reservations hain; ek mini flat ho sakta hai, isliye agar koi current deals nahi hain to week ke start mein trade karna best nahi hoga. Yeh period growth dikhata hai jo do aur aadha hafta tak rahi, aur mid-last week downward correction shuru hui. Main ne week ke shuru mein decline anticipate ki thi kyunki ek growth cycle ke three waves complete ho chuki thi, jahan pehli wave kareeban third ke size ke barabar thi. Prices week ke shuru mein drop hoti nazar aayi, magar 1.2932 ke horizontal support level ne further descent roka. Pullback sirf fourth wave thi, jo fifth wave ki taraf le gayi. Fifth wave end hui, aur MACD indicator par ek bearish divergence form hui—jo ek strong sell signal hai.

Hum highs se neeche aaye, aur fifth wave se saare gains erase ho gaye. Pehle, main ne anticipate kiya tha ke minimum growth wave ke neeche exit hoga, jo hua, aur support level 1.2932 ko break karke neeche stabilize hua. Continuing decline ka high probability hai towards support zone between 1.2856 aur 1.2839. Yeh immediately descend nahi karega; week ke start mein 1.2932 ke minimum resistance level tak ya even higher pullback ho sakta hai. CCI indicator, jo lower overheating zone se rise karne ki koshish kar raha hai, correction ko bhi suggest karta hai. Naturally, buying yahan koi sense nahi banata kyunki correction potential abhi tak nahi hai. Specified support zone ke kareeb buying consider karein, magar abhi act karna premature hai.

GBP/USD
#GBPUSD (British Pound / US Dollar). Chaliye H1 timeframe par is instrument/currency pair ka analysis karte hain aur transaction mein enter karne ke liye sabse optimal point dhoondhte hain taake achi kamai ho sake. Competent technical analysis ke liye pehle 4-hour timeframe ka chart kholna zaroori hai, jo humein current trend ko sahi se determine karne mein madad karega. Working indicators jo hum market situation ko assess karne ke liye use karenge, wo hain HamaSystem, RSI Trend aur Magnetic_Levels_Color. Hama aur RSI Trend indicators ke mutabiq, humein bohot clear bearish interest nazar aa raha hai - dono indicators ne red signal diya hai, jo market mein sellers ki prevailing strength ko indicate karta hai. Isliye, hum ek short sell transaction open karenge. Hum position ko magnetic levels indicator ke basis par exit karenge. Aaj ke liye yeh 1.28631 hain. Jab quotes desired price mark tak pohnch jaye, tab other target levels ko bearish range mein dekhna chahiye jo chart par indicate kiye gaye hain. Agar price actively aur confidently south ki taraf move karti hai, to hum Trailing stop (sliding stop order, trawling) ko activate karenge aur profit ke further increase ke liye wait karenge. Sales ka ek hissa fix karna aur baaki ko breakeven par transfer karna bhi mumkin hai. Agar market quotes ka movement slow down hone lage ya volatility clear cessation ho jaye, to hum deal ko already received profit ke sath firm close karenge aur naye clear signal ka wait karenge.

GBP/USD pair abhi bhi downward trend mein hai. Northern zigzag ke liye abhi koi signals nahi hain, aur hum sirf guess kar sakte hain ke kaha se upward move shuru ho sakti hai. Mera assumption hai ke yeh 1.2889 se ya 1.2875 se neeche shuru ho sakti hai. Yeh humein north ke liye formed signal se pata chalega. Monday ko economic news reports nahi hain, aur sirf geopolitical nuances influence karengi. Biden election race mein rehta hua lag raha hai, halankeh uski chances kam hain. Aur jab main yeh likh raha tha, tab news aayi ke Biden apni candidacy withdraw kar raha hai. Ab hum opening se speculators ki reaction dekhain ge. Shayad, current levels se 1.2950 ki taraf rollback shuru ho, shayad gap ke sath bhi, halankeh abhi north ke signals nahi hain. Main ne yeh option white mein draw kiya hai. 1.2960 ke upar future decline ke liye desirable nahi hai, kyunki isse M30 ko north ki taraf rebuild kiya jayega aur south ki march indefinite delay ho sakti hai. Filhal mujhe lagta hai ke news ke basis par opening se north shoot ho sakta hai. Yeh mera guess hai.

