جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

GBPUSD karansi jor ki halat kal se trading session ke baad se ab tak bilkul bullish movement mein hai, aur yeh range ziada wide nahi hai. Buyer ki tawajjo wazeh hai, aur raat ke qareeb market ne kafi strong push banaya jiski wajah se price phir se barh ke level 1.2776 tak chali gayi. Market ke graph mein candlesticks dheere dheere rally ke raste par chal rahi hain, Moving Average indicator se door hoti ja rahi hain, jo yeh darsha rahi hain ke upar ki taraf ka trend abhi tak seller ke pressure se mehfooz hai. Agar is hafte ke end tak bullish movement 1.2850 ke price level ke upar break karke jaaye, to price ke aur bhi upar jane ka imkaan hai aur trend ka bullish hona bhi mumkin hai.
Ye zaroor agle trading position ko tay karne ka aik reference hoga jahan market mein price ka bullish trend dobara hona ka imkaan hai, halan ke GBPUSD karansi jor ne chhoti timeframe mein thoda bearish correction bhi dekha hai. Agar Lime Line Relative Strength Index indicator pe dekhi jaye, to yeh level 70 tak barh gayi hai jo ke yeh signal hai ke market conditions abhi tak bullish continuation ka samna kar rahi hain. Analysis ke natayej se yeh pata chalta hai ke price upar ki taraf hi move karegi, aur buyer ki weak volatility ke saath upward push se price target level tak pohonchne ki umeed hai. Isliye, kal ke weak seller pressure ke bawajood bullish trend situation phir se aane ka imkaan hai, aur target increase most probably level 1.2810 ke range tak bullish movement karega.
Daily chart ke performance ke mutabiq, 1.2860 ke major resistance ko toh shayad khatra nahi hai. Yaad rahe ke 1.2840 par ek aur resistance level hai. Support 1.2785 par hai, aur 1.2770 ke tor par breach iska matlab hoga ke pound mazeed aage nahi barh sakta. Is resistance ke mojudgi ke bais, GBP/USD 1.28 ke aas paas ek tang range mein trading kar sakta hai, jab tak ke Thursday ko America se mahangai ki ahmiyat mand riport na aaye.

Iqtisadi calendar ke natijon ke mutabiq, mukhtasar Amreeki consumer price index ki umeed hai ke saalana bunyadi izafa 3.1% tak gir jaye ga, jo ke May mein 3.3% se neechay hai, aur yeh pehle half mein taizi se barhti hui mahangai ko dobara kum hone ka saboot dega. Yeh natija isharah karta hai ke Federal Reserve September mein Amreeki interest rates ko kam karne ke liye taiyar ho sakta hai, jo dollar par asar daal sakta hai.

Subah bakhair. Pound ne kafi arsay se izafa kiya hai aur ab kuch islaah aane wala hai, kal sellers ne koshish shuru ki thi, lekin aaj unhen qeemat ko mazeed nichay le jane mein kamyabi nahi mili. Agar qeemat girne ki taraf mazboot signal chahiye toh 1.27861 ke level par bharosa kiya ja sakta hai, iska toot, chahe local ho lekin upar ki taraf ja rahi structure ka toot hoga, aur qeemat girne ka signal ho sakta hai. Nishana 1.27401 hoga. Agar qeemat mein izafa jaari rahega toh kharidaron ki taraf se umeed hai ke woh 1.28599 ke level tak jaane ki koshish karenge, agar iske peeche mazbooti se qayam ho jaye toh unka nishana 1.28932 hoga.

Jodi GBPUSD M5:
1- 5-minute chart par Pound central area mein lot gaya, aur tapes apne aapas mein andar ki taraf mur kar aayi hain. Is halat mein qeemat ke upar ya neeche naye high-quality signal ke liye humein upper ya lower band se bahar ki garmi ka intezar karna chahiye, phir dekhein ke bands kya react karte hain.

2- AO indicator ne positive area mein damping shuru ki hai. Agar hum jald hi zero ke zariye se transition aur negative zone mein izafa dekhte hain, toh yeh qeemat girne ka mazboot signal ho sakta hai. Agar positive area mein izafa hota hai toh qeemat ke upar jane ka signal ho sakta hai.

3- Kharidaron ke liye entry point 1.28157 par ho sakta hai, yahan se qeemat ki ummid 1.28271 tak hai.

4- Farokht ke liye soch sakte hain 1.27977 se, yahan se qeemat girne ka silsila 1.27889 tak jaari rahega.

