جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

GBP/USD Asian session mein 1.2490 ke aas paas trading kar raha hai aur ye apne nuksaan ke silsile ko teesri muddat tak barha raha hai. Thursday ko Bank of England ka interest rate faisla hai, jahan interest rates ki tawaqa ye hai ke wo 5.25% par qaim rahenge. GBP/USD ne 200-day simple moving average jo ke filhal 1.2550 par hai se nichay band kiya, jab isse pehle saptah mein us level ko paar karne mein nakam ho gaya tha. Iske ilawa, 4-hour chart par Relative Strength Index (RSI) 40 ke neeche gir gaya, jo nazdeeki technical outlook mein ek bearish mounasib ka nazar aata hai. Neeche, 4-hour chart par 200-period SMA 1.2480 par agla resistance banata hai, pehle 1.2450 (latest downtrend ka Fibonacci 23.6% retracement) aur 1.2400 (static level, psychological level). Foran resistance 1.2500 (static level, psychological level) par mojud hai pehle 1.2530 (Fibonacci 38.2% retracement) aur phir 1.2550 (200-day SMA). GBP/USD ko mazid bearish dabao se mukhaalfat ka samna karna pada aur Tuesday ko lagbhag 0.5% nuksan uthaya. Dolar (USD) cautious market sentiment se faida uthata raha Tuesday ko aur GBP/USD par bhari hui. Iske ilawa, Minneapolis Federal Reserve President Neil Kashkari ke baaz bayaanat ne USD ko uthaya aur pair ke slide ko barhaya. Kashkari ne kaha ke housing market tight fiscal policy se zyada mazboot sabit ho raha hai aur kaha ke barhte hue inflation se sawalon par sawal khada ho raha hai ke kitna sakhti se policy ki ja rahi hai. Rate outlook par, unho ne maana ke zyada tawaqa hai ke rates lambay arse tak beghair tabdeeli ke rehenge lekin agar inflation control mein aa gaya toh mazeed karvahi bhi mumkin hai. US economic docket mein koi bhi high-level data jaari nahi kiya jayega, lekin Federal Reserve Board of Governors Vice Chair Philip Jefferson, Boston Fed President Susan Collin aur Governor Lisa Cook baad mein US session mein bayaanat denge.

British pound (GBP) ab tak teesri mubarak din ke liye bekarar hai jab dollar mazbooti se barh raha hai. GBP/USD jodi ab tak atraf-e-asia trading ke doran 1.2495 ke qareeb hai, jisay jumeraat ke early morning mein cautious market sentiment ke bojh tale daba diya gaya hai Bank of England (BoE) ke interest rate faislay ke agle dino ke liye . BoE se koi bhi interest rate ka tabadla umeed nahi kiya jata. Ye bekhudi doosri mali data releases aur thursday ke mazi muqarar events ke darmiyan aati hai. US apni haftawarana initial jobless claims data jaari karega, jis ke baad Federal Reserve ki afzal mein Mary Daly ka taqreer hogi. Is haftay mein, bharpoor US ki mali data releases ki naa-mojoodgi ne traders ko Fed policymakers ki tabsaraon par tawajjo denay par majboor kiya. Ye tabsaraat hawkish thi, jo ke inflation ka mukabla karne ke liye interest rates ko barqarar rakhne ki jari rahi. Boston Fed President Susan Collins ne inflation ko 2% target tak le jane ke liye interest rates ko lamba arsa barqarar rakhne ki zarurat par zor diya. Isi tarah, New York Fed President John Williams aur Minneapolis Fed President Nir Kashkari ne apne pasandeeda current interest rate levels ko lambay arsay tak barqarar rakhne ki pasand zahir ki. Ye hawkish mawaqe ne USD ko support diya, jo ke GBP/USD jodi par dabaav daal raha hai. GBP/USD jodi ne haal hi mein afaqa dikhaya tha, 1.2298 ke panch mahinay ka low se oopar uth kar aur waqtan fawaqit 200-day simple moving average (SMA) ko paar kar liya. Magar ye momentum ruk gaya jab jodi ne 50-day moving average ke oopar na jaane ki koshish ki aur baad mein March se qaim trend line ke neeche gir gaya. Agar ye zor e itlaaq jari rahe, to GBP/USD ke daam shayad April ke support level 1.2405 tak wapas jaa sakein. Mazeed nuqsan 1.2298 ke panch mahinay ke low tak pohanch sakta hai. Is area ke neeche girna keemat November 2023 ke support 1.2186 tak ja sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar kharidari ke interest mein dobaara taaqat ka izhar hota hai jo ke keemat ko downtrend line ke oopar le jata hai, to April-May ki resistance zone 1.2564 pehla hurdle ka kaam kar sakti hai. Ek muqarrar tor par is area ke oopar guzar jaane se, ek mumkin morche ke liye rasta saaf ho sakta hai 1.2632 ke ird gird. Is level ko paar karna April ke peak 1.2708 ka imtehan ho sakta hai, jo ke ek mazboot resistance point ka kaam kar sakta hai. Ikhtitam mein, GBP/USD jodi haal hi mein ek ghateele raaste par thi, jo ke ahem 50-day moving average ko dobara hasil karne mein nakam rahi. Apni chhote muddat ke nazar mein behtar hawala ke liye, jodi ko zaroori hai ke ye jo downtrend line hai usko muqarrar tor par tor de jo ke uske urooj ko rok raha hai. Aane wale BoE interest rate faislay aur US ki mali data releases GB/USD ke qareeb mustaqbil ke rukh par asar andaaz honge.

