جی بی پی/یو ایس ڈی: کرنسی کے تبادلے کی تازہ ترین معلومات

GBP USD Ki Nigahdar Technical Tahlil:

Maliyati bazaaron ke zamane mein, bazaar ke halaat ka hamwar rehna, jin traders ki talash hai ke hamesha tabdeeli mein qabil-e-qabool landscape mein chalne ke liye, intehai ahem hai. Mahtat rehne se, tafseeli tahlil karne se, aur buland daira-e-tabdiliyat ki hifazat se, traders apne aap ko ek chaalbaazi ke andaz mein mukhtalif moqaat ka faida uthane ke liye strategik taur par qaim kar sakte hain aur bazaar ke tabdeel hone wale lehrun mein khatron ko kam kar sakte hain.

Kamyabi ki ek bunyadi bunyad bazaar ke halaat ke bare mein maloomat rakna hai. Is mein mukhtalif maqamat par mojooda market conditions ka tawajju dena shamil hai, jisme mukhtalif maqamat par mojooda market shiraaat, khabron ke toor par tazkiraat aur jughrafiayati waqeaton ko shamil karna hai jo maal ki keemat ko mutasir kar sakti hain. In factors ke mutabiq tawajju rakhne se, traders bazaar ke jazbat mein ahem maloomat hasil kar sakte hain aur mogheya market harekaton ka andaza laga sakte hain.

Tafseeli tahlil ka aik aur konha trading ka kamyabi ka bunyadi rukh hai. Technical analysis, jo ke keemat ke charts ka mutala aur patterns aur trends ka pehchan karna shamil hai, traders ko mogheya dakhli aur nikli points ke bare mein qeemti maloomat faraham kar sakta hai. Wahi, bunyadi tahlil, jo ke companies aur economies ke bunyadi maali sehat aur karwai ko tajziya karne ke shamil hai, traders ko maal ki asli qeemat ke bare mein zyada maloomat faraham kar sakta hai. Bazaaron ke halaat jaldi badal sakte hain, aur traders ko apne strategies ko mutabiq taur par tarteeb dena chahiye. Ye naye maloomat ke jawab mein trading plans ko modify karne, market ki tabdeel hone wali bharkhurdgiyon ko hisaab se le kar risk management strategies ko adjust karne, ya phir mogheya market shiraaat ke mutabiq mukhtalif trading approaches mein switching karna shamil ho sakta hai.



Ghair yaqeeni ke muqable mein chokas rehna zaroori hai. Aane wale khabron ke data par tawajju dena, tafseeli tahlil karna, aur mojooda halaat ke mutabiq taamul karne ke liye mukhtasir kafi tariqay hain. Ek doosri taraf, technical aur bunyadi tahlil ke darmiyan aik tanazul approach ka istemal karna, sath hi buland darja taamul aur adaptability ko qaim rakhna, traders ko market ke be yaqeeni hawao mein bemaar ehtiyati ke liye ahem strategies faraham karta hai.

Hello sabko, Aaj main GBP USD ka chart dekh raha hoon aur kal USA session ke baad GBP USD ne neeche ki taraf movement ki. Ab maine hourly time frame chart par ek development dekha hai isliye main yahaan share karne jaa raha hoon, is se pehle fundamentals ki zarurat hai. Halat ke mutabiq, abhi market ECB ko monetary expansion June mein shuru karne ki umeed rakhta hai aur Federal Reserve ko September mein. 2024 mein ECB ki monetary policy easing ka andaza 75 basis points par hai, jabke America ka 50 basis points par hai. Magar agar naye data se pata chale ke Amreeki ma'ashi haalat aur bhi thandak mein aayi hai, to market March FOMC forecasts mein tasawwur ki gayi teen Fed rate cuts ke manzar ko dobara laa sakti hai. Bearish position sabse taqatwar nahi hogi, isliye GBP/USD apna rally jaari rakh sakega.

Technical perspective ki baat karte hain, 1H chart par, GBP/USD ek bullish correction ke saath jaari hai, jo kuch bhi ban sakti hai. Ye ek naye uptrend ka aghaaz ho sakta hai. Ye sidha movement bhi laa sakta hai. Shayad hum abhi taqatwar correction ko dekh rahe hain, baad mein pound gir bhi sakti hai. Masla yeh hai ke pound be-ta'arufi andaz mein chalti hai. Isliye, iske harkaat ko pesh-goi karna bohot mushkil hai.