GBPUSD

Britsh pound ne US dollar ke muqable mein budh ko char hafton ka buland tareen darja hasil kar liya. Yeh izafa Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ki Congress ke samnay gawahi ke baad aya, jise sarmaaya kaaron ne yeh samjha ke aney wale waqt mein sood ki شرah kam ho sakti hai. Powell ke monetary policy pe rukh ne bazaar ke umeedon ko mazid mazboot kiya ke September se pehle sood ki شرah kam ki ja sakti hai. Jab ke UK mein huay kamzor maashiyat ke data ne jumeraat ko sirf choti business data he di, sabki nigahen ab US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report par hain. Sarmaaya kaar jo sood ki شرah kam hone ki umeed rakhtay hain, wo is umeed pe hain ke June mein core inflation 3.4% se kam hoga jo ke saal ke liye mutawaqqa tha. Yeh itminan Powell ke bayan se aya jo kuch logon ne sulah جو samjha. Magar, jumma ko jari hone wala mazid US currency data in umeedon ko khatam kar sakta hai. June ka core consumer price index (PPI) umeed hai ke 2.5% tak barh jaye ga jo ke pehle 2.3% tha. Yeh barhawa wider market ki sood ki شرah kam karne ki khwahish ko rok sakta hai.

Technical tor par, budh ko pound ka izafa kai maqamat par muqabla kar raha tha. Agar izafa barqarar na reh saka to qeemat 200-day EMA (moving average) ke kareeb 1.2600 tak wapas aa sakti hai. Bulls (wo sarmaaya kaar jo qeemat barhney ka yaqeen rakhtay hain) par bojh hai ke wo mazboot support level qaim karain ta ke isay roka ja sake. Dosri taraf, agar izafay ka rujhan jari raha to qeemat 1.2816-1.2859 se barh sakti hai, jo 2024 ke buland darja 1.2892 ka raasta khol sakta hai. Is resistance area ko tor kar dollar pound ke muqable mein aur July 2023 ke
resistance 1.2994 tak ja sakta hai



.

Main GBP/USD market mein H1 timeframe par entry consider kar raha hoon jab pair 1.28747 se upar uth raha hai, jo aaj ke liye ek favorable entry point hai. Yeh zaroori hai ke risk ko effectively manage kiya jaye aur iske liye stop loss order 1.2937 par establish karna chahiye. Is waqt price action mein koi change nahi hai aur market low price volatility dikha raha hai. Yeh measure potential losses ko cap karne mein madadgar hoga aur take profit level 1.29117 par target karne se profits lock ho jayenge.
GBP/USD pair ka 1.28747 ka level ek strong support point hai jahan se price ka upar uthna expected hai. Yeh level historically buyers ke liye ek attractive point raha hai jahan se buying pressure barhta hai aur price ko upward push milta hai. Entry point ko carefully choose karna trading success ke liye zaroori hai, aur is scenario mein, 1.28747 ek favorable level hai.

Stop loss order ko 1.2937 par place karna ek effective risk management strategy hai. Stop loss order ek predefined level par automatically trade close kar deta hai jab price us level ko hit karti hai. Yeh unexpected market moves aur significant losses se bacha sakta hai. Risk management trading ka ek essential hissa hai jo trader ko emotional aur impulsive decisions se door rakhta hai.

Price action ka low volatility dikhana indicate karta hai ke market mein significant price swings ka chance kam hai. Low volatility markets mein trading relatively stable hoti hai lekin potential profits bhi limited ho sakte hain. Is waqt market ka stable hona ek positive sign hai jo entry aur exit points ko accurately define karne mein madadgar ho sakta hai.

Take profit level 1.29117 par set karna ek strategic decision hai jo predetermined target par trade close kar deta hai jab price us level ko hit karti hai. Yeh profits ko lock karne mein madadgar hai aur ensure karta hai ke trader ne jo potential profit estimate kiya tha, woh realized ho jaye. Profits ko lock karna trading discipline aur consistency maintain karne mein help karta hai.

Is trading strategy mein key levels ka identify karna aur risk management tools ka use karna bht important hai. Entry point ko carefully choose karna, stop loss aur take profit levels ko accurately define karna trading success ke liye zaroori hai. Market ki current condition aur volatility ko samajhna bhi decision-making process ko influence karta hai.

Trading ko successful banane ke liye disciplined approach aur proper risk management essential hai. Trading strategy ko market conditions ke mutabiq adjust karna aur key levels ko monitor karna trading performance ko improve karne mein madadgar hai. Risk aur reward ko balance karna aur trading plan ko follow karna trading success ke liye zaroori hai.

In tamam points ko madde nazar rakhte huye, GBP/USD pair mein trading opportunities ko explore karna ek well-defined strategy aur disciplined approach ko involve karta hai. Yeh approach traders ko market ki volatility aur potential price moves ka faida uthane mein madadgar hai aur trading success ko ensure karta hai.

