جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

GBP/USD Analysis: Technical Outlook

GBP/USD ne DXY ke against notable strength dikhai hai, Friday tak 0.06% gain karte hue. Yeh performance largely traders ke cautious stance ki wajah se hai jo European political uncertainties aur Bank of England ke upcoming monetary policy findings ke doran hai. Filhal, GBP/USD pair 1.2810 par trade kar raha hai, jab ke daily high 1.2819 ko touch kiya.

GBP/USD ke Fundamentals:

DXY weak retail sales data ki wajah se pressure mein hai, jis ne uski value ko kam kar diya hai. European trading hours mein six-week high se rebound ke bawajood, DXY jo greenback ko six major currencies ke against measure karta hai, 105.30 tak gir gaya. Yeh intraday decline traders ke cautious sentiment ko highlight karta hai.

USD ki resilience ka sabab Federal Reserve (Fed) ke officials ka interest rate cuts ke liye cautious approach ka advocate karna hai. Fed ne is saal sirf aik dafa rate kam karne ko pasand kiya hai, jab tak inflation mein sustained decline na ho. Premature rate cuts ke concerns jo inflationary pressures ko dobara ignite kar sakte hain, ne Fed ki policies ko firmly in place rakha hai, pehle quarter ke stall ke baad disinflation resuming ke progress ke bawajood.




Four-hour Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Jab pair 1.2700 mark se neeche gir gaya, toh further losses ka rasta khul gaya. Key support levels mein last week ka low 1.2616, 100-day Moving Average (DMA) 1.2700, aur 50-day DMA 1.2685 shamil hain. In levels ke breach hone par 200-DMA 1.2717 expose ho sakta hai. Bullish continuation ke liye, traders ko GBP/USD ko broken support trendline ke upar push karna hoga, jo ab resistance ban gayi hai, takriban 1.2900 ke aas paas, uske baad 1.2850 test karne se pehle.

GBP/USD pair ne US Dollar ke against crucial resistance level 1.2800 ke qareeb recover kar liya hai. Is rebound ke bawajood, pair abhi bhi 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke neeche hai jo 1.2742 ke qareeb hai, jo near-term trend mein uncertainty indicate karta hai. 50-day EMA jo 1.2670 ke qareeb hai, Pound Sterling bulls ke liye ek significant support level hai.

British Pound aur US Dollar Analysis:

Friday ko British Pound ne US Dollar ke against rebound kiya, investor confidence ke wapas aane se. Yeh mixed signals ke bawajood hua jo latest US jobs report se aaye. June ke nonfarm payrolls ki headline figure strong thi, 206,000 naye jobs add karke expectations ko exceed kiya. Lekin, yeh positive data point ko previous month's figures ki significant downward revision ne temper kiya. Pehle 272,000 report kiya gaya tha, lekin May jobs number ko 218,000 pe adjust kar diya gaya. Wage growth bhi cooling dikhai di, average hourly earnings ne forecasts ko miss kiya. Year-on-year increase 3.9% aayi, jo pichle mahine 4.1% thi. Iske ilawa, unemployment rate 4.1% tak barh gaya, jo December 2021 ke baad se highest level hai. Yeh expectations ko 4.0% se zyada kar gaya. Investors ne jobs report ke weaker aspects pe zyada focus kiya, isse yeh nateeja nikaala ke Federal Reserve shayad monetary policy ko loosen kar sakta hai. Ek dovish Fed, jo zyada chances hai ke interest rates cut karega, generally stocks aur currencies jaise Pound ke liye positive maana jata hai.




Market ab 80% chance price kar raha hai ke Fed September 18th tak rate cut karega. Investors closely Fed Chair Jerome Powell ke agle hafte ke comments ko dekhenge taake central bank ke intentions ke bare mein further clues mil sakein. Agle hafte bhi US se key data releases hain. Thursday ko final Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation figures June ke liye aayengi. Iske baad Friday ko Producer Price Index (PPI) inflation data aur University of Michigan Consumer Confidence index aayenge.

Technical side ko dekhte hue, GBP/USD pair ko 1.2655 pe support mil raha hai, jo June ka low hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh pair 1.2620 ke one-month low tak gir sakta hai. Further weakness 1.2598 level ko challenge kar sakti hai, jo January aur March mein firm raha tha. Upar ki taraf, agar positive sentiment prevail karta hai, toh pair January resistance area 1.2771 ko revisit kar sakta hai. Is zone ke upar breakout pair ko recent highs ke defined range 1.2816-1.2859 test karne ka rasta bana sakta hai. Agar yeh resistance area cross hota hai, toh pair apne 2024 peak 1.2892 tak wapas aa sakta hai.

