gbp/usd

Moujooda market ka manzar-e-aam jisme is ki taqat ka tajziya kiya jata hai, asharaat oversold surat mein isharaat detay hain, magar woh apni jagah ko signal line ke ooper qaim rakhta hai. Is ke ilawa, ek haal hi mein ooper uthne wale trendline mein ek neeche ke rukh ka breakout dekha gaya hai. Haftay ki ibteda mein, qeemat mein ek ibtedai tehqeeqi izafa tha, jo keemat ka unchaai darja 1.2668 ke qareeb pohanch gaya tha. Jaise ke matwazan, yeh darja ek moqa bunda hai chhote intraday arsoun ke andar niche ki raftar ki umeed ke liye. Is ehmiyat ke darje ke aspaas M5 timeframe ka tajziya is zaroori darje ke aas paas ek mirror level ki shakal mein mukammal hone ka ishara deta hai, jo ke ooper ki raftar ka ikhtitam darust karta hai. Is nukte par, pehle se maddati daraje badal jate hain, jo ke qeemat mein ek mutawafiq giraawat ko janibkashi karte hain. Is tarah, unchi aur neeche darajat ka milaap kaamyaabi dikhata hai. Qabil-e-zikar hai ke kai aur currency pairs ne is tarah ke moseeqi aurwi patterns dikhae hain, jo ke upar zikar kiye gaye pair ke rawayya ko taqseem karte hain. Yeh ek wasee tijaraati trend ki isharaat hai aur samajhdaar investors ke liye mozu trading ke mozuon ko pesh karti hai. Aj ke tijarti dynamics ki is abad taraqqi pazeer manzar mein, waziha asharaat hain jo ek oversold halat ki taraf isharaat dete hain, balkay market signal line ke ooper apni jagah qaim rakhti hai.




Khaas tor par, ek haal hi mein ooper chadhte hue trendline mein neeche ke rukh ka ek breakout dekha gaya hai, jo ke trajectory mein aik numaya tabdeeli ko nishanah bana raha hai. Jaise ke hafta shuru hota hai, qeemat mein tehqeeqi izafa hota hai, jiska sarhad naqal ke intizaar ke darja par nazdeek hota hai. Jaise ke matwazan, yeh sarhad darja ek moqa bunda hai chhote arse ke andar niche ki raftar ko intizaar karne ke liye. Is ahem darje ke aspaas ka timeframe ke qareebi tajziya karte hue, aik mirror level formation wazeh ho jata hai, jo ke upar ki raftar ka ikhtitam darust karta hai. Is lamha par, pehle se maddati darajat rukh badal kar maadda ban jaate hain, jo ke qeemat mein ek mutawafiq girao ki taraf rujhan ko janibkash karte hain. Unchi aur neeche darajaton ka milaap dono ko kamyabiyon mein madadgar hone ka dikhata hai. Qabil-e-zikar hai ke kai aur currency pairs ne is tarah ke moseeqi aurwi patterns dikhaye hain, jo upar zikar kiye gaye pair ke rawayya ko naqal karte hain. Yeh ek wasee tijaraati trend ki isharaat hai aur samajhdaar investors ke liye mozu trading ke mozuon ko pesh karti hai. Yeh tabeer tijaraati manzar ke mushkilat ki samajh aur stratigik faislay lene ki ahmiyat ko izhar karta hai.

Aaj hum ek naye tajziya ko share karne ja rahe hain jo aapke faide mein bhi hai. Is waqt, GBP/USD ki keemat 1.2618 ke resistance zone par taiz hai. Is time frame mein quwwat ke nishaan hain jo humein mojooda leval se long jaane ki ijaazat dete hain. Inidicators ke mutabiq, main pair ki kamzori ka koi nishaan nahi dekh raha, is liye khareedari munasib hai. Agar hum is chart par Relative Strength Index (RSI) dekhen, to iski qeemat 50.3674 hai, jo khareedari dabao ko darust karti hai. Saath hi, chart par istemal hone wala moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator bhi zero level ke oopar hai. Chart mein istemal hone wale indicator ka ishara abhi bhi yeh dikhata hai ke market price mazeed barh sakti hai. GBP/USD ke dwarey barqarar upward momentum ko na sirf 50 EMA level of 1.2619 ko torhna hoga balkay 20 EMA level of 1.2561 ko bhi torhna hoga taakey bulls ko khinch sakey.
Shuruaat mein hum dekh sakte hain ke resistance level 1.2890 ke upar hain, lekin level 1.3608 zyada munasib hai. Yeh is GBP/USD pair mein izaafi barhne ka pehla ishaara ho sakta hai. Doosra ahem resistance level 1.3608 ke aas paas hai. Agar yeh 1.3608 ke upar chadhta hai, to market price mazeed barh sakti hai. Iske baad, yeh 1.4233 ke qareeb higher resistance tak jaari rahegi. Dosri taraf, 1.2103 ke price level ke aas paas support area bearish target ke qareeb ho sakta hai. Doosra ahem support level 1.1062 ke aas paas hai. Agar yeh 1.1062 ke neeche gir jaata hai, to market price mazeed gir sakti hai. Iske baad, yeh 1.0367 ke neeche lower support tak jaari rahegi. Intraday trading ke liye sab se zyada mutwaqqa scenario ek barhav ke saath hai jis ka maqsad 1.3608 ke target level tak pohanchana hai.