GBP/USD apne gains ko tezi se barhata hai aur July 2023 ke baad apne sabse unche level par 1.2900 ke upar trade kar raha hai. US Dollar ko softer-than-expected inflation readings ke baad heavy selling pressure ka samna hai, jo pair ki rally ko fuel kar raha hai. Core CPI, jo volatile food aur energy prices ko exclude karta hai, expect kiya ja raha hai ke monthly basis par 0.2% barhega. GBP/USD ne American session mein traction hasil kiya aur Wednesday ko apna highest daily close March ke baad register kiya. Yeh pair European session mein Thursday ko 1.2850 ke upar positive territory mein trade kar raha hai.
US mein inflation, jo Consumer Price Index (CPI) ke change se measure kiya jata hai, forecast kiya ja raha hai ke June mein 3.1% ho jayega jo May ke 3.3% se kam hai. Dusri taraf, agar core CPI monthly 0.3% ya usse zyada barhta hai, toh investors ko Federal Reserve (Fed) ke actions par shak ho sakta hai.

GBP/USD ke gains accelerate hone ki wajah se yeh pair apne sabse unche level par pahuncha hai jo July 2023 ke baad dekha gaya hai. Yeh upward movement largely US Dollar ke heavy selling pressure ki wajah se hai jo softer-than-expected inflation readings ke baad dekha gaya. June ke liye core CPI, jo volatile food aur energy prices ko exclude karta hai, expect kiya gaya hai ke yeh monthly basis par 0.2% barhega, jo inflation ki stability ko indicate karta hai.

Wednesday ko, GBP/USD ne American session mein significant traction hasil kiya aur apna highest daily close March ke baad register kiya. Thursday ko, European session mein yeh pair positive territory mein 1.2850 ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke bullish sentiment ko indicate karta hai.

US inflation ko measure karne ke liye Consumer Price Index (CPI) ka change dekha jata hai. June ke liye forecast hai ke yeh 3.1% ho jayega, jo ke May ke 3.3% se kam hai. Agar yeh forecast accurate hota hai, toh yeh US Dollar ke liye bearish hoga aur GBP/USD ko support karega. Lekin, agar core CPI monthly basis par 0.3% ya usse zyada barhta hai, toh investors ko Federal Reserve (Fed) ke baare mein doubts ho sakte hain aur yeh GBP/USD ke upward movement ko affect kar sakta hai.

GBP/USD ka current trading pattern positive territory ko indicate karta hai. Yeh pair European session mein 1.2850 ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo market ki bullish sentiment ko reflect karta hai. US Dollar par selling pressure ka asar is pair ki upward movement par directly pad raha hai, jo ke softer-than-expected inflation readings ka result hai.

Overall, GBP/USD ke gains ko US inflation readings ka asar hai. Softer-than-expected CPI data ne US Dollar ko pressure mein dala hai, jo GBP/USD ko support kar raha hai. Investors ko core CPI ke monthly increase par bhi nazar rakhni chahiye kyunki yeh Federal Reserve (Fed) ke future actions ko influence kar sakta hai. Agar core CPI expectations ke mutabiq barhta hai, toh yeh GBP/USD ke current bullish trend ko challenge kar sakta hai.

Is situation ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai taake market movements ka faida uthaya ja sake aur trading decisions timely aur informed liye ja sake.

Daily chart ke dynamics ko reflect karte huye, linear regression ke andar ki situation bht complicated lag rahi hai. Ek taraf, channel ka direction downside ki taraf jaata hai, jo ek pullback ko dikhata hai. Lekin yahan buyers apni perseverance aur strength dikhate hain. Signal yeh hai ke market level 1.26665 ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo is channel ki upper border hai. Do channels ke readings ko dekh kar yeh natural conclusion hai ke bulls ne initiative le liya hai.
Is base par, hum assume kar sakte hain ke D1 chart par uptrend level 1.27148 tak develop hoga. Yeh level bulls ke liye kuch difficulties cause kar sakta hai, yeh ek aisa maqam ban sakta hai jahan market slow down aur correct ho sakta hai. Market ke current dynamics ko dekh kar yeh lagta hai ke bulls ne market mein strength hasil kar li hai aur unhone upper hand hasil kar liya hai.

Yeh point highlight karta hai ke jab market level 1.26665 ke upar trade karta hai, toh yeh signal milta hai ke buyers dominate kar rahe hain. Yeh upper border ka level significant hai kyunki yeh batata hai ke bulls ne control hasil kar liya hai. Is scenario mein, buyers apni perseverance aur strength dikhate huye market ko upar push karne ki koshish kar rahe hain.