Currency Market Overview: GBP/USD Pair Analysis

Thursday ko currency market, khas taur par GBP/USD pair mein, significant events ka intizaar karta nazar aaya: UK election results aur US non-farm payrolls report jo ke Friday ko aani thi. US markets chhutti ki wajah se band the, is liye trading activity thodi kam rahi, lekin data releases ke baad zyada volatility ki umeed hai.

Investors ghore se US non-farm payrolls report ka intizaar kar rahe hain, jo ke job creation mein slowdown dikhane ki umeed hai, jo ke Federal Reserve ke interest rate cut ki expectations ko reinforce kar sakta hai. Agar report weaker-than-expected hoti hai, toh market optimism barh sakta hai kyun ke lower borrowing costs investors ke liye faida mand hoti hain. Forecasts yeh indicate karte hain ke June ke payrolls numbers 272,000 se kam hote hue 190,000 tak ja sakte hain, jab ke unemployment rate 4.0% par stable rehne ki umeed hai. Average hourly earnings mein bhi thoda decrease dikhne ki umeed hai, annual growth 3.9% tak dip karte hue, jo pehle 4.1% thi.




Is dauran, GBP/USD pair ne resilience dikhai, 1.2610 ke 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) ke upar support milne ke baad thoda recovery ki. Yeh recent failure ke baad hua jo resistance zone 1.2800 ke qareeb breach nahi kar saka. Decisive directional movement ki kami ke bawajood, pair ne 1.2300 level ke upar maintain kiya, jo current trading range mein ek floor suggest karta hai.

Technical indicators GBP/USD ke liye cautious picture paint karte hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) apni downtrend line aur crucial 50 level ke neeche hai, jo bearish momentum ko indicate karta hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) bhi apni signal line aur zero line ke neeche positioned hai, jo weakening momentum ko signal karta hai. Agar selling pressure intensify hota hai, toh potential downside targets 1.2465 area include karte hain, jo recent trading range ke lower boundary 1.2300 ke upar hai. Is level ke neeche break karne par upper boundary 1.2820 ka retest ho sakta hai.

Summary mein, GBP/USD market sentiment filhal cautious optimism se characterized hai, key economic data outcomes ka intizaar karte hue. Recent price action stability suggest karta hai, lekin technical indicators imply karte hain ke downside risks ka bias ho sakta hai agar US job data expectations ko meet nahi karta. Traders aur investors ko UK election results aur US jobs report ke developments ke liye stay tuned rehne ki salahiyat di ja rahi hai, jo currency pair ke next moves ko shape karne mein aham role ada karenge.

Friday ko British Pound ne US Dollar ke against rebound kiya jab investor confidence wapas aaya. Yeh kaafi interesting tha kyunki latest US jobs report mixed signals de rahi thi. June nonfarm payrolls ka headline figure strong tha, jisme 206,000 new jobs add hue aur expectations ko exceed kiya. Lekin, yeh positive data point significant downward revision se tempered ho gaya, pichle mahine ke figures mein. May jobs number ko revise karke 272,000 se 218,000 kiya gaya. Wage growth bhi cooling dikhayi di, average hourly earnings forecasts ko miss karte hue. Year-on-year increase 3.9% pe aayi, jo pichle mahine ke 4.1% se neeche thi. Additionally, unemployment rate 4.1% tak badh gaya, jo December 2021 ke baad se highest level hai, aur expectations of 4.0% ko exceed kiya. Investors ne jobs report ke weaker aspects pe zyada focus kiya, leading to the conclusion ke Federal Reserve monetary policy loosen kar sakta hai. Ek dovish Fed, jo zyada likely hai ke interest rates cut karega, generally stocks aur currencies jaise Pound ke liye positive viewed hota hai.

