gbp/usd

GBP/USD currency pair ke tajziye par guftugu karne se pehle, hamen is waqt ki haalat ka tajziya karna zaroori hai. Kal ke koshishon ke bawajood, jis tarah GBP/USD jodi ka rate 1.2726 ke resistance ko tor nahi saka, yeh ek ahem markaz tha jo barqiyaat mein izafa ka markaz tha. Halankay, iske bawajood, aaj yeh jodi abhi tak 1.2695 ke support tak gir gayi hai. Is mozu-e-mubahisa mein, humein dekha gaya hai ke GBP/USD jodi ne ek downward trajectory ke andar apni rah par jari rakhi hai. Ismein H1 aur H4 ke downward channels ka bhi zikr hai, jo darust hai. Yeh channels ek aham tareeqay se yeh darust karte hain ke GBP/USD jodi apni trend mein mazid girawat dekh sakti hai. Agar hum 1.2695 ke support ko tor dete hain, toh yeh ek aur daleel ho sakti hai ke GBP/USD jodi mein mazeed kamzori hai. Aise surat mein, humein 1.2665 se lekar 1.2634 ke levels tak girawat ka samna karne ki sambhavna hai. Yeh levels mozu-e-mubahisa hain aur traders ke liye aham hote hain, kyun ke yahan se ya toh jodi mein mazid girawat dekhi ja sakti hai ya phir yeh levels dubara se support ke tor par kaam kar sakte hain.



Halankay, is mozu-e-mubahisa ke doosri janib dekhte hue, agar GBP/USD jodi 1.2695 ke support ko qaim rakhti hai aur isey tor nahi paati, toh yeh ek bullish nishan hai. Aise surat mein, traders ko 1.2726 ke resistance ko phir se torne ki koshish kar sakte hain, aur agar yeh mufeed hota hai, toh mazeed urooj ki taraf tawajju di ja sakti hai. Aakhir mein, is mozu-e-mubahisa ka khayal rakhna zaroori hai ke forex market mein harkat intehai muqarrar hoti hai aur is par kisi bhi waqt tabdeeliyaan a sakti hain. Isliye, traders ko mozu-e-mubahisa mein tawajju ki zaroorat hoti hai aur flexible tareeqay se kaam karna chahiye. Yeh raaye sirf tajziya aur tafseelat ke liye di gayi hai, aur asal waqt par aap ke trading faislay ke liye zaroori hai ke apne apne tajziye aur analysis par amal karen.

Forex market mein GBP/USD ka ta'alluq buhat ahem hota hai. Yeh do bade economies, Great Britain aur United States ki currency ka ta'alluq hai, aur iski movement global financial markets par asar daalti hai. GBP/USD ka rate 1.2570 se agay guzaf gaya, yeh ek significant movement hai, lekin iske baad bhi yeh apni jagah barqarar rakha. Is movement ki wajah kai factors ho sakti hain. Sab se pehle toh, economic indicators ki taraqqi ya giraawat is movement ka ek sabab ho sakti hai. Economic indicators jaise ke GDP growth, employment data, aur inflation figures market sentiment ko influence karte hain, jiski wajah se currencies ki values mein tabdiliyan aati hain. Agar Great Britain ya United States mein koi bhi major economic data release hui ho, toh yeh GBP/USD ki movement ko influence kar sakti hai.

Doosri wajah, geo-political tensions ya international events bhi ho sakti hain. Kisi bhi taraqqi ya giraawat ki khabar, jaise ke trade wars, political instability, ya global events jaise ke natural disasters, currency markets ko directly ya indirectly effect karte hain. In situations mein, traders currencies ki values mein tabdiliyan dekhte hain aur apne trading strategies ko uss ke mutaabiq adjust karte hain. Thirdly, central bank policies bhi currencies ki movement ko influence karte hain. Great Britain ke liye Bank of England aur United States ke liye Federal Reserve monetary policies set karta hai. Interest rate changes, quantitative easing, ya forward guidance announcements traders ke liye important signals hote hain, jo ki currencies ki values mein tabdiliyan la sakte hain.



Iske ilawa, technical analysis bhi ek factor hai jo traders ki decisions ko influence karta hai. Support aur resistance levels, moving averages, aur other technical indicators traders ko market trends ka pata lagane mein madad karte hain. Agar GBP/USD ka rate 1.2570 se upar gaya ho lekin phir wapas aakar stabilize ho gaya ho, toh yeh ek technical level ka indication ho sakta hai. Overall, GBP/USD ka rate 1.2570 se agay guzaf gaya aur phir apni jagah barqarar rakha, ismein various factors ka influence ho sakta hai. Economic indicators, geo-political tensions, central bank policies, aur technical analysis sabhi traders ke liye important hote hain jab woh currency markets mein trading karte hain. It is essential for traders to stay informed about these factors to make well-informed trading decisions.