Samjha. Aapki darkwast mein gehri tafseel mein guftagu karte hain. Ek kharidari order shuru karne ka tajziati tareeqa istemal karna intehai ahem hai, utasalar 1.25067.zone jaise ahem support areas ke ird gird. Ye zone ahmiyat rakhta hai kyun ke yeh ek level ko darust karta hai jahan purani kharidari dabao zahir hua hai, jise qeemat ki harkat mein ek phir se ubhar dikhane ki alamat hosakti hai. 1.25079.zone ke neeche ek kharidari order shuru karne se aap ehtiyaat se amal kar rahe hain, jo ke neechay se sasta kharidna aur ooncha bechna ke asool ke sath hamahangi hai. Ye faisla market dynamics ki samajh ko darust karta hai, kyun ke is support area ke qareeb aane wale qeematein oversold conditions ya downtrend mein mukhalif palat dikhane ki alamat hosakti hain. Magar, takneeki tahlil ko market sentiment aur fundamental factors ke sath samajh ke sath taraqqi dekar istemal karna zaroori hai. Jabke 1.24837.zone purani data ke mutabiq aik mawafiq support level ke taur par kaam kar sakta hai, lekin anjane hadse ya market sentiment mein tabdeeliyan qeemat ke rawayye ko asar andaz banasakti hain. Iske ilawa, currency pair ke performance aur mojooda market conditions ka bhari taur par ghor karna zaroori hai. Ahem resistance levels ka tajziya karna, jaise ke 1.24912.level, potentiay price targets aur risk management ke baray mein wazeh karne mein madad deta hai. Risk management techniques ko shaamil karna, jaise ke stop-loss orders tay karna aur risk-reward ratios mukarrar karna, aapke trading approach ki taeed karne mein aur bhi bharpoor hota hai. Ye is baat ko dafa karta hai ke mumkinat ke nuqsanat kam kiye jayein jabke munafa dene wale mouko ko faida uthaya ja sake. Iske ilawa, macroeconomic indicators, central bank policies, geopolitical events, aur market sentiment ke baray mein maloomam rakhna currency market dynamics mein qeemat shamil kar sakti hai. Mustaqbil ke liye kamiyabi ke liye mojooda market conditions ko tayyar rehna aur apni trading strategy mein lachariyat barqarar rakhna zaroori hai. Aakhri mein, 1.24035.zone ke neeche ek kharidari order shuru karne se bachna ek prudent approach ko darust karta hai, purani support levels ka istemal karte hue jabke bade taur par market dynamics aur risk management principles ko ghor karne ke sath. Taraqqi ki tafseel darust tajziya aur market ki taraqqi ko samajhne ke sath, aap apni trading strategy ki tasali ko barha sakte hain aur currency markets mein apni performance ko optimize kar sakte hain.

4 ghanton ka GBP/USD jodi ka chart dekhte hue ek mawafiq khareedne ki zone zahir hoti hai, jo ek bullish candlestick pattern se markazi hai. Is hafte ke shuruaat mein, jodi ne bullish price channels ke andar trading shuru ki. Magar, jab yeh channels ke upper boundary par rukawat ka samna hua, to ek neeche ki taraf ki harkat shuru hui. Is giravat mein, pehle to keemat haftay ki pivot level tak pahunchi, jahan se support mili magar uske neeche gir gayi. Abhi, keemat ek neeche ki manind taraqqi par hai pehle support level ki taraf pivot point par 1.2530 par, jo lower channel lines ke saath milta hai. Is level se ek palatne ki nishaandahi ek oopri harkat ki shuruaat ki taraf ishaara kar sakta hai, haftay ki pivot level ki taraf mukhtalif channels line tak.
Bilkul, yeh raha mazeed detailed aur lambi taur par tajziya:

Halaat-e-moasri ke baad US Federal Reserve ke monetary policy faislon ke baad se investors ne US dollar se rukh mor liya hai, jis se GBP/USD ki keemat mein significant izafa hua hai. Yeh tabdeeli aksar monetary policy ke mutabiqat aur mawazna ko le kar hoti hai, jo ke Forex market mein aham hoti hai. Is taraqi mein, sonay ki keemat mein is buland momentum ne kamzor US dollar aur broad economic uncertainties ke darmiyan kam yields ki wajah se izafa paya hai.