Chart mein istemal hone wale indicators:
MACD indicator:
RSI indicator period 14:
50-day exponential moving average rang Naranji:
20-day exponential moving average rang Magenta:

GBP/USD ka One Hour Time Frame par Tijarat ka Tajziya: GBP/USD ka One Hour Time Frame par tijarat ka tajziya karna aham hota hai. Yeh tijarat karne walon ke liye aik aham samar hota hai takay wo sahi faislay kar sakein aur munafa kamayen. Is waqt, GBP/USD ke chart par ek lamba uptrend nazar araha hai, jo ke tijarat karne walon ke liye dilchasp ho sakta hai. Yeh uptrend is waqt 181.16 ke qareeb price par chal raha hai. Is waqt, GBP/USD ke chart par koi mukammal signal nahi mil raha hai. Lekin, tijarat karne walon ko GBP/USD ke One Hour Time Frame par candlesticks ka sahara lena chahiye. Candlesticks ki madad se, tijarat karne walon ko resistance aur support levels ka andaza lagaya ja sakta hai, jo ke trading ke faislay mein madadgar sabit ho sakta hai.



Resistance level ko samajhne ke liye, tijarat karne walon ko candlesticks ka wait karna chahiye jo ke higher resistance level ke qareeb close hota hai. Jab ek candlestick higher resistance level ke qareeb close hoti hai, to yeh signal deta hai ke market mein resistance hai aur is waqt bikri hona mushkil ho sakta hai. Isi tarah, support level ko samajhne ke liye bhi candlesticks ka wait karna zaroori hai. Support level ke qareeb close hone wali candlesticks, support level ka pata lagane mein madadgar hoti hain aur tijarat karne walon ko iske mutabiq amal karna chahiye.



GBP/USD ke One Hour Time Frame par tijarat karne walon ko candlesticks ke signals ka dhyan dena chahiye aur unhein resistance aur support levels ka andaza lagana chahiye. Agar koi candlestick resistance ya support level ke qareeb close hoti hai, to tijarat karne walon ko is signal ka faida uthana chahiye aur apne faislay ko iske mutabiq adjust karna chahiye. Aakhir mein, tijarat karne se pehle, hamesha currency pairs ki tafteesh karna zaroori hai aur market ki halaat ka mutalia karna chahiye. Candlesticks ke signals ke saath, market ki tafteesh aur mawafiq faislay ka hona tijarat karne walon ke liye zaroori hai takay wo munafa kamayen aur nuksan se bach sakein.

GBPUSD DAILY OUTLOOK



Trend lines financial markets mein mukhtalif securityon ya assets ke movement ko analyze karne ke liye istemal ki jati hain. Ye lines typically past prices ya trading data ko istemal karke draw ki jati hain, jisse ke future price movements ke liye ek rough idea mil sake. Jab trend line ki trajectory mein kisi naye development ya change ka pata chalta hai, jaise ke ek breakout, to iska bohot ahem asar hota hai aur traders aur investors ke liye iska mayaar jaanna zaroori ho jata hai.Hal hil mein jo breakout hua hai, yani ke trend line ke ooper se neeche chadhte hue rukh ka, yeh ek mahatvapurn signal hai. Yeh signal deta hai ke market dynamics mein tabdeeli aanay wali hai aur future mein prices mein mukhtalif rukh ki sambhavna hai. Breakout typically tab hota hai jab market mein koi significant change ya event hota hai jo existing trend ko alter karta hai..Is breakout ko samajhna aur uska asar forecast karne ke liye, traders ko market ke mukhtalif factors ko ghor se dekhna padta hai. Economic indicators, geopolitical events, aur technical analysis ke through market ka haal jaanne mein madad milti hai. Is tarah ke tabdeelion ko samajhne ke liye, traders aur investors ko hamesha taiyar rehna chahiye.





Hafta shuru hota hai to qeemat mein tehqeeqi izafa hota hai, yeh ek common phenomenon hai jo market mein dekha jata hai. Yeh wakai mein trading week ke shuruaat mein hota hai jab traders naye developments aur upcoming events ki expectations ke saath market mein enter karte hain. Is waqt par, trading volume bhi izafa hota hai jo ke price movements ko intensify karta hai.Market mein yeh trendline breakout ek numaya tabdeeli ko nishanah bana raha hai, lekin iska asar aur lambaaye ko samajhne ke liye aur bhi tafseel se analysis ki zaroorat hoti hai. Kuch traders is opportunity ko le kar aggressive trading karte hain jabke doosre cautious rehte hain aur further confirmation ka intezar karte hain.Aakhir mein, yeh zaroori hai ke traders aur investors market ke is phase ko samajhne ke liye sabr aur tawajjo ke saath kaam karen. Market dynamics hamesha changing rehti hain aur ek trendline breakout ke piche hone wale factors ko samajhna crucial hai trading decisions ke liye. Isi tarah ke situations mein, education aur research ka hona bhi bohot zaroori hai taki sahi faislay kiya ja sake aur nuksan se bacha ja sake.