#GBPUSD (British Pound / US Dollar). H1 timeframe par is currency pair/instrument ke liye ek bohot hi favorable trading opportunity ban rahi hai jo profitable selling trade ke liye hai. Analysis ke liye jo teen indicators hum use karenge - HamaSystem, RSI Trend, aur Magnetic_Levels_Color - wo humein sabse advantageous quotes par short positions open karne ka mauka denge. Market mein achi profit position hasil karne ke liye sabse promising entry point ko sahi se choose karna zaroori hai, aur iske liye kuch important conditions ko check karna padega. Sabse pehle, higher timeframe H4 par current trend ko sahi se identify karna zaroori hai taake market sentiment ko galat na samjha jaye, jo financial losses ka sabab ban sakta hai. Iske liye, hum apne instrument ka 4-hour timeframe ka chart dekhenge aur dekhenge ke key condition meet ho rahi hai ya nahi - H1 aur H4 timeframes par trend movements bilkul match karne chahiye. Isliye, pehli rule ko check karke hum ye ensure kar sakte hain ke aaj market humein selling trade mein enter karne ka ek excellent opportunity de rahi hai. Aage ki analysis mein hum indicators ke signals par rely karenge.
Jab Hama aur RSI indicators color change karke red ho jaye, to yeh bearish interest ki main confirmation hoga aur iska matlab hai ke sellers market par dominate kar rahe hain. Jaise hi indicators required color change karenge, hum market mein enter karenge aur selling trade open karenge. Position ko close karne ka point magnetic levels indicator readings ke basis par hoga. Filhal, signal execution ke liye sabse promising levels hain - 1.28631. Zaroori targets achieve karne ke baad, price action ko magnetic level ko surpass karne ke baad carefully monitor karna zaroori hai, aur decide karna hoga - ya to position ko market mein rakhna next magnetic level tak, ya phir already obtained profit ko lock karna. Agar potential profit ko increase karne ki khwahish ho, to trailing stop use kiya ja sakta hai.

Aaj ke din GBP/USD currency pair 1.2933 ya pichle din ke market closing price se upar trade ho rahi hai. Daily candle ab bhi MA 24 line ke upar hai, lekin yeh niche ki taraf move karne ki koshish kar rahi hai aur MA 24 line ke qareeb aa rahi hai. Stochastic indicator 5.3.3 is waqt level 20 ki taraf ja raha hai jo dikhata hai ke sellers abhi bhi market mein dominate kar rahe hain, isliye yeh mumkin hai ke GBP/USD pair abhi bhi bearish trend ko continue kare. Is hafte ke shuru mein, USD index mazboot nazar aa raha hai jo doosri currency pairs ke movements ko bhi affect karega, including GBP/USD. Technically, GBP/USD pair ke bearish trend ko continue karne ki potential hai, lekin pehle ek upward correction ho sakti hai. Hum yeh dekh kar sell ka action lene ke mauqe dekhenge, aur sahi risk management implement karenge taake account ki resilience mazboot aur achi rahe. Aaj ke liye meri trading plan yeh hai ke main 1.2933 pe sell order place karunga, profit target 1.2903 pe rakhunga aur stoploss 1.2963 pe set karunga. Lot size measured hoga aur trading account ki resilience ke mutabiq adjust karunga. Yeh mera aaj ka trading journal update hai, umeed hai ke yeh mufeed hoga aur doosre friends ke liye reference ban sakta hai market mein entry determine karne ke liye. Market mein sabse promising entry point ko sahi se chunne ke liye kuch aham sharaait ka khayal rakhna zaroori hai. Sabse pehle, higher timeframe H4 pe current trend ko sahi se pehchanna zaroori hai taake market sentiment ko galat samajhne ki ghalti se bacha ja sake, jo ke financial losses ka sabab ban sakta hai. Is ke liye, hum apne instrument ka chart 4-hour timeframe pe study karte hain aur dekhte hain ke key condition puri hoti hai ya nahi - H1 aur H4 timeframes pe trend movements ka milna zaroori hai. Agar yeh pehla rule pura hota hai, toh hum yeh yaqeen kar sakte hain ke aaj market humein ek behtareen opportunity de raha hai ke hum selling trade mein enter kar sakein.