Pichle monday ke market mein, buyer ki dabaang mojoodgi ne market pair ko nawaazah tor par shakhsiyat di, jo ke bechne wale ki bearish momentum ko kaamyabi se roka. Unka amal keemat ko 1.2650 mark ke aaspaas banaye rakha, jo abhi bhi support area ke upar hai. Is nigrani mein hui taqat ka tabadla mazeed neeche ki taraf koi aur harkat ko rok diya, jo ke bechne walay ko museebat mein daal diya. buyer ne jaldi se ye mauqa pakra aur keemat ko oopar le gaye, ek trend jo Asian market session mein bhi barh gaya. Magar, aaj, GBP/USD pair ka intezar kiya jata hai ke woh apni bearish correction par lautega, jo ke moving averages ka istemal kar ke sahi disha ka pata lagane aur munafa ka mauka pehchane ke liye zaroori hai jab ke aane wale haftay ke liye risk ko manage karna hai. Zaroori hai ke yaad rakhein ke haalaat mein jo bullish momentum nazar aa raha hai, woh keemat ke ulte ko sath le kar aata hai, jese ke market sentiment ya maaliyat darusti mein achanak tabdili, jo ke trend ko palat sakta hai. Traders aur investors ko aise maqamat ke liye tayyar hona chahiye aur unke paas risk management ka ek plan hona chahiye.




Daily time frame mein, kharidaron ne apni strategyat ko dikhakar ek mazboot support zone qaim kiya, jisse keemat ko 1.2580 tak neeche push karne ki bechne walon ki koshishon ka mukammal jawab diya gaya. Kharidaron ki tehqeeqi harkat ne ye tasdeeq kar diya ke jo bearish harkat budhwar ko dekhi gayi thi woh sirf ek correction phase tha. Kharidaron ne market mein bechne walon ki tadad ko peechay chhod kar phir se apni qabza barqarar kar diya, jo ke ek bullish surge ke liye itminan ka sabab bana. Khaas tor par, keemat abhi bhi Blue 200 MA area ke upar hai, jo kharidaron ke aasaar ko mazeed barhane mein madad faraham karta hai keemat ko bullish territory ki taraf le jane ke liye, moving average analysis ke zariye Red 50 MA area tak ka nishana rakha gaya hai.

Agar aaj dopahar mein kharidaron ki faaliyat mein dobara shooru hoti hai, to keemat Blue 200 MA area ko paar kar sakti hai. Ye manzar ek upar ki raftar ka jari rakhne ka ishara hoga, jo ke agle maqsad ke tor par 1.2710 keemat ke ilaake ko nishana banane ka imkan hai. Aise taraqqi se bazaar ki dynamics par bade asar ho sakta hai, jese ke volatility mein izafa ya overall trend mein tabdeeli. Investors aur traders ko is mumkin tabdeeli ke liye tayar hona chahiye, apni strategies aur risk management plans ko mutabiq karke.

GBP/USD H4

Title: Candlestick Patterns aur Stochastic Oscillator ki Tahlil: Market Analysis ka Mufassil Tareeqa

Candlestick patterns aur technical indicators jaise ke Stochastic Oscillator traders ke liye nihayat ahem tools hain jo market trends ko samajhne aur maqool faislay karne ki koshish karte hain. Is tafseeli tahlil mein, hum ek candle ka taqreeban bade jism aur lambi shanakht ke ahemiyat par ghoor karte hain, is ke manfi signal aur ek mumkin mukhalif pattern ke tajziya ke taur par. Iske ilawa, hum is candle formation aur Stochastic Oscillator ke signals ke darmiyan ta'alluqat ko bhi dekhte hain, jo market movements aur potential trading opportunities ke bare mein wazahat faraham karte hain.




Jis candle ko hum ghoorte hain, wo ek mukhtalif miqdaar ki khasosiyaton ka imtiaz rakhta hai - ek bada jism sath mein lambi shanakht ke sath. Ye khaas tarteeb aksar ek qaabil-e-ghor bearish signal ke taur par kaam aata hai, jo market mein sellers ka mazboot mojoodgi ka ailaan karta hai. Lambi shanakht mein ahem keemat ke sath keemat ki waziya tabdiliyan darust karte hain, jahan ke jism ko opening aur closing prices darust karte hain. Halankeh ye pattern classic hammer formation - ek bullish reversal signal - ke sath kuch mawaafiqat rakhta hai, lekin ye naqis hai aur hammer ki wazeh shakal mein kami hai, iska matlab ye hai ke iski tabeer mein shubah ki gunjaish hai.

Magar, candlestick patterns ko tanha dekhna market dynamics ka mukammal tasawwur faraham nahi karta. Apni tahlil ko behtar banane ke liye, hum Stochastic Oscillator ke tajziyat ko shamil karte hain, jo traders dwara market mein overbought aur oversold shorat ko paimane kiya jane wala ek momentum indicator hai. Discussed candle pattern ke context mein, Stochastic Oscillator ka reaction market ke rukh ko samajhne mein ek ahem kirdar ada karta hai.