Federal Reserve ki 30 basis points ke umeed ki mutabiq interest rates ko barhane ka faisla tabdeel hua, jis mein mazeed rate hikes par rukawat ke ishaarat thay. Yeh tasleem karne ke baad ke investors aur traders ne US dollar se apni investment hata kar aur GBP/USD jaise pairs mein rukh mora, jahan unko zyada faida milne ka imkaan tha.

Isi doraan, sonay ki keemat mein bhi izafa hua hai, jo ke Forex market mein aksar US dollar ki kamzori ki wajah se hota hai. Gold usually acts as a hedge against inflation, aur jab US dollar kamzor hota hai, log gold ko aik safe haven asset ke tor par dekhte hain aur is mein apni investments ko barha dete hain.

Federal Reserve ke is cautious approach ka maqsad hai ke wo ek barqe ka faisla le sakte hain jis se unhe financial crises, siyasi musibat aur inflations ke asraat ka theek andaaza ho. Yeh bhi Forex market ke liye ahem hai, kyun ke jab ek muddat ke liye koi decision suspend hota hai, to market mein uncertainty aur volatility barh jati hai.Sonay ki keemat ke liye mutawaqa rukh is baat par mabni hai ke 4 ghanton ke chart mein lal channel line ke upar barqarar reh kar side-ways trading ka jari rahay, uske baad ek mumkin upar ki taraf ki raftar ko dobaara shuru hone ka imkaan hota hai. Doosri soorat mein, mojooda giravat mukammal hone se pehle ek durusti ki dour mein lead kar sakti hai jo ke mahinay ki pivot level ki taraf nishan-dahi kare, keemat apni upar ki raftar ko dobaara shuru karne se pehle.

GBP/USD currency pair

Main ne GBP/USD currency pair ki qeemat ko haqeeqati waqt mein tajziya kiya hai, aur jazbat ka indicator ek bearish lehja dikhata hai. Magar, trading asasaar ko ooper ki taraf ki manzil tak pohanchne ka imkan hai. Ibtidaai aur dosri leharain ban chuki hain, jo 1.2716-1.2738 ke darajon tak ki hosakta hai, is ke baad ek islaah aur mazeed ooper ki taraf ki manzil tak 1.2795-1.2809. Jab ke is ke bawajood, main market se bahar reh raha hoon kyun ke 1.2607 par wasee stop loss ki zaroorat hai. Main kisi aur qeemat ke amal se pehle mazeed qeemat amal ka muntazir hoon. Rozana qeemat ka chart dekhte hue, GBP/USD currency pair Murray 3/8 tahqiqati channel ke nichle hisse ke qareeb hai jahan 1.2638 aur girte 14th period moving average line ke saath seedha rabta hai.

Ye dawa karta hai ke 1/8 Murray ulta hissa 1.2517 ko imtehan ke liye jaari rahay ga. Rozana stochastics ko ek manfi mor ke aasar ka ishara hai, jo ke bearish outlook ko taayun karta hai. Halan ke aaj kuch khaas khabrein nahi aai hain, lekin kamzor rahne ka ilzam taqreeban technical factors ke sabab se qaim hai. Asasaar ke EMA50 resistance level 1.2628 ke nichle trading ke neeche, jor ki taraqqi ki mumkinat hai jahan tak 1.2560 ya 1.26 ke darajay ki tajziyat hai. Halan ke shuru mein main ne "buland karwat" ke namoona ko ghoor se ghoor kar dekha tha, ab main mojooda positions ko kam karna ya EMA200 resistance 1.2664 se rukh mein waapis karne ki taraf tawajjo dena pasand karta hoon. Khareedna ab tak kaam ki tadad nahi hai, kyunke harkat darajat aam tor par GBP/USD ko rokne ki mumkinat hai. Magar, 1.2690 ke darja scenario mein ahmiyat rakhta hai, jis se "buland karwat" ke namoona ko dhaanp sakta hai aur kaam kar sakta hai.