Pichli session mein aik ahem izafa hua, lekin harkat jab rozana resistance ke qareeb 1.2666x level par pohanchi to ruk gayi. Halankeh shuru mein keemat ki harkat nisbatan kamzor lag rahi thi, amreeki market ke trading session ke darmiyan, neechayward dabao shuru ho gaya aur rozana support ko 1.2621x level ke qareeb penetrate karne mein kamiyab raha. Ab market ke tawajjo ka markaz qareebi support ka breakout ke saath jari rehne ki umeed hai, jo ke agle maqsood ke taraf jari rahega jo ke 1.2573x level ke qareeb jari reh sakta hai. Magar, yaad rakhein ke aik ahem uparward correction ka potential mojood hai, halankeh imkaniyat nisbatan kam hai. Mojooda market ke jazbat bearish rukh ko zahir karte hain, is liye mera aaj ka tajziya hai ke GBP/USD pair ko bechne ka hoga.




Aaj ke trades ko tay karte waqt, mukhtalif mumkinat ka imtiaz dena ahem hai aur M30 time frame par tasdeeq shuda lamhaat ka faida uthana bhi. Is manzar mein, do choti support aur resistance areas hain jo ke tawajjo denay ke laiq hain, yaani ke qeemat ke 1.2619x ke qareeb upper limit aur qeemat ke 1.2606x ke qareeb area lower limit. Ye levels session ke shuru mein trading ke rukh ko asar andaz karne ka potential rakhte hain, khaaskar jab European markets faal ho jaate hain. Agar keemat ko choti resistance area 1.2619x ke qareeb penetrate karne mein kamiyab hoti hai, to shayad hum 1.2823x ke rozana resistance area ke qareeb manzil ke saath kharidai ko ghor sakte hain. Magar agar keemat gir jaati hai aur choti support area 1.2606x ke qareeb penetrate kar leti hai, to ek bechne ki strategy ke saath 1.2573x ke rozana support area ke qareeb manzil ko ghor sakte hain. Iske ilawa mukhtalif advanced scenarios ko bhi yaad rakhein, jaise ke keemat ko choti support level par qayam na karne ki mumkinat, jahan se breakout rozana support ko 1.2594x ya 1.2580x tak le ja sakta hai phir mukhtalif izafay ke saath manzil rozana resistance par 1.2644x. Ya agar keemat gir jaati hai lekin qareebi choti support area 1.2699x ke qareeb ya agle choti support area 1.2697x ke qareeb na toot jaata hai, to ek mumkin kharidai ko ghor sakte hain jo ke mojooda rozana resistance area ke qareeb 1.2712x tak le ja sakta hai, jaisa ke pehle ke hua tha. Is manzar mein, GBP/USD aik sideway area ya range ban raha hai, jo trading strategy mein shamil kiya jana chahiye.

GBPUSD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS


GBP/USD ke tanzeemi setup mein dhachka lag chuka hai, aur is haftay ke trading mein mazeed kamzori ka imkaan hai, jo ke US PCE inflation report ki inteqal ke sath pehla fikar hai. British pound currency pair ka qeemat US dollar ke khilaf GBP/USD tajziya likhne ke waqt 1.2636 ke qareeb stable hai, aur tajziya likhne ke waqt pehle haftay farokht ki karkardagiyan currency pair ko 1.2575 ke qareeb ke support level par le gayi, 1.2600 ke zehni support level ko tor kar. Hamne aksar ishara kiya hai ke is taraf barhne se bareers ka patta kushadah hoga.
Forex currency trading companies ke platforms ke mutabiq. pound Bank of England ne March mein apni policy update mein ishara kiya ke jald hi interest rates ko kam karne ka moqaat hoga, june mein pehla cut hone ke imkaan ko buland karte hue, jo ke USD ke interest rate mein pehla cut ka imkaan july mein mumkin hai. Aam tor par, ye ikhtilaaf GBP/USD jodi par dabaav daal raha hai, khaaskar jab ke GBP/USD trading positions Bank of England ke faislay ke chupne se pehle khaas tor par bhari the.




Currency pair ke karobar mein mukhtalif tajziyat ke hawale se guftagu karte hue, Scotiabank ke Forex analysts qareebi tehreer mein British pound ke tanzeemi setup ko "bearish - keemat ka amal ek shaant surat mein hai" ke tor par dekhte hain. "Rozana trend support tora gaya hai (ab resistance 1.2690 ke qareeb hai) aur keemat 200-day moving average (1.2593) ko test kar rahi hai. 1.25 ke darmiyan/lower hisse ka dobara test hona mumkin hai." GBP/USD pair ab bhi moving averages se guzar raha hai aur do asli moving averages 1.2600 aur 200dma ke neeche torne ki koshish kar raha hai. Lagta hai ke bas peechle haftay hum 1.2800 resistance ko torne ki koshish kar rahe the (wo tha) aur ab neeche ko test kar rahe hain.

