GBP/USD D1
Pehle is haftay, British Pound ne Ameriki Dollar ke khilaf mukhalifat ka samna kiya. GBP/USD jodi ko jumeraat ke Asian trading hours mein 1.2700 ke darje ko paar karne mein mushkilat ka saamna hua aur yeh thoda buland 1.2658 par qaim ho gayi. Yeh kami do mukhya factors ki wajah se hui: ek taqatwar USD aur Bank of England (BoE) se ehtiyaat bhari isharay. Haal hi mein USD ki taqat ne mukhya currency pairs par dabao dala, jismein GBP shamil hai. Iske ilawa, UK ke retail sales mein aik mumkin slowdown ke lehaz se aitrazat hain, jahan tajwez hai ke February ke sales figures mein 0.3% girawat hogi, jo Pound ko mazeed kamzor kar sakti hai. Mazeed, BoE ka policy stance jumeraat ko ehtiyaat ki taraf murna tha. Jaisa ke tawaqqa tha, faiz darat 5.25% par be tarteeb reh gayi. Halankeh Governor Bailey ne maeeshat mein behtari ko tasleem kiya, lekin unhon ne ishara kiya ke BoE abhi tak darjaton ko kam nahi karne ke liye tayar nahi hai. Is fauri darjaton ki kami, sath hi BoE ki mazeed rokna wage growth ke dhimi hone ki mazeed saboot ki khwahish ne un investors ko razamandi di jo ek zyada umeedwar approach ki tawaqqa rakhte the. Natije mein, Pound ko is ehtiyaat bhari rujhan ke neechay daba diya gaya hai. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ki meeting ke baad aik baray izafa ke baad bhi, GBP/USD ke faida 1.2800 ke qareeb mehdood rahe. Yeh darja ek muzahmat ka naka hai, jis ki wajah se jodi ne neechay jaane ki taraf rukh kiya.
Chaaron ghantay ka chart bhi aik mumkin girawat ki isharaat ko dikhata hai. Stochastic aur RSI oscillators taqat haare huye hain, jis se aik moayana ya phir girawat ka dor dikhayi deta hai. Ahem support darjaton, jaise ke 50-period simple moving average aur 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level par nigaah rakhna zaroori hai jo 1.2753 par hain. Agar yeh darjat paar kiye gaye, to mazeed farokht ka dabao ho sakta hai, jis se 20-period moving average aur 23.6% Fibonacci retracement 1.2720 par girne ka imkaan hai. Aik mustaqil tor par is darajat se neechay girna, GBP/USD ko 1.2666-1.2680 ke ahem support zone ki taraf raghib kar sakta hai, jahan 200-period moving average aur February ki support trend line milte hain.
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