Price Action Signals: GBP/USD

GBP/USD currency pair ka price action hamari analysis aur discussion ka mawzu hoga. Dono, pound aur euro, similar behaviors dikha rahe hain. Ahmiyat wali khabron ke baghair bhi, zyadah active movement ab bhi range ke andar honi chahiye. Is waqt, volatility minimal hai jab se slide support pe conclude hui hai. Given level ki ahmiyat ko dekhte hue, mujhe shak tha ke woh 1.2890 ko break karenge; is ko break karne se sellers ko taqat milti aur reversal confirm hota hai. Yeh thoda aur neeche slide ho sakti hai, aur main is imkan ko bhi nazar andaz nahi kar sakta ke GBP/USD Monday subah ke waqt Friday ke low ko 20 points ya is se kam update kar sakta hai. Agar yeh hota hai, to serious buying ho sakti hai, decline ko close karte hue aur growth pattern bana sakti hai. Is scenario ka imkan zyadah hai kyunki recent downward movement ke dauran sellers ne khas engage nahi kiya tha.
Agar pound 1.2959 se upar chala jata hai, to decline ko phir se redraw karna padega, jo buyers ko price ko maximum ke taraf push karne ki ijazat dega. Kal market close hone par, bulls shayad 29th figure ke beginning pe wapas aa gaye the. Dekhte hain agle trading week kaise shuru hota hai, khaaskar kyun ke market opening pe gaps hone ka imkan hai. Mai ab bhi current situation mein buying ko favor karta hoon. Shayad woh 1.2889 tak pierce karen, lekin mai ab bhi ek upward move expect kar raha hoon with a minimum target of 1.2959, jo meri trading tactics ke mutabiq hai. Mai is goal ko monitor karoon ga dekhne ke liye ke bulls price ko round 1.2999 mark tak increase kar sakte hain. Bullish trend abhi tak disappear nahi hui hai, aur current decline sirf ek correction tha. Downside reversal confirm nahi hua, isliye mai buyers ko jaldi se dismiss nahi kar raha hoon. Agle hafte, humein sideways movement dekhne ko milegi, current price ke lower limit par hone ke sath.