7 May tak, hum ne in ahem levels ko highlight kiya hai: 1.2215, 1.2269, 1.2349, 1.2429-1.2445, 1.2516, 1.2605-1.2620, 1.2691-1.2701, 1.2786, 1.2863, 1.2981-1.2987. Ye chhote arse ke levels hain jo hamain entry aur exit points ke liye madad kar sakte hain.

Mangalwar ko, UK aur US mein koi ahem events nahi hain. Traders ke paas kisi cheez ka jawab deney ke liye kuch nahi hoga, aur pair ka volatility phir se bohot kam ho sakta hai. Market ko taqatwar correction khatam karne ke liye grounds nahi milne ke zyada chances hain, lekin Bank of England ki meeting ke natayej Budhwar ko announce kiye jaayenge, isliye market pehle se hi inka intezaar karne lag sakti hai.

GBP/USD Taalaati Halaat Par Nazar:

GBP/USD jodi aik ahem nukta par khari hai, taalaati maamlaat ke qareeb 1.2570 ke qareeb. Ye taalaat, somwar ke early Asian session mein 100-day SMA aur din ka bulandi darja kareeb 1.2592 ke saath ek nach ke baad aati hai. Is manzar mein aik ahem ahem factor hai Amreeki Dollar Index (DXY) ka, jo 104.84 tak gir gaya hai, jo mukhtalif jodiyon ke mustaqbil ki behtar hone mein madad faraham karta hai.

GBP/USD Ke Bunyadiyat:

Bank of England (BoE) Governor Andrew Bailey ka April ke headline inflation mein khaas kami ki taraf ka itminan markets mein asar andaz hota hai. Bailey ko ma'arka ki umeedein, jo is saal do ya teen rate cuts ke khatre ko le kar hain, maqbool samjha jata hai. Mazeed, BoE Deputy Governor Dave Ramsden ka tajziya dikhata hai ke mustaqbil mein baqi rehne wale inflation ke khatre kam ho rahe hain. Sawal yeh hai ke BoE ka interest rate kam karnay ka waqt kab aayega, jahan umeed ki ja rahi hai ke June ya August ki meetings is surat mein pivots ke liye hosakti hain.

Ghantawar Time Frame Technical Outlook:



Technical indicators traders ke liye GBP/USD ka rasta chart karte hue qeemti rehnumai faraham karte hain. Aik rozana band 200-DMA ke oopar signal dene ka matlab hai ke 1.2610 ke darja tak rasta ho sakta hai, mazeed upar ka potential 50-DMA par 1.2622 aur 100-DMA par 1.2644 hai. Magar, 200-DMA ke oopar qaim rehne ki kami neeche dabaao ko dawat de sakti hai, jis se 1.2600 mark ko toot sakti hai. Agar yeh ho, to April 24 ki kamzor taqat 1.2421 aur April 22 ki kamzor taqat 1.2298 ke darja bunyadi support levels ban jate hain.

Aik mumkinah naqabil-e-bardasht 200-DMA darja 1.2565 ke oopar qaim rehne ki naqabliat ek qareeban hone wale pullback scene ka izhar kar sakti hai. Market participants tawajju se dekh rahe hain ke November 14, 2023 ke record high ki dobara taqaza kya hai, 1.2507 par. Agar yeh darja toot jaye, to fikar April 26 ko darj ki gayi madad par le ja sakti hai, jahan aur neeche ki khatre wali taraf 1.2297 par note ki gayi year-to-date (YTD) kamzor darja hai.

gbpusd

US currency mushkil waqt ka samna kar rahi hai. Pichle kuch hafton se, US dollar ki demand mein khas tor par US data ke bais giravat aayi hai. Tamam ahem reports ne bazaar ki tawqat se kam tar honay ka sabab sabit hua. Is liye, Federal Reserve ka mazboot hawkish stand bhi US dollar ki madad nahi kar saka. To sawal yeh hai, agla kya hai? Kya US currency giravat jaari rahegi, aur kya ab dono instruments ke liye mojooda wave tasawur toot jayega?

US kuch ahem reports jaari karega. Bas is liye ke pichle do hafton mein, tamam ahem indicators pehle se hi jaari kar diye gaye hain. Main University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index ko highlight karunga, jo Jumma ko jaari kiya jayega, jabke baqi tamam reports bazaar aur dollar ke liye bohot kam ahmiyat rakhte hain. Itna pesimistic tasawur hone ke bawajood, main ab bhi yeh manta hoon ke waves 3 ya c mukammal honge. Market pichle kai hafton se weak US data ka jawab de rahi hai, lekin agle paanch dinon mein koi reports na hon to dollar par naye short positions ke liye koi wajah nahi hogi.