British pound ke tanzeemi setup ke hawale se, analyst yeh samajhte hain ke British pound aur US dollar ke lambe arse ke trend mein ek mumkin tabdeeli ka agaz ho sakta hai, jahan British pound index aur US dollar index par aik engulfing pattern nazar ata hai. Ye is waqt hota hai jab kisi khaas din ke keemat ka movement peechle dino ke keemat ka movement saaf karta hai. Is ke ilawa, ye patterns uparward aur neechayward trend lines par hotay hain, mukhtalif tor par, aur shayad hum British pound ke liye ek kamzor trend aur US dollar ke liye ek mazboot trend ke ibtida mein hain.

GBP/USD


Aaj ki baat GBP/USD currency pair ki mojooda keemat ke rawaiyyaati moolyaankan par hai. Kal, GBP/USD pair ne pehle zikar ki gayi trend line par resistance ka samna kiya, jiske kaaran ek mahatvapurn giravat hui. Halanki keemat ne aaj subah kal ki kam se kam keemat ko phir se chhooa, lekin fir se trend line ki taraf rebound kiya. Humko ab intezaar karna padega aur dekhna padega ki trend line se phir se milne par iska kya reaction hota hai. Giravat ke baad 1.2578 ke minimum ki taraf girne ki forecast ka kuch hissa ho sakta hai, lekin isko aur bhi madad ki zarurat hai. Aane wale US session mein market sentiment ka pata chalega, yeh samjha ja sakega ki yeh manipulation ki taraf ya phir ek turant move ki taraf lean karta hai jismein minimum aur liquidity collection ki update hai.

Daily chart par, GBP/USD ne mahine ke opening level 1.2627 par support paya, jisse ek potential reversal pattern ban sakta hai. CCI indicator ka nedadhur cross zero level par ek moolyaankan downward wave formation ko darshata hai, jabki panch din ka stochastic divergence dikhata hai, jo ek sambhav halt ko indicate karta hai upward momentum mein. Iske alawa, ek bullish short-term trend ko kal confirm kiya gaya, jo lower time frames par buy signals ko support karta hai. Nishchit levels hain kal ki high 1.2668 aur resistance range 1.2714-1.2739. GBP/USD ne kal ek upward movement ka prayas kiya lekin 1.2664 ke resistance level par ruka. Bulls ka momentum ghatt gaya, jisse ek bear initiated reversal hua, aur keemat ne apna downward trajectory dobara shuru kiya. Agar 1.2668 ke resistance level tak lamba nahi hota, toh ek pullback ko selling entry point banane ki sambhavna hai. Shuruati target support level 1.2578 par hai. Vaise toh, pair ek sideways channel ke andar move kar sakta hai, jo ek sambhavna bani rehti hai.

H-1 Timeframe Analysis
Hello, sab log. Kaise hain aap? Main is forum mein apni knowledge ko share karne mein dilchaspi rakhta hoon. GBP/USD ne 1.2635 par do din tak apna qadam jamaya, jahan 20-day moving average aur resistance lines apni bulandiyo par band hue. Musbat pehlu par, technical indicators ne bullish signals dikhane jaari rakhe hain, jahan relative strength index oversold 30 zone ko paar kar gaya hai aur MACD apne laal signal line ke upar tezi se chadh gaya hai. Doosri taraf, stochastic indicator overbought zone mein dakhil hua hai, jo dikhata hai k bechnay ki dabav jald hi khatam ho sakta hai. Niche di gayi chart dekhein:



H-4 Timeframe Analysis

Magar, ehtiyaat zaroori ho sakti hai kyun k jodi apni unchaai par mazboot resistance ka samna kar sakti hai. 20-day moving average ke upar taraqqi 1.257440 area ke qareeb rukti hai. Iske baad, 1.2683 area, jo k resistance line aur 200-day EMA ko shaamil karta hai, 50-day EMA aur 1.2798 level ki taraf aage ki bulandi ko rok sakta hai. Aakhri mein, agar iske upar se guzarna mumkin ho to yeh short term mein technical situation ko behtar bana sakta hai.

Agar price 1.2574 area ke neeche girati hai, to pehle to yeh 1.2520 area ki taraf ja sakti hai. Agar yahan se palat nahi hota, to tawajjo November 2023 se neeche jaane wali trendline par jaati hai jahan 1.2306 ki taraf ja sakti hai. Agar bechnay ki dabav barh jata hai, to agla target psychological level 1.2200 ho sakta hai. Overall, GBP/USD ki short-term bias behtar ho rahi hai, lekin iski technicals ko tezi se aage badhane k liye mazboot nataij ki zaroorat hogi. Niche di gayi chart dekhein:

GBP/USD Technicall Analysis


GBP/USD ne kuch farokht karne wale logon ka dhyaan apni rozana ki bulandi se 1.2640 se 1.2614 tak girne ke baad apni taraf akarshit kiya. Aik Fed afisa ka taza hawkish tabeer ke comments ne GBP/USD jori ke giravat ko sath diya. Budh ke din ke pehle karobaar mein, Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller ne kaha ke Fed apni aham darjami darajat ko kam karne mein kisi jaldi mein nahi hai aur "mawqayi darajat ko muntazir hone se zyada arsa tak barqarar rakhna par sakta hai". Waller ke hawkish tabsare ne dollar ko 104.45 par pohancha diya, EUR/USD ko daba diya.