GBP/USD currency pair ke dynamic pricing behavior ka real-time mein tajzia kar rahe hain. 1.2938 level ne apni ahmiyat dikhayi hai, jo indicate karta hai ke hum ab 1.2999 (5/8 channel ka top) aur 1.2938 (4/8) ke beech consolidate kar sakte hain aur upper limit ko test karne ka chance hai. Yeh pair trading week ke end tak is range mein reh sakta hai. Magar, British CPI data kal fluctuations ka sabab ban sakti hai. Agar inflation expected se kam hoti hai, to ho sakta hai ke hum 1.2999 ko touch na kar sakein. Is surat mein, bears 1.2938 support level ko break karne ki koshish karenge aur 1.2877 ka aim rakhenge.
Do hafton ki growth ke baad, GBP/USD pair ne aakhirkar is saal ke highs ko surpass kar liya aur ho sakta hai ke July mein pichle saal ka peak bhi reach kare, khas taur par 13th ko. Is hafte, upward momentum ruk gaya aur aaj reverse bhi hua. Yeh pending orders ka reset ho sakta hai, jiske baad pair apna ascent resume kar sakti hai, ya phir ek complex false breakout ho sakta hai jo extra liquidity ko sell orders ke liye istemal kar raha hai.
Halat jald clear ho jayegi, magar abhi uncertainty barqarar hai. Main anticipate kar raha tha ke pair inflation data release se pehle grey range mein trade karega, jo inflation stagnation ka end signal karega. Post-inflation data, main expect kar raha tha ke pair grey range mein wapas chala jayega, kyunki sirf 0.01% inflation drop par growth unjustified lagti hai
Federal Reserve aur Bank of England ke speeches ke baad, pair ne decline continue kiya, jiske baad ek pullback aaya, jo mujhe simple rollback laga. Us waqt pair ki growth ne mujhe hairaan kar diya, aur yeh pre-election movement ho sakti hai. Jab yeh grey range ke upar wapas chala gaya, sellers ne volume gain kiya. Main soch raha tha ke yeh grey range mein wapas descend karega, magar yeh climb karta raha. Yeh rise bilkul unwarranted lag rahi hai. Pair ke current levels ko koi fundamental factor support nahi karta; yahan buyer volume accumulate kar raha hai.
GBP/USD neechayi ki trend banane ke umda signs dikha raha hai, lekin yeh yeh pair upar ki taraf bhi trend banane mein qabil hai. Pair phir se ooncha ja raha hai, aur overall, yeh logic ke khilaaf lihaaz kar raha hai. Halankay, koi bhi inkar nahi kar sakta ke halqi economic reports ne pound ko support kiya hai.
Wednesday ko, pound sterling dhire dhire 1.2913 ke level ki taraf gir sakta hai. Is mein kuch din lag sakte hain 45 pips guzarne mein. Lekin tezi se girawat ka tawaqo nahi hai, jab tak ke pound trend line ko nahi todti. Aur agar todti bhi hai, to yeh bilkul ho bhi nahi sakta. Is halaat mein kam az kam panch martaba ho chuka hai.
5M chart par key levels 1.2457, 1.2502, 1.2541-1.2547, 1.2605-1.2633, 1.2684-1.2693, 1.2748, 1.2791-1.2798, 1.2848-1.2860, 1.2913, 1.2980 hain. Wednesday ko UK June ke liye ahem inflation report publish karega, jo pound par dabaav daal sakta hai kyunke inflation mazeed neeche gir sakti hai. Lekin market ne sab pichli inflation girawaton ka pound bech kar taqatwar kiya nahi hai

GBP/USD nay peer ko musbat trading shuru kiya. Haan, sterling din khatam honay par buland nahi hui, magar pair wapis bhi nahi gaya. Din ke pehle hissay mein, pound thoda sa neechay jaane ki koshish kar rahi thi, lekin agar market ise khareedna jaari rakhta hai to isay kahan jaana chahiye?

Kal market ko pair khareedne ke liye koi wajah nahi thi. Lekin market ne bohat arsay se reasons aur basis ki zaroorat nahi rakhi hai. Pound sterling kai dinon se buland hai, ye bhi ignore karte hue ke Bank of England 1st August ko rate kam kar sakta hai aur UK mein mahangai central bank ke target level tak gir gayi hai.

Lekin market ke liye ye sab kuch mayne nahi rakhta. Local upar ki trend jaari hai, jo ke buland trend line se saboot hai. Iska doosra point bas ek flat mein hai, extreme nahi hai. Agar bina kisi wajah aur justification ke bhi pound khareeda ja raha hai to ye itni der tak buland ho sakta hai jitna chahe.

5-minute timeframe par qeemat 1.2980-1.2993 ke area mein wapas gayi. Isay paar nahi kar saki, lekin agla important level ya area paar hojaye to isay farq nahi parta. Market in resistances ko correction ya rollback ke liye bhi nahi dekh raha hai. Is liye acha chance hai ke pound is area ko paar karne ke baad aur buland hojaye.