Maujooda halat mein, Stochastic Oscillator ne ek sell signal banaya hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke market ne neeche ke taraf bahut zyada faila hua hai. Ye candle ke formation dwara shakal di gayi bearish jazbat ko tasdeeq karta hai, mazeed neeche ki taraf ke harekat ke imkanat ko mazboot karta hai. Magar, ehtiyaat se kaam lena zaroori hai aur market analysis mein mojoodah ghair yaqeeni ko tasleem karna hai. Halankeh candlestick patterns aur technical indicators ki taraf se diye gaye signals qeemati wazahat faraham karte hain, lekin ye mustaqbil ki keemat ke rukh ko peshgoi nahi karte hain.

Traders ko mukhtalif factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue maqool trading faislay karne chahiye, jaise ke market sentiment, bunyadi tahlil, aur khatra nigrani strategies. Is ke ilawa, mukhtalif indicators ko shamil karna aur thorough research karne se ek signal ya pattern par puri tarah aitmad karna se wabasta khatron ko kam kiya ja sakta hai.

Ikhtitami tor par, candlestick patterns aur Stochastic Oscillator jaise technical indicators ke darmiyan ta'alluqat traders ko market dynamics mein qeemati wazahat faraham karte hain. In tajziyat ke tools ko jama karke aur hoshiyar faislay ka istemal karke, traders apni quwwat ko finance markets ke complications se nikal sakte hain aur trading opportunities ka faida utha sakte hain.

Is tanzim mein, moving averages ka ta'awun, khaaskar 1.2689 ke ahem nuktah par, forex market mein safar karne wale traders ke liye ahem hai. Ye technical indicators manzilon ki roshni daalne wale mashaheer hain, jahan trading ke mauqe ko roshan karte hain jabke bazaar ke tawazun ki jokhimat ko bhi numayan karte hain. Jab traders in ahem satah ko nigrani mein rakhte hain, toh woh maqool faislay ki taraf tawajjo dete hain, jo unhe technical analysis ke mutabiq forex trading ke pechida pech-o-taab mein hadaf mand banata hai. Moving averages, technical analysis mein bunyadi aalaat ke tor par, traders ko bazaar ke trends aur potential entry ya exit points ke liye qeemati insights faraham karte hain. 1.2689 ahem nuktah ka ehemiyat is mein hai ke ye traders ke liye ek hawala ka kaam karta hai, jo bazaar ki jazbat aur rukh mein tabdeeli ka ishara deta hai. Jab keemat is satah se guzarti hai ya is se upar ya neeche chali jati hai, toh yeh aksar ek momentum mein tabdeeli ka ishara deta hai, jo traders ko apne strategies ko mutabiq karne ke liye raazi karta hai. Mazeed, moving averages, dinamic support aur resistance satah ke tor par kaam karte hain, jo traders ke faislay par asar dalte hain ke woh kab positions mein dakhil ya nikalain. Khaaskar, 1.2689 satah, bazaar ke shirakat daron ki taraf se khaas tawajjo ko akarshit kar sakta hai, jo ke bazaar mein trading ki fa'aliyat aur mumkinah keemat ke asarat ko barhata hai. Saath hi saath, technical indicators ke tor par, moving averages bazaar ki nafsiat aur rawayat ke qeemati insights faraham karte hain.

Traders in indicators ko qareeb se nigrani karte hain taake mojooda trends ki taqat ko qaim rehne aur potential u-turn ke nishanay ko pehchanein. Chhote aur lambay arse ke moving averages ke darmiyan rishte ka tajziya karke, traders bazaar ke asli dynamics ka andaza laga sakte hain aur zyada maloomati faislay kar sakte hain. Is ke ilawa, moving averages ka istemal dosre technical tools, jaise oscillators aur trend lines ke saath, karke traders ki qabliyat ko bazaar ki data ko samajhne aur high-probability trading opportunities ko pehchanne mein izafa hota hai. Mazeed indicators ko jama karke, traders noise ko filter kar sakte hain aur sab se maqbool maloomat par tawajjo markaz kar sakte hain, apne trading signals ki durustagi ko behtar banate hue.

Haal hi mein waqe hue wakiat, jaise Bank of England ka March ka policy meeting, GBP/USD pair ne ek ahem giravat ka samna kiya, jo currency markets par central bank ke faislon ka asar darust karta hai. Exchange rate ki intehai giravat ko Katherine Mann ne taqseem kiya tha jo pehle se interest rates ko barhane ka intizam karte the, apni stance badal di. Bank of England ne kisi bhi sadasy ke liye dar-e-jatil mein vote na kiya toh yeh signal diya ke bank ki monitory policy stance mein tabdeeli ho sakti hai, jo British pound mein tezi se farokht ko janib kheecha.

Bazaar ke jawabat ko markazi bank ke elanat ki ahmiyat wazeh karti hai jo currency markets ke liye nafsiati asarat ko maqsood karti hai. Traders ko makro iqtisadiyat ke waqeat aur unke currency markets par keemat mein asarat ko tayyar rehne ke liye qareebi nigrani karni chahiye. Ibtidai nazar mein, moving averages aur dosre technical indicators ki tabeer forex market mein safar karne wale traders ke liye ahem hai. 1.2689 ke jaise ahem nuktahon ki ahmiyat ko samajhne aur makro iqtisadiyat ke waqeaton ke baare mein maloom rehne se, traders behtar faislay kar sakte hain aur bazaar ke tabadlayon ko pur itminan se samajh sakte hain.