Market ab 80% chance price kar rahi hai ke Fed rates cut karega by September 18th. Investors closely watch karenge Fed Chair Jerome Powell ke comments ko agle hafte for further clues about central bank ke intentions. Agle hafte bhi key data releases from the US aayenge. Final Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation figures for June Thursday ko aayenge. Iske baad Producer Price Index (PPI) inflation data aur University of Michigan Consumer Confidence index Friday ko aayenge.
GBP/USD pair ko 1.2655 pe support mil raha hai, jo June ka low hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh pair 1.2620 pe one-month low tak gir sakta hai. Further weakness 1.2598 level ko challenge kar sakti hai, jo January aur March mein firm tha. On the upside, agar positive sentiment prevail karta hai, toh pair January resistance area 1.2771 ko revisit kar sakti hai. A breakout above this zone could set the pair on a path to test the recent highs in the defined range of 1.2816-1.2859. Agar yeh resistance area cross hota hai, toh pair potentially 2024 ke peak 1.2892 tak return kar sakti hai.

Update Analysis of #GBP/USD
Time frame H4-
Mujhe umeed hai ke aapko moa'sharat ke haftey ke tamam muamlay mein kamyabi milay aur zyada munafa ho!

Halankay GBP/USD ke qeemat kal izafay ki taraf barhi thi, lekin yeh rawaiya bikul farokht ke liye kaafi nahi tha. Kal ke doraan yeh jor ki jod nahi thi. Asian session ke doraan qeemat gir gayi. Is natijay mein, jodi ek baar phir chaar ghantay ke chart par mojood haliyat ke nichlay hadood mein laut aayi, jis ke baad thori ehtemad bhi bani rehti hai. Is marhaley par, khas tour par aaj ke intezaar mein, jab US ke maeeshat mand istemaal kharch ke qeemti indexes ka ailaan hone ka imkaan hai, main trading range ke nichlay hadood ka girna aur izafa rukh ko jari rakhne ki mumkinat ko tawajjo se dekh raha hoon.

Mujhe umeed hai ke support level 1.2578 ke girne par aur surk median bounce scenario par girne par tawajjo de jaye gi. Aur level 1.2644 ke ooper lot aane ko bhi aik singal samjha jaye ga ke izafa jari rakhne ke liye 1.2726 ke resistance level tak pohonchna hai. Main tawajjo dena chahunga cash consumer spending prices ke bunyadi index par, jo anaysts ke mutabiq pichle mahine se kam ho kar 2.6% tak pohonch sakta hai. Agar yeh rakam tawajjo se kam nikalti hai, to US dollar mein numayan kamzori ki tawaqo ki ja sakti hai. Is ke ilawa, UK GDP bhi jald hi announce kiya jayega aur is mein bhi toofani rawaiya mumkin hai. Har haal mein, main abhi bhi ek taraf hoon aur in qeematon par farokht karne ka soch raha hoon. Lekin main 1.26 level ke neechay girne ki mumkinat ko bhi rad nahi karta. Lekin agar koi jhoota breakout ho to khareedne ki ijazat di ja sakti hai.

جولائی 8 2024 کو برطانوی پاؤنڈ/امریکی ڈالرکی پیشن گوئی

برطانوی پاؤنڈ یومیہ بیلنس لائن سے اوپر آگیا ہے۔ قیمت 1.2847 کی مزاحمتی سطح سے اوپر ٹوٹنے کا ارادہ رکھتی ہے۔ اگر یہ کامیاب ہو جاتا ہے اور اس نشان سے اوپر مضبوط ہو جاتا ہے، تو قیمت 1.2975 کے ہدف تک بڑھ سکتی ہے۔



یہ پاؤنڈ کے لیے ایک جرات مندانہ کام ہے، کیونکہ یہ حال ہی میں گھریلو واقعات کے لیے زیادہ تر غیر جوابدہ رہا ہے اور ڈالر کی کمزوری کی پیروی کر رہا ہے۔ اگر قیمت 1.2755 کی سطح سے نیچے مضبوط ہو جاتی ہے، تو پاؤنڈ 1.2633 کی سپورٹ لیول پر واپس آنے کی کوشش کر سکتا ہے۔ پاؤنڈ یا تو بڑھ سکتا ہے یا گر سکتا ہے۔

٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، قیمت اور آسیلیٹر نے فرق پیدا کر دیا ہے۔ تاہم، ترقی مضبوط ہے، لہذا پاؤنڈ مستقبل قریب میں 1.2755 کی حمایت کی سطح سے نیچے گرنے کا امکان نہیں ہے. ایسا ہونے کے لیے، اسے طاقت جمع کرنے کے لیے کم از کم ایک یا دو دن کے لیے 1.2755-1.2847 کی حد کے اندر مضبوط ہونے کی ضرورت ہوگی۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

mein strong bullish sentiment hai. Ye bhi signify karta hai ke buyers ka pressure sellers ke pressure se zyada tha, jo ke price ko upar le jane mein madadgar sabit hua. Technical analysis ke perspective se, is tarah ke breakout ko significant mana jata hai, kyunki ye potential trend continuation ka signal hota hai. Is scenario mein kuch key factors involve ho sakte hain. Pehle to economic indicators aur fundamental news events ka influence ho sakta hai. Example ke tor par, agar UK ki economy se related positive data release hota hai, to GBP ki demand barh sakti hai, jo ke GBP/USD pair ki value ko uper le jata hai. Similarly, agar US dollar weak hota hai kisi negative economic news ya policy changes ke karan, to bhi GBP/USD barh sakta hai.
Maine MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator chart par lagaya hai, jo abhi bhi sell signal dikhata hai. Yeh indicate karta hai ke market mein kuch hesitation hai GBP/USD price movements ke hawale se. MACD sell signal suggest karta hai ke traders ko cautious rehna chahiye aur reversal ke possibility ko consider karna chahiye despite current bullish movement. 1.2686 level market mein ek significant point of interest ban gaya hai, aur is level ke aas paas price action likely next direction ko dictate karega GBP/USD pair ke liye.
Traders ko is level ko closely monitor karna chahiye aur SMA crossover aur MACD signals mein koi changes dekhni chahiye further confirmation ke liye. Market ka hesitation is important level par suggest karta hai ke bullish aur bearish scenarios dono possible hain near term mein, jo is area ko critical banata hai kisi bhi potential trading opportunities ke liye.
Agar aap isi pair ka older chart dekhein, to aap decline ki priority ki confirmation dekh sakte hain. Neeche, cost opposition zone ko try kar raha hai jo ke 1.2687 level ke qareeb hai. Jab price upar thi, to aap dekh sakte hain ke yeh is area ko hit kar raha tha; ab, yeh ek mirror level hai. Is dafa, target pehle indicate ki gayi Fibonacci grid se chhoti hogi. Yahan aap 1.2566 closing costs par ek normal technical level construct kar

GBP/USD ne Friday ko positive territory mein trade karna jari rakha. US se aane wali lagbhag sabhi ahem reports disappointing sabit hui, is liye dollar ka girna bilkul logical tha. Magar, market ne pichle 6-9 mahino se dollar ko bechna jari rakha, chahe koi waja na bhi ho. Market ke liye factors jaise Federal Reserve Chief Jerome Powell ka stance, Fed ki lambi hawkish monetary policy, ya Bank of England ke agle meeting mein apni monetary policy ko asaan karne ka khatra, ab pehle jitne significant nahi rahe. Isliye, dollar girta hai agar koi waja ho, aur bina wajah bhi gir sakta hai.
Jumme ke din release hone wali ahem US economic reports ne market ko disappoint kiya. NonFarm Payrolls pehle se zyada 16,000 se barh gaya, magar saath hi pichle mahine ka figure 272,000 se revise karke 218,0000 kiya gaya. Is tarah, aakhri do mahine ke liye NonFarm Payrolls ka total number umeed se bura tha. Berozgari ki dar bhi barh kar 4.1% ho gayi, jo market ne anticipate nahi kiya tha.

5-minute timeframe par, beginners un long positions mein bane reh sakte the jo unhone Thursday ko khole the, jab pound ne 1.2748 level ko breach kiya. US data release hone se pehle, price 1.2791-1.2798 area tak pahunch gayi thi, jahan traders profit le sakte the. Unko 30 pips ka fayda ho sakta tha. Iske ilawa, 1.2791-1.2798 area ko paar karne ke signal ko execute karna bhi munasib tha, kyunki US reports ki nature ne dollar par pressure dala. Magar, is trade ko profit ke liye ek ya do din tak khula rakhna zaroori tha.

Trading tips Monday ke liye:
Hourly chart par, GBP/USD ne downtrend banane ke promising signs dikhaye hain, lekin iska matlab yeh nahi ke pair upward trend nahi bana sakta. Pair phir se barh raha hai, aur overall, erratic aur illogical movements ko dikhata rahta hai. Filhal, pound sterling apne latest local high par wapas aa gaya hai aur fundamental background ko ignore kar raha hai.