Jumma ko, British pound thori dair ke liye 100 pips se zyada barh gayi, lekin jald hi apni asal jagah par wapas aa gayi, din ko sirf 12 pips ke ooper band hui. Uper ka saaya descending channel ki line ke mutabiq tha. Kul milake, qeemat 1.2525 ke darja par stable ho gayi hai, lekin chunancha woh pehle se hi dono bullish targets (channel ki line aur level 1.2596) tak pohanch chuki hai, to qeemat support ke neeche wapas aa sakti hai aur 1.2427 ki taraf bhi ja sakti hai. Marlin oscillator urooj halat mein hai lekin apni chadhav ko kaafi kam kar chuka hai.

4 ghante ka chart dekhte hue, qeemat balance indicator line par ruki hui hai. Marlin oscillator zero neutral line par hai. Uska manfi shetani mein jaana qeemat ko 1.2525 ke support ko paar karne mein madad faraham kar sakta hai. Agey, qeemat ko MACD line (1.2495) se support milega. Is support ko mukammal tor par toornay se rasta khulta hai 1.2427 ki taraf.

GBP/USD Jodi Ek Dilchasp Jang Mein Phansi Hai Pichle Haftay Se. Panch Musalsal Dino Tak, jodi ne 1.2560 ke qareeb musbat ilaqon mein trade kiya, ek kamzor US dollar ki wajah se. Ye kamzori investor ke tajawuzat se mutasir hai ke Federal Reserve baad mein is saal interest rates kam karega. April mein razdar US jobs data ne in tajawuzat ko utpann kiya, aur aane wale dafa Fed afraad ke comments future monetary policy stance ke bare mein mazeed isharon faraham kar sakte hain. Jabke dollar kamzor hota hai, Bank of England (BoE) ka Thursday ko hone wala interest rate faisla GBP/USD ke upar ke potential par aik saaya daalta hai. Market ka wasee taur par BoE ko uska mojooda rate 5.25% barqarar rakhne ka intezar hai. Magar, Governor Bailey aur Deputy Governor Ramsden ke april mein bay-e-ithm comments ek mumkinah shift ki ishaarat dete hain. Ye kuch logon ko yakeen dilata hai ke BoE ka easing cycle European Central Bank se zyada Fed ke mutabiq ho sakta hai, jo ke pound par neeche dabaao dal sakta hai.



Manzar Ko Aur Bhi Mushkil Banata Hai GBP/USD Ki Haal Hi Ki Technical Performance. Jodi ne 2024 ke darja 1.2892 se ek dramebaaz girawat kiya, aik wazeh downtrend qaim kiya. Halankeh ye haal hi mein kuch koshishat ki hain ek izafi azaadi ke liye, lekin ahem 200-day SMA (Simple Moving Average) mukhtalif faide ke liye chhat ka kaam kar raha hai. 1.2574 ilaqe ke oopar ek tor phor ishara ek mumkinah April ki unchaai (1.2682) aur shayad December resistance (1.2793) ki jaanch ko ishaara kar sakta hai. Muhavara, February ki kamzor darja (1.2517) ke oopar ek tor phor ek April ki madad (1.2405) ki taraf aur shayad paanch mah ke kamzor darja (1.2298) ki taraf jhatakne ki taraf ishara kar sakta hai. Ikhtitam mein, GBP/USD mukhalif forson ka samna kar raha hai. Kamzor dollar kuch madad faraham karta hai, lekin BoE ka bay-e-ithm rukh aur jodi ki technical resistance levels uncertainty paida karte hain. Aane wale Fed ke comments aur BoE ke rate faisla aik ahem events honge jinhein dekhna zaroori hai, kyunke ye aane wale dino mein GBP/USD ka rukh kaafi asar kar sakte hain.

GBP/USD

Gbpusd ka intraday analysis 1 ghante ke time frame ke hawale se moving average indicator ka istemal karte hue, keemat ki harkaat ab bhi ek bullish trend mein hai. Pichle somwar ko, kharidarun ne bazaar par dominion qaim ki, keemat ko 1.2593 tak pohnchate hue, jo somwar ki bulandi darja thi. Keemat ne ek pullback mehsoos kiya jab MA period 50 ke dynamic support par inkaar ka waqia ho gaya. Is darjeel par, ye keemat ke liye aik rukawat ban gaya ke bullish trend ko jaari rakha jaye. Kharidarun ke paas ab bhi market ko phir se dominion qaim karne ka potential hai, jo keemat ko mazeed buland la sakte hain. Agar aik buland toot hojata hai, to ye ek musalsal bullish trend ko tasdiq karega. Agla uroojati maqsad resistance 1.2633 ki taraf hai.
Agli tahlil aik tahlil filter ke saath hai jo ke stochastic indicator ka istemal karte hue hai. Ye indicator upar ki taraf ishara kar raha hai, lekin level 80 ki taraf nazdeek hai, jo ke overbought area ka had hai. Keemat ko niche ki taraf theek hone ka potential hai isliye agar aap pehle ek neeche ki correction ka muntazir rahen to kharidari dakhilay ka point zyada behtar hoga. Jab ye indicator level 20 par hota hai, jo ke oversold area ka had hai, phir upar ki taraf muraad hoti hai level 80 tak ke faide ko zyada se zyada banaya ja sake. Aaj kharidarun ke paas ab bhi momentum ko qaim rakhne ka potential hai keemat ko buland ki taraf le jane ke liye resistance 1.2633 ki taraf.