Trading tips for Tuesday:
Hourly chart par, GBP/USD ne neeche jaane ki nishaniyan dikhana jaari rakhi hai, lekin ye ye matlab nahi ke pair upar ka trend na bana sake. Pair phir se buland ho raha hai aur overall, ye atishuda aur ghair mantqi harkatein dikha raha hai. Abhi current mein pound sterling ne apni latest local high ko paar kar liya hai aur muddai aslamiyat ko ignore kar raha hai. Lekin kisi bhi surat mein economic reports ne pound ko support kiya hai.

Tuesday ko, agar pound 1.2980-1.2993 ko paar na kar sake to pound sterling 1.2913 ke level ki taraf dheere dheere girna shuru kar sakta hai. Lekin hum tezi se girne ka tawaqo nahi rakhte agar pound trend line ko breach na kare. Aur agar breach bhi kare, to shayad yeh bilkul na ho. Is tarah ka kam az kam paanch martaba recent months mein ho chuka hai.

5-minute chart par key levels hain 1.2457, 1.2502, 1.2541-1.2547, 1.2605-1.2633, 1.2684-1.2693, 1.2748, 1.2791 -1.2798, 1.2848-1.2860, 1.2913, 1.2980. UK economic calendar practically barren hai. Kal ek Bank of England official ne speech di aur kaha ke key rate ko kam karna chahiye, lekin is ka market par koi asar nahi hua. US docket mein retail sales report shamil hai, jo greenback ke beqabu girne ko rok nahi sakega.

GBP/USD pair ka outlook unclear hai. Downward pullback ki anticipation ke bawajood, humne pehle ke sales zone ya resistance area ke lower boundary se ek retest dekha hai. Iske ilawa, bullish debts ab bhi mumkin hain. Ideally, ek rebound is monthly resistance zone se hona chahiye. Pavlik ke address ke mutabiq, bearish trend jald shuru ho sakti hai, chahe bullish debt likely ho ya na ho. Magar, yeh sirf meri perspective hai. Hourly chart par pound-dollar pair ka analysis Federal Reserve aur Bank of England ke speeches ke baad significant activity ko reveal karta hai. Price overlook bullish hai.
Pair ne support level 1.26072 par descend kiya aur 1.26801 se 1.26072 range ke andar trade karna shuru kiya. Theoretically, pair ko apni decline ko continue karna chahiye tha, magar yeh unexpectedly retrace ho gaya, shayad pre-election volatility ki wajah se. Upcoming elections ka impact uncertain hai, jahan inflation primary focus hai. Pair is range se shift hone ke chances kam hain agar inflation further decline ya growth exhibit nahi karta. Yeh filhal apne pehle ke highs ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, jo ke peculiar hai. Jab ke is pair ka decline likely hai, ek minor rise euro-dollar pair mein bhi plausible hai. Current analysis ke mutabiq, yeh pair range ke opposite borders ko touch kar sakta hai, jo ke modest increase ko suggest karta hai. Magar, pound ke current high trading level ke madde nazar, ek slight pullback predict kiya gaya hai pehle ke pair eventually support level 1.26113 par descend kare.
Pehle chart par ek downward plan aur selling points nazar aa rahe hain. Yeh plan relevant tha jab tak pound impulsively north move nahi kar gaya. Blue bar potential decline ko H4 signal ke relative moving averages ke mutabiq dikhata hai, aur aaj sirf yeh kaha ja sakta hai ke yeh signal kaam nahi kiya. Aaj, humne is signal ke liye risk level ko exceed kar diya hai. Green aur gray bars clarity ke liye thi taake hum samajh sakein ratios jab hum ek level ya doosre se sell karte hain. Phir, growth impulse ke baad, hume ek reverse signal (i.e., buy signal) bhi H4 timeframe par mila, aur yeh jaldi apne targets tak bina pullback ke pohanch gaya. Jaisa ke hum dekh sakte hain, rise significant pullback ke bina tha, isliye lower timeframe par enter karna zyada successful nahi tha, kyunke signal ke turant baad up chale gaye.
Darasal, pound ke technical execution par koi shikayat nahi hai, kyunke isne sab kuch beautifully kiya. Agar pound ne local maximum break kiya, toh yeh ek true breakout tha, na ke false. Pehli wave of growth ke baad, pound ne apne lows ko maintain kiya aur elegantly third large wave mein enter kiya. Decline paanch waves ki form mein tha, jo ek exception thi. Yahan hum pehli long wave dekhte hain, phir third short thi, aur fifth bhi third ki tarah thi. Iske ilawa, fourth wave third wave ke zone mein enter hui, jo ke aksar corrections mein hota hai na ke trend waves mein.
GBP/USD apne main moving averages ke ooper trade kar raha hai aur relative strength index (RSI) musbat aur ooper ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. RSI abhi tak overbought shuruaat tak nahin pohancha hai. Lekin daily chart par ek cautionary sign hai, kyun keh 1.28 ke ooper koi mustaqil movement nahin rahi hai: 2024 ke chart par dekhne par maloom hota hai keh exchange rate ne 1.28 ke ooper koi significant muddat tak qaim nahin rakha hai. Daily chart ke performance ke aadhar par, 1.2860 par major resistance ko khatra hone ki kam umeedi hai. Yaad rahe keh 1.2840 par ek aur resistance level hai. Support 1.2785 par hai, aur agar isko toorna ho, to iska matlab hai keh pound aur agey nahin badhegi. Is resistance ke wajah se, GBP/USD Thursday ke ahem US inflation reading se pehle 1.28 level ke dono taraf narrow range mein trade kar sakta hai.
Mali calendar ke natije ke mutabiq, headline US consumer price index ki annual kamzori ka imkaan hai, jo keh May mein 3.3% se 3.1% tak girne ka intezar hai, jo keh January mein dekha gaya tha. Is natije se maloom hota hai keh saal ke pehle nisf mein keemat mein tezi ke baad inflation mein rukh aane ka izhaar hai. Is se Federal Reserve ke September mein US interest rate cut ke imkaanat barh jayenge, jo keh dollar par asar andaz hoga.