Dusray janib, Bank of England ne pichle haftay paanchwan musalsal iqtidarati istaqbali par 5.25% darjami darajat ko barqarar rakha. Bank of England ne apni darajati istaqbali par ghair daldal kiya, jo kuch farokht ki dabao daal di. Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey ne kaha ke ek darajat ko girana ek "guftagu ke lehaz se option" ho sakta hai aik future Bank of England policy meeting mein. Karobaar shirkat daron ko Bank of England Governor C. Mann ke comments aur jumeraat ko final UK chaarwan sarchashma watan tajarbaati gharelo istehsal ka report par tawajju hogi. Bank of England policy makers ke daldal comments ya istaqlal se kam UK GDP se pound par farokht ki dabao barh sakti hai. America mein, saalana chaarwan sarchashma watan tajarbaati istehsal ki dar, pichle haftay faroqein bharne wale Americans ki tadad aur Michigan Consumer Confidence Index baad mein din ko jaari kiye jayenge.





GBP/USD ke bhi maharat par koi tezabi ke liye nahi hai. Karobar shirkat daron ko yeh maloom hona chahiye ke pehle aik karta ke aakhir mein volatility barh sakti hai. GBP/USD ke liye nazdeek ki rukawat 1.2650–1.2685 shreni mein hai. 1.2685 ke ooper guzarna GBP/USD ko 1.2800-1.2825 ke rukawat ki taraf khenchega.

GBP/USD PAIR KI JAIZA

Forex currency market ki performance ke mutabiq, British pound ka qeemat Euro aur US dollar ke muqablay mein narmi ke asar mein hai, June mein interest rate mein 80% tak kaat ka imkaan hai. British pound ka darja 2024 mein behtareen currency hone ka darja Nomura ke mutabiq ghata diya gaya hai jab ke June mein interest rate mein kaat ke imkaanat barh rahe hain, lekin nuqsan mumkin hai, Nomura ke mutabiq. GBP/USD currency pair ki keemat ab bhi 1.2635 ke qareeb stable nichle raftar par hai.

Mukhtalif bank ke akhbarat ke mutabiq, Bank of England ki taaza rehnumai ke baad, maaliyatii markets ab 80% ke imkaan se dekhte hain ke June shuru hone ki tareekh hogi, aur pura kaat August tak mukammal ho jayega. Is hawale se, Andrew Goodwin, Oxford Economics ke chief British economist ke mutabiq: "Hum ab bhi June mein pehli interest rate kaat ka ahwaal hai, aur is saal ke ikhtetami dor tak 25 basis points ke do mazeed kaat ki umeed hai jo ke interest rate ko 4.5% tak le aayega." "Mehangai ab taiz tareen hai aur runoff effects se bachne ke liye bohot tight policy stance rakhna zaroori dikhayi nahi deta."

Forex currency trading companies ke platforms ke mutabiq, pound ka exchange rate euro ke muqablay mein 0.44% gir gaya, jo ke December se sab se barri daily girawat hai, bank ke Monetary Policy Committee ke do afraad ne mazeed interest rates ko barhane ke ayeen vote ko chhoda aur majority mein rahne ka intikhaab kiya. Bank ne yeh bhi kaha ke mehangai ko chust karne ke bina interest rates ko kaatne ka maqaam hai, jo ke ishara hai ke interest rate kaatein sust taqreeban 2.0% ka maqsood mukammal hone se pehle shuru ho sakte hain.

Aur unke hisab se. "Hum June mein action ke zyada imkaan par muttafiq hain... to hum apne June mein pehle kaat ke ahwaal par mabni hain, jo ke September aur December ke baad aayega," kehta hai Robert Wood, Pantheon Macroeconomics ke chief UK economist.

Pound-dollar exchange rate ne faisle ke 24 ghanton mein 1.44% giravat ki, aur is harkat ka size gawahi hai ke Fed US interest rates ko kaatne ka faisla karega ya nahi Bank of England ke baad, jo ke US dollar ko mazeed interest rate support faraham karega. Is hawale se, Nomura Bank ke economist George Buckley ke mutabiq: "Bank of England ne apni iraadiyat ko interest rate ko kam karne ki liye razi ki buniyad rakh di hai, agar zaroorat pesh aaye to, aur market ke mahol ke mutabiq, hum ye mante hain ke pound sterling ke nichle rukh ke khatre nazdeek hain." Unhone ye bhi kaha, "Hum ye mante hain ke khatre ke balance ko bank ko hum se zyada tezi se ghumne ke liye muntaqil karne ki taraf jo hai (ya'ni June ke bajaye August mein)."