Technical Reference: 1.25080 ke oopar hote hue kharidari karein
Resistance 1: 1.25925
Resistance 2: 1.26080
Support 1: 1.25080
Support 2: 1.24935

Europan technical analysis ke mutabiq, GBPUSD upar ki taraf ja raha hai aur ab wo aik side mei se bahar nikalne ki taqat bhi rakhta hai jo ke pichle kick ke baad bana tha. Ye shart aam tor par GBPUSD mein mazeed izafon ke liye mauqay faraham karta hai. Is ke ilawa, jaise ke MA jo ke barhne wale trend ko zor-e-aawar kar raha hai bullish mauqay ko taqwiyat deta hai.



Upar diye gaye 15 minute ke chart par, GBPUSD bhi izafon ke liye mauqay faraham karta hai kyunke Zigzag bullish hone laga hai aur MA daurte hue keemat ke neeche hai, ishara karte hue ke moving average barh raha hai. Agar upar di gayi surat e haal milta hai, to GBPUSD ko mauqay milte hain ke resistance level 1.25925 tak pahunchne ka.

is par bearish divergence hai. Is ke ilawa, price chart par khud mein ek girte hue wedge nazar aata hai. Ye downward trend ki taraf hai, yeh ek behtareen signal hai. Ye bahut achha hai, for example, agar ek upward trend hota aur yeh figure wahan ban raha hota, jahan market pehle se hi downward ja raha hai, toh is figure ko normal taur par kaam karana bahut divergence hai. Is ke ilawa, price chart par khud mein ek girte hue wedge nazar aata hai. Ye downward trend ki taraf hai, yeh ek behtareen signal hai. Ye bahut achha hai, for example, agar ek upward trend hota aur yeh figure wahan ban raha hota, jahan market pehle se hi downward ja raha hai, toh is figure ko normal taur par kaam karana bahut aasan hota hai. Thoda ooncha ek descending resistance line hai, jis par kal humne price ko upar dhakelne ki koshish ki. Aap teen consecutive peaks bhi dekh sakte hain, jo ek dusre ke qareeb hain, pichle haftay ke end par do peaks the aur is teesre, yaani teen ****, ke saath, ek reversal ka prerequisite hai, haalaanki yahaan chaar **** hain. downward ja raha hai, toh is figure ko normal taur par kaam karana bahut aasan hota hai. Thoda ooncha ek descending resistance line hai, jis par kal humne price ko upar dhakelne ki koshish ki. Aap teen consecutive peaks bhi dekh sakte hain, jo ek dusre ke qareeb hain, pichle haftay ke end par do peaks the aur is teesre, yaani teen ****, ke saath, ek reversal ka prerequisite hai, haalaanki yahaan chaar **** hain. Magar sabse ahem baat yeh hai ke yeh horizontal resistance level 1.2530 hai, jiske qareeb price ghoom rahi hai. Lagta hai kal isay tooti hai, lekin meri raay mein yeh ek false breakout hai kyun ke yeh level haftay ke chart par closing prices se banaya ja sakta hai aur ab sirf ke saath, ek reversal ka prerequisite hai, haalaanki yahaan chaar **** hain. Magar sabse ahem baat yeh hai ke yeh horizontal resistance level 1.2530 hai, jiske qareeb price ghoom rahi hai.