D1 chart par yeh conclusion nikalna natural hai ke uptrend level 1.27148 tak develop hoga. Lekin yeh level aisa hai jo bulls ke liye challenge ban sakta hai aur market ko slow down aur correct kar sakta hai. Linear regression ka channel downside ki taraf indicate karta hai, jo ek pullback ka indication hai, magar buyers ki strength ko nazarandaaz nahi kiya ja sakta.

Market ka level 1.26665 ke upar trade karna ek positive signal hai jo batata hai ke bulls ne initiative le liya hai. Do channels ke readings yeh suggest karti hain ke market mein bulls ne upper hand hasil kar liya hai aur uptrend develop hone ke chances hain. Yeh upper border ka level significant hai aur buyers ki strength ko highlight karta hai.

Market ke dynamics ko dekh kar yeh lagta hai ke bulls ne market mein apni strength establish kar li hai aur unhone upper hand hasil kar liya hai. Linear regression ka channel downside ki taraf indicate karta hai, jo ek pullback ko dikhata hai, magar yahan buyers apni perseverance aur strength dikhate hain.

Agar D1 chart par dekha jaye, toh uptrend level 1.27148 tak develop hote huye nazar aata hai. Lekin yeh level bulls ke liye kuch difficulties cause kar sakta hai aur market ko slow down aur correct kar sakta hai. Market ka current dynamics yeh suggest karta hai ke bulls ne market mein strength hasil kar li hai aur unhone upper hand hasil kar liya hai.

Is base par, yeh conclusion nikalna natural hai ke D1 chart par uptrend level 1.27148 tak develop hoga. Yeh level bulls ke liye challenge ban sakta hai aur market ko slow down aur correct kar sakta hai. Market ke dynamics ko dekh kar yeh lagta hai ke bulls ne market mein strength hasil kar li hai aur unhone upper hand hasil kar liya hai.

GBPUSD currency pair ki H4 chart par ghor karenge. Budhwar ki trading mein, is currency pair ki keemat ne taqatwar upward movement dikhaya aur technical tasawwur bhi tashkeel mein tha. Din bhar mein jaari khabrein sirf pound ki izafay ko mazeed barhane mein madadgar sabit hui, jabke US ke sabhi indicators apni taqreban tamam tajaweez se kamzor sabit huay, jis se keemat mein izafa ho gaya, jo din bhar ke dauran dekha ja sakta hai. Lekin, US dollar sirf pound ke muqablay mein hi nahi, balki mazeed tajarbaton ke nichore khalisay mein kamzor ho gaya. Laher nizam ne apni tarteeb ko uparward tashkeel dene shuru kiya, MACD indicator ooper khareed zone mein barh raha hai aur apni signal line ke ooper hai. Jald az jald aaj ek tezi se girawat ke baad, unhone is rollback ko barah-e-karam pahonchaya, jab tak keh 1.2732 ke qareebi support level tak. Aur dheere-dheere keemat ne is rollback ko poori tarah se khaya aur aaj tak.
Agar pehli lahrein Fibonacci grid par target lagaye jayein, toh yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke keemat ne izafa ke doran minimum target ko poori tarah se work out kiya - yaani 161.8 ke darje tak pohanch gayi. Mumkin hai ke yeh izafa 200 ke darje tak is grid par tashkeel paye, lekin yeh bilkul mumkin nahi hai keh hum is silsile se guzar sakte hain. CCI indicator daily period par upper zone se murnay ki isharaat deta hai, jo ke correction ka tashkeel kehte hain. 1.2700 ke darje tak girna aam lag raha hai, phir hum buying ke bare mein soch sakte hain ya nahi. Aaj ke 15-30 Moscow time par mukhtalif ahmiyat ke bais waqt ke liye iskay baray mein saari chand khabrein jaari ho rahi hain: Average hourly earnings in the US, Change in the number of employed in the non-agricultural sector of the US, The share of the economically active population in the US, Change in the number of employed in the private non-agricultural sector of the US, The unemployment rate in the US. 18-00 - The US Federal Reserve System's report on monetary policy.
Kal, GBP/USD ne apnay upward movement ko aram se jari rakha. Volatility kam thi kyun keh United States mein official holiday thi. UK ne June ke liye apnay Construction PMI ke dusre estimate ko jaari kiya, jo ke secondary ahmiyat rakhta hai. Phir bhi, market ne pound ko khareedne ke liye wajah payi. Ek note ke taur par, yeh tezi uss support area 1.2605-1.2633 se shuru hui, jahan bears ne bulls se mukhalif nahi ho saki. Mangalwar ko, tezi ke liye koi bunyadi ya maqrooh nafsiyati wajah nahi thi. Balki, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ne apnay taqreer mein hawkish tone barqarar rakha, jo dollar ko madadgar tha. JOLTs report bhi umeedon se zyada sabit hua, jo keh US currency ko madadgar tha. Lekin dollar jab hota hai tab nahi upar, jab nahi hota hai tab gir jata hai. 9 mahinon se hum forex market mein yehi pattern dekh rahe hain

TRADING CHART ON GBP/USD H-4.