مارچ 27 2024 کو برطانوی پاؤنڈ/امریکی ڈالرکی پیشن گوئی

کل کی ڈیلی کینڈل کا اوپری سایہ 1.2666 کی کنٹرول لیول تک پہنچ گیا، لیکن اس کو عبور کرنے میں ناکام رہا، اس لیے اہم مندی کا منظر نامہ برقرار ہے۔



ابھی قیمت بیلنس انڈیکیٹر لائن سے نیچے ہے اور اس کا مقصد 1.2596 پر ہدف کی سطح کی حمایت پر قابو پانا ہے۔ اس سطح سے نیچے استحکام جوڑے کے 1.2500 تک گرنے کی راہ ہموار کرے گا۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر منفی علاقے میں اتر رہا ہے، جو نیچے کی سمت کی تصدیق کرتا ہے جس کا رجحان پیروی کر رہا ہے۔

٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، مارلن آسیلیٹر نیچے کے رجحان والے علاقے میں واپس آ گیا ہے، جو ظاہر کرتا ہے کہ پچھلی اوپر کی حرکت ایک غلط حرکت تھی۔ ہم 1.2596 پر سپورٹ کے نیچے قیمت کے مستحکم ہونے کا انتظار کر رہے ہیں۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

GBP/USD jodi ka mahol abhi kuch pichle dino mein kafi volatile aur kamzor hai. Bank of England ke interest rates kam karne ke faisley ke baad, is jodi mein nichle dabao mein izafa hua hai. Yeh faisla sabit karta hai ke bank apne monetary policy mein flexibility ka istemal kar raha hai taake mukhtalif challenges aur economic conditions ka muqabla kiya ja sake. Bank of England ne interest rates ko kam karne ka faisla is liye kiya hai taake mulk ki arziyaat aur taraqqi ko farogh diya ja sake. Magar, is kadam se aane wali kamzori ka bhi ehsaas hai, jaise ke bank ne khud maheenay aur intezar ki zaroorat ko bayan kiya hai. Yeh darasal ek tezabiyati nishan hai, jismein arziyaat mein izafa hota hai lekin lambi muddat tak yeh istiqamat nahi bana pata. Forex currency market mein GBP/USD jodi ki keemat mein girawat dekhne ko mili hai. Is girawat ki wajah se jodi ka keemat 1.2575 support level tak pohanch gaya hai, jo ke ek mahine se zyada ka sab se kam level hai. Tajziya likhne ke waqt, jodi ka keemat lagbhag 1.2600 ke aas paas stable hai, lekin is mein halki si girawat nazar a rahi hai, jo chuttiyon ke shuru mein ek chhote se hafte mein munsalik hai.



Pound ki farokht mein izafa dekhne ko mila hai, jo ke Bank ke Monetary Policy Committee ne 8-1 vote ke saath maan liya hai. Yeh darasal ek tasdiqi nishan hai ke market participants ko bank ke faisley par ittefaq hai aur unka yehi aiktihaad hai ke pound ki keemat mein mazeed izafa ho sakta hai. Is puri situation mein, Forex traders aur investors ko tawajjuh se amal karne ki zaroorat hai. Volatility ke maahol mein, risk ko samajhna aur uske mutabiq strategies banana zaroori hai. Pound aur dollar ke darmiyan ke ehsaas se mukhtalif transactions aur trades ka faisla karna aham hai, taake nuqsaan se bacha ja sake aur munafa hasil kiya ja sake. Aakhir mein, Bank of England ke qadam aur market ke reactions ke darmiyan ki guftagu jari rahegi. Yeh mukhtalif challenges aur imkaanat ko samajhne ka aik tareeqa hai aur Forex traders ko behtar faisley aur trades ke liye tayyar rakhta hai.

GBP/USD tajziye mein aaj ki tareekh ke mutabiq, support zone ko 1.2659 ke daire mein pehchana gaya hai. Yeh support zone us waqt tak samajhna zaroori hai jab tak market is takreer ko barqarar rakhti hai. Support zone, jahan market ki keemat mein girawat ki ummeed hoti hai, traders aur investors ke liye ahem hota hai kyunki yeh unhein market ki halaat ka andaza lagane mein madad karta hai. 1.2659 ke daire mein support zone ka tajziya karne se pehle, hamen pehle GBP/USD ki pichli halat ka jayeza lena zaroori hai. Agar market pehle se tezi mein thi aur ab yeh support zone nazdeek aa raha hai, to yeh ek bullish signal ho sakta hai, jiska matlab hai ke market mein mazid umeed hai aur traders ko is par amal karne ka hosla ho sakta hai.

Lekin agar market pehle se neeche ja rahi hai aur support zone ke nazdeek hai, to yeh bearish signal ho sakta hai, jisse yeh samajhna mushkil ho jata hai ke market mein girawat aur khatra hai. Is surat mein, traders ko zyada saavdhan aur taiyar rehna chahiye, taake woh apne positions ko bacha sakein ya phir kisi aur strategy ka istemal kar sakein. Support zone ko 1.2659 ke daire mein pehchana gaya hai, lekin iska matlab yeh nahi ke yeh ek final aur perfect support level hai. Market mein bohot se factors hote hain jo keemat mein tabdeeli ko mutasir karte hain, jaise economic indicators, geopolitical events, aur central bank policies. Isliye, traders ko hamesha flexible rehna chahiye aur apne positions ko regularly monitor karna chahiye taake woh market ki harkat ko sahi dhang se samajh sakein.