Overall, pound 2024 mein akhri saal ke faislay ke pehle British pound the G10 currencies mein behtareen performance ke liye ummeedwar tha, UK mein core inflation ka 2.0% maqsood tak wapas anay ke mutaalliq, dusre jagaon se mukable mein, lekin isharaat hain ke mehangai dabao maqsood tak pohanchne ke raaste par hain, aur April mein mehangai ka 2.0% maqsood tak pohanchne ka imkaan hai. Wage price pressures - gharz mulkii mehangai ka aham factor - bhi kafi gir chuke hain, isliye economists kehte hain ke ye mazeed gir sakte hain.

Mager, Nomura Bank ke analiyts ke mutabiq, British pound ki kamzori mukhtalif limits tak mehdood hogi, aur ye nichle raftar mein nahi jaayegi. Analiyts ke mutabiq, "Pound sterling ko ek kamzor trend mein dakhil hone ke liye, humein zyada saboot ki zaroorat hogi ke British economy kamzor hoti ja rahi hai, lekin humein is par mazboot saboot nahi mila."

Euro ke muqablay mein nichle potential khaas tor par mehdood hai, kyunke bank aur European Central Bank ka imkaan hai ke interest rates ko aik sath kaat ke un ka aik sath kaatne ka dour shuru ho. Ye sirf GBP/EUR mein dekhi gayi haali qeemat ki kam volatility range ko mazid mazboot banayega. Overall, is haftay euro aur sterling ke liye koi calendar risks nahi hain, lekin euro zone mein agle haftay mehangai ke numbers nazar andaaz kiye ja sakte hain. Agar mehangai kam hoti hai, hum yakin rakhte hain ke GBP/EUR 2024 ke range ke upper limit ki taraf laut sakta hai.

Aaj British pound ke mutabiq US dollar ke muqablay:

Pura hafta chhota hai jis ka overall trading performance currency pair, pound sterling ke muqablay mein US dollar, GBP/USD, ke liye ab bhi nichle trend mein hai, aur upar ki taraf se dobarah chalne ki koshishen ab bhi kamzor hain aur ho sakti hain jab tak ke markets aur investors US Federal Reserve Bank ke pasandida mehangai ka reading announcement ka rad-e-amal na karen. Daily chart ke mutabiq, 1.2600 par support bears ke liye nichle raftar par mazboot rukh ko zyada karna zaroori rahega agar US dollar ke faide jari rahen. 1.2565 aur 1.2450 ke support levels se, technical indicators strong oversold levels ki taraf jaayenge. Dusri taraf, 1.2775 resistance ko dobara torhne ke baghair, upar

GBPUSD ab bhi ek bearish bias mein hai, lekin keemat ek correction kar rahi hai baad mein jab bechne wale pehle bearish rawani mein tawanai ko paar nahi kar sake (1.2577). Keemat ko line (1.2667) tak theek kiya gaya tha aur phir se line (1.2667) par inkar mila. Iss dopahar ke keemat ka maqam line (1.2667) ke neeche hai aur trend line ke saath ek bearish mombatiyon ka dhancha hai. Agla gbpusd ke harkat ka tajziya agar keemat se dekha jaye jo ke trend line ke neeche hai aur bearish mombatiyon ka dhancha abhi bhi qabza kar raha hai, to gbpusd ke agle harkat ke liye bearish hone ka imkan hai aur mango (1.2516) mein shayad agla bearish nishana hoga. Magar dhyan dein ke keemat phir se pull back karegi aur gbpusd phir se badhne lagega jab (1.2577) ke mango par pohanch jayega.
Uper diye gaye tajziyaton ke saath, gbpusd ka agla harkat bearish hai aur hum gbpusd par trading ke liye phir se bechne ki mauqay dhoondh sakte hain. (1.2577) tak ke keemat girne ke baad keemat phir se line (1.2667) ke breakout tak badhne lagegi, iske baad. GBPUSD Pair ke keemat ki harkat abhi kafi ahem nahi lagti, kyunki ye abhi tak Sunday ki shuruaati market shiraa'at ke conditions mein hai. Aur rozana ka range abhi bhi 50 pips ke neeche ban gaya hai. Magar London session mein iss dopahar ke muta'aleeqa keemat ki raza mazid izafa hone ka imkan hai, kyunki GBP ke liye kai ahem news releases hain, isliye beshak ye GBPUSD Pair ki keemat ki harkat par asar dal sakti hai.

Aur agar aap H1 time frame dekhte hain, to lagta hai ke GBPUSD pair ke paas pahunchne ka imkan hai najdeekh resistance level tak jo ke keemat ke range mein 1.2665 hai. Beshak, agar Resistance Level Breakout kamiyaab ho gaya, to yeh GBPUSD Pair ko agle Resistance Level 1.2801 tak le ja sakta hai. Isliye, abhi ke liye lagta hai ke Buy entry setup ki talash karna sahi intikhab hai.