Monday ko, pound sterling ek break le sakta hai ek kaafi positive week ke baad. Hum ek naye round ki bearish correction ki umeed kar sakte hain, jo tab pehchani ja sakti hai jab price 1.2798 level se neeche settle ho jaye.

5M chart par key levels hain: 1.2457, 1.2502, 1.2541-1.2547, 1.2605-1.2633, 1.2684-1.2693, 1.2748, 1.2791-1.2798, 1.2848-1.2860, 1.2913, 1.2980. Monday ko UK aur US mein koi important events schedule nahi hain. Jumme ko do key reports ke release hone ke bawajood, GBP/USD volatility sirf 60 pips ke kareeb thi. Isliye, Monday ko hum bohot kamzor movements ki umeed kar sakte hain.

GBP/USD ne Friday ko positive territory mein trade karna jari rakha. US se aane wali lagbhag sabhi ahem reports disappointing sabit hui, is liye dollar ka girna bilkul logical tha. Magar, market ne pichle 6-9 mahino se dollar ko bechna jari rakha, chahe koi waja na bhi ho. Market ke liye factors jaise Federal Reserve Chief Jerome Powell ka stance, Fed ki lambi hawkish monetary policy, ya Bank of England ke agle meeting mein apni monetary policy ko asaan karne ka khatra, ab pehle jitne significant nahi rahe. Isliye, dollar girta hai agar koi waja ho, aur bina wajah bhi gir sakta hai.
Jumme ke din release hone wali ahem US economic reports ne market ko disappoint kiya. NonFarm Payrolls pehle se zyada 16,000 se barh gaya, magar saath hi pichle mahine ka figure 272,000 se revise karke 218,000 kiya gaya. Is tarah, aakhri do mahine ke liye NonFarm Payrolls ka total number umeed se bura tha. Berozgari ki dar bhi barh kar 4.1% ho gayi, jo market ne anticipate nahi kiya tha.

5-minute timeframe par, beginners un long positions mein bane reh sakte the jo unhone Thursday ko khole the, jab pound ne 1.2748 level ko breach kiya. US data release hone se pehle, price 1.2791-1.2798 area tak pahunch gayi thi, jahan traders profit le sakte the. Unko 30 pips ka fayda ho sakta tha. Iske ilawa, 1.2791-1.2798 area ko paar karne ke signal ko execute karna bhi munasib tha, kyunki US reports ki nature ne dollar par pressure dala. Magar, is trade ko profit ke liye ek ya do din tak khula rakhna zaroori tha.

Trading tips Monday ke liye:
Hourly chart par, GBP/USD ne downtrend banane ke promising signs dikhaye hain, lekin iska matlab yeh nahi ke pair upward trend nahi bana sakta. Pair phir se barh raha hai, aur overall, erratic aur illogical movements ko dikhata rahta hai. Filhal, pound sterling apne latest local high par wapas aa gaya hai aur fundamental background ko ignore kar raha hai.


Monday ko, pound sterling ek break le sakta hai ek kaafi positive week ke baad. Hum ek naye round ki bearish correction ki umeed kar sakte hain, jo tab pehchani ja sakti hai jab price 1.2798 level se neeche settle hote hain.

Chart par zahir hone wali surat-e-haal se yeh saaf hai ke GBPUSD currency pair abhi bhi upar janay ki koshish kar raha hai, lekin is mein hafte ke shuru ke market se rukawat hai. Yeh surat-e-haal asal mein July ke aaghaz se chal rahi hai. Ek trend hai magar izafa barqarar rehne ke qabil hai. Aaj dupaher ke market ki surat-e-haal asal mein subah se kam volatility ke saath chal rahi hai. Aam tor par, pichle chand dino ke market price movement ab bhi moderate strength ke saath upar ki taraf ja rahi hai jese ke humne pichle hafte dekha tha izafa ke baad. Buyer army ki himmat se jo ke price ko upar le gayi. Agar waqi is hafte yeh currency pair mazeed barhne ki koshish kar raha hai, lagta hai ke yeh market trend ko bullish direction mein chalanay ke qabil hai aur target range 1.2865 tak pohanch sakta hai.
Agar hum pichle chand dino mein jo kuch hua usay dekhen, to yeh saaf hai ke market ab bhi buyer army ke kabze mein hai. Relative Strength Index indicator par Lime Line jo ke phir se level 70 tak barh rahi hai, yeh tasveer hai ke market ab bhi buyer army ke control mein hai aur trend ko bullish raaste par chalane ki koshish kar raha hai. Main izafa par tawajju dena pasand karta hoon aur ideal BUY position entry area talash karne ki koshish karta hoon. Agar mumkin ho to thodi se downward correction ho jaye taki lower level par transaction area mil sake, to jo potential profit hasil hoga wo zyada munafa de sakega. Jo kuch maine aaj ke market mein dekha hai, prices phir se sideways phase mein kamzor strength ke saath lot rahi hain, to agle market ke liye yeh andaza hai ke ab bhi bullish trend ko continue karne ki potential hai.