Support zone ka tajziya karne ke baad, traders ko apne trading strategies ko tazdeeq karne aur adjust karne ki zaroorat hoti hai. Kuch traders support zone ke qareeb entry points talash karte hain taake woh market mein mazid sefaresh kar sakein, jabke doosre traders wait and watch strategy apnate hain takay woh market ki harkat ko aur behtar samajh sakein. Overall, 1.2659 ke daire mein support zone ka pehchan karne ka tajziya, traders ke liye ahem hai lekin yeh sirf ek hissa hai market analysis ka. Traders ko hamesha market ki halaat ko samajhne aur apne positions ko manage karne ke liye taiyar rehna chahiye, taake woh kamiyabi haasil kar sakein.

Aaj, pound/dollar ke jode ke badhne ka imkan nahin hai. Joda niche ki taraf durust ho gaya hai aur 1.2573-1.2666 ki ooper ki lahar shuru kar di hai, jo 38.2% (1.2609) ka test kar rahi hai aur niche ki taraf laut rahi hai.
4-ghante ke chart par, pound/dollar ka joda 138.2% (1.2701) tak badh sakta hai. Halankeh, mujhe nahin lagta hai keh qimat aaj is hadaf tak pahunch payegi. Is dauran, is hafte market par bears hawi nazar aa rahe hain. Takniki ishare kharidari ke signal de rahe hain, lekin rujhan ko tabdil karne ke liye jodi ko 1.2750 se ooper settle hona chahiye.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS GBP/USD

Subah bakhair aur sab members ka garm khushamadeed. Aaj hum ek naya tajziya share karne ja rahe hain jo aap sab ko faida pohanchayega. Iss waqt, GBP/USD ka daam 1.2613 ke resistance zone par tair raha hai. Is time frame mein quwwat ki alaamaat hain jo humein mojooda darjaat se lambay ka mauqa deti hain. Indicators ke mutabiq, main pair mein kamzori ka koi tasawwur nahi dekh raha, is liye kharidari aham hai. Agar hum is chart par Relative Strength Index (RSI) ko dekhte hain, to is ka maqam 50.3674 hai, jo kharidari dabav ko darust karta hai. Ek saath, chart par istemal kiye jane wale moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator bhi zero level ke oopar hai. Chart mein istemal kiye jane wale indicator ka kehna hai ke market ke daam mazeed ooncha ja sakta hai. GBP/USD dwara barqarar rakhi gayi upri raftar ko na sirf 1.2619 ke 50 EMA level ko toorna zaroori hai balkay 1.2561 ke 20 EMA level ko bhi bulle ko aakarshit karne ke liye toorna zaroori hai.

Shuru mein, hum 1.2890 ke resistance level ke upar manzilein dekh sakte hain, lekin 1.3608 ke level zyada munasib hai. Ye is GBP/USD pair mein izaafi uthal-puthal ka pehla saboot ho sakta hai. Dusra ahem resistance level 1.3608 ke aas paas hai. Agar ye 1.3608 ke upar uth jaye, to market ke daam ko mazeed buland jaane ka mauqa mil sakta hai. Uske baad, ye 1.4233 ke upar mazeed bulandata jari rakhega jo 3rd level ka resistance hai. Dosri taraf, 1.2103 ke daam ke aas paas support ka shuba se close target ho sakta hai. Doosra ahem support level 1.1062 ke aas paas hai. Agar ye 1.1062 ke neeche gir jaye, to market ke daam ko mazeed girne ka mauqa mil sakta hai. Uske baad, ye 1.0367 ke neeche mazeed support tak jaari rahega jo 3rd level ka support hai. Sab se zyada mutawaqqa scenario intraday trading ke liye ek uthal-puthal ke saath hai jis ka maqsad 1.3608 ke target level tak pohanchne ka hai.

GBP/USD

GBP/USD jodi ne Somwar ko ek chhota sudharan anubhav kiya. Yeh sirf takneeki vajahon ke liye tha, kyunke UK mein koi mahatvapurn ghatna nahi thi. Is beech, Federal Reserve ke adhikari Austan Goolsbee aur Raphael Bostic ne bola, lekin unke shabd dollar ko samarthan dene ke liye adhik sambhav the aur uske giraavat ko prakat karne ke liye nahi. Bostic ne apne ek varsh mein ek vyaj dar ghatane ki ummeed dohraayi, kyunke unhone note kiya ke mahangai pratikulata pratikulata se tezi se kam ho rahi thi. Hum maante hain ki yeh bazaar ke liye dollar ko kharidne ka ek aur karan hai. Yahaan tak traders ne unke shabdon par dhyan nahi diya. Phir bhi, sirf ek din ke adhaar par shor machana samajhdari nahi hoga, lekin sach yeh hai: bazaar ab bhi GBP/USD jodi ko bechna pasand nahi karta. Isliye hume ashchary nahi hoga agar jodi kahin na kahin naye vruddhi ka ek naya daur shuru kare (madhyam aavdhi mein). Abhi ke liye, keemat sabhi mukhya rekhaon aur hum usko mahatvapurn maante hain, ke neeche bani hui hai, pichle saptah ke breakout ke baad bhi. Yeh Federal Reserve ki baithak ke baad hua, aur aise samay mein, bazaar bahut hi behki aur bhavna se vyavhaar karta hai. Isliye, hum in gatiyon ko bhi nahi samjhte.