GBP/USD Ke Keemat Ki Harkaat

Ek currency trader ke tor par, GBP/USD ke tanasub ke real-time dynamic pricing ka raij hona intehai zaroori hai. GBP/USD haftawarana chart ka tahlil karna bazaar ke zyada se zyada samajhne ke liye ahem hai. Tahlil ke doran, wazeh hai ke currency pair aik contracting triangle pattern ke andar move kar raha hai. Mazeed, keemat ne ascending support line ke lower boundary se recover kiya, aur horizontal resistance level pichle haftay 1.2589 par tha. Aam tor par, aise resistance levels foran nahi toot te, jo ke ascending line ke retests ka sabab banate hain. Is liye, chhote time frames ke saath mutabiq formations neechay ki harkaat ke liye zyada mufeed nazar aate hain. Pichle haftay ka trading session ek classic candlestick reversal pattern ke saath khatam hua, aik ulta hammer, jo ke resistance level ki ahmiyat ko madde nazar rakhte hue aik potential sell-off ka ishara tha. Isi tarah, Jumma ki bandish daily chart par aik neeche ki taraf ulta hammer ko dikhata hai, jo ke CCI indicator ke upper overbought zone mein dakhil hone ki madad se support milti hai.



Aik fazool toot phoot aur 1.2638 ke level par thos banawat ek bullish signal ko darust kar sakti hai exchange rate ke liye. Ulta, is level ko torne mein nakami ke surat mein mukammal izafa mumkin hai. Agar currency pair ko 1.2632 ke level ko tor kar thos banayein aur usay jamaya jaye, to yeh pehli bhi mojooda bullish jazbaat ko mazeed mazboot karega. Ye dikhayein ke kharidar market par zyada control haasil kar rahe hain, jis se qareebi dino mein keemat mein izafa ho sakta hai. Iske ilawa, agar jodi 1.2579 ke mukhtasir urooj ko paar kar le, to yeh traders ke liye zyada kharidari ke mauqay ban sakta hai jo ke upar ki keemat par faida uthane ka jazbati hain. Hamesha yaad rakha jaana chahiye ke bazaar ke shiraaat ghaafilatgeeri se bharpoor ho sakti hai, aur kisi bhi trading faislay ko paish karna ke liye ek thorough breakdown lazmi hai. Mojooda keemat signal deta hai ke kharidari ka mauqa hai, ya phir 1.2633 ke upar toot phoot ka mazeed tasdeeq ka intezar kiya ja sakta hai. Jab 1.2579 par pehchaani gayi rukawat hai, to uska tootna exchange rate ki qeemat ko barha sakta hai.

is par bearish divergence hai. Is ke ilawa, price chart par khud mein ek girte hue wedge nazar aata hai. Ye downward trend ki taraf hai, yeh ek behtareen signal hai. Ye bahut achha hai, for example, agar ek upward trend hota aur yeh figure wahan ban raha hota, jahan market pehle se hi downward ja raha hai, toh is figure ko normal taur par kaam karana bahut divergence hai. Is ke ilawa, price chart par khud mein ek girte hue wedge nazar aata hai. Ye downward trend ki taraf hai, yeh ek behtareen signal hai. Ye bahut achha hai, for example, agar ek upward trend hota aur yeh figure wahan ban raha hota, jahan market pehle se hi downward ja raha hai, toh is figure ko normal taur par kaam karana bahut aasan hota hai. Thoda ooncha ek descending resistance line hai, jis par kal humne price ko upar dhakelne ki koshish ki. Aap teen consecutive peaks bhi dekh sakte hain, jo ek dusre ke qareeb hain, pichle haftay ke end par do peaks the aur is teesre, yaani teen ****, ke saath, ek reversal ka prerequisite hai, haalaanki yahaan chaar **** hain. downward ja raha hai, toh is figure ko normal taur par kaam karana bahut aasan hota hai. Thoda ooncha ek descending resistance line hai, jis par kal humne price ko upar dhakelne ki koshish ki. Aap teen consecutive peaks bhi dekh sakte hain, jo ek dusre ke qareeb hain, pichle haftay ke end par do peaks the aur is teesre, yaani teen ****, ke saath, ek reversal ka prerequisite hai, haalaanki yahaan chaar **** hain. Magar sabse ahem baat yeh hai ke yeh horizontal resistance level 1.2530 hai, jiske qareeb price ghoom rahi hai. Lagta hai kal isay tooti hai, lekin meri raay mein yeh ek false breakout hai kyun ke yeh level haftay ke chart par closing prices se banaya ja sakta hai aur ab sirf ke saath, ek reversal ka prerequisite hai, haalaanki yahaan chaar **** hain. Magar sabse ahem baat yeh hai ke yeh horizontal resistance level 1.2530 hai, jiske qareeb price ghoom rahi hai.