Good morning. Abhi pound 1.30 level ko test kar raha hai. Agar buyers is level ko hold kar sakain, to wo ek aur growth wave banane ki koshish karain ge. Is surat mein pehla target kal ka maximum 1.30436 hoga. Agar isay actively break karne aur consolidate karne mein kamiyaab ho jain, to hum 1.31417 level ki taraf movement expect kar saktay hain.
Koi bhi correction form karne ke liye, theoretically sellers ko 1.29653 level ko break aur consolidate karna hoga. Agar yeh karne mein kamiyaab ho jatay hain, to price 1.29375 level tak gir sakti hai. Agar yeh level bhi le liya jata hai, to girawat 1.28979 level ki taraf develop ho sakti hai.

GBPUSD H4:
1: Pound 4-hour chart par upper band ke sath movement ki koshish ke baad central area of the bands tak wapas aaya. Price ko grow karne ka naya signal lene ke liye humein upper band ke beyond ek active exit ka wait karna hoga aur phir dekhna hoga ke bands actively outward open hotay hain ya nahi. Agar hum fractals se situation evaluate karain, to price grow karne ka target nearest fractal upwards hai; Iska breakout aur consolidation price ko July 18, 2023 ke fractal 1.31251 ki taraf le jane ki ijazat dega. Price girne ka target nearest fractal downward hai; agar iska active breakout aur consolidation hota hai, to movement July 16 ke fractal 1.29375 tak continue ho sakti hai.

2: AO indicator ne positive area mein damping form karni shuru ki hai; Agar hum zero mark ki taraf zyada active movement dekhte hain, to humare paas price girne ka stronger signal hoga. Positive zone mein naya increase quotes ke grow hone ka signal dega.

### Economic Indicators
**UK Economic Data:** UK ki economic performance GBP/USD exchange rate ko influence karne mein pivotal hai. Hal hi ke data points jaise GDP growth, inflation rates, employment figures, aur retail sales market sentiment ko impact kar sakte hain. For instance, agar aanewala data stronger-than-expected growth ya higher inflation dikhata hai, to speculation ho sakti hai ke BoE apni monetary policy ko anticipate kiya gaya se pehle tighten kar sakta hai, jo pound ko support de sakti hai.