Varta sanketon ki baat karte hue, shirf ek hi Somwar ko bana tha. Yooropeeya session ke dauran, lambi mehnat ke baad, jodi ne 1.2605-1.2620 kshetra ko tod diya, lekin svabhavik roop se, isne koi mahatvapurn uchchalan prastut nahi kiya. Poond ne sirf 20 pip ka vruddhi kiya. Yeh traders ke liye Stop Loss ko breakeven par set karne ke liye kafi tha, lekin vyapar ko raat ko munafa mein bhi band kar diya ja sakta tha. 1H chart par, GBP/USD ek naye downtrend ko banate hue aage badh raha hai. Arthik reports aur moolatmak peedhi kisi bhi prakaar se British pound ko samarthan nahi dete, aur phir bhi yeh girne ke liye taiyar nahi hai. Hum ek majboot neeche ki ore ki gati ka intezaar karte hain, aur Bank of England aur Federal Reserve ke baithakon ne ek baar phir se yeh saabit kar diya hai ke pound ko dollar ke virudh badhne ke liye koi adhaar nahi hai. Neeche ki rekha aur Kijun-sen rekha ke neeche bearish rukh bana raha hai.

26 March ke roop mein, hum nimnankit mahatvapurn staron ko jor se utarte hain: 1.2215, 1.2269, 1.2349, 1.2429-1.2445, 1.2516, 1.2605-1.2620, 1.2691, 1.2786, 1.2863, 1.2981-1.2987. Senkou Span B rekha (1.2780) aur Kijun-sen rekha (1.2688) bhi sanketon ke liye sthal ke roop mein kaam kar sakti hai. Yadi keemat manchahe disha mein 20 pips ki taraf badh chuki hai, to breakeven par Stop Loss set karne ka na bhulain. Ichimoku indicator lines din mein badal sakti hain, isliye vyapar sanketon ka nirdharan karne mein is baat ka dhyan rakha jaana chahiye.

Mangalwar ko, UK ka karyakram khaali hai. Vyapari US ke durbalta vastu aadeshon par dhyan kendrit karenge, jo ek mahatvapurn kimat pradaan kare, agar yeh kisi mahatvapurn kimat pradaan kare toh yeh ek mazboot bazaar pratikriya ko utha sakta hai. Yadi yeh dollar ke prati samarthan mein nahi badalta, toh bhi hum dollar ke uchchalan ka apekshit karte

gbp/usd price overivew:

Forex currency market ki performance par munhasir. British pound ka qeemat Euro aur US dollar ke muqablay mein naram buniyad par hai, jahan June mein interest rate kaatne ki sambhavna 80% tak pahunch gayi hai. British pound ka position sab se behtar currency ban'ne ka 2024 mein watch par rakha gaya hai jab June mein interest rate kaatne ke imkan barh gaye hain, lekin nuqsaan mumkin hai ke mehdood honge, Nomura ke mutabiq. GBP/USD currency pair ki keemat ab bhi 1.2635 ke qareeb stable neeche ki taraf raftar mein hai.Aam tor par, Bank of England ki taza rehnumaiyon ke mutabiq, maliyaati bazaar ab 80% ke imkanat dekh rahe hain ke June shuruwat ki tareekh hogi, aur poori kaat August tak mumkin hai. Is lehaz se, Andrew Goodwin, Oxford Economics ke sarbrah British economist, kehte hain: "Hum Jun mein pehle interest rate kaatne ko buland karte hain, aur is saal ke end tak interest rate ko 4.5% tak le jane ke liye 25 basis points ke do mazeed kaate ka buland buland." "Inflation ab behtareen taur par shuru ho gaya hai aur runoff effects ke khilaf bachav ke liye ek bohot sakht policy stance ka zaroorat hai, ye kam aqeedah dikh raha hai."

Aam tor par, British pound pichle Shukrwaar ke faislay se pehle 2024 mein behtar G10 currencies mein shumar hota hai umidwaron ke mutabiq bank ki aakhri bari global markazi banks mein se ek hone ki ummeed ke wajah se ke UK mein core inflation dobara laane mein zyada dheemi hogi. 2.0% maqsad ke muqablay mein. Magar ye asharaat hain ke maheena April 2.0% maqsad tak pohanchne ki sambhavna hai. Muaashy maheeney ka aham pehlo, jahan par ghareebon ke inflations ka aham shahkar, neemulwage pressure bhi numaya taur par gir gaye hain, isliye economists ke mutabiq ye mazeed gir sakte hain.