Aaj ka GBP/USD ka takneeki tajziya market ke daam mein ek neechay ki taraf jaane ka trend darust karta hai. 1.2650 darje ko toorna ke baad, aik naya sahara darja 1.2700 par qaim kiya gaya hai. Halankeh, mojooda bazaar in asal sahara aur rad-e-amal darjaton ke andar hil raha hai.

Ek bullish u-turn ka jumla hota hai, ke keemat ko mojooda rad-e-amal darja ko toorna, us ke ooper qabil-e-bharosee tor par band karna, aur 50 din ka saada moving average ko paar karna. Ye bazaar mein khareedne ki dabao ki dobaara paidaish ka ishaara karta hai. Mukhtalif, ek tez girawat mein, keemat agle rad-e-amal darje 1.2860 par janch sakta hai, jo 200 din ka saada moving average ke sath milta hai. Is ke ilawa, agar naya sahara 1.2760 par toora jaye, to bazaar ke daam agle sahara darja 1.2645 ki taraf jhuk sakte hain. Keemat naye qaim sahara darje ko toorne ke baad is sahara darje ki taraf jaldi se jaye gi.

GBP/USD ka tajziya ahem sahara aur rad-e-amal darjaton ke ahmiyat ko zahir karta hai market ki harkaton ko taayun karne mein. Traders ko maujooda market ke dynamics ke darmiyan trading opportunities ko paish anjaam karne wale tor par mumkin tor par vazeh hona chahiye. Bazaar ke 4 ghanton ke tazima ke tajziya mein, aik maxil pattern samne ata hai jahan bazaar ki keemat har martaba neeche chali jati hai jab wo mool tor par ghaib sahara darja ko toorta hai. Khareedne ki dabao ki maujoodgi ko tasdeeq karne ke liye, keemat ko chakkar dar dabao ke sath barhna chahiye aur baad mein ahem sahara darja aur saada moving average ko paar kar ke band karna chahiye. Magar, mojooda market ki raaye bechnay ki dabao se bhari hui hai. Aam market ka mahol yeh darust karta hai ke beshumar farq ke darmiyan keemat aur 50 din ka saada moving average ke darmiyan gap hai, jo is doraan ki ausat ke keemat se kitni mukhtalif hai

Chaliye hum GBP/USD currency pair ke daam ke baray mein gehri guftagu mein dakhil hojate hain. Halankeh GBP/USD pair baqi raha hai, lekin din ka balance torne aur 1.2576 ke darje ko par karne mein mushkil ka samna kar raha hai. 1.2694 tak H1 resistance ki taraf uthna bhi challenges paish karta hai. Din ka balance torne ki mukammal kami mein, hamara pehla maqsad 1.2694 tak H1 resistance ki taraf rujhan hai, jise ek potential reversal ke doran hafte ke doran wazahat ki gayi shara'it ke mutabiq follow kia jayega. Aaj, koi numaya tabdeeliyan mutawaqqa nahi hain; H4 aur H1 ki rok tham, sath hi din ka balance, barqarar hain. Is natije mein, asal surat e haal be tabdeel hai, jahan se H1 resistance 1.2694 ya H4 resistance 1.2786 se koi potenshal kami ayegi, H1 resistance 1.2694 torne kiye baghair, lekin iski istehkamiat ke baray mein shakayat hain.
Filhal, GBP/USD pair daam ke range 1.2576 se 1.2628 ke darmiyan side mein trading kar raha hai, jahan na to forokhton mein izafa dikhaya ja raha hai aur na kharidari dikhayi ja rahi hai, jo is range se azad hone ka koi numaya fun mein kami dikhata hai. Anay wali American trading session aur dollar se mutaliq khabron, khas tor par tameer ijazat data ke baray mein, din ke baad dollar mein volatility ko paish kar sakta hai.
Chart GBP/USD pair ke liye ek downtrend ko darust karta hai, jo ke 120-muddat ke Moving Average ko price ke upar muqarrar karta hai, jo bearish trend ko darust karta hai. Zigzag indicator sellers ka dominance mazid barhata hai. Is liye, samajhdar tareeqe se risk ka nigrani karna aur apne trading approach mein intizam ko barqarar rakhna, forex trading mein lambay muddat tak kamiyabi ke imkanat ko barha sakta hai.

Aaj, hum ek mukammal tajziya mein ghusenge jo aapke trading ke shaoor ko ameer karne ka wada karta hai. Abhi, GBP/USD jodi 1.2623 ki resistance zone ke aas-pass ghum rahi hai, jisme bullish momentum ke nishane dikhai de rahe hain jo vartaman star se long positions ke liye sujhav dete hain. Indicators ki tajziya karte hue, jodi ke setup mein kisi bhi kamzori ki numaya kami nazar nahi aati, jisse vartaman star se kharidari ke mayane tasleem kiye ja sakte hain. Chart par Relative Strength Index (RSI-14) 50.4607 par hai, jo kharidari dabav ko darust karta hai. Sath hi, chart par istemal kiya gaya Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD-12,36,9) oscillator zero level ke upar sthit hai, jo bazar ke daamon mein aur teji ki sambhavna ko darust karta hai. GBP/USD dhwani gati ne sirf 44 EMA ke star 1.2626 ko par karne ki zarurat ko nahi balki 28 EMA ke level 1.232 ko paar karne ki zarurat ko bhi darust kiya hai, jo bullish bhavna ko akarshit karne ke liye jaruri hai.