Discussion iss waqt GBP/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka analysis kar rahi hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke GBP/USD pair sirf decline karega, minor upward pullbacks ko nazarandaaz karte hue. Daily pivot 1.2640 tak retracement ke baad, main sell karne ka plan bana raha hoon, aur mera target aaj ka support 1.2562 hai. Agar yeh main level breakout ho gaya aur consolidation ho gayi to outlook change ho sakta hai, lekin price ne abhi tak koi strong inclination nahi dikhayi. GBP/USD ne downward move exhibit kiya jo Tuesday ko expected tha. Kal mujhe is outcome par doubt tha aur main ne potential rebound ka socha tha jo zyada extended periods ke liye ho sakta tha, jo ek developing pattern ko indicate kar raha tha. Lekin ek aur scenario emerge hua, jis se mujhe movement capitalize karne ka moka mila, aur 30 points gain karne ke baad main exit kar gaya. Kyun ke mujhe 26th figure ke breakdown ka andaza nahi tha, is liye kal ka din unproductive raha, koi significant market reactions nahi hue. Aaj, Asian session ne ek upward flicker dikhayi hai, jo main monitor kar raha hoon. Din ke andar ek rebound ka chance lagta hai agar minimum ko dekha jaye. Yeh mera primary expectation hai pehle half of the day ke GBP/USD market abhi resistance aur support ke darmiyan mojood hai, aur dono taraf breakout naye trends sthapit kar sakte hain. Market apne ban rahe aur barhte hue trends ka istemal karne ki consistent respect trader ke liye ek aitmaad afzai nishani hai. Agar market 1.2585 ke ooper break karta hai, to yeh 1.2570 par support aur resistance sthapit karega. Yeh tajziya H4 time frame ke liye tayyar kiya gaya hai.

H4 chart ke technicals ke mutabiq, GBP/USD pair bearish trend mein hai lekin 1.2748 ke resistance ko todkar guzarne ki koshish kar raha hai. Har koshish nakam ho gayi hai, jis se market support level par palat gaya hai. Market trend ka intezaar hai ke jab tak 1.2668 ke support level par inkaar na mile, bearish rehne ka intezaar hai. Is natije mein market trend side mein rehne ki umeed hai, jo technical ilm rakne walo ke liye faidemand aur munafa bakhsh ho sakta hai.

GBP/USD ki hourly chart par, yeh nazar aata hai ke pair downtrend banane ke umda signs dikha raha hai, lekin yeh ye nahi kehne ka matlab hai ke pair upward trend nahi bana sakta. Yeh pair mukhtalif hafto se side movement dikha raha hai aur pehli significant support area 1.2605-1.2633 ko paar karne mein kamiyab nahi ho saka hai. Isi tarah, British currency phir se buland ho rahi hai aur overall, yeh behtareen aur aksar gair mantiki harkatein dikha rahi hai.

Aaj, is haftay ki trading ki aakhri din par, hum GBPUSD currency pair ki H4 chart par ghor karenge. Budhwar ki trading mein, is currency pair ki keemat ne taqatwar upward movement dikhaya aur technical tasawwur bhi tashkeel mein tha. Din bhar mein jaari khabrein sirf pound ki izafay ko mazeed barhane mein madadgar sabit hui, jabke US ke sabhi indicators apni taqreban tamam tajaweez se kamzor sabit huay, jis se keemat mein izafa ho gaya, jo din bhar ke dauran dekha ja sakta hai. Lekin, US dollar sirf pound ke muqablay mein hi nahi, balki mazeed tajarbaton ke nichore khalisay mein kamzor ho gaya. Laher nizam ne apni tarteeb ko uparward tashkeel dene shuru kiya, MACD indicator ooper khareed zone mein barh raha hai aur apni signal line ke ooper hai. Jald az jald aaj ek tezi se girawat ke baad, unhone is rollback ko barah-e-karam pahonchaya, jab tak keh 1.2732 ke qareebi support level tak. Aur dheere-dheere keemat ne is rollback ko poori tarah se khaya aur aaj tak.