Hi, Vadim. Mujhe kal kuch isi tarah ki umeed thi. Magar ab, bilkul, mein rollback dekhna chahunga. Khaaskar kyunke hum upper trend of the ascending channel mein hain. Magar is surat-e-haal mein, ab woh is ke sath aage bhi ja sakte hain. Kal mein pin se news par sell karne ka risk nahi uthaya. Phir, bilkul, mujhe is par afsos hua, magar ab is ka kya faida? Subah se M15 par, bears rollback zone mein further rollbacks develop karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Aur agar woh 1.2897 se niche chale jate hain, to hum 1.2860 tak janay ki koshish kar sakte hain (). Phir ascending channel ki border se ek rebound hoga. 1.2844 se niche ka breakout aur consolidation trend ko sideways ya downwards badal dega. Filhal ke liye, priority direct growth hai. GBPUSD:

GBP/USD D1 par TRADING CHART.

Sabko subah bakhair! Aur yeh mushkil hafta khatam karna accha hai. Chaliye GBP/USD pair par doosray din par nazar daalte hain, jahan kal technology ke hawale se ahem events the. Kal, is broad monthly resistance area mein dakhil hone ke ilawa, humne March ke shuruat mein aakhri selling area ko bhi tor diya. Is surat-e-haal mein, hum doosray din do scenarios ko madde nazar rakh sakte hain. Yeh ke hum is monthly resistance area ke upper border tak jayen. Aur phir is se niche utarain, takreeban neeche di gai tasveer ki tarah, magar yeh sirf mera raai hai. Khair, humein weekend ke liye tayar hona padega.

GBP/USD ke sath winning trades:

Hamari guftagu GBP/USD currency pair ke zinda pricing ko decode karne ke bare mein hai. British pound ne medium-term support line se rebound kiya, 1.2631 ko touch karte hue. Iske baad, trend mukammal tor par reverse ho gaya aur ab pair confident bullish growth dikha raha hai, jiske khilaf abhi trade karna munasib nahi hai. Pair ne ek solid horizontal resistance 1.2671 ko tod diya, jo buyers ka confidence barhane ke sath sath aage ki growth ke liye rasta khol raha hai, jo 1.2739 weekly peak tak pohonch sakta hai. Abhi tak is raaste mein koi significant obstacles nahi hain. Mein abhi buying ya selling ko consider nahi kar raha hoon kyunki dollar sabhi currencies ke mukablay mein kamzor ho raha hai. GBP/USD currency pair ek uptrend mein hai, jo heavy moving average se confirm hota hai, jise price bar-bar bounce off karti hai. Abhi ham 1.2631 ke level par hain. Supply zone aksar pichle trading session ke dauran hota hai. Price ne yahan aksar bounce kiya hai, magar bullish rally ko jari rakhne ke liye 1.2661 resistance ko todna zaroori hai.

Doosri taraf, growth aur 1.2691 ke upar candle closing pair ko 1.280 tak push kar sakti hai aur weekly triangle ke upper limit ko test kar sakti hai. Britain mein rate situation peculiar hai. Inflation 2% tak gir gayi hai, magar Central Bank aise act kar raha hai jaise ke yeh nahi hua, upcoming elections ka hawala dete hue aur achanak actions se bach rahe hain. Central Bank Conservative representatives se milkar bana hai, isliye Labour Party ko advantage dene se bachne ki koshish kar raha hai. Yeh stance halaat ko kharab kar sakta hai. Phir bhi, pound aaj bhi grow kar raha hai. GBP/USD upward aur downward movements ka potential dikhata hai, jo critical levels aur market reactions par dependent hai. Traders ko 1.2701 aur 1.2691 levels ko closely dekhna chahiye, kyunki yeh agle significant moves ko indicate karenge.