Shuru mein, hamara nazar 1.2784 ki resistance level par hai, lekin ek adhik sanbhav target 1.2868 par hai. Yeh shuruati uthaan ek ane wale uptrend ka ek suchak kaam kar sakta hai GBP/USD jodi mein. Agla mahatvapurn resistance level 1.2868 ke aas-pass mandra raha hai. Is level ke upar ki pankti ko paar karne se ek lamba rally ko janm mil sakta hai, jiske market price ko uchit tezi se oonchaai ki taraf le ja sakte hai 1.2988 ki uchit resistance ko chhuate hue, jo teesra resistance tier ko darshata hai.

Virodh mein, 1.2523 ke price level ke paas samarthan kshetra mandra raha hai sabse nazdeek ka downside target. Dusra mahatvapurn samarthan level 1.2442 par sthit hai. Is mahatvapurn level ke neeche se guzarna bazaar ke daamon ko aur zyada nicha ke dabav ki taraf bhadka sakta hai, jisse market price ko aur samarthan tak le ja sakta hai 1.2367 par, jo teesra samarthan tier ko darshata hai.

Intraday trading ke liye sabse zyada sambhav scenario ko tasawwur karte hue, 1.2868 ke nishchit star ki taraf ek uthaan nazdeek nazar aata hai, jo mojooda bullish momentum dwara pravartit hai.

Yeh mukammal tajziya GBP/USD jodi mein mojooda bullish bhavna ko mahatvapurnata di hai, jahan indicators long positions ke liye ek faavorable nazar hai. Magar, sambhav bazaar ke daamano mein izafi tabadlaat ko samajhne ke liye chaukasi risk prabandhan ki zrurat hai.

Ant mein, yeh tajziya GBP/USD jodi ke vartaman star ko lekar mahatvapurn gawahi deta hai, jo traders ko unke trading ke prayaas mein sucharu nirnay lene ki taraf margdarshan karta hai.

GBPUSD H1 Time Frame:

Main bloggers jo ke CIS se hain, unko main kisi bhi maali masail par dekhta nahi hoon, isliye mujhe yeh nahi pata ke woh apni tawajo kis basis par rakhte hain. Magar Powell aur Bloomberg ke aik maazi article ne isko aham banaya, kehte hue ke agarche makhsoos mehngai ke dauran, woh dar ko kam karne ke liye rate ko kam karna shuru kar sakte hain. Aur agar aaj ke news background ko dekha jaye to yeh khali hai, to zyada tar, bazaar in fake khabron ka jawab de raha hai, aur isliye wahi GBPUSD joda apni izafi barhav dikha raha hai, halankeh Australia mein trading ke kholne par bhi woh sakht ho gaya tha. Europe ke kholne par, yaani London ke kholne par, bullish bhi active ho gaye aur volumes ke lihaz se bear ko maat de di, jo hum bazaar mein dekh rahe hain. Joda support se wapas aaya, aur is halat mein, barhav 1.2680 tak ho sakta hai, aur farokht ke zone 1.2690 aur 1.2980 ke darmiyan hai. Agar is zone ko tor kar bahar nikal jaye to farokht cancel ho jaye ga. Farokht ke liye signal hoga agar GBPUSD 1.2630 ke level ke neeche trading par laut jaye. Abhi ke liye, humein 1.2680 aur 1.2630 ke darmiyan range milti hai. News background taqreeban khali hai, halankeh America mein ek ahem shumara ke tor par US consumer confidence index hai. Yeh ya to barhav ko tezi de sakta hai ya pair ko ulta seedha kar sakta hai.

GBPUSD Weekly Time Frame:

Kal budh ke din kaafi dilchasp sabit hua, yahan par top draw kiya gaya hai, magar yeh wo dum hai jo abhi tak shakal mein nahi aya hai. Ham sabab khatam hone ke baad natije nikalenge. Yeh zahir hai ke is waqt raftar ka markazi rukh dakshin ki taraf hai, aam tor par daramad ki structure ke mutabiq, aur dakshini trend abhi bhi ahem hai. Raftar ka amal 1.2404 ke darje tak jari rahega, isliye 1.2634 ke darja par tawajjo dene ka mashwara diya jata hai jaisa ke raftar ke markazi had tak ke saath chale jana ke liye. Shayad behtar ho ke aap GBP/USD Sterling ko behtar qeemat par bechnay ka muntazir rahein 1.2853 se. Shayad aap is level ko mukammal tor par paane ke liye intezaar na karein. Is mansoobe ke tehat, GBP/USD ke dar par antim lehar ka mukammal hona intezaar karega, aur phir mumkin hai ke raftar doosri barhav range mein dakhil ho, is lehaz se plan ab tak lazim hai ke is haftay ke ikhtitam tak bana rahe.