Magar, Nomura Bank ke analysts ke mutabiq, British pound ki kamzori mehdood hai aur ye ghair mutaharrik raftar mein dakhil hone ke imkanat hai. Analyston ke mutabiq, "British pound sterling ko ek kamzor trend mein dakhil hone ke liye, humein zyada saboot ki zarurat hogi ke British economy kamzor ho rahi hai, lekin humein is par mazboot saboot nahi mila."

Euro ke muqablay mein downside potential khaas tor par mehdood hai, kyun ke bank aur European Central Bank ke imkanat ke mutabiq ek sath interest rates kaatne aur ek sath cutting cycle shuru karne ke imkanat hain. Ye sirf GBP/EUR mein dekhi gayi haal hi mein low volatility range ko mustahkam karne ke liye kaam karega. Aam tor par, is haftay euro aur sterling ke liye calendar risk nahi hain, lekin agle haftay euro zone mein inflation numbers nigrani ke laayak hain. Agar inflation gir jaaye, to hum confident hain ke GBP/EUR 2024 ke range ke upper limit ki taraf wapas ja sakti hai.

Subah ke levels 1.2651 aur 1.2594 par ghor karte hain, jo dakheelay aur chadhai ke rukh ko hukum dete hain. Aakhir mein, klaidar level ko 1.2651 par adjust karne se southern rukh ko rok diya gaya. Is adjustment ka asal maksad aaj ke north mein naaumeed taqat ke sabab ki gayi. Lekin, kal, hum keemat mein izafa ki umeed rakhte hain, shayad peelay levels 1.2670 aur 1.2680 tak pohanchay. Magar, is chadhai ke dauran, neechay ki fluctuations ke saath is chadhao ka saath diya ja sakta hai. Yeh tezi pichlay dakheelay ke duran se aarahi hai, is correction ke doran ki muddat abhi tak maaloom nahi hai. Mahir traders is par roshni daal sakte hain, lekin unko bhi nuqsan ka samna ho sakta hai, jo ke science ki poori tarah se samajh nahi aata.
GBP/USD ne July mein 1.2891 tak pohanchne ke baad haftawarana ghatein ka samna kya hai, jis ka dabao September mein mazeed barh gaya. Halankeh, ab ye aik che mah ke kamzor tareen level 1.2573 ke qareeb mojood hai, jis se ye samjha jata hai ke bearish phase jald khatam ho sakta hai. Oversold territory mein aane ke bawajood, RSI aur stochastics jaise nishanaat mein koi behtari ka nishaan nahi hai, jo ke daleelon se maloom hota hai ke farokht ke dawam mein thakawat tak takmeel se pehle kuch waqt tak dominent reh saktay hain. Agla maqsood 1.2730 par hai, agar keemat girne ka amal jari rahe to 1.2500 ke qareeb sambhavanaat se mukhtalif doran ki umeed hai.
Mazeed nuqsaan 2023 ke tamam doran ke qeemat 1.2350 ke qareeb ek muddat ke thikanaat par le ja sakta hai. Rozana ke doran, yeh asaas mudai market mein hai, jahan do exponential moving averages ke price ke upar mauqoo hain. Lekin, rozana ke support zone ko 1.2600 par barqarar rakhne mein challenges ka samna hai, jaisa ke do lambe bearish candles dikhate hain. Is side-wise market mein ek mumkin upward movement ka tasdeeq tab hoti hai jab current candle peechlay candle ke jism ke upar se guzarti hai. Mukhtasir tor par, yeh asaas mudai marketi mahol mein sahel aur dikkat wale dakheelay aur dakheelay ke levels ki hukoomat mein hai. Traders is range-bound market mein mumkin harkaat ki tasdeeq ke liye keemat ka amal aur candlestick patterns ko qareebi tor par nigrani mein rakhtay hain.

GBP/USD H4 waqt frame
Ek sambhav scenario mein, tezi se sudhaar hai, jahan bullish momentum jaldi se apne qadmo ko mazboot karta hai, currency pair ko naye unchayiyon tak le jaata hai. Agar market ki jazbat is umeed bhari manzar ko pasand kare, to investors mauqe ko faida uthane ke liye mojooda taizi se badhne wale raaste par daur sakte hain, jo ke upar ki taraf mazbooti se badhata hai. Mukhtalif, ek alternativ scenario mei lambi muddat tak mudawamat ya ulta wakt ke taraf reversals aate hain, jahan bearish contingent bullish channel mein milti kamzori ka faida uthata hai. Aisa scenario ho sakta hai agar mojooda iqtisadi indicators ya geopolitical developments GBP/USD exchange rate par bhaari padte hain, jo market sentiment ko ek ziada ahtiyaat se ya bearish stance ki taraf mod dete hain. Mojooda market dynamics ko samajhne ke liye, zaroori hai ke GBP/USD exchange rate ko mutasir karne wale mukhtalif factors ko ghor se ghor karein, jaise ke economic data releases, central bank policies, geopolitical tensions, aur broader market trends. Is ke alawa, technical analysis ke tools jaise trend lines, support aur resistance levels, aur momentum indicators asal kimiyai action ki behtareen samajh faraham karte hain, jo traders ko currency market ke intricacies ko ziada sahi aur itminan ke saath chalne mein madad faraham karte hain. Ikhtitami taur par, haal hi mein GBP/USD currency pair ke bullish channel mein pareshani aayi hai, to yeh ek degree uncertainty laata hai, lekin yeh bhi tajurba kar traders ke liye mauqe faraham karta hai taake wo emerging trends aur market dynamics par faida utha sakein. Tawanai aur badalne waale landscape ko samajhte hue traders ko naye trends ke liye position banane ki zaroorat hai aur ghumaoon ke darmiyaan uncertainty mein faida uthane ki mumkin raaste ko chunne ki zaroorat hai.