GBP/USD ne recently achi growth dikhayi hai. Price resistance 1.2893 ke qareeb aa gayi hai, jahan se pehle yeh sharply gir chuki thi. Yeh is saal ka maximum hai. Dekhte hain ke market kaise react karta hai US inflation data par, jo ek ghante se kam me publish hone wala hai. Mujhe GBP/USD me strong reaction ki umeed hai. Agar price positively react karti hai, to mujhe resistance ke breakout aur 1.3000 ke round level ki taraf further growth ki umeed hai. Shuru me, main yeh kehna chahunga ke maine Powell ke Senate speech ke theses parhe hain, aur do din tak usne wahi baatein repeat ki hain. "Monetary policy ko jaldi ease karna nuqsan de sakta hai; rate cut appropriate nahi jab tak Fed ko stable decline in inflation ka confidence nahi ho jata; Fed ne inflation ko target 2% tak lane me significant progress ki hai, latest monthly figures modest further progress dikha rahi hain; Fed ko rate cut ke liye more favorable inflation data chahiye."

Aur bhi baatein. Ek stupid question about raising the rate achanak se GBP/USD price tag ko northward move nahi kar sakta. Bas financial world ke monsters crowd ke against pull kar rahe hain. Ab, main cheez yeh hai ke aaj ka inflation expected se lower na nikle. 1.2660 ka wait kar raha hoon. Warna, mujhe acha rebound downward aur bunch of debt levels ka working out ki umeed hai jo neeche chodh diye gaye hain. Relevant targets 1.2700 aur 1.2680 par honge. Main current ones se pound ko buy karna consider nahi kar raha kyun ke woh already significant correction ke baghair high par enter ho chuke hain aur dollar index support me hai, is liye main aaj ki publications ke results par dollar ke growth ko assume karunga. Lekin yeh sirf guesses hain, is liye hum immediate market reaction ka wait kar rahe hain. Aur phir decide karenge ke incomplete correction ke saath kya karna hai. Well, jab tak stagnation hai, maine medium-term scheme ko update karne ka faisla kiya, aur is par kuch baatein kahunga. Support 1.2700 par hai, well aur conclusion yeh hai ke jab tak price higher hai, iska matlab medium-term trend northern hai. Well, conclusion number one hai upward trend, aur conclusion number two hai downward trend jo complete nahi hui.

### GBP/USD Ka Technical Snapshot Aaj Ka
British Pound (GBP) aur US Dollar (USD) ka outlook southern direction mein developments par focus hai, jo ke pound ki kamzori ko darsha raha hai. Yeh long-term trend, UK aur US ke central bank policies ke anticipated divergence ke wajah se driven hai.

### Central Bank Policies

**Bank of England (BOE)**:
- BOE apni refinancing rate ko reduce karne ki tawaqqo hai, jo ke businesses aur individuals ke liye borrowing ka cost effectively lower karega. Yeh move UK economy ko stimulate karne ke liye hai taake spending aur investment ko encourage kiya ja sake. Magar, lower interest rates ek currency ko weaken karte hain kyun ke yeh investments par returns ko kam kar dete hain jo ke us currency mein denominated hote hain, GBP ko foreign investors ke liye kam attractive bana dete hain.

**Federal Reserve System (Fed)**:
- Iske bar'aks, Fed apni interest rate levels ko maintain kar raha hai, jo ke inflation ko combat karne par focus hai. Higher interest rates typically ek currency ko strengthen karte hain kyun ke yeh investments par higher returns offer karte hain, USD ko investors ke liye zyada attractive bana dete hain.

### Technical Analysis

**Current Price Levels**:
- Aaj ke din GBP/USD pair downward pressure experience kar raha hai, jo ke broader trend ko reflect kar raha hai jo ke differing monetary policies se influenced hai. Pair ne key support levels ko test kiya hai, jo ke further declines ke potential ko indicate karta hai.

**Key Support aur Resistance**:
- Immediate support GBP/USD ke liye around 1.2100 hai, yeh woh level hai jo ke declines ke dauran pehle bhi floor provide kar chuka hai. Agar yeh support break hota hai to yeh bearish trend ko accelerate kar sakta hai, pair ko next significant support level 1.2000 tak push karte hue.
- Upside par, resistance around 1.2250 noted hai. Is level ke upar move temporary relief provide kar sakta hai pound ke liye, magar broader trend bearish hi rahega.

**Indicators**:
- Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 mark se neeche trend kar raha hai, jo ke bearish momentum suggest kar raha hai. Iske ilawa, Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) bearish crossover show kar raha hai, jo ke further downward momentum indicate kar raha hai.

### Market Sentiment

Market sentiment is waqt bearish hai GBP/USD ke liye, jo ke anticipated policy divergence ke wajah se driven hai BOE aur Fed ke darmiyan. UK interest rates ke lower hone ki tawaqqo contrast karta hai Fed ke focus on inflation ke saath, jo ke stronger USD aur weakening GBP ko lead kar raha hai.