GBP/USD Ki Takneeki Tahlil

Pichle trading haftay mein, pound nuqsaan ko dubara shuru karne ki koshish ke baad barhne ka silsila jari raha, jo aik hissi wapas laya tha, jise aakhir mein signal zone se bahar nikal gaya. Keemat 1.2612 ke darje tak barhi, jahan tabaahi 1.2524 ke oopar intaha ka saath deta hai, jo ab aik ahem support level hai. Is natije mein, peechle jaaiz nazar-e-revising ke mukhtasar karne ki ummeedain haqiqat mein nahi bani hui hain. Halankay, keemat ka chart ab bhi hare supertrend zone mein hai, jo ke dikhata hai ke kharidar market par qaboo rakhte hain.

Ek takneeki nazar se, moving average retracement aaj ke doran keemat par dabao daal raha hai, aur hum dekhte hain ke jodi zehni support level 1.2500 ke nichay slid ho rahi hai jabke stochastic 4-hour time frame par bullish momentum kho chuki hai. Yahan se, intraday trading 1.2500 ke neeche aur aam tor par 1.2540 ke neeche hojayegi, jahan bearish trend 1.2445 ko pehla maqsad banayega. Upar ka potential foran hi bearish trend ko rokega, aur jodi seedha 1.2595 aur 1.2630 ki taraf mudabir hojayegi. Neeche di gayi chart dekhein:



Pair ab mohtasib tor par zyada uchayi par trading kar raha hai, haftawar ki bulandiyon ke qareeb. Isi waqt, ahem resistance zone aakhir mein paar kiya gaya tha, jo ke ishaara deta hai ke pehlu se oopar ka pasandida vector badalne ki zarurat hai. Isay tasdeeq karne ke liye, keemat ko naye keemat ilaqa mein se bahar nikalna parega jo ke 1.2524 ke qareeb hai, jo ke ab mukhtalif support ilaqa ka had hai. Is ilaqa se dobara test aur mazeed bulandiyon ke liye mauqa faraham karega jo ke 1.2788 aur 1.2914 ke darmiyan ilaqa mein maqsad rakhta hai.

Agar support torr jata hai aur keemat 1.2401 ke pivot level ke neeche gir jata hai, to mojooda surat-e-haal palat di jayegi.

GBPUSD H1

Jab hum trading session ki taraf badhte hain, to GBPUSD currency pair ka haftawarana chart jaanch karke aik mukammal nazar hasil karna ahem hai. Dikhne wala aham pattern aik symmetrical triangle hai, jo ke keemat ke tang honay wale hudood ke andar fluctuation ko dikhata hai. Pehle to, keemat ne ascending support line se recover kiya jo ke triangle ka base banata hai, aur pichle haftay, ye horizontal resistance level ko test kiya tha jo ke 1.2585 se aya hai, jo ke mukammal keemat se nikaalay gaye hain. Ye resistance level aam tor par aasan taur par tora nahi jata, aur aksar ascending support line ka dobara test karta hai.

Isi liye, meri guftagu ke mutabiq, neeche ki harkat kafi mumkin hai, khaaskar aise darjeelon ki fitrat ko madde nazar rakhte hue. Chhote timeframes par, jab mutabiq formations hoti hain to neeche ki harkaton par tawajjo dena behtar hai. Iske ilawa, haftay ki bandish ko darust karne wala characteristic candlestick pattern ke zikar ke qabil hai – inverted hammer, jo ke support par hota hai. Ye ek faraham karne wala mauqa signal karta hai, kharidari ke imkaanat waqtan-fa-waqt reh jane chahiye. Isi tarah, Jumma ko daily chart ne neeche mur kar ulta hammer ke saath band hua, jo ke bechnay ka mauqa signal karta hai. Iske ilawa, CCI indicator overbought zone mein dakhil hua, jo farokht par bias ko wazan deta hai.



Ye tahlil aik mukhtalif timeframes ke approach ko apnaane ki ahmiyat ko wazeh karta hai, kyunke ye bazaar ke dynamics par mukammal nazar faraham karta hai. Mukhtalif timeframes mein ahem patterns aur indicators ka pehchan karke, traders tafseelat se istifada hasil kar sakte hain. Aise suraton mein, kisi ko ummeed nahi karni chahiye ke US dollar doosri currencies ke khilaf kamzor hoga. Agar aap chaar ghante ke chart par technical surat-e-haal ko gehrayi se dekhte hain, to jodi ka neeche ki taraf slope qaim rehta hai; Bullon ki koshish jo mojooda trading ke darmiyan ke darmiyan ka darmiyan ka darmiyan hai. Ye nuqta-e-nazar aam tor par trading performance aur risk management ko behtar banata hai.

GbpUsd Market Pair Ki Daily Time Window Ki Tahlil

Pichle Jumme ko GbpUsd market pair mein trading khatam hui aur buyers ka faida bana raha, jo keemat ko 1.2535-1.2530 ke support ilaqa ke oopar rakhne mein kamyab rahe, jahan bearish sellers ke daawe ko rok karke jo ab bhi keemat ko neeche dabaane ki koshish kar rahe the.