/USD ne Jumma ke Asian ghanton mein 1.2548 ke qareeb tezi se barhna shuru kiya. Yeh barhne ki wajah mukhtalif factors se ho sakti hai, jaise ke economic data releases, geopolitical events, ya phir currency market ke overall sentiment mein tabdili. Is barhne ke peechay kuch mukhtalif factors ho sakte hain, jo ham detail mein dekheng Sab se pehle, GBP/USD ki tezi mein Brexit se mutalliq khabron ka asar ho sakta hai. Brexit negotiations ya phir related announcements currency pairs par asar dalte hain, khas kar jab koi breakthrough hota hai ya uncertainty kam hoti hai. Agar koi positive news aayi ho Brexit ke mutalliq, jaise ke trade agreements ya phir deal ke kareebi mouqe ka zikar, toh yeh GBP ki value ko boost kar sakta hai. Doosri wajah ho sakti hai economic data releases, jaise ke employment data, GDP growth, ya inflation figures. Agar UK ki economic performance better hai ya phir expectations se behtar hai, toh is se GBP/USD mein izafa ho sakta hai. Investors economic indicators ko closely monitor karte hain taake unko currency pairs ki future direction ka andaza lagaya ja sake. Thirdly, market sentiment plays a crucial role in currency movements. Agar investors ko lagta hai ke UK ki economy strong hai aur future mein achhi tarah se perform karegi, toh woh GBP ko support karenge. Isi tarah, agar investors ko lagta hai ke US economy weak hai ya phir kisi tarah ki uncertainty hai, toh woh USD se withdraw karke GBP ki taraf move kar sakte hain. Aakhri tor par, geopolitical events bhi currency pairs par asar dalte hain. Koi bhi major geopolitical event, jaise ke tensions between countries ya phir geopolitical conflicts, currency pairs ko directly influence kar sakta hai. Agar koi aisi event hoti hai jo UK ya US se mutalliq hai, toh yeh GBP/USD ko directly ya indirectly affect kar sakti hai. In sab factors ke milte julte, GBP/USD ke Jumma ke Asian ghanton mein tezi se barhne ki wajah ho sakti hai. Lekin yeh important hai ke investors ko market ke changes ko closely monitor karte rahein aur proper risk management techniques istemal karein

khaaskar wo currencies ke liye jo political events par zyada sensitive hoti hain, jese ke GBP, jo ke political events par zyada sensitive hoti hai. Brexit negotiations, government policies, aur international trade agreements sirf kuch examples hain jin se GBP/USD exchange rate par asar pata chal sakta hai. Siyasi leadership mein tabdili, diplomatic tensions, ya geopolitical crises market ki zyada volatility ko barha sakte hain aur currency ki qeemat ko mutasir kar sakte hain.Central bank policies exchange rates ko tay karnay mein ahem role ada karte hain. Monetary policy decisions, jese ke interest rate changes, quantitative easing measures, aur forward guidance, currency values par ahem asar daal sakte hain. Traders central bank statements aur economic projections ko tafseel se jaanchte hain taake policy actions aur unke currency markets par asar ko samajh sakein. Masalan, Bank of England se hawkish statements, jo ke monetary policy ko tight karne ka irada darust karti hain, GBP ko mazboot kar sakti hain, jabke dovish remarks uski qeemat ko girne ka sabab ban sakti hain.Market sentiment, jo ke investor ki perceptions aur risk appetite par mabni hoti hai, bhi currency ki movements par asar daalti hai. GBP ke liye musbat sentiment jo ke investors ko zyada returns ki talash mein attract karta hai, currency ki demand ko barha sakti hai. Magar, manfi sentiment currency ki qeemat mein kami ka sabab bhi ban sakta hai. Traders market sentiment ko mukhtalif indicators, jese ke investor surveys, volatility indices, aur risk appetite gauges ke zariye tafseel se dekhte hain taake potential currency movement ko samajh sakein.Technical analysis, jo ke price charts aur statistical indicators ko jaanchne ke tor par hoti hai, short-term currency movements ke baray mein ahem insights faraham kar sakti hai.

Aaj, main aik article likhne ka iraada karta hoon jo GBP/USD Forex market mein mojooda pricing trends ko jaanchta hai. Market aik bohot hi mubahisah ilaqe mein hai, lekin rally ke baad bhi bears abhi bhi control mein hain, aur mujhe lagta hai ke uptrend ka jari rehne par koi bharosa nahi hai. Aglay din ke trading session ek ahem lamha hoga, aur agar taqat ki tasdeeq na ho, toh yeh bearish trend ka saaf signal hoga. Isi waqt, yeh bhi zaroori hai ke yeh dekha jaye ke support level 1.2524 ko tora jata hai, jo ke bearish trend ka izhar rokta hai, aur yeh GBP/USD ke movement ke dynamics mein aik numaya tabdeeli hai

. Is tor par tootne ki wajah se, girawat mein gehraai hoti hai, jis ke natije mein GBP/USD 1.2404 aur phir 1.2302 tak pohanchta hai, jo girawat ka mazeed izaafa ka rasta kholta hai. Haqeeqi toofan hamara intezar kar raha hai, aur hum sirf is amal ki shuruwat kar rahe hain, samajhte hue ke is corridor se bahar nikalna itna aasan nahi hai.

Niyat ke alternative manzar ke bare mein koi ikhtataam karna abhi zyada jaldi hai kyunke buniyadi rukh se halki istarha ki koi tafreeq tasdeeq nahi hai. Aaj, neeche jaate hue, is channel ke nichle sarhad tak girawat hui; yeh 1.2531 ke darja tak hai, aur abhi tak yeh pair girawat is darje par ruk gaya hai. Ab mumkin hai ke agar keemat palat ke upar jaane aur upar jaane lagti hai, toh upar jaate hue, pair ooper chadh sakti hai ascending channel ke upper border tak; yeh 1.2712 ke darja tak hai.