### Conclusion

Summary mein, GBP/USD pair bearish pressure mein hai due to anticipated differences in central bank policies. BOE ke potential rate cuts economy ko stimulate karne ke liye hain magar GBP ko weaken karte hain, jabke Fed ka firm stance on combating inflation USD ko support karta hai. Key technical levels jo dekhne hain wo 1.2100 downside par aur 1.2250 upside par hain. Traders ko in levels ko monitor karna chahiye, central bank communications ke saath, taake ongoing trend ko effectively navigate kar sake.

**TRADING CHART ON GBP/USD H-4.**

Hi, Vadim. Mujhe kal kuch is tarah ki umeed thi. Magar ab, zarur, mai rollback dekhna chahta hoon. Khaaskar jab hum ascending channel ke upper trend mein ghus gaye hain. Magar is situation mein, ab wo is ke saath aage ja sakte hain. Kal mai news par pin se bechne ka risk nahi uthaya. Phir, zarur, mujhe pachtaawa hua, magar kya faida? Subah se M15 par, bears rollback zone mein aage rollback ko develop karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Aur agar wo 1.2897 ke neeche chale gaye, to hum 1.2860 tak bhaagne ki koshish kar sakte hain. Phir ascending channel ke border se rebound. Agar breakout aur consolidation 1.2844 ke neeche hoti hai to trend ka break aur sideways ya neeche change hoga. Filhal priority direct growth hai. GBPUS

**TRADING CHART ON GBP/USD D1.**

Good morning sab ko! Aur yeh mushkil hafta khatam karne ka acha waqt hai. Aao GBP/USD pair ko doosre din dekhein, jahan humare paas kal technology ke hawale se itne important events hue the. Kal, besides entering is broad monthly resistance area, humne is saal ke shuru mein March ke end mein aakhri selling area ko bhi doosre din break kiya. Is situation mein, hum doosre din do scenarios consider kar sakte hain. Yeh hai ke is monthly resistance area ke upper border tak jayen. Aur is mein se neeche exit, lagbhag neeche wali tasveer ki tarah, magar yeh sirf meri raaye hai. Khair, humein shayad weekend ke liye prepare karna hoga.


Let me know if you need anything else!

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GBPUSD Achha din! M15 chart ke mutabiq, linear regression channel upar ki taraf ja raha hai, jo buyers ki koshishon ko darshata hai jo level 1.26796 tak badhne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Yahan kharidne ka mauqa hai. Zaroori hai ke hum H1 linear regression channel ke bhi north ki taraf dekhne ka intezar karein. Is liye, main ehtiyaat se kharidari karunga. Main channel ke neeche ke kinare 1.26384 se kharidunga. Main sales ko control mein rakhunga jo 1.26384 ke neeche ja sakti hain consolidation ke sath; agar aisa hota hai, toh main kharidari rok dunga. H1 trend ke sath sales ke jaari rehne ke baraabr chances hain. Buyer sirf 1.26796 ke level ko achieve karne ki koshish nahi karega, balki apni direction mein trend ko ulatne ke liye wahan mazbooti se jama rehne ki bhi koshish karega. Agar wo kamiyab hota hai, toh wo kharidari jaari rakh sakta hai.

Hourly chart dekh kar, main observe karta hoon ke linear regression channel neeche ki taraf hai, aur mere liye yeh M15 se ziada ahem hai. Iska matlab hai ke bears mazboot hain, aur yeh fact ke M15 chart par kharidari ka signal milta hai, yeh market mein ek mazboot buyer ki mojoodgi ko darshata hai. Humein price ko sahi jagah par intezar karna hoga aur wahan se sale karna hoga. Jahan se main sale karne ka intezar karunga woh channel ka upper border 1.26796 hai jahan se mujhe channel ke neeche ke border 1.26002 tak sale karna hoga. Agar target level tor diya jata hai, toh mazeed decline ki tawaqo ki ja sakti hai, magar ziada chance hain ke correction ke baad ek upside aayegi, kyunki bearish move develop ho jayega, aur bulls apni movement ko wapas laane ki koshish karenge. Agar 1.26796 ka level bulls ke zariye tor diya jata hai, toh yeh bullish interest ka sign hai, jismein sales nafa ka sauda nahi rehengi, isliye unhe cancel kar diya jata hai aur market ki situation ka dobaara jaiza liya jata hai.


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Pichlay Jumay ko, pair ne apni recent slide ko roka, aur 1.2800 tak wapas aane mein kamyab raha jab ke week ke start mein low near 1.2750 hit kiya tha. Market sentiment mein positive turn dekha gaya jab investors ne Federal Reserve officials ke cautious remarks ko ignore karte hue, September mein rate cut ki expectations par focus kiya amidst softening US economic data.