Rozana waqt ke dauraan Moving Average indicator ka istemal karte hue dekha ja sakta hai ke keemat ya mum mein buyers ke zariye kamyabi se qaboo mein tha, jo keemat ko 1.2545-1.2540 ke area ke 200 Yellow MA ke aas paas rakhne mein kamyab rahe, aik kaafi acha bullish candlestick banakar keemat ko phir se barhane ke liye buyers ko mauqa faraham karta hai. Jo keemat ko ek aur bullish harkat ke liye mazeed buland karega aur target ko Yellow 200 MA ke area ke upar guzarna hoga, jo ke 1.2610-1.2615 ke qeemat par hai jo ke ab bhi sellers ke zariye qaim hai.



Agli Peer ko trading mein yeh tawaqqo ki ja rahi hai ke keemat pehle bearishly correction karegi jahan sellers buyer support area ko dobara test karne ki koshish karenge jo ke 1.2535-1.2530 ke qeemat par hai aur maqsad ko 1.2480-1.2470 ke demand ilaqa ki taraf le jayenge. Magar agar seller keemat ko support area ke neeche dabaane mein nakam rahe, to buyer phir se keemat par qabza kar lenge aur keemat ko buland karne ke liye seller ke resistance area ko test karne ka maqsad hai jo ke 1.2610-1.2630 ke qeemat par hai.

Nateeja:

Khareed ya khareed trading options istemal ki ja sakti hain agar keemat seller ke resistance area ko guzar jaaye aur pending order buy stop area ko 1.2610-1.2640 ke qeemat par rakha jaaye TP area ko 1.2680-1.2700 ke qeemat par.

Farokht ya farokht trading options istemal ki ja sakti hain agar keemat buyer support area ko kamyabi se guzar jaaye aur pending sell stop order ko 1.2535-1.2530 ke qeemat par rakha jaaye TP area ko 1.2480-1.2470 ke qeemat par.

Bartania ki paond ab ahtiyaat se bhari umeed ki dor mein dakhil ho chuki hai, jo ke tain dino ke mustaqil izafay ke baad ab se faiday ke daur mein hai, amreeki dollar ke muqablay mein. Jumme ko, Asian waqt ki trading ke doran, paond 1.2550 ke qareeb tha. Ye uthan is doran ke nuksanat ke baad aaya hai, jo ke rozana chart par technical indicators mein zahir hota hai. Muamla aik "ghate huye channel" ke andar majmoo ho gaya hai, jo aik downtrend ki ishaarat hai. Magar, ye bhi nishanat hain ke girawat shayad dam tor rahi hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI), jo ke momentum ko napta hai, pichle 14 dino mein 50 ke darje tak pahunch gaya hai. Ye ek kamzor bearish bias ki daleel hai, jo ke dikhata hai ke girawat ka trend khatam ho sakta hai. Ek aur musbat indicator Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) hai. Halanki, MACD abhi center line ke upar lekin qareeb hai. Ye kuch musbat momentum ko dikhata hai, magar ye abhi waziha nahi hai ke ye aik mustaqil trend hai ya aik waqti chhap hai. Paond ke darmiyan mein ek qataar ko khatam karne ke liye aik waziha aage ke faisle ke liye traders ki talaash kar rahe hain. Magar, abhi bhi kuch mushkilat ko door karne ke liye mukhtalif rukawat hain. Paond ke liye fori support level 1.2518 par hai, jo ke 9 din ka Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 1.2514 ke zariye jaancha ja sakta hai. Ek mazeed girawat paond ko zehni taur par ahem 1.2500 ke level tak le ja sakti hai. Is level ko torhna kafi ahem dabao daal sakta hai, jo ke currency ko 1.2300 ke qareeb paanch mahine ke kamzor niche le ja sakta hai.