Is level tak pohanchne ke baad, pair mein palat shuru ho sakti hai, aur keemat neeche jaane shuru ho sakti hai. Pair ke liye agla option mumkin hai: agar keemat girte hue aur channel ko neeche toorta hai, toh girawat jari reh sakti hai 1.2474 ke darja tak. Toh main samajhta hoon ke Jumeraat tak humein GBP ya USD par koi khaas movement nahi milega. Agar hum isay pichli rebound ke saath muqabla karen jo 1.2707 ke urooj trend line se kiya gaya tha, toh yeh kaafi musallas palat hai, aur ooper ke tops ke saath even divergence hai.


Yeh urooj trend line se 1.2892 ke urooj ke neeche rah sakte hain aur mazeed chhotay zigzags mein agle darje ki 1.2298 ki update ke dauran aage badh sakte hain. Yeh mojooda asal movement plan hai. Wazeh hai ke humein shumooli shumari ke koshish ko madde nazar rakna chahiye, lekin yahan par humein urooj trend line ke neeche nahi balki peechli bachat support 1.2600–1.2610 ke upar ba-iteni ittefaq se baahar nikalna hoga. Is ke liye kam az kam kuch dino ki zaroorat hogi.

Britani paond (GBP) ne Jumeraat ko currency traders ko hairan kar diya. UK se musbat ma'ashiyati daleelat ke bawajood, paond US dollar (USD) ke khilaf kamzor par gaya. Yeh ghair mutawaqqa harkat amreeki ma'ashiyat mein mogheera slow down ke baray mein barh rahi pareshaniyon se samjhi ja sakti hai, jo hilaf-e-istandard amreeki consumer confidence ke halat se faraham ki gayi hai. GBP/USD pair 1.2515 tak gir gaya, jo ke 0.11% ka nuqsaan darust karta hai. Technically, yeh pullback sellers ko hosla diya hai, jo ab mazeed kamzor qeemat ka intezar kar rahe hain. Kamzorion ke mazeed nishaan thay. Pair ke kaamyaabi se 200-day moving average par chadhne ka naqami 1.2546 par dikhata hai ke kharidari ka josh kam hota ja raha hai. Yeh kamzori, bearish Relative Strength Index (RSI) ke saath mil kar, paond ke mazeed nuqsaan ki bulandi ki barri imkanat ko darust karti hai. Downtrend ko mustakil banane ke liye, sellers ko 1.2450 par 9 May ko tay ki gayi haali low se qeemat neeche dabaani hogi. Is level ka kaamyaabi se tor dene par GBP/USD ko psychology level 1.2405 ke saamne la sakta hai, jo ke sall ka sab se kamzor nuqta hai. Lekin, aik comeback ki bhi imkanat hai. Agar buyers 1.2505 level par qaaim reh sakte hain, toh unka iraada hosakta hai ke qeemat ko wapas 200-day moving average ke taraf le jayein, baad mein potential retest 50-day moving average 1.2599 par ho sakta hai. Is ke aage 100-day moving average 1.2640 hai, jo paond ke liye ek aur mushkilat ka sabab ban sakta hai.






Lambi muddat ke nazdeek, GBP/USD pair ne critical 200-day moving average ke oopar aik waqti izafa bhi dekha. Lekin, yeh izaafa mukhtasir waqt tak rehne wala tha, kyun ke pair ne 50-day moving average ko paar karne mein na-kamyaabi milti. Yeh kamzori is surat-e-haal se aai ke March se paish mei aane wale downtrend line ke neeche gir gaya. Agar paond par nichle dabav jari rahe, toh qeemat April mein dekhe gaye support level 1.2410 ko dobara daikh sakti hai. Mazeed nuqsaan April se paanch mahine ke sab se kamzor level par 1.2303 mein tasfiyah ho sakta hai. Is zone ke neeche girane par, GBP/USD ko November 2023 se na dekha gaya support levels 1.2190 ke qareeb la sakta hai. Doosri taraf, kharidari ka dabao wapas aane par jo qeemat ko downtrend line ke oopar kar sakta hai, woh shuruati rukawat 1.2569 area par ka samna karay ga, jo April aur May dono mein rukawat ke tor par kaam aaya. Is zone ke tor par aik final breakthrough ho sakti hai jo ke paond ke liye ek moaziz palat ka signal ho sakta hai, jahan qeemat 1.2637 ke qareeb uth sakti hai. Us level ko paar karne se aagay ka unchar 1.2713 par ek imtehaan lay sakta hai, jo ke mazeed ooper ki raftar ke liye chhat ki tarah kaam kar sakta hai.