Agar pehli lahrein Fibonacci grid par target lagaye jayein, toh yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke keemat ne izafa ke doran minimum target ko poori tarah se work out kiya - yaani 161.8 ke darje tak pohanch gayi. Mumkin hai ke yeh izafa 200 ke darje tak is grid par tashkeel paye, lekin yeh bilkul mumkin nahi hai keh hum is silsile se guzar sakte hain. CCI indicator daily period par upper zone se murnay ki isharaat deta hai, jo ke correction ka tashkeel kehte hain. 1.2700 ke darje tak girna aam lag raha hai, phir hum buying ke bare mein soch sakte hain ya nahi. Aaj ke 15-30 Moscow time par mukhtalif ahmiyat ke bais waqt ke liye iskay baray mein saari chand khabrein jaari ho rahi hain: Average hourly earnings in the US, Change in the number of employed in the non-agricultural sector of the US, The share of the economically active population in the US, Change in the number of employed in the private non-agricultural sector of the US, The unemployment rate in the US. 18-00 - The US Federal Reserve System's report on monetary policy.

Kal, GBP/USD ne apnay upward movement ko aram se jari rakha. Volatility kam thi kyun keh United States mein official holiday thi. UK ne June ke liye apnay Construction PMI ke dusre estimate ko jaari kiya, jo ke secondary ahmiyat rakhta hai. Phir bhi, market ne pound ko khareedne ke liye wajah payi. Ek note ke taur par, yeh tezi uss support area 1.2605-1.2633 se shuru hui, jahan bears ne bulls se mukhalif nahi ho saki. Mangalwar ko, tezi ke liye koi bunyadi ya maqrooh nafsiyati wajah nahi thi. Balki, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ne apnay taqreer mein hawkish tone barqarar rakha, jo dollar ko madadgar tha. JOLTs report bhi umeedon se zyada sabit hua, jo keh US currency ko madadgar tha. Lekin dollar jab hota hai tab nahi upar, jab nahi hota hai tab gir jata hai. 9 mahinon se hum forex market mein yehi pattern dekh rahe hain. Pair ne 5-minute timeframe par ek buy signal tashkeel kiya. Euro ki tarah, keemat ne 1.2748 ke darje ko paar karne ki koshish 5-6 ghanton tak ki, jab yeh kamiyab hui, pair tezi se nahi badha kyun keh volatility sirf 30 pips thi. Magar aap long position raat bhar tak rakh sakte the, kyun keh pair kamzor harkat dikhata hai aur ek din ke andar signal ko anjam dene ka aitmaad na karna na mumkin tha

Forex trading strategy
GBP/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Pound/dollar ka joda filhal sideways me trade kar raha hai. Meri nazar me, yah joda niche ki taraf jane aur trendline aur 1.27600 ki support satah ka test karne ke liye accumulation ke marhale me hain. Iske bad, jode ki mustaqbil ki naqal o harkat ke liye do mumkena scenario hain. Bull case scenario me, Bartanwi currency ooper ki taraf palat sakti hai, nayi bulandi ko chu sakti hai, aur 1.29440 ki muzahmati satah tak pahunch sakti hai. Bear case scenario me, pound/dollar ka joda trendline ko tod sakti hai aur kamzori ko badha sakti hai.