Paond ne pehle 1.2500 ke level ko torhne ki koshish ki thi magar nakam rehi, aur phir 1.2488 se lekar 1.2892 ke darmiyan aik range mein wapas chali gayi. Ye upar aur neeche ke zor zabardasti ke darmiyan jari lari ko highlight karta hai. Agay dekhtay hue, paond ka qareebi manzar abhi bhi kuch had tak naqabil yaqeen hai. Aik mustaqil harkat jo ke 1.2655 ke 50 din ka Moving Average (MA) ke saath hai, aik ahem bullish ishaarat hogi. Magar, technical indicators jaise ke 20 din aur 200 din ke MAs ki kamzor ho rahi haalat ek kam umeed afroz tasveer pesh karti hain. In dono MAs ke darmiyan tang honay wala farq abhi tawaqqo ko aik mukammal trend ke ulte vaale hone ki umeed ko kam kar deta hai. Agar paond 1.2655 ke level par apni jagah bana leta hai, to tawajjo phir 1.2700-1.2740 zone par milti hai. Ek mazeed tor phor aik barhawa ko 1.2820 ke qareeb support trendline ko dobara test karne ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jo ke aik ahem level hai jo ke mazeed tay karta hai ke aik saaf uthanat ka trend hai. Aakhri mein, British paond khud ko ek charagh rah par paya hai. Jabke musbat momentum ke nishanat hain, wahan muqaddar ki dabao bhi hain. Aane wale dino mein paond ke liye yeh ahem hoga ke kya wo ghate huye channel se nikaal sakta hai aur ek mustaqil upar ki raah par chal sakta hai.

GBP/USD TRADING DISCUION

Weekly Timeframe Outlook:

Main haftay ke chart par pound dollar pair par nazar dal raha hoon. Jodi 1.07380 se barh rahi hai. Phir UK sarkar ke tor tareeqay mein inqilabi tabdeeliyan aayin, phir unhone puri team ko nikaal diya, sab kuch badal diya, tax cuts se jo paund ka izafa hua, us se taxes ko barhane aur sab kuch ko normal karne tak le aaya. Phir UK ne aik silsila interest rate ke barhao ka aaghaz kiya, to jodi 1.32145 ke resistance tak pahunch gayi. Aik uthanay wala trend channel ban gaya, yeh uthanay wala trend channel euro/dollar pair par zyada tez tha. Yeh yahan bhi toota jaise wahan toota. Jodi 1.21917 tak gayi, phir main yeh manta hoon ke yeh is wajah se tha ke European Central Bank ne monetary policy ko tight karna band kar diya. Phir jodi 1.26780 par laut gayi, phir se is wajah se ke Federal Reserve ne monetary policy ko tight karna band kar diya. Is ke ilawa, usne ye bhi kaha ke wo monetary policy ko aasan karne ka aaghaz kar rahi hai. Yahan, inflaition data barhne laga, lekin yahan jodi mein giravat nahi hui, bilkul euro-dollar pair ke mukable mein, main yeh manta hoon ke us waqt jodi is range mein qaim thi ke UK ne monetary policy ko tight karna band karne ka kuch kaha nahi. Jab usne pehle hi keh diya ke shayad is saal wo interest rates ko kam karegi, to wo 1.24379 ke support se neeche gayi. Mujhe lagta hai ke mazeed giravat ke liye koi wajah nahi hai, zaroor sab keh rahe hain ke bank paund ko artificially sambhalti hai. Magar phir bhi, in afwaon ke ilawa, paund mein giravat ki koi daleel nahi hai. Is liye, main sochta hoon ke jodi haal hi mein trading kar rahi thi us ke upper hadood mein wapas aa sakti hai, aur us mein trading kar sakti hai jab tak ke inflaition data na aaye, jo jodi ko mazeed neeche ya upar ki taraf le jane ki daleel de.

The British pound (GBP) initially strengthened against the US dollar (USD) on Friday, but later faced a reversal during early New York trading. This turnaround followed the release of crucial economic data from the United States. The April non-farm payrolls report revealed slower job growth and weaker wage increases than anticipated, initially causing the dollar to falter. However, the dollar regained momentum after another report, the ISM's US Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI), unexpectedly showed an increase in services prices, indicating rising inflationary pressures in the US economy. This development raised doubts about the anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in September.

The disappointing jobs report indicated that non-farm employers added only 175,000 jobs in April, significantly below the expected 243,000. Additionally, the unemployment rate rose slightly to 3.9%. Average hourly earnings, a key inflation indicator, grew at a slower pace than expected at 3.9% year-on-year, missing the anticipated 4.1% increase. Month-on-month growth also slowed to 0.2%, below the expected 0.3%.



Despite the weak US data, the GBP/USD pair failed to sustain its gains. Currently recovering from a five-month low, the pound is encountering resistance around the 1.2495-1.2520 zone, reflecting a broader downtrend since reaching a recent high of 1.2892. Technical indicators suggest a potential temporary bounce in the GBP/USD price, with the MACD indicator attempting to cross above the trigger line, and the Stochastic indicator rising after entering oversold territory. However, any upward movement may face challenges from resistance zones near 1.2520, the 20-day moving average, and the 200-day moving average, indicating a volatile near-term outlook as investors weigh conflicting factors.