GBP/USD pair ne haal ki sessions mein investors ke liye ek bulbulay ki tarah ka kalaam ban gaya hai, aur doosre musalsal din tak apni upri sargam ko barha raha hai. Jab yeh Asian hours mein 1.2539 ke aas paas gunjata hai, to is melodious izaafay ko samjhnay ke liye gehraai se jayein zaroori hai.

GBP/USD ke Bunyadiyat:

Federal Reserve ke hal hilafat aur ma'ashi daleelat ki peshkash ne GBP/USD pair ke harkaat ke aas paas ek dilchasp kahani ki manzar bazi ki hai. Fed Chair Jerome ke mustasna lehje par darust kiye gaye interest rates par mukhtalif jawabat ne forex manzar mein farahmi aur peshkash ke darmiyan ek misaal-e-khasa buland ki hai, jise investors ke darmiyan ek aalmi melaof rehne ki misaal ban chuki hai. Jab ke pehle quarter mein disinflation ke koshishon mein kuch khas kamyabi nahi mili, Powell ka dawa ke mazeed rate hikes mumkin nahi hain, isne market sentiments par gehra asar dala hai.

US Dollar Index (DXY), jisay bari currencies ke muqabley mein sabitaya ka meter samjha jata hai, relativa mustaqil raha hai. New York session ke shuru mein 105.20 ke kareeb ghoom raha hai, index ki mustaqil amlay kaai qisam ke weak Q1 Unit Labor Cost data aur mustaqil Initial Jobless Claims figures ke sath mukhtalif hai. Halankeh Unit Labor Costs umeed se kam rafte mein barh rahe hain, haftay ke Jobless Claims estimates se kam rahe hain, jis se ek misaal ka ma'ashi manzar samne aata hai.

4-hour Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Fauran wapas support 1.2444 level par, phir 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 1.2513 par aur 1.2500 ke manasik aahal par, chhote arsay ke qeemat ke harkaat par wazeh raushni daal sakte hain. Lekin, in levels ke neeche breach hote huey, bechnay ka dabao mazeed barh sakta hai, jo pair ko six-month low 1.2300 aur descending channel ke lower boundary 1.2241 ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

Abhi waqt par signal line ke ooper muqami hote huey, MACD ek momentum ka shift ishara karta hai jo ke bearish bias ki kamzori ko confirm kar sakta hai jab wo centerline ko paar karay. Ek taraf, RSI 40.00 se 60.00 tak ki range mein oscillate kar raha hai, jisse market participants ke darmiyan tarazi aur sentiments mein tabdili ki sambhavna hai.

GBPUSD pair ke liye, abhi tak sab kuch plan ke mutabiq hai, opening aur closing price ek hi thi, daily range bhi 78 points ke hisaab se reh gayi, aam tor par jo maine kal likha tha, woh sab ab bhi qaim hai, khaaskar unhone tay shuruat ke maximum ko nahi toda takay daily reversals nazar aaye, direction wazeh thi, na to minimum ko toda gaya na maximum, isliye raat ko na to koi signals aaye the uttar ki taraf na hi dakshin ki taraf, lekin ab daily reversals nazar aaye hain aur kal ka post mazeed specific reversal levels ke saath pura kiya ja sakta hai. barabashkafx ki taraf se post kiya gaya
Kal ke pair ke baare mein kuch zyada sochnay ki zarurat nahi hai, mujhe lagta hai ke aane wale din ki shuruat closing price 1.2520 par hogi, aur daily range zyada se zyada 78 points tak hogi, shayad thodi kam bhi ho since Friday ne apni movement ko ek ya do points kam kar diya tha, lekin yeh zaroori nahi, aam tor par daily range uttar ki taraf 1.2598 par khatam hogi jaise ke Friday ko tha, dakshin ki taraf daily range 1.2442 par khatam hogi, aur jab tak daily reversals sirf subah mein aayeinge, main akhri candles ki taraf rahunga, agar woh minimum 1.2501 ko tod sakti hain, to hum dakshin ki taraf chalayenge aur dakshin ki daily range ke mutabiq kaam karenge jo 1.2442 hai, agar pair maximum 1.2537 ko tod sakta hai, to hum zyada tar uttar ki taraf jaayenge aur 1.2598 tak chalayenge, humein zyada nahi jaana chahiye, uttar ki range ke neeche bhi, jab tak hum ek naye din mein move nahi karte aur Tuesday ko ek nayi daily range nahi milta, mujhe lagta hai kal uttar ki taraf thodi zyada chances hain, isliye main 1.2537 ka breakout aur waha se 1.2598 tak chadhne ka intezaar kar raha hoon, ek revpoints


hai, khaaskar unhone tay shuruat ke maximum ko nahi toda takay daily reversals nazar aaye, direction wazeh thi, na to minimum ko toda gaya na maximum, isliye raat ko na to koi signals aaye the uttar ki taraf na hi dakshin ki taraf, lekin ab daily reversals nazar aaye hain aur kal ka post mazeed specific reversal levels ke saath pura kiya ja sakta hai. barabashkafx ki taraf se post kiya gaya Kal ke pair ke baare mein kuch zyada sochnay ki zarurat nahi hai, mujhe lagta hai ke aane wale din ki shuruat closing price 1.2520 par hogi, aur daily range zyada se zyada 78 points tak hogi, shayad thodi kam bhi ho since Friday ne apni movement ko ek ya do points