US Economic Indicators Possible Inflation Slowdown aur Fed Rate Cut Expectations ki taraf ishara karte hain:

Pichlay hafta weak-than-expected US consumer aur producer prices dekhi gayi, jo ke inflation ke slowdown ka potential suggest karti hain. Is ke ilawa, US import prices mein surprising decline ne domestic inflation ka outlook mazid mazboot kiya. June mein US consumer sentiment mein sharp drop bhi dekhi gayi, yeh factors mil kar imminent Fed rate cut ki hopes ko bolster karte hain, jo ke September mein ho sakti hai aur December mein ek aur cut follow kar sakta hai.

Aage dekhte hue, market volatility pound Sterling ke liye persist karegi, khaaskar jab Bank of England ka interest rate decision Thursday ko scheduled hai. Yeh wide anticipation hai ke BoE apna current interest rate 5.25% pe maintain karega, jo ke seventh consecutive hold mark karega. Investors keenly observe karenge koi hints regarding future rate adjustments, jahan Reuters ne 57% probability report ki hai of no change in August.

GBP/USD Faces Resistance Despite Friday's Recovery:

Jumay ko, pair wapas 1.2850 mark ke upar climb kiya, lekin bullish momentum constrained rehti hai. Pair ko 200-hour Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.2601 ke upar regain karne ke liye ek fresh catalyst ki zaroorat hogi. Recent low near 1.2817 se bounce hone ke bawajood, ongoing volatility ne technical ranges ko widen kar diya hai, resulting in sideways movement.



Daily candlesticks persistent challenge indicate karti hain near the long-term supply zone above 1.2810, jo sustained bullish momentum ko hinder karti hain. Pair currently 50-day EMA at 1.2709 ke near support find karta hai, magar 2024's peak bids around 1.2900 ko breach karne ke liye momentum achieve karna mushkil lagta hai.

GBP/USD ne kal pichle daily range ke maximum ko update karne ke baad reversal kiya aur din ke end tak ek uncertainty ka candle bana, jis mein thodi bullish advantage thi. Overall, main abhi tak apne plans nahi badal raha is instrument ke liye aur main kareeb se nazar rakha hua hoon sabse qareebi resistance level par, jo ke meri analysis ke mutabiq 1.28000 par hai. Jab price is resistance level ko pohochayegi, to do scenarios ho sakte hain. Jaise ke maine pehle bhi zikr kiya, pehla priority scenario price ke is level ke upar consolidate karne aur mazeed growth ka hai. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, to main intezar karunga ke price resistance level 1.28938 ki taraf move kare. Jab price is resistance level ke upar consolidate karlegi, to main mazeed northward movement expect karunga, jo ke resistance level 1.29956 tak ho sakta hai. Is resistance level ke qareeb, main ek trading setup ke formation ka intezar karunga jo aagey ki trading direction ko determine karne mein madad karega. Zaroori nahi ke mazeed door ke northward targets achieve ho, lekin main is waqt unhe consider nahi kar raha kyunki unke jaldi realize hone ka perspective nahi dekh raha. Alternative scenario yeh hoga ke jab price resistance level 1.28000 ko test karegi to ek reversal candle banegi aur southward movement resume hogi. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, to main intezar karunga ke price support level 1.26568 ya 1.26340 tak wapas aaye. In support levels ke qareeb, main bullish signals talash karta rahunga, expecting ke upward price movement resume ho. General taur par, agar mukhtasir mein kahoon, to abhi ke liye main assume kar raha hoon ke ongoing accumulation impulsive northward price breakout ke saath end hogi aur buyers qareebi resistance levels ko test karne ke liye move karenge, aur phir main market situation ko accordingly assess karunga.
GBP/USD Asian session ke dauran thoda high hua. British euro ke baad peeche hai. Yeh zyadatar dollar ke recovery ke waja se against ek basket of major currencies tha. Sterling domestic political issues ke waja se pressure mein hai. Investors UK general election ke start ka intezar kar rahe hain. Aaj Britain mein koi economic calendar nahi hai. Saari tawajjo Eurozone aur US data par hai. Fed coordinator Powell ka speech 16:30 Moscow time par expected hai. Pair ke liye, pehli half of the day mein kuch upward correction ki umeed hai, lekin main scenario yeh hai ke downtrend barkarar hai. Expected reversal point 1.2685 hai aur main us point ke neeche sell karunga targets 1.2585 aur 1.2535 ke sath. Agar pair rise hota hai, 1.2685 mark ko break karta hai aur merge hota hai, to 1.2705 aur 1.2735 levels tak ka rasta khul jayega. In markers ke basis par, main phir se pair ko sell karne ki koshish karunga.