GBP/USD ke qeemat kal izafay ki taraf barhi thi, lekin yeh rawaiya bikul farokht ke liye kaafi nahi tha. Kal ke doraan yeh jor ki jod nahi thi. Asian session ke doraan qeemat gir gayi. Is natijay mein, jodi ek baar phir chaar ghantay ke chart par mojood haliyat ke nichlay hadood mein laut aayi, jis ke baad thori ehtemad bhi bani rehti hai. Is marhaley par, khas tour par aaj ke intezaar mein, jab US ke maeeshat mand istemaal kharch ke qeemti indexes ka ailaan hone ka imkaan hai, main trading range ke nichlay hadood ka girna aur izafa rukh ko jari rakhne ki mumkinat ko tawajjo se dekh raha hoon.
Mujhe umeed hai ke support level 1.2578 ke girne par aur surk median bounce scenario par girne par tawajjo de jaye gi. Aur level 1.2644 ke ooper lot aane ko bhi aik sinyal samjha jaye ga ke izafa jari rakhne ke liye 1.2726 ke resistance level tak pohonchna hai. Main tawajjo dena chahunga cash consumer spending prices ke bunyadi index par, jo anaysts ke mutabiq pichle mahine se kam ho kar 2.6% tak pohonch sakta hai. Agar yeh rakam tawajjo se kam nikalti hai, to US dollar mein numayan kamzori ki tawaqo ki ja sakti hai. Is ke ilawa, UK GDP bhi jald hi announce kiya jayega aur is mein bhi toofani rawaiya mumkin hai. Har haal mein, main abhi bhi ek taraf hoon aur in qeematon par farokht karne ka soch raha hoon. Lekin main 1.26 level ke neechay girne ki mumkinat ko bhi rad nahi karta. Lekin agar koi jhoota breakout ho to khareedne ki ijazat di ja sakti hai.
GBPUSD currency pair ke market trend conditions expect ki ja sakti hain ke bearish direction mein move karna continue karengi aur price most likely neeche move karte hue 1.2595 level range ko test karegi. Relative Strength Index indicator par Lime Line ki position ko refer karte hue, jo dobara level 50 ke neeche drop hui hai, ye indication hai ke trend abhi bhi bearish hai.
Next week's trading session ke liye maine decide kiya hai ke main sirf ek acha area dekhne par concentrate karunga SELL trading entry banane ke liye, kyunki price movements jo ke is week sideways rahe hain, consistently Simple Moving Average indicator ke neeche stay kar rahe hain, jo ke is baat ka indication hai ke bearish trend ki taraf movement ka continuation ka zyada moka hai. Agar market conditions ko last three weeks mein dekha jaye, to main predict karta hoon ke bearish trend agle mahine bhi continue rahegi.

Discussion iss waqt GBP/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka analysis kar rahi hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke GBP/USD pair sirf decline karega, minor upward pullbacks ko nazarandaaz karte hue. Daily pivot 1.2640 tak retracement ke baad, main sell karne ka plan bana raha hoon, aur mera target aaj ka support 1.2562 hai. Agar yeh main level breakout ho gaya aur consolidation ho gayi to outlook change ho sakta hai, lekin price ne abhi tak koi strong inclination nahi dikhayi. GBP/USD ne downward move exhibit kiya jo Tuesday ko expected tha. Kal mujhe is outcome par doubt tha aur main ne potential rebound ka socha tha jo zyada extended periods ke liye ho sakta tha, jo ek developing pattern ko indicate kar raha tha. Lekin ek aur scenario emerge hua, jis se mujhe movement capitalize karne ka moka mila, aur 30 points gain karne ke baad main exit kar gaya. Kyun ke mujhe 26th figure ke breakdown ka andaza nahi tha, is liye kal ka din unproductive raha, koi significant market reactions nahi hue. Aaj, Asian session ne ek upward flicker dikhayi hai, jo main monitor kar raha hoon. Din ke andar ek rebound ka chance lagta hai agar minimum ko dekha jaye. Yeh mera primary expectation hai pehle half of the day ke GBP/USD market abhi resistance aur support ke darmiyan mojood hai, aur dono taraf breakout naye trends sthapit kar sakte hain. Market apne ban rahe aur barhte hue trends ka istemal karne ki consistent respect trader ke liye ek aitmaad afzai nishani hai. Agar market 1.2585 ke ooper break karta hai, to yeh 1.2570 par support aur resistance sthapit karega. Yeh tajziya H4 time frame ke liye tayyar kiya gaya hai.

H4 chart ke technicals ke mutabiq, GBP/USD pair bearish trend mein hai lekin 1.2748 ke resistance ko todkar guzarne ki koshish kar raha hai. Har koshish nakam ho gayi hai, jis se market support level par palat gaya hai. Market trend ka intezaar hai ke jab tak 1.2668 ke support level par inkaar na mile, bearish rehne ka intezaar hai. Is natije mein market trend side mein rehne ki umeed hai, jo technical ilm rakne walo ke liye faidemand aur munafa bakhsh ho sakta hai.