European session ke doran trading activity kafi sannata hai aur kharidne waale ko GBP/USD ke price ko upar uthane mein mushkil hoti hai. Yeh indicated karta hai ke market mein thandi activity hai aur koi aham tezi ya girawat nahi hai. Aise mahaul mein, traders ko sabar aur intezar ki zaroorat hoti hai jab tak market mein clear direction nahi milti. Main apne trades ko is thandi mausam mein manage karne ki salahiyat ko barqarar rakhta hoon aur intezar karta hoon ke market ka mood kis disha mein badalta hai. Mujhe yaqeen hai ke American session mein farokht ke dabaav phir se izhar karenge aur GBPUSD ki tehreeren neeche ki taraf 1.2600 ki taraf le jayenge.

Is samay, main apne stop loss aur take profit levels ko sahi taur par set karne ki zaroorat mehsoos karta hoon taake main apni trading positions ko munafa ya nuksan se bacha sakoon. Zaroori hai ke trading strategies ko adapt karte hue, traders market ki maahol ko samajhne aur us ke mutabiq action lene ke liye tayar rahein.

GBP/USD TECHNICALLY


European trading ke doran budh ke din, paond 1.2600 tak gir gaya jabke investors Bank of England (BoE) ko pehle se zyada expected interest rates khatam karne ki umeed rakhte the. Kisi had tak, Bank of England ne interest rate outlook par dovish mode mein muddat rakha hai jab UK ki infaltion naram hogayi hai.

Paond mazeed 1.2600 ke ahem sahara ke darjaat tak gir gaya, jabke February mein US core PCE price index data ka ijaad se pehle shakhsiyat se aage ka darust nahi hosaka, jis ki wajah se dollar tajzi se phir se buland hogaya. Federal Reserve ka pasandida infaltion measure central bank ko interest rates khatam karne ki ibtidaai saqlain ke baray mein kuch saraahat de sakta hai. Ziddi U.S. infaltion aur mazboot maeeshati nazar-e-aam Federal Reserve ko is ke plans ko roknay ki ijaazat de sakta hai. Pichle haftay Federal Reserve ke sab se akhri dot plot ne is saal teen interest rate cuts dikhaya, lekin infaltion ko apne 2% maqsood tak pohanchanay mein ghateya hua taraqqi bhi chhotay rate cuts par le ja sakta hai.

Khatar ke alawa, Bank of England ke interest rate outlook ke market ki tawaqoat paond ke agle qadam ko hamawar karegi. British infaltion data February mein shadeed gir gaya, jo ke umeedon ko barhawa diya ke Bank of England apni June policy meeting ke ibteda par interest rates khatam karne ka aghaz karega. Rate cuts ko mainly August meeting par shuru honay ki umeed thi, pehle se kamzor infaltion data aur thori si dovish interest rate guidance ke peechay se. Bank of England apni akhri meeting par thori si dovish tasweer mein nazar aayi, jabke pehli martaba September 2021 se kisi bhi policy maker ne rate hike ke liye vote nahi kiya. Catherine Mann ne Bloomberg ke interview mein kaha ke unho ne rate hikes ke liye kehna chhod diya kyunki unhone dekha ke consuemrs travel aur hotels waghera ki tarah khidmaton ke liye zyada qeemat dena pasand nahi karte. Mann ne ye bhi kaha ke companies jobs ki zarurat hai jab ke logon ki ghanton ko kam kar rahe hain. Usne mazeed kaha ke jab hukoomat social security rates khatam karti hai, to labour market mein mazdooron ki tadad barh jati hai.





Is hafte UK maeeshati calendar halka hai. Investors revised fourth-quarter 2023 gross domestic product (GDP) estimates par tawajju denge. Agar pehli estimates ke mukable mein koi numaya tabdeeliyan hui hain to ye GBP par asar dalengi. Initial estimates ke mutabiq pehle se kamzor infaltion data aur slightly dovish interest rate guidance ke baad UK ki maeeshat ne 2023 ke doosre haftay mein aik takneeki mandi mein dakhil ho gayi. GBP 1.2600 tak gir gaya. GBP ko qareeb 1.2600 ke round-number sahara ke darjaat tak gir gaya. GBP/USD ko mazboot resistance ka saamna karne ke baad mazeed 1.2660 ke mark ke ooper upside ko extend karte waqt gir gaya.