GBP/USD H1


joda aaj ek numaya performance dikhaya, jahan 1.2512 tak pohancha phir aik ahem wapas rawana hua. Yeh wapas rawana, jise mehsoos hone wale sathay ke beech mein kami ka markaz maara gaya hai, yeh is manzar ko darust karta hai jahan joda maamoolan din ka kam az kam tareen point 1.2466 par dobara ja sakta hai, agar Jerome Powell, azeez Federal Reserve Chair, apne agle bayanat mein zyada aham kadam uthate hain. Yeh mumkin wapis rawana raasta yahan khatam nahi hota; agar joda apne utarte raaste ko jaari rakhta hai, to wo mazeed support levels se guzarta hai, khaaskar 26 April ko nazar aaya sabse niche point 1.2448 par, phir aik ahem nafsiyati level 1.2400 par. GBP/USD joda ke harkaton ko shakl dene wala zyada broad maahol Bank of England aur Federal Reserve ke darmiyan do maaliyat ka takkar hai. Jabke pehla ahtiyaat bhara aur ihtiyaati taur par kaam karta hai, doosra zyada mazboot aur proactive taur par kaam karta hai. Yeh fitri imtihaan currency pair ke raaste ka faisla karne mein aham kirdar ada karta hai, jab market participants dono central banks se nikalne wale khitab aur karwaiyon ka ahtiyaat se nazar rakhte hain.Asal mein, GBP/USD joda ke mustaqbil ke rukh ko aham tor par central bank afwaaj ke izhaarat aur mufeed maaliati data points ke izhar par munhasir hai. Is tarah, Bank of England aur Federal Reserve ke darmiyan jari rahe watan jang ek taqatwar peechay ka manzar faraham karta hai jis ke zariye traders foreign exchange market ke complexities ko samundar karte hain. Is ke ilawa, central bank policy ikhtilaf ke tabaye aalam mein dakhil hone se maaliyati indicators, siyasi halat, aur market sentiment ka complicated muzahmat nazar aata hai. Jabke Bank of England ka ihtiyaati taur par kaam karne ka tajziya munfarid asharat se munsalik hai jo ke maal o mashiyat ki dabaoon aur aitimad mein izafa ko le kar aata hai, Federal Reserve ka zyada aggressive stance aik mufeed iqtisadiya nifaz aur pandemic ke baqi asraat ko kam karne ki mukhlis koshish ko darust karta hai.Is pichle manzar ke saamne, market participants ko sadaqat se mustahiq rehna chahiye, naye data ko nazar andaz karte hue aur central bank communications ko samajhne ke liye taawun karte hue. Darasal, dono idaron ki awaz ya bayaan mein agar thora sa bhi tabadla ho, to GBP/USD jode mein tezi se raftar mein izafa ho sakta hai, is tarah traders aur investors dono ke liye moaasir mauqe aur khatray darust hote hain. Ikhtitami tor par, GBP/USD jode ki haal ki performance aur potential mustaqbil ka rukh monetary policy ikhtilaf aur market dynamics ke darmiyan nazuk misal ki raahat ko darust karte hain. Jab central banks pandemic ke baad ke naye daryafti paniyon mein safar karte hain, to currency markets investor sentiment aur iqtisadi ra'ayat ka paimana hai, jahan

GBPUSD D1

Pichli Jumeraat ko British pound (GBP) kaafi tez rehnumai kar raha tha American dollar (USD) ke khilaaf. Early Asian trading mein GBP/USD pair ne 1.2525 ke aas paas chadhai ki, jise 1.2445 ke paanch mahine ke low se wapas aane ke baad dekha gaya. Yeh uthaltaav Bank of England (BoE) ke policy meeting mein ek dovish stance ke sath aya, jo ke markets ko muta'asir kiya. BoE ne apni 5.25% ke interest rates ko barqarar rakha, jo ke unki chhati muktalif karguzari thi. Magar, unho ne ishara diya ke agle mahine se interest rates ko kaatne ki mumkinat hai, agar inflation apni manfi rafaqat ko barqarar rakhti hai, jab ke harkat ne bohot had tak hadood mein rahi. Mazboot market volatility America mein kamzor market data ki wajah se hai. Kal ke volatility ki wajah se ek martaba phir se nishanat surang mein girne mein nakam rahe, aur rebound karne ke baad, 4-hour chart par trading range ke darmiyan ka darmiyan wapas aya. 1.2525 ke resistance level ki jhooti sheyr, aur bullon ke liye zard moving average ke upar jaane ki naqabil haisiyat hone ke hisaab se, doosri rukh ki sambhavna hai, jismein dobara junubi simt mein ek or kami hosakti hai, jo ke wohi surang sheyr ke hisar par 1.2460 mein ponchne ke liye.