**US Economic Data:** Doosri taraf, US ke economic indicators jaise Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP), inflation (CPI), aur Gross Domestic Product (GDP) bhi USD ko heavily influence karte hain. US se strong economic data dollar ko bolster kar sakta hai, further GBP/USD pair par pressure daal sakta hai. Conversely, agar US mein economic slowdown ke signs nazar aate hain to dollar weak ho sakta hai, jo GBP/USD ko potential boost de sakta hai.

### Geopolitical Factors

Geopolitical developments bhi forex market mein volatility create kar sakte hain. Brexit-related news abhi bhi pound ke liye significant factor hai. Trade deals, European Union ke sath negotiations, ya internal political changes ke regarding koi bhi updates GBP/USD pair mein abrupt movements cause kar sakti hain. Isi tarah, international events jo US ko impact karte hain, jaise trade tensions ya geopolitical conflicts, dollar ki strength ko influence kar sakte hain.

### Technical Analysis

Technical perspective se, chart patterns, support aur resistance levels, aur key indicators jaise moving averages, Relative Strength Index (RSI), aur MACD analyze karna potential market movements ke insights de sakta hai. Filhal, GBP/USD pair key support levels ko approach kar sakta hai. Agar ye levels hold karte hain, to ye indicate kar sakta hai ke potential reversal ya kam se kam bearish trend mein pause ho sakti hai.

**Support aur Resistance Levels:** Key support aur resistance levels ko identify karna crucial hai. Current level 1.2995 psychological support level ke taur par dekha ja sakta hai. Agar pair is level ke neeche break karta hai, to further declines ka darwaza khul sakta hai. Conversely, is level se bounce buyers ke stepping in ko suggest kar sakta hai.

**Moving Averages:** Currency pair ka apne moving averages ke relation mein position clues provide kar sakta hai trend ke bare mein. Agar GBP/USD apne 50-day aur 200-day moving averages ke neeche trade kar raha hai, to ye bearish trend ko confirm karta hai. However, agar ye in averages ke upar climb karna start karta hai, to ye momentum mein shift signal kar sakta hai.

**RSI aur MACD:** Relative Strength Index (RSI) ek momentum indicator hai jo overbought ya oversold conditions signal kar sakta hai. RSI agar 30 se neeche hota hai, to typically ye indicate karta hai ke market oversold hai aur bounce ke liye due ho sakta hai. Isi tarah, MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) strength, direction, momentum, aur duration of a trend ke changes ko identify karne mein madad kar sakta hai.

### Potential Triggers for Movement

**Monetary Policy Announcements:** BoE aur Federal Reserve ke upcoming monetary policy meetings movement ke significant triggers ho sakte hain. Future rate hikes ya policy adjustments ke hints kisi bhi volatility ko lead kar sakte hain.

**Economic Data Releases:** Scheduled releases of economic data, jaise UK ke GDP figures ya US NFP, significant moves ke catalysts ban sakte hain. Traders aksar in releases ke pehle position karte hain, data ke impact ko anticipate karte hue.

**Geopolitical News:** Koi bhi unexpected geopolitical developments forex market mein sudden aur sharp movements cause kar sakti hain. News headlines par nazar rakhna crucial hai in moves ko anticipate karne ke liye.

### Conclusion

Jabke current bearish trend GBP/USD mein strong fundamental factors se driven hai, ye belief ke significant movement horizon par hai unfounded nahi hai. Technical indicators, economic data releases, aur geopolitical events ka combination pair ke direction ko influence karega aanewale dino mein. Traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye, key support aur resistance levels par nazar rakhni chahiye, aur potential volatility ke liye prepared rehna chahiye. Yahan tak ke anticipated big movement bearish trend ka continuation hoga ya reversal towards.