Governor Bailey ne June mein interest rates kaatne ki mumkinat ko tasleem kiya lekin ishara diya ke inflations, ma'ashi sargarmi, aur mazdoori market par data ki adhure haisiyat par munsalik hai. BoE ke is dovish shift ne pehle pound ko uthane ke baawajood, mustaqbil ki dabaav ko shamil kiya. UK mein interest rates ko kam karne ki mumkinat pound ko dollar ke muqable mein kamzor karta hai, jo ke GBP/USD pair ke faide ko hadood mein rehne ke mumkin hai. Iss complexity mein, San Francisco Fed ke guftagu aur San Francisco Fed P Bank of England ke dovish stance aur Federal Reserve ke sath policy ikhtalaf ke mumkinat pound ke liye mushkilat ka bani rehna.




Dusri taraf, technical indicators tajwez deta hai ke agar pair ahem resistance levels ko paar kar sake, toh mumkin hai ke kharidne ke moqaat banaye jayein. Qareebi muddat mein GBP/USD ka raasta ane wale dino mein hota hai. Muhtasir mein, jabke pair mukhtalif bunyadi aur technical factors se challange ka samna karta hai, agar kuch rukawat ko paar kiya jaye toh uthal-chal ka imkan hai. Trader ko tahqiqati Aapreeshn Daly ne shak ko aik saaya diya hai ke market ko qareebi tor par dekha jaye kyunke 1.2444 ke level ke neechay koi surangat guzishta wakil bakri nazar aati hai. Agar koi bulla stance ghor se tayyar kar raha hai, toh haqeeqi targets tay karna ahem hai. Iss uthalte hue rukh ke liye mansoob shumari taqreeban 1.2555 level hai. Magar, tajarban mand risk management trading ke liye aham hai. Is liye, faida hasil karne aur exposure ko kam karne ke liye position ko 1.2591 ke level par adha band karne ki taqreeb ki jati hai.

Pichle trading haftay mein, pound ghate ki koshish ke baad barhna jari rakha, jo ek hissi pullback ke baad khatam hui, ant mein signal zone se bahar nikal gaya. Price 1.2612 level tak uthi, jisme volatility 1.2524 ke upar thi, jo ab ek ahem support level hai. Is natije mein, pichli review ki mukhya scenario ke antargat emissions kam hone ki ummeedain poori nahi hui. Iske alawa, price chart green supertrend zone mein hai, jo dikhata hai ki buyers situation mein control mein hain.
Technical nazar se, moving average retracement aaj prices par dabav daal raha hai, aur hum dekhte hain ki pair zehniati support level 1.2500 ke neeche gir raha hai jabki stochastic 4-hour time frame par bullish momentum kho chuka hai. Yahan se, intraday trading 1.2500 ke neeche aur aam taur par 1.2540 ke neeche settal ho jaayegi, jisme bearish trend ka 1.2445 pehla target hone ki sambhavna hai. Upar ki potential turant bearish trend ko rokegi, aur pair seedhe 1.2595 aur 1.2630 ki taraf le jayega.


Pair abhi maqboz ziada trading kar raha hai, haftay ke highs ke kareeb. Isi waqt, mukhya resistance zone ke end mein se guzra gaya tha, jo dikhata hai ki preferred vector ko neeche se upar badalne ki zaroorat hai. Isko tasdeeq karne ke liye, price ko ek naye price area mein se bahar nikalna hoga jo 1.2524 ke qareeb hai, jo ab mukhya support area ka hadod hai. Is area ko dobara test karna aur uske baad rebound, ek aur upar ki taraf move ke mauke ko provide karega jiska target 1.2788 aur 1.2914 ke darmiyan hoga.

Agar support toot jaata hai aur price 1.2401 pivot level ke neeche gir jaati hai, toh mojooda situation palat jaayegi.

GBP/USD
Assalam Alaikum! Mujhe yaqin hai keh Peer ko market me taqat ke tawazun me zyada wazahat nahin aayegi. Traders is hafte jari hone wali aham reports ke batch ka intezar kar rahe hain. Lehaza, aaj ki tejarati sargarmi sust rahne ka imkan hai. Peer ke macroeconomic calendar me Europe ki kuch khabrein aur Fed membran ki taqreerein shamil hain, jo market participants ke liye sanwi ahmiyat ka hamil hai. Mazah Mangal ko shuru hoga, lekin yah sirf Budh ke inflation ke aidad o shumar ke liye taiyari hogi.
Qimat ki tazah tarin naqal o harkat ko dekhte hue, yah natijah akahz kiya ja sakta hai keh pound/dollar ki jodi islah me hai. Ek bar jab qimat 1.2458 ki satah ko tod degi to short jana